Author Topic: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?  (Read 789910 times)

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2000 on: March 19, 2022, 02:47:50 PM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities


Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2001 on: March 19, 2022, 03:43:31 PM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities

Agree with StashingAway's bolded statement above.

While it may be theoretically possible, if we mine every single kg of Li reserves on the planet, to make enough batteries, so that all existing ICE vehicles could be replaced with EVs, it's not sustainable. Projections are calling for continuing world population growth for, at least, decades into the future. Right now, billions of people on the planet don't have any access to a car. As developing countries become richer, more and more people are going to want to emulate North Americans by getting their own cars. North American car ownership rates are NOT anywhere near sustainable at a global scale. Even in the US itself, population is expected to increase to >400MM people by 2058. A corresponding increase in personal automobiles in the US would be catastrophic for the planet, even if every single one of the added vehicles was an EV. All that steel, glass, and plastic require huge amounts of energy to mine, process, and make into cars and trucks. Making a long term plan, now, to gradually decrease US population, over the next 100 years, say, would help, imho. Fewer people means fewer cars, less traffic, less resources and energy usage. It's not possible to keep growing and decrease materials and energy usage, at the same time. 'Green Growth' is a fantasy being pushed by the renewable energy industry and many well-meaning people who've been duped by their propaganda. Degrowth is the only way we're going to get Earth out of this mess (mostly rich, first world) humans have created.

nereo

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2002 on: March 19, 2022, 05:06:59 PM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.


Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2003 on: March 19, 2022, 07:40:11 PM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.

LennStar

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2004 on: March 20, 2022, 02:15:41 AM »
What car do you have? CO2 emissions are directly linked to gas burned, so better MPGs means better numbers.

Hyundai i10. If you don't drive too crazy, it's 6 liters/100km. Official I think 5l.
Anyway, for a low-milage driver, the i10 probably comes out better on CO2 than a Tesla simply because of less material used in production. Not to mention that you could plant a small forest with the difference in price.

btw. Not Canadian, I am German ;).

Quote
If you are just considering what most drivers would consider a “car” the fuel standards for late model vehicles is much, much better - most are in the high 30s to low 40s now. Still way behind where we should be but far better than the numbers reflect.
For me a car is a vehicle that is used as a personal transport to haul people around. (Of course a taxi is still a car) So a SUV and a pickup is are still cars for me. I mean a SUV nearly never transports heavy good, right? And many pickups in the US also not from what I have heard.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2005 on: March 20, 2022, 05:58:14 AM »

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.

Agreed, which is the whole point of bringing it up when threads like this are discussed. By posting the question: "Can electric cars become popular in the United States?" There is an inherent value judgment placed on the transition to EVs. If Elon Musk is anything to go by, the entire point of Tesla and EVs is to accelerate the transition the world off of fossil fuels. And that's where most people stop, if they even get to that point. Rarely do folks re-evaluate the necessity of using so much energy in the first place.

There is a saying "when someone asks for a drill, what they really want is a hole in the wall." It is the evlauator's job to interpret the second from the first. Same thing I'm applying here when people ask for global transition to EVs.

There is sort of a sunk cost into cars; like "we're stuck with them, so we may as well make them electric". 15 years ago, almost everyone in the general public would have laughed if they were told that EVs would be the new standard for driving tech. Why can't we make the same social change with infrastructure?


StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2006 on: March 20, 2022, 06:02:01 AM »

btw. Not Canadian, I am German ;).

If only there were some sort of badge or something that the forum used to let people know!

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2007 on: March 20, 2022, 06:13:46 AM »

Hyundai i10. If you don't drive too crazy, it's 6 liters/100km. Official I think 5l.

5l/100km is 47mpg; not too far off from the 46mpg that the CO2 emissions predicted!

Tyson

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2008 on: March 20, 2022, 10:49:32 AM »

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.

Agreed, which is the whole point of bringing it up when threads like this are discussed. By posting the question: "Can electric cars become popular in the United States?" There is an inherent value judgment placed on the transition to EVs. If Elon Musk is anything to go by, the entire point of Tesla and EVs is to accelerate the transition the world off of fossil fuels. And that's where most people stop, if they even get to that point. Rarely do folks re-evaluate the necessity of using so much energy in the first place.

There is a saying "when someone asks for a drill, what they really want is a hole in the wall." It is the evlauator's job to interpret the second from the first. Same thing I'm applying here when people ask for global transition to EVs.

There is sort of a sunk cost into cars; like "we're stuck with them, so we may as well make them electric". 15 years ago, almost everyone in the general public would have laughed if they were told that EVs would be the new standard for driving tech. Why can't we make the same social change with infrastructure?

I think this is already happening in some cities.  Denver is one, I saw that Paris is another on a recent Youtube video by Not Just Bikes.  I suspect that as other cities see how much more valuable and more successful cities like that are going to become, they will mostly follow suit.  But that's not the biggest challenge, IMO.  The cities will be relatively easy because the people in them want to be less car centric, at least versus the people small/mid sized towns. 

It would be interesting to see what the total environmental footprint of someone in the city vs someone in a small town in America.  I was originally from Texas and the stroad based small towns there are legion.  And the people there are pretty stubborn about making any changes, at all, ever.

LennStar

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2009 on: March 20, 2022, 01:55:11 PM »
It would be interesting to see what the total environmental footprint of someone in the city vs someone in a small town in America.  I was originally from Texas and the stroad based small towns there are legion.  And the people there are pretty stubborn about making any changes, at all, ever.

How did they manage to do the epochical change to a car culture?

Tyson

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2010 on: March 20, 2022, 02:00:37 PM »
It would be interesting to see what the total environmental footprint of someone in the city vs someone in a small town in America.  I was originally from Texas and the stroad based small towns there are legion.  And the people there are pretty stubborn about making any changes, at all, ever.

How did they manage to do the epochical change to a car culture?

Right, I agree.  But here's the problem.  You are using facts and logic.  And I have found (from personal experience) that those things simply don't work with this population. 

At least in the cities, there's growing awareness that a car-centric design might not be the best approach.  You say something like that in the small/midsized towns and you are likely to get shot.

nereo

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2011 on: March 20, 2022, 03:36:22 PM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.
Ok, who here is arguing against this?  You keep bringing this point up and I don’t see any disagreement.

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2012 on: March 21, 2022, 08:35:48 AM »
Just to be nit-picky for posterity… there’s a minor correction and a border point to be made.
First, from my source there’s a fleet-wide fuel economy of 24.9 (2021 data), moderately better than the 22.7 cited.

