Author Topic: Musk takeover  (Read 82372 times)

NorCal

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #600 on: March 01, 2025, 09:31:50 PM »
There’s always ways to streamline things through thoughtful deliberate work, but the way Musk and team is doing it is reckless and very very stupid. Just hand waving it away by saying”AI can do it and just replace the systems” isn’t really an option.

AI can absolutely help a lot with bureaucratic processes. For example, LLMs can quickly digest, analyze, and summarize legal documents. Humans used to have to do that all on their own. Now we have AI to help us do it much more efficiently. I’ve heard of lawyers using AI to greatly increase their productivity.

It’s not about randomly replacing people with AI. It’s about using AI to empower a smaller group of competent bureaucrats, such that they become more productive and agile than a large group of bureaucrats who don’t use AI.

I don't completely understand what you're saying here.   When you, as a lawyer (are you a lawyer?   I'm assuming this is a first person example!) are reviewing a legal document like a contract, you need to be looking at the details to ensure everything is good for your client.     IANAL, but I think I've got this right.   It's what I expect my lawyer to do for me. 

It sounds like you're suggesting the AI can check for loopholes, escape clauses and so on, is this the case?

My wife is a lawyer, and her firm is implementing a new AI drafting tool.  She also represented a company a few years back that was building AI to do contract review and analysis.

The way the software trainers put it, AI can do document drafting similar to what you'd expect from a first year associate. 

It will do a lot of the leg work, but it needs to be reviewed by a partner with the expectation there will be lots of mistakes. 

There are absolutely places for AI, and it will increase the efficiency of a lot of professions.  Similar to how accounting software replaced a lot of low-level bookkeepers.

Anyone thinking AI is going to magically revolutionize entire industries and allow the government to downsize entire departments completely misunderstands the technology.  Anyone who trusts the words "AI" when Elon Musk says it has had their brain completely melted by social media.

My Dad saw the electrification of the prairies, I saw the workplace change totally as computers became common and software was easier to use.  Things changed a lot but not totally.

Easy-to-use software made a lot of changes.  When I started teaching we had 3 typists for things like course outlines and exams, and both an alcohol and a gestetner copier.  Within a few years of computers being common they were gone, we were all typing our own exams and course outlines and whatever.  Spell check doesn't even give me gestetner when I make a one letter error.   And further down the road most teachers I knew used a spreadsheet program for calculating grades, instead of a grade book and a calculator (before that it was a grade book and a pencil).

At home as well - I used to do my taxes with a rough copy of the tax forms and a pencil (at first without a calculator, because calculators were expensive and no-one had one at home*), and then transfer everything to the good form that got mailed in.  Now I do it all on my computer and efile.

*To show how things changed, when I was a grad student my supervisor had a calculator that was top of the line, it did sums of squares and sums of XY.  Super basic, right?  Not then. It cost over $200 which would be over $700 now.  He let me use it, and it was wonderful.  When I took stats as an undergraduate, our calculators were actually machines sort of like a typewriter, where you entered the numbers and pulled a lever and it made a horrible noise (imagine 20 of them in a room) and you got the result.


That got way off topic.  To get back on topic, when I was a kid we also had the cold war, and the Cuban Missile Crisis, and the Diefenbunker.  When I was a teen it was watching the Americans in Vietnam, and protests for women's rights, and the Pill, and Kent State, and knowing draft dodgers.

I remember doing my taxes with a pencil too.  Although I was 14 at the time with a summer job.

I've seen a ton change in my profession just in the last decade. 

One of my early jobs as a financial analyst was preparing financial reporting for the President of fortune 50 public company.  I maintained massive spreadsheets where I'd download a million rows out of Oracle and do all types of crazy lookups and sumifs to get data to align.  Running a monthly reporting package would take me about a day.  Doing a reporting package for a new budget or forecast could take me 3-4 days.  Those could be 100+ slides.

I now make money implementing software to automate this process.  I set my clients up with reporting packages that can give them the same style of reporting with the click of a button.

It's always important to understand what jobs these tools are suited to do, and what jobs they're not suited to do.  They change a lot.  But usually nothing like the tech types predict.

I remember a thread on this very forum about 5 years back somewhat panicking about how Elon Musk's self driving semis were going to put millions of truckers out of work

forummm

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #601 on: March 02, 2025, 12:18:53 PM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

reeshau

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #602 on: March 02, 2025, 12:58:41 PM »
Just wait until they change the tax code, and find there is nobody to actually implement it...

wenchsenior

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #603 on: March 02, 2025, 01:21:04 PM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

PeteD01

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #604 on: March 02, 2025, 03:03:54 PM »
edit: accidentally posted in this thread - I intended to post it in Trump 2.0, sorry about that.

On a lighter but still serious note, I came across this song: La Lotería, una canción de Los Tigres Del Norte.

It is about the current political situation and in the style of corrido/ballad norteño.

¡Disfruta!

Los Tigres Del Norte - La Lotería

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pqwpp_pP4C4


And what the song is about:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vUp0W89ESf4


« Last Edit: March 02, 2025, 03:10:23 PM by PeteD01 »

sixwings

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #605 on: March 02, 2025, 03:16:27 PM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

It’s also to hamstring any future administration who wants to try to right the ship. It’ll be pretty much impossible to get something like USAID up and going again within a 4 year term after it’s been defunct for 4 years. Or restart the science research, or any of the many things they’re cutting, and they are only 1 month in.

The US government isn’t being reduced for efficiency, it’s being decapitated so it can’t function again. It’ll take decades of solid governance and focus to rebuild it after 4 years of this, which given American politics, is impossible.

Gremlin

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #606 on: March 02, 2025, 04:27:59 PM »

It’s also to hamstring any future administration who wants to try to right the ship. It’ll be pretty much impossible to get something like USAID up and going again within a 4 year term after it’s been defunct for 4 years. Or restart the science research, or any of the many things they’re cutting, and they are only 1 month in.

The US government isn’t being reduced for efficiency, it’s being decapitated so it can’t function again. It’ll take decades of solid governance and focus to rebuild it after 4 years of this, which given American politics, is impossible.

The judicial state is already being dismantled.  The legislative state is being bullied into rubbing stamping itself into irrelevance.  The administrative state is being obliterated, one department at a time.  Soon all that's left will be a police state.  No elections in a police state (or, at least, none that aren't a sham).

Travis

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #607 on: March 02, 2025, 08:06:39 PM »
Department of Interior list of facilities to be closed because GSA ordered to shutter office space.

https://bsky.app/profile/wildwoods.bsky.social/post/3ljdonskj5s2u

NOAA cuts going to impact the kinds of weather reports ships and aircraft rely on to determine if they take off.

https://www.miamiherald.com/news/local/environment/article301177914.html

Sandi_k

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #608 on: March 02, 2025, 08:13:22 PM »

It’s also to hamstring any future administration who wants to try to right the ship. It’ll be pretty much impossible to get something like USAID up and going again within a 4 year term after it’s been defunct for 4 years. Or restart the science research, or any of the many things they’re cutting, and they are only 1 month in.

The US government isn’t being reduced for efficiency, it’s being decapitated so it can’t function again. It’ll take decades of solid governance and focus to rebuild it after 4 years of this, which given American politics, is impossible.

The judicial state is already being dismantled.  The legislative state is being bullied into rubbing stamping itself into irrelevance.  The administrative state is being obliterated, one department at a time.  Soon all that's left will be a police state.  No elections in a police state (or, at least, none that aren't a sham).

Trump now owns the Federal Election Commission.

https://www.politico.com/news/2025/02/28/fec-lawsuit-independent-agencies-executive-order-00002733

Metalcat

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #609 on: March 03, 2025, 05:51:33 AM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

Not only that, but people are failing to see how devastatingly expensive these things will be to fix.

I posted earlier, I think in another thread about the Canadian Phoenix pay system fiasco in Canada.

It was an effort to create efficiency through technology. It was a smart thing to do, the software that was purchased works very well, on the surface, it should have saved a lot of money.

Instead, it's cost many, many, many times the amount it was supposed to save, and after more than a decade of trying to fix it has been deemed unfixable.

So what went wrong? How did replacing am archaic, inefficient system with a modern, well designed software fail so badly?? Well, it failed because they lost too much corporate memory when they centralized the service.

When systems are archaic and inefficient, that makes the humans who do the work MORE valuable, not less.

