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Other => Off Topic => Topic started by: HuskiesUnited on December 10, 2021, 09:54:07 AM

Title: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HuskiesUnited on December 10, 2021, 09:54:07 AM
Covid vaccines and now boosters are here, treatments for those who get the disease continue to improve, and death rates are falling.  The virus isn't going away, and will be with us forever like common cold and flu.  The world is open - football stadiums are full of fans, Broadway shows have reopened, etc. 

Which activities have you resumed doing and which ones are you not ready for yet, if ever?  If you are still holding back from a pre-pandemic activity, do you have some type of metric that will make it okay for you again?

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only?
Working on site?
Church?
Gym?
Getting on an airplane?
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?
Going to a bar?

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 10, 2021, 10:07:32 AM
I'm doing indoor unmasked gatherings with vaccinated friends/family; no unvaccinated people though.
Masking in stores/businesses because it is low effort and I don't know the vaccination status of the employees/clientele.
Avoiding indoor dining because it is not worth the risk to me, unless I'm in NYC where proof of vaccination is required.
Going to shows/indoor performances that require proof of vaccination and masking.
Anything goes outdoors because it is low risk, but I don't typically like crowds much anyway and don't usually do crowded events.
I wish my gym required proof of vaccination, but it doesn't (although my yoga studio does).  I do a few group fitness classes per week anyway because it is worth the risk to me.  They are limiting the number of people in class but I'm still exposed to a group of 10-12 people of unknown vaccination status and unmasked.
I have always worked remotely and continue to do so.
I've upgraded my masks to kn 95s.  I'm pretty comfortable doing things where necessary even in close quarters like flying with a good mask on.

I will stop masking indoors when we go back down to a moderate/low level of community spread as defined/recommended by the CDC.  I may stop going to the gym if things get really bad again this winter, but that will be the last thing to go.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: fell-like-rain on December 10, 2021, 10:19:55 AM
Indoors with people I know are vaccinated- no mask
Indoors with a vax requirement- mask
Indoors without vax requirement- mask and only if necessary. So no to indoor dining, yes to grocery stores, etc.
Outdoors- anything goes, would probably mask up in a crowd
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Edubb20 on December 10, 2021, 10:51:33 AM
triple vaxxed.

masked indoors in all but close friend/family settings or in large outdoor gatherings.

everything else goes.


*i will adapt this if omicron or another variant poses more risk of severe illness.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: driftwood on December 10, 2021, 10:59:06 AM
If vaccination reduces COVID hospitalization/deaths to levels similar to the flu, I'd like to go back to no masking/social distancing/quarantine requirements at all.

** Edited to answer the rest of your question **

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Unmasked, it turns out that the friends I hang out with in person are vaccinated, so that was an easy one.
Church? N/A
Gym? I exercise at home. Our base gym is masks mandatory so if I were to go there I'd mask up.
Getting on an airplane? Masks are mandatory so I do that as well.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?  I was wearing a mask even after there wasn't a state/county/city requirement. But with the normal distance and constant movement at a store like Walmart or Target, I don't really understand how risky it is to be unmasked if you're a vaccinated (x3) person.  I am not near anyone in any store for 15 min, which used to be the standard for being a primary contact.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?  I'm comfortable dining there. If there's a "please wear your mask when not at the table rule" I comply. It's easy to put on.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?  N/A, I don't really go to those anyway
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?  I'd only wear a mask if mandatory. And the only indoor thing I do that might fall into this category is a movie theater. I went to one movie in 2021 and wore my mask. But the theater I go to has seating that is pretty spread out.
Going to a bar?  No masks at all. Very crowded. I went to a bar once this year.  It was odd to be around so many people. But again, vaccinated x3 so I now feel about as safe from COVID as I am from the flu. Not that I can't get it, but that it won't be a "big deal" for me.

Not on the list, but I work for the DoD, so I wear a mask at all times while on base and indoors. They've made vaccination mandatory, and are starting the process of separating those who won't get vaccinated. With that kind of push for the vaccination, I do want the mask rules to go away. Can there be some sort of relief for those who are vaccinated?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 10, 2021, 11:07:22 AM
Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? - No.  Although I do have vaccinated people come into my house on occasion.  Like, one at a time.
Church? No, but I'm an atheist
Gym? No, but I did swim at the indoor pool a few times in May, and hope to do again in the new year.
Getting on an airplane?  About to do that next week for the first time since summer 2019, KN95'd.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?  No, but masks are required indoors here (California), and I will continue to do so on our holiday trip, even though we are traveling to places where people don't mask (and their cases are 5-10x ours).
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? No.  I have eaten indoors once, with a big open window.  I might again today (company interview), but I'd rather not.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? No
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? No
Going to a bar? No
Outdoor holiday happy hour?  Yes
Outdoor potluck with friends?  Yes
School indoors masked (my kids)?  Yes

We are traveling to visit elderly parents and immunocompromised...so we have been very conservative and continue to be so.  I will be taking many rapid tests on this trip.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on December 10, 2021, 11:11:38 AM
I'm in Florida, where rates are currently very low. (That's not a win... it's just because DeSantis basically took ZERO action to prevent EVERYONE from getting it when we got hit with Delta in August/September, but whatever.) In my county, we're at about 5 cases per 100k people per day, which is defined as "moderate" by the CDC (no masks needed if vaccinated).

My husband and I have both had Moderna x 3 and my daughter has had Pfizer x 2.

Over the last couple of months (since our Delta surge subsided), we've returned more or less to normal. We're going to church unmasked (we were some of the last to stop wearing them) but the overwhelming majority of our congregation is triple-vaccinated. Our daughter is unmasked at school. We've attended a few larger after-school events sans masks. We're eating inside at restaurants again. We usually don't wear masks in stores or other places, unless they're really crowded or other people are masked (in an effort to be considerate).

If cases start to climb again locally, that would probably change. When we visit my husband's vaccinated family over Christmas (driving, not flying), we'll be more cautious when out in public because their area has 10x as many cases as here. I'm attending a big professional conference in January, but luckily they're requiring masks.... hopefully they'll have good compliance/enforcement, because people will be attending from all over.

I'm trying to base our decisions on current circumstances and data. If transmission in our area is low-moderate and vaccines continue to prevent severe effects, I'm fine with "back to normal." If our hospitals start to become overwhelmed again, I'll do everything I can to minimize any chance that I could be contributing to that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 10, 2021, 11:13:34 AM
Back to doing everything without thinking about who may or may not be vaccinated.  Wearing a mask only where required / enforced.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jim555 on December 10, 2021, 11:16:45 AM
Boosted Moderna, so not wearing a mask unless required.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 10, 2021, 11:19:14 AM
We, like much of the country, are going through a bad patch right now. So DH and I are pulling back from where we were just a couple of months ago. Then, I would go out to restaurants with friends who were fully vaxxed, mask up until we were at our table. Now? Nope.


Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? Yes, only vaccinated people we know well enough to trust they are not dumb.
Church? Don't go to church
Gym? Don't go to the gym, but wouldn't right now
Getting on an airplane? Nope
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Nope, not until things settle down. And honestly, masking up is such a small effort, I'll do it anyway.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Not right now. A month ago, I would have gone to one that wasn't busy.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? No, but also very little desire
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? No
Going to a bar? Not right now. Hopefully when infection rates drop back down.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Sibley on December 10, 2021, 12:25:02 PM
Indoor gatherings with friends? Vaccinated people only? No masks, unless requested by someone.
Church? n/a
Gym? n/a
Getting on an airplane? no need, and I don't like flying anyway. no plans anytime soon
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? my area is red and the hospitals are full. I wear masks, but am not really strict about it.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy? sure Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? sure
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full? n/a Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? n/a
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?  going to C2E2 Sunday. Vaxx or test is required, masks are required. I'm wearing a N95 due to the large number of people. not really worried though.
Going to a bar? n/a

I'll comply with mask requirements or requests, not a big deal. I do appreciate vaxx requirements and have a picture of my card on my phone.

Overall, I'm doing my normal life, with a mask on.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dave1442397 on December 10, 2021, 02:09:34 PM
Indoor gatherings with friends? Yes  Vaccinated people only? Yes
Church? I only go to those for weddings and funerals
Gym? Nope. I had just joined Planet Fitness before Delta/Omicron, so I went and bought the X3 system and am working out at home
Getting on an airplane?  Not yet, but I am planning on a trip in June '22
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? No
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Yes Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  No, I prefer watching on TV Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? Again, prefer TV
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  No, prefer TV for sports, and quit concerts in the cellphone era Indoor stadiums at full capacity? Nope
Going to a bar? No, but that's not something I've ever done unless meeting someone or at a party, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 10, 2021, 02:20:10 PM
I don't think COVID is going away, ever. Seems like we would need to do a real, worldwide lockdown to make that happen, and I don't see any appetite for that. We should all get vaccinated so that we don't have to worry so much about catching it or spreading it. Beyond that we should generally resume normal life, because if your precondition for resuming certain activities is "wait until there's no more COVID spreading in our community" you'll be waiting a while.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 10, 2021, 02:27:09 PM
Sitting around wishing people could talk about testing more.

There are enough breakthrough cases that maybe your max status doesn't matter if you say went on a trip to visit a bunch of people and now are back and want to hang out.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 10, 2021, 02:44:02 PM
I'm definitely in the going back to normal camp and living with COVID.  I am trying to tell myself and others that it's most likely that we will get COVID some day, and it can't be a shameful thing or carry any stigma just to catch it.  I feel like where I live it would be seen that way. 

Not to say I am trying to catch it, though.  As with the cold and flu, which I would be happy to manage avoid catching for the rest of my life (even though I realize this is also probably unrealistic), I am happy to take some basic precautions while going about life.  While I expect I may always wear a mask on public transport and planes from now on, I've been back to restaurants for a long time and am not concerned about capacity.  I have been to two crowded performance spaces (masks on, vaxx requirement) and haven't really considered whether I would go if they didn't have those requirements.  I'm banking on the fact that the public health agencies here are so cautious that they will always be requiring equal to or more than I need to feel comfortable.

I've also been doing indoors with friends and friends of friends, etc and not asking about vaxx status, but again mostly because I live in an area and am friends with people that are unlikely to be unvaxxed.  We go primarily unmasked.  I would probably go back to not wearing a mask for shorter indoor things like grabbing cat food at the pet store or even a grocery trip, if that ever comes about again where I live.

This would probably be a much tougher question for me if I lived where there were lots of anti-vaxxers.  Rather than making me angry about "losing my liberties" or what-not to have to wear a mask sometimes when I don't think it's necessary, I appreciate that I can generally assume that the requirements are at or near where I feel protected and safe without me having to do tons of my own research and vetting of the issue. It's nice to export that decision-making to my local public health experts!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 10, 2021, 03:49:11 PM
I live in an area with a very high vax rate and an indoor mask mandate which is universally followed, but also sharply rising case numbers and a full ICU.

We go to church and into the store and to tai chi and to the library, but everyone is masked and I’d better that almost everyone is vaxed. We aren’t eating in restaurants but that isn’t something I especially want to do, though other adults in our house go out for that.

I dunno. There’s not much else I want to do, but I’ll never be younger or healthier than I am today so I’d at least think about it if I did.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 10, 2021, 04:56:15 PM
I'm young, healthy, and have immunity through infection and full vaccination. I'm required to wear a mask at work and will wear a mask upon request, but I'm otherwise living life like normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 10, 2021, 05:13:36 PM
We avoid optional indoor activities, wearing masks when we have to be indoors with other people (like grocery stores). Yes to all outdoor activities, no masks.

I don't see low cases as a license to relax vigilance. It's pretty clear by now that any drop in cases is temporary. It's precisely the treatment of a lull as a permanent state of affairs that leads to the next spike being as rapid as they had been. They are probably unavoidable, but they don't have to be as bad.

I refuse to see the situation in binary terms. 1,000,000 deaths are worse than 100,000, which is worse than 1,000, which is worse than 1. If Covid is here to stay, it is still imperative that we lose fewer friends and neighbors rather than more.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: pdxvandal on December 10, 2021, 05:37:57 PM
Indoor gatherings with friends? Yes  Vaccinated people only? No, but most of our friends are vaxxed
Church? N/A
Gym? Yes, started going 3-4 times a month this fall.
Getting on an airplane? Have flown to three different states this year and next weekend will be four.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? No
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Yes Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Yes, did that in September and will catch an NFL game next month outdoors
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Yes, went to first indoor concerts this fall for the first time since $hit hit the fan Indoor stadiums at full capacity? Not yet. Been to a dozen non-full indoor stadiums usually with a mask on.
Going to a bar? Yes, probably a dozen times this year.

That being said, I'm triple vaxxed and trying to live my life as "normally" as possible. Vax rates in my area are pretty high (80%), especially for 12-18 year olds (90%).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on December 10, 2021, 05:57:59 PM
I absolutely do not give two shits and will happily do anything legally allowed. I wear a mask if I see a sign to wear a mask or know that I'm supposed to in that place. However, in all honesty most of the things on your list I have zero interest in, even pre-pandemic - church, gym, bars, stadiums, etc. I went to a restaurant last weekend to check out a new local place, and that was fun. We've done some stuff with friends, but are not really super social people overall.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on December 10, 2021, 06:09:01 PM
Triple Vaxxed (Moderna) DH and I. Kids are both 2xs (Pfizer)
We are living life as normal. Unmasked. Masks at the kids school are now voluntary and the school has seen a big spike in cases but mostly asymptotic or minimal symptoms.
I feel like we’ve done all we can do so we need to move on.
We will be testing our family before we see my 98 year old grandfather at Christmas though.

Anybody who hasn’t been vaxxed at this point is really crazy IMHO.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SailingOnASmallSailboat on December 10, 2021, 06:37:28 PM
Triple vaxxed, Moderna.

Socialize indoors only with vaccinated friends at their house or ours, no masks unless the other party wishes it. Yes, we ask vax status (and had someone decline to come visit because we said masks required inside if you're not vaxxed)

Outdoor restaurants with reluctance and VERY infrequent. No indoor restaurants.

Mask everywhere inside (grocery store etc). Mask outside if crowded. Pretty much we feel this is likely to be our new normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on December 10, 2021, 06:39:46 PM
Where I live more than 98% of people over 11 have been double vaccinated (over 5 vaccination won’t start until January). As the Australian rollout started very late, almost no one has been double vaccinated for long enough to get the third dose. Nearby states (where I have been visiting) have more than 90% double vaccinated. All of Australia is about to reach 90%. We also have a lot less virus circulating.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  All my friends are vaccinated. Vaccinated people only? Probably, unless they’re children.
Church? Na
Gym? Na
Getting on an airplane? Not an issue. Must be masked.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Masks in stores - the workers there have to be masked, so I think it’s fair for me to return the courtesy.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Yes - if I go interstate the restaurant will only let you in if you show them you’re double vaccinated. Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes. Tables are still further apart than they used to be because of mandates. Where I live has such high vaccination rates that we don’t need to show our vaccination status.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full? Na  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? Na
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? Yes - masks are mandatory.
Going to a bar? Na

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to? No - Most of my interstate visits have included my 91 year old mother, and have included restaurant etc.. When I visit her, I do a lot more shopping, restaurants etc. than normal because she’s old and feeble, and is missing my father who died recently. She lives in a state with more covid19 circulating than where I live.

Na - don’t do this normally.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Rubyvroom on December 10, 2021, 06:42:22 PM
ICUs are at 98% capacity here w/ National Guard called in to staff long-term care facilities. I'm more worried about have my appendix burst or some other freak healthcare occurrence and dying in a waiting room. So yeah... no return to normal in my opinion until we get our healthcare workers out of this mess. I can go without the niceties / conveniences on their behalf.

That said, we see close family on occasion (indoors, unmasked, prefer vax but we've been making exceptions), but we do our best not to cross-pollinate between family units, so we space visits out ~2 weeks or so. Masks everywhere else indoors in public (even in the grocery store) because frankly, even if masks were only ~5% effective, I'd still wear one to attempt to help said hospital capacity issue.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dr. Pepper on December 10, 2021, 08:01:04 PM
Not over yet for me, although I wish it was. I'm in CO and as of today we had 1 open ICU bed in the entire state. The main hospital I practice at shut down elective cases today , the other 2 I work at have been shut down for months. Every time I'm on call I get called on covid patients with perforated GI tract, or needing chest tubes. No normal as of yet.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sailinlight on December 10, 2021, 08:09:39 PM
Not over yet for me, although I wish it was. I'm in CO and as of today we had 1 open ICU bed in the entire state. The main hospital I practice at shut down elective cases today , the other 2 I work at have been shut down for months. Every time I'm on call I get called on covid patients with perforated GI tract, or needing chest tubes. No normal as of yet.
You are saying there is exactly one ICU bed open in the entire state of Colorado today? Any way to substantiate that?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 10, 2021, 08:10:13 PM
We are all vaccinated and boosted.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only?  It's complicated.  We're willing to do infrequent indoor family holiday gatherings.  For the one at our house we are asking for same day negative at home tests (along with either being vaccinated and boosted or having recovered from C19), and then we'll go unmasked.  For a larger family gathering we can't ask for testing, so we will probably wear masks, and will weigh whether or not to go based on what's going on in a few weeks.
Church? No, but it's more complicated than C19, and we aren't sure what we want to do.
Gym? I don't go to the gym, we walk outside year round.
Getting on an airplane? No, but my kids will be flying soon.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? No.  We're still masking.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy? No.  We ate inside at a restaurant in summer, next to a large open window, and we ate inside at a restaurant with major distance between tables.  But we haven't since fall began. Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Definitely not.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full? We probably would be okay with this, but would choose to stay masked. Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? No.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full? No. Indoor stadiums at full capacity? No.
Going to a bar? No.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to? No.

We have movie tickets for Tuesday.  As of tonight there are 18 seats sold in an auditorium that holds more than 300 people.  We'll wear KN95 masks and we won't eat in the theater.

Really, I think our lives have changed forever, and we haven't figured out yet what we are going to be okay with.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 11, 2021, 01:58:51 AM
I have three doses of Pfizer:
Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? Yes (in practice everyone I know is vaccinated)
Church? I don't go to church.
Gym? I don't go to the gym.
Getting on an airplane? I would!
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? In OR we wear masks in stores.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? I don't go to stadiums.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? I don't go to stadiums.
Going to a bar? Yes

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?
If I needed to, but I usually see my minor children who live with their mom so it would be a large burden.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: soccerluvof4 on December 11, 2021, 03:39:28 AM
I live in WI and right now we have a pretty big spike in Covid Cases with the 1600+ ICU beds available as of the news yesterday only 39 are not filled. And this is from the Delta Variant not the new one yet.

I am at 7 months since my first two jabs of Pfizer and need to wait another 8 days before I can get a booster so I am 30 days past my recent surgery.

I will remain to do what I have been doing and that is wearing a masking if I go to any store, gym etc.. anything indoor public.

Not wear a mask if in groups of people I know or family get togethers.

The things that might have changed for life is I am not sure if I would ever fly again without wearing a mask and or sit in a theatre (not that i go to the movies) or any situation in a contained room of strangers. Maybe that will change over time but I have no problem wearing a mask and people can think what they want. I have had way to many people around my get violently sick, hospitalized and 3 pass away.

I don't obsess or think much about it as we are starting are 3 rd year of this but I also don't mind what others might find as an inconvenience or there right not to get vaccinated or wear a mask.

While I do wish everyone would get vaccinated I do believe in freedom of choice first and with the way the press covers this topic there is wonder why so many people are confused or misinformed about the whole Covid thing. So I just do what I feel is best for me because that is what I can control.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Blue Skies on December 11, 2021, 04:58:55 AM
If you are still holding back from a pre-pandemic activity, do you have some type of metric that will make it okay for you again?
We were waiting for my youngest to be fully vaccinated, which is today!

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only?  We have been getting together in small groups with friends and family.  I don't know anyone who is not vaccinated (other than those who were too young) so that doesn't really come up.
Church?  We were waiting for DD to be vaccinated.  Will probably start going again now.  They do require masks.
Gym?  NA.  We walk outside year round.
Getting on an airplane?  We have, with good masks.  I feel like with the airflow and filtration on planes that is probably the safest indoor crowded place to be.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?  No.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?  We have eaten inside with at least 6' between tables.  Often there are only a few people there total.  We go at off times, and not on weekends.  I wouldn't go on a Saturday night.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?  Would go, but have no reason to at this point.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?
We have gone to several that were less than half full, with everyone wearing masks.  We are planning to go to another one where it will be completely full, but everyone has to either be fully vaxxed or have a negative test and still everyone has to wear masks.   If there weren't masking I would be much less comfortable with this.
Going to a bar?  NA.  Never was a big bar person.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?  Last year we did quarantine before visits several times.  Now that the only higher risk people we see are triple vaxxed we don't.  We are cautious anyway, so I don't worry too much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: alsoknownasDean on December 11, 2021, 05:07:54 AM
Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? - OK if vaccinated (although I'm pretty sure all of my friends are). Since it's summer outdoors works fine.
Church? Nope.
Gym? Nope.
Getting on an airplane? Maybe but I haven't yet. Would probably wear an N95 if I did.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Outdoors yes, indoors no. Anywhere where I'll come into contact with people who are meeting hundreds of others a day, I'll wear a mask regardless of any requirements. For a while I was shopping during quieter periods and choosing stores with higher levels of mask wearing.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes, as there's a vaccination requirement for restaurants although I'd still be a little uncomfortable. I've got a few Christmas parties next week so we'll see.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? Yes but I'd wear a mask where required, especially if full.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? A little reluctant but I would if all eligible attendees are vaccinated and people were masked.
Going to a bar? Yes but preferably somewhere with an outdoor beer garden.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?
Here's the tricky part. I'll be getting tested before going to visit family over Christmas (they're all vaccinated), and I really don't want to have to quarantine on Christmas Day. I might be a bit more careful over the next couple of weeks.

A few more things:

- I'm avoiding taking public transport until the new year (although there's a mask requirement).
- My local sports club is open again and nobody wears masks there, although I'm pretty sure there'd be very few unvaccinated people there, and if indoors a window or door is generally open.

I've had x2 Pfizer, but since I had my second dose in October it'll be a while before I can get a booster.

In many ways, COVID is now at the back of my mind rather than the front.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: yakamashii on December 11, 2021, 06:46:12 AM
If you are still holding back from a pre-pandemic activity, do you have some type of metric that will make it okay for you again?

We've been holding off on international travel (mainly wanting to visit family in the US) because Japan's requirements for re-entry are burdensome and subject to rapid change. Things were looking good last month, with the mandatory quarantine period down to three days for long-term residents like us, but then Omicron popped up and set everything back. There was talk of closing the borders within a few days of the emergency of Omicron, so it just showed that anything can happen any time, and that we might find ourselves out of the country and not able to get back in, or having to quarantine for 14 days upon re-entry. Big fat nope there. Don't know when we'll feel like the likelihood of getting locked out is low enough to travel again. Maybe after we hit Omega?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on December 11, 2021, 06:46:27 AM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?
For us, the first is still a concern but I only see those folks once or twice a year so just need to be cautious then. But we have already made peace with the fact that at some point our family of four WILL GET COVID because it's not going away. And statistically, because we are vaccinated it will likely be a mild case. Once you are vaccinated COVID becomes just like the flu. NO? The last time I got the flu (despite getting the flu shot) it sucked for about 7 days and then I got better. Honestly the last time I had step throat was worse.

At what point do we start living our lives again?

I see my kids school struggling with how to handle everything right now. The latest guidelines are "mask to stay, test to play" so if a child is exposed they are to mask at school for 10 days and test on day one and seven. They have to refrain from sports until they test. None of that really makes sense because that means exposed children sit next to others at lunch and eat with no masks. Essentially there is NO WAY to keep my kid safe from COVID at school so that is why we have made peace with getting it at some point. It is running through the school like wildfire right now as far as "positive cases" but none of them are more than stuffy noses and headaches.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Rubyvroom on December 11, 2021, 08:25:18 AM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?

My decision not to participate in extra-curriculars is totally tied to my local healthcare system and whether it's keeping pace with the case load or drowning. We're in a state where elective surgeries have been postponed and the national guard has been called in to supplement care, and people in the metro may need to be medivac'd outstate just to find an ICU bed. I have many friends and family members who have kids in school and they are always going to shoulder some risk for that, and I, as a childless person, can help to mitigate some of that risk.

I'm just not certain that if someone I cared about (vax'd or unvax'd) got sick, that they'd have a bed available (based on data available today). So I can take my movie nights at home with my close family rather than at the theater or I can get takeout with friends rather than dining in, etc. It's just tradeoffs, and the calculation becomes less dire to me when our healthcare system isn't completely drowning and our positivity rate is below 5%. I also have some friends in healthcare and understand that this pace isn't sustainable, so the "opting out" is for them as well.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 11, 2021, 08:45:25 AM
We were very careful during the first few months of the pandemic, relaxed a little during the first summer (outdoor gatherings/dining), then got very strict again during the big COVID wave of winter 2020-2021.

Have since returned to normal life after getting double vaxxed March '21. Indoor dining, bars, gym, church, parties, play dates, holiday gatherings, school... you name it. We still bring masks everywhere, and will happily comply where required, but that's almost nowhere at this point.

I don't understand those deciding against the vaccine, especially older folks and/or those with comorbidities. The vaccine is an amazing breakthrough, and incredible gift... just seems stupid not to get it. But you can't fix stupid, so at this point I'm over it. Don't want to get vaxxed? Fine, take your chances with the disease and either die or develop natural immunity. When Delta hit I was very much like "bring it on" - not because I want anyone to suffer, but more of a sense that we can't protect people from bad decisions forever.

Here in Idaho we had our big Delta wave in early fall, which packed our ICUs to overflowing. There was a lot of finger waving and shaming from the national media. Now other states/regions are experiencing their waves while things are very quite here (based on wastewater testing, case counts, and healthcare metrics). I remember reading an article from an epidemiologist in the first weeks of the pandemic, and his take on the situation, based on prior pandemics, was that there would be multiple waves and phases, most people would get COVID-19 at some point, and it's something we'll need to learn to live with. Very prescient, will see if I can find it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Anon-E-Mouze on December 11, 2021, 11:49:32 AM
Everyone in my family circle who I see with any regularity, as well as all my colleagues and our friends, are all double-vaxxed. My parents, my sister and my in-laws are triple-vaxxed, DH and I, and my nearby SIL and BIL, will all be eligible for boosters (and will get them) in the next couple of weeks.

We are being especially careful because my MIL and SIL (who we see frequently) are vulnerable due to age or health conditions. And my 84 year-old father (who has lung/heart issues) is about to embark on simultaneous chemotherapy and radiation for cancer.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? I don't mingle much; my husband goes out with friends a bit more. We only gather indoors with vaccinated people.

Church? N/A (atheist)

Gym? We have a good home gym. I had been planning to start some in-person training sessions this fall but I have postponed those until after my dad is a few months past his cancer treatment.

Getting on an airplane? I have to fly cross-country to see my Dad. (Otherwise, I wouldn't fly.) DH has to fly weekly Canada-US for his job, but as a result is getting twice-weekly COVID tests. The fact that you have to be vaccinated to fly on domestic trips in Canada provides me with some comfort, but not enough for me to decide that it's worth the risk to fly for fun. (Also, I was planning to cut back on flights anyway for carbon/climate reasons.)

Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Masks are mandatory in Ontario and BC. I'd wear one even if they weren't.

Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?  Indoor restaurants that aren't busy and relatively infrequently (e.g. to celebrate a special occasion).

Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? N/A (not my thing)

Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? No for me, for now. DH went to one indoor concert this fall, which had a vaccine and mask requirement.

Going to a bar? Nope.

Added - going to the office: Our office is initiating its back-to-the-office policy beginning in the new year. We'll be expected to come to the office 1 day/week beginning in mid-January, 2 days/week beginning in mid-February and 3 days/week beginning in mid-March. Every employee and every other person who comes into our office must be vaccinated. Because of my Dad's health, I'm exempt from these expectations until after his treatment is over and I return from seeing him in BC.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?  Sort of. I plan to limit my exposure as much as possible for 10 days before my trips to see my Dad (and then get tested on arrival). However, DH will have to continue travelling weekly or every other week to the US during the period of my dad's treatment so I'll have some exposure to what my husband has exposure to. However, he does get tested on his way to the US and on his way home so that provides some degree of comfort.

Even after the pandemic is "over" (if it's ever over), I expect to continue wearing a mask on my 50-minute commute on public transit every weekday (at least in cold/flu season).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 11, 2021, 02:35:17 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?
For me it's a little of both.  And it's a risk/reward thing.

I have a parent that is nearly 80 and not in great health.  Vaccinated, but given that the breakthrough cases that have been fatal have been almost entirely in that demographic, well, I want to do what I can to protect them.

Then there's me.  I have some comorbidities myself.  I was also part of a clinical trial for one of the vaccines that hasn't been approved in the US yet.  People in this trial haven't gotten boosters yet (supposedly coming in the next month), though I definitely have been double-vaccinated at this point.  So overall, I don't know exactly how I would fare.  I'd probably be alright, assuming it works like the other vaccines, but the data is limited compared to Pfizer and such.

Finally, there's the risk/reward portion of the equation.  I don't feel like I'm missing out on anything I really care that much about.  Sure, it would be nice to eat in a restaurant, but if someone told me I never could again, I'd be slightly disappointed but that's about it.  Same with bars.  I hadn't been to a concert or live sporting event in a couple of years before this all started, so that hasn't changed much for me.  Wearing a mask to grocery shop and stuff doesn't bother me at all.  It's just one more step, like remembering to bring my reusable bags.  I only went to the movies like once or twice a year.  I sort of miss bowling, but not enough to worry about it.  I do miss not feeling like I'm going to have a panic attack if I get stuck in a crowd, like standing in a too-close line at an amusement park, but my choosing to move on won't change that feeling.  As for parties, well, I hate them so I might even consider the built-in excuse a slight positive.

So, the reward for me going "back to normal" is near zero, while the risk is that I lose a parent or get sick myself with unknown outcome.

in a world where breakthrough cases are a real thing, case rates really do matter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 11, 2021, 02:59:41 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?

Dh and I are both old enough that we are at risk even though we are vaxed and bolstered. I don’t want to get sick and I don’t want to get anyone else sick. The hospitals are full.

But we are doing the things that are important to us (church, library, running errands in person.)

What I *would* like to get back to is volunteering. We moved to a new state this year, and part of building a new social group, for us, is volunteer work. The things we would do in that line are not really taking new people yet.

I’m hoping this will be the last wave, but I guess we’ll wait and see.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 11, 2021, 03:14:50 PM

So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?

My mother-in-law is 85, and DH and/or I see her every day. She lives/is alone, and we don’t want her to get sick, or be isolated by herself like she was for months back in the early days of Covid.

I do not want to get the disease and transmit it to anyone, which is possible even if I have no symptoms.

And my husband is in his sixties, and has a couple of risk factors that mean the vaccine and booster might not be as effective as it would be in a younger person. I would be devastated if he got seriously ill or worse. Also, he is the more cautious of the two of us, and it is my belief that in a marriage, when there are decisions that could affect/harm both of you/the relationship, the default position should be to respect the more cautious or conservative one’s feelings.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 11, 2021, 03:46:01 PM
Yeah if you regularly see people who are at elevated risk I understand being more cautious. I will point out that among my county's age-65+ population, the odds of ending up in the hospital for COVID on any given day stand at about 1 in 200,000 right now (https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/vaccination-outcomes.aspx)...if you're vaccinated. If you're in that age group and not vaccinated the odds jump to worse than 1 in 5,000. The bad outcomes are overwhelmingly accruing to those who can't be bothered to get a couple of shots in the arm. After doing everything asked of me (and more) to help contain this thing for more than a year, I'm no longer interested in limiting my activities for the benefit of those who choose not to do their part. I'll happily wear a mask when requested/required, but beyond that...I'm just done caring about those who don't care about me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on December 11, 2021, 04:03:03 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?


Fair question. For us, we have children too young to be vaccinated. One child in their daycare class just tested positive, so in addition to the small risk that children have of serious cases, that means 10 days of no daycare for all the parents in the class.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 11, 2021, 04:11:25 PM
I do still struggle with the nuances of this question like most of us here do.  To visit some of the people who are at most risk requires me to  do more risky behaviors beforehand (i.e. both sets of our parents reside on different coasts and we are definitely visiting them this year, but that involves us going to airports, riding public transport, and other things riskier than we normally do, ironically). 

We are both triple vaxxed, and we are probably going to buy a bunch of tests to take with us (though the strategy of use of them is a whole other question) and obviously we'll be complying with other best practices like masking and washing and etc., but it's not risk-free.  It's still worth it to them and to us. 

But I'm trying to put it into perspective with other risks I normally take too.  I haven't actually looked up the numbers, but is it riskier or less risky than me getting in my car each day and taking the risk of hitting a pedestrian or cyclist (cyclist and pedestrian death and injury by car are terrifyingly high where I live)?  I have a feeling that we could come up with a lot of examples like that that we do each day without a second thought, taking great risk of causing harm to others.  But we've incorporated some basic safety standards and we just do our best from there. 

We're still all learning and evolving around the proper precautions to take, but I imagine it will be second nature to us all at some point soon.  But my point is, there is very little to nothing I won't do (that I *want* to do) anymore because I still pose some risk to people just like I never decide not to go somewhere in my car that I need or want to go just because I may kill or injure a cyclist, though if I think about it that way, I do feel slightly nauseated.  But, even with that thought, I'm about to hop in my car and I'll be careful and hope the odds continue to be in my favor, as they have been so far.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seemsright on December 11, 2021, 04:19:35 PM
I am starting to get back to life. Our state still has masks mandates and more BS. Our Gov is checked out, She partied in DC with no mask then got called out about it and then went to the Gov conference and wore a mask out of spite.  We do not have qualified people running our Health Department the head guy is a economists. and the Dr is a councilor not a epidemiologist. They are trying to make masks permit.  They have not done a public speech about Covid in a very long time...early Sept. They do not care to inform the people of this state.

I looked up the rules that make a Covid death. it is bananas.

I am not willing to be subjected to these rules any more. Thankfully we know as people of this state start to push back and do our own thing, the Gov caves.
I did my part, I got the vaccine. I social distanced, I wore my mask. I no longer can handle not doing anything. It is either I start to do my own thing outside my house, or I will go into a massive depressive state.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jim555 on December 11, 2021, 04:51:20 PM
NY just restarted a mask mandate for indoor public places that don't check vaccinated status.  The mask is going back on.  Thanks unvaccinated morons.  NYC and Long island are still low because of high vaccinations, upstate is popping into overload due to low vaccinations.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Hotstreak on December 11, 2021, 06:16:11 PM
I resumed full normal activities in early summer 2020, but continued to wear a mask as required by law in Oregon.  As of a few weeks ago, I am no longer wearing a mask at all, in indoor settings (again, this is illegal).  Compliance for indoor mask wearing is somewhere around 50%-95% depending on the store.  Some places, like the gym, certain sporting good stores, local bars, have compliance closer to 10% or 20%.  COVID is over and has been over since vaccines were widely available, and I'm done pretending otherwise by following along with Oregon's poorly justified COVID mandates.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Britan on December 11, 2021, 06:49:13 PM
Hard to say how much we are “back to normal”, as our norm would have likely changed no matter what : over the course of the pandemic, our first child turned 1, then 2, and we had a second baby. Many of the things we did before, we probably wouldn’t do now, pandemic or no. We wouldn’t even want do concerts, big parties, bars, or dining out, even if there was no COVID.

But I will say, since both adults are 3x vaccinated, we don’t feel like we are really restricted on anything we want to do. Older son goes to daycare. We go to the grocery store,  aquarium (masked as required). Grandparents (all vaccinated) flew cross country to help with the new baby. We go to small indoor birthday parties, unmasked, though only with people who have been in our “bubble” since the beginning.

Indoor mask mandate still in place for any public setting here, and I’m ok with that. I actually like masks and hope to keep wearing them when sick especially in cold/flu season. Bonus: they keep my nose warm in winter, so I actually wear them outside on chilly days even though it’s not mandatory. I actually hope that even after mandates are removed, mask wearing is the new normal when one is sick in public, as it is in other countries.

Most of our restricted activities are to prevent our kids, who are too young for the vaccine yet, from catching it. No big indoor birthday parties outside our bubble for example.  Part of that is just not wanting them to catch it. I know severity is generally low in their age range, but still. The bigger factor is the logistical nightmare it would cause. If older son gets it, he has to stay out of daycare until 14 days after symptoms subside, and daycare closes for everyone for 14 days. I don’t have sick or pto leave so we’d be out almost a month of my paycheck. Plus I’d be caring for a newborn and a toddler, and bless SAHPs, but I am not built for that, lol.

Once both kiddos have the vaccine, we’ll basically do whatever we want, though likely continue to wear masks. When required, or when sick even if not required.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 11, 2021, 06:59:50 PM
I have a 6 month old grand daughter so I am careful all the time and especially so in the 2 weeks before I go to visit.  I am old enough to be fairly high risk.  And yes, I am triple vaxed but the new omicron variant, which is here, is being caught by fully vaccinated people.  Plus most things are still not happening or only in very restricted ways.  So the mask and social distancing are still standard.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 11, 2021, 07:02:31 PM
I resumed full normal activities in early summer 2020, but continued to wear a mask as required by law in Oregon.  As of a few weeks ago, I am no longer wearing a mask at all, in indoor settings (again, this is illegal).  Compliance for indoor mask wearing is somewhere around 50%-95% depending on the store.  Some places, like the gym, certain sporting good stores, local bars, have compliance closer to 10% or 20%. COVID is over and has been over since vaccines were widely available, and I'm done pretending otherwise by following along with Oregon's poorly justified COVID mandates.

