NumberJohhny5, in addition to my point about less intelligent people having a hard time understanding things, I also tried to make a point about reasonable people being cranks. And that's a big problem with this issue. A reasonably intelligent person or say a person as intelligent as myself is going to be able to come up with much fancier bullshit to explain a bad position. I would actually have to be smarter than them in a lot of cases not only to catch their logical fallacies but also then come up with a good way to explain it to them.
And there is a difference between my being able to understand the science and my being able to so comprehend the science that I can break it down and lay my hands on multiple forms of proof so as to convince someone who very much does not want to be convinced.
At this point I can't really follow what you're asking in your posts. It seems like every time someone has a good response to one of your points, you come back with, "But that's not what I was asking!" The strawman is shifted, the bar for evidence is raised. Deborah answered your question about why schedules would move backwards or forwards. Gin1984 addressed your questions about why things would be different between countries. Caliq points out there are exceptions from needing vaccination and you're like, well, I changed my mind now my point is that sometimes people think there aren't exceptions. Caliq answered your question about doctors not being consistent and you claim she didn't. She supplied a reasonable example of why doctors might not be in lockstep about this particular issue. Your question about blame misses the point so she addressed it the best she could. Doctors disagree a lot and shit happens, that's medicine. She clarified a bit further by bringing up whether it was common and you decided to dismiss that. I assumed, reading that, that she felt whether an alternate procedure has common acceptance would be a clue about its legitimacy, in other words that it had bearing upon the general idea you were getting at. (I see now that this has been discussed further. Honestly, I don't see her explaining anything new. The ideas being referenced were all pretty clear from her original statement. You seem more interested in pedantically pointing out that some debate point didn't get exactly answered than in taking her meaning.) You seem to be claiming that because shit happens, that if it is not possible to assign blame 100% of the time, that that is an excuse to give up all claims that some procedures and modes of reasoning are more legitimate than others. Then, your final post (as of my writing this) is some completely different tack about game theory. Again, my point isn't to attack your posts, but to articulate a lot of similar weird thinking I see in this general debate.
Meanwhile you keep saying that no one is permitted to have a discussion that questions "Science!" and yet that is what several people have exhaustively been doing with you for days!
Hell, I mentioned upthread that I'd made a decision to get a vaccine despite there being no recommendation or even research from the FDA for my age group, yet no one jumped all over me for it. Presumably because they thought my logic was sound. You claim that you're being treated as ignorant merely because of your position. It's built into your assumptions, and therefore, so long as you continue to argue it, you can not be proved wrong.
Like I said earlier, there is a decades long argument about whether the holocaust happened. There is no evidence or education that will convince holocaust deniers that their position is wrong. The only way to win that argument is not to get involved with it. There is not even a way to prove that someone is engaged in an endless argument for the sake of argument.
"But you have to allow for a discussion!" "But I don't take anything at face value!" are rallying cries much like, "But think of the children!" Just because a sentiment has an honorable intent does not mean its deployment has an honorable or useful purpose.
Sometimes to find out if I might be descending into crank-like thinking or taking some basic assumptions on faith, I ask myself, "What evidence would prove me wrong? What would have to happen for me to change my mind?" And if I can't think of anything, I have to admit that my reasoning might have a fault in it somewhere. Or, depending on the subject, that my belief was based on faith rather than rationality.
Somebody mentioned that this was a debate a bit like whether to throw your chamber pot in the street as opposed to requiring indoor plumbing. I think that's great. This is like somebody claiming it should be okay for them to throw their shit in the street because there's a possibility their toilet might back up and they might get sick if it overflows and they don't clean it up, meanwhile since no one else is throwing their shit in the street there's almost no chance this one particular pile will pose a public health hazard. That these claims are potentially true does not mean the reasoning behind them is not batshit crazy. Various arguments surrounding this position might be:
--What if I have a magical toilet that doesn't flush?
--I read in Natural News that loss of diversity in gut bacterial flora is the cause of many diseases.
--Indoor plumbing is so complicated and resource-dependent. It's the Government Taking Over Our Lives.
--The only time I have ever had diarrhea was when I was on the toilet.
--You can't prove that indoor plumbing doesn't cause cancer.
--Okay, but even if you can prove it doesn't cause cancer you still have to listen to me or you're mean.
--No, you have to listen to me more nicely than that. Start by saying I'm right and we'll go from there. No, I'm not exactly certain what it is that I'm right about, but see the tone of voice you're using when you ask that is the sort of thing I'm talking about.
--Most people don't question indoor plumbing and that means you're a bunch of sheep.
--Sheep don't question things and that's bad, therefore not questioning indoor plumbing is bad.
--Yes, I know someone else said that thing about sheep and you spent hours going through why it was an invalid argument, but mine is worded differently. Rather than my sorting through why my argument is basically the same as theirs, you have to spend hours explaining why mine is wrong too.
--Here is some information about how toilets were dangerous in the 1800's.
--I found information that the rate of contagious diseases was dropping even before the invention of the toilet! I take this to mean we were naturally becoming immune to them and this technology has disrupted that. (Actual debate I am having on facebook. It is obviously only to me, apparently, that deaths from measles dropping between 1900 and the 1950's is due to a rise in overall standards of living. But including all those massive death tolls from the 1910s, 1920s, etc. messes with the y-axis such that the drop between pre-vaccine and post-vaccine looks really insignificant.) I do not have any proof or even testable hypothesis of how that might have occurred, nor do I understand what a testable hypothesis is, therefore your arguments are not addressing my point.
Compare this to the types of arguments in favor of previously fringe theories, such as that the earth is round.
--The earth casts a curved shadow on the moon during an eclipse.
--Ships disappear over the horizon.
--You see different star constellations from different geographical areas.
I long for the similar good old days of Dr. Wakefield.
--This study shows vaccines cause autism.
--Here are the flaws with that study.
--Oh, okay then.
Then it turned into:
--I'm not sure I completely understand the flaws, could I have some more experiments and data?
--Well, okay, here.
--Oh my god, look how many experiments and articles there are on this! It must legitimately be controversial!
Crying out loud, people. Indoor plumbing is awesome. Exploding toilets are not a thing. Everybody be happy.
I had a history teacher once who pointed out that the flag burning scandal was fed to the press at an opportune time to divert attention from the Iran-Contra scandal. So whenever something because a huge kerfuffle for reasons I don't understand, I always wonder what the bigger picture is that we're not supposed to be seeing.