I like nit-picky; that places LennStar's Canadian vehicle in a more reasonable spot. It's pretty easy to calculate; 8887/(xmpg). So a 40mpg car would emit 220g co2/mile on average. (His 120g/km is the same as 190g/mile), also resulting in him having a 46mpg vehicle.

This is starting to get to be a little bit of a tangent on a tangent. The summary of this is that vehicles take lots of energy to run; it is better to start by reducing the need for that energy in the first place than to try to switch delivery methods on a global scale. Both are needed, but solving the latter will not only be more expensive, it will come with other externalities

…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.
Ok, who here is arguing against this?  You keep bringing this point up and I don’t see any disagreement.
You're right, nereo. There's no one actively arguing against the narrative you mentioned in this particular thread. Based on conversations I've had with many Americans on this subject, though, I'm pretty skeptical that that means we're all in agreement. In my personal, lived experience, most Americans, even really good people who claim to care a lot about the environment and climate change, seem to strongly believe that if they can afford something, like an $85K top of the line Chevy Suburban with heated seats and steering wheel, adaptive CC, blah, blah, blah, with enough room for the maximum number of people and pets and sports equipment that they could ever, conceivably, need to haul, then they deserve to have it. Whether they need it, or not, is irrelevant and taboo to even try to bring up in polite conversation.

LennStar

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2013 on: March 21, 2022, 09:18:58 AM »
Isn't it strange how many people say that advertisment doesnt influence them, but they always deserve whatever the companies want to sell them?

The only thing they deserve is a facepunch!

Way too less of the in the forums in the last months!!

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2014 on: March 21, 2022, 09:30:21 AM »
Isn't it strange how many people say that advertisment doesnt influence them, but they always deserve whatever the companies want to sell them?

The only thing they deserve is a facepunch!

Way too less of the in the forums in the last months!!

Agreed, LennStar! The forums are becoming too soft.

A German guy I once met irl, while he was visiting the US on holiday, waved his arms around and asked me, "How can Americans think that living like this is okay?" When asked what he meant, the man told me, "Americans drive around in these GIANT cars and trucks and don't even seem ashamed of how wasteful it is." As an example, the man pointed at some nearby parked cars and asked, "How can the people who own these cars not be totally embarrassed that the size of their (ridiculously large) engines is written right on the back of their vehicles, for everyone to see?" The guy kept just shaking his head in disbelief and repeating, "Kein Mensch braucht ein 4 liter Auto!"

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2015 on: March 21, 2022, 12:02:29 PM »
…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.
Ok, who here is arguing against this?  You keep bringing this point up and I don’t see any disagreement.

No one is point blank saying it, but they are certainly implying that it is an invalid point. Which is why I think it's important to bring up, and even still on topic. Like someone saying "Is Starbucks or Duncan better" and someone replying with "Try making coffee at home"

I think you are also missing a point, e.g. you are not going to convince society to abandon cars.  It's just not going to happen.  In the interim, improvement is better than no improvement. With 8 billion people on this planet, surely we can focus on two things at once.

i get that MMM is a big fan of bikes and lots of other people are too, i am as well. But i am not going to commute by bicycle and i hardly ride to the grocery store on the weekends. My two biggest gripes are it takes too long to get somewhere by bike, i.e. work or drop kids off for school and its not safe to ride a bike. I had a crash where i had to swerve to miss a car and another instance where i was hit and my bike was destroyed (i was fine). These two things will keep me in a car most of the time until i am retired.

There are only so many ways to re-evaluate your priorities to eliminate the need to for a car. No everyone can live with in 1-2 miles of grocery stores and mass transit

Yes, but those times before the car (and more generally the industrial revolution and widespread use of electricity) were awful times to be alive.  And re: communism, are you REALLY saying we should all live like the communists?  Which was also quite awful especially for the common person, as per reports from many common people during those times. 

Again, your suggestions are not workable.

The problem with eBikes and electric scooters is they both depend on decent weather.  Too hot or too cold and people will just use their cars, regardless of distance.
« Last Edit: March 21, 2022, 12:04:49 PM by StashingAway »

Tyson

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2016 on: March 21, 2022, 01:16:47 PM »
…and I certainly agree with the bolder portion above (though many good points made throughout).
The thread topic is: Electric cars: cant hey finally become popular in the United States. I believe everyone is in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best.  However, it’s not the thread topic.

Pretty sure there's no agreement, at all, on the bolded above, not even among the people posting in this thread, let alone among North Americans in general.
Ok, who here is arguing against this?  You keep bringing this point up and I don’t see any disagreement.

No one is point blank saying it, but they are certainly implying that it is an invalid point. Which is why I think it's important to bring up, and even still on topic. Like someone saying "Is Starbucks or Duncan better" and someone replying with "Try making coffee at home"

I think you are also missing a point, e.g. you are not going to convince society to abandon cars.  It's just not going to happen.  In the interim, improvement is better than no improvement. With 8 billion people on this planet, surely we can focus on two things at once.

i get that MMM is a big fan of bikes and lots of other people are too, i am as well. But i am not going to commute by bicycle and i hardly ride to the grocery store on the weekends. My two biggest gripes are it takes too long to get somewhere by bike, i.e. work or drop kids off for school and its not safe to ride a bike. I had a crash where i had to swerve to miss a car and another instance where i was hit and my bike was destroyed (i was fine). These two things will keep me in a car most of the time until i am retired.

There are only so many ways to re-evaluate your priorities to eliminate the need to for a car. No everyone can live with in 1-2 miles of grocery stores and mass transit

Yes, but those times before the car (and more generally the industrial revolution and widespread use of electricity) were awful times to be alive.  And re: communism, are you REALLY saying we should all live like the communists?  Which was also quite awful especially for the common person, as per reports from many common people during those times. 

Again, your suggestions are not workable.

The problem with eBikes and electric scooters is they both depend on decent weather.  Too hot or too cold and people will just use their cars, regardless of distance.

I'll address the quotes of my statements directly.  I've said many, many times that I agree we need to make structural changes to cities as well as move off gas/oil at the same time. Both are important. 

The statements I made are directed at people (average Americans) that are not already philosophically on board with making these changes.  For the average person, change is resisted, even if it's for the better.  And if they feel like something is being 'taken away', they will be even more resistant to change. 

I'm not advocating that we should not change.  Quite the opposite, I think change is desperately needed.  My posts above are more aimed at the question of how do you drive change in a general population that is (at best) apathetic or (at worst) downright hostile to the idea?

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2017 on: March 21, 2022, 03:31:12 PM »
I'm not advocating that we should not change.  Quite the opposite, I think change is desperately needed.  My posts above are more aimed at the question of how do you drive change in a general population that is (at best) apathetic or (at worst) downright hostile to the idea?

