If these numbers are anywhere near correct, Russian munitions are greatly lessened. I note only one tank has been taken out. This source says that 7,000 have been taken out.
That "+1" is the daily increase. Yesterday, 7241 total tanks had been destroyed, today the total is 7242.
It's difficult to get a good view into what Russia still has left to throw at Ukraine. A year ago, analysts were saying that Russia had lost 50% of its pre-war military capability. They've incurred 460k casualties, out of the initial 150-200k they sent into Ukraine. They've only (?) lost about 10% of their air force, but that's because their aircraft usually lob cruise and ballistic missiles from hundreds of miles within their own borders.
How many tanks does Russia have left? That's a hard question to answer. The original headline was that Russia had 10,000 tanks, with lots and lots more in various depots that could be refurbished. They've lost 3/4 of the original number, and satellite photos are showing the depots
being stripped pretty quickly. Sure, Russia continues to produce new tanks and, but at nowhere near replenishment levels.
The question at this point is: what will halt the current grinding offensive? Well, from what I've learned, it has to be artillery. Russia has adapted their tactics, and now often 1) hit with lots of artillery and/or aerial bombardment, 2) deliver a few dozen troops with APCs as fast as possible to the front line, and 3) then pull back the APCs before they all get destroyed. Ukraine has to interdict those advancing APCs before the troops get to a defensible position, and between the lack of artillery shells, electronic warfare systems, terrain, and lack of air support, they simply haven't been able to do so. Given sufficient artillery ammunition, Ukraine can be a whole lot more effective not just at stopping those advancements, but also at counterbattery fire.
Russia, without artillery support, simply can't advance. And if Ukraine has enough shells and HIMARS rockets, they can take out that critical artillery.
The passage of the aid bills has stirred up excited discussions about destroying the Kerch Strait bridge once again, but the immediate need is for stuff right at the front line.
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