The folks who implemented Phoenix ignored warnings that moving too quickly would cause problems, and they had the same antipathy towards '"large government" and the same corporate philosophy that cutting humans would create more efficiency.

But that's now how governments work.

In a private corporation, a company can make mistakes and break systems by trying to economize, and that's okay, because they can pivot and adjust to new realities. But a government can't. They need systems to work as they're supposed to.

When you need things to work the way they are supposed to, corporate memory of human beings is extremely valuable and needs to be transferred over to automated systems extremely carefully.

This is WHY it's so hard to modernize government systems. It's incredibly expensive and most governments aren't willing to foot the bill to do it properly.

It's unfathomable hubris for two business moguls with zero experience in government and quite a bit of experience fucking up systems in companies to think that they somehow are the first people to think "hmm...this would be more efficient if it was automated."

Oh wow...what a revolutionary concept.

But there's a reason governments don't modernize as easily as companies, and there's a reason they don't engage in chaotic staff cutting measures.

Can governments be modernized? Of course, but it takes a committed, organized, systematic, careful, and EXPENSIVE plan to make it happen without creating problems that end up costing an absolute fortune.

In a corporation, if someone made an error as catastrophic as the implementation of the Phoenix pay system, the company would have to totally restructure. But a government can't just restructure.

A government can't just lose market share and target different markets, it has no customers. It's job is to consistently serve everyone, all the time. When systems break, that responsibility doesn't just go away. They have to pay whatever it costs to fix the system.

The Phoenix pay system only covers payments for 300K staff. That's it. It was supposed  save 78M per year, and the final tally of what it cost the Canadian tax payers will be in excess of 10B.

Anyone who thinks that these careless cuts to important systems is going to save money just doesn't understand how governments work. This could cost the American public an unfathomable amount of tax dollars to fix moving forward.

This could be the single most expensive government in the history of the country, by a massive margin.

If your systems are anything like Canada's systems, you're in for 10-20 years of repair work.

sonofsven

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #610 on: March 03, 2025, 07:00:11 AM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

And let's not forget the complicity of the GOP.
The Republicans currently hold the Presidency, both chambers of Congress, and, essentially, the Supreme Court
There is nothing stopping them from making changes using our established norms of government, yet they will not.
At some point we must consider that this is the willful sabotage of our government at the behest of a foreign adversary.

swashbucklinstache

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #611 on: March 03, 2025, 07:58:10 AM »
Guys you have it all wrong. Governments are inefficient because I said so. Also, AI. I don't care about the process at all only efficiency, until it's revealed that efficiency has obviously gone down and was very obviously only lip service to gullibles. Later I'll say I only cared about the federal government getting smaller all along by any means necessary, efficiency is a bad metric. Depending on how it's going at the time I'll either say no one could have possibly foreseen a government of billionaires stealing my tax money and reducing my protections OR that they had to do so, it was the only way, because democrats. It's never that it was hilariously obvious that career grifters would grift under the cover of doing the easiest thing possible in any system, tearing things down without caring what breaks like a toddler. They couldn't possibly just be using the same gullibles who think Tesla is a Great Company for more personal grift. After all, AI.

A President who ran negative campaign ads saying decrying that his opponent doesn't hate trans people would never do that. We can trust him and his special friend's divorces, nearly a dozen children out of wedlock, comical amounts of sexual assault and adultery because they're good Christian men.

I'm just relieved trump spent all that time demanding to see Obama's passport. Wouldn't want someone born in Africa to be the most powerful person in the white house!

PeteD01

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #612 on: March 03, 2025, 08:32:54 AM »
...

At some point we must consider that this is the willful sabotage of our government at the behest of a foreign adversary.

The two things that I consider a positive coming out of the Trump administration's meltdown in the Oval Office while meeting with Zelensky are:

1. Finally, it was made crystal clear to the American public and the world that one of the frontlines of Russia's war against the West runs right through the White House and Congress. This clarity was sorely needed and we are better off having seen this.

2. I've mentioned before that DJT appears to suffer from behavioral variant temporofrontal dementia. It was obvious that JD Vance pushed DJT right off his rocker with his inappropriate interjection and DJT was unable to regain composure. That's just a Monday in the memory unit but surely raises eyebrows seeing it in the Oval Office.


Here is a psychiatrist’s take on 2.:

Inside Trump’s Mind Bullying Of Zelensky: A Psychiatrist Analyzes His Behavior

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gMetdO01OI0


For all practical purposes, we have to assume that foreign interests have indeed infiltrated the administration and co-opted the billionaires to mount an organized attack against the United States constitutional order and institutions.

What's interesting is that the frontline also runs between MAGA politicians and MAGA/GOP constituents.
By far the most affected by the Russian assault on the US economy are indeed MAGA/GOP constituents.

MAGA/GOP constituents have been distracted by a host of culture war and conspiracy issues and are about to be hit by an economic attack of existential proportions.
MAGAworld/red states are made up largely by middle and lower middle class people and this segment of the population lives under the constant threat of status loss and falling out of the middle class altogether.

A lot of these people are actually poor and their status is propped up by transfer payments, but they do not realize this - yet.
Being pushed into economic misery and having to suddenly face food scarcity, homelessness and death and disease from the denial of healthcare, do generally have the effect of concentrating the mind on the essentials and can fuel anger.

Historically, the middle and lower middle class has shown great propensity for political violence when confronted with possible status loss; and not to hold town halls in person is certainly a sensible move by GOP politicians as it is inevitable that they will be blamed eventually even by the most MAGA people out there.
Right now GOP politicians are under a barrage of death threats and I do not see things getting better - to the contrary.

The ideological basis for the unprecedented Russian attack on the wellbeing of ordinary Americans is Aleksandr Dugin’s:


Foundations of Geopolitics

Outside of Ukraine and Georgia, military operations play a relatively minor role except for the military intelligence operations. The textbook advocates a sophisticated program of subversion, destabilization, and disinformation spearheaded by the Russian secret services.[16] The operations should be assisted by a tough, hard-headed utilization of Russia's gas, oil, and natural resources to bully and pressure other countries.[9] The book states that "the maximum task [of the future] is the 'Finlandization' of all of Europe".[9]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foundations_of_Geopolitics

41_swish

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #613 on: March 03, 2025, 10:22:27 AM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

Just Joe

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #614 on: March 03, 2025, 12:17:34 PM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

They'll break everything, somehow blame it on the Dems and then campaign on repairing the Dem's mess, after all there is only so much even the GOP super-heroes could accomplish in one presidency.

My conservative relatives continue to take the word of the Repubs for what is happening. The most vulnerable one (job at risk) is in denial I think.

My MAGA coworker arrived this morning hot to discuss how Zelensky got what was coming to him in the Oval Office. Clearly this coworker doesn't utilize many different info sources. Prob just Fox. 

joemandadman189

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #615 on: March 03, 2025, 01:03:01 PM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

You use the word feels above, which is how you feel about what is happening, not necessarily what is actually happening , its quite possible they have a systematic plan. I mean he does run a rocket company, hard to believe he has a willy-nilly approach about launching things into space or catching a booster 233 ft tall. Why would his approach be different with DOGE?

Sailor Sam

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #616 on: March 03, 2025, 01:35:19 PM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

You use the word feels above, which is how you feel about what is happening, not necessarily what is actually happening , its quite possible they have a systematic plan. I mean he does run a rocket company, hard to believe he has a willy-nilly approach about launching things into space or catching a booster 233 ft tall. Why would his approach be different with DOGE?

NNSA.

blue_green_sparks

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #617 on: March 03, 2025, 02:10:42 PM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

You use the word feels above, which is how you feel about what is happening, not necessarily what is actually happening , its quite possible they have a systematic plan. I mean he does run a rocket company, hard to believe he has a willy-nilly approach about launching things into space or catching a booster 233 ft tall. Why would his approach be different with DOGE?
I saw a report that they are trying to rehire nuclear safety employees, after concerns grew that their dismissal jeopardizes national security. A great systematic plan for sure. The damage done by all of this will take time to understand and be unmeasurable. A plane crash here, a food safety event there. Environmental regulations will be decimated. Got cancer yet? Manufacturers will be dumping into streams during the wee hours, just like they used to. Why is our tap water the color of Trump's face? Of course, climate study and green initiatives will be whacked. Windmills screw-up the views from the 7th tee, they are terrible. If you are young, you will pay an astronomical price for the egos of these billionaires that "brill" Americans admire. Epic FAFO moment in history.

mtnrider

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #618 on: March 03, 2025, 02:52:25 PM »
It really feels like they are just cutting anything and everything all willy nilly and not thinking about what could happen as a result. It is impossible to predict, but some thinking and planning will probably say that these cuts will have unexpected consequences that are not directly apparent.

