My prediction: if he manages to install some kind of financial service, he'll immediately run afoul of PCI-DSS and US/EU banking regulations because he has no compliance staff. They'll raise hell and take him to court, but he'll take to the airwaves and say "no, no, this is totally something different. The rules don't apply to me."
Remember this is the same guy who over the last year has pretty much said "if you want me to pay my bills or follow regulations you're going to have to sue me first."
Sure, let's give him access to our money.
So we already don't know who is on the other side of the Tweet because his identify verification/pay-to-play system is broken, there are few moderations/filters on content, he wants to handle people's money, and start a dating service all on the same platform? Can you see where these concepts might intersect disastrously?
This is where I get tripped up.
I've read a number of books that discuss the history of PayPal and it's not exactly an above board story of how they managed to get it set up. I think it's pretty common knowledge by now that they innovated by breaking rules and then being forced to backtrack.
I mean, fair, the banking system was lagging and there was desperate need for innovation. But in the age of digital banking, y'know, existing, and fraud within those systems being rampant, is Elon really expecting the public to trust their core banking with him?
The guy famous for thinking compliance is a joke?
I mean, I know not everyone reads books about PayPal, but isn't it fairly common knowledge that early PayPal was actually drowning in fraud and that they were forced to put measures in to address it, which is why they implemented the small deposit system??
Sure, we may all have rushed to use PayPal so that we could buy cool items off of eBay, but PayPal was always sketchy enough that I wouldn't ever want to move all of my banking over to it.
He's saying he wants it to be more than a payment system, he wants people to migrate all of their banking over to whatever magical system they create in the next year, lol.
But then X would have to become not just a payment system, which really isn't needed, we have plenty of those. It would have to become some kind of bank. And banking is ALL about regulations and arcane rules.
It just sounds to me like the Fyre Festival or Theranos or WeWork of banking. Some grand idea that's going to quickly start falling apart because it's not actually possible and no amount of yelling at staff or claiming to be "innovating" will make it possible. And in the end *something* will be delivered, but it will cost a fortune to get there and the end product won't be useful.
At least that's how this sounds.
It sounds like he's grasping for something, reaching back into the old back of tricks and resuscitating old ideas from PayPal, and thinking he can "if it isn't broken, break it" his way to radical innovation through terrorizing his Twitter staff who have never really been on board with him from the beginning.
It really doesn't sound like innovative genius, it sounds like desperation.
I just can't see the play here. I can't see Musk even being able to function in a banking regulation space, and I can't see the value he could possibly add. Especially not in a time where people are increasingly concerned about fraud and the stability of US banks.
That's why I was looking for feedback, I was wondering if I was missing something. But I guess not.