Seems like there's an historic opportunity, right now, to accelerate change in the transportation sector in the US, by gradually increasing gasoline taxes, as oil prices inevitably fall. The extra revenue from increased gasoline taxes can go to provide public transportation and public housing in walkable neighborhoods, so people don't have to own cars. Will the US do this? Of course not. The Biden Administration is trying to figure out ways to make gasoline cheaper, so they can get reelected...

neo von retorch

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2018 on: March 21, 2022, 04:51:48 PM »
The Biden AdministrationWhoever happens to be in office right now, regardless of political party or branch of government... is trying to figure out ways to make gasoline cheaper, so they can get reelected...

Fixed that for you.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2019 on: March 21, 2022, 05:48:24 PM »
If, "everyone's in agreement that less total driving and a greater focus on walking/cycling/public transit is best," I'm sure not getting that vibe from the comments on this current MMM forum thread.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2020 on: March 21, 2022, 06:19:58 PM »
I do not see any scenario where we will abandon a significant part of the built environment in this country and reverse the flow to the suburbs (or I guess exurbs now). Not only would it be immensely expensive, it would be against the norms/expectations of most cultures in the US. In a representative democracy, the only way to cause that great a change is making city living cheaper, more pleasant and more convenient than it is. That is a big task and is unlikely to happen without a major shift in culture and living conditions necessitating it.

Probably better to focus on finding more ways to make batteries. That seems
much easier.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2021 on: March 22, 2022, 01:24:48 AM »
I think it's actually already happening, but it's at such a glacial pace, I'll be dead before it takes hold here.

For instance, NYC just announced the goal of raising 100 crosswalks a year. (i.e. prioritizing pedestrians).

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/02/nyregion/nyc-raised-crosswalks-traffic-deaths.html

Separated bike lanes are becoming more common, even in interior cities that might have been unthinkable even a decade ago.

https://journalstar.com/news/local/new-buffered-bike-lanes-in-lincoln-will-claim-either-traffic-on-street-parking/article_4033995c-b3c1-5a4a-afdd-ea15ff2d3bf8.html

Even if we pride ourselves on ignoring Europe here in the states, I think developments like car free zones in Paris, Berlin, and Superblocks in Barcelona, etc will eventual have an influence.

I'm hopeful my kids will see a far less car-dependent America.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2022 on: March 22, 2022, 04:37:15 AM »
I do not see any scenario where we will abandon a significant part of the built environment in this country and reverse the flow to the suburbs (or I guess exurbs now). Not only would it be immensely expensive, it would be against the norms/expectations of most cultures in the US. In a representative democracy, the only way to cause that great a change is making city living cheaper, more pleasant and more convenient than it is. That is a big task and is unlikely to happen without a major shift in culture and living conditions necessitating it.

Probably better to focus on finding more ways to make batteries. That seems
much easier.

Agreed. We can make some current places more walkable over time. We can prioritize higher density with new construction. But we're not going to see massive change to existing infrastructure in many parts of the country. Not when high density housing tends to be expensive and lower density sprawl is cheap.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2023 on: March 22, 2022, 04:55:23 AM »
I do not see any scenario where we will abandon a significant part of the built environment in this country and reverse the flow to the suburbs (or I guess exurbs now). Not only would it be immensely expensive, it would be against the norms/expectations of most cultures in the US. In a representative democracy, the only way to cause that great a change is making city living cheaper, more pleasant and more convenient than it is. That is a big task and is unlikely to happen without a major shift in culture and living conditions necessitating it.

Probably better to focus on finding more ways to make batteries. That seems
much easier.

Agreed. We can make some current places more walkable over time. We can prioritize higher density with new construction. But we're not going to see massive change to existing infrastructure in many parts of the country. Not when high density housing tends to be expensive and lower density sprawl is cheap.

Urban sprawl is "cheaper" because other build methods are outright illegal due to zoning. Urban sprawl is subsidized by high density areas of cities. This is an interesting summary:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI

We can change this easily; change the zoning. Builders would absolutely build 4-plexes, small condos, etc if the could, but it's not allowed. The problem is that we have been convinced that the current North American lifestyle came about naturally and out of an appeal for convenience, when it was in fact guided by city planners and, without sounding too conspiratorial, the automotive industry. There was a time in history when people who could afford a car did not buy one.

Long term, -say in 50 or 100 years- which would have a better impact of spending our money on? Having nearly the same lifestyle, but with EVs rather than ICE's? Or changing our practice of consumption. It may sound ambitions to do the latter, but I think it's more realistic than we think. Change is hard to visualize before it happens, and seems inevitable afterwards. You can even see that here in this thread. EV's for the most part fulfill enough of the average driver's needs that it is easy to see them happening. 10 years ago not so much.

We can do this, it starts simply with changing the zoning. Americans would absolutely go for this; we just have to make it available.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2024 on: March 22, 2022, 05:00:06 AM »
Another interesting one on the history of convincing the American public (and city planners) that they need cars:

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/peter-norton-the-illusory-promise-of-high-tech-driving/id369032477?i=1000548501853

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2025 on: March 22, 2022, 06:01:54 AM »
I do not see any scenario where we will abandon a significant part of the built environment in this country and reverse the flow to the suburbs (or I guess exurbs now). Not only would it be immensely expensive, it would be against the norms/expectations of most cultures in the US. In a representative democracy, the only way to cause that great a change is making city living cheaper, more pleasant and more convenient than it is. That is a big task and is unlikely to happen without a major shift in culture and living conditions necessitating it.

Probably better to focus on finding more ways to make batteries. That seems
much easier.

Agreed. We can make some current places more walkable over time. We can prioritize higher density with new construction. But we're not going to see massive change to existing infrastructure in many parts of the country. Not when high density housing tends to be expensive and lower density sprawl is cheap.

Urban sprawl is "cheaper" because other build methods are outright illegal due to zoning. Urban sprawl is subsidized by high density areas of cities. This is an interesting summary:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI

We can change this easily; change the zoning. Builders would absolutely build 4-plexes, small condos, etc if the could, but it's not allowed. The problem is that we have been convinced that the current North American lifestyle came about naturally and out of an appeal for convenience, when it was in fact guided by city planners and, without sounding too conspiratorial, the automotive industry. There was a time in history when people who could afford a car did not buy one.

Long term, -say in 50 or 100 years- which would have a better impact of spending our money on? Having nearly the same lifestyle, but with EVs rather than ICE's? Or changing our practice of consumption. It may sound ambitions to do the latter, but I think it's more realistic than we think. Change is hard to visualize before it happens, and seems inevitable afterwards. You can even see that here in this thread. EV's for the most part fulfill enough of the average driver's needs that it is easy to see them happening. 10 years ago not so much.

