I've got a friend who is in the Musk/Tesla cult, full on. His reasoning is that Tesla will just continue to double output every two years. That's simply something we haven't seen with them beyond getting through "production hell" with Model 3. And they're still building them in a tent lmao.
Lets go back in the wayback machine to 2013. Tesla produced/sold ~22,400 vehicles. Lets double that: 44,800 vehicles.
Real 2015 production: 51,095.
Well darn. That's way higher than your friend predicted. Lets try another and double it to 102,200
Real 2017 production: 101,027.
Totally failed that, Fell short of doubling by like 2%. Lets double again to 202,000
Real 2019 production: 365,094.
Well, shoot. That's more than tripling in 2 years. Your friend is totally lowballing if you look at the average increase every 2 years.
Maybe it will look better if we go back further! How about 2011?
Real 2011 production: ~1000.
Well, shoot. That went up ~22x in 2 years to 2013.
So, in short - your friend is actually right, yet again your FUD is shown to be false. On average, Tesla is doubling production (if not more) every 2 years.
Going forward, they just built an entire factory from mud field to cars coming off the line in less than a year, and have started on their 3rd major car production factory in Europe. Plus whatever they do in the USA this year for Y, Semi and Roadster.
You've conclusively proven you have an axe to grind and are just flinging out bad data. What's your motivation here?