You use the word feels above, which is how you feel about what is happening, not necessarily what is actually happening , its quite possible they have a systematic plan. I mean he does run a rocket company, hard to believe he has a willy-nilly approach about launching things into space or catching a booster 233 ft tall. Why would his approach be different with DOGE?

I'll go out on a limb and say that Musk is not doing planning for SpaceX.  He runs like half a dozen companies, tweets constantly, and has over a dozen kids.  It doesn't pass the smell test.

Counter example: Twitter.  Musk was directly running the company.  He used the same psychological warfare on his employees.  He did the "5 things" note, he did the "fork in the road" email, he pulled people back to the office, he fired half the employees. The net result was that Twitter lost 80% of market cap, was a worse place to work, and a much worse social media site.  It appears that the reason advertisers like Apple returned is because he has a high level government position and companies are essentially bribing him with advertising dollars.  Otherwise it might have gone to zero.

My understanding is that in SpaceX, his his staff "manage up" to keep him away from most decision making.

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #619 on: March 03, 2025, 02:57:42 PM »
Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

Yes.  I'm wondering if I'm getting sucked into responding to trolls, or if these are people who are legitimately bamboozled by the con.  Do you ignore the misinformation (well intentioned or otherwise) out there, or respond?

Related XKCD: https://xkcd.com/386/

Edit: Maybe we could use an LLM to automatically respond to the misinformation?  That would be a good use of AI! /s
« Last Edit: March 03, 2025, 03:03:46 PM by mtnrider »

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #620 on: March 03, 2025, 05:50:33 PM »
I am floored by the number of fairly sensible people out there who don't understand the enormity of what is happening.

They think Musk is showing up at each agency and in a couple days and nights, is somehow finding waste and fraud and cutting the fat?

Nonsese. He is slashing workers right and left, causing complete chaos, demoralization, and upheaval.

Social Security is now on the chopping block. The SSA was already at its lowest staffing level in 50 years. There's no "fat" to be chopped. But the agency is going to let go/RIF/Fire/encourage early retirement for about 12% of its workers and reconsolidate 10 regional offices into just 4.

In response to this news, most (5/8) of the regional commissioners (this is a non political position) have announced their resignations, which is huge news and unprecedented.  These are good people, and well respected.

The SSA processes people's SS and also their disability (SSDI and SI) applications and benefits. It also needs to coordinate with Medicare and Medicaid and with different state level offices all the time.  It is hugely complex. You can't just chop away 13% of its already understaffed workforce, and expect people to just "work harder" to compensate.

This is going to severely affect people's lives, very soon.  It's going to affect their ability to apply for benefits they deserve, and to clear up mistakes and complications. It'll affect people's ability to get medical care. It'll affect people's bank accounts.






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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #621 on: March 03, 2025, 11:06:36 PM »
Remote education for the entire US military about to take a massive hit.

https://x.com/nozoup/status/1896746830911906146?s=46&t=0--6Hdo7ShYvWJDn-CUN6g

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #622 on: March 03, 2025, 11:42:31 PM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.

This isn't what's happening. There's no team of tech geniuses making informed decisions.

Musk has a bunch of people who are young and inexperienced and naive and have nothing to lose and will just do whatever he tells them to do. And they are proceeding, largely randomly, and definitely illegally, to just eliminate things they feel like eliminating for whatever reason (or no reason).

Mass firings aren't about saving money. They are about eliminating the ability of the government to function. Employees are 6% of federal expense. It's not going to move the needle at all.

Trump/Musk/Republicans don't care about the debt/deficit at all. The Republican House just voted (almost unanimously on party lines) to *increase* the deficit beyond what would have happened if they just did nothing. They voted to cut taxes by trillions more than they voted to cut spending.

There's no grand plan to make the budget sustainable. There is an active effort to gut the government so that perpetual-lawbreaker Musk can do whatever he wants with little resistance.

Exactly. The persistent willful gullibility being exhibited by a few  people on this message board buying the b.s. that this is about government efficiency is goddamn pathetic and embarrassing.

There are effective, legal, efficient ways to reduce government spending and the size of the government workforce while minimizing impact to effective accomplishment of government mission statements. None of them are being followed; that is not the goal.

Not only that, but people are failing to see how devastatingly expensive these things will be to fix.

I posted earlier, I think in another thread about the Canadian Phoenix pay system fiasco in Canada.

It was an effort to create efficiency through technology. It was a smart thing to do, the software that was purchased works very well, on the surface, it should have saved a lot of money.

Instead, it's cost many, many, many times the amount it was supposed to save, and after more than a decade of trying to fix it has been deemed unfixable.

So what went wrong? How did replacing am archaic, inefficient system with a modern, well designed software fail so badly?? Well, it failed because they lost too much corporate memory when they centralized the service.

When systems are archaic and inefficient, that makes the humans who do the work MORE valuable, not less.

The folks who implemented Phoenix ignored warnings that moving too quickly would cause problems, and they had the same antipathy towards '"large government" and the same corporate philosophy that cutting humans would create more efficiency.

But that's now how governments work.

In a private corporation, a company can make mistakes and break systems by trying to economize, and that's okay, because they can pivot and adjust to new realities. But a government can't. They need systems to work as they're supposed to.

When you need things to work the way they are supposed to, corporate memory of human beings is extremely valuable and needs to be transferred over to automated systems extremely carefully.

This is WHY it's so hard to modernize government systems. It's incredibly expensive and most governments aren't willing to foot the bill to do it properly.

It's unfathomable hubris for two business moguls with zero experience in government and quite a bit of experience fucking up systems in companies to think that they somehow are the first people to think "hmm...this would be more efficient if it was automated."

Oh wow...what a revolutionary concept.

But there's a reason governments don't modernize as easily as companies, and there's a reason they don't engage in chaotic staff cutting measures.

Can governments be modernized? Of course, but it takes a committed, organized, systematic, careful, and EXPENSIVE plan to make it happen without creating problems that end up costing an absolute fortune.

In a corporation, if someone made an error as catastrophic as the implementation of the Phoenix pay system, the company would have to totally restructure. But a government can't just restructure.

A government can't just lose market share and target different markets, it has no customers. It's job is to consistently serve everyone, all the time. When systems break, that responsibility doesn't just go away. They have to pay whatever it costs to fix the system.

The Phoenix pay system only covers payments for 300K staff. That's it. It was supposed  save 78M per year, and the final tally of what it cost the Canadian tax payers will be in excess of 10B.

Anyone who thinks that these careless cuts to important systems is going to save money just doesn't understand how governments work. This could cost the American public an unfathomable amount of tax dollars to fix moving forward.

This could be the single most expensive government in the history of the country, by a massive margin.

If your systems are anything like Canada's systems, you're in for 10-20 years of repair work.

I think breaking it to the point that it can’t possibly be fixed is actually entirely the point.  A complete subjugation of the people, taking away any form of hierarchy that can potentially threaten their totalitarian power.

You are looking at it through the lens of a democracy working for the interests of the people it represents.  The interests of the American people are completely irrelevant at this point.  It’s all about making power absolute and permanent.

oldtoyota

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #623 on: March 04, 2025, 04:48:27 AM »
Leadership changes at Social Security, and removing half of the regional offices

https://bsky.app/profile/chrisgeidner.bsky.social/post/3ljb6b7pyyc2b


https://bsky.app/profile/chrisgeidner.bsky.social/post/3ljb6rufur22e

Social security payments will likely be reduced or removed entirely. Musk says they are a Ponzi scheme.

Wild that a random African man is leading the US now. Meanwhile, Republicans claimed Obama was an African, which was considered bad by them.

oldtoyota

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #624 on: March 04, 2025, 04:50:32 AM »
I can’t say I’m a fan of the fire everyone first and let the remaining people figure it out approach. This is dumb. At my company the plan is to introduce AI, let everyone use it, and then start shaking out the “low performers” who fail to adopt AI or can’t keep up with those who use it most effectively. The employees who have learned to use AI effectively will pick up the slack. It will be a much smoother transition for the company.