We can do this, it starts simply with changing the zoning. Americans would absolutely go for this; we just have to make it available.
Agree with Abe that focusing on building batteries is a good thing. Better batteries can power bikes, scooters and skateboards, as well as Tesla M3s. Also agree with StashingAway that changing zoning rules is doable. Just in the past few years, Minneapolis has effectively outlawed single-family zoning in their city; Oregon and California have done basically the same for their entire states. So, change is not impossible. There's no reason we can't do two things at once: improve batteries, while also doing away with single-family zoning and off-street parking minimums. Tons of people would love to live in walkable cities if good quality housing they could afford was available. Let's make that happen.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2026 on: March 22, 2022, 08:45:48 AM »
Agree with Abe that focusing on building batteries is a good thing. Better batteries can power bikes, scooters and skateboards, as well as Tesla M3s. Also agree with StashingAway that changing zoning rules is doable. Just in the past few years, Minneapolis has effectively outlawed single-family zoning in their city; Oregon and California have done basically the same for their entire states. So, change is not impossible. There's no reason we can't do two things at once: improve batteries, while also doing away with single-family zoning and off-street parking minimums. Tons of people would love to live in walkable cities if good quality housing they could afford was available. Let's make that happen.

I think, for me, I am only pushing so hard because I don't see them as solving equal issues. That's not to say that we don't need both or that I'm not excited about battery improvements; batteries are critical for transportation and grid transition from fossil fuels.

I think, in this particular case, I see this as one solving a symptom and one solving the cause. Batteries solve the symptom. Poorly designed infrastructure and built environment is the cause. In a metaphor: Insulin solves the symptoms of Type II diabetes. It is absolutely important to keep people from dying, and in theory could work indefinitely without changing anything else. But solving the cause of Type II in the first place is cheaper, reduces hundreds of other lifestyle externalities, and is better for our collective psyche.

If we could snap our fingers and change half the world to EVs, we would only be solving a couple of symptoms (air quality and CO2). Particularly the latter is crazy important, but we wouldn't be solving most of the other issues with cars and adding a few significant ones to the mix. If we were to reduce the car demand by half, we would not only reduce air quality and CO2 issues by a larger margin than the EV switch, we would also reduce countless other issues that cars cause. Suburbs are expensive to build and rebuild- it is more expensive in the long run to keep them than it is to switch. It sounds expensive to change cities, but we can start with *really* cheap things, like making building convenience stores in neighborhoods legal. And making SFH only zones illegal.

People are hung up on Americans not wanting to get rid of their cars and I call balogna. We were an American culture before the automobile, and we can be that again. There are hundreds of gorgeous historical cities and towns who's roots are founded on central markets and community. Americans love convenience, just gotta make it more convenient to walk than drive.

« Last Edit: March 22, 2022, 08:47:59 AM by StashingAway »

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2027 on: March 22, 2022, 08:58:41 AM »
The statements I made are directed at people (average Americans) that are not already philosophically on board with making these changes.  For the average person, change is resisted, even if it's for the better.  And if they feel like something is being 'taken away', they will be even more resistant to change. 

Which is why things like Strongtowns and Not Just Bikes seem to be on the right track. It isn't that we are taking away the cars, we are adding a significant lifestyle improvement. We aren't taking away driving, we are adding a convenience store that is walking distance. A local restaurant with delicious bagel sandwiches could be in your neighborhood! You don't have to insure two vehicles anymore, or stop at a gas station twice a week. You also pay lower taxes because you don't have to subsidies the hundreds of miles of sewer lines running to each and every house or the snow plows that, per capita, are an enormous waste of revenue. I don't think it needs to be forced, I think if places start doing it and others see it, they will start asking their cities for it. You can now afford a heated massage chair in your living room rather than your BMW. Grubhub is cheaper because the kid just has to bike the pizza down the street rather than try to drive his civic through rush hour red lights. I could go on and on on what is being added...

And for the people who love cars? You can store your Miata in a garage by the track, or Jeep in a heated warehouse where you could also work on it beside other enthusiasts. You can romp it around the circuit or rock crawl without worrying about also making it street legal for the commute, or the wear an tear of daily driving it.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2028 on: March 22, 2022, 12:08:30 PM »
Can all this reinvention happen naturally or will it require new development?

The Villages in FLA, for example, has accomplished part of the formula allowing people to use alternative transportation (golf carts) or bicycles (though, how many seniors bicycle in FLA heat?). It is still suburb like in most other ways.

Seems like those who profit the most from the status quo might resist change in creative ways.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2029 on: March 22, 2022, 12:26:46 PM »
Agreed. We can make some current places more walkable over time. We can prioritize higher density with new construction. But we're not going to see massive change to existing infrastructure in many parts of the country. Not when high density housing tends to be expensive and lower density sprawl is cheap.

There is no fundamental reason that high(er) density housing should be expensive. It isn't more expensive to build (per unit) than single family detached.

PDXTabs

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2030 on: March 22, 2022, 12:55:31 PM »
But we're not going to see massive change to existing infrastructure in many parts of the country. Not when high density housing tends to be expensive and lower density sprawl is cheap.

Urban sprawl is "cheaper" because other build methods are outright illegal due to zoning. Urban sprawl is subsidized by high density areas of cities. This is an interesting summary:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Nw6qyyrTeI

He has another good video (and links to reading resources if you prefer) about how new suburban development (roads, sewers) is paid for by the developer but basically no one is paying enough property taxes to maintain it long term unless you continue to grow the tax base with new developments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7IsMeKl-Sv0

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2031 on: March 22, 2022, 01:10:45 PM »
Agree with Abe that focusing on building batteries is a good thing. Better batteries can power bikes, scooters and skateboards, as well as Tesla M3s. Also agree with StashingAway that changing zoning rules is doable. Just in the past few years, Minneapolis has effectively outlawed single-family zoning in their city; Oregon and California have done basically the same for their entire states. So, change is not impossible. There's no reason we can't do two things at once: improve batteries, while also doing away with single-family zoning and off-street parking minimums. Tons of people would love to live in walkable cities if good quality housing they could afford was available. Let's make that happen.

I think, for me, I am only pushing so hard because I don't see them as solving equal issues. That's not to say that we don't need both or that I'm not excited about battery improvements; batteries are critical for transportation and grid transition from fossil fuels.

I think, in this particular case, I see this as one solving a symptom and one solving the cause. Batteries solve the symptom. Poorly designed infrastructure and built environment is the cause. In a metaphor: Insulin solves the symptoms of Type II diabetes. It is absolutely important to keep people from dying, and in theory could work indefinitely without changing anything else. But solving the cause of Type II in the first place is cheaper, reduces hundreds of other lifestyle externalities, and is better for our collective psyche.