I dare you to say "Covid is over" to the families of the approximately 7500 people who died of Covid in the US in the last week alone, never mind around the world.  I'm sure they would appreciate knowing that once they are done burying their dead. 


~~~~

I'm definitely not back to normal, but also more relaxed than I was for 2020.  But to be fair, I was the most locked-down person I know during that time.  I still wear a mask when going anywhere indoors, though my spouse has talked me into eating in a restaurant (not crowded, and with plexi dividers between table) on a few occasions and we weren't masked while at the table.  I'm also more conscientious about hand washing, not touching my face, etc. I've also traveled by plane twice.  We are a 2 person household and are both vaxed and boosted.  DH's workplace still had Covid protocols in place, though in general everyone is back in the building.  They must either be fully vaxed (booster not required, yet) or test weekly while they wait to hear back on their applications for exemptions (which I expect will be denied in nearly all, of not all, cases). And meeting sizes, room capacities, etc. are still limited. 


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 11, 2021, 08:41:56 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of?

This is a statement pretending to be a question. This statement pretending to be a question is becoming very common, and it is getting burdensome.

Quote
At what point do we start living our lives again?

I haven't stopped living my life for a second. Just like before, I live my life with the understanding that while an action of one person may be inconsequential, inconsequential actions of individuals repeated million times have massive consequences.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 11, 2021, 08:47:52 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of?

This is a statement pretending to be a question. This statement pretending to be a question is becoming very common, and it is getting burdensome.

Quote
At what point do we start living our lives again?

I haven't stopped living my life for a second. Just like before, I live my life with the understanding that while an action of one person may be inconsequential, inconsequential actions of individuals repeated million times have massive consequences.

Indeed.

And also, a life of consumerism is not necessarily “living” more than a life of not consuming.

Which doesn’t seem like a statement that should be so difficult to understand on a forum like this. ? 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Hotstreak on December 11, 2021, 10:18:37 PM
I resumed full normal activities in early summer 2020, but continued to wear a mask as required by law in Oregon.  As of a few weeks ago, I am no longer wearing a mask at all, in indoor settings (again, this is illegal).  Compliance for indoor mask wearing is somewhere around 50%-95% depending on the store.  Some places, like the gym, certain sporting good stores, local bars, have compliance closer to 10% or 20%. COVID is over and has been over since vaccines were widely available, and I'm done pretending otherwise by following along with Oregon's poorly justified COVID mandates.

I dare you to say "Covid is over" to the families of the approximately 7500 people who died of Covid in the US in the last week alone, never mind around the world.  I'm sure they would appreciate knowing that once they are done burying their dead. 



I am happy to!  Maybe some of them will read this message.

[MOD NOTE: Forum Rule #1.]
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dicey on December 11, 2021, 10:26:02 PM
I just attended a 95th birthday party for a dear friend tonight. Thirty people at a private home, not a mask in sight. AFIK, everyone is triple vaxxed, but I'm still going to be nervous for a few days.

OTOH, my BIL died of Covid last week. He, my sister and all of their children and children's SO's are anti-vaxxers. What a crying shame and unbelievable waste of the rest of his life.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 11, 2021, 10:44:41 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?


Fair question. For us, we have children too young to be vaccinated. One child in their daycare class just tested positive, so in addition to the small risk that children have of serious cases, that means 10 days of no daycare for all the parents in the class.

This describes us as well: child too young for the vaccine and any positive test shuts down daycare for 10 days for everyone (has happened twice in the last two months). We don’t want our kid getting sick and we don’t want to be the parents who screwed up everyone else’s schedules.

Plus, we have an 89 year old grandfather on hospice and almost no immune system left. I’m not going to be the one to kill him

Our state is at the worst point it’s been with infections, hospitalizations and deaths, by far. Roughly 70% of those in the hospital are unvaccinated, but the scary corollary is the almost a third ARE vaccinated, out of a sample population where most are vaccinated. We are masked at work, not going to large gatherings indoors, holding most of our meetings virtually and not traveling by plane or train. But I do not understand the sentiment about “not living”… our lives were majorly disrupted during lockdown but that’s over and we are able to live fairly normally and without major regrets. It’s far less of a disruption than had I, say, broken and ankle.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 12, 2021, 04:31:02 AM
At least one thing in my life is not going to get back to "normal", I've been having groceries delivered since the start of the pandemic and it's a big improvement in my life to be able to check off a list on the computer and pick things up at the end of the lane.  Quicker, cheaper and easier than driving a 30 mile round trip to the supermarket.  Probably more environmentally friendly too, it cuts out on buying the incidental crap that creeps into the trolley when walking round a supermarket and the deliveries are limited to times when a truck is coming out in my direction in any case.

When I did go into town for shopping I would often meet a friend for coffee so that has been a loss, although I do still see them at other times.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 12, 2021, 04:36:18 AM
I've gone back to semi-normal. I'm fully vaccinated and boosted, but I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain. I eat at restaurants on occasion, although I try to avoid peak hours. I'm an atheist, so no houses of worship. I have no problem socializing freely indoors with other vaccinated people and have done so several times.

Last night, my choir performed its first concert since Feb. 2020. We were fully masked, just as we were at every rehearsal, as the director couldn't mandate vaccination (we're supported by municipal parks and rec). The audience was mostly masked. We didn't do our usual coffee and cookies reception afterwards. Everyone was good natured about the limitations because we all want to resume some normalcy, even if it's not 100%.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: stoaX on December 12, 2021, 05:16:03 AM
Back to doing everything without thinking about who may or may not be vaccinated.  Wearing a mask only where required / enforced.

Since Mrs. StoaX and I are both triple vaxxed, the statement above describes our situation. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Ron Scott on December 12, 2021, 05:26:55 AM
Great thread. I’m OK with “new normal“.

Vax 3X
Mask indoors in public.

In NYC—back to live theater (vax IDs checked at door + masks)
In Florida—limit commerce to grocery and outdoor dining

Flying ~4/5 round trips a year

Friends, vax types, welcomed in my house
Friends, anti-vax types, texting—then wash hands

Lots of patience with those who are more afraid of getting sick.
No patience for those who don’t seem to care about others’ Covid concerns

Unprecedented excuse to avoid accompanying wife to shop clothes/home stuff
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: herbgeek on December 12, 2021, 06:03:07 AM
We're not back to normal in this house, as I have a spouse who won't get vaccinated, and strongly believes his monthly ivermectin and vitamin regime will keep him safe.  (huge eyeroll)  I also have a vaccinated mom in assisted living.  So we haven't traveled much- just day trips mostly in the car.  We aren't big on group events anyways, so don't feel I'm missing out there.  We occasionally go to breweries for a beer, outside if possible, but never when its busy.

The one thing I do miss is being able to do things like attend museums or botanic gardens on the whim of the moment.  They all require tickets ahead of time.  I'm hesitant to do things like fly to Florida for some warm weather, not so much because I'm worried about getting sick, but that I don't want to deal with angry pushy anti-maskers.  I also am reluctant to be too far from home in the event my spouse does catch it.  Dealing with a serious illness is stressful enough, never mind dealing with a medical system when you are far from home.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 07:24:17 AM
I dare you to say "Covid is over" to the families of the approximately 7500 people who died of Covid in the US in the last week alone, never mind around the world.  I'm sure they would appreciate knowing that once they are done burying their dead. 



I am happy to!  Maybe some of them will read this message.

This should be shocking, but it is not.

Well, maybe it still is for readers outside the US.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 07:36:13 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 08:12:31 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 12, 2021, 08:26:29 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
"Normal" doesn't mean "good".  Normal in rich world terms is people leading unhealthy lives, eating crap and being obese and trashing the planet through long-distance travel.  "Getting back to normal" means getting back to something that is undeniably unsustainable.  I don't want us to get back to that "normal".   We all need to choose to live local, healthy lives, staying within reasonable geographic limits and having most of our close contacts with our nearest and dearest.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 08:34:39 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
"Normal" doesn't mean "good".  Normal in rich world terms is people leading unhealthy lives, eating crap and being obese and trashing the planet through long-distance travel.  "Getting back to normal" means getting back to something that is undeniably unsustainable.  I don't want us to get back to that "normal".   We all need to choose to live local, healthy lives, staying within reasonable geographic limits and having most of our close contacts with our nearest and dearest.

Sure, and I agree with your underlying premise, but that's not what I'm talking about. Since we're going to play semantic games, let me be clear: "normal" as in getting back to a sustainable life, where we can shop at the farmer's market for organic non-gmo foods, bike to farm-to-table vegan restaurants, and kids can play with the other neighborhood kids (walking/biking there, of course), yada yada... e.g. a sustainable physical life (not on-line) without all the restrictions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 08:36:38 AM
Quote
This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

When conditions of the outside world that are beyond our control change, it is only logical to change our lives in response. This whole thread hinges on the assumption that we *must* start living exactly as we did before Covid. I don't see any basis for that assumption. Things changed. There is no going back. There will be no living life as before even if you try, because burying 1,000+ Americans every day is decidedly not as before, and not being able to get medical care in overrun hospitals is decidedly not as before.

Now, how we change our lives, given that there is cost to both action and inaction is a conversation worth having. But this thread didn't start with this question.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 08:43:54 AM
Now, "back to normal" crowd throws this accusation, concealed as a question, that actions of people who do not "go back to normal" are guided by fear.

I's argue that your actions are guided by fear. You know that there is no going back. You are afraid of it. You cope with it by denying this reality.

Again, even if you suppress your empathy for dying and their families... If you, perfectly unafraid of Covid, need urgent care, chances are that you won't get it. This is already not as before. This is already not normal. Let it sink. "As before" is not happening. There will be no "normal", at lest for a while, even if we all stop wearing masks and start congregating in indoor spaces - and especially if we do that. Sorry to be a bearer of bad news.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 08:54:56 AM
If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

This is a silly contrived example. It depends on what is causing it to rain stones, the risks, and what can be done to mitigate the risks. But I'll play along. The mostly likely explanation for regular raining of stones is volcanism. We can't stop volcanoes from erupting. A short-term strategy may be for some folks to shelter in place as stones are falling. But the better solution is to move further away from the eruptions, and then resume normal life.

When conditions of the outside world that are beyond our control change, it is only logical to change our lives in response. This whole thread hinges on the assumption that we *must* start living exactly as we did before Covid. I don't see any basis for that assumption. Things changed. There is no going back. There will be no living life as before even if you try, because burying 1,000+ Americans every day is decidedly not as before, and not being able to get medical care in overrun hospitals is decidedly not as before.

And you know what, I *did* change my life. I fully supported the initial lock downs, and still maintain they were the right thing to do at the right time. We isolated at home for a very long time. And I supported the mask mandates. And we got vaccinated as soon as possible. All changes.

This is not the first pandemic the world has ever seen, nor will it be the last. Lots of people have died, included people I knew, and it's tragic. But life goes on and the world will return to some sense of normalcy in the future. Of course, it will not return to 2019 exactly as it was (pandemic or not, things are always changing).

Now, how we change our lives, given that there is cost to both action and inaction is a conversation worth having. But this thread didn't start with this question.

No, but you did by accusing the "'back to normal' crowd" (in your words) of being unaware (uncaring?) of the transmission chain, to which my response is that that it's not that simple. I'm not denying that there are asshole alt-right types that just want to be offensive and stir the pot, but that's not what I'm talking about. It's not that simple because there are, in fact, really costs and benefits, risks vs. rewards, that have to be weighed. IMO, the situation has shifted and it's better to get back to some sense of normal at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: bmjohnson35 on December 12, 2021, 08:55:49 AM
We are near the 2 year mark since Covid's initial outbreak.  It does look like it will be endemic.  I suspect we may never get back to shaking hands and hugging like we used to.  Spouse and I have both been vaccinated and boosted.  We already do annual flu shot and it looks like updated covid shots will become the norm as well.  We will continue to focus on staying healthy.  We intend to start back traveling next year. 

Although Covid has made a significant impact and killed many around the world, John Hopkins research has found the mortality rate in the US has been less than 2%. The mortality rate varies around the world, but most are still under 3%.  Covid-19 is more contagious than the seasonal flu but less contagious than measles.  When you compare these odds to the lifetime odds of other common causes of death (heart disease, car accidents, etc.), it's relatively low.  Of course, we didn't know this 2 years ago, but now that we do, I think we need to work our way back to previous norms, while utilizing controls available (vaccines, testing, good hygene and reasonable distancing when possible.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 09:11:24 AM
Now, "back to normal" crowd throws this accusation, concealed as a question, that actions of people who do not "go back to normal" are guided by fear.

I's argue that your actions are guided by fear. You know that there is no going back. You are afraid of it. You cope with it by denying this reality.

Again, even if you suppress your empathy for dying and their families... If you, perfectly unafraid of Covid, need urgent care, chances are that you won't get it. This is already not as before. This is already not normal. Let it sink. "As before" is not happening. There will be no "normal", at lest for a while, even if we all stop wearing masks and start congregating in indoor spaces - and especially if we do that. Sorry to be a bearer of bad news.

I support mask mandates in areas of high spread. Cases are way down in our area (down in the same range as the "hot vax summer"), so not worried about masks here, though the kids still wear them in school.

Nor do I suppress empathy for families affected by COVID. But I can't bring back their loss and life moves on at some point.

Let me make this very real and personal for you. I don't know if you have kids, but I have two. My youngest was 7 when the pandemic hit. We're almost two years into this thing by now. That's 1/4 of her life, but realistically, about 1/2 of life as she remembers/is aware. The lock downs were not without cost to her. She was always bubbly and outgoing, but about a year into the pandemic she became sullen and depressed. We had legitimate mental health concerns as she started developing some ticks and unhealthy behavior. The mental health system was already overloaded so we couldn't get an appointment with a professional. So we muddled through the best we could. We decided to start relaxing after the vaccines came out -- we were mostly concerned about protecting my vulnerable parents, and they got vaxxed and the vaccine is highly effective. That was April, and since then my daughter has improved tremendously as she's been able to socialize with other kids and be more active. But I will agree with you on this: I think she will always be affected by the pandemic even as she gets back to normal.

ETA: All I'm asking for is a little empathy and not a blanket bashing of "back to normal" as uncaring or brash. Like everyone, we're just trying to balance the costs and benefits (protecting elderly parents vs. mental health of the kids), and there are no clear or perfect answers.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jfer_rose on December 12, 2021, 09:26:02 AM
My responses depend one three main factors:

I will mask in public if I'm in a high transmission place since I don't want to be responsible for spreading the virus in my community. While my locale does still have a mask mandate, I would still follow CDC advice on masking per transmission rate even without such a mandate.

I also consider whether the local hospitals have capacity. Right now where I live they are near capacity. As a result I'm much more cautious-- I do not feel comfortable knowingly spending time with anyone who is unvaxxed.

This is mostly an aside: A loved one was recently hospitalized in Michigan due to a heart condition, right when they were in the news for hospitals being over capacity. I think her condition was left to worsen longer than it would have otherwise had the medical staff not been so overburdened by C19 patients. To me, this underscores the importance of adjusting masking and gathering behavior depending on the particular circumstances of the place/time.

If hospitals are at or nearing capacity,  I limit the time, duration, and number of people I spend time near indoors. So for example, I was invited to a party last night at which proof of vaccination was required but eating and drinking would mean people were unmasked. I did not attend feeling there was too much risk of spreading the virus in those circumstances. But I did feel comfortable having one vaxxed and boosted friend over the day before for a social activity, unmasked.

But when the hospitals start to have more capacity (likely within no more than 2 months, based on how covid waves tend to go), I'll be more willing to do certain things. And if transmission moves to low, I'll do even more.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 09:26:09 AM
Let me make this very real and personal for you. I don't know if you have kids, but I have two. My youngest was 7 when the pandemic hit. We're almost two years into this thing by now. That's 1/4 of her life, but realistically, about 1/2 of life as she remembers/is aware. The lock downs were not without cost to her. She was always bubbly and outgoing, but about a year into the pandemic she became sullen and depressed. We had legitimate mental health concerns as she started developing some ticks and unhealthy behavior. The mental health system was already overloaded so we couldn't get an appointment with a professional. So we muddled through the best we could. We decided to start relaxing after the vaccines came out -- we were mostly concerned about protecting my vulnerable parents, and they got vaxxed and the vaccine is highly effective. That was April, and since then my daughter has improved tremendously as she's been able to socialize with other kids and be more active. But I will agree with you on this: I think she will always be affected by the pandemic even as she gets back to normal.

Now, let me use your own words: "This is not the first pandemic the world has ever seen, nor will it be the last. Lots of people have died, included people I knew, and it's tragic". Now let me rewrite it like this" "This is not the first pandemic the world has ever seen, nor will it be the last. Lots of children had mental health issues, included people I knew, and it's tragic". 

Why can death be written off as "it's tragic, but", but (very real and serious) problems less severe than death cannot?

Again, I do acknowledge that both action and inaction has costs. Which is why I'm happy to have a discussion of *how* the life needs to change to minimize all suffering, including that of children deprived of social contact. But I see no reason to decide it is a foregone conclusion that no further changes are necessary.

As far as accusations go... so I did. In response to an accusation by the OP. And then, please note that exactly zero people from "back to normal" crowd even mentioned wider societal effects. All responses revolved around the narrowest circle possible. So if this crowd cares, it doesn't bubble through to the words they type.

I'll also point out that the idea of telling grieving families that the pandemic was over - which is pure cruelty - was pretty well received in this thread.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 09:36:29 AM
ETA: All I'm asking for is a little empathy and not a blanket bashing of "back to normal" as uncaring or brash. Like everyone, we're just trying to balance the costs and benefits (protecting elderly parents vs. mental health of the kids), and there are no clear or perfect answers.

Since it was added later, I'll respond separately.

Does maintaining your child's mental health require you to not wear a mask in a store, or dining in an indoor restaurant during a time of high transmission rates?

If not, you do not fit my definition of the "back to normal" crowd. You seem to be trying to solve the same, and very difficult, equation as I do, using the same inputs. We clearly cannot live in a lockdown forever, but there is a happy (or least sad) position between the normal circa 2019 and maximum lockdown. In my book, you are not going back to normal, you are going forward to a new normal (if it makes sense).

If maintaining your child's mental health does require you to not wear a mask in a store, then I'm really confused.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 09:38:51 AM
Let me make this very real and personal for you. I don't know if you have kids, but I have two. My youngest was 7 when the pandemic hit. We're almost two years into this thing by now. That's 1/4 of her life, but realistically, about 1/2 of life as she remembers/is aware. The lock downs were not without cost to her. She was always bubbly and outgoing, but about a year into the pandemic she became sullen and depressed. We had legitimate mental health concerns as she started developing some ticks and unhealthy behavior. The mental health system was already overloaded so we couldn't get an appointment with a professional. So we muddled through the best we could. We decided to start relaxing after the vaccines came out -- we were mostly concerned about protecting my vulnerable parents, and they got vaxxed and the vaccine is highly effective. That was April, and since then my daughter has improved tremendously as she's been able to socialize with other kids and be more active. But I will agree with you on this: I think she will always be affected by the pandemic even as she gets back to normal.

Now, let me use your own words: "This is not the first pandemic the world has ever seen, nor will it be the last. Lots of people have died, included people I knew, and it's tragic". Now let me rewrite it like this" "This is not the first pandemic the world has ever seen, nor will it be the last. Lots of children had mental health issues, included people I knew, and it's tragic". 

Why can death be written off as "it's tragic, but", but (very real and serious) problems less severe than death cannot?

*sigh* - I'm not trying to write off either. That's exactly my point! It's all tragic, which is why the costs and benefits have to be considered. There's a reason we don't install traffic signals at every intersection, even though doing so would be safer.

Again, I do acknowledge that both action and inaction has costs. Which is why I'm happy to have a discussion of *how* the life needs to change to minimize all suffering, including that of children deprived of social contact. But I see no reason to decide it is a foregone conclusion that no further changes are necessary.

Going back to a sense of normalcy doesn't mean no further changes. Not sure why you would jump to that conclusion or think that's what I'm arguing for. Like with influenza, I expect seasonal CV19 shots for the foreseeable future. And periodic mask mandates if/when hot spots emerge. But these are very low cost, high benefit action, and life can largely return to normal even with these.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 12, 2021, 09:43:17 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

Three hospitals in my state (including the one closest to my house) have received emergency temporary medical staff from FEMA to help with over-capacity admissions. Nearly all hospitals statewide are at capacity 2 weeks before Christmas. Most health care systems are once again cancelling non-emergency procedures. Less than 60% of the state population is fully vaccinated. There are no mask or other mandates, and schools are fully open. My niece and nephew have spent weeks off of school due to quarantine from direct exposures to infected classmates.

I'll consider it "back to normal" when I don't have to worry about whether I'll be able to get medical care for an emergency and when my niece, nephew, and friends' kids can get more than a month in school without COVID interruptions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 09:43:45 AM
Going back to a sense of normalcy doesn't mean no further changes. Not sure why you would jump to that conclusion or think that's what I'm arguing for. Like with influenza, I expect seasonal CV19 shots for the foreseeable future. And periodic mask mandates if/when hot spots emerge. But these are very low cost, high benefit action, and life can largely return to normal even with these.

So we are exactly on the same page. This is not back to anything. There is no "back" with mask mandates. No past with mask mandates exists (within our lifetimes at least). Or with masks at all, for that matter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 09:46:57 AM
ETA: All I'm asking for is a little empathy and not a blanket bashing of "back to normal" as uncaring or brash. Like everyone, we're just trying to balance the costs and benefits (protecting elderly parents vs. mental health of the kids), and there are no clear or perfect answers.

Since it was added later, I'll respond separately.

Does maintaining your child's mental health require you to not wear a mask in a store, or dining in an indoor restaurant during a time of high transmission rates?

If not, you do not fit my definition of the "back to normal" crowd. You seem to be trying to solve the same, and very difficult, equation as I do, using the same inputs. We clearly cannot live in a lockdown forever, but there is a happy (or least sad) position between the normal circa 2019 and maximum lockdown. In my book, you are not going back to normal, you are going forward to a new normal (if it makes sense).

If maintaining your child's mental health does require you to not wear a mask in a store, then I'm really confused.

Masks are a minor inconvenience, we don't mind wearing them. Nor do we need to dine in at restaurants for mental health. However, to a certain extent these things are connected to other restrictions, like school going virtual, social events being canceled, etc. As you say, we cannot lockdown forever. So my question remains: what's the criteria for increased normalcy? Are we going to lockdown for every new variant, or do we accept that our collective immune system is no longer naive and the threat much lower than in March 2020.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 09:52:14 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

Three hospitals in my state (including the one closest to my house) have received emergency temporary medical staff from FEMA to help with over-capacity admissions. Nearly all hospitals statewide are at capacity 2 weeks before Christmas. Most health care systems are once again cancelling non-emergency procedures. Less than 60% of the state population is fully vaccinated. There are no mask or other mandates, and schools are fully open. My niece and nephew have spent weeks off of school due to quarantine from direct exposures to infected classmates.

I'll consider it "back to normal" when I don't have to worry about whether I'll be able to get medical care for an emergency and when my niece, nephew, and friends' kids can get more than a month in school without COVID interruptions.

And that's fair and valid. We've lived with a similar calculus. I closely follow my city's COVID wastewater testing dashboard and health district stats. When things start to increase we become more cautious. We had our big Delta search in early fall, similar to what other states are going through now. So we took additional precautions, including dialing back the risk on my mountain bike because I didn't want to risk needing an ICU when the system was overwhelmed. But we now have very low case rates and wastewater virus loads. So we're more back to normal than not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 12, 2021, 10:13:33 AM

I'll also point out that the idea of telling grieving families that the pandemic was over - which is pure cruelty - was pretty well received in this thread.

Wait, is this sarcasm or do you think that guy really was well-received?  My sense of the thread, which honestly could be off since it's an interpretation of an absence of response, is that everyone thought that guy was so preposterous and hideous as to not to deign to respond to him (except one person).  Simply based on how people are responding on this thread, I assume they found that remark intolerable, but also not worth engaging.

FWIW, that's definitely my perspective on that guy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 10:14:31 AM
Masks are a minor inconvenience, we don't mind wearing them. Nor do we need to dine in at restaurants for mental health. However, to a certain extent these things are connected to other restrictions, like school going virtual, social events being canceled, etc. As you say, we cannot lockdown forever. So my question remains: what's the criteria for increased normalcy? Are we going to lockdown for every new variant, or do we accept that our collective immune system is no longer naive and the threat much lower than in March 2020.

I cannot answer this question, since I don't know your definition of increased normalcy.

As far as I can observe, we are already farther into normalcy than it makes sense. Mask wearing is way down - and it is a simple act, a minor inconvenience, as you say. Immunization effort stalled. Whatever restrictions there are, they are not enforced. So I don't know what increased normalcy even means.

I'm gonna make another broad swipe, and likely strike someone I did not intended to offend again - but I have a strong sense that people are searching for a license to do what they are already doing, dropping all precautions (maybe except vax), but without being reminded that their actions have negative consequences. This is what thread looks to me as, a search for validation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 12, 2021, 10:28:15 AM

I'm gonna make another broad swipe, and likely strike someone I did not intended to offend again - but I have a strong sense that people are searching for a license to do what they are already doing, dropping all precautions (maybe except vax), but without being reminded that their actions have negative consequences. This is what thread looks to me as, a search for validation.

I don't disagree, though to the extent it's a natural human thing, it's a bit hard to fight against.  The example I mentioned upthread about how getting in my car each day is probably more dangerous to those around me than the likelihood of me spreading COVID to someone who would suffer is a case in point.  I've used it to be more comfortable with doing more things I like to do and not worrying as much if people at a friend's house aren't wearing masks.  But maybe the more logical and humane thing to do would be for me to conclude I should be driving less.  But I'm not and I don't think any of us are.  Shouldn't we?  Should we not take this opportunity to reevaluate what we are doing that is even higher risk to our neighbors than COVID?  If not, why not?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 12, 2021, 11:25:17 AM
Yeah, we're nowhere close to normalcy, and in my experience, those who refuse to be vaccinated also refuse to mask up, stay home, or take any other precautions. It's almost like a badge of right-wing honor. But we all suffer when the health care system is pushed to the brink. This article, published yesterday, reads like something from 20 months ago, back when our medical workers were still relatively fresh.

Inside a Grand Rapids hospital as COVID rages on: "I don't know how much our team has left." (Michigan Radio, Dec. 11, 2021) (https://www.michiganradio.org/news/2021-12-11/inside-a-grand-rapids-hospital-as-covid-rages-on-i-dont-know-how-much-our-team-has-left)

Quote
Standing behind him as the door closes, Dr. Biersack says this hospital is really seeing two kinds of COVID right now. One kind is not as common, or severe. That’s the COVID in fully-vaccinated patients. Then there’s the kind that is really swamping this hospital, and every other hospital in the state: that’s COVID in unvaccinated patients.

He says the difference is stark.

“COVID in unvaccinated patients is relentless, it is fast, it is dramatic,” Dr. Biersack says. “Patients go from requiring just a few liters of oxygen to requiring intubation and being placed on a ventilator in a very short time frame. And it’s scary.”

“Is this one of those patients?” I ask.

“Yeah,” he says. “This is a circumstance where someone pretty rapidly deteriorated. Someone who was comfortable just a couple days ago when I saw her.”

Now, the patient is on a ventilator.

This virus still has the ability to surprise, even for those who’ve seen it most.

Around a corner down the hallway, we run into Kelly Kelm, a respiratory therapist. She looks very tired. The influx, she says, has been the worst she’s seen.

“This surge has been a lot of younger people,” she says, “a lot of people my age, a lot of you know, your 40s and your 50 year olds, and your ... younger moms or dads and brothers and sisters that just still have so much life left to give.”
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on December 12, 2021, 11:37:02 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
When children also have treatments.  As of now most treatments are only approved for adults. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 11:50:06 AM
My thoughts on getting “back to normal” center around the idea that our previous “normal” was a core reason why this pandemic has been so challenging, both from a illness/loss-of-life standpoint as well how disruptive it was to all of our lives.  I think it would be a mistake to go back to the way things were, and would likely be driven by some rosy-hued nostalgia.

From a health standpoint, experts seem to be in agreement that pandemics in a globally-linked world are all but inevitable, and that we (particularly in the US) made it much worse than it had to have been. Vaccines, coming into work even when you felt like crap, wearing masks in public, not having health-screening protocols…all of that seems important.  Our national health services and coordinated (i.e. between states and local governments) also could be improved.

Then there’s all the aspects that made the isolation of emergency measures that much worse.  Supply chain disruptions. No great work-from-home protocols in place. An absolutely abysmal child-care system. Even the ability to do curb-side pickup from local businesses and pay people virtually all seemed woefully behind just a year ago.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 12, 2021, 11:51:34 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
When children also have treatments.  As of now most treatments are only approved for adults.

But what about the immunocompromised?  And those who can't receive the vaccine after that?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 12, 2021, 12:13:24 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
When children also have treatments.  As of now most treatments are only approved for adults.

But what about the immunocompromised?  And those who can't receive the vaccine after that?
Part of the "new normal" is going to be reduced life expectancy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 12, 2021, 12:13:47 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
When children also have treatments.  As of now most treatments are only approved for adults.

But what about the immunocompromised?  And those who can't receive the vaccine after that?

They're going to have to take the same precautions that they already do during flu season. There's no reason why the rest of us should make things even more difficult for them. Getting everyone vaccinated (other than the small minority who cannot be) and masking up in/avoiding crowded indoor public environments until the hospitals are no longer overloaded would help immensely toward reaching real herd immunity without a health system collapse. Unfortunately, too many people are unwilling to do those things, so we all suffer.

I cannot believe that we're still having this conversation after 21 months.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 12:25:50 PM
I cannot believe that we're still having this conversation after 21 months.

I can (https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/speeches-remarks/2021/07/05/remarks-by-president-biden-celebrating-independence-day-and-independence-from-covid-19/), I can totally believe it (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fDBXzDxw1_c).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 12, 2021, 12:43:38 PM
If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

I'll bite.

Let's say it did start raining stones from the sky, with no end in sight. Walking outside unprotected could be a death sentence (or, worse from the perspective of the health care system, give you a traumatic brain injury that requires weeks of intensive care in a hospital). So at the beginning of this stone rain situation, anyone with half a brain would hunker down indoors as much as possible. You'd hear news stories every day about essential workers who got wiped out by a falling stone during their daily commute. Very tragic and scary! Of course the rest of us have a duty to minimize our exposure so that those who have less of a choice about going outside can still have access to the best care.

At the same time, our scientists and engineers put their heads together to see if there's anything we could do to mitigate the situation. After about a year of these stone rains they perfect a "rockbrella," an inexpensive and effective personal protective device. It's transparent and quietly flies above you as you move about the outdoors. You can barely even tell it's there. It effectively stops most of the rocks that may fall on you. Some will occasionally break through, but even those that do will rarely do more damage than giving you a bump on the head. Walking outside with a rockbrella is still a bit more risky than walking unprotected was before, but not significantly so: any given walk with a rockbrella results in something like a one-in-a-million chance of getting a breakthrough stone that requires medical attention.

Now, despite how great the rockbrella is, some people just don't want to use it. The people at their church have told them that the stones falling from the sky are God's will, or the talking heads on TV have convinced them that the rockbrella is a sinister government tracking device. Many of these folks have convinced themselves that the real way to protect yourself is to wear a big sombrero covered in horseshoes. Spoiler alert: the sombreros do nothing. Two years after the stone rains started, the hospitals are as full as ever because a third of the population refuses to protect themselves.

In this situation would I "insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?" Of course not. Everyone has to do their own risk analysis, and if people want to go outside less often than before that's fine. What I would say is that people who want to go outside as much as they did before are reasonable to do so as long as they take their rockbrella along. I would also say that it's inappropriate to encourage rockbrella users to keep doing their jogging on a treadmill indoors like they had to do at the beginning of the stone rains. Yes, the hospitals are still full, and jogging outdoors with a rockbrella is not without risk, but the rockbrella joggers are making a negligible contribution to the problem. They have done their part. It's the sombrero people who need to change, and I have no earthly idea how to convince them to do that at this point, but convincing them is the only thing that can really move the needle anymore.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 12, 2021, 12:51:56 PM
Seems like I lucked out by not seeing the response that got edited.

Here's the thing:  as I said, we are not back to "normal", as defined something like, "exactly the same as pre-Covid".  And also, our lives are still pretty fucking fantastic.  A scrap of fabric over my face at the grocery store doesn't diminish my life in any way.  In fact, it likely keeps me from getting sick--not just Covid, but also the everyday sniffles that happened a couple times a year--so I suppose it could be considered an improvement on my life. 

I also now Zoom with my elderly parents once a week, and my sister and her spouse join us ever other week.  What a boon that has been for our family, when before we spoke sporadically (and we still do that as well as things come up between zooms. 

I still manage to see friends in relatively safe ways--outside or in a home but mindful of distance, usually, and if all are vaccinated. 

And I'll admit that I feel decent about wearing a mask and, in some small way, contributing to the well-being of my community.  All achieved with the unimaginable sacrifice of staying ~6" away from another shopper and strapping a little cloth to my face. 

While I am in no way ready to go to a concert or a packed movie theater--a friend recently posted a photo from a concert of bodies smashed together, not a mask to be seen, and it made me cringe *for my own comfort*, I can see how those things have their place and are becoming more personal judgements than [what I previously perceived to be] questions with clear moral answers.  Things are easing.  I don't think that's bad or wrong (barring another large wave that puts our hospitals back on the brink of collapse). 

But there is plenty of space between "normal, exactly as we were" and "complete lockdown".  It's amazing to me that people can't seem to envision perfectly happy lives that are somewhere on that spectrum other than the absolute "exactly as we were end".  Again, the minimal 'sacrifices' seem to be things like masking in more public or crowded situations and some basic social distancing just seem like ridiculous things to fight, in nearly all cases.  If that stands between someone and happiness... what an odd life that seems like it must be.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 12, 2021, 01:20:56 PM
If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

I'll bite.

Let's say it did start raining stones from the sky, with no end in sight. Walking outside unprotected could be a death sentence (or, worse from the perspective of the health care system, give you a traumatic brain injury that requires weeks of intensive care in a hospital). So at the beginning of this stone rain situation, anyone with half a brain would hunker down indoors as much as possible. You'd hear news stories every day about essential workers who got wiped out by a falling stone during their daily commute. Very tragic and scary! Of course the rest of us have a duty to minimize our exposure so that those who have less of a choice about going outside can still have access to the best care.

At the same time, our scientists and engineers put their heads together to see if there's anything we could do to mitigate the situation. After about a year of these stone rains they perfect a "rockbrella," an inexpensive and effective personal protective device. It's transparent and quietly flies above you as you move about the outdoors. You can barely even tell it's there. It effectively stops most of the rocks that may fall on you. Some will occasionally break through, but even those that do will rarely do more damage than giving you a bump on the head. Walking outside with a rockbrella is still a bit more risky than walking unprotected was before, but not significantly so: any given walk with a rockbrella results in something like a one-in-a-million chance of getting a breakthrough stone that requires medical attention.

Now, despite how great the rockbrella is, some people just don't want to use it. The people at their church have told them that the stones falling from the sky are God's will, or the talking heads on TV have convinced them that the rockbrella is a sinister government tracking device. Many of these folks have convinced themselves that the real way to protect yourself is to wear a big sombrero covered in horseshoes. Spoiler alert: the sombreros do nothing. Two years after the stone rains started, the hospitals are as full as ever because a third of the population refuses to protect themselves.

In this situation would I "insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?" Of course not. Everyone has to do their own risk analysis, and if people want to go outside less often than before that's fine. What I would say is that people who want to go outside as much as they did before are reasonable to do so as long as they take their rockbrella along. I would also say that it's inappropriate to encourage rockbrella users to keep doing their jogging on a treadmill indoors like they had to do at the beginning of the stone rains. Yes, the hospitals are still full, and jogging outdoors with a rockbrella is not without risk, but the rockbrella joggers are making a negligible contribution to the problem. They have done their part. It's the sombrero people who need to change, and I have no earthly idea how to convince them to do that at this point, but convincing them is the only thing that can really move the needle anymore.

There was also a time, prior to the rockbrella invention & rollout, where individuals tried to hold thin fabric tarps above their heads to try to protect themselves from the raining rocks (they had to go to the grocery store after all).  The scientists early on told tarp holders that their tarps would not work because it was too difficult to fully shield oneself from the falling rocks.  However, later on it was discovered if everyone grabbed a corner of a large fabric tarp as they moved about outdoors, they were able to pretty effectively protect themselves from the falling rocks as a group (though everyone knew it wasn't perfect).  Fast forward to the future, what frustrates many rockbrella owners is that, for whatever reason, people still insist on the carrying of the tarps as a group in addition to their rockbrellas even though the majority of the population is perfectly safe under their own rockbrellas.  Sure, it's really just a slight annoyance to carry a corner of the tarp... but why are we still doing it?  To protect those who insist on wearing horseshoe sombreros and not participating in the holding of the tarp rather than acquiring a free rockbrella?  Do we not believe the rockbrella works any more?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 12, 2021, 01:33:35 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.





But what about the immunocompromised?  And those who can't receive the vaccine after that?

The immunocompromised are always at risk of Everything. If you get Vaxxed or not, they should be careful since all the other diseases are still out there.  RSV, whatever the flu gives us, various stomach bugs, infected cuts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on December 12, 2021, 01:39:12 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.
When children also have treatments.  As of now most treatments are only approved for adults.

But what about the immunocompromised?  And those who can't receive the vaccine after that?
That is what the monoclonal antibodies were developed for.  We are moving forward but it would be foolish to ignore that not everyone can get these treatments.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on December 12, 2021, 01:42:28 PM
I'll go back to a "new normal" once my kids (1.5/4.5) are eligible to be vaccinated.  And I personally consider it shit that so many in this thread have claimed COVID is over & vaccines widely available when that's not the case for the under 5.  If only everyone took it seriously from the start...

Until then:
- No indoor gatherings - even vaccinated/masked.  I'll go to work (mask requirement, vaccine mandate + weekly testing).  We are also doing a pre-Christmas gathering with my vaccinated family after testing (because their Christmas gathering is too large for us to feel comfortable.  We probably won't repeat that.
- Outdoor gatherings 6 ft apart or masked.

Afterwards:
- Will take our first vacation in 2.5 years.  On a plane even.
- Will see vaccinated family/friends indoors unmasked again
- Will dine indoors on non-crowded nights
- Will probably be a long time before we feel comfortable going to crowded venues again
- Will continue wearing masks when recommended

Factors that will affect my activities (copied from another poster):
- the transmission rate in my location, per the CDC (since I'm in the US)
- the current state of hospitals in my location
- the vaccination status of people I may encounter
- added: virulence and transmissibility of new variants
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 02:02:50 PM
I'll go back to a "new normal" once my kids (1.5/4.5) are eligible to be vaccinated.  And I personally consider it shit that so many in this thread have claimed COVID is over & vaccines widely available when that's not the case for the under 5. If only everyone took it seriously from the start...


I share your frustration as a fellow parent of a small child. One thing this pandemic has laid bare it’s how little forethought and consideration is given towards parents of children - particularly those too young for school.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Focus_on_the_fire on December 12, 2021, 02:07:50 PM
A vaccinated friend who hadn't qualified for the booster at the time caught Covid from an unvaccinated coworker. Their work environment required masks. However, she caught it nonetheless. She's in her early 20s and she had a terrible time. She wasn't  hospitalized and is fortunately recovering. However, a breakthrough infection isn't fun even if it's not fatal.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? Only small gatherings with family that I know are vaccinated (including booster) I passed on the company Christmas party held indoors with unvaccinated people and food so masks weren't consistently on.
Church? Don't go to church
Gym? I wish I could but gyms here aren't requiring proof of vaccination.
Getting on an airplane? Nope
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? No way.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? No, not worth it
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? No, but I wouldn't have generally anyway
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? No
Going to a bar? Not a drinker.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seemsright on December 12, 2021, 02:13:34 PM
My responses depend one three main factors:
  • the transmission rate in my location, per the CDC (since I'm in the US)
  • the current state of hospitals in my location
  • the vaccination status of people I may encounter

I will mask in public if I'm in a high transmission place since I don't want to be responsible for spreading the virus in my community. While my locale does still have a mask mandate, I would still follow CDC advice on masking per transmission rate even without such a mandate.

I also consider whether the local hospitals have capacity. Right now where I live they are near capacity. As a result I'm much more cautious-- I do not feel comfortable knowingly spending time with anyone who is unvaxxed.

This is mostly an aside: A loved one was recently hospitalized in Michigan due to a heart condition, right when they were in the news for hospitals being over capacity. I think her condition was left to worsen longer than it would have otherwise had the medical staff not been so overburdened by C19 patients. To me, this underscores the importance of adjusting masking and gathering behavior depending on the particular circumstances of the place/time.

If hospitals are at or nearing capacity,  I limit the time, duration, and number of people I spend time near indoors. So for example, I was invited to a party last night at which proof of vaccination was required but eating and drinking would mean people were unmasked. I did not attend feeling there was too much risk of spreading the virus in those circumstances. But I did feel comfortable having one vaxxed and boosted friend over the day before for a social activity, unmasked.

But when the hospitals start to have more capacity (likely within no more than 2 months, based on how covid waves tend to go), I'll be more willing to do certain things. And if transmission moves to low, I'll do even more.

I kinda agree with you. But I live in OR. We have no hospital beds per capita. We have ran at 8% availability for years. With Covid we are still at 8% availability. Going to other states and seeing 8% for the hospitals might be alarming...here it is normal. So please take hospital availability with a grain of salt unless you fully understand the big picture.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 12, 2021, 02:40:31 PM
If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

I'll bite.

Let's say it did start raining stones from the sky, with no end in sight. Walking outside unprotected could be a death sentence (or, worse from the perspective of the health care system, give you a traumatic brain injury that requires weeks of intensive care in a hospital). So at the beginning of this stone rain situation, anyone with half a brain would hunker down indoors as much as possible. You'd hear news stories every day about essential workers who got wiped out by a falling stone during their daily commute. Very tragic and scary! Of course the rest of us have a duty to minimize our exposure so that those who have less of a choice about going outside can still have access to the best care.

At the same time, our scientists and engineers put their heads together to see if there's anything we could do to mitigate the situation. After about a year of these stone rains they perfect a "rockbrella," an inexpensive and effective personal protective device. It's transparent and quietly flies above you as you move about the outdoors. You can barely even tell it's there. It effectively stops most of the rocks that may fall on you. Some will occasionally break through, but even those that do will rarely do more damage than giving you a bump on the head. Walking outside with a rockbrella is still a bit more risky than walking unprotected was before, but not significantly so: any given walk with a rockbrella results in something like a one-in-a-million chance of getting a breakthrough stone that requires medical attention.

Now, despite how great the rockbrella is, some people just don't want to use it. The people at their church have told them that the stones falling from the sky are God's will, or the talking heads on TV have convinced them that the rockbrella is a sinister government tracking device. Many of these folks have convinced themselves that the real way to protect yourself is to wear a big sombrero covered in horseshoes. Spoiler alert: the sombreros do nothing. Two years after the stone rains started, the hospitals are as full as ever because a third of the population refuses to protect themselves.

In this situation would I "insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?" Of course not. Everyone has to do their own risk analysis, and if people want to go outside less often than before that's fine. What I would say is that people who want to go outside as much as they did before are reasonable to do so as long as they take their rockbrella along. I would also say that it's inappropriate to encourage rockbrella users to keep doing their jogging on a treadmill indoors like they had to do at the beginning of the stone rains. Yes, the hospitals are still full, and jogging outdoors with a rockbrella is not without risk, but the rockbrella joggers are making a negligible contribution to the problem. They have done their part. It's the sombrero people who need to change, and I have no earthly idea how to convince them to do that at this point, but convincing them is the only thing that can really move the needle anymore.

There was also a time, prior to the rockbrella invention & rollout, where individuals tried to hold thin fabric tarps above their heads to try to protect themselves from the raining rocks (they had to go to the grocery store after all).  The scientists early on told tarp holders that their tarps would not work because it was too difficult to fully shield oneself from the falling rocks.  However, later on it was discovered if everyone grabbed a corner of a large fabric tarp as they moved about outdoors, they were able to pretty effectively protect themselves from the falling rocks as a group (though everyone knew it wasn't perfect).  Fast forward to the future, what frustrates many rockbrella owners is that, for whatever reason, people still insist on the carrying of the tarps as a group in addition to their rockbrellas even though the majority of the population is perfectly safe under their own rockbrellas.  Sure, it's really just a slight annoyance to carry a corner of the tarp... but why are we still doing it?  To protect those who insist on wearing horseshoe sombreros and not participating in the holding of the tarp rather than acquiring a free rockbrella?  Do we not believe the rockbrella works any more?

It's not that we don't believe in the rockbrella. A rockbrella plus tarp is going to catch a few more stones than the rockbrella alone, so tarp-carrying still isn't a bad idea exactly, but a lot of people would be happy to lose the minor inconvenience of tarp carrying in exchange for the minor risk of getting hit by a breakthrough stone. The main reason for the continued tarp mandate is to try and protect those who aren't using rockbrellas, most of whom can't be bothered to follow the tarp-carrying rule either.

Meanwhile the Consumer Product Safety Commission is taking their sweet time doing an exhaustive study on the safety of rockbrella use by children before they approve its use in younger age groups. Frazzled parents are still keeping their kids inside when possible and vigilantly using tarps when outdoor movements are absolutely necessary, wondering how the hell it takes so long to collect enough data to show that rockbrellas are more likely than not to be safer for kids than the status quo.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Nate79 on December 12, 2021, 02:55:12 PM
We are vaxed and generally moving towards the new normal. Masks when out in public recently due to the new varient with people we don't know, generally cautious to stay back from people, masks at work, etc.. But we do any activities we want indoor (events, dining in restaurants, etc). But most people are not wearing masks anymore around here and we've been on vacation in many areas also where most don't wear masks. I don't think nonmaskers look at maskers any different.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 03:11:10 PM
I really enjoyed what y'all did with the falling rocks thing!

Another twist: sometimes rocks explode and hurt - even kill - people not directly stricken. They can even get stuck under rockbrella, and explode days later. Sombrero people are most vulnerable to rock fragments, but sometimes people not eligible for a rockbrella also suffer.

Oh, and fragments created by an explosion also explode, losing no potency as they fragment further.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 12, 2021, 03:24:08 PM
If it start raining stones tomorrow, and periodic stone rains become a part of life for the foreseeable future, would you insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?

I'll bite.

Let's say it did start raining stones from the sky, with no end in sight. Walking outside unprotected could be a death sentence (or, worse from the perspective of the health care system, give you a traumatic brain injury that requires weeks of intensive care in a hospital). So at the beginning of this stone rain situation, anyone with half a brain would hunker down indoors as much as possible. You'd hear news stories every day about essential workers who got wiped out by a falling stone during their daily commute. Very tragic and scary! Of course the rest of us have a duty to minimize our exposure so that those who have less of a choice about going outside can still have access to the best care.

At the same time, our scientists and engineers put their heads together to see if there's anything we could do to mitigate the situation. After about a year of these stone rains they perfect a "rockbrella," an inexpensive and effective personal protective device. It's transparent and quietly flies above you as you move about the outdoors. You can barely even tell it's there. It effectively stops most of the rocks that may fall on you. Some will occasionally break through, but even those that do will rarely do more damage than giving you a bump on the head. Walking outside with a rockbrella is still a bit more risky than walking unprotected was before, but not significantly so: any given walk with a rockbrella results in something like a one-in-a-million chance of getting a breakthrough stone that requires medical attention.

Now, despite how great the rockbrella is, some people just don't want to use it. The people at their church have told them that the stones falling from the sky are God's will, or the talking heads on TV have convinced them that the rockbrella is a sinister government tracking device. Many of these folks have convinced themselves that the real way to protect yourself is to wear a big sombrero covered in horseshoes. Spoiler alert: the sombreros do nothing. Two years after the stone rains started, the hospitals are as full as ever because a third of the population refuses to protect themselves.

In this situation would I "insist that we all have to live our lives exactly as before?" Of course not. Everyone has to do their own risk analysis, and if people want to go outside less often than before that's fine. What I would say is that people who want to go outside as much as they did before are reasonable to do so as long as they take their rockbrella along. I would also say that it's inappropriate to encourage rockbrella users to keep doing their jogging on a treadmill indoors like they had to do at the beginning of the stone rains. Yes, the hospitals are still full, and jogging outdoors with a rockbrella is not without risk, but the rockbrella joggers are making a negligible contribution to the problem. They have done their part. It's the sombrero people who need to change, and I have no earthly idea how to convince them to do that at this point, but convincing them is the only thing that can really move the needle anymore.

There was also a time, prior to the rockbrella invention & rollout, where individuals tried to hold thin fabric tarps above their heads to try to protect themselves from the raining rocks (they had to go to the grocery store after all).  The scientists early on told tarp holders that their tarps would not work because it was too difficult to fully shield oneself from the falling rocks.  However, later on it was discovered if everyone grabbed a corner of a large fabric tarp as they moved about outdoors, they were able to pretty effectively protect themselves from the falling rocks as a group (though everyone knew it wasn't perfect).  Fast forward to the future, what frustrates many rockbrella owners is that, for whatever reason, people still insist on the carrying of the tarps as a group in addition to their rockbrellas even though the majority of the population is perfectly safe under their own rockbrellas.  Sure, it's really just a slight annoyance to carry a corner of the tarp... but why are we still doing it?  To protect those who insist on wearing horseshoe sombreros and not participating in the holding of the tarp rather than acquiring a free rockbrella?  Do we not believe the rockbrella works any more?

The man who had a heart attack, entirely unrelated to any falling rocks, and can't get timely care because the hospitals are full of rock-related concussions, would have benefitted from more tarp holders and more people continuing to jog on their treadmills.  Perhaps, for many people, they feel they are holding tarps to benefit him, and to help their neighbor who is unable to have a rockbrella at all, or who has a situation where her rockbrella is far more likely to fail and would therefore continue to benefit from the group's tarp. 

And maybe they even feel that the sombrero group, however misguided, still deserve some protection, both so that the man with the heart attack is less likely to find the ER full of rock injuries, and because they are still human beings.  I am certainly frustrated with them and I see the hand they have in their own fate (as well as the hands other have in it) and their unwillingness to contribute to the public good by contributing to their own good, but I can't really see why that should stop me from doing something so small as holding the corner of a tarp when it could protect them, and others. 

Because really, it is just holding the corner of a tarp. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 03:27:07 PM
Meanwhile the Consumer Product Safety Commission is taking their sweet time doing an exhaustive study on the safety of rockbrella use by children before they approve its use in younger age groups. Frazzled parents are still keeping their kids inside when possible and vigilantly using tarps when outdoor movements are absolutely necessary, wondering how the hell it takes so long to collect enough data to show that rockbrellas are more likely than not to be safer for kids than the status quo.

That's where the analogy kind of breaks down, somehow little kids are almost immune to the falling rocks. I checked today and according to the CDC 71/6,733 = 1% of deaths during the pandemic for the 1-4 cohort during the pandemic have been from COVID-19 (source (https://data.cdc.gov/NCHS/Provisional-COVID-19-Deaths-by-Sex-and-Age/9bhg-hcku)). The other 99% of deaths have presumably been from all the "normal" things that kill children which are typically cars, guns, pediatric cancer, and suffocation (in that order, source (https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/nejmsr1804754)).

My children are all old enough to have been fully vaccinated, but if I had a 1-4 year old I would be way more worried about the stuff that is actually likely to kill them. Even when my teenagers weren't yet vaccinated I was never particularly worried about COVID because their risk from COVID were still less than from automobile accidents (the #1 killer of adolescents in this country, even during a global pandemic).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 12, 2021, 03:32:13 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

What do you mean by “normal”? Because really, I’ve been living my life for the last two years - not going to the mall hasn’t been some terrible sacrifice.

Kids are in school. Restaurants are open. There’s always takeout. We see friends and family.

What’s missing here?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 12, 2021, 03:34:38 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

What do you mean by “normal”? Because really, I’ve been living my life for the last two years - not going to the mall hasn’t been some terrible sacrifice.

Kids are in school. Restaurants are open. There’s always takeout. We see friends and family.

What’s missing here?

Half of the posters in this thread* said they haven't/ wont go on an airplane , that seems a little abnormal.

*I didn't actually count
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 03:44:40 PM
I would once again note that losing 1,000+ compatriots a day, or not being able to get an ER bed, is very much not normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 03:46:11 PM

My children are all old enough to have been fully vaccinated, but if I had a 1-4 year old I would be way more worried about the stuff that is actually likely to kill them. Even when my teenagers weren't yet vaccinated I was never particularly worried about COVID because their risk from COVID were still less than from automobile accidents (the #1 killer of adolescents in this country, even during a global pandemic).

I hear this a lot, but what many don’t seem to acknowledge is that a toddler contracting COVID is a *massive* disruption for a whole bunch of people. At least in our area it causes a forced shut-down of daycare, so instantly you’ve kind of upset the apple cart for about ten sets of parents. And of course the parents of the infected child are then advised to quarantine for having “close contact” (not to mention they are now caring for their infected child).

And then there’s our biggest worry - the grandparents and (in our case) great-grand parents. Little kids are now vectors for the disease.

I’ll put it another way:  If someone said they were unvaccinated, and spent every day indoors in close contact with a couple dozen other unvaccinated people, and that they would share food and drink with these unvaccinated people all day long - would you want to hang out with them and have them hang out with a bunch of elderly relatives?  Because this is exactly what our kids do every single week.

We don’t really fear Covid will kill our child (though we know it could make her fairly sick).  We worry she will inadvertently kill someone else, and quite possibly someone we are related to.


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 12, 2021, 03:52:48 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

What do you mean by “normal”? Because really, I’ve been living my life for the last two years - not going to the mall hasn’t been some terrible sacrifice.

Kids are in school. Restaurants are open. There’s always takeout. We see friends and family.

What’s missing here?

Half of the posters in this thread* said they haven't/ wont go on an airplane , that seems a little abnormal.

*I didn't actually count

I was one of those people. And it’s not really that I wouldn’t get on an airplane, as much as I  am not gonna go somewhere on vacation and go interact with shiteloads of strangers at the airport, in the plane, and at the hotels, restaurants, and other commercial venues I would go to if I were on vacation.

Since I’m not doing that at home, it doesn’t seem weird that I’m not gonna hop on a plane to do it somewhere else, does it?

If a close friend a plane ride away needed me to come take care of them after an operation, would I do that? Probably. But that is unlikely to happen since my close friends and family are closer than a plane ride away.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on December 12, 2021, 04:08:30 PM
Staying with mid-80s parents until Christmas.  They went to church this morning and another church tonight.  In their church, one woman is in the hospital, another guy just got out of the hospital, and one couple in their bible study has had covid for the last week (neither hospitalized).  None are vaxxed, but parents are.  Shocked they haven't had it yet, cases are close to 100 per 100,000 per day. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 04:11:54 PM
We don’t really fear Covid will kill our child (though we know it could make her fairly sick).  We worry she will inadvertently kill someone else, and quite possibly someone we are related to.

We worried about that too, until everyone we knew was fully vaccinated. Am I supposed to worry about this thing for the rest of time?

Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SailingOnASmallSailboat on December 12, 2021, 04:19:06 PM
It's been years since I was on a plane. Between the cost and the hassle, it's just generally easier to drive places I want to go. We drove from the east coast to Texas in the spring and will do so again next week for Christmas. Being retired means we can take the 2 days instead of the 8+ hours it would take to fly.

If we were planning to go somewhere driving is not possible, then we'd fly. It's much easier to contemplate that since masks are required on planes, and most countries are smart enough to require vaccination as a prerequisite to entry.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 12, 2021, 04:31:04 PM
The man who had a heart attack, entirely unrelated to any falling rocks, and can't get timely care because the hospitals are full of rock-related concussions, would have benefitted from more tarp holders and more people continuing to jog on their treadmills.  Perhaps, for many people, they feel they are holding tarps to benefit him, and to help their neighbor who is unable to have a rockbrella at all, or who has a situation where her rockbrella is far more likely to fail and would therefore continue to benefit from the group's tarp.

We have data showing that the sombrero people are 35-40 times more likely to use hospital resources than the rockbrella joggers (https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/vaccination-outcomes.aspx). Sure, every little bit helps keep ICU utilization at a sustainable level, but does it really make sense to keep advising indoor jogging at this point, when 40 people doing that makes just as much difference as one person getting rid of their ridiculous sombrero? Focus on the actions that will make a significant difference. Indoor jogging is not it! I'll keep holding my corner of the tarp whenever it's halfway convenient to do so, but I'm just so tired of being told that I have a duty to put more effort into protecting the sombrero people than they're willing to put into protecting themselves.


My children are all old enough to have been fully vaccinated, but if I had a 1-4 year old I would be way more worried about the stuff that is actually likely to kill them. Even when my teenagers weren't yet vaccinated I was never particularly worried about COVID because their risk from COVID were still less than from automobile accidents (the #1 killer of adolescents in this country, even during a global pandemic).

I hear this a lot, but what many don’t seem to acknowledge is that a toddler contracting COVID is a *massive* disruption for a whole bunch of people. At least in our area it causes a forced shut-down of daycare, so instantly you’ve kind of upset the apple cart for about ten sets of parents. And of course the parents of the infected child are then advised to quarantine for having “close contact” (not to mention they are now caring for their infected child).

This is an excellent point. In the Before Times it was considered okay to send your kid to school when someone in your house (perhaps even the kid themselves) had minor cold symptoms. Now it is very much not. If your kid gets the sniffles nobody's going to school for at least a week, and one of the parents had better be able to take time off work. Massive disruption that would seem like an obvious overreaction if everyone was vaccinated. I'd very much like to see us settle into a pattern of mask-wearing when we have cold symptoms, but otherwise going about our lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 04:43:21 PM
We don’t really fear Covid will kill our child (though we know it could make her fairly sick).  We worry she will inadvertently kill someone else, and quite possibly someone we are related to.

We worried about that too, until everyone we knew was fully vaccinated. Am I supposed to worry about this thing for the rest of time?


Not up to me to decide what you should worry about, but it will be a primary concern of ours until our kids can be vaccinated (and/or until infections and transmission in our community becomes sufficiently rare that it’s not straining our local hospitals and clinics)

Until that point we know that she’s likely to be a vector, and that the probability she will get infected is much greater than zero.
 
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 04:53:53 PM
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

Are you saying that peer pressure in your community is causing children five and under to wear masks in spite of the fact that the WHO says not to do that (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19)? Because to me that sounds like the politically motivated dismissal of experts (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/how-we-killed-expertise-215531/) that the left howls about when the right does it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 05:02:16 PM
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

Are you saying that peer pressure in your community is causing children five and under to wear masks in spite of the fact that the WHO says not to do that (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19)? Because to me that sounds like the politically motivated dismissal of experts (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/how-we-killed-expertise-215531/) that the left howls about when the right does it.

No, that’s not what I’m saying at all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 12, 2021, 05:13:01 PM
The man who had a heart attack, entirely unrelated to any falling rocks, and can't get timely care because the hospitals are full of rock-related concussions, would have benefitted from more tarp holders and more people continuing to jog on their treadmills.  Perhaps, for many people, they feel they are holding tarps to benefit him, and to help their neighbor who is unable to have a rockbrella at all, or who has a situation where her rockbrella is far more likely to fail and would therefore continue to benefit from the group's tarp.

We have data showing that the sombrero people are 35-40 times more likely to use hospital resources than the rockbrella joggers (https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/vaccination-outcomes.aspx). Sure, every little bit helps keep ICU utilization at a sustainable level, but does it really make sense to keep advising indoor jogging at this point, when 40 people doing that makes just as much difference as one person getting rid of their ridiculous sombrero? [/b]Focus on the actions that will make a significant difference. Indoor jogging is not it! I'll keep holding my corner of the tarp whenever it's halfway convenient to do so, but I'm just so tired of being told that I have a duty to put more effort into protecting the sombrero people than they're willing to put into protecting themselves.


My children are all old enough to have been fully vaccinated, but if I had a 1-4 year old I would be way more worried about the stuff that is actually likely to kill them. Even when my teenagers weren't yet vaccinated I was never particularly worried about COVID because their risk from COVID were still less than from automobile accidents (the #1 killer of adolescents in this country, even during a global pandemic).

I hear this a lot, but what many don’t seem to acknowledge is that a toddler contracting COVID is a *massive* disruption for a whole bunch of people. At least in our area it causes a forced shut-down of daycare, so instantly you’ve kind of upset the apple cart for about ten sets of parents. And of course the parents of the infected child are then advised to quarantine for having “close contact” (not to mention they are now caring for their infected child).

This is an excellent point. In the Before Times it was considered okay to send your kid to school when someone in your house (perhaps even the kid themselves) had minor cold symptoms. Now it is very much not. If your kid gets the sniffles nobody's going to school for at least a week, and one of the parents had better be able to take time off work. Massive disruption that would seem like an obvious overreaction if everyone was vaccinated. I'd very much like to see us settle into a pattern of mask-wearing when we have cold symptoms, but otherwise going about our lives.

I have almost no ability to change the sombreriers' actions.  What I can do is jog on my treadmill and hold the corner of the tarp.  That said, I don't think the indoor jogging is a *duty* in that it is required.  I suppose I consider it more analogous to basic manners and kindness.  We aren't duty-bound to those things, but I still think they are clearly the choices that seem best.  It's isn't our duty to say thank you when someone holds the door or to not be rude to a server (when we are picking up our take out, or even dining in!).  But given how small and easy those actions are, I can't see why most people wouldn't do them most of the time.  Then again, I tend to value civic responsibilities over rights, in a general sense, which I recognize is not the most American outlook.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 05:13:16 PM
Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

We live in Idaho, which is generally not known for taking COVID precautions seriously. Dumb, but it offers and interesting data point. State population is a little under 2M. Let's look at the under 18 years of age stats on the statewide dashboard (https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/idaho.division.of.public.health/viz/DPHIdahoCOVID-19Dashboard/Home): Deaths  - 1, hospitalizations - 278. That's far fewer pediatric deaths from COVID-19 in ~2 years than a single year of automobile crashes. In 2020 Idaho had more kids die from the flu than COVID-19.

I'm just not worried about our kids getting seriously ill from COVID-19. I worry more about their safety walking to school and crossing streets. They are scheduled for the vaccine because I see very little downside, and I want to be sure their immune system is "trained" for it before they get to adulthood.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 05:14:28 PM
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

Are you saying that peer pressure in your community is causing children five and under to wear masks in spite of the fact that the WHO says not to do that (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19)? Because to me that sounds like the politically motivated dismissal of experts (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/how-we-killed-expertise-215531/) that the left howls about when the right does it.

No, that’s not what I’m saying at all.

Good to hear! Because it is absolutely happening in my community.

Along those lines the Tory Party, Labour Party, and SNP can't agree on anything. But they do agree that children under 12 don't need to wear a mask in public. You are welcome to live your life however you want within the bounds of the law, I'm only answering the question posed in the thread title.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 05:29:00 PM
Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

We live in Idaho, which is generally not known for taking COVID precautions seriously. Dumb, but it offers and interesting data point. State population is a little under 2M. Let's look at the under 18 years of age stats on the statewide dashboard (https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/idaho.division.of.public.health/viz/DPHIdahoCOVID-19Dashboard/Home): Deaths  - 1, hospitalizations - 278. That's far fewer pediatric deaths from COVID-19 in ~2 years than a single year of automobile crashes. In 2020 Idaho had more kids die from the flu than COVID-19.

I'm just not worried about our kids getting seriously ill from COVID-19. I worry more about their safety walking to school and crossing streets. They are scheduled for the vaccine because I see very little downside, and I want to be sure their immune system is "trained" for it before they get to adulthood.

I’m guessing you missed the earlier discussion upthread.
It has very little to do with preventing very young children from becoming seriously ill with Covid.  As you’ve noted, that is exceptionally rare.
Instead, our concern is on two fronts

1) any positive test shuts down daycare for us and for about ten other parental units. If our child tests positive I and my spouse must quarantine and cannot come into work since we meet the definition of “close contact”, and we have to get a PCR test 5-7 days after exposure. EVery time this happens it is a very large disruption to us, and we do not want to be the ones responsible for disrupting other people’s lives.

2) young children are carriers, particularly of delta. We have very old and very frail family members in our social circle, who are at high risk with the Delta variant despite being fully vaccinated months ago. I was serious when I said I was more worried that our child would result in someone else’s death than I am with her getting seriously ill from Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on December 12, 2021, 05:35:15 PM
[
2) young children are carriers, particularly of delta. We have very old and very frail family members in our social circle, who are at high risk with the Delta variant despite being fully vaccinated months ago. I was serious when I said I was more worried that our child would result in someone else’s death than I am with her getting seriously ill from Covid.
[/quote]
Do you have proof that small children are truly carriers?
I haven’t seen anything that validates that and my own personal experience is that the parents pass it to their kids and the kids who then test positive DO NOT actually spread it at school even when unmasked.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 12, 2021, 05:40:18 PM
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

Are you saying that peer pressure in your community is causing children five and under to wear masks in spite of the fact that the WHO says not to do that (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19)? Because to me that sounds like the politically motivated dismissal of experts (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/how-we-killed-expertise-215531/) that the left howls about when the right does it.

No, that’s not what I’m saying at all.

Good to hear! Because it is absolutely happening in my community.

Along those lines the Tory Party, Labour Party, and SNP can't agree on anything. But they do agree that children under 12 don't need to wear a mask in public. You are welcome to live your life however you want within the bounds of the law, I'm only answering the question posed in the thread title.
The official guidance for mask wearing from the US-CDC is pretty clear:

Quote
If you’ve been fully vaccinated:

You can resume activities that you did prior to the pandemic.
To reduce the risk of being infected with the Delta variant and possibly spreading it to others, wear a mask indoors in public if you are in an area of substantial or high transmission.
If you are not fully vaccinated and aged 2 or older, you should wear a mask in indoor public places.

We are in an area of substantial transmission.  Our kid is unvaccinated.

The question that you posed was “am I supposed to worry about this thing until the end of time”.
My personal answer to that question is no, but given that 1) my child is unvaccinated and 2) we are in an area of substantial transmission we continue to wear masks in indoor public settings and otherwise follow our local, state and federal guidelines on the matter.  As I’ve said before, I don’t find this to be a particularly big disruption to how we would otherwise be living our lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 12, 2021, 05:51:20 PM
The official guidance for mask wearing from the US-CDC is pretty clear:

Quote
If you’ve been fully vaccinated:

You can resume activities that you did prior to the pandemic.
To reduce the risk of being infected with the Delta variant and possibly spreading it to others, wear a mask indoors in public if you are in an area of substantial or high transmission.
If you are not fully vaccinated and aged 2 or older, you should wear a mask in indoor public places.

We are in an area of substantial transmission.  Our kid is unvaccinated.

I am newly aware that in March 2021 the CDC updated the mask guidelines to include children as young as 2. I am also aware that the WHO says that they are wrong. I'm on team WHO on this, but I don't break the law.

EDITed to add: might this be the salience bias (https://thedecisionlab.com/biases/salience-bias/) in action?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FINate on December 12, 2021, 07:35:55 PM
I’m guessing you missed the earlier discussion upthread.
It has very little to do with preventing very young children from becoming seriously ill with Covid.  As you’ve noted, that is exceptionally rare.
Instead, our concern is on two fronts

Nope, I saw it. The grandparents are all triple vaccinated. If we or the kids have any symptoms we isolate until COVID is ruled out. I know kids can be asymptomatic carriers (30-40 percent), but this is true of everyone and the grandparents are around a lot of people, many of whom are not vaccinated. The odds of them getting sick from our asymptomatic kids and then becoming seriously ill after booster shots is very low. Not zero, but low enough that we're not worried about it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 12, 2021, 07:58:41 PM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

What do you mean by “normal”? Because really, I’ve been living my life for the last two years - not going to the mall hasn’t been some terrible sacrifice.

Kids are in school. Restaurants are open. There’s always takeout. We see friends and family.

What’s missing here?

Half of the posters in this thread* said they haven't/ wont go on an airplane , that seems a little abnormal.

*I didn't actually count

I hate flying, plus I think it’s so environmentally damaging that it’s easy for me to skip that. Some people may miss it, but I’d guess that some people find that they really don’t.

I think we’ve all been pushed to reconsider our priorities.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 12, 2021, 08:15:05 PM
And also - kids here wear masks on school property, inside and out. It doesn’t seem to bother them. My 5yo grandson can barely remember *not* wearing a mask in public. He forgets to take it off when her comes home. It IS the normal for him.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 12, 2021, 08:22:21 PM
And also - kids here wear masks on school property, inside and out. It doesn’t seem to bother them. My 5yo grandson can barely remember *not* wearing a mask in public. He forgets to take it off when her comes home. It IS the normal for him.

Sounds awesome
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 12, 2021, 08:25:07 PM
Around here, even teenagers on the way to/from school wear masks. Teenagers, who are near impossible to make to comply with anything. Not 100%, but higher % than in stores. It's the adults that's the problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on December 12, 2021, 08:48:57 PM
Do you have proof that small children are truly carriers?
I haven’t seen anything that validates that and my own personal experience is that the parents pass it to their kids and the kids who then test positive DO NOT actually spread it at school even when unmasked.

Well, it's anecdata, but my daycare had an outbreak that involved 25 people that I know about.  17 kids, 5 teachers (and all but 2 teachers in the school were vaccinated at the time) and 3 vaccinated parents with no outside exposure beyond their kids.  There may have been more parents - those are just parents I knew.

A positive case at the daycare:
- Shuts down the classroom, ranging from 7 kids, 3 teachers (infant) to ~20 people (kindergarten).  Some classes share a room, like my daughters, so that could shut down two classrooms.
- Which forces parents to either go crazy working from home AND watching kids (which with kids under 5 is not as easy as school aged kids) if permitted by work or take time off.  If you have two kids, that extends the time at home, because you can't test the second kid until it's been 10 days from exposure or symptoms (infectious time) + 5 days (time to wait to see if 2nd kid develops it).
- You still get to pay for daycare!  Lucky you.
- If there are too many cases like the outbreak above, it can shut down the whole school.
- The kids can spread it to others, included immune compromised people.  We've got a 75+ yo cancer survivor with diabetes in our tiny circle...
We worry about our kids getting it *and* the impact to others, health, work disruptions, and otherwise.

For me, I have to stay home from work anytime I or a household member has a symptom.  My 1.5 yo is in daycare, so she gets a lot of runny noses.  She's been tested and negative a ton of times, but I need to stay out until she gets better/I don't get it.

btw for those who seem to think little kids hate masks...my 19 month started asking to wearing a "mack" around 15 months.  She initially did it for just a moment, but it would be longer and longer.  We didn't push it on her, but I never refused so she'd start to get used to it and would just closely supervise.  She wants to imitate her beloved brother and others.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 13, 2021, 02:28:48 AM
I still prefer to mask in crowded indoor public settings because COVID/hospitalization rates are so high here and I'd rather not be part of the transmission chain.

This is what "back to normal" crowd studiously avoids comprehending. The blast radius of our actions is pretty wide, even if we are triple vaccinated and have no immunocomprimised people in our immediate surrounding.

But, as we saw above, fuck grieving families.

Which, again, is not as shocking as it should be. I mean, crazies harassed the grieving parents of Sandy Hook parents for years, and Sandy Hook did not chase them out, nor was Alex Jones forced into well-deserved hiding. We have a damn high tolerance for cruelty in this country, in so many forms and so many ways.

It's pretty widely accepted that COVID-19 is never going away and will keep mutating and circulating. We have effective vaccines, antivirals, and other treatment options. If we don't start going back to normal now, then when? In your opinion what's the criteria? Because "not normal" is not without a toll on human lives.

What do you mean by “normal”? Because really, I’ve been living my life for the last two years - not going to the mall hasn’t been some terrible sacrifice.

Kids are in school. Restaurants are open. There’s always takeout. We see friends and family.

What’s missing here?

Half of the posters in this thread* said they haven't/ wont go on an airplane , that seems a little abnormal.

*I didn't actually count
Not going on an airplane is going to become the new normal in our lifetimes for environmental reasons - here's an article on tourism accounting for 8% of greenhouse gas emissions -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-018-0141-x.epdf?sharing_token=yh7U0Etf_xYJwWKVi21zadRgN0jAjWel9jnR3ZoTv0OWchRe3LnakvyDKR-guL4qloEQgdwp_vyK5UVXF3yYT5QciXdcnQ3jNr0zcbijyy0Y32Cz-cYJx70XDtfFoI-377lgHCuADF4wyLySa6K1YnWrzqiyp6FPvK1xinHjf3OG85eSv4C5Hss74AT0z3JAXxzopccaEQ1GjTx97TjmZsoHFQGWqCZXI3Dn8aleg6o%3D&tracking_referrer=www.theguardian.com

It seems to be part of the human condition to live in the present, with a concomitant feeling that the past and the future have been more like the present than is really the case, hence a reluctance to accept that change has happened and will happen.  Covid is a change, current knowledge about climate change is another.  Both will have far reaching effects on the way we live as far as the future can be seen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Linea_Norway on December 13, 2021, 03:56:14 AM
I did not read the whole thread.

Double vaccinated.
In Norway about 90% of the population is vaccinated. But we have large outbreaks of the omikron mutation. Double vaccinated people are also infected by large numbers. Like after a full restaurant evening, 80 fully vaccinated and people who had all done a quick test, got infected. Therefore, the vaccination doesn't protect fully  against infection. But it does protect against serious symptoms. It looks like vaccinated people are having mild symptoms.

I do what is recommended by the country and community. I use a mask in the grocery shop when it is recommended. In autumn, I went to 2 indoor concerts with normal seating, no masks. Last Saturday I took the train, masked, and went to the cinema where we had to sit with 5 empty chair between all bookings. We used masks, but I did talk unmasked with a person 2 chairs from me. Since yesterday I have a sour throat, so I did a PCR test this morning.

If my test is negative, we'll visit family next week. The we will take a plane, masked. And we have decided we do not want to eat sushi that our relatives with small children will prepare themselves. We will suggest they make soup or so, that is well cooked through. I won't hug my nephews too closely, as the have infected me in earlier years with a nasty cold.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: felixbf on December 13, 2021, 05:43:54 AM
Getting back to normal.?
There will come a time, where Gov will just be like :"Lockdowns lifted state wide, you're on your own."
Every Gov will follow afterwards.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Britan on December 13, 2021, 06:58:00 AM
And also - kids here wear masks on school property, inside and out. It doesn’t seem to bother them. My 5yo grandson can barely remember *not* wearing a mask in public. He forgets to take it off when her comes home. It IS the normal for him.

Sounds awesome
My two year old also finds it normal to wear his mask indoors. Even in the house. It IS awesome, as, when he had a fever (negative for COVID flu and RSV) the first week we brought our newborn home, he wore his mask whenever the baby was around, and wasn’t coughing directly into the baby’s eyeballs, so we avoided giving the newborn his fever and avoided a hospitalization (fever in newborns is a go directly to hospital do not pass go situation; and when the adults got sick, we also wore masks around the baby). Also, it doubles as a great way to keep his nose warm during winter bike rides. Also also, it means we don’t catch nearly as many colds from daycare. There are still some, but it’s not been as bad. That means less minor misery and fewer unpaid days off work for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Fomerly known as something on December 13, 2021, 07:45:24 AM
I should note due to the my not normal job, I have had to travel and be in large (thankfully outdoor for the most part) crowds throughout the pandemic.  I also believe that COVID precautions are not to prevent all transmission, but to keep the spread on a “manageable” level.

Indoor gatherings with friends, so long as I feel they aren’t being reckless I’m good with them.

I’ve mostly been back to working on site since I’ve been vaccinated, also I was never fully work from home.

Airplane never stopped traveling (although it’s mostly been because of work)

Masks in stores, I’m split.  To an extent I don’t think they are 100% necessary, but it also doesn’t bother me to toss one on so mostly still wear one.

I eat out but will sit outside if it’s a good option.

The othe things you mention aren’t high priorities personally so haven’t really though about “going back” to them
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 13, 2021, 09:20:57 AM
Or perhaps I should say: I take my pandemic advice from the only political party to which I am still a member: the SNP which never required small children to wear masks in school (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/27/us/students-masks-classrooms-britain.html), because that was for the benefit of the adults, not the children. So once the adults had access to vaccines I am 100% unwilling to put any more burden on the children.

Meh - kids her age all wear masks now in our community, and they seem surprisingly unbothered by it. For them it’s just their normal.  I think the advice for small children not to wear masks in school was primarily based on the alpha variant which (IIRC) didn’t kill or hospitalize a single young child with a normal immune system in the first six months of the pandemic.  Delta upended that as young children started winding up in the ICU and some ever died. We are still largely waiting data to find out if Omicron is more/less dangerous to small humans, but right now in my community the major variant remains delta, and is the “problem in front of us” for the immediate future.

Are you saying that peer pressure in your community is causing children five and under to wear masks in spite of the fact that the WHO says not to do that (https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/question-and-answers-hub/q-a-detail/q-a-children-and-masks-related-to-covid-19)? Because to me that sounds like the politically motivated dismissal of experts (https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2017/09/05/how-we-killed-expertise-215531/) that the left howls about when the right does it.

No, that’s not what I’m saying at all.

I will go ahead and day that they are. My understanding is at least several of the preschools in our area are requiring kids to wear masks. 

It would probably be super awkward if I myself went to confirm though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shwaa on December 13, 2021, 09:54:12 AM
I am getting my booster shot tomorrow but now I am reading that the current vaccines may not be effective at all against Omicron.  Will this just lead to more/different vaccines being put in our arms early next year?   This reminds me of some movie, I can't think of which one, maybe it doesn't exist....yet. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on December 13, 2021, 10:41:10 AM
Do you have proof that small children are truly carriers?
I haven’t seen anything that validates that and my own personal experience is that the parents pass it to their kids and the kids who then test positive DO NOT actually spread it at school even when unmasked.

Well, it's anecdata, but my daycare had an outbreak that involved 25 people that I know about.  17 kids, 5 teachers (and all but 2 teachers in the school were vaccinated at the time) and 3 vaccinated parents with no outside exposure beyond their kids.  There may have been more parents - those are just parents I knew.

A positive case at the daycare:
- Shuts down the classroom, ranging from 7 kids, 3 teachers (infant) to ~20 people (kindergarten).  Some classes share a room, like my daughters, so that could shut down two classrooms.
- Which forces parents to either go crazy working from home AND watching kids (which with kids under 5 is not as easy as school aged kids) if permitted by work or take time off.  If you have two kids, that extends the time at home, because you can't test the second kid until it's been 10 days from exposure or symptoms (infectious time) + 5 days (time to wait to see if 2nd kid develops it).
- You still get to pay for daycare!  Lucky you.
- If there are too many cases like the outbreak above, it can shut down the whole school.
- The kids can spread it to others, included immune compromised people.  We've got a 75+ yo cancer survivor with diabetes in our tiny circle...
We worry about our kids getting it *and* the impact to others, health, work disruptions, and otherwise.

For me, I have to stay home from work anytime I or a household member has a symptom.  My 1.5 yo is in daycare, so she gets a lot of runny noses.  She's been tested and negative a ton of times, but I need to stay out until she gets better/I don't get it.

btw for those who seem to think little kids hate masks...my 19 month started asking to wearing a "mack" around 15 months.  She initially did it for just a moment, but it would be longer and longer.  We didn't push it on her, but I never refused so she'd start to get used to it and would just closely supervise.  She wants to imitate her beloved brother and others.

The same thing just happened in a day care here.  3 kids tested positive, one with Omicron.  The entire day care is now shut down for 2 weeks and all family members of every child in that day care must isolate for 2 weeks, whether they have symptoms or not, whether they're vaccinated or not.  As Omicron is set to become the dominant strain in very short order, we can likely expect more lockdowns.  Not enough is known yet about outcomes from this variant and I suppose it's wise to err on the side of caution, but GROAN.  When is this going to end?

Personally, I plan to keep my life pretty restricted for the next while until we see how this plays out.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on December 13, 2021, 11:04:20 AM

Do you have proof that small children are truly carriers?
I haven’t seen anything that validates that and my own personal experience is that the parents pass it to their kids and the kids who then test positive DO NOT actually spread it at school even when unmasked.

This is anecdata, but - Our school system dropped it's mask policy the first week of November. We had three student cases (total) across 8 schools at that time.

The week of November 19th we had 97 new cases (13 of them were in my daughter's grade at her school).

Masks went back to being required the following week. As of 12/9 there were 23 cases. There have been no further new cases in my daughter's grade since the week after the mask requirement came back.

We live in a pretty high transmission area with covid cases climbing week over week. Our test positivity rate has been above 10% for weeks, and my husband said it hit 20% last week.

If kids were just catching it out in the community but not passing it at school, I would expect that the school case rates would have kept pace with the county, but instead the rates dropped when we reinstituted masks.

My kids will be fully vaccinated in a couple of weeks, at which point we hope to start living a little more "normally", assuming Omicron doesn't upset the applecart all over again.

 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 13, 2021, 11:25:29 AM
I am getting my booster shot tomorrow but now I am reading that the current vaccines may not be effective at all against Omicron.  Will this just lead to more/different vaccines being put in our arms early next year?   This reminds me of some movie, I can't think of which one, maybe it doesn't exist....yet.

The latest information seems to indicate that a third shot of Pfizer bumps you up to about 70-80% protection.  This article discusses some of the studies on booster efficacy against Omicron.

https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-update-dec-13 (https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-update-dec-13)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on December 13, 2021, 11:46:28 AM
all family members of every child in that day care must isolate for 2 weeks, whether they have symptoms or not, whether they're vaccinated or not. 

Seriously?! That has never been within the realm of what has been recommended by the CDC. I guess it's possible that some health departments are being extra-cautious, but I wonder if this is a misunderstanding.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: economista on December 13, 2021, 12:13:55 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?

My decision not to participate in extra-curriculars is totally tied to my local healthcare system and whether it's keeping pace with the case load or drowning. We're in a state where elective surgeries have been postponed and the national guard has been called in to supplement care, and people in the metro may need to be medivac'd outstate just to find an ICU bed. I have many friends and family members who have kids in school and they are always going to shoulder some risk for that, and I, as a childless person, can help to mitigate some of that risk.

I'm just not certain that if someone I cared about (vax'd or unvax'd) got sick, that they'd have a bed available (based on data available today). So I can take my movie nights at home with my close family rather than at the theater or I can get takeout with friends rather than dining in, etc. It's just tradeoffs, and the calculation becomes less dire to me when our healthcare system isn't completely drowning and our positivity rate is below 5%. I also have some friends in healthcare and understand that this pace isn't sustainable, so the "opting out" is for them as well.

This is a real worry of mine as well. Last weekend my 81 year old grandmother had a heart attack and they couldn't get a bed for her! They kept her in the ER overnight and then moved her to a room at a rural hospital that doesn't have a cardiac unit, because it was the only bed they could get for her within driving distance of where she lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Bartlebooth on December 13, 2021, 01:08:01 PM
Back to normal myself, and actively preferring/switching to businesses that are back to providing normal levels of service.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Yes, have been for about a year now
Working on site?  Yes, never stopped.  I searched for and found a new job a couple months ago because the old one required masks even outdoors in the parking lot.  New job finally eased up on mask requirements a couple weeks ago but was not super strict about it.
Getting on an airplane? Actively avoiding flying until mask requirements are dropped.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Always have been unless required, which was only for one month I think in my state.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes, been going to packed bars and restaurants for a year now.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? Sure
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? Sure
Going to a bar? Yes
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Blue Skies on December 13, 2021, 01:09:44 PM
all family members of every child in that day care must isolate for 2 weeks, whether they have symptoms or not, whether they're vaccinated or not. 

Seriously?! That has never been within the realm of what has been recommended by the CDC. I guess it's possible that some health departments are being extra-cautious, but I wonder if this is a misunderstanding.

What is recommended is that everyone who has been exposed isolate.  Provided the exposed child is isolated, family members could go about their lives.  But that isn't really possible with a child under 5 years old (daycare age).  Someone is taking care of them, so they are not isolated.  If one parent could isolate with the child, the rest of the family could still go out, but they are probably just assuming that would be difficult to enforce and recommending everyone isolate instead.

A big part of why we were being so cautious is because if any one of us who were vaccinated caught a breakthrough case of covid my unvaccinated child would be considered exposed and would have to isolate and miss school for two weeks.  Not fun. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on December 13, 2021, 01:32:31 PM
Double vax'd plus booster, and was loosening up a bit until Omicron appeared, so now back to similar to how we were pre-vax.  But to be honest, it hasn't changed life that much b/c I don't like being around crowds of people at the best of times and I try to avoid all viruses at all times b/c of hyperactive immune system (autoimmune problems).

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only?

I would only invite vaxed people, but will drop in on mixed gatherings if masked with N95. Prefer only socializing with fully vaxed.

Working on site?

N/A.  working from home.

Church?

N/A

Gym?

Yes?  I would not get on an exercise bike and work out right next to someone at our gym, but I do use the indoor pool (HUGE room with high ceiling) at low traffic times. I put the mask on in the dressing room.

Getting on an airplane?

Not enthusiastically, and wearing actual PPE N95, which is very uncomfortable for a full day of travel, but technically yes.

Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?

Hell, no.

Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?

Only if I'm traveling and there is no other option to eat. I would happily do outdoor patio dining, though.

Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full? 

Yes, hypothetically, but I rarely want to go do anything that involves a stadium. Haven't been in one in years.

Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?

If I were masked and I desperately wanted to attend the event. See above.

Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?
Going to a bar?

Maybe if I REALLY wanted to go, I'd wear an N95.  I can't think of anything I want to see live badly enough to warrant going off the top of my head. 

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?

Yes, I would restrict my activities in prep for visiting someone with higher risk (in fact, I just did this so I could travel to see my father).

So to sum up, nowhere near prepandemic normal, but actual activities that I like to do are not that frequently affected.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 13, 2021, 02:02:53 PM
Most of the outbreaks in my area are in schools and day-cares.  So it makes perfect sense for their parents to continue being careful.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on December 13, 2021, 02:16:45 PM
all family members of every child in that day care must isolate for 2 weeks, whether they have symptoms or not, whether they're vaccinated or not. 

Seriously?! That has never been within the realm of what has been recommended by the CDC. I guess it's possible that some health departments are being extra-cautious, but I wonder if this is a misunderstanding.

What is recommended is that everyone who has been exposed isolate.  Provided the exposed child is isolated, family members could go about their lives.  But that isn't really possible with a child under 5 years old (daycare age).  Someone is taking care of them, so they are not isolated.  If one parent could isolate with the child, the rest of the family could still go out, but they are probably just assuming that would be difficult to enforce and recommending everyone isolate instead.

A big part of why we were being so cautious is because if any one of us who were vaccinated caught a breakthrough case of covid my unvaccinated child would be considered exposed and would have to isolate and miss school for two weeks.  Not fun.
My kids are elementary age and jr high.
They are no longer wearing masks at school and no longer to isolate if exposed. The rule now is “mask to stay and test to play” so if they are exposed they may go to school but must mask up, they then test on day 1 and day 7 once those are clear they can unmask and play sports.
We have seen a spike the last two weeks which I suspect is related to Thanksgiving but other than that it seems to be working well.
If I had an at risk family member around us regularly my opinion might be different.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 13, 2021, 02:22:30 PM
I plan to continue being careful until my son has had his second vaccine shot.  At that point my wife, son, and I are pretty much done.  Covid isn't going away, so we'll keep getting whatever vaccinations are necessary, and we'll continue to check with family members and others if they need us to quarantine before visits.  I'll keep wearing masks where mandated, and I'm not going to go around licking doorknobs and toilet seats . . . but I don't really see a point in going out of my way to do anything to avoid covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 13, 2021, 02:29:15 PM
So here is what I don't understand, for those of you saying you are vaccinated but still unwilling to go to parties or restaurants, what is it you are afraid of? Is it taking COVID to someone you love that is vulnerable or is it getting COVID?

It just doesn't seem worth the risk to me to go to a party or a restaurant, if it's indoors and unmasked.  I went to my company holiday happy hour (outdoors), and I do the neighborhood potluck (outdoors).

Firstly, until a few days ago, our younger child was not fully vaxxed.
Now that he is, well, we are leaving this weekend on planes to visit elderly and immunocompromised family.  So, why increase the risk?
Our kids are at school (masked), I feel like that is enough exposure.

Finally, even AFTER the trip to visit family, I'm still not sure how much risk I want to take.  Yes, we are all probably going to get COVID, and right now we are at max protection (with the 9yo vaxxed and the parents boostered...only the teen had his last dose in June).  HOWEVER, a single exposure in our household means that the kids won't be able to go to school for at least 14 days (longer depending on how it spreads through the house), and no thanks!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on December 13, 2021, 02:44:47 PM
For me since about June I've gone back to living pretty normally.

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Yup, had several large friend gatherings this year.
Working on site? N/A I was remote before this, but my wife has been working on site the entire pandemic.
Church? N/A
Gym? Yup, been going to the gym for over a year now.
Getting on an airplane? Yup, went to Disney World with the family in June
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Yup, I usually don't wear a mask unless it says strongly recommended and most people are also wearing masks.
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Don't care, if we want to eat there we will go whether it's busy or not.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? Yup, been to several baseball games, full capacity concerts, and college football games this year.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity? I don't think I have been to a large indoor event, but that's not because I would be hesitant in going, just haven't been.
Going to a bar? Yup, go to bars and breweries pretty often. No concerns.

Honestly, I'm surprised I haven't gotten Covid and to my knowledge no one in my family has either. My kids have been going to daycare/school the entire time and never worn masks, my wife has been going to work the entire time, etc. I do believe it's a serious disease, but once I got vaccinated I knew I'd basically eliminated my risk of severe sickness, so I went back to living a normal life. I feel my kids are the most vulnerable they will be at daycare/school. So, if I don't think the risk is high enough to pull them out of school and daycare, why should I feel they are at risk when walking through a grocery store or eating in a restaurant? That's just...like my opinion though :)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on December 13, 2021, 03:45:25 PM
all family members of every child in that day care must isolate for 2 weeks, whether they have symptoms or not, whether they're vaccinated or not. 

Seriously?! That has never been within the realm of what has been recommended by the CDC. I guess it's possible that some health departments are being extra-cautious, but I wonder if this is a misunderstanding.

Yes, seriously.  I reread the article to make sure.  (It’s a preschool program, not a day care as I originally said.). Even worse, the after school program for older kids was also shut down, even though it sounds like those kids had no contact with the preschoolers, because they shared staff.  The staff are in the process of being tested, so I imagine if enough are negative to support the after school program, it will resume.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: js82 on December 13, 2021, 10:52:56 PM
Wife and I are basically in the "it's time to get back to normal, with appropriate precautions" camp.  Vaccines + antivirals/other treatments have changed the risk profile sufficiently that most people should be able to go back to their regular lives.  We're talking a 97-99% aggregate risk reduction for individuals making full use of the medical options available to them.

We got married in October.  Everyone(except the 3-year-old-who wasn't eligible) was vaccinated, and as much of the festivities as possible were outside/in open-air settings.  It was a small wedding, and we had a livestream for the ~20ish people who weren't able to make it/weren't comfortable due to Covid.

We're Vaxxed + boostered, as are our parents and those of our friends who are eligible for the booster.

We still generally wear masks for indoor public places, but have done some indoor dining.

We're at the "this is manageable with some basic precautions" point of this pandemic - and that's how we're acting.

Edit: to the original questions:

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? Yes.  Have a few friends/family that are still cautious, but generally yes.  Don't have any anti-vaxxers in our close social circles so that's not an issue

Working on site? Yes, for both of us.  I've been on-site for the entire pandemic due to the nature of my work, her for the past few months

Church? We're both agnostic/nonreligious, so this is a N/A

Gym? Not Yet.  We've basically leaned on home fitness equipment(some purchased during the pandemic).  I've occasionally used hotel gyms while traveling for work


Getting on an airplane? Yes.  A couple times to visit family, and a number of times for work

Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?  No - wearing a mask isn't a big deal, so we just do it.  Outdoors is OK, obviously

Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Occasionally.  Not often.

Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?  Not really our thing.  We did do a largish turkey trot on Thanksgiving, and it was fine

Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?  Did a Broadway play in NYC.  (requires proof of vax from all attendees)

Going to a bar? Married and not a huge drinker, so that's a nope, Covid or no Covid
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on December 14, 2021, 06:56:00 AM
The way I see it, generally people fit the following profiles:

Nothing changed (indoors w/o mask, w/o regard to vaccination status): Anti-vaxers/anti-science, many young healthy couples/single people
Rule follower (wear a mask when recommended or required): Parents of older children
Cautious (avoid indoor/unmasked gatherings): Parents of young children, immune compromised

Obviously there's a lot of bleed into categories, but it seems to generally bucket what I see on this thread and in real life.  There are cautious people who are doing so out of a sense of "best for everyone" even when they are young and healthy.  There are older, immune compromised people for whom nothing changed because they feel why bother we'll all get it, don't believe the science, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on December 14, 2021, 07:32:11 AM
The way I see it, generally people fit the following profiles:

Nothing changed (indoors w/o mask, w/o regard to vaccination status): Anti-vaxers/anti-science, many young healthy couples/single people
Rule follower (wear a mask when recommended or required): Parents of older children
Cautious (avoid indoor/unmasked gatherings): Parents of young children, immune compromised

Obviously there's a lot of bleed into categories, but it seems to generally bucket what I see on this thread and in real life.  There are cautious people who are doing so out of a sense of "best for everyone" even when they are young and healthy.  There are older, immune compromised people for whom nothing changed because they feel why bother we'll all get it, don't believe the science, etc.

I think that's a pretty reasonable breakdown. I was definitely extremely cautious for the first year or so. (I'm a public health nerd, who spent my vet school externships at the CDC and my state department of health, but then life happened and I got stuck vaccinated dogs/cats for 14 years.) I've now accepted that COVID is going to be with us for the long haul, though, and that my extreme caution does little good when everyone else in Florida is firmly in the Nothing Changed category. I've now swung to Rule Follower category (we don't really have any state rules, but I follow case counts and look to the CDC guidance for when I should be masked in public), although that could change depending on case counts, new info about Omicron and other variants, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Linea_Norway on December 14, 2021, 08:10:08 AM
We are now back to Corona restrictions. So no more than 20 people in a public room, or 50 when seated, all holding 1 meter distance. They are trying to get everyone a booster (third) dose of vaccin (we are a bit behind the USA in applying vaccins). Mandatory masks in all public places. No more than 10 visitors in your home. Our community is now closing schools.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on December 14, 2021, 10:10:23 AM
Covid vaccines and now boosters are here, treatments for those who get the disease continue to improve, and death rates are falling.  The virus isn't going away, and will be with us forever like common cold and flu.  The world is open - football stadiums are full of fans, Broadway shows have reopened, etc. 

I would take some issue with the 'death rates are falling' clause.  Deaths are still unacceptably high, in my opinion, and I think there's a false narrative out there (parroted to me by a relative recently) that people aren't dying of it anymore.  ~1300 Americans are still dying daily from COVID, close to half million per year at that rate.  Not even remotely comparable to the flu by that metric, which people often compare it to.  I do agree that it will be with us forever in some form.

Which activities have you resumed doing and which ones are you not ready for yet, if ever?  If you are still holding back from a pre-pandemic activity, do you have some type of metric that will make it okay for you again?

Indoor gatherings with friends?  Vaccinated people only? Yes, with vaccinated friends, and families whom we know take prudent precautions.
Working on site? When required.  Mostly work from home, from 1200 miles away.
Church? Did go some in the summer, but halted when the Delta surge started really hitting our area.  Biggest concern was for our 5-11 kids, and the lack of enforcement of masking.  Now that our kids are vaccinated, will look to resume.
Gym? Work out at home.  I did go to a class with some friends recently.  May start at a climbing gym soon.
Getting on an airplane? I've done this on multiple occasions, with appropriate precautions.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)?  Not indoors
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy?  Indoor restaurants with someone at every table?  Yes, though there is probably a "packing factor" at which I would beg off.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full?  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity?  Did a low capacity outdoor baseball game.  Not interested in a crowded stadium.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full?  Indoor stadiums at full capacity?
Going to a bar? Might consider it if not too crowded.  Not a big part of my life before COVID.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to?

In general, our calculus is changing, as we are now just days away from our kids - one who is immunocompromised - reaching full vaccination status.  Hopefully Omicron doesn't screw that up our plans too much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 14, 2021, 10:24:32 AM
We're in an area of high transmission right now, and our risk tolerance is pretty high largely because we've both been working face to face with high density institutional populations throughout the pandemic.  When you're exposed all day long to people living in group settings, it feels a little silly to get super anxious about Covid when we're on our own time.  We're conscious about spreading anything we might catch to others, but otherwise we don't fret too much.  We're double-vaxed and boosted, both because it's good sense and because it's a condition of our employment.

At this point, we're in the "rule followers" category outlined above. 

We wear masks in stores because it's part of our local (blue, urban) culture as much as because of particular health concerns.

We both eat in restaurants as a required part of our employment, and occationally on our own time.

We haven't done the gym, church, concerts, or sporting events indoors during the pandemic.  Mostly we haven't gone back because we don't miss them much.  Mountain biking > Peloton every time.

We're starting to schedule for the spring and summer, and both personal and work travel are starting to look much more normal.  When I get on a plane, I will definitely strap on an N95 for my own safety.

Couple more notes:

- We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

- If I were a parent, I would be absolutely enraged at daycares and schools that seem to use the slightest sniffle to shut the place down and throw parents' lives into chaos.  Locally, our private schools sure seem to be a lot more motivated to keep kids in the desks than the public schools, and for those of us who care about educational inequality that should be a problem.

- It's been interesting to watch the return to work social dynamics.  I've seen lots of staff really drag their feet on coming back to the office and insist that working from home is perfectly fine, but then once they're back in the office they're upset that some people are still working from home.  Everyone wants to be the last one working in sweatpants, but eventually most people are going to have to summon the courage to don their hard pants again.

- Talking to a couple people reasonably high up at Fortune 100-500 companies in retail and medicine (not tech), their feeling is that their WFH policies will remain permissive until the next major economic shock at which point they'll have leverage to restore office normalcy.  I know quite a few folks who aren't making major life changes based on WFH policies because they don't believe they'll be permanent. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on December 14, 2021, 11:59:44 AM
- It's been interesting to watch the return to work social dynamics.  I've seen lots of staff really drag their feet on coming back to the office and insist that working from home is perfectly fine, but then once they're back in the office they're upset that some people are still working from home.  Everyone wants to be the last one working in sweatpants, but eventually most people are going to have to summon the courage to don their hard pants again.

Why? 

I question this assumption that people will have to return.  Many people demonstrated they can successfully do most if not all of their job remotely.  (Obviously, some failed and require additional supervision or were terminated. That will always be the case that some rise to meet challenges and some fail.)  At the same time, there is a great resignation going on and employers are finding it hard to hire.  There are additional benefits to working from home: reduced office costs, commute cost, reduced environmental impact, allowing flexibility in work schedules which benefits both employer and employee, and promoting a positive work/life balance.

Why do we have to return? 

I worked 1/day a week remote till the pandemic hit, then went 100% remote.  Six months ago I took a promotion at a different location that requires 100% in person.  However, I am not allowed on campus whenever my family gets sick so I work remotely then for up to a few weeks at a time (2 daycare kids get sick not infrequently).  If someone could package up my mail I could work 100% remotely, if not, I only need to go in once every two weeks.  For me, if they don't establish a telework policy (as they are required to do so by the overall organization), once I vest my pension in ~6 months (to 1.5 years to give me more experience in this position), I will seriously consider looking for a new job where I can work remotely at least part of the time.  Honestly, my ideal would be 1/day in 4 out, but I'd accept 3 in/2 out.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 14, 2021, 12:35:56 PM
Why? 

I question this assumption that people will have to return.  Many people demonstrated they can successfully do most if not all of their job remotely. 

I don't deny that many people can do their jobs well from home.

What I think is understated though, is that lots and lots of companies want their workers back.  According to a survey reported on in Forbes in October, "Executives who work remotely are nearly three times more likely than employees to prefer returning to the office full-time."  https://www.forbes.com/sites/edwardsegal/2021/10/05/the-great-disconnect-many-more-employers-than-workers-want-to-return-to-offices/?sh=ffcbde71ad3d

And lots of places have been bringing them back already.  Per Gallup, in spring 2020,  69% of the workforce had some WFH option.  By September 2021, we were hovering in the mid-40% range. 

People who are 100% WFH have already been cut more than in half since spring 2020 (54% to 25%).  The trends are already clearly in the direction of a return to the office, and a majority of people already have zero WFH option.  https://news.gallup.com/poll/355907/remote-work-persisting-trending-permanent.aspx

If the employer wants the worker in the office and the worker wants to be at home, the only real question is the balance of power between them.  Now, the workers have the power, and they're at home.  In the future, they probably won't have the same power, and they'll be in their desks. 

Of course that doesn't say anything about whether any particular job, or company, or field will reach a given new normal.  Certainly there will be more remote work than in the before-times.  But if we were taking bets on whether we'll be more than our current 45% remote or less in five years, I'd put my money on less than 45%. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on December 14, 2021, 12:53:05 PM
5 people whom I knew personally have passed away from Covid, the youngest of whom was in his 20's.  2 of them left young children behind.

I'm 1 degree of separation away from scores more Covid victims (Friends or family of acquaintances of mine.)

Everyone in my family is vaxxed and most are boosted, but I'm still cautious because there's a person in my household currently undergoing chemo.  Mask wearing reduces all kinds of germs, so why wouldn't I?


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 14, 2021, 02:12:46 PM
Been in the "back to normal" camp since last March, when vaccines first became widely available. Life is full of risks, and if you look at the actual risk of death for your age and vaccination status, its not much different than plenty of other diseases you never cared about. Its crazy to imagine its been 2 years. If not back to normal now, then when? I was extremely cautious in the winter of 2020, and basically lived like a hermit, knowing vaccines were right around the corner. I feel like I did my duty and am now free to enjoy life again. I accept there is still a very small risk I could have a breakthrough case and die. Its probably along the same lines as dying in any number of other ways. I don't follow CDC guidance anymore because I believe that they don't know what they are doing and/or lie for political purposes.

Once I was fully vaxxed it was back to normal, no looking back.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 14, 2021, 03:10:35 PM
Been in the "back to normal" camp since last March, when vaccines first became widely available. Life is full of risks, and if you look at the actual risk of death for your age and vaccination status, its not much different than plenty of other diseases you never cared about. Its crazy to imagine its been 2 years. If not back to normal now, then when? I was extremely cautious in the winter of 2020, and basically lived like a hermit, knowing vaccines were right around the corner. I feel like I did my duty and am now free to enjoy life again. I accept there is still a very small risk I could have a breakthrough case and die. Its probably along the same lines as dying in any number of other ways. I don't follow CDC guidance anymore because I believe that they don't know what they are doing and/or lie for political purposes.

Once I was fully vaxxed it was back to normal, no looking back.

My whole family (including kids) got covid last November, and once that cat was out of the bag I was pretty much back to normal.

Another poster commented about 1000 people die from Covid every day, which is concerning, but not that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things. Before everyone jumps down my throat. ~7000 Americans die every day. No one gets excited about such things.


Type               Total     Daily
Heart disease   659,041    1,806
Cancer           599,601    1,643
Accidents           173,040    474
respiratory diseases   156,979    430
Stroke            150,005    411
Alzheimer’s    121,499    333
Diabetes           87,647    240
Nephritis, nephrotic syndrome, and nephrosis   51,565    141
Influenza and pneumonia   49,783    136

Source: CDC https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm

The reasoning for not being back to normal is that despite being triple vaxed is they are worried about spreading it to someone who at risk and could hurt. And they are completely right in that fact! My question is that is there ever a level of covid deaths that people will get back to normal? Or is this all just an excursive in human psychology and not epidemiology?

The flu is a great example, no one wore masks (save for 1918) and the flu was regularly spread around to all sorts of vulnerable people. Lots of people died almost exclusively the very old and very young. The flu has always been pretty dangerous but no one really cared. I never wore a mask with a concern about the flu, it never even cross my mind. Now I realize that 136 deaths a day < 1000 a day. However what has to happen for folks who are continuing to live very different lives due to covid to get back to the one they would be living without it.

I am speaking to activities you likely would have done before but still don't feel comfortable doing now. Is there a level where you will ever feel comfortable?


 




Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 14, 2021, 03:40:43 PM
The flu is a great example, no one wore masks (save for 1918) and the flu was regularly spread around to all sorts of vulnerable people. Lots of people died almost exclusively the very old and very young. The flu has always been pretty dangerous but no one really cared. I never wore a mask with a concern about the flu, it never even cross my mind. Now I realize that 136 deaths a day < 1000 a day. However what has to happen for folks who are continuing to live very different lives due to covid to get back to the one they would be living without it.

That's not really true (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu). The 1918 flu was particularly notable because of the spike in deaths in the 25-34 cohort compared to a normal year. That's one of the reasons that it was so devastating.

Most influenza outbreaks disproportionately kill the young and old, with a higher survival rate in-between, but this pandemic had unusually high mortality for young adults.

(https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/70/W_curve.png)

deaths per 100,000 persons in each age group (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu#/media/File:W_curve.png)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 14, 2021, 04:35:23 PM
Yes, 7K-8K people die every day from non-COVID reasons, but our healthcare system is largely built around this level of morbidity and mortality.

The healthcare system bears a tremendous cost every time someone gets sick from COVID. 78% of ICU beds are in use currently, and one quarter of them are being used for COVID patients. Cases are mostly flat right now, but the percentage of COVID tests that come back positive has gone from ~4% to ~7% over the past few weeks. The percent positivity is often a leading indicator of cases and hospitalizations.

It won't take much of an increase before we're back where we were with the Delta wave. ICUs full. Patients (COVID or not) having to be CareFlighted to hospitals hundreds of miles away at the cost of tens of thousands of dollars either to themselves, insurance companies, or government programs like Medicare/Medicaid.

We're burning out doctors, nurses, and healthcare support staff. Some of our most important workers. 20% have already left their jobs, with some leaving healthcare in full. This training, expertise, and manpower takes years to replace.

tl;dr, bad COVID numbers are more than just the toll of human life lost. It makes healthcare more expensive lower quality for everyone.

So while my personal risk of COVID is low, the stakes are very high in aggregate.

-vaxxed and boosted
-mask indoors everywhere unless it's a small gathering with other vaccinated people I know personally
-still WFH
-still leaning heavily on outdoor gatherings with friends and family and doing stuff like game night over the web

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 14, 2021, 05:02:42 PM
5 people whom I knew personally have passed away from Covid, the youngest of whom was in his 20's.  2 of them left young children behind.

I'm 1 degree of separation away from scores more Covid victims (Friends or family of acquaintances of mine.)

Everyone in my family is vaxxed and most are boosted, but I'm still cautious because there's a person in my household currently undergoing chemo.  Mask wearing reduces all kinds of germs, so why wouldn't I?

I think a lot depends on whether you know people who have gotten sick. We knew several people who were very sick at the beginning of the pandemic - one died and one has some long term problems from being on a vent for so long.

We also know several people who have have had break through infections and been sick enough to be pretty miserable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on December 14, 2021, 05:15:30 PM

Another poster commented about 1000 people die from Covid every day, which is concerning, but not that big of a deal in the grand scheme of things. Before everyone jumps down my throat. ~7000 Americans die every day. No one gets excited about such things.


I'm well aware of the normal death rates in the USA with/without Covid, and think that people absolutely do get excited about such things.  Covid has basically added another cancer to our death rate.  It's an enormous contribution (currently).  You don't think people would be excited about curing cancer?  It absolutely is a big deal, and I wholeheartedly disagree with you on that point.

Beyond that, our health system clearly wasn't built to handle this huge additional, irregular surge in demand, as was pointed out by another poster. 

That said, it's clearly here to stay, with or without restrictions.  I'm just not throwing in the towel on a half million deaths per annum being here to stay.  That's not to say that I'm throwing in the towel on getting back to the old normal, either...just that I've still got a fair distance from that point.  I do think we are opening to relaxing some of our precautions, now that my kids finally were able to get vaccinated, knowing that any breakthrough infections will likely be significantly less severe.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 14, 2021, 05:20:39 PM
We're in an area of high transmission right now, and our risk tolerance is pretty high largely because we've both been working face to face with high density institutional populations throughout the pandemic.  When you're exposed all day long to people living in group settings, it feels a little silly to get super anxious about Covid when we're on our own time.  We're conscious about spreading anything we might catch to others, but otherwise we don't fret too much.  We're double-vaxed and boosted, both because it's good sense and because it's a condition of our employment.

At this point, we're in the "rule followers" category outlined above. 

We wear masks in stores because it's part of our local (blue, urban) culture as much as because of particular health concerns.

We both eat in restaurants as a required part of our employment, and occationally on our own time.

We haven't done the gym, church, concerts, or sporting events indoors during the pandemic.  Mostly we haven't gone back because we don't miss them much.  Mountain biking > Peloton every time.

We're starting to schedule for the spring and summer, and both personal and work travel are starting to look much more normal.  When I get on a plane, I will definitely strap on an N95 for my own safety.

Couple more notes:

- We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

- If I were a parent, I would be absolutely enraged at daycares and schools that seem to use the slightest sniffle to shut the place down and throw parents' lives into chaos.  Locally, our private schools sure seem to be a lot more motivated to keep kids in the desks than the public schools, and for those of us who care about educational inequality that should be a problem.

- It's been interesting to watch the return to work social dynamics.  I've seen lots of staff really drag their feet on coming back to the office and insist that working from home is perfectly fine, but then once they're back in the office they're upset that some people are still working from home.  Everyone wants to be the last one working in sweatpants, but eventually most people are going to have to summon the courage to don their hard pants again.

- Talking to a couple people reasonably high up at Fortune 100-500 companies in retail and medicine (not tech), their feeling is that their WFH policies will remain permissive until the next major economic shock at which point they'll have leverage to restore office normalcy.  I know quite a few folks who aren't making major life changes based on WFH policies because they don't believe they'll be permanent.
The bolded is pretty shocking to me.  My sister (and her spouse) had it, fairly early on, but she worked in death investigation and was still working full time with a fair amount of exposure, so that wasn't a suprise.  At the moment, 2 of my closest friends and their families have it.  They live nowhere near each other (one in California, one in England).  Both are vaccinated, but have young kids that are not.  My mother-in-law and brother-in-law (who lives with her) had it a few months ago. My best friend's brother (who has long Covid and more than a year after infection has significant symptoms).  And I could name at least a dozen other people in my larger social circle without thinking very hard.  Plus, people DH has worked with, friends of friends who I've met in passing, etc. 

And I'm a bit of an introvert, so I'd say my social circle is smaller than average, though likely much more geographical diverse than average. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: MrsV on December 14, 2021, 06:20:19 PM
I live in an Australian state that has largely been shut off to the rest of the country, and of course, our entire country has been largely shut off from the world. So, until this week (we opened borders Monday), we've really lived quite freely. Our premier still posts a daily update of case numbers, deaths etc ... it feels a bit out of touch now that we are coming on three years of living with this, to be honest, and perhaps reporting severe cases or hospitalisations is more realistic. We've only recorded seven deaths in the state the entire time, for the record.

I read a lot of overseas news and chat with friends, and I am always interested in reading these threads here because I feel like what you are all living will soon be our reality. We've been in a bubble - a bubble that I'm grateful for as I have a teenage son with a severe respiratory illness.  He is well known at the emergency department and has regular appointments at the hospital with the respiratory team, who have been amazing. He is on immunosuppressant drugs (basically, his white blood cells have been attacking his respiratory system and stomach lining even - missed for years as it is pretty rare, and even more rare in kids). So, as we are now moving to 'living with covid',  I have no idea where this leaves him and whether the drugs will make him more vulnerable than he would be untreated.

Our state is now open, and I suspect we will know more about what 'living with Covid' really means within a month. Masks are off here for now, though we wore them for months. We are at about an 80% double vax figure. Boosters are starting to roll out if you are due (more than five months since the last shot). We check-in everywhere we go with an app that scans our details - but, given the fact that if you are a close contact you have to quarantine for two weeks regardless of a negative test, I hear of young people saying they just won't be checking in as they can't afford to miss work. This morning, we had a situation where an entire planeload of predominantly vaccinated people was put in two weeks' quarantine because there was one positive case. Literally, half an hour ago, that was overturned to only be those close to the positive case due to a huge media uproar.

I didn't answer the questions in points because we've been going to bars, restaurants, and living life fairly normally ... until now. Let's see where we are in a month or two!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 14, 2021, 06:29:23 PM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me, but I live in Portland where we took the pandemic very very seriously. None of my friends or coworkers in my office got it. If you snuck out on a bike ride to see one friend you were looked down on. Your best friend would refuse to see you without wearing a mask and sitting 20 feet apart, even if you lived alone and worked from home and were about to hang yourself. I'm not exaggerating. Perhaps this is why I'm a "rule follower" at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 14, 2021, 06:33:51 PM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me, but I live in Portland where we took the pandemic very very seriously. None of my friends or coworkers in my office got it. If you snuck out on a bike ride to see one friend you were looked down on. Your best friend would refuse to see you without wearing a mask and sitting 20 feet apart, even if you lived alone and worked from home and were about to hang yourself. I'm not exaggerating. Perhaps this is why I'm a "rule follower" at this point.

Do you not know people who don't live in Portland?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 14, 2021, 06:36:38 PM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me, but I live in Portland where we took the pandemic very very seriously. None of my friends or coworkers in my office got it. If you snuck out on a bike ride to see one friend you were looked down on. Your best friend would refuse to see you without wearing a mask and sitting 20 feet apart, even if you lived alone and worked from home and were about to hang yourself. I'm not exaggerating. Perhaps this is why I'm a "rule follower" at this point.

Do you not know people who don't live in Portland?

Not that had COVID, by my definition of "know." I know of people / am acquainted with people that had it. None that died.* But clearly, tons of people died. I'm not saying that I don't believe in government statistics.

* - none that were hospitalized
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 14, 2021, 07:46:52 PM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me

I should probably clarify that what I mean by "socially" above basically means good friends and work colleagues.  Our group of good friends is probably 50 adults or so. Our group of immediate colleagues is probably similar in number.  To be as specific as possible, one friend probably got Covid in February of 2020.  He's an emergency doc, he tested negative at the time, but he self-diagnosed based on his symptoms as Covid.  I also have one work colleague who got it in April or May of 2020 and has had some serious Long Covid issues.  But otherwise within our friends and colleagues (maybe 100 people) zero Covid.

The potentially-relevant characteristics of our friends and colleagues are: urban/suburban; universally vaccinated; most have graduate educations; skew heavily toward single family home ownership; can and do avail themselves of services to minimize their exposure to others; own and use private cars; and work in places that take Covid seriously.  They're concentrated in medicine, law, the public sector, large corporations, and academia.  They're probably less likely than the population at large to be working from home.

It is absolutely possible to create an interactive face-to-face environment without having Covid explode, and I'll use my own workplace as an example here.  My workplace covers about 16,000 people, and it basically has all the risk factors to create a super spreader event every single day of the week.

Last July, we instituted a vaccine mandate on top of the existing mask mandate and a requirement that anyone with a positive Covid test report it.  We ended up issuing about 1000 "religious" exemptions, but succeeded in getting more than 90% of our folks vaccinated.

During the initial Delta surge, we had as many as 30 cases a week as it ripped through the few unvaccinated people.

Now, though, we're down into the single digits weekly (out of 16,000!) in an environment with maximal local and community risk factors.

With high vaccination and mask wearing, it's absolutely possible to drive Covid into the ground within a few months.  That we haven't done it and aren't doing it is a choice we're making as a public.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jpdx on December 14, 2021, 11:17:04 PM
I wear a mask in indoor public places as required by law and has become expected by common decency.

I think things get more back to normal when the kids are fully vaccinated. The risk to kids themselves may be low, but the risk that they'll transmit the virus throughout the community is more of a concern.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Linea_Norway on December 15, 2021, 02:38:21 AM
@MrsV  Where I live, people with low immune systems are getting their forth vaccine dose. That while most of us others only have gotten 2 doses and are now getting nr 3. So I guess that might become your son's future, getting vaccinated very regularly.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: MrsV on December 15, 2021, 03:00:13 AM
Thanks @Linea_Norway - I suspect this might be the case. He might be an every 3-4 month booster candidate. We have a check up at the hospital tomorrow and this is on my list of questions to ask his respiratory specialist. I’m just hoping the drugs he needs to tame his over active immune system attacking him don”t wind up making the cure worse than the initial issue when it comes to COVID. The doctors explained to him in basic terms that his immune system got bored with nothing to fight … yet if he caught COVID I wonder if this would actually be a good problem - his eosinophils would certainly have a job to do then! His second Pfizer was only two weeks ago - we were delayed due to issues with his other medication.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OurTown on December 15, 2021, 03:53:04 AM
We are vaccinated and I will get the 3rd shot in January.  Other posters have correctly described the risk levels.  From my point of view if you are vaccinated you have taken the necessary step and the masks for the vaccinated are largely performative.  The only thing I am not doing is visiting my elderly mother bc she is a Fox News vax refuser.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on December 15, 2021, 07:04:30 AM
I wear a mask in indoor public places as required by law and has become expected by common decency.

I think things get more back to normal when the kids are fully vaccinated. The risk to kids themselves may be low, but the risk that they'll transmit the virus throughout the community is more of a concern.

In 2-3 weeks this might not matter. It's clear from Omicron that vaccinated people are spreading it like wildfire. It may be true that unvaccinated can spread it more, but at this point from what we're seeing what does "more" even mean? Look at Cornell University as an example. Campus is 99% vaccinated and they already have 500+ cases to the point they had to shutdown in-person classes. Look at the NHL, which is fully vaccinated. The vaccine does not appear to be offering much by the way of reduced transmission for Omicron or if it is the R0 is so high it doesn't matter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris Pascale on December 15, 2021, 08:21:06 AM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me, but I live in Portland where we took the pandemic very very seriously. None of my friends or coworkers in my office got it. If you snuck out on a bike ride to see one friend you were looked down on. Your best friend would refuse to see you without wearing a mask and sitting 20 feet apart, even if you lived alone and worked from home and were about to hang yourself. I'm not exaggerating. Perhaps this is why I'm a "rule follower" at this point.

I also don't personally know anyone who died of COVID. A friend's mother passed away from cancer, and tested positive for COVID her last week (out of 6) in the hospital.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on December 15, 2021, 08:30:31 AM
We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.

The bolded is pretty shocking to me.

It's not actually shocking to me, but I live in Portland where we took the pandemic very very seriously. None of my friends or coworkers in my office got it. If you snuck out on a bike ride to see one friend you were looked down on. Your best friend would refuse to see you without wearing a mask and sitting 20 feet apart, even if you lived alone and worked from home and were about to hang yourself. I'm not exaggerating. Perhaps this is why I'm a "rule follower" at this point.

I also don't personally know anyone who died of COVID. A friend's mother passed away from cancer, and tested positive for COVID her last week (out of 6) in the hospital.

I know one person. My wife's grandfather, but honestly right when he got Covid I figured he'd pass away. He was almost 93 and could barely walk without having to sit down to catch his breathe. I honestly only know a handful of people and kids that have gotten it and most of my friends are blue collar workers so they've been going into work for the past 2 years. I'd say I probably have about ~100-150 people including friends and family I know and keep in contact with relatively often across my wife and I and the exact number I know that tested positive is 8 and 2 of those were a couple I know that works in NYC and that happened almost immediately. Other than that it was my wife's parents (that took care of the grandfather) the grandfather, 2 close friends and just this week another close friends 1 year old. Oh I should also add most of my friends and family are in Missouri, Arkansas, and Florida. So not exactly states known for being overally cautious during these past 2 years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on December 15, 2021, 08:34:20 AM
I’ve felt very comfortable with “back to normal” since around May (when the vaccine distribution had finally trickled down to my social peers of 20-somethings). As an orchestral musician, I first re-entered normal rehearsals (no masks or bell-covers for wind players) in June, and it was a joyous occasion. I now think the apathy we’ve developed towards COVID in the past 6 months has us sorely un-prepared for Omicron.