What happens if the initial assumption that introducing AI will make things more efficient doesn't actually work?  I've seen idiots in management try to shoehorn AI into places where it significantly reduced efficiency.  Who do you fire then?


They will be happy because their goal is to dismantle the bureaucracy. Next up is co-opting Congress and destroying the courts.

We all know this is not about efficiency, right? Read Curtis Yarvin’s plan, which they are following.

oldtoyota

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #625 on: March 04, 2025, 04:58:18 AM »
So lets flip this around, Lets say Harris had won and Mark Cuban was appointed to lead a similar government efficiency program. He starts auditing government programs and departments with his young tech geniuses, with all full security clearances necessary to review sensitive information (like Musk and the DOGE team), and finds all kinds of opportunities to reduce government spending, which President Harris is happy to cut. Are we equally as upset at Mark Cuban and his team of young tech geniuses?

Or do we not want any spending cuts or audits of government programs looking for savings opportunities?

I want to know, are we upset with the messenger (Musk and DOGE) or the message (we have a $2 trillion dollar annual federal budget deficit that is a hair on fire spending emergency)?

This feels like a hair on fire debt emergency, per MMM himself. The federal debt is currently $36 Trillion with annual revenue of $5 trillion with spending of $7 trillion. Imagine a case study with a family in $360k of debt, making $50k a year and spending $70k a year, they would be absolutely roasted and ripped to shreds. What would we want to see to help them with their case study? A line by line accounting of their spending looking for opportunities to cut spending and then look for ways to increase their income.


I notice you have not mentioned the contracts that Musk has been awarded recently. He was nearing $1 billion in contracts from FAA, the State Department and others.

Trump is spending $200M for K Noem to say what a great job he is doing removing immigrants.

Funny you think this is not about Musk lining his pockets....

Was Mark Cuban being investigated by USAID for providing Starlink to the Russians? I don’t think so.

Did Mark Cuban wrestle a chainsaw on stage while appearing to be whacked out on drugs? No. 

Did Mark Cuban say he would go to jail if Trump was not elected? Again, no.

You have a man who apparently broke the law and feared jail taking revenge on the federal agencies that had his products and companies under investigation. USAID is one example.

His goal is ending the US government. Why do you think Russian State Media was in The White House last Friday? By accident? They just wandered in past three layers of security to sit in a small room with the President of the United States?  lol

Russia is happy US is rolling over.

« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 06:47:07 AM by oldtoyota »

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #626 on: March 04, 2025, 05:18:14 AM »
Looks like they are making good progress in automating the limestone mine!

The OPM just conducted their first ever “fully digital retirement”:
https://x.com/USOPM/status/1895216274407350428

Apparently, it took them a week to figure it out. Now that they’ve proven it can be done, I’m looking forward to the day when they finally stop stuffing papers into a mine.

Multiple attempts to digitize the limestone mine have been made since 1987. These efforts all ended in failure, with costs totaling over $130M.

Here’s hoping that this time it will be different!

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #627 on: March 04, 2025, 05:31:46 AM »
Was Mark Cuban being investigated by USAID for providing Starlink to the Russians? I don’t think so.

I’ve seen this investigation mentioned many times on this forum and elsewhere, used as an example of misconduct or conflict of interest for Elon Musk.

https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814

Quote from: USAID
PROJECT ANNOUNCEMENT: Inspection of USAID's Oversight of Starlink Terminals Provided to the Government of Ukraine

May 14, 2024

The USAID Office of Inspector General, Inspections and Evaluations Division, is initiating an inspection of USAID’s oversight of Starlink satellite terminals provided to the Government of Ukraine.

Our objectives are to determine how (1) the Government of Ukraine used the USAID-provided Starlink terminals, and (2) USAID monitored the Government of Ukraine’s use of USAID-provided Starlink terminals.

All the news articles I saw said the same thing, that the investigation was investigating the Ukrainian government. Which makes sense, because the Starlink terminals were being donated by USAID to the Ukrainian government.

What, if anything, does the investigation have to do with the conduct of Elon Musk or SpaceX? Can you share sources?
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 05:41:39 AM by Herbert Derp »

oldtoyota

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #628 on: March 04, 2025, 06:49:35 AM »
Was Mark Cuban being investigated by USAID for providing Starlink to the Russians? I don’t think so.

I’ve seen this investigation mentioned many times on this forum and elsewhere, used as an example of misconduct or conflict of interest for Elon Musk.

https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814

Quote from: USAID
PROJECT ANNOUNCEMENT: Inspection of USAID's Oversight of Starlink Terminals Provided to the Government of Ukraine

May 14, 2024

The USAID Office of Inspector General, Inspections and Evaluations Division, is initiating an inspection of USAID’s oversight of Starlink satellite terminals provided to the Government of Ukraine.

Our objectives are to determine how (1) the Government of Ukraine used the USAID-provided Starlink terminals, and (2) USAID monitored the Government of Ukraine’s use of USAID-provided Starlink terminals.

All the news articles I saw said the same thing, that the investigation was investigating the Ukrainian government. Which makes sense, because the Starlink terminals were being donated by USAID to the Ukrainian government.

What, if anything, does the investigation have to do with the conduct of Elon Musk or SpaceX? Can you share sources?

I assume you are a troll if you think Ukraine gave Starlink to the Russians.


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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #629 on: March 04, 2025, 06:57:05 AM »
Leadership changes at Social Security, and removing half of the regional offices

https://bsky.app/profile/chrisgeidner.bsky.social/post/3ljb6b7pyyc2b


https://bsky.app/profile/chrisgeidner.bsky.social/post/3ljb6rufur22e

Social security payments will likely be reduced or removed entirely. Musk says they are a Ponzi scheme.

Wild that a random African man is leading the US now. Meanwhile, Republicans claimed Obama was an African, which was considered bad by them.

Yep.

And once SS payments are cut off, it is going to be nearly impossible to get them back. Call your congresspeople. Especially if they are Republicans. Demand answers. Show up at their offices.

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #630 on: March 04, 2025, 07:07:35 AM »
I assume you are a troll if you think Ukraine gave Starlink to the Russians.

The Starlink terminals in question were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. These are physical pieces of hardware, given from USAID’s hands to Ukraine’s hands. Elon Musk, his operatives, or SpaceX were not distributing them. Whatever happened to those terminals was between USAID and Ukraine.

I assume you are a troll if you think that Elon Musk or his operatives went to Ukraine and stole Starlink terminals from the Ukrainian government and gave them to Russia.

Do you have any sources that show that this investigation into the Ukrainian government had anything at all to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX?
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 07:11:40 AM by Herbert Derp »

oldtoyota

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #631 on: March 04, 2025, 07:12:22 AM »
I assume you are a troll if you think Ukraine gave Starlink to the Russians.

The Starlink terminals in question were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. These are physical pieces of hardware, given from USAID’s hands to Ukraine’s hands. Elon Musk, his operatives, or SpaceX were not distributing them.

I assume you are a troll if you think that Elon Musk or his operatives went to Ukraine and stole Starlink terminals from the Ukrainian government and gave them to Russia.

Do you have any sources that show that this investigation into the Ukrainian government had anything at all to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX?

Russia has Starlink. Who do you think would have the ability to provide them with Starlink?

Elon owns Starlink. How could he steal his own system from anyone? LOL!

No, I'm not doing the work of providing sources for you. Use a search engine.

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #632 on: March 04, 2025, 07:19:22 AM »
I assume you are a troll if you think Ukraine gave Starlink to the Russians.
I assume you are a troll if you think that Elon Musk or his operatives went to Ukraine and stole Starlink terminals from the Ukrainian government and gave them to Russia.

Do you have any sources that show that this investigation into the Ukrainian government had anything at all to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX?

Russia has Starlink. Who do you think would have the ability to provide them with Starlink?

Elon owns Starlink. How could he steal his own system from anyone? LOL!

No, I'm not doing the work of providing sources for you. Use a search engine.

Do you have any idea how Starlink works? The terminals you need to access the Internet with it are physical pieces of hardware, sitting on the ground.

The Starlink terminals were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. If Elon Musk was responsible for them falling into Russian hands, he or his operatives would have to physically travel to Ukraine, steal the hardware from the Ukrainians, and deliver it to Russia. This is absurd!

If some of those terminals ended up in Russian hands, it isn’t the fault of Elon or SpaceX. It is literally impossible for it to have anything to do with them. Something would have had to have gone wrong with either USAID or Ukraine.