If we could snap our fingers and change half the world to EVs, we would only be solving a couple of symptoms (air quality and CO2). Particularly the latter is crazy important, but we wouldn't be solving most of the other issues with cars and adding a few significant ones to the mix. If we were to reduce the car demand by half, we would not only reduce air quality and CO2 issues by a larger margin than the EV switch, we would also reduce countless other issues that cars cause. Suburbs are expensive to build and rebuild- it is more expensive in the long run to keep them than it is to switch. It sounds expensive to change cities, but we can start with *really* cheap things, like making building convenience stores in neighborhoods legal. And making SFH only zones illegal.

People are hung up on Americans not wanting to get rid of their cars and I call balogna. We were an American culture before the automobile, and we can be that again. There are hundreds of gorgeous historical cities and towns who's roots are founded on central markets and community. Americans love convenience, just gotta make it more convenient to walk than drive.
Agree that reducing demand for cars is superior to just switching our car dependent lifestyles from ICE vehicles to EVs, because, as you point out, car dependence causes many more problems than just pollution and CO2 emissions. Also, in trying to get people to consider switching some of their trips from cars to other means of transportation, I agree that we need to make the messaging positive if we're going to have any hope of succeeding. If we can make it more convenient, cheaper, and more enjoyable to take public transport, walk, or ride a bike, many will choose those other options.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2032 on: March 22, 2022, 06:49:49 PM »
Can all this reinvention happen naturally or will it require new development?

The Villages in FLA, for example, has accomplished part of the formula allowing people to use alternative transportation (golf carts) or bicycles (though, how many seniors bicycle in FLA heat?). It is still suburb like in most other ways.

Seems like those who profit the most from the status quo might resist change in creative ways.

Personally I think there is appetite for high density SFH. I happily live on a a 50’x125’ suburban/city lot.

However, I have zero interest in multi-family properties. I bet most suburban dwellers would agree with me.  Trying to force people I to multi family units is where you’ll meet maximum resistance.

PDXTabs

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2033 on: March 22, 2022, 07:01:21 PM »
Personally I think there is appetite for high density SFH. I happily live on a a 50’x125’ suburban/city lot.

However, I have zero interest in multi-family properties. I bet most suburban dwellers would agree with me.  Trying to force people I to multi family units is where you’ll meet maximum resistance.

The problem is that you really want to get to an average of 20 units per acre (2,178sq/ft lot) for transit efficacy. I happen to currently live on a 2,600 sq ft lot, but I used to live on even less (in a town house). Do Americans really hate townhouses? Because I loved mine. Of course that's only an average, some people can live on larger lots if some people live in condos.

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2034 on: March 23, 2022, 03:56:51 AM »
There's really no need to force anyone to do anything. Just take away the subsidies for the suburbs, and the free market will push people towards denser housing choices.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2035 on: March 23, 2022, 04:45:02 AM »
There's really no need to force anyone to do anything. Just take away the subsidies for the suburbs, and the free market will push people towards denser housing choices.

+1

Of course some people will still want houses. Some people move to Alaska and think they're still too close to people. But if you make multi-family living more appealing and convenient then you can shift the body of people toward it without imposing any force. We all come from the same tribal DNA, and it works just fine in areas/countries who spend effort making their cities walk able. Americans only "want" suburbs because they were imposed on us; the alternative is living in inner city food deserts or unaffordable skyscraper condos.

chemistk

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2036 on: March 23, 2022, 06:38:45 AM »
Personally I think there is appetite for high density SFH. I happily live on a a 50’x125’ suburban/city lot.

However, I have zero interest in multi-family properties. I bet most suburban dwellers would agree with me.  Trying to force people I to multi family units is where you’ll meet maximum resistance.

The problem is that you really want to get to an average of 20 units per acre (2,178sq/ft lot) for transit efficacy. I happen to currently live on a 2,600 sq ft lot, but I used to live on even less (in a town house). Do Americans really hate townhouses? Because I loved mine. Of course that's only an average, some people can live on larger lots if some people live in condos.

I know this thread is veering more and more off topic but I'll share our initial experience in a townhouse and why we didn't particularly care for it - and why many middle class/suburban Americans probably turn their noses from them.

Our townhouse was a place we wanted to escape from. It was poorly constructed (1), with little to no usable outside yard (2), not particularly convenient to anything (3), and the neighborhood wasn't the worst place but also wasn't really filled with the best people (4).

1) Our area actually has a decent stock of townhouses, on paper at least. Most of them were built in the late 80's/early 90's with bottom-of-the-barrel materials. This seems to be true of a lot of townhouses that I've come across that were built between ~1985 and ~2005. It's more or less the same story with all bulk construction of the area, including condos and apartments to be honest. Many of them were built with the cheapest windows, roofs, plumbing (a LOT of polybutylene), sheetrock, etc. All of that needs to be replaced but the form factor and the shared nature of a townhouse means that you're usually disrupting your neighbors (our outright have to coordinate with them on roofs, driveways, siding, etc.). Many people choose a townhouse because it's the closest thing to a SFH that's not a SFH, so you end up with a lot of people who have expectations of SFH level privacy and will complain about the smallest thing that disrupts them.

2+3) Our old neighborhood actually had quite a few kids. But you never saw them, because the backyards were, on one side of the street (ours), a 4% - 10% grade down to a wooded area. Lots of ticks, mosquitos, groundhogs, and poison ivy. Streetside, the road has a ton of blind corners, some of the neighborhood doesn't have sidewalks, and those that do, the buffer between the sidewalk and the street is barely 2 feet. There are no neighborhood playgrounds, and the nearest grocery store is a 20 minute walk. To better illustrate - the school is half a mile away which for any other SFH neighborhood would be considered walking, but our kids were bussed because it was generally considered too dangerous to walk. That's mostly the story with the majority of townhome neighborhoods here - they're designed to fit as many units into a plot of land without care or consideration for how the properties are actually going to be used or how accessible they are to anything.  We were actually lucky that we had a grocery store that's walkable. All the other townhome developments in the area have, at best, a gas station within 20 minutes. That's not to say that SFH's away from town fare any better, but the goal of dense housing should not be to be the cheapest thing available.

4) That brings me to the biggest reason we left - the neighborhood wasn't the greatest place to be neighborly. It and most of the other townhome developments in the area are some of the least expensive places to live that give you a garage and any semblance of outdoor space. If you search our area on Zillow for 2+ Bed 2+ Bath homes, it's our and its sister developments that come up under "least expensive". It's also full of renters, who are not apt to keep up the property. While there are some very nice people there, and plenty of folks do well to maintain their properties, you have a weird mix of unkempt properties on the brink of dilapidation next to well maintained little yards and gardens. Some folks in the neighborhood have zero respect for others' privacy and will let their family issues linger in the air for all to hear.