The first article I read about it I pretty much scoffed at. It basically said, “there’s a new variant identified in South Africa that we know nothing about.” Thought it was complete sensationalism trying to fear-monger about variants just for clicks. It has rapidly become clear that Omicron is going to spread like wildfire, even among the vaccinated. As of a month ago, only about 10% of Americans had gotten a booster shot, and while 2 doses might still protect against severe symptoms, that 90% who are either un-vaccinated or un-boosted is a huge population basically behaving “back-to-normal” who are MORE likely to contract and spread Omicron than the original version of the virus.

I was just in San Francisco and restaurants were PACKED. Even blue areas who’ve taken good precautions this whole time are gonna get slammed. 2-dose vaccine mandates have been adequate for these areas up to now, but we’re not going to be anywhere close to done with COVID until we get way more global distribution of vaccines to stamp out the rate of new variants.

At least in SF the reckless behavior was pretty much confined to indoor dining. The orchestra I was playing with still required masks for everyone except the wind players, and the wind players took rapid tests before every rehearsal. This behavior seemed excessive to me a week ago and now makes an abundance of sense with all I’ve read about Omicron. I’m now in Florida where you can’t even get groceries without being exposed to a ton of un-masked people coughing all over the store. In the orchestra I’m playing with here, half the strings aren’t bothering to wear masks and there’s no testing. I’m just crossing my fingers that Omicron doesn’t become pervasive in Florida until this gig is over and I can make it home to the safety of my blue state for the holidays. Because MAN these unvaccinated populations in areas with no precautions are in for some really nasty conditions in the very near future.

As a young and healthy person I was not feeling any particularly urgent need to get a booster in the world where Delta was our biggest concern, but that’s not the case anymore. I’m getting my booster as soon as I return home from this gig. Even if you can’t find an appointment, a lot of places have some amount of time per day set aside for walk-ins. Get your boosters ASAP y’all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 15, 2021, 09:00:49 AM
I think the thing that's clearest to me right now is that the US needs to spend a boatload of money to get the world vaccinated. Delta and Omicron both emerged out of countries with very low vaccination rates (though it's unknown whether Omicron originated in South Africa or was simply discovered there first).

I've already resigned that the next couple of years won't really be "normal". We're going to face staffing issues across all industries, and in healthcare in particular. Things are gonna be more expensive as the supply chain recovers and the chip shortage gets addressed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 15, 2021, 09:25:09 AM
I think the thing that's clearest to me right now is that the US needs to spend a boatload of money to get the world vaccinated. Delta and Omicron both emerged out of countries with very low vaccination rates (though it's unknown whether Omicron originated in South Africa or was simply discovered there first).

It's zoonotic, so unless you're pushing enough vaccine for the vertebrate animals and the human populations I'm not sure it's going to be effective at eliminating viral spread.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on December 15, 2021, 09:31:46 AM
I think the thing that's clearest to me right now is that the US needs to spend a boatload of money to get the world vaccinated. Delta and Omicron both emerged out of countries with very low vaccination rates (though it's unknown whether Omicron originated in South Africa or was simply discovered there first).

It's zoonotic, so unless you're pushing enough vaccine for the vertebrate animals and the human populations I'm not sure it's going to be effective at eliminating viral spread.

Yep, this. I'm curious to learn more about the significance of SARS-CoV-2 in white-tailed deer, but I'm sure that's probably just one of many wildlife species that can harbor the virus and periodically spill it back to us.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 15, 2021, 09:40:16 AM
I’m just crossing my fingers that Omicron doesn’t become pervasive in Florida until this gig is over and I can make it home to the safety of my blue state for the holidays. Because MAN these unvaccinated populations in areas with no precautions are in for some really nasty conditions in the very near future.

Florida might be one of the safest states to be in right now...

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/us/covid-cases.html
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 15, 2021, 09:44:36 AM
I’m curious what people think about potential future variants and whether that factors in their current approach with Covid.
Delta emerged over the summer and proven both more transmissible and more deadly, Omicron within the last month and seems to be everywhere - more transmissible but seemingly less deadly than Delta.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 15, 2021, 09:51:55 AM
From my point of view if you are vaccinated you have taken the necessary step and the masks for the vaccinated are largely performative.

This was not true with Delta, and most definitely not true with Omicron. Vaccinated can and do catch and spread the virus. We are protected enough to not develop a serious (or even noticeable) illness, and we shed less virus when asymptomatic, but we do shed the virus.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 15, 2021, 09:52:47 AM
Florida might be one of the safest states to be in right now...

Except cases grow like crazy (same table). They just grow from a very low base.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on December 15, 2021, 09:58:06 AM
I think the thing that's clearest to me right now is that the US needs to spend a boatload of money to get the world vaccinated. Delta and Omicron both emerged out of countries with very low vaccination rates (though it's unknown whether Omicron originated in South Africa or was simply discovered there first).

I've already resigned that the next couple of years won't really be "normal". We're going to face staffing issues across all industries, and in healthcare in particular. Things are gonna be more expensive as the supply chain recovers and the chip shortage gets addressed.

Money isn't going to fix this, as lots of countries have vaccines sitting in freezers waiting for takers, which are few.  Unless countries start mandating vaccines, we're basically screwed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 15, 2021, 10:00:08 AM
Mask wearing reduces all kinds of germs, so why wouldn't I?

This is something I don't ever see addressed by people who feel like they are sufficiently protected themselves and can go to "normal" (even if that normal includes not being able to use an ER).

For a millions time, it's not about one person. Even when fully vaccinated, each of us can be a part of transmission chain that ends up killing someone with a weak immune system. Wearing a mask indoors is such a small thing. Why, why, why not do it?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 15, 2021, 10:06:28 AM
Mask wearing reduces all kinds of germs, so why wouldn't I?

This is something I don't ever see addressed by people who feel like they are sufficiently protected themselves and can go to "normal" (even if that normal includes not being able to use an ER).

For a millions time, it's not about one person. Even when fully vaccinated, each of us can be a part of transmission chain that ends up killing someone with a weak immune system. Wearing a mask indoors is such a small thing. Why, why, why not do it?

Absolutely.  Indoor mask wearing is low effort, potentially high benefit.  I went back to wearing one indoors back in the summer after Delta killed my carefree hot vax summer even though there is and has been no mandate here for months.  It's easy. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 15, 2021, 10:07:20 AM
Money isn't going to fix this, as lots of countries have vaccines sitting in freezers waiting for takers, which are few.  Unless countries start mandating vaccines, we're basically screwed.

Can confirm for the country I'm from. Anti-vaxx sentiment like in the US x3. Pfizer dozes are there for the taking, many given as aid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 15, 2021, 10:35:47 AM
Quote
Why?

I question this assumption that people will have to return.  Many people demonstrated they can successfully do most if not all of their job remotely. 

This.  My executive bosses really want everyone back in the office.  But really, who wants to wear a mask 9 hrs a day/ 5 days a week (or even 3) if you don't have to?  Therein lies the rub...the bosses prefer the interaction of in person, but a fair % of the engineering staff do not.

Plus everyone has their own level of risk tolerance, and not everyone has an office.  I share an office, for example.

This means that I wear the "hard pants" 1-3 days a week (when I can time it that the office mate is not there).  Fun fact: they make "hard pants" that are actually like leggings, and that's what I wear.

However, in general, communication is not our strong suit at my office.  We have gotten better, but just yesterday coworker #1 was peppering me with IMs in Google (and also another guy #2 in a different thread), and it was 30 minutes of "WTF are you talking about???  I did that?"  Coworker #2 and I were exchanging a few emails for me to explain to him that NO you don't have bad yield, you misread the email, they haven't gone through test yet.  But also, #2 complained to me about #1 and the IM thread that would have taken 2 minutes on a phone call.

Well, #2 prefers the phone, #1 prefers IM.  I prefer they both leave me alone. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Linea_Norway on December 15, 2021, 11:02:49 AM
Maybe you would appreciated some numbers from Norway, where have both Delta and Omikron.
Population is 90% fully vaxxed. Among people who end up in the ICU, about 50% are vaxxed/non-vaxxed.
The vaxxed people who end up in ICU are on averaged in their late 70-ies.
The non-vaxxers who end up in ICU are on average in their 40-ies.

So the vaccin prevents many younger people from getting seriously ill.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on December 15, 2021, 11:27:32 AM
Indoor gatherings with friends? Yes. Vaccinated people only? No.
Working on site? Yes.
Church? N/A
Gym? Yes. As soon as it opened in May 2020. Wore a mask at first all the time, then only when not doing heavy cardio. Once vaxx'ed in April 2021, stopped wearing.
Getting on an airplane? Yes. Didn't fly in 2020, but flew thrice in 2021.
Going maskless in public (retail stores, grocery stores)? Yes. But I do wear a mask if it is very crowded indoors/outdoors (e.g. Farmer's market at peak times)
Indoor restaurants that aren't busy? Yes. Indoor restaurants with someone at every table? Yes.
Outdoor stadiums that aren't completely full? N/A  Outdoor stadiums at full capacity? N/A.
Indoor stadiums (theatre, concerts, sporting events) that aren't completely full? N/A. Indoor stadiums at full capacity? N/A.
Going to a bar? Yes, but I prefer to drink with family and friends at my house or theirs.

Do you participate in some of these activities but then might take a 10 break if you are going to visit someone who you are afraid of passing the virus to? I'm vaxx'ed and boosted, and will wear a mask if visiting someone elderly or high-risk. If they are healthy and unvaxx'ed then that is their own damn problem. I've done my part, the rest is up to the unvaxx'ed in this highly individualistic country.

I don't wear a mask unless the store requests it or it is required (e.g. USPS) or in Federal/Gov buildings, or in dense gatherings indoors/outdoors. Otherwise, I'm back to normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 15, 2021, 12:01:35 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

I mean, what is the end-game with COVID, regardless of what camp you are in?


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 15, 2021, 12:47:12 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 who is healthy and vaccinated has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

FTFY
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 15, 2021, 12:53:03 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 who is healthy and vaccinated has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

FTFY

Also, anyone currently under 50 who is healthy and vaccinated (or otherwise), will at some point be over 50.  If COVID is with us for the rest of our lifetimes, our individual risk will be constantly increasing with age.  And variants could also change the individual risk assessment.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 15, 2021, 12:55:19 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 who is healthy and vaccinated has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

FTFY

Also, anyone currently under 50 who is healthy and vaccinated (or otherwise), will at some point be over 50.  If COVID is with us for the rest of our lifetimes, our individual risk will be constantly increasing with age.  And variants could also change the individual risk assessment.
Yes, at this point we are looking at covid-19 becoming endemic and resulting in a permanent reduction in life expectancy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 15, 2021, 01:19:41 PM
Yes, at this point we are looking at covid-19 becoming endemic and resulting in a permanent reduction in life expectancy.

If this is the case, should we recalibrate early retirement numbers?  How much of a life expectancy reduction is expected?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 15, 2021, 01:20:15 PM
Honestly, I already avoided crowded indoor events in the winter. I’ve never been a germaphobe, but I hate all the respiratory stuff that goes around. I’m willing to give that stuff a miss just to avoid getting colds.

So I think that long term, my normal will look pretty much like today.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on December 15, 2021, 01:39:56 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

I mean, what is the end-game with COVID, regardless of what camp you are in?

I'm no virologist, but I suspect that we'll all be getting COVID vaccines on some sort of semi-regular basis and those vaccines, combined with repeat exposures, will make severe disease less likely.... at least until we get older. Will the effects also lessen on older folks over time, with repeated vaccines/exposures? It's tough to say for sure, but I suspect it will be a while (if ever) before it's a non-issue for older folks. However, even the flu isn't a non-issue for older folks... and I think it's way too early to say how Future COVID will compare to Current Flu.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 15, 2021, 01:49:22 PM
On the bad side of things, due to Original Antigenic Sin there is currently no evidence that reformulated boosters will help. On the positive side of things, there is no historic evidence of past coronavirus pandemics which resulted in a permanent reduction of life expectancy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 15, 2021, 02:27:38 PM
On the bad side of things, due to Original Antigenic Sin there is currently no evidence that reformulated boosters will help. On the positive side of things, there is no historic evidence of past coronavirus pandemics which resulted in a permanent reduction of life expectancy.


Can you explain more about what you mean about reformulated boosters not helping?  Are you saying that a program, similar to the flu shots, that evolves each year's booster to cover the strain most prevalant at that time (or most quickly growing) will not be effective?  If not, why not?  (To be clear, I'm asking out of ignorance and curiosity; I'm not challenging your assertion in any way, just trying to understand.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 15, 2021, 02:36:37 PM
On the bad side of things, due to Original Antigenic Sin there is currently no evidence that reformulated boosters will help. On the positive side of things, there is no historic evidence of past coronavirus pandemics which resulted in a permanent reduction of life expectancy.


Can you explain more about what you mean about reformulated boosters not helping?  Are you saying that a program, similar to the flu shots, that evolves each year's booster to cover the strain most prevalant at that time (or most quickly growing) will not be effective?  If not, why not?  (To be clear, I'm asking out of ignorance and curiosity; I'm not challenging your assertion in any way, just trying to understand.)

I am not a virologist or any kind of doctor. I just stumbled across this commentary with Denise Roland at the WSJ (https://www.wsj.com/podcasts/the-journal/will-omicron-require-new-covid-vaccines/9c7b1f23-55f7-485c-9c02-cad4983b41ff). Then of course I do what I always do and went straight to wikipedia (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Original_antigenic_sin):

Original antigenic sin, also known as antigenic imprinting or the Hoskins effect,[1] refers to the propensity of the body's immune system to preferentially utilize immunological memory based on a previous infection when a second slightly different version of that foreign pathogen (e.g. a virus or bacterium) is encountered. This leaves the immune system "trapped" by the first response it has made to each antigen, and unable to mount potentially more effective responses during subsequent infections. Antibodies or T-cells induced during infections with the first variant of the pathogen are subject to a form of original antigenic sin, termed repertoire freeze.

To be fair, we haven't seen data released on updated boosters yet, and I think that we will see more news about them soon. Also, the seasonal flu vaccine is ~50% effective, although I am not qualified to comment on why that is.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 15, 2021, 02:37:57 PM
Curious to know whether people think COVID will eventually go away, or reduce itself to where its seasonal? After 2 years, I think we have enough data to conclude:

A) We will be living with COVID-19 for the rest of our lives.
B) Full immunity lasts about 6 months(vaccine or post-infection).
C) Anyone under age 50 has very little reason worry about themselves.
D) Mutations will make annual COVID vaccines necessary, most likely given with your fall flu shot.

Given these assumptions, what does the world do?

Continue with spotty mitigation strategies that may or may not even be effective whenever there is a spike(looks like about 2 per year)? Invest heavily in healthcare and then live life as normal? Have semi-annual seasonal mitigation strategies(Nov -Jan & June-August) that would include indoor masks, mandatory travel quarantine, negative tests to travel/go to large indoor gatherings?

I mean, what is the end-game with COVID, regardless of what camp you are in?

Rocks will continue to rain down, but they will likely get smaller over time.  There will be new advancements and efficiencies in treating head trauma wounds, including a pill that heals the wounds quick enough to avoid hospitalization and death in most cases... this pill will be happily taken by non rockbrella owners because it's a familiar technology.  Leaders will begin to drop the requirement to participate in joint tarp holding as they realize it's only rockbrella owners who are actually participating in the tradition anyway.  Some rockbrella owners will insist on continuing the tradition of tarp holding as an extra precaution and routinely call out people online who have chosen to trust their rockbrella alone... as an extra bonus, it's a sure way to not be confused as someone who may have been an anti-rockbrella-er (they're invisible after all) and it makes them feel good for people to see that they care for those who cannot use a rockbrella for whatever rare reason.  New models of the rockbrella will come out every year making the inventors & manufacturers of the rockbrellas extremely wealthy.  100 years later, people will forget why exactly some groups people walk around as groups under tarps... kind of like no how one remembers why people say "bless you" after you sneeze today.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 15, 2021, 02:54:56 PM
100 years later, people will forget why exactly some groups people walk around as groups under tarps... kind of like no how one remembers why people say "bless you" after you sneeze today.

...or they may recall that in some Asian countries the tradition to hold tarps during minor meteor showers predates the fallingrockapolypse.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris Pascale on December 15, 2021, 06:56:58 PM
Answering the original Q: I've lived pretty normally the whole time.

My older kids have had jobs through the pandemic when they could (oldest currently loads trucks from 3AM-8AM at FedEx), and when schools opened their doors, they went. This semester, I taught in the classroom.

When restaurants shut down for dining we chose 2 to order in from every week to support them. When the state opened for travel in 2020, we went away. When my daughter's foreign exchange was cancelled 2 years in a row she and my wife took a trip to France.

Obviously, everything was within the guidelines while also being sensible. I wouldn't go out if I was sick, or send my kids to school sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 15, 2021, 07:15:41 PM
100 years later, people will forget why exactly some groups people walk around as groups under tarps... kind of like no how one remembers why people say "bless you" after you sneeze today.

...or they may recall that in some Asian countries the tradition to hold tarps during minor meteor showers predates the fallingrockapolypse.

And yet somehow they managed to live meaningful, fulfilled, happy lives.  Weird, that. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 15, 2021, 07:44:48 PM
Yes, at this point we are looking at covid-19 becoming endemic and resulting in a permanent reduction in life expectancy.

If this is the case, should we recalibrate early retirement numbers?  How much of a life expectancy reduction is expected?

https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1343

The BMJ paper says life expectancy in the USA declined by 1.87 years between 2018 and 2020.  There were racial disparities in this, declining by 3.88, 3.25, and 1.36 years in Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White populations respectively.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 16, 2021, 04:21:14 AM
Yes, at this point we are looking at covid-19 becoming endemic and resulting in a permanent reduction in life expectancy.

If this is the case, should we recalibrate early retirement numbers?  How much of a life expectancy reduction is expected?

I think its way too early to have any sensible data on whether Covid will have a permanent reduction on life expectancy, which is what i think the poster was suggesting might happen.
https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1343

The BMJ paper says life expectancy in the USA declined by 1.87 years between 2018 and 2020.  There were racial disparities in this, declining by 3.88, 3.25, and 1.36 years in Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White populations respectively.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 16, 2021, 04:47:20 AM
Yes, at this point we are looking at covid-19 becoming endemic and resulting in a permanent reduction in life expectancy.

If this is the case, should we recalibrate early retirement numbers?  How much of a life expectancy reduction is expected?

I think its way too early to have any sensible data on whether Covid will have a permanent reduction on life expectancy, which is what i think the poster was suggesting might happen.
https://www.bmj.com/content/373/bmj.n1343

The BMJ paper says life expectancy in the USA declined by 1.87 years between 2018 and 2020.  There were racial disparities in this, declining by 3.88, 3.25, and 1.36 years in Hispanic, non-Hispanic Black, and non-Hispanic White populations respectively.
Obviously we don't have data yet.  The paper giving a decline in life expectancy was based on USA deaths in 2020.  USA deaths from covid in 2021 have been higher, which means that the decline will continue in 2021.  In 2022 it seems unlikely that either vaccination rates in social behaviour will be sufficiently different to change infection rates, morbidity rates or mortality rates.  Reinfection rates from omicron for those previously infected with a strain of covid-19 seem to be removing any notion of "herd immunity" from the equation.   So I'm not seeing anything which in the next few years at least, and possibly permanently, which will reverse the reduction in life expectancy which has already happened due to covid-19.

I'd be happy to be wrong, but at present I just don't see how it's going to happen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on December 16, 2021, 06:04:52 AM
Our family's fully vaccinated and the adults are boosted, so we're living life, pretty much, as normal. Don't wear masks, unless required. TBH, we generally avoid going any place that requires masks. Made an exception to see Hamilton, recently, but still haven't gone back to our local cinema, where we used to go once or twice a week, because they're requiring masks. Our local, family-run, grocery store is really small, and they have a sign up that says, "Masks Appreciated," I always put a mask on before going in there, just to respect them and the fact that they are asking nicely, not requiring, that we wear a mask.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 16, 2021, 06:40:04 AM
Our family's fully vaccinated and the adults are boosted, so we're living life, pretty much, as normal. Don't wear masks, unless required. TBH, we generally avoid going any place that requires masks. Made an exception to see Hamilton, recently, but still haven't gone back to our local cinema, where we used to go once or twice a week, because they're requiring masks. Our local, family-run, grocery store is really small, and they have a sign up that says, "Masks Appreciated," I always put a mask on before going in there, just to respect them and the fact that they are asking nicely, not requiring, that we wear a mask.

Yeah I can get behind that. I just think lots of people are tired of being constantly told what to do in the name of "safety" I am glad we have gotten rid of much of the "covid theatre"  Like my local library was closed to in person for over a year. They also spent a ton of resources quarantining the books people returned.....

Anyways about to leave for my annual physical, I wonder if he will recommend a booster....

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 16, 2021, 08:20:24 AM
Our family's fully vaccinated and the adults are boosted, so we're living life, pretty much, as normal. Don't wear masks, unless required. TBH, we generally avoid going any place that requires masks. Made an exception to see Hamilton, recently, but still haven't gone back to our local cinema, where we used to go once or twice a week, because they're requiring masks. Our local, family-run, grocery store is really small, and they have a sign up that says, "Masks Appreciated," I always put a mask on before going in there, just to respect them and the fact that they are asking nicely, not requiring, that we wear a mask.

Yeah I can get behind that. I just think lots of people are tired of being constantly told what to do in the name of "safety" I am glad we have gotten rid of much of the "covid theatre"  Like my local library was closed to in person for over a year. They also spent a ton of resources quarantining the books people returned.....

Anyways about to leave for my annual physical, I wonder if he will recommend a booster....

I feel just the opposite.  I won't go to a venue unless they require masks and proof of vaccination.  Would prefer it if our cinema required masks and/or vaccination, but they do not, so I watch the movies from my couch.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 16, 2021, 08:32:19 AM
Our family's fully vaccinated and the adults are boosted, so we're living life, pretty much, as normal. Don't wear masks, unless required. TBH, we generally avoid going any place that requires masks. Made an exception to see Hamilton, recently, but still haven't gone back to our local cinema, where we used to go once or twice a week, because they're requiring masks. Our local, family-run, grocery store is really small, and they have a sign up that says, "Masks Appreciated," I always put a mask on before going in there, just to respect them and the fact that they are asking nicely, not requiring, that we wear a mask.

Yeah I can get behind that. I just think lots of people are tired of being constantly told what to do in the name of "safety" I am glad we have gotten rid of much of the "covid theatre"  Like my local library was closed to in person for over a year. They also spent a ton of resources quarantining the books people returned.....

Anyways about to leave for my annual physical, I wonder if he will recommend a booster....

I feel just the opposite.  I won't go to a venue unless they require masks and proof of vaccination.  Would prefer it if our cinema required masks and/or vaccination, but they do not, so I watch the movies from my couch.

Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

My current attitude from our elected officials/business owners etc. Is that using general common sense plus you know, asking rather then mandating EVERYTHING goes a long way.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 16, 2021, 08:52:06 AM

Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

How are you working out the odds on the car death as against the covid death?  My understanding is that in 2020 in the USA covid deaths came out at 10 times the number of car deaths.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 09:11:15 AM
Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

One more data point for only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 09:25:35 AM
Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

One more data point for only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects.

But equally, for both the automobile travel and the masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on December 16, 2021, 09:27:26 AM
Our family's fully vaccinated and the adults are boosted, so we're living life, pretty much, as normal. Don't wear masks, unless required. TBH, we generally avoid going any place that requires masks. Made an exception to see Hamilton, recently, but still haven't gone back to our local cinema, where we used to go once or twice a week, because they're requiring masks. Our local, family-run, grocery store is really small, and they have a sign up that says, "Masks Appreciated," I always put a mask on before going in there, just to respect them and the fact that they are asking nicely, not requiring, that we wear a mask.

Yeah I can get behind that. I just think lots of people are tired of being constantly told what to do in the name of "safety" I am glad we have gotten rid of much of the "covid theatre"  Like my local library was closed to in person for over a year. They also spent a ton of resources quarantining the books people returned.....

Anyways about to leave for my annual physical, I wonder if he will recommend a booster....

I feel just the opposite.  I won't go to a venue unless they require masks and proof of vaccination.  Would prefer it if our cinema required masks and/or vaccination, but they do not, so I watch the movies from my couch.

Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

My current attitude from our elected officials/business owners etc. Is that using general common sense plus you know, asking rather then mandating EVERYTHING goes a long way.

There was a preprint I read a few days ago, that used mathematical modeling to investigate how many unvaccinated individuals would have to be removed from a setting to prevent a transmission. Obviously this could completely change with Omicron, but I was surprised by the number. They suggested it needed to be about 1k unvaccinated people for most settings given vaccination rates in many of the places using vaccine passports/cards for exclusion. So, in a city where the vax rate for adults is around 80-85% in something like a restaurant there might only be 15-20 unvaccinated people in the entire place. In a movie theatre it may be closer to 30-40.

I think the idea of being scared of vaxxed people is overblown at this point. Sure, it's right to be concerned about the undue burden they could have on our healthcare system, but given how much of a minority they are in the population they almost certainly aren't the primary vector of transmission at this point.

Quote
Findings The NNEs suggest that at least 1,000 unvaccinated people likely need to be excluded to prevent one SARS-CoV-2 transmission event in most types of settings for many jurisdictions, notably Australia, California, Canada, China, France, Israel, and others. The NNEs of almost every jurisdiction examined are well within the range of the NNTs of acetylsalicylic acid (ASA) in primary prevention of cardiovascular disease (CVD) (≥ 250 to 333). This is important since ASA is not recommended for primary prevention of CVD because the harms outweigh the benefits. Similarly, the harms of exclusion may outweigh the benefits. These findings depend on the accuracy of the model assumptions and the baseline infection risk estimates.

It's obviously a preprint, but it does make sense, even if the 1000 number is high it does seem reasonable that you'd need a large amount of unvaxxed to create "more spread" in a single location.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.12.08.21267162v1


Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

How are you working out the odds on the car death as against the covid death?  My understanding is that in 2020 in the USA covid deaths came out at 10 times the number of car deaths.

10x more vaccinated people are dying every year from covid than are from car accidents? 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 09:36:30 AM

Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?

How are you working out the odds on the car death as against the covid death?  My understanding is that in 2020 in the USA covid deaths came out at 10 times the number of car deaths.

Right now Oregon breakthrough infections that lead to death are running slightly higher than automobile fatalities. So far there have been 527 automobile fatalities (https://www.oregon.gov/odot/Safety/Pages/Daily-Traffic-Toll.aspx) and 580 breakthrough death (https://www.oregon.gov/oha/covid19/Documents/DataReports/Breakthrough-Case-Report.pdf). Of course breakthrough deaths are entirely in the 30+ crowd while automobiles are the largest killer of children and young adults.

EDITed to add that many people couldn't be fully vaccinated until what, July 6th or so?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 09:37:36 AM
But equally, for both the automobile travel and the masks.

Would you elaborate?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 09:50:56 AM
But equally, for both the automobile travel and the masks.

Would you elaborate?

Jon Bon wrote "Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?" and then you wrote "One more data point for only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects."

What you wrote is absolutely true. Comparing your own personal risk level for driving to a theatre to your own personal risk level for getting a breakthrough COVID infection that leads to death does "only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects." But that's true for both the automobile use AND the possibility of spreading SARS-CoV-2 with an asymptomatic breakthrough infection. The car will burn carbon and spread particulate matter and risks killing innocent people in a collision. So I think it's actually a really good comparison, society is struggling with both of those problems right now and we're not quite sure what to do about it (https://www.economist.com/international/2021/12/11/politicians-are-sending-mixed-signals-about-private-car-ownership).

Feel free to join me in the war on cars (https://thewaroncars.org/). Enlist today!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 09:58:12 AM
Feel free to join me in the war on cars (https://thewaroncars.org/). Enlist today!

I'm not sure that I understand 100% of your point, but let me assure you that I 100% agree that our car addiction has hugely damaging effects on the society in general and most our fellow citizens individually.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 16, 2021, 10:12:08 AM
3/4 of us in our house are vaxxed up (4y/o isn’t yet but she’s been exposed to Covid a couple times with zero ill effects and is a perfectly healthy kid) so we aren’t concerned. Also had Covid in October 2020 and it was a nothingburger for us.


Therefore aside from having to mask up in most places, life is 100% back to normal. My wife and I also both transitioned to full time WFH during the pandemic; I expect I’ll go back 0-1 days a week in the office and she’ll go 2-3 days but that is purely because of our convenience that Covid made possible, it’s not due to any fear of Covid. I slowed down business travel for Covid but expect I will pick it up again in 2022 (trip a month or thereabouts)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 16, 2021, 10:34:59 AM
This entire thread really sums up the misinformation about COVID, vaccines, and age related risk. I said before people under 50 are extremely unlikely to die from COVID, and that includes vaccinated and  not vaccinated.

https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2021/09/covid-19-vaccine-status-age-discrimination.html

Highlights:

(https://pyxis.nymag.com/v1/imgs/b23/07e/7357e5b8ed02b63e358afc4121fd30a570-chart-1.w710.jpg)

Quote
According to the CDC, 70 percent of breakthrough cases resulting in hospitalizations and 87 percent of those resulting in death were in patients over 65. The median age of breakthrough deaths in England was 84; in King County, it was 79.

Quote
That 11-fold reduction of risk found in the national CDC study, for instance? Enormous, of course, but it is an average across the observed population as a whole and represents only the equivalent of the ­difference between an unvaccinated 86-year-old man and a 61-year-old one, all else being equal. According to an analysis of British data by the Financial Times, a vaccinated 80-year-old has about the same mortality risk as an unvaccinated 50-year-old, and an unvaccinated 30-year-old has a lower risk than a vaccinated 45-year-old. Even a 42-fold reduction, as was found in King County, would only be the rough equivalent of the difference between an unvaccinated 85-year-old woman and an unvaccinated 50-year-old — the sort of person who was very worried last year before the arrival of vaccines and who may this year be worrying many of those around them by not getting one.

As I was saying, if you are under 50, and vaccinated, the risk of death to you is so minor that its not even worth discussing. As far as worrying about children in schools:

Quote
According to that data, an unvaccinated 10-year-old, who may look like the very picture of COVID vulnerability heading into the school year, faces a lower mortality risk than a vaccinated 25-year-old, whom we might today regard as close to safe as can be. In England, the incidence of hospitalization among unvaccinated kids was lower than that of those vaccinated aged 18 to 29, and in recent weeks, the hospitalization rate among kids ages 5 to 14 has been only about one per 100,000. Over the course of the entire pandemic, which has killed more than 135,000 Brits, just one boy and seven girls between the ages of 5 and 9 have died; between the ages of 10 and 14, nine girls and five boys have died. These are all tragedies — and each means many more years of life lost than with a death among the elderly — but they are nevertheless relatively few in number. As schools reopened on the backslope of the U.K.’s Delta surge, there were about seven times as many British kids under age 5 hospitalized with the respiratory disease RSV as there were with COVID.

Quote
That’s because a vaccinated 95-year-old is still probably over a thousand times more at risk of death, all else being equal, than an unvaccinated 15-year-old. Which means we probably shouldn’t be giving those two groups the same advice about masks or social distancing or boosters.

Rather than interrupting people's lives, destroying businesses, and imposing not all that useful mask mandates on people, we should probably be doing accurate risk assessments and giving better protection to the elderly.

Quote
Mask wearing offers differential benefits, too: according to the much-applauded study in Bangladesh, cloth masks of the kind typically worn by children offer very little protection, and the strongest effects of surgical masks were observed among the elderly.

Anyway, something I found fascinating and something to read and think on.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 16, 2021, 11:00:05 AM
I'm not sure there's as much dis-information as you think.

My husband and I are over 50.
Our youngest child was only recently vaccinated.
I have MANY coworkers who are over 65.

This makes it all very real to me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 16, 2021, 11:07:01 AM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 16, 2021, 11:21:29 AM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.

So what is it that you disagree with? Or what are you proposing?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on December 16, 2021, 11:26:03 AM
But equally, for both the automobile travel and the masks.

Would you elaborate?

Jon Bon wrote "Whatever floats your boat I guess? It's your health, do as you please with it. However (assuming your vaxed) masked or unmasked its more likely you'd die in a car accident driving to the theatre than from covid right?" and then you wrote "One more data point for only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects."

What you wrote is absolutely true. Comparing your own personal risk level for driving to a theatre to your own personal risk level for getting a breakthrough COVID infection that leads to death does "only considering individual risk and completely ignoring societal effects." But that's true for both the automobile use AND the possibility of spreading SARS-CoV-2 with an asymptomatic breakthrough infection. The car will burn carbon and spread particulate matter and risks killing innocent people in a collision. So I think it's actually a really good comparison, society is struggling with both of those problems right now and we're not quite sure what to do about it (https://www.economist.com/international/2021/12/11/politicians-are-sending-mixed-signals-about-private-car-ownership).

Feel free to join me in the war on cars (https://thewaroncars.org/). Enlist today!

I’ve noticed your comments elsewhere on these forums—thanks for spreading the anti-car gospel! It’s appalling how much car-dependent design absolutely ruins our quality of life in so many “developed” countries around the world and we just take it for granted.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 16, 2021, 11:34:17 AM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.

So what is it that you disagree with? Or what are you proposing?

I'm proposing that we use the golden rule here.  Do what you reasonably can to lower the risk you will help turn your community into a covid cesspool with overwhelmed hospitals.  For me, that means:

Get vaccinated. 
Get boosted.
When case levels are high and hospitalizations are increasing in your community, follow indoor masking and other cdc recommendations. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 16, 2021, 11:45:08 AM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.

Understood, and the same can be said about other things. If we all treated driving as something to be done only when absolutely necessary (i.e. never for frivolous things such as transportation to social gatherings), there would be fewer car crash victims and more space in the hospital for everyone else. But we don't. We have collectively accepted that there are risks inherent in driving, but also benefits, and we try to balance those as well as we can. We need to come together and define what the line is between acceptable and unacceptable risks. We have arrived at such a line with driving (no driving above a certain speed, no driving drunk, use your headlights at night, etc.). Most of us more or less agree the line should be more or less where the rules say it is, and if you have a significantly lower risk tolerance than the norm you're sort of on your own to protect yourself the best you can.

We're still in the early days of this process with COVID. There are those who still think that any unnecessary group events are too risky, and there are those who think that it should be perfectly fine for a crowd of unvaccinated folks to attend a basketball game unmasked. We're starting to meet in the middle with the rules: sporting events aren't banned outright anymore, but (depending on where you are) they may require a vaccine and/or a negative COVID test and/or mask wearing to attend. I have generally been quite satisfied with how my local leaders have been handling these rules, taking the pulse of how people seem to be feeling while also taking input from experts and generally erring on the side of caution. If my local laws say that going to a restaurant with a vaccine is an acceptable risk to the community, I'm no longer interested in second-guessing that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 11:53:45 AM
I’ve noticed your comments elsewhere on these forums—thanks for spreading the anti-car gospel! It’s appalling how much car-dependent design absolutely ruins our quality of life in so many “developed” countries around the world and we just take it for granted.

Your welcome, but I was also really trying to make the point that there are certain risks that certain communities just accept as reasonable, even when externalized to others. To put it another way everything in life is a probabilistic risk/reward gamble. I think that is what we see playing out in this thread; a difference in risk level that you are willing to take on for both yourself and the community in exchange for a reward. Obviously your democratically elected government should get to regulate that risk to some extent. I continue to follow all local mandates even if I don't agree with all of them, and I 100% agree that this is not the time to end up in a hospital for any reason, including breakthrough infection. But I personally worry way more about accidentally hitting a pedestrian than having an asymptomatic COVID case after my three jabs that results in transmission to another person in a way that causes them significant harm.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 16, 2021, 12:18:36 PM
I really hope this all makes this us look really silly in 3 months.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/pfizer-says-covid-19-pill-near-90-effective-final-analysis-2021-12-14/

My doc has really high hopes for it. Also said the virus is doing what it should do, more contagious and less deadly.



Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 16, 2021, 12:23:51 PM
I really hope this all makes this us look really silly in 3 months.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/pfizer-says-covid-19-pill-near-90-effective-final-analysis-2021-12-14/

My doc has really high hopes for it. Also said the virus is doing what it should do, more contagious and less deadly.

I hope it does... but even if it is as effective as they hope, I guarantee some people are still going to want to see mask mandates and restrictions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on December 16, 2021, 12:27:01 PM
I really hope this all makes this us look really silly in 3 months.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/pfizer-says-covid-19-pill-near-90-effective-final-analysis-2021-12-14/

My doc has really high hopes for it. Also said the virus is doing what it should do, more contagious and less deadly.

I hope it does... but even if it is as effective as they hope, I guarantee some people are still going to want to see mask mandates and restrictions.

That would be awesome.  I guarantee some people will still prefer ivermectin, though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 12:27:44 PM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.

Understood, and the same can be said about other things. If we all treated driving as something to be done only when absolutely necessary (i.e. never for frivolous things such as transportation to social gatherings), there would be fewer car crash victims and more space in the hospital for everyone else. But we don't. We have collectively accepted that there are risks inherent in driving, but also benefits, and we try to balance those as well as we can. We need to come together and define what the line is between acceptable and unacceptable risks. We have arrived at such a line with driving (no driving above a certain speed, no driving drunk, use your headlights at night, etc.). Most of us more or less agree the line should be more or less where the rules say it is, and if you have a significantly lower risk tolerance than the norm you're sort of on your own to protect yourself the best you can.

We're still in the early days of this process with COVID. There are those who still think that any unnecessary group events are too risky, and there are those who think that it should be perfectly fine for a crowd of unvaccinated folks to attend a basketball game unmasked. We're starting to meet in the middle with the rules: sporting events aren't banned outright anymore, but (depending on where you are) they may require a vaccine and/or a negative COVID test and/or mask wearing to attend. I have generally been quite satisfied with how my local leaders have been handling these rules, taking the pulse of how people seem to be feeling while also taking input from experts and generally erring on the side of caution. If my local laws say that going to a restaurant with a vaccine is an acceptable risk to the community, I'm no longer interested in second-guessing that.

Or maybe we should re-assess the risk that driving poses. Not just in direct deaths, but also second-order effects. Like, I don't know, climate change and obesity. And maybe we shouldn't accept these negatives as readily as we are doing it now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 16, 2021, 12:37:28 PM
I really hope this all makes this us look really silly in 3 months.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/pfizer-says-covid-19-pill-near-90-effective-final-analysis-2021-12-14/

My doc has really high hopes for it. Also said the virus is doing what it should do, more contagious and less deadly.

I hope it does... but even if it is as effective as they hope, I guarantee some people are still going to want to see mask mandates and restrictions.

That would be awesome.  I guarantee some people will still prefer ivermectin, though.

Could be.  From what I've read on the Hermain Cain Award subreddit from doctors though... anti-vaxxers beg for the vaccine when things take a turn for the worse.  Of course it's way too late by then, but I have a hunch they'd be willing to take a pill a little sooner.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: DaTrill on December 16, 2021, 12:53:32 PM
Eat healthy, lose weight, don't lick toilet seats, WFH b/c it's easier and more enjoyable. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 16, 2021, 01:06:53 PM
I get the exponentially increasing age risk, but the fact remains that even though I am in my mid-forties, my husband is 50, my in-laws are in their mid-eighties, my still unvaccinated parents are in their late sixties, and I do have immunocompromised friends (that I know of - the number is actually probably higher than I know).  It's these people I worry about.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the more at risk they are.  And the more covid there is floating around in the community, the less space in the hospitals for EVERYONE.  It's not about individual risk as much as about community risk and responsibility, a fact which has been repeated ad nauseam in this thread and others but which some people refuse to grasp.

tl/dr; It's NOT JUST ABOUT YOU AND YOUR INDIVIDUAL RISK.

Understood, and the same can be said about other things. If we all treated driving as something to be done only when absolutely necessary (i.e. never for frivolous things such as transportation to social gatherings), there would be fewer car crash victims and more space in the hospital for everyone else. But we don't. We have collectively accepted that there are risks inherent in driving, but also benefits, and we try to balance those as well as we can. We need to come together and define what the line is between acceptable and unacceptable risks. We have arrived at such a line with driving (no driving above a certain speed, no driving drunk, use your headlights at night, etc.). Most of us more or less agree the line should be more or less where the rules say it is, and if you have a significantly lower risk tolerance than the norm you're sort of on your own to protect yourself the best you can.

We're still in the early days of this process with COVID. There are those who still think that any unnecessary group events are too risky, and there are those who think that it should be perfectly fine for a crowd of unvaccinated folks to attend a basketball game unmasked. We're starting to meet in the middle with the rules: sporting events aren't banned outright anymore, but (depending on where you are) they may require a vaccine and/or a negative COVID test and/or mask wearing to attend. I have generally been quite satisfied with how my local leaders have been handling these rules, taking the pulse of how people seem to be feeling while also taking input from experts and generally erring on the side of caution. If my local laws say that going to a restaurant with a vaccine is an acceptable risk to the community, I'm no longer interested in second-guessing that.

Or maybe we should re-assess the risk that driving poses. Not just in direct deaths, but also second-order effects. Like, I don't know, climate change and obesity. And maybe we shouldn't accept these negatives as readily as we are doing it now.

I'm a big fan of reducing car dependence and building more walkable/bikeable communities with solid transit options for longer trips. Among other things, I support reconfiguring our streets to prioritize non-car transport in more places, better funding for transit, and pricing of carbon to offset the environmental damage done by fossil fuel usage. I also still own a car and drive it often because my city is still set up in a way that alternatives to driving are highly unpleasant for many trips I want to do. As nice as it would be to reduce the amount of driving (and the community risk created by drivers), I can't say that this risk is so categorically unacceptable that driving needs to be severely curtailed right this instant. And if the community danger from breakthrough COVID infections is roughly in the same ballpark as the community risk from driving (as shown in @PDXTabs statistics), doesn't it make sense to think of the risks in a similar manner?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on December 16, 2021, 01:09:14 PM
@seattlecyclone well put!

I think we will have a new normal - maybe some things won't have changed at all but some will and possibly permanently.  For instance, I will probably never fly on an airplane again without a mask regardless of what the rules/requirements in the future will be.  Pre-pandemic I always felt that flying unmasked and exposing yourself to others' germs and exposing others to your germs in a contained space was just part and parcel for air travel.  I wouldn't be sick per se but was sometimes not 100% for 12-24 hours after a flight when I had been totally fine prior to the flight.  On these occasions there was a slight but noticeable shock to the immune system and I was fairly confident it was related to the flight portion.  Now with wider normalization of masks and realizing that this is an option to utilize, I don't see the negatives outweighing the benefits moving forward and will mask up on planes.  I realize there is some security blanket and placebo effect mixed in there but whatever works to improve health outcomes both physical and mental is a good thing especially when there isn't much of a penalty for doing so (and bonus I guess if it slightly helps others not be as exposed to my germs).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 16, 2021, 01:10:09 PM
don't lick toilet seats

You're not my shift supervisor!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 16, 2021, 01:10:26 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 01:28:29 PM
I'm a big fan of reducing car dependence and building more walkable/bikeable communities with solid transit options for longer trips. Among other things, I support reconfiguring our streets to prioritize non-car transport in more places, better funding for transit, and pricing of carbon to offset the environmental damage done by fossil fuel usage. I also still own a car and drive it often because my city is still set up in a way that alternatives to driving are highly unpleasant for many trips I want to do. As nice as it would be to reduce the amount of driving (and the community risk created by drivers), I can't say that this risk is so categorically unacceptable that driving needs to be severely curtailed right this instant. And if the community danger from breakthrough COVID infections is roughly in the same ballpark as the community risk from driving (as shown in @PDXTabs statistics), doesn't it make sense to think of the risks in a similar manner?

I agree that similar risks should be treated with similar priority. I do not agree that if two activities have similar risks, but one has higher acceptance, we should always increase our acceptance of the other one. Decreasing the acceptance of the first one is a perfectly reasonable response.

Separately, I disagree that wearing masks is akin to severely curtailing driving. It is akin to wearing seatbelts, which most people - after a period of similar complaints - accepted.  Limited occupancy, at times of high rates of community transmission, also doesn't raise to the level of severely curtailing. Think of it as closing one line of a highway for resurfacing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 01:29:39 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 16, 2021, 01:50:50 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?

1.  Combine it with the stats of people not wearing seatbelts, which was my statement. Now what does the math say?

2.  You don’t have one. I wasn’t addressing pedestrian deaths I was addressing deaths of drivers.

I also didn’t say you’d be risk free I said your risk goes down substantially.  Which is true.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 16, 2021, 02:46:42 PM
I really hope this all makes this us look really silly in 3 months.

https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/pfizer-says-covid-19-pill-near-90-effective-final-analysis-2021-12-14/

My doc has really high hopes for it. Also said the virus is doing what it should do, more contagious and less deadly.

I hope it does... but even if it is as effective as they hope, I guarantee some people are still going to want to see mask mandates and restrictions.

I really don't think so. People don't like doing this and are eager for an end to the pandemic restrictions. Post-vaccine pre-delta was as good as things have looked since March 2020. During this time,  we saw mask usage rates fall from 75% down below 25% and mobility rates climb from 70% of pre-pandemic levels to over 90%.

Then, Delta hit and mask usage nearly doubled, back up above 40%.

I'm aware of this meme where people online like to pretend they are the informed and rational ones, and there is this huge group of people running around like Chicken Little.

But the explanation is much simpler. We have an emergent mortality risk causing roughly 10 9/11s per month right now and people are doing what they can to mitigate the risk to themselves and others.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 03:18:19 PM
I think the pills will be well-received. The anti-vax sentiment is not a product of general stupidity alone, it entered the vicious cycle where grassroots distrust of "the elites" was fanned by the (conservative) elites, including in the media. Same with masks. Monoclonal antibody treatment didn't get under FoxNews death ray, and is perfectly accepted by anti-vaxxers. Unless conservative media decides to attack the new pill, most every one will swallow it (pun intended). Once the efficacy is demonstrated, ivermectin will be quickly forgotten.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 16, 2021, 03:55:06 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?

1.  Combine it with the stats of people not wearing seatbelts, which was my statement. Now what does the math say?

2.  You don’t have one. I wasn’t addressing pedestrian deaths I was addressing deaths of drivers.

I also didn’t say you’d be risk free I said your risk goes down substantially.  Which is true.

Shhhh, you can't tell people on the internet that they can take responsibility and improve their odds. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 05:54:53 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?

1.  Combine it with the stats of people not wearing seatbelts, which was my statement. Now what does the math say?

2.  You don’t have one. I wasn’t addressing pedestrian deaths I was addressing deaths of drivers.

I also didn’t say you’d be risk free I said your risk goes down substantially.  Which is true.

Shhhh, you can't tell people on the internet that they can take responsibility and improve their odds.

Right? People wouldn't get shot if they weren't always walking in front of bullets. They should really take a little personal responsibility. The fact that these bullets can be owned by any convicted felon and are massively subsidized by our tax dollars (https://taxfoundation.org/gasoline-taxes-and-user-fees-pay-only-half-state-local-road-spending) just makes sense. I'm sure that the fact that there has been a precipitous drop in children walking and biking to school (https://activelivingresearch.org/sites/activelivingresearch.org/files/ALR_Review_SRTS_May2015.pdf) has nothing to do with rising childhood obesity (https://stateofchildhoodobesity.org/stories/how-childhood-obesity-rates-have-changed-over-time/). I'm not sure what the appropriate analogy is, tax dollars to not wear a mask?

The RAND corporation isn't writing reports (https://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/technical_reports/2010/RAND_TR820.pdf) about how ~250 members of the military die per year in automobile collisions because it's a problem. I'm sure that we celebrate our fallen soldiers who are killed in action as heroes (as well we should) but dismiss the deaths of the ones that die in automobile collisions because they are rubes that had it coming. It's like Abraham Lincoln always said "I like people who didn't crash."

Seriously, this is a great discussion because it show how the general public views the lives of some as more important than others. The 2,996 who were killed in 9/11? We'll literally go to war for them. Our allies will send in troops too. The ~4,000 children who die in automobile collisions every single year? What, were they taking their pet hoop for a walk (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oOttvpjJvAo&t=118s)? They obviously had it coming.

EDITed to add: [insert additional pre or post vaccine COVID-19 9/11 death toll analogy]
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on December 16, 2021, 06:19:56 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?

1.  Combine it with the stats of people not wearing seatbelts, which was my statement. Now what does the math say?

2.  You don’t have one. I wasn’t addressing pedestrian deaths I was addressing deaths of drivers.

I also didn’t say you’d be risk free I said your risk goes down substantially.  Which is true.

Read: vehicular collisions aren’t a problem because the other people in giant protective metal boxes are safe. The deaths of people who travel around their neighborhoods outside of protective metal boxes don’t matter, because they’re smug elitists. And bicyclists run stop signs sometimes so they probably had it coming
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 16, 2021, 06:33:59 PM
Some crazy high percentage of motor vehicle deaths are related to either DUI, not wearing a seatbelt, or both. If you always buckle up, and you don’t drive impaired and stay off the roads at times when others are most likely to be impaired (closing time, late at night, NYE, etc) your risk goes down substantially.

1. DUIs account for well under 50% of deaths https://www.nhtsa.gov/risky-driving/drunk-driving
2. How does my pedestrian seat belt work?

1.  Combine it with the stats of people not wearing seatbelts, which was my statement. Now what does the math say?

2.  You don’t have one. I wasn’t addressing pedestrian deaths I was addressing deaths of drivers.

I also didn’t say you’d be risk free I said your risk goes down substantially.  Which is true.

Read: vehicular collisions aren’t a problem because the other people in giant protective metal boxes are safe. The deaths of people who travel around their neighborhoods outside of protective metal boxes don’t matter, because they’re smug elitists. And bicyclists run stop signs sometimes so they probably had it coming

That’s a whole lot of words you put in my mouth.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 16, 2021, 07:49:38 PM
Speaking of 9/11, we let strangers to see us naked to board a plane, and our government to watch what we are doing without a warrant. All that over ~3,000 deaths. If there were discussions about a return to normal, I missed them. It's generally accepted that there is no going back to pre-9/11 times.

But to wear a mask - sometimes - in a pandemic that took away 800,000 lives is a burden too heavy to bear. It's basically a gospel that we can - and should - start living exactly as before Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: MoseyingAlong on December 16, 2021, 08:30:35 PM
.....
- We don't know a single person socially who has gotten Covid outside of a couple frontline medical providers right at the start of the pandemic.  Since vaccines, zero.  Covid feels a little abstract because while we chatter about it socially, nobody actually gets it.
...
The bolded is pretty shocking to me. 
...

Somewhat related, I'm shocked that no one I know well has had a serious case or required hospitalization. We have a large family, spread out over the US, most with risk factors of age and comorbidities. Add a large and extended network of friends from the military and I'm amazed that no one has died due to COVID. Several mild cases but nothing serious.

I'm not in denial of the seriousness of this pandemic. I spent some time working on COVID units last winter. The first night was very sobering. And several former coworkers have died.

But I can see how someone with the same personal experience, minus the medical work, would be detached/skeptical. It's like news from a foreign country or different state. It's distressing/disturbing/sad but doesn't have the same punch as if it happened next door.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 16, 2021, 08:37:20 PM
Speaking of 9/11, we let strangers to see us naked to board a plane, and our government to watch what we are doing without a warrant. All that over ~3,000 deaths. If there were discussions about a return to normal, I missed them. It's generally accepted that there is no going back to pre-9/11 times.

But to wear a mask - sometimes - in a pandemic that took away 800,000 lives is a burden too heavy to bear. It's basically a gospel that we can - and should - start living exactly as before Covid.

Well, various provisions of the Patriot Act were allowed to expire (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patriot_Act) over the years. I believe that it ceased to exist in 2019. Also, Ron Paul voted against it from the very start, as did a handful of Democrats and a couple Republicans. So that wing of the Republican party has been pretty intellectually consistent. But I guess the strip search came from some other law or executive decision. So, what, 18 years? Also also, I don't get the strip search when flying in Asia. Priorities.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 17, 2021, 02:36:56 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 17, 2021, 09:16:20 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague. 

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 09:22:26 AM
Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.

800,000 is a lot of bodies. We have states smaller than that. It's like entire North Dakota gone, or one and a half Wyoming. That they are not in the streets speaks more to our ability to handle dead bodies, not to the size of the pile of bodies.

Also, younger people absolutely do die. My friend's sister died in her 50s.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BlueMR2 on December 17, 2021, 09:24:51 AM
Somewhat related, I'm shocked that no one I know well has had a serious case or required hospitalization. We have a large family, spread out over the US, most with risk factors of age and comorbidities. Add a large and extended network of friends from the military and I'm amazed that no one has died due to COVID. Several mild cases but nothing serious.

Same here.  I hear about people dying from it (sometimes even whole families) on the news, but the personal experience is totally different.  Nobody I know or am related to has had symptoms worse than a cold, when they had any at all (and I'm in a largely older, anti-vax, and anti-mask family that likes to travel).  I'm really curious as to what the difference might be.  We know that age is a risk factor, but there must be something else that's much stronger.  Is it nutritional since lower income people seem to have a worse time?  Maybe genetic as to the thing with whole families?  Probably some combination of course, but there may be one strong factor that hasn't been positively identified yet.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 09:32:16 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

The only person in my direct social circle that died was a former teacher of mine I kept in touch with who was morbidly obese and in assisted living recovering from a stroke. I think he was +/- 60.

My FIL went to the hospital with it but was on mononucleal antibodies pretty quickly and recovered fast.

Everyone else I personally know who had it it was a non-event.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 17, 2021, 09:42:31 AM
Quote

I'm proposing that we use the golden rule here.  Do what you reasonably can to lower the risk you will help turn your community into a covid cesspool with overwhelmed hospitals.  For me, that means:

Get vaccinated. 
Get boosted.
When case levels are high and hospitalizations are increasing in your community, follow indoor masking and other cdc recommendations.

First, who is arguing against vaccination in this thread?

Second, you clearly did not read/understand the information I posted, and the available information on vaccination. Vaccination adds a layer of protection against serious illness and death, but it wanes as people get older, offering the best protection for people who are already at low risk. IE: Getting the vaccine is more of a boon for you than for the public, especially given a vaccinated person can still spread the virus without even realizing they are sick.

Third, indoor masking has been shown, in the aggregate, to not offer much protection. In schools, for example, it reduces transmission by ~5%, with the overwhelming vast majority of children at lower risk of serious illness/death from COVID than from many other common diseases like RSV. Yet, people lose their minds trying to make schools adopt mask mandates. Even though the same mandates make teaching, already something very difficult, even more challenging. This is in regards to cloth masks, and I would imagine its because people, even people trying to follow the rules/be safe, often take them off for various reasons. "What? I cant hear you, let me take my mask off and lean forward".

Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 17, 2021, 09:48:57 AM
Somewhat related, I'm shocked that no one I know well has had a serious case or required hospitalization. We have a large family, spread out over the US, most with risk factors of age and comorbidities. Add a large and extended network of friends from the military and I'm amazed that no one has died due to COVID. Several mild cases but nothing serious.

Same here.  I hear about people dying from it (sometimes even whole families) on the news, but the personal experience is totally different.  Nobody I know or am related to has had symptoms worse than a cold, when they had any at all (and I'm in a largely older, anti-vax, and anti-mask family that likes to travel).  I'm really curious as to what the difference might be.  We know that age is a risk factor, but there must be something else that's much stronger.  Is it nutritional since lower income people seem to have a worse time?  Maybe genetic as to the thing with whole families?  Probably some combination of course, but there may be one strong factor that hasn't been positively identified yet.

I think this speaks to the overestimation of how deadly COVID is. Again, if you are under 50, the chance of serious illness from COVID is extremely low. While, even someone who is 80 years old has only an ~8.5% chance of dying if infected. Its just the fact that it is completely new and thus spreading like wildfire that is the problem, because then COVID being slightly more deadly than H1N1, for example, causes big problems for society.

The original worst case estimates for COVID, at least the reasonable ones, had about 1.8 million people dying in the US. (350,000,000 people in the US. Everyone gets it, 0.5% die = 1,750,000). We are about halfway there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on December 17, 2021, 09:58:38 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

I think in my case it's mostly because 1. I know relatively few old people, period, and 2. Most of my social circle live similar-ish lifestyles to me (outdoor activities, mostly/entirely plant-based diet with minimal/no fast food, preference for walking/biking over cars, etc), which means the overall healthiness is pretty good. I think in my entire social circle, including family, there are like two obese people (both of whom are white and not in poverty).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 10:04:50 AM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 17, 2021, 10:11:47 AM
Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.

800,000 is a lot of bodies. We have states smaller than that. It's like entire North Dakota gone, or one and a half Wyoming. That they are not in the streets speaks more to our ability to handle dead bodies, not to the size of the pile of bodies.

Also, younger people absolutely do die. My friend's sister died in her 50s.

Sure, this isn't to deny COVID isn't real or that younger people haven't died from it. 

As others have posted, there are what, a good 330 million Americans? First number on google is ~2.6 million Americans die every year. With an average life expectancy of 78.8 years. There is a lot of overlap on Comorbitiies.

And this is actually my now not secret COVID pet peeve. Why isn't public health hammering us to exercise more and diet? If everyone walked more, lost 5 lbs and ate more salad their risk profile would go down. And if I am totally wrong and being fat and out of shape does not affect your COVID risk?

The major side effect of this program would be a reduced risk of heart disease and high blood pressure.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 10:12:06 AM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

At least part of Canada's edge on us comes from the fact that we have around 30 million people with almost no relationship with the healthcare system here. Huge failing on our part, but one that existed pre-pandemic.

Not to say that we did a good job, because we didn't (except on vaccines, I think we largely did a good job there).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 10:17:00 AM
How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

I don’t think that’s the message. I think the message is that the two things that are most focused on as “we must do this to defeat the virus!” to the point of hysteria are shown to be relatively middling in effectiveness. Doubling down on things that aren’t doing a great job isn’t better just because it’s “doing something”. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 10:17:22 AM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

Healthier population, less population density & the timing of the waves are big factors here.  Yes, Canada is "doing better" but the United states had massive outbreaks brewing (New York / New Jersey) by the time most in the world knew Covid was going to be a huge problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 10:18:42 AM
...but why stop there. Right this moment, we lose ~1,200 friends and neighbors a day. Canadians lose 19. Nineteen. Nineteen, one-nine.

Adjusted for population, we are 7.5 times shittier to each other than Canadians.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 10:20:35 AM
I don’t think that’s the message. I think the message is that the two things that are most focused on as “we must do this to defeat the virus!” to the point of hysteria are shown to be relatively middling in effectiveness. Doubling down on things that aren’t doing a great job isn’t better just because it’s “doing something”.

Once you remove the emotional and unsubstantiated dig at the imaginary hysteria, what's left in your argument?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 10:25:54 AM
I don’t think that’s the message. I think the message is that the two things that are most focused on as “we must do this to defeat the virus!” to the point of hysteria are shown to be relatively middling in effectiveness. Doubling down on things that aren’t doing a great job isn’t better just because it’s “doing something”.

Once you remove the emotional and unsubstantiated dig at the imaginary hysteria, what's left in your argument?

That no one’s saying we can’t do better, they’re (or at least Lurker who I agree with) is saying what we’re doing isn’t all that effective.  If you ask most people who want a better response to Covid what to do, they’ll say more masks and more vaxx. Those aren’t really effective.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 10:28:25 AM
Healthier population, less population density & the timing of the waves are big factors here.  Yes, Canada is "doing better" but the United states had massive outbreaks brewing (New York / New Jersey) by the time most in the world knew Covid was going to be a huge problem.

Does the timing explain the 3x difference? Especially the 7.5x difference now?

As for the population density - the overall population density doesn't matter. And the density in population centers is comparable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 10:29:38 AM
Sure, this isn't to deny COVID isn't real or that younger people haven't died from it. 

As others have posted, there are what, a good 330 million Americans? First number on google is ~2.6 million Americans die every year. With an average life expectancy of 78.8 years. There is a lot of overlap on Comorbitiies.

Couple of things. Weekly excess mortality of 10%-40% for two years straight is a huge deal. Not just in terms of the loss of human life, but in that our society is not built around handling that much sickness in death. There's the stuff I've already hammered like hospital capacity and healthcare worker burnout, but there's also stuff like freezers and the national guard having to be shipped into handle bodies.

And comorbidity <> on death's door. Almost half of American adults have high blood pressure, for example. Massive amounts of life years are being lost. You can tell because insurance companies are making less money. If the people dying in 2020 would have died in 2021 anyway, it would be no big deal for them.

And this is actually my now not secret COVID pet peeve. Why isn't public health hammering us to exercise more and diet? If everyone walked more, lost 5 lbs and ate more salad their risk profile would go down. And if I am totally wrong and being fat and out of shape does not affect your COVID risk?

The major side effect of this program would be a reduced risk of heart disease and high blood pressure.

This deals with the difference between acute and chronic issues. COVID is acute. Obesity is chronic. Eating salads and walking more doesn't fix COVID in the immediate. It doesn't provide any relief for hospitals.

And public health does hammer diet and exercise. The AMA has guidelines that your physician is almost certainly going to inform you of if you're overweight. Michelle Obama made it her pet project. The CDC/WHO/etc. spend a lot of time thinking about this.

But these are hard, generational problems to tackle. Like cigarettes before them, our food and our phones are engineered to be addictive. There's optimism to be found there because we've managed to make major progress on smoking, but it's still the leading preventable cause of death in the US. And we can regulate the hell out of it and make it prohibitively expensive because no one needs to smoke. But people gotta eat. And technology is ubiquitous.

I think we can and will solve diet/exercise/phone use. But it's gonna be generational. The "eat a salad" thing does nothing for COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 10:34:33 AM
Personally, I think everyone should do as much as they're comfortable doing to slow the spread of COVID and lessen the burden on our healthcare infrastructure.

For me, that's distancing, masking, and getting every vaccine the CDC and FDA says I can get.

That said, I'm often the only mask-wearer in the grocery store. I don't judge people who don't wear it. I understand. And if the ability to take off the mask is what pushes someone to get vaccinated, I  am TEN THOUSAND percent supportive of that.

The only thing that annoys me is the, "Heh, look at all these hysterical people. I, the smart one, recognize that I'm 38 and unlikely to die form COVID." Cool. Congratulations. But maybe consider that public health guidance and policy might need to take more things into account.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 10:37:36 AM
That no one’s saying we can’t do better, they’re (or at least Lurker who I agree with) is saying what we’re doing isn’t all that effective.  If you ask most people who want a better response to Covid what to do, they’ll say more masks and more vaxx. Those aren’t really effective.

On the contrary - it is a common theme in this thread that nothing can be done. That action, beyond vax, is pointless.

And if I missed it, what is it that people who gone back to normal suggest we can and should do better?

As for the effectiveness of masks, NIH seems to disagree (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7883189/).

Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 17, 2021, 10:40:56 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.

https://www.businessinsider.com/florida-hospitals-refrigerated-coolers-stories-bodies-morgues-are-full-2021-8
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 10:46:10 AM
Spoiler: show
(https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FGkgxW7VcAMKQV3?format=jpg&name=large)

Pfizer Booster showing good news against both Omicron and Delta. Note the wide confidence interval on Omicron though. Moderna is a similar story.

More vaccination does help.

graph spoiled for size
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 17, 2021, 10:54:05 AM

That said, I'm often the only mask-wearer in the grocery store. I don't judge people who don't wear it. I understand. And if the ability to take off the mask is what pushes someone to get vaccinated, I  am TEN THOUSAND percent supportive of that.


I kind of feel the same way, in the beginning when we had an unapproved vaccine we were encouraging people to get a new product using new tech was a bit of a hard sell. However there was a huge carrot of well if you are vaccinated you don't have to wear a mask anymore.

Now its all the stick, just cancel everything and wear a mask basically forever?

The goal posts/safety margin has constantly moved which is extremely frustrating. I think that pretty much everyone has a "aw screw it" moment you know?

First it was hard lockdown that scared the shit out of everyone. Then flatten the curve, then cancel everything and mask up. Then it was encourage the vaccine and we are gonna beat this! Now everyone has gotten a vaccine that wants one, and I kind of feel we are in the same place. Not really trying to make points to anyone here just how I think a fair amount of people feel about the situation.

"Well if nothing is every going to get better with covid I am going to live my life and damn the torpedo's!" So to speak....

I would just like to see more collaborative efforts from our institutions rather than directive.



Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 17, 2021, 10:55:24 AM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

We can't. Its obvious the mitigation strategies we have used have not worked. So why continue them given the cost? 

However, check out the bolded part. Look at Canada and ask what they did different. Mandatory quarantine for people entering the country. Closed border for all but essential travel. Vaccination mandate for mass transit(including air travel). Ban or limitations on social gatherings nationwide. That certainly sounds to me like loss of freedom and draconian measures.

Is that loss of freedom worth ~600,000 lives? Would those measures have made that big of a difference? Would they have been feasible and legal? My initial instinct would be no, they would not be feasible or legal in the US.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 17, 2021, 10:59:56 AM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 11:06:19 AM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

There was some research done on this last year. Re: why cities with mandates didn't seem to out perform on balance. The conclusion was that mandate <> adoption. You can tell people to do something, but who is going to enforce it? Citizens? The guy scanning groceries making $10/hr?

There's good news and bad news here. The bad news is that the mandates aren't enforceable en masse outside of say, government buildings. The good news is that people decide to wear masks on their own when the virus gets worse in their area.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 11:19:29 AM
I kind of feel the same way, in the beginning when we had an unapproved vaccine we were encouraging people to get a new product using new tech was a bit of a hard sell. However there was a huge carrot of well if you are vaccinated you don't have to wear a mask anymore.

Now its all the stick, just cancel everything and wear a mask basically forever?

Really though, to be fair, the non-mask wearers are largely winning at this point. Through the combination of either the carrot, or fatigue. Only 51% of Democrats say they wear a mask at the store "every time" now, and they're the most likely group among political affiliation. Enforcement is better at sports arenas and government buildings and stuff, because of liability, but the idea that there is this mask secret police beating everyone with a stick is largely overplayed.

Most people aren't wearing masks anymore and they largely do so without incident. I'm aware of high profile stuff that goes viral, but this is the exception and not the rule.

The goal posts/safety margin has constantly moved which is extremely frustrating. I think that pretty much everyone has a "aw screw it" moment you know?

First it was hard lockdown that scared the shit out of everyone. Then flatten the curve, then cancel everything and mask up. Then it was encourage the vaccine and we are gonna beat this! Now everyone has gotten a vaccine that wants one, and I kind of feel we are in the same place. Not really trying to make points to anyone here just how I think a fair amount of people feel about the situation.

"Well if nothing is every going to get better with covid I am going to live my life and damn the torpedo's!" So to speak....

I would just like to see more collaborative efforts from our institutions rather than directive.

I get that. Apparent goal-post shifting is tough. And it's hard when the CDC says one thing and the WHO says another and the WH says a third. It can be fatiguing.

People want a simple and direct answer. But what I keep falling back on, is that this is largely an unrealistic expectation. This is a novel virus killing millions of people. It's a hard problem to address and the science is evolving all the time.

I know people want a simple answer. I know they want their freedom. I know they want healthcare services to be available to them with no disruption. I know they don't want to get sick and die from COVID. I know they want the labor market to be more settle and have less burnout.

But we quite simply can't have all of these. We're working out the balance in real time. And the stakes are very very high.

I wasn't alive obviously, but it seems that we were more unified during WWII. And American involvement there lasted four years. I thought it was a good idea when Trump started calling the virus "the invisible enemy". Maybe a war metaphor would get people on board more. Sadly, it didn't seem to do much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 17, 2021, 11:19:36 AM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

There was some research done on this last year. Re: why cities with mandates didn't seem to out perform on balance. The conclusion was that mandate <> adoption. You can tell people to do something, but who is going to enforce it? Citizens? The guy scanning groceries making $10/hr?

That's one of my big complaints about he US response. Rules that aren't enforced aren't really rules (have you seen our drivers?). In Italy police enforce mandates (https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-12-06/italy-unvaccinated-new-restrictions). I've seen zero police enforcement of anything pandemic policies in Oregon or Washington. Grocery store enforcement is also very spotty, presumably because they don't get a big ass fine from the OLCC like they do for alcohol sales. Also, the OLCC stings for alcohol sales but not masks.

So, mask rules are like those pesky rules about indicating before changing lanes or not driving 1mph over the speed-limit or not turning into the wrong lane. They are a technicality that does not stop you from doing whatever the fuck you want, because rules that are not enforced are not really rules.

But then we might need actual rules for exempting people who shouldn't be wearing them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 11:28:24 AM
Following up more on "simple and direct answers". People have tried at many points during the pandemic to give comforting and uncomplicated answers. Just off the top of my head:

-Dr. Drew came on TV early on and said it was no big deal
-Lt. Gov of Texas said that since the virus largely affects old people, young people should live their lives and let a willing group of old people carry the burden of all the risk
-Dr. John Ioannidis made waves by bucking the trend of scientists saying that this pandemic could kill hundreds of thousands of Americans, and declared what we were doing to be an overreaction
-Mr. Money Mustache said we should be eating more salads
-Joe Rogan said we should avoid the vaccine if we're young, and just take ivermectin if/when we get sick.

These answers are all nicer and more appealing than what we get from the CDC. But we would be completely and totally fucked if any of these people were in charge of the process.

Part of being in charge of big and important things means informing people of when things change, giving bad news, and then just letting them be mad at you.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 17, 2021, 11:51:33 AM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.

The people I knew who died of COVID were between the ages of 40 and 70, and none were in a nursing home. One was a former classmate, one was a school friend's mother, one was a former fellow choir singer, and one was my city's mayor.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 11:55:51 AM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

There was some research done on this last year. Re: why cities with mandates didn't seem to out perform on balance. The conclusion was that mandate <> adoption. You can tell people to do something, but who is going to enforce it? Citizens? The guy scanning groceries making $10/hr?

There's good news and bad news here. The bad news is that the mandates aren't enforceable en masse outside of say, government buildings. The good news is that people decide to wear masks on their own when the virus gets worse in their area.

I will tell you anecdotally in my little area of Chicagoland, masking is 95%+ indoors. We have a mandate and almost everyone follows it. And I don’t think we’re any better or worse than anywhere else.

There’s also the extremely silly theater. You’d be getting daggers everywhere around here for walking into a restaurant without a mask. However, once at your table, you’re more than welcome to sit there unmasked for hours and hours eating and drinking and laughing and talking and no one thinks anything of it. It’s silly. Hell, I was at an important meeting at work this week (first time in my office in almost a year) and we all masked up like the good responsible people we are for a 6-hour meeting. Except for the hour they brought in lunch, where we all de-masked and sat at the same table and ate and talked for an hour. Then lunch was over and we all put our masks back on. Why?  I dunno.  It was dumb.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 17, 2021, 12:00:08 PM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

There was some research done on this last year. Re: why cities with mandates didn't seem to out perform on balance. The conclusion was that mandate <> adoption. You can tell people to do something, but who is going to enforce it? Citizens? The guy scanning groceries making $10/hr?

There's good news and bad news here. The bad news is that the mandates aren't enforceable en masse outside of say, government buildings. The good news is that people decide to wear masks on their own when the virus gets worse in their area.

I will tell you anecdotally in my little area of Chicagoland, masking is 95%+ indoors. We have a mandate and almost everyone follows it. And I don’t think we’re any better or worse than anywhere else.

There’s also the extremely silly theater. You’d be getting daggers everywhere around here for walking into a restaurant without a mask. However, once at your table, you’re more than welcome to sit there unmasked for hours and hours eating and drinking and laughing and talking and no one thinks anything of it. It’s silly. Hell, I was at an important meeting at work this week (first time in my office in almost a year) and we all masked up like the good responsible people we are for a 6-hour meeting. Except for the hour they brought in lunch, where we all de-masked and sat at the same table and ate and talked for an hour. Then lunch was over and we all put our masks back on. Why?  I dunno.  It was dumb.

I agree with you. If you're making the decision to uncover your face to eat in a restaurant, there's little point in masking between the door and your table.

Grocery stores are different: even people who choose to skip restaurant dining need to buy food. Hopefully people who are immunocompromised are shopping at off times or using curbside services, but I'm happy to wear a mask in places like that (or medical offices, etc.). It seems a small price to pay to make someone else more comfortable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 12:01:09 PM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

There was some research done on this last year. Re: why cities with mandates didn't seem to out perform on balance. The conclusion was that mandate <> adoption. You can tell people to do something, but who is going to enforce it? Citizens? The guy scanning groceries making $10/hr?

There's good news and bad news here. The bad news is that the mandates aren't enforceable en masse outside of say, government buildings. The good news is that people decide to wear masks on their own when the virus gets worse in their area.

I will tell you anecdotally in my little area of Chicagoland, masking is 95%+ indoors. We have a mandate and almost everyone follows it. And I don’t think we’re any better or worse than anywhere else.

There’s also the extremely silly theater. You’d be getting daggers everywhere around here for walking into a restaurant without a mask. However, once at your table, you’re more than welcome to sit there unmasked for hours and hours eating and drinking and laughing and talking and no one thinks anything of it. It’s silly. Hell, I was at an important meeting at work this week (first time in my office in almost a year) and we all masked up like the good responsible people we are for a 6-hour meeting. Except for the hour they brought in lunch, where we all de-masked and sat at the same table and ate and talked for an hour. Then lunch was over and we all put our masks back on. Why?  I dunno.  It was dumb.

Same with airplanes, it's laughable.  Everyone's super careful throughout the airport and on the plane... and then, snack time!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 17, 2021, 12:04:44 PM

That's one of my big complaints about he US response. Rules that aren't enforced aren't really rules (have you seen our drivers?). In Italy police enforce mandates (https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-12-06/italy-unvaccinated-new-restrictions). I've seen zero police enforcement of anything pandemic policies in Oregon or Washington. Grocery store enforcement is also very spotty, presumably because they don't get a big ass fine from the OLCC like they do for alcohol sales. Also, the OLCC stings for alcohol sales but not masks.

So, mask rules are like those pesky rules about indicating before changing lanes or not driving 1mph over the speed-limit or not turning into the wrong lane. They are a technicality that does not stop you from doing whatever the fuck you want, because rules that are not enforced are not really rules.

But then we might need actual rules for exempting people who shouldn't be wearing them.

It's interesting you bring up the topic of rules, enforcement and compliance, because I've been thinking a lot about that lately.
We seem to have a large group of people who say they will follow the rules outside their homes, but are resistant to following the guidelines - often because they disagree with their effectiveness or find the recommendation to be a burden.

Then we've got a very loud minority that resist any attempt to make the guidelines into rules, (because freedom...?).

So we are left in a position where rules (often called "mandates") are deeply unpopular and frequently only enacted as a last resort, and instead presented as guidelines, which are widely ignored because they aren't rules, and a pandemic that won't subside for a combination of reactors.

It's the proverbial 'damned if you do, damned if you don't' situation, and we all wind up worse off.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 12:11:47 PM
We can't. Its obvious the mitigation strategies we have used have not worked. So why continue them given the cost? 

No, it is not obvious. We know that we haven't beaten Covid, but we don't know what the toll would be if we didn't use the measures that we have. 

However, check out the bolded part. Look at Canada and ask what they did different. Mandatory quarantine for people entering the country. Closed border for all but essential travel. Vaccination mandate for mass transit(including air travel). Ban or limitations on social gatherings nationwide. That certainly sounds to me like loss of freedom and draconian measures.

On the contrary - these are moderate, reasonable measures. And, since they are done with consent of the governed (as confirmed by a mid-Covid election), they do not constitute a loss of freedom.

Is that loss of freedom worth ~600,000 lives? Would those measures have made that big of a difference? Would they have been feasible and legal? My initial instinct would be no, they would not be feasible or legal in the US.

Why wouldn't they make a difference, given they made a difference elsewhere?

What loss of life would make you agree to reasonable and moderate measures implemented by our neighbor with a higher Freedom Index (https://www.worldfreedomindex.com/)?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Nick_Miller on December 17, 2021, 12:12:53 PM
The Millers are as vaxed as we can be and we mask up wherever ordered/requested. Other than that, we're living our lives. I struggle to know where to draw lines. We took vacations this summer, including one to NYC, so it's not like I can slam anyone for going out and doing things.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 17, 2021, 12:19:15 PM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

There aren't even any cultural differences to point at - as Canadians we get all our culture from American TV.  :P
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 12:19:30 PM
Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

a) mask mandate is not the same as mask wearing.
b) did not work as measured how? LA not beating Covid to zero cases? You have to measure LA with people wearing masks against LA with people not wearing masks on number of deaths/hospitalizations to say "it didn't work"
c) 9% in the study isn't efficacy of masks. It's efficacy of telling people in a village to wear a mask.

But let's run with this number for a second. 9% of 800,000 is 72,000 people. I know, it's way back of the envelope, and 800K is with some of us wearing masks.

But still, is 72,000 fellow Americans staying alive not enough incentive for you to wear a mask indoors? What size pile of bodies do you need to wear one?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 17, 2021, 12:19:45 PM
That no one’s saying we can’t do better, they’re (or at least Lurker who I agree with) is saying what we’re doing isn’t all that effective.  If you ask most people who want a better response to Covid what to do, they’ll say more masks and more vaxx. Those aren’t really effective.

On the contrary - it is a common theme in this thread that nothing can be done. That action, beyond vax, is pointless.

There's a difference between "pointless" and "unlikely to be effective enough to be worth the effort." Vaccination is a no-brainer. Everyone should do it. If everyone had done it, our hospitals wouldn't be facing a capacity crunch right now, and the overall infection numbers would likely be a lot lower. I also have no real objection to mask wearing in public settings where practical (eating and strenuous exercise and public speaking being obvious exceptions). I think we should definitely settle into a social norm of wearing masks when we have respiratory symptoms, but for asymptomatic people the benefit seems much less.

Pretty much every other possible mitigation effort requires people to abstain from activities that would otherwise bring positive value to their lives, and for what? So that if people happen to be infected without knowing it they'll have less opportunity to pass it along to someone else who—if they do get infected—will probably turn out fine unless they didn't get their vaccine? That's where I start to say I'm not interested in playing along anymore.

I'm operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. For it to be otherwise it seems we'd need to do some sort of coordinated worldwide lockdown where nobody can leave the house at all for 2-4 weeks except in cases of dire emergency. Sufficient food would need to be provided to everyone in advance of this so nobody would need to go to a grocery store or get take-out from a restaurant. Rent and mortgages would need to be forgiven for the duration, plus additional stimulus payments. Even if you get all the world's governments to play along with this, you'd need near-universal compliance among the general population. I see no chance of any of this happening, hence my assumption that the virus will be present for the rest of our lives.

So, let me throw it back to you. If COVID will be around forever, what things should we not have anymore because they're just too risky? Should nobody ever eat at a restaurant again? Sing in a choir? Play in an orchestra? Go to a basketball game? Where's your line between acceptable and unacceptable risks given the ever-present virus?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on December 17, 2021, 12:21:27 PM
Quote
wearing mask in public is essential as its effectiveness has already been well established by the current studies


Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

Also keep in mind that study found the 9% reduction was for surgical masks. They found no statistically significant difference between the unmasked villages and the villages that used cloth masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 12:23:21 PM
I agree with you. If you're making the decision to uncover your face to eat in a restaurant, there's little point in masking between the door and your table.

I agree. It's dumb, and it's one of the counterproductive, 100% performative things.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 17, 2021, 12:25:52 PM
Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.


800,000 is a lot of bodies. We have states smaller than that. It's like entire North Dakota gone, or one and a half Wyoming. That they are not in the streets speaks more to our ability to handle dead bodies, not to the size of the pile of bodies.

Also, younger people absolutely do die. My friend's sister died in her 50s.

My DD’s friend in her 30s died from Covid. She seemed pretty healthy before that. Which is why I think we’ve been so careful.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mathlete on December 17, 2021, 12:29:32 PM
Maybe it's worth level setting here. This is the current topline guidance form the CDC.

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If you’ve been fully vaccinated: You can resume activities that you did prior to the pandemic. To reduce the risk of being infected with the Delta variant and possibly spreading it to others, wear a mask indoors in public if you are in an area of substantial or high transmission.

That doesn't sound unreasonable to me. Some jurisdictions are trying to "overachieve". Whether this is due to safety theater, or because the admins of 6 hospitals called the mayor and said, "we're fucked if the numbers keep trending this way" is a case by case basis.

Other jurisdictions are giving the finger to the Feds and suing.

But on balance, that's the guidance. That's the countrywide attitude. Nobody is talking about a total cessation of living our lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 12:40:17 PM
I think we should definitely settle into a social norm of wearing masks when we have respiratory symptoms, but for asymptomatic people the benefit seems much less.

I'm glad we are in agreement on the usefulness of masks.

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Pretty much every other possible mitigation effort requires people to abstain from activities that would otherwise bring positive value to their lives, and for what? So that if people happen to be infected without knowing it they'll have less opportunity to pass it along to someone else who—if they do get infected—will probably turn out fine unless they didn't get their vaccine? That's where I start to say I'm not interested in playing along anymore.

...or have a weakened immune system. People receiving an organ transplant, cancer survivors, autoimmune disorders - these things are not rare by any stretch, and these people had enough trouble staying alive even before Covid. Do you want to re-think you answer with this in mind?

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I'm operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. For it to be otherwise it seems we'd need to do some sort of coordinated worldwide lockdown <skipped>

So, let me throw it back to you. If COVID will be around forever, what things should we not have anymore because they're just too risky? Should nobody ever eat at a restaurant again? Sing in a choir? Play in an orchestra? Go to a basketball game? Where's your line between acceptable and unacceptable risks given the ever-present virus?

I'm also operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. However, I do not accept that the only reaction to a permanent change is to accept all negative consequences.

There are mitigation measures that can (and should) be taken. Improved ventilation is the most obvious one. Others can require vaccination and/or frequent testing, which orchestras are doing already. Mask mandates should stay, for all - it's too unreliable to trust the goodwill, and people respond better to simple rules that don't change. WFH rules may need to be strengthened, possibly through legislation. Paid sick live is a must - it's a travesty that we didn't have it before, it's 10x worse that we don't have it now. Internet must reach 100% of households.

In general, I don't have all the answers (and that's an understatement), but I invite you to approach it from the angle of "if there's the will, there's the way". What this topic tells me is that we lost the will, not that there's no way (again, look North).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 17, 2021, 12:51:39 PM

And this is actually my now not secret COVID pet peeve. Why isn't public health hammering us to exercise more and diet?

This deals with the difference between acute and chronic issues. COVID is acute. Obesity is chronic. Eating salads and walking more doesn't fix COVID in the immediate. It doesn't provide any relief for hospitals.


We are almost two years in, it is feeling pretty chronic. Note getting the Vaccine doesn't reduce loads on hospitals right now either. It reduces the loads some time in the future after you have done your sequence.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 17, 2021, 01:00:06 PM

And this is actually my now not secret COVID pet peeve. Why isn't public health hammering us to exercise more and diet?

This deals with the difference between acute and chronic issues. COVID is acute. Obesity is chronic. Eating salads and walking more doesn't fix COVID in the immediate. It doesn't provide any relief for hospitals.


We are almost two years in, it is feeling pretty chronic. Note getting the Vaccine doesn't reduce loads on hospitals right now either. It reduces the loads some time in the future after you have done your sequence.


That's not quite right.  Getting the vaccine does reduce loads on hospitals a lot for covid classic and delta flavour.  It's much less effective at reducing hospital load for the extra spicy omicrons unless you've had a booster as well.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 17, 2021, 01:02:03 PM
Then why hasn't it worked in someplace like... Los Angeles where mask mandates are back in effect?

https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

a) mask mandate is not the same as mask wearing.
b) did not work as measured how? LA not beating Covid to zero cases? You have to measure LA with people wearing masks against LA with people not wearing masks on number of deaths/hospitalizations to say "it didn't work"
c) 9% in the study isn't efficacy of masks. It's efficacy of telling people in a village to wear a mask.

But let's run with this number for a second. 9% of 800,000 is 72,000 people. I know, it's way back of the envelope, and 800K is with some of us wearing masks.

But still, is 72,000 fellow Americans staying alive not enough incentive for you to wear a mask indoors? What size pile of bodies do you need to wear one?

a) Agreed. But I'm not willing to put in the kind of enforcement at this point to make them the same. And yes, because freedom.
b) Case loads rising, hospitalizations rising.
c) That's not how it works. All 72,000 would not die. 72,000 would get infected and then 0.5%, at most, would die = 360 people.

It sounds callous to say "let 360 people die so I don't have to walk around wearing a surgical mask", but its the truth that many people would be willing take that risk.

In the US, there have been ~50,000,000 cases. Reduce that by 9% = 4,500,000 * 0.5% = 22,500 fewer deaths over 2 years, if we all started wearing surgical masks on March 1, 2020 (when the CDC lied and advised us not to in order to protect mask supply for healthcare workers) and continued to this day. Assuming 100% use by people in the US.

That also assumes we either 1) never stop wearing them or 2) eventually COVID-19 disappears or becomes a statistically insignificant disease. Both are very unlikely, so there is a chance you simply delay rather than prevent death, which still has value.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 17, 2021, 01:02:08 PM
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get that. Apparent goal-post shifting is tough. And it's hard when the CDC says one thing and the WHO says another and the WH says a third. It can be fatiguing.

People want a simple and direct answer. But what I keep falling back on, is that this is largely an unrealistic expectation. This is a novel virus killing millions of people. It's a hard problem to address and the science is evolving all the time.

I know people want a simple answer. I know they want their freedom. I know they want healthcare services to be available to them with no disruption. I know they don't want to get sick and die from COVID. I know they want the labor market to be more settle and have less burnout.

But we quite simply can't have all of these. We're working out the balance in real time. And the stakes are very very high.

Yep.  It's not goal shifting.  People want easy and simple.  We tried that with "please don't wear masks" in early 2020, when it should have been "save the N95's for hospital workers until we get enough for everyone else, but in the mean time, cover your face."

It SEEMS like the vaccines mean "hey, no  more masks!"  And that is just FINE when you are dealing with alpha.  It's less fine when Delta is 2-3x more contagious than Alpha and Omicron is AGAIN 2x more contagious than delta.  The virus is changing, thus we need to also.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 17, 2021, 01:06:33 PM

That's one of my big complaints about he US response. Rules that aren't enforced aren't really rules (have you seen our drivers?). In Italy police enforce mandates (https://www.latimes.com/world-nation/story/2021-12-06/italy-unvaccinated-new-restrictions). I've seen zero police enforcement of anything pandemic policies in Oregon or Washington. Grocery store enforcement is also very spotty, presumably because they don't get a big ass fine from the OLCC like they do for alcohol sales. Also, the OLCC stings for alcohol sales but not masks.

So, mask rules are like those pesky rules about indicating before changing lanes or not driving 1mph over the speed-limit or not turning into the wrong lane. They are a technicality that does not stop you from doing whatever the fuck you want, because rules that are not enforced are not really rules.

But then we might need actual rules for exempting people who shouldn't be wearing them.

It's interesting you bring up the topic of rules, enforcement and compliance, because I've been thinking a lot about that lately.
We seem to have a large group of people who say they will follow the rules outside their homes, but are resistant to following the guidelines - often because they disagree with their effectiveness or find the recommendation to be a burden.

Then we've got a very loud minority that resist any attempt to make the guidelines into rules, (because freedom...?).

So we are left in a position where rules (often called "mandates") are deeply unpopular and frequently only enacted as a last resort, and instead presented as guidelines, which are widely ignored because they aren't rules, and a pandemic that won't subside for a combination of reactors.

It's the proverbial 'damned if you do, damned if you don't' situation, and we all wind up worse off.

Well, in Oregon we had actual rules to wear a mask outdoors that were lifted last month (https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/11/oregon-lifts-outdoor-mask-mandate.html). But they were ambiguous and entirely unenforced. I would bet that the average Oregonian didn't even know that they existed. I don't know what kind of political theatre that is, but it's bad, and its only going to hurt the Democrats in the midterms. Basically no one supported it. Just to reiterate, it wasn't just unenforced, it was unenforced to the point that no one knew it was a rule.

As to restaurant theatre, I can go to my local bar and saddle up between two strangers and drink for the night, but I better put on my mask to walk to the door.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on December 17, 2021, 01:08:23 PM
Finally, do you propose these mitigation measures to go in perpetuity? We are at 2 years and counting, with a heavy psychological and economical toll. I'm just putting the suggestion out there that we might need different strategies than currently adopted, especially given the adopted strategies appear to have failed.

United States lost 802,000 out of the population of ~335 million. That comes to approximately 1 of 417 Americans dying.
Our friends to the North lost ~30,000 out of the population of 38 million. Or approximately 1 out of 1266 Canadians.

We are doing 3 times worse. Canadians kept each other alive 3 times better with no draconian measures, no loss of freedom, and only marginally worse economic performance. They had no tools that we didn't have. In fact, they were at a disadvantage - we got vaccines and cutting edge treatments well before them, and we had more intensive care units per capita.

How can we look at this and decide that nothing can be done better?

There aren't even any cultural differences to point at - as Canadians we get all our culture from American TV.  :P
Weird, 'cuz I like Canadian TV.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 01:13:40 PM
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get that. Apparent goal-post shifting is tough. And it's hard when the CDC says one thing and the WHO says another and the WH says a third. It can be fatiguing.

People want a simple and direct answer. But what I keep falling back on, is that this is largely an unrealistic expectation. This is a novel virus killing millions of people. It's a hard problem to address and the science is evolving all the time.

I know people want a simple answer. I know they want their freedom. I know they want healthcare services to be available to them with no disruption. I know they don't want to get sick and die from COVID. I know they want the labor market to be more settle and have less burnout.

But we quite simply can't have all of these. We're working out the balance in real time. And the stakes are very very high.

Yep.  It's not goal shifting.  People want easy and simple.  We tried that with "please don't wear masks" in early 2020, when it should have been "save the N95's for hospital workers until we get enough for everyone else, but in the mean time, cover your face."

It SEEMS like the vaccines mean "hey, no  more masks!"  And that is just FINE when you are dealing with alpha.  It's less fine when Delta is 2-3x more contagious than Alpha and Omicron is AGAIN 2x more contagious than delta.  The virus is changing, thus we need to also.

More contagious but not more deadly.  And possibly less so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 01:13:44 PM
a) Agreed. But I'm not willing to put in the kind of enforcement at this point to make them the same. And yes, because freedom.
b) Case loads rising, hospitalizations rising.
c) That's not how it works. All 72,000 would not die. 72,000 would get infected and then 0.5%, at most, would die = 360 people.

It sounds callous to say "let 360 people die so I don't have to walk around wearing a surgical mask", but its the truth that many people would be willing take that risk.

In the US, there have been ~50,000,000 cases. Reduce that by 9% = 4,500,000 * 0.5% = 22,500 fewer deaths over 2 years, if we all started wearing surgical masks on March 1, 2020 (when the CDC lied and advised us not to in order to protect mask supply for healthcare workers) and continued to this day. Assuming 100% use by people in the US.

That also assumes we either 1) never stop wearing them or 2) eventually COVID-19 disappears or becomes a statistically insignificant disease. Both are very unlikely, so there is a chance you simply delay rather than prevent death, which still has value.

a) you are welcome to make the freedom argument
b) as much as in LA w/o mask mandate or less?
c) yes, this is how it works. Assuming constant cases to deaths ration, 9% fewer cases = 9% fewer deaths. 9% deaths is 72,000 people.

Your math is off. US had ~50M cases, which led to ~800K deaths. That's 1.6%, not 0.5%. And then you have the same 72K needlessly dead Americans.

That's not counting second-order effects, btw - like dying in an ER lobby.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 01:15:25 PM

I'm also operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. However, I do not accept that the only reaction to a permanent change is to accept all negative consequences.

…Mask mandates should stay, for all - it's too unreliable to trust the goodwill, and people respond better to simple rules that don't change.

Do I read this to mean you think mask mandates should be here forever?  Because…no.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 01:24:16 PM
Do I read this to mean you think mask mandates should be here forever?  Because…no.

Do I read this to mean that we should keep losing 1,000+ friends and neighbors forever? Because... no.

But that's ok. I'll wait until you move from an "unlikely to be killed by Covid" category to a "likely to be killed by Covid" category, and then ask again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 01:29:09 PM
On a more serious note, I would not throw the word "forever" around. Before I got accused that my screen name has a literal meaning, there are some obvious criteria of success:

- US develops a culture of voluntary mask wearing in appropriate (to be defined) circumstances
- there is a widely available treatment of Covid that doesn't require hospitalization, and drives mortality down to a certain threshold
- the virus mutates and/or our immune system adapts to it to the point that its lethality is comparable to a flu
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 17, 2021, 01:47:08 PM
Pretty much every other possible mitigation effort requires people to abstain from activities that would otherwise bring positive value to their lives, and for what? So that if people happen to be infected without knowing it they'll have less opportunity to pass it along to someone else who—if they do get infected—will probably turn out fine unless they didn't get their vaccine? That's where I start to say I'm not interested in playing along anymore.

...or have a weakened immune system. People receiving an organ transplant, cancer survivors, autoimmune disorders - these things are not rare by any stretch, and these people had enough trouble staying alive even before Covid. Do you want to re-think you answer with this in mind?

Not really. It sucks to have a weakened immune system, no argument there. If you're in that category you definitely need to take precautions regardless of what mitigation strategies I may or may not employ, and I don't envy you for that. If you plan to visit people in that category, additional caution also seems warranted; maybe take a COVID test beforehand or something? As someone with a fine immune system who never (to my knowledge) directly socializes with transplant patients etc., I consider my responsibility to be a bit less than that. I got my vaccine (boosted!). I wear a mask when requested. I consider myself to have done my part there. Again, if everyone did that much and nothing else the situation would be much better.

It's like if you have a food allergy: the onus falls disproportionately on you to avoid exposure. You can't expect to show up to a party and assume that all of the food is free of gluten, nuts, bananas, shellfish, dairy, and everything else that people tend to be allergic to. No, you need to ask about ingredients if you're not sure, maybe bring your own snacks, or if the allergy is that severe maybe you need to avoid parties entirely unless you know all the attendees are committed to doing what's necessary to accommodate you. It's not really fair that you have to do extra work to keep yourself safe from foods you can't eat, but it's also not fair to expect everyone else to abstain from bringing foods that they enjoy to a party just because a small minority might not be able to stomach them.

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So, let me throw it back to you. If COVID will be around forever, what things should we not have anymore because they're just too risky? Should nobody ever eat at a restaurant again? Sing in a choir? Play in an orchestra? Go to a basketball game? Where's your line between acceptable and unacceptable risks given the ever-present virus?

I'm also operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. However, I do not accept that the only reaction to a permanent change is to accept all negative consequences.

There are mitigation measures that can (and should) be taken. Improved ventilation is the most obvious one. Others can require vaccination and/or frequent testing, which orchestras are doing already. Mask mandates should stay, for all - it's too unreliable to trust the goodwill, and people respond better to simple rules that don't change. WFH rules may need to be strengthened, possibly through legislation. Paid sick live is a must - it's a travesty that we didn't have it before, it's 10x worse that we don't have it now. Internet must reach 100% of households.

This is not a very concrete answer to my question. Do you or do you not believe that there are activities that we inherently should not do ever again while COVID exists? Or are even the most risky things (like singing in a choir) okay to return to once they upgrade the HVAC system and everyone is vaccinated?

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In general, I don't have all the answers (and that's an understatement), but I invite you to approach it from the angle of "if there's the will, there's the way". What this topic tells me is that we lost the will, not that there's no way (again, look North).

At the beginning of the pandemic, I was hopeful that we could come together to defeat this thing. We did not. It's not just that we lost the will, it's that we never had it, at least not in sufficient numbers to move the needle. Given that reality, it seems Sisyphean to continue to make sacrifices for the sake of controlling this disease.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 17, 2021, 01:50:02 PM

I'm also operating on the assumption that COVID will be around forever. However, I do not accept that the only reaction to a permanent change is to accept all negative consequences.

…Mask mandates should stay, for all - it's too unreliable to trust the goodwill, and people respond better to simple rules that don't change.

Do I read this to mean you think mask mandates should be here forever?  Because…no.

You guys keep wanking around on masks, and will keep wanking in circles forever because masks both work and lots of statistical evidence at a gross level of them not working.

Now that they are available, why don't we just require N95s? they meet a standard, fit/seal better and are what the medicos use when they are seeing dirty people.  If they did a large scale study, n95s will way outperform masking.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 17, 2021, 01:54:18 PM
Now that they are available, why don't we just require N95s? they meet a standard, fit/seal better and are what the medicos use when they are seeing dirty people.  If they did a large scale study, n95s will way outperform masking.

Because the Republicans aren't going to support a mask mandate and the Democrats aren't going to require poor people to buy N95s.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 17, 2021, 01:55:48 PM
Now that they are available, why don't we just require N95s? they meet a standard, fit/seal better and are what the medicos use when they are seeing dirty people.  If they did a large scale study, n95s will way outperform masking.

Because the Republicans aren't going to support a mask mandate and the Democrats aren't going to require poor people to buy N95s.

oh no, you just brought cost into the equation.  I'm gonna duck and cover now!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: moof on December 17, 2021, 01:58:09 PM
Do I read this to mean you think mask mandates should be here forever?  Because…no.

Do I read this to mean that we should keep losing 1,000+ friends and neighbors forever? Because... no.

But that's ok. I'll wait until you move from an "unlikely to be killed by Covid" category to a "likely to be killed by Covid" category, and then ask again.

We've come to this numb state where through a lot of actions and in-actions we are losing a 9-11's worth of fellow American's every ~2.5 days or so without seemingly feeling much about it.  We went on a badly planned/executed war for 2 decades over 2,996 killed Americans while mostly shrugging off ~1,300 a day average deaths today (mostly preventable).  Intentional dis-information spreaders have helped to cause many times that much death with no real repercussions (or in some cases they have even been lionized for it).  We will have ongoing suffering among a significant minority of the survivors who have permanent damage to lungs, organs, and livelihoods.  It is that backdrop that makes me so angry when people flaunt mask rules, or have large indoor gatherings that largely nullify the on-going efforts and sacrifices of others to keep this tamped down.

We do however find ourselves faced with the conundrum of the need to someday get back to a semi-normal place.  With a significant minority of the population refusing vaccination, and the risk to the <55y.o. vaccinated crowd down to a level commensurate with a bad flu season, maybe we should just go back to normal and let things run their course?  It would be some hellish scenes with hospitals overrun for a few months, with death panels choosing who gets a bed and who gets left to die, but maybe we'd get to the other side sooner.  Horrible choices we are stuck with due to on-going mismanagement (still poor rapid test availability), and rampant selfish behavior.  I've become nihilistic at this point, and feel like I am going through the motions to be responsible, but feeling like it is increasingly pointless.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 17, 2021, 01:58:18 PM
Now that they are available, why don't we just require N95s? they meet a standard, fit/seal better and are what the medicos use when they are seeing dirty people.  If they did a large scale study, n95s will way outperform masking.

Because the Republicans aren't going to support a mask mandate and the Democrats aren't going to require poor people to buy N95s.

oh no, you just brought cost into the equation.  I'm gonna duck and cover now!

I'm just here doing what I always do: attempting to point out the obvious. I guess the other option would be to live in a country with a functional government that could distribute them for free some how.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 17, 2021, 02:05:41 PM
On a more serious note, I would not throw the word "forever" around. Before I got accused that my screen name has a literal meaning, there are some obvious criteria of success:

- US develops a culture of voluntary mask wearing in appropriate (to be defined) circumstances
- there is a widely available treatment of Covid that doesn't require hospitalization, and drives mortality down to a certain threshold
- the virus mutates and/or our immune system adapts to it to the point that its lethality is comparable to a flu

As far as lethality is concerned we're there already, at least for those who are vaccinated. A typical flu season will see several hundred thousand Americans hospitalized for influenza (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/past-seasons.html). 0.1-0.2% of the population hospitalized in the year is pretty typical, and about a tenth of those hospitalized die. Right now in my county we're seeing vaccinated people turn up in the hospital for COVID at a rate of 0.12 per 100,000 population per day (https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/vaccination-outcomes.aspx). Multiply that out by 365 and we get about 0.04% of the vaccinated population in the hospital annually, less than even a light flu season. The death rate (as a fraction of those hospitalized) seems higher for COVID than flu, but the lower COVID hospitalization rate means the overall death rate seems pretty comparable between the two diseases.

Again, this is all for the vaccinated population. The unvaccinated population is still experiencing outcomes at least 10x worse than the flu.

We do however find ourselves faced with the conundrum of the need to someday get back to a semi-normal place.  With a significant minority of the population refusing vaccination, and the risk to the <55y.o. vaccinated crowd down to a level commensurate with a bad flu season, maybe we should just go back to normal and let things run their course?  It would be some hellish scenes with hospitals overrun for a few months, with death panels choosing who gets a bed and who gets left to die, but maybe we'd get to the other side sooner.  Horrible choices we are stuck with due to on-going mismanagement (still poor rapid test availability), and rampant selfish behavior.  I've become nihilistic at this point, and feel like I am going through the motions to be responsible, but feeling like it is increasingly pointless.

This is exactly where I'm at. I don't foresee a future in which we come together to defeat the virus, so we may as well encourage all the antivaxxers to get together in a big orgy or something, cull the less-healthy ones from the gene pool, and get to the other side.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 02:06:11 PM
At the beginning of the pandemic I wore an N95 once. I hated walking around the grocery store trying to suck air through that thing. No thanks. Not wearing one anymore. I wear my little thin cotton double-layer mask and that’s good enough for the theater for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 02:08:18 PM
Do I read this to mean you think mask mandates should be here forever?  Because…no.

Do I read this to mean that we should keep losing 1,000+ friends and neighbors forever? Because... no.

But that's ok. I'll wait until you move from an "unlikely to be killed by Covid" category to a "likely to be killed by Covid" category, and then ask again.

At some point the virus will have infected everyone and there won’t be anyone left for it to burn through. I’m turning 40 early next year, so the odds are good that happens long before I hit the age of “likely to be killed by Covid”.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 17, 2021, 02:17:01 PM
If you don't know anyone who has died of covid, or had serious complications of covid, it's possibly because the risk factors for that are closely related to poverty and race and you don't know enough people in that demographic.

Or they don't hang out with old people.  Every COVID death I am aware of in my extended network was over the age of 80 and/or in an assisted living facility.  Every COVID story I've heard  was basically "it was horrible, you don't want it" and they were fine 3-4 days later with no hospitalization.

So no, I don't want to get COVID, but it is not like there are bodies in the street a la the bubonic plague.

I don't know [well] anyone who has died of Covid, but none of the hospitalizations I know are among very old people (I think the oldest is in his mid50s).

But I do agree that the "I don't know anyone who has had a serious case of Covid, or even Covid at all" in most cases probably have fairly homogeneous social circles.  Geography, age, income/net worth, type of career path (blue collar/factory/white collar/ and even things like healthcare, teaching, etc, within those categories), and even things like physical fitness levels.  If most of your friends live in your town (which has had a relatively low infection rate), and are 25-35 yo marathon runners who have white collar jobs that were WFH for a long while (and maybe still) and who all accept the vaccine science and been fully vaxxed and maybe boosted, then yeah, it's much more possible to have kept Covid outside your bubble than if you know people from all walks of life, around the world, up to age 80.  That's going to make it more difficult to have been untouched.

I have 3 sets of friends (and their families) right now who are infected as I type.  Literally around the world (from London to California).  Thankfully all are vaccinated (though not some of the younger kiddos, and I don't know about boosters) and otherwise fairly young (under 45, some under 35) and healthy.  One is pregnant, which is worrisome, but seems to be fairing well. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 02:59:23 PM
It's not really fair that you have to do extra work to keep yourself safe from foods you can't eat, but it's also not fair to expect everyone else to abstain from bringing foods that they enjoy to a party just because a small minority might not be able to stomach them.

On the contrary, people in my circle fall over backwards to not bring food know to cause a friend grief to a party. I assumed it's like that everywhere.

Quote
This is not a very concrete answer to my question. Do you or do you not believe that there are activities that we inherently should not do ever again while COVID exists? Or are even the most risky things (like singing in a choir) okay to return to once they upgrade the HVAC system and everyone is vaccinated?

You keep trying to get me into a corner with absolutes. But everything is a matter of degrees. I don't know every single activity, and thus I don't know if anything may need to be off the table completely.

But lets take choirs. Best I know, people involved in them
- require vaccination
- improve ventilation
- take frequent tests

This seems like an appropriate level of precautions. I would be comfortable having one next door, or attending one. It would be appropriate for an audience - which doesn't take frequent tests - to wear masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 03:01:51 PM
At some point the virus will have infected everyone and there won’t be anyone left for it to burn through. I’m turning 40 early next year, so the odds are good that happens long before I hit the age of “likely to be killed by Covid”.

Do I understand it right that your attitude is informed by an expectation of never being in "likely to be killed by Covid" category?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 17, 2021, 03:10:21 PM
As far as lethality is concerned we're there already, at least for those who are vaccinated. A typical flu season will see several hundred thousand Americans hospitalized for influenza (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/past-seasons.html). 0.1-0.2% of the population hospitalized in the year is pretty typical, and about a tenth of those hospitalized die. Right now in my county we're seeing vaccinated people turn up in the hospital for COVID at a rate of 0.12 per 100,000 population per day (https://kingcounty.gov/depts/health/covid-19/data/vaccination-outcomes.aspx). Multiply that out by 365 and we get about 0.04% of the vaccinated population in the hospital annually, less than even a light flu season. The death rate (as a fraction of those hospitalized) seems higher for COVID than flu, but the lower COVID hospitalization rate means the overall death rate seems pretty comparable between the two diseases.

Excellent! I did not follow super-closely, but I recall Washington State in general, and Seattle area specifically, doing Covid mitigation better than others. Clearly, you are enjoying the benefits of it.

This is a datapoint that I did not have. Let me think about it, before I respond just to try to prove myself right.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 03:21:52 PM
At some point the virus will have infected everyone and there won’t be anyone left for it to burn through. I’m turning 40 early next year, so the odds are good that happens long before I hit the age of “likely to be killed by Covid”.

Do I understand it right that your attitude is informed by an expectation of never being in "likely to be killed by Covid" category?

 No, you snarkily commented you’d ask me again when I was in an age group likely to be killed by Covid. I snarkily responded that it will be a long time before I get there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 17, 2021, 03:47:54 PM
It's not really fair that you have to do extra work to keep yourself safe from foods you can't eat, but it's also not fair to expect everyone else to abstain from bringing foods that they enjoy to a party just because a small minority might not be able to stomach them.

On the contrary, people in my circle fall over backwards to not bring food know to cause a friend grief to a party. I assumed it's like that everywhere.

Quote
This is not a very concrete answer to my question. Do you or do you not believe that there are activities that we inherently should not do ever again while COVID exists? Or are even the most risky things (like singing in a choir) okay to return to once they upgrade the HVAC system and everyone is vaccinated?

You keep trying to get me into a corner with absolutes. But everything is a matter of degrees. I don't know every single activity, and thus I don't know if anything may need to be off the table completely.

But lets take choirs. Best I know, people involved in them
- require vaccination
- improve ventilation
- take frequent tests

This seems like an appropriate level of precautions. I would be comfortable having one next door, or attending one. It would be appropriate for an audience - which doesn't take frequent tests - to wear masks.

My choir director couldn’t legally require vaccines, but he could and did require masks at all rehearsals and last weekend’s concert, set a cap on the number of singers to make sure that we didn’t overtax the building’s ventilation and could be spaced safely, shooed us all out of the room for a long break during each rehearsal to clear out the air, and was more lenient than usual with the absence policy. Our last concert before COVID was on Feb. 29, 2020, 2 weeks before the schools shut down statewide and 3 weeks before the hospitals started getting overwhelmed. I’m still astounded that we didn’t seed a superspreader event at that concert.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jfer_rose on December 17, 2021, 04:14:08 PM
https://www.webmd.com/lung/news/20210907/masks-limit-covid-spread-study

I was mistaken, it was 9% less, not 5%.

Quote
Compared to villages that didn't mask, those where masks of any type were worn had about 9% fewer symptomatic cases of COVID-19. The finding was statistically significant and was unlikely to have occurred by chance alone.

This is not a very accurate takeaway from the Bangladesh mask study. If you read the actual study, you see that there were a series of interventions with various reductions in COVID  (from 9-35% reductions). Which you're right, that doesn't sound very impressive taken alone. However, in the villages they worked with, they were not able to change the needle that much with regards to mask wearing. The best mask-wearing rate they achieved was 42%. So to me, that is actually really impressive reduction when you consider that the majority of people were still unmasked. In my politically blue city, significantly more than 42% of people wear masks in public at the moment.

Many overviews of research studies are very misleading-- it is difficult to convey all the nuance.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 17, 2021, 04:18:39 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 17, 2021, 04:28:09 PM
It's not really fair that you have to do extra work to keep yourself safe from foods you can't eat, but it's also not fair to expect everyone else to abstain from bringing foods that they enjoy to a party just because a small minority might not be able to stomach them.

On the contrary, people in my circle fall over backwards to not bring food know to cause a friend grief to a party. I assumed it's like that everywhere.

Sure, if I have a close friend with an allergy and I know they'll be attending the party I'll do what I can to accommodate their needs. That's common courtesy. If I'm going to a party where I don't know everyone, and one of those people has a severe peanut allergy, but that wasn't communicated to me in advance, I can't be expected not to bake a batch of peanut butter cookies. At the end of the day it's the responsibility of the person with the allergy to look out for themselves and communicate their needs to others, not my responsibility to avoid ever bringing foods containing any allergens anywhere on the off chance I'll encounter someone who can't handle it.

I feel COVID is similar in this way. If you have a compromised immune system you need to look out for yourself and make sure the people who visit you are taking appropriate precautions. This was true before COVID and is still true today. Expecting us all to act as though we're about to visit a cancer patient is a bridge too far in my opinion.

Quote
Quote
This is not a very concrete answer to my question. Do you or do you not believe that there are activities that we inherently should not do ever again while COVID exists? Or are even the most risky things (like singing in a choir) okay to return to once they upgrade the HVAC system and everyone is vaccinated?

You keep trying to get me into a corner with absolutes. But everything is a matter of degrees. I don't know every single activity, and thus I don't know if anything may need to be off the table completely.

But lets take choirs. Best I know, people involved in them
- require vaccination
- improve ventilation
- take frequent tests

This seems like an appropriate level of precautions. I would be comfortable having one next door, or attending one. It would be appropriate for an audience - which doesn't take frequent tests - to wear masks.

I'm not trying to "back you into a corner," just trying to better understand your position. I keep saying that I think vaccinated people should be able to generally go through life as before without precautions other than perhaps masking if they have respiratory symptoms, and you keep pushing back on this. So what specifically more do you expect from people, and for how long? This choir example is helpful, thanks. I think we'll have to agree to disagree about the long-term necessity of requiring vaccinated people to get frequent lab tests as a condition of participating in group ensembles, team sports, and the like. That's just not something I can see people putting up with forever.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 04:53:05 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 17, 2021, 05:13:23 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Are you even wearing your mask correctly?  And wearing a correct mask?

Lots of medical people wears masks every day all day.  Is it so hard for us for shorter less frequent periods of time?  Of course here we are all observing the mask mandate, so that is a different perspective than if 10% of people are wearing them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seemsright on December 17, 2021, 05:49:20 PM
In OR today we have 3 weeks until the hospitals are over ran, the virus is everywhere. Doomsday...Doomsday.

Now our Gov has not done a speech in over 70 days before today. The Dr who did the modeling for the new virus strain has not been right this whole time. I figure this noise will stop when we get a new Gov. Because Oregon is going to play this game forever.

We will never be free of masks, and have general freedoms back.

And she removed the outdoor masks requirements right before the big Civil War football game. So inside masks wont go away till something important comes that has a national stage.

It just does not make since. I dont need a mask to sit down at a restaurant, but I need one to walk to the table and leave.

The masks are just theater. I need one to buy groceries but I dont need one if I am drinking a beer at the bar....the logic is lost on me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 17, 2021, 05:50:36 PM

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Can you explain why masks are such a key issue for you?
As someone who’s had to wear masks for much of my work I have a hard time understanding why some people object to it so strongly

Is the mandate part? 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 06:03:08 PM

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Can you explain why masks are such a key issue for you?
As someone who’s had to wear masks for much of my work I have a hard time understanding why some people object to it so strongly

Is the mandate part?

It's the mandate part.  I should not have to pretend that I am sick for the rest of my life wearing a mask while in public places in the offchance I am asymptomatic a virus that we an effective vaccine for.  It just does not make sense anymore... it did for a short time, but no longer.  I'm all for wearing a mask, staying home from work when you are actually sick... that would be a great thing to come out of this.  But telling everyone to wear a mask from here on out regardless of if it's actually useful is dumb and the mandates have got to go.  Especially as pointed out above, restaurants and airplanes are proof that we really don't care as much as some people seem to think we do.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on December 17, 2021, 06:24:09 PM
Just to push back on the many references to airplanes in this thread: the ventilation in airplanes goes above and beyond any other “indoor” space you enter in regular life. Taking your mask off to eat or drink on a plane is more comparable to outdoor dining than indoor dining.

(Yes, I agree that putting a mask on to walk to your table at a restaurant is pretty stupid, but at minimum it can be considered to a courtesy to the restaurant host, who is being exposed to countless strangers in any given shift of work.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 06:57:57 PM

(Yes, I agree that putting a mask on to walk to your table at a restaurant is pretty stupid, but at minimum it can be considered to a courtesy to the restaurant host, who is being exposed to countless strangers in any given shift of work.)

But if we’re going to yell “trust the science!” we need to trust that science says the risk is sustained contact for ~15 minutes. Not brief incidental contact like one has with a restaurant host.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 07:05:01 PM

(Yes, I agree that putting a mask on to walk to your table at a restaurant is pretty stupid, but at minimum it can be considered to a courtesy to the restaurant host, who is being exposed to countless strangers in any given shift of work.)

But if we’re going to yell “trust the science!” we need to trust that science says the risk is sustained contact for ~15 minutes. Not brief incidental contact like one has with a restaurant host.

I'm not in contact with anyone at the grocery store for more than 15 minutes.... why am I wearing a mask there?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 17, 2021, 08:09:44 PM

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Can you explain why masks are such a key issue for you?
As someone who’s had to wear masks for much of my work I have a hard time understanding why some people object to it so strongly

Is the mandate part?

Wearing a mask semi-regularly has been causing a pretty significant flare up of my cystic acne.  I fucking hate wearing them primarily for this reason.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 17, 2021, 08:26:56 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Why? Masks are so not a big deal, and seem like common courtesy. Other people don’t need your germs.

Really, it seems like people can go back to any version of normal that they want - you can travel and go to the movies and restaurants and parties and concerts if you want to. Why not wear a mask in the grocery store in case someone there *is* elderly or immunocompromised or just unlucky.

I think that some people have never worn anything slightly uncomfortable before.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on December 17, 2021, 08:57:26 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Why? Masks are so not a big deal, and seem like common courtesy. Other people don’t need your germs.

Really, it seems like people can go back to any version of normal that they want - you can travel and go to the movies and restaurants and parties and concerts if you want to. Why not wear a mask in the grocery store in case someone there *is* elderly or immunocompromised or just unlucky.

I think that some people have never worn anything slightly uncomfortable before.

Will it ever end? Here in New Mexico we've had a mask mandate almost continuously for the whole pandemic. At what point will enough people be vaccinated or acquire natural immunity that we can stop the charade? Wear a mask into a restaurant and then leave it off for an hour while you eat your meal. Then put it back on for 20 seconds to walk outside. Or have two people sitting in an office with masks on for an hour talking to each other. 3 feet apart, 6 feet apart, it doesn't make a difference. It's bullshit and we all know it.

Life is back to normal for me. I'm glad that I work for myself now so I don't have to worry about all this BS.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 17, 2021, 09:01:41 PM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Why? Masks are so not a big deal, and seem like common courtesy. Other people don’t need your germs.

Really, it seems like people can go back to any version of normal that they want - you can travel and go to the movies and restaurants and parties and concerts if you want to. Why not wear a mask in the grocery store in case someone there *is* elderly or immunocompromised or just unlucky.

I think that some people have never worn anything slightly uncomfortable before.

By all means.  Wear a mask for the rest of your life.  From 2020 and into the future, it will not seem out of the ordinary.  Mask mandates in indoor public spaces though... they will go away with time.  I just wish it would happen sooner.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 17, 2021, 10:07:32 PM
I agree with you. If you're making the decision to uncover your face to eat in a restaurant, there's little point in masking between the door and your table.

I agree. It's dumb, and it's one of the counterproductive, 100% performative things.

Whoa, this is actually something I disagree with based on my understanding of how contracting the disease actually works. Any amount of time you have a mask on (purportedly) reduces the amount of virus that can accumulate in your upper respiratory system and to the degree you can keep it 10, or 1000 or 10000 less particles that can accumulate because you wore your mask for a few minutes more here and there in a condensed period of time, then you might have actually made the difference in where enough have accumulated to actually cause you to get the disease and possibly spread to others no?

I am not being performative when I do this, I really am under the impression it's possible I'm preventing a critical mass from accumulating. Every hour counts! For instance, a 6 how business meeting in masks but 1 hour not wearing masks, as mentioned above???  Even if you were exposed you've prevented potentially a lot of accumulation by wearing a mask for over 80% of the time!

I'd really like to know the answer to this because I have to spend almost 12 hours masked (counting public transit time on both sides, airport and airplane time) to visit family next week and there's no way I'll be able to keep my mask on 100 percent of that time without ever taking a drink or having a little nourishment. And you're telling me if I remove my mask to drink some water and eat some food in that 12 hours I've just wasted my other 11.5 or more hours of being masked (and I'm just being performative?)? That does not sound right to me, but I do honestly welcome a correction if it's demonstrable that I am wrong.

 I plan to minimize the time I'm without mask since I'll be seeing my elderly FIL and an unvaccinated 3 year old niece, but if I'm wrong, I may as well keep the mask off longer than it takes to shovel a little food and water down my gullet since I can increase my own comfort without changing my COVID risk.

ETA: Just for clarity's sake ...I realize I only quoted posts that refer specifically to restaurants, but my post is largely in response to the discussion in these posts and the others above that also discussed performative masking in other and broader contexts. I'm on my phone and more detailed quoting is being me ATM
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 17, 2021, 10:27:33 PM
Being unmasked for short periods of time in the general public is not the same thing.

My point was if I was in a room for 6 straight hours with a group of people, and 5 of those were spent masked, that is undone because in the 6th full hour unmasked we have plenty of chance to infect each other with whatever we may be carrying.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 18, 2021, 05:37:06 AM
I've been reading this thread for awhile and I suddenly had a whole viewpoint shift it.

Life never goes "back to normal"  It keeps changing.  Another "back to normal" could be lots of drunk driving, I remember those days.  There may be people who miss them.  I don't.  Oh, and shall we go "back to normal" where the normal was scarlet fever (rheumatic fever) that caused life-long heart damage?  Where measles caused life-long complications?  Where Rubella meant the possibility of a child with birth defects (Agatha Christie wrote a murder mystery based on this, it was a real issue).

I'd like new normals.  Normals where people who are sick can stay home from work without pressure instead of being forced germ vectors.  Normals where people working hourly jobs don't get dinged for taking time for health care (like getting vaccinated for something).  Normals where people respect social norms and boundaries instead of complaining about them. 

And let's also remember that for a lot of people on this globe, life will never "go back to normal" because they died, or someone close to them died, or they or someone close to them has long term health consequences. I've heard horror stories from social workers here in Ontario of families devastated by Covid.   The Spanish Flu caused long term consequences for my family, things did not and could not go "back to normal" for them. 


"Back to normal" is a pipe dream.

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Why? Masks are so not a big deal, and seem like common courtesy. Other people don’t need your germs.

Really, it seems like people can go back to any version of normal that they want - you can travel and go to the movies and restaurants and parties and concerts if you want to. Why not wear a mask in the grocery store in case someone there *is* elderly or immunocompromised or just unlucky.

I think that some people have never worn anything slightly uncomfortable before.

Will it ever end? Here in New Mexico we've had a mask mandate almost continuously for the whole pandemic. At what point will enough people be vaccinated or acquire natural immunity that we can stop the charade? Wear a mask into a restaurant and then leave it off for an hour while you eat your meal. Then put it back on for 20 seconds to walk outside. Or have two people sitting in an office with masks on for an hour talking to each other. 3 feet apart, 6 feet apart, it doesn't make a difference. It's bullshit and we all know it.

Life is back to normal for me. I'm glad that I work for myself now so I don't have to worry about all this BS.

If you want to eat in a restaurant, you can do that. How is that not back to normal? I agree that masks in restaurants don’t make much sense, because taking them off to eat ruins any protection they provide. I wouldn’t eat in a restaurant now if you paid me, but it’s not something I personally value.

But I remain curious about why people find them so objectionable. I barely noice that I have one on. In fact, now that it’s cold I wear one to walk outside because it’s more comfortable than breathing cold air.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 18, 2021, 06:23:00 AM
I agree with you. If you're making the decision to uncover your face to eat in a restaurant, there's little point in masking between the door and your table.

I agree. It's dumb, and it's one of the counterproductive, 100% performative things.