What part of that don’t you understand? My logic is rock solid.

And the fact that you refuse to provide any sources for your claims means you have nothing to stand on.
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 07:35:16 AM by Herbert Derp »

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #633 on: March 04, 2025, 07:25:53 AM »
By the way, if anyone is willing to provide sources that show the USAID investigation had something to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX, I will gladly concede that I am wrong here.

But I have yet to see any evidence of this, and the fact that the investigation was about physical hardware delivered directly from USAID to Ukraine means that I am probably correct in my conclusions.

By the way, here’s another source that says the USAID investigation was about theft and corruption within the Ukrainian government. USAID was concerned that corrupt Ukrainians were stealing the Starlink terminals USAID donated and selling them to the Russians. That’s what this was all about. It had absolutely nothing to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX, because it couldn’t have. They had literally nothing to do with it!

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/02/16/concerns-over-ukrainian-cybersecurity-after-usaid-funding-freeze_6738207_4.html
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 07:48:10 AM by Herbert Derp »

GuitarStv

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #634 on: March 04, 2025, 07:47:42 AM »
I assume you are a troll if you think Ukraine gave Starlink to the Russians.
I assume you are a troll if you think that Elon Musk or his operatives went to Ukraine and stole Starlink terminals from the Ukrainian government and gave them to Russia.

Do you have any sources that show that this investigation into the Ukrainian government had anything at all to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX?

Russia has Starlink. Who do you think would have the ability to provide them with Starlink?

Elon owns Starlink. How could he steal his own system from anyone? LOL!

No, I'm not doing the work of providing sources for you. Use a search engine.

Do you have any idea how Starlink works? The terminals you need to access the Internet with it are physical pieces of hardware, sitting on the ground.

Yes.  This is why there was an investigation into SpaceX and Starlink by the House, demanding transparency following reports of potentially illegal purchases and use of Starlink satellite internet equipment by Russia in occupied territories of Ukraine.

https://robertgarcia.house.gov/media/in-the-news/cnbc-house-democrats-probe-spacex-over-alleged-illegal-export-and-use-starlink

The Starlink terminals were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. If Elon Musk was responsible for them falling into Russian hands, he or his operatives would have to physically travel to Ukraine, steal the hardware from the Ukrainians, and deliver it to Russia. This is absurd!

That would be absurd.  If seems to forget the whole concept of mail.

Throughout the war Russia has had a huge amount of theoretically embargoed stuff shipped to them from all over the world - the Canadian company I was recently reading about who was sending them parts for military drones (https://www.cbc.ca/news/investigates/canadian-caught-supplying-russia-weapons-parts-1.7262446) just mailed stuff to intermediary countries where the stuff was then re-labelled and mailed directly to Russia.  No need to physically travel anywhere.

If some of those terminals ended up in Russian hands, it isn’t the fault of Elon or SpaceX.

It isn't proven one way or another yet.  That's what the purpose of the investigation into Musk's companies is all about.

It is literally impossible for it to have anything to do with them. Something would have had to have gone wrong with either USAID or Ukraine.

No, this is a ridiculous assumption that doesn't pass a basic smell test.  If a random Canadian can easily set up shipping to Russia, it stands to reason that one of the richest and most powerful men in the world could do the same.

What part of that don’t you understand? My logic is rock solid.

No, I'm not seeing any rock solid logic on display.

And the fact that you refuse to provide any sources for your claims means you have nothing to stand on.

Sources provided.  Oddly enough, I don't see any sources backing up the claims and assumptions that you have made.
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 08:02:15 AM by GuitarStv »

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #635 on: March 04, 2025, 08:07:14 AM »
What part of that don’t you understand? My logic is rock solid.

No, I'm not seeing any rock solid logic on display.

And the fact that you refuse to provide any sources for your claims means you have nothing to stand on.

Sources provided.  Oddly enough, I don't see any sources backing up the claims and assumptions that you have made.

My logic is 100% valid and I did provide sources. Are you even reading my posts? I am not sure you are comprehending the English therein.

I provided two sources already, one of which was from USAID itself.

Source 1:
https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814

Source 2:
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/02/16/concerns-over-ukrainian-cybersecurity-after-usaid-funding-freeze_6738207_4.html

Let me quote myself, so you can reread my post.

Was Mark Cuban being investigated by USAID for providing Starlink to the Russians? I don’t think so.

I’ve seen this investigation mentioned many times on this forum and elsewhere, used as an example of misconduct or conflict of interest for Elon Musk.

https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814

Quote from: USAID
PROJECT ANNOUNCEMENT: Inspection of USAID's Oversight of Starlink Terminals Provided to the Government of Ukraine

May 14, 2024

The USAID Office of Inspector General, Inspections and Evaluations Division, is initiating an inspection of USAID’s oversight of Starlink satellite terminals provided to the Government of Ukraine.

Our objectives are to determine how (1) the Government of Ukraine used the USAID-provided Starlink terminals, and (2) USAID monitored the Government of Ukraine’s use of USAID-provided Starlink terminals.

All the news articles I saw said the same thing, that the investigation was investigating the Ukrainian government. Which makes sense, because the Starlink terminals were being donated by USAID to the Ukrainian government.

What, if anything, does the investigation have to do with the conduct of Elon Musk or SpaceX? Can you share sources?

This investigation was related to USAID-provided Starlink terminals that were provided from USAID to the Ukrainian government. Elon Musk did not ship them to Ukraine. Elon Musk did not ship them to Russia.

Whatever happened to those terminals after USAID shipped them to Ukraine is between USAID, Ukraine, and Russia. Elon Musk is not and could not be a party to these events. These are facts.

If you think my logic is incorrect, just what do you think I am claiming in the first place? Can you repeat my claim using your words, just so that I can understand what you think I am claiming?
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 08:14:51 AM by Herbert Derp »

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #636 on: March 04, 2025, 08:21:21 AM »
Do you have any idea how Starlink works? The terminals you need to access the Internet with it are physical pieces of hardware, sitting on the ground.

Yes.  This is why there was an investigation into SpaceX and Starlink by the House, demanding transparency following reports of potentially illegal purchases and use of Starlink satellite internet equipment by Russia in occupied territories of Ukraine.

https://robertgarcia.house.gov/media/in-the-news/cnbc-house-democrats-probe-spacex-over-alleged-illegal-export-and-use-starlink

The Starlink terminals were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. If Elon Musk was responsible for them falling into Russian hands, he or his operatives would have to physically travel to Ukraine, steal the hardware from the Ukrainians, and deliver it to Russia. This is absurd!

That would be absurd.  If seems to forget the whole concept of mail.

Throughout the war Russia has had a huge amount of theoretically embargoed stuff shipped to them from all over the world - the Canadian company I was recently reading about who was sending them parts for military drones (https://www.cbc.ca/news/investigates/canadian-caught-supplying-russia-weapons-parts-1.7262446) just mailed stuff to intermediary countries where the stuff was then re-labelled and mailed directly to Russia.  No need to physically travel anywhere.

It is absolutely true that Starlink terminals have ended up in Russian hands. Someone even brought a Tesla Cybertruck into Russia (take a look, this is hilarious).

Heck, if I was so inclined, I could put a Starlink terminal into my backpack and fly to Moscow.

But what does this have anything to do with USAID’s investigation of Starlink terminals that USAID provided to the Ukrainian government?
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 08:24:51 AM by Herbert Derp »

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #637 on: March 04, 2025, 08:27:08 AM »
By the way, if anyone is willing to provide sources that show the USAID investigation had something to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX, I will gladly concede that I am wrong here.

But I have yet to see any evidence of this, and the fact that the investigation was about physical hardware delivered directly from USAID to Ukraine means that I am probably correct in my conclusions.

By the way, here’s another source that says the USAID investigation was about theft and corruption within the Ukrainian government:
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/02/16/concerns-over-ukrainian-cybersecurity-after-usaid-funding-freeze_6738207_4.html

My understanding is that there are two things going on here:

Ukraine detected Starlink terminals used by Russian forces in Ukraine.  Ukraine says that a) Russians may have been routed Starlink terminals, perhaps via third parties, and b) Starlink allowed those terminals to operate.  Musk denies this*.

