I think what's important to look at here is hospital bed usage. The infection rate is whatever it is, but there's a finite resource available.
So far, using data from Johns Hopkins' compilation and the American Hospital Association the current statistics are:
Total hospitalized in US: 111,966
Total US bed capacity: 924,000
Utilization: 12%
Est. ICU hospitalized: 6,000 (low end) to 12,000 (high end)
Total US ICU capacity: 106,000
Utilization: 5.6% - 11.3%
So approximately 10% of the US hospital capacity is being used for this one disease, in the space of 5 weeks. That's with fairly stringent social distancing in the hardest-hit areas.
New York State has 56,000 beds in normal circumstances, and 54,000 are being used for COVID cases currently.
States using 20% or more of their capacity for COVID-19:
Alabama 48%
Colorado 21%
Connecticut 22%
Maryland 24%
Massachusetts 25%
New Jersey 40%
New York 92%
Wisconsin 20%
Delaware, DC, Georgia, Illinois, Louisiana, Michigan, Missouri, Rhode Island are all using 10-20%