Whoa, this is actually something I disagree with based on my understanding of how contracting the disease actually works. Any amount of time you have a mask on (purportedly) reduces the amount of virus that can accumulate in your upper respiratory system and to the degree you can keep it 10, or 1000 or 10000 less particles that can accumulate because you wore your mask for a few minutes more here and there in a condensed period of time, then you might have actually made the difference in where enough have accumulated to actually cause you to get the disease and possibly spread to others no?

I am not being performative when I do this, I really am under the impression it's possible I'm preventing a critical mass from accumulating. Every hour counts! For instance, a 6 how business meeting in masks but 1 hour not wearing masks, as mentioned above???  Even if you were exposed you've prevented potentially a lot of accumulation by wearing a mask for over 80% of the time!

I'd really like to know the answer to this because I have to spend almost 12 hours masked (counting public transit time on both sides, airport and airplane time) to visit family next week and there's no way I'll be able to keep my mask on 100 percent of that time without ever taking a drink or having a little nourishment. And you're telling me if I remove my mask to drink some water and eat some food in that 12 hours I've just wasted my other 11.5 or more hours of being masked (and I'm just being performative?)? That does not sound right to me, but I do honestly welcome a correction if it's demonstrable that I am wrong.

 I plan to minimize the time I'm without mask since I'll be seeing my elderly FIL and an unvaccinated 3 year old niece, but if I'm wrong, I may as well keep the mask off longer than it takes to shovel a little food and water down my gullet since I can increase my own comfort without changing my COVID risk.

ETA: Just for clarity's sake ...I realize I only quoted posts that refer specifically to restaurants, but my post is largely in response to the discussion in these posts and the others above that also discussed performative masking in other and broader contexts. I'm on my phone and more detailed quoting is being me ATM

If you'd bothered to quote the rest of my post, I explained that I considered restaurants to be an exception because those places are optional (unlike grocery stores, medical clinics, schools, etc).

If you're eating in a restaurant, you've made the choice to have your face uncovered for at least the time when you're eating. Researchers have already studied previous restaurant-associated viral outbreaks to demonstrate that table-to-table transmission can occur and is largely a function of 1) the amount of virus shed by a sick diner and 2) the airflow pattern in the restaurant. Neither of those are controllable by the average diner; it's the risk they take. COVID is highly contagious and can be transmitted very quickly, even through casual contact. Those who dine in restaurants are accepting that risk of exposure.

Regarding plane travel: there's a reason why I refuse to travel by plane unless absolutely necessary. Once you've arrived at your destination, I strongly recommend masking around anyone immunocompromised until you receive a negative test result.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OurTown on December 18, 2021, 07:05:38 AM
As far as mandates from federal, state, and or local governments are concerned, I would say vax yes masks no.  With respect to personal behavior we are at 2 shots and will get the 3rd at or around 6 months.  We wear masks when required or requested. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 18, 2021, 07:37:17 AM
With flying the risk depends on where you are relative to the air input.

If I needed to fly, the airport itself would worry me more than the airplane.  Especially lining up for the security check. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 18, 2021, 08:10:10 AM
Covid infections in the UK are currently doubling every two days.   It looks as though delta variant numbers are stable and mostly infecting people who are unvaccinated or not previously infected, omicron variant numbers are rising steeply and thought to be infecting the vaccinated and previously infected that delta cannot reach.

There still isn't firm data on the percentage of serious illness caused by omicron.  It might be lower or might not, and if it is lower that might be because the people who are catching it tend to already have some immunity.   The problem at a population level is that the number of infections is so high that even a lower percentage of people needing hospital care or dying would mean the same number or greater of people needing hospital care or dying.  (And of course, if you are unlucky enough to be one of the people needing that care it's no consolation that you were less likely to be unlucky.)

One of the messaging issues I think is of concern is the use of "milder" in relation to variants.   Any variant so far is able to kill people, so in an individual sense is not necessarily a "mild" disease.   It's only "milder" at a population level in that it seriously affects fewer people. Using "milder" to describe this population level change is misleading in relation to any one individual, who  if they catch the disease is still at risk (a lower risk, but still a risk) of getting a case which is in no way "mild".    There has also been research that of those hospitalised with covid two-thirds are still suffering the effects of covid a year later, and the overall risk of dying in that year is much higher than for equivalent non-covid patients.

I started out wearing a cloth mask, I've graduated to an FFP3.  I didn't like wearing the cloth masks to start but got used to them, same again with the FFP3.   I've come to regard it as just something I do, like putting on a seatbelt in the car (or on a plane, in the days when I was still flying).  It's the new normal for me and not a problem: it's good for me and good for my community.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 18, 2021, 08:33:05 AM
Quick question regarding hospitals being overwhelmed.

Who/what determines the order of triage when there aren't enough beds for everyone?  And can it be changed with legislation?

I think any social bandaid yanking needs to be coupled with a very clear policy that the voluntarily unvaccinated are at the back of the line for care.  Like, waiting in the parking lot until there's a bed and the docs and nurses have finished a nice long coffee break back of the line.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 18, 2021, 08:40:41 AM
Quick question regarding hospitals being overwhelmed.

Who/what determines the order of triage when there aren't enough beds for everyone?  And can it be changed with legislation?

I think any social bandaid yanking needs to be coupled with a very clear policy that the voluntarily unvaccinated are at the back of the line for care.  Like, waiting in the parking lot until there's a bed and the docs and nurses have finished a nice long coffee break back of the line.
Death panels!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on December 18, 2021, 09:17:48 AM
I agree with you. If you're making the decision to uncover your face to eat in a restaurant, there's little point in masking between the door and your table.

I agree. It's dumb, and it's one of the counterproductive, 100% performative things.

Whoa, this is actually something I disagree with based on my understanding of how contracting the disease actually works. Any amount of time you have a mask on (purportedly) reduces the amount of virus that can accumulate in your upper respiratory system and to the degree you can keep it 10, or 1000 or 10000 less particles that can accumulate because you wore your mask for a few minutes more here and there in a condensed period of time, then you might have actually made the difference in where enough have accumulated to actually cause you to get the disease and possibly spread to others no?

I am not being performative when I do this, I really am under the impression it's possible I'm preventing a critical mass from accumulating. Every hour counts! For instance, a 6 how business meeting in masks but 1 hour not wearing masks, as mentioned above???  Even if you were exposed you've prevented potentially a lot of accumulation by wearing a mask for over 80% of the time!

I'd really like to know the answer to this because I have to spend almost 12 hours masked (counting public transit time on both sides, airport and airplane time) to visit family next week and there's no way I'll be able to keep my mask on 100 percent of that time without ever taking a drink or having a little nourishment. And you're telling me if I remove my mask to drink some water and eat some food in that 12 hours I've just wasted my other 11.5 or more hours of being masked (and I'm just being performative?)? That does not sound right to me, but I do honestly welcome a correction if it's demonstrable that I am wrong.

 I plan to minimize the time I'm without mask since I'll be seeing my elderly FIL and an unvaccinated 3 year old niece, but if I'm wrong, I may as well keep the mask off longer than it takes to shovel a little food and water down my gullet since I can increase my own comfort without changing my COVID risk.

ETA: Just for clarity's sake ...I realize I only quoted posts that refer specifically to restaurants, but my post is largely in response to the discussion in these posts and the others above that also discussed performative masking in other and broader contexts. I'm on my phone and more detailed quoting is being me ATM

If you'd bothered to quote the rest of my post, I explained that I considered restaurants to be an exception because those places are optional (unlike grocery stores, medical clinics, schools, etc).

If you're eating in a restaurant, you've made the choice to have your face uncovered for at least the time when you're eating. Researchers have already studied previous restaurant-associated viral outbreaks to demonstrate that table-to-table transmission can occur and is largely a function of 1) the amount of virus shed by a sick diner and 2) the airflow pattern in the restaurant. Neither of those are controllable by the average diner; it's the risk they take. COVID is highly contagious and can be transmitted very quickly, even through casual contact. Those who dine in restaurants are accepting that risk of exposure.

Regarding plane travel: there's a reason why I refuse to travel by plane unless absolutely necessary. Once you've arrived at your destination, I strongly recommend masking around anyone immunocompromised until you receive a negative test result.

So I think I'm correct and I really disagree with the use of the word performative. Anyone may think that it is irresponsible to eat in a restaurant or travel by plane or not, and fine because those are all opinions.

But it should be a fact that if wearing a mask actually does block the accumulation of the virus, then every additional minute one wears it, they *may* be blocking that critical mass of virus accumulation. Because that depends on many factors (density of people, whether or not there are sick people, time spent, air flow at that location) one can never know if they are making a difference by keeping a mask on for an additional minute or two, but the fact that doing so *could* make all the difference as a factual matter pretty much is the opposite of performative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 18, 2021, 09:33:48 AM
Quick question regarding hospitals being overwhelmed.

Who/what determines the order of triage when there aren't enough beds for everyone?  And can it be changed with legislation?


Every major hospital and health care center have medical triage protocols in place. Typically these are approved by the hospitals board or directors, and often with consultation with people who specialize in medical ethics as well as lawyers who specialize in medical law.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dee18 on December 18, 2021, 12:02:17 PM
There's an interesting discussion of triage during the pandemic here:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2021/09/22/crisis-standards-of-care/

To my personal dismay, some hospitals' plans have a clear preference for treating younger patients when there are scarce resources. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 18, 2021, 01:57:50 PM
Quick question regarding hospitals being overwhelmed.

Who/what determines the order of triage when there aren't enough beds for everyone?  And can it be changed with legislation?

I think any social bandaid yanking needs to be coupled with a very clear policy that the voluntarily unvaccinated are at the back of the line for care.  Like, waiting in the parking lot until there's a bed and the docs and nurses have finished a nice long coffee break back of the line.
Death panels!

Oh.  So . . . thanks Obama?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on December 19, 2021, 04:58:11 AM
I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for.  There are at least three quite separate reasons to take precautions and if people confuse why they are being asked to do things they will be less willing to comply.

The most obvious reason is to protect yourself, but it's also the weakest one if you re young and healthy as the odds are that any one individual in the category is unlikely to be seriously ill, especially if they have been vaccinated.

The second reason is to protect other people - which is a very noble idea, but begs the question of for how long and at what cost?  There has to be a point at which society needs to say this cost is too high and the onus must fall on the vulnerable to shield themselves.  I don't know where that point is - but hopefully we can establish some consensus on that over time.

The third reason is to prevent the healthcare system from being overwhelmed.  If Covid is going to be endemic in the future, then clearly we may need to expand the capacity of the healthcare system to cope but the more immediate question is what temporary measures do we need to take to flatten the curve enough for the system to cope. In this context it should be much more obvious that even flawed measures like masking can make perfect sense.  Even if a measure only gave a 1% decrease in risk, that 1% could easily be the difference on whether the hospitals cope or not. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 19, 2021, 08:51:38 AM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on December 19, 2021, 10:14:01 AM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 10:16:43 AM

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

You know, as your next-door neighbor this is scary.  When this is how your politicians think, it doesn't bode well for how you treat other countries, and how well you adhere to treaties.   Hey everyone, my next door country is a narcissistic sociopath!

Sorry*, but you said it.


*Of course I said I'm sorry, I'm Canadian and I mean it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 19, 2021, 10:46:32 AM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on December 19, 2021, 12:20:45 PM
Well if we had a new normal it sounds like we rapidly will be accepting a "new new normal"

Everything about O sounds like its just contagious as hell. I was reading everyone is going to end up being in contact with it at some point. Not much we can do about that. Hopefully the vaccines hold this thing back pretty well.

I just hope business are able to stay open and kids can stay in school. It would be a shame to shut those things down again. The international effect of this is also going to be pretty terrible.



Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 19, 2021, 01:19:35 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?

It used to be that the expert was an expert in a certain subject matter, but elected officials’ jobs were to take the experts’ advice and then balance that with all other factors to make decisions. Not to just cede all control to them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 01:26:39 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?

It used to be that the expert was an expert in a certain subject matter, but elected officials’ jobs were to take the experts’ advice and then balance that with all other factors to make decisions. Not to just cede all control to them.
 

What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on December 19, 2021, 02:09:10 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business. 
Sorry, but Australia IS NOT a quasi-dictatorship. Last I saw, we were a FULL DEMOCRACY rather than a FLAWED DEMOCRACY or a HYBRID REGIME or and AUTHORITARIAN regime. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index for the democracy index. Part of the requirement of a full democracy, in my opinion is valuing your fellow citizens. Democracies vote for their government, and the ones whose candidates don't for government accept that this has happened and accept the laws that the government passes, no matter whether they disagree. Their candidates may argue in parliament about proposed laws, and compromises may be made. The next time, their candidates may form government, and change the laws. Obviously, some people in this forum who live in FLAWED DEMOCRACIES are not familiar with the need to value your fellow citizens.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 19, 2021, 02:29:05 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?

It used to be that the expert was an expert in a certain subject matter, but elected officials’ jobs were to take the experts’ advice and then balance that with all other factors to make decisions. Not to just cede all control to them.
 

What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.

But the weighting of competing interests from experts will always have a moral component. How many people in Madagascar are you willing to let starve to death due to climate change in exchange for a more gradual ramp up in carbon taxes? How much are you willing to let consumer goods inflate in price to save another human on the planet be they Canadian of Malagasy? The answer to that question is not purely technical in nature. It is not even purely moral in nature because politicians function in the realm of realpolitik. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 19, 2021, 02:33:26 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?

It used to be that the expert was an expert in a certain subject matter, but elected officials’ jobs were to take the experts’ advice and then balance that with all other factors to make decisions. Not to just cede all control to them.
 

What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.

It certainly does seem that business interests outweigh everything else. That, and in my state at least, officials who attempt to make decisions in the interest of public health tend to get death threats.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 02:39:53 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business.

If everyone's opinion is equal, what's the point in becoming an expert in anything, or encouraging others to become experts? Why bother?

It used to be that the expert was an expert in a certain subject matter, but elected officials’ jobs were to take the experts’ advice and then balance that with all other factors to make decisions. Not to just cede all control to them.
 

What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.

But the weighting of competing interests from experts will always have a moral component. How many people in Madagascar are you willing to let starve to death due to climate change in exchange for a more gradual ramp up in carbon taxes? How much are you willing to let consumer goods inflate in price to save another human on the planet be they Canadian of Madagascan? The answer to that question is not purely technical in nature. It is not even purely moral in nature because politicians function in the realm of realpolitik.

Of course it will have a moral component.    But weren't we talking about Covid?  Where the discussion only concerns people who are living in those politicians' jurisdictions?  What I do has no effect on someone living in Madagascar (or only very indirectly).  What I do directly affects how busy/overwhelmed medical care is, how well my fellow citizens do, how fast each variant spreads.  What my mayor and premier do directly affects everyone in my city and province.  And there has been quite a bit of support for businesses and people whose jobs have been affected, they haven't been forgotten.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 19, 2021, 02:44:54 PM
What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.

But the weighting of competing interests from experts will always have a moral component. How many people in Madagascar are you willing to let starve to death due to climate change in exchange for a more gradual ramp up in carbon taxes? How much are you willing to let consumer goods inflate in price to save another human on the planet be they Canadian of Madagascan? The answer to that question is not purely technical in nature. It is not even purely moral in nature because politicians function in the realm of realpolitik.

Of course it will have a moral component.    But weren't we talking about Covid?  Where the discussion only concerns people who are living in those politicians' jurisdictions?  What I do has no effect on someone living in Madagascar (or only very indirectly).  What I do directly affects how busy/overwhelmed medical care is, how well my fellow citizens do, how fast each variant spreads.  What my mayor and premier do directly affects everyone in my city and province.  And there has been quite a bit of support for businesses and people whose jobs have been affected, they haven't been forgotten.

Maybe, I thought we were talking about politicians having to weigh expert advice. But since we are only talking about COVID, did the WHO say to keep your border open and then Canada locked it down tight? What was that about? I can't think that that the business experts thought that it was a good idea. Was that just pure political theater?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 03:01:22 PM
What I see in too many politicians (take my Premier - please) is that business interests far outweigh the advice from other expert sources.  Not a lot of balancing of various factors there.

But the weighting of competing interests from experts will always have a moral component. How many people in Madagascar are you willing to let starve to death due to climate change in exchange for a more gradual ramp up in carbon taxes? How much are you willing to let consumer goods inflate in price to save another human on the planet be they Canadian of Madagascan? The answer to that question is not purely technical in nature. It is not even purely moral in nature because politicians function in the realm of realpolitik.

Of course it will have a moral component.    But weren't we talking about Covid?  Where the discussion only concerns people who are living in those politicians' jurisdictions?  What I do has no effect on someone living in Madagascar (or only very indirectly).  What I do directly affects how busy/overwhelmed medical care is, how well my fellow citizens do, how fast each variant spreads.  What my mayor and premier do directly affects everyone in my city and province.  And there has been quite a bit of support for businesses and people whose jobs have been affected, they haven't been forgotten.

Maybe, I thought we were talking about politicians having to weigh expert advice. But since we are only talking about COVID, did the WHO say to keep your border open and then Canada locked it down tight? What was that about? I can't think that that the business experts thought that it was a good idea. Was that just pure political theater?

The WHO does not have jurisdiction over us, it gives advice.  And we thought they were being too lax.

And, well, I hate to be the one to tell you this, but given the relative rates of infection in the US and Canada at the time (and hell, now as well), most of us were delighted to see the borders shut down.  And since so many Americans seem to take pleasure in evading controls by having false vaccination certificates, I hope they scrutinize each and every one to make sure their vaccination paperwork is valid.  Because we know we will get all the strains anyway, the point is to slow them down.  And tourists get around.

BTW, we opened out borders to the US before the US opened their borders to us.  Governors of Northern States have been upset for ages because people could fly across the border but not drive across the border.  So lots of political business decisions there as well, I am sure. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 03:10:27 PM
@nereo Good to know.  Seems like we might need to update the triage protocols for voluntarily assumed and anti-social risk, in the same way that the alcoholic should be at the back of the line for a liver transplant.

I'd hope (foolishly of course) that we could take some of the heat out of this debate if we could all be a lot clearer on what anti-covid measures were actually for. 

I don't think the United States agrees in the slightest whether there is any mutual obligation to one another at all.

If there is obligation, we disagree about its extent.

If we were to agree on the extent, we disagree about whether the government should enforce it. 

And if the government should enforce it, whether that enforcement should be state or federal.

Our current reality would be much different if we agreed that (1) we have basic mutual obligations, (2) expert knowledge is an accepted way of articulating the best way to implement those obligations, and (3) the federal government should use the force of law to require the behaviors that experts think best respects our mutual obligations.

But we agree on none of those points, and so we just keep muddling through.

Yes, I adamantly disagree on this point. American is a representative republic, not a technocracy. Experts are just as human as the rest of us and have their biases and agendas. Fauci lied repeatedly about funding the research that almost certainly led to the release of this pandemic into the world. Why should he get to decide how we get to live our lives? I'm thankful to not live in a dictatorship like China, or a quasi-dictatorship like Australia, where the federal government can restrict my movements, or right to free speech, or arbitrarily shut down my business. 
Sorry, but Australia IS NOT a quasi-dictatorship. Last I saw, we were a FULL DEMOCRACY rather than a FLAWED DEMOCRACY or a HYBRID REGIME or and AUTHORITARIAN regime. See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_Index for the democracy index. Part of the requirement of a full democracy, in my opinion is valuing your fellow citizens. Democracies vote for their government, and the ones whose candidates don't for government accept that this has happened and accept the laws that the government passes, no matter whether they disagree. Their candidates may argue in parliament about proposed laws, and compromises may be made. The next time, their candidates may form government, and change the laws. Obviously, some people in this forum who live in FLAWED DEMOCRACIES are not familiar with the need to value your fellow citizens.

Michael in ABQ, are you drinking the cool-aid?  You know (or should) that there are major flaws in the way your government is elected.  Gerrymandering, restriction of voting rights, to name the 2 most obvious.  And you register your party affiliation where anyone can see it! What happened to the privacy of the polling booth?
 
Versus Australia, where voting is mandatory.  Versus Canada, where it isn't but it is easy to register and easy to vote and voter turnout is a lot better than yours.  And for both of us, riding boundaries are done by a 3rd party organization, and our elections are run by third party organizations who do their utmost to make sure everyone who wants to vote can vote.

Let's not turn this into a general political discussion, there is enough to discuss with how various people and areas are dealing with the present reality (hi omicron, big spreader).  But do realise that if you sling mud it will come right back at you.

BTW  I spent a whole day wandering around the legislative building in Canberra.  They took their founding principles seriously. 



Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 19, 2021, 03:22:08 PM
The WHO does not have jurisdiction over us, it gives advice.  And we thought they were being too lax.

And, well, I hate to be the one to tell you this, but given the relative rates of infection in the US and Canada at the time (and hell, now as well), most of us were delighted to see the borders shut down.  And since so many Americans seem to take pleasure in evading controls by having false vaccination certificates, I hope they scrutinize each and every one to make sure their vaccination paperwork is valid.  Because we know we will get all the strains anyway, the point is to slow them down.  And tourists get around.

BTW, we opened out borders to the US before the US opened their borders to us.  Governors of Northern States have been upset for ages because people could fly across the border but not drive across the border.  So lots of political business decisions there as well, I am sure.

Indeed, elected officials weighted expert advice from multiple sources while also taking into account the will of the people. Because ultimately in a democracy (even a representative one) the only thing that matters is the people that vote for you. "Democracy is the worst form of government – except for all the others that have been tried." - Winston Churchill

BTW, to the best of my knowledge the UK kept its borders open with both of us for the entire pandemic but Canada did not reciprocate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 19, 2021, 03:43:38 PM
The WHO does not have jurisdiction over us, it gives advice.  And we thought they were being too lax.

And, well, I hate to be the one to tell you this, but given the relative rates of infection in the US and Canada at the time (and hell, now as well), most of us were delighted to see the borders shut down.  And since so many Americans seem to take pleasure in evading controls by having false vaccination certificates, I hope they scrutinize each and every one to make sure their vaccination paperwork is valid.  Because we know we will get all the strains anyway, the point is to slow them down.  And tourists get around.

BTW, we opened out borders to the US before the US opened their borders to us.  Governors of Northern States have been upset for ages because people could fly across the border but not drive across the border.  So lots of political business decisions there as well, I am sure.

Indeed, elected officials weighted expert advice from multiple sources while also taking into account the will of the people. Because ultimately in a democracy (even a representative one) the only thing that matters is the people that vote for you. "Democracy is the worst form of government – except for all the others that have been tried." - Winston Churchill

BTW, to the best of my knowledge the UK kept its borders open with both of us for the entire pandemic but Canada did not reciprocate.

"Indeed, elected officials weighted expert advice from multiple sources while also taking into account the will of the people".  Apparently the will of the people here is for more active measures against the virus.  And given that the Provinces with the worst records are all Conservative governments that delayed restrictions as much as possible and made them as minimal as possible, some cater more to their constituency than the will of the people.

Just because some country keeps its borders open doesn't mean we have to.

Anyway, I am done with politics for now.  And I am grumpy because I am not seeing my DD and SiL and Grand-daughter for Christmas, because of Covid.  Because Canadians are  being encouraged to self-isolate as much as possible, and I think that is sensible. 

So go back to discussing Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 19, 2021, 05:08:32 PM
  And I am grumpy because I am not seeing my DD and SiL and Grand-daughter for Christmas, because of Covid.  Because Canadians are  being encouraged to self-isolate as much as possible, and I think that is sensible. 

So go back to discussing Covid.

Whereas we in the United States aren't encouraged to self-isolate, and while one side of the family agreed that getting together isn't wise at this time, short of an official lockdown the other side won't even consider not gathering.  It will be three households -- ours (4), BIL (1, who lives in co-housing with Covid deniers), and my 77YO MIL who has several underlying conditions (she lives with a vaccinated partner and my unvaccinated SIL, who will be in Europe).  My family is vaxed and boosted, as is MIL.  BIL is anti-vax, but believes he contracted Covid in late October based on symptoms.  Anyway, we're doing at home rapid tests the morning of.  I still think it might not be worth the medical risks, but at this point it isn't worth the social risks or worth making my DH tell his mother and brother they can't come over.  And I guess it doesn't help much for us to try to protect MIL when she lives with an unvaccinated person who lives her life as if Covid doesn't exist.

I do think my family will all be exposed to Omicron at some point, despite taking precautions, and will have varying levels of illness, but I really don't want us ill during the Christmas break.  I wish we were in lockdown.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris22 on December 19, 2021, 05:32:33 PM
I wish we were in lockdown.

Good news!  You can be! 

But don’t force it on the rest of us.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 19, 2021, 05:39:05 PM
I wish we were in lockdown.

Good news!  You can be! 

But don’t force it on the rest of us.

…and therein lies the problem.  If even a large minority don’t, it doesn’t work on a community level.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 19, 2021, 05:58:35 PM
I wish we were in lockdown.

Good news!  You can be! 

But don’t force it on the rest of us.

…and therein lies the problem.  If even a large minority don’t, it doesn’t work on a community level.

Why would a majority of the population consent to a lockdown two years into a pandemic?

As a slight aside, CNN: Biden admin eyes a potentially stark shift in messaging around ending the pandemic (https://www.cnn.com/2021/12/18/politics/white-house-omicron-warning-joe-biden/index.html).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 19, 2021, 07:28:16 PM
American is a representative republic, not a technocracy.

Why do you see this as an inherent contradiction? I could easily envision a representative democracy where the majority of voters recognize and revere the work that our most learned citizens have put into becoming experts in their field, where the voters see politicians implementing policy heavily informed by the latest research and say "more of this please." The fact that this doesn't describe our population is not something to be proud of.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 19, 2021, 08:02:26 PM
I wish we were in lockdown.

Good news!  You can be! 

But don’t force it on the rest of us.

Actually, that's my point -- without a "forced" lockdown we have relatives who will make our lives hell if we don't get together.  BIL in particular has been laying down guilt trips for more than a year -- we haven't seen him in person since pre-Covid because he refused to get vaccinated, and indeed didn't believe it was real until he recently (potentially -- he didn't get tested) got it.  And while we've seen MIL many times since we all got vaccinated, including twice in November, she's moping about the holidays as usual and can't bear to have another Christmas cancelled.  There's no way to protect her without a lockdown, which also means there's no way to protect many other vulnerable people.  I stand firmly in the camp of those of us who can help protect others doing our best to do so.  If Omicron hadn't surfaced I would likely have a different opinion, but it's here.  Not only do I think we should protect the vulnerable, I believe we should consider the people who work in healthcare and help flatten the curve if we can.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on December 19, 2021, 08:29:43 PM
American is a representative republic, not a technocracy.

Why do you see this as an inherent contradiction? I could easily envision a representative democracy where the majority of voters recognize and revere the work that our most learned citizens have put into becoming experts in their field, where the voters see politicians implementing policy heavily informed by the latest research and say "more of this please." The fact that this doesn't describe our population is not something to be proud of.

If an unelected bureaucrat makes a decision the majority don't like, there's nothing we can do. With politicians we can at least vote for someone else. It doesn't always work (i.e. the chance of San Francisco electing a Republican to any office is essentially zero) but there's at least the possibility of being held accountable at the ballot box.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 19, 2021, 11:21:12 PM
American is a representative republic, not a technocracy.

Why do you see this as an inherent contradiction? I could easily envision a representative democracy where the majority of voters recognize and revere the work that our most learned citizens have put into becoming experts in their field, where the voters see politicians implementing policy heavily informed by the latest research and say "more of this please." The fact that this doesn't describe our population is not something to be proud of.

What's the opposite of a technocracy? I think that we might have that. But I don't know if it helps the COVID situation if your healthcare technocrats are pushing lockdowns and your economic technocrats are pushing to keep the economy open and pointing out that old sick people don't add much to the economy. You still need a human to make a judgement call that is based on human things not technocracy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on December 20, 2021, 12:19:47 AM
American is a representative republic, not a technocracy.

Why do you see this as an inherent contradiction? I could easily envision a representative democracy where the majority of voters recognize and revere the work that our most learned citizens have put into becoming experts in their field, where the voters see politicians implementing policy heavily informed by the latest research and say "more of this please." The fact that this doesn't describe our population is not something to be proud of.

What's the opposite of a technocracy? I think that we might have that. But I don't know if it helps the COVID situation if your healthcare technocrats are pushing lockdowns and your economic technocrats are pushing to keep the economy open and pointing out that old sick people don't add much to the economy. You still need a human to make a judgement call that is based on human things not technocracy.

True enough! Experts provide as good a prediction as possible about what might happen if a certain course of action is taken. It's up to the leaders to take that information into account while also taking the pulse of the electorate and deciding which of the many competing priorities need to take precedence that day.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on December 20, 2021, 08:12:05 AM
I wish we were in lockdown.

Good news!  You can be! 

But don’t force it on the rest of us.

…and therein lies the problem.  If even a large minority don’t, it doesn’t work on a community level.

Actually it does. You can lock yourself down and get 100% safety.  Same as abstinence!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on December 20, 2021, 10:36:22 AM

All of those things sound great, but can we just stop mask mandates?  That's all I really care about in the end.

Can you explain why masks are such a key issue for you?
As someone who’s had to wear masks for much of my work I have a hard time understanding why some people object to it so strongly

Is the mandate part?

It's the mandate part.  I should not have to pretend that I am sick for the rest of my life wearing a mask while in public places in the offchance I am asymptomatic a virus that we an effective vaccine for.  It just does not make sense anymore... it did for a short time, but no longer.  I'm all for wearing a mask, staying home from work when you are actually sick... that would be a great thing to come out of this.  But telling everyone to wear a mask from here on out regardless of if it's actually useful is dumb and the mandates have got to go.  Especially as pointed out above, restaurants and airplanes are proof that we really don't care as much as some people seem to think we do.

How about at a minimum at least till we actually have an effective vaccine for everyone?  Again, I would reiterate there is no vaccine for the under 5 population.

Not really clear why restaurants and planes are considered proof we really don't care.  The people going in there may not care, but there's a large segment who aren't flying or dining in restaurants precisely because of this risk and caring about contracting COVID and/or passing it others.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 20, 2021, 10:58:34 AM
Actually it does. You can lock yourself down and get 100% safety.  Same as abstinence!

Just make sure not to need any medical care.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 20, 2021, 11:12:07 AM
You know, as your next-door neighbor this is scary.  When this is how your politicians think, it doesn't bode well for how you treat other countries, and how well you adhere to treaties.   Hey everyone, my next door country is a narcissistic sociopath!

Sorry*, but you said it.


*Of course I said I'm sorry, I'm Canadian and I mean it.

It's tempting to blame politicians, but they are merely a conduit for voters. Conduit that's deformed by the design flaws of our political system - but still, it all flows bottom up, not the other way around.

I fear for you, too. And the biggest threat isn't that we would not adhere to treaties, it's the cultural influence. If enough of your people consume our media long enough, you'll become like us.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 20, 2021, 11:30:03 AM
Most here operate on the assumption that we in the US do a lot to protect others, and bear tremendous cost due to that.

So it was interesting to find this tidbit from a place where people do more:

"In Australia, in a similar vein, they calculate that we have had many thousands fewer deaths in the past (almost) two years than we should have (probably because of mask wearing and social distancing, people didn’t die of flu, and just about every other disease, so the pandemic has decreased the death rate). As a result of that and lockdowns, the private health insurance funds haven’t spent as much as they should have during this time. As private health insurance here is subsidised by the government, the health funds have to give back the excess to their customers. I received a letter a few days ago saying I now have six months extra health insurance."

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/off-topic/how-much-will-non-vaxxing-by-gop-reduce-the-population-of-voting-age-republicans/msg2949578/#msg2949578
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 20, 2021, 11:58:01 AM
Most here operate on the assumption that we in the US do a lot to protect others, and bear tremendous cost due to that.


Is this Actually a commonly held belief? It seems to me that we very intentionally do much less than most other wealthy nations, and it’s a frequent flash point in discussions about whether we should be more like these other questions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 20, 2021, 12:00:04 PM
Most here operate on the assumption that we in the US do a lot to protect others, and bear tremendous cost due to that.


Is this Actually a commonly held belief? It seems to me that we very intentionally do much less than most other wealthy nations, and it’s a frequent flash point in discussions about whether we should be more like these other questions.

I think so. However little (compared to other wealthy nations) we do, it's a lot. Get your shit together, and stop being sick, poor, or old.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 20, 2021, 12:05:12 PM
It's rather disheartening to know that we are surrounded by such an incredible amount of idiocy.

I see it as cruelty more than idiocy - but you are 100% right.

He’s not hurting the people he needs to be hurting. (https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2019/1/8/18173678/trump-shutdown-voter-florida)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on December 20, 2021, 12:30:01 PM
Most here operate on the assumption that we in the US do a lot to protect others, and bear tremendous cost due to that.


Is this Actually a commonly held belief? It seems to me that we very intentionally do much less than most other wealthy nations, and it’s a frequent flash point in discussions about whether we should be more like these other questions.

I think so. However little (compared to other wealthy nations) we do, it's a lot. Get your shit together, and stop being sick, poor, or old.
I'm very confused by this as an American.  Is this sarcasm?  Or are you basing this differently than how I would?  I would frame it in terms of a relative comparison to other similarly wealthy countries' overall infrastructure and social programs incl. healthcare as provided by a central institution (e.g. federal government) and would say of that group we've got to be near the bottom.  Granted, being at the bottom in a wealthy country comparison group can still have very positive connotations and I certainly would not argue that more gov spending is always a good thing.  If you're talking from an absolute point of view or a "we police the world and thus are protecting others" vantage, perhaps we're just using very different definitions.

If you were saying it to stir the pot a bit, it certainly worked!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 20, 2021, 01:37:43 PM
Assuming this is correct, the end could be near as we have a non-vaccine method of treatment:

Quote
When taken early, Pfizer's treatment was 89% effective at reducing the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and/or death from COVID-19, according to the company.

Just throwing this out there, its been 2 years, and the healthcare system has been overburdened above normal(which is already more than ideal), due to staff shortages, etc...

Why hasn't the US deployed the military to help with hospital shortages? Almost all military enlisted personnel are in the very low risk category, and they are required to have been vaccinated. The chance they die of COVID is about as close to zero as you can get. Imagine, ~50,000 soldiers doing intake, moving patients, transporting patients, doing testing, providing basic services, doing paperwork, etc... Plus military doctors and nurses helping do the hard work. I mean, we spend $700BLN a year, you would think we could use a fraction of that to dramatically increase the staff at our hospitals.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 20, 2021, 01:50:21 PM

Why hasn't the US deployed the military to help with hospital shortages? Almost all military enlisted personnel are in the very low risk category, and they are required to have been vaccinated. The chance they die of COVID is about as close to zero as you can get. Imagine, ~50,000 soldiers doing intake, moving patients, transporting patients, doing testing, providing basic services, doing paperwork, etc... Plus military doctors and nurses helping do the hard work. I mean, we spend $700BLN a year, you would think we could use a fraction of that to dramatically increase the staff at our hospitals.

My state has activated the national guard to assist our healthcare system. They are doing non-medical secondary tasks to help front line health care workers do actual health care.

Part of the problem is both cost and scope. 50,000 soldiers sounds like a lot, but it’s ~0.5% of our healthcare force. Deploying cost money and of course it would divert them from normal training and “mission critical” duties.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 20, 2021, 01:57:09 PM
Assuming this is correct, the end could be near as we have a non-vaccine method of treatment:

Quote
When taken early, Pfizer's treatment was 89% effective at reducing the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and/or death from COVID-19, according to the company.


The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines were higher than that last year, weren't they?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 20, 2021, 02:22:45 PM
Assuming this is correct, the end could be near as we have a non-vaccine method of treatment:

Quote
When taken early, Pfizer's treatment was 89% effective at reducing the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and/or death from COVID-19, according to the company.


The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines were higher than that last year, weren't they?

Yeah, 95%. But the Pfizer pill is supposedly just as effective against omicron.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 20, 2021, 03:40:48 PM
Assuming this is correct, the end could be near as we have a non-vaccine method of treatment:

Quote
When taken early, Pfizer's treatment was 89% effective at reducing the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and/or death from COVID-19, according to the company.


The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines were higher than that last year, weren't they?

Yeah, 95%. But the Pfizer pill is supposedly just as effective against omicron.

The above is talking about Pfizer’s new medicine meant to treat after infection.

To state the obvious, though, we have absolutely zero data on how effective current vaccines are in combating omicron six months later, or how it will do against the next variant of concern.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 20, 2021, 04:09:07 PM
Assuming this is correct, the end could be near as we have a non-vaccine method of treatment:

Quote
When taken early, Pfizer's treatment was 89% effective at reducing the risk of severe illness, hospitalization and/or death from COVID-19, according to the company.


The Moderna and Pfizer vaccines were higher than that last year, weren't they?

Yeah, 95%. But the Pfizer pill is supposedly just as effective against omicron.

The above is talking about Pfizer’s new medicine meant to treat after infection.

To state the obvious, though, we have absolutely zero data on how effective current vaccines are in combating omicron six months later, or how it will do against the next variant of concern.

Yes, that was kinda my point.  I've got my fingers crossed, but don't see why history wouldn't be likely to repeat itself.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on December 21, 2021, 08:29:20 AM

It's rather disheartening to know that we are surrounded by such an incredible amount of idiocy.

A bit of a tangent, but I had a fairly long conversation at a grocery store bike rack with a dyed-in-the-wool Qanon conspiracy theory nut.  The conversation started innocuously enough, about biking around town and my e-bike, but he started spouting more and more nonsense.  I could have walked away at any point, but I actually was kind of interested to see what was going to come out of his mouth next, because it was mind-boggling to me that he really believed this stuff.  Among the gems:

- COVID-19 is nothing more than the common cold, go to this website and the numbers won't add up
- The internet news is all fake.  You need to go to this website where the real stories get posted before "the algorithms" take them down and post the fake stuff.
- Donald Trump is an all-powerful businessman who will have you killed if you wrong him
...which led to
- Bill Gates is dead (convicted, tried, and executed at Guantanamo Bay)
- Bill, Hillary, and Chelsea Clinton are all dead
- George W Bush and Dick Cheney are currently in the middle of their trial at Guantanamo for orchestrating the 9-11 attacks
- Joe Biden is in a coma
- All of the above people have been replaced by Hollywood lookalikes who train on their various mannerisms to fool the fake news media
- At some point he started on a tangent about "these pedophiles..." but caught himself and then went in another direction (I believe the Clintons were next on his hit list)

This dude was evangelizing, straight up.  He claimed that he was a science major in college (50 years ago) so he was trustworthy on these sorts of matters. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 21, 2021, 08:42:44 AM
Quote
I took a science class at community college 50 years ago, so you can trust me.

Quote
What about actual scientists who finished their degrees?

Quote
They are lying!!!! All of them!

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 21, 2021, 08:46:09 AM

It's rather disheartening to know that we are surrounded by such an incredible amount of idiocy.

A bit of a tangent, but I had a fairly long conversation at a grocery store bike rack with a dyed-in-the-wool Qanon conspiracy theory nut.  The conversation started innocuously enough, about biking around town and my e-bike, but he started spouting more and more nonsense.  I could have walked away at any point, but I actually was kind of interested to see what was going to come out of his mouth next, because it was mind-boggling to me that he really believed this stuff.  Among the gems:

- COVID-19 is nothing more than the common cold, go to this website and the numbers won't add up
- The internet news is all fake.  You need to go to this website where the real stories get posted before "the algorithms" take them down and post the fake stuff.
- Donald Trump is an all-powerful businessman who will have you killed if you wrong him
...which led to
- Bill Gates is dead (convicted, tried, and executed at Guantanamo Bay)
- Bill, Hillary, and Chelsea Clinton are all dead
- George W Bush and Dick Cheney are currently in the middle of their trial at Guantanamo for orchestrating the 9-11 attacks
- Joe Biden is in a coma
- All of the above people have been replaced by Hollywood lookalikes who train on their various mannerisms to fool the fake news media
- At some point he started on a tangent about "these pedophiles..." but caught himself and then went in another direction (I believe the Clintons were next on his hit list)

This dude was evangelizing, straight up.  He claimed that he was a science major in college (50 years ago) so he was trustworthy on these sorts of matters.

Bless his heart.  (because there is no brain present to bless).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cannot Wait! on December 21, 2021, 10:42:29 AM
I also let a lady "talk at me" for about an hour just to see how her brain worked.  Wow.  Much the same gems as above, plus apparently Trudeau has also been replaced by an actor, more vaccinated people have died than non, it's the vaccinated folks that are taking up all the hospital beds, and this will all come to a head in 2030 when the new world order takes over.  When I pressed her as to who "THEY" (the ones doing all this) were...she said, "Well, they're not exactly human".   I would not want to live in her world.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 21, 2021, 11:00:02 AM
I also let a lady "talk at me" for about an hour just to see how her brain worked.  Wow.  Much the same gems as above, plus apparently Trudeau has also been replaced by an actor, more vaccinated people have died than non, it's the vaccinated folks that are taking up all the hospital beds, and this will all come to a head in 2030 when the new world order takes over.  When I pressed her as to who "THEY" (the ones doing all this) were...she said, "Well, they're not exactly human".   I would not want to live in her world.

I've heard the same things about how more vaccinated people have died than non-vaccinated people, although it went a step further. For example, my mom's coworker refuses to be vaccinated because he claims that the vaccine killed three of his relatives, whereas he doesn't know anyone who died of COVID.

Unfortunately, we all have to live in their world, as the rising case numbers demonstrate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 21, 2021, 11:05:36 AM
I also let a lady "talk at me" for about an hour just to see how her brain worked.  Wow.  Much the same gems as above, plus apparently Trudeau has also been replaced by an actor, more vaccinated people have died than non, it's the vaccinated folks that are taking up all the hospital beds, and this will all come to a head in 2030 when the new world order takes over.  When I pressed her as to who "THEY" (the ones doing all this) were...she said, "Well, they're not exactly human".   I would not want to live in her world.

I've heard the same things about how more vaccinated people have died than non-vaccinated people, although it went a step further. For example, my mom's coworker refuses to be vaccinated because he claims that the vaccine killed three of his relatives, whereas he doesn't know anyone who died of COVID.

Unfortunately, we all have to live in their world, as the rising case numbers demonstrate.
But as the rising case numbers also demonstrate, quite possibly not for that much longer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 21, 2021, 11:14:46 AM
Honestly, the one requirement I *do* want maintained at this point is masking in places like the grocery store, drugstore, medical settings and public buildings.

Beyond that, if you want to go to a crowded indoor event, that’s on you.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 12:11:42 PM
Honestly, the one requirement I *do* want maintained at this point is masking in places like the grocery store, drugstore, medical settings and public buildings.

Beyond that, if you want to go to a crowded indoor event, that’s on you.

That's sort of what Scotland is doing (https://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-53166816) but with "passports" for things like nightclubs. Though they do have a three week cap on large events to deal with Omicron.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dmc on December 21, 2021, 12:28:46 PM
My wife and I both have had the booster shots.  I’m 64, she is 62.  Most of the things we do are outside so no more masks.  We do go out to a restaurant, but usually eat outside.  And we wear mask when required, airport, doctors office.

We do get together with friends and family, some of who are not vaccinated.  But that is their choice, we have also started traveling some again, and have a big trip planned for April.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dmc on December 21, 2021, 12:30:45 PM
We live in SW Florida so there are few mask requirements.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 21, 2021, 01:05:10 PM
Bless his heart.  (because there is no brain present to bless).

I had a friend - wicked smart and educated. There wasn't a conspiracy theory he didn't like.

(Please don't feel like I'm going extra mile to contradict everything you say! I actually agree with you, like, 99%)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 21, 2021, 01:41:12 PM
Bless his heart.  (because there is no brain present to bless).

I had a friend - wicked smart and educated. There wasn't a conspiracy theory he didn't like.

(Please don't feel like I'm going extra mile to contradict everything you say! I actually agree with you, like, 99%)

It's ok, I hope the sarcasm was evident.  It's my northerness, having trouble getting the bless his heart idiom correct.

Smart and sensible are 2 different words.  And I've known lots of smart people be incredibly stupid about things.  Including me (blush).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 21, 2021, 02:06:37 PM
Daycare had multiple breakthrough cases and is now closed.
24 sets of parents must now find alternative childcare.
Merry Christmas everyone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 21, 2021, 03:18:32 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 03:31:31 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

Well, at this point something like 75% of the US adult population is fully vaccinated. I'd tell them that being fully vaccinated is normal.

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

That's hard, because if uncle Dick is a flat earther it's not really a big deal, but if he's a COVID conspiracy theorist that's a bigger problem.

I just listened to this recent intervew with Dr Fauci (https://www.wsj.com/podcasts/the-journal/dr-anthony-fauci-on-omicron-and-the-covid-19-stalemate/47423ee7-2d37-4784-9370-598226a4b6f0) about how we will get back to a truly normal state of existence (just like 1918) but that it is going to take a lot of death and suffering along the way by the people who refuse to get vaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 21, 2021, 03:57:57 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 04:14:39 PM
I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

1. I think that K wrote that this was in reference to a private gathering in their home. They aren't going anywhere.
2. There's this little thing called conditional probability. Without going into a math lesson, the fact that three doses of Pfizer provides me with ~76% protection against Omicron SARS-COV-2 infection makes me a more inviting guest if your goal is not to get infected than a participant with zero doses.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 21, 2021, 05:05:55 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 05:16:04 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 21, 2021, 05:39:08 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.

Businesses here that I would want to frequent readily tell their customers that they require employees to be vaccinated. Case in point, the hair salon I went to just three hours ago.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 21, 2021, 05:42:52 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going? If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

I can never tell if people who ask questions like this are genuinely curious, or if they are asking what they feel is a rhetorical question.

But the answer is basic math.  Probabilities.  If elves have an 18% chance of starting the Christmas tree on fire, and that fire only has a 10% chance of being serious, and only a 12% chance of spreading to the neighbors' homes, and Grinches have a 48% chance of starting a tree fire, and that fire has a 38% chance of being serious, and a 62% chance of spreading to the neighbors, do you see how it would matter to me?  Even if I have a fire extinguisher?

I don't want Covid.  But I'm vaxxed and boosted so I'm not really worried about my individual outcome.  But I do worry because spouse would have to quarantine and that would be a nightmare for his work.  And I worry that I could spread it to someone at the grocery store or the guy coming to inspect the HVAC in my rental home (I have no choice or say in that matter).  And I worry that they could spread it, perhaps far and wide if they aren't vaccinated.  And that can inundate the healthcare system.  If I slip on ice and have a compound fracture in my leg, I might not get timely care.  But it's not really just about me.  It's also about the old man who lives down the street who has a heart attack shoveling snow.  And the nephew of my friend's cousin's dog groomer who isn't vaccinated and ends up dying from Covid.

No one is saying that vaccination makes one bullet proof.  I can still get and spread Covid.  It is less likely, but entirely possible.  That doesn't mean it isn't worth while.  And if I do get it, I'm less likely to need medical care, and less likely to die.  So the notion that vaccinated people still wearing masks or distancing or anything else somehow constitutes proof that the vaccine isn't worth while is silly.

And it's not something that anyone except a tiny fringe has said about other vaccines, even though they too aren't 100% effective.  We didn't have people running around refusing to get vaccinated against measles because there was still a chance they could catch it.  And they didn't site someone who was vaccinated but still not interested in sharing close quarters with someone who has measles as proof the vaccine is pointless.  Because they understood it was all about decreasing the *likelihood* of bad things happening. 

The vaccine is not INeffective.  It is just not 100% effective, and no one has claimed it is.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on December 21, 2021, 05:44:39 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.

Is this becoming a thing, I wonder? I'm a receptionist booking appointments in a lot of different offices, and I can say that nobody has ever asked me if the person they'll be meeting with is vaccinated - which is a good thing for me, because other than a few coworkers who have specifically mentioned being vaccinated, I have no clue who is and isn't.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 21, 2021, 05:59:22 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

They say the vaccines are poisons the government is injecting into people.  They say Big Pharma can't be trusted.  They say the government can't be trusted, especially regarding health, and they actively believe conspiracy theories that say the government does things to intentionally make people sick.  They say the scientists can't be trusted.  They say diet, supplements, crystals, and essential oils can prevent catching Covid.  They say people with enlightened minds can tell their bodies not to contract Covid.  They say we are brainwashed.

What is happening with Omicron has changed the game.  Sure, it's highly unlikely a vaccinated and boosted person would require hospitalization or die from contracting omicron, but plenty of vaccinated and boosted people are going to catch it and some will experience a nasty illness.  Plus there just isn't enough data yet, and at our gathering both another guest and I are at higher risk.  And we don't want our young adult kids to contract Omicron and be sick during their break or risk not being able to return to university.

It was hard to make this decision.  If we could hold an outdoor gathering, we would.  As soon as the weather permits we're more than willing to see our unvaccinated family members in an outdoor setting.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 21, 2021, 06:01:51 PM
I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

1. I think that K wrote that this was in reference to a private gathering in their home. They aren't going anywhere.
2. There's this little thing called conditional probability. Without going into a math lesson, the fact that three doses of Pfizer provides me with ~76% protection against Omicron SARS-COV-2 infection makes me a more inviting guest if your goal is not to get infected than a participant with zero doses.

Exactly, this is in our home.  If it were at another family member's house and we knew unvaccinated guests would be present we would choose to stay home and find other ways to see people.

And yes, vaccinated and boosted doesn't mean 100% protection.  But if the other guests are also vaccinated and boosted, it lowers the risk for everyone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 06:02:13 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.

Businesses here that I would want to frequent readily tell their customers that they require employees to be vaccinated. Case in point, the hair salon I went to just three hours ago.

I wonder if they are just saying that or if they just don't have any employees that have requested an exemption for a sincerely held religious belief (https://www.eeoc.gov/wysk/what-you-should-know-about-covid-19-and-ada-rehabilitation-act-and-other-eeo-laws#L). EDIT: or maybe they are actually willing to fight it in court as an undue hardship.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 21, 2021, 06:04:48 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.

Businesses here that I would want to frequent readily tell their customers that they require employees to be vaccinated. Case in point, the hair salon I went to just three hours ago.

I wonder if they are just saying that or if they just don't have any employees that have requested an exemption for a sincerely held religious belief (https://www.eeoc.gov/wysk/what-you-should-know-about-covid-19-and-ada-rehabilitation-act-and-other-eeo-laws#L). EDIT: or maybe they are actually willing to fight it in court as an undue hardship.

The only places I am going are places with vax policies.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 21, 2021, 06:09:02 PM
The only places I am going are places with vax policies.

I get that, and you writings have added meaningful on-topic content to the thread. I'm wondering "aloud" how many businesses in the country that claim to have a "vax policy" are quietly accepting religious exceptions. Or just lying to their customers. I was at one such business the lied to my face yesterday, but not about vaccines.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 21, 2021, 06:33:30 PM
The only places I am going are places with vax policies.

I get that, and you writings have added meaningful on-topic content to the thread. I'm wondering "aloud" how many businesses in the country that claim to have a "vax policy" are quietly accepting religious exceptions. Or just lying to their customers. I was at one such business the lied to my face yesterday, but not about vaccines.


Who knows? But my sense is that this country is so polarized that most businesses who are anti-vax are proud of it. Like, it’s a marketing chip for them. So I figure most businesses are gonna fall into one of three categories:

1) vocally pro-vax: meaning they require evidence of their employees and employ protocols that vehemently anti-vax people would reject on principle

2) vax status avoidant: refusing to take a stand or ask people, in which case one should assume employees and customers are largely not safe

3) vocally anti-vax/anti-mask: in which case, one should assume no safety at all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 21, 2021, 06:35:26 PM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on December 21, 2021, 06:56:48 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

Frankly, if I were K in the Kitchen, I wouldn’t want to see these people at any time.  I mean, what do you even talk about with someone who holds all these bizarre beliefs?  If Covid gives me an excuse not to see them, all the better.  Let them think what they want.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 21, 2021, 08:33:51 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

Because vaccination is a group project and it always has been. It is not a magical shield that keeps germs from landing on you.

You need enough people to be vaccinated to cut the transmission of the disease. A highly infectious disease like Covid requires a very high vaccination rate to do that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 21, 2021, 09:03:56 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

Because vaccination is a group project and it always has been. It is not a magical shield that keeps germs from landing on you.

You need enough people to be vaccinated to cut the transmission of the disease. A highly infectious disease like Covid requires a very high vaccination rate to do that.

The transmissibility of Omicron is likely to render the whole discussion moot.  Vaccines don't work well at all to prevent people from getting it (they help with reducing deaths from it though), so it seems very likely that we're all going to be infected.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 21, 2021, 10:09:28 PM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

Because vaccination is a group project and it always has been. It is not a magical shield that keeps germs from landing on you.

You need enough people to be vaccinated to cut the transmission of the disease. A highly infectious disease like Covid requires a very high vaccination rate to do that.

Do we not remember talking about how highly effective the vaccines were at preventing the contraction of covid?  Remember?  85-90+% efficacy in preventing covid?  Yes, vaccines are a group project, but they are most certainly supposed to prevent you from getting covid (or maybe you are just trying to be clever by saying "germs land on you" in a literal sense)... at least that's what the scientists were measuring when it was first being tested and approved.  They were supposed to be a shield and advertised as a shield.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 22, 2021, 01:57:09 AM
We're feeling intense family pressure to "get back to normal" regarding indoor Christmas gatherings.  The accusation -- which has been leveled at us repeatedly -- is that we don't want to see them.  But my brilliant young adult son just pointed out that if these people in the family prioritized the ability to see us over everything else (conspiracy theories and woo, mostly), they would be willing to get vaccinated.  And really, why should their "right" to not have "poison" injected into their bodies outweigh my "right" not to contract Covid in my own home and possibly get long Covid?

I mean seriously, what do you do when you have a close relative who believes the lunar landings were faked and the world is flat?  Or that cannabis cures cancer but the government won't approve it because the health care industry will lose money?  That condensation trails are really government produced chemtrails designed to poison us and make money once again for the health care industry?  Oh, and that vitamin C IVs cure Covid (which they didn't believe was real until they got it) and essential oils can disinfect everything and we'll be safe from Covid?  Plus so many more -- all in one person?

I mean, this person isn't the only one -- both sides of the family are full of Covid deniers, election deniers, birthers, etc.  We're actually lucky that my dad moved across the country, or the holiday pressure would be high despite his refusal to get vaccinated.  But then I'm good at boundaries and at calling him on his bullshit, at least when he tries to make me believe it.  I've gotten very good at saying "I disagree", or "the science doesn't support that".

Is one of their theories that the vaccine doesn't work or isn't effective?  Because in my opinion, your behavior is kind of confirming that.  I mean, if you're vaccinated, why aren't you going?  If everyone at the party were vaccinated, would that really make a difference?  What other conclusion could your family possibly come to when the vaccinated people are too afraid to come to the party due to covid other than the vaccine is ineffective or you don't want to see them?

Because vaccination is a group project and it always has been. It is not a magical shield that keeps germs from landing on you.

You need enough people to be vaccinated to cut the transmission of the disease. A highly infectious disease like Covid requires a very high vaccination rate to do that.

Do we not remember talking about how highly effective the vaccines were at preventing the contraction of covid?  Remember?  85-90+% efficacy in preventing covid?  Yes, vaccines are a group project, but they are most certainly supposed to prevent you from getting covid (or maybe you are just trying to be clever by saying "germs land on you" in a literal sense)... at least that's what the scientists were measuring when it was first being tested and approved.  They were supposed to be a shield and advertised as a shield.
That was before we spent a year with lots of social interaction and high levels of people not vaccinated so the virus did what viruses do in those circumstances and found a way around the vaccine.  But you already knew that, right?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: bryan995 on December 22, 2021, 05:13:48 AM
Omicron seems to be spreading like mad. The waste water testing is very telling for what is to come in the next 3 weeks. A close friend we saw on Sunday contracted it. Multiple folks at work are testing positive. All either 2 dose or 2+1. All with mild symptoms.  The vaccine never promised to 100% protect from any infection, it works to lower your risk of a severe infection/reaction.

Maybe this will be the path to a (biologically) forced herd immunity 😬

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 22, 2021, 05:29:56 AM

Do we not remember talking about how highly effective the vaccines were at preventing the contraction of covid?  Remember?  85-90+% efficacy in preventing covid?  Yes, vaccines are a group project, but they are most certainly supposed to prevent you from getting covid (or maybe you are just trying to be clever by saying "germs land on you" in a literal sense)... at least that's what the scientists were measuring when it was first being tested and approved.  They were supposed to be a shield and advertised as a shield.

That was a year ago, when there was no Delta, no Omicron, and when we had zero data on the mid-term efficacy (i.e. ~12 months) of the vaccines. When we knew almost nothing about whether people could get repeat infections (sadly, that seems pretty common). Before it became obvious just how calcitrant the anti-vaxxers and covid-denialist were and how many people would flout personal responsibility and engage in high-risk pandemic behavior.
We learn, we adapt, we shift our plans.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 22, 2021, 05:36:24 AM
Think about it - you have to get infected for the vaccine produced antibodies to fight off the infection. The question was always whether you’d be (a) infectious and/or (b) sick enough to notice it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: stoaX on December 22, 2021, 08:23:25 AM


Maybe this will be the path to a (biologically) forced herd immunity 😬

That would be a wonderful silver lining to the cloud of omicron. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 22, 2021, 08:27:50 AM
If you haven't reached the limit on free articles (or have a subscription), The Atlantic has an article that perfectly captures the mood in this thread: https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/12/omicron-end-of-pandemic/621089/ (https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/12/omicron-end-of-pandemic/621089/)

TL;DR: we lost the will to fight, and are now determined to "go back to normal" no matter the cost. Not all of us, of course - but a majority large enough to render the resistance of the holdouts like me moot.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jim555 on December 22, 2021, 10:24:22 AM
I know a 78 year old lady, anti-vaxxer.  It is like watching a car head straight for a wall and she is on the gas.  So tragic.  Horrible outcome upcoming.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on December 22, 2021, 10:31:07 AM
To people who watch the news daily:  skip today's news and watch this guy's take.  He does a daily update and really seems the most balanced, realistic with numbers.  Advocates for vaccines, but also covers side effects (he actually thinks the bad side effects from not aspirating the shots, the shots that end up in veins increase chance of clotting).  Highly recommends keeping vitamin D levels high and other general health recommendations like eating healthy, sleep... something that very few governments are advocating.

Yesterday's update (Dec 21):
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GDhIL9o3vHg
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 22, 2021, 10:34:28 AM
I know a 78 year old lady, anti-vaxxer.  It is like watching a car head straight for a wall and she is on the gas.  So tragic.  Horrible outcome upcoming.

This accurately describes my aunt (only she is 72), who’s been barred from seeing her ailing 91 father because she refuses the vaccine, won’t wear a mask and believes all sorts of bizarre conspiracy theories. The fact that she is unemployed with not a lot of IRL contact with non family members has probably saved her this far. I’m not optimistic for the coming weeks and months.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 11:00:18 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 11:03:52 AM
Who knows? But my sense is that this country is so polarized that most businesses who are anti-vax are proud of it. Like, it’s a marketing chip for them. So I figure most businesses are gonna fall into one of three categories:

1) vocally pro-vax: meaning they require evidence of their employees and employ protocols that vehemently anti-vax people would reject on principle

2) vax status avoidant: refusing to take a stand or ask people, in which case one should assume employees and customers are largely not safe

3) vocally anti-vax/anti-mask: in which case, one should assume no safety at all.

Perhaps, where I live in little Beirut I've noticed businesses transitioning from #1 to #2 WRT their customers. This actually surprised me. My local coffee shop dropped their vaccine mandate for indoor seating after people complained. But some of these people were regulars, so for a small business I can see how that would be a big deal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 22, 2021, 11:07:21 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 22, 2021, 11:10:55 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.

The vaccine provides little/no protection from getting it so the number of infected is going to be super high this time, but is Omnicron doing significant damage to people who are vaccinated/boostered?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 11:13:36 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.

Obviously, I guess that I shouldn't dismiss the very high transmission rate. But if the severity of a breakthrough omicron case is "bad cold" then sign me up. That's a joke, I obviously hope to be in the 76% that never gets it. But I guess that the math is different for our Canadian friends that probably got a bunch of AZ doses instead of Pfizer/Moderna.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 11:23:56 AM
Do we not remember talking about how highly effective the vaccines were at preventing the contraction of covid?  Remember?  85-90+% efficacy in preventing covid?  Yes, vaccines are a group project, but they are most certainly supposed to prevent you from getting covid (or maybe you are just trying to be clever by saying "germs land on you" in a literal sense)... at least that's what the scientists were measuring when it was first being tested and approved.  They were supposed to be a shield and advertised as a shield.

Yes, I also remember when officials were saying that a 50% effective vaccine would be a game changer (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/18/coronavirus-vaccine-with-50percent-efficacy-would-be-game-changer.html). And it would have been, in the sense that is half the transmission and hospitalization. But obviously 95% > 50%. While I am personally willing to live my life close to "normal" with three doses of Pfizer that doesn't mean that I expect the same from everyone. Now is not the time to need to go to the hospital. That doesn't even take into account that this is an international forum and many people don't have access to three doses of Pfizer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 22, 2021, 11:29:37 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.

The vaccine provides little/no protection from getting it so the number of infected is going to be super high this time, but is Omnicron doing significant damage to people who are vaccinated/boostered?

It's still early days, but it doesn't seem to be causing severe illness at higher rates than Delta in the vaccinated/boosted population. Anecdotally, Brian May of Queen has recently talked (on Instagram) about his experience this month with probable Omicron COVID infection after vax/booster: he, his wife, and 8 others were infected at a party of 40 vaccinated people in London and became symptomatic within 2 days. He's well into his 70s, had a fever and bad head cold symptoms for a few days, and is now on the mend with mild sinus symptoms. His wife, also in her 70s, seems not to have been hit quite as hard.

Of course given how contagious Omicron seems to be, the sheer number of cases will mean an uptick in severe cases, even if the ratio of severe to total cases remains the same or even drops slightly.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 22, 2021, 11:38:20 AM
Moderna is supposedly developing an omicron specific booster. I was going to wait to see if I could grab that right before summer vacation season, but reading about the ineffectiveness of 2 dose vaccines vs omicron, especially if you are 6+ months out made me reconsider.

FDA did approve, today, the anti-viral pills that supposedly are 88% effective at preventing hospitalization, including omicron. So, I think if we manage to get through the next ~2 months, then everything short of travel will probably trend back toward normal.

Also, in regards to not going to family gatherings because others are not vaccinated... The current vaccines have been proven very effective at preventing severe disease/death. They have been proven not all that effective at preventing mild/asymptomatic infection.

IE: If you take reasonable precautions in your everyday life, then being around a handful of non-vaccinated people for a few hours does not up your risk for getting/spreading covid by anything significant enough to worry about. And if they are going anyway... you staying home is not doing anything to stop the spread. Its basically a matter of principle at that point, which if you choose to fight that fight, then I wish you luck, but pragmatically, you are not making much of a difference.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 22, 2021, 11:38:43 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?

There are coronaviruses that cause colds, and omicron seems to have picked up some cold coronavirus RNA.  But it is still a Covid-19 variant and we don't know what the Covid component will do to people.  We know what other Covid variants have done to vulnerable people.  So assuming it will be "just a cold" doesn't seem like a safe assumption.

I mean, if I were sure it would be "just a cold" I would be out in the stores instead of doing curb-side pickup.  But I'm not, so I'm not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 22, 2021, 11:42:49 AM
Just like a cold if you have three dozes of a vaccine, and not have a compromised immune system. Which is not like a cold at all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 22, 2021, 11:44:26 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.

Obviously, I guess that I shouldn't dismiss the very high transmission rate. But if the severity of a breakthrough omicron case is "bad cold" then sign me up. That's a joke, I obviously hope to be in the 76% that never gets it. But I guess that the math is different for our Canadian friends that probably got a bunch of AZ doses instead of Pfizer/Moderna.

???  Most of us are Pfizer/Moderna, very few AZ.  I am Pfizer x 3.  I would have had to work at it to get Moderna for my 3rd dose.  AZ is basically not being used much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 22, 2021, 11:50:12 AM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?

There are coronaviruses that cause colds, and omicron seems to have picked up some cold coronavirus RNA.  But it is still a Covid-19 variant and we don't know what the Covid component will do to people.  We know what other Covid variants have done to vulnerable people.  So assuming it will be "just a cold" doesn't seem like a safe assumption.

I mean, if I were sure it would be "just a cold" I would be out in the stores instead of doing curb-side pickup.  But I'm not, so I'm not.

If you are vaxxed and boosted, then the chance of you ending up with a disease that is more than "just a cold" is extremely low. A 63 year old normally has a 10% risk of hospitalization from COVID. Vaccination lowers the risk 94%, to roughly 0.6%. Or 6 out of 1,000 cases. Which is about twice the rate of the common cold, but lower than the flu.

Not my place to tell you that you should be in the stores not doing curbside pickup, but I do think there has been some excessive fear mongering regarding the risk of COVID.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on December 22, 2021, 11:54:03 AM
Just like a cold if you have three dozes of a vaccine, and not have a compromised immune system. Which is not like a cold at all.

Depending on age and other risk factors. RSV is currently, right now, more deadly for children than COVID. No one pulls their children out of school for risk of RSV, but we shut down the education system for 6 months because of COVID?

COVID is deadly, but we need to understand that its deadly for a small segment of the population, who should absolutely be protected, but something like elementary schools should continue as normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on December 22, 2021, 12:06:47 PM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?
Only if we completely ignore the scope (number of infected), transmissibility and severity. Corona viruses are very common. Ones that do this kind of damage are novel.

Obviously, I guess that I shouldn't dismiss the very high transmission rate. But if the severity of a breakthrough omicron case is "bad cold" then sign me up. That's a joke, I obviously hope to be in the 76% that never gets it. But I guess that the math is different for our Canadian friends that probably got a bunch of AZ doses instead of Pfizer/Moderna.

???  Most of us are Pfizer/Moderna, very few AZ.  I am Pfizer x 3.  I would have had to work at it to get Moderna for my 3rd dose.  AZ is basically not being used much.

If you're older or immunocompromised than you've received similar care as the Americans.  The roll-out for everyone else has been pretty slow though.

As a non-immunocompromised 40 year old, I'm one of the 2.3 million Canadians who were given AZ/Covishield as our first dose.  Pfizer second shot.  The earliest opportunity I've been able to to book a booster is early January.  (Not that we know how the boosters work for people who were given an off label vaccine schedule.)  My son has been given his first vaccine dose and is scheduled for his second dose mid-January.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 22, 2021, 12:10:20 PM
Do we not remember talking about how highly effective the vaccines were at preventing the contraction of covid?  Remember?  85-90+% efficacy in preventing covid?  Yes, vaccines are a group project, but they are most certainly supposed to prevent you from getting covid (or maybe you are just trying to be clever by saying "germs land on you" in a literal sense)... at least that's what the scientists were measuring when it was first being tested and approved.  They were supposed to be a shield and advertised as a shield.

Yes, I also remember when officials were saying that a 50% effective vaccine would be a game changer (https://www.cnbc.com/2020/08/18/coronavirus-vaccine-with-50percent-efficacy-would-be-game-changer.html). And it would have been, in the sense that is half the transmission and hospitalization. But obviously 95% > 50%. While I am personally willing to live my life close to "normal" with three doses of Pfizer that doesn't mean that I expect the same from everyone. Now is not the time to need to go to the hospital. That doesn't even take into account that this is an international forum and many people don't have access to three doses of Pfizer.

For me this comment is very timely - yesterday our mother had an accident and wound up in the hospital needing emergency surgery.  She was scheduled to get her booster today, so by most accounts she's at the low-point in her resistance to Covid, while being in an area of very high transmission.  Her condition meant (non-elective) meant she got treatment, but only one visitor (dad) was allowed to be there, and for a very short time. The idea of either of them being surrounded by a bunch of covid+ patients while in their 70s kinda terrifies me, but there's no good options.

Omicron scares me due to its transmissibility, but thankfully early data indicates its slightly less deadly than Delta. But it's rapid spread and global presence will make future variants more likely.  There are dozens of countries where the vaccination rate is <<50%, including massively-large ones like Indonesia and India and Russia.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 22, 2021, 12:11:34 PM
COVID is deadly, but we need to understand that its deadly for a small segment of the population, who should absolutely be protected, but something like elementary schools should continue as normal.

...because no one but children are in schools when they are open. Children are hermetically sealed from the rest of the world, and do not bring germs home, as any parent can attest.

It also helps that the janitorial/cafeteria stuff disproportionally comes from demographics seen as disposable, when seen at all. Remember earlier in this thread, when people posted that they didn't know anyone who died from Covid? Yes, that.

But we've been over it all 30 times already, so I don't even know why bother.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 22, 2021, 12:14:16 PM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?

There are coronaviruses that cause colds, and omicron seems to have picked up some cold coronavirus RNA.  But it is still a Covid-19 variant and we don't know what the Covid component will do to people.  We know what other Covid variants have done to vulnerable people.  So assuming it will be "just a cold" doesn't seem like a safe assumption.

I mean, if I were sure it would be "just a cold" I would be out in the stores instead of doing curb-side pickup.  But I'm not, so I'm not.

If you are vaxxed and boosted, then the chance of you ending up with a disease that is more than "just a cold" is extremely low. A 63 year old normally has a 10% risk of hospitalization from COVID. Vaccination lowers the risk 94%, to roughly 0.6%. Or 6 out of 1,000 cases. Which is about twice the rate of the common cold, but lower than the flu.

Not my place to tell you that you should be in the stores not doing curbside pickup, but I do think there has been some excessive fear mongering regarding the risk of COVID.

To add a data point, my state shows 122007 confirmed cases and 3073 deaths in the 60-69 age bracket since the start of the pandemic. That's a 97.5% survival rate (of confirmed cases, not all infections), including the first 10-11 months when things were most dangerous because highly effective vaccines weren't available yet. It's over 93% survival rate in the 70-79 age group. At one point before vaccines I ran the numbers and no demographic had less than 75% survival rate, even without vaccines. And this is a location where vaccination rates are low and most people were pretty much done with the virus several months ago.

Everybody has to make their own choices, but I agree that the risk of anything serious happening to vaccinated individuals is very low in all age groups at this point. Those who are unvaccinated and older generally have worse odds, but even they are more likely to survive than die from a COVID infection.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Anon-E-Mouze on December 22, 2021, 12:40:01 PM
If you are vaxxed and boosted, then the chance of you ending up with a disease that is more than "just a cold" is extremely low. A 63 year old normally has a 10% risk of hospitalization from COVID. Vaccination lowers the risk 94%, to roughly 0.6%. Or 6 out of 1,000 cases. Which is about twice the rate of the common cold, but lower than the flu.

Not my place to tell you that you should be in the stores not doing curbside pickup, but I do think there has been some excessive fear mongering regarding the risk of COVID.

We just don't have enough peer-reviewed data yet to make that determination. And we also don't know what the long-term effects of mild cases of Omicron COVID will be.

There IS evidence of some people getting mild cases of other COVID strains who then went on to develop serious psychological and/or neurological complications months later (including some rare cases of people developing life-threatening psychosis).

See https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(21)00084-5/fulltext

That study stated:

"Our study provides evidence for substantial neurological and psychiatric morbidity in the 6 months after COVID-19 infection. Risks were greatest in, but not limited to, patients who had severe COVID-19. This information could help in service planning and identification of research priorities. Complementary study designs, including prospective cohorts, are needed to corroborate and explain these findings."

In light of the evidence showing a high degree of transmissibility and infection, combined with limited information on the medium-term effects of even a mild case of an Omicron strain of COVID, I'm cutting back on non-essential activities that expose me to COVID, and taking extra precautions when engaged in "essential" activities.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 22, 2021, 01:04:53 PM
Just heard that 2 people I know slightly in my city, who are in their 30s, have the omicron variant (not surprising, 100% omicron in our wastewater).  Bad cold basically, with fever, fatigue, and headache.  One is double vaccinated, one is boostered.  So much for "back to normal", we are in "it spreads like measles" territory.

Isn't a coronavirus that causes cold symptoms the definition of normal?

There are coronaviruses that cause colds, and omicron seems to have picked up some cold coronavirus RNA.  But it is still a Covid-19 variant and we don't know what the Covid component will do to people.  We know what other Covid variants have done to vulnerable people.  So assuming it will be "just a cold" doesn't seem like a safe assumption.

I mean, if I were sure it would be "just a cold" I would be out in the stores instead of doing curb-side pickup.  But I'm not, so I'm not.

If you are vaxxed and boosted, then the chance of you ending up with a disease that is more than "just a cold" is extremely low. A 63 year old normally has a 10% risk of hospitalization from COVID. Vaccination lowers the risk 94%, to roughly 0.6%. Or 6 out of 1,000 cases. Which is about twice the rate of the common cold, but lower than the flu.

Not my place to tell you that you should be in the stores not doing curbside pickup, but I do think there has been some excessive fear mongering regarding the risk of COVID.

I'm in an at-risk age group (no longer 63), I have so-so lungs as a result of growing up with smokers and working in bad air-quality cities, and have already had bronchitis and pneumonia (many years ago) and mild adult-onset asthma,  so I really don't want to risk lung damage.  Or who knows what kind of long covid omicron will produce?

My last cold (March of 2020) was really nasty.  Even if I caught omicron and it was "just a bad cold", my bad colds are bad.

I basically don't bother to mention all this on the forums, but really when I do my personal risk assessment I have to take everything in my past health history into consideration.  Plus if I visit DD I am also visiting a 6 month old baby.  So what may look low risk to you is being evaluated with more factors than you are seeing.  I'm sure that is true for many of us on here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 02:00:57 PM
???  Most of us are Pfizer/Moderna, very few AZ.  I am Pfizer x 3.  I would have had to work at it to get Moderna for my 3rd dose.  AZ is basically not being used much.

If you're older or immunocompromised than you've received similar care as the Americans.  The roll-out for everyone else has been pretty slow though.

As a non-immunocompromised 40 year old, I'm one of the 2.3 million Canadians who were given AZ/Covishield as our first dose.  Pfizer second shot.  The earliest opportunity I've been able to to book a booster is early January.  (Not that we know how the boosters work for people who were given an off label vaccine schedule.)  My son has been given his first vaccine dose and is scheduled for his second dose mid-January.

Good to know! I honestly keep up more with UK news than Canadian news. I think that they are about 50/50 AZ/Pfizer at this point, with more Pfizer as time goes on.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 22, 2021, 02:06:00 PM
Omicron scares me due to its transmissibility, but thankfully early data indicates its slightly less deadly than Delta.

I saw this today (https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-booster-offers-substantial-protection-against-symptomatic-infection-with-omicron-study-finds-11640191103). That states  "markedly lower risk of hospitalization... The University of Edinburgh study, drawing on the health records of 5.4 million people in Scotland, found the risk of hospitalization with Covid-19 was two-thirds lower with Omicron than with Delta." Of course the catch being that if three times as many people get it then it's a wash.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 22, 2021, 02:19:35 PM

I'm in an at-risk age group (no longer 63), I have so-so lungs as a result of growing up with smokers and working in bad air-quality cities, and have already had bronchitis and pneumonia (many years ago) and mild adult-onset asthma,  so I really don't want to risk lung damage.  Or who knows what kind of long covid omicron will produce?

My last cold (March of 2020) was really nasty.  Even if I caught omicron and it was "just a bad cold", my bad colds are bad.

I basically don't bother to mention all this on the forums, but really when I do my personal risk assessment I have to take everything in my past health history into consideration.  Plus if I visit DD I am also visiting a 6 month old baby.  So what may look low risk to you is being evaluated with more factors than you are seeing.  I'm sure that is true for many of us on here.

I'm in a similar place.  I grew up with smoking in the home (and all the relatives homes), and for the first 6 years with an interstate directly behind the backyard fence.  When we moved our new house was 600 feet from another major interstate.  I've always lived in a high pollution area -- my county averages 50 "good" air quality days per year.  I've had asthma since I was an infant.  Add in childhood poverty and poor nutrition.

A bad cold is never "just" a bad cold for me -- I almost always end up with bronchitis and spend a couple of months recovering from it.  Sometimes it's pneumonia instead.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 22, 2021, 04:44:51 PM

I'm in an at-risk age group (no longer 63), I have so-so lungs as a result of growing up with smokers and working in bad air-quality cities, and have already had bronchitis and pneumonia (many years ago) and mild adult-onset asthma,  so I really don't want to risk lung damage.  Or who knows what kind of long covid omicron will produce?

My last cold (March of 2020) was really nasty.  Even if I caught omicron and it was "just a bad cold", my bad colds are bad.

I basically don't bother to mention all this on the forums, but really when I do my personal risk assessment I have to take everything in my past health history into consideration.  Plus if I visit DD I am also visiting a 6 month old baby.  So what may look low risk to you is being evaluated with more factors than you are seeing.  I'm sure that is true for many of us on here.

I'm in a similar place.  I grew up with smoking in the home (and all the relatives homes), and for the first 6 years with an interstate directly behind the backyard fence.  When we moved our new house was 600 feet from another major interstate.  I've always lived in a high pollution area -- my county averages 50 "good" air quality days per year.  I've had asthma since I was an infant.  Add in childhood poverty and poor nutrition.

A bad cold is never "just" a bad cold for me -- I almost always end up with bronchitis and spend a couple of months recovering from it.  Sometimes it's pneumonia instead.

Add the thing is, from the outside, we "look healthy".  On the inside, we are doing our best to stay healthy.  And my accessible parking permit is for my bad knees, and they don't show either.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 22, 2021, 05:44:09 PM
Post after post, I don't know why I continue to be amazed.  But whether this is because it's just not how some people think about the world, or because they don't want to see it, the fact that some people think of the risk to others, not just to themselves, seems to be willfully ignored.

As a 40-something with no underlying health issues other than a bit of extra weight (but not obese), yes, I'd probably be fine if I got Covid, with my 3 doses of Moderna.  But I care about my neighbors and my friends and the people who work at the grocery story and the friend of a friend of a friend of those people. I'll likely be fine, but it's also very likely that not all of those people would be fine.  That's why I'm still masking and I'm staying home more and I don't want to go to large gatherings--especially with unvaxxed folks.  Because I don't want to contribute to the exponential thread of this thing that certainly will kill and badly harm others, and will likely inundate our health care system so that even those without Covid have worse medical outcomes.

"You are vaxxed so you'll be fine" is such a selfish, short-sighted take on all this. I think about people other than myself, and thankfully, many others do as well. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Britan on December 23, 2021, 05:24:58 AM
This is what baffles me about “why cancel plans to see family just because they aren’t vaccinated? It’s not like YOULL get sick or die.” Well, just because I think they’re factually wrong doesn’t mean I hate them and want them to get long COVID, be hospitalized, or die? There was so much pushback from the anti-vax in my huge extended family when some of the vaccinated did not want to go to the 100+ person family reunion. Like, Uncle Joe, I know that you’re incorrect and I also have personal distain for your politics but I still couldn’t forgive myself if I brought asymptomatic COVID and it killed you.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 05:28:19 AM
Post after post, I don't know why I continue to be amazed.  But whether this is because it's just not how some people think about the world, or because they don't want to see it, the fact that some people think of the risk to others, not just to themselves, seems to be willfully ignored.

As a 40-something with no underlying health issues other than a bit of extra weight (but not obese), yes, I'd probably be fine if I got Covid, with my 3 doses of Moderna.  But I care about my neighbors and my friends and the people who work at the grocery story and the friend of a friend of a friend of those people. I'll likely be fine, but it's also very likely that not all of those people would be fine.  That's why I'm still masking and I'm staying home more and I don't want to go to large gatherings--especially with unvaxxed folks.  Because I don't want to contribute to the exponential thread of this thing that certainly will kill and badly harm others, and will likely inundate our health care system so that even those without Covid have worse medical outcomes.

"You are vaxxed so you'll be fine" is such a selfish, short-sighted take on all this. I think about people other than myself, and thankfully, many others do as well.

"You are vaxxed so you'll be fine" isn't much different to me than saying "Get vaxxed so we can all be fine" which has pretty much been the messaging since before vaccines were available. Getting the vaccine has selfish aspects too. I'm vaxxed because it reduces my personal risk. People have some responsibility for their own risk of exposure. Those who are most concerned about contracting an illness (for any reason at all), need to limit all contact with other people regardless of their own vaccination status or the vax status of the people they're around. Those who are least concerned about the risk are living lives as normal, unvaxxed. There are a whole lot of people on the spectrum in between those two extremes.

I've taken the steps that I feel are prudent so that I'm comfortable with the risk of going out in public. My assumption is that everybody else going out in public is also accepting of any risk simply by being there, and has taken whatever steps they feel are appropriate for themselves. If they're unvaxxed and get sick, that's a consequence of their own choices. If they're vaxxed but not masking or keeping distance and they get sick, that's a consequence of their own choices.

Circle of control applies here. Control what you can, plan for what you cannot, and then accept it. This is a lot like determining a proper asset allocation to me. You need to determine the risk level associated with the available options (hopefully based on data and not just bears predicting the next recession or spreading fear about a virus without factual support), determine your personal risk tolerance, and make choices based on that. I'm assuming that other people are also (selfishly) determining what is best for their specific situations. I cannot realistically control whether a friend of a friend of a friend loses a ton of money in the market after betting huge on crypto. They're responsible for knowing and accepting the risks involved, and they have to deal with any consequences from their choices. By that same token, I cannot completely eliminate the small possibility of playing a role in a friend of a friend of a friend getting sick without removing myself from society. And if that person is interacting with others in society, they're presumably accepting of some level of risk too. They're responsible for knowing and accepting the risks involved, and they have to deal with any consequences from their choices.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 23, 2021, 06:58:20 AM
And if that person is interacting with others in society, they're presumably accepting of some level of risk too. They're responsible for knowing and accepting the risks involved, and they have to deal with any consequences from their choices.

Interacting with people in society is not optional.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Virtus3 on December 23, 2021, 07:16:59 AM
I continue to be amazed and frustrated by this pandemic; has definitely shown how selfish a large number of people can be.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on December 23, 2021, 07:19:39 AM
I continue to be amazed and frustrated by this pandemic; has definitely shown how selfish a large number of people can be.

And (willfully?) ignorant.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 23, 2021, 07:23:14 AM
And if that person is interacting with others in society, they're presumably accepting of some level of risk too. They're responsible for knowing and accepting the risks involved, and they have to deal with any consequences from their choices.

Interacting with people in society is not optional.

Yes people in this position are already forced to do all these things. That's not being debated. The debate is why other people decide not to care about improving the odds for anyone else.

And this part of the discussion ignores the fact that if a lot of people require hospitalization for Covid there will be a lot of collateral damage.  All the people who needed to be in hospital for non-Covid reasons have seen available care diminish.  Elective surgeries (knee and hip replacements are elective, so not just trivial things) are put off.  Plus we are in winter, where cars slide on the ice and snow and people fall on the ice, and the ER is busy anyway.  So - basically don't fall, don't have any kind of accident, don't cut yourself or burn yourself in the kitchen, don't have any sudden medical condition, because all the people who aren't thinking of others are taking up the hospital space.  This puts everyone at risk no matter how many Covid precautions they take.

ETA neo von retorch posted this link over in Off Topic- the non-vaxxing GOP thread -  and it is well worth reading in the context of Covid.

https://www.betterleadersbetterschools.com/second-order-thinking/ (https://www.betterleadersbetterschools.com/second-order-thinking/)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Virtus3 on December 23, 2021, 07:27:57 AM
I continue to be amazed and frustrated by this pandemic; has definitely shown how selfish a large number of people can be.

And (willfully?) ignorant.

Absolutely! Although this seemed to be more prevalent pre-COVID as well...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 08:27:18 AM
And if that person is interacting with others in society, they're presumably accepting of some level of risk too. They're responsible for knowing and accepting the risks involved, and they have to deal with any consequences from their choices.

Interacting with people in society is not optional.

Then everybody had better figure out whatever steps they need to take to mitigate their personal risk exposure, which is mostly what this thread has been about -->Learning to live with covid.

Your point is kind of my point too. There is no society without interaction. There is no interaction without risk. Control what you can control, do what you need to do to mitigate risk so that you can be comfortable in society, and deal with whatever comes up. If you want or need to be more cautious, then by all means take those steps.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 08:36:34 AM
I've taken the steps that I feel are prudent so that I'm comfortable with the risk of going out in public. My assumption is that everybody else going out in public is also accepting of any risk simply by being there, and has taken whatever steps they feel are appropriate for themselves. If they're unvaxxed and get sick, that's a consequence of their own choices. If they're vaxxed but not masking or keeping distance and they get sick, that's a consequence of their own choices.
But there's the rub. If they fully expect to utilize the strained resources of the healthcare system then they aren't accepting the risk of getting sick.

I'd contend that the ability to seek treatment should absolutely be considered in one's risk determination. Just like an investment asset allocation, things are fluid and changes may be needed based on external factors. You don't invest the exact same way for your entire life. You don't spend the exact same amount of money every year once you're retired. The risk/reward calculations are something that need constant awareness and flexibility.
If your local healthcare system is in bad shape, then it's probably wise to avoid risky behavior and activities. But again, that risk depends on individual factors (vax status, age, overall health, and the specific risky behavior too).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 23, 2021, 08:43:31 AM
Then everybody had better figure out whatever steps they need to take to mitigate their personal risk exposure, which is mostly what this thread has been about -->Learning to live with covid.

Your point is kind of my point too. There is no society without interaction. There is no interaction without risk. Control what you can control, do what you need to do to mitigate risk so that you can be comfortable in society, and deal with whatever comes up. If you want or need to be more cautious, then by all means take those steps.

You keep putting the onus on people who are vulnerable to Covid. Trust me, they are already doing what they can. You avoid even acknowledging it, time after time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 08:46:04 AM
Then everybody had better figure out whatever steps they need to take to mitigate their personal risk exposure, which is mostly what this thread has been about -->Learning to live with covid.

Your point is kind of my point too. There is no society without interaction. There is no interaction without risk. Control what you can control, do what you need to do to mitigate risk so that you can be comfortable in society, and deal with whatever comes up. If you want or need to be more cautious, then by all means take those steps.

You keep putting the onus on people who are vulnerable to Covid. Trust me, they are already doing what they can. You avoid even acknowledging it, time after time.

Yes, you are more responsible for your own safety than the rest of society is for your safety. If you're lucky, there may be some helpful regulations in place for certain things to increase safety but that's not always the case.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 23, 2021, 08:50:51 AM
Just like an investment asset allocation, things are fluid and changes may be needed based on external factors.

Once me buying VTI starts killing my neighbors' parents, I'll consider the analogy perfectly sensible.

Safety is a team sport. You cannot be individually safe. Your illusion of being primarily responsible for your own safety is enabled by massive collective effort and expense. That this effort is invisible to you only speaks to its efficiency. You'd notice it, though, as soon as the machinery started breaking down.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 09:13:34 AM
you are more responsible for your own safety than the rest of society is for your safety

Sure, more responsible. No one argued against this.

But what I hear you saying is that "everyone is solely responsible for themselves, and others shouldn't concern themselves."

Under what conditions are you willing to change your behavior in order to improve the odds that others have decreased risk and/or benefits?

I'm vaccinated. I wear a mask for 10-12hrs per day at work, and any other time that it's required or requested. I stay home if I'm not feeling well and communicate to others that might come into contact with me that I'm not feeling well before that potential contact so they may make their own choices. Outside of that I don't feel much of a need to restrict my behavior for a distant, ambiguous, intangible societal benefit. If I want to eat in a restaurant or go to a sporting event or visit close friends I do it, and accept all risks associated with that. If my local hospital is overcrowded, then I might skip using the chainsaw for awhile or whatever potentially risky behavior I might normally not give a second thought to.

A previous poster gave an example of skipping a family reunion because they didn't want to risk asymptomatic spread of the virus to unvaxxed family. While that's admirable, if I were in that situation and my only concern truly was the health of others, I'd just take a test before hand and as long as the results were negative I'd go to the reunion. The unvaxxed have generally made their choices at this point. If they're not going to show concern for their own safety or take steps to mitigate their risk then why should I restrict myself beyond what I already do?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 23, 2021, 09:24:18 AM
Paper chaser, you are starting to remind me of hash brown in your unwillingness to see that choices you think are valid may be valid from your viewpoint, but are real risks from a society viewpoint.  You are certainly a good example of the American rugged individualist thinking, as opposed to the American barn-raising we are all in this together and help each other thinking. 

I'm not going to bother replying to you any more.  I'm too old for this nonsense, I will conserve my energy for more useful endeavours.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 23, 2021, 09:38:10 AM
Then everybody had better figure out whatever steps they need to take to mitigate their personal risk exposure, which is mostly what this thread has been about -->Learning to live with covid.

Your point is kind of my point too. There is no society without interaction. There is no interaction without risk. Control what you can control, do what you need to do to mitigate risk so that you can be comfortable in society, and deal with whatever comes up. If you want or need to be more cautious, then by all means take those steps.

You keep putting the onus on people who are vulnerable to Covid. Trust me, they are already doing what they can. You avoid even acknowledging it, time after time.

Yes, you are more responsible for your own safety than the rest of society is for your safety. If you're lucky, there may be some helpful regulations in place for certain things to increase safety but that's not always the case.

this does not make any sense to me.  I can think of countless situations where actions are required to protect other people's safety, and not your own. In fact, in the US we seem willing to allow individuals to assume an abnormally high level of risk so long as it doesn't put other people in danger. Legislation often happens not because it impacts your personal safety, but those of bystanders.  As an example, take a look at smoking laws - almost all of them focus on the impacts of second-hand smoke. In other words, impacts to the rest of society, and not personal safety.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NaN on December 23, 2021, 09:39:50 AM
Paper chaser, you are starting to remind me of hash brown in your unwillingness to see that choices you think are valid may be valid from your viewpoint, but are real risks from a society viewpoint.  You are certainly a good example of the American rugged individualist thinking, as opposed to the American barn-raising we are all in this together and help each other thinking. 

I'm not going to bother replying to you any more.  I'm too old for this nonsense, I will conserve my energy for more useful endeavours.

That whole forum conversation with hash brown and his comments was terrible. I so like your replies here, @RetiredAt63, but reading @Paper Chaser comments I respectively don't see the comparison with that other situation. I just scanned his comments and don't even think they compare.

On the more relevant side, here is an interesting article: https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/22/omicron-could-potentially-hasten-the-covid-pandemics-end-says-expert.html

Maybe getting back to normal will happen one way or another soon. I hope so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 23, 2021, 09:58:14 AM
Paper chaser, you are starting to remind me of hash brown in your unwillingness to see that choices you think are valid may be valid from your viewpoint, but are real risks from a society viewpoint.  You are certainly a good example of the American rugged individualist thinking, as opposed to the American barn-raising we are all in this together and help each other thinking. 

I'm not going to bother replying to you any more.  I'm too old for this nonsense, I will conserve my energy for more useful endeavours.

First it was "Stay home for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Wear a mask for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Get vaccinated for the greater good. We're all in this together". I've done those things, and I'll continue to do them as needed (staying home when feeling sick, wearing a mask when requested, etc). I'm abiding by all local regulations. I've followed the rules and expectations of society throughout this pandemic and will continue to. I'm simply not going above and beyond those rules and expectations. If that's not enough for you then you're free to judge as you see fit I guess.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 23, 2021, 10:15:46 AM
Paper chaser, you are starting to remind me of hash brown in your unwillingness to see that choices you think are valid may be valid from your viewpoint, but are real risks from a society viewpoint.  You are certainly a good example of the American rugged individualist thinking, as opposed to the American barn-raising we are all in this together and help each other thinking. 

I'm not going to bother replying to you any more.  I'm too old for this nonsense, I will conserve my energy for more useful endeavours.

First it was "Stay home for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Wear a mask for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Get vaccinated for the greater good. We're all in this together". I've done those things, and I'll continue to do them as needed (staying home when feeling sick, wearing a mask when requested, etc). I'm abiding by all local regulations. I've followed the rules and expectations of society throughout this pandemic and will continue to. I'm simply not going above and beyond those rules and expectations. If that's not enough for you then you're free to judge as you see fit I guess.

It's just that you are following the rules without really seeming to see the need for them.  Without seeing that some people are going to be more vulnerable despite all their choices because of other peoples' choices. 

Maybe I am mis-interpreting your posts.  Let's let it rest.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 23, 2021, 11:17:30 AM
Just like an investment asset allocation, things are fluid and changes may be needed based on external factors.

Once me buying VTI starts killing my neighbors' parents, I'll consider the analogy perfectly sensible.

Are you saying that none of the execs that got bonuses paid in stock used that money to fund pro-Trump PACs that eventually lead to loosened health care regulation, environmental regulation, insurrectionists, or anti-vaxxers? What did Vanguard do with their voting rights for the shares that you helped them buy? I don't think that it is a stretch at all to say that all of us index investors have blood on our hands.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 24, 2021, 07:22:48 AM
As much as we talk about getting back to “normal” (whatever that means), it should be clear that we’re not there yet.

From The NY Times: Over 3,000 Christmas Eve and Christmas Day flights are cancelled globally as Omicron spreads (NY Times, Dec. 24, 2021, updated from 2,000 since I started writing this post) (https://www.nytimes.com/2021/12/23/us/canceled-flights-omicron.html)

And a sobering one from my local paper: Michigan hospitals ‘teetering’ under current COVID-19 surge (Dearborn/Dearborn Heights (MI) Press & Guide, Dec. 23, 2021) (https://www.pressandguide.com/2021/12/22/michigan-hospitals-teetering-under-current-covid-19-surge/)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on December 24, 2021, 07:51:16 AM
If Omicron hospitalizations are as low as they've been in South Africa & UK, the biggest problem is going to be people out of work for illness and self quarantines.  Businesses will need to temporarily shut their doors, flights and other transportation cancelled, hospital staff will be low, etc. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 24, 2021, 09:37:03 AM
If Omicron hospitalizations are as low as they've been in South Africa & UK, the biggest problem is going to be people out of work for illness and self quarantines.  Businesses will need to temporarily shut their doors, flights and other transportation cancelled, hospital staff will be low, etc.

So the “best case” scenario is looking fairly bad.
Curious what makes people assume things in the US will be no worse than what they are experiencing in the UK. We have less of our population fully vaccinated and we certainly are not any healthier to begin with. The UK has been better on a whole at implementing restrictive measures than the US, and doesn’t have a huge subset who fall outside the healthcare system.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on December 24, 2021, 09:59:26 AM
If Omicron hospitalizations are as low as they've been in South Africa & UK, the biggest problem is going to be people out of work for illness and self quarantines.  Businesses will need to temporarily shut their doors, flights and other transportation cancelled, hospital staff will be low, etc.


Based on what?  My understanding is that while the hospitalization rate per case is lower for O than for D, because the overall number of cases is supposed to me much, much higher, our hospitals are unlikely to experience much of a break, compared to D. Oh, and with hospital staff out for illness, the already short-staffed hospitals will be even short-staffed as they try to wade through the mass of sick bodies landing on their door step. 

That's seems like a pretty big "biggest problem" 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 24, 2021, 11:58:47 AM
Curious what makes people assume things in the US will be no worse than what they are experiencing in the UK. We have less of our population fully vaccinated and we certainly are not any healthier to begin with. The UK has been better on a whole at implementing restrictive measures than the US, and doesn’t have a huge subset who fall outside the healthcare system.

I think that some people are hopeful because half of the UK got AZ while most of the US got Moderna or Pfizer. The UK has certainly been different that the US in lockdown policy. They had a strict lockdown that got their numbers into a really good place and then opened up the bars before vaccines were available then of course had to reimpose restrictions. I actually thought that sounded like the worst possible thing to do to you population but I didn't live through it as I was here at the time. There is a big fight in England right now about what is to be done.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on December 24, 2021, 12:09:21 PM
Curious what makes people assume things in the US will be no worse than what they are experiencing in the UK. We have less of our population fully vaccinated and we certainly are not any healthier to begin with. The UK has been better on a whole at implementing restrictive measures than the US, and doesn’t have a huge subset who fall outside the healthcare system.

I think that some people are hopeful because half of the UK got AZ while most of the US got Moderna or Pfizer. The UK has certainly been different that the US in lockdown policy. They had a strict lockdown that got their numbers into a really good place and then opened up the bars before vaccines were available then of course had to reimpose restrictions. I actually thought that sounded like the worst possible thing to do to you population but I didn't live through it as I was here at the time. There is a big fight in England right now about what is to be done.

The unlocking in 2020 in the UK was a mess, but the 2021 unlocking was going very well indeed before Omicron came along.  We kept things tight until enough people were vaxxed and then opened up to get to 'living with Covid' in advance of the winter.

Omicron has changed things, but most of the people who had AZ have also had a Pfizer booster which is a combination that gives really good immunity.  The jury is very much out on Omicron.  Cases are growing, but not exponentially.  Almost everyone even vaguely vulnerable is triple vaxxed and many have also had exposure to earlier variants.  If we do have to lock down because the NHS is overwhelmed, my guess is that it's more likely to be because NHS staff with mild cases are isolating than because of a glut of patients, but it's still too early to be sure.

I would be a lot more nervous about the US system coping as you have so many more unprotected people than we do.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 24, 2021, 01:06:44 PM
Curious what makes people assume things in the US will be no worse than what they are experiencing in the UK. We have less of our population fully vaccinated and we certainly are not any healthier to begin with. The UK has been better on a whole at implementing restrictive measures than the US, and doesn’t have a huge subset who fall outside the healthcare system.

I think that some people are hopeful because half of the UK got AZ while most of the US got Moderna or Pfizer. The UK has certainly been different that the US in lockdown policy. They had a strict lockdown that got their numbers into a really good place and then opened up the bars before vaccines were available then of course had to reimpose restrictions. I actually thought that sounded like the worst possible thing to do to you population but I didn't live through it as I was here at the time. There is a big fight in England right now about what is to be done.

The unlocking in 2020 in the UK was a mess, but the 2021 unlocking was going very well indeed before Omicron came along.  We kept things tight until enough people were vaxxed and then opened up to get to 'living with Covid' in advance of the winter.

Omicron has changed things, but most of the people who had AZ have also had a Pfizer booster which is a combination that gives really good immunity.  The jury is very much out on Omicron.  Cases are growing, but not exponentially.  Almost everyone even vaguely vulnerable is triple vaxxed and many have also had exposure to earlier variants.  If we do have to lock down because the NHS is overwhelmed, my guess is that it's more likely to be because NHS staff with mild cases are isolating than because of a glut of patients, but it's still too early to be sure.

I would be a lot more nervous about the US system coping as you have so many more unprotected people than we do.
There is also a thought that AZ is not as good at Pfizer or Moderna at preventing infection (antibodies) but is better at preventing serious illness and death (T-cells), and that this is part of the reason why although our Delta and Omicron infection numbers are both high our death rate (which started out as one of the worst in the world) is steadily trending downwards as against other countries. Plus, as Phil says, a lot of recent effort has gone into boosters: 32 million out of an adult population of 55 million have already been boosted and we are averaging over three quarters of a million boosters every day.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 24, 2021, 01:19:33 PM
I would be a lot more nervous about the US system coping as you have so many more unprotected people than we do.

Indeed, the US as a whole is not as well protected as the UK 61.7% vs 70.2% total population being fully vaccinated. The UK also has better testing because we've had two consecutive administrations really mess that up. But the USA isn't really one place anymore. Vermont, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, Maine, Guam, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and New York have a higher vaccination rate than the UK. Obviously, they have less to worry about than the states where only half the population is vaccinated. The US also opened up boosters to everyone 16+ before the UK did (actually, the UK still hasn't for 16-17).* Everyone I know is fully vaxxed in the urban pockets that I frequent.

* - and you can still get a dose today if you are affluent enough to have access to a car and some time
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Sibley on December 24, 2021, 07:45:29 PM
Maybe this has been asked and answered, but how far do you push asking people if they've been vaccinated? Case in point, I use a couple of different veterinarians. One of them has been faithfully following the protocol of clients staying in their cars, the (fully masked) staff runs the pets back and forth. The other is a different situation - I didn't visit during the early onset of the pandemic, but not long afterward they were allowing clients into the waiting room. Masking was hit and miss. Lo and behold, that practice had to shut down in August when Delta was raging. I haven't been back to them and I'm not sure I want to unless I know why they had their shutdown and if they have now changed their practices. Is it even legal to ask a small business about vax status?

Ask. Of course that is legal. If they refuse to answer, you have your answer.

You are free to ask, but I would bet that most businesses answer either "that's none of your business" or "we are in compliance will all OSHA requirements." My company HR department knows everyone's vaccination status. We don't hand it out to people who walk in the door asking for it.

Its a curious thing. I have found, without exception at this point, that if you ask if someone is vaccinated and the response is anything other than an immediate "yes", they're not vaccinated. None of your business = not vaccinated. HIPAA violation = not vaccinated. Weird ramblings about vaccines = not vaccinated. It works in real life, it works online, I have not come across a single individual where this rule doesn't apply.

Businesses are the same way. If they have a policy of wearing masks, requiring vaccination, etc, they'll tell you outright. If they don't, you'll get some other answer. Policies are meant to be shared. How well the policy is followed, enforcement, etc is different. But they'll tell you the if there's a policy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on December 24, 2021, 10:19:51 PM
Regarding the op question - we are hoping omicron burns through quickly and we can get back to relatively normal in a month or so. We are wearing kn95s in public indoor areas or if in an outdoor crowd. Will drop them once the wave passes through. This seems a reasonable compromise long-term.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 25, 2021, 04:32:47 PM
There's been a lot of discussion of what it means to live with Covid.

I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

I'll start with one of each.

Old normal: Downtown office workers back in their cubes.  Urban centers as presently configured will die without them.

New normal: Delivery everything is an awesome option.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on December 25, 2021, 05:11:41 PM
I’m not that attached to big city downtowns, honestly.

I think our “normal” is going to be in motion for a while, and not for the first time in my lifetime. But I think that people can do pretty much whatever normal they want at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 25, 2021, 05:21:42 PM

I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

Things I want back:  the right to choose to wear or not wear a mask for myself, my family and kids in nearly every scenario.  A return to a life of appropriate levels of caution and reliability for schools, daycares, anywhere involving mostly low risk children , more similar to a pre-covid flu season.  A reduction of the level of paranoia regarding socializing and vaccination status.  For example, I do not think vaccination status should be checked at the door of restaurants and I don't think families should be refusing to gather based on vaccination status disparities. (Please note, I am fully vaxxed).

Things I want to stay:  a heightened level of consideration not to come to work send a child to school when you are not well.  Options for curbside pickup.  Using zoom meetings rather than flying across the country on a regular basis for face-to-face.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on December 25, 2021, 05:24:03 PM
I'd like "back to normal" - new normal - to include masking being something people normally do (and not looked at as if you're strange if you do) and it not being acceptable to go to work or other things when you're sick. It's been amazing not having a flu season for two years, or a common cold. As a result of masking and social distancing, we may have eliminated one version of flu during the pandemic - https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2021-10-21/influenza-virus-yamagata-eradication-vaccine-covid-pandemic/100546836
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 25, 2021, 05:38:19 PM
Businesses are the same way. If they have a policy of wearing masks, requiring vaccination, etc, they'll tell you outright. If they don't, you'll get some other answer. Policies are meant to be shared. How well the policy is followed, enforcement, etc is different. But they'll tell you the if there's a policy.

I would agree that businesses are likely to be forthcoming with their policy on masks, vaccines, or anything else. But where I work our policy is to follow all the rules. So, OSHA, CDC, and local. If there is a rule, we'll enforce/follow it. But also, I work with a bunch of engineers. We aren't dumb. We all got vaccinated the first day that we could, but that wasn't the policy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 25, 2021, 05:41:28 PM
I'd like "back to normal" - new normal - to include masking being something people normally do (and not looked at as if you're strange if you do) and it not being acceptable to go to work or other things when you're sick.

I too want this. If I'm sick I want to be able to stay home. If other people are sick I want them to stay home. If I'm on a crowded subway car I want the option to wear a mask without the cops looking at me funny.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 25, 2021, 06:03:27 PM

Things I want to stay:  a heightened level of consideration not to come to work send a child to school when you are not well.  Options for curbside pickup.  Using zoom meetings rather than flying across the country on a regular basis for face-to-face.

All of the above I’d like to stay, plus:
Telemedicine as an option. More WFH options, particularly in fields/tasks where there’s no need to be there in person. Paying people directly with eTransfers (that has been the default n most of the world for over a decade). Social acceptance of wearing a mask, whether it’s to protect others or oneself. The focus on indoor air quality. Being able to order alcoholic beverages “to go”.

Things I’d like to return to pre-pandemic normal:
General supply chains. Not having thousand die every week from a (now) disease with a great vaccine.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on December 25, 2021, 07:42:31 PM
I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

The big one for me is wanting to be able to travel uninhibited. Meaning not have stuff get cancelled, borders suddenly close, or have to quarantine, get a pile of Covid tests, etc. I also really would not want to wear a mask for a 14 hour flight since I already struggle a lot to get comfortable enough to sleep at all. Even for local travel within our province, I've had to cancel trips when they did things like ban travel between different health regions.

I really enjoyed working from home for most of the pandemic. I'm back at the office now, but with the new spike I suspect they'll send us all home again soon.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 25, 2021, 07:50:59 PM

I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

Things I want back:  the right to choose to wear or not wear a mask for myself, my family and kids in nearly every scenario.  A return to a life of appropriate levels of caution and reliability for schools, daycares, anywhere involving mostly low risk children , more similar to a pre-covid flu season.  A reduction of the level of paranoia regarding socializing and vaccination status.  For example, I do not think vaccination status should be checked at the door of restaurants and I don't think families should be refusing to gather based on vaccination status disparities. (Please note, I am fully vaxxed).

Things I want to stay:  a heightened level of consideration not to come to work send a child to school when you are not well.  Options for curbside pickup.  Using zoom meetings rather than flying across the country on a regular basis for face-to-face.

I agree with you on all the things you want to stay but am otherwise confused. You want the freedom to decide whether or not to wear a mask but don't think other people should be able to choose whether or not they want to socialize with family members who are or are not vaccinated? You can't have it both ways.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 25, 2021, 08:00:49 PM

I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

Things I want back:  the right to choose to wear or not wear a mask for myself, my family and kids in nearly every scenario.  A return to a life of appropriate levels of caution and reliability for schools, daycares, anywhere involving mostly low risk children , more similar to a pre-covid flu season.  A reduction of the level of paranoia regarding socializing and vaccination status.  For example, I do not think vaccination status should be checked at the door of restaurants and I don't think families should be refusing to gather based on vaccination status disparities. (Please note, I am fully vaxxed).

Things I want to stay:  a heightened level of consideration not to come to work send a child to school when you are not well.  Options for curbside pickup.  Using zoom meetings rather than flying across the country on a regular basis for face-to-face.

I agree with you on all the things you want to stay but am otherwise confused. You want the freedom to decide whether or not to wear a mask but don't think other people should be able to choose whether or not they want to socialize with family members who are or are not vaccinated? You can't have it both ways.

It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 25, 2021, 09:10:08 PM

I'm curious what sort of "back to normal" people are craving. 

What parts of the old normal do people want back?

What parts of the present abnormal do people want to retain?

Things I want back:  the right to choose to wear or not wear a mask for myself, my family and kids in nearly every scenario.  A return to a life of appropriate levels of caution and reliability for schools, daycares, anywhere involving mostly low risk children , more similar to a pre-covid flu season.  A reduction of the level of paranoia regarding socializing and vaccination status.  For example, I do not think vaccination status should be checked at the door of restaurants and I don't think families should be refusing to gather based on vaccination status disparities. (Please note, I am fully vaxxed).

Things I want to stay:  a heightened level of consideration not to come to work send a child to school when you are not well.  Options for curbside pickup.  Using zoom meetings rather than flying across the country on a regular basis for face-to-face.

I agree with you on all the things you want to stay but am otherwise confused. You want the freedom to decide whether or not to wear a mask but don't think other people should be able to choose whether or not they want to socialize with family members who are or are not vaccinated? You can't have it both ways.

It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

It’s nice to want things, but if you think other people shouldn’t have a choice in whether you wear a mask or not, then you have to extend the same respect and freedom of choice to others regarding their decision about who enters their home or private business depending on vaccine status.

Lots of things are never going back to the way they were before. This type of paradigm shift happens regularly and for various reasons. Another one was 9/11. Travel has never gone back to the way it was on Sept. 10, 2001.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on December 26, 2021, 12:04:59 AM

All of the above I’d like to stay, plus:
Telemedicine as an option.

We’ve been really liking telemedicine. Instead of travelling 4 hrs round trip to see DH’s oncologist for a checkup every few months, we’ve been doing every other visit as a telemedicine checkup since it is mostly to say everything looks normal.

Interestingly, I talked to our doctor nephew a couple of days ago when doing a porch visit to drop off presents. He mentioned that most of his patients have been requesting phone appointments. He’s willing to accommodate but many times, they have issues where he does need to see them in person. So now he’s having to spend double the time on a patient. Once by phone, then again in person.

He understands why they are asking for telemedicine but it has really increased his already full workload.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on December 26, 2021, 02:06:34 AM
One part of the new normal I really hope stays is people being friendlier with their neighbours.  When lockdowns were limiting us all to daily walks around the neighbourhood, we saw and talked to more people than ever before.  In a socially distanced manner of course.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on December 26, 2021, 07:39:01 AM
I would love if we could go back to where the prevailing sentiment was that anti-vaxxers were fringe wackos whom you spoke about in the same hushed tones as flat-earthers or moon landing nuts, instead of half of one of the major political parties. 

Sorry not sorry.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on December 26, 2021, 07:50:05 AM
All the long-time antivaxxers we know voted for Bernie, HRC, and Biden. It seemed positive that Trump recently spoke out publicly to encourage his supporters to get one of the covid vaccines.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on December 26, 2021, 08:35:53 AM
All the long-time antivaxxers we know voted for Bernie, HRC, and Biden. It seemed positive that Trump recently spoke out publicly to encourage his supporters to get one of the covid vaccines.

Yes, before 2020, my impression is that the anti-vaxxers were on both political extremes, not necessarily right wing - both the Gwyneth Paltrows and the Cliven Bundys of the world (don't know if either is really anti-vax, but you get my drift). 

I mean, I still think those career anti-vaxxers are wackos, but it's the giant horde of people who had no problems with all of their vaccines suddenly became anti-this vax because Fox News/televangelists/politicians/whatever that truly boggle my mind.  Yes, I'm related to some of them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 26, 2021, 09:59:09 AM
So the consistent theme that seems to run through almost all of these "return to normal" scenarios is a desire to have fewer limitations and more freedom for each individual to choose what's right for them.

Based on these responses, it seems like most people want the freedom to choose to stay home if they're sick. They want to work remotely if possible, but having an option to work onsite appeals to many as well. They want to be able to wear a mask, or not wear a mask in public as they see fit, or go into stores/restaurants, or easily pick items up curbside or have them delivered, or travel freely.

Although we each prioritize differently, fewer restrictions and more flexibility seems to be enjoyed by pretty much everybody.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on December 26, 2021, 10:06:26 AM

Although we each prioritize differently, fewer restrictions and more flexibility seems to be enjoyed by pretty much everybody.

Perhaps a more cynical take is that we all want to maximize our own freedom and flexibility (wear a mask or not, go to the office or not, go to a doctor's appointment virtually or in person), while also simultaneously hoping to arrange the behavior of others (other people should/shouldn't wear masks, school should be in person, others should be vaccinated) according to our preferences and convenience.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 26, 2021, 10:16:46 AM
So the consistent theme that seems to run through almost all of these "return to normal" scenarios is a desire to have fewer limitations and more freedom for each individual to choose what's right for them.


I wouldn’t put it like that. One of the frustrating parts for us is how many people in our region have forgone ‘personal responsibility’ and faked/refused vaccines, continued to have close contact with the general public and have avoided most basic precautions at spreading the virus.

As a direct result we find ourselves where we are.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on December 26, 2021, 11:27:20 AM
went to beach pizza restaurant yesterday. it was busy. had a 5 minute wait to get seated, preference was outdoors, but we got an indoor table for 10-12 (7 of us). Tables were not very close to each other, maybe 4-5 feet apart. No masks in there (we are vaccinated/boosted). Felt normal pre-covid. Great to see everyone having fun and banter with the awesome staff.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on December 26, 2021, 06:44:38 PM
Omicron scares me due to its transmissibility, but thankfully early data indicates its slightly less deadly than Delta.

I saw this today (https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-booster-offers-substantial-protection-against-symptomatic-infection-with-omicron-study-finds-11640191103). That states  "markedly lower risk of hospitalization... The University of Edinburgh study, drawing on the health records of 5.4 million people in Scotland, found the risk of hospitalization with Covid-19 was two-thirds lower with Omicron than with Delta." Of course the catch being that if three times as many people get it then it's a wash.
Except they did not account for vaccinate status in this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on December 26, 2021, 06:48:11 PM
Friend who was super paranoid about getting covid has it, so far it's been like a cold for the last 4 days.   I believe shes' still teaching remotely. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on December 26, 2021, 07:07:20 PM
Omicron scares me due to its transmissibility, but thankfully early data indicates its slightly less deadly than Delta.

I saw this today (https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-booster-offers-substantial-protection-against-symptomatic-infection-with-omicron-study-finds-11640191103). That states  "markedly lower risk of hospitalization... The University of Edinburgh study, drawing on the health records of 5.4 million people in Scotland, found the risk of hospitalization with Covid-19 was two-thirds lower with Omicron than with Delta." Of course the catch being that if three times as many people get it then it's a wash.
Except they did not account for vaccinate status in this.

Yes, but I'm not sure why that it a problem in their study design. They do talk about relative vaccine efficacy if you are interested, the full paper is here: https://www.pure.ed.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/245818096/Severity_of_Omicron_variant_of_concern_and_vaccine_effectiveness_against_symptomatic_disease.pdf
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on December 26, 2021, 08:07:54 PM
Paper chaser, you are starting to remind me of hash brown in your unwillingness to see that choices you think are valid may be valid from your viewpoint, but are real risks from a society viewpoint.  You are certainly a good example of the American rugged individualist thinking, as opposed to the American barn-raising we are all in this together and help each other thinking. 

I'm not going to bother replying to you any more.  I'm too old for this nonsense, I will conserve my energy for more useful endeavours.

First it was "Stay home for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Wear a mask for the greater good. We're all in this together". Then it was "Get vaccinated for the greater good. We're all in this together". I've done those things, and I'll continue to do them as needed (staying home when feeling sick, wearing a mask when requested, etc). I'm abiding by all local regulations. I've followed the rules and expectations of society throughout this pandemic and will continue to. I'm simply not going above and beyond those rules and expectations. If that's not enough for you then you're free to judge as you see fit I guess.

It's just that you are following the rules without really seeming to see the need for them.  Without seeing that some people are going to be more vulnerable despite all their choices because of other peoples' choices. 

Maybe I am mis-interpreting your posts.  Let's let it rest.

I'm with Paper here in sentiment. We can't keep pretending that this is some temporary setback where we all need to take significant personal measures to get back to rosey colored 2019. Unless strictly enforced (and on an island like Singapore or New Zealand), lockdowns just aren't going to do anything. Covid, for me, has been thrown into the shuffle of everyday risks. I take many risks during the year that could affect mine or my familiy's health. I drive a gas vehicle that's pumping CO2 into the planet. This is contributing to health and economic factors worldwide. I limit the use of this vehicle far beyond what is legally required (although I do what is legal as well). But I still use it, knowing that I'm causing issues that have more risk for others more than me (third world countries and their citizens are getting much worse effects of climate change before I do). Vehicles themselves are dangerous on a persona level, so I have selfish reasons to make them safer- keep them maintained, don't drive drousy/drunk, maintain vigilance on the road, keep safety systems up to date.

I do the same for Covid. Vaxxed and will be boosted soon (staying maintained), don't go out when feeling sick, maintaining vigilance with washing my hands, etc. I am respectful of whatever folks or businesses want me to do in their circumstances. It's a metaphor, I don't think of Covid as driving a vehicle, just noting that it just runs through the same values and risk checklist that all of my other daily activities do.

Most hospital bed shortages are a result of exhausted and fed up staff. Our hospitals are for the most part able to handle Covid if we could recover personnel who have understandably thrown in the towel. What I'm suggesting is that we've taken a mental/societal and economic hit that we have to try to recover from rather than keep kicking the can down the road. Those that worry about the long term effects of mild Covid but not the long term effects of perpetual fear, anger and resentment have different priorities than me. I don't agree with the vaccine hesitant, but most of them are fed a whole world of fairly convincing arguments on why not to take it. Best I can do is converse with them and point out the flaws in their logic rather than pretend that they are some sort of sub-human incapable of empathy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on December 26, 2021, 08:08:13 PM
There are a few thoughts about this study that guide its interpretation

1. Number of events (hospitalizations) was low for S- (omicron) patients: only 15. Obviously a good thing but hard to account for multiple factors with this few events.
2. The unvaccinated population in the study was much lower than in the US (<10% of those 40+). Also the healthy population was much higher (73% had no comorbidities and only 6% had more than 1). In the US this is closer to 40% healthy.
3. This difference between the UK and the US is important because their data shows that the efficacy of non-booster doses against omicron wanes after 14 weeks, and by 25 weeks is similar to not being vaccinated at all!
Thus even if people are being admitted at lower rates (30-45% of expected), the entire non-booster population is essentially unprotected. In the US that is a very large population, especially accounting for our poor health status as a nation.
4. Prior covid infection does not provide any protection.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on December 27, 2021, 04:19:42 AM
There are a few thoughts about this study that guide its interpretation

1. Number of events (hospitalizations) was low for S- (omicron) patients: only 15. Obviously a good thing but hard to account for multiple factors with this few events.
2. The unvaccinated population in the study was much lower than in the US (<10% of those 40+). Also the healthy population was much higher (73% had no comorbidities and only 6% had more than 1). In the US this is closer to 40% healthy.
3. This difference between the UK and the US is important because their data shows that the efficacy of non-booster doses against omicron wanes after 14 weeks, and by 25 weeks is similar to not being vaccinated at all!
Thus even if people are being admitted at lower rates (30-45% of expected), the entire non-booster population is essentially unprotected. In the US that is a very large population, especially accounting for our poor health status as a nation.
4. Prior covid infection does not provide any protection.

The drop off in vaccine efficacy is in regard to developing symptoms, not in regard to developing severe disease.  This has been a consistent finding in many studies.  Bad news for spreading potential, but nothing like that bad for death rates or hospital occupancy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on December 27, 2021, 06:56:48 AM
There are a few thoughts about this study that guide its interpretation

1. Number of events (hospitalizations) was low for S- (omicron) patients: only 15. Obviously a good thing but hard to account for multiple factors with this few events.
2. The unvaccinated population in the study was much lower than in the US (<10% of those 40+). Also the healthy population was much higher (73% had no comorbidities and only 6% had more than 1). In the US this is closer to 40% healthy.
3. This difference between the UK and the US is important because their data shows that the efficacy of non-booster doses against omicron wanes after 14 weeks, and by 25 weeks is similar to not being vaccinated at all!
Thus even if people are being admitted at lower rates (30-45% of expected), the entire non-booster population is essentially unprotected. In the US that is a very large population, especially accounting for our poor health status as a nation.
4. Prior covid infection does not provide any protection.

The drop off in vaccine efficacy is in regard to developing symptoms, not in regard to developing severe disease.  This has been a consistent finding in many studies.  Bad news for spreading potential, but nothing like that bad for death rates or hospital occupancy.

Correct, but asymptomatic individuals rarely are hospitalized. Anything that spreads the virus will necessarily increase hospitalization unless risk of hospitalization from a variant is 0%
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 27, 2021, 09:42:34 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 27, 2021, 09:57:14 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.

Things are pretty tight here at the moment because of omicron.  They were a lot easier before - yes vaccinated, but at a restaurant you have to take a mask off.