There was also a waste, fraud, and abuse case that USAID was looking into against Starlink for the terminals that USAID deployed to Ukraine.  I haven't seen anything that indicates exactly what they were looking for, but since it is in a waste, fraud, and abuse investigation it is very likely one of the three.


From wikipedia:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink_in_the_Russian-https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Starlink_in_the_Russian-Ukrainian_War

https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/ukraines-military-intelligence-says-it-confirms-use-musks-starlink-by-russian-2024-02-11/

https://docs.house.gov/meetings/FA/FA17/20240926/117696/HHRG-118-FA17-Wstate-MartinP-20240926.pdf



* you can choose if you believe the "full self driving next quarter" guy who knowingly tells bald faced lies or the Ukraine military who are operating under the fog of war.

GuitarStv

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #638 on: March 04, 2025, 08:45:36 AM »
What part of that don’t you understand? My logic is rock solid.

No, I'm not seeing any rock solid logic on display.

And the fact that you refuse to provide any sources for your claims means you have nothing to stand on.

Sources provided.  Oddly enough, I don't see any sources backing up the claims and assumptions that you have made.

My logic is 100% valid and I did provide sources. Are you even reading my posts? I am not sure you are comprehending the English therein.

I provided two sources already, one of which was from USAID itself.

Source 1: https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814
Source 2: https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/02/16/concerns-over-ukrainian-cybersecurity-after-usaid-funding-freeze_6738207_4.html

Fair.  I was skimming over too quickly and missed these references.  I apologize.

Yes, your first source indicates an investigation into the Starlink terminals sent to the Ukrainian government.  The second link is paywalled and the readable part only discusses that Ukraine may be in a worse position to fight off cyberwarfare after USAID funds were cut.


Let me quote myself, so you can reread my post.

Was Mark Cuban being investigated by USAID for providing Starlink to the Russians? I don’t think so.

I’ve seen this investigation mentioned many times on this forum and elsewhere, used as an example of misconduct or conflict of interest for Elon Musk.

https://oig.usaid.gov/node/6814

Quote from: USAID
PROJECT ANNOUNCEMENT: Inspection of USAID's Oversight of Starlink Terminals Provided to the Government of Ukraine

May 14, 2024

The USAID Office of Inspector General, Inspections and Evaluations Division, is initiating an inspection of USAID’s oversight of Starlink satellite terminals provided to the Government of Ukraine.

Our objectives are to determine how (1) the Government of Ukraine used the USAID-provided Starlink terminals, and (2) USAID monitored the Government of Ukraine’s use of USAID-provided Starlink terminals.

All the news articles I saw said the same thing, that the investigation was investigating the Ukrainian government. Which makes sense, because the Starlink terminals were being donated by USAID to the Ukrainian government.

What, if anything, does the investigation have to do with the conduct of Elon Musk or SpaceX? Can you share sources?

This investigation was related to USAID-provided Starlink terminals that were provided from USAID to the Ukrainian government. Elon Musk did not ship them to Ukraine. Elon Musk did not ship them to Russia.

Whatever happened to those terminals after USAID shipped them to Ukraine is between USAID, Ukraine, and Russia. Elon Musk is not and could not be a party to these events. These are facts.

If you think my logic is incorrect, just what do you think I am claiming in the first place? Can you repeat my claim using your words, just so that I can understand what you think I am claiming?

I think that you're claiming:
The Starlink terminals were given from USAID to the Ukrainian government. If Elon Musk was responsible for them falling into Russian hands, he or his operatives would have to physically travel to Ukraine, steal the hardware from the Ukrainians, and deliver it to Russia. This is absurd!

If some of those terminals ended up in Russian hands, it isn’t the fault of Elon or SpaceX. It is literally impossible for it to have anything to do with them. Something would have had to have gone wrong with either USAID or Ukraine.

Or to summarize:
1.  Starlink terminals were given to Ukraine government from USAID.
2.  Elon musk couldn't be responsible for Starlink terminals falling into Russian hands without physically being in Ukraine and giving the terminals to Russians.  It is therefore impossible for Musk or SpaceX to have anything to do with terminals ending up in Russian hands.
3.  Any problem therefore is the fault of USAID or Ukraine.


So, in response:
1.  Agreed.
2.  This is trivial to prove incorrect.  Musk controls SpaceX, and has access to data regarding the location and data usage of all Starlink terminals.  He could easily email any of this data to Russians, allowing them to capture Ukrainian Starlink terminals in the field.  I have no idea if this happened or not - just pointing out that it would be a very easy thing for Musk to do.
3.  Ukraine is in the middle of a multi-year ground war.  These Starlink devices are being used on the front lines.  Even without Musk directly selling soldiers out, it would not at all be surprising for some Starlink terminals to captured by Russians during this conflict.  It's entirely possible that Russia would get some of this hardware in this manner.
  Musk and SpaceX know the location of all Starlink terminals, and control all data going to them.  (Something that Ukraine found out the hard way when Musk unilaterally scuttled a Ukrainian drone attack against the Russian navy by preventing Starlink communications in Crimea earlier in the war - https://kyivindependent.com/musk-says-he-didnt-turn-on-starlink-due-to-us-sanctions-on-russia/).

As to whether or not Musk has directly sold Starlink units to Russia, that remains unclear.  According to SpaceX representatives, they have not directly sold any units to Russians.  According to Ukrainians, Russia is getting thousands of Starlink terminals through intermediaries (https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-using-thousands-spacex-starlink-terminals-ukraine-wsj-says-2024-02-15/).  Either way, there is no way that any Starlink terminal can be used without Musk/SpaceX knowing exactly where it is located and what data is being transmitted - and any terminal being used by Russia can be remotely turned off by Musk/SpaceX as they have done in the past (https://kyivindependent.com/bloomberg-pentagon-blocks-russian-military-from-accessing-starlink-in-ukraine/).

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #639 on: March 04, 2025, 09:02:56 AM »
My understanding is that there are two things going on here:

Ukraine detected Starlink terminals used by Russian forces in Ukraine.  Ukraine says that a) Russians may have been routed Starlink terminals, perhaps via third parties, and b) Starlink allowed those terminals to operate.  Musk denies this*.

There was also a waste, fraud, and abuse case that USAID was looking into against Starlink for the terminals that USAID deployed to Ukraine.  I haven't seen anything that indicates exactly what they were looking for, but since it is in a waste, fraud, and abuse investigation it is very likely one of the three.

Totally agree with you that Starlink terminals have found their way into Russian hands.

The second link is paywalled and the readable part only discusses that Ukraine may be in a worse position to fight off cyberwarfare after USAID funds were cut.

That link says:
Quote
The American agency funded an entire ecosystem that bolstered Kyiv's telecommunications networks against Russian cyberattacks. It also subsidized Starlink terminals, which were at the center of an internal audit over allegations of 'theft' and 'corruption.'

USAID was investigating the Ukrainian government for theft and corruption, because they were concerned about why the Starlink terminals they gave to Ukraine kept falling into Russian hands.

It doesn’t have anything to do with Elon Musk or SpaceX unless you assume there is some sort of bizarre conspiracy that goes beyond simple corruption in the Ukrainian government.

I think that you're claiming:
1.  Starlink terminals were given to Ukraine government from USAID.
2.  Elon musk couldn't be responsible for Starlink terminals falling into Russian hands without physically being in Ukraine and giving the terminals to Russians.  It is therefore impossible for Musk or SpaceX to have anything to do with terminals ending up in Russian hands.
3.  Any problem therefore is the fault of USAID or Ukraine.

So, in response:
1.  Agreed.
2.  This is trivial to prove incorrect.  Musk controls SpaceX, and has access to data regarding the location and data usage of all Starlink terminals.  He could easily email any of this data to Russians, allowing them to capture Ukrainian Starlink terminals in the field.  I have no idea if this happened or not - just pointing out that it would be a very easy thing for Musk to do.
3.  Ukraine is in the middle of a multi-year ground war.  These Starlink devices are being used on the front lines.  Even without Musk directly selling soldiers out, it would not at all be surprising for some Starlink terminals to captured by Russians during this conflict.  It's entirely possible that Russia would get some of this hardware in this manner.
  Musk and SpaceX know the location of all Starlink terminals, and control all data going to them.  (Something that Ukraine found out the hard way when Musk unilaterally scuttled a Ukrainian drone attack against the Russian navy by preventing Starlink communications in Crimea earlier in the war - https://kyivindependent.com/musk-says-he-didnt-turn-on-starlink-due-to-us-sanctions-on-russia/).