I don't want to denigrate those who can't afford to live in a SFH, or to own a townhouse, or who are going through struggles. The last point is illustrative of why I think dense housing is so unpalatable to most Americans who grew up in and around suburban areas - we (I speak for a few others in my life, even if folks here don't share the view) have this view of dense housing as a "place for the poors". That's a terrible way to look at it, but that's sort of been the way I've thought of it until the last couple years. I've tried to be more empathetic to the issues that cause folks to struggle with their lives but the fact remains that it's the image that is projected by these communities. They are the places that people who can't afford a SFH live in, especially if there are few apartments available.

Ironically where we live, there ARE few apartments available. Those that are available are mostly 'luxury', where rents exceed the average rent or mortgage of local townhomes and condos. It's like this where I grew up, too. And apart from envisioning well-kept NYC brownstones or historic Philly rowhomes, it's what I see (or at least did) when I picture dense housing.

That image is certainly changing - there have been plenty of luxury townhome developments in my area recently, let alone luxury apartments. But those still miss the point - they're still in the middle of nowhere for the most part and ironically are the very reason our area is having s bit of a housing crisis. The influx of luxury units has led to developers purchasing many rowhomes in the city (all of which are from the 1800s/1900s) and gentrifying the area, driving the people who can no longer afford the renovated structures to the outskirts of the city and into the cheaply built townhouses and apartments that I'm citing here.

That push is leading to more farmland being gobbled up and turned into $450k+ 4bed SFH's that are accessible to exactly nothing, further perpetuating the very problem that we're discussing in this thread.

I think that leads me to the uncomfortable feeling I get when we discuss the "ideal neighborhood" (I've eaten through most of Strong Town's, Not Just Bikes, and Climate Town's catalogs) - our culture doesn't want to deal with the elephant in the room - that these ideal neighborhoods are designed without those who struggle the most financially in mind. Or, at least in practice they don't. We kneecapped ourselves years ago by slapping townhouses, condos, and apartments up in such a way that a car is still required to live there. And the demographic shift into those communities has soured the idea of many suburbanites (especially families, who often have kids and who want a safe place for kids to play [not referencing the demographic, but the poor and dangerous layouts of the neighborhood]) on the idea that it would be a great alternative.

When we lived in the townhouse, our initial next door neighbors moved out. We hoped and hoped that a young family would move in, but instead it was a single guy in his 30's who spent tons of time working on his boat and bikes. He was a really nice guy, and was very respectful, but we had to keep our kids away from his garage and that meant that they were mostly inside during the day. It took us 45 minutes to walk to the nearest park, so we (my wife) often drove (can't fit an infant and two little kids into a bike trailer when you have one adult).

I guess I just don't know how you would sell the idea that a dense community is better for people, without completely outlawing single family construction. So many people we know in the area feel the same way about the townhouses and condos, and even if that same sentiment is prevalent in 20% of the similar areas in the country, that's still tens of millions of people who would prefer the comfort, privacy, and safety of a suburban SFH neighborhood.

Also ETA, more relevant to this thread - a lot of the older townhouses (before 1990) are on 100amp service, and the service lines are underground, and the older ones also don't always tend to have garages so installing EV chargers is going to be difficult to impossible depending on how the property is configured.
« Last Edit: March 23, 2022, 08:31:31 AM by chemistk »

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2037 on: March 23, 2022, 06:51:30 AM »
With human population on this planet, there's a small contradiction. If we want the population to keep growing (or rather, simply not forcibly prevent overpopulation), then we need to increase population density, put us all in as small a box we can, and entertain us with glowing screens.

Sorry - for me, I want the planet to live and thrive, but I want to be as close to "the planet" as possible. Not as close to "the humans" as possible. Yes, I'm part of the problem. We have an acre, and I walk out on my deck the size of many small apartments (950 sq. ft.) and I watch the deer work their way across the hill on the other side of the valley, or watch the fox trot through our meadow, pausing to take in the enormity of my dog. I sip my beer, and this is living. If you're going to move me into the city, take me away from nature, and put me within earshot of the neighbors arguing over their Netflix pics... well, I guess take me behind the barn and shoot me.

chemistk

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2038 on: March 23, 2022, 07:01:01 AM »
With human population on this planet, there's a small contradiction. If we want the population to keep growing (or rather, simply not forcibly prevent overpopulation), then we need to increase population density, put us all in as small a box we can, and entertain us with glowing screens.

Sorry - for me, I want the planet to live and thrive, but I want to be as close to "the planet" as possible. Not as close to "the humans" as possible. Yes, I'm part of the problem. We have an acre, and I walk out on my deck the size of many small apartments (950 sq. ft.) and I watch the deer work their way across the hill on the other side of the valley, or watch the fox trot through our meadow, pausing to take in the enormity of my dog. I sip my beer, and this is living. If you're going to move me into the city, take me away from nature, and put me within earshot of the neighbors arguing over their Netflix pics... well, I guess take me behind the barn and shoot me.

I think this is the reason that so many North Americans turn up their noses at dense housing - as long as there's a feasible possibility that they can live how they want, they're never going to choose something slightly less preferred unless there is significant external incentive (or coercion) to abandon their preferred dream.

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2039 on: March 23, 2022, 07:57:15 AM »

I agree with you that we should be moving towards a more european style non-stroad approach to our infrastructure.

Re: electric cars, why can't it be both?  Why can't we move to mixed use neighborhoods AND convert all our cars to EV's at the same time?

Make me king, and I'd set up a federal definition for small lightweight neighborhood electric vehicles (25-30 mph max), max unloaded weight 500lbs, 30 mile max range  and subsidize them fairly heavily.   It would discourage stroads and sprawl while converting a large portion of everyday transportation to electric.

So I’d have to buy one of those in addition to a regular car to take on the highway?  Pass.

Yep, that's exactly what I said!

It sounds like you're dismissing the idea of a person owning two cars, one for short-range, and one for long-range. I agree that may sound weird.

But the idea of a two-person household owning such a fleet of cars (or a parent and a teenage driver)? That sounds worthy of consideration.

StashingAway

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2040 on: March 23, 2022, 08:28:23 AM »
With human population on this planet, there's a small contradiction. If we want the population to keep growing (or rather, simply not forcibly prevent overpopulation), then we need to increase population density, put us all in as small a box we can, and entertain us with glowing screens.