Now 2 friends of my DD have omicron, because he works at a bar/restaurant and they had all the pre-Christmas parties.  Both healthy and vaccinated, severe colds (and diagnosed) but not bad enough to go to hospital.  So basically omicron is a rule changer - super infectious but so far not as nasty.  And here at least, our waste water analysis says it is now 100% of our cases.  We just need to see now if the low hospitalization rate seen in South Africa for omicron holds true here (different population, winter).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 27, 2021, 09:57:49 AM
So the consistent theme that seems to run through almost all of these "return to normal" scenarios is a desire to have fewer limitations and more freedom for each individual to choose what's right for them.

Based on these responses, it seems like most people want the freedom to choose to stay home if they're sick. They want to work remotely if possible, but having an option to work onsite appeals to many as well. They want to be able to wear a mask, or not wear a mask in public as they see fit, or go into stores/restaurants, or easily pick items up curbside or have them delivered, or travel freely.

Although we each prioritize differently, fewer restrictions and more flexibility seems to be enjoyed by pretty much everybody.

Here I once again see a less charitable picture. It's not back to normal if a significant number of us take voluntary precautions that didn't exist before. Your freedom is limited if a restaurant owner decides to check your vaccine status to protect their staff, or your family refuses to let you in their house without a covid test. Proponents of back to normal are pushing back on all of this, are pushing on others to accept the higher level of risk.

So both "no going back" and "back to normal" approaches are coercive. The former is openly, honestly coercive, justifying it by the needs of society. The latter is in denial about the coercion aspect, talking instead exclusively about freedom.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 27, 2021, 10:01:16 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.

The person I quoted asked for opinions about what people are craving as "back to normal".  Unless you are telling me that you believe people were avoiding social gatherings based on vaccination status and restaurants were checking vaccination cards at the door prior to entry prior to 2020, I think it's fair for me to wish to have that back.... that's my opinion, so shoot me.  I'm not saying people need to match their risk assessment to mine, I'm saying, "those were good times when people didn't lose their friends and family over vaccination status" and personally I wouldn't mind getting back to that.  This whole "wow someone thinks that this virus is going to be around forever and they think it's reasonable to get back to pre-Covid normal so they are automatically an inconsiderate selfish asshole" is getting a little old.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 27, 2021, 10:03:58 AM
Things are pretty tight here at the moment because of omicron.  They were a lot easier before - yes vaccinated, but at a restaurant you have to take a mask off.

Now 2 friends of my DD have omicron, because he works at a bar/restaurant and they had all the pre-Christmas parties.  Both healthy and vaccinated, severe colds (and diagnosed) but not bad enough to go to hospital.  So basically omicron is a rule changer - super infectious but so far not as nasty.  And here at least, our waste water analysis says it is now 100% of our cases.  We just need to see now if the low hospitalization rate seen in South Africa for omicron holds true here (different population, winter).

Yes, omicron may be a game changer. Up until and including Delta, reasonable precautions seem to have worked. With Omicron, there seems to be no defense, other than vaccines. Several people in my circle who are super-strict got Covid. Case counts in the county that stayed low in all previous waves are very high. This mutation may have decided the argument for us.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on December 27, 2021, 10:06:10 AM
The person I quoted asked for opinions about what people are craving as "back to normal".  Unless you are telling me that you believe people were avoiding social gatherings based on vaccination status and restaurants were checking vaccination cards at the door prior to entry prior to 2020, I think it's fair for me to wish to have that back.... that's my opinion, so shoot me.  I'm not saying people need to match their risk assessment to mine, I'm saying, "those were good times when people didn't lose their friends and family over vaccination status" and personally I wouldn't mind getting back to that.  This whole "wow someone thinks that this virus is going to be around forever and they think it's reasonable to get back to pre-Covid normal so they are automatically an inconsiderate selfish asshole" is getting a little old.

What you wrote here would have made perfect sense if not for the "paranoia" part.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 27, 2021, 10:52:51 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.

The person I quoted asked for opinions about what people are craving as "back to normal".  Unless you are telling me that you believe people were avoiding social gatherings based on vaccination status and restaurants were checking vaccination cards at the door prior to entry prior to 2020, I think it's fair for me to wish to have that back.... that's my opinion, so shoot me.  I'm not saying people need to match their risk assessment to mine, I'm saying, "those were good times when people didn't lose their friends and family over vaccination status" and personally I wouldn't mind getting back to that.  This whole "wow someone thinks that this virus is going to be around forever and they think it's reasonable to get back to pre-Covid normal so they are automatically an inconsiderate selfish asshole" is getting a little old.

My SIL required all visitors to be up-to-date on vaccinations when visiting her newborns in 2013 and 2014. Public and many private school kids have long been required to present proof of vaccination, and the military has long ordered a huge panel of vaccines for enlisted members. Immunocompromised people and their families have long requested that others not visit if sick or unvaccinated. The difference now is that we have a recently introduced, highly contagious, and rapidly mutating virus. I reiterate that we're not back to normal yet, whatever that means. More than 200K cases on Christmas Day, when many normal testing facilities were closed, and 4,500 canceled flights worldwide over the last weekend is not normal.

I don't think a person deciding that they don't want the additional risk of inviting an unvaccinated person into their private home = losing friends and family over vaccination status. That seems to be a false equivalence for dramatic effect. It's the unvaccinated person's choice to refuse the vaccine and accept the consequences of that choice, and everyone else's choice to decide their own level of risk exposure. Is that freedom to decide for oneself not what you wanted? In my own case, I do not care to entertain unvaccinated people in my home in the current major wave. If they choose to be vaccinated, they will be welcomed. When the wave subsides, I will reconsider my stance based on the best available information. Should I not have the right to make such decisions in my own home, just because my decisions might make someone else feel bad about the consequences of their own free choices? Should business owners not have the choice to decide how much risk from potentially unvaccinated customers they will require their employees to tolerate?
 
It really is coming across as though you want the freedom to make your own choices but don't feel that others should have the same freedom. I do hope I've misread several of your posts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: magus on December 27, 2021, 11:20:08 AM
We've been back to normal for a long while when the CDC data was clear the risk < 50 for healthy individuals from COVID was very low (~3% increase in death rate risk at my age for healthy, 8-9% if unhealthy). Only thing we're not doing is international to Europe since we don't want to get stuck with any changing rules nor risk lots of places closes/wear mask 100% of the time (not a very fun vacation. We have still gone to the Caribbean/Mexico though several times since covid hit, including 12 of us that just went to Cabo together recently.

I laugh when people restrict access to their kids over covid worries. Your kid/grandkid has almost no risk of covid (which isn't to say zero, but its less than 1 in 100k)! Covid increased child death rates by just 1% in the last 2 years - your kid is 10x more likely to die in a car wreck and nearly 3x more likely to die from flu/pneumonia as covid based on CDC stats so if you really want to protect your kid, don't drive them anywhere - ever.

The data is clear from Israel, UK, etc - vaccines are not going to end the pandemic. UK is significantly more vaccinated than the US but more than 2x the rate of covid spread and 85% of those dying in UK are vaccinated. Israel is already working on shot #4. Life has risk, I'm going to live my life than worry in fear about a virus that has a 99.9% survival rate for my age group and 99.7% overall.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on December 27, 2021, 11:27:43 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.

The person I quoted asked for opinions about what people are craving as "back to normal".  Unless you are telling me that you believe people were avoiding social gatherings based on vaccination status and restaurants were checking vaccination cards at the door prior to entry prior to 2020, I think it's fair for me to wish to have that back.... that's my opinion, so shoot me.  I'm not saying people need to match their risk assessment to mine, I'm saying, "those were good times when people didn't lose their friends and family over vaccination status" and personally I wouldn't mind getting back to that.  This whole "wow someone thinks that this virus is going to be around forever and they think it's reasonable to get back to pre-Covid normal so they are automatically an inconsiderate selfish asshole" is getting a little old.

My SIL required all visitors to be up-to-date on vaccinations when visiting her newborns in 2013 and 2014. Public and many private school kids have long been required to present proof of vaccination, and the military has long ordered a huge panel of vaccines for enlisted members. Immunocompromised people and their families have long requested that others not visit if sick or unvaccinated. The difference now is that we have a recently introduced, highly contagious, and rapidly mutating virus. I reiterate that we're not back to normal yet, whatever that means. More than 200K cases on Christmas Day, when many normal testing facilities were closed, and 4,500 canceled flights worldwide over the last weekend is not normal.

I don't think a person deciding that they don't want the additional risk of inviting an unvaccinated person into their private home = losing friends and family over vaccination status. That seems to be a false equivalence for dramatic effect. It's the unvaccinated person's choice to refuse the vaccine and accept the consequences of that choice, and everyone else's choice to decide their own level of risk exposure. Is that freedom to decide for oneself not what you wanted? In my own case, I do not care to entertain unvaccinated people in my home in the current major wave. If they choose to be vaccinated, they will be welcomed. When the wave subsides, I will reconsider my stance based on the best available information. Should I not have the right to make such decisions in my own home, just because my decisions might make someone else feel bad about the consequences of their own free choices? Should business owners not have the choice to decide how much risk from potentially unvaccinated customers they will require their employees to tolerate?
 
It really is coming across as though you want the freedom to make your own choices but don't feel that others should have the same freedom. I do hope I've misread several of your posts incorrectly.

I want the freedom to make my own choices and I want the same for others...  Plain and simple.  What I wish would go back to the way things were before Covid was the general lack of care regarding this new extremely hot button issue of someone's vaccination status.  I'm not saying we should FORCE people to no longer care.  As mentioned before that's their choice and I'm good with that, I just crave the good old days where everyone just went to the Christmas party, we didn't have to second guess whether our veterinarian or hairdresser's vaccination policy was actually true, or you just walked into the restaurant or crossed that boarder without having to show your card.  I personally believe the majority will get back to this at some point in time, but there will be many who will be extremely cautious for the rest of their lives... and that will be their choice that no one should take from them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on December 27, 2021, 11:51:46 AM
It's the way it was before... so yes, I think it can be.  Let me be clear I'm not saying you shouldn't have a choice who you socialize with, but what I am saying is I want it back to the way before where people did not care who had their flu shot to go over to their house for christmas... or ask for their vaccination card to enter a restaurant.   I asked for a reduction in the level of paranoia regarding vaccination status as it was before.

I'm sorry that my interpretation is not very charitable - but it sounds to me like you want other people's risk assessment (for themselves and the society) to match yours, and you justify it by calling their risk assessment paranoia.

The person I quoted asked for opinions about what people are craving as "back to normal".  Unless you are telling me that you believe people were avoiding social gatherings based on vaccination status and restaurants were checking vaccination cards at the door prior to entry prior to 2020, I think it's fair for me to wish to have that back.... that's my opinion, so shoot me.  I'm not saying people need to match their risk assessment to mine, I'm saying, "those were good times when people didn't lose their friends and family over vaccination status" and personally I wouldn't mind getting back to that.  This whole "wow someone thinks that this virus is going to be around forever and they think it's reasonable to get back to pre-Covid normal so they are automatically an inconsiderate selfish asshole" is getting a little old.

My SIL required all visitors to be up-to-date on vaccinations when visiting her newborns in 2013 and 2014. Public and many private school kids have long been required to present proof of vaccination, and the military has long ordered a huge panel of vaccines for enlisted members. Immunocompromised people and their families have long requested that others not visit if sick or unvaccinated. The difference now is that we have a recently introduced, highly contagious, and rapidly mutating virus. I reiterate that we're not back to normal yet, whatever that means. More than 200K cases on Christmas Day, when many normal testing facilities were closed, and 4,500 canceled flights worldwide over the last weekend is not normal.

I don't think a person deciding that they don't want the additional risk of inviting an unvaccinated person into their private home = losing friends and family over vaccination status. That seems to be a false equivalence for dramatic effect. It's the unvaccinated person's choice to refuse the vaccine and accept the consequences of that choice, and everyone else's choice to decide their own level of risk exposure. Is that freedom to decide for oneself not what you wanted? In my own case, I do not care to entertain unvaccinated people in my home in the current major wave. If they choose to be vaccinated, they will be welcomed. When the wave subsides, I will reconsider my stance based on the best available information. Should I not have the right to make such decisions in my own home, just because my decisions might make someone else feel bad about the consequences of their own free choices? Should business owners not have the choice to decide how much risk from potentially unvaccinated customers they will require their employees to tolerate?
 
It really is coming across as though you want the freedom to make your own choices but don't feel that others should have the same freedom. I do hope I've misread several of your posts.

I want the freedom to make my own choices and I want the same for others...  Plain and simple.  What I wish would go back to the way things were before Covid was the general lack of care regarding this new extremely hot button issue of someone's vaccination status.  I'm not saying we should FORCE people to no longer care.  As mentioned before that's their choice and I'm good with that, I just crave the good old days where everyone just went to the Christmas party, we didn't have to second guess whether our veterinarian or hairdresser's vaccination policy was actually true, or you just walked into the restaurant or crossed that boarder without having to show your card.  I personally believe the majority will get back to this at some point in time, but there will be many who will be extremely cautious for the rest of their lives... and that will be their choice that no one should take from them.

Yeah, I get that. I don't miss everything about the Before Times, but I do miss some of it.

I'm glad that one of my choirs was able to resume this fall. We'll be singing in masks until everyone is comfortable taking them off again. It's definitely not ideal. Singers' masks help, but it's much more comfortable to not to wear them and much harder to convey the emotion of the music with them. Still, we're all a bit scarred by the realization that our last concert was Feb. 29, 2020, and less than two weeks later, the world heard about the choir in WA State that lost several members due to a superspreader event at one of their rehearsals. Given how bad the first wave was here, we were extremely lucky not to have caused an outbreak at our concert and not to have lost any of our elderly members to COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 27, 2021, 12:52:51 PM
UK is significantly more vaccinated than the US but more than 2x the rate of covid spread and 85% of those dying in UK are vaccinated.

Highly misleading stat for deaths in the UK there. The official vaccinated/unvaccinated UK covid19 death stats are here -

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19byvaccinationstatusengland/deathsoccurringbetween1januaryand31october2021#monthly-age-standardised-mortality-rates-by-vaccination-status-deaths-involving-covid-19

"Over the whole period (1 January to 31 October 2021), the age-adjusted risk of deaths involving COVID-19 was 96% lower in people who had received a second dose at least 21 days ago compared with unvaccinated people."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 27, 2021, 12:55:13 PM
So the consistent theme that seems to run through almost all of these "return to normal" scenarios is a desire to have fewer limitations and more freedom for each individual to choose what's right for them.

Based on these responses, it seems like most people want the freedom to choose to stay home if they're sick. They want to work remotely if possible, but having an option to work onsite appeals to many as well. They want to be able to wear a mask, or not wear a mask in public as they see fit, or go into stores/restaurants, or easily pick items up curbside or have them delivered, or travel freely.

Although we each prioritize differently, fewer restrictions and more flexibility seems to be enjoyed by pretty much everybody.

Here I once again see a less charitable picture. It's not back to normal if a significant number of us take voluntary precautions that didn't exist before. Your freedom is limited if a restaurant owner decides to check your vaccine status to protect their staff, or your family refuses to let you in their house without a covid test. Proponents of back to normal are pushing back on all of this, are pushing on others to accept the higher level of risk.

So both "no going back" and "back to normal" approaches are coercive. The former is openly, honestly coercive, justifying it by the needs of society. The latter is in denial about the coercion aspect, talking instead exclusively about freedom.

I have no problem with businesses doing what they feel is best to protect their workers. I'll don a mask whenever it's requested or required of me. I do that because I respect their authority to set their own rules, and I understand that if I choose to patronize said business, then I need to follow their rules. Same is true for visiting friends or family. It's their house and their rules. I'm good with that. I also have a choice in each matter.

I had no choice in society wide restrictions at the beginning of the pandemic. I tolerated them without too much grumbling because I think they had some very good benefits when the stakes were higher. I'm an essential worker, but I was willing to stay home as much as possible during the initial shutdown phase of the pandemic. I've willingly worn a mask when required (and will still do so upon request provided I have a mask with me or one is provided for me) throughout the pandemic. These steps were needed at the beginning of this pandemic because the potential unwilling loss of life was pretty great. Then, highly effective vaccines came along. For many months now, any adult (and many children) in the US that wants a free, effective vaccine to decrease their risk of severe outcomes has been able to make that choice for themselves. That changes the risk on a societal level in my opinion. I'm willing to give up some society wide freedoms temporarily to avoid widespread severe illness and death without recourse, but the vaccines have changed things tremendously on that front. I'm not willing to give up freedoms on a society wide level to protect people that refuse to protect themselves. I'm not willing to give up freedoms on a society wide level to maybe improve the risk level of somebody, somewhere from suffering what's very likely to be a minor cold by an amount that cannot be calculated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on December 27, 2021, 04:47:48 PM
UK is significantly more vaccinated than the US but more than 2x the rate of covid spread and 85% of those dying in UK are vaccinated.

Highly misleading stat for deaths in the UK there. The official vaccinated/unvaccinated UK covid19 death stats are here -

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19byvaccinationstatusengland/deathsoccurringbetween1januaryand31october2021#monthly-age-standardised-mortality-rates-by-vaccination-status-deaths-involving-covid-19

"Over the whole period (1 January to 31 October 2021), the age-adjusted risk of deaths involving COVID-19 was 96% lower in people who had received a second dose at least 21 days ago compared with unvaccinated people."

Wonderfully misleading indeed.  It is indeed true that the vast majority of people dying, from any cause, in the UK are vaccinated.  That's because the the only significant populations of unvaccinated people in the UK are the under 12s and they don't tend to die very often.  The people who do tend to pop their clogs, for a multitude of reasons, are the elderly and more than 90% of them are vaccinated.  In every age cohort the unvaccinated are demonstrably at higher risk of death than the vaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on December 27, 2021, 05:36:03 PM
Omicron scares me due to its transmissibility, but thankfully early data indicates its slightly less deadly than Delta.

I saw this today (https://www.wsj.com/articles/covid-19-booster-offers-substantial-protection-against-symptomatic-infection-with-omicron-study-finds-11640191103). That states  "markedly lower risk of hospitalization... The University of Edinburgh study, drawing on the health records of 5.4 million people in Scotland, found the risk of hospitalization with Covid-19 was two-thirds lower with Omicron than with Delta." Of course the catch being that if three times as many people get it then it's a wash.
Except they did not account for vaccinate status in this.

Yes, but I'm not sure why that it a problem in their study design. They do talk about relative vaccine efficacy if you are interested, the full paper is here: https://www.pure.ed.ac.uk/ws/portalfiles/portal/245818096/Severity_of_Omicron_variant_of_concern_and_vaccine_effectiveness_against_symptomatic_disease.pdf
It is a problem because you can't say it is less harmful (which btw include long COVID not just hospitalizations, things like brain fog, heart and lung damage) when you are looking at people who are vaccinated.  You can say that vaccines plus this variant are less likely (they think) to cause hospitalizations nothing more.  People are jumping from that to less virulent/less harmful and they are not the same thing.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: K_in_the_kitchen on December 27, 2021, 05:49:54 PM

My SIL required all visitors to be up-to-date on vaccinations when visiting her newborns in 2013 and 2014. Public and many private school kids have long been required to present proof of vaccination, and the military has long ordered a huge panel of vaccines for enlisted members. Immunocompromised people and their families have long requested that others not visit if sick or unvaccinated. The difference now is that we have a recently introduced, highly contagious, and rapidly mutating virus. I reiterate that we're not back to normal yet, whatever that means. More than 200K cases on Christmas Day, when many normal testing facilities were closed, and 4,500 canceled flights worldwide over the last weekend is not normal.

I don't think a person deciding that they don't want the additional risk of inviting an unvaccinated person into their private home = losing friends and family over vaccination status. That seems to be a false equivalence for dramatic effect. It's the unvaccinated person's choice to refuse the vaccine and accept the consequences of that choice, and everyone else's choice to decide their own level of risk exposure. Is that freedom to decide for oneself not what you wanted? In my own case, I do not care to entertain unvaccinated people in my home in the current major wave. If they choose to be vaccinated, they will be welcomed. When the wave subsides, I will reconsider my stance based on the best available information. Should I not have the right to make such decisions in my own home, just because my decisions might make someone else feel bad about the consequences of their own free choices? Should business owners not have the choice to decide how much risk from potentially unvaccinated customers they will require their employees to tolerate?
 
It really is coming across as though you want the freedom to make your own choices but don't feel that others should have the same freedom. I do hope I've misread several of your posts.

Here in California, vaccination laws for school-aged children went from very lax to extremely stringent in 2015. The religious and philosophical exemptions were done away with. When medical exemptions went way up, the state started tracking how many exemptions doctors were giving. These days a child has to have a solid medical reason to not be vaccinated or they cannot go to public or private school. Parents can homeschool if they don't want to vaccinate.  From what I've read the state is rolling Covid-19 vaccination into the list of required vaccines beginning in July 2022 for grades 7-12 and likely other grades in January 2023.

The vast majority of people who are antivax for Covid already vaccinate their children against a wide variety of diseases, which tells me this is a political stance and not a medical one.

It's been hard for me to say no to unvaccinated family members, but I've finally come to see that they have chosen not to be vaccinated and that I'm not required to change my standards based on their decisionsI'm rather astounded that these family members are upset at not being able to attend gatherings and possibly infect loved ones who are over 50 with underlying conditions.  Two of the unvaccinated regularly interact with their 77 year old mother who has multiple underlying conditions.  Now, I understand that she wants to see them, but I just don't understand why they can't see the risk they pose to her.  These same children strongly advised her not to get vaccinated -- luckily my husband was able to convince her to get vaccinated -- and then when she did they had the gall to say "I hope you don't die from the vaccine" which freaked her out.  On the other side of the family, my sister-in-law didn't see her parents in person for more than a year because she and her family decided they didn't want to be the reason her parents (early 80s) died.

I don't believe there will ever be normal again -- Covid is here to stay and even as an endemic virus there will be years it's worse and we have to tighten up precautions. And I think Covid is only the beginning -- this has been waiting to happen and other pathogens will develop and then pass to humans.  At some point it might be a virus that comes for our children, and then I think this ridiculous anti-vax and anti-mask behavior will get tossed aside.  I've said all along that if C19 was killing children in the beginning the way it was killing the elderly, we wouldn't be having these fights about vaccines -- parents would be begging for them.  So the question isn't about getting back to normal, it's about moving forward.  Those who are more risk averse are going to have to accept some risk.  Those who aren't risk averse at all are going to have to accept some precautions.  We're all going to dance in and out of it.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: magus on December 27, 2021, 05:50:12 PM
UK is significantly more vaccinated than the US but more than 2x the rate of covid spread and 85% of those dying in UK are vaccinated.

Highly misleading stat for deaths in the UK there. The official vaccinated/unvaccinated UK covid19 death stats are here -

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsinvolvingcovid19byvaccinationstatusengland/deathsoccurringbetween1januaryand31october2021#monthly-age-standardised-mortality-rates-by-vaccination-status-deaths-involving-covid-19

"Over the whole period (1 January to 31 October 2021), the age-adjusted risk of deaths involving COVID-19 was 96% lower in people who had received a second dose at least 21 days ago compared with unvaccinated people."

Anything in the first half of the year is irrelevant for recent trends for a number of reasons - 1) The first four months of the year most in the UK were not vaccinated so that period is largely irrelevant 2) The vaccines peak efficacy is in months 2-4 - most folks are well past their peak.  3) we are now 2 variations later in the virus and future breakouts of covid will be even further mutated versions of the virus that the vaccine is even less likely to be effective against.

In the last 3 months, 85% of those who have died in the UK are vaccinated and cases in the UK are double what they were last winter before vaccines at all. My point is the vaccines are not going to end the pandemic. They really aren't even a vaccine as they don't prevent you from getting it, it simply reduces your risk of dying from it - definitely worth taking if you are > 50 or have comorbidities, but saying "if only everyone was vaccinated this would be over" is flat out incorrect. The early data is even suggesting the boosters are only good vs Omicron for about 10 weeks and then may actually enhance the probability to get it.


[MOD NOTE:  This is a lot of misinformation and regurgitated misunderstandings of the science involved in immunology]

Full disclosure: Vaccinated but not boosted myself
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on December 27, 2021, 05:59:14 PM

In the last 3 months, 85% of those who have died in the UK are vaccinated and cases in the UK are double what they were last winter before vaccines at all.

I do not think this means what you seem to think it means.

They really aren't even a vaccine as they don't prevent you from getting it, it simply reduces your risk of dying from it


What you describe (regardless of whether it is accurate) very much describes a vaccine.

The early data is even suggesting the boosters are only good vs Omicron for about 10 weeks and then may actually enhance the probability to get it.

Which “early data suggests that boosters increase the probability of contracting Covid? Because this completely contradicts every single peer-reviewed report I have seen thus far.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: bill1827 on December 28, 2021, 04:26:16 AM
In the last 3 months, 85% of those who have died in the UK are vaccinated and cases in the UK are double what they were last winter before vaccines at all. My point is the vaccines are not going to end the pandemic. They really aren't even a vaccine as they don't prevent you from getting it, it simply reduces your risk of dying from it - definitely worth taking if you are > 50 or have comorbidities, but saying "if only everyone was vaccinated this would be over" is flat out incorrect.

From the UKHSA covid 19 vaccine survey report week 19:
"In the context of very high vaccine coverage in the population, even with a highly effective vaccine, it is expected that a large proportion of cases, hospitalisations and deaths would occur in vaccinated individuals, simply because a larger proportion of the population are vaccinated than unvaccinated and no vaccine is 100% effective. This is especially true because vaccination has been prioritised in individuals who are more susceptible or more at risk of severe disease. Individuals in risk groups may also be more at risk of hospitalisation or death due to non-COVID-19 causes, and thus may be hospitalised or die with COVID-19 rather than because of COVID-19."

In other words, if most of the population is vaccinated, most of those who die will have been vaccinated. If you look at the data by age group you'll get a different picture, for instance, in those under 40 69% of the deaths are in the un-vaccinated as the vaccination rate is lower in younger people.

In the UK comparing the number of cases with hospitalisations is instructive. At the moment there are over 100,000 cases a day compared to a peak of about 55,000 last winter, but the number in hospital is about 8,000 compared to a peak of nearly 40,000 a year ago. Similarly, deaths are about 140 per day compared to around 1500 a day a year ago.

The vaccine has been extremely effective in the UK; it has reduced deaths and hospitalisation dramatically and is well worth doing.

Of course they won't end the pandemic, there are too many people worldwide who aren't and probably won't be vaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on December 28, 2021, 04:44:21 AM
... I'm not willing to give up freedoms on a society wide level to maybe improve the risk level of somebody, somewhere from suffering what's very likely to be a minor cold by an amount that cannot be calculated.

Hmmm.  I know we're in different countries / health care systems.  Here, society wide measures are to protect the health care system, in the main.  I think it's worth protecting.  But then, I'm over 60 with parents in mid-80s and many loved ones of varying ages and behaviours.  I'd prefer we all have access to good care for now and for years to come.

Overloaded healthcare systems are bad news for sure. I don't see a reason to restrict people that have taken precautions to reduce their risk of using the healthcare system so that people that have not taken the opportunity can go about their lives as normal and then end up overloading the healthcare system. The vaccinated are not the ones overloading the system. If we're going to restrict a large part of the populace to avoid overloading the medical system I'd propose starting with the groups most at risk of causing the overloading.

As I already said, the likelihood of receiving medical care in an emergency should definitely be accounted for in one's own personal risk assessment. If people want to restrict themselves voluntarily for any reason that's fine with me. Wear a mask when it's not required? Go right ahead. Stay home to avoid unnecessary interactions? Knock yourself out. Avoid potentially dangerous activities if the local healthcare system is at capacity? That makes total sense to me. If they want to take any of these steps to avoid contracting the virus, that's perfectly reasonable. If they want to do it to feel like they're doing their part to avoid overloading the healthcare system, that's fine too but I'd question how much positive impact that actually has when unvaccinated jokers are running around like normal and getting sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 10, 2022, 02:16:46 PM
I read this article (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/why-more-americans-are-saying-they-e2-80-99re-e2-80-98vaxxed-and-done-e2-80-99/ar-AASCp58) and was impressed with how well it captured the arguments from this thread. Guess this forum does as good of the job as The Atlantic!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SwordGuy on January 10, 2022, 04:32:53 PM

Overloaded healthcare systems are bad news for sure. I don't see a reason to restrict people that have taken precautions to reduce their risk of using the healthcare system so that people that have not taken the opportunity can go about their lives as normal and then end up overloading the healthcare system. The vaccinated are not the ones overloading the system. If we're going to restrict a large part of the populace to avoid overloading the medical system I'd propose starting with the groups most at risk of causing the overloading.

Absolutely.  Put the voluntarily unvaccinated at the back of the line when triage is needed.   Let the stubbornly ignorant pay the price for their stupidity, not the innocent.

Selfishness and greed on top of what should have been short-duration vaccine shortages has kept the bulk of the world from getting vaccinated, and willful stupidity has kept large swaths of the US unvaccinated.   So everyone will probably end up getting it at some point.   God damn the willfully stupid and the greedy who made this situation so very much worse.

I sure don't want to get it when the healthcare system is overwhelmed.   If we get bad sick from covid I want the healthcare system fully able to treat us.    Plus, the longer the disease spreads around the less virulent it is (likely) to become and the more skilled the medical practitioners will be in treating it, so later is better than earlier.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 10, 2022, 08:06:43 PM

Overloaded healthcare systems are bad news for sure. I don't see a reason to restrict people that have taken precautions to reduce their risk of using the healthcare system so that people that have not taken the opportunity can go about their lives as normal and then end up overloading the healthcare system. The vaccinated are not the ones overloading the system. If we're going to restrict a large part of the populace to avoid overloading the medical system I'd propose starting with the groups most at risk of causing the overloading.

Absolutely.  Put the voluntarily unvaccinated at the back of the line when triage is needed.   Let the stubbornly ignorant pay the price for their stupidity, not the innocent.

Selfishness and greed on top of what should have been short-duration vaccine shortages has kept the bulk of the world from getting vaccinated, and willful stupidity has kept large swaths of the US unvaccinated.   So everyone will probably end up getting it at some point.   God damn the willfully stupid and the greedy who made this situation so very much worse.

I sure don't want to get it when the healthcare system is overwhelmed.   If we get bad sick from covid I want the healthcare system fully able to treat us.    Plus, the longer the disease spreads around the less virulent it is (likely) to become and the more skilled the medical practitioners will be in treating it, so later is better than earlier.

I saw a synopsis of a paper* recently where the researchers think Omicron was off evolving in mice since it is a direct genetic descendant of the original strain, while we went through all the other major variants mutating in us.  Its spike proteins are perfect for mouse ACE receptors.  This is why we are seeing lower nastiness.  As the commentator said, we are lucky the animal species was mice, not camels - MERS was from camels with high human mortality rates.  So yes the general trend is to less severity, but no guarantees.

It would be nice to have the hospitals properly staffed and with capacity for cases other than Covid.  /s


https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1673852721003738 (https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1673852721003738)  In the species comparison the rodents were Norway rats, house mice mice and hamsters, so I am guessing that for those they were using lab animals.  Since it appears to have originated in Africa, the mouse species could have been house mice, other mice, or more than one species.  I imagine someone at some point may examine various mouse species to see if some are implicated more than others.  That would be useful to know since house mice are notorious pests and I really don't like to think of them as a reservoir species.  Still better than camels.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 10, 2022, 09:36:16 PM
I read this article (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/why-more-americans-are-saying-they-e2-80-99re-e2-80-98vaxxed-and-done-e2-80-99/ar-AASCp58) and was impressed with how well it captured the arguments from this thread. Guess this forum does as good of the job as The Atlantic!

For sure, why do you think I hang out here reading everyone's opinion? For serious, many posters here makes me think (including you). Sometimes people here change my mind.

Also, an update: I went from not knowing anyone who had COVID to knowing multiple people with breakthrough infections after booster shots. I guess that Omicron is the real deal. No one seriously sick with those boosters though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Joeko on January 10, 2022, 09:41:48 PM
https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-current-state-omicron/

Excellent and fair discussion of Covid policies and where are we headed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhilB on January 11, 2022, 01:34:23 AM
... house mice are notorious pests and I really don't like to think of them as a reservoir species.  Still better than camels.

A domestic infestation of camels doesn't bear thinking about!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: MrsV on January 11, 2022, 03:48:14 AM
https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-current-state-omicron/

Excellent and fair discussion of Covid policies and where are we headed.

Just started listening to this today (coincidentally). I’m familiar with these three doctors and although I’m only half way through their conversation here, as usual with each of them, they make so much sense!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Ron Scott on January 11, 2022, 04:37:43 AM
We’re triple vaxxed, and aren’t bothered much by wearing masks inside public places.

REALLY missing theater and music and clubs. 3 outings this fall in NY but back in limbo now.

Cancelled a family bucket list safari and had to fight with the travel agent for the refund.

Grew tired of being angry with the antivax/anti mask crowd. Moved on.

Stopped watching CNN with their unintentionally comic “Breaking News” on Covid. Latest Fauci tweet or whatever. We all know now that social media and TV news companies work to keep us angry so we “stay tuned”. So over it.

Disappointed with CDC et al. Heartened by the never-ending support from our medical pros.

Wondering why we don’t all have a drawer full of tests and some pills handy. That’d be nice.

I’ve become more conscious of hand-to-face contact. Haven’t had so much as a sniffle in two years.

Walking and generally exercising more now than in the past, but balancing things out by eating more ice cream at night.

I’m fascinated by people’s mass quitting poorly structured jobs and where WFH I’d going to take us. Crises beget social change.

Cloth masks are not good?







Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 11, 2022, 05:01:17 AM

Walking and generally exercising more now than in the past, but balancing things out by eating more ice cream at night.


Balance is important in life
:-)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 11, 2022, 05:24:07 AM
The main indoor thing I *really* care about (the Y, yoga studio), I have put on hiatus from late December through probably the end of January since I know too many people to count right now who have covid.  Ugh.  Lots of long, cold runs for me augmented with basement workouts, which is not too bad if I know it's not forever. I do miss restaurants and indoor performances too, but I can live without them.  Have ballet tickets in NYC 1/30 and 2/12, and debating whether to attend - they do require masks and vax and I have been wearing the good kn95s indoors anywhere for weeks now, but will see what they're looking like there in a couple of weeks.  Hoping that after this latest surge passes the hospitals can be under less stress and we will stop having to worry about this sometime this year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 11, 2022, 08:48:04 AM
I normally go to a board game convention in early March. In 2020, it happened just before lockdowns started, and it got cancelled in 2021. This year, they are requiring masks, even for the fully vaccinated. I don't think that I would enjoy trying to talk through a mask while playing board games, so I'll unfortunately be missing out in 2022.

Interesting that you mentioned board games and masks.  While we don't go to conventions, we do play with friends, and given the surge in cases we've played with masks on ever since moving it indoors as the weather turned cold. The biggest drawback to me isn't talking but not being able to eat snacks during the game. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: roomtempmayo on January 11, 2022, 08:51:51 PM

Grew tired of being angry with the antivax/anti mask crowd. Moved on.

Stopped watching CNN with their unintentionally comic “Breaking News” on Covid. Latest Fauci tweet or whatever. We all know now that social media and TV news companies work to keep us angry so we “stay tuned”. So over it.

Disappointed with CDC et al. Heartened by the never-ending support from our medical pros.


For sure.  I'm out of outrage.  Or maybe I've just redirected it toward society's shirkers who have spent the pandemic trying to get what they can for them and theirs without regard for others.

The pandemic has clarified what it means to do essential work, and differentiated it from all the work that's optional.  I do hope that in the long run we recognize the work that really holds society together.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: bmjohnson35 on January 11, 2022, 10:07:45 PM

I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 11, 2022, 11:54:02 PM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zola. on January 12, 2022, 02:40:34 AM
i think we are nearing the end times of all of this stuff...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: 2sk22 on January 12, 2022, 02:49:26 AM
Derek Thompson covered this topic really well in the latest episode (https://open.spotify.com/show/3fQkNGzE1mBF1VrxVTY0oo) of his podcast Plain English. Derek Thomson is a writer for The Atlantic and has written some of the best articles on the subject.

This episode covers some of the material in his article Why some Americans are saying they're Vaxxed and Done (https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/covid-omicron-vaccination-rashomon/621199/). This article really captures a lot of the discussions I have seen here and elsewhere.

To be honest, I find myself increasingly moving strongly to the "vaxxed and done" camp. I have had covid (first wave April 2020) and three doses of vaccine. I have been exercising every day in a gym right starting from September 2020. I have been tested several times and it has always been negative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dividend on January 12, 2022, 07:11:48 AM
Stopped watching CNN with their unintentionally comic “Breaking News” on Covid. Latest Fauci tweet or whatever. We all know now that social media and TV news companies work to keep us angry so we “stay tuned”. So over it.
This is so true!  I spent 2 weeks on v/k in a condo with my parents, and they have CNN, etc. on all the time as just background noise, whereas I read news articles online mostly.    After a few days, my anxiety about this stuff was so much higher than it is normally! 

Quote
Wondering why we don’t all have a drawer full of tests and some pills handy. That’d be nice.
The home tests are kind of crap against the new variant.  I know so many people who had multiple negative home tests before getting a positive PCR test.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 12, 2022, 07:55:19 AM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.

Endemic is where the disease is everywhere, most of the vulnerable people are either protected by medical science or dead, and we just kind of give up fighting the disease and accept living with it is part of life.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 12, 2022, 07:58:25 AM
Stopped watching CNN with their unintentionally comic “Breaking News” on Covid. Latest Fauci tweet or whatever. We all know now that social media and TV news companies work to keep us angry so we “stay tuned”. So over it.
This is so true!  I spent 2 weeks on v/k in a condo with my parents, and they have CNN, etc. on all the time as just background noise, whereas I read news articles online mostly.    After a few days, my anxiety about this stuff was so much higher than it is normally! 

Quote
Wondering why we don’t all have a drawer full of tests and some pills handy. That’d be nice.
The home tests are kind of crap against the new variant.  I know so many people who had multiple negative home tests before getting a positive PCR test.

I'm not sure it matters. My understanding is that your home test predicts if you have it and are contagious. The PCR test will indicate that you have it but you may not still be contagious. This is part of the change from 10 day to 5 day quarantine.
My former employer (hospital system), just put out a notice that employees may work while having covid. Even if they have symptoms. Wear a mask and come to work, but please take your breaks in your vehicle.
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving. Unless you are elderly or have other health conditions, in which case you might want to lay low a few more weeks and wear an N95 mask.
It just feels weird because we were shut down and had mask mandates when this all started. Now cases are terrible and everyone is just like "oh well, can't do anything about it. Keep moving."  The difference is we have vaccines and treatments to keep the vast majority of us from dying.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 12, 2022, 08:22:02 AM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.

Endemic is where the disease is everywhere, most of the vulnerable people are either protected by medical science or dead, and we just kind of give up fighting the disease and accept living with it is part of life.

I have an alternate definition.  Pandemic: Government tells you what you must do and cannot do in order to help stop the spread of a virus.  Endemic: Government lets you risk assess and make the decisions for yourself.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 12, 2022, 08:38:29 AM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.

Endemic is where the disease is everywhere, most of the vulnerable people are either protected by medical science or dead, and we just kind of give up fighting the disease and accept living with it is part of life.

I have an alternate definition.  Pandemic: Government tells you what you must do and cannot do in order to help stop the spread of a virus.  Endemic: Government lets you risk assess and make the decisions for yourself.

Your political bias is showing.  The government doesn't really have anything to do with pandemic/endemic.  The definition you've given can be broken down in it's simplest form to:

Government = bad.

Which is fine, as it's clearly something that you believe . . . but doesn't really address the question.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 12, 2022, 09:26:46 AM
Stealing from @GuitarStv in another topic:
Quote
"People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext

They're also saying something like a 7 point average drop in IQ if you were placed on a ventilator.  Alarming.

With this in mind, I wonder how it changes attitudes on living with Covid now. A lot of "getting back to normal" hinged on the assumption that a healthy younger person has nothing to fear, the only reason to continue limiting ourselves was to care for others.

Now it's clear that Covid hurts even healthy and young, even when symptoms are mild. Not just hurts - it hits the most important asset of many on this forum, our intelligence. It literally makes us dumber.

It may be too late now, of course. The horse is already out of the barn. But I wonder if support for continued containment efforts would have been higher if young, healthy, and smart knew that they were a risk group, too.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 12, 2022, 09:41:51 AM
It just feels weird because we were shut down and had mask mandates when this all started. Now cases are terrible and everyone is just like "oh well, can't do anything about it. Keep moving."  The difference is we have vaccines and treatments to keep the vast majority of us from dying.

But it makes sense if the goal the whole time was to prevent or limit the overwhelm on the medical system.  Can you imagine if Omicron had been the original strain?  None of us vaxxed, no prep at all?  So, it isn't totally crazy that the lockdowns and reactions are less severe now that we have better interventions in place to (partially) protect our medical system.

Stealing from @GuitarStv in another topic:
Quote
"People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext

They're also saying something like a 7 point average drop in IQ if you were placed on a ventilator.  Alarming.

With this in mind, I wonder how it changes attitudes on living with Covid now. A lot of "getting back to normal" hinged on the assumption that a healthy younger person has nothing to fear, the only reason to continue limiting ourselves was to care for others.

Now it's clear that Covid hurts even healthy and young, even when symptoms are mild. Not just hurts - it hits the most important asset of many on this forum, our intelligence. It literally makes us dumber.

It may be too late now, of course. The horse is already out of the barn. But I wonder if support for continued containment efforts would have been higher if young, healthy, and smart knew that they were a risk group, too.

Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 12, 2022, 09:46:02 AM
Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?

I'm with you here. One group that may have had a stronger reaction, though, is parents. Especially parents who expect their kids to go to college. Coincidentally, this group has a lot of weight politically. "Covid will make Jonny dumber" is a damn potent message.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 12, 2022, 09:49:53 AM
It just feels weird because we were shut down and had mask mandates when this all started. Now cases are terrible and everyone is just like "oh well, can't do anything about it. Keep moving."  The difference is we have vaccines and treatments to keep the vast majority of us from dying.

But it makes sense if the goal the whole time was to prevent or limit the overwhelm on the medical system.  Can you imagine if Omicron had been the original strain?  None of us vaxxed, no prep at all?  So, it isn't totally crazy that the lockdowns and reactions are less severe now that we have better interventions in place to (partially) protect our medical system.

Stealing from @GuitarStv in another topic:
Quote
"People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext

They're also saying something like a 7 point average drop in IQ if you were placed on a ventilator.  Alarming.

With this in mind, I wonder how it changes attitudes on living with Covid now. A lot of "getting back to normal" hinged on the assumption that a healthy younger person has nothing to fear, the only reason to continue limiting ourselves was to care for others.

Now it's clear that Covid hurts even healthy and young, even when symptoms are mild. Not just hurts - it hits the most important asset of many on this forum, our intelligence. It literally makes us dumber.

It may be too late now, of course. The horse is already out of the barn. But I wonder if support for continued containment efforts would have been higher if young, healthy, and smart knew that they were a risk group, too.

Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?

Could it be similar to the "pump head syndrome" that some people experience when being on a heart/lung machine during open heart surgery?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 12, 2022, 09:50:57 AM
Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?

I'm with you here. One group that may have had a stronger reaction, though, is parents. Especially parents who expect their kids to go to college. Coincidentally, this group has a lot of weight politically.

The focus only on deaths led many people to believe that if they're young and healthy there's no real risk at all.  I think that messaging that covid could make you permentantly stupid (even only a little bit) it would have had a significant impact.  But that line of conjecture is pointless.

A huge chunk of the population has had covid now . . . the question is what do we do to try to help those who are experiencing reduced intelligence now as a result of this disease?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 12, 2022, 09:55:54 AM
Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?

I'm with you here. One group that may have had a stronger reaction, though, is parents. Especially parents who expect their kids to go to college. Coincidentally, this group has a lot of weight politically. "Covid will make Jonny dumber" is a damn potent message.

That's a good point and it reminds me of Zika a few years back.  Of course it wasn't nearly as transmissable, but IME people took real care if they were of childbearing age, because they didn't want their kids to be affected.  And as @GuitarStv pointed out, the heavy messaging on death early on didn't help.  With Zika, I suppose (but can't actually remember?) that there was some talk of risk of death, but the focus from the beginning was on health generally and reproduction specifically.  So maybe the focus on death with COVID did have a perverse way of making other effects, which we would normally think of as *very* concerning, seem like NBD.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 12, 2022, 09:58:47 AM
Maybe!  But I have a feeling that, like climate change, anything that's not immediate and relatively devastating wouldn't have captured people's attention enough to make a *significant* change, even had it been known.  I do think it would have made a small difference, but that most people would have continued on as they actually did, absent extended footage of young adults losing the cognitive capacity to feed and bathe themselves.  I'm a cynic on humans, but 7 points dumber *IF* you were placed on a ventilator just doesn't seem like something that would scare a lot of people because they would assume a) they would not be the ones placed on a ventilator and b) 7 points is <shrug>?

I'm with you here. One group that may have had a stronger reaction, though, is parents. Especially parents who expect their kids to go to college. Coincidentally, this group has a lot of weight politically. "Covid will make Jonny dumber" is a damn potent message.

That's a good point and it reminds me of Zika a few years back.  Of course it wasn't nearly as transmissable, but IME people took real care if they were of childbearing age, because they didn't want their kids to be affected.  And as @GuitarStv pointed out, the heavy messaging on death early on didn't help.  With Zika, I suppose (but can't actually remember?) that there was some talk of risk of death, but the focus from the beginning was on health generally and reproduction specifically.  So maybe the focus on death with COVID did have a perverse way of making other effects, which we would normally think of as *very* concerning, seem like NBD.

Yes, especially as the earlier messaging was "oh, it only kills old people and they're going to die soon anyway."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 12, 2022, 11:31:56 AM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on January 12, 2022, 11:37:39 AM
Stealing from @GuitarStv in another topic:
Quote
"People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext

They're also saying something like a 7 point average drop in IQ if you were placed on a ventilator.  Alarming.

With this in mind, I wonder how it changes attitudes on living with Covid now. A lot of "getting back to normal" hinged on the assumption that a healthy younger person has nothing to fear, the only reason to continue limiting ourselves was to care for others.

Now it's clear that Covid hurts even healthy and young, even when symptoms are mild. Not just hurts - it hits the most important asset of many on this forum, our intelligence. It literally makes us dumber.

It may be too late now, of course. The horse is already out of the barn. But I wonder if support for continued containment efforts would have been higher if young, healthy, and smart knew that they were a risk group, too.

I know the 7 points is described as average, so some people have a greater deficit, but really 7 points is not even statistically significant.  The standard deviation for IQ is 15 points, and even someone starting with a solid 100 likely wouldn't notice any difference at all in their daily lives with a loss of 7 points, or probably even with a loss of 15.  The higher the starting IQ, the less of a difference it would make.  Plus the study was in regard to people on ventilators, which aren't very likely to be the young and not all that many.  Covid is not going to cause a widespread plummeting of IQ.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: bmjohnson35 on January 12, 2022, 11:53:17 AM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.

Due to it being so contagious, it has been predicted that the majority of people will be infected with Omicron worldwide. For example, I have seen articles forecasting 80% or more of Florida will have been infected with some variation of covid by the end of the omicron surge.  Combine this with vaccinations, we get closer to herd immunity.  Furthermore, breakthrough infections likely increases protection as well.  Combine this with the fact that many are already over it and not really following guidelines anyway, the CDC is likely realizing that their influence is diminishing day-by-day.  As we continue to learn  how to better treat the virus, get testing more readily available and more people have increased immunity, we are that much closer to living with the virus.  Of course, some lethal variant could develop, but I rather take the optimistic view.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 12, 2022, 11:57:59 AM
Stealing from @GuitarStv in another topic:
Quote
"People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition."
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext

They're also saying something like a 7 point average drop in IQ if you were placed on a ventilator.  Alarming.

With this in mind, I wonder how it changes attitudes on living with Covid now. A lot of "getting back to normal" hinged on the assumption that a healthy younger person has nothing to fear, the only reason to continue limiting ourselves was to care for others.

Now it's clear that Covid hurts even healthy and young, even when symptoms are mild. Not just hurts - it hits the most important asset of many on this forum, our intelligence. It literally makes us dumber.

It may be too late now, of course. The horse is already out of the barn. But I wonder if support for continued containment efforts would have been higher if young, healthy, and smart knew that they were a risk group, too.

I know the 7 points is described as average, so some people have a greater deficit, but really 7 points is not even statistically significant.  The standard deviation for IQ is 15 points, and even someone starting with a solid 100 likely wouldn't notice any difference at all in their daily lives with a loss of 7 points, or probably even with a loss of 15.  The higher the starting IQ, the less of a difference it would make.  Plus the study was in regard to people on ventilators, which aren't very likely to be the young and not all that many.  Covid is not going to cause a widespread plummeting of IQ.

Too late! /joke
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 12, 2022, 12:06:45 PM
I'm wondering if the Omicron variant will prove to be the catalyst that transitions us from pandemic to endemic. 

What's the technical difference between the two? Is it mostly a state of mind at this point? It's obvious COVID is here to stay in some form. This omicron variant is extremely contagious. Policies that require people to isolate themselves for a week or two after a close contact with a COVID carrier just seem super untenable at this point; nobody's going to be left to work in a lot of places that really need workers.

Due to its so contagious, it has been predicted that the majority of people will be infected with Omicron worldwide. For example, I have seen articles forecasting 80% or more of Florida will have been infected with some variation of covid by the end of the omicron surge.  Combine this with vaccinations, we get closer to herd immunity.  Furthermore, breakthrough infections likely increases protection as well.  Combine this with the fact that many are already over it and not really following guidelines anyway, the CDC is likely realizing that their influence is diminishing day-by-day.  As we continue to learn  how to better treat the virus, get testing more readily available and more people have increased immunity, we are that much closer to living with the virus.  Of course, some lethal variant could develop, but I rather take the optimistic view.

It seems like it's getting everyone I know, even the people that have been the most careful throughout the entire pandemic. My brother-in-law was diagnosed with Leukemia last year and because of treatment, etc. hasn't been able to get vaccinated. He's been extremely careful to the point where most people at Christmas tested before they came and the unvaccinated weren't allowed to come to protect him. He just tested positive and also has pneumonia. My dad has been extremely careful because he is on immunosuppressant drugs because of a prior kidney transplant. So careful that when he found out a co-worker of his wife tested positive they completely isolated from each other and wore masks in the house. She never tested positives or had symptoms, but he just tested positive.

It seems to me that unless you are living under a rock for the next month it's going to be almost impossible not to catch it. The number of people I know that haven't gotten it are dwindling by the day. Every day I hear about 2-3 people that I know that have tested positive. Before the beginning of December I think I knew less than 10 people that had gotten Covid during the entire pandemic. Now that number is 30+.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 12, 2022, 12:10:10 PM
My parents were not hospitalized with covid back in September, although they really should have been.  But I was shocked and appalled at the extent of the cognitive dysfunction I observed in them, the worst of which lasted around 3 months.  To call it "brain fog" is a vast understatement - that's the term that we hear thrown around a lot and the reality is absolutely shocking.  They were barely able to function independently.  They couldn't figure out how to use their phones or their bank cards, for instance.  And that's not even counting the physical impacts, which continue to linger although most have slowly improved.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on January 12, 2022, 12:19:46 PM
RE decreased cognitive function: If I'm reading the study right, they indicate that it may not be lasting. It definitely seems to align with the severity of the disease though, so as symptoms and treatment got more severe, so did cognitive losses. With those two caveats, I'm not sure many people's actions would've changed much. Young, healthy people are still less likely to be affected negatively than other demographics.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 12, 2022, 03:41:07 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 12, 2022, 04:38:42 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/

The seasonal flu is not infecting 100k people per day, and in the past localized outbreaks of influenza have triggered school closures and similar isolation measures.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 12, 2022, 04:45:33 PM
The seasonal flu is not infecting 100k people per day, and in the past localized outbreaks have triggered school closures and similar isolation measures.

Yes, I don't think that it is incorrect to say that the current surge is unprecedented. At least in my county we have an order of magnitude more infections now then we ever have in the past. I'm willing to be moderate on the whole thing but during a surge is exactly when you might want stricter than usual measures.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 12, 2022, 04:55:08 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/

The seasonal flu is not infecting 100k people per day, and in the past localized outbreaks of influenza have triggered school closures and similar isolation measures.

That's why Ontario is sending kids back to school next week.  Concern that the record high numbers of hospitalizations and emergency room numbers might have a chance to wane.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on January 12, 2022, 07:30:52 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/
Sars-CoV2 has been found in people's brain, it effects your neurons.  You are ignoring the long term damage to the central nervous system.  As a neuroscientist I can tell you that your bolded statement is false.  We do not know the extent of the neuronal damage, but we know there is damage.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 12, 2022, 07:34:12 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/

The seasonal flu is not infecting 100k people per day, and in the past localized outbreaks of influenza have triggered school closures and similar isolation measures.

That's why Ontario is sending kids back to school next week.  Concern that the record high numbers of hospitalizations and emergency room numbers might have a chance to wane.

The thing is, when there's an insane number of cases (in my area waste water testing shows 10X the prior *height* of the pandemic, not even the pandemic average!) even low chances of something happening mean a huge number of kids hospitalized.  I read about pediatric hospitals filling up.  (Also - are we not supposed to care about kids with comorbidities?  We only care about healthy kids?)  And people don't care enough to do anything to protect the kids such as impose mask mandates, limit gatherings, require vaccinations, until either the surge subsides or they too can be vaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 12, 2022, 07:49:30 PM
As others in this thread have stated, above, short of complete isolation, which we already know is not good for children, there's little that can be done to prevent getting infected by Omicron. Read the posts above describing people who are doing everything humanly possible to try to not get covid - including wearing masks around, all day long, in their own houses - and, yet, they're still getting sick. If your kids have significant comorbidities that put them at risk for bad outcomes from covid, you need to completely isolate them from any other human beings, or else, you just need to accept the fact that they're going to end up getting covid, eventually. Healthy kids are more at risk driving in a car from home to a vaccination site than just letting them develop immunity by getting infected and recovering naturally.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Blue82 on January 12, 2022, 07:57:16 PM
I do think it's time for the majority of us to move on. Get vaxxed and keep moving.

Can we please wait on calls to move on until there is a damn vaccine for everyone?  It seems like unless people have young kids this point keeps getting forgotten.  And the Pfizer trials aren't going well.  As a society we've chosen to let kids take the hits rather for adults not vaccinating.

Probably because the risk to those young kids is so small. For children, the seasonal flu is just as dangerous. Even then, the only children at real risk are those with other comorbidities. For an otherwise healthy child, the risk is practically zero. We've got six kids and the five oldest have been in school in person since fall of 2020. A few colds here and there but nothing more than some runny noses and coughing for a couple of days.
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8264261/

The seasonal flu is not infecting 100k people per day, and in the past localized outbreaks of influenza have triggered school closures and similar isolation measures.

And let us not forget that children as young as six months are eligible for seasonal flu vaccines.  But again, nothing for kids under 5 yet for COVID. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 12, 2022, 08:14:33 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/i-want-my-life-back-fear-covid/621214/

An interesting opinion piece
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 12, 2022, 08:45:23 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/i-want-my-life-back-fear-covid/621214/

An interesting opinion piece

That was good.

It may have been you who posted it in this thread or maybe another. If so, sorry. But, this discussion (https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-current-state-omicron/) on Covid was pretty good. It's pretty long and already 2 weeks old, but Peter Attia and his two guests are all MDs, who seem pretty smart. I liked their nuanced take on covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 12, 2022, 09:08:53 PM
And let us not forget that children as young as six months are eligible for seasonal flu vaccines.  But again, nothing for kids under 5 yet for COVID.

But it wasn't recommended for them until 2002/2010 (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/pandemic-timeline-1930-and-beyond.htm). How did I make it through school?

But I do agree that the current surge is unprecedented and warrants special caution.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 13, 2022, 06:46:46 AM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 13, 2022, 07:30:52 AM
And let us not forget that children as young as six months are eligible for seasonal flu vaccines.  But again, nothing for kids under 5 yet for COVID.

But it wasn't recommended for them until 2002/2010 (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/pandemic-resources/pandemic-timeline-1930-and-beyond.htm). How did I make it through school?

But I do agree that the current surge is unprecedented and warrants special caution.

I always hate these anecdotal [ETA: survivorship] arguments. I'm sure there's a fallacy name for it. The people who died from not wearing a car seat belt aren't around to post saying it's a bad idea to skip the car seats.  The people who died from the flu aren't around to post how beneficial a vaccine would have been.

FWIW, I get a flu shot every year as do my kids, and I did this before COVID.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 13, 2022, 07:39:07 AM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

And yet, many people didn't survive the flu or became seriously ill with adverse sequelae that placed burdens on individuals, societies, and economies (as we're starting to see with long COVID), and the annual morbidity and mortality attributed to flu was sufficient to drive the research, development, and testing of a vaccine and a push for mass vaccination. Ditto for measles, mumps, rubella, diphtheria, pertussis, rabies, polio, smallpox, HPV, Varicella (chickenpox/shingles), and hepatitis B virus. Your point?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 13, 2022, 07:43:26 AM
https://slate.com/technology/2022/01/kids-under-5-vaccine-parents.html?fbclid=IwAR34C-cN4_5xfegwiJhgDQWtEVg2a5ELj8cJjqqmR85A2ckv_MNb7Jvb5yY
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 13, 2022, 07:50:21 AM
As others in this thread have stated, above, short of complete isolation, which we already know is not good for children, there's little that can be done to prevent getting infected by Omicron. Read the posts above describing people who are doing everything humanly possible to try to not get covid - including wearing masks around, all day long, in their own houses - and, yet, they're still getting sick. If your kids have significant comorbidities that put them at risk for bad outcomes from covid, you need to completely isolate them from any other human beings, or else, you just need to accept the fact that they're going to end up getting covid, eventually. Healthy kids are more at risk driving in a car from home to a vaccination site than just letting them develop immunity by getting infected and recovering naturally.

Safety is a team sport. You cannot be safe if you alone take measures to stay safe.

At this point the horse has already left the barn, and even the best collective measures are probably too late - except trying to flatten the curve somewhat maybe. But it wasn't inevitable. We didn't have to be here, and we got here because we didn't take enough society-wide protective measures before. I, for one, would rather face omicron like Australia faces it now, with healthcare workers not worn down by two years of unbearable load, and without 800,000 of our fellow citizens already dead. And certainly without the entrenched anti-vax, anti-mask movement backed by one of the only two major parties.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 13, 2022, 07:54:03 AM
Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

Siri, what is survivorship bias (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias)?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 13, 2022, 08:18:17 AM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/i-want-my-life-back-fear-covid/621214/

An interesting opinion piece

That was good.

It may have been you who posted it in this thread or maybe another. If so, sorry. But, this discussion (https://peterattiamd.com/covid-19-current-state-omicron/) on Covid was pretty good. It's pretty long and already 2 weeks old, but Peter Attia and his two guests are all MDs, who seem pretty smart. I liked their nuanced take on covid.

I listened to a good bit of this, but they lost me when among other things they started talking about the harm of "inflicting" masking on the population.  I mean, come on.  We're in a giant surge and it doesn't kill anyone to wear a mask.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 13, 2022, 08:25:44 AM
I think there are just some people that are more prone to get sick from respiratory viruses than others. I have a friend and every time I talk to him either him, his wife or his kid are sick. On the other hand I've been sick 3 times since I was ~12. I don't remember being a sick kid before then, though, just don't have vivid memories of being sick, like I do after. I got the flu when I was in 6th grade because I remember I had to skip our family Thanksgiving. Then the summer of my junior year I got something that resembled mono, it pissed me off because I had to test out my lifts for varsity football during that time and I had no energy or strength. Then about 10 years ago we traveled down to Florida for a friends wedding and I got basically no sleep with the wedding and the driving through the night, etc. that when I got back I had a pretty bad 24 hour bug. Other than that outside of occasional sniffles, which don't hinder my ability to do anything I've gotten nothing. So, 3 times in about 27 years. I also never got the flu shot, I figured if it ain't broke don't fix it, but I actually did get it this year, just to be a good citizen. My best guess is it's a combination of exercise, protein intake, and sleep, but that's literally just a guess.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 13, 2022, 08:48:55 AM
protein intake

Exercise and sleep are important to your immune system.  I've never seen any research indicating that high protein intake (beyond the very low RDAs) is of benefit though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 13, 2022, 09:14:21 AM
protein intake

Exercise and sleep are important to your immune system.  I've never seen any research indicating that high protein intake (beyond the very low RDAs) is of benefit though.

I didn't mean to imply "high protein" I was thinking more 0.5-1 gram per pound of bodyweight. I'd honestly believe many people are closer to 30-50g of quality protein per day in their daily diets. I try to get closer to 100-150 and usually have at least one high quality protein shake. It might not matter, it might just be correlated with higher quality diets.

I've seen stuff like this:

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/2105184/
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/17403271/

but to your point I don't know what "deficiency" actually means.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 13, 2022, 09:19:54 AM
I think there are just some people that are more prone to get sick from respiratory viruses than others. I have a friend and every time I talk to him either him, his wife or his kid are sick. On the other hand I've been sick 3 times since I was ~12. I don't remember being a sick kid before then, though, just don't have vivid memories of being sick, like I do after. I got the flu when I was in 6th grade because I remember I had to skip our family Thanksgiving. Then the summer of my junior year I got something that resembled mono, it pissed me off because I had to test out my lifts for varsity football during that time and I had no energy or strength. Then about 10 years ago we traveled down to Florida for a friends wedding and I got basically no sleep with the wedding and the driving through the night, etc. that when I got back I had a pretty bad 24 hour bug. Other than that outside of occasional sniffles, which don't hinder my ability to do anything I've gotten nothing. So, 3 times in about 27 years. I also never got the flu shot, I figured if it ain't broke don't fix it, but I actually did get it this year, just to be a good citizen. My best guess is it's a combination of exercise, protein intake, and sleep, but that's literally just a guess.

How often do your kids get sick?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 13, 2022, 09:23:41 AM
I think there are just some people that are more prone to get sick from respiratory viruses than others. I have a friend and every time I talk to him either him, his wife or his kid are sick. On the other hand I've been sick 3 times since I was ~12. I don't remember being a sick kid before then, though, just don't have vivid memories of being sick, like I do after. I got the flu when I was in 6th grade because I remember I had to skip our family Thanksgiving. Then the summer of my junior year I got something that resembled mono, it pissed me off because I had to test out my lifts for varsity football during that time and I had no energy or strength. Then about 10 years ago we traveled down to Florida for a friends wedding and I got basically no sleep with the wedding and the driving through the night, etc. that when I got back I had a pretty bad 24 hour bug. Other than that outside of occasional sniffles, which don't hinder my ability to do anything I've gotten nothing. So, 3 times in about 27 years. I also never got the flu shot, I figured if it ain't broke don't fix it, but I actually did get it this year, just to be a good citizen. My best guess is it's a combination of exercise, protein intake, and sleep, but that's literally just a guess.

How often do your kids get sick?

...and how old are they?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 13, 2022, 09:27:45 AM
I think there are just some people that are more prone to get sick from respiratory viruses than others. I have a friend and every time I talk to him either him, his wife or his kid are sick. On the other hand I've been sick 3 times since I was ~12. I don't remember being a sick kid before then, though, just don't have vivid memories of being sick, like I do after. I got the flu when I was in 6th grade because I remember I had to skip our family Thanksgiving. Then the summer of my junior year I got something that resembled mono, it pissed me off because I had to test out my lifts for varsity football during that time and I had no energy or strength. Then about 10 years ago we traveled down to Florida for a friends wedding and I got basically no sleep with the wedding and the driving through the night, etc. that when I got back I had a pretty bad 24 hour bug. Other than that outside of occasional sniffles, which don't hinder my ability to do anything I've gotten nothing. So, 3 times in about 27 years. I also never got the flu shot, I figured if it ain't broke don't fix it, but I actually did get it this year, just to be a good citizen. My best guess is it's a combination of exercise, protein intake, and sleep, but that's literally just a guess.

How often do your kids get sick?

Not very often. Maybe once or so a year. My daughter just had like a 12 hour stomach bug about 3 weeks ago. She also got sick in March of 2020. We thought it was Covid because she tested negative for the flu and strep, but they wouldn't test her. My son gets runny noses every so often, but not to the point where he doesn't "feel well".

She just turned 6 and he just turned 4. Both have always gone to daycare/preschool/kindergarten, even throughout the pandemic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 13, 2022, 09:37:52 AM
I always hate these anecdotal [ETA: survivorship] arguments. I'm sure there's a fallacy name for it. The people who died from not wearing a car seat belt aren't around to post saying it's a bad idea to skip the car seats.  The people who died from the flu aren't around to post how beneficial a vaccine would have been.

I'm not conceived that historical comparisons are survivorship bias. I'm not saying "I didn't have access to an FDA approved flu shot as a kid therefore I don't give the FDA approved flu shot to my kids today." I'm saying "no one had access to it and life went on" (but I was snarky about it, sorry about that).

FWIW, I get a flu shot every year as do my kids, and I did this before COVID.   

I've had every year since 2009. When I live with my kids I make sure to get it for them. When they live with their mom sometimes it doesn't happen. But I don't get upset about it, they have all of the vaccines mandated by their school.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 13, 2022, 09:52:28 AM
I always hate these anecdotal [ETA: survivorship] arguments. I'm sure there's a fallacy name for it. The people who died from not wearing a car seat belt aren't around to post saying it's a bad idea to skip the car seats.  The people who died from the flu aren't around to post how beneficial a vaccine would have been.

I'm not conceived that historical comparisons are survivorship bias. I'm not saying "I didn't have access to an FDA approved flu shot as a kid therefore I don't give the FDA approved flu shot to my kids today." I'm saying "no one had access to it and life went on" (but I was snarky about it, sorry about that).


To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 13, 2022, 09:53:10 AM
I always hate these anecdotal [ETA: survivorship] arguments. I'm sure there's a fallacy name for it. The people who died from not wearing a car seat belt aren't around to post saying it's a bad idea to skip the car seats.  The people who died from the flu aren't around to post how beneficial a vaccine would have been.

I'm not conceived that historical comparisons are survivorship bias. I'm not saying "I didn't have access to an FDA approved flu shot as a kid therefore I don't give the FDA approved flu shot to my kids today." I'm saying "no one had access to it and life went on" (but I was snarky about it, sorry about that).

That's textbook survivorship bias though.

"We didn't have seatbelts when I was a kid and everyone got lots of second hand smoke.  I survived!"  - Yeah, but you don't have the voices of all those who died countering the narrative.  It doesn't mean that smoking and no seatbelts is safe.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 13, 2022, 10:01:46 AM
To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.

Which I literally agreed with you in this thread. But to say that once SARS-CoV-2 becomes endemic we should be terrified because there isn't an FDA approved vaccine for the 6m-5y crowd is not a stance I am willing to take if the childhood mortality remains very low.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 13, 2022, 10:04:54 AM
To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.

Which I literally agreed with you in this thread. But to say that once SARS-CoV-2 becomes endemic we should be terrified because there isn't an FDA approved vaccine for the 6m-5y crowd is not a stance I am willing to take if the childhood mortality remains very low.

what makes you think that I'm advocating for this?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 13, 2022, 10:06:37 AM
To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.

Which I literally agreed with you in this thread. But to say that once SARS-CoV-2 becomes endemic we should be terrified because there isn't an FDA approved vaccine for the 6m-5y crowd is not a stance I am willing to take if the childhood mortality remains very low.

To confirm I understand you, you only care if children die, but not if they have life long health consequences from long-COVID, the yet undetermined decrease in IQ, the potential increase in diabetes, etc.?

I posted it above.  I'm not asking you to agree with it, but please consider reading this so you at least understand where [ETA: many] parents of under 5 are at:
https://slate.com/technology/2022/01/kids-under-5-vaccine-parents.html?fbclid=IwAR34C-cN4_5xfegwiJhgDQWtEVg2a5ELj8cJjqqmR85A2ckv_MNb7Jvb5yY
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 13, 2022, 10:27:23 AM
To confirm I understand you, you only care if children die, but not if they have life long health consequences from long-COVID, the yet undetermined decrease in IQ, the potential increase in diabetes, etc.?

I posted it above.  I'm not asking you to agree with it, but please consider reading this so you at least understand where parents of under 5 are at:
https://slate.com/technology/2022/01/kids-under-5-vaccine-parents.html

I'm not saying that at all. What I'm saying is that people are irrational about risks and that as a UK citizen and a card carrying member of the SNP I have faith in the Scottish government in general and NHS Scotland in particular to set reasonable guidelines for the 0-5 crowd. In that sense, I trust experts. But in particular I trust the (very liberal by US standards) Scottish government to listen to experts more than I trust the Biden administration for numerous reasons that I don't need to go into here.

But to get back to people being irrational about risks I happened to read this last night:

Those who have studied how humans respond to risk know that people often have a quite distorted view of what to fear: our fears depend less on the objective number (a one-in-a-hundred chance versus a one-in-a-million chance) than on other things. We feel less at risk when an activity is voluntary (such as driving or skiing) than when imposed on us (the air we breathe), when we are in control (like at the wheel of a car) rather than not (in the passenger seat or in a plane), when those activities are familiar (as when driving or working with heavy machinery at our jobs) than when novel (terror attacks or swine flu), or when we see the danger source as benevolent (like the Ford Motor Company or a surgeon) rather than neutral (a hurricane), or evil (a criminal).

That was published in Carjacked by Catherine Lutz and Anne Lutz Fernandez with an attribution footnote to Risk and Everyday Life by John Tulloch and Deborah Lupton.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 13, 2022, 11:43:14 AM
To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.

Which I literally agreed with you in this thread. But to say that once SARS-CoV-2 becomes endemic we should be terrified because there isn't an FDA approved vaccine for the 6m-5y crowd is not a stance I am willing to take if the childhood mortality remains very low.

To confirm I understand you, you only care if children die, but not if they have life long health consequences from long-COVID, the yet undetermined decrease in IQ, the potential increase in diabetes, etc.?

I posted it above.  I'm not asking you to agree with it, but please consider reading this so you at least understand where parents of under 5 are at:
https://slate.com/technology/2022/01/kids-under-5-vaccine-parents.html?fbclid=IwAR34C-cN4_5xfegwiJhgDQWtEVg2a5ELj8cJjqqmR85A2ckv_MNb7Jvb5yY

Speak for yourself. I have two kids under 5 and am not at all influenced by that piece of work. The first 6 paragraphs are a straight up appeal to emotion. It sounds like the folks in our neighborhood facebook group that were telling everyone not to go outside the week lockdowns started because it gets on your shoes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on January 13, 2022, 11:48:58 AM
The risk of death to children is very low. Lower than riding in a car, which most of them do nearly every day.

Source:CDC
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/covid_weekly/index.htm#SexAndAge
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 13, 2022, 11:57:20 AM
To me, it's as simple as: our current Covid pandemic is not particularly comparable to the seasonal flu.

Which I literally agreed with you in this thread. But to say that once SARS-CoV-2 becomes endemic we should be terrified because there isn't an FDA approved vaccine for the 6m-5y crowd is not a stance I am willing to take if the childhood mortality remains very low.

To confirm I understand you, you only care if children die, but not if they have life long health consequences from long-COVID, the yet undetermined decrease in IQ, the potential increase in diabetes, etc.?

I posted it above.  I'm not asking you to agree with it, but please consider reading this so you at least understand where parents of under 5 are at:
https://slate.com/technology/2022/01/kids-under-5-vaccine-parents.html?fbclid=IwAR34C-cN4_5xfegwiJhgDQWtEVg2a5ELj8cJjqqmR85A2ckv_MNb7Jvb5yY

I have a three-year-old. I'm frustrated that they seem to be dragging their feet on the vaccine trials. We send him to a part-time preschool that has what sounds like pretty typical isolation requirements for unvaccinated individuals (i.e. all the kids in the school except for the oldest two pre-K students). Ride on an airplane or otherwise travel over state lines? Stay away for ten days. Get exposed to a known/suspected COVID-positive individual? Stay away for ten days. Develop any symptoms that could possibly be COVID? Stay away at least until you get a negative PCR test result. These guidelines seem to be coming from an assumption that these isolation requirements are reasonably likely to be effective at preventing an outbreak, and that preventing an outbreak is worth the downsides of so much time away from the school. I definitely have doubts on the former assumption given how contagious omicron is, and the latter assumption just gets back into the whole debate we've been having in the rest of the thread regarding finding the right balance between personal inconvenience against the potential for spreading disease.

I was in the last generation of kids to grow up before the chickenpox vaccine was widely adopted in the US. I had the disease when I was a preschooler myself. Parents would throw chickenpox parties to intentionally expose their children, because the disease is milder at younger ages and it was thought to be pretty inevitable to get it eventually so you might as well get it over with. I'm so glad we have a vaccine now so we don't have to deal with chickenpox anymore, and I also see some parallels here to the current COVID situation. We have a disease that is usually (but of course not always!) mild in children, seems increasingly inevitable that they will catch it eventually, and no available vaccine for them. Rather than leaning into this inevitability like we did with chickenpox parties, we're hoping that if we just inconvenience enough parents with long isolation periods for however long it takes to get the vaccine approved, that many kids will be spared the experience. Maybe that's true! I'm growing more doubtful of that by the day.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 13, 2022, 12:31:14 PM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 13, 2022, 12:34:52 PM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.

Yeah, I think a lot of people think a bad cold with a fever is the flu.

If you have really had the flu, you would know it 100% without a doubt.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 13, 2022, 12:38:09 PM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.

Yeah, I think a lot of people think a bad cold with a fever is the flu.

If you have really had the flu, you would know it 100% without a doubt.

Totally.  A couple days of head congestion and cough is almost certainly not the flu.  Flu is awful, like you've been mangled in a car wreck plus lung involvement.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 13, 2022, 12:58:39 PM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.

Yeah, I ended up with a lifelong autoimmune disorder after my last bout of flu. The one before that put me in bed for several days. "Just" the flu.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 13, 2022, 01:37:21 PM
and that preventing an outbreak is worth the downsides of so much time away from the school.

After they removed the mask mandate for 3 weeks, we had a daycare outbreak that impacted 25+ people that I know of and shut the whole school down, so yeah, I have Opinions.

That said there is no quarantine for domestic travel at my school.  (But we're not traveling anyways so that doesn't really affect us.)  But doesn't it make sense to stay away if you've been exposed to anyone with a highly infectious disease or are sick?  I'm not seeing why that part is an issue.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 13, 2022, 02:06:58 PM
and that preventing an outbreak is worth the downsides of so much time away from the school.

After they removed the mask mandate for 3 weeks, we had a daycare outbreak that impacted 25+ people that I know of and shut the whole school down, so yeah, I have Opinions.

That said there is no quarantine for domestic travel at my school.  (But we're not traveling anyways so that doesn't really affect us.)  But doesn't it make sense to stay away if you've been exposed to anyone with a highly infectious disease or are sick?  I'm not seeing why that part is an issue.

The issue is that in the Before Times we just accepted that kids would get runny noses for like half the winter and it was part of life, not something to be worth keeping the kid out of daycare (and a parent out of work) for a week every time it happened.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 13, 2022, 05:10:03 PM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.

Yeah, I think a lot of people think a bad cold with a fever is the flu.

If you have really had the flu, you would know it 100% without a doubt.

There is also a great disconnect with what is considered “mild to moderate illness.” 

When the medical community describes an illness, they are talking about your body’s systems and their capacity to keep you alive. An illness can give you a head-splitting headache, leave you out of breath after climbing a single thought of stairs, be accompanied by a persistent cough and runny nose and basically leave a person confined to their bedroom sleeping 16 hours a day for several days and that level off illness would be considered “mild-to moderate” simply because there was nothing about it which was life threatening or permanent.

On the other hand, most people would consider that to be “debilitating” and “sick as a dog” because they were unable to move about and live as normal, and their symptoms were quite painful and unpleasant.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Missy B on January 16, 2022, 10:47:02 PM
Hi folks with very young kids-
just skimming this thread and noted the concern about the 5 and unders that can't be vaccinated with a covid vaccine yet and wanted to offer this: There is strong evidence showing that the MMR vaccine provides a significant degree of cross-immunity to covid. If you've followed the vaccine schedule your child has a level of protection even without the covid vaccine.

https://snohc.com/can-the-mmr-vaccine-protect-you-against-covid-19/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 18, 2022, 03:38:43 AM
Hi folks with very young kids-
just skimming this thread and noted the concern about the 5 and unders that can't be vaccinated with a covid vaccine yet and wanted to offer this: There is strong evidence showing that the MMR vaccine provides a significant degree of cross-immunity to covid. If you've followed the vaccine schedule your child has a level of protection even without the covid vaccine.

https://snohc.com/can-the-mmr-vaccine-protect-you-against-covid-19/

To clarify - there is some evidence in a single small cohort that mumps titers (measure of antibody reactivity) in people immunized against mumps using a specific MMR vaccine was inversely correlated with severity of Covid-19. This was not observed in people who were not vaccinated against MMR due to prior infection with one of the three diseases.

It’s a well-done study but must be replicated to say it’s strong evidence. Regardless, we know that children under 5 have less severe symptoms and this is a plausible explanation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 18, 2022, 09:01:53 AM
I always wonder if people who say “Oh, it’s just the flu!” ever really had the flu. I vividly remember the winter when I and my 3 kids had influenza A. We were in bed for a week, and it wasn’t the fun kind of sick where you watch tv, it was the kind where you take some me Tylenol and drink some juice and go back to sleep. One of the kids was exhausted for weeks.

Frankly, right now I’m missing the “normal” we had in September.

Yeah, I think a lot of people think a bad cold with a fever is the flu.

If you have really had the flu, you would know it 100% without a doubt.

There is also a great disconnect with what is considered “mild to moderate illness.” 

When the medical community describes an illness, they are talking about your body’s systems and their capacity to keep you alive. An illness can give you a head-splitting headache, leave you out of breath after climbing a single thought of stairs, be accompanied by a persistent cough and runny nose and basically leave a person confined to their bedroom sleeping 16 hours a day for several days and that level off illness would be considered “mild-to moderate” simply because there was nothing about it which was life threatening or permanent.

On the other hand, most people would consider that to be “debilitating” and “sick as a dog” because they were unable to move about and live as normal, and their symptoms were quite painful and unpleasant.

Some people might and some might not mean that when they say "it's just the flu". I don't doubt that there are those as you described. But:

Many people are at least casually aware of the dangers of the flu. It's not something to toy around with. It has a u-shaped distribution curve, where the young and old are especially vulnerable. What people are upset about is that

1) We don't shut down almost the entirety of society for a bad flu season. People are frustrated with the seeming inconsistency with risk assessment. We want to see the calculations being made when determining why children should or should not be in school.
2) Covid has an L shaped distribution in that it is more severe the older you are. It is relatively mild for children (especially compared to the flu) and we are interrupting years of their development for something that we can't see the end of. In many ways, we are kicking the can down the road and making some fairly significant interventions to future generations. (On the same token, I have the same things to say to parents who don't vaccinate, risking orphaning their children for the sake of political signaling).

Now, with that said, I am definitely all for trying get Covid to background levels. We need to immunize as many people as we can, including other countries where it is running rampant and therefore has more ability to mutate. It makes ethical and economic sense to do this. We just have to be realistic about it: it will never go away. It can live in animal hosts, so it will be in and out even if we miraculously eradicate it from humans. The extreme level of covid intervention would never be tolerated if we were to apply the same calculus to sugar/diabetes or opioids.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 18, 2022, 09:47:46 AM
At this point in the fight against covid (with the advent of the Omicron variant), immunization doesn't really control the spread of the disease.  It therefore seems unlikely that immunizing lots of people in lots of countries will significantly hinder the virus from mutating.

The purpose of immunization is to reduce deaths and stress on the hospitals.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 19, 2022, 09:09:51 AM
At this point in the fight against covid (with the advent of the Omicron variant), immunization doesn't really control the spread of the disease.  It therefore seems unlikely that immunizing lots of people in lots of countries will significantly hinder the virus from mutating.

The purpose of immunization is to reduce deaths and stress on the hospitals.

It reduces viral load, therefore reducing mutation opportunity as the virus divides significantly less.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 19, 2022, 09:43:14 AM
At this point in the fight against covid (with the advent of the Omicron variant), immunization doesn't really control the spread of the disease.  It therefore seems unlikely that immunizing lots of people in lots of countries will significantly hinder the virus from mutating.

The purpose of immunization is to reduce deaths and stress on the hospitals.

It reduces viral load, therefore reducing mutation opportunity as the virus divides significantly less.

Certainly, there's some benefit on that front.  But I said 'significantly'.

As long as vaccinated and unvaccinated people are getting infected alike, the virus is going to continue to replicate in significant numbers.  We know that every time it replicates, it has potential to mutate.  That the vaccine slightly reduces this viral load (and also slightly reduces the chance of becoming infected) is good, but not really going to be significant if our goal is preventing mutations.  At the moment, disease spread is far outpacing the benefits that vaccination is giving us regarding prevention of replication.

Immunizing people is a good path to getting covid down to background levels - not because it will prevent infection/mutation, but because it will reduce the number of people who get very sick and die.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 19, 2022, 09:58:08 AM
Significantly/insignificantly still seems to be a binary choice, which I suspect the impact of vaccination on the rate of mutation is not.

I don't think we can arrive at any useful conclusions (which, as casual observers, we already have slim chances of) without some quantifiable data of a viral load produced by vaccinated vs unvaccinated population.

Another totally uneducated suspicion is that a virus will not mutate the same when it can penetrate all the way to the lungs and stay there for weeks vs when vax-boosted immune system kills it off well before that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 19, 2022, 10:19:08 AM
Another totally uneducated suspicion is that a virus will not mutate the same when it can penetrate all the way to the lungs and stay there for weeks vs when vax-boosted immune system kills it off well before that.

Mutation is a replication error.  If the virus replicates enough times it will mutate.  The mode of infection doesn't really matter.  The ability of the mutation to infect someone else definately matters though.  Vaccines are also a benefit in that they reduce the length of time a person is infected reducing chance of transmission of the mutation.  (Remdesivir, monoclonal antibodies, and likely the new antivirals being produced should also help on this front.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 19, 2022, 10:58:09 AM
However, one of the new antivirals works by causing replication errors and there is some concern among clinicians that overuse may lead to new variants…

(I am not the person to explain this, but I did listen to an explanation from someone who is.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 19, 2022, 11:16:49 AM
Another totally uneducated suspicion is that a virus will not mutate the same when it can penetrate all the way to the lungs and stay there for weeks vs when vax-boosted immune system kills it off well before that.

Mutation is a replication error.  If the virus replicates enough times it will mutate.  The mode of infection doesn't really matter.  The ability of the mutation to infect someone else definately matters though.  Vaccines are also a benefit in that they reduce the length of time a person is infected reducing chance of transmission of the mutation.  (Remdesivir, monoclonal antibodies, and likely the new antivirals being produced should also help on this front.)

I'm not talking about mode of infection, though. I'm talking about length of time virus stays (and replicates) in one body. That higher length of time should lead to a higher number of replications, thus increasing a chance of a successful mutation.

Which is where a vaccine should be helpful. Shorter time to replicate in one host * shorter period a host is infectious = lower overall chance of a successful mutation, no?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 19, 2022, 11:55:24 AM
Another totally uneducated suspicion is that a virus will not mutate the same when it can penetrate all the way to the lungs and stay there for weeks vs when vax-boosted immune system kills it off well before that.

Mutation is a replication error.  If the virus replicates enough times it will mutate.  The mode of infection doesn't really matter.  The ability of the mutation to infect someone else definately matters though.  Vaccines are also a benefit in that they reduce the length of time a person is infected reducing chance of transmission of the mutation.  (Remdesivir, monoclonal antibodies, and likely the new antivirals being produced should also help on this front.)

I'm not talking about mode of infection, though. I'm talking about length of time virus stays (and replicates) in one body. That higher length of time should lead to a higher number of replications, thus increasing a chance of a successful mutation.

Which is where a vaccine should be helpful. Shorter time to replicate in one host * shorter period a host is infectious = lower overall chance of a successful mutation, no?

Yep, that should also be of benefit.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 19, 2022, 02:09:38 PM
My answer to "where I stand on living with Covid" has shifted slightly, as it seems that I am probably on the list of those with Long Covid. (According to the doctor, there isn't really a formal definition of Long Covid, other than just basically "some lingering symptoms lasting weeks or longer after the illness has passed and the infection cleared.")

That sounds dramatic, but really it is more weird and irritating than anything. Now, I didn't actually get a Covid test when I was sick. They were starting to be hard to find and I didn't think knowing for sure was actionable, since I could easily stay home and isolate.  So I won't be on any actual accounting, if there was such a thing.  But I was pretty sure it was Covid, and my doctor thinks it was as well (after the fact) based on the timing, symptoms, and the Weird Thing, which is inflammation-related and Covid is known for being inflame-y. 

It seems I have dermatographia, aka 'skin writing'.  It's an inflammation reaction, most commonly caused as the result of an infection. Can last weeks or months.  Basically, my skin gets really itchy (like the worst mosquito bites ever; it is sort of a hot itch, different than just a usually itch one experiences).  If I scratch it--not hard, just like one would for a normal itch--or even just bump it, there is a shooting fire under my skin.  Like someone has injected burning oil and it is spreading.  But the really freaky part is that a few minutes later, angry, hot, red welts appear in the exact pattern of the contact.  I can run a fingernail fairly gently over my arm in the shape of letters and 5 minutes later, I'll have an angry-looking red word appear on my arm in raised letters.  It will also hurt.

I was sick for about a week, and this started at the end of that week.

Thankfully, it has been well-managed with Zyrtec, though my sense is that the Zyrtec is lasting less and less time, and where I used to be able to take every other day, now at the end of the day, just before the next dose, I'm feeling itchy again and occasionally get the welts (which Doc says are a form of hives). That's a bit concerning because without the Zyrtec, it is entirely miserable. Like, I don't quite know how I'd function.  But we aren't to that point and I'm hoping we never get there, and that if we do, there is something else or a higher dose of Zyrtec's active ingredient, or something else. I'm also taking Quercetin, a supplement known to help with inflammation, suggested by my doc as a "can't hurt" thing. 

Really, I'm fine.  As long as the Zyrtec continues to work, it's just a minor annoyance, really.  But maybe it is also a reminder that there are so many things with this disease that we just don't know or understand.  And that "very few healthy people are dying" isn't the only factor we need to consider.

(FTR, I am fully vaxxed and boosted. I got sick before the booster's full efficacy was in effect, if that matters.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 19, 2022, 07:36:42 PM
That sucks, hope it resolves with time. try Benadryl at night if Zyrtec isn’t enough. Another thing to try is Pepcid or another H2 blocker. Either way, see a dermatologist at some point, too. I’m sure you’ve been told all this, but just in case you haven’t.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 19, 2022, 07:38:51 PM
However, one of the new antivirals works by causing replication errors and there is some concern among clinicians that overuse may lead to new variants…

(I am not the person to explain this, but I did listen to an explanation from someone who is.)

That is correct. It is also not very effective so unlikely to be used. The others are more effective and work in a different mechanism that theoretically is less prone to inducing mutations.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 20, 2022, 11:23:13 AM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

I noticed that not even a single dead person from the estimated ~20M flu deaths over the past 50 years has rebutted your claim yet.  Check-mate you pro-vaccine idiots.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 20, 2022, 11:31:22 AM
It was bound to happen sooner or later, our family has covid in all sorts of different stages right now.  I tested positive with a rapid this morning have developing a sore throat and headache last night.  I think it came from one of our kids at school. From the symptoms I am nearly certain its Omi
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 20, 2022, 11:37:50 AM
It was bound to happen sooner or later, our family has covid in all sorts of different stages right now.  I tested positive with a rapid this morning have developing a sore throat and headache last night.  I think it came from one of our kids at school. From the symptoms I am nearly certain its Omi

I'm pretty sure that we have it, too. I haven't had symptoms beyond several days of heavy fatigue and an increase in sneezing. Husband's symptoms are worse; he stayed home from work today and has spent most of the day in bed.

Since we rarely go out around people, I blame the guy who walked from the parking lot into the grocery store behind me last Friday. He sounded like he was trying to cough up a lung. He wasn't at the store by himself and hadn't driven, so I'm pretty annoyed at him for not keeping his sick ass at home.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 20, 2022, 11:55:29 AM
That sucks, hope it resolves with time. try Benadryl at night if Zyrtec isn’t enough. Another thing to try is Pepcid or another H2 blocker. Either way, see a dermatologist at some point, too. I’m sure you’ve been told all this, but just in case you haven’t.

The doctor didn't mention Pepcid, so I will keep that in mind. Thanks! To be fair to her, at the time the Zyrtec was working beautifully, so much so that most of the time I just took it every other day (as a way to test if the problem was still around, since that allowed it time to start rearing its itchy head a bit between doses).  So looking for additional or alternative treatments wasn't really something we discussed.  She did mention Benadryl, and that's what I used initially when I self-diagnoses it as some sort of immune response based largely on the fact that the sensations really reminded me of what happens with my bee sting allergy.  It works, but I am super sensitive to it and basically a drunken fool for a few hours, so not ideal, but okay for bedtime.

Anyway, thanks for the Pepcid rec.  I've got a busy month ahead and it this thing is still around then, I'll do more than just an online doc visit, though it seems there isn't much treatment for it, based on Dr. Google and what the tele-Doc said. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on January 20, 2022, 02:43:14 PM
Our two offspring both had COVID last week. DW and I tested negative. Symptoms were indeed mild. Hardly a cough between them.

We think we know where offspring #2 got it - from school friend whose parents are very social these days. They were part of our "trusted" vaccinated friends but social media has pictures of them going all over sans mask lately. Friend had a bumpy few days.

Offspring #1 either caught it from offspring #2 or from primary friend #1 who has had a hard time of it too. That friend refuses to get vaccinated. Surprising that friend didn't get it sooner due to employment in the service industry.

Meanwhile a coworker of mine is suffering through COVID for the third time. Says they've had their shots even. Even came to work sick one day! I was scarce until they were told to go home and stay home until they recovered. Geez.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 20, 2022, 03:05:14 PM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

I noticed that not even a single dead person from the estimated ~20M flu deaths over the past 50 years has rebutted your claim yet.  Check-mate you pro-vaccine idiots.
First time I ever got a flu shot was when I was 50 years old. Since then, I've gotten vaccinated every year. Not 'claiming' anything. Just stating a fact. What would there be to 'rebut'?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 20, 2022, 03:12:35 PM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

I noticed that not even a single dead person from the estimated ~20M flu deaths over the past 50 years has rebutted your claim yet.  Check-mate you pro-vaccine idiots.
First time I ever got a flu shot was when I was 50 years old. Since then, I've gotten vaccinated every year. Not 'claiming' anything. Just stating a fact. What would there be to 'rebut'?

I believe that FrugalNacho was trying to point out the survivor bias in the statement he responded to.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 20, 2022, 05:01:20 PM
My answer to "where I stand on living with Covid" has shifted slightly, as it seems that I am probably on the list of those with Long Covid. (According to the doctor, there isn't really a formal definition of Long Covid, other than just basically "some lingering symptoms lasting weeks or longer after the illness has passed and the infection cleared.")

That sounds dramatic, but really it is more weird and irritating than anything. Now, I didn't actually get a Covid test when I was sick. They were starting to be hard to find and I didn't think knowing for sure was actionable, since I could easily stay home and isolate.  So I won't be on any actual accounting, if there was such a thing.  But I was pretty sure it was Covid, and my doctor thinks it was as well (after the fact) based on the timing, symptoms, and the Weird Thing, which is inflammation-related and Covid is known for being inflame-y. 

It seems I have dermatographia, aka 'skin writing'.  It's an inflammation reaction, most commonly caused as the result of an infection. Can last weeks or months.  Basically, my skin gets really itchy (like the worst mosquito bites ever; it is sort of a hot itch, different than just a usually itch one experiences).  If I scratch it--not hard, just like one would for a normal itch--or even just bump it, there is a shooting fire under my skin.  Like someone has injected burning oil and it is spreading.  But the really freaky part is that a few minutes later, angry, hot, red welts appear in the exact pattern of the contact.  I can run a fingernail fairly gently over my arm in the shape of letters and 5 minutes later, I'll have an angry-looking red word appear on my arm in raised letters.  It will also hurt.

I was sick for about a week, and this started at the end of that week.

Thankfully, it has been well-managed with Zyrtec, though my sense is that the Zyrtec is lasting less and less time, and where I used to be able to take every other day, now at the end of the day, just before the next dose, I'm feeling itchy again and occasionally get the welts (which Doc says are a form of hives). That's a bit concerning because without the Zyrtec, it is entirely miserable. Like, I don't quite know how I'd function.  But we aren't to that point and I'm hoping we never get there, and that if we do, there is something else or a higher dose of Zyrtec's active ingredient, or something else. I'm also taking Quercetin, a supplement known to help with inflammation, suggested by my doc as a "can't hurt" thing. 

Really, I'm fine.  As long as the Zyrtec continues to work, it's just a minor annoyance, really.  But maybe it is also a reminder that there are so many things with this disease that we just don't know or understand.  And that "very few healthy people are dying" isn't the only factor we need to consider.

(FTR, I am fully vaxxed and boosted. I got sick before the booster's full efficacy was in effect, if that matters.)
OMG. I have  Dermatographia too! As far as I know I never had COVID. The hives started a week after my booster shot. Initial case of hives was horrible, even my ears swelled. I went to Urgent Care and was given a shot of Benedryl and Steroids and then a week of steroids. As soon as I finished the steroids they started back up again. I am managing with Zyrtec plus a Benadryl on the nights it gets bad. It’s been almost 2 months and I’m just starting to see long periods without outbreaks of miserable hives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 20, 2022, 08:19:42 PM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

I noticed that not even a single dead person from the estimated ~20M flu deaths over the past 50 years has rebutted your claim yet.  Check-mate you pro-vaccine idiots.
First time I ever got a flu shot was when I was 50 years old. Since then, I've gotten vaccinated every year. Not 'claiming' anything. Just stating a fact. What would there be to 'rebut'?

I believe that FrugalNacho was trying to point out the survivor bias in the statement he responded to.
Maybe when you and FrugalNacho were growing up it was normal to get flu shots every year. I honestly never knew anyone who ever got vaccinated for the flu, until I was well into my thirties and had a friend who worked as an ER nurse. My not getting a flu vaccine was never a political statement. It certainly wasn't because I thought anyone who got a flu shot was a 'pro-vaccine idiot.' It just never occurred to me that a flu vaccine was something that a young, healthy person, who didn't work in healthcare, needed. Right around the time I turned 50, I got the flu pretty bad, a couple of times, and that's when I started getting the yearly shot. Probably, I'll keep getting it every year for the rest of my life. If I can avoid it, I don't want to get that sick again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 20, 2022, 08:34:47 PM
I’m low 40s and I started getting the flu shot at my first job after college. They held a flu clinic, it was easy to go so I did. I think I missed the few years I was in grad school, but started again afterwards through work. Once I was pregnant with my first I made sure to get it every year though (and started getting some out of work) and not miss one by accident.

I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand it right now or the long term consequences.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: pdxvandal on January 20, 2022, 10:05:22 PM
This, 1,000% vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv


"I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 21, 2022, 03:08:13 AM
I’m low 40s and I started getting the flu shot at my first job after college. They held a flu clinic, it was easy to go so I did. I think I missed the few years I was in grad school, but started again afterwards through work. Once I was pregnant with my first I made sure to get it every year though (and started getting some out of work) and not miss one by accident.

I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences.

This, 1,000% vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv


"I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences."

Same here.  The medics have come up with a possible disease mechanism (micro clots in the blood surrounding infectious material) and solution (a sort of dialysis) but even so that can't guarantee no permanent damage to lungs and brains.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 21, 2022, 06:46:50 AM
This, 1,000% vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv


"I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences."

This is where I am, too. A person I graduated HS with (same class) was vaxed (not boosted), but got Covid anyway. He was in the hospital for almost a month, and then after another month of therapy, his lungs are now at 75% capacity. And that’s as good as he’s gonna get. Forever.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 21, 2022, 07:33:19 AM
Ditto on long covid. It freaks me out. I know of at least two people who are adjusting their career paths because of it. I have a pretty small social circle so the number of people I know who have died, been hospitalized, or been long term affected really seems like a lot to me.

One person feels unable to continue her career and is trying to figure out how to retire early. She caught covid from her eye doctor back in May of 2020 and is still not okay. She has shown a marked cognitive decline and she is only in her mid 50s. She had a "mild" case and was never hospitalized.

Another friend is a full time gigging singer and her breath support is shot 3 months later. She can't currently sing at the level required of her. She is pulling out of her spring and summer contracts. She had a case that felt like a mild flu. She is sure she caught it at her church job.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 21, 2022, 07:47:41 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 21, 2022, 10:24:58 AM
This, 1,000% vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv


"I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences."

This is where I am, too. A person I graduated HS with (same class) was vaxed (not boosted), but got Covid anyway. He was in the hospital for almost a month, and then after another month of therapy, his lungs are now at 75% capacity. And that’s as good as he’s gonna get. Forever.

Ditto on long covid. It freaks me out. I know of at least two people who are adjusting their career paths because of it. I have a pretty small social circle so the number of people I know who have died, been hospitalized, or been long term affected really seems like a lot to me.

One person feels unable to continue her career and is trying to figure out how to retire early. She caught covid from her eye doctor back in May of 2020 and is still not okay. She has shown a marked cognitive decline and she is only in her mid 50s. She had a "mild" case and was never hospitalized.

Another friend is a full time gigging singer and her breath support is shot 3 months later. She can't currently sing at the level required of her. She is pulling out of her spring and summer contracts. She had a case that felt like a mild flu. She is sure she caught it at her church job.

+1000
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 21, 2022, 10:29:27 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.

unbelievable. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on January 21, 2022, 11:30:04 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


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Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: OtherJen on January 21, 2022, 11:34:59 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


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I've been dealing with crushing fatigue, headaches, and a scratchy throat all week, and my husband is currently in bed with head cold symptoms and a fever. I'm pretty sure it's because when I went to the warehouse club last Friday, the idiot who came in just after me sounded like he was about to cough up a lung.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 21, 2022, 11:41:05 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.

unbelievable.

...is it though?  How do you think it's spreading like wildfire everywhere? Because people are being super responsible and wearing masks and social distancing and isolating when they're supposed to? 

I mean it's absurd, and it's absolutely bonkers, but I totally believe it.  They are not the first, or second, or even hundredth time of me hearing about people I know parading around town and going about their normal lives while knowingly positive with covid.   I know a ton of people who got a positive test, then mysteriously were able to get a bunch of shit accomplished.  My BIL tested positive like 2-3 days before he was scheduled to get his second dose, and without explicitly telling anyone they broke protocol and went to a mass vaccination site...he somehow got his second dose of the vaccine at a mass vaccination site right on schedule.  A long time friend flew into the state to see his sick mother, and contracted covid while he was here.  He's in the military and was getting sent overseas so going on an international flight so he required a negative PCR test...which he didn't get until right before his international flight after he was back home, which means he flew from Detroit to Los Angeles while covid positive because there is absolutely nothing stopping him from traveling domestically while positive.  Others I know aren't even trying to be sneaky about it because they think it's just the flu and absolutely do not give a fuck, no one is going to tell them what they can and can't do, so they just do whatever they want and have the mindset that if YOU don't want to get sick then YOU should stay home because they have a right to go to applebees anytime they want. 

There is nothing keeping these people out of grocery stores or walmart, or out of work places, or off of domestic flights.  It's all completely voluntary and most people don't seem to volunteer to follow restrictive guidelines when they are sick. 

Unlike some of the assholes I know, at least my family informed me about a positive test and didn't try to trick us into getting together by hiding it, even though they are totally downplaying it.  Yeah I get it SHE doesn't have symptoms, but she has enough viral load to test positive and could be contagious.  I'm vaxxed and boosted, but I still don't want it, and I don't want my 2 unvaccinated children to get it either, and I don't want to be responsible for spreading it around to other people even if I personally have a low likelihood of being very sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: frugalnacho on January 21, 2022, 11:44:54 AM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


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Yes very insane.  Yes you are naive, because at least half of the population is insane.  At this point I would just assume a good portion of people you see going about their business are positive.  Some don't know it, but many do and just don't care.  I mean what are they gonna do, isolate at home for 10 days with their entire household? lol

ETA: I mean the USA is still averaging like 3/4 of a million positive tests each day.  That's like 1.5% of the entire US population that tested positive just this past week. That doesn't include all the at home positives, and doesn't include people that either couldn't get a test or didn't even bother.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 21, 2022, 12:13:15 PM
This, 1,000% vvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvvv


"I don’t worry about anyone in my family dying from COVID. I worry about long COVID. We don’t really understand I right now or the long term consequences."

I worry about both: I have several family members north of 80, including my 90 year old grandfather who’s already on oxygen. Covid will very likely kill him if he’s exposed. For the rest of my family I worry about long term effects - SIL contracted about a month ago and is still too ill to really leave the house, so I’m not hopeful she will fully recovery this year. With unvaccinated little ones running around we have a constant vector source nearby.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 12:13:21 PM
Just wanted to remind everyone that the beginning of this topic was, like, 90% "screw everything, I'm going back to normal".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 21, 2022, 12:25:17 PM
Just wanted to remind everyone that the beginning of this topic was, like, 90% "screw everything, I'm going back to normal".

Yeah, we kinda ditched our hopes along those lines when the extent of Omicron became known.  Hopefully no new variants pop up when Omicron dies down in a few months and we can reconsider.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 12:44:01 PM
We had what, three waves already? Four? After each wave, we dropped precautions. We treated each wave as the final one.

It seems pretty clear to me that good times between the waves are exactly when we have to *keep* precautions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 21, 2022, 12:52:01 PM
We had what, three waves already? Four? After each wave, we dropped precautions. We treated each wave as the final one.

It seems pretty clear to me that good times between the waves are exactly when we have to *keep* precautions.

Which... like... has kind of seemed obvious to me from the beginning?

I honestly don't get it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 21, 2022, 12:59:54 PM
We had what, three waves already? Four? After each wave, we dropped precautions. We treated each wave as the final one.

It seems pretty clear to me that good times between the waves are exactly when we have to *keep* precautions.

Which... like... has kind of seemed obvious to me from the beginning?

I honestly don't get it.

Each time someone says something like: “well chances are if you catch Omicron it won’t make you very sick if you are vaccinated” I want to respond: “do you think Omicron will br the last widespread variant we see this year?”

I hope Onicron is the end of it - but I doubt it will be.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 21, 2022, 01:09:57 PM
We had what, three waves already? Four? After each wave, we dropped precautions. We treated each wave as the final one.

It seems pretty clear to me that good times between the waves are exactly when we have to *keep* precautions.

Which precautions do you want to keep?

School closures, business closures, and preventing gatherings do a lot of damage to people when they're in place and not absolutely necessary.  Mask mandates make more sense if we can do away with pointless security pageantry mask wearing rules (wearing a mask to walk to a table in a restaurant, then taking it off when you sit down to eat, for example).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: StarBright on January 21, 2022, 01:11:15 PM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.

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My mom just told me about one of her coworkers who went to a small indoor concert (maskless) after going for her covid test last Sunday, and at least one other person in her house had already tested positive for covid.

Coworker got her positive test back on Tuesday and is subbing in a classroom today (5 days). She only wears cloth masks.

People are absolutely the worst. And at least in some parts of the US (apparently at least Indiana, Ohio, and Michigan) they really do make up 50% or more of the population.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 01:13:43 PM
Which precautions do you want to keep?

School closures, business closures, and preventing gatherings do a lot of damage to people when they're in place and not absolutely necessary.  Mask mandates make more sense if we can do away with pointless security pageantry mask wearing rules (wearing a mask to walk to a table in a restaurant, then taking it off when you sit down to eat, for example).

Why are we doing this again? We went through it 10 times already.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 21, 2022, 01:15:37 PM
We had what, three waves already? Four? After each wave, we dropped precautions. We treated each wave as the final one.

It seems pretty clear to me that good times between the waves are exactly when we have to *keep* precautions.

Which... like... has kind of seemed obvious to me from the beginning?

I honestly don't get it.

I guess it depends on the precautions.  I understand some places eliminated things like mask mandates and people were really quite back to normal as far as going to busy indoor spaces every day for long periods, etc.  But here in the Bay Area, we only briefly stopped our mask mandate, I feel like it was like 1 or 2 months or something and even during that time, 98% of people were wearing them even walking down an empty street alone. And for every(?) event there was a vaxx + mask requirement and people were super compliant.  And we do have more flexibility, I think, in our local healthcare system than other places, but I'm not sure it made a big difference in how hard it hit us, for example, vs. Florida.  I'm glad we kept the precautions we did, and I expect we will continue them basically indefinitely, but it's not like we escaped the Omicron surge or anything.

Or maybe the precautions to keep pseudo-permanently is lockdown?  No going anywhere except grocery stores and other "essentials"?  Close down the hairdressers again and the dance performances and the get togethers with anyone outside your 3-person bubble?  Likely to be more effective but not realistic, IMO. 

(posting even though I can see other responses on point, but because I personally don't know the answer even though I read this thread and am interested in the discussion.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: GuitarStv on January 21, 2022, 01:17:43 PM
Coworker got her positive test back on Tuesday and is subbing in a classroom today (5 days). She only wears cloth masks.

If the coworker didn't have symptoms, that would be fully in line with the CDC's current recommendations:

"Ending isolation if you did NOT have symptoms:
End isolation after at least 5 full days after your positive [covid] test."

- https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/quarantine-isolation.html (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/quarantine-isolation.html)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 21, 2022, 01:34:34 PM
In 2016 and, then, again in 2018, I got the flu really bad. Since then, I've started getting the yearly flu shot. Somehow, though, I managed to make it through the first 50 years of my life, without ever getting a single flu shot.

I noticed that not even a single dead person from the estimated ~20M flu deaths over the past 50 years has rebutted your claim yet.  Check-mate you pro-vaccine idiots.
First time I ever got a flu shot was when I was 50 years old. Since then, I've gotten vaccinated every year. Not 'claiming' anything. Just stating a fact. What would there be to 'rebut'?

I believe that FrugalNacho was trying to point out the survivor bias in the statement he responded to.
Maybe when you and FrugalNacho were growing up it was normal to get flu shots every year. I honestly never knew anyone who ever got vaccinated for the flu, until I was well into my thirties and had a friend who worked as an ER nurse. My not getting a flu vaccine was never a political statement. It certainly wasn't because I thought anyone who got a flu shot was a 'pro-vaccine idiot.' It just never occurred to me that a flu vaccine was something that a young, healthy person, who didn't work in healthcare, needed. Right around the time I turned 50, I got the flu pretty bad, a couple of times, and that's when I started getting the yearly shot. Probably, I'll keep getting it every year for the rest of my life. If I can avoid it, I don't want to get that sick again.

I don't recall every getting them as a child (though I might have, as part of annual check ups and other doctor visits), but since my college days (so for the last 20+ years, I've definitely seen it publicized as something that one should do.  I can't say I've had one every year, but certainly more years than not.  I wonder if this is a regional thing, or more of a social circle thing. 

My spouse is in the military and the bases typically do a flu-show "exercise" every year.  He is required to get one, and they make it pretty easy for families as well, so since we got married, it's definitely been front and center.  But even before then, the grocery stores and drug stores, and college campus, always had signs out, heavily advertising the shots. 

As far as I know, I've never had the flu, though admittedly I don't go to the doctor for many things that it seems other people do, so I may have dismissed a minor to moderate flu as a bad cold. 

Maybe one god thing to come out of Covid will be more people getting flu shots?  Maybe??
 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 01:36:57 PM
I'm not sure it made a big difference in how hard it hit us, for example, vs. Florida.

California: 0.25 daily deaths per 100,000 residents
Florida: 0.32 daily deaths per 100,000 residents. That right after the massive delta wave that Florida had, with many people having residual immunity.

Back of the napkin calculation tells me that CA saves 28 people each day who would have died in Florida. Sounds like a significant difference to me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: StarBright on January 21, 2022, 01:44:11 PM
Coworker got her positive test back on Tuesday and is subbing in a classroom today (5 days). She only wears cloth masks.

If the coworker didn't have symptoms, that would be fully in line with the CDC's current recommendations:

"Ending isolation if you did NOT have symptoms:
End isolation after at least 5 full days after your positive [covid] test."

- https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/quarantine-isolation.html (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/quarantine-isolation.html)

Yeah - I wrote the 5 days just to show that she was at least following that guideline :) But so much of the guidelines are also sort of unclear - like what is a symptom (a fever?, a runny nose?) and if the school doesn't follow some CDC guidelines (like masks), do people feel the need to follow others?

She just "has a little sniffle", is what she told my mom. And she doesn't consider that a symptom. But she also thought it was fine to go to a concert after she went for a covid test, when she had COVID positive people at home (and was also experiencing symptoms). 

I guess it was sort of good that she didn't feel well, or she wouldn't have bothered to get tested at all and would have been at school on Monday, maskless, despite her exposure.

As masks aren't required at the school, I'd bet dollars to donuts she takes her mask off anytime she can get away with it (I say this, because I know the lady :) ).

I cringe for the people that send their kids to that school and am so thankful that our school reinstituted a mask requirement when our cases started doubling week over week.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 21, 2022, 02:19:02 PM
I'm not sure it made a big difference in how hard it hit us, for example, vs. Florida.

California: 0.25 daily deaths per 100,000 residents
Florida: 0.32 daily deaths per 100,000 residents. That right after the massive delta wave that Florida had, with many people having residual immunity.

Back of the napkin calculation tells me that CA saves 28 people each day who would have died in Florida. Sounds like a significant difference to me.

I found those same numbers on this list of death rates by state over the past week (https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/us-coronavirus-deaths-by-state-july-1.html). California and Florida are both toward the very low end of this list, and both states have rates less than a third of any states currently in the top 10. Given the incredible variation between states overall, and the relatively small variation between California and Florida specifically, I'd hesitate to attribute much of the difference between these two states to whatever mitigation measures the populations have in place. This omicron variant is peaking in different places at different times and I'd guess that's responsible for much more of the variation here than local customs around mask wearing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 21, 2022, 02:21:12 PM
Just wanted to remind everyone that the beginning of this topic was, like, 90% "screw everything, I'm going back to normal".

Now that I've had it / currently have it, I believe it's time to go back to normal even more strongly to be honest.  And I will be starting Wednesday
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 02:25:09 PM
Now that I've had it / currently have it, I believe it's time to go back to normal even more strongly to be honest

Survivorship bias. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 21, 2022, 02:27:29 PM
Now that I've had it / currently have it, I believe it's time to go back to normal even more strongly to be honest

Survivorship bias. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias)

I don't care what logical fallacy you think it is, this pandemic is over for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 21, 2022, 02:43:03 PM
Now that I've had it / currently have it, I believe it's time to go back to normal even more strongly to be honest

Survivorship bias. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias)

I don't care what logical fallacy you think it is, this pandemic is over for me.

I sincerely hope that you are spared from getting it again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 21, 2022, 02:50:33 PM
Now that I've had it / currently have it, I believe it's time to go back to normal even more strongly to be honest

Survivorship bias. (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survivorship_bias)

I don't care what logical fallacy you think it is, this pandemic is over for me.

I sincerely hope that you are spared from getting it again.

And don't give it to people more vulnerable than you.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 21, 2022, 02:57:41 PM
My answer to "where I stand on living with Covid" has shifted slightly, as it seems that I am probably on the list of those with Long Covid. (According to the doctor, there isn't really a formal definition of Long Covid, other than just basically "some lingering symptoms lasting weeks or longer after the illness has passed and the infection cleared.")

That sounds dramatic, but really it is more weird and irritating than anything. Now, I didn't actually get a Covid test when I was sick. They were starting to be hard to find and I didn't think knowing for sure was actionable, since I could easily stay home and isolate.  So I won't be on any actual accounting, if there was such a thing.  But I was pretty sure it was Covid, and my doctor thinks it was as well (after the fact) based on the timing, symptoms, and the Weird Thing, which is inflammation-related and Covid is known for being inflame-y. 

It seems I have dermatographia, aka 'skin writing'.  It's an inflammation reaction, most commonly caused as the result of an infection. Can last weeks or months.  Basically, my skin gets really itchy (like the worst mosquito bites ever; it is sort of a hot itch, different than just a usually itch one experiences).  If I scratch it--not hard, just like one would for a normal itch--or even just bump it, there is a shooting fire under my skin.  Like someone has injected burning oil and it is spreading.  But the really freaky part is that a few minutes later, angry, hot, red welts appear in the exact pattern of the contact.  I can run a fingernail fairly gently over my arm in the shape of letters and 5 minutes later, I'll have an angry-looking red word appear on my arm in raised letters.  It will also hurt.

I was sick for about a week, and this started at the end of that week.

Thankfully, it has been well-managed with Zyrtec, though my sense is that the Zyrtec is lasting less and less time, and where I used to be able to take every other day, now at the end of the day, just before the next dose, I'm feeling itchy again and occasionally get the welts (which Doc says are a form of hives). That's a bit concerning because without the Zyrtec, it is entirely miserable. Like, I don't quite know how I'd function.  But we aren't to that point and I'm hoping we never get there, and that if we do, there is something else or a higher dose of Zyrtec's active ingredient, or something else. I'm also taking Quercetin, a supplement known to help with inflammation, suggested by my doc as a "can't hurt" thing. 

Really, I'm fine.  As long as the Zyrtec continues to work, it's just a minor annoyance, really.  But maybe it is also a reminder that there are so many things with this disease that we just don't know or understand.  And that "very few healthy people are dying" isn't the only factor we need to consider.

(FTR, I am fully vaxxed and boosted. I got sick before the booster's full efficacy was in effect, if that matters.)
OMG. I have  Dermatographia too! As far as I know I never had COVID. The hives started a week after my booster shot. Initial case of hives was horrible, even my ears swelled. I went to Urgent Care and was given a shot of Benedryl and Steroids and then a week of steroids. As soon as I finished the steroids they started back up again. I am managing with Zyrtec plus a Benadryl on the nights it gets bad. It’s been almost 2 months and I’m just starting to see long periods without outbreaks of miserable hives.

Thanks for sharing this.  It does make me feel slightly better to know I'm not the only one, but I'm sorry you are dealing with this, too.

Interesting that you mention yours happening after vaccination.  I wonder if this is a known/recorded side effect of the vaccine.  I actually got sick about 9 days after my booster, and the dermatographia started toward the end of my illness, probably on about day 5 (so ~11 days after booster).  I mentioned all that timing to the doctor, but I was mostly focusing on the fact that I'd been sick, not the booster, so it is hard to say whether she dismissed the booster because I did, or if she was just fairy certain, based on what I said, that it was more related to the illness.  I was still pretty sick when it started.  At first I thought maybe I had randomly gotten bed bugs or something, because I'd spend nearly all my time in bed when it started happening. I though the itchiness might be from bites, and the welts might be the bites themselves, but it soon became clear that wasn't the issue.  Point being, I was still sick, but on the tail end of it, when this started. 

I'm not yet 2 months out from my first symptom of the dermatographia, so I'm hopefully that mine will follow a similar pattern to yours and start easing at that point (or earlier!).  I'm going to stay on the daily Zyrtec for another few weeks at least, and then maybe take a short break to see if it is still A Thing, unless I can already tell that based on the breakthrough symptoms at the tail end of the Zyrtec.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 21, 2022, 02:59:07 PM
I don't care what logical fallacy you think it is, this pandemic is over for me.

Note, once again, the laser-sharp focus on "me".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 21, 2022, 03:21:01 PM
I'm not sure it made a big difference in how hard it hit us, for example, vs. Florida.

California: 0.25 daily deaths per 100,000 residents
Florida: 0.32 daily deaths per 100,000 residents. That right after the massive delta wave that Florida had, with many people having residual immunity.

Back of the napkin calculation tells me that CA saves 28 people each day who would have died in Florida. Sounds like a significant difference to me.

To whatever that is attributable (as seattlecyclone noted) that is great and I'm grateful to see it.  But if that does indeed confirm that those are the kinds of precautions we should have been keeping in place the whole time that are being referenced here, I just want to a) point out that that still wouldn't have stopped the Omicron surge across the planet, so we would still be dealing with surges and recessions and etc.  Every life saved during a surge or any time is good but I just wouldn't want to get back into any magical thinking about this not happening if we had only been a little better about wearing masks.  The kind of magical thinking that I, at least, was guilty of when I thought about a year ago right now that COVID would be under control by Jan 21, 2021. 

And b) that I guess I have to change my answer on this thread about "getting back to normal"?  I'm pretty sure I framed it that I had largely gotten back to normal in my initial post here but I've been doing all the precautions I described above as I got back to normal.  So some definitional vagueness may be happening here, but what I, and to be honest what I got the sense that the vast majority of folks on this thread were talking about when we said we were getting back to normal in a lot of ways, was just doing things like seeing friends and family, getting haircuts, going to events, etc.  That doing those things with a vaxx card in hand and a mask over our faces still counted for us as "back to normal".  So if that is actually not "back to normal" because it is still "taking precautions" then that's all well and good, but my sense of this thread at the beginning was definitely not that 90% of people were saying screw everything, and that most people were still taking many precautions even if they simultaneously characterized that in their minds as "getting back to normal".  The few who literally said screw everything were widely treated with disdain or were ignored.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 21, 2022, 03:42:04 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can’t go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 21, 2022, 04:07:33 PM
Which precautions do you want to keep?

School closures, business closures, and preventing gatherings do a lot of damage to people when they're in place and not absolutely necessary.  Mask mandates make more sense if we can do away with pointless security pageantry mask wearing rules (wearing a mask to walk to a table in a restaurant, then taking it off when you sit down to eat, for example).

Why are we doing this again? We went through it 10 times already.

I am genuinely curious to know as well.  I feel like you are the cheerleader of an opinion that you think everyone here shares, when in reality they don't.... or as pointed out a few posts up, maybe there is a disconnect in definitions.  You said "90%" of people in this thread were like "screw everything we're going back to normal" according to you, and now this Omi wave is now somehow evidence that we should not be doing those activities.  Which restrictions would you like back?  Do you want full lockdowns again?  School to go back to online only?  Restaurants to close?  Shut down air travel?  Cancelling Dentist appointments?  Stop having in person events?  Starting cutting our own hair again?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 21, 2022, 05:01:45 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.

No masks unless you're actively sick/coughing - similar to what an ER/Doctor's Office would have asked you to do in 2019 or earlier - or you're immuno-compromised (undergoing cancer treatment, etc.)

Less social pressure to come to work/school while sick and more social pressure to stay at home instead of going to school/work while sick.

Increased awareness of washing hands/using hand sanitizer, coughing into your sleeve instead of hands or uncovered, increased awareness of touching your face and how communicable diseases spread.

More options for remote - whether that's signing documents electronically or video meetings or the option to work from home at times.


Other than that, everything else back to the way it was pre-COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 21, 2022, 05:52:28 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.

No masks unless you're actively sick/coughing - similar to what an ER/Doctor's Office would have asked you to do in 2019 or earlier - or you're immuno-compromised (undergoing cancer treatment, etc.)

Less social pressure to come to work/school while sick and more social pressure to stay at home instead of going to school/work while sick.

Increased awareness of washing hands/using hand sanitizer, coughing into your sleeve instead of hands or uncovered, increased awareness of touching your face and how communicable diseases spread.

More options for remote - whether that's signing documents electronically or video meetings or the option to work from home at times.


Other than that, everything else back to the way it was pre-COVID.

But why no masks, at least in essential areas, for most people? I honestly don’t get why they are such a sticking point? Why not a general move to masks in stores in the winter? I haven’t had a cold in two years, and I’m loving it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 21, 2022, 07:01:04 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.

No masks unless you're actively sick/coughing - similar to what an ER/Doctor's Office would have asked you to do in 2019 or earlier - or you're immuno-compromised (undergoing cancer treatment, etc.)

Less social pressure to come to work/school while sick and more social pressure to stay at home instead of going to school/work while sick.

Increased awareness of washing hands/using hand sanitizer, coughing into your sleeve instead of hands or uncovered, increased awareness of touching your face and how communicable diseases spread.

More options for remote - whether that's signing documents electronically or video meetings or the option to work from home at times.


Other than that, everything else back to the way it was pre-COVID.

But why no masks, at least in essential areas, for most people? I honestly don’t get why they are such a sticking point? Why not a general move to masks in stores in the winter? I haven’t had a cold in two years, and I’m loving it.

It does seem a bit strange to me, this American stigmatizing of mask-wearing. Certainly in other countries it’s common and socially acceptable to wear a mask in public even in normal times. I’ve been both shocked and dismayed at the not-infrequent snide comments complete strangers make to me about wearing a mask during a pandemic
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on January 21, 2022, 07:14:08 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.

No masks unless you're actively sick/coughing - similar to what an ER/Doctor's Office would have asked you to do in 2019 or earlier - or you're immuno-compromised (undergoing cancer treatment, etc.)

Less social pressure to come to work/school while sick and more social pressure to stay at home instead of going to school/work while sick.

Increased awareness of washing hands/using hand sanitizer, coughing into your sleeve instead of hands or uncovered, increased awareness of touching your face and how communicable diseases spread.

More options for remote - whether that's signing documents electronically or video meetings or the option to work from home at times.