As to whether or not Musk has directly sold Starlink units to Russia, that remains unclear.  According to SpaceX representatives, they have not directly sold any units to Russians.  According to Ukrainians, Russia is getting thousands of Starlink terminals through intermediaries (https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/russia-using-thousands-spacex-starlink-terminals-ukraine-wsj-says-2024-02-15/).  Either way, there is no way that any Starlink terminal can be used without Musk/SpaceX knowing exactly where it is located and what data is being transmitted - and any terminal being used by Russia can be remotely turned off by Musk/SpaceX as they have done in the past (https://kyivindependent.com/bloomberg-pentagon-blocks-russian-military-from-accessing-starlink-in-ukraine/).

Cool. You do understand what I’ve been saying. I agree that your three-point summary of my argument is correct.

I also agree that many Starlink terminals have been captured by the Russians or otherwise smuggled into the country. I mean, someone brought a Cybertruck into Russia, of course they can bring some Starlink terminals.

And yes, the Russians are trying to use their Starlink terminals on the front lines in Ukraine, and SpaceX and the US military have been trying to block them. Looks like it’s a bit of a game of cat and mouse over there! Tesla even remotely disabled that Cybertruck, by the way.

So do you concede that the only way the USAID investigation could be related to Elon Musk or SpaceX is that if there was a conspiracy within SpaceX to sell out the locations of Ukrainian troops so that Russia could ambush them and capture the USAID-provided Starlink terminals?

I do agree that this conspiracy is conceptually possible, but seems highly improbable and there is absolutely zero evidence to support it.

Furthermore, the USAID investigation is related to corruption and theft within the Ukrainian government, not corruption within SpaceX. It seems much more plausible that corrupt Ukrainians were selling terminals to Russia, rather than that corrupt SpaceX people (this includes Elon) were selling out Ukrainian positions to the Russians.
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 09:30:54 AM by Herbert Derp »

GuitarStv

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #640 on: March 04, 2025, 09:39:40 AM »
So do you concede that the only way the USAID investigation could be related to Elon Musk or SpaceX is that if there was a conspiracy within SpaceX to sell out the locations of Ukrainian troops so that Russia could ambush them and capture the USAID-provided Starlink terminals?

I do agree that this conspiracy is conceptually possible, but seems highly improbable and there is absolutely zero evidence to support it.

No, not necessarily.

Easy scenario to imagine that requires no conspiracy - Ukraine reports captured Starlink units to Musk/SpaceX.  Musk/SpaceX fail to shut off data access for captured units in a timely manner.  No conspiracy, but an investigation would show that there's a problem on the Musk/SpaceX side that is lending aid to Russia.

But even assuming that Musk was selling out Ukrainian troops to Russia, there's no conspiracy necessary.  Musk has access to all of Starlink's data all on his lonesome.  He could easily do the selling out on his own without involving anyone else and sidestepping any concerns of involving people in a conspiracy.

No need to have a highly improbably conspiracy in either case.


Furthermore, the USAID investigation is related to corruption and theft within the Ukrainian government, not corruption within SpaceX. It seems much more plausible that corrupt Ukrainians were selling terminals to Russia, rather than corrupt SpaceX people selling out Ukrainian positions to the Russians.

Absolutely, it's totally possible (and extremely likely) that corrupt Ukrainians were selling terminals to Russia.  Ukrainians aren't saints.  They're involved in a messy land war against a much more powerful neighbouring country.  I'd be shocked if there aren't at least a few folks taking bribes from Russia and aiding Russia from the Ukrainian side.  Honestly, shutting down USAID's investigation into the matter makes no sense . . . unless the goal is to help these people remain hidden in Ukraine and thereby provide aid to Russia.

This is in line with other actions that the multibillionaire has taken.  Musk has been in secret contact with Putin since 2022 (https://www.politico.eu/article/elon-musk-in-secret-contact-vladimir-putin-since-2022-claims-wall-street-journal-report-us-ukraine-russia-war-starlink/, https://www.yahoo.com/tech/elon-musk-regularly-spoken-vladimir-141200847.html).  While we don't know exactly what they've been discussing during that time . . . we do know that Musk has repeatedly said or tweeted Russian talking points (https://www.politico.eu/article/elon-musk-spacex-starlink-satellites-funding-ukraine/, https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1576969255031296000, https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-news/elon-musk-peddling-putin-propaganda-ukraine-crimea-1234612343/).

Now ultimately I have no idea if Musk has been secretly helping Russia during the Ukraine war, or what the nature of his secret talks with Putin were.  What is clear is that he has massive conflicts of interest with USAID and shouldn't be allowed to go anywhere near funding decisions for the organization.

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #641 on: March 04, 2025, 09:50:25 AM »
Easy scenario to imagine that requires no conspiracy - Ukraine reports captured Starlink units to Musk/SpaceX.  Musk/SpaceX fail to shut off data access for captured units in a timely manner.  No conspiracy, but an investigation would show that there's a problem on the Musk/SpaceX side that is lending aid to Russia.

Not plausible. Ukraine should be dealing with the US government, not SpaceX, a private US company. And if Ukraine even thought that SpaceX was involved in a conspiracy against them, of course they would go through the US government to report captured terminals. Because that way the US government would be aware of the “delay” in deactivating captured terminals and SpaceX would be exposed in their treachery!

But even assuming that Musk was selling out Ukrainian troops to Russia, there's no conspiracy necessary.  Musk has access to all of Starlink's data all on his lonesome.  He could easily do the selling out on his own without involving anyone else and sidestepping any concerns of involving people in a conspiracy.

No need to have a highly improbably conspiracy in either case.

This second scenario still describes a conspiracy by Elon Musk to sell out Ukrainian positions to the Russians, which I personally find to be highly improbable. Perhaps you think it is plausible, but at least we should both agree that it is a conspiracy within SpaceX. Since it is a conspiracy. And Elon Musk is part of SpaceX.

Absolutely, it's totally possible (and extremely likely) that corrupt Ukrainians were selling terminals to Russia.  Ukrainians aren't saints.  They're involved in a messy land war against a much more powerful neighbouring country.  I'd be shocked if there aren't at least a few folks taking bribes from Russia and aiding Russia from the Ukrainian side.

Cool. Sounds like you, USAID, and I are all in agreement about this!
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 09:54:55 AM by Herbert Derp »

GuitarStv

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #642 on: March 04, 2025, 10:02:20 AM »
Easy scenario to imagine that requires no conspiracy - Ukraine reports captured Starlink units to Musk/SpaceX.  Musk/SpaceX fail to shut off data access for captured units in a timely manner.  No conspiracy, but an investigation would show that there's a problem on the Musk/SpaceX side that is lending aid to Russia.

Not plausible. Ukraine should be dealing with the US government, not SpaceX, a private US company. And if Ukraine even thought that SpaceX was involved in a conspiracy against them, of course they would go through the US government. Because that way the US government would be aware of the “delay” and SpaceX would be exposed in their treachery!

There doesn't have to be any treachery or conspiracy.  Just not putting a very high priority on shutting down systems reported captured.  SpaceX is a big company with a limited number of employees acting as resources.  The government will be making many demands as a paying partner.  I've worked at a private company under the US military before.  They make their list of requests, we prioritize them according to our own metrics and then address them - that's pretty typical.


But even assuming that Musk was selling out Ukrainian troops to Russia, there's no conspiracy necessary.  Musk has access to all of Starlink's data all on his lonesome.  He could easily do the selling out on his own without involving anyone else and sidestepping any concerns of involving people in a conspiracy.

No need to have a highly improbably conspiracy in either case.

This second scenario still describes a conspiracy by Elon Musk to sell out Ukrainian positions to the Russians, which I personally find to be highly improbable. Perhaps you think it is plausible, but at least we should both agree that it is a conspiracy within SpaceX. Since it is a conspiracy. And Elon Musk is part of SpaceX.[/quote]

No.  Look up the definition of the word.  A conspiracy happens only when more than one person makes a plan to secretly do something.  Musk wouldn't need to involve anyone else at SpaceX, he has access to everything the company does all on his own.  Musk acting independently is not a group, so therefore would not be part of a conspiracy.

Conspiracies are less likely to occur simply because each person you add to the group increases the odds that someone will say something wrong or give away the secret.  This is not the case when a single person is acting alone.