Sorry - for me, I want the planet to live and thrive, but I want to be as close to "the planet" as possible. Not as close to "the humans" as possible. Yes, I'm part of the problem. We have an acre, and I walk out on my deck the size of many small apartments (950 sq. ft.) and I watch the deer work their way across the hill on the other side of the valley, or watch the fox trot through our meadow, pausing to take in the enormity of my dog. I sip my beer, and this is living. If you're going to move me into the city, take me away from nature, and put me within earshot of the neighbors arguing over their Netflix pics... well, I guess take me behind the barn and shoot me.

I get the sentiment, but I reject your vision of how this has to work. It doesn't work that way in other countries. We've listed enough "not just bikes" content on here already to keep showing it, but we aren't talking about a Japanese high-rise where you sleep in a box and eat packaged pears all day. As is mentioned, our current North American view of multi family living is completely skewed by the examples of it we see around. It's all crappily built, you still need a car because it's illegal to build a corner store nearby, it was built as low income housing.

Now, I agree that your vision of what is beautiful is great. You are making full use of your acre and I don't have personal judgment against it. But I have neighbors who *are never outside*. They drive to restaurants and watch TV... If you give them a cute townhouse equivalent of their current situation they would be happier. Currently, this isn't even an option in most of the country. The issue isn't that land and single family housing is preferred by some people, the issue is that it is the only option for most people. We don't even know if Americans would like it because they aren't given the chance to chose it. Interestingly, the walkable neighborhoods I've been in that have grandfathered restauruants and such are definitely luxury priced homes (Bend, OR comes to mind). This housing goes for a premium where it is allowed, which is counter to the "Americans don't want it" argument.

Multi family living isn't perfect at all. It's not the solution for everyone. But there are certainly people who would live better lives there than their current suburban homes. You can do this in little cities of 60K within 15 minute ride to the country. It doesn't have to be your vision of packed in Singapore or Bangladesh or NYC.

Oddly, it is in your best interest to get others enthusiastic about this, because it means more countryside for you.
« Last Edit: March 23, 2022, 08:31:55 AM by StashingAway »

Paper Chaser

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2041 on: March 23, 2022, 08:31:57 AM »

I agree with you that we should be moving towards a more european style non-stroad approach to our infrastructure.

Re: electric cars, why can't it be both?  Why can't we move to mixed use neighborhoods AND convert all our cars to EV's at the same time?

Make me king, and I'd set up a federal definition for small lightweight neighborhood electric vehicles (25-30 mph max), max unloaded weight 500lbs, 30 mile max range  and subsidize them fairly heavily.   It would discourage stroads and sprawl while converting a large portion of everyday transportation to electric.

So I’d have to buy one of those in addition to a regular car to take on the highway?  Pass.

Yep, that's exactly what I said!

It sounds like you're dismissing the idea of a person owning two cars, one for short-range, and one for long-range. I agree that may sound weird.

But the idea of a two-person household owning such a fleet of cars (or a parent and a teenage driver)? That sounds worthy of consideration.

You don't need a short range vehicle and a long range vehicle if you have a battery set up for both duty cycles. If you run 2 different battery chemistries, you can have a small kwh pack that's optimized for short distances and frequent charging/discharging and also have enough capacity optimized for infrequent, long range drives that you can get much longer overall range:

https://www.torquenews.com/15975/us-battery-manufacturer-shows-750-mile-pack-secures-65-million-funding-led-bmw
« Last Edit: March 23, 2022, 08:35:47 AM by Paper Chaser »

Paper Chaser

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2042 on: March 23, 2022, 08:55:48 AM »
More Lightning details have emerged, including options, ranges, and prices:

https://cleantechnica.com/2022/03/18/ford-f-150-lightning-epa-range-ratings-leaked-online/

The base model truck with short range battery gets 230 miles of EPA rated range, 68MPGe combined (76 city/61 highway), efficiency of 48 kwh/100 miles, and a 12hr charge time.

The base truck with extended range battery gets 320 miles of range, 70mMPGe (78 city/ 63 highway), efficiency of 49kwh/100 miles, and 10.1hr charge time.

The highest trim level with extended range battery gets 300 miles of range, 66 MPGe (73 city/60 highway), efficiency of 51kwh/100 miles, and 9.3hrs of charge time. I'm guessing that the larger wheels and perhaps additional weight of all the extra features might be to blame for the reduced efficiency and range, but having a charge time almost 1 full hr faster than the other extended range battery trucks seems odd. I'm not sure if the battery pack might be slightly smaller on the highest trim level (explaining both the reduced range and the shorter charge time) or if they're just controlling that with software as a selling point for the more expensive trim. Curious.

PDXTabs

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2043 on: March 23, 2022, 10:05:23 AM »
It and most of the other townhome developments in the area are some of the least expensive places to live that give you a garage and any semblance of outdoor space. If you search our area on Zillow for 2+ Bed 2+ Bath homes, it's our and its sister developments that come up under "least expensive". It's also full of renters, who are not apt to keep up the property. While there are some very nice people there, and plenty of folks do well to maintain their properties, you have a weird mix of unkempt properties on the brink of dilapidation next to well maintained little yards and gardens. Some folks in the neighborhood have zero respect for others' privacy and will let their family issues linger in the air for all to hear.
...
I guess I just don't know how you would sell the idea that a dense community is better for people, without completely outlawing single family construction. So many people we know in the area feel the same way about the townhouses and condos, and even if that same sentiment is prevalent in 20% of the similar areas in the country, that's still tens of millions of people who would prefer the comfort, privacy, and safety of a suburban SFH neighborhood.

I going to harp on US zoning a bit more. Why should the townhouses be packed together in a "development?" Why can't a single city block have more than one type of housing (this used to be completely normal pre-WWII and is still normal in most of the world)? Because it's illegal and you need scale to fight the zoning board. As to why you should want dense community, because I like living in townhouses and more units means more property tax dollars which means cheaper property taxes for everyone.

Also, what safety? The #1 killer of children aged 1-19 in this country is cars. Children are more likely to be killed by car dependent sprawl than any other cause, and that stat doesn't even include the obesity epidemic brought on by driving everywhere and never leaving the house.

chemistk

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2044 on: March 23, 2022, 11:48:50 AM »
It and most of the other townhome developments in the area are some of the least expensive places to live that give you a garage and any semblance of outdoor space. If you search our area on Zillow for 2+ Bed 2+ Bath homes, it's our and its sister developments that come up under "least expensive". It's also full of renters, who are not apt to keep up the property. While there are some very nice people there, and plenty of folks do well to maintain their properties, you have a weird mix of unkempt properties on the brink of dilapidation next to well maintained little yards and gardens. Some folks in the neighborhood have zero respect for others' privacy and will let their family issues linger in the air for all to hear.
...
I guess I just don't know how you would sell the idea that a dense community is better for people, without completely outlawing single family construction. So many people we know in the area feel the same way about the townhouses and condos, and even if that same sentiment is prevalent in 20% of the similar areas in the country, that's still tens of millions of people who would prefer the comfort, privacy, and safety of a suburban SFH neighborhood.