Other than that, everything else back to the way it was pre-COVID.

But why no masks, at least in essential areas, for most people? I honestly don’t get why they are such a sticking point? Why not a general move to masks in stores in the winter? I haven’t had a cold in two years, and I’m loving it.

How about masks on trains, planes and buses?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 21, 2022, 08:11:27 PM
Which precautions do you want to keep?

School closures, business closures, and preventing gatherings do a lot of damage to people when they're in place and not absolutely necessary.  Mask mandates make more sense if we can do away with pointless security pageantry mask wearing rules (wearing a mask to walk to a table in a restaurant, then taking it off when you sit down to eat, for example).

Why are we doing this again? We went through it 10 times already.

I am genuinely curious to know as well.  I feel like you are the cheerleader of an opinion that you think everyone here shares, when in reality they don't.... or as pointed out a few posts up, maybe there is a disconnect in definitions.  You said "90%" of people in this thread were like "screw everything we're going back to normal" according to you, and now this Omi wave is now somehow evidence that we should not be doing those activities.  Which restrictions would you like back?  Do you want full lockdowns again?  School to go back to online only?  Restaurants to close?  Shut down air travel?  Cancelling Dentist appointments?  Stop having in person events?  Starting cutting our own hair again?

Some of us haven't had in-person events for two years, and have been cutting our own hair for well over a decade now.  :P

I'd really like to try to keep my son in in-person classes.  He has had two severely disrupted years of questionable quality half-online learning now, and his education seems to be suffering.  He's also had some issues with his inability to see/play with his school friends.  I am also looking forward to having an optometrist and dentist appointment later this year at some point - it's time for both.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 21, 2022, 08:14:20 PM
I’ve been pondering what sort of “normal” we’re expecting. Things always change, and we can go back in time, so maybe… it’s never going to be 2019 again and it might be less stressful to accept that the future is just going to be different than the Before Times.

I really don’t care what decisions people make for themselves - if you really have to eat in a restaurant, that’s your decision. I really don’t understand the general unkindness of refusing a vaccine and refusing to wear a mask in the grocery store.

No masks unless you're actively sick/coughing - similar to what an ER/Doctor's Office would have asked you to do in 2019 or earlier - or you're immuno-compromised (undergoing cancer treatment, etc.)

Less social pressure to come to work/school while sick and more social pressure to stay at home instead of going to school/work while sick.

Increased awareness of washing hands/using hand sanitizer, coughing into your sleeve instead of hands or uncovered, increased awareness of touching your face and how communicable diseases spread.

More options for remote - whether that's signing documents electronically or video meetings or the option to work from home at times.


Other than that, everything else back to the way it was pre-COVID.

But why no masks, at least in essential areas, for most people? I honestly don’t get why they are such a sticking point? Why not a general move to masks in stores in the winter? I haven’t had a cold in two years, and I’m loving it.

It's a minor benefit weighed against a minor annoyance. Mask wearing only provides a benefit to others when the wearer is contagiously spreading disease, and most asymptomatic people aren't doing that. This month may be an exception. My hearing isn't amazing, so I generally have a preference for being able to see people's lips moving if I need to talk to them. I also just think it's nice to see people's smiling faces when I'm out and about. I miss that. I'd like to settle into a pattern of mask wearing while you're sick, but not otherwise. I don't hate wearing masks at stores. It's not the hill I'm going to die on. I just think that of all the things we could do to prevent disease, asymptomatic mask wearing is probably one of the least impactful. This goes double in buildings such as a grocery store where you're not there for very long and are moving around for most of that time, limiting your exposure to any one person.

Where I do hate mask wearing is during strenuous exercise. The club where I play my favorite sport has had that policy all year and it's really getting old.

I think my "ideal new normal" list looks a lot like @Michael in ABQ's. I'd probably quibble a bit with the "more social pressure to isolate when sick" thing, or at least want to clarify that. I think people should be absolutely given more space than before to take time off if they feel they are operating on a lower level due to illness. Once they're feeling mostly better but still have a residual cough or something, they should feel empowered to go about their life with a mask on. The COVID-era policies where parents are expected to keep their kids home anytime they have minor respiratory symptoms, and for a week after...it's way too disruptive to life in general. Getting colds more often comes with the territory being a parent; what should not come with the territory is a need to take half the winter off from work because one kid or another has the sniffles and can't go into school that week.
Title: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: elaine amj on January 21, 2022, 11:33:00 PM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Yes very insane.  Yes you are naive, because at least half of the population is insane.  At this point I would just assume a good portion of people you see going about their business are positive.  Some don't know it, but many do and just don't care.  I mean what are they gonna do, isolate at home for 10 days with their entire household? lol

ETA: I mean the USA is still averaging like 3/4 of a million positive tests each day.  That's like 1.5% of the entire US population that tested positive just this past week. That doesn't include all the at home positives, and doesn't include people that either couldn't get a test or didn't even bother.
Ouch. I have definitely been naive. And also live in Canada.

And even my antivax friends very carefully check with us to make sure we are comfortable with their visiting, offer to wear masks, and no one would dream of visiting if actively sick.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 22, 2022, 06:25:08 AM
Center City Philadelphia Restaurant Week (https://www.visitphilly.com/things-to-do/events/center-city-restaurant-week/) just ended yesterday. DW, DD and I ate several delicious meals in totally packed restaurants, during the past week. It was totally safe, though, because hostesses were checking vaxx certificates and, sometimes, ID at the door, and we always made sure to wear masks from the hostess station to our table and on our way back and forth to the restroom. /s

Our family of 3 is all fully vaxxed, and boosted within the last month. So far, we all feel fine. No symptoms of anything, anyway. I guess the vaccines must be working.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 22, 2022, 07:31:13 AM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 22, 2022, 09:57:07 AM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).

Just out of curiosity, which strain is it?

Everyone here is still masked indoors so it will be useful to see our flu stats this spring.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 22, 2022, 11:08:29 AM
Its crazy how different different areas are. We've been essentially back to normal for a year outside of my daughter wearing a mask for a month at the beginning of this school year. Some people wear masks, some don't, but nobody gives you bad looks either way. Then I hear about my friend in the northeast and his 5 year old daughters had to get vaxxed or kicked out of school and even after everyone in the school is fully vaccinated they force the kids to eat their food outside in 25 degree weather and mask all day.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on January 22, 2022, 11:10:45 AM
A significant number of first world polities have announced that they are moving to treatment of COVID as an endemic disease:   Spain, the UK, Ireland, South Africa, Switzerland, Portugal, British Columbia, Ontario (sort of)...   and of course many states in the US have been de facto doing this for months now.   https://nationalpost.com/health/flu-ization-why-omicron-is-causing-some-countries-to-treat-covid-like-the-flu (https://nationalpost.com/health/flu-ization-why-omicron-is-causing-some-countries-to-treat-covid-like-the-flu)

So it looks like we're going to be living with COVID regardless of whether we think it's a good idea or a bad idea.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 22, 2022, 11:22:15 AM
A significant number of first world polities have announced that they are moving to treatment of COVID as an endemic disease:   Spain, the UK, Ireland, South Africa, Switzerland, Portugal, British Columbia, Ontario (sort of)...   and of course many states in the US have been de facto doing this for months now.   https://nationalpost.com/health/flu-ization-why-omicron-is-causing-some-countries-to-treat-covid-like-the-flu (https://nationalpost.com/health/flu-ization-why-omicron-is-causing-some-countries-to-treat-covid-like-the-flu)

So it looks like we're going to be living with COVID regardless of whether we think it's a good idea or a bad idea.

I'm just glad we are now so used to masks that no-one is going to side-eye me for my nice N95.  Screw masks, I want my respirator, I'm old and I have crappy lungs*  and I don't want to catch covid or the flu.


* Smoking parents and polluted city air most of my working life, plus bouts of bronchitis and pneumonia, do not make for great lungs.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 22, 2022, 01:17:40 PM
It's a minor benefit weighed against a minor annoyance. Mask wearing only provides a benefit to others when the wearer is contagiously spreading disease, and most asymptomatic people aren't doing that. This month may be an exception. My hearing isn't amazing, so I generally have a preference for being able to see people's lips moving if I need to talk to them. I also just think it's nice to see people's smiling faces when I'm out and about. I miss that. I'd like to settle into a pattern of mask wearing while you're sick, but not otherwise. I don't hate wearing masks at stores. It's not the hill I'm going to die on. I just think that of all the things we could do to prevent disease, asymptomatic mask wearing is probably one of the least impactful. This goes double in buildings such as a grocery store where you're not there for very long and are moving around for most of that time, limiting your exposure to any one person.

Where I do hate mask wearing is during strenuous exercise. The club where I play my favorite sport has had that policy all year and it's really getting old.

I think my "ideal new normal" list looks a lot like @Michael in ABQ's. I'd probably quibble a bit with the "more social pressure to isolate when sick" thing, or at least want to clarify that. I think people should be absolutely given more space than before to take time off if they feel they are operating on a lower level due to illness. Once they're feeling mostly better but still have a residual cough or something, they should feel empowered to go about their life with a mask on. The COVID-era policies where parents are expected to keep their kids home anytime they have minor respiratory symptoms, and for a week after...it's way too disruptive to life in general. Getting colds more often comes with the territory being a parent; what should not come with the territory is a need to take half the winter off from work because one kid or another has the sniffles and can't go into school that week.

+1.

I totally understand that Covid has short term and long term implications and there are benefits to masks. But I don't think that wearing masks has zero consequences. I suspect that, especially in children, we would be pretty ignorant to think that covering up half of our faces in public wouldn't have long term social/cultural impacts. It's bad enough that most people are staring at their phones all the time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 22, 2022, 02:08:45 PM
Its crazy how different different areas are. We've been essentially back to normal for a year outside of my daughter wearing a mask for a month at the beginning of this school year. Some people wear masks, some don't, but nobody gives you bad looks either way. Then I hear about my friend in the northeast and his 5 year old daughters had to get vaxxed or kicked out of school and even after everyone in the school is fully vaccinated they force the kids to eat their food outside in 25 degree weather and mask all day.

Well, for the flip side of this - it's not the vaccinated don't get it.  Some of those vaccinated kids have younger unvaccinated siblings as well, so if it goes through the schools it'll hit the unvaccinated daycares.

I live pretty far north and no one around here is eating outside, though they are masking up.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 22, 2022, 05:24:38 PM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).

Just out of curiosity, which strain is it?

Everyone here is still masked indoors so it will be useful to see our flu stats this spring.

H3N2. The bad influenza season about a decade ago and the 2017-18 one were the same.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 22, 2022, 06:17:26 PM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).

An elderly, immunocompromised friend told us recently (by phone, of course) that, since Covid started, the only time he ever goes outside of his apartment is Monday mornings at 4:45 a.m. Apparently, he sits in his car outside the local supermarket, wearing a mask and gloves, waiting for it to open. At exactly 5 a.m., he rushes into the store, loads up his cart, checks out, and is usually back home before 5:30 a.m. That's it. Besides this weekly excursion to the grocery store, our friend sits alone in his tiny, one-bedroom apartment, watching TV and reading all. week. long.

Another, much younger, immunocompromised friend told us recently that she has not left her home, at all, since last September. Not even once. For anything. She lives in an area where it's easy to have, basically, everything delivered, and she works from home.

If flu hospitalizations do end up being lower than expected this winter, just curious, what would lead you to believe that that was caused by mask wearing, specifically, and not the continuing propensity of people at risk to voluntarily socially distance themselves from other humans? I mean, if you never, or barely ever, leave your house, of course you're not going to catch the flu, whether you wear a mask or not. Without a control group who socially distance but don't wear masks, it seems like it'll hard to establish any sort of causal link between mask wearing and lower flu hospitalization rates. Or, am I missing something, Dr. Abe?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 22, 2022, 07:41:39 PM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).

An elderly, immunocompromised friend told us recently (by phone, of course) that, since Covid started, the only time he ever goes outside of his apartment is Monday mornings at 4:45 a.m. Apparently, he sits in his car outside the local supermarket, wearing a mask and gloves, waiting for it to open. At exactly 5 a.m., he rushes into the store, loads up his cart, checks out, and is usually back home before 5:30 a.m. That's it. Besides this weekly excursion to the grocery store, our friend sits alone in his tiny, one-bedroom apartment, watching TV and reading all. week. long.

Another, much younger, immunocompromised friend told us recently that she has not left her home, at all, since last September. Not even once. For anything. She lives in an area where it's easy to have, basically, everything delivered, and she works from home.

If flu hospitalizations do end up being lower than expected this winter, just curious, what would lead you to believe that that was caused by mask wearing, specifically, and not the continuing propensity of people at risk to voluntarily socially distance themselves from other humans? I mean, if you never, or barely ever, leave your house, of course you're not going to catch the flu, whether you wear a mask or not. Without a control group who socially distance but don't wear masks, it seems like it'll hard to establish any sort of causal link between mask wearing and lower flu hospitalization rates. Or, am I missing something, Dr. Abe?

Your friends' situations are tough and I hope after this wave resolves they will be in a better position to do more out of the house.

With regards to your question:
Hospital workers would be a good example of people who can be examined pre and post-pandemic. Since we have to go to work and are at higher than average risk of respiratory illness, we're a good cohort to examine. Rates for influenza pre and post would be a variable (likely very high compliance regardless due to long-standing influenza vaccine mandates), potentially a survey of interactions outside of work and home to account for the factor you bring up, and crucially mask use (as hospitals did not mandate masks during flu season, but do mandate masks during the pandemic). As you mention, travel outside of work and the home will be a confounder, but since most hospital workers are not immunocompromised + vaccinated against COVID, I don't anticipate excess confounding. The reason this would work for influenza (and other respiratory illnesses) is the vaccine this season is less effective than normal. Other surrogate markers could be rhinovirus/adenovirus infection since those are mild and readily identifiable on standard testing.

That is a study that is ongoing at my hospital and others. Data looking at the 2020-21 flu season suggested lower rates of all respiratory illnesses (that paper is still in peer review).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 22, 2022, 07:48:48 PM
A big question regarding utility of mask wearing for non-covid diseases will be answered with this year’s flu season. The primary detected strain this year is a particularly virulent one, and vaccines are only moderately effective against getting a symptomatic infection. If hospitalizations from that are lower than expected in February-March, it will suggest a benefit to masks, etc since there are not other effective ways to prevent transmission. This will be notable because influenza is mostly spread by droplets/touching your nose and mouth, etc. Data so far suggests a milder than expected wave (preliminary data suggests it is already waning).

Just out of curiosity, which strain is it?

Everyone here is still masked indoors so it will be useful to see our flu stats this spring.

H3N2. The bad influenza season about a decade ago and the 2017-18 one were the same.

I remember that one - DD got quite ill with it, spent the night in ER.  Nasty one.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 22, 2022, 07:55:41 PM
If flu hospitalizations do end up being lower than expected this winter, just curious, what would lead you to believe that that was caused by mask wearing, specifically, and not the continuing propensity of people at risk to voluntarily socially distance themselves from other humans? I mean, if you never, or barely ever, leave your house, of course you're not going to catch the flu, whether you wear a mask or not. Without a control group who socially distance but don't wear masks, it seems like it'll hard to establish any sort of causal link between mask wearing and lower flu hospitalization rates. Or, am I missing something, Dr. Abe?

Here we are still wearing masks, mostly, so population levels of infection could be compared to the other winters that had the same strain as this year (H3N2), before people were wearing masks.  I would imagine that people who are severely immunocompromised were taking precautions for the flu in those years, since it was well known to be a nasty strain.  But just as we are worrying as much about hospital overloading* as about individuals for Covid, we have to look at population levels of flu.

*My Province just cancelled all elective surgeries.  Who knows when my friend will get her knee replacement done?  She has been waiting for months, the hospital space (and staffing) just isn't there right now.  And as elsewhere, it is the unvaccinated who are dis-proportionally represented.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 22, 2022, 08:13:42 PM
*My Province just cancelled all elective surgeries.  Who knows when my friend will get her knee replacement done?  She has been waiting for months, the hospital space (and staffing) just isn't there right now.  And as elsewhere, it is the unvaccinated who are dis-proportionally represented.

Here in Texas it's been hit-or-miss in terms of elective operations. Right now they are on hold. The total hospitalization numbers are similar to Delta (and higher than last winter), but ICU use is less (20% of hospitalizations with COVID instead of ~30%). In general we could make capacity for outpatient procedures, unless there was a major complication and needed ICU coverage.

Almost none of my cases are elective, so we've been plugging along. I've had a few patients who got COVID and are recovering, their operations are delayed 3-4 weeks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on January 23, 2022, 12:07:09 AM
I read that the one advantage the US has over Canada is more hospital beds per capita. So the number of sick patients the US can handle would overwhelm Canada’s hospital system. So kinda makes sense why Canada has had to be far more cautious. Of course, Canada’s death rate is only 1/3 of the US.

https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/health-systems-canada-us-omicron-1.6308357


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Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LD_TAndK on January 23, 2022, 03:33:31 AM
My answer to "where I stand on living with Covid" has shifted slightly, as it seems that I am probably on the list of those with Long Covid. (According to the doctor, there isn't really a formal definition of Long Covid, other than just basically "some lingering symptoms lasting weeks or longer after the illness has passed and the infection cleared.")

That sounds dramatic, but really it is more weird and irritating than anything. Now, I didn't actually get a Covid test when I was sick. They were starting to be hard to find and I didn't think knowing for sure was actionable, since I could easily stay home and isolate.  So I won't be on any actual accounting, if there was such a thing.  But I was pretty sure it was Covid, and my doctor thinks it was as well (after the fact) based on the timing, symptoms, and the Weird Thing, which is inflammation-related and Covid is known for being inflame-y. 

It seems I have dermatographia, aka 'skin writing'.  It's an inflammation reaction, most commonly caused as the result of an infection. Can last weeks or months.  Basically, my skin gets really itchy (like the worst mosquito bites ever; it is sort of a hot itch, different than just a usually itch one experiences).  If I scratch it--not hard, just like one would for a normal itch--or even just bump it, there is a shooting fire under my skin.  Like someone has injected burning oil and it is spreading.  But the really freaky part is that a few minutes later, angry, hot, red welts appear in the exact pattern of the contact.  I can run a fingernail fairly gently over my arm in the shape of letters and 5 minutes later, I'll have an angry-looking red word appear on my arm in raised letters.  It will also hurt.

I was sick for about a week, and this started at the end of that week.

Thankfully, it has been well-managed with Zyrtec, though my sense is that the Zyrtec is lasting less and less time, and where I used to be able to take every other day, now at the end of the day, just before the next dose, I'm feeling itchy again and occasionally get the welts (which Doc says are a form of hives). That's a bit concerning because without the Zyrtec, it is entirely miserable. Like, I don't quite know how I'd function.  But we aren't to that point and I'm hoping we never get there, and that if we do, there is something else or a higher dose of Zyrtec's active ingredient, or something else. I'm also taking Quercetin, a supplement known to help with inflammation, suggested by my doc as a "can't hurt" thing. 

Really, I'm fine.  As long as the Zyrtec continues to work, it's just a minor annoyance, really.  But maybe it is also a reminder that there are so many things with this disease that we just don't know or understand.  And that "very few healthy people are dying" isn't the only factor we need to consider.

(FTR, I am fully vaxxed and boosted. I got sick before the booster's full efficacy was in effect, if that matters.)
OMG. I have  Dermatographia too! As far as I know I never had COVID. The hives started a week after my booster shot. Initial case of hives was horrible, even my ears swelled. I went to Urgent Care and was given a shot of Benedryl and Steroids and then a week of steroids. As soon as I finished the steroids they started back up again. I am managing with Zyrtec plus a Benadryl on the nights it gets bad. It’s been almost 2 months and I’m just starting to see long periods without outbreaks of miserable hives.

Thanks for sharing this.  It does make me feel slightly better to know I'm not the only one, but I'm sorry you are dealing with this, too.

Interesting that you mention yours happening after vaccination.  I wonder if this is a known/recorded side effect of the vaccine.  I actually got sick about 9 days after my booster, and the dermatographia started toward the end of my illness, probably on about day 5 (so ~11 days after booster).  I mentioned all that timing to the doctor, but I was mostly focusing on the fact that I'd been sick, not the booster, so it is hard to say whether she dismissed the booster because I did, or if she was just fairy certain, based on what I said, that it was more related to the illness.  I was still pretty sick when it started.  At first I thought maybe I had randomly gotten bed bugs or something, because I'd spend nearly all my time in bed when it started happening. I though the itchiness might be from bites, and the welts might be the bites themselves, but it soon became clear that wasn't the issue.  Point being, I was still sick, but on the tail end of it, when this started. 

I'm not yet 2 months out from my first symptom of the dermatographia, so I'm hopefully that mine will follow a similar pattern to yours and start easing at that point (or earlier!).  I'm going to stay on the daily Zyrtec for another few weeks at least, and then maybe take a short break to see if it is still A Thing, unless I can already tell that based on the breakthrough symptoms at the tail end of the Zyrtec.

My BIL had this issue and definitively narrowed it down to the booster. He did not have this reaction from the original shots. He did have an larger than is now standard booster before they dialed the dose back (I forget the amount).

It started about a week after the booster. He tested for covid which was negative, then went through an allergy test and came back negative for anything. Ultimately he was on steroids and antihistamines and it cleared up in about three weeks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on January 23, 2022, 08:03:37 AM
Going to find out if being super careful while traveling is effective mitigation against Omicron.  Just returned from a cross-country business trip, and kept my well-fitting KN95 masks plastered to my face at all times, only removing the mask when outside and/or more than 20 feet away from everyone else.  No snacking on the plane or at work.  No going out to eat in restaurants.  The area visited was near-zero masking, though the work location had both vaccine and mask requirements (everyone else would remove masks to snack/drink and sometimes chat, though).  Some anti-maskers in the airports and on the plane, though the flight crew was pretty good about hounding them on the plane.  Personally vaxxed and boosted. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 23, 2022, 09:24:57 AM
Like so many others during this surge, me and my family tested positive after christmas despite all being fully vaxxed and boosted. We had very mild sniffles and coughs for a day, and all stayed home for the week. Get vaxxed and move on, COVID's not going away. Enough of the needless paranoia.

I applaud UK and the other few European countries removing all mandates and restrictions, urging to live with it just like the flu. Just give us our lives back and end the silly rotating travel bans / testing requirements.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 23, 2022, 09:54:54 AM
Going to find out if being super careful while traveling is effective mitigation against Omicron.  Just returned from a cross-country business trip, and kept my well-fitting KN95 masks plastered to my face at all times, only removing the mask when outside and/or more than 20 feet away from everyone else.  No snacking on the plane or at work.  No going out to eat in restaurants.  The area visited was near-zero masking, though the work location had both vaccine and mask requirements (everyone else would remove masks to snack/drink and sometimes chat, though).  Some anti-maskers in the airports and on the plane, though the flight crew was pretty good about hounding them on the plane.  Personally vaxxed and boosted.

It was probably a good dose of luck added to the pot, but this worked for me.  I did at least a dozen planes and trains over the holidays to visit family and friends and wore my N95 mostly religiously and didn't catch it.  I was on several long trains and planes, such that I couldn't go so long without some hydration and snacks, so I pulled my mask down a few times for that.  I was careful to do that only on the plane while in flight, not in the airport or before the plane engines were on, since a plane with its full ventilation going seemed like the safest time to do so.  I only ate outdoors if a restaurant, but I did unmask indoors with friends and family, even though there were some kids that weren't fully vaxxed due to age.

I also took a wilderness first aid course 2 weeks ago and was in a room with 3 dozen vaxxed and masked folks.  They required at least KN95 masks, and provided them if folks didn't have them. And while we were working on rescue scenarios I of course was very close in with lots of people.  Although we were outside, we didn't remove our masks for this.  It felt very reassuring.  And I'm more than 2 weeks past that, so I just feel partially quite lucky and partially very trusting of my N95 now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 23, 2022, 11:26:17 AM
I'm socialising a bit more but wearing an FFP3 mask while doing so indoors.  I need to schedule dentist and opticians visits but will give that another week or two of local cases coming down.

This study in Sweden has half of all the early covid cases having permanent loss, reduction or distortion of their sense of smell.  Not "just like the flu" in that respect then.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2022/jan/23/nearly-half-of-first-wave-covid-cases-may-suffer-lasting-harm-to-sense-of-smell
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 23, 2022, 01:29:59 PM
Also, people seem unaware that school is sometimes closed because of flu. You have to have enough staff to keep things running. The school system here has less than half its usual sub pool, so they are in a precarious place if there’s a flu outbreak, too, and I see that getting worse, not better.

I mean, like it or not, we are right now “living with Covid”. This *is* what it looks like.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 24, 2022, 06:12:05 AM
I'm still in the "let's get back to normal" category. I don't want to say "screw everybody". But those still at risk at this point would be highly at risk for the flu too and we don't force people to isolate for five days and then mask for five more to attempt to protect everyone else.

I'm really frustrated by how kind of crazy the rules seem at this point. My youngest child (9yo) tested positive last weekend. He had a runny nose and slight cough for about 2ish days. (in the "before" times I would not have even considered him "sick") We had to keep him home from school for a week. On day 6, per the CDC he may return to school AND TO BASKETBALL as long as he wears a mask. But it's a cloth mask, none of the other kids are masked, and he will take it off for lunch. The rest of us are vaccinated and boostered. We tested negative and have been allowed to go to work and school and PLAY BASKETBALL as long as we mask. And we were to test on day 5 to see if we are still negative. (we actually opted to isolate for 5 days until we tested again anyway because it seemed like the right thing to do)
Based on what we know about Omicron, I don't see how any of those rules really do that much to prevent spread. It just seems like theatrics.

And in talking with other parents at our school, I know about half the parents aren't even testing. I tested my kid because he had the sniffles and he had a friend coming over (whose mom is a teacher) and we HAD TESTS. About half the parents I know said they wouldn't have even tested their kid, or put a mask on them or anything. Several parents on my son's basketball team were pissed we tested him because it meant they had to test so that their exposed kids could come back to play (though it's on the honor system so unlikely they did)
So I feel like my life has been upended for five days for nothing. Because the rules are stupidly arbitrary and at least half the people aren't doing the same anyway.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 24, 2022, 06:26:48 AM
We have vaccines, we have masks, we still have rules in a lot of the country, and a lot of people (although obviously not everyone) are still actively trying to isolate themselves from crowds and the virus if at all possible, and the USA is still averaging 2,000+ covid deaths every day. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 24, 2022, 06:35:44 AM
It hit our household. My wife felt a bit off on Saturday and tested Saturday night and was positive. Same for my daughter. I'm sure I have it too because I feel a bit off too. It feels kind of like being a bit hungover. Not a hangover where you had WAY too much drink the night before, but one where you probably had 1 or 2 too many. Sunday is usually my lazy day, but I still got my 10k steps yesterday and got chores around the house done, but I didn't have my usual full energy, probably at about 85%.

I'm starting to wonder if 3-5 or 5-7 days isn't fully accurate from exposure to symptoms. I know this is an anecdote and it could be completely coincidental, but we were in Fort Lauderdale from the 7th-10th. My brother and his fiance were there and my wife's sister and her family visited as well. We later found out that my brother's fiance tested positive on the 8th (PCR that took like 5 days to get the results) and we were in contact with her on the 7th and the 8th. My brother also started showing symptoms on the 10th and we were in contact with him from the 7th-9th. My wife's sister got pretty sick the 20th and it was covid, my wife and daughter started to feel it the 22nd, I started to feel it the 23rd, and my brother-in-law started to feel it the 23rd. The thing is we live 1500 miles from one another. So, we know we were all directly exposed as late as the 8th and apparently none of us got it from that direct exposure, but all got it coincidentally about a week later despite living halfway across the country from one another. Obviously it's possible, but it seems more likely we contracted on the 8th/9th and didn't start showing symptoms for about 2 weeks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 24, 2022, 06:52:21 AM
I'm still in the "let's get back to normal" category. I don't want to say "screw everybody". But those still at risk at this point would be highly at risk for the flu too and we don't force people to isolate for five days and then mask for five more to attempt to protect everyone else.

I'm really frustrated by how kind of crazy the rules seem at this point. My youngest child (9yo) tested positive last weekend. He had a runny nose and slight cough for about 2ish days. (in the "before" times I would not have even considered him "sick") We had to keep him home from school for a week. On day 6, per the CDC he may return to school AND TO BASKETBALL as long as he wears a mask. But it's a cloth mask, none of the other kids are masked, and he will take it off for lunch. The rest of us are vaccinated and boostered. We tested negative and have been allowed to go to work and school and PLAY BASKETBALL as long as we mask. And we were to test on day 5 to see if we are still negative. (we actually opted to isolate for 5 days until we tested again anyway because it seemed like the right thing to do)
Based on what we know about Omicron, I don't see how any of those rules really do that much to prevent spread. It just seems like theatrics.

And in talking with other parents at our school, I know about half the parents aren't even testing. I tested my kid because he had the sniffles and he had a friend coming over (whose mom is a teacher) and we HAD TESTS. About half the parents I know said they wouldn't have even tested their kid, or put a mask on them or anything. Several parents on my son's basketball team were pissed we tested him because it meant they had to test so that their exposed kids could come back to play (though it's on the honor system so unlikely they did)
So I feel like my life has been upended for five days for nothing. Because the rules are stupidly arbitrary and at least half the people aren't doing the same anyway.

This is my frustration, too. I'm very much a rule-follower, so we've all been testing like crazy since my husband had an all-day exposure at work six days ago. It seems like the right thing to do. But I KNOW that most people in our area wouldn't have even tested themselves when sick and notified contacts (like my husband's coworker did) and I know most people would not have taken any precautions after an exposure.

My daughter has had a lot of kids absent from her class at school, but they're all out for 1-2 days and then come back. You can't tell me that NONE of those kids were positive for COVID. I'm sure their parents just aren't testing. Heck, our next door neighbor is a nurse and she sent her son to school on Tuesday after he'd had an hours-long bout of vomiting on Monday night.... and I'm pretty sure she didn't bother to test first.

I'm almost at the point of wishing they'd just eliminate the guidelines at this point. This is one group project that can't be accomplished by a tiny minority of us, but I feel like we're all driving ourselves crazy trying.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 24, 2022, 06:59:52 AM
I'm still in the "let's get back to normal" category. I don't want to say "screw everybody". But those still at risk at this point would be highly at risk for the flu too and we don't force people to isolate for five days and then mask for five more to attempt to protect everyone else.

I'm really frustrated by how kind of crazy the rules seem at this point. My youngest child (9yo) tested positive last weekend. He had a runny nose and slight cough for about 2ish days. (in the "before" times I would not have even considered him "sick") We had to keep him home from school for a week. On day 6, per the CDC he may return to school AND TO BASKETBALL as long as he wears a mask. But it's a cloth mask, none of the other kids are masked, and he will take it off for lunch. The rest of us are vaccinated and boostered. We tested negative and have been allowed to go to work and school and PLAY BASKETBALL as long as we mask. And we were to test on day 5 to see if we are still negative. (we actually opted to isolate for 5 days until we tested again anyway because it seemed like the right thing to do)
Based on what we know about Omicron, I don't see how any of those rules really do that much to prevent spread. It just seems like theatrics.

And in talking with other parents at our school, I know about half the parents aren't even testing. I tested my kid because he had the sniffles and he had a friend coming over (whose mom is a teacher) and we HAD TESTS. About half the parents I know said they wouldn't have even tested their kid, or put a mask on them or anything. Several parents on my son's basketball team were pissed we tested him because it meant they had to test so that their exposed kids could come back to play (though it's on the honor system so unlikely they did)
So I feel like my life has been upended for five days for nothing. Because the rules are stupidly arbitrary and at least half the people aren't doing the same anyway.

This is my frustration, too. I'm very much a rule-follower, so we've all been testing like crazy since my husband had an all-day exposure at work six days ago. It seems like the right thing to do. But I KNOW that most people in our area wouldn't have even tested themselves when sick and notified contacts (like my husband's coworker did) and I know most people would not have taken any precautions after an exposure.

My daughter has had a lot of kids absent from her class at school, but they're all out for 1-2 days and then come back. You can't tell me that NONE of those kids were positive for COVID. I'm sure their parents just aren't testing. Heck, our next door neighbor is a nurse and she sent her son to school on Tuesday after he'd had an hours-long bout of vomiting on Monday night.... and I'm pretty sure she didn't bother to test first.

I'm almost at the point of wishing they'd just eliminate the guidelines at this point. This is one group project that can't be accomplished by a tiny minority of us, but I feel like we're all driving ourselves crazy trying.

Oh yeah I almost forgot- since he tested positive on Sunday and their was no school on Monday (MLK day) I reached out to the basketball team and all his best buddies parents since he said he sat with them at lunch on Friday. I thought they should know before the nurse called them in case they were trying to protect someone in their family.
Turns out the school didn't and wasn't planning to do any contract tracing. They also didn't report the positive case. The principal told me that since he tested positive on the weekend "it didn't count".
So what are we doing all this for????
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 24, 2022, 07:24:33 AM
I'm still in the "let's get back to normal" category. I don't want to say "screw everybody". But those still at risk at this point would be highly at risk for the flu too and we don't force people to isolate for five days and then mask for five more to attempt to protect everyone else.

I'm really frustrated by how kind of crazy the rules seem at this point. My youngest child (9yo) tested positive last weekend. He had a runny nose and slight cough for about 2ish days. (in the "before" times I would not have even considered him "sick") We had to keep him home from school for a week. On day 6, per the CDC he may return to school AND TO BASKETBALL as long as he wears a mask. But it's a cloth mask, none of the other kids are masked, and he will take it off for lunch. The rest of us are vaccinated and boostered. We tested negative and have been allowed to go to work and school and PLAY BASKETBALL as long as we mask. And we were to test on day 5 to see if we are still negative. (we actually opted to isolate for 5 days until we tested again anyway because it seemed like the right thing to do)
Based on what we know about Omicron, I don't see how any of those rules really do that much to prevent spread. It just seems like theatrics.

And in talking with other parents at our school, I know about half the parents aren't even testing. I tested my kid because he had the sniffles and he had a friend coming over (whose mom is a teacher) and we HAD TESTS. About half the parents I know said they wouldn't have even tested their kid, or put a mask on them or anything. Several parents on my son's basketball team were pissed we tested him because it meant they had to test so that their exposed kids could come back to play (though it's on the honor system so unlikely they did)
So I feel like my life has been upended for five days for nothing. Because the rules are stupidly arbitrary and at least half the people aren't doing the same anyway.

This is my frustration, too. I'm very much a rule-follower, so we've all been testing like crazy since my husband had an all-day exposure at work six days ago. It seems like the right thing to do. But I KNOW that most people in our area wouldn't have even tested themselves when sick and notified contacts (like my husband's coworker did) and I know most people would not have taken any precautions after an exposure.

My daughter has had a lot of kids absent from her class at school, but they're all out for 1-2 days and then come back. You can't tell me that NONE of those kids were positive for COVID. I'm sure their parents just aren't testing. Heck, our next door neighbor is a nurse and she sent her son to school on Tuesday after he'd had an hours-long bout of vomiting on Monday night.... and I'm pretty sure she didn't bother to test first.

I'm almost at the point of wishing they'd just eliminate the guidelines at this point. This is one group project that can't be accomplished by a tiny minority of us, but I feel like we're all driving ourselves crazy trying.

Oh yeah I almost forgot- since he tested positive on Sunday and their was no school on Monday (MLK day) I reached out to the basketball team and all his best buddies parents since he said he sat with them at lunch on Friday. I thought they should know before the nurse called them in case they were trying to protect someone in their family.
Turns out the school didn't and wasn't planning to do any contract tracing. They also didn't report the positive case. The principal told me that since he tested positive on the weekend "it didn't count".
So what are we doing all this for????

I'm in Florida, where the schools do ZERO contact tracing. (And no masks or any other sort of mitigation). There's an online dashboard that shows the number of cases in each school each day, but there's absolutely no way that we would ever know if our kid was directly exposed. (Her teacher was recently out and the kids were told relatively early on that her scheduled return date was some date that just happened to be 10 days in the future... so she was presumably COVID positive but we were never notified.)

So here we are, going through this whole big panic over my husband's work exposure, while knowing fully well that our daughter has probably been exposed countless times at school without us even knowing about it. The lack of consistency is what's driving me crazy.... why bother anymore? But I'm a rule-follower, so of course I'll still bother. Once the rules change, though, I'm out.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 24, 2022, 09:25:17 AM
Can't find a link to the actual study, unfortunately. It's also not clear if it's causation or correlation. It is possible that school districts that implemented mask mandates are populated by people who, in general, take Covid precautions more seriously. After all, local policies reflect local attitudes. But schools with mask mandates in Michigan have significantly lower Covid rates. (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/michigan-schools-with-no-mask-mandate-have-61-percent-more-covid-cases/ar-AAPA16i)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 24, 2022, 09:36:09 AM
Can't find a link to the actual study, unfortunately. It's also not clear if it's causation or correlation. It is possible that school districts that implemented mask mandates are populated by people who, in general, take Covid precautions more seriously. After all, local policies reflect local attitudes. But schools with mask mandates in Michigan have significantly lower Covid rates. (https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/michigan-schools-with-no-mask-mandate-have-61-percent-more-covid-cases/ar-AAPA16i)
I’m sure mask mandates help, but I think it’s likely more that the parents take it seriously and are vaccinated. It seems to spread more from parent to child than child to child. Omicron is changing it a bit.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on January 24, 2022, 09:50:56 AM
What are we all doing it for, you ask?  To try not to get sick.  I don't care about anyone else at this point, I'm just trying to protect myself.  Because, in spite of most people "recovering" and not ending up in hospital, there are enough unknowns about the long-term consequences of this virus that if I can prevent getting it, I will.  It's not just a respiratory virus - it causes inflammation in all parts of the body, which can lead to other immediate, delayed or long-term medical issues, like diabetes, heart disease, lung damage, neurological effects, etc.  I have no interest in developing any of those things.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 24, 2022, 10:13:38 AM
What are we all doing it for, you ask?  To try not to get sick.  I don't care about anyone else at this point, I'm just trying to protect myself.  Because, in spite of most people "recovering" and not ending up in hospital, there are enough unknowns about the long-term consequences of this virus that if I can prevent getting it, I will.  It's not just a respiratory virus - it causes inflammation in all parts of the body, which can lead to other immediate, delayed or long-term medical issues, like diabetes, heart disease, lung damage, neurological effects, etc.  I have no interest in developing any of those things.
Clearly you didn’t read my posts further up about the “rules” we have in place for testing positive and how many people are actually following them.
If you think they can actually protect you from getting it, you’re probably in for a big surprise.

Did you know that in most places healthcare workers may now come to work even after testing positive as long as they mask? God help you if you need to visit the doctor.

If we actually wanted to protect people from getting it, we would go back to mask mandates, restricting indoor gatherings and 14 day isolation periods.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on January 24, 2022, 12:51:01 PM
What are we all doing it for, you ask?  To try not to get sick.  I don't care about anyone else at this point, I'm just trying to protect myself.  Because, in spite of most people "recovering" and not ending up in hospital, there are enough unknowns about the long-term consequences of this virus that if I can prevent getting it, I will.  It's not just a respiratory virus - it causes inflammation in all parts of the body, which can lead to other immediate, delayed or long-term medical issues, like diabetes, heart disease, lung damage, neurological effects, etc.  I have no interest in developing any of those things.
Clearly you didn’t read my posts further up about the “rules” we have in place for testing positive and how many people are actually following them.
If you think they can actually protect you from getting it, you’re probably in for a big surprise.

Did you know that in most places healthcare workers may now come to work even after testing positive as long as they mask? God help you if you need to visit the doctor.

If we actually wanted to protect people from getting it, we would go back to mask mandates, restricting indoor gatherings and 14 day isolation periods.

I did read your post thoroughly and I agree that your rules are illogical and useless.  Where I live, we still have mask mandates, gathering restrictions and 5 day isolation periods.  Of course not everyone follows them, and that's exactly why I do everything I can to protect myself.
When I do have to go out, I double mask, distance, wash etc.  It might not stop me from getting Covid, but at least I've tried my best - I'm not ready to just throw up my hands and say "the hell with it."

I did have to go to the doctor a few days ago and one woman came up to the registration counter wearing a mask under her nose.  I was called in before I could hear if the receptionist said anything to her. 

Also, do you believe that there will be more variants?  Possibly more deadly ones?  What then?  If people are giving up now, they may very well be the ones in for a big surprise down the road.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 24, 2022, 01:53:04 PM
What are we all doing it for, you ask?  To try not to get sick.  I don't care about anyone else at this point, I'm just trying to protect myself.  Because, in spite of most people "recovering" and not ending up in hospital, there are enough unknowns about the long-term consequences of this virus that if I can prevent getting it, I will.  It's not just a respiratory virus - it causes inflammation in all parts of the body, which can lead to other immediate, delayed or long-term medical issues, like diabetes, heart disease, lung damage, neurological effects, etc.  I have no interest in developing any of those things.

I'd love not to get it as well. So far we're prioritizing our kids' education over strict COVID avoidance though. Our kindergartener has had a couple of close contacts at school this month. No positive results in our family so far. The school does do mask wearing, social distancing, and contact tracing. These things likely have helped! Time will tell whether these measures actually prevent any kids (and the rest of their families) from ever getting it or if it's more of a "flatten the curve" delaying the inevitable sort of thing. Given how contagious omicron is I strongly suspect the latter. We've dodged a few bullets but the guns keep shooting. They've been averaging 1-2 confirmed positive cases every day at the school recently.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 24, 2022, 02:45:50 PM
I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on January 24, 2022, 03:06:05 PM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 24, 2022, 03:33:58 PM

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

For me it makes the most sense to tie it to local case counts. In my community, we are at the highest level of hospitalizations that we have even been for the entire pandemic, which is roughly an order of magnitude higher than what we experience during most peak flu seasons.

Given that most experts I’ve been hearing from are predicting a substantial decline in cases over the next several weeks it seems that would be more logical point than right now. 
I realize that’s not a popular opinion for many.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 24, 2022, 03:35:09 PM
I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

I've been hoping someone in our family will test positive the last few times we've all had a cold. My wife and I are vaccinated, and she recently spent a day taking care of her sister who had COVID and never had any symptoms. We've been thinking about having our kids tested for antibodies as there's a decent chance they've already had it and therefore we don't need to worry as they've got natural immunity.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 24, 2022, 03:36:59 PM
I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

Same.  Not even worried or thinking about the next.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 24, 2022, 03:52:07 PM
This is me
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on January 24, 2022, 04:09:41 PM
Covid death side effect which occurred to me today -- unnatural sudden increase in inherited RMD withdrawals.  Granted, not every American who has died necessarily had an IRA/401k/403b, and many left spouses who may not yet be subject to RMD.

However, there's still going to be quite an uptick in money coming out of the market.  Even if the inheritors intend to reinvest, Uncle Sam will be doing a haircut first on anything not Roth.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: HPstache on January 24, 2022, 04:13:35 PM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I've been dealing with crushing fatigue, headaches, and a scratchy throat all week, and my husband is currently in bed with head cold symptoms and a fever. I'm pretty sure it's because when I went to the warehouse club last Friday, the idiot who came in just after me sounded like he was about to cough up a lung.

Paging @OtherJen because we got Covid around the same time, how are you and your husband doing now?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 24, 2022, 05:13:22 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 24, 2022, 05:33:40 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 24, 2022, 06:09:26 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

Hahahaha!!!! Us too.  Meanwhile, we know several people who have had it multiple times now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: OtherJen on January 24, 2022, 06:21:53 PM
My niece and her boyfriend have covid.  He's unvaxxed and pretty sick, she's vaxxed and asymptomatic.  She only tested because she was exposed to him.  No one else in the household tested positive.  They are having a birthday party with the whole family (9 people minimum) despite her being positive.  We were invited but obviously declined.  Also the entire family has been going about their daily lives and going to stores and whatnot even as they were awaiting test results.
That is insane. I must be naive but I honestly didn’t know people did this.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

I've been dealing with crushing fatigue, headaches, and a scratchy throat all week, and my husband is currently in bed with head cold symptoms and a fever. I'm pretty sure it's because when I went to the warehouse club last Friday, the idiot who came in just after me sounded like he was about to cough up a lung.

Paging @OtherJen because we got Covid around the same time, how are you and your husband doing now?

Thanks for checking in. Yesterday was the first day in several that I wasn’t debilitated by fatigue. Today, I felt mostly normal. Husband spent much of the weekend sleeping and coughing and is still symptomatic. He has the option to work remotely and today put in his first workday since last Wednesday—all computer and phone tasks. It wiped him out enough that he needed a 90-min nap after work. We were worried yesterday that it was settling in his lungs, but the cough was better today.

I hope you and yours are all on the other side of it by now, and that none of you (or us) ends up with long COVID complications.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 24, 2022, 06:32:29 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

We have also avoided it.  I've been sick 3 times since covid hit, one short lived stomach bug, and 2 typical colds (both within last 4 months), but no flu or covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 24, 2022, 06:39:56 PM
What I find interesting is this narrative of: "we'll all get it eventually / it's unavoidable".

Consider this;  right now there's been about 70MM official cases in the US, and I've seen estimates including unreported numbers the true number is around 100MM.  That's extraordinary, but it also means that 2/3rds of Americans have NOT gotten the virus. Many other countries have faired far better. Bottom line is that most people have not contracted Covid. 


While it is indeed possible to do everything right and still catch the virus, I'm not convinced it's inevitable, even if we have to endure a fifth, sixth, seventh wave and several more variants.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 24, 2022, 06:51:11 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

We have also avoided it.  I've been sick 3 times since covid hit, one short lived stomach bug, and 2 typical colds (both within last 4 months), but no flu or covid.

Can just about guarantee one of the two typical colds in the last 4 months was covid.  Its extremely easy to not get a test at the right time to show up.  Covid for a vaccinated person is extremely similar to a cold.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 24, 2022, 07:16:02 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

We have also avoided it.  I've been sick 3 times since covid hit, one short lived stomach bug, and 2 typical colds (both within last 4 months), but no flu or covid.

Can just about guarantee one of the two typical colds in the last 4 months was covid.  Its extremely easy to not get a test at the right time to show up.  Covid for a vaccinated person is extremely similar to a cold.

We’re vaccinated and boosted, and I’ve had plenty of colds. I’ve never been this fatigued for a full week with a cold. I can’t remember the last time my husband was sick for this long with a cold (or with anything). I’m afraid that he might have ended up needing medical care if I hadn’t insisted that we get our boosters.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 24, 2022, 07:21:12 PM
What I find interesting is this narrative of: "we'll all get it eventually / it's unavoidable".

[snip]

While it is indeed possible to do everything right and still catch the virus, I'm not convinced it's inevitable, even if we have to endure a fifth, sixth, seventh wave and several more variants.

Agree.  Puts me in mind of "think you can, think you can't, either way you're right".  If you give up and stop taking precautions, um, yeah, you are more likely to get it...

COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY

I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

Same.  Not even worried or thinking about the next.

I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

I've been hoping someone in our family will test positive the last few times we've all had a cold. My wife and I are vaccinated, and she recently spent a day taking care of her sister who had COVID and never had any symptoms. We've been thinking about having our kids tested for antibodies as there's a decent chance they've already had it and therefore we don't need to worry as they've got natural immunity.

Don't get too excited as you can get it again :(
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 24, 2022, 07:23:13 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

We have also avoided it.  I've been sick 3 times since covid hit, one short lived stomach bug, and 2 typical colds (both within last 4 months), but no flu or covid.

Can just about guarantee one of the two typical colds in the last 4 months was covid.  Its extremely easy to not get a test at the right time to show up.  Covid for a vaccinated person is extremely similar to a cold.

If the variant can't be detected it could have been covid.  Everyone in my son's class got a cold in October and a bunch of the parents and teachers also got sick, but it was negative covid tests all around.  Second cold was a few weeks ago and tested negative and had no known exposure to anyone testing positive. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on January 24, 2022, 07:27:38 PM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY


Sure you've got a point.   When do you think society should start moving on then?   Once kids under 5 are vaccinated and manufacturing capacity for the treatment has picked up?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on January 24, 2022, 07:34:08 PM
What I find interesting is this narrative of: "we'll all get it eventually / it's unavoidable".

Consider this;  right now there's been about 70MM official cases in the US, and I've seen estimates including unreported numbers the true number is around 100MM.  That's extraordinary, but it also means that 2/3rds of Americans have NOT gotten the virus. Many other countries have faired far better. Bottom line is that most people have not contracted Covid. 


While it is indeed possible to do everything right and still catch the virus, I'm not convinced it's inevitable, even if we have to endure a fifth, sixth, seventh wave and several more variants.

Your estimates are likely off by quite a bit. We've struggled to catch the majority of infections in the "cases" data. The CDC was estimating over 146 million infections as of Sept 2021 (pre- Omicron). Add 4 months of Omicron spread to those estimates, and we're probably nipping 200 million infections these days:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/burden.html

It seems like the CDC quit forecasting "cases" during the Omicron wave after the actual data exceeded their models, deeming them to be unreliable. So even the CDC may have been estimating too low:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/forecasts-cases.html

Their last published forecast was estimating around 1 million new cases per day by December, and it seems like their data collected makes that seem unrealistically low:

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/forecasting/forecasting-us-cases-previous.html
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 24, 2022, 07:35:38 PM
This is me

lol . . . our whole family too.  It does kinda feel like that pic sometimes.

And me.  En garde!!!

We have also avoided it.  I've been sick 3 times since covid hit, one short lived stomach bug, and 2 typical colds (both within last 4 months), but no flu or covid.

Can just about guarantee one of the two typical colds in the last 4 months was covid.  Its extremely easy to not get a test at the right time to show up.  Covid for a vaccinated person is extremely similar to a cold.

If the variant can't be detected it could have been covid.  Everyone in my son's class got a cold in October and a bunch of the parents and teachers also got sick, but it was negative covid tests all around.  Second cold was a few weeks ago and tested negative and had no known exposure to anyone testing positive.

False negatives are very common, we have 2 of the 5 as either bad timing of the tests or straight up false negatives in my family.  It does not have to be an unknown variant.  I guess it doesn't matter though if you're over it and all's good.  It just would seem extremely unlikely have caught two colds during the epic runup of an extremely contagious virus that plays out like a cold to a young vaccinated person .
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 24, 2022, 07:46:06 PM
What I find interesting is this narrative of: "we'll all get it eventually / it's unavoidable".

[snip]

While it is indeed possible to do everything right and still catch the virus, I'm not convinced it's inevitable, even if we have to endure a fifth, sixth, seventh wave and several more variants.

Agree.  Puts me in mind of "think you can, think you can't, either way you're right".  If you give up and stop taking precautions, um, yeah, you are more likely to get it...

COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY

I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

Same.  Not even worried or thinking about the next.

I know it sounds weird, but I'm kind of glad we all got it. I've felt like we've been walking on eggshells for the past 2 years, wondering if it'll be brutal if we get it, wondering if we are inadvertently spreading it to other people, wondering if someone will spread it to us, etc. Now that we all have it and it's mild I won't have to wonder about if we are spreading it, if we will catch it, etc. At least until the next variant comes out :)

I've been hoping someone in our family will test positive the last few times we've all had a cold. My wife and I are vaccinated, and she recently spent a day taking care of her sister who had COVID and never had any symptoms. We've been thinking about having our kids tested for antibodies as there's a decent chance they've already had it and therefore we don't need to worry as they've got natural immunity.

Don't get too excited as you can get it again :(

There's evidence of people testing positive twice for Omicron?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 24, 2022, 08:01:05 PM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY


Sure you've got a point.   When do you think society should start moving on then?   Once kids under 5 are vaccinated and manufacturing capacity for the treatment has picked up?

- Vaccine for all
- Sufficient quantities of treatment
- Hospitals are not maxed out
- Cases are not spiking (related to above obviously, but means a flexible approach)
- COVID tests are more affordable (I think 2 for $20 which is the best I've seen of late is still too high for the average person.  Making available through insurance is good, but it would also be good to have much cheaper tests.)
I would also add 90-95% of the country is vaccinated, but that's never going to happen in the US because people are [mod edit]

But...people will still make individual choices.  I'm not likely to go to big events (e.g. sporting events, concerts) anytime soon myself.  But I do hope to fly away on vacation and have dinner at people's houses again some time later this year.

I reserve the right to add to my list as I think of things.  :)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 24, 2022, 08:12:12 PM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY


Sure you've got a point.   When do you think society should start moving on then?   Once kids under 5 are vaccinated and manufacturing capacity for the treatment has picked up?

- Vaccine for all

So your opinion is that we should have vaccines for every last breathing person on the... planet? Or just the country? Also, do you really expect 50.1% of the population to agree to that given that would absolutely be a "new normal" for how to deal with pandemics? Also, better get on the phone with Fauci and Biden. Fauci is definitely signaling that we will go back to normal-ish when the virus is endemic not pandemic and that the trigger will not be vaccines for all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 25, 2022, 03:28:35 AM
There's evidence of people testing positive twice for Omicron?
It's possible according to the science to get Omicron twice but it's too soon to have individual cases as the variant was only identified a couple of months ago.
https://inews.co.uk/news/health/can-you-get-infected-omicron-more-than-once-reinfection-covid-variant-1369789?ico=in-line_link

It is clear that infection with previous variants provides only limited protection against Omicron
https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-49-Omicron/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 25, 2022, 05:29:50 AM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY


Sure you've got a point.   When do you think society should start moving on then?   Once kids under 5 are vaccinated and manufacturing capacity for the treatment has picked up?


Society where I live has already moved on. I'm in the minority in wearing masks in indoor public places. Restaurants are packed. So are hospitals, to the point that a fifth hospital in the state (second in my county) now has an emergency federal military medical team to help with overflow.

Ideally, society would "move on" when we weren't in danger of completely burning out all of our medical professionals who've been going for 2 years without breaks and with increasingly less staff. But we've decided to move on anyway.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 25, 2022, 06:15:14 AM
What puzzles me is that moving on is seen as imperative, but getting the excess death rate down to the level of Canada or Germany is not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 25, 2022, 06:46:28 AM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY



Part of the issue with the 5 and under vaccine is that the risk for COVID for children 5 and under is SO LOW that the risks of the vaccine come in equal or greater. Obviously they are working to find the sweet spot between and effective vaccine (creates a immune response) and one that does not produce side effects that outweigh the benefits.

I have kids so I understand why you worry, but we have two years of data now and ALL of it says that the risk to children 5 and under is low, very low. There are many other bigger risks.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 25, 2022, 06:48:01 AM
What puzzles me is that moving on is seen as imperative, but getting the excess death rate down to the level of Canada or Germany is not.

Twenty years on, we're still fine with post-9-11 air travel safety and surveillance protocols because ~3,000 people died due to that attack. We're back to losing that many Americans to COVID every 2–3 days.
 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 25, 2022, 07:13:36 AM
Are we okay with current air travel safety protocols? Seeing as the TSA isn't very effective (https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelgoldstein/2017/11/09/tsa-misses-70-of-fake-weapons-but-thats-an-improvement/?sh=7c05af942a38), it seems to be mostly theater, while simultaneously costing billions of dollars and wasting a lot of travelers' time.

It is mostly security theater. I'm not aware of any effort to get rid of it, even as minuscule as a hashtag. So I guess we are ok with it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 25, 2022, 07:16:07 AM
What puzzles me is that moving on is seen as imperative, but getting the excess death rate down to the level of Canada or Germany is not.

Twenty years on, we're still fine with post-9-11 air travel safety and surveillance protocols because ~3,000 people died due to that attack. We're back to losing that many Americans to COVID every 2–3 days.

Are we okay with current air travel safety protocols? Seeing as the TSA isn't very effective (https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelgoldstein/2017/11/09/tsa-misses-70-of-fake-weapons-but-thats-an-improvement/?sh=7c05af942a38), it seems to be mostly theater, while simultaneously costing billions of dollars and wasting a lot of travelers' time.

Much of it is theater. I think the height of absurdity was having to remove my thin-soled sandals for separate inspection while I walked through the detector. Still, it doesn’t seem like there are huge numbers of people camping out in front of airports with guns in protest, throwing tantrums at security, or refusing to fly because they can’t bring weapons or water bottles in carry-on bags.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 25, 2022, 07:18:53 AM
COVID sucks, don't get me wrong.   I don't want people to die from it and I don't want people to suffer from long COVID.   It's also here to stay.

The question I think about is when do we start to accept the new normal?   Are we going to go through shutdowns for 1-3 months every winter going forward?

Right now, we have a prophylaxis (i.e. the vaccines for 5+, because under 5 don't count as real people just yet), we have a treatment (the MAB from Pfizer and I think another one though not enough of it for people) and we have a relatively mild, if very contagious strain of the disease.   I find it hard to see when we'd have a better time to try and accept that we're into a new normal...

FIFY


Sure you've got a point.   When do you think society should start moving on then?   Once kids under 5 are vaccinated and manufacturing capacity for the treatment has picked up?

- Vaccine for all

So your opinion is that we should have vaccines for every last breathing person on the... planet? Or just the country? Also, do you really expect 50.1% of the population to agree to that given that would absolutely be a "new normal" for how to deal with pandemics? Also, better get on the phone with Fauci and Biden. Fauci is definitely signaling that we will go back to normal-ish when the virus is endemic not pandemic and that the trigger will not be vaccines for all.

Hi!  When I am uncertain about what someone meant, I look for clues in the surrounding text.

Clue 1: The conversation started because the first poster noted there were vaccines, and I clarified it's actually only vaccines for 5+. 

One might reasonably and correctly infer from this clue that I am quite annoyed that many people talk about the vaccines being available for everyone when, in fact that they are not.  They might be able to correctly interpret my statement as "vaccines available for all" but if not, they can look for more clues...:

Clue 2: Later down in my post, I write: "I would also add 90-95% of the country is vaccinated, but that's never going to happen in the US because people are [mod edit]"

This would seem to further support the idea that above I was not talking about 100% of all people in the country (much less world) vaccinated, if here I suggest that idea, but immediately recognize it will never happen.  (Now, note, just because it may never happen doesn't mean that it couldn't be on someone's personal list for "ideal time to go back to normal".)  My normal go-list doesn't need to be the same as anyone else's, including yours or Fauci's.  I provided mine because scottish asked.  When mine is met, I will "return to normal" and eat inside restaurants, travel on planes, have friends over our house etc. again.  You may do all of those activities whenever you like.  I will not come to your house to stop you, even if I have opinions about whether this is contributing to spread beyond what our hospitals can handle.

Thus no, I do not *expect* that everyone will get vaccinated, but I sure do think it would help the country get back on its feet if everyone in the country who has access to a free-to-them vaccine took it.  I also have strong feelings about those that refuse to get vaccinated on the one hand, but on the other hand demand that we return to "old normal".

Finally, we've never* had a world wide pandemic of this extent before, so, um, yeah, it's completely legit from my perspective to have a "new normal" response to dealing with it.

*It remains to be seen if the Spanish Flu is at all comparable.  Considering our increased medical knowledge, technology (treatments to vaccines), we ought to have had a substantial leg up over the Spanish Flu pandemic, but as time goes on it and we head into the 3rd year, it seems more deadly/more long-term consequences.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 25, 2022, 07:47:08 AM
Are we okay with current air travel safety protocols? Seeing as the TSA isn't very effective (https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelgoldstein/2017/11/09/tsa-misses-70-of-fake-weapons-but-thats-an-improvement/?sh=7c05af942a38), it seems to be mostly theater, while simultaneously costing billions of dollars and wasting a lot of travelers' time.

It is mostly security theater. I'm not aware of any effort to get rid of it, even as minuscule as a hashtag. So I guess we are ok with it.

Isn't this like trying to prove a negative? Have current measures prevented more hijacked planes? We haven't had any major lethal incidents over US airspace since.  If so, how many and how often?  I don't know how to even answer that question.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 25, 2022, 08:44:25 AM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on January 25, 2022, 09:00:22 AM
Quote

*It remains to be seen if the Spanish Flu is at all comparable.  Considering our increased medical knowledge, technology (treatments to vaccines), we ought to have had a substantial leg up over the Spanish Flu pandemic, but as time goes on it and we head into the 3rd year, it seems more deadly/more long-term consequences.

Which should actually be called the Kansas Flu, since that's where it originated.

Similar to current times, it mutated as it traveled around the world.  Some strains continued to be more deadly than others, especially in the first few years afterwards when the virus reached new hosts with no previous similar exposure.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 25, 2022, 09:35:51 AM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.
Well, from my view my kid had the sniffles last week and so I was told I needed to give him a COVID test and he then spent 5 days out of school because of a virus that caused slight sniffles that resolved themselves in less than 24 hours. I'm RE so this wasn't much skin off my back, although he finds it stressful to miss school, but had I been working I would have had to figure out WTF I was going to do with him for a week in quarantine while I worked.
I don't call any of that normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Watchmaker on January 25, 2022, 09:49:28 AM
For me it makes the most sense to tie it to local case counts. In my community, we are at the highest level of hospitalizations that we have even been for the entire pandemic, which is roughly an order of magnitude higher than what we experience during most peak flu seasons.

This is also my approach. I am back to normal, but my new normal includes curtailing social contact, not attending large events, and wearing a mask indoors when local case counts are high, which they are. When my state's case count gets back below 100 case a day (it was 24,000 yesterday), I'll be open to doing most activities.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 25, 2022, 10:08:43 AM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.
Well, from my view my kid had the sniffles last week and so I was told I needed to give him a COVID test and he then spent 5 days out of school because of a virus that caused slight sniffles that resolved themselves in less than 24 hours. I'm RE so this wasn't much skin off my back, although he finds it stressful to miss school, but had I been working I would have had to figure out WTF I was going to do with him for a week in quarantine while I worked.
I don't call any of that normal.

Yeah, we did the right thing and reported my wife testing positive to our 4 year old's daycare. Now i know why people don't do the right thing. We were going to hold him and his older sister out of school and watch for symptoms for the entire time my wife had to stay out of work and then send them back. That's how it works with my daughter's kindergarten. Out for 5 days and then mask for 5 more. Not so for daycare. He has to quarantine for 10 days, but the kicker is his quarantine doesn't start until my wife's quarantine is over. So he has to remain out of daycare for over 2 weeks because he's a close contact.

I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Omicron for some people, but it's literally been a mild cold for all of us. My wife said allergy season is worse for her and I just ran my fastest 2 miles of the year with it today, went on a 10 mile bike ride yesterday, etc. My daughter and son spent all day outside running around yesterday, jumping on the trampoline, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 25, 2022, 10:14:47 AM
What puzzles me is that moving on is seen as imperative, but getting the excess death rate down to the level of Canada or Germany is not.

Twenty years on, we're still fine with post-9-11 air travel safety and surveillance protocols because ~3,000 people died due to that attack. We're back to losing that many Americans to COVID every 2–3 days.

Are we okay with current air travel safety protocols? Seeing as the TSA isn't very effective (https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelgoldstein/2017/11/09/tsa-misses-70-of-fake-weapons-but-thats-an-improvement/?sh=7c05af942a38), it seems to be mostly theater, while simultaneously costing billions of dollars and wasting a lot of travelers' time.
Our local TSA found a loaded gun in a carryon, so there's at least anecdata that I like.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 25, 2022, 10:16:44 AM
My husband is now on day 7 of symptoms. He was in bed last night by 9:30 after napping from 5:30-7 pm. He's working remotely again and will probably need a nap to get through the day. We're hoping he doesn't end up with long COVID complications. He's 46 and otherwise in good health.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 25, 2022, 10:49:12 AM
In Italy the law requires wearing a mask outdoors. But then you can go inside a busy restaurant or bar and sit down unmasked INDOORS surrounded by many others... does this make any sense?

Enough of these silly rules and laws that are just for theater. It's refreshing to see UK and Ireland eliminating all covid restrictions and I hope they set the precedent for the rest of Europe and North America where vaccine and treatments have been long widely accessible.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 25, 2022, 11:00:20 AM
In Italy the law requires wearing a mask outdoors. But then you can go inside a busy restaurant or bar and sit down unmasked INDOORS surrounded by many others... does this make any sense?

Enough of these silly rules and laws that are just for theater. It's refreshing to see UK and Ireland eliminating all covid restrictions and I hope they set the precedent for the rest of Europe and North America where vaccine and treatments have been long widely accessible.

Outdoor mask wearing is pretty silly.  But then again, so is indoor dining right now IMO. 

That said, eating is one of the few things you CAN'T do with a mask on.  For everything else that you can do with a mask on, it makes sense to require it where hospital loads are high, because risk is cumulative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on January 25, 2022, 11:38:19 AM
In Italy the law requires wearing a mask outdoors. But then you can go inside a busy restaurant or bar and sit down unmasked INDOORS surrounded by many others... does this make any sense?

Enough of these silly rules and laws that are just for theater. It's refreshing to see UK and Ireland eliminating all covid restrictions and I hope they set the precedent for the rest of Europe and North America where vaccine and treatments have been long widely accessible.

Outdoor mask wearing is pretty silly.  But then again, so is indoor dining right now IMO. 

That said, eating is one of the few things you CAN'T do with a mask on.  For everything else that you can do with a mask on, it makes sense to require it where hospital loads are high, because risk is cumulative.
The prioritization of indoor dining has been bonkers to me for this entire pandemic. There’s no rational world where schools are closed and indoor dining is open. The respective importance and risk levels of those two things are worlds apart… and yet we do not live in a rational world. The idea that so many places also kept theaters (both movie and live performance) closed for so much longer than restaurants is especially frustrating for me, both as a performer and movie enthusiast. It’s easy to just require masks on in the theater the whole time.

Outdoor mask requirements have also irked me for quite a while. At the start of the pandemic I left New York City and spent a few months at my parents’. When I returned to New York in August, their case counts were incredibly low, the city was absolutely booming back with packed outdoor dining, and cases still remained incredibly low… until temperatures dropped and indoor dining was re-opened. Then of course as the next spike hit the city they closed schools before indoor dining.

——
And to chime in with my general sentiment towards the topic of the thread: I think “back to normal” is pretty much warranted when we’re in the lulls in between variants. Before Delta and before Omicron there were long periods where most people were behaving with a much higher risk tolerance, and case counts remained low, demonstrating those behaviors weren’t causing big problems. At this point, new waves are caused by variants as opposed to behavior/policy change, and vaccines that prevent serious illness are widely available. As long as community spread is low and hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, we can chill a bit. The problem is that many people don’t want to deal with complicated and changing conditions, and so they let their guard down back when vaccines became available and they’re not going to put it back up come hell or high water. I personally wouldn’t join the people who have remained in personal lock-down this whole time either, but at least they’re not causing problems for everyone else.

The Omicron wave will pass soon and then I’ll be back to the level of normalcy I enjoyed in May-June and October-November of 2021. Until this wave passes though, I’ll be more averse to indoor and un-masked interactions with people outside my household.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 11:40:09 AM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.

The private sector might have. There is still a lot of problems accessing government services where I live. This seems to vary city to city, county to county, and country to country. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on January 25, 2022, 11:42:58 AM
Quote
There’s no rational world where schools are closed and indoor dining is open.

Follow the money, right? Business want to be open to make money. Schools cost money when they are open compared to being closed. It is actually quite rational, if shittily prioritized.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nedwin on January 25, 2022, 11:46:49 AM
Yeah, we did the right thing and reported my wife testing positive to our 4 year old's daycare. Now i know why people don't do the right thing. We were going to hold him and his older sister out of school and watch for symptoms for the entire time my wife had to stay out of work and then send them back. That's how it works with my daughter's kindergarten. Out for 5 days and then mask for 5 more. Not so for daycare. He has to quarantine for 10 days, but the kicker is his quarantine doesn't start until my wife's quarantine is over. So he has to remain out of daycare for over 2 weeks because he's a close contact.

I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Omicron for some people, but it's literally been a mild cold for all of us. My wife said allergy season is worse for her and I just ran my fastest 2 miles of the year with it today, went on a 10 mile bike ride yesterday, etc. My daughter and son spent all day outside running around yesterday, jumping on the trampoline, etc.

This was our experience when our daughter tested positive in August.  She was out of school for ten days, but the school told us her brother had to be out for her time plus and additional ten days.  The school didn't provide him any remote instruction and we were even told he couldn't have contact with his teacher during the time he was out.  He never showed any symptoms so we sent him back 5 days after his sister and after two negative PCR tests.  My daughter, however, had remote instruction because most of her class was positive and were all sent home for 10 days.  So far her class is the only in the district (over 8000 students) to be quarantined like that.  The district board about two weeks ago removed the mask mandate but "strongly" recommended that students continue to mask. Yea, sure, that'll happen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SailingOnASmallSailboat on January 25, 2022, 12:02:14 PM
My husband is now on day 7 of symptoms. He was in bed last night by 9:30 after napping from 5:30-7 pm. He's working remotely again and will probably need a nap to get through the day. We're hoping he doesn't end up with long COVID complications. He's 46 and otherwise in good health.

I'm sorry he's having such a rough go of it. Here's hoping no long COVID complications happen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 25, 2022, 12:10:09 PM
In Italy the law requires wearing a mask outdoors. But then you can go inside a busy restaurant or bar and sit down unmasked INDOORS surrounded by many others... does this make any sense?

Enough of these silly rules and laws that are just for theater. It's refreshing to see UK and Ireland eliminating all covid restrictions and I hope they set the precedent for the rest of Europe and North America where vaccine and treatments have been long widely accessible.

Outdoor mask wearing is pretty silly.  But then again, so is indoor dining right now IMO. 

That said, eating is one of the few things you CAN'T do with a mask on.  For everything else that you can do with a mask on, it makes sense to require it where hospital loads are high, because risk is cumulative.
The prioritization of indoor dining has been bonkers to me for this entire pandemic. There’s no rational world where schools are closed and indoor dining is open. The respective importance and risk levels of those two things are worlds apart… and yet we do not live in a rational world. The idea that so many places also kept theaters (both movie and live performance) closed for so much longer than restaurants is especially frustrating for me, both as a performer and movie enthusiast. It’s easy to just require masks on in the theater the whole time.

The Omicron wave will pass soon and then I’ll be back to the level of normalcy I enjoyed in May-June and October-November of 2021. Until this wave passes though, I’ll be more averse to indoor and un-masked interactions with people outside my household.

Agreed on all points.  All the people who complain constantly about the "theater" of mask-wearing in restaurants are ignoring the fact that indoor dining during a raging pandemic is not very prudent to begin with - having indoor dining open at all under these circumstances is really the silly part, not the mask wearing. It's a dubious compromise to help keep businesses open and keep people happy who insist on "going back to normal".  So yeah, it is kind of ridiculous when you have people being careful in all these other contexts and then packed indoor restaurants.  However, it's not necessarily the same groups of people.  If you're eating in a restaurant right now, you've accepted a certain level of risk and are throwing caution to the wind for whatever reason (unless you've just recovered from COVID, I guess).  Those of us who aren't eating in restaurants probably are looking at you a bit askance and hoping you wear a mask when we have to be around you in the grocery store etc.

I'm not in full lockdown either and adjust my level of exposure up and down based on pandemic conditions, but I'm not eating in restaurants or going to the gym until this latest wave calms down.

I just got off a call with a coworker about my age who has sounded absolutely miserable on the last few calls because she's had ongoing covid symptoms for weeks now that she just can't shake, and I know someone currently quarantined in a London hotel on her first trip to the UK because she caught COVID just before leaving the US but didn't test positive until after arriving on her vacation.  Great vacation, right?  I also know someone who has been sick ever since spending the holidays in Vegas.  You just can't "go back to normal" under these circumstances.  You can try, but you'll probably be sick for a while or worse. Is that worth it?  If you can avoid it, to me, the answer is no.  Which is why I'm about to go for yet another cold January run instead of being in a nice warm gym.  Whatever you choose, this virus is going to inconvenience you one way or another.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 25, 2022, 12:27:34 PM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.

I think this very much depends where you are.

Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces. The cafeteria isn't large enough for everyone to use it in this configuration, so they set up a big tent covering a portion of the playground and have half the kids eat out there, yes even in January. Hardly seems like "moved on" to me.

We have a statewide requirement to wear masks in essentially all indoor public places, and requirements to prove you're up to date on your shots to access many of these places. My curling club has been allowing games with masks all year, but we shut down the bar once omicron emerged. Not "moved on" at all.

Different areas are different though! We spent a couple weeks in the Midwest over the holidays visiting family, and it was basically night and day. Even at airports where a federal mask mandate persists, many folks weren't wearing masks. Watching sporting events taking place in that area, I've seen basically like a 5% mask wearing rate. A very different set of customs has emerged there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 25, 2022, 01:35:03 PM
Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces.

This is so disheartening.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on January 25, 2022, 01:45:49 PM
Let her rip! No mandates! No passports! Let the kids have fun. I'm so over this. Your health is not my responsibility.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 25, 2022, 01:46:47 PM
——
And to chime in with my general sentiment towards the topic of the thread: I think “back to normal” is pretty much warranted when we’re in the lulls in between variants. Before Delta and before Omicron there were long periods where most people were behaving with a much higher risk tolerance, and case counts remained low, demonstrating those behaviors weren’t causing big problems. At this point, new waves are caused by variants as opposed to behavior/policy change, and vaccines that prevent serious illness are widely available. As long as community spread is low and hospitals aren’t overwhelmed, we can chill a bit. The problem is that many people don’t want to deal with complicated and changing conditions, and so they let their guard down back when vaccines became available and they’re not going to put it back up come hell or high water. I personally wouldn’t join the people who have remained in personal lock-down this whole time either, but at least they’re not causing problems for everyone else.

The Omicron wave will pass soon and then I’ll be back to the level of normalcy I enjoyed in May-June and October-November of 2021. Until this wave passes though, I’ll be more averse to indoor and un-masked interactions with people outside my household.

Same


I'm not in full lockdown either and adjust my level of exposure up and down based on pandemic conditions, but I'm not eating in restaurants or going to the gym until this latest wave calms down.

I just got off a call with a coworker about my age who has sounded absolutely miserable on the last few calls because she's had ongoing covid symptoms for weeks now that she just can't shake, and I know someone currently quarantined in a London hotel on her first trip to the UK because she caught COVID just before leaving the US but didn't test positive until after arriving on her vacation.  Great vacation, right?  I also know someone who has been sick ever since spending the holidays in Vegas.  You just can't "go back to normal" under these circumstances.  You can try, but you'll probably be sick for a while or worse. Is that worth it?  If you can avoid it, to me, the answer is no.  Which is why I'm about to go for yet another cold January run instead of being in a nice warm gym.  Whatever you choose, this virus is going to inconvenience you one way or another.

This is where I am too.  I don't like cold runs.  I know the pool at the Y is open.  But it's indoors.  They have also opened up "family swim" times.  My 9 yo is BEGGING to go back to the pool.  He hasn't been since July.

As I sit and consider spring break (late March), I am looking into the couple of dog friendly nice hotels with heated pools (still cold on the Central Coast in March though)...but then I think...for the same $ as 3-4  nights at a hotel, I could consider joining the foo foo local gym for 6 months.  It has an outdoor pool for kids.  I hate to pay $250-300 a month though, when literally we probably will go only once per week.  Hm. Then again, I'm paying $110 a month for the Y and we haven't been since July...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 25, 2022, 01:48:51 PM
Your health is not my responsibility.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nedwin on January 25, 2022, 02:15:58 PM
Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces.

This is so disheartening.

Yea, this sounds horrible.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on January 25, 2022, 02:20:19 PM
Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces.

This is so disheartening.


Yea, this sounds horrible.

Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 25, 2022, 02:25:38 PM
Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces.

This is so disheartening.


Yea, this sounds horrible.

Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.
Adults many of whom don’t care about being safe.
It wasn’t lost on my 9yo that he was stuck at home, missing a week of school and sports even though he felt fine while also watching news reports of our entire city, unmasked, in packed bars celebrating our NFL team’s playoff win.

The more I think about the more angry it makes me.
Because just like another mom said to me “if you wouldn’t have tested him then we all could have gone on like normal”
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 25, 2022, 02:45:39 PM
Speaking of who went back to normal - from Nate Silver's twitter:
OpenTable restaurant reservations in January 2022 as compared with January 2019:

Miami: +14%
Las Vegas: +1%
Houston: -13%
Denver: -26%
LA: -41%
Boston: -48%
Brooklyn: -55%
DC: -59%
Manhattan: -64%
San Francisco: -66%
Cambridge, MA: -75%

I wonder how much of it is behavior, and how much policy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 25, 2022, 02:48:56 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 25, 2022, 02:52:59 PM
Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces.

This is so disheartening.

Yea, this sounds horrible.

Maybe that's why I'm more upset with Covid than others... my kids have the same situation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 25, 2022, 03:01:58 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on January 25, 2022, 03:15:51 PM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.

I'm in Canada.  We shut down schools, universities, restaurants and gyms for January.    Quebec even implemented a curfew from 22h00 to 05h00.   We haven't moved on.    Most of the US has, at least by our standards.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 25, 2022, 03:21:07 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.

Yes, this. I was the biggest COVID rule-follower of them all at the beginning, but now most COVID deaths are largely optional. Yes, there are people who are immunosuppressed or have other underlying conditions that make them more susceptible even once vaccinated, and I really do feel for those people. BUT, I don't see that we can keep up 2020-level precautions forever for a small percentage of the population. Those individuals may have to wear an N-95 long-term and do their own risk assessments on activities... which sucks, but that's what some chemotherapy patients did pre-COVID, so it's not unprecedented.

I'm in Florida. Overall, I've HATED our response to the pandemic, obviously. I still have very mixed feelings about the fact that my daughter's school is 100% back to the way it was pre-pandemic. At the same time, when I hear about how school currently "works" in other states, I can't help feeling a little bit grateful that she's having a normal school year with friends, school events, etc. Masks were optional... she wore one in the fall, along with several other kids, but she got vaccinated around the time that her last classmate stopped wearing a mask and so I let her stop wearing one at that time. Sure, it makes me a little nervous, but I think that the benefit of wearing one probably didn't outweigh the risk. (She's vaccinated, and my husband & I are vaccinated and boostered, so it would likely be mild for us.)

I even chaperoned on a school field trip today... and while riding on a school bus with an unmasked class of 4th graders requires you to enter a certain state of COVID denial, it was a fun and educational day. I'm glad that she didn't have to miss out on normal school stuff for yet another year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 25, 2022, 03:42:18 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

I know my kids don't love wearing masks but I have a sh*tty immune system and they do it to protect me.

I'd bet they were more traumatized by the lady on the playground that told them their parents were abusing them by making them wear masks.

And probably by worrying that I will get too sick to take care of them.

And I worry that they will be traumatized from having to frequently defend themselves for wearing masks when their friends make fun of them.

And of course by their Sunday school teacher dying.

I live in a place that is basically the opposite of Seattle though. People here haven't worn masks in public spaces since early 2020. And there doesn't seem to be a live and let live attitude with mask wearing either. People are very vocal about how masks offend them.

I am sure some town, somewhere, has hit almost the perfect balance of "as normal as possible under the circumstances" but it isn't Seattle apparently, and it isn't where I live either.  (I suspect a lot of us might live in places operating under either extreme and we are probably all talking at cross purposes.)

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nedwin on January 25, 2022, 03:50:53 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

I believe I can help my children grieve the death of a grandparent or a school acquaintance and come out the other side none-the-worse.  We have done so already for the deaths a couple great-grandparents, a beloved aunt and a couple family pets.  I am not confident that kindegarten as Seattle describes is less damaging to kids than the death of a grandparent.  My (limited) understanding of early childhood education is that group play is foundational to teaching behaviors that are needed throughout life, which benefit society through reduced crime and increased lifetime income.

If similar circumstances were present in my school district there would significant parent demonstrations, to the point of marching with pitch forks and burning cars in the street.  Already a mask mandate lead to the defeat of a bond issue for badly needed new schools (all current schools are over capacity due to ~10% average yearly student growth), bitter school board elections, resignation of the superintendent and school board president, and recall efforts for the remaining members.  Our region also experienced a wave of student suicide over the summer of '20 and school year of 20/21.  Weighing the social strife and disruption associated with school closings, restrictions and mandates against the risks of COVID and "getting back to normal," I am on the side of getting back to normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: badger1988 on January 25, 2022, 05:22:09 PM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 05:29:49 PM
Adults many of whom don’t care about being safe.
It wasn’t lost on my 9yo that he was stuck at home, missing a week of school and sports even though he felt fine while also watching news reports of our entire city, unmasked, in packed bars celebrating our NFL team’s playoff win.

The more I think about the more angry it makes me.
Because just like another mom said to me “if you wouldn’t have tested him then we all could have gone on like normal”

I think that this is a really good point. Society had a certain amount of COVID case capacity. A lot of reasonable people could debate what to spend that capacity on be it government services, supply chain, or unmasked small children in schools. What did we spend it on? Bars and sportsball and going to the bars after a sportsball games. 'Murica.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 25, 2022, 07:02:10 PM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Not really a choice, regardless.   Unless you're going to lie, Hawaii won't let you in if you have a close contact.  We traveled there in October and that place is super strict.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 25, 2022, 07:03:31 PM
Adults many of whom don’t care about being safe.
It wasn’t lost on my 9yo that he was stuck at home, missing a week of school and sports even though he felt fine while also watching news reports of our entire city, unmasked, in packed bars celebrating our NFL team’s playoff win.


Off topic, but curious as a Niners fan...  Is Portland's "team" SF or LA?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GodlessCommie on January 25, 2022, 07:11:36 PM
Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.

Safer, but not safe. Covid deaths are not 100% among unvaccinated. Both Mrs.Jones and Mr.Phillips are in the demographics that is likely to take Covid significantly worse than others, even if they don't die. Also, hard to imagine for most people on this board, but they can't be choosy about where they work.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 07:17:37 PM
@v8rx7guy,

I think that you messed up that quote box. Also, I thought that most american football fans in Portland were Seahawks fans?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 07:19:31 PM
Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.

Safer, but not safe. Covid deaths are not 100% among unvaccinated. Both Mrs.Jones and Mr.Phillips are in the demographics that is likely to take Covid significantly worse than others, even if they don't die. Also, hard to imagine for most people on this board, but they can't be choosy about where they work.

Wearing a seat-belt and a bicycle helmet and putting your kids in the back seat is safer but not safe. Speaking of which, do Mrs. Jones and Mr. Phillips drive to work? It's a serious question and will change how much I care if they live or die.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 25, 2022, 07:30:57 PM
Adults many of whom don’t care about being safe.
It wasn’t lost on my 9yo that he was stuck at home, missing a week of school and sports even though he felt fine while also watching news reports of our entire city, unmasked, in packed bars celebrating our NFL team’s playoff win.

The more I think about the more angry it makes me.
Because just like another mom said to me “if you wouldn’t have tested him then we all could have gone on like normal”

I think that this is a really good point. Society had a certain amount of COVID case capacity. A lot of reasonable people could debate what to spend that capacity on be it government services, supply chain, or unmasked small children in schools. What did we spend it on? Bars and sportsball and going to the bars after a sportsball games. 'Murica.

Yep.  Although I object to the "we".  I and most of my friends did not cash in any chips here, and have done what I can to avoid getting it.  There are many who have not been going to bars, sporting events, dinner, etc. My area is on the bottom of that OpenTable reservations list above.  I don't get annoyed at the illogic of masking to walk to a table at a restaurant because I don't go to them.  It doesn't impact me because the whole exercise of eating inside is higher risk than I am comfortable with right now.

I have an ethics background, and I still personally feel that the the hierarchy of treatment ought to be vaccinated > unvaccinated when there is insufficient capacity.  You made your bed, you lie in it.  That goes completely against ethical reasoning though.  I could not be a clinician.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 25, 2022, 07:32:04 PM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Not really a choice, regardless.   Unless you're going to lie, Hawaii won't let you in if you have a close contact.  We traveled there in October and that place is super strict.

A friend in Maui posted on Facebook that their only hospital is completely full.  Scary place to be.  Not a lot of choices on an island if you need treatment...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 07:36:22 PM
I have an ethics background, and I still personally feel that the the hierarchy of treatment ought to be vaccinated > unvaccinated when there is insufficient capacity.  You made your bed, you lie in it.  That goes completely against ethical reasoning though.  I could not be a clinician.

I'm actually curious to hear you explanation as to why it goes "completely against ethical reasoning." To the extent that Oxford Languages defines ethics as "the branch of knowledge that deals with moral principles" and moral principles are arguably provably relative, couldn't it go either way?

I would add my own twist: we could have prioritized medical conditions that aren't COVID above COVID and built a bunch of field hospitals for the COVID patients, without regard to vaccine status.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 25, 2022, 07:59:06 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Yes, that as well is a terrible situation. So what we need to do is a simple societal-level prognosis. We know, roughly, how many people die from Covid. We can likely project how many more deaths/long covid are caused by unmasked, playing children compared to masked ones. All we have to do is put a value to that number as well as a value to the damage we're doing to school children by masking up endlessly. It's a hard calculation to make and should be done by professionals with open communication. But the fact of the matter is that at some point we cannot save everyone. Some of these rules are treating this like the unknown, untreatable disesease of spring of 2020... where we were flatting the curve to try to buy us some time to figure out what was going on.  It's like we're still sprinting when we should be running a marathon.

If we try to prevent as many deaths as we can, with no limit, then we should ban cars, sugar, banana peels and everything else with a slight risk. We make this calculation as a society all the time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 08:06:30 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Yes, that as well is a terrible situation. So what we need to do is a simple societal-level prognosis. We know, roughly, how many people die from Covid. We can likely project how many more deaths/long covid are caused by unmasked, playing children compared to masked ones. All we have to do is put a value to that number as well as a value to the damage we're doing to school children by masking up endlessly. It's a hard calculation to make and should be done by professionals with open communication. But the fact of the matter is that at some point we cannot save everyone. Some of these rules are treating this like the unknown, untreatable disesease of spring of 2020... where we were flatting the curve to try to buy us some time to figure out what was going on.  It's like we're still sprinting when we should be running a marathon.

If we try to prevent as many deaths as we can, with no limit, then we should ban cars, sugar, banana peels and everything else with a slight risk. We make this calculation as a society all the time.

If we want to live in a fantasy world where the US government is functional and trustworthy we could also choose to give Mrs. Jones and Mr.Phillips long term leave with pay and hire some people who are less at risk. Also, feel free to ban cars and sugar while you are at it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 25, 2022, 08:21:48 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Yes, that as well is a terrible situation. So what we need to do is a simple societal-level prognosis. We know, roughly, how many people die from Covid. We can likely project how many more deaths/long covid are caused by unmasked, playing children compared to masked ones. All we have to do is put a value to that number as well as a value to the damage we're doing to school children by masking up endlessly. It's a hard calculation to make and should be done by professionals with open communication. But the fact of the matter is that at some point we cannot save everyone. Some of these rules are treating this like the unknown, untreatable disesease of spring of 2020... where we were flatting the curve to try to buy us some time to figure out what was going on.  It's like we're still sprinting when we should be running a marathon.

If we try to prevent as many deaths as we can, with no limit, then we should ban cars, sugar, banana peels and everything else with a slight risk. We make this calculation as a society all the time.

If we want to live in a fantasy world where the US government is functional and trustworthy we could also choose to give Mrs. Jones and Mr.Phillips long term leave with pay and hire some people who are less at risk. Also, feel free to ban cars and sugar while you are at it.

You can ban your cars . . . but you'll get my sugar over my cold, morbidly obese body.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: badger1988 on January 25, 2022, 08:36:16 PM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Not really a choice, regardless.   Unless you're going to lie, Hawaii won't let you in if you have a close contact.  We traveled there in October and that place is super strict.

Not according to their latest guidance (assuming we remain symptom free and test negative on day 5 after exposure):
https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/ (https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/)

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 25, 2022, 09:08:04 PM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Not really a choice, regardless.   Unless you're going to lie, Hawaii won't let you in if you have a close contact.  We traveled there in October and that place is super strict.

Not according to their latest guidance (assuming we remain symptom free and test negative on day 5 after exposure):
https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/ (https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/)

That's not their requirements for traveling to Hawaii.   There is a questionnaire about exposure that you need to fill out prior to departure that asks if you've been in close contact with anyone with a positive covid covid test within 2 weeks (10 days?).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 25, 2022, 09:13:17 PM
I have an ethics background, and I still personally feel that the the hierarchy of treatment ought to be vaccinated > unvaccinated when there is insufficient capacity.  You made your bed, you lie in it.  That goes completely against ethical reasoning though.  I could not be a clinician.

I'm actually curious to hear you explanation as to why it goes "completely against ethical reasoning." To the extent that Oxford Languages defines ethics as "the branch of knowledge that deals with moral principles" and moral principles are arguably provably relative, couldn't it go either way?

I would add my own twist: we could have prioritized medical conditions that aren't COVID above COVID and built a bunch of field hospitals for the COVID patients, without regard to vaccine status.

We're not setting up field hospitals for COVID patients in Michigan this wave because there aren't enough clinical staff to run them. We had them in Detroit and Grand Rapids in 2020, before the clinicians burned out and started leaving the profession in droves.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on January 25, 2022, 09:29:54 PM
I have an ethics background, and I still personally feel that the the hierarchy of treatment ought to be vaccinated > unvaccinated when there is insufficient capacity.  You made your bed, you lie in it.  That goes completely against ethical reasoning though.  I could not be a clinician.

I'm actually curious to hear you explanation as to why it goes "completely against ethical reasoning." To the extent that Oxford Languages defines ethics as "the branch of knowledge that deals with moral principles" and moral principles are arguably provably relative, couldn't it go either way?

I would add my own twist: we could have prioritized medical conditions that aren't COVID above COVID and built a bunch of field hospitals for the COVID patients, without regard to vaccine status.

We're not setting up field hospitals for COVID patients in Michigan this wave because there aren't enough clinical staff to run them. We had them in Detroit and Grand Rapids in 2020, before the clinicians burned out and started leaving the profession in droves.

That is certainly a problem. But my statement still stands: we could have prioritized medical conditions that aren't COVID above COVID and built a bunch of field hospitals for the COVID patients even if they weren't staffed. You get a cot and some oxygen that someone who totally isn't a nurse handed you. Maybe don't get sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 26, 2022, 05:25:07 AM
How have we not “moved on”, though?

You can go out to dinner, fly somewhere on vacation, send your kids to school, have a party, go to the gym - if those things feel safe and important to *you*.

A relatively few places require masks when cases are high.

I think this very much depends where you are.

Here in Seattle kids haven't had mask-free school since the pandemic began. In kindergarten there's no group play in class, it's all individual at their desks. At lunch time they have the kids in assigned spots, using every other chair, everyone facing north so they're not breathing into each others' faces. The cafeteria isn't large enough for everyone to use it in this configuration, so they set up a big tent covering a portion of the playground and have half the kids eat out there, yes even in January. Hardly seems like "moved on" to me.

We have a statewide requirement to wear masks in essentially all indoor public places, and requirements to prove you're up to date on your shots to access many of these places. My curling club has been allowing games with masks all year, but we shut down the bar once omicron emerged. Not "moved on" at all.

Different areas are different though! We spent a couple weeks in the Midwest over the holidays visiting family, and it was basically night and day. Even at airports where a federal mask mandate persists, many folks weren't wearing masks. Watching sporting events taking place in that area, I've seen basically like a 5% mask wearing rate. A very different set of customs has emerged there.

I don’t find wearing masks a problem, so that’s just a “new normal” thing for me - kids wear them to school here, we wear them to our exercise class, etc. It’s very cold so I wear a mask outside for comfort. But I can *do* anything I want - the city buildings are all open, etc.

Also, I think a lot of parents didn’t keep their kids home when they were supposed to and are pretty complainy about doing it now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: badger1988 on January 26, 2022, 05:40:24 AM
After successfully dodging this thing for nearly 2 years, two of my boys tested positive today. They got it from a friend that comes to our house for before-school care.

So, here I am cancelling the trip my wife and I had booked to Kauai. Can't quite bring ourselves to have my inlaws watch their covid-positive grandkids while we go backbacking in Hawaii...

Not really a choice, regardless.   Unless you're going to lie, Hawaii won't let you in if you have a close contact.  We traveled there in October and that place is super strict.

Not according to their latest guidance (assuming we remain symptom free and test negative on day 5 after exposure):
https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/ (https://health.hawaii.gov/news/newsroom/doh-revises-states-isolation-quarantine-policy/)

That's not their requirements for traveling to Hawaii.   There is a questionnaire about exposure that you need to fill out prior to departure that asks if you've been in close contact with anyone with a positive covid covid test within 2 weeks (10 days?).

"24 hours prior to departure, answer the health questionnaire on your Safe Travels account. This requirement will end on January 4, 2022."

https://www.gohawaii.com/travel-requirements (https://www.gohawaii.com/travel-requirements)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 26, 2022, 11:05:00 AM
I'm just gonna drop this here and run...

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/kids-masks-schools-weak-science/621133/

I've read a lot of these studies over the last six months or so. In doing so, I've started to really question to what extent masking is an evidence-based intervention and to what extent it has just become another way to polarize ourselves and identify with our preferred "in group." (I honestly don't know the answer to that, and I'm finding that I have a lot more questions than answers these days.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on January 26, 2022, 12:06:30 PM
I'm just gonna drop this here and run...

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/kids-masks-schools-weak-science/621133/

I've read a lot of these studies over the last six months or so. In doing so, I've started to really question to what extent masking is an evidence-based intervention and to what extent it has just become another way to polarize ourselves and identify with our preferred "in group." (I honestly don't know the answer to that, and I'm finding that I have a lot more questions than answers these days.)

Masks may or may not work, I have my doubts about non N95s. But I do know in my town, if you drive by the schools when they let out, you can see lots of kids without masks together, horse-playing, sharing food, ect , like kids do. (and should do!)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 26, 2022, 12:13:27 PM
I'm just gonna drop this here and run...

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/kids-masks-schools-weak-science/621133/

I've read a lot of these studies over the last six months or so. In doing so, I've started to really question to what extent masking is an evidence-based intervention and to what extent it has just become another way to polarize ourselves and identify with our preferred "in group." (I honestly don't know the answer to that, and I'm finding that I have a lot more questions than answers these days.)

Good article. Thanks for sharing. Hopefully, the authors' credentials will lend some much needed credibility to the argument against forcing kids to wear masks at school.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 26, 2022, 12:17:20 PM
I'm just gonna drop this here and run...

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/01/kids-masks-schools-weak-science/621133/

I've read a lot of these studies over the last six months or so. In doing so, I've started to really question to what extent masking is an evidence-based intervention and to what extent it has just become another way to polarize ourselves and identify with our preferred "in group." (I honestly don't know the answer to that, and I'm finding that I have a lot more questions than answers these days.)
 

I think this article makes a good point that there are confounders beyond mask wearing. I'd say it makes a good argument for easing mask restrictions in places with good vaccination rates.

Our school district has tried to go mask free twice this year and both times it took less than a month for us to have to shut down some schools, cut off transportation services and for the district to then reimplement mask requirements.

But our vaccination rate is well under the national average, and our state has been trending in the top 10 for deaths per 100k for the last two months (per NYT). When only half the people in town are vaccinated, it seems like masks help slow transmission, and per the Atlantic article, that also seemed to be the case in the CDC study in Arizona.

It probably can't be done, but there is an argument for restrictions on a neighborhood by neighborhood basis (at least when it comes to schools and public services).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 26, 2022, 12:36:46 PM
Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.

Safer, but not safe. Covid deaths are not 100% among unvaccinated. Both Mrs.Jones and Mr.Phillips are in the demographics that is likely to take Covid significantly worse than others, even if they don't die. Also, hard to imagine for most people on this board, but they can't be choosy about where they work.

And death is not the only negative side effect.  I was vaxxed and boosted when I got sick with presumptive Covid.  I wasn't 2 weeks out from my booster, so that wasn't at full efficacy, but I had three shots on board.  SPOILER ALERT: I didn't die.

But I'm about 7 weeks out from my first symptoms, and 6 weeks from "recovery" and I'm still dealing with unpleasant things, and I certainly fortunate in the realm of those with longer term Covid effects.

For those who want to return to "normal", dead and disable teachers and grandmothers, being taught (or perhaps "taught" would be more accurate) by whatever district admin or National Guard member is assigned to your class for a few days because so many teachers are out sick, disabled, or dead, etc., not being able to get medical care when hospitals are overrun ("sorry you feel off the monkey bars and broke your arm, Timmy.  In 20-30 hours a doctor might be able to see you to treat that broken bone, but until then, take some Advil for the excruciating pain and try not to move"), stores closed without notice because too many employees are sick to open the the doors, etc.--that's not normal either.

I'd love to return to normal, as defined roughly as "the same amount of basic health precautions we took in 2019".  I can think of almost no one who wouldn't LOVE to return to that.  But sadly, the virus-infected ship has sailed on that.  It's now just deciding what version of "different, new normal" we will adopt.

For those decrying what this is doing to our kids, I'm a bit fascinated because I have plenty of friends bemoaning what happened when masks were removed in schools, and those schools had outbreaks and had to shut down in-person learning entirely.  And what is happening to their children's education due to the revolving door of teachers and glorified babysitters running classrooms.  Some of that might ease if we stopped quarantining, but I don't see how we could argue that all of it would, especially when schools that remove protections tend to see more disease (curious that, no?), as StarBright attested to.

If we removed every Covid precaution except vaccines for those who want them, things would not look like December 2019.  I can accept and agree with arguments that we need to start be more strategic in what methods we deploy, when we deploy them and for whom, and how.  But "2019 normal" just isn't going to happen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 26, 2022, 01:01:24 PM
For those decrying what this is doing to our kids, I'm a bit fascinated because I have plenty of friends bemoaning what happened when masks were removed in schools, and those schools had outbreaks and had to shut down in-person learning entirely.  And what is happening to their children's education due to the revolving door of teachers and glorified babysitters running classrooms.  Some of that might ease if we stopped quarantining, but I don't see how we could argue that all of it would, especially when schools that remove protections tend to see more disease (curious that, no?), as StarBright attested to.

So put valuation to all of those events and run an equation. It boils down to: Is masking kids > not masking them, all variables roughly accounted for? We can quantify most of this stuff with fairly good accuracy- virus experts can predict where outbreaks are going to happen and to what extent. Both "sides" are only worrying about their particular brand of fear- whether that be overloaded hospitals, long covid, or permanently de-socialized generation of citizens. I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Covid- but it seems that there are some who are not concerned at all about the very real costs of this groundhog day of limbo. I don't actually know the answer, other than that I think that we have the tools to figure it out, knowing that whatever decision we make there WILL be costs. I will happily keep following the rules (as I have been) once I know that we aren't reacting based on intuition. Coming from a hypochondriac- there's real damage to be done when hyper focused on illness.

As far as fear goes; we should all be absolutely terrified of chairs. Certain researchers have been studying and showing that there is a higher correlate to sitting for cardiovascular disease than BMI or any of the other factors that we typically measure. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7554455/
That's not to make light of Covid (I am vaxxed and boosted and doing my best to avoid it, although with how it travels through people in my age group I may have had it already and been none the wiser). It's just - If we're being hyper sensitive to Covid we may be misplacing some of that energy. I am not certain of that last point, just suspicious of it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 26, 2022, 01:09:50 PM
For those decrying what this is doing to our kids, I'm a bit fascinated because I have plenty of friends bemoaning what happened when masks were removed in schools, and those schools had outbreaks and had to shut down in-person learning entirely.  And what is happening to their children's education due to the revolving door of teachers and glorified babysitters running classrooms.  Some of that might ease if we stopped quarantining, but I don't see how we could argue that all of it would, especially when schools that remove protections tend to see more disease (curious that, no?), as StarBright attested to.

So put valuation to all of those events and run an equation. It boils down to: Is masking kids > not masking them, all variables roughly accounted for? We can quantify most of this stuff with fairly good accuracy- virus experts can predict where outbreaks are going to happen and to what extent. Both "sides" are only worrying about their particular brand of fear- whether that be overloaded hospitals, long covid, or permanently de-socialized generation of citizens. I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Covid- but it seems that there are some who are not concerned at all about the very real costs of this groundhog day of limbo. I don't actually know the answer, other than that I think that we have the tools to figure it out, knowing that whatever decision we make there WILL be costs. I will happily keep following the rules (as I have been) once I know that we aren't reacting based on intuition. Coming from a hypochondriac- there's real damage to be done when hyper focused on illness.

As far as fear goes; we should all be absolutely terrified of chairs. Certain researchers have been studying and showing that there is a higher correlate to sitting for cardiovascular disease than BMI or any of the other factors that we typically measure. https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7554455/
That's not to make light of Covid (I am vaxxed and boosted and doing my best to avoid it, although with how it travels through people in my age group I may have had it already and been none the wiser). It's just - If we're being hyper sensitive to Covid we may be misplacing some of that energy. I am not certain of that last point, just suspicious of it.

Good thing we all know that correlation does not equal causation.  I'd warrant that a study could easily be created that compared the health of elite athletes who sit a lot between training sessions and sedentary people who lie down rather than sit during the day and find that sitting is great for your health.  :P

The article linked is pretty clear that the problem is caused by people being sedentary - not by chairs.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 26, 2022, 02:46:47 PM
Quote
I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Covid- but it seems that there are some who are not concerned at all about the very real costs of this groundhog day of limbo.

But how do you define "limbo" vs "new normal"?

If we decide that kids will wear masks indoors at school (and adults will wear masks indoors) from now on - or, whenever it's cold/flu/COVID season, then it's not limbo anymore, is it?  I will personally wear a mask on a plane forever and ever now.

I'm not a huge fan of this either.  There are things I used to do that I don't do.  But even with that - thinking about gyms, travel, etc...I have plenty of memories on FB that tell me starting about 5-7 years ago, I stopped going to the gym during cold & flu season, every year.  I'd occasionally go to a spin class, where I would wipe down the bike and touch nothing else.  OR, I'd go to the pool and touch no equipment... So, there's some history in my past that showed that I got tired of getting sick every winter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 26, 2022, 05:10:15 PM
Our state department of health just announced that they would no longer be doing contact tracing. Basically they know it's futile.
But the CDC says that you should wear a mask if your exposed. Not sure how exactly we'll know who is exposed now, but whatever.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 26, 2022, 07:07:37 PM
It's the voluntary honor system.  It's been working pretty good so far.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 26, 2022, 08:38:55 PM
This shit is no joke. I thought I escaped with a week of heavy fatigue and some sniffles/scratchy throat. Nope. Full-blown upper respiratory symptoms for the past 24 hours, plus fever. I passed out on the sofa for 2 hours this afternoon. Took a short shower because even the thought of both shampooing and conditioning my hair was exhausting.

This is after full vaccination and a booster in early December. Hopefully this is the worst of it. I've never been this sick with just a cold.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: calimom on January 26, 2022, 09:39:29 PM
This shit is no joke. I thought I escaped with a week of heavy fatigue and some sniffles/scratchy throat. Nope. Full-blown upper respiratory symptoms for the past 24 hours, plus fever. I passed out on the sofa for 2 hours this afternoon. Took a short shower because even the thought of both shampooing and conditioning my hair was exhausting.

This is after full vaccination and a booster in early December. Hopefully this is the worst of it. I've never been this sick with just a cold.

Internet hugs for you and hope you have a full return to health, and very soon. This shit is not to be messed with.

I saw on the news tonight a heart transplant patient in Utah is stubbornly denying the vaccine, which is required before the hospital he's in will agree to give him a new heart. He'd rather dig into his  misguided beliefs than comply with the thing that will literally save his life.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 27, 2022, 05:43:33 AM
This shit is no joke. I thought I escaped with a week of heavy fatigue and some sniffles/scratchy throat. Nope. Full-blown upper respiratory symptoms for the past 24 hours, plus fever. I passed out on the sofa for 2 hours this afternoon. Took a short shower because even the thought of both shampooing and conditioning my hair was exhausting.

This is after full vaccination and a booster in early December. Hopefully this is the worst of it. I've never been this sick with just a cold.

Internet hugs for you and hope you have a full return to health, and very soon. This shit is not to be messed with.

I saw on the news tonight a heart transplant patient in Utah is stubbornly denying the vaccine, which is required before the hospital he's in will agree to give him a new heart. He'd rather dig into his  misguided beliefs than comply with the thing that will literally save his life.

Thanks. Fever is a bit higher this morning than last night, so I think it's going to be a long day. My younger cat has never seen me sick before, and his reaction to all of the sneezing is amusing, at least.

I saw an article about that patient's refusal to vaccinate! Of course the anti-vaxxers are freaking out, but I don't see any difference between this case and a hospital refusing a lung transplant to someone who refused to stop smoking or a liver transplant to someone who refused to stop drinking alcohol. The organ should go to someone with a better chance of survival.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2022, 07:20:07 AM
Quote
I don't want to downplay the seriousness of Covid- but it seems that there are some who are not concerned at all about the very real costs of this groundhog day of limbo.

But how do you define "limbo" vs "new normal"?

If we decide that kids will wear masks indoors at school (and adults will wear masks indoors) from now on - or, whenever it's cold/flu/COVID season, then it's not limbo anymore, is it?  I will personally wear a mask on a plane forever and ever now.


FWIW I will wear masks in risky situations in the future. I don't fly much, but that would make sense to me (although I suspect many areas, including planes, will be revamping their air filtration measures). It's all the HVAC industry is talking about right now.

I will put my foot down on children wearing masks forever. That's limbo- it's a temporary measure to a society not built to handle transmission, it's not a permanent solution. Cold/flu season IS school season. Masks have ALWAYS been a stop gap for the general population. It's like wearing a bullet proof vest. Some professions will wear them as part of a risky job, but it's not something that we should design our society around. This is opinion of course, but everyone has a line. If we decide that rampant infection is going to plague us forever, then we design the school system with no outside contact- boarding school or the like. If we are still masking full time when my 2 year old is in school, then I'm out. I'll join a commune and homeschool... it's just not worth the insanity.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2022, 07:26:51 AM
The article linked is pretty clear that the problem is caused by people being sedentary - not by chairs.

Yeah, that was all hyperbole. What I'm getting at is that if we are going to be taking extreme measures to protect public health at the expense of personal freedom, then there are many more things on the table. We could ban sugar and vegetable oil and significantly reduce obesity and increase our resistance for the next pandemic (which likely will be coming more frequently with climate change and habitat expansion). We could have the equivalent of a "vaccine card" which allows people to own a vehicle if they have a low enough BMI. Or any other number of long term beneficial restrictions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 27, 2022, 07:38:41 AM
I think the point is that as long as the virus is raging, there is no getting back to normal whether you have restrictions or not.  The virus itself is restricting personal freedom regardless.  You can try to live a normal life, but you'll be impacted by staffing shortages right now or personal illness when everyone is getting sick.  There's no way around it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 27, 2022, 08:28:28 AM
I think the point is that as long as the virus is raging, there is no getting back to normal whether you have restrictions or not.  The virus itself is restricting personal freedom regardless.  You can try to live a normal life, but you'll be impacted by staffing shortages right now or personal illness when everyone is getting sick.  There's no way around it.

This. I am on the sofa with a 100°F fever, multiple sneeze clusters per hour, a perpetually running nose, and a throat so irritated that the only thing I could convince myself to eat this morning was frozen berries and yogurt. I slept in hour-long blocks last night because the sneezing and coughing kept waking me up.

I have a remote desk job and would have had to take yesterday, today, and probably tomorrow as sick time if I hadn’t already booked vacation time this week. All of my fun plans have been scrapped. Also, the fatigue and brain fog are real. There’s no way in hell I’d be able to teach, provide restaurant or retail service, handle patients, drive a truck, or work on a factory line right now, nor should I even try. I’m very far from the only person in this condition, and this is “mild” COVID. We can maybe start talking about normal when this wave passes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 27, 2022, 08:54:23 AM
Our family is done with it now.  I'm back at work and kids are back at school in the "test to return procedure".  For me, it truly felt like an average cold, really could have fooled me if you said told me it was something different.  My symptoms were sore throat, headache and some body aches for about 2 days, a mild cough for about 5 days.  I have gotten a LOT of sore throats in my life, I would put this one at about a 5/10 in terms of pain.  I would say the most annoying symptom was the headaches, I don't get them often when I am being sick... one Ibuprofen twice a day took care of that.  My wife actually never tested positive using two rapid tests 3 days apart, but she clearly had it (we were taking zero precaution avoiding each other in the house).  Her symptoms were even less than mine, about 12 hours of a sore throat and mostly just fatigued.  My youngest two boys (2 & 4) had runny noses and coughs, my oldest (age 6, had very mild asthma a few years back and the one we were most worried about due to a past pneumonia situation) did have the sore throat and body aches more like me.  We used a pulse oximeter throughout the week just to spot check to make sure no one in the family had more serious symptoms brewing... we did not see a reading lower than 96.  Never once did anyone in the family have a fever or loss of smell/taste.

All in all, I am certain it was Omi, not Delta or the original strain.  It was extremely mild for us and I'm happy it's in the rearview.  I am thankful that my wife and I were fully vaxxed, because it really was a pre-2020 cold for us.  I have gained a lot of confidence and lost a lost a lot of fear regarding this virus heading into the future for my household.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: beekayworld on January 27, 2022, 09:03:25 AM

If we try to prevent as many deaths as we can, with no limit, then we should ban cars, sugar, banana peels and everything else with a slight risk. We make this calculation as a society all the time.

And swimming pools.
And boats.  And coal mines.  And nuclear power plants. And non-food-grade cleaning products (i.e. clean with lemon juice, olive oil, vinegar).  I'm sure there are manufacturing processes that expose workers to chemicals/dust that accumulate over their work years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: beekayworld on January 27, 2022, 09:08:11 AM

If we want to live in a fantasy world where the US government is functional and trustworthy ... Also, feel free to ban cars and sugar while you are at it.

And swimming pools, and lake swimming and boating, and concerts (people were trampled at an Astroworld concert in Houston last month).  Also solid foods as some people choke.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 09:30:48 AM
I have an ethics background, and I still personally feel that the the hierarchy of treatment ought to be vaccinated > unvaccinated when there is insufficient capacity.  You made your bed, you lie in it.  That goes completely against ethical reasoning though.  I could not be a clinician.

I'm actually curious to hear you explanation as to why it goes "completely against ethical reasoning." To the extent that Oxford Languages defines ethics as "the branch of knowledge that deals with moral principles" and moral principles are arguably provably relative, couldn't it go either way?

I would add my own twist: we could have prioritized medical conditions that aren't COVID above COVID and built a bunch of field hospitals for the COVID patients, without regard to vaccine status.

Ha, true.  I should say "most ethicists".  I think Peter Singer is in favor of it.

The idea is that a decision on rationing care should not be punitive in nature.  If forced to ration care (and at the point people are pushing off treatments that can harm their long-term outcomes, I see us as reaching it though some think it's only when the hospital is full), the decision ought to be made in an unbiased manner.  So this is why there is so many debates about whether it is ethical to decide based on age (certain races have longer life expectancies than others) or comorbidities (certain races about really it's more about poverty have more comorbidities than others).  So if someone is poor, they may not have the money or time to eat healthier when trying to work multiple jobs.  They are more likely to skip preventive care, have difficulty with maintenance (money/time to see doctor, take medicine etc). So that can spiral down with someone getting Type II diabetes from inadequate education of diet or inability to follow it, not maintaining well and ultimately needing to have a limb amputated.  No one would say "treat the rich over the poor" but the outcome might effectively be the same depending on what your triage decisions are.

Now, the reasons why for not getting vaccinated vary.  Some is lack of education, some is lack of trust in the medical profession (due to historical horrible treatment - look up Tuskegee syphilis study) - do we deny care based on that?  Maybe they can't get off work to get vaccinated.

It could potentially be acceptable if it is known it will lead to poorer outcomes (e.g. you must stop drinking to get a liver transplant), but it's really difficult to distinguish whether a rationing based on vaccination status is punitive or not.  Also consider if this will lead to a slippery slope of punishing people for lifestyle choices?  "Sin" is not considered an acceptable reason to limit care.  It would erode trust in doctors if they felt they were judging them.

Here's some articles I found on a very quick search:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/08/23/refuse-covid-treatment-unvaccinated-triage/https://www.healthcanal.com/news/ideas-deny-medical-care-unvaccinated
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Warlord1986 on January 27, 2022, 09:52:14 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species.

Pathetic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LongtimeLurker on January 27, 2022, 10:10:49 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species.

Pathetic.

Well, in fairness it is much more than that. People's lives have been severely disrupted. People's businesses have gone under due to government restrictions and consumer behavior. Student achievement has taken a rather dramatic drop due to disruptions like closures and virtual schooling, along with student/teacher quarantines.

Specifically with masks, the idea has always been the inconsistent message from what should be trusted sources. First, don't wear a mask it is not needed. Then wear a cloth mask. Then don't wear a mask. Then wear only a surgical or higher grade mask. The changes often seem to happen due to politics. Not to mention that risk factors are rarely considered. IE: An elementary school wearing masks seems silly given the low risk of severe illness. Wearing a mask while waiting for a table, where you will unmask immediately, seems ludicrous.

Meanwhile, hospitals, senior living, etc... should have required N95+ masks from the start. Most people, including our glorious leaders(politicians, CDC, WHO) have framed it as all or nothing. If they framed it in terms of protecting those most at risk, acceptance would be much higher, IMO.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2022, 10:27:22 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species.

Pathetic.

No one in here is strictly complaining about the actual wearing of the masks or even the effectiveness of them. Read the thread again. Instead of trying to understand the nuance of the argument, you've straw manned yourself into a black and white issue, which discussion has little recourse. People are frustrated not with the "pie hole covering" but with the inconsistency of it all and the nonsensical priorities. Most people have strong opinions here but are having a cordial (for the internet) discussion of points.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 27, 2022, 10:34:34 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species

Pathetic.

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 27, 2022, 10:40:54 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species.

Pathetic.

No one in here is strictly complaining about the actual wearing of the masks or even the effectiveness of them. Read the thread again. Instead of trying to understand the nuance of the argument, you've straw manned yourself into a black and white issue, which discussion has little recourse. People are frustrated not with the "pie hole covering" but with the inconsistency of it all and the nonsensical priorities. Most people have strong opinions here but are having a cordial (for the internet) discussion of points.
Part of the problem is that there seems to be a tendency to say "requirements to wear masks are inconsistent/nonsensical so I'm going to use that as a reason not to bother".  When the logical reaction would be "requirements to wear masks are inconsistent/nonsensical for the following reasons so I am going to adopt my own logical policy".   But there does seem to be an illogical tendency to throw the masks out of the pram, just as there is also an illogical tendency to throw the vaccines out of the pram.    Humans being an illogical species overall, of course.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 10:46:55 AM
Specifically with masks, the idea has always been the inconsistent message from what should be trusted sources. First, don't wear a mask it is not needed. Then wear a cloth mask. Then don't wear a mask. Then wear only a surgical or higher grade mask. The changes often seem to happen due to politics. Not to mention that risk factors are rarely considered. IE: An elementary school wearing masks seems silly given the low risk of severe illness. Wearing a mask while waiting for a table, where you will unmask immediately, seems ludicrous.

I think if you keep in mind supply chain issues, that addresses much of the mask messages changes, along with learning more/evolving situations.
First, don't wear a mask it is not needed.  Because people were worried about supply chain issues resulting in not enough for health care professionals who really need them the most (and COVID-19 spread wasn't fully understood).
Then wear a cloth mask.   See above, not enough surgical/N95s and need to preserve them for health care professionals
Then don't wear a mask.  Case counts were low.
Then wear only a surgical or higher grade mask.  We have better supply now+Omnicron and Delta meant higher spread

The changes often seem to happen due to politics. Not to mention that risk factors are rarely considered. IE: An elementary school wearing masks seems silly given the low risk of severe illness. We will have to disagree on this.  Spread in the schools leads to community spread (including to the younger siblings who can't be vaccinated).

Wearing a mask while waiting for a table, where you will unmask immediately, seems ludicrous.

Agree, which is why I don't go to restaurants, but also consider: depending on how it's spread (droplets? aerosol?), it may help protect the host/those in the waiting area.  It's also a message: you are inside, you are to mask unless actually eating.  Think also - you have people complaining about lost livelihoods, and here people are trying to make it work within the rules and compromise.  End result is of course no one is happy - some want to shut down dining and others want to remove masks from restaurants entirely.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 27, 2022, 11:30:25 AM
The article linked is pretty clear that the problem is caused by people being sedentary - not by chairs.

Yeah, that was all hyperbole. What I'm getting at is that if we are going to be taking extreme measures to protect public health at the expense of personal freedom, then there are many more things on the table. We could ban sugar and vegetable oil and significantly reduce obesity and increase our resistance for the next pandemic (which likely will be coming more frequently with climate change and habitat expansion). We could have the equivalent of a "vaccine card" which allows people to own a vehicle if they have a low enough BMI. Or any other number of long term beneficial restrictions.

I don't understand. Obesity and diabetes aren't contagious.  If everyone at my work and my son's school indulges in nothing but mountain dew and fried chicken it impacts my health exactly zero. I don't think the covid rules are to protect you from your own poor decisions, it's to protect ME from your poor decisions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Warlord1986 on January 27, 2022, 11:52:15 AM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species

Pathetic.

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

Yes, taking care of your kid to make sure he doesn't spread the disease is such a sacrifice.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OurTown on January 27, 2022, 12:15:27 PM
What amazes me is how civil this discussion is.  If we were on Twitter we would all be fascists or communists, depending on point of view.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 27, 2022, 12:22:17 PM
Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard instead of wearing a piece of fabric over your pie holes during a global pandemic that's taken out more than 5 and a half million members of our species

Pathetic.

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

Yes, taking care of your kid to make sure he doesn't spread the disease is such a sacrifice.

It is though. Missing work to care for a child can be very disruptive for a family, potentially causing them to lose income depending on the specifics of the employer's sick leave policy (if any). That disruption needs to be weighed against the potential harm here. Given that there was no evidence the kid even had the disease, and vaccines have made the risk of negative outcomes from community transmission much lower than a year ago, I'd personally say the daycare's quarantine policy was overly restrictive in this case.

As others above have stated, your absolutist positions are harmful to productive discourse. Disagree if you like, but claiming people are stupid for disagreeing gets us nowhere.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Warlord1986 on January 27, 2022, 12:30:20 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

Also, there have been breakthrough cases.

But yeah, taking care of your kid is such a sacrifice. God, you might lose money. The horror.

There are people upthread going "might as well bad solid foods 'cause people can choke!!1!" Such productive discourse.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 27, 2022, 12:34:01 PM
You literally said the upthread the only difficulty anyone is facing due to the pandemic is wearing a piece of cloth over their mouth. You are gaslighting the entire discussion.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 12:42:58 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

+1

Vaccines are irrelevant when you are talking about children in daycare.  Where you've got an unvaccinated, poorly masking, and touches-lots-of-things crowd, um yeah it makes sense that the daycare wants to stop you at the door before you expose people and not after you have it and have exposed people!  Also consider you are looking at harm to 1 family.  We're looking at harm to 10 (average people in the smallest daycare room in our facility) to 20 (average people in largest daycare rooms in our facilities) families.

Moreover, here the parent had it, so presumably already had to be out of work while contagious, so there's only an addition of a few more days to that for the child's exposure waiting time.

Maybe the entity to get mad at is those setting the sick policies rather than those trying to prevent others from getting sick?  Something to think about whether your ire is appropriately directed or not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: the_gastropod on January 27, 2022, 12:44:29 PM
Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

Look, I empathize with you—that's clearly a difficult situation. But it is absolutely the correct response. How irresponsible would it be for the parent of one of your sons' peers to bring their likely-sick child into daycare, where they'll infect the other children?

It's a shame we don't have better social support mechanisms in place. Your wife should have been able to take 2 weeks off, and suffered no financial penalty for doing so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 27, 2022, 12:45:02 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

+1

Vaccines are irrelevant when you are talking about children in daycare.  Where you've got an unvaccinated, poorly masking, and touches-lots-of-things crowd, um yeah it makes sense that the daycare wants to stop you at the door before you expose people and not after you have it and have exposed people!  Also consider you are looking at harm to 1 family.  We're looking at harm to 10 (average people in the smallest daycare room in our facility) to 20 (average people in largest daycare rooms in our facilities) families.

Moreover, here the parent had it, so presumably already had to be out of work while contagious, so there's only an addition of a few more days to that for the child's exposure waiting time.

Maybe the entity to get mad at is those setting the sick policies rather than those trying to prevent others from getting sick?  Something to think about whether your ire is appropriately directed or not.

Learn to read. An additional 10 days. His quarantine starts today. My wife tested positive Friday and has been asymptomatic since Sunday. My unvaccinated daughter that tested positive the same day is back in school today.

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

Look, I empathize with you—that's clearly a difficult situation. But it is absolutely the correct response. How irresponsible would it be for the parent of one of your sons' peers to bring their likely-sick child into daycare, where they'll infect the other children?

It's a shame we don't have better social support mechanisms in place. Your wife should have been able to take 2 weeks off, and suffered no financial penalty for doing so.

