Now I realize he is pretty well set (with his blog income, even if his 'initial plan' is somewhat BS)
May I ask what 'initial plan' of MMM you are referring to and why it is somewhat 'BS', I am genuinely curious?
Yeah, having a 750k portfolio (approx what MMM had, IIRC) on 25k spending (and a 400k paid off home helping keep the spending at that level, and able to be tapped if necessary) is a 3.3% SWR. Seems pretty fine.
Or, you know, BS.
/eyeroll
Lol. I was on another forum where MMM's plan was met with a lot of scoffing. I'm not amazing at maths but his figures seem to add up to me.:)
Hey, I know I'm going to get flak for this beer induced honesty. Better to get beat up on the internet than at the bar....
So, to back up my comment, MMM did not always have a 'fool proof' ER plan, IMHO. The first time I realized this was in this post:
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/09/08/my-750-bread-making-machine-2/ Basically, this guy I was so enamored with was equating not spending money (not buying bread) to making money. (However, he has since gone and updated the article twice, so I think he's toned down or clarified what he meant and now it just reads that he saved money, not made money). However, on the initial read I thought 'by that logic, every homeless person in Houston qualifies as 'Financially Independent' and just waited to see how his logic fared in a second Great Recession (which incidentally, never happened).
Then came:
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/12/01/mr-money-mustache-gets-passed-the-early-retirement-torch/ Jacob was a guy that really did have an awesome combination of frugality and brains. I wouldn't say that ERE flamed out, but he pretty clearly stated, at least at that point in his life, that there was more to life than fighting society (or at least the Internet Police) to be called 'retired'. I wondered if this would happen to MMM eventually. In fact, it's the core of my next post about what I'm calling this next phase of my life. Although ER seems to have captured everyone's imagination, once you're FI, I'm of the opinion that you should actually try to avoid calling your situation 'retirement'. My Dad ER'ed at 55. He did exactly what society at large understands retirement to be, he hung up his pursuit of making money and did lots of leisurely things. He spent money on fancy vacations, he did charity work in Haiti, and he blissfully let the world go on about its business. I think that people in their 20's, 30's, and 40's are not 'retiring' like this and need a new word for it. I am going to propose, 'exploring'. We are downshifting from a good income that came with doing what others told us, to figuring out what we want to do. Many of us will find pleasure in 'slow travel', and in many cases, there is also the possibility of having an income from following our dreams, but income is no longer the driver. Being truly FI means we are free to try and fail for the next 40 years, because failure means something completely different to us. Unfortunately I never got to find out what 'failure' would look like to MMM, other than maybe being so successful that he can't just go about his business. I mused about this a long, long time ago...
Last but not least, the post that made me think MMM was leading others on the path to FIRE astray was:
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2012/04/12/early-retirement-its-not-as-risky-as-you-think/ He really downplays (maybe from the benefit of hindsight) just how tough 2008/9 was on a retiree. I can't imagine myself being ER'ed at that time, having what I recall was 600k in investments* cut in half, and an un-sellable house. If I find myself in this situation, my wife will not be on board with me continuing to write a low-income blog while my professional degree and experience sits idle. I also thought MMM 'retired' before Mrs.MM, which maybe helped him ride through the 2009 sell-off without needing to get a job. Can't find a reference for that tho.
I don't have anything against Pete, this isn't meant to be a criticism, just my own opinion, and it has been a fantastic ride following him over the years, but now that he is putting a fancy metal roof on his house and under-floor heating, I don't really know why I'm still doing this (following his blog). Even though I disagreed with him on many posts, it always got me thinking, but not so much anymore. I do still get a lot out of the forum, especially ARS, DragonCar, CheddarStacker, Sol, and others comments.
Thanks for reading my over-long, overly internalized, one-beer too many rambling
\shrug
:)
*
http://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2011/11/11/how-much-is-too-much-in-your-401k/