I going to harp on US zoning a bit more. Why should the townhouses be packed together in a "development?" Why can't a single city block have more than one type of housing (this used to be completely normal pre-WWII and is still normal in most of the world)? Because it's illegal and you need scale to fight the zoning board. As to why you should want dense community, because I like living in townhouses and more units means more property tax dollars which means cheaper property taxes for everyone.

Also, what safety? The #1 killer of children aged 1-19 in this country is cars. Children are more likely to be killed by car dependent sprawl than any other cause, and that stat doesn't even include the obesity epidemic brought on by driving everywhere and never leaving the house.

I fully agree with you. If the townhomes we were in had better layouts, somewhat usable yards (from a pets and little kids point of view), and were intentionally close to grocery, dining, and some folks place of work we'd have had a totally different perspective regardless of whether we were in a development or just one on one street.

But that's not how they're being built around here. Even the newest townhouses are in deliberate blocs, separated intentionally from the SFH's.

To the 'safety' perspective, I'm looking at it in terms of how much yard space is afforded to kids with families and pets. If I had to guess, i'd say at least half of the townhouses in our area have no backyards or backyards that are downright unsafe for little kids. Again, ours was about a 6% grade down to a very tick-infested patch of woods (including known lyme disease carrying deer ticks). Whenever the kids did try and play in the backyard, they'd often slip down the hill and I was constantly fearful that I'd tip our lawnmower onto myself when mowing just to keep the ticks away from the house.

Most of these townhouses only have 'safe' front yards to play in. Ours was a patch of grass that we shared with one neighbor that was no more than 400 sq ft. We had to sit outside with them whenever they played lest some object went into the street.

Conversely, we have 1/6 of an acre of backyard space in our SFH, and we rarely have to worry about the kids getting anywhere near the road.

In our area (and in a lot of others), townhouses are built to fit as many into a space as possible without concern for who might be using them. I understand that in urban areas, even 400sqft of level ground is a heck of a lot more than most kids get, but many urban areas also have parks that don't take 45 minutes to walk to.

Like you say, it all comes down to planning a community. I want dense housing, but I also want thoughtfully designed housing, and it seems like we can't even get either of those to be agreed upon by most local zoning and planning boards, let alone both of them.

LennStar

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2045 on: March 23, 2022, 01:42:14 PM »
Quote
To the 'safety' perspective, I'm looking at it in terms of how much yard space is afforded to kids with families and pets. If I had to guess, i'd say at least half of the townhouses in our area have no backyards or backyards that are downright unsafe for little kids.
As you can see on videos from - guess whom lol - it's totally normal and safe in the Netherlands to have "micro playgrounds" in the middle of cities, right besides streets, without a fance.

If you put up townhouses instead of SFH, then you can easily have a lot of greenspace and still higher density. The only "drawback" is that it would be "communistic", aka your children would not play alone.

Chris22

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2046 on: March 23, 2022, 01:54:08 PM »
Quote
To the 'safety' perspective, I'm looking at it in terms of how much yard space is afforded to kids with families and pets. If I had to guess, i'd say at least half of the townhouses in our area have no backyards or backyards that are downright unsafe for little kids.
As you can see on videos from - guess whom lol - it's totally normal and safe in the Netherlands to have "micro playgrounds" in the middle of cities, right besides streets, without a fance.

If you put up townhouses instead of SFH, then you can easily have a lot of greenspace and still higher density. The only "drawback" is that it would be "communistic", aka your children would not play alone.

No the main drawback is people don’t want to share walls with their neighbors. Also, in the US, it is uncommon to have townhomes without some sort of homeowners association (HOA) which is known for creating many rules and regulations which are often arbitrary and unnecessary. Lots of people don’t want to live in that type of situation.

GuitarStv

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2047 on: March 23, 2022, 02:01:52 PM »
Quote
To the 'safety' perspective, I'm looking at it in terms of how much yard space is afforded to kids with families and pets. If I had to guess, i'd say at least half of the townhouses in our area have no backyards or backyards that are downright unsafe for little kids.
As you can see on videos from - guess whom lol - it's totally normal and safe in the Netherlands to have "micro playgrounds" in the middle of cities, right besides streets, without a fance.

If you put up townhouses instead of SFH, then you can easily have a lot of greenspace and still higher density. The only "drawback" is that it would be "communistic", aka your children would not play alone.

I'm not raising my child to be a damned communist!  They will play in perfect isolation, never meeting another child - the way God intended.  Otherwise they become abnormal and develop empathy for the poors . . . capitalism itself could collapse!

PDXTabs

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2048 on: March 23, 2022, 05:02:37 PM »
No the main drawback is people don’t want to share walls with their neighbors. Also, in the US, it is uncommon to have townhomes without some sort of homeowners association (HOA) which is known for creating many rules and regulations which are often arbitrary and unnecessary. Lots of people don’t want to live in that type of situation.

AFAIK it is uncommon to have a new suburban development without an HOA. At least with a townhouse the HOA actually does something of value (usually roofing and siding).

Shane

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Re: Electric Cars: Can they finally become popular in the United States?
« Reply #2049 on: March 23, 2022, 05:46:46 PM »
It's understandable some people currently living in SFHs may be fearful of being forced into what they perceive to be less desirable, multi-family housing, whether it be townhouses, condos, or apartments. This isn't a rational fear, though. In this case, it's totally unnecessary to force anyone to do anything, as there are literally millions of Americans who would LOVE to live in a dense, walkable neighborhood, if only they could find one where they could afford to live. The problem is, the demand is way higher than supply in most places. First step, is to do what Minneapolis did back in 2019: outlaw SFH only zoning. Make it so all owners of a SFH can, by right, remodel their home, depending on size and layout, into a duplex, or add an ADU in the backyard, if appropriate. Also, I think I read that Minneapolis's law had a requirement that the homeowner live on site, at least for the first 3 years after the change in occupancy. Laws like Minneapolis's don't, in any way, force homeowners to do anything. They just give homeowners a choice. Only homeowners who want to remodel their homes, so they can rent a room or apartment(s), need to do anything. In many cities homeowners have been (illegally) renting out rooms and apartments in their homes for years to help pay their mortgages and just generally to make ends meet. For many older people, especially, being able to rent out a room or small apartment in their home allows them to keep living independently, and it also provides much needed housing for younger people, who may not be able to afford and don't really need an entire house for themselves. Laws like what Minneapolis passed in 2019 are just a formality, basically, legalizing a practice that has already been going on for many years.