So moving forward if someone in your family gets sick you should be forced to stay home for 15 days just in case you get sick?

And I wanted to just add this was just an example of something other than "simply covering our pie holes with cloth" that I'm dealing with right now. There are other things that many other parents and adults are dealing with, the main point being for a lot of people the reality of the pandemic goes far beyond just shut up and wear a mask. So to try to boil down the many difficulties people are facing to that is literally the definition of gaslighting.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Warlord1986 on January 27, 2022, 01:12:04 PM
You literally said the upthread the only difficulty anyone is facing due to the pandemic is wearing a piece of cloth over their mouth. You are gaslighting the entire discussion.

Wrong. My exact words were: "Reading some of these replies would make someone think y'all are being asked to do something hard..."

I did not say wearing a mask is the only "difficulty." Learn to read.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: the_gastropod on January 27, 2022, 01:18:02 PM
So moving forward if someone in your family gets sick you should be forced to stay home for 15 days just in case you get sick?

I think there's a bit of a difference between being asked to refrain from certain activities (e.g., be in large inside gatherings with mostly unvaccinated humans) and "being forced to stay home". But generally, yea—ideally people should be prepared to behave like there's a pandemic going on, and do their part to try not to inflict it on others.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: fuzzy math on January 27, 2022, 01:19:13 PM
Hey cool! I found a new person to add to my ignore list.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 27, 2022, 01:28:08 PM
What amazes me is how civil this discussion is.  If we were on Twitter we would all be fascists or communists, depending on point of view.

As a fascist communist, I find it upsetting that this comment wasn't preceded by a trigger warning.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 27, 2022, 01:41:40 PM
Honestly, my takeaway has been that masks are working well in school and the kids accept them as routine.

The kindergartener in our house has missed 4 days of school so far - 2 of them he had a cold and needed test results and the other 2 he had a close contact outside of school and needed test results. That’s like nothing for that age group! I think there has been less crud going around than usual.

There were 3 days tacked on to winter break and then 2 online learning days. I feel for the teachers because I know they are incredibly short staffed. I don’t think that’s a problem that will resolve anytime soon because so many people have left teaching.

And that’s a problem that the politization of the  public has caused.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Warlord1986 on January 27, 2022, 01:43:32 PM
What amazes me is how civil this discussion is.  If we were on Twitter we would all be fascists or communists, depending on point of view.

Well, it was (for the most part) until Warlord entered the discussion.

Sorry I'm not coddling pathetic plague rats.

[MOD NOTE: Forum Rule #1]
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 01:58:34 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

+1

Vaccines are irrelevant when you are talking about children in daycare.  Where you've got an unvaccinated, poorly masking, and touches-lots-of-things crowd, um yeah it makes sense that the daycare wants to stop you at the door before you expose people and not after you have it and have exposed people!  Also consider you are looking at harm to 1 family.  We're looking at harm to 10 (average people in the smallest daycare room in our facility) to 20 (average people in largest daycare rooms in our facilities) families.

Moreover, here the parent had it, so presumably already had to be out of work while contagious, so there's only an addition of a few more days to that for the child's exposure waiting time.

Maybe the entity to get mad at is those setting the sick policies rather than those trying to prevent others from getting sick?  Something to think about whether your ire is appropriately directed or not.

Learn to read. An additional 10 days. His quarantine starts today. My wife tested positive Friday and has been asymptomatic since Sunday. My unvaccinated daughter that tested positive the same day is back in school today.

Hi!  If you would like to challenge my reading skills, I would like to in return note that you did not say it was an additional 10 days in your post, only just now.  (And I note that many places are sticking with the original 10 days for a COVID positive diagnosis.)  Specifically, you wrote:

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

So moving forward if someone in your family gets sick you should be forced to stay home for 15 days just in case you get sick?

My kid got COVID because daycare removed masks and I *did* have to stay home for 15+ days.  Yes, yes I think that if you have a highly communicable disease in your home, it is reasonable to ask you to stay away while potentially contagious. 

I also think companies/states/federal government as applicable, need to work on improving sick leave and ability/options for teleworking.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2022, 02:12:49 PM
The article linked is pretty clear that the problem is caused by people being sedentary - not by chairs.

Yeah, that was all hyperbole. What I'm getting at is that if we are going to be taking extreme measures to protect public health at the expense of personal freedom, then there are many more things on the table. We could ban sugar and vegetable oil and significantly reduce obesity and increase our resistance for the next pandemic (which likely will be coming more frequently with climate change and habitat expansion). We could have the equivalent of a "vaccine card" which allows people to own a vehicle if they have a low enough BMI. Or any other number of long term beneficial restrictions.

I don't understand. Obesity and diabetes aren't contagious.  If everyone at my work and my son's school indulges in nothing but mountain dew and fried chicken it impacts my health exactly zero. I don't think the covid rules are to protect you from your own poor decisions, it's to protect ME from your poor decisions.

Obesity affects you... you pay more in healthcare because of it. It affects our society as a whole. We are less productive, our buildings and vehicles and all that have to accommodate a growing BMI average. Individual mental health is lower with obesity (therefore collective mental health is lower in obese populations). I could go on and on, but to say that it's someone else's problem because it's not contagious is not recognizing the depth of the issue. Unsurprisingly, while obesity isn't exactly contagious, you are more likely to be obese if your social group is.

Many covid rules are set to protect the vulnerable (as you clearly pointed out- we're trying to protect YOU). That same empathetic logic, making sacrifices to protect the less lucky, can easily be applied to things like sugar. You don't get your cookies, but your neighbor down the street is less likely to get limb amputations from Type II complications. We know that obesity is a leading cause of death in the US. Why not protect those who are susceptible to the neurotoxin? We do the opposite, in fact, by subsidizing corn farmers.

That's how it's similar. Of course it's not directly analogous to Covid- you could poke lots of holes in how they're not the same. I'm trying to make a big picture statement, not nit pick on specifics. And I want to re-iterate- I don't want to downplay the seriousness of the disease and I have ALWAYS worn my mask, even when others around me aren't. This isn't some kind of back-to-normal rant, it's more to point out that we are diving into the field of epidemiology without a base understanding of how these things work (myself included). The world was thrown into contaigen analysis when the general population is no where near equipped to understand it- including many of those making the rules. It's frustrating when some people have one single priority: reducing covid spread, at the expense of basically everything else. It doesn't make sense.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2022, 02:16:29 PM
I also think companies/states/federal government as applicable, need to work on improving sick leave and ability/options for teleworking.

That has to happen first before the rest can happen, though. You can't ask people to make no money and tell them that the gov't should provide for them (It just isn't yet)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 27, 2022, 02:22:01 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

+1

Vaccines are irrelevant when you are talking about children in daycare.  Where you've got an unvaccinated, poorly masking, and touches-lots-of-things crowd, um yeah it makes sense that the daycare wants to stop you at the door before you expose people and not after you have it and have exposed people!  Also consider you are looking at harm to 1 family.  We're looking at harm to 10 (average people in the smallest daycare room in our facility) to 20 (average people in largest daycare rooms in our facilities) families.

Moreover, here the parent had it, so presumably already had to be out of work while contagious, so there's only an addition of a few more days to that for the child's exposure waiting time.

Maybe the entity to get mad at is those setting the sick policies rather than those trying to prevent others from getting sick?  Something to think about whether your ire is appropriately directed or not.

Learn to read. An additional 10 days. His quarantine starts today. My wife tested positive Friday and has been asymptomatic since Sunday. My unvaccinated daughter that tested positive the same day is back in school today.

Hi!  If you would like to challenge my reading skills, I would like to in return note that you did not say it was an additional 10 days in your post, only just now.  (And I note that many places are sticking with the original 10 days for a COVID positive diagnosis.)  Specifically, you wrote:

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

So moving forward if someone in your family gets sick you should be forced to stay home for 15 days just in case you get sick?

My kid got COVID because daycare removed masks and I *did* have to stay home for 15+ days.  Yes, yes I think that if you have a highly communicable disease in your home, it is reasonable to ask you to stay away while potentially contagious. 

I also think companies/states/federal government as applicable, need to work on improving sick leave and ability/options for teleworking.

That's fair. I mentioned it earlier up thread, but mentioned the 15 days in that specific message. 5 days for my wife and 10 days for my son starting when my wife's quarantine ends. I apologize for my brash response. I was just expressing specific frustration with what's going on that is beyond simply covering my mouth with cloth. It's obviously not the end of the world, but definitely not a pre-pandemic normality. I personally think it's silly that kids have to quarantine for 10 days following the last person who tested positive in the house's quarantine ends, but since we all got it but him we hopefully won't have to worry about this again for a year or so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 27, 2022, 02:49:26 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

Also, there have been breakthrough cases.

Yes, all of these things are of course possible. At young ages the really bad outcomes are very unlikely. Let's suppose that the parent who would be taking off work earns $1,000 per week, just to keep the numbers manageable. So that's $2,000 they lose quarantining for two weeks.

If sending this kid (asymptomatic, negative COVID test, has a parent with COVID) to daycare has a one-in-ten chance of killing someone (above and beyond the baseline probability of killing someone with an asymptomatic kid whose parent isn't known to be COVID-positive), a two-week quarantine policy ends up saving a life for every $20,000 spent. That's a pretty obvious win. If sending the kid to daycare has a one-in-a-million chance of killing someone, a two-week quarantine costs $2 billion per life saved. That's not a good value; plenty of ways to spend a fraction of that money to save many more lives that we have nevertheless decided not to do because they aren't considered to be a good enough value.

So, what's the real probability here? I'm guessing it's much closer to one-in-a-million than one-in-ten.

Quote
But yeah, taking care of your kid is such a sacrifice. God, you might lose money. The horror.

For families living paycheck to paycheck (i.e. most of them) it is a pretty big horror, yes. In an ideal world we'd have government reimbursements for this stuff so parents aren't asked to personally shoulder the financial cost of protecting everyone else, but again whether that's worth it depends on how you quantify the risk here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nedwin on January 27, 2022, 02:52:56 PM
If the child's in daycare that means they are unlikely to be vaccinated. That means they can catch and give the disease to other kids, with fatal outcomes. Since the kid is presumably living with his mom, it's very possible he could catch it and spread it.

+1

Vaccines are irrelevant when you are talking about children in daycare.  Where you've got an unvaccinated, poorly masking, and touches-lots-of-things crowd, um yeah it makes sense that the daycare wants to stop you at the door before you expose people and not after you have it and have exposed people!  Also consider you are looking at harm to 1 family.  We're looking at harm to 10 (average people in the smallest daycare room in our facility) to 20 (average people in largest daycare rooms in our facilities) families.

Moreover, here the parent had it, so presumably already had to be out of work while contagious, so there's only an addition of a few more days to that for the child's exposure waiting time.

Maybe the entity to get mad at is those setting the sick policies rather than those trying to prevent others from getting sick?  Something to think about whether your ire is appropriately directed or not.

Learn to read. An additional 10 days. His quarantine starts today. My wife tested positive Friday and has been asymptomatic since Sunday. My unvaccinated daughter that tested positive the same day is back in school today.

Hi!  If you would like to challenge my reading skills, I would like to in return note that you did not say it was an additional 10 days in your post, only just now.  (And I note that many places are sticking with the original 10 days for a COVID positive diagnosis.)  Specifically, you wrote:

Yup that's it, that's the only difficulty everyone is facing. The fact that my son that doesn't have covid and isn't sick got kicked out of daycare for 15 days because my wife tested positive and somebody has to take care of him for over 2 weeks while we are both working is completely normal. It's just covering your pie holes that's the frustrating part of all of this....

So moving forward if someone in your family gets sick you should be forced to stay home for 15 days just in case you get sick?

My kid got COVID because daycare removed masks and I *did* have to stay home for 15+ days.  Yes, yes I think that if you have a highly communicable disease in your home, it is reasonable to ask you to stay away while potentially contagious. 

I also think companies/states/federal government as applicable, need to work on improving sick leave and ability/options for teleworking.

That's fair. I mentioned it earlier up thread, but mentioned the 15 days in that specific message. 5 days for my wife and 10 days for my son starting when my wife's quarantine ends. I apologize for my brash response. I was just expressing specific frustration with what's going on that is beyond simply covering my mouth with cloth. It's obviously not the end of the world, but definitely not a pre-pandemic normality. I personally think it's silly that kids have to quarantine for 10 days following the last person who tested positive in the house's quarantine ends, but since we all got it but him we hopefully won't have to worry about this again for a year or so.

Depending on the age of Missourah's child, their frustration could also be because their daycare is not following current quarantine guidance, which is quarantine for 5 days after last exposure and wear a mask in public for 5 days after that (at least in CO):

https://covid19.colorado.gov/isolation-and-quarantine

When my family went through this the last exposure was the last day the household member had symptoms.  this means Missourah's child would quarantine for 5 days from Sunday then return to daycare with a mask for five days.

Staying home with a quarantining child may not be too tough for working parents that can wfh, but is hell for those that cannot.  I cannot imagine what working parents went through in 20/21 if their schools were all online.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 27, 2022, 03:48:13 PM
Depending on the age of Missourah's child, their frustration could also be because their daycare is not following current quarantine guidance , which is quarantine for 5 days after last exposure and wear a mask in public for 5 days after that(at least in CO):

https://covid19.colorado.gov/isolation-and-quarantine

When my family went through this the last exposure was the last day the household member had symptoms.  this means Missourah's child would quarantine for 5 days from Sunday then return to daycare with a mask for five days.

Staying home with a quarantining child may not be too tough for working parents that can wfh, but is hell for those that cannot.  I cannot imagine what working parents went through in 20/21 if their schools were all online.

^ I do think the bolded is very frustrating. My assistant was out from Jan 1 - until Jan 24th because of similar rules. But her kids' daycare actually wrote a really great letter explaining their policy that parents could send on to their employers.

They said they had tried other policies, but shorter/no quarantines led to more sickness and more staff turnover and having to shut the entire facility down a few times.

The long quarantine periods helped with staff turn over and keeping the entire facility open - but obviously individual families were more inconvenienced.

It is pretty hard to keep daycare workers as it is so I do appreciate the balancing act facilities must be doing to keep things running right now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 27, 2022, 05:58:18 PM
Missourah, have you considered talking to the day care about their policy, or trying to find a different provider?  Going above and beyond the current guidance seems OTT, and I would make sure they understand they are doing more than is recommended, and ask why, and let them know that you are considering options. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 08:02:57 PM
Depending on the age of Missourah's child, their frustration could also be because their daycare is not following current quarantine guidance, which is quarantine for 5 days after last exposure and wear a mask in public for 5 days after that (at least in CO):

https://covid19.colorado.gov/isolation-and-quarantine

So the CDC guidance of 5 days relies on a "well-fitting" mask.  The issue is that many kids can't strictly mask. They also likely remove them for lunch, nap, outdoor play.  Also, when we pick up and drop off kids, we often see someone (or more than one) with the mast below the nose.  That's why my daycare emailed out to all of us to let us know that they were sticking with the 10 days.  That's why my work has kept most if not all people in isolation for 10 days rather than 5, because people with dementia cannot be relied upon to mask strictly anytime someone is near them.

You may not like the rule, but that doesn't mean they aren't following the guidance.  (Also - the guidance sets a minimum not a maximum.  So it's not really right to say they aren't following the guidance, hmm?  You might object they are more strict but it has a whole different connotation to say they aren't following guidance, which is problematic.  I know I'm showing my health care lawyer side here, but it is an important distinction.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 27, 2022, 08:09:35 PM
That's fair. I mentioned it earlier up thread, but mentioned the 15 days in that specific message. 5 days for my wife and 10 days for my son starting when my wife's quarantine ends. I apologize for my brash response. I was just expressing specific frustration with what's going on that is beyond simply covering my mouth with cloth. It's obviously not the end of the world, but definitely not a pre-pandemic normality. I personally think it's silly that kids have to quarantine for 10 days following the last person who tested positive in the house's quarantine ends, but since we all got it but him we hopefully won't have to worry about this again for a year or so.

Apology accepted, no problem.

I can see that.  For us it was 10 days for the COVID positive kid, then 5 after it before we could test kid 2.  Would it have felt different if it were reversed?  10 and 5 instead of 5 and 10?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 28, 2022, 12:11:57 AM
You may not like the rule, but that doesn't mean they aren't following the guidance.  (Also - the guidance sets a minimum not a maximum.  So it's not really right to say they aren't following the guidance, hmm?  You might object they are more strict but it has a whole different connotation to say they aren't following guidance, which is problematic.  I know I'm showing my health care lawyer side here, but it is an important distinction.)

So, I would very much like the CDC guidance to reflect what the experts generally believe to be a reasonable risk level for the general population given the latest available data. I don't have the time or interest to read the scientific papers, nor the expertise to translate that science into good policy. That's why the CDC exists and I want to be able to trust them to do their jobs so I don't have to become a virology expert myself.

If you want to exceed these guidelines in a way that costs me time and money, you had better have a good reason other than "just being cautious." Maybe the daycare has a number of kids who live with unvaccinated grandparents or something of that nature, in which case it would make sense to go a little bit above the level of precaution that makes sense for the general population. But if that is the case, there should be a daycare option that just goes with the standard guidance that you can switch to. If they're all going above and beyond without any specific reason for doing so, I think that's a problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 28, 2022, 07:32:46 AM
If you want to exceed these guidelines in a way that costs me time and money, you had better have a good reason other than "just being cautious." Maybe the daycare has a number of kids who live with unvaccinated grandparents or something of that nature, in which case it would make sense to go a little bit above the level of precaution that makes sense for the general population. But if that is the case, there should be a daycare option that just goes with the standard guidance that you can switch to. If they're all going above and beyond without any specific reason for doing so, I think that's a problem.

Ok.  You don't like the reason I offered, but it's still a "specific reason".  The inability of children in daycare to consistently wear a well-fitting mask is a specific reason.  (Yes, it would be great if CDC put out specific daycare guidance, but they don't.)

Here's exactly what my daycare wrote: "We are aware the CDC changed its guidelines for isolating and quarantining. However, because a large part of the recommendations involves stringent mask wearing we will not be adopting these changes. Children under two are not wearing masks and those two and over take them off masks at meal and rest times."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on January 28, 2022, 07:52:22 AM
What amazes me is how civil this discussion is.  If we were on Twitter we would all be fascists or communists, depending on point of view.

Would it help for someone to lose their mind temporarily for comedic effect? ;)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 28, 2022, 08:05:32 AM
Depending on the age of Missourah's child, their frustration could also be because their daycare is not following current quarantine guidance, which is quarantine for 5 days after last exposure and wear a mask in public for 5 days after that (at least in CO):

https://covid19.colorado.gov/isolation-and-quarantine

So the CDC guidance of 5 days relies on a "well-fitting" mask.  The issue is that many kids can't strictly mask. They also likely remove them for lunch, nap, outdoor play.  Also, when we pick up and drop off kids, we often see someone (or more than one) with the mast below the nose.  That's why my daycare emailed out to all of us to let us know that they were sticking with the 10 days.  That's why my work has kept most if not all people in isolation for 10 days rather than 5, because people with dementia cannot be relied upon to mask strictly anytime someone is near them.

You may not like the rule, but that doesn't mean they aren't following the guidance.  (Also - the guidance sets a minimum not a maximum.  So it's not really right to say they aren't following the guidance, hmm?  You might object they are more strict but it has a whole different connotation to say they aren't following guidance, which is problematic.  I know I'm showing my health care lawyer side here, but it is an important distinction.)

This was largely their argument. They don't want kids wearing masks, they say it's a liability during nap time. I guess my frustration was more along the lines of we would be better off if he had tested positive. His quarantine would have started 5 days sooner. I kind of wish we had known the actual policy. It's possible perhaps even probable he had it, because we all did, just likely asymptomatic, outside of my daughter having an upset stomach for about 6 hours and my wife having a slight headache, congestion, and a light cough we were all asymptomatic. If I had known this was the policy I would have tested the entire family at the same exact time. Just figured we'd test my daughter because she had not been feeling well for a period of time and because she tested positive we'd keep both of them out until she could go back even though he wasn't showing any symptoms.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 28, 2022, 08:18:24 AM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 28, 2022, 08:39:04 AM
Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

I hinted at that in one of my earlier posts... I have had some issues being a hypochondriac myself (although recognition of this and taking steps to reduce it has helped immensely). A couple of brushes with my mortality and less than ideal health insurance can really send you into a spiral, lol!

For instance... long covid is real, but we have relatively little evidence of what it is or the causes. Based purely on my own personal experience, anxiety plays a significant, if not majority of the role in how your body handles many chronic illnesses. There were things that were happening to me that were not at all related to my original illness two years after the fact and I felt like I was playing whack-a-mole trying to get myself back together. Only after I was prescribed an anti-depressant (as one of the side effects of it would have in theory treated one of my issues) did I clue into this being a mental issue and not a physical one. The fact that an anti-depressant had some success threw me for a loop. So... I cut it off after a month as those things can be really hard to drop once you start dependence on them... and started to work on my mental health. 18 months later and nearly all of my symptoms had dropped. The whole experience was otherworldly for me as I would have never guessed as a younger person that I would be affected by mental health issues. That's just my anecdote, but if certainly changed a lot of how I view the world.

What I'm getting at is that living in an anxious state as a society is likely causing this type of thing to a lot of people. It doesn't take much of a mental trigger for a bit of brain fog sending you into a spiral of very real health side effects. This isn't to say that long covid isn't real - there are definite cases of permanent damage, but I am curious about how much mental health plays a role in things like this. Especially depending on the information you read. If you are constantly aware of how many hospital beds are available in your area, or that aunt that was put on a ventilator... or the new variant that may or may not respond to vaccines... or that side effects can show up in even asymptomatic cases... or that half of society seems to not care... you are in a state of "fight or flight" which strains the immune system. Some people can take that information in and just brush it off- some people, like me, have to make deliberate decisions to cut the information feed as it does more harm than good.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 28, 2022, 08:53:03 AM
Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

I hinted at that in one of my earlier posts... I have had some issues being a hypochondriac myself (although recognition of this and taking steps to reduce it has helped immensely). A couple of brushes with my mortality and less than ideal health insurance can really send you into a spiral, lol!

For instance... long covid is real, but we have relatively little evidence of what it is or the causes. Based purely on my own personal experience, anxiety plays a significant, if not majority of the role in how your body handles many chronic illnesses. There were things that were happening to me that were not at all related to my original illness two years after the fact and I felt like I was playing whack-a-mole trying to get myself back together. Only after I was prescribed an anti-depressant (as one of the side effects of it would have in theory treated one of my issues) did I clue into this being a mental issue and not a physical one. The fact that an anti-depressant had some success threw me for a loop. So... I cut it off after a month as those things can be really hard to drop once you start dependence on them... and started to work on my mental health. 18 months later and nearly all of my symptoms had dropped. The whole experience was otherworldly for me as I would have never guessed as a younger person that I would be affected by mental health issues. That's just my anecdote, but if certainly changed a lot of how I view the world.

What I'm getting at is that living in an anxious state as a society is likely causing this type of thing to a lot of people. It doesn't take much of a mental trigger for a bit of brain fog sending you into a spiral of very real health side effects. This isn't to say that long covid isn't real - there are definite cases of permanent damage, but I am curious about how much mental health plays a role in things like this. Especially depending on the information you read. If you are constantly aware of how many hospital beds are available in your area, or that aunt that was put on a ventilator... or the new variant that may or may not respond to vaccines... or that side effects can show up in even asymptomatic cases... or that half of society seems to not care... you are in a state of "fight or flight" which strains the immune system. Some people can take that information in and just brush it off- some people, like me, have to make deliberate decisions to cut the information feed as it does more harm than good.

It's interesting you say that because I actually was able to get my hands on the data from Lancet article on long covid (Taquet et al., 2021) and if you look at their breakdown of long covid symptoms that were most common in that dataset (N=236,379) it was the following: Mood Disorder (56,684); Anxiety or Depression (41,106); Substance User Disorder (15,554); Sleep Abnormality (12,812). I'm sure these aren't mutually exclusive meaning, someone could flag multiple long covid symptoms. But my point being is that the majority of long covid symptoms are associated with mental health, they aren't physiological. That's not to say there weren't physiological symptoms in the study there were, they were just much less common: Nerve disorder (6,739); Ischemic stroke (4,728); Intracranial Hemorrhage (1,324).

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanpsy/article/PIIS2215-0366(21)00084-5/fulltext

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 28, 2022, 09:03:46 AM
I think there's a LOT of variability with this virus and the way it hits people, and it's very unpredictable.  My parents, for example, thought covid was NBD but got hit really hard and the effects lasted for months.  Most people, though, should have mild cases just based on the statistics. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 28, 2022, 10:26:16 AM
I think there's a LOT of variability with this virus and the way it hits people, and it's very unpredictable.  My parents, for example, thought covid was NBD but got hit really hard and the effects lasted for months.  Most people, though, should have mild cases just based on the statistics.

And that, it a nutshell, is why individual risk assessment and community risk are so divergent.
The risk to any fully vaccinated and healthy individual under 50 is tiny but the collective impacts remain high.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 28, 2022, 11:16:57 AM
You could have been making literally the same argument the entire pandemic though.  You got it and it was just the sniffles, no need for any kind of restrictions at all because it's just ruining the economy and destroying lives and it's not even dangerous as evidence of you only getting the sniffles.  No big deal. Except we are still over 900k official deaths in the USA, so it's not just the sniffles for everyone. 

Even the original OG covid was like 50% asymptomatic, so a very good chance you aren't even aware that you're infected - I believe this was the main reason we adopted masks in the first place, because potentially everyone was a vector without even being aware.  The vast majority of the population would say any of the strains of covid that it was no big deal. That's been my experience with most of the people I know that got infected.  Many didn't know, and only knew because they were in close contact with someone.  Many more had extremely mild symptoms.  Some had more severe symptoms, but ultimately no big deal, not even as bad as the flu.  But some of them ended up in ICU, and some of them died.

I'm not saying I'm in favor of extreme restrictions or anything, but I just don't find the personal anecdotes of "we caught it and it was no big deal" very convincing. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 28, 2022, 11:48:55 AM
Depending on the age of Missourah's child, their frustration could also be because their daycare is not following current quarantine guidance, which is quarantine for 5 days after last exposure and wear a mask in public for 5 days after that (at least in CO):

https://covid19.colorado.gov/isolation-and-quarantine

So the CDC guidance of 5 days relies on a "well-fitting" mask.  The issue is that many kids can't strictly mask. They also likely remove them for lunch, nap, outdoor play.  Also, when we pick up and drop off kids, we often see someone (or more than one) with the mast below the nose.  That's why my daycare emailed out to all of us to let us know that they were sticking with the 10 days.  That's why my work has kept most if not all people in isolation for 10 days rather than 5, because people with dementia cannot be relied upon to mask strictly anytime someone is near them.

You may not like the rule, but that doesn't mean they aren't following the guidance.  (Also - the guidance sets a minimum not a maximum.  So it's not really right to say they aren't following the guidance, hmm?  You might object they are more strict but it has a whole different connotation to say they aren't following guidance, which is problematic.  I know I'm showing my health care lawyer side here, but it is an important distinction.)

This was largely their argument. They don't want kids wearing masks, they say it's a liability during nap time. I guess my frustration was more along the lines of we would be better off if he had tested positive. His quarantine would have started 5 days sooner. I kind of wish we had known the actual policy. It's possible perhaps even probable he had it, because we all did, just likely asymptomatic, outside of my daughter having an upset stomach for about 6 hours and my wife having a slight headache, congestion, and a light cough we were all asymptomatic. If I had known this was the policy I would have tested the entire family at the same exact time. Just figured we'd test my daughter because she had not been feeling well for a period of time and because she tested positive we'd keep both of them out until she could go back even though he wasn't showing any symptoms.

Yep.  When my friends have had daycare exposure, I've now advised them to pay the money to get them tested immediately, even if that means that they have to test them again at the 5 day mark after exposure.  Yes, it's time from work and a $30 copay for us, but if you are positive the countdown starts sooner.  I sort of figure not everyone is vigilant and testing, so it's easy to get in a classroom and the first report is NOT the first one who had it.  In my son's classroom, 7 people total tested positive in the daycare outbreak (other affected classrooms were much less).  25 total that I know of - kids, teachers, parents.

And yeah, wearing mask at naptime could be a huge liability if something happened.  For the same reason ours won't allow our 21-month old to wear one, even if we want her to, until the day she turns 2.  But then she has to wear it all day, every day.  That's going to be a fun transition, even with us having her practice at home/outings.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 28, 2022, 12:01:14 PM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

Eh.  Hard separate it out - anecdotal I'd say.  My oldest had a very light case.  My youngest seemed much worse, but had RSV instead.  (Tested before he was positive, during and after him w/o being positive, so we know she didn't give it to him first.)  I'm still worried about long-covid, and the fact that society reopened and began engaging in much riskier behavior before the kids could be vaccinated.

What I'm getting at is that living in an anxious state as a society is likely causing this type of thing to a lot of people. It doesn't take much of a mental trigger for a bit of brain fog sending you into a spiral of very real health side effects. This isn't to say that long covid isn't real - there are definite cases of permanent damage, but I am curious about how much mental health plays a role in things like this. Especially depending on the information you read. If you are constantly aware of how many hospital beds are available in your area, or that aunt that was put on a ventilator... or the new variant that may or may not respond to vaccines... or that side effects can show up in even asymptomatic cases... or that half of society seems to not care... you are in a state of "fight or flight" which strains the immune system. Some people can take that information in and just brush it off- some people, like me, have to make deliberate decisions to cut the information feed as it does more harm than good.

So...I think yes, some people are deliberately playing ostrich so of course they don't worry about things they don't know about.  And yes, you can get into a tailspin focusing on overly negative things that impairs mental health, impacting physical health.  But...there's also a middle ground where you look, consider the situation and think "this is not good".

I work in a LTC facility, so I can't NOT know how many people at work are testing positive with Omnicron, that the COVID waste water measures skyrocketed, or the latest guidance changes on masking, isolation etc.  Given this, I like to believe I'm in the middle ground.  :)
Title: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: elaine amj on January 28, 2022, 12:16:10 PM
You could have been making literally the same argument the entire pandemic though.  You got it and it was just the sniffles, no need for any kind of restrictions at all because it's just ruining the economy and destroying lives and it's not even dangerous as evidence of you only getting the sniffles.  No big deal. Except we are still over 900k official deaths in the USA, so it's not just the sniffles for everyone. 

Even the original OG covid was like 50% asymptomatic, so a very good chance you aren't even aware that you're infected - I believe this was the main reason we adopted masks in the first place, because potentially everyone was a vector without even being aware.  The vast majority of the population would say any of the strains of covid that it was no big deal. That's been my experience with most of the people I know that got infected.  Many didn't know, and only knew because they were in close contact with someone.  Many more had extremely mild symptoms.  Some had more severe symptoms, but ultimately no big deal, not even as bad as the flu.  But some of them ended up in ICU, and some of them died.

I'm not saying I'm in favor of extreme restrictions or anything, but I just don't find the personal anecdotes of "we caught it and it was no big deal" very convincing.
+1

It’s very true. For the vast majority of people it is a mild illness. However for significant minority, it is much worse.

The flu also has risks and you’re right, we don’t lock down for the flu. Unless we are in the middle of a worldwide conspiracy where practically every government is spending a ton of money to battle a “plandemic”, then the sheer number of dead people alone tells a story. And not just in the US (since apparently most people who “died of Covid” died due to other reasons since hospital records are faked and doctors are incentivized to pronounce Covid instead of the real cause). I simply don’t understand why people think that it’s possible this scenario is played out in countries all around the world.

Anyway, I really don’t know what the answer is at this stage. I try to take calculated risks since I don’t believe it is a good idea to completely lock down for years on end. In my case, we are FIREd and generally content to live quietly at home. We have high risk factors so we mostly stay at home. We see some people cautiously and occasionally. Currently the surge of cases is high so we are more cautious. We live in Canada and where I live, the majority just mask up although a minority complain and wear them under their noses.


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Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 28, 2022, 12:16:53 PM
I actually have *not* gotten Covid. Indeed, I may be the only person left in America who hasn’t had a single Covid test.

My position is that yes, for many people it will be a mild illness, but for 800,000 Americans, not so much.

I think that the restrictions we’ve had in the US have been extremely light, and anybody who wants to live a “normal” life can do so, they they may be required to wear a mask, but plenty of places don’t require that. Go on vacation! Go to crowded indoor events! Eat in a restaurant! Nobody is stopping you.

What I’ve learned in the last two years is that I always said I was a homebody, and I was right!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 28, 2022, 12:49:26 PM
If you want to exceed these guidelines in a way that costs me time and money, you had better have a good reason other than "just being cautious." Maybe the daycare has a number of kids who live with unvaccinated grandparents or something of that nature, in which case it would make sense to go a little bit above the level of precaution that makes sense for the general population. But if that is the case, there should be a daycare option that just goes with the standard guidance that you can switch to. If they're all going above and beyond without any specific reason for doing so, I think that's a problem.

Ok.  You don't like the reason I offered, but it's still a "specific reason".  The inability of children in daycare to consistently wear a well-fitting mask is a specific reason.  (Yes, it would be great if CDC put out specific daycare guidance, but they don't.)

Here's exactly what my daycare wrote: "We are aware the CDC changed its guidelines for isolating and quarantining. However, because a large part of the recommendations involves stringent mask wearing we will not be adopting these changes. Children under two are not wearing masks and those two and over take them off masks at meal and rest times."

I guess the way I see it, one of two things must be true. Option 1: the CDC has declined to issue specific daycare guidelines because they have collected and studied the evidence, determined that daycares don't really have an especially different risk profile to anywhere else that people congregate, and the daycares with stricter-than-recommended quarantine requirements are probably overreacting. Option 2: the CDC has incompetently ignored the evidence that daycares are especially risky, and different quarantine requirements are actually the right way to go. I'm not sure which of these options is true in practice. Again, I sure would like to believe that the CDC knows a thing or two about controlling and preventing disease and that we should be able to trust their recommendations.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 28, 2022, 12:52:51 PM
I think that the restrictions we’ve had in the US have been extremely light, and anybody who wants to live a “normal” life can do so, they they may be required to wear a mask, but plenty of places don’t require that. Go on vacation! Go to crowded indoor events! Eat in a restaurant! Nobody is stopping you.

This is what gets me.  People can make their own choices.  For example, an employer can choose whether or not to hire only vaccinated people.  A daycare can set it's own policies on attendance/sick etc.  So ultimately the actual government restrictions we are talking about are:
- Mask indoors in some places

That's it!  (That I can think of.  I could be wrong and I'll edit according if so.  And I acknowledge there are ***very rare*** places officials are imposing vaccination requirements but most are imposed by private individuals but that's negligible.)

So when you say you "want to get back to normal" I start to wonder if what you really mean is "I want you to change what you personally are doing".  I'm not stopping you from getting on the plane or going to the restaurant - but neither can you make me if I don't want to, for whatever reason, COVID or otherwise.  (And consider, do you really want more traffic on the road, more crowded restaurants and Disney World?)  If you don't like the daycare or employer policy, you are free to find a different daycare or employer.  But they get to run their business in a way they think works best for them - whether if that's to avoid liability, limit shutdowns, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 28, 2022, 12:58:30 PM
If you want to exceed these guidelines in a way that costs me time and money, you had better have a good reason other than "just being cautious." Maybe the daycare has a number of kids who live with unvaccinated grandparents or something of that nature, in which case it would make sense to go a little bit above the level of precaution that makes sense for the general population. But if that is the case, there should be a daycare option that just goes with the standard guidance that you can switch to. If they're all going above and beyond without any specific reason for doing so, I think that's a problem.

Ok.  You don't like the reason I offered, but it's still a "specific reason".  The inability of children in daycare to consistently wear a well-fitting mask is a specific reason.  (Yes, it would be great if CDC put out specific daycare guidance, but they don't.)

Here's exactly what my daycare wrote: "We are aware the CDC changed its guidelines for isolating and quarantining. However, because a large part of the recommendations involves stringent mask wearing we will not be adopting these changes. Children under two are not wearing masks and those two and over take them off masks at meal and rest times."

I guess the way I see it, one of two things must be true. Option 1: the CDC has declined to issue specific daycare guidelines because they have collected and studied the evidence, determined that daycares don't really have an especially different risk profile to anywhere else that people congregate, and the daycares with stricter-than-recommended quarantine requirements are probably overreacting. Option 2: the CDC has incompetently ignored the evidence that daycares are especially risky, and different quarantine requirements are actually the right way to go. I'm not sure which of these options is true in practice. Again, I sure would like to believe that the CDC knows a thing or two about controlling and preventing disease and that we should be able to trust their recommendations.

What about Option 3: They feel the requirement to wear a "well-fitting mask" covers a variety of situations and *is* sufficient advice?

Just again - if you can't wear a well-fitting mask, CDC already advises what to do in that situation (10 days not 5).  People with dementia and other challenges at my work have to stay on isolation for 10 days due to that guidance.  Why do they need to specifically call out daycares?

Yes, daycare could make a rule that say "We think 5 years old can mask properly and might also be vaccinated but 0-4 can't, so they can do 5 days" but administering it for the two different populations I imagine would be a bear and result in more angry parent calls.  And it's hard to know where to draw the line...5?  4?  (Frankly I see teachers with masks under their noses so maybe age is a bad criterion...)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 28, 2022, 01:08:39 PM
I think that the restrictions we’ve had in the US have been extremely light, and anybody who wants to live a “normal” life can do so, they they may be required to wear a mask, but plenty of places don’t require that. Go on vacation! Go to crowded indoor events! Eat in a restaurant! Nobody is stopping you.

Yes, I agree. I lived in Italy for most of the pandemic, so I kinda chuckle when I hear people in the US complain about a "lockdown". Maybe that's why I've grown so bitter about rules and restrictions. Because I had to spend months at a time forced to stay isolated alone in my apartment, with police patrolling the streets giving hefty fines to those found walking the streets "without essential" reason. But anywho, that just reflects the differing approach between the US and EU. And I'll take the US approach anyday.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 28, 2022, 01:16:49 PM
(Frankly I see teachers with masks under their noses so maybe age is a bad criterion...)

Exactly, adults are often bad at mask-wearing too! To be honest when I spent last year helping out in a 3-5 year old preschool class the kids were uniformly quite good at mask wearing. It was just a normal part of their routine.

The CDC should of course be aware that mask compliance is never perfect and make guidelines that take this into account. It seems entirely plausible to me that worse mask-wearing among the three-year-old population is cancelled out (and then some) by the fact that they have less personal risk of bad outcomes from the disease, have less risk of spreading the disease because lower lung capacity means the droplets don't travel as far, and they tend to live with people who are also young enough to not be at super high risk.

I would like to believe the CDC is aware of all these factors, weighs them in a reasonable manner, and we can just trust their recommendations. Instead we have daycares saying they're not comfortable with the guidelines because of one factor that might make them riskier than average, but they're not equipped to do a real analysis of whether the mitigating factors I mentioned might outweigh that and make supplemental restrictions unnecessary. That's what the CDC is for. Can we trust them or not?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 28, 2022, 01:33:12 PM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

This is not at all what I've seeing and I'm wondering if it isn't actually a pre-exisiting bias that causes some people to see this as a pre-existing bias.  lol

The person I know who has been hit hardest by Covid--got it in summer of 2020, so fairly early on, and is still in very bad physical shape because of it, not able to reliably work, etc.--was the biggest Covid denier I know.  In many ways, he still is.  His dad is in his 80s and having some significant dimension, flat-affect, and other symptoms.  The person attributes those things in large part to "stress caused by being forced to stay home, wear a mask, etc.".  He thinks the Covid stats are outright lies.  And yet even after having Covid, being hospitalized repeatedly and intubated for quite a while, and still have a body that is nowhere near 100%, his is still downplaying the virus.  Even with his own body as evidence, he can't step away from his biases at all.  (He's a hard core Trumper, conspiracy guy.)  The cognitive dissonance is incredible. 

For more evidence that "don't think it is a big deal or that we need all the restrictions" doesn't generally lead to reports of mild cases, look no further than the many vocal Covid deniers or restriction protestors who have died.  I think someone posted a link in this thread to may examples. 

And I know many people who were (and are) in favor of restrictions who had extremely mild or even asymptomatic cases.

So in my orbit, there seems to be no relationship at al between severity of disease (and the reports of severity of the disease) and support or non-support of restrictions or the level of worry about the disease. 

I'm not sure where I fall.  I supported lockdowns and restrictions, but not because I was ever personally all that afraid of getting Covid.  I was afraid for the medical system and for vulnerable people, and in favor of everyone doing as much as they could (especially initially when it seems we still might be able to stuff the cat back into the bag for good).  When I had my presumptive case, it wasn't fun, but it was like a bad cold any other year--an unpleasant annoyance, I suppose.  I didn't bother to test because I was never alarmingly sick and it didn't seem to matter whether this was a cold, or Covid.  And now, I have this ongoing weird symptom, 2 months later, which I'm told could go away at any time, or last for months more.   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Fish Sweet on January 28, 2022, 02:15:47 PM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.
...I mean. If a person who wanted less restrictions and a more normal life were to uh, die of covid, then they wouldn't exactly be here posting about how they had the sniffles for a couple of days.

And if I'm going off the general attitude of people I know who were determined to think of covid as nothing more than a mild cold to full blown made up government lies (I do want to clarify I'm not addressing anyone on the forum in this instance, rather people IRL I have known), then even if they ended up intubated for a week in the hospital while their spouse and sibling died of covid in the beds next to them... they'd be back at it again the next month telling people that it wasn't really that bad.  That their lack of smell and chronic fatigue is just stress unrelated to the pandemic.  That their spouse and sibling had XYZ preexisting symptoms and the doctors just misdiagnosed them as dying of covid, because it makes the hospital more money.  And on and on. Pre-existing biases and all that.

For the cautious, pro-restriction folks I know, it's just been the same mixed bag of 'absolutely nothing, not a single symptom' to 'mild cold' to 'bad flu' to 'lasting racking cough and exhaustion' to full blown long covid (one of my acquaintances has barely been able to taste a thing since April 2020, when she caught it as a frontline healthcare worker.) No deaths, thankfully.

As another one of the "last people in America" who has never caught covid, I've no wish to stick my hand into that grab-bag and see what I get. I'm hoping to avoid it til the end!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 28, 2022, 03:37:02 PM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

Nah, there's a whole subreddit that laughs at people who wanted no restrictions and refused to get vaccinated only to die from covid.

https://www.reddit.com/r/HermanCainAward/

in case you're curious

I was talking specific to these forums, not in general. Sorry.. I should have specified.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Missy B on January 28, 2022, 04:37:08 PM
Now that we've all gotten or are getting COVID during this current wave, I'm seeing something very interesting. I'm not going to mention specific names, but it seems generally the posters who were heavily pro-restrictions and lockdowns from the beginning are basically saying "We're dying! COVID is really bad! I'm worried we'll be permanently damaged!" while those of us who wanted less restrictions and more normal life are saying "We had the sniffles for a couple days, and barely realized we were sick".

Not to disregard anybody's illness and I'm sure there are other factors involved, but I'm curious if our pre-existing biases sometimes lead us to either exaggerate or downplay the personal effects of this virus.

This is not at all what I've seeing and I'm wondering if it isn't actually a pre-exisiting bias that causes some people to see this as a pre-existing bias.  lol

The person I know who has been hit hardest by Covid--got it in summer of 2020, so fairly early on, and is still in very bad physical shape because of it, not able to reliably work, etc.--was the biggest Covid denier I know.  In many ways, he still is.  His dad is in his 80s and having some significant dimension, flat-affect, and other symptoms.  The person attributes those things in large part to "stress caused by being forced to stay home, wear a mask, etc.".  He thinks the Covid stats are outright lies.  And yet even after having Covid, being hospitalized repeatedly and intubated for quite a while, and still have a body that is nowhere near 100%, his is still downplaying the virus.  Even with his own body as evidence, he can't step away from his biases at all.  (He's a hard core Trumper, conspiracy guy.)  The cognitive dissonance is incredible. 

I've come to think of this sort of attitude and denial as an expression of mental illness -- very possibly a kind of mental illness that hasn't been seen as such, and didn't have really recognisable signs and symptoms before the last few years. Normally we consider people in that kind of denial to be mentally ill, rather than agreeing that they just have a different opinion about what reality is.

I started wondering about this after realizing that a lot of the egregiously bad behaviours and attitudes I was seeing -- arrogantly defended by the doers as absolutely justified -- were of the kind I normally expect from someone with a personality disorder. It made me question whether we actually have a lot of people going around with a subclinical mental illness of some kind. And about how we define mental illness.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: clifp on January 28, 2022, 08:21:56 PM
Imparting lasting psychological damage on children, all in the name of keeping adults "safe". Its unbelievably selfish.

Meanwhile, knowing that your own grandma is dead, Mrs.Jones from the cafeteria is dead, and Mr.Phillips the janitor is dead also, does not impart lasting psychological damage on children.

Shouldn't all of these people be safe if they are vaccinated? That's what all the data seems to be saying. I'd argue if Mrs. Jones doesn't want to get vaccinated she probably shouldn't be working in a school cafeteria during a pandemic. Same for Mr. Phillips.

You are much safer if you are vaccinated but I wouldn't use the word that safe.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7104e2.htm?s_cid=mm7104e2_w

During April 4–December 25, 2021, a total of 6,812,040 COVID-19 cases among unvaccinated persons and 2,866,517 cases among fully vaccinated persons were reported among persons aged ≥18 years in 25 U.S. jurisdictions; 94,640 and 22,567 COVID-19–associated deaths among unvaccinated and fully vaccinated persons, respectively, were reported by December 4 (Table 1). Average weekly, age-standardized rates of cases and deaths (events per 100,000 population) were higher during periods of Delta predominance and Omicron emergence than during pre-Delta and Delta emergence periods and were consistently higher in all periods among unvaccinated persons (range = 64.0–725.6 [cases] and 1.5–11.4 [deaths]) than among fully vaccinated persons (range = 7.4–230.9 and 0.1–0.

So a total of 22,567 deaths among fully vaccinated, now obviously compared to the 94,640 folks who died who are unvaccinated, this is a big difference, especially when we factor we have almost twice as many vaccinate folks as unvaccinated. Vaccinated deaths represent 19% of all Covid deaths during this period. When you figure that survey covered a bit more than 1/2 the population and less than 9 months. It seems that roughly 60,000 vaccinate folks died of Covid last year. That is roughly equivalent to traffic accident deaths in 2020 + homicides in 2020.  So if you never are concerned about being murdered or killed in a traffic accident, than I guess you are safe.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 28, 2022, 08:39:07 PM
Cases are coming down nationally, and hospitalizations will also (with the expected lag time). Going forward I anticipate a low incidence of severe COVID amongst the vaccinated, whereas the the unvaccinated will have intermittent spikes of infection and death. I guess we're two societies now, one that just gets vaccinated another that accepts a mid-1800s mindset of "God came for ____, nothing we could do!" and moves on as friends / family die.

There is a sub-group of people who are immunocompromised & vaccinated, and thus have a 20-30% increased risk of dying from COVID compared to none-immunocompromised & vaccinated people.

I anticipate quarantine & isolation recommendations will continue, but larger-scale mitigation will end. Some will chose to continue to die on this hill, others won't and yet others don't get a choice. In a society with such a high fraction of callous people, there is not really much chance of mitigating these future spikes. Thus begins the era of assessing one's own risk and living with the consequences. There is no reason at this point to suspect that covid will disappear, and most likely it will be endemic. We have unfortunately reached the point of "well, x number of people die from y every year, so why not throw another stick in the fire?" I just find it interesting how many people are willing to throw themselves onto said fire.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on January 28, 2022, 10:50:19 PM
Not posting for debate, but just to comment back to OP based on my current outlook from European perspective. It may turn out to be misguided, eventually, as I have been in the camp of being highly cautious with SARS-Cov-2, so far, but feeling optimistic now.

Now, I am in the camp "endgame". We are moving out of Omicron phase over the next few weeks. So, give and take a few weeks, I expect the pandemic in our part of the woods being "over" within the next 6 weeks (my personal estimates based on the figures of ONS and UKHSA plus looking at neighbouring European countries).


Which activities have you resumed doing and which ones are you not ready for yet, if ever?  If you are still holding back from a pre-pandemic activity, do you have some type of metric that will make it okay for you again?
We will keep up masking and social distance until about April, I reckon, just to avoid the end-tail of current Omicron wave. We plan to travel again this year (within Europe - assuming no full-fledge war with Russia). Other than that: keeping up the hygiene and avoidance of crowds (never liked crowds anyway). We've lost interest in eating out or shopping already years ago, so this will not change much. Probably increase social distancing again next autumn to see how SARS-Cov-2 evolves. Then take it from there.

So, personally speaking, feeling pretty much done with it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LD_TAndK on January 29, 2022, 05:11:59 AM
In my sphere covid has been a catastrophe in a strange way. It feels like everyone previously had real social lives and kept connections and at least felt obligated to put effort into them. Covid seems to have been a bad influence and allowed them to indulge in isolation and poor mental and physical habits. I thought this would relent when we got vaccinated but it now seems to be a permanent change.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 29, 2022, 06:35:45 AM
Now, I am in the camp "endgame". We are moving out of Omicron phase over the next few weeks. So, give and take a few weeks, I expect the pandemic in our part of the woods being "over" within the next 6 weeks (my personal estimates based on the figures of ONS and UKHSA plus looking at neighbouring European countries).

Thanks for the Europe perspective and outlook. I hope you're right, I'm hoping to move back to Europe in the next few months! My two years there were sort of ruined by the pandemic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on January 29, 2022, 06:36:47 AM
In my sphere covid has been a catastrophe in a strange way. It feels like everyone previously had real social lives and kept connections and at least felt obligated to put effort into them. Covid seems to have been a bad influence and allowed them to indulge in isolation and poor mental and physical habits. I thought this would relent when we got vaccinated but it now seems to be a permanent change.

Agreed.. it's further fueled by a lot of jobs moving permanently remote. I think there's a big benefit of being physically in the office and I actually prefer it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 29, 2022, 08:03:10 AM
In my sphere covid has been a catastrophe in a strange way. It feels like everyone previously had real social lives and kept connections and at least felt obligated to put effort into them. Covid seems to have been a bad influence and allowed them to indulge in isolation and poor mental and physical habits. I thought this would relent when we got vaccinated but it now seems to be a permanent change.

People handle things differently.  While certainly is for some, isolation isn't a poor mental habit for everyone - in some cases it's a significant mental improvement over the enforced extroversion that we've had to endure for much of our lives.

I'd personally prefer slightly more human contact that we've had for the past couple years.  But only slightly.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 29, 2022, 08:16:22 AM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 29, 2022, 08:22:36 AM
In my sphere covid has been a catastrophe in a strange way. It feels like everyone previously had real social lives and kept connections and at least felt obligated to put effort into them. Covid seems to have been a bad influence and allowed them to indulge in isolation and poor mental and physical habits. I thought this would relent when we got vaccinated but it now seems to be a permanent change.

People handle things differently.  While certainly is for some, isolation isn't a poor mental habit for everyone - in some cases it's a significant mental improvement over the enforced extroversion that we've had to endure for much of our lives.

I'd personally prefer slightly more human contact that we've had for the past couple years.  But only slightly.

What I've noticed is that it has changed the dynamics overall, to some it's been a benefit, to others they have struggled. Many who have enjoyed the change seem to be those that felt their voices were not being heard in large office settings. It seems harder for big, boisterous personalities to dominate when more of the work has shifted online.

There's also the social dynamic.  For some the loss of close contact with coworkers has been a net loss, while for others the increased time spent with family (or the decrease in a more toxic work environment) has been a net positive.

It's hard to make broad sweeping generalizations, and I expect sociologists to spend the next few decades teasing out the human impacts of "the covid period'.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 29, 2022, 08:48:01 AM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

United States?  Which state?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 29, 2022, 09:40:59 AM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

United States?  Which state?

Yep, US - Ohio.

I did a little googling and it does look like there are some lawsuits in the news for nearby schools (in both the Akron and Toledo areas), but nothing published for my school district yet.

I would assume a positive covid test also counts for staying home - but wonder if people will bother to test if their child doesn't have a fever or more obvious symptoms. But the email just said "we strongly recommend you follow CDC guidelines for reporting and quarantine."   

The state health director did give guidance this week that apparently said: “the quick spread of the Omicron variant and its rapid clinical course have made universal contact tracing, case investigation and exposure notification impractical.” So the district is 100% in the clear to do this. And fwiw - he's probably right? But it also feels like throwing in the towel.

This is also the fourth director our state has had since the start of the pandemic. Our first two quit because of death threats and harassment. Each subsequent director has loosened restrictions further. (I am not saying this is right or wrong - just something we've noticed.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 29, 2022, 09:52:02 AM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.


Our small private school dropped masks in September, and now the state has told them they don't have to contact trace so the school will no longer be doing that.
This will likely be the end of quarantine and kids testing positive for COVID (in my area) because without the required testing that comes with contact tracing most parents won't test. They'll just keep their kids home until any symptoms resolve and not even try to find out what if it's COVID or a cold.
I'm fine with this, but it would be really difficult if I had anyone immune compromised or elderly in my immediate family. Those folks are just going to have to assume everyone they see has COVID for awhile.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 29, 2022, 10:59:50 AM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

United States?  Which state?

Yep, US - Ohio.

I did a little googling and it does look like there are some lawsuits in the news for nearby schools (in both the Akron and Toledo areas), but nothing published for my school district yet.

I would assume a positive covid test also counts for staying home - but wonder if people will bother to test if their child doesn't have a fever or more obvious symptoms. But the email just said "we strongly recommend you follow CDC guidelines for reporting and quarantine."   

The state health director did give guidance this week that apparently said: “the quick spread of the Omicron variant and its rapid clinical course have made universal contact tracing, case investigation and exposure notification impractical.” So the district is 100% in the clear to do this. And fwiw - he's probably right? But it also feels like throwing in the towel.

This is also the fourth director our state has had since the start of the pandemic. Our first two quit because of death threats and harassment. Each subsequent director has loosened restrictions further. (I am not saying this is right or wrong - just something we've noticed.)

Yes. In Michigan, we've lost our Chief Medical Officer (https://www.freep.com/story/news/health/2021/09/24/joneigh-khaldun-quit-michigan-covid-whitmer/5846198001/) and Director of Health and Human Services (https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2021/01/22/michigan-health-director-robert-gordon-resigning/6676384002/). We've also had death threats against various health officials (https://www.npr.org/2021/10/01/1042477493/local-public-health-officials-in-michigan-face-burnout-and-threats-of-violence) and threats against school board members across the state (https://www.freep.com/story/news/education/2021/11/22/michigan-school-covid-19-masks/8683152002/).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 29, 2022, 06:11:53 PM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

United States?  Which state?

Yep, US - Ohio.

I did a little googling and it does look like there are some lawsuits in the news for nearby schools (in both the Akron and Toledo areas), but nothing published for my school district yet.

I would assume a positive covid test also counts for staying home - but wonder if people will bother to test if their child doesn't have a fever or more obvious symptoms. But the email just said "we strongly recommend you follow CDC guidelines for reporting and quarantine."   

The state health director did give guidance this week that apparently said: “the quick spread of the Omicron variant and its rapid clinical course have made universal contact tracing, case investigation and exposure notification impractical.” So the district is 100% in the clear to do this. And fwiw - he's probably right? But it also feels like throwing in the towel.

This is also the fourth director our state has had since the start of the pandemic. Our first two quit because of death threats and harassment. Each subsequent director has loosened restrictions further. (I am not saying this is right or wrong - just something we've noticed.)

I am hoping this becomes a trend
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 29, 2022, 07:45:19 PM
Our school system announced yesterday afternoon that they are dropping mask wearing (again) and also contact tracing (because it is too hard to stay on top of it in a timely fashion), and also any quarantining now. But they reserve the right to institute masks again if they have to close the schools down for absences.

They will now follow the same procedures for any other illness, which is please don't send your child to school when they have a fever.

We were surprised, but then we heard from a friend last night that they are facing another lawsuit and the rumor mill says this one has big money behind it. Rumor mill said the school board (which narrowly survived November's election) decided they can't waste funds fighting this.

United States?  Which state?

Yep, US - Ohio.

I did a little googling and it does look like there are some lawsuits in the news for nearby schools (in both the Akron and Toledo areas), but nothing published for my school district yet.

I would assume a positive covid test also counts for staying home - but wonder if people will bother to test if their child doesn't have a fever or more obvious symptoms. But the email just said "we strongly recommend you follow CDC guidelines for reporting and quarantine."   

The state health director did give guidance this week that apparently said: “the quick spread of the Omicron variant and its rapid clinical course have made universal contact tracing, case investigation and exposure notification impractical.” So the district is 100% in the clear to do this. And fwiw - he's probably right? But it also feels like throwing in the towel.

This is also the fourth director our state has had since the start of the pandemic. Our first two quit because of death threats and harassment. Each subsequent director has loosened restrictions further. (I am not saying this is right or wrong - just something we've noticed.)

I am hoping this becomes a trend

The death threats or the loosened restrictions? (I’m kidding).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zamboni on January 30, 2022, 07:53:37 AM
Lol, from the reddit linked above: Patton Oswalt tweeted "When the polio vaccine dropped in 1955 people lined up to get it, & we were 2 years away from artificial satellites. Now in 2021 we carry external world-brains in our pockets and there's robots on Mars and idiots think the COVID vaccine is full of wizard poison."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 30, 2022, 08:16:13 AM
Lol, from the reddit linked above: Patton Oswalt tweeted "When the polio vaccine dropped in 1955 people lined up to get it, & we were 2 years away from artificial satellites. Now in 2021 we carry external world-brains in our pockets and there's robots on Mars and idiots think the COVID vaccine is full of wizard poison."

So people let those external world-brains do their thinking and use their own brains   to only process lizard-brain emotions?  Seems about right.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 30, 2022, 09:24:38 AM
It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zamboni on January 30, 2022, 09:46:06 AM
^Oh, there are still plenty, but at the rate of infections in the US this past month, there won't be for long here. Other countries that had more zealous lockdowns likely have the majority fo the population uninfected (although, to be fair, most of the people in those countries are now vaccinated.)

Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 30, 2022, 09:50:13 AM
It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.

Why must they be both unvaccinated and have never gotten Covid before?  At this point I have very limited patience for people in the US who have refused to get vaccinated*.


*excluding the very small percentage of people for whom a vaccine is not recommended.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 30, 2022, 09:50:30 AM
It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.

Over the past month the typical unvaccinated person in my county is 12x more likely to be hospitalized for COVID and 17x more likely to die (https://public.tableau.com/views/COVID_Vaccination_Status/VaxBrk?:embed=y&:toolbar=n&:display_count=n&:showShareOptions=n&:showVizHome=n) than the typical vaccinated person of the same age. Whatever protection they may or may not be getting from prior infection is still leaving them an order of magnitude more likely to require hospital care.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 30, 2022, 09:51:59 AM
^Oh, there are still plenty, but at the rate of infections in the US this past month, there won't be for long here. Other countries that had more zealous lockdowns likely have the majority fo the population uninfected (although, to be fair, most of the people in those countries are now vaccinated.)

Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

In my "red" state the Mayo Clinic data has us at close to 90% of those 30+ having had at least one dose. If we assume even a small fraction of those 10% have come into contact with the virus (at this point I think I only know like 10 people who haven't gotten covid). We are looking at a fraction of that 10% and I live in Arkansas, lol probably one of the worst states when it comes to vaccination rates. My point is that the people with almost no protection against the virus at this point in the US are likely a tiny minority, but people like Patton Oswalt are tweeting like it's basically half of the US.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 30, 2022, 09:56:41 AM
The U.S.  has only 63% of the total population fully vaccinated (1 or 2 dose series, not including booster).  There is a small portion of the population 5 and under who can’t get a vaccine.  Still, that’s over a third of us who haven’t gotten vaccinated, most of them for no good reason.  That’s absurdly high.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on January 30, 2022, 10:14:46 AM
^Oh, there are still plenty, but at the rate of infections in the US this past month, there won't be for long here. Other countries that had more zealous lockdowns likely have the majority fo the population uninfected (although, to be fair, most of the people in those countries are now vaccinated.)

Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

In my "red" state the Mayo Clinic data has us at close to 90% of those 30+ having had at least one dose. If we assume even a small fraction of those 10% have come into contact with the virus (at this point I think I only know like 10 people who haven't gotten covid). We are looking at a fraction of that 10% and I live in Arkansas, lol probably one of the worst states when it comes to vaccination rates. My point is that the people with almost no protection against the virus at this point in the US are likely a tiny minority, but people like Patton Oswalt are tweeting like it's basically half of the US.

Only 65% of Michiganders have received at least one dose of vaccine. I live in Wayne County, the most populous in the state at 1.7 million people (including the city of Detroit), where only 56% of the population has received at least one dose of vaccine. The second-most populous county, Kent (including the city of Grand Rapids), has a one-dose vaccination rate of 60.6%. As with everything else about this pandemic, one area's experiences cannot be extrapolated to other areas, as the circumstances are likely quite different.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 30, 2022, 10:19:03 AM
The U.S.  has only 63% of the total population fully vaccinated (1 or 2 dose series, not including booster).  There is a small portion of the population 5 and under who can’t get a vaccine.  Still, that’s over a third of us who haven’t gotten vaccinated, most of them for no good reason.  That’s absurdly high.

According to the mayo clinic 75.9% of the US has had at least one dose. Maybe their data is wrong.

https://www.mayoclinic.org/coronavirus-covid-19/vaccine-tracker

If you break it down by age it goes as following:

18-24: 74.8%
25-39: 77.4%
40-49: 84.6%
50-64: 91.3%
65+: 99.9%

if you were to take a weighted average of that you'd probably be looking at ~85% of those 18+ that have had at least one dose and of those likely to be severely negatively impacted from the virus you are looking at ~93%+. Obviously there are still people that haven't gotten vaccinated, but my main point was that it's an extreme minority yet people keep talking about it on the news and social media like it's half our population.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 30, 2022, 10:27:14 AM
Fully vaccinated means 1 dose J&J or 2 dose mRNA.  I’m sure more have been partially vaccinated, like my uncle who received a first dose back when he became eligible, but then fell prey to misinformation and refused to get his second dose, also convincing my parents and another sibling to not get vaccinated.  I do wonder how many of those with one dose will never get fully vaccinated.  Partial vaccination means very little against omicron.  And yes, I think a third of Americans not fully vaccinated is still ridiculously high.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 30, 2022, 10:30:53 AM
Fully vaccinated means 1 dose J&J or 2 dose mRNA.  I’m sure more have been partially vaccinated, like my uncle who received a first dose back when he became eligible, but then fell prey to misinformation and refused to get his second dose, also convincing my parents and another sibling to not get vaccinated.  I do wonder how many of those with one dose will never get fully vaccinated.  Partial vaccination means very little against omicron.  And yes, I think a third of Americans not fully vaccinated is still ridiculously high.

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 30, 2022, 12:31:46 PM

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.

Curious why you would decide to not vaccinate your kids. Even if contracting Covid once does provide some protection, our understanding is that getting vaccinated improves resistance in the future.  Are you worried about side effects from the vaccine?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 30, 2022, 01:19:34 PM
^Oh, there are still plenty, but at the rate of infections in the US this past month, there won't be for long here. Other countries that had more zealous lockdowns likely have the majority fo the population uninfected (although, to be fair, most of the people in those countries are now vaccinated.)

Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

2300 does seem like a lot, until you realize that about 8000 people/day died in 2019 (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr70/nvsr70-08-508.pdf), before the pandemic started. Apparently, total deaths for 2020 and 2021 were up by about 1200/day (https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109281/covid-19-daily-deaths-compared-to-all-causes/), overall.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: clifp on January 30, 2022, 01:21:44 PM


Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

If 19% or so are vaccinated that's 400 vaccinated folks, or 4x the number of people die in an auto accident every day.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 30, 2022, 01:57:18 PM
^Oh, there are still plenty, but at the rate of infections in the US this past month, there won't be for long here. Other countries that had more zealous lockdowns likely have the majority fo the population uninfected (although, to be fair, most of the people in those countries are now vaccinated.)

Meanwhile, 2300 people died from COVID in the US yesterday. Maybe it's just me, but that seems like a lot of people dying in a single day.

2300 does seem like a lot, until you realize that about 8000 people/day died in 2019 (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr70/nvsr70-08-508.pdf), before the pandemic started. Apparently, total deaths for 2020 and 2021 were up by about 1200/day (https://www.statista.com/statistics/1109281/covid-19-daily-deaths-compared-to-all-causes/), overall.

Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zamboni on January 30, 2022, 04:12:35 PM
Johns Hopkins University has been gathering the reported stats and tracking on their global map since the pandemic began. You can just google "Johns Hopkins COVID map" and pull it up. Here's a short video they made this week:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tLhNIzLLpJI (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tLhNIzLLpJI)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: clifp on January 31, 2022, 02:12:18 AM


Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.

Well Covid-19 deaths in 2021 were about 440,000 that's 1,205 per day right there. What's remarkable is how death rates spike in so many other things,
Suicide, murders, and drug overdose were all up 10-25% in the last couple of years. I guess it is understandable people react to stress.  But what's crazy is things that you'd think would go down, in some cases went up. Take traffic fatalities they have been on a long slow decline for decades, despite more cars, and more miles. In 2019 there was about 34,000 deads, in 2021 they topped 42,000. This doesn't make sense, lots of people still worked from home, travel, tourism while increased from 2020, were still sharply below 2019 levels.  Perhaps more door dash delivery or something resulted in more death,or more road rage??
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 31, 2022, 06:04:39 AM
Just read this interesting fact this morning:

"Thanks to immunity, treatment, and an intrinsically less severe Omicron, the case fatality rate (CFR) continues to decline in the Untied States and across the globe. We’re seeing a similar pattern in infection fatality rate (IFR— which takes into account asymptomatic and non-reporting) in the U.K. But, as seen in the second graph below, IFR is still about two times higher than the flu."  The author (an epidemiologist) goes on to say that the IFR is likely twice as high in the U.S., because we have less immunity... but that still means that COVID is only 4x as lethal as the flu in the U.S.

From https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/state-of-affairs-jan-31?fbclid=IwAR1LAQEECV1Uq2KtY4sYPQ3AF9HSaCWkxJ66fUWQjXcSiibVTQeNnzYFw6E

I found that interesting/surprising.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 06:36:05 AM

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.

Curious why you would decide to not vaccinate your kids. Even if contracting Covid once does provide some protection, our understanding is that getting vaccinated improves resistance in the future.  Are you worried about side effects from the vaccine?

Most of the studies I've seen say that there isn't much of a difference between natural and vaccinated for healthy younger people. For older adults and vulnerable populations of course everything helps, which is why they are offering boosters and older people should take them. If they come out with data suggesting that the vaccine somehow helps healthy 6 year olds with t-cell and b-cell immunity I reserve the right to change my mind. Perhaps we'll get to new strains of the virus where being vaccinated prevents infection and then I'll consider it. I'm not completely against them getting vaccinated, I just don't see any benefit. So sure I could just go get it for them, but then that's like forcing your kid to get sick for 24 hours for no real benefit. Would you give your kid a 24 hour bug just because? Also, if I do decide to get them the vaccine I'd follow the European standards of one dose only.


It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.

Read the thread - I've posted hospital statistics multiple times throughout.

75% of hospitalized people are unvaccinated. I suppose it's possible that those people have all lied about their vaccination status, but that seems unlikely.

I have no idea whether or not those people have had covid before, as the hospital systems I keep up with don't post that information.

I'm not denying that the unvaccinated are a major part of the hospitalization, my main point is they are a tiny fraction of the US population. We're talking about less than 15% of the population of those over 30. So really when we are whining about all the unvaccinated people we're whining about kids 20 and younger the group that has been largely untouched by this pandemic from a severe disease and death perspective.

I do find it interesting that the unvaccinated still make up 75% of all hospitalizations (including with and from covid) at this point though. If you think about it's kind of a crazy anomaly. Even if you look at the data for fully vaccinated 40+ you're likely looking at ~80% fully vaccinated. So, 80% of people 40+ in the US are fully vaccinated and ~75% of people 25+ are fully vaccinated and yet those ~25% still account for 75% of all hospitalizations? That's actually pretty impressive. Or am I reading that wrong and the 75% figure you're quoting is specifically for Covid related treatments? That would make way more sense, but I was under the impression they weren't really distinguishing between hospitalized from and with covid in almost all cases.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 31, 2022, 07:13:10 AM
It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.

Read the thread - I've posted hospital statistics multiple times throughout.

75% of hospitalized people are unvaccinated. I suppose it's possible that those people have all lied about their vaccination status, but that seems unlikely.

I have no idea whether or not those people have had covid before, as the hospital systems I keep up with don't post that information.

I'm not denying that the unvaccinated are a major part of the hospitalization, my main point is they are a tiny fraction of the US population. We're talking about less than 15% of the population of those over 30. So really when we are whining about all the unvaccinated people we're whining about kids 20 and younger the group that has been largely untouched by this pandemic from a severe disease and death perspective.

I do find it interesting that the unvaccinated still make up 75% of all hospitalizations (including with and from covid) at this point though. If you think about it's kind of a crazy anomaly. Even if you look at the data for fully vaccinated 40+ you're likely looking at ~80% fully vaccinated. So, 80% of people 40+ in the US are fully vaccinated and ~75% of people 25+ are fully vaccinated and yet those ~25% still account for 75% of all hospitalizations? That's actually pretty impressive. Or am I reading that wrong and the 75% figure you're quoting is specifically for Covid related treatments? That would make way more sense, but I was under the impression they weren't really distinguishing between hospitalized from and with covid in almost all cases.

This is exactly why people get so irritated with the unvaccinated.  They are a minority of the population yet they are absolutely wrecking our medical system out of sheer stupidity/stubbornness at this point.  The vaccines are very effective at keeping people out of the hospital.  These statistics above illustrate that point.  This is why medical professionals have been blue in the face begging people to get vaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 31, 2022, 07:24:19 AM


Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.

Well Covid-19 deaths in 2021 were about 440,000 that's 1,205 per day right there. What's remarkable is how death rates spike in so many other things,
Suicide, murders, and drug overdose were all up 10-25% in the last couple of years. I guess it is understandable people react to stress.  But what's crazy is things that you'd think would go down, in some cases went up. Take traffic fatalities they have been on a long slow decline for decades, despite more cars, and more miles. In 2019 there was about 34,000 deads, in 2021 they topped 42,000. This doesn't make sense, lots of people still worked from home, travel, tourism while increased from 2020, were still sharply below 2019 levels.  Perhaps more door dash delivery or something resulted in more death,or more road rage??

A great many people I knew (particularly retirees) drove a ton more than usual during the pandemic - particularly during our 'lockdowns'.  At one point I pretty much stopped going for bike rides during the week because there was so much more traffic than usual along the quiet country roads that I take.  It seemed like people were looking for something to do, and driving around in a car counts as something I guess.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 07:25:08 AM
This is exactly why people get so irritated with the unvaccinated.  They are a minority of the population yet they are absolutely wrecking our medical system out of sheer stupidity/stubbornness at this point.  The vaccines are very effective at keeping people out of the hospital.  These statistics above illustrate that point.  This is why medical professionals have been blue in the face begging people to get vaccinated.

x1000
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 07:26:24 AM
It would be interesting to see what % of people 18+ have received no vaccine and also have not gotten Covid at this point (I.e. true Sars-cov-2 virgins). I feel like people are creating a fictional "unvaccinated" enemy at this point.

Read the thread - I've posted hospital statistics multiple times throughout.

75% of hospitalized people are unvaccinated. I suppose it's possible that those people have all lied about their vaccination status, but that seems unlikely.

I have no idea whether or not those people have had covid before, as the hospital systems I keep up with don't post that information.

I'm not denying that the unvaccinated are a major part of the hospitalization, my main point is they are a tiny fraction of the US population. We're talking about less than 15% of the population of those over 30. So really when we are whining about all the unvaccinated people we're whining about kids 20 and younger the group that has been largely untouched by this pandemic from a severe disease and death perspective.

I do find it interesting that the unvaccinated still make up 75% of all hospitalizations (including with and from covid) at this point though. If you think about it's kind of a crazy anomaly. Even if you look at the data for fully vaccinated 40+ you're likely looking at ~80% fully vaccinated. So, 80% of people 40+ in the US are fully vaccinated and ~75% of people 25+ are fully vaccinated and yet those ~25% still account for 75% of all hospitalizations? That's actually pretty impressive. Or am I reading that wrong and the 75% figure you're quoting is specifically for Covid related treatments? That would make way more sense, but I was under the impression they weren't really distinguishing between hospitalized from and with covid in almost all cases.

This is exactly why people get so irritated with the unvaccinated.  They are a minority of the population yet they are absolutely wrecking our medical system out of sheer stupidity/stubbornness at this point.  The vaccines are very effective at keeping people out of the hospital.  These statistics above illustrate that point.  This is why medical professionals have been blue in the face begging people to get vaccinated.

I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 31, 2022, 07:36:33 AM
AAUGH.  The problem is that the majority of the unvaccinated are NOT a few months away from being dead or having protection through "natural immunity".  Some of them will die, yes.  Many of them will just clog up the hospital system for weeks and then slowly recover or relapse because their bodies are weakened.  They will have an increase of 40% in all cause mortality even after recovering from COVID in the following year, if I'm remembering correctly.  The ones who do recover are at least 2-3 times more likely to get reinfected as those who have been vaccinated.  And when they do get reinfected (I know MANY people who have had COVID multiple times at this point), they may go to the hospital again.  Repeat with no end in sight and our medical system is already more than exhausted.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 07:39:43 AM
I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.

Health care system is overwhelmed and as a result:
- People are dying or have other adverse outcomes due to delayed "optional" treatment (elective surgeries)
- We're still losing more health care professionals from the profession than we can deal with/replace due to burnout, stress
- Society will be paying the increased cost of health care for COVID hospitalizations/long-term COVID for a long time

Yelling at the unvaccinated (*cough*, such as you with your kids.......) may not be productive, but when it's all you feel you've got to address the above, it's probably going to continue.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 07:44:43 AM
AAUGH.  The problem is that the majority of the unvaccinated are NOT a few months away from being dead or having protection through "natural immunity".  Some of them will die, yes.  Many of them will just clog up the hospital system for weeks and then slowly recover or relapse because their bodies are weakened.  They will have an increase of 40% in all cause mortality even after recovering from COVID in the following year, if I'm remembering correctly.  The ones who do recover are at least 2-3 times more likely to get reinfected as those who have been vaccinated.  And when they do get reinfected (I know MANY people who have had COVID multiple times at this point), they may go to the hospital again.

So you're saying natural immunity isn't a thing? The CDC study and the Israeli study are wrong. Can you point me to the sources that say there is no such thing as natural immunity?

This is from the CDC study:

By early October, compared with unvaccinated people who didn’t have a prior infection, case rates were:

— 6-fold lower in California and 4.5-fold lower in New York in those who were vaccinated but not previously infected.

— 29-fold lower in California and 15-fold lower in New York in those who had been infected but never vaccinated.

— 32.5-fold lower in California and 20-fold lower in New York in those who had been infected and vaccinated.

Obviously things changed with Omicron, but the evidence is overwhelming that having gotten any vaccine provided protection against severe illness or death for Omicron. Given everything we've seen previously about natural immunity providing as much if not more protection against previous variants it would be a pretty bold claim to say that it offered superior protection for Delta, but did literally nothing for Omicron, but a vaccine that didn't work very well for delta somehow provides robust protection against Omicron. We'll know more in the coming months as more data comes out though.


I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.

Health care system is overwhelmed and as a result:
- People are dying or have other adverse outcomes due to delayed "optional" treatment (elective surgeries)
- We're still losing more health care professionals from the profession than we can deal with/replace due to burnout, stress
- Society will be paying the increased cost of health care for COVID hospitalizations/long-term COVID for a long time

Yelling at the unvaccinated (*cough*, such as you with your kids.......) may not be productive, but when it's all you feel you've got to address the above, it's probably going to continue.

One of my kids just got eligible a few months ago and sorry I didn't trust a study with an N of 1000 kids. I wanted to wait for more data. The other isn't eligible, but I'm glad you feel (*cough) morally superior to me dude.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 31, 2022, 07:51:53 AM
I am saying that natural immunity is neither reliable nor durable.  This is why the CDC/doctors/immunologists universally recommend that anyone who has had a prior covid infection also get vaccinated. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 31, 2022, 07:52:39 AM
Why is it so binary?  I feel like you're arguing that you don't need air bags because you have a seat belt and seat belts already substantially lower your risk. You can do both things, and also try to not drive recklessly.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 07:54:19 AM
Why is it so binary?  I feel like you're arguing that you don't need air bags because you have a seat belt and seat belts already substantially lower your risk. You can do both things, and also try to not drive recklessly.

I'm not. I'm saying that for the vulnerable populations that chose not to get vaccinated most of them will have some protection. I'm not suggesting that an unvaccinated person that got Omicron shouldn't still get vaccinated. But if we work under the presumption that they won't given they haven't so far it's not as if they aren't more protected than they were before. That's literally all I'm saying.

If you want to keep screaming into social media at these unvaccinated 50 year olds that you don't know hoping maybe they'll see you calling them worthless pieces of sh*t and decide you are right and they should go get vaccinated tomorrow by all means continue to do so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: frugalnacho on January 31, 2022, 08:05:57 AM
Why is it so binary?  I feel like you're arguing that you don't need air bags because you have a seat belt and seat belts already substantially lower your risk. You can do both things, and also try to not drive recklessly.

I'm not. I'm saying that for the vulnerable populations that chose not to get vaccinated most of them will have some protection. I'm not suggesting that an unvaccinated person that got Omicron shouldn't still get vaccinated. But if we work under the presumption that they won't given they haven't so far it's not as if they aren't more protected than they were before. That's literally all I'm saying.

If you want to keep screaming into social media at these unvaccinated 50 year olds that you don't know hoping maybe they'll see you calling them worthless pieces of sh*t and decide you are right and they should go get vaccinated tomorrow by all means continue to do so.

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 08:11:50 AM
Why is it so binary?  I feel like you're arguing that you don't need air bags because you have a seat belt and seat belts already substantially lower your risk. You can do both things, and also try to not drive recklessly.

I'm not. I'm saying that for the vulnerable populations that chose not to get vaccinated most of them will have some protection. I'm not suggesting that an unvaccinated person that got Omicron shouldn't still get vaccinated. But if we work under the presumption that they won't given they haven't so far it's not as if they aren't more protected than they were before. That's literally all I'm saying.

If you want to keep screaming into social media at these unvaccinated 50 year olds that you don't know hoping maybe they'll see you calling them worthless pieces of sh*t and decide you are right and they should go get vaccinated tomorrow by all means continue to do so.

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.

Like I said earlier, I may change my mind, but even if I do I'll follow the European model of kids only getting one dose, so they'll never be considered "fully" vaccinated. I think we can have differing strategies depending on probability of severe disease, but I guess we live in a one size fits all society where healthy 6 year olds and bed-ridden 60 year olds should be treated identically. Should my daughter get a colonoscopy too? After all it's recommended for most 50 year olds.

If my 65 year old mother had had Omicron and recovered and wasn't vaccinated I would strongly urge her to get the vaccine. I just don't see it as a one size fits all disease, so I don't believe in a one size fits all strategy. If there is evidence that a future version of the vaccine stops all probability of contracting it, I would strongly reconsider my current stance though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on January 31, 2022, 08:15:58 AM
From what I have gleaned on infection-based versus vaccine-based (MRNA) immunity:

During the pre-delta period, vaccine-based immunity was far superior.
During the delta wave, infection-based immunity was superior.
During the initial part of the omicron wave, infection-based immunity was similar to a 2-shot regimen.  A 3-shot regimen was significantly better than infection.

Vaccine + infection was always better.  If you get infected, you should still go get vaccinated for good protection against future variants.

I believe that in the studies I was looking at, the metrics were against symptomatic infection.  Severity remains another important variable.

Remains TBD what sort of immunity omicron-based infections will give.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 31, 2022, 08:36:54 AM
Why is it so binary?  I feel like you're arguing that you don't need air bags because you have a seat belt and seat belts already substantially lower your risk. You can do both things, and also try to not drive recklessly.

I'm not. I'm saying that for the vulnerable populations that chose not to get vaccinated most of them will have some protection. I'm not suggesting that an unvaccinated person that got Omicron shouldn't still get vaccinated. But if we work under the presumption that they won't given they haven't so far it's not as if they aren't more protected than they were before. That's literally all I'm saying.

If you want to keep screaming into social media at these unvaccinated 50 year olds that you don't know hoping maybe they'll see you calling them worthless pieces of sh*t and decide you are right and they should go get vaccinated tomorrow by all means continue to do so.

Technically I'm a one dose person. I got one dose in Oklahoma and one in Arkansas. Thus in both states I'm considered partially vaccinated. My kids will likely never get vaccinated, but they already had and recovered from Omicron. The data suggests that even getting one dose provides robust protection against severe disease. It may not provide as much protection against contracting the virus (although that doesn't seem to matter with Omicron), but most of the benefit against severe sickness is simply having your immune system primed for the virus and one dose does that.

Like I said earlier, I may change my mind, but even if I do I'll follow the European model of kids only getting one dose, so they'll never be considered "fully" vaccinated. I think we can have differing strategies depending on probability of severe disease, but I guess we live in a one size fits all society where healthy 6 year olds and bed-ridden 60 year olds should be treated identically. Should my daughter get a colonoscopy too? After all it's recommended for most 50 year olds.

If my 65 year old mother had had Omicron and recovered and wasn't vaccinated I would strongly urge her to get the vaccine. I just don't see it as a one size fits all disease, so I don't believe in a one size fits all strategy. If there is evidence that a future version of the vaccine stops all probability of contracting it, I would strongly reconsider my current stance though.

Has anyone been able to find a mortality rate for the Pfizer vaccine in children?  I've been looking for one, and am frustrated by not being able to find any solid numbers.

We know that myocarditis occurs about 70 in 1,000,000 after the vaccine is given to boys 16/17 (and is lower in all other children age groups).  We also know that most cases of myocarditis resolve quickly.  I'd still like to be able to see the numbers though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 31, 2022, 09:29:54 AM


Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.

Well Covid-19 deaths in 2021 were about 440,000 that's 1,205 per day right there. What's remarkable is how death rates spike in so many other things,
Suicide, murders, and drug overdose were all up 10-25% in the last couple of years. I guess it is understandable people react to stress.  But what's crazy is things that you'd think would go down, in some cases went up. Take traffic fatalities they have been on a long slow decline for decades, despite more cars, and more miles. In 2019 there was about 34,000 deads, in 2021 they topped 42,000. This doesn't make sense, lots of people still worked from home, travel, tourism while increased from 2020, were still sharply below 2019 levels.  Perhaps more door dash delivery or something resulted in more death,or more road rage??

I read someone who posited road deaths went up because traffic went down. Seems counterintuitive until you consider that speed is the major factor in how deadly a crash is. Crash in slow-moving traffic and you're probably not going to get hurt too badly. Crash when there's plenty of space to drive the speed limit (or higher) and you'll have a much worse time of it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on January 31, 2022, 11:31:45 AM
From what I have gleaned on infection-based versus vaccine-based (MRNA) immunity:

During the pre-delta period, vaccine-based immunity was far superior.
During the delta wave, infection-based immunity was superior.
During the initial part of the omicron wave, infection-based immunity was similar to a 2-shot regimen.  A 3-shot regimen was significantly better than infection.

Vaccine + infection was always better.  If you get infected, you should still go get vaccinated for good protection against future variants.

I believe that in the studies I was looking at, the metrics were against symptomatic infection.  Severity remains another important variable.

Remains TBD what sort of immunity omicron-based infections will give.

Thanks for putting this in a way I can actually read and understand. Versus any data put out by our government institutions....
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 11:41:57 AM
I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.

Health care system is overwhelmed and as a result:
- People are dying or have other adverse outcomes due to delayed "optional" treatment (elective surgeries)
- We're still losing more health care professionals from the profession than we can deal with/replace due to burnout, stress
- Society will be paying the increased cost of health care for COVID hospitalizations/long-term COVID for a long time

Yelling at the unvaccinated (*cough*, such as you with your kids.......) may not be productive, but when it's all you feel you've got to address the above, it's probably going to continue.

One of my kids just got eligible a few months ago and sorry I didn't trust a study with an N of 1000 kids. I wanted to wait for more data. The other isn't eligible, but I'm glad you feel (*cough) morally superior to me dude.

My point was that sometimes we see "other people" as doing something and don't recognize when we might fit into that category ourselves.  The way you discuss it in this thread, it was not clear to me that you recognized you had a hand in contributing to the unvaccinated category in choosing not to get your eligible child vaccinated (and have made statements that indicate you will not fully vaccinate them), for whatever reason. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 01:10:07 PM
I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.

Health care system is overwhelmed and as a result:
- People are dying or have other adverse outcomes due to delayed "optional" treatment (elective surgeries)
- We're still losing more health care professionals from the profession than we can deal with/replace due to burnout, stress
- Society will be paying the increased cost of health care for COVID hospitalizations/long-term COVID for a long time

Yelling at the unvaccinated (*cough*, such as you with your kids.......) may not be productive, but when it's all you feel you've got to address the above, it's probably going to continue.

One of my kids just got eligible a few months ago and sorry I didn't trust a study with an N of 1000 kids. I wanted to wait for more data. The other isn't eligible, but I'm glad you feel (*cough) morally superior to me dude.

My point was that sometimes we see "other people" as doing something and don't recognize when we might fit into that category ourselves.  The way you discuss it in this thread, it was not clear to me that you recognized you had a hand in contributing to the unvaccinated category in choosing not to get your eligible child vaccinated (and have made statements that indicate you will not fully vaccinate them), for whatever reason.

I'm a statistician by education and training, so I can't help but follow the data. I'm sorry if you don't like that answer. The data overwhelmingly supported myself and my wife to get vaccinated, so I did so. The data is much more nuanced for young children. My 6 year old daughter is physically a lot closer to my 4 year old son (she weighs 45 pounds) than to an 11 year old boy. How many 5 (just turned 6) year old girls do you think were in Pfizer's 1,000 person sample?

Many European countries have looked at the data and found that for kids one dose provides 95%+ of the benefit with limited side effects, I've looked at the same data and come to a similar conclusion. Many doctors are agreeing that it's much more nuanced in young children. Here is a doctor I've followed closely discussing the FDA's EAU board discussion during the meeting to vote to approve the vaccine for 5-11 year olds. At ~ 2:40 he even says the FDA had apprehension about suggesting that healthy kids 5-11 that have cleared the virus should get vaccinated. So even the FDA's advisory board thinks it's likely to provide limited benefit to her, but they had to vote on a strategy for all 5-11 year olds, not the 4 separate groups they discussed the benefit/risk profile for.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Od4LJCbBhw

Most people that are getting myocarditis are getting it from the second dose. The probability of an unvaccinated child needing hospitalization from covid with delta was ~ 50 per 100k (it seems we can assume it is even lower with omicron). Now if you further stratify that to healthy children that number is probably in the order of 5 per 100k. There was a lot of evidence of myocarditis issues in 12-18 year olds, the study on 5-11 year olds included 1,000 kids. Sorry, if that didn't leave me with a lot of confidence in its safety profile at the time. Now some data is coming out and it appears to be safer in 5-11 than it was in 12-18, but given she now has recovered from it the probability of severe disease for her is probably in the order of 1 in 1 million+ at this point. Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point. I reserve the right to change my mind as new information becomes available though, but as of right now the vaccine provides extremely limited value to her, especially after what we are seeing with Omicron and there is plenty of evidence from prior strains that infection from the same strain twice is very unlikely.

All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on January 31, 2022, 01:30:15 PM

Most people that are getting myocarditis are getting it from the second dose. The probability of an unvaccinated child needing hospitalization from covid with delta was ~ 50 per 100k (it seems we can assume it is even lower with omicron). Now if you further stratify that to healthy children that number is probably in the order of 5 per 100k. There was a lot of evidence of myocarditis issues in 12-18 year olds, the study on 5-11 year olds included 1,000 kids. Sorry, if that didn't leave me with a lot of confidence in its safety profile at the time. Now some data is coming out and it appears to be safer in 5-11 than it was in 12-18, but given she now has recovered from it the probability of severe disease for her is probably in the order of 1 in 1 million+ at this point. Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point. I reserve the right to change my mind as new information becomes available though, but as of right now the vaccine provides extremely limited value to her, especially after what we are seeing with Omicron and there is plenty of evidence from prior strains that infection from the same strain twice is very unlikely.

All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.

you say that you are simply following the data, but in your own writings it seems like you are making a great number of assumptions that appear tailored towards concluding you should not vaccinate your children.

As another parent of young children I also find it interesting that you talk only about the potential impact on your children's health and their likeliness to survive that, and never about the potential impact they may have on others.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on January 31, 2022, 01:34:58 PM
As another parent of young children I also find it interesting that you talk only about the potential impact on your children's health and their likeliness to survive that, and never about the potential impact they may have on others.

Same could be said about any parent who buys their 16-year-old the biggest SUV possible so that when they get in a crash it's the other guy who gets hurt. Not saying it's right, but it is sort of how we're wired to look at things as parents.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 01:37:13 PM

Most people that are getting myocarditis are getting it from the second dose. The probability of an unvaccinated child needing hospitalization from covid with delta was ~ 50 per 100k (it seems we can assume it is even lower with omicron). Now if you further stratify that to healthy children that number is probably in the order of 5 per 100k. There was a lot of evidence of myocarditis issues in 12-18 year olds, the study on 5-11 year olds included 1,000 kids. Sorry, if that didn't leave me with a lot of confidence in its safety profile at the time. Now some data is coming out and it appears to be safer in 5-11 than it was in 12-18, but given she now has recovered from it the probability of severe disease for her is probably in the order of 1 in 1 million+ at this point. Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point. I reserve the right to change my mind as new information becomes available though, but as of right now the vaccine provides extremely limited value to her, especially after what we are seeing with Omicron and there is plenty of evidence from prior strains that infection from the same strain twice is very unlikely.

All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.

you say that you are simply following the data, but in your own writings it seems like you are making a great number of assumptions that appear tailored towards concluding you should not vaccinate your children.

As another parent of young children I also find it interesting that you talk only about the potential impact on your children's health and their likeliness to survive that, and never about the potential impact they may have on others.

Notice how I said "Omicron has changed everything" several times. I wasn't against her getting vaccinated before Omicron, I was just waiting for more safety data to come in. When we still believed that being vaccinated severely reduced your chances of contracting and spreading covid I wasn't against it. Now all of the data says that because she has cleared the virus she has the same protection (if not more) from re-infection as a vaccinated person. If she's as unlikely to get reinfected as a vaccinated person, how is she more of a risk than a vaccinated person to others? Also, literally every adult I know is vaccinated and almost all of them have gotten (and presumably) spread covid. So if we really cared about others...shouldn't we all just lock ourselves in our homes regardless of vaccination status?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 01:42:47 PM
All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.

I didn't get into your reasons for choosing to skip vaccination because that's not really relevant to my point.  I fully understand some personally benefit more from the vaccine than others.  (Unlike you, I also place weight on the value of vaccination for the common good, such as not getting COVID and breeding new variants, or overwhelming the hospitals.)

My point was simply that:
My point was that sometimes we see "other people" as doing something and don't recognize when we might fit into that category ourselves.  The way you discuss it in this thread, it was not clear to me that you recognized you had a hand in contributing to the unvaccinated category in choosing not to get your eligible child vaccinated (and have made statements that indicate you will not fully vaccinate them), for whatever reason. 

In any event, I've tried making this point twice and will now stop beating a dead horse. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on January 31, 2022, 02:11:42 PM
I guess my point was more along the lines of we've been overwhelmingly successful. 85%+ of those 30+ have had at least one dose of the vaccine. People keep pointing to the Polio vaccine as a vaccine that Americans rallied around and came out to get. From what I can tell only 56% of the population got it between 1962-1965. I get that it's frustrating, but it's like screaming into a mirror at this point. The 15% that haven't gotten vaccinated aren't going to change their mind now and in reality they are all probably a few months away from being dead or having protection against it via natural immunity. At this point we're better off yelling at vaccinated people that eat at McDonald's and don't exercise than we are at trying to convince the 15% that they should go get the jab.

Health care system is overwhelmed and as a result:
- People are dying or have other adverse outcomes due to delayed "optional" treatment (elective surgeries)
- We're still losing more health care professionals from the profession than we can deal with/replace due to burnout, stress
- Society will be paying the increased cost of health care for COVID hospitalizations/long-term COVID for a long time

Yelling at the unvaccinated (*cough*, such as you with your kids.......) may not be productive, but when it's all you feel you've got to address the above, it's probably going to continue.

One of my kids just got eligible a few months ago and sorry I didn't trust a study with an N of 1000 kids. I wanted to wait for more data. The other isn't eligible, but I'm glad you feel (*cough) morally superior to me dude.

My point was that sometimes we see "other people" as doing something and don't recognize when we might fit into that category ourselves.  The way you discuss it in this thread, it was not clear to me that you recognized you had a hand in contributing to the unvaccinated category in choosing not to get your eligible child vaccinated (and have made statements that indicate you will not fully vaccinate them), for whatever reason.

I'm a statistician by education and training, so I can't help but follow the data. I'm sorry if you don't like that answer. The data overwhelmingly supported myself and my wife to get vaccinated, so I did so. The data is much more nuanced for young children. My 6 year old daughter is physically a lot closer to my 4 year old son (she weighs 45 pounds) than to an 11 year old boy. How many 5 (just turned 6) year old girls do you think were in Pfizer's 1,000 person sample?

Many European countries have looked at the data and found that for kids one dose provides 95%+ of the benefit with limited side effects, I've looked at the same data and come to a similar conclusion. Many doctors are agreeing that it's much more nuanced in young children. Here is a doctor I've followed closely discussing the FDA's EAU board discussion during the meeting to vote to approve the vaccine for 5-11 year olds. At ~ 2:40 he even says the FDA had apprehension about suggesting that healthy kids 5-11 that have cleared the virus should get vaccinated. So even the FDA's advisory board thinks it's likely to provide limited benefit to her, but they had to vote on a strategy for all 5-11 year olds, not the 4 separate groups they discussed the benefit/risk profile for.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Od4LJCbBhw

Most people that are getting myocarditis are getting it from the second dose. The probability of an unvaccinated child needing hospitalization from covid with delta was ~ 50 per 100k (it seems we can assume it is even lower with omicron). Now if you further stratify that to healthy children that number is probably in the order of 5 per 100k. There was a lot of evidence of myocarditis issues in 12-18 year olds, the study on 5-11 year olds included 1,000 kids. Sorry, if that didn't leave me with a lot of confidence in its safety profile at the time. Now some data is coming out and it appears to be safer in 5-11 than it was in 12-18, but given she now has recovered from it the probability of severe disease for her is probably in the order of 1 in 1 million+ at this point. Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point. I reserve the right to change my mind as new information becomes available though, but as of right now the vaccine provides extremely limited value to her, especially after what we are seeing with Omicron and there is plenty of evidence from prior strains that infection from the same strain twice is very unlikely.

All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.

Genuinely curious... at what point does a girl have enough in common with an 11yo boy to make the full vaccination protocol feel like the right choice to you?  If your girl was 8 would that be close enough to an 11 yo boy?  11?  12? 

And/or if you get a single child's dose for her soon-ish?  Is there some point at which you'd get the second dose (assuming the strain, situation, and recommendations don't change, which is a big assumption, of course). 

What if her school requires full vaccination (presumably once it is no longer under an EUA)? 

(If this seems overly probing or hostile, it definitely isn't.  I'm truly trying to understand different views on this vax for kids.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 31, 2022, 02:34:04 PM
My kids are 3 to 13, none of them have been vaccinated so far. There's a decent chance they've all already caught the Omicron variant as we've had a few colds run through the family in the last several months. Some sporadic at home testing all showed negative but we were not testing all 6 kids multiple times so it's very possible we had a few false negatives and/or bad samples (try getting a decent nasal swab on a 3-year-old).

Multiple kids and teachers at their school had it recently, and my wife spent the day taking care of her sister with Omicron and never got a positive test (both were vaccinated as am I). Shortly after that was when a cold ran through the family and it was probably Omicron.

There is a very small known risk from COVID vs a very small unknown risk from a vaccine. As more data comes out, we might change our minds but for now they likely have natural immunity and the incremental benefit from a vaccine is not worth the risk.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 02:48:26 PM

Genuinely curious... at what point does a girl have enough in common with an 11yo boy to make the full vaccination protocol feel like the right choice to you?  If your girl was 8 would that be close enough to an 11 yo boy?  11?  12? 

And/or if you get a single child's dose for her soon-ish?  Is there some point at which you'd get the second dose (assuming the strain, situation, and recommendations don't change, which is a big assumption, of course). 

What if her school requires full vaccination (presumably once it is no longer under an EUA)? 

(If this seems overly probing or hostile, it definitely isn't.  I'm truly trying to understand different views on this vax for kids.)

I think these are all very reasonable questions. I'll give you my current thoughts, but a bit to your point this is an ever moving target and everything is subject to change based off of the efficacy of new versions of the vaccines vs. any current strain, etc. I'm simply relaying my thoughts as a parent of two children that have cleared the Omicron variant with today's landscape.

Genuinely curious... at what point does a girl have enough in common with an 11yo boy to make the full vaccination protocol feel like the right choice to you?  If your girl was 8 would that be close enough to an 11 yo boy?  11?  12? 

I honestly haven't given much thought to this, but yeah I'd say an 8 or 9 year old is closer physically to a 12 year old than a 4 year old. In my personal instance my daughter weighs like 5 pounds more than my 4 year old. Probably about half the size of a typical 11 year old boy.

And/or if you get a single child's dose for her soon-ish?  Is there some point at which you'd get the second dose (assuming the strain, situation, and recommendations don't change, which is a big assumption, of course). 

Of course I'd consider a second dose if the data supported it. I don't know why we are all so certain the CDC and the FDA are 100% right and that The EU countries only recommending one in many instances for children are wrong. I'd be curious to hear other's thoughts on why these countries presumably don't care about kids and spreading the virus.

What if her school requires full vaccination (presumably once it is no longer under an EUA)? 

If it comes to that I'd do it. I'm not actively against her getting vaccinated, I'm just not in a huge hurry at this point. Everything keeps changing. I have a feeling they'll be telling us all we need to get a 4th dose when the "Omicron" version of the vaccine is approved. So, let's say I get her vaccinated next week. Then they'd be recommending the new one once it's available. Why not just wait for the new one if it provides evidence that it's useful? We keep pretending we know the safety profile on boosting ourselves to oblivion. If they recommend Omicron booster in March for most people that's 4 doses in less than 12 months. For a small minority that's 5.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Plina on January 31, 2022, 02:49:07 PM


Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.

Well Covid-19 deaths in 2021 were about 440,000 that's 1,205 per day right there. What's remarkable is how death rates spike in so many other things,
Suicide, murders, and drug overdose were all up 10-25% in the last couple of years. I guess it is understandable people react to stress.  But what's crazy is things that you'd think would go down, in some cases went up. Take traffic fatalities they have been on a long slow decline for decades, despite more cars, and more miles. In 2019 there was about 34,000 deads, in 2021 they topped 42,000. This doesn't make sense, lots of people still worked from home, travel, tourism while increased from 2020, were still sharply below 2019 levels.  Perhaps more door dash delivery or something resulted in more death,or more road rage??

I read someone who posited road deaths went up because traffic went down. Seems counterintuitive until you consider that speed is the major factor in how deadly a crash is. Crash in slow-moving traffic and you're probably not going to get hurt too badly. Crash when there's plenty of space to drive the speed limit (or higher) and you'll have a much worse time of it.

A reason could be that the hospitals were full of covid patients clogging up the system. Good luck getting the normal treatment that you would have gotten precovid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 02:50:25 PM
For those not vaccinating based on having felt that you/your kids have already been infected with COVID-19, have you considered getting the test done to confirm your assumption?  If you would share why or why not, that would be interesting to know.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: clifp on January 31, 2022, 02:56:31 PM

you say that you are simply following the data, but in your own writings it seems like you are making a great number of assumptions that appear tailored towards concluding you should not vaccinate your children.

As another parent of young children I also find it interesting that you talk only about the potential impact on your children's health and their likeliness to survive that, and never about the potential impact they may have on others.

I think mizzourah is more right than wrong.  We do know that children, are far less likely to get Covid, and have mild symptoms. We also know that young children are far less likely to transmit Covid. It is one of the reasons, it is good to keep schools open. Study after study has shown that schools aren't a major source of Covid transmission.

We know for ADULTs being vaccinated reduces your chances of getting Covid, and reduces the amount of time you are infectious. (I've not seen a post Omicron study on this)  Your ASSUMPTION is the same thing will be true for young children. But to be clear, neither you, I nor Mizzourah know if this is true or not.  It is seems logical at one level, but given how different children and adults react it is likely not to be a good assumption.  We probably won't have a definitive answer to "do vaccinate young children help prevent the spread of Covid" for some time.

I believe that reason vaccination for kids hasn't been approved very quickly, is because it is a more nuanced question, the risk and reward aren't as clear cut as they are for adults.

Speaking of risks

"Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point."

https://www.medicalnewstoday.com/articles/covid-19-vaccine-76-of-reported-side-effects-may-be-due-to-nocebo-effect
TL:DR 76% of Covid vaccination reported side effects are Placebo/Nocebo effects.

So question for Mizzourah if the risks are lower would that make you more likely to get your kids vaccinated?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 31, 2022, 03:16:31 PM
For those not vaccinating based on having felt that you/your kids have already been infected with COVID-19, have you considered getting the test done to confirm your assumption?  If you would share why or why not, that would be interesting to know.

Are you saying an antibody test of sorts?  Or do you mean a quick test or PCR test to confirm at that time?  The problem with the latter is that it's actually hard to get a positive test sometimes, even though it's obvious the child / parent has it.  In my family, for instance, I tested positive for Covid (and had all the Omi symptoms to a T) but the other 3 in my household never popped a positive test, even though they all had the obvious symptoms.  This includes multiple quick tests and the 4x official PCR spaced 5 days apart tests needed to return to school.  We took zero precautions besides the basics like coughing into our elbows and washing hands while inside our house for 5 days.

In my opinion probably 90+% of the "just a regular cold" claims that I hear/read about in 2021 are probably Omicron but just did not show up due to the timing of the test or due to false negatives.  I think that some people take a lot of pride in believing that they've never had Covid-19 so they are relieved to believe it was just a regular cold... but let's be real, if you caught what you believe to be just a "regular cold" this year, even if you didn't get the smoking gun test result, it was Covid.

I went off on a tangent here, not all of this was a response to your question.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on January 31, 2022, 03:26:29 PM
For those not vaccinating based on having felt that you/your kids have already been infected with COVID-19, have you considered getting the test done to confirm your assumption?  If you would share why or why not, that would be interesting to know.

To add on to others. I did test my 6 year old. She tested positive as did my wife. We only had 2 tests in the house and given that both my son and I had similar symptoms we just assumed we had contracted it. The probability of all 4 people having the same symptoms and only 2 testing positive seems extremely unlikely given how contagious Omicron is. But, yes. I don't know for a fact that either I or my son had it, but I'd place the odds at close to 99%. Of course I could have gone out to the stores and bought some more for complete confirmation. But given how so many people already said I clearly care about no one else but myself that seems like it would have just confirmed people's earlier assumptions. I figured getting confirmation of our positive status wasn't worth the risk of spreading it to others as I purchased the tests.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 31, 2022, 03:35:56 PM
I am vaccinating my son (have his second shot booked in a couple weeks).

I'm also very interested in finding information about deaths in children caused by the Pfizer covid vaccine.  I've read articles indicating that these deaths are out there, but death rate per dose information doesn't appear to be publicly available anywhere.  This seems very strange to me.  Can anyone help me find this data?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on January 31, 2022, 03:48:42 PM
One of my kids just got eligible a few months ago and sorry I didn't trust a study with an N of 1000 kids. I wanted to wait for more data. The other isn't eligible, but I'm glad you feel (*cough) morally superior to me dude.

I remember when we got the kids all their normal shots, at least back in the day, you had to wait in the office a half hour and the Nurse would come back, examine the kid (sure, pretty quickly). 

Holy smokes, now you can get them jabbed in a Walgreens and are strongly encouraged but not required to sit there for 15 min.  It is like the system is set up to not find side effects.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 31, 2022, 03:53:52 PM
For those not vaccinating based on having felt that you/your kids have already been infected with COVID-19, have you considered getting the test done to confirm your assumption?  If you would share why or why not, that would be interesting to know.

My wife just took our 3-year-old to a checkup with his pediatrician, and she asked specifically about the antibody tests for him and the rest of our kids. He didn't recommend it as he didn't think the tests were accurate. We may still look into it but unless there's a compelling reason like needing proof of natural immunity to travel or go to school, we'll just stick with the assumption that all of us were probably exposed to Omicron in the last few months and we can live our lives as normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 31, 2022, 04:13:36 PM
To clarify, I actually meant antibody tests.  By felt, I meant there was no test confirming it at the time, whether of the 1) person themselves or 2) others in the household+the person in question having symptoms.).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jon Bon on January 31, 2022, 04:26:31 PM
My kids and I tested positive via a antibody test in November of 2020. We really had no idea we had it until after the fact. And let me tell you it was a massive weight off my shoulders. Almost a gift as we went through what I thought would be  this terrible ordeal and it passed me by without my knowledge. So it really took away the unknown of what would happen to the kids going into that winter.

Kids are vaccinated, we figured there was a good chance it would help keep them in school versus if they were exposed and not vaxed they might be sent home type thing.

I am about to stop wearing my mask personally. I mean it "went viral" and it sure looks like it burned itself out. I am thinking maybe in March we might get a bit of a lull.

Oh and vaccinating kids, I have zero problem with you choosing to vaccinate yourself and waiting on your kids. Most parents put their kids health above their own. (including me) So yeah if there is a tiny risk to my kid or some potential possible small hypothetical risk to some senior citizen somewhere. I choose my kid 10/10.

Mainly I just trusted my doc who said get the jab for the little ones.





Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zamboni on January 31, 2022, 09:40:08 PM


Holy cow.  If that’s even remotely accurate that’s a 15% increase in death for two straight years.

Well Covid-19 deaths in 2021 were about 440,000 that's 1,205 per day right there. What's remarkable is how death rates spike in so many other things,
Suicide, murders, and drug overdose were all up 10-25% in the last couple of years. I guess it is understandable people react to stress.  But what's crazy is things that you'd think would go down, in some cases went up. Take traffic fatalities they have been on a long slow decline for decades, despite more cars, and more miles. In 2019 there was about 34,000 deads, in 2021 they topped 42,000. This doesn't make sense, lots of people still worked from home, travel, tourism while increased from 2020, were still sharply below 2019 levels.  Perhaps more door dash delivery or something resulted in more death,or more road rage??

A great many people I knew (particularly retirees) drove a ton more than usual during the pandemic - particularly during our 'lockdowns'.  At one point I pretty much stopped going for bike rides during the week because there was so much more traffic than usual along the quiet country roads that I take.  It seemed like people were looking for something to do, and driving around in a car counts as something I guess.

^Yes to this. Granny Zamboni has spent many days during this pandemic driving around for hours and hours because she is bored. The senior center was closed, so she couldn't play cards with her friends, and she doesn't have the internet or anyone to talk to except on the phone. She's poor and burning up her dollars in gasoline. She drives me nuts.

Also, Plina is onto something as well. In addition to a lot of medical personnel resources going to COVID, in the US we've had a physician shortage for a long time that is getting worse and worse, especially in rural areas. This is because the AMA lobby keeps the number of medical school slots artificially low to keep doctor salaries high.

We are also facing a critical nursing shortage in the US that is exacerbated by people leaving the profession, leaving hospitals for less stressful nursing jobs, and for profit hospitals keeping staffing levels below functional levels. My friend is a nurse manager at a major hospital (Mayo Clinic) and it drives her nuts because she's constantly 17-23% unstaffed in her unit. So basically there are 4 nurses there when previously there would have been 5 . . . all of the time now, by design . . . and they tell her it's fine. They also count brand new nurses in training and orientation sessions as part of her staffing, even though they either aren't on the floor yet or don't know how to do things without another nurse helping them. So really it's worse that 17-23% unstaffed in her unit, because trainees are counted as staff even if they are in an HR benefits meeting all day. Her single hospital in the Mayo Clinic system made a profit of 87 million dollars profit last year.

NY Times recently made an opinion video on that:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrDyii0P4DU (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PrDyii0P4DU)

And if you really want to depress yourself about it, watch the TV show ER, season 1, episode 19 . . . even once you are in the hospital, the specialist staff you need might be otherwise occupied while you die a completely preventable death with the non-specialists around you calling out for help over and over. There's a reason maternal mortality in the US is so high and continuing to climb. And it's even worse if you're a member of a historically marginalized racial or ethnic group. That's a fact.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on February 01, 2022, 05:37:30 AM
Like I said earlier, I may change my mind, but even if I do I'll follow the European model of kids only getting one dose, so they'll never be considered "fully" vaccinated. I think we can have differing strategies depending on probability of severe disease, but I guess we live in a one size fits all society where healthy 6 year olds and bed-ridden 60 year olds should be treated identically. Should my daughter get a colonoscopy too? After all it's recommended for most 50 year olds.

If my 65 year old mother had had Omicron and recovered and wasn't vaccinated I would strongly urge her to get the vaccine. I just don't see it as a one size fits all disease, so I don't believe in a one size fits all strategy. If there is evidence that a future version of the vaccine stops all probability of contracting it, I would strongly reconsider my current stance though.

Different strategies for different groups of people, with very different risks levels, makes sense to me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wageslave23 on February 01, 2022, 06:18:34 AM

Most people that are getting myocarditis are getting it from the second dose. The probability of an unvaccinated child needing hospitalization from covid with delta was ~ 50 per 100k (it seems we can assume it is even lower with omicron). Now if you further stratify that to healthy children that number is probably in the order of 5 per 100k. There was a lot of evidence of myocarditis issues in 12-18 year olds, the study on 5-11 year olds included 1,000 kids. Sorry, if that didn't leave me with a lot of confidence in its safety profile at the time. Now some data is coming out and it appears to be safer in 5-11 than it was in 12-18, but given she now has recovered from it the probability of severe disease for her is probably in the order of 1 in 1 million+ at this point. Given there is still some risk of adverse reactions from the vaccine and at the very least it tends to make people sick for a day or two as they recover from the vaccine it just doesn't seem worth the effort at this point. I reserve the right to change my mind as new information becomes available though, but as of right now the vaccine provides extremely limited value to her, especially after what we are seeing with Omicron and there is plenty of evidence from prior strains that infection from the same strain twice is very unlikely.

All of this is different for an overweight 60 year old. The fact that you can't wrap your mind around this is actually pretty interesting to me.

you say that you are simply following the data, but in your own writings it seems like you are making a great number of assumptions that appear tailored towards concluding you should not vaccinate your children.

As another parent of young children I also find it interesting that you talk only about the potential impact on your children's health and their likeliness to survive that, and never about the potential impact they may have on others.

As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on February 01, 2022, 06:37:10 AM
Listened to an NPR story in the car last night that I think changed my view on masks for kids. Pre-vaccination, pre-omicron, I was very much in favor of masking kids in school. But now that everyone has the opportunity to be vaccinated and the cloth masks are questionably effective for preventing the spread of Omicron, I think it's time to take them off. Our kids school stopped mandating them in October and despite that we've only had a 2% infection rate, most of which were asymptomatic cases which originated from a parent in the home testing positive first. It's been two years and I think it's time to stop trying to stop this pandemic on the backs of the kids. It just isn't right anymore.


https://www.npr.org/2022/01/28/1075842341/growing-calls-to-take-masks-off-children-in-school (https://www.npr.org/2022/01/28/1075842341/growing-calls-to-take-masks-off-children-in-school)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 01, 2022, 06:49:50 AM
I just saw a study from the CDC where they surveyed people about whether or not they'd done any physical activity outside of work in the past month (like going for a bike ride, a run, a walk, playing golf, etc.). 26% of people surveyed said no. So we have significantly more adults that have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine than can even be bothered to go for a short walk around their neighborhood once a month and roughly as many adults that are fully vaccinated that can be bothered to do so. This is just to provide context about how effective I think the vaccination effort has been in comparison to something that everyone knows is important to health and is an order of magnitude easier to do.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on February 01, 2022, 07:18:35 AM
I just saw a study from the CDC where they surveyed people about whether or not they'd done any physical activity outside of work in the past month (like going for a bike ride, a run, a walk, playing golf, etc.). 26% of people surveyed said no. So we have significantly more adults that have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine than can even be bothered to go for a short walk around their neighborhood once a month and roughly as many adults that are fully vaccinated that can be bothered to do so. This is just to provide context about how effective I think the vaccination effort has been in comparison to something that everyone knows is important to health and is an order of magnitude easier to do.

Ok, I exercise every day, but I take issue with the fact that doing that is easier than spending ten minutes getting a shot.  Getting vaccinated once is way easier than developing a healthy exercise habit (although once a month...is not really even trying).  And of course these two things should not be mutually exclusive, either.  Exercise is not a substitute for getting vaccinated or vice versa.  You can be very fit and physically active and still get taken out by covid.  But how many people even floss every day, for example?  It's way harder to get people to do something healthy habitually than to do a one-time ten-minute thing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 07:25:21 AM
I just saw a study from the CDC where they surveyed people about whether or not they'd done any physical activity outside of work in the past month (like going for a bike ride, a run, a walk, playing golf, etc.). 26% of people surveyed said no. So we have significantly more adults that have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine than can even be bothered to go for a short walk around their neighborhood once a month and roughly as many adults that are fully vaccinated that can be bothered to do so. This is just to provide context about how effective I think the vaccination effort has been in comparison to something that everyone knows is important to health and is an order of magnitude easier to do.

I think that's a hard thing to draw many conclusions from.  From my perspective - all of my friends (myself included) with kids are absolutely burnt out.  On this thread it's clear that despite a large range of differing opinions about topics ranging from masking kids to quarantining them, everyone is exhausted.  When you are exhausted, it's hard to do extra things like exercising.  Whether clinical depression or just too much expected between work and home, things slip. 

Also - just because someone isn't exercising outside, doesn't mean they aren't exercising.  It's winter here.  Not only only is it cold, but my area had the 4th snowiest January in the time they've been recording it.  That's not particularly conducive to getting outside and exercising.  We live on a pond and we taught my son to skate for the first time on it this month, but then a massive snowstorm came through and made that impossible to continue.  With the snow piles you can't easily run/walk.  etc.

Finally, as @jrhampt notes, a shot is far easier and quicker than exercising.  My 3rd was 5 minutes from my house, near shopping, and I didn't have to wait at all to get it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 01, 2022, 07:27:46 AM
I just saw a study from the CDC where they surveyed people about whether or not they'd done any physical activity outside of work in the past month (like going for a bike ride, a run, a walk, playing golf, etc.). 26% of people surveyed said no. So we have significantly more adults that have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine than can even be bothered to go for a short walk around their neighborhood once a month and roughly as many adults that are fully vaccinated that can be bothered to do so. This is just to provide context about how effective I think the vaccination effort has been in comparison to something that everyone knows is important to health and is an order of magnitude easier to do.

Ok, I exercise every day, but I take issue with the fact that doing that is easier than spending ten minutes getting a shot.  Getting vaccinated once is way easier than developing a healthy exercise habit (although once a month...is not really even trying).  And of course these two things should not be mutually exclusive, either.  Exercise is not a substitute for getting vaccinated or vice versa.  You can be very fit and physically active and still get taken out by covid.  But how many people even floss every day, for example?  It's way harder to get people to do something healthy habitually than to do a one-time ten-minute thing.

I completely agree. I'm not suggesting they are a substitute for one another. I'm just saying that in reality most people can't be bothered to do the simplest things for their health, so why would we expect them all to suddenly jump on the vaccine bandwagon. I'd argue going for one 10 minute walk is much easier than identifying a location that is vaccinating people, scheduling an appointment, driving to the appointment, getting the vaccine and waiting 15 minutes. I don't think it's an either or, but I am more using this as a point of reference for a reasonable baseline of people who care even a bit about their health. So more people did get partially vaccinated than can be bothered to go for ONE walk a month. That's a win in my book.

I think that's a hard thing to draw many conclusions from.  From my perspective - all of my friends (myself included) with kids are absolutely burnt out.  On this thread it's clear that despite a large range of differing opinions about topics ranging from masking kids to quarantining them, everyone is exhausted.  When you are exhausted, it's hard to do extra things like exercising.  Whether clinical depression or just too much expected between work and home, things slip. 

Also - just because someone isn't exercising outside, doesn't mean they aren't exercising.  It's winter here.  Not only only is it cold, but my area had the 4th snowiest January in the time they've been recording it.  That's not particularly conducive to getting outside and exercising.  We live on a pond and we taught my son to skate for the first time on it this month, but then a massive snowstorm came through and made that impossible to continue.  With the snow piles you can't easily run/walk.  etc.

Finally, as @jrhampt notes, a shot is far easier and quicker than exercising.  My 3rd was 5 minutes from my house, near shopping, and I didn't have to wait at all to get it.

The rate was highest in the American South, so I don't think snow had much to do with it. Going Ice skating would count as a physical activity.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 07:34:03 AM
I think that's a hard thing to draw many conclusions from.  From my perspective - all of my friends (myself included) with kids are absolutely burnt out.  On this thread it's clear that despite a large range of differing opinions about topics ranging from masking kids to quarantining them, everyone is exhausted.  When you are exhausted, it's hard to do extra things like exercising.  Whether clinical depression or just too much expected between work and home, things slip. 

Also - just because someone isn't exercising outside, doesn't mean they aren't exercising.  It's winter here.  Not only only is it cold, but my area had the 4th snowiest January in the time they've been recording it.  That's not particularly conducive to getting outside and exercising.  We live on a pond and we taught my son to skate for the first time on it this month, but then a massive snowstorm came through and made that impossible to continue.  With the snow piles you can't easily run/walk.  etc.

Finally, as @jrhampt notes, a shot is far easier and quicker than exercising.  My 3rd was 5 minutes from my house, near shopping, and I didn't have to wait at all to get it.

The rate was highest in the American South, so I don't think snow had much to do with it. Going Ice skating would count as a physical activity.

I agree ice skating is a physical activity (I wasn't trying to demonstrate my activities.  While I don't get out enough, I do not qualify as "none"!).  My point was more that due to the weather, it's one of many activities that have become harder/impossible to do outside right now.  People hibernate in the winter and take exercising inside (or forego it).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 01, 2022, 07:38:49 AM
exercising inside would still count. It was "outside of work" meaning outside of what you do at work have you done any physical activity in the previous month. So going for a walk on a treadmill or a spin on your peloton would also count.

I get your point, but I don't think that's unique to any specific month. The #s might fluctuate month to month, but I'd be willing to bet if you did that longitudinally you'd always end up between 20-28% of people that are completely physically inactive in any given month. I have trouble even fathoming it honestly, My fitbit said I was physically active for 352 days last year. I don't expect everyone to be similar to me, but come on, is asking for 12 days/year really too much? Similarly, is asking for people to go get a vaccine too much? I guess for some people it really is.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 01, 2022, 08:49:21 AM
As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.

That black and white, eh?

This is where humans are bad at statistics. First off, almost the entirety side effects of the vaccines are recoverable in young kids (and it's still a toss up between which is worse, covid or vaccines in even the most mildly affected populations). Second off, they are extremely rare- it's hardly a guarantee that your daughter or mine would get sick. It's not like you're guaranteeing it, it's just an extremely small possibility. She is in more danger ever time you put her in a car. I'll grant that there is something to be said for weighting bad outcomes from medical intervention more severely, but the probability that she will be exposed to covid makes even this argument less strong.

I was heistant on the vaccine for myself... until hundreds of thousands of people got it and statistically very few bad outcomes came of it, miraculously lower than could have been expected from any vaccine. Same for the kids- we have test populations at an astronomical scale and we are seeing incredible results. Anything we do will have some risk. Unfortunately some folks are going to just not respond as desired, which happens in medical interventions. Every single thing the medical community does has a chance at a bad outcome, and the Covid vaccienes are one of the safest.

So would you trade thousands of lives for your daughter to have a very small chance at having recoverable bad side effects? In the context of our apathetic society, I can see that there isn't much of a draw to do so, but if we were a tight knit community I'd bet it would have appeal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 08:55:01 AM
exercising inside would still count. It was "outside of work" meaning outside of what you do at work have you done any physical activity in the previous month. So going for a walk on a treadmill or a spin on your peloton would also count.