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #643 on: March 04, 2025, 10:03:00 AM »
Ukraine found out the hard way when Musk unilaterally scuttled a Ukrainian drone attack against the Russian navy by preventing Starlink communications in Crimea earlier in the war - https://kyivindependent.com/musk-says-he-didnt-turn-on-starlink-due-to-us-sanctions-on-russia/).

At the risk of starting another argument, I 100% believe that SpaceX was in the right to deny Ukraine’s request to activate Starlink for the Crimea attack.

If they accepted Ukraine’s request, that would be a private US company participating in a military operation against another country without the permission of the US government. Elon would have gotten even more flak for that, and probably gotten in actual legal trouble with the US government.

If Ukraine wants to do something like that, they need to do it using Starshield (the version of Starlink controlled by the US military), with the approval of the US government.

Herbert Derp

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #644 on: March 04, 2025, 10:14:45 AM »
There doesn't have to be any treachery or conspiracy.  Just not putting a very high priority on shutting down systems reported captured.  SpaceX is a big company with a limited number of employees acting as resources.  The government will be making many demands as a paying partner.  I've worked at a private company under the US military before.  They make their list of requests, we prioritize them according to our own metrics and then address them - that's pretty typical.

That’s interesting, I feel like if the US government felt that SpaceX was impeding the deactivation of captured terminals, they would find a way to straighten SpaceX out right away. No way they would put up with something like this, especially the Biden administration against an Elon Musk company.

But if you think it’s typical for private companies to be slow in addressing requests from the military, point taken. It doesn’t sound malicious, though, especially in the personal experiences you are talking about.

No.  Look up the definition of the word.  A conspiracy happens only when more than one person makes a plan to secretly do something.  Musk wouldn't need to involve anyone else at SpaceX, he has access to everything the company does all on his own.  Musk acting independently is not a group, so therefore would not be part of a conspiracy.

Conspiracies are less likely to occur simply because each person you add to the group increases the odds that someone will say something wrong or give away the secret.  This is not the case when a single person is acting alone.

Wouldn’t that be a conspiracy between Elon and the Russians? Anyway, this is splitting hairs, no point to argue further on semantics. We can agree to disagree that I find this scenario of Elon selling out Ukrainian positions to the Russians to be improbable, and you do not, apparently.

Anyway, let me know if you have any sources that indicate that anyone in USAID, or the US government, or the Ukrainian government, or anyone credible, actually thought that Elon or SpaceX was maliciously involved in USAID-provided Starlink terminals falling into the hands of Russians.

I assume there is no evidence or consensus and that these scenarios are solely your own speculation.
« Last Edit: March 04, 2025, 10:25:27 AM by Herbert Derp »

GuitarStv

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #645 on: March 04, 2025, 11:14:31 AM »
There doesn't have to be any treachery or conspiracy.  Just not putting a very high priority on shutting down systems reported captured.  SpaceX is a big company with a limited number of employees acting as resources.  The government will be making many demands as a paying partner.  I've worked at a private company under the US military before.  They make their list of requests, we prioritize them according to our own metrics and then address them - that's pretty typical.

That’s interesting, I feel like if the US government felt that SpaceX was impeding the deactivation of captured terminals, they would find a way to straighten SpaceX out right away. No way they would put up with something like this, especially the Biden administration against an Elon Musk company.

But if you think it’s typical for private companies to be slow in addressing requests from the military, point taken. It doesn’t sound malicious, though, especially in the personal experiences you are talking about.

No.  Look up the definition of the word.  A conspiracy happens only when more than one person makes a plan to secretly do something.  Musk wouldn't need to involve anyone else at SpaceX, he has access to everything the company does all on his own.  Musk acting independently is not a group, so therefore would not be part of a conspiracy.

Conspiracies are less likely to occur simply because each person you add to the group increases the odds that someone will say something wrong or give away the secret.  This is not the case when a single person is acting alone.

Wouldn’t that be a conspiracy between Elon and the Russians? Anyway, this is splitting hairs, no point to argue further on semantics. We can agree to disagree that I find this scenario of Elon selling out Ukrainian positions to the Russians to be improbable, and you do not, apparently.

Anyway, let me know if you have any sources that indicate that anyone in USAID, or the US government, or the Ukrainian government, or anyone credible, actually thought that Elon or SpaceX was maliciously involved in USAID-provided Starlink terminals falling into the hands of Russians.

I assume there is no evidence or consensus and that these scenarios are solely your own speculation.

No, I have no evidence at all.  And there won't be any evidence since Musk shut down the investigation that would have been able to provide it.

This is the whole fucking point.  Musk should not be allowed to touch things that he has a clear conflict of interest in.  Maybe there's nothing to see, maybe there is.  Musk shouldn't be allowed to make the call on that though.

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #646 on: March 04, 2025, 12:54:46 PM »

mtnrider

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #647 on: March 04, 2025, 04:29:24 PM »

No, I have no evidence at all.  And there won't be any evidence since Musk shut down the investigation that would have been able to provide it.

This is the whole fucking point.  Musk should not be allowed to touch things that he has a clear conflict of interest in.  Maybe there's nothing to see, maybe there is.  Musk shouldn't be allowed to make the call on that though.

Now we all see why it was suspicious that Musk shut down an agency that just happened to be investigating something about Starlink.  There was not yet evidence of wrongdoing, but there is now the appearance of impropriety since he didn't let the investigation continue.

There were 5 independent inspectors general looking into Musk's companies.  They were fired.  There were 12 agencies looking at (sometimes very obvious) violations.  It looks like they're all stopped.  This looks very much like it is not the rule of law, but the golden rule.  The person with the gold makes the rules.

I wonder if non-governmental suits will go forward?  As I recall, a game company was suing SpaceX for trespass.


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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #648 on: March 04, 2025, 05:06:02 PM »

No, I have no evidence at all.  And there won't be any evidence since Musk shut down the investigation that would have been able to provide it.

This is the whole fucking point.  Musk should not be allowed to touch things that he has a clear conflict of interest in.  Maybe there's nothing to see, maybe there is.  Musk shouldn't be allowed to make the call on that though.

There were 5 independent inspectors general looking into Musk's companies.  They were fired.  There were 12 agencies looking at (sometimes very obvious) violations.  It looks like they're all stopped.  This looks very much like it is not the rule of law, but the golden rule.  The person with the gold makes the rules.

Trump fired them, not Musk.  Trump's complaints seem more numerous than Musk's, and I would assume he acted out :) his own ideas.  It was not the one with the gold who did it, but the one with the gold hair.  And those who were fired are suing to determine if those firings were legal.

"On January 24, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the immediate firing of at least 17 inspectors general across various federal government cabinet departments and agencies."
"On February 12, 2025, eight of the fired inspectors general sued."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_dismissals_of_inspectors_general

mtnrider

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Re: Musk takeover
« Reply #649 on: March 04, 2025, 07:04:54 PM »

No, I have no evidence at all.  And there won't be any evidence since Musk shut down the investigation that would have been able to provide it.

This is the whole fucking point.  Musk should not be allowed to touch things that he has a clear conflict of interest in.  Maybe there's nothing to see, maybe there is.  Musk shouldn't be allowed to make the call on that though.

There were 5 independent inspectors general looking into Musk's companies.  They were fired.  There were 12 agencies looking at (sometimes very obvious) violations.  It looks like they're all stopped.  This looks very much like it is not the rule of law, but the golden rule.  The person with the gold makes the rules.

Trump fired them, not Musk.  Trump's complaints seem more numerous than Musk's, and I would assume he acted out :) his own ideas.  It was not the one with the gold who did it, but the one with the gold hair.  And those who were fired are suing to determine if those firings were legal.

"On January 24, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump announced the immediate firing of at least 17 inspectors general across various federal government cabinet departments and agencies."
"On February 12, 2025, eight of the fired inspectors general sued."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_dismissals_of_inspectors_general

Totally.  All part of their unitary executive theory.  They were supposed to have 30 days notice.  And certainly Trump wanted to get pesky inspectors looking into things out of the way before they started making reports about what was going on.

Still, there can be two reasons behind it.  Trump knew that the Musk investigations were happening.  Just like the other Musk investigations by regulatory agencies were tossed, and that also happens to fit with the absolutist deregulation policy of Project 2025.

Was it an open quid pro quo for the election funding from Musk?  Probably.

 

Wow, a phone plan for fifteen bucks!