I get your point, but I don't think that's unique to any specific month. The #s might fluctuate month to month, but I'd be willing to bet if you did that longitudinally you'd always end up between 20-28% of people that are completely physically inactive in any given month. I have trouble even fathoming it honestly, My fitbit said I was physically active for 352 days last year. I don't expect everyone to be similar to me, but come on, is asking for 12 days/year really too much? Similarly, is asking for people to go get a vaccine too much? I guess for some people it really is.

Thanks for clarifying.  I misunderstood your post to be "exercising outside" not "exercising outside of work"

Agree on both of your last points.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 09:02:58 AM
As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.

That black and white, eh?

This is where humans are bad at statistics. First off, almost the entirety side effects of the vaccines are recoverable in young kids (and it's still a toss up between which is worse, covid or vaccines in even the most mildly affected populations). Second off, they are extremely rare- it's hardly a guarantee that your daughter or mine would get sick. It's not like you're guaranteeing it, it's just an extremely small possibility. She is in more danger ever time you put her in a car. I'll grant that there is something to be said for weighting bad outcomes from medical intervention more severely, but the probability that she will be exposed to covid makes even this argument less strong.

I was heistant on the vaccine for myself... until hundreds of thousands of people got it and statistically very few bad outcomes came of it, miraculously lower than could have been expected from any vaccine. Same for the kids- we have test populations at an astronomical scale and we are seeing incredible results. Anything we do will have some risk. Unfortunately some folks are going to just not respond as desired, which happens in medical interventions. Every single thing the medical community does has a chance at a bad outcome, and the Covid vaccienes are one of the safest.

So would you trade thousands of lives for your daughter to have a very small chance at having recoverable bad side effects? In the context of our apathetic society, I can see that there isn't much of a draw to do so, but if we were a tight knit community I'd bet it would have appeal.

Ugh ugh ugh.  I hate to argue on the opposite side of what I firmly believe is important (get vaccinated!) but the ethicist in me rears it's head to say:

There is widely considered an ethical (and at times legal) distinction between action and inaction.  Standard hypothetical: The trolley will run over five people unless it is turned.  Then it will run over just one person.  Do you turn the trolley wheel?  This plays out in questions such as assisted suicide/active euthanasia/withdrawing caregiving (tube feeding)/never providing the feeding tube in the first place.

While I agree 1000x times on risk of vaccine v. COVID, regrettably the weighting the miniscule bad outcomes from medical intervention (v. larger from inaction) can be significant for some.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on February 01, 2022, 09:21:21 AM
As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.

That black and white, eh?

This is where humans are bad at statistics. First off, almost the entirety side effects of the vaccines are recoverable in young kids (and it's still a toss up between which is worse, covid or vaccines in even the most mildly affected populations). Second off, they are extremely rare- it's hardly a guarantee that your daughter or mine would get sick. It's not like you're guaranteeing it, it's just an extremely small possibility. She is in more danger ever time you put her in a car. I'll grant that there is something to be said for weighting bad outcomes from medical intervention more severely, but the probability that she will be exposed to covid makes even this argument less strong.

I was heistant on the vaccine for myself... until hundreds of thousands of people got it and statistically very few bad outcomes came of it, miraculously lower than could have been expected from any vaccine. Same for the kids- we have test populations at an astronomical scale and we are seeing incredible results. Anything we do will have some risk. Unfortunately some folks are going to just not respond as desired, which happens in medical interventions. Every single thing the medical community does has a chance at a bad outcome, and the Covid vaccienes are one of the safest.

So would you trade thousands of lives for your daughter to have a very small chance at having recoverable bad side effects? In the context of our apathetic society, I can see that there isn't much of a draw to do so, but if we were a tight knit community I'd bet it would have appeal.

What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices

Edit: URL removed, the way the URL read was potentially misleading
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trollwithamustache on February 01, 2022, 10:13:54 AM
My kids and I tested positive via a antibody test in November of 2020. We really had no idea we had it until after the fact. And let me tell you it was a massive weight off my shoulders. Almost a gift as we went through what I thought would be  this terrible ordeal and it passed me by without my knowledge. So it really took away the unknown of what would happen to the kids going into that winter.

Kids are vaccinated, we figured there was a good chance it would help keep them in school versus if they were exposed and not vaxed they might be sent home type thing.

I am about to stop wearing my mask personally. I mean it "went viral" and it sure looks like it burned itself out. I am thinking maybe in March we might get a bit of a lull.

Oh and vaccinating kids, I have zero problem with you choosing to vaccinate yourself and waiting on your kids. Most parents put their kids health above their own. (including me) So yeah if there is a tiny risk to my kid or some potential possible small hypothetical risk to some senior citizen somewhere. I choose my kid 10/10.


Do you really have to choose between protecting your kids and protecting grandma? We never went to see grandma with sick kids. She lives across town, so to be fair, rescheduling was easy.

Just before Christmas, My mother in law did a stint in the ER. The youngest  inlaws, (fully vaccinated, so its ok?) went to see her a a sick kid. Whose school was having a RSV outbreak. But again, if everyone was vaccinated against COVID this is OK right?  Most of the family is just shocked and horrified that the hospital charges so much for the ER.

Are we (Society, not you personally JB since You've posted a bunch of reasonable kid-covid statements) overly focusing purely on COVID?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on February 01, 2022, 10:45:40 AM
As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.

That black and white, eh?

This is where humans are bad at statistics. First off, almost the entirety side effects of the vaccines are recoverable in young kids (and it's still a toss up between which is worse, covid or vaccines in even the most mildly affected populations). Second off, they are extremely rare- it's hardly a guarantee that your daughter or mine would get sick. It's not like you're guaranteeing it, it's just an extremely small possibility. She is in more danger ever time you put her in a car. I'll grant that there is something to be said for weighting bad outcomes from medical intervention more severely, but the probability that she will be exposed to covid makes even this argument less strong.

I was heistant on the vaccine for myself... until hundreds of thousands of people got it and statistically very few bad outcomes came of it, miraculously lower than could have been expected from any vaccine. Same for the kids- we have test populations at an astronomical scale and we are seeing incredible results. Anything we do will have some risk. Unfortunately some folks are going to just not respond as desired, which happens in medical interventions. Every single thing the medical community does has a chance at a bad outcome, and the Covid vaccienes are one of the safest.

So would you trade thousands of lives for your daughter to have a very small chance at having recoverable bad side effects? In the context of our apathetic society, I can see that there isn't much of a draw to do so, but if we were a tight knit community I'd bet it would have appeal.
https://www.clarkcountytoday.com/news/seventeen-year-old-washington-female-dies-from-heart-attack-weeks-after-receiving-second-pfizer-vaccination/

What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices
I read that link.  A 17 year old girl died after having symptomatic covid in August and five weeks after having covid vaccinations in September.    The risk of death in the year after having covid is elevated, and is higher than the risk of death after vaccination, so there is a good chance that this sad death came from the covid infection not the covid vaccination.  It might also have happened in any case: sudden death from previously undiagnosed heart conditions in teenagers is a known thing.   I don't think in that case jumping to the conclusion that the vaccine was the problem is either true or helpful.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on February 01, 2022, 12:13:14 PM
Listened to an NPR story in the car last night that I think changed my view on masks for kids. Pre-vaccination, pre-omicron, I was very much in favor of masking kids in school. But now that everyone has the opportunity to be vaccinated and the cloth masks are questionably effective for preventing the spread of Omicron, I think it's time to take them off. Our kids school stopped mandating them in October and despite that we've only had a 2% infection rate, most of which were asymptomatic cases which originated from a parent in the home testing positive first. It's been two years and I think it's time to stop trying to stop this pandemic on the backs of the kids. It just isn't right anymore.


https://www.npr.org/2022/01/28/1075842341/growing-calls-to-take-masks-off-children-in-school (https://www.npr.org/2022/01/28/1075842341/growing-calls-to-take-masks-off-children-in-school)
I'm still pro mask in school, because here - well, it's really no big deal.  Nobody seems to care.  Most of the kids have moved from cloth over to KN95 or surgical masks.  They are worn indoors, and outside is optional, but most kids wear them outside too.

My son's teacher just got back last week after being out with COVID.  She's a yeller.  She yells TO the kids, not AT the kids (she's just loud, I guess), so I am very much pro mask.

I think it's funny how the perspectives are different.  In my home town (small, rural, Appalachia-ish), people fight the school boards to get rid of the mask mandates.  I read constantly about the "poor kids".  Well, nobody is masking there - go into any grocery store and you'll see <10% people wearing masks.  (Also, their COVID death rate is almost 3%.)  If the parents refuse to wear masks, OF COURSE they think it's horrible for kids to wear masks.

Where I live in CA, we are under a mask mandate.   We had a brief hiatus last summer, but Delta reared up in August-ish and it came back.  So, everyone is required to wear masks indoors, including at work, and it's been that way mostly for a couple of years now.  There were some rules about private functions if everyone was vaccinated or tested you didn't need them...either way, the kids have been masked up since school started up again almost a year ago.

I just saw a study from the CDC where they surveyed people about whether or not they'd done any physical activity outside of work in the past month (like going for a bike ride, a run, a walk, playing golf, etc.). 26% of people surveyed said no. So we have significantly more adults that have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine than can even be bothered to go for a short walk around their neighborhood once a month and roughly as many adults that are fully vaccinated that can be bothered to do so. This is just to provide context about how effective I think the vaccination effort has been in comparison to something that everyone knows is important to health and is an order of magnitude easier to do.

I read that too, and I wonder if it's bad now or has always been bad.  I can see it though.  Back in the day, when I actually worked at the office, I would at least have a longer walk from the office to the bathroom or water cooler.  I had meetings in the building a block away.  2-3 times a week I'd clear my head with a walk at lunch, then eat my food at my desk.

These days, I work in my bedroom.  The walk to the bathroom is 10 steps, maybe 15.  I don't walk to meetings.  I don't even stand up during meetings.  With kid dropoff and pickup schedules, it's just a lot more work to squeeze in a lunch walk compared to "before times" because there's always something to be done in the house.

(I still exercise every day before work, plus I walk the dog 4 days a week...but it's less than I was getting before COVID.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 01, 2022, 12:39:35 PM
I read that too, and I wonder if it's bad now or has always been bad.  I can see it though.  Back in the day, when I actually worked at the office, I would at least have a longer walk from the office to the bathroom or water cooler.  I had meetings in the building a block away.  2-3 times a week I'd clear my head with a walk at lunch, then eat my food at my desk.

These days, I work in my bedroom.  The walk to the bathroom is 10 steps, maybe 15.  I don't walk to meetings.  I don't even stand up during meetings.  With kid dropoff and pickup schedules, it's just a lot more work to squeeze in a lunch walk compared to "before times" because there's always something to be done in the house.

(I still exercise every day before work, plus I walk the dog 4 days a week...but it's less than I was getting before COVID.)

Haha, that's exactly like me. When I worked in the office I'd eat a quick lunch at my desk and then I had a route outside the building that I go on walks most days, just to get out of the office. I moved to work from home a few years before Covid, but it allowed me to swap my walks for quick bike rides or runs. I've got a solid greenway loop that I do several times a week and I can get ~9 miles done in 35 minutes. If I don't have that amount of time I have a 2.2 mile loop that I can go for a run on in ~22 minutes. About the same amount of time as eating lunch for most people. Unless I'm insanely busy I'd say I get one of those done most days of the week or I replace it for a bit of a longer lunch where I get 9-10 miles of mountain biking done. But that typically takes about 1.5 hours door to door because I have to drive a bit to the trails.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 12:51:12 PM
Same.  My old job required a 0.75 mil (1.5 mile total) daily walk as part of the commute.  Teleworking I'd try to get out for a walk wiht my husband but it was around meetings so very rare and short at times.  My new job I drive in, no walk.  We try to get the kids out for a walk after work on days when they are really climbing the walls, but we don't like to do walks in the dark (see winter above), although we have done a few "flashlight" walks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on February 01, 2022, 12:53:36 PM
As a parent, I would trade thousands of other people's lives for the life of my daughter.  Especially when doing nothing results in her being fine.  There is a big difference between adding risk to an otherwise healthy child in order to possibly protect older/immunocompromised people and actively giving a sick child a treatment that would help the child but possibly kill thousands of other people.  The latter would be a much more difficult decision.  But when making decisions regarding my daughter, I will never put her at risk for someone else.  Period.

That black and white, eh?

This is where humans are bad at statistics. First off, almost the entirety side effects of the vaccines are recoverable in young kids (and it's still a toss up between which is worse, covid or vaccines in even the most mildly affected populations). Second off, they are extremely rare- it's hardly a guarantee that your daughter or mine would get sick. It's not like you're guaranteeing it, it's just an extremely small possibility. She is in more danger ever time you put her in a car. I'll grant that there is something to be said for weighting bad outcomes from medical intervention more severely, but the probability that she will be exposed to covid makes even this argument less strong.

I was heistant on the vaccine for myself... until hundreds of thousands of people got it and statistically very few bad outcomes came of it, miraculously lower than could have been expected from any vaccine. Same for the kids- we have test populations at an astronomical scale and we are seeing incredible results. Anything we do will have some risk. Unfortunately some folks are going to just not respond as desired, which happens in medical interventions. Every single thing the medical community does has a chance at a bad outcome, and the Covid vaccienes are one of the safest.

So would you trade thousands of lives for your daughter to have a very small chance at having recoverable bad side effects? In the context of our apathetic society, I can see that there isn't much of a draw to do so, but if we were a tight knit community I'd bet it would have appeal.
https://www.clarkcountytoday.com/news/seventeen-year-old-washington-female-dies-from-heart-attack-weeks-after-receiving-second-pfizer-vaccination/

What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices
I read that link.  A 17 year old girl died after having symptomatic covid in August and five weeks after having covid vaccinations in September.    The risk of death in the year after having covid is elevated, and is higher than the risk of death after vaccination, so there is a good chance that this sad death came from the covid infection not the covid vaccination.  It might also have happened in any case: sudden death from previously undiagnosed heart conditions in teenagers is a known thing.   I don't think in that case jumping to the conclusion that the vaccine was the problem is either true or helpful.
If I mis-represented the contents of that link or if that link was withholding vital information on the causality in that case, it was not my intent at all and I apologize.  If you know that link doesn't paint the full story or that the vaccine was not a problem in that case, please share your evidence and how you came to that conclusion while avoiding the ecological fallacy.  I'd be happy to remove it if that's the case.

I'm not trying to jump to any conclusion other than to say that for a non-zero proportion of parents, there is a nuance when it comes to vaccinating their children and articles like that can give them pause.  Even if I don't share that perspective and would ultimately make different decisions if I was in that scenario, if I can see it as a logical way of thinking I can sympathize with, isn't that better than screaming "Misinformation! Anti-vaxxer!" or whatever epithet is common at the time?  I haven't heard any parent with an evil glint in their eye say that they're not vaccinating their child because they want to be nefarious in society and wreak havoc.  It is likely coming from a place of precaution, information-seeking, or at worst apathy but not malicious intent.  Adults and children do not always share the same physiological outcomes when presented with the same stimulus and the data on children is newer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 01, 2022, 01:54:01 PM
What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices

I don't have the time or energy to go into the issues with lay interpretation of Vaers reporting. In many ways it is doing more harm than good. Random medical events happen all the time- so when we prescribe a new medical procedure en mass, it's going to correlate with some convincing cases of cause & effect when in fact it is just coincidence. Articles like that are not proof of anything other than that we have vaccinated 200,000,000+ people in the US. If we were to offer foot massages to 200,000,000 people, there would be a certain number of people who would randomly develop a foot condition a month later and naturally want to correrlate it to the massages. The only real data to look at is to see if the cases of vaccine events are statistically higher than background cases pre-covid. None of these types of outrage/fear articles do that.

So here's the thing with medical interventions and decisions epidemiologists have to undertake. EVERY DECISION has consequences. Every medical intervention has some chance at a bad outcome. Every. Single. One. That chance varies greatly, but with most of them we have a pretty good idea of the chances of those consequences. So if a medical professional were to prescribe certain painkillers for an operation, there is a chance that you will react badly to it. And yet they prescribe them and you take them, because the net calculus shows that in general people are better taking them than not. There is no way to know beforehand if random individuals will respond poorly other than that we know that some do. For those unlucky few it is truly a disheartening event, and I would be hard pressed to offer solice as I would to any parent who lost a child. It's not a decision to take lightly, and if there were evidence if it being dangerous for teens I would absolutely be for allowing it to be a personal decision (I'm actually for it being one now- I don't think mandates help anything). But what I don't like is for that personal decision being made on poor understanding of statistics and epidemiology, which the media seems hell bent on washing over us.

As far as the vaccine goes, it still appears that the outcome is better for high school aged students to take it, although with Omicron (>99% of cases in the US), it doesn't do as much to prevent transmission as with previous variants. Interestingly, being vaccinated also appears to be less robust than having Covid itself against Omicron, so if a student already had Covid, I wouldn't even have them take the vaccine.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 01, 2022, 01:59:55 PM
Ugh ugh ugh.  I hate to argue on the opposite side of what I firmly believe is important (get vaccinated!) but the ethicist in me rears it's head to say:

There is widely considered an ethical (and at times legal) distinction between action and inaction.  Standard hypothetical: The trolley will run over five people unless it is turned.  Then it will run over just one person.  Do you turn the trolley wheel?  This plays out in questions such as assisted suicide/active euthanasia/withdrawing caregiving (tube feeding)/never providing the feeding tube in the first place.

While I agree 1000x times on risk of vaccine v. COVID, regrettably the weighting the miniscule bad outcomes from medical intervention (v. larger from inaction) can be significant for some.

I might have miscommunicated, I feel that you are elaborating on points that I agree with. I completely agree on the established assumption of the difference between action and inaction, and is a primary reason I am against mandates. What I was trying to emphasize is that many people are really poor judges of the frequency and severity of the bad outcomes of the vaccine. And it is nearly impossible to tell who would respond poorly before hand as it appears random. I think this is something that could/should be solved with information and not forced medical intervention, but do think that it's significant. The article I just responded to paints a picture of a 17 year old girl dying from a vaccine, when the link has not been established, and it doesn't write 50,000 articles for all of the non-events of people getting the vaccine. Personal choices are only as good as the information they are made from.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 01, 2022, 02:20:15 PM
Ugh ugh ugh.  I hate to argue on the opposite side of what I firmly believe is important (get vaccinated!) but the ethicist in me rears it's head to say:

There is widely considered an ethical (and at times legal) distinction between action and inaction.  Standard hypothetical: The trolley will run over five people unless it is turned.  Then it will run over just one person.  Do you turn the trolley wheel?  This plays out in questions such as assisted suicide/active euthanasia/withdrawing caregiving (tube feeding)/never providing the feeding tube in the first place.

While I agree 1000x times on risk of vaccine v. COVID, regrettably the weighting the miniscule bad outcomes from medical intervention (v. larger from inaction) can be significant for some.

I might have miscommunicated, I feel that you are elaborating on points that I agree with. I completely agree on the established assumption of the difference between action and inaction, and is a primary reason I am against mandates. What I was trying to emphasize is that many people are really poor judges of the frequency and severity of the bad outcomes of the vaccine. And it is nearly impossible to tell who would respond poorly before hand as it appears random. I think this is something that could/should be solved with information and not forced medical intervention, but do think that it's significant. The article I just responded to paints a picture of a 17 year old girl dying from a vaccine, when the link has not been established, and it doesn't write 50,000 articles for all of the non-events of people getting the vaccine. Personal choices are only as good as the information they are made from.

You didn't miscommunicate.  I bolded your text that I was elaborating on and copied some of your phrasing later in my post.  I am in favor of mandates (particularly in high risk settings)...but I do understand why they give people pause.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on February 01, 2022, 06:54:06 PM
What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices

I don't have the time or energy to go into the issues with lay interpretation of Vaers reporting. In many ways it is doing more harm than good. Random medical events happen all the time- so when we prescribe a new medical procedure en mass, it's going to correlate with some convincing cases of cause & effect when in fact it is just coincidence. Articles like that are not proof of anything other than that we have vaccinated 200,000,000+ people in the US. If we were to offer foot massages to 200,000,000 people, there would be a certain number of people who would randomly develop a foot condition a month later and naturally want to correrlate it to the massages. The only real data to look at is to see if the cases of vaccine events are statistically higher than background cases pre-covid. None of these types of outrage/fear articles do that.

So here's the thing with medical interventions and decisions epidemiologists have to undertake. EVERY DECISION has consequences. Every medical intervention has some chance at a bad outcome. Every. Single. One. That chance varies greatly, but with most of them we have a pretty good idea of the chances of those consequences. So if a medical professional were to prescribe certain painkillers for an operation, there is a chance that you will react badly to it. And yet they prescribe them and you take them, because the net calculus shows that in general people are better taking them than not. There is no way to know beforehand if random individuals will respond poorly other than that we know that some do. For those unlucky few it is truly a disheartening event, and I would be hard pressed to offer solice as I would to any parent who lost a child. It's not a decision to take lightly, and if there were evidence if it being dangerous for teens I would absolutely be for allowing it to be a personal decision (I'm actually for it being one now- I don't think mandates help anything). But what I don't like is for that personal decision being made on poor understanding of statistics and epidemiology, which the media seems hell bent on washing over us.

As far as the vaccine goes, it still appears that the outcome is better for high school aged students to take it, although with Omicron (>99% of cases in the US), it doesn't do as much to prevent transmission as with previous variants. Interestingly, being vaccinated also appears to be less robust than having Covid itself against Omicron, so if a student already had Covid, I wouldn't even have them take the vaccine.

One of the adverse events for the vax study on 5-11yo was "ingested a penny". I think that, in a nutshell, explains a lot of what we are seeing in conversations about the vaccine.  (Unless someone believe that getting the vaccine actually led said child to eat a penny.)  And it also shows the difference between correlation and causation when we are looking at bad things that happened to people in the weeks and months after they got their vaccination.

I have a friend who found out shortly after her vaccination that she was pregnant.  People don't then generally assume that the shots caused pregnancy. 

Source for the penny (yes, I'm too lazy to find a primary source):
https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/vaccines-for-5-11-year-olds-fda-meeting

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Watchmaker on February 02, 2022, 09:28:10 AM
https://www.clarkcountytoday.com/news/seventeen-year-old-washington-female-dies-from-heart-attack-weeks-after-receiving-second-pfizer-vaccination/

What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices
I read that link.  A 17 year old girl died after having symptomatic covid in August and five weeks after having covid vaccinations in September.    The risk of death in the year after having covid is elevated, and is higher than the risk of death after vaccination, so there is a good chance that this sad death came from the covid infection not the covid vaccination.  It might also have happened in any case: sudden death from previously undiagnosed heart conditions in teenagers is a known thing.   I don't think in that case jumping to the conclusion that the vaccine was the problem is either true or helpful.
If I mis-represented the contents of that link or if that link was withholding vital information on the causality in that case, it was not my intent at all and I apologize.  If you know that link doesn't paint the full story or that the vaccine was not a problem in that case, please share your evidence and how you came to that conclusion while avoiding the ecological fallacy.  I'd be happy to remove it if that's the case.

I'm not trying to jump to any conclusion other than to say that for a non-zero proportion of parents, there is a nuance when it comes to vaccinating their children and articles like that can give them pause.  Even if I don't share that perspective and would ultimately make different decisions if I was in that scenario, if I can see it as a logical way of thinking I can sympathize with, isn't that better than screaming "Misinformation! Anti-vaxxer!" or whatever epithet is common at the time?  I haven't heard any parent with an evil glint in their eye say that they're not vaccinating their child because they want to be nefarious in society and wreak havoc.  It is likely coming from a place of precaution, information-seeking, or at worst apathy but not malicious intent.  Adults and children do not always share the same physiological outcomes when presented with the same stimulus and the data on children is newer.

From my reading of the above, you did misrepresent the contents of the link. Reading what you wrote above without following through to the link, one might reasonably assume the story is about a teenager whose death had been medically determined to have been caused by the vaccine. This is not true; there is no evidence presented that the vaccine led to her death. The story even reports that she had Covid this summer, and we've seen an an all-causes increase in mortality following Covid infection, so she may have actually died of Covid complications.

As to the article itself-- it's poorly-researched fear-mongering, but I don't have the energy to make that argument right now.

 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on February 02, 2022, 10:04:33 AM
https://www.clarkcountytoday.com/news/seventeen-year-old-washington-female-dies-from-heart-attack-weeks-after-receiving-second-pfizer-vaccination/

What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices
I read that link.  A 17 year old girl died after having symptomatic covid in August and five weeks after having covid vaccinations in September.    The risk of death in the year after having covid is elevated, and is higher than the risk of death after vaccination, so there is a good chance that this sad death came from the covid infection not the covid vaccination.  It might also have happened in any case: sudden death from previously undiagnosed heart conditions in teenagers is a known thing.   I don't think in that case jumping to the conclusion that the vaccine was the problem is either true or helpful.
If I mis-represented the contents of that link or if that link was withholding vital information on the causality in that case, it was not my intent at all and I apologize.  If you know that link doesn't paint the full story or that the vaccine was not a problem in that case, please share your evidence and how you came to that conclusion while avoiding the ecological fallacy.  I'd be happy to remove it if that's the case.

I'm not trying to jump to any conclusion other than to say that for a non-zero proportion of parents, there is a nuance when it comes to vaccinating their children and articles like that can give them pause.  Even if I don't share that perspective and would ultimately make different decisions if I was in that scenario, if I can see it as a logical way of thinking I can sympathize with, isn't that better than screaming "Misinformation! Anti-vaxxer!" or whatever epithet is common at the time?  I haven't heard any parent with an evil glint in their eye say that they're not vaccinating their child because they want to be nefarious in society and wreak havoc.  It is likely coming from a place of precaution, information-seeking, or at worst apathy but not malicious intent.  Adults and children do not always share the same physiological outcomes when presented with the same stimulus and the data on children is newer.

From my reading of the above, you did misrepresent the contents of the link. Reading what you wrote above without following through to the link, one might reasonable assume the story is about a teenager whose death had been medically determined to have been caused by the vaccine. This is not true; there is no evidence presented that the vaccine led to her death. The story even reports that she had Covid this summer, and we've seen an an all-causes increase in mortality following Covid infection, so she may have actually died of Covid complications.

As to the article itself-- it's poorly-researched fear-mongering, but I don't have the energy to make that argument right now.

Yes. Myocarditis is a well-known complication of even mild COVID infection at this point. The risk is higher with COVID infection than with vaccination.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 02, 2022, 10:36:26 AM
If I mis-represented the contents of that link or if that link was withholding vital information on the causality in that case, it was not my intent at all and I apologize.  If you know that link doesn't paint the full story or that the vaccine was not a problem in that case, please share your evidence and how you came to that conclusion while avoiding the ecological fallacy.  I'd be happy to remove it if that's the case.

Being called upon to prove a negative is a logical fallacy. I cannot prove that her case wasn't because she was a Virgo and not a Capricorn either- it's not disprovable. And so it goes for all of those types of articles. This is why these types of articles are bad- if presented to the right people and in the right settings unchallenged, it sounds like a very reasonable set of circumstances when in fact it is bunk reasoning.


I'm not trying to jump to any conclusion other than to say that for a non-zero proportion of parents, there is a nuance when it comes to vaccinating their children and articles like that can give them pause. 

Yes, the articles give them pause because they are false representations. IF the article came out and said, "you have a 500% better chance at surviving Covid being vaccinated rather than not, it would give parents less pause" and if it said, your child has a 1/200,000 chance of having complications with the vaccine, that would give a different impression than high-lighting stories that aren't even remotely conclusively linked to the vaccine. The story is the problem here. Now, my statement might be a bit mis-leading too. If a high school student has a .02% chance of mortal covid complications, then having a vaccine that turns that into .004% isn't as significant as it is for the 1% of sixty year olds reducing their risk to .2%. Both are a 500% increase, but it the impact is higher on elder populations
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 02, 2022, 10:50:38 AM
Yes. Myocarditis is a well-known complication of even mild COVID infection at this point. The risk is higher with COVID infection than with vaccination.

I think even this statement comes with nuance. There are tons of "it depends" here. What age group are we looking at? Which vaccine are we looking at? Which dose are we looking at?

A study in nature found that the prevalence of myocarditis associated with the second dose of the Moderna vaccine in adults under 40 was significantly higher than after a covid infection and slightly less likely after the first dose of the Moderna vaccine.


https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-021-01630-0.pdf

It's also fair to say we don't know the true denominator in total covid positives, but we do know the true denominator in covid vaccines. For example, my entire family had covid and recovered with no myocarditis symptoms, but we will be nowhere in the system as having had covid, so the true denominator of covid cases in the US is at least 4 lower than it should be. I think the reality is it is off by tens of millions +.

I'm not saying this to say Myocarditis is a huge issue in either the vaccine or covid, just to say that one study in nature said it depends (which I feel like most people have completely forgotten is literally the answer to almost all of science) and a simple understanding of math would suggest that at the very least covid cases in the US are severely undercounted, thus the denominator which is crucial to an accurate calculation of probability, is significantly off.

Thus to state with absolute certainty that every single person is more likely to get myocarditis from covid than the vaccine is false.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on February 02, 2022, 11:48:08 AM
What do you say to those parents?  You thank them for their sacrifice because statistically, society is better off if all kids get vaccinated?  You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine (by all accounts, I didn't see anything that mentioned pre-existing conditions).  That's a tough pill.  It's one thing if an adult makes the decision for themselves but when you're doing it on behalf of someone else who is healthy and the risks to a bad case of covid are already low, I think that's the fear - even if the odds are low from vaccine complications.

-pro vax adult who is glad he doesn't have kids to have to make these types of choices
I read that link.  A 17 year old girl died after having symptomatic covid in August and five weeks after having covid vaccinations in September.    The risk of death in the year after having covid is elevated, and is higher than the risk of death after vaccination, so there is a good chance that this sad death came from the covid infection not the covid vaccination.  It might also have happened in any case: sudden death from previously undiagnosed heart conditions in teenagers is a known thing.   I don't think in that case jumping to the conclusion that the vaccine was the problem is either true or helpful.
If I mis-represented the contents of that link or if that link was withholding vital information on the causality in that case, it was not my intent at all and I apologize.  If you know that link doesn't paint the full story or that the vaccine was not a problem in that case, please share your evidence and how you came to that conclusion while avoiding the ecological fallacy.  I'd be happy to remove it if that's the case.

I'm not trying to jump to any conclusion other than to say that for a non-zero proportion of parents, there is a nuance when it comes to vaccinating their children and articles like that can give them pause.  Even if I don't share that perspective and would ultimately make different decisions if I was in that scenario, if I can see it as a logical way of thinking I can sympathize with, isn't that better than screaming "Misinformation! Anti-vaxxer!" or whatever epithet is common at the time?  I haven't heard any parent with an evil glint in their eye say that they're not vaccinating their child because they want to be nefarious in society and wreak havoc.  It is likely coming from a place of precaution, information-seeking, or at worst apathy but not malicious intent.  Adults and children do not always share the same physiological outcomes when presented with the same stimulus and the data on children is newer.

From my reading of the above, you did misrepresent the contents of the link. Reading what you wrote above without following through to the link, one might reasonably assume the story is about a teenager whose death had been medically determined to have been caused by the vaccine. This is not true; there is no evidence presented that the vaccine led to her death. The story even reports that she had Covid this summer, and we've seen an an all-causes increase in mortality following Covid infection, so she may have actually died of Covid complications.

As to the article itself-- it's poorly-researched fear-mongering, but I don't have the energy to make that argument right now.
Why would anyone express a formed opinion without following through to the link*?  That seems pre-emptive.  You call it fear-mongering but I didn't leave the article with that impression.  Now maybe I thought "Man, there is a lot of death right now" and "COVID stinks!"  To me, it was just a collection of statements and numbers and the occasional quote (some of which were very pro-vaccine!).  Even the comments at the bottom were a wide-ranging mix of various statement and opinions - and you go in expecting comments to be somewhat of a cesspool.  I didn't feel there was enough information about some of these cases to warrant much of an opinion in relation to vaccines and their safety.  The article wasn't saying to disregard the statistics we have but then again I'm not a conspiracy person so I will generally trust what the medical experts pass along - and even if I was, I'm not a medical doctor.  I only linked to the article in the first place in response that some people are black and white while others have shades of gray in their decision-making process surrounding covid.  Whether right or wrong for statistical, ethical, emotional, whatever category of reasons - some parents want more information or have cautions regarding the vaccine for their children.  Stories like the one I linked are real and an article will likely never share the whole story.  Yes, the odds are the vaccine did not cause that one person to die but we don't know the whole story and for some parents, they want more.

* I'd love to live in a society where you didn't express your opinion until you did your homework (you can have your opinion but if you don't know enough, it's OKAY to remain quiet).  It seems the lowest common denominator for reading comprehension forms the backbone of the court of public opinion.  Why?  Isn't that dangerous?  Remember the Rittenhouse/Kenosha stuff?  Isn't it wild with the distortion the political media used, that the vast majority of Democrats thought conviction was the proper end result while the vast majority of Republicans thought acquittal should be the decision.  My guess is most people voting in these Dem/Repub polls didn't know all the facts of the case (wasn't it alleged that Rittenhouse killed black people at first??!!) and just went with whatever side their curated media told them to.  That bothers me.

I grant that looking at just the URL without clicking does look like it has an unhelpful agenda, I just noticed that now actually.  Hmm, yeah that is troublesome.  I don't think I misrepresented anything nor was I anti-vaccine at all but will take it down because that URL is admittedly garbage and misleading.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Watchmaker on February 02, 2022, 12:22:03 PM
Why would anyone express a formed opinion without following through to the link*?  That seems pre-emptive.

While I would hope that no one would do that (in fact, I hope no one would form an opinion after only having read this article), I think the reality is that not everyone is going to read all of the links people post. To me, the text you wrote after the link to the article was a misrepresentation of what the article actually said. "You thank them for their sacrifice" and "You had a healthy teenager before the vaccine" sure sounds to me like you're concluding the vaccine was to blame, without saying so explicitly. We have no evidence for that. The article doesn't try to do that. What the article does is collect a bunch of data of varying degrees of quality and relevancy in a way that shows little to no understanding of the facts or complexities of the situation. Poor journalism, though perhaps I should have said irresponsible rather than fear-mongering.

I think it's clear that there is complexity and nuance to the decisions parents are making, and we don't have enough high quality data to make the right choice obvious for all situations. And I have no problem discussing that, but if that conversation doesn't start from the best data we have available, I don't think it can be fruitful.

I grant that looking at just the URL without clicking does look like it has an unhelpful agenda, I just noticed that now actually.  Hmm, yeah that is troublesome.  I don't think I misrepresented anything nor was I anti-vaccine at all but will take it down because that URL is admittedly garbage and misleading.

I appreciate you considering that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on February 02, 2022, 03:53:19 PM
Well, cases are coming down sharply here, so we will pick up where we left off at the end of December - we’ll go back to in-person church this weekend and I’ll go back to my knitting group in the library next week. I might see about volunteering in the school.

If cases go up, we’ll re-evaluate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Raj on February 02, 2022, 06:58:45 PM
Personally I've been triple vaccinated as well, and have gone to the level where if it wasn't so cold, I'd be OK with not wearing a Mask in Public again.

That said even if it wasn't a requirement, I put on my mask for any time I enter a store, as it'll be a much more compressed place with a lot of people, in comparison to the sidewalk, and of course do so whenever required.

Similarly, I pretty much never wear a mask at home unless I'm sick and want to avoid my room-mates sharing it, or I'm cooking something like Onions.

As for Exercise, I've honestly exercised far more during Covid than I did before it, as I've set up habits with my VR helping to ensure that I exercise in my room daily.

I do miss the Gym on Occasion, mostly because they had a much greater set of weights and machines, but most likely I'll simply expand on my own equipment in time and buy/set up something to do Pull-Up's, and perhaps buy some more diverse weights rather than just my 15LB and 35LB Barbells.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FIRE Artist on February 06, 2022, 03:57:36 PM
I work in healthcare (not a frontline worker), I will be going back to normal once hospital admissions are down.  Right now we have the highest admissions of the pandemic, so it will be a while, even though I suspect that the mandates where I live will be lifted very soon.  I did a big grocery shop this weekend while mask mandates are still in place.  At this point, lifting of restrictions are political and not being driven by what makes sense for public health at all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on February 07, 2022, 03:31:12 AM
I never left "normal." I was in the middle of a renovation so didn't have a lot of excess money and spent weekends working on it. A mask wasn't really inconvenient when compared to that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on February 07, 2022, 09:24:55 AM
I live in the south. Low vac rates here. Masks = freedom and all that jazz.

Our vac'd teen and 20-something caught it. Hardly a cough or sniffle between them. DW and I didn't seem to get it and tested negative. DW and I are triple vac'd.

We still mask in the grocery store. DW masks far more often than I do elsewhere. At work for me life is back to normal. DW still wears her mask except in her office. I avoid being too close to anyone for any length of time.

We still don't visit restaurants although we've been a few times in the past couple of years b/c of visiting friends or family who never really stopped going out. We do bring home carry out occasionally.

Our county is close to peaking out - again. I hope this is the last round. Wish more folks here would get their shots but maybe natural immunity will protect them and us b/c so many of them have been sick at this point. I have a coworker that has had it three times. He waves it off but he was pretty sick when he came to work anyhow... -eye roller-
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on February 08, 2022, 04:52:14 AM
This charming little article suggests (early days yet, so nothing certain but definitely indicators present) that having covid-19 could increase the chances of getting Parkinsons disease, Type 1 diabetes and/or Guillain–Barré Syndrome.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220127-could-covid-19-still-be-affecting-us-in-decades-to-come?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB

I'm not throwing my masks away just yet, then.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FIRE Artist on February 08, 2022, 06:38:10 AM
This charming little article suggests (early days yet, so nothing certain but definitely indicators present) that having covid-19 could increase the chances of getting Parkinsons disease, Type 1 diabetes and/or Guillain–Barré Syndrome.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220127-could-covid-19-still-be-affecting-us-in-decades-to-come?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB

I'm not throwing my masks away just yet, then.

One good thing I have heard lately is that the increased prevalence of long COVID has finally shone a research light on long term impacts of infections that historically have affected women more than men and therefore are ignored by big pharma and health providers. 

But yeah, long COVID has been my big deterrent, if I am dead, I am dead, but I sure as hell am going to do all I reasonably can to avoid getting long COVID complications which means not getting it in the first place. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on February 08, 2022, 08:36:29 AM
This charming little article suggests (early days yet, so nothing certain but definitely indicators present) that having covid-19 could increase the chances of getting Parkinsons disease, Type 1 diabetes and/or Guillain–Barré Syndrome.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220127-could-covid-19-still-be-affecting-us-in-decades-to-come?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB

I'm not throwing my masks away just yet, then.

Lots of common viral infections can lead to auto-immune disorders. Even influenza:

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7990414/

As FIRE Artist correctly pointed out, auto-immune disorders (from all origins) tend to occur more frequently in females than males which has hindered widespread research.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on February 08, 2022, 08:46:44 AM
Well.  Technically it's sexism that has hindered research on this, not the fact that more women get it than men.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on February 08, 2022, 10:10:08 AM
This charming little article suggests (early days yet, so nothing certain but definitely indicators present) that having covid-19 could increase the chances of getting Parkinsons disease, Type 1 diabetes and/or Guillain–Barré Syndrome.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20220127-could-covid-19-still-be-affecting-us-in-decades-to-come?utm_source=pocket-newtab-global-en-GB

I'm not throwing my masks away just yet, then.

One good thing I have heard lately is that the increased prevalence of long COVID has finally shone a research light on long term impacts of infections that historically have affected women more than men and therefore are ignored by big pharma and health providers. 

But yeah, long COVID has been my big deterrent, if I am dead, I am dead, but I sure as hell am going to do all I reasonably can to avoid getting long COVID complications which means not getting it in the first place.

As someone who developed multiple autoimmune problems in my 40s, and who suffered a particularly severe flare of symptoms very similar to the Long Covid or Guillain-Barre type stuff that's been reported in response to a barely noticeable 'cold' about 5 years ago, which then was partly disabling for almost a full year, I am THRILLED that this stuff is finally going to be taken more seriously.  Doctor after doctor kept telling me I just needed antidepressants, until I went mostly bald with rupturing cysts on my scalp and a full body rash that lasted for most of a year. That finally shut them up, when the racing/erratic heart, horrible neurological symptoms, muscle weakness, etc. never impressed them. Those were 'just due to stress'.

It appears that reproductive hormones are likely one of the reasons women struggle with autoimmunity more than men. Research is purely anecdotal, but in my particular case of n = 1, even very mildly elevated prolactin is for sure one of my flare triggers. For unknown reasons, I have chronically high prolactin, and most endos won't prescribe meds for it (not high enough to scare them) until they see me in the midst of a flare. Then I take low-dose meds to suppress prolactin and the flare stops.  I am so glad I never wanted to have kids, b/c I would have been fucked by the hormone changes if I had.

On the plus side, I just caught Covid over the New Year, despite being ultra paranoid about masking and distancing and not socializing (for obvious reasons).  It was super mild (I'm 3x vaxed) and I'm just about to get out of the worst of the post viral 'danger zone' (2-4 weeks after a virus) without much of a flare.  I got one scalp cyst and the beginnings of a rash, but it subsided with topical steroids after a few days.

I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Who knows if I'm now gonna get some much worse autoimmune illness down the road...but that's clearly already a risk for me anyway.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 08, 2022, 11:45:49 AM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on February 08, 2022, 12:18:51 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Yes!

Hope this is temporary. A few months at worst.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on February 08, 2022, 12:44:36 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

I've seen reports of this from a variety of sources.

https://www.nbcnews.com/health/health-news/many-covid-patients-have-memory-problems-months-later-new-study-n1282189
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on February 09, 2022, 05:34:20 AM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on February 09, 2022, 07:09:26 AM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on February 09, 2022, 11:11:03 AM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Our 19 year old dog sitter had the brain fog for at least a few weeks, maybe longer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on February 09, 2022, 11:21:31 AM
I definitely had brain fog with a mild case of COVID (no fever or respiratory signs - just headache & fatigue) back in August 2020.

I'm a freelance writer and didn't see any reason to mention my COVID case to my clients, because I work remotely and was still able to meet my deadlines. When it came up in conversation with one my clients a month or two later, though, he said he was relieved to hear it... because he had noticed such a change in my writing quality (more typos, grammatical errors, etc.) in the preceding month that he was worried that I had a brain tumor or something more serious. I feel like I mostly regained normal brainpower over the following 3-4 months.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on February 09, 2022, 12:03:14 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.

Another manifestation I'm having is almost like stroke effect:  when writing by hand (not typing), when I mean to write '1,' I often write 'T'...even if I try not to. I have to concentrate hard to get it correct.  It's very weird, esp considering how mild my case was.

I really hope this is temporary b/c my job is editing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on February 09, 2022, 12:40:24 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.

Another manifestation I'm having is almost like stroke effect:  when writing by hand (not typing), when I mean to write '1,' I often write 'T'...even if I try not to. I have to concentrate hard to get it correct.  It's very weird, esp considering how mild my case was.

I really hope this is temporary b/c my job is editing.

Now I'm concerned. I'm also an editor. I wonder if I should have one of the other managers spot-check my work to make sure I'm not missing anything.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on February 09, 2022, 12:52:03 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.

Another manifestation I'm having is almost like stroke effect:  when writing by hand (not typing), when I mean to write '1,' I often write 'T'...even if I try not to. I have to concentrate hard to get it correct.  It's very weird, esp considering how mild my case was.

I really hope this is temporary b/c my job is editing.

Now I'm concerned. I'm also an editor. I wonder if I should have one of the other managers spot-check my work to make sure I'm not missing anything.

Probably not a bad idea if you've recently had COVID. My writing rarely needs editing (according to most of my clients), but they caught a lot of errors those first few months.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 09, 2022, 01:23:17 PM
Hmm.  It's been 6 months since infection for my son, so hopefully the brain fog, if he has one, goes away.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trc4897 on February 09, 2022, 01:34:01 PM
Hmm.  It's been 6 months since infection for my son, so hopefully the brain fog, if he has one, goes away.

I would have to think brain fog is a real but pretty rare side effect. My wife and I had it, as well as my brother in early December. We all had very minor cases and definitely no brain fog. I have not heard this concern from any of my close friends who have gotten it either.

Surprisingly, the only time I felt like I had brain fog was around this time last year after my first vaccine dose. By the time I got the second dose it had gone away though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on February 09, 2022, 02:21:04 PM
Hmm.  It's been 6 months since infection for my son, so hopefully the brain fog, if he has one, goes away.

I would have to think brain fog is a real but pretty rare side effect. My wife and I had it, as well as my brother in early December. We all had very minor cases and definitely no brain fog. I have not heard this concern from any of my close friends who have gotten it either.

Surprisingly, the only time I felt like I had brain fog was around this time last year after my first vaccine dose. By the time I got the second dose it had gone away though.
It can't be that rare, it's fourth on an NHS list of long covid symptoms -

https://www.nhs.uk/conditions/coronavirus-covid-19/long-term-effects-of-coronavirus-long-covid/

I expect there would be a social inhibition in widely publicising problems with brain function, particularly by someone who relies on their brain function for their income.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on February 09, 2022, 04:32:13 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.

Another manifestation I'm having is almost like stroke effect:  when writing by hand (not typing), when I mean to write '1,' I often write 'T'...even if I try not to. I have to concentrate hard to get it correct.  It's very weird, esp considering how mild my case was.

I really hope this is temporary b/c my job is editing.

Now I'm concerned. I'm also an editor. I wonder if I should have one of the other managers spot-check my work to make sure I'm not missing anything.

Probably not a bad idea if you've recently had COVID. My writing rarely needs editing (according to most of my clients), but they caught a lot of errors those first few months.

Shit. I'm about to turn in a 120-page monograph. Though I had trouble working on it as fast as usual, I didn't feel more hare-brained than usual. Now I'm wondering if I'd even notice my own errors. And there's no one to check a paper this long; it's too specialized a topic and too much of a time imposition. Bleh.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on February 09, 2022, 04:58:24 PM
I have noticed some weird memory issues since I got sick though.  I don't feel foggy or tired, but I'm having regular episodes of absolutely blanking out on words I'm trying to say/remember.  That's a bit disturbing.

Is this a legit side effect?  My spouse has worried about this with our just turned 5 year old, who got COVID over the summer but I attributed it to being a kid.  He has a large vocabulary but sometimes struggles to find words.

Yes.  The brain fog side effect is definitely real and can be shocking to see.  My parents had covid back in September and my Dad still has issues with this, although they've improved from the first couple of months when they couldn't figure out how to use their phones etc.

My husband (mid-40s) is having some new problems with short-term memory since having COVID a few weeks ago. It's a concern, as Alzheimer's runs in his family.

Another manifestation I'm having is almost like stroke effect:  when writing by hand (not typing), when I mean to write '1,' I often write 'T'...even if I try not to. I have to concentrate hard to get it correct.  It's very weird, esp considering how mild my case was.

I really hope this is temporary b/c my job is editing.

Now I'm concerned. I'm also an editor. I wonder if I should have one of the other managers spot-check my work to make sure I'm not missing anything.

Probably not a bad idea if you've recently had COVID. My writing rarely needs editing (according to most of my clients), but they caught a lot of errors those first few months.

Shit. I'm about to turn in a 120-page monograph. Though I had trouble working on it as fast as usual, I didn't feel more hare-brained than usual. Now I'm wondering if I'd even notice my own errors. And there's no one to check a paper this long; it's too specialized a topic and too much of a time imposition. Bleh.

FWIW, I definitely was aware that I was having trouble concentrating. I thought I had caught all my errors when I submitted articles but, at the same time, I was aware that it was taking more mental effort than usual.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mrsnamemustache on February 09, 2022, 05:34:18 PM
Important to keep in mind that experiences like forgetting words are common with and without Covid, and you may just notice those experiences more if you are paying attention due to worries about Covid effects. This is NOT me saying it isn’t real in some people, but it is also undeniable that some people will notice cognitive issues more and attribute it to Covid even if it is not directly from it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on February 09, 2022, 06:06:09 PM
Important to keep in mind that experiences like forgetting words are common with and without Covid, and you may just notice those experiences more if you are paying attention due to worries about Covid effects. This is NOT me saying it isn’t real in some people, but it is also undeniable that some people will notice cognitive issues more and attribute it to Covid even if it is not directly from it.

+1

That whole string of comments upthread looks like a bit of unnecessary paranoia if you ask me. Myself and everyone I know who had covid have none of these "brain fog" issues.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on February 09, 2022, 07:09:51 PM
Some cognitive deficits are seen after covid infection, and are somewhat associated with severity of illness. The actual incidence of this is not known, but does occur.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2785388 (ignore the percentages, there will be selection bias due to the nature of the study. More important are the odds ratios, which are still somewhat subject to selection bias but less so).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jim555 on February 10, 2022, 03:38:28 AM
New York mask mandate is over today.  85% (18+) are triple vaxxed, 95%  (18+) have at least one dose.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on February 10, 2022, 03:46:18 AM
Brain fog from covid is obviously real, and obviously not rare.  Studies suggest that many people recover from long covid within a few months and most within a year.

It is also possible that the effects of isolation, if it has come with a reduction in communication, especially in-person speaking, might also leave someone's word-finding skills a bit rusty, something that would right itself with a return to normal socialisation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 10, 2022, 07:04:46 AM
Important to keep in mind that experiences like forgetting words are common with and without Covid, and you may just notice those experiences more if you are paying attention due to worries about Covid effects. This is NOT me saying it isn’t real in some people, but it is also undeniable that some people will notice cognitive issues more and attribute it to Covid even if it is not directly from it.

This is what i'm wondering. Working from home for an extended period of time can do a number on your communicative skills as can stress, which I'm sure we've all had our fair share of during this pandemic, especially those of us with kiddos. I've noticed since I've been working from home I find myself in conversations drawing a blank on words that just happen to be at the tip of my tongue. I've noticed this both before and after getting covid, but I could totally see how you notice it more after getting covid when people say brain fog is a common symptom of long covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on February 10, 2022, 07:07:57 AM
New York mask mandate is over today.  85% (18+) are triple vaxxed, 95%  (18+) have at least one dose.

Outdoor?  Indoor?  Public transportation?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jim555 on February 10, 2022, 07:29:19 AM
New York mask mandate is over today.  85% (18+) are triple vaxxed, 95%  (18+) have at least one dose.

Outdoor?  Indoor?  Public transportation?
https://www.lawandtheworkplace.com/2022/02/governor-hochul-lifts-new-york-state-indoor-mask-mandate/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on February 10, 2022, 11:51:26 AM
Important to keep in mind that experiences like forgetting words are common with and without Covid, and you may just notice those experiences more if you are paying attention due to worries about Covid effects. This is NOT me saying it isn’t real in some people, but it is also undeniable that some people will notice cognitive issues more and attribute it to Covid even if it is not directly from it.

This is what i'm wondering. Working from home for an extended period of time can do a number on your communicative skills as can stress, which I'm sure we've all had our fair share of during this pandemic, especially those of us with kiddos. I've noticed since I've been working from home I find myself in conversations drawing a blank on words that just happen to be at the tip of my tongue. I've noticed this both before and after getting covid, but I could totally see how you notice it more after getting covid when people say brain fog is a common symptom of long covid.

Selective noticing could definitely be occurring, but whatever is occurring isn't being affected in my case by Covid related isolation. I've worked from home with little socialization for more than 10 years, and our lifestyle barely changed at all during the pandemic. Same job, as well, so I definitely do notice times when I'm struggling more with my regular job tasks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on February 10, 2022, 11:57:09 AM
Important to keep in mind that experiences like forgetting words are common with and without Covid, and you may just notice those experiences more if you are paying attention due to worries about Covid effects. This is NOT me saying it isn’t real in some people, but it is also undeniable that some people will notice cognitive issues more and attribute it to Covid even if it is not directly from it.

This is what i'm wondering. Working from home for an extended period of time can do a number on your communicative skills as can stress, which I'm sure we've all had our fair share of during this pandemic, especially those of us with kiddos. I've noticed since I've been working from home I find myself in conversations drawing a blank on words that just happen to be at the tip of my tongue. I've noticed this both before and after getting covid, but I could totally see how you notice it more after getting covid when people say brain fog is a common symptom of long covid.

Selective noticing could definitely be occurring, but whatever is occurring isn't being affected in my case by Covid related isolation. I've worked from home with little socialization for more than 10 years, and our lifestyle barely changed at all during the pandemic. Same job, as well, so I definitely do notice times when I'm struggling more with my regular job tasks.

Same. I'm no longer struggling with any memory issues, but they occurred while I was still working in-person on my normal schedule. My daughter being home was a difference, but she had already been home for five months at that point and the issues went away within a few months of COVID. Not saying it's impossible that my client's observations and my own confusion were just coincidence, but it seems unlikely.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on February 10, 2022, 12:13:44 PM
Google search trends for loss of smell follow the peaks of covid, but brain fog does not.  To me this is a small piece of evidence that they might not be as related as some would like to believe.  However, brain fog has been heavily searched since the beginning of 2022 which may suggest it is only Omicron related, that it now just has a name, or that people are really concerned about it because they are reading about it but it existed just as much before.

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=brain%20fog

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=loss%20of%20smell
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on February 10, 2022, 01:33:51 PM
Google search trends for loss of smell follow the peaks of covid, but brain fog does not.  To me this is a small piece of evidence that they might not be as related as some would like to believe.  However, brain fog has been heavily searched since the beginning of 2022 which may suggest it is only Omicron related, that it now just has a name, or that people are really concerned about it because they are reading about it but it existed just as much before.

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=brain%20fog

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=today%205-y&geo=US&q=loss%20of%20smell

Your search strings might be impacted by the fact that 'brain fog' isn't a clearly defined condition.  'Loss of smell' is.




https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext)

This study in the lancet was done during 2020 describes:
Quote
People who had recovered from COVID-19, including those no longer reporting symptoms, exhibited significant cognitive deficits versus controls when controlling for age, gender, education level, income, racial-ethnic group, pre-existing medical disorders, tiredness, depression and anxiety. The deficits were of substantial effect size for people who had been hospitalised (N = 192), but also for non-hospitalised cases who had biological confirmation of COVID-19 infection (N = 326). Analysing markers of premorbid intelligence did not support these differences being present prior to infection. Finer grained analysis of performance across sub-tests supported the hypothesis that COVID-19 has a multi-domain impact on human cognition.

This study (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2785388 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2785388)) from late 2021 found:
Quote
In this study, we found a relatively high frequency of cognitive impairment several months after patients contracted COVID-19. Impairments in executive functioning, processing speed, category fluency, memory encoding, and recall were predominant among hospitalized patients. The relative sparing of memory recognition in the context of impaired encoding and recall suggests an executive pattern. This pattern is consistent with early reports describing a dysexecutive syndrome after COVID-19 and has considerable implications for occupational, psychological, and functional outcomes. It is well known that certain populations (eg, older adults) may be particularly susceptible to cognitive impairment after critical illness5; however, in the relatively young cohort in the present study, a substantial proportion exhibited cognitive dysfunction several months after recovering from COVID-19.

This is a pre-print meta analysis (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(21)00324-2/fulltext)) of covid studies reports:
Quote
A significant proportion of individuals experience persistent fatigue and/or cognitive impairment following resolution of acute COVID-19. The frequency and debilitating nature of the foregoing symptoms provides the impetus to characterize the underlying neurobiological substrates and how to best treat these phenomena.]A significant proportion of individuals experience persistent fatigue and/or cognitive impairment following resolution of acute COVID-19. The frequency and debilitating nature of the foregoing symptoms provides the impetus to characterize the underlying neurobiological substrates and how to best treat these phenomena.

There's another meta analysis here (https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2021.699582/full (https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fneur.2021.699582/full)) reporting much the same. 

There is a lot of data out there about this.  It seems that cognitive problems are pretty common with covid survivors, and have existed during the periods of alpha, delta, and omicron.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on February 10, 2022, 02:00:45 PM
My parents had serious cognitive issues with covid, and that was back in September 2021 at the height of Delta.  It's not specifically an omicron thing.  I would have had trouble believing it if I hadn't seen it with my own eyes, how bad it was. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on February 10, 2022, 02:40:16 PM
I have a parent who lost taste, smell and the cognitive impairment was significant enough to worry the rest of us about dementia.

The cognitive impairment and the sense of smell are slowly returning. Recently could smell a new unlit candle when the lid was removed for a moment.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on February 10, 2022, 03:58:43 PM
Covid-19 isn't the only virus that causes lingering cognitive effects. John Barry recounts a famous example of this phenomenon in his excellent book, The Great Influenza. Apparently, after Woodrow Wilson came down with the flu in 1919, while in France negotiating terms to the end of WWI, his position regarding how Germany should be treated after the war totally, and inexplicably, changed 180 degrees. After 'recovering' from the flu and returning to the negotiating table, Wilson caved to all of France's demands that Germany be treated harshly, probably leading to the rise of Adolf Hitler and, eventually, WWII.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on February 10, 2022, 04:50:07 PM
Covid-19 isn't the only virus that causes lingering cognitive effects. John Barry recounts a famous example of this phenomenon in his excellent book, The Great Influenza. Apparently, after Woodrow Wilson came down with the flu in 1919, while in France negotiating terms to the end of WWI, his position regarding how Germany should be treated after the war totally, and inexplicably, changed 180 degrees. After 'recovering' from the flu and returning to the negotiating table, Wilson caved to all of France's demands that Germany be treated harshly, probably leading to the rise of Adolf Hitler and, eventually, WWII.

FINALLY we get to the Nazis. Took long enough…
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on February 17, 2022, 03:23:30 PM
Finally, Washington has a mask mandate drop date of 3/21 for indoor spaces & schools
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on February 17, 2022, 03:53:42 PM
Finally, Washington has a mask mandate drop date of 3/21 for indoor spaces & schools
Let’s hope things continue to improve between now and then
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: pdxvandal on February 17, 2022, 04:15:10 PM
Oregon announced no later than March 31 for indoor mask mandate, but all indications it will end sooner. It will feel just like my trip to Arizona a year ago!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on February 17, 2022, 06:39:07 PM
The mask mandate here will expire at the end of the month. The school district hasn’t announced what they’ll do yet. Our infectious disease doctor friend is not thrilled, but I guess we’ll see how it goes.

Meanwhile, life seems pretty normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on February 17, 2022, 08:10:10 PM
New Mexico just dropped the mask mandate. About time! The Governor just renewed it for another month about a week ago. I'm guessing she didn't want to be the last one standing when every other state is dropping their mandates.

We went to Costco about an hour after it was announced and over the course of shopping for an hour saw it go from about 95% of people inside wearing masks to about 75% as more people got word the mandate had been lifted. I expected to get some push back from the person at the door, but they didn't blink when our family walked in. The public schools announced a couple hours later they were also dropping it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on February 18, 2022, 05:40:19 AM
We haven't had a statewide mask mandate here for, idk, almost a year now?  Over a year?  Various towns have instituted them at different times, and there's been one for schools and in nursing homes/hospital settings, but other than that we've been free to decide based on risk tolerances and community spread (I personally have worn masks indoors since Delta became widespread because it's NBD and upgraded to better masks last fall).  However, I've noticed that even with no mask mandate, when spread is high (like with the recent omicron wave), >90% of people in my area will mask voluntarily, because they're not dumb.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on February 18, 2022, 09:30:57 AM
Finally, Washington has a mask mandate drop date of 3/21 for indoor spaces & schools
Let’s hope things continue to improve between now and then

Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on February 18, 2022, 10:22:33 AM


Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.

One of the outcomes I hope we achieve from this pandemic is more social acceptance of individuals wearing masks in public.  It's very common in many countries, yet not so much in the US. I've been verbally harassed a number of times for wearing a mask, often by self-proclaimed "freedom defenders".  They seem to want the freedom to not wear a mask, but also to tell me I shouldn't be wearing one either, I guess.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on February 18, 2022, 10:25:35 AM


Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.

One of the outcomes I hope we achieve from this pandemic is more social acceptance of individuals wearing masks in public.  It's very common in many countries, yet not so much in the US. I've been verbally harassed a number of times for wearing a mask, often by self-proclaimed "freedom defenders".  They seem to want the freedom to not wear a mask, but also to tell me I shouldn't be wearing one either, I guess.

You don't understand.  Wearing a mask isn't free.  Even if you want to do it.  These defenders are protecting you from being unfree - even if it needs to happen against your will.

God bless these patriots.  And if you don't believe in their God?  Well, you might be religiously unfree too . . .
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 18, 2022, 10:59:36 AM
Masks are lifted in my town just in time for folks to come back from vacation travel and socializing and infect everyone, yay.  Meanwhile I'm still waiting on a vaccine for the under 5.  Which is particularly frustrating because if the 2-doses could have been approved and started while my kid is under 2, efficacy reportedly would have been fine for her.  But now we'll be getting into the range where it won't be efficacious and she'll need 3 or more doses.  Frustrating that the studies don't allow for splitting the 6m-2 yo from the 2-5 yo range.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on February 18, 2022, 11:59:20 AM
Well, I ended up getting covid last week.  Was tired for 2 days (after a windy, sleepless night) but I decided to get tested when I had a little froggy throat.  After 2 days of wanting naps, I felt pretty normal by day 3 and ever since.  Did not have any other symptoms, and hiked 6 miles yesterday so energy is back. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on February 18, 2022, 12:13:05 PM


Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.

One of the outcomes I hope we achieve from this pandemic is more social acceptance of individuals wearing masks in public.  It's very common in many countries, yet not so much in the US. I've been verbally harassed a number of times for wearing a mask, often by self-proclaimed "freedom defenders".  They seem to want the freedom to not wear a mask, but also to tell me I shouldn't be wearing one either, I guess.

You didn't tell me you were visiting Ottawa!    ;-)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 18, 2022, 12:41:22 PM


Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.

One of the outcomes I hope we achieve from this pandemic is more social acceptance of individuals wearing masks in public.  It's very common in many countries, yet not so much in the US. I've been verbally harassed a number of times for wearing a mask, often by self-proclaimed "freedom defenders".  They seem to want the freedom to not wear a mask, but also to tell me I shouldn't be wearing one either, I guess.

Were you verbally harassed before the pandemic on this issue? It isn't clear to me from the way you worded it.

I suspect that mask wearing will have more social acceptance among certain groups than before, but less with others.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on February 18, 2022, 01:07:16 PM
Our mask mandate dropped on 2/16 statewide, except for schools.

Our office mask mandate is still in effect for 2 weeks for our company.

I went to the office yesterday, and later my officemate came in, with his mask on.  I said "I know that our mandate goes till the end of the month but...you had COVID last month, right?"  He said "yep and I don't have it now!"  So we were maskless in our own office.  It was nice. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 18, 2022, 01:29:13 PM


Yes, if trends hold I'll be ok with it.  My son has already basically stated that he'll want to keep wearing his mask, but I want to see what the case rate is by then.  Regardless, I wouldn't ever make him not wear a mask if he wants to.

Personally, I'm not sure what I'll do in public locations if this truly is when we're endemic.  If case rates are low, and my vaccinations are up to date, masking in the grocery store or whatever doesn't seem that necessary.  On the other hand, masking up in a store also isn't really that big of a deal to me, so even if it just keeps me from getting a cold from time to time, is it worth it?  Probably is if it's cold/flu/covid season.  Almost certainly when in a crowded space like a plane.

One of the outcomes I hope we achieve from this pandemic is more social acceptance of individuals wearing masks in public.  It's very common in many countries, yet not so much in the US. I've been verbally harassed a number of times for wearing a mask, often by self-proclaimed "freedom defenders".  They seem to want the freedom to not wear a mask, but also to tell me I shouldn't be wearing one either, I guess.

Were you verbally harassed before the pandemic on this issue? It isn't clear to me from the way you worded it.

I suspect that mask wearing will have more social acceptance among certain groups than before, but less with others.

Sounds like from the way that it was described it was during the pandemic. I don't think the concept of "freedom defenders" would have existed before Covid and masking "mandates".

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on February 18, 2022, 02:01:19 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

In the South?!?  I live in the Bay Area and I do all those things regularly and have never even been looked at askance. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on February 18, 2022, 02:05:00 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on February 18, 2022, 02:55:17 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

In the South?!?  I live in the Bay Area and I do all those things regularly and have never even been looked at askance.

To be fair this was last year. It hasn't happened recently.


I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

I'm near a college town. The Northwest Arkansas area. Masking has drastically gone down over the past ~9 months, although it's probably been around ~50% in most areas right now. As I said above, this was last year or perhaps 2020. It's been a while, but it's happened a few times.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: stoaX on February 18, 2022, 05:09:01 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

Here in my neck of the woods in South Carolina most people are still wearing masks to the grocery store and places like that.  I don't think it will last much longer, but who knows...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on February 19, 2022, 08:33:00 AM
I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

It's been politicized. That's why I think it'll be worse now than before for a long time. Before, you would likely get reactions a select few. Now there's an entire sector of a political party that has been trained to see them as uniforms of the enemy.

That's not helped by the fact that this perception is close to accurate in some cases as the "enemy" has their own stigma about non-mask wearers.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on February 19, 2022, 10:14:04 AM
We (I live in Norway) cut all covid restrictions one week ago and mask wearing indoors in public space fell from like 90% to 10% very quickly. It wasn't a mandate-mandate before that, but you were supposed to if you couldnt keep reasonable distance but there were no sanctions if you didn't wear one. When covid hit in march 2020 hardly anyone wore a face mask. A handful wore them in shops etc but it looked really bizzarre back then. I don't quite remember when we bought our first package of face masks but it was quite late in 2020 when covid re-hit after being pretty much gone the entire late spring and summer of 2020. Eventually there was a mandate in public space indoors and on public transport but never at work, never in schools and never outdoors. It worked out pretty ok in the end.

Pre-pandemic mask wearing in public space was 0% bar the occational tourist from Asia.

I think Scandinavia (Norway, Sweden and Denmark) and the UK are the first western coutries cut cut all coivd regulations. Im not into the details elesewhere, but we now have literality none in place and its pretty much treated like any other disease. At work the drill is that if you get it you wfh for a few days, not beacuse anyone is worried about getting it (everyone assume everyone will sooner or later) but they are tad worried about too many being sick at the same time and my line of work can be done just fine from home, after all we've done it for months earlier. I gpt it last week and now people barely inform collegues if they get it, folks just stay home a few days.

Unless some actual dangerous variant comes along down the road this is how it will be going forward. Noone, and I mean noone care about death numbers anymore (they are high by our standards but low vs internationally) and the hospitals decribe it like a somewhat harsh flu season no so no drama there at the moment.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Plina on February 20, 2022, 04:32:21 AM
We (I live in Norway) cut all covid restrictions one week ago and mask wearing indoors in public space fell from like 90% to 10% very quickly. It wasn't a mandate-mandate before that, but you were supposed to if you couldnt keep reasonable distance but there were no sanctions if you didn't wear one. When covid hit in march 2020 hardly anyone wore a face mask. A handful wore them in shops etc but it looked really bizzarre back then. I don't quite remember when we bought our first package of face masks but it was quite late in 2020 when covid re-hit after being pretty much gone the entire late spring and summer of 2020. Eventually there was a mandate in public space indoors and on public transport but never at work, never in schools and never outdoors. It worked out pretty ok in the end.

Pre-pandemic mask wearing in public space was 0% bar the occational tourist from Asia.

I think Scandinavia (Norway, Sweden and Denmark) and the UK are the first western coutries cut cut all coivd regulations. Im not into the details elesewhere, but we now have literality none in place and its pretty much treated like any other disease. At work the drill is that if you get it you wfh for a few days, not beacuse anyone is worried about getting it (everyone assume everyone will sooner or later) but they are tad worried about too many being sick at the same time and my line of work can be done just fine from home, after all we've done it for months earlier. I gpt it last week and now people barely inform collegues if they get it, folks just stay home a few days.

Unless some actual dangerous variant comes along down the road this is how it will be going forward. Noone, and I mean noone care about death numbers anymore (they are high by our standards but low vs internationally) and the hospitals decribe it like a somewhat harsh flu season no so no drama there at the moment.

I went to a store a week ago in Finland and had totally forgotten the mask thing as the restrictions have been lifted in Sweden 10 days ago and the masking was only a thing in public transport or if you visit a healthcare facility. I was only going to buy a gift card in the prestore and while I was waiting for the person in front of me getting there business done I realised that basically the whole store was masked but not me. I saw one other woman after a while. Talk about feeling uncomfortable. I finished fast and told my sister when I went out that now they tought I was one of those antivaxxers.

I find it fascinating that people don’t seem to be able to keep their distance. I took the train last week and a was alone in the car when a family came in and decided to sit down on the other side of aisle at the same row as me! Yesterday at the changing room at the pool there was two women that chose their lockers three lockers from me. The aisle was empty. How hard is it to keep a distance?!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on February 20, 2022, 04:59:35 AM
Living and working in Asia in the early 90s, occasionally some co-workers would show up to the office wearing a mask, presumably because they were sick. At that time, there was tremendous social pressure to always come to work. Calling in sick was seen as a weakness and not being a team player. Wearing a mask to make quick, unavoidable errands safer while sick is one thing, but sitting all. day. long. together in a cramped office while sick, with or without a mask, is just stupid, imho. It would be great to see a shift to more people feeling comfortable staying home when they're sick. Mandatory paid sick leave would be much more of an improvement for everyone in the US than normalization of mask wearing while sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NorthernIkigai on February 20, 2022, 05:53:13 AM
I went to a store a week ago in Finland […] Talk about feeling uncomfortable. I finished fast and told my sister when I went out that now they tought I was one of those antivaxxers.

They probably didn’t, though. Mask wearing was never mandated here, and even those rules that you have to wear a mask on public transport etc. weren’t actually legally enforceable. In the beginning, almost no one wore a mask, at some point most people did, and now it’s somewhere in between. I haven’t seen anyone being told off for wearing or not wearing a mask throughout all of this. Personally, I don’t even really notice anymore if someone’s is wearing one or not, which feels odd! People have so many reasons for wearing or not wearing masks, certainly here where we tend to have a preference for a large amount of personal space. I still wear one, but I realise it’s not actually as useful anymore since Omicron hit.

Now, if you were hanging out with those few Convoy people in the centre of Helsinki, while not wearing a mask…then someone might have some thoughts about your ideology.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on February 20, 2022, 12:06:08 PM
Meanwhile, in bizzarroland, Paul Krugman apprantly found some reason to be skeptical to the danish covid reponse lately (never mind the the UK in the graph he uses also has binned pretty much all covid restrictions).

In the real world Denmark has no increase in mortality (in fact quite the opposite)

Other also view the danish figures and chime in so the danish "CDC" has to inform the crowds that y'all got it all wrong.

This is working out just fine in a reponsible population with high vaccc rates.

The danes have even created a government website in english to try and educate the naysayers and disbelievers

https://en.ssi.dk/covid-19/typical-misinformation-regarding-danish-covid-numbers

Statens Serum Institut is the public health body in Denmark so kinda like the CDC in the US.



Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on February 28, 2022, 10:07:24 AM
My employer sent out an email today (prompted by the latest update to CDC guidance) that we're no longer required to wear masks on site. People were almost running to share the news with one another.
That was pretty much the last relic of the pandemic in my world, so unless (until?) things get bad around here again I'm going to say that we're as back to normal as we can be.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on February 28, 2022, 10:49:32 AM
My employer sent out an email today (prompted by the latest update to CDC guidance) that we're no longer required to wear masks on site. People were almost running to share the news with one another.
That was pretty much the last relic of the pandemic in my world, so unless (until?) things get bad around here again I'm going to say that we're as back to normal as we can be.

We are still 3 weeks away.  Our governor (WA) has always been in lock step with CDC guidelines, but for whatever reason he is sticking to his guns and holding out to lift the mandate on Mar 21 .
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 28, 2022, 11:33:51 AM
My employer sent out an email today (prompted by the latest update to CDC guidance) that we're no longer required to wear masks on site. People were almost running to share the news with one another.
That was pretty much the last relic of the pandemic in my world, so unless (until?) things get bad around here again I'm going to say that we're as back to normal as we can be.

We are still 3 weeks away.  Our governor (WA) has always been in lock step with CDC guidelines, but for whatever reason he is sticking to his guns and holding out to lift the mandate on Mar 21 .

Well the timing right after February break is crap, so it could be that.  Or that he is concerned about the impact to the under 5s.  Or watching local hospital rates, etc. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on February 28, 2022, 11:50:13 AM
Covid is still a thing?!? It's absolutely horrible what's going on in Ukraine but on the bright side it took all the media's focus away from covid and put it on something that actually matters.

There's much more worse shit going on in the world. It's time to forget about corona virus.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on February 28, 2022, 11:56:12 AM
Covid is still a thing?!? It's absolutely horrible what's going on in Ukraine but on the bright side it took all the media's focus away from covid and put it on something that actually matters.

There's much more worse shit going on in the world. It's time to forget about corona virus.

It is possible to worry and respond to two crises at the same time.  Not pleasant or preferred, but possible.

For me, as I have young children at home and work in a LTC setting, it is still something that very much "matters". 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on February 28, 2022, 02:46:52 PM
Covid is still a thing?!? It's absolutely horrible what's going on in Ukraine but on the bright side it took all the media's focus away from covid and put it on something that actually matters.

There's much more worse shit going on in the world. It's time to forget about corona virus.

It is possible to worry and respond to two crises at the same time.  Not pleasant or preferred, but possible.

For me, as I have young children at home and work in a LTC setting, it is still something that very much "matters".

Not to repeat what's already been said here many times and reiterated since the beginning of the pandemic, but children are extremely unlikely to have any sort of negative effects from covid. Probably to the point where any side effects from the vaccine are worse than a case of covid would be. As for the LTC setting, I hope everyone there's vaccinated. But that's a setting where really ANY illness can cause a lot of harm... not just covid-specific.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on February 28, 2022, 02:49:17 PM
Probably to the point where any side effects from the vaccine are worse than a case of covid would be.

Could you please link your sources for this?  I've been reading the data around children and vaccines very closely, but haven't found any to corroborate your claims here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on February 28, 2022, 02:50:58 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

I also consider masking kids at an outdoor playground to be mildly abusive
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on February 28, 2022, 02:55:33 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

I also consider masking kids at an outdoor playground to be mildly abusive

Why?

Honestly, I have not noticed that the kids seem to mind. It’s still cold here and I wear a mask outside because it’s nice to breathe warmer air.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on February 28, 2022, 02:58:03 PM
Why?

Honestly, I have not noticed that the kids seem to mind. It’s still cold here and I wear a mask outside because it’s nice to breathe warmer air.

My son doesn't like to wear his mask when running around at a park because it's harder for him to breathe/catch his breath.  I'd think that any proper fitting mask would have a similar issue.  Certainly I wouldn't want to be doing any strenuous exercise while wearing an N95 or KN95.  There just isn't enough airflow.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on February 28, 2022, 03:08:14 PM
Why?

Honestly, I have not noticed that the kids seem to mind. It’s still cold here and I wear a mask outside because it’s nice to breathe warmer air.

My son doesn't like to wear his mask when running around at a park because it's harder for him to breathe/catch his breath.  I'd think that any proper fitting mask would have a similar issue.  Certainly I wouldn't want to be doing any strenuous exercise while wearing an N95 or KN95.  There just isn't enough airflow.

Yep. I've been curling in a mask all year. While that's better than not curling at all, it's certainly far from pleasant to have the airflow restricted while working hard, plus moisture builds up in there throughout a game. I'm hoping our club relaxes its mask requirement once the county mandates have expired. My younger kid's preschool has decided to drop the mask mandate on the playground; still required inside for now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on February 28, 2022, 04:27:39 PM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

I also consider masking kids at an outdoor playground to be mildly abusive

That's cool.

I wonder if you would also consider it mildly abusive if I kept my children indoors for the last two years and didn't let them go to playgrounds?

I ended up in the hospital a few years ago when the rest of my family caught the flu. So during this pandemic we are masking so that we add a layer of protection for me and so my children can go to the playground.

Our school dropped the mask mandate two weeks ago and my son had tested positive for COVID by last Monday night. He was still positive this morning when we tested him. Due to my history I have not been able to hug or be in the same room with my child for a week. It sucks. It would suck more if I ended up on a ventilator.

Balancing this is very hard and every day I weigh giving my children a normal life with trying to make sure I don't traumatize them by ending up the hospital knowing that THEY got me sick (they are my main vector as I don't really leave my house).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on February 28, 2022, 04:41:49 PM
At work whenever someone now has Covid noone cares. A year ago it was big fucking news, but now its just that we notice someone is off and after a few days they're back and said persons barely bother informig anyone. Literarily noone cares at all.

I get that that vacc rates in the US is significantly lower than over here, but it looks increasingly weird to me that this is still a thing around the world. We completely stopped caring a couple of weeks ago and it's been all good. Hospitalizations are up, but stays are much shorter, very few need ICU treatment and the hospitals desciribe it like a bad flu season but no drama

Afaik kids under 12 can now get a shot but don't think its very common. My youngest is 9 and she's not vaccinated and we never really tought about it and there is no drive to get the youngest vaccinated. My oldest (12) has one shot and both parents have 3 so we're not opposing it, we just don't see any point in it. We've all had covid btw desipte all the doses.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on February 28, 2022, 05:21:02 PM
Covid is still a thing?!? It's absolutely horrible what's going on in Ukraine but on the bright side it took all the media's focus away from covid and put it on something that actually matters.

There's much more worse shit going on in the world. It's time to forget about corona virus.

I'd love to forget!   Great plan!  If you could tell me how to forget that every day at 5pm my skin starts feeling like there is liquid fire under it, and to forget about the fact that people I know are dead, I'd love to know how to do that.  Thanks! 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on March 01, 2022, 06:02:11 AM

[/quote]

I also consider masking kids at an outdoor playground to be mildly abusive
[/quote]

That's cool.

I wonder if you would also consider it mildly abusive if I kept my children indoors for the last two years and didn't let them go to playgrounds?


[/quote]

Yes, I would consider that to be moderately abusive
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: The 585 on March 01, 2022, 06:12:21 AM
Covid is still a thing?!? It's absolutely horrible what's going on in Ukraine but on the bright side it took all the media's focus away from covid and put it on something that actually matters.

There's much more worse shit going on in the world. It's time to forget about corona virus.

I'd love to forget!   Great plan!  If you could tell me how to forget that every day at 5pm my skin starts feeling like there is liquid fire under it, and to forget about the fact that people I know are dead, I'd love to know how to do that.  Thanks!

Sure, I get it. My 88-year-old grandma died of covid before any vaccines were available. It really sucks but it's in the past and now we have so many vaccines and treatments. So going forward it's one of those things where 99% of the population shouldn't have to put much thought or worry into it anymore. I feel bad for the small population of immunocompromised, but they're probably already used to taking many health precautions as it is, and have many tools to protect themselves.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on March 01, 2022, 06:13:33 AM

I live in the south and I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I've been yelled at several times for not wearing a mask. Usually it's outside when I'm biking or outside at parks with my kids. But, it's happened a few times at restaurants when I'm seated at the table and not immediately eating or drinking.

I'm shocked that you are somewhere in the South where people wear masks :) When divying out travel for my team, they always talk about how no one wears masks in GA, TN, or SC and it wigs them out! (my team is based in DC so most people wear masks in the day to day.) Are you in a college town or something?

I've never been yelled at for wearing a mask, but I have had a person tell my son I was abusing him for having him wear a mask (we were outside at a playground), and I've had people say things like "you know you don't need to wear that" or "don't let them control you!" and in the most egregious case a man got very close to me and breathed in my face.

I just had a person come to the house to quote a project for me, and they told me they weren't interested when I asked them to wear a mask.

As a person with a suppressed immune system we are trying very hard to balance "normal" life for my kids while also keeping me protected.

I occasionally wore a mask in public before the pandemic and no one ever said anything about it - so it is wild to me that I get comments about it now.

I also consider masking kids at an outdoor playground to be mildly abusive

That's cool.

I wonder if you would also consider it mildly abusive if I kept my children indoors for the last two years and didn't let them go to playgrounds?

I ended up in the hospital a few years ago when the rest of my family caught the flu. So during this pandemic we are masking so that we add a layer of protection for me and so my children can go to the playground.

Our school dropped the mask mandate two weeks ago and my son had tested positive for COVID by last Monday night. He was still positive this morning when we tested him. Due to my history I have not been able to hug or be in the same room with my child for a week. It sucks. It would suck more if I ended up on a ventilator.

Balancing this is very hard and every day I weigh giving my children a normal life with trying to make sure I don't traumatize them by ending up the hospital knowing that THEY got me sick (they are my main vector as I don't really leave my house).

You have to do what you think is best for your and your family of course, but there is lots of data now and it's pretty safe to assume if you all (adults) are triple vaxxed, you the odds of you ending up on a ventilator or even hospitalized are extremely low.
And we've got effective treatments out there too. A friend's mom is in her 70s and immunocompromised. She caught COVID last month. She received the antibody treatment out-patient and ended up with a very mild case of the flu. A year ago she would have likely ended up in the hospital. Maybe even dead. But things have and are continuing to change.

I can't remember if I mentioned it upthread but NPR had a very compelling story on why we should now stop masking our kids. It changed my view completely. It's time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 01, 2022, 12:54:01 PM
Washington has moved it's mask mandate end date from Mar 21 to Mar 12.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on March 01, 2022, 01:02:06 PM
We ditched our covid-restrictins pretty much on the assumption that "everyone" will get it sooner or later anyway and when folks do, its gonna be fine for the vast majority due to vaccinations. The omicron variant was assumed so infectious that most restrictions wouldn't really move the needle and it would only delay the inevitable anyway. I used to hardly know anyone who had covid, now it's the other way around, I barely know anyone who hasn't had it.

Roughly half our hospitalizations are incidentials, as in covid is not the prime reason for hospitalization but patients test +ve.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Watchmaker on March 01, 2022, 01:59:19 PM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: economista on March 02, 2022, 06:57:37 AM
I’m in an area that has always had really consistent mask wearing and went into the store on Tuesday and was surprised that I seemed to be the only person wearing a mask outside of the elderly checkout clerk. I have 2 children too young to be vaccinated and I’m currently pregnant so I had on a mask but it made me stop and think about whether the mask is really necessary anymore.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on March 02, 2022, 07:33:47 AM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.

Yes, freedom from colds and other ailments has been a silver lining to all of this.  We just had a cold go through the house after some in-home guests graced us with it (2 of 4 got it; I mostly fought it off), and it definitely helped remind us that even a very mild illness can be quite unpleasant.

I do think that the attitude that 'most people have had it' is still quite inaccurate when it comes to covid.  Sure, I'll buy in to the argument that the official ~80M cases in the USA is an undercount, but while 1 in 4 might be too low, anything between 1/4 and 1/3 jives just fine with the circles I travel in.  Sure, it's anecdotal, but so is everyone's experience that's not relying upon official statistics.  I suppose we could all have had asymptomatic cases that didn't infect anyone else, or only gave other people asymptomatic cases.  Starts to strain credulity, though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on March 02, 2022, 07:52:30 AM
I'm curious to see how it's going with the employers mandating a return to the office?    or are they still allowing Work From Home, or a hybrid of both?
Early in the pandemic there were lots of people declaring they'd never return to the office but now that it's happening, are they really quitting and changing jobs for that reason?

I'm aware of some big companies here saying employees need to be in the office by May or June, but that they are allowing supervisors some leeway in determining what's best for individuals, if possible.  To me that seems reasonable. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on March 02, 2022, 08:02:39 AM
"We need asses in seats and all the gas wasted to do it.  Whether or not there's a point to people being in the office!  Fuck you environment, fuck you saving money, and fuck you employee happiness.  Asses in seats are the only measure of work we're capable of determining!"
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 02, 2022, 08:10:41 AM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.

Yes, freedom from colds and other ailments has been a silver lining to all of this.  We just had a cold go through the house after some in-home guests graced us with it (2 of 4 got it; I mostly fought it off), and it definitely helped remind us that even a very mild illness can be quite unpleasant.

I do think that the attitude that 'most people have had it' is still quite inaccurate when it comes to covid.  Sure, I'll buy in to the argument that the official ~80M cases in the USA is an undercount, but while 1 in 4 might be too low, anything between 1/4 and 1/3 jives just fine with the circles I travel in.  Sure, it's anecdotal, but so is everyone's experience that's not relying upon official statistics.  I suppose we could all have had asymptomatic cases that didn't infect anyone else, or only gave other people asymptomatic cases.  Starts to strain credulity, though.

You probably just had Covid
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on March 02, 2022, 08:23:36 AM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.

Yes, freedom from colds and other ailments has been a silver lining to all of this.  We just had a cold go through the house after some in-home guests graced us with it (2 of 4 got it; I mostly fought it off), and it definitely helped remind us that even a very mild illness can be quite unpleasant.

I do think that the attitude that 'most people have had it' is still quite inaccurate when it comes to covid.  Sure, I'll buy in to the argument that the official ~80M cases in the USA is an undercount, but while 1 in 4 might be too low, anything between 1/4 and 1/3 jives just fine with the circles I travel in.  Sure, it's anecdotal, but so is everyone's experience that's not relying upon official statistics.  I suppose we could all have had asymptomatic cases that didn't infect anyone else, or only gave other people asymptomatic cases.  Starts to strain credulity, though.

Curious how old you are and how old your circle is. Before December I would have said the exact same thing. After January Basically everyone I know had had it. People I know the most tend to be mid 30s and most have young children as well. I'd say of my group that I talk to regularly (probably 40-50) about 75%+ have had it at this point. I don't know anyone that isn't vaccinated that's older than 12. But older people like my parents that are retired tend to be being a bit more careful. My mom hasn't had it yet. My dad and his wife just got it in early January though. So, I could see if the people you hang out with are 50+ and are knowledge workers that the amount of people that have had it in your circle could be low.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EchoStache on March 02, 2022, 08:49:12 AM
My opinion is that far more Americans have had Covid than is known or reported, but I do think it also varies by age group.  As mentioned, much of the older population does tend to be more cautious and more isolated.  On the other hand, I suspect the number of younger folks who've had it is FAR greater than reported.  I helped clear college athletes to resume training during the first year or so of the pandemic.  Almost all of these athletes who tested positive, quarantined, then had to be cleared after their ten day isolation, had absolutely no idea they had Covid.  They were simply exposed to one of the few athletes that did have symptoms.  As a result, most of the team would have to be tested and ended up being positive.  So at least in the younger population, I'd venture to guess we are much closer to 90% infection rate than even 50% at some point over the previous two years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 02, 2022, 09:03:26 AM
My opinion is that far more Americans have had Covid than is known or reported, but I do think it also varies by age group.  As mentioned, much of the older population does tend to be more cautious and more isolated.  On the other hand, I suspect the number of younger folks who've had it is FAR greater than reported.  I helped clear college athletes to resume training during the first year or so of the pandemic.  Almost all of these athletes who tested positive, quarantined, then had to be cleared after their ten day isolation, had absolutely no idea they had Covid.  They were simply exposed to one of the few athletes that did have symptoms.  As a result, most of the team would have to be tested and ended up being positive.  So at least in the younger population, I'd venture to guess we are much closer to 90% infection rate than even 50% at some point over the previous two years.

Yes.  There was a time in this most recent Omicron wave wherein half of the 30 people who showed up to the local ER one day for other things found out they had Covid upon arrival and had no idea.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on March 02, 2022, 09:11:45 AM
I'm curious to see how it's going with the employers mandating a return to the office?    or are they still allowing Work From Home, or a hybrid of both?
Early in the pandemic there were lots of people declaring they'd never return to the office but now that it's happening, are they really quitting and changing jobs for that reason?

I'm aware of some big companies here saying employees need to be in the office by May or June, but that they are allowing supervisors some leeway in determining what's best for individuals, if possible.  To me that seems reasonable.

I'm required to be in the office every day even though the parent entity requires my entity to have a WFH policy.  (The head has just ignored this requirement.)  Granted it's not just due to the WFH issue, but I am starting my job hunt in April (can't leave until mid-July) and will target hybrid jobs.  I haven't seen any remote only jobs that I've been interested in yet.

My husband is required to be back in the office at least part-time starting in March.  This is frustrating because 1) there is no point - none of his people are in this office (they are in another office), 2) they are removing the mask mandate at the same time, 3) our daughter isn't eligible for vaccination yet, and 4) our daycare is not permitted by the state to comingle classes so they are only open 9 hours instead of the 11 they were previously (we had them in for 10 hours) so it'll be a logistical challenge that didn't exist pre-pandemic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on March 02, 2022, 09:13:20 AM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.

Yes, freedom from colds and other ailments has been a silver lining to all of this.  We just had a cold go through the house after some in-home guests graced us with it (2 of 4 got it; I mostly fought it off), and it definitely helped remind us that even a very mild illness can be quite unpleasant.

I do think that the attitude that 'most people have had it' is still quite inaccurate when it comes to covid.  Sure, I'll buy in to the argument that the official ~80M cases in the USA is an undercount, but while 1 in 4 might be too low, anything between 1/4 and 1/3 jives just fine with the circles I travel in.  Sure, it's anecdotal, but so is everyone's experience that's not relying upon official statistics.  I suppose we could all have had asymptomatic cases that didn't infect anyone else, or only gave other people asymptomatic cases.  Starts to strain credulity, though.

Curious how old you are and how old your circle is. Before December I would have said the exact same thing. After January Basically everyone I know had had it. People I know the most tend to be mid 30s and most have young children as well. I'd say of my group that I talk to regularly (probably 40-50) about 75%+ have had it at this point. I don't know anyone that isn't vaccinated that's older than 12. But older people like my parents that are retired tend to be being a bit more careful. My mom hasn't had it yet. My dad and his wife just got it in early January though. So, I could see if the people you hang out with are 50+ and are knowledge workers that the amount of people that have had it in your circle could be low.

And some colds really are just colds...  My work has required me to PCR test every 3 days since December, so I know I had an actual cold and not COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on March 02, 2022, 09:16:28 AM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on March 02, 2022, 09:23:58 AM

Curious how old you are and how old your circle is. Before December I would have said the exact same thing. After January Basically everyone I know had had it. People I know the most tend to be mid 30s and most have young children as well. I'd say of my group that I talk to regularly (probably 40-50) about 75%+ have had it at this point. I don't know anyone that isn't vaccinated that's older than 12. But older people like my parents that are retired tend to be being a bit more careful. My mom hasn't had it yet. My dad and his wife just got it in early January though. So, I could see if the people you hang out with are 50+ and are knowledge workers that the amount of people that have had it in your circle could be low.

It runs the gamut.  40s with elementary/middle school kids is where we and most of our closer friends are, but have plenty of friends in 30s, cousins and siblings in 20s-50s, kids of all ages, grandparents, aunts/uncles, whatever.  Coworkers from 30s-60s.  The number in my circle (of people whom I'm confident would provide information) is about a quarter, but I think it's a more careful cohort in general than the regular populace, a few outliers notwithstanding. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on March 02, 2022, 09:28:24 AM
Local and statewide hospitalizations have dropped 80% in the last couple weeks. We're still a bit above the thresholds I set for myself back in the summer, but with omicron and middling vaccination rates, we maybe not get back to those very low levels. Until we get another local spike, we're going back to normal life (while still taking low-effort/low-cost precautions).

SO is tempted to keep her students masking forever though. Those germ factories have gotten us sick several times a year until covid and it's been nice to not deal with that.

Yes, freedom from colds and other ailments has been a silver lining to all of this.  We just had a cold go through the house after some in-home guests graced us with it (2 of 4 got it; I mostly fought it off), and it definitely helped remind us that even a very mild illness can be quite unpleasant.

I do think that the attitude that 'most people have had it' is still quite inaccurate when it comes to covid.  Sure, I'll buy in to the argument that the official ~80M cases in the USA is an undercount, but while 1 in 4 might be too low, anything between 1/4 and 1/3 jives just fine with the circles I travel in.  Sure, it's anecdotal, but so is everyone's experience that's not relying upon official statistics.  I suppose we could all have had asymptomatic cases that didn't infect anyone else, or only gave other people asymptomatic cases.  Starts to strain credulity, though.

Curious how old you are and how old your circle is. Before December I would have said the exact same thing. After January Basically everyone I know had had it. People I know the most tend to be mid 30s and most have young children as well. I'd say of my group that I talk to regularly (probably 40-50) about 75%+ have had it at this point. I don't know anyone that isn't vaccinated that's older than 12. But older people like my parents that are retired tend to be being a bit more careful. My mom hasn't had it yet. My dad and his wife just got it in early January though. So, I could see if the people you hang out with are 50+ and are knowledge workers that the amount of people that have had it in your circle could be low.

And some colds really are just colds...  My work has required me to PCR test every 3 days since December, so I know I had an actual cold and not COVID.

I'm not denying that. Are you implying all the people that I know that "had" Covid just had colds? All I was asking was the age and behaviors of the people in the person's circle. I have a couple families in my circle that basically haven't left the house for 2 years outside of sending their kids to school and they even pulled their kids out of school from mid December to mid February. They haven't had Covid yet, so if that was the common behaviors of all my friends I would definitely believe it was uncommon to get it. But the majority of my friends work outside the home, have kids engaged in extra-curriculurs and visited family around Christmas. Almost all of them got Covid over the past 3 months. Even the people in my family that were the safest because of being immunocompromised (recovering from Leukemia, and a kidney transplant) got it.

I guess I also just ignored my workplace. But when I described having to have my son home for 15 days for quarantine the people I work with said almost everyone we work with that they had talked to had had it too and we all even work remotely, but most of my company is between the ages of ~25-50.

I'm flying to NYC this weekend to hang out with my friends and catch some hockey games so wish me luck :)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Watchmaker on March 02, 2022, 09:44:20 AM
I'm curious to see how it's going with the employers mandating a return to the office?    or are they still allowing Work From Home, or a hybrid of both?
Early in the pandemic there were lots of people declaring they'd never return to the office but now that it's happening, are they really quitting and changing jobs for that reason?

I'm aware of some big companies here saying employees need to be in the office by May or June, but that they are allowing supervisors some leeway in determining what's best for individuals, if possible.  To me that seems reasonable.

I'm required to be in the office every day even though the parent entity requires my entity to have a WFH policy.  (The head has just ignored this requirement.)  Granted it's not just due to the WFH issue, but I am starting my job hunt in April (can't leave until mid-July) and will target hybrid jobs.  I haven't seen any remote only jobs that I've been interested in yet.

My husband is required to be back in the office at least part-time starting in March.  This is frustrating because 1) there is no point - none of his people are in this office (they are in another office), 2) they are removing the mask mandate at the same time, 3) our daughter isn't eligible for vaccination yet, and 4) our daycare is not permitted by the state to comingle classes so they are only open 9 hours instead of the 11 they were previously (we had them in for 10 hours) so it'll be a logistical challenge that didn't exist pre-pandemic.

Other people in my office are WFH a day here and there due to weather or other things, which is a lot more WFH than they were doing before covid, but I'm the only one still primarily WFH. If they required me to go back to the office full time, it would probably accelerate my retirement, but no signs of that happening.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on March 02, 2022, 09:51:35 AM
@mizzourah2006 Not everything is a dig.  All I was saying is that sometimes colds are undiagnosed COVID - but sometimes, they are not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Paper Chaser on March 02, 2022, 10:37:27 AM
I'm curious to see how it's going with the employers mandating a return to the office?    or are they still allowing Work From Home, or a hybrid of both?
Early in the pandemic there were lots of people declaring they'd never return to the office but now that it's happening, are they really quitting and changing jobs for that reason?

I'm aware of some big companies here saying employees need to be in the office by May or June, but that they are allowing supervisors some leeway in determining what's best for individuals, if possible.  To me that seems reasonable.

My employer will be 'safely and flexibly' reopening offices to non-essential workers in early April. The email they sent used a lot of verbiage about flexibility, but it also said they couldn't wait 'to feel that energy in the office once again'.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on March 02, 2022, 11:12:10 AM
I'm back in the office today (we are hybrid forever I think), and no masks required!  Though about 1/2 are still wearing them. 
I took my DS2 to the pool this weekend (indoors).

I'd say 80% back to normal.  I still wear masks in grocery stores and crowded places.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on March 02, 2022, 01:13:21 PM
I really hope that Covid rates are way higher than we think.  That will make it safer for those of us who haven’t had it yet, as long as we’re careful.  Restrictions are set to expire here on March 15, although from what I’ve heard, lots of people aren’t comfortable with letting their guard down yet.

Made a Costco run yesterday in an area that tends to be more affluent white people and it was surprising how many were wearing N95s.  Way more than I’ve seen anywhere else.  So I guess that bodes well for that store at least.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on March 02, 2022, 01:42:21 PM
Mandate expired here yesterday. I’ve been to Costco, exercise class, Aldi, bigger grocery  store, and church, and about 95% of people were still wearing masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: By the River on March 02, 2022, 03:35:37 PM
"We need asses in seats and all the gas wasted to do it.  Whether or not there's a point to people being in the office!  Fuck you environment, fuck you saving money, and fuck you employee happiness.  Asses in seats are the only measure of work we're capable of determining!"

Wow, didn't realize we worked for the same company.    We go back full-time to the office on Monday.  We have been hybrid for most of the last year. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on March 02, 2022, 06:01:54 PM
The CDC estimates that currently 43% of Americans have had Covid based on the infection-induced antibodies present in blood tests of 73,000 people conducted at the end of January*.  A slight majority of children have had Covid, while most over the age of 50 have not.

 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab)

The data is publicly available.

*seems the data has been extrapolated forward to arrive at the present 43.3%
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on March 03, 2022, 08:28:10 AM
The CDC estimates that currently 43% of Americans have had Covid based on the infection-induced antibodies present in blood tests of 73,000 people conducted at the end of January*.  A slight majority of children have had Covid, while most over the age of 50 have not.

 https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab (https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#national-lab)

The data is publicly available.

*seems the data has been extrapolated forward to arrive at the present 43.3%

I'd buy that, especially given the predilections of the demographics I have less contact with.  Unfortunately, earlier strains provided very little protection against infection with current strains, but probably give some protection against severe infection.  Still not herd immunity even when combined with vaccinations, but perhaps 'herd protection' sufficient to avoid more catastrophic death numbers and overwhelming our medical system yet again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 03, 2022, 08:53:50 AM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.

So did we.  But 1 of the 5 in the family tested positive, safe to assume everyone else with the exact same symptoms had it... but never tested +
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on March 03, 2022, 11:40:31 AM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.

So did we.  But 1 of the 5 in the family tested positive, safe to assume everyone else with the exact same symptoms had it... but never tested +
This is fascinating.  PCR tests?  Rapid antigen tests?

I ask because I know people IRL who had the same experience...some didn't test positive and others did...a combination of PCR and antigen tests.  Weird.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on March 03, 2022, 11:48:43 AM
Most everyone I know who has kids in the school system got covid in the omicron wave.  But almost all of us without children managed to avoid it.  My social circle is mostly 40+ and a lot of us telecommute.  I was at a table the other night with 6 people, 3 couples ranging in age from 30s to 60s, and none of us have had covid.  But I also live in a highly vaccinated state, all of my friends got their boosters, and mask wearing was pretty universal during the omicron wave.  And I didn't see anyone other than my husband for 5-6 weeks since I work from home and don't have to have any exposure.  He did have a lot of less careful co-workers, mostly with kids, who got it.

Now that our wave has receded, our hospitals are down to August 2021 levels (which were very low here - we didn't have much of a delta wave), and our positivity rate is around 2%, I am taking advantage of the lull to resume a social life, go to the gym, restaurants, etc.  I'm still wearing a mask in grocery stores because it's easy and risk is cumulative - it's not all or nothing.  And I'm holding off on travel to Europe because they're still pretty omicroned up...which is curious because I thought they had omicron before we did in the US.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: kanga1622 on March 03, 2022, 11:57:34 AM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.

So did we.  But 1 of the 5 in the family tested positive, safe to assume everyone else with the exact same symptoms had it... but never tested +
This is fascinating.  PCR tests?  Rapid antigen tests?

I ask because I know people IRL who had the same experience...some didn't test positive and others did...a combination of PCR and antigen tests.  Weird.

I had a very delayed positive test. DH tested positive on a Friday, kids tested positive the following Monday, and I didn't test positive until the Saturday after that. Kids and I had identical symptoms on the same days. All of us were on rapid tests. My positive was finally a rapid test at home but all other tests were rapid at a facility.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on March 03, 2022, 12:29:09 PM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.

So did we.  But 1 of the 5 in the family tested positive, safe to assume everyone else with the exact same symptoms had it... but never tested +

I’m not following your logic. Why is it “safe to assume” multiple people had false negative tests, rather than the alternative - that they never contacted Covid despite expose?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on March 03, 2022, 12:40:13 PM

I’m not following your logic. Why is it “safe to assume” multiple people had false negative tests, rather than the alternative - that they never contacted Covid despite expose?

I started getting mild sympthoms of something on a Friday or Saturday. Did rapid tests Sunday, Monday and Wednesday that were all -ve. On Thursday ny GF and one of my daughters tested +ve so I did another rapid which came out +ve. If they hadn't tested +ve I would never have done the last test that turned out +ve and would have had covid, but never a +ve test to show for it. Did 2 more the next few days that were +ve.

I was quite surprised that it took so long to get the two lines on the test. Its just anecdotal, of course, but at least it lowered my confidence in these tests a bit.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 03, 2022, 12:47:33 PM

You probably just had Covid

Probably not.  3 negative tests say otherwise.

So did we.  But 1 of the 5 in the family tested positive, safe to assume everyone else with the exact same symptoms had it... but never tested +

I’m not following your logic. Why is it “safe to assume” multiple people had false negative tests, rather than the alternative - that they never contacted Covid despite expose?

That's what the experts say.  If anyone in a family tests positive and everyone else in the family has symptoms but don't test positive assume its covid.  There are SO many "just a cold" stories out there from Jan-Feb, it's almost guaranteed it was undiagnosed Omi.  Which is fine because Omi for the vaccinated is just like a cold.  People just feel better believing it was just a regular old cold.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on March 03, 2022, 01:20:37 PM
Yep seems like a shitload of people got the OMI and now we are actually approaching real herd immunity, or at least something close to it. No mandates, no passports! Move on already
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on March 03, 2022, 01:44:58 PM
Most everyone I know who has kids in the school system got covid in the omicron wave.  But almost all of us without children managed to avoid it.  My social circle is mostly 40+ and a lot of us telecommute.  I was at a table the other night with 6 people, 3 couples ranging in age from 30s to 60s, and none of us have had covid.  But I also live in a highly vaccinated state, all of my friends got their boosters, and mask wearing was pretty universal during the omicron wave.  And I didn't see anyone other than my husband for 5-6 weeks since I work from home and don't have to have any exposure.  He did have a lot of less careful co-workers, mostly with kids, who got it.

Now that our wave has receded, our hospitals are down to August 2021 levels (which were very low here - we didn't have much of a delta wave), and our positivity rate is around 2%, I am taking advantage of the lull to resume a social life, go to the gym, restaurants, etc.  I'm still wearing a mask in grocery stores because it's easy and risk is cumulative - it's not all or nothing.  And I'm holding off on travel to Europe because they're still pretty omicroned up...which is curious because I thought they had omicron before we did in the US.

We live in an extended family household, and it includes a 5yo who is in kindergarten. He has had two mild colds this year and has tested negative both times (and frankly, I think it’s kind of amazing that he has had so little illness!) The rest of us haven’t been sick at all. He *is* vaccinated and the school requires masks at all times except when eating, and they are pretty spaced out in the classroom.

So I don’t think any of us have had it…
Title: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: elaine amj on March 04, 2022, 07:34:21 AM
I am really starting to wonder if it is finally time. Or at least that it will be soon. I am in Ontario and we are coming down from our 5th wave. Omicron hit hard and I finally know a lot of people who got Covid, including 3 older unvaxxed folks who were all hospitalized. Ontario has just removed vaccine mandates and is contemplating dropping masks soon.

We are high risk so are triple vaxxed and careful and so far, no Covid here.

We decided to travel to BC in April - our first time leaving the province since the start.

And I am wondering about finally going back to Disney World in the fall. Or maybe Christmas. Feels kinda crazy to even think about it so not sure what we will do…

We haven’t been around groups larger than 10-15 since the beginning. (We are not working so staying home was easy). We do have a wedding in early May to attend with 100+ people. A bit nervous about the hugging but man, we want to dance and laugh and celebrate the couple who we love dearly.

It does look like it is time to loosen up. Still paying close attention though as this feels jarring to us.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PhrugalPhan on March 04, 2022, 12:16:37 PM
"We need asses in seats and all the gas wasted to do it.  Whether or not there's a point to people being in the office!  Fuck you environment, fuck you saving money, and fuck you employee happiness.  Asses in seats are the only measure of work we're capable of determining!"
LOL I thought you were talking about my office.  Though to be fair to them, that's not the reason.  Some jobs really did require being the office through the last 2 years, while others don't need to be there at all.  But to keep people quiet that have been complaining that it is unfair to them to have to go to the office, now everyone gets to come in.  <roll eyes>  Its still just as dumb, but I am 10 months until FIRE, so I'll just suck it up for now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Focus_on_the_fire on March 04, 2022, 01:42:00 PM
I'm 100% remote for now. However, I expect to get an email calling us back for at least two or three days any day now.

Leadership can't justify this from either a productivity or employee happiness point of view, so they'll claim we need to do it in order to strengthen collaborative, team building. 

This is what you get when your leadership team loves an audience.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on March 04, 2022, 02:52:39 PM
Most people in management have no idea what the people they're managing are doing . . . and have no idea if a good job is happening or not.

Asses in seats is their main metric for determining performance.  It's why the 'looking always busy, never getting shit done' people tend to do pretty well in many corporate environments.

This enforced work from home has made a lot of management folks super terrified and worried.  It was doomed to end at the first possible chance for <insert any reason, no matter how non-sensical>.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on March 04, 2022, 08:33:47 PM
DH's workplace is dropping the mask mandate soon. Most people already take their masks off in their own offices and only put them on when someone drops by....I'm FIREd, so I don't know but I assume this is the norm where people have private offices? I guess this is technically allowed if there's only one person in the office and they keep the door closed, but it sounds like the closed door thing isn't strictly followed.

DH won't be allowed to stop wearing a mask though because he has a medical order not to get the flu vaccine.  And all of the sudden if you are unvaccinated for the flu you have to wear a mask through all of flu season.  I presume they are doing the same for people that aren't vaccinated for COVID, but didn't ask because (luckily) DH was able to get vaxxed for COVID.  But I also think it's sort of weird, and simultaneously that it could make sense, that they are taking new precautions for flu that they never thought were needed before, and it's a totally different disease.  Instead, I wish (as has been discussed a lot on this thread) that they created different norms around people staying home when they are sick and masking when they have symptoms of anything respiratory.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on March 08, 2022, 06:16:28 AM
masking mandate at my fedgov workplace lifted yesterday per CDC guidelines since our tri-county area met CDC standards.
unvaxxed - still have to wear masks and take weekly tests and submit paperwork.
masking has been optional in school for a while.
almost back to pre-covid 2020 normal.
but with the $4+/gallon gas prices, folks want to return to the work from home/hybrid.
noticed less lifted toy tucks on the roads last couple of days.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on March 08, 2022, 07:00:36 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 08, 2022, 08:19:48 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Scandium on March 08, 2022, 08:38:14 AM
My youngest is eligible for the 5+ vaccine (vs the <5 that doesn't work) in a month. After that I'll stop giving a shit about anything covid, like everyone else has been doing since ~december 2020.

Neighbors who don't vax their kids and everyone gets covid, cousins who have huge family parties and everyone got covid, friends going to football games in fall 2020 (got covid).. Soon we can join the fun too!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on March 08, 2022, 09:41:46 AM
My youngest is eligible for the 5+ vaccine (vs the <5 that doesn't work) in a month. After that I'll stop giving a shit about anything covid, like everyone else has been doing since ~december 2020.

Neighbors who don't vax their kids and everyone gets covid, cousins who have huge family parties and everyone got covid, friends going to football games in fall 2020 (got covid).. Soon we can join the fun too!

Yeah, I feel about the same.  Alas we are still waiting on our 22 month old to be eligible to join in the risky behavior!  I have friend pressuring us to join at a restaurant for a birthday party (sorry no), and they used to be the most conservative.  What's also frustrating is the 5-11 yo vaccine apparently only protects against severe COVID, but not our 5 yo bringing it home to his younger unvaccinated sibling.  And yet daycare wants to remove their masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on March 08, 2022, 08:49:10 PM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?

Other common cold strains aren't associated with long-term neurologic deficits, so there was no incentive to study this. So I'd say very few strains.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on March 09, 2022, 06:43:27 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?

Other common cold strains aren't associated with long-term neurologic deficits, so there was no incentive to study this. So I'd say very few strains.

But how do we know this for sure?  I mean, maybe we're all walking around with long-term neurologic deficits that we just call "normal life" and "normal aging" that are instead partially the result and accumulation of colds we've had over our lifetimes.  It would be interesting to find an adult that had never had a cold and see how their brain might differ.  But does such a person exist?

Obviously no one's developing any major deficits over one simple cold, that would probably be noticeable.  But it's interesting to contemplate whether there are small impacts - smaller than from COVID, like the severity of a cold is typically lower than COVID. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on March 09, 2022, 08:04:12 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?

Other common cold strains aren't associated with long-term neurologic deficits, so there was no incentive to study this. So I'd say very few strains.

But how do we know this for sure?  I mean, maybe we're all walking around with long-term neurologic deficits that we just call "normal life" and "normal aging" that are instead partially the result and accumulation of colds we've had over our lifetimes.  It would be interesting to find an adult that had never had a cold and see how their brain might differ.  But does such a person exist?

Obviously no one's developing any major deficits over one simple cold, that would probably be noticeable.  But it's interesting to contemplate whether there are small impacts - smaller than from COVID, like the severity of a cold is typically lower than COVID.

Regarding the bolded, that wouldn't be a good experiment. Too many potential confounding factors due to other differences between people.

The study published in Nature is well designed in terms of controls. They studied paired brain scans from the same people: one scan taken before COVID, the other taken after COVID. That eliminates potential confounders such as sex, age, previous infection history, comorbid disease, socioeconomic status, education, living environment, etc. The researchers found significant changes in a within-subject comparison from before to after COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on March 09, 2022, 10:36:33 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

And I read this last week:

https://www.independent.com/2022/02/27/enduring-long-covid/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on March 10, 2022, 10:50:21 AM
I'm wondering if expensive gasoline will return people to WFH?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 10, 2022, 10:55:45 AM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?

Other common cold strains aren't associated with long-term neurologic deficits, so there was no incentive to study this. So I'd say very few strains.

But how do we know this for sure?  I mean, maybe we're all walking around with long-term neurologic deficits that we just call "normal life" and "normal aging" that are instead partially the result and accumulation of colds we've had over our lifetimes.  It would be interesting to find an adult that had never had a cold and see how their brain might differ.  But does such a person exist?

Obviously no one's developing any major deficits over one simple cold, that would probably be noticeable.  But it's interesting to contemplate whether there are small impacts - smaller than from COVID, like the severity of a cold is typically lower than COVID.

Regarding the bolded, that wouldn't be a good experiment. Too many potential confounding factors due to other differences between people.

The study published in Nature is well designed in terms of controls. They studied paired brain scans from the same people: one scan taken before COVID, the other taken after COVID. That eliminates potential confounders such as sex, age, previous infection history, comorbid disease, socioeconomic status, education, living environment, etc. The researchers found significant changes in a within-subject comparison from before to after COVID.

That does not rule out that other coronaviruses do not shrink your brain... which is what I am saying we do not know.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on March 10, 2022, 11:29:33 AM
That does not rule out that other coronaviruses do not shrink your brain... which is what I am saying we do not know.

Or any other number of ailments or alien substances that we are exposed to on a daily basis that have concerning effect on overall public health. Like, what are the effects of the constant wildfires in the west? Or HFCF in our food? Or rising CO2 levels?

COVID-19 may in fact have perpetual and significant long term effects. But the level of scrutiny that it is being exposed to is magnitudes above others in the public and scientific community makes it difficult to actually asses risk. It is certainly a concern in a general sense because of the high transmission rates, but it is much more difficult to tell if it is a concern on an individual level.

That's not to say that it's isn't a concern, it's just saying that the public and internet at large isn't great at managing this in real time. It feeds on fear and outrage, two things which pandemics have in spades.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on March 10, 2022, 12:00:38 PM
A charming little article here that even mild covid can shrink your brain -

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04569-5

I'm still wearing a mask when shopping etc.

Makes me wonder how many other common cold strains do the exact same thing but no one did brain scans in the past to notice?

Other common cold strains aren't associated with long-term neurologic deficits, so there was no incentive to study this. So I'd say very few strains.

But how do we know this for sure?  I mean, maybe we're all walking around with long-term neurologic deficits that we just call "normal life" and "normal aging" that are instead partially the result and accumulation of colds we've had over our lifetimes.  It would be interesting to find an adult that had never had a cold and see how their brain might differ.  But does such a person exist?

Obviously no one's developing any major deficits over one simple cold, that would probably be noticeable.  But it's interesting to contemplate whether there are small impacts - smaller than from COVID, like the severity of a cold is typically lower than COVID.

Regarding the bolded, that wouldn't be a good experiment. Too many potential confounding factors due to other differences between people.

The study published in Nature is well designed in terms of controls. They studied paired brain scans from the same people: one scan taken before COVID, the other taken after COVID. That eliminates potential confounders such as sex, age, previous infection history, comorbid disease, socioeconomic status, education, living environment, etc. The researchers found significant changes in a within-subject comparison from before to after COVID.

That does not rule out that other coronaviruses do not shrink your brain... which is what I am saying we do not know.

Correct, it does not rule that out. An appropriate experiment would be to look at matched pairs of brain scans of people before and after they were infected with one of those other coronaviruses.

What we have is a natural infectious disease epidemiology experiment involving a novel and highly infectious coronavirus, and a well-controlled dataset that demonstrates that this coronavirus does cause at least short- to medium-term deleterious effects in the brain. It would be interesting to see whether it has similar effects throughout the CNS or in peripheral nerves, and whether these effects cause longer-term or permanent damage. But we do not yet have those data, and the fact that we do not yet have longitudinal data over a longer period does not negate the data that we do have.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on March 11, 2022, 08:11:16 AM
I'm wondering if expensive gasoline will return people to WFH?

Some anecdata from Phoenix metro area:  we're seeing rush hour traffic at 90% of pre-Covid levels, so I think that all of those people who were working from home during the pandemic and insisted they'd never return to the office have, in fact, returned to the office. 
The corporations around here have decided it's time and employees seem to be complying vs. quitting to find that magical WFH job. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NorthernIkigai on March 12, 2022, 12:03:12 AM
I'm wondering if expensive gasoline will return people to WFH?

Some anecdata from Phoenix metro area:  we're seeing rush hour traffic at 90% of pre-Covid levels, so I think that all of those people who were working from home during the pandemic and insisted they'd never return to the office have, in fact, returned to the office. 
The corporations around here have decided it's time and employees seem to be complying vs. quitting to find that magical WFH job.

Did more than 10% of people really insist that at the time? To me, rush hour traffic being at 90% (and assuming employment is higher than before, as it is in many places, or at least not lower) proves exactly the point you think it disproves.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on March 12, 2022, 08:23:01 AM
I'm wondering if expensive gasoline will return people to WFH?

Some anecdata from Phoenix metro area:  we're seeing rush hour traffic at 90% of pre-Covid levels, so I think that all of those people who were working from home during the pandemic and insisted they'd never return to the office have, in fact, returned to the office. 
The corporations around here have decided it's time and employees seem to be complying vs. quitting to find that magical WFH job.

Did more than 10% of people really insist that at the time? To me, rush hour traffic being at 90% (and assuming employment is higher than before, as it is in many places, or at least not lower) proves exactly the point you think it disproves.

I admit I may be biased from reading generic articles in different media, along with hearing from some 30somethings that I know how much they loved WFH and were trying everything to not go back to the office.   I'm curious to see what this looks like 6 months - 1 year from now.

And of course as more things open up that require in-person employees:  public facilities, non-emergency medical, restaurants, shops, etc. then more traffic will be generated.  If rush hour traffic never increases beyond the 90% it's still fine, but my guess is we'll see it back to pre-Covid levels here in the near future.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 12, 2022, 10:47:41 AM
Mask free day in WA!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on March 12, 2022, 12:41:54 PM
Bizarrely the mask mandate expired at the beginning of the month, and yet I’m still seeing people in stores wearing masks but with them pulled down under their noses. Why??? Just don’t wear a mask if you don’t want to wear a mask…

Depending on the time of day, I’d say about 75% of people are wearing masks inside, but I go when it’s mostly old people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on March 12, 2022, 01:05:16 PM
Bizarrely the mask mandate expired at the beginning of the month, and yet I’m still seeing people in stores wearing masks but with them pulled down under their noses.

I've (recently) seen people outside with their masks under their noses- this was at a large park so it wasn't like they were going in and out of buildings. It makes no sense... and really shows how many people are using masks (either pro- or anti-) as group signaling rather than some kind of rationalized public good. Thoroughly disappointing how we can be so easily manipulated as a species. I'm sure I'm guilty of it too in ways I'm unaware of, which is the most disappointing part.

I had a really hard time not asking them why- because I was genuinely curious. I don't really care other than I'm curious if there is a reason that I'm missing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: skp on March 12, 2022, 01:34:59 PM
Bizarrely the mask mandate expired at the beginning of the month, and yet I’m still seeing people in stores wearing masks but with them pulled down under their noses.

I've (recently) seen people outside with their masks under their noses- this was at a large park so it wasn't like they were going in and out of buildings. It makes no sense... and really shows how many people are using masks (either pro- or anti-) as group signaling rather than some kind of rationalized public good. Thoroughly disappointing how we can be so easily manipulated as a species. I'm sure I'm guilty of it too in ways I'm unaware of, which is the most disappointing part.

I had a really hard time not asking them why- because I was genuinely curious. I don't really care other than I'm curious if there is a reason that I'm missing.
I'll take a stab at it.  When covid was at its prime, I'd wear my mask like that sometimes outside when I was at a crowded outdoor area so that I could put it back on when I came upon other people.     Even, now I'll wear my mask (correctly though) on occasion outside.   I have to wear a mask at work.   There have been times when I leave work and walk to my car still having my mask on.  I've worn it all day and forget I have it on. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FIRE Artist on March 12, 2022, 02:19:51 PM
Bizarrely the mask mandate expired at the beginning of the month, and yet I’m still seeing people in stores wearing masks but with them pulled down under their noses.

I've (recently) seen people outside with their masks under their noses- this was at a large park so it wasn't like they were going in and out of buildings. It makes no sense... and really shows how many people are using masks (either pro- or anti-) as group signaling rather than some kind of rationalized public good. Thoroughly disappointing how we can be so easily manipulated as a species. I'm sure I'm guilty of it too in ways I'm unaware of, which is the most disappointing part.

I had a really hard time not asking them why- because I was genuinely curious. I don't really care other than I'm curious if there is a reason that I'm missing.
I'll take a stab at it.  When covid was at its prime, I'd wear my mask like that sometimes outside when I was at a crowded outdoor area so that I could put it back on when I came upon other people.     Even, now I'll wear my mask (correctly though) on occasion outside.   I have to wear a mask at work.   There have been times when I leave work and walk to my car still having my mask on.  I've worn it all day and forget I have it on.

Yep, this.  I am also guilty of lazily pulling it down off my nose due to being an eyeglass wearer procedure masks fog up  my glasses.  I also have a longish walk from my car to my work where I have to wear a mask, I always put on my mask in my car to minimize the hassle at the door checkpoint.  I can assure anyone interested that I am not practicing in any kind of secret “group signalling”.

If anyone truly is “ Thoroughly disappointing how we can be so easily manipulated as a species.” (seriously, how overly dramatic can you be?), wait until you learn about the human drive to keep up with the Joneses.   Now that is a fucking problem. 

I think what disappoints me about all of this is how often I encounter asinine comments about the intelligence of mask wearers, speculation about their having been manipulated into wearing masks, comments about being sheep, hypothesizing about it being a dog whistle to like minded people to whom one wants to “virtue signal”.  Seriously these folks need to get a life and stop worrying about what others are choosing to wear on their face. 

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on March 12, 2022, 04:30:23 PM
I wear a mask outside still because it’s still very cold here (it was 4° F this morning.) it’s much, much more comfortable to wear a mask. If I get warned up I’ll pull it down, though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on March 13, 2022, 12:09:09 AM
Bizarrely the mask mandate expired at the beginning of the month, and yet I’m still seeing people in stores wearing masks but with them pulled down under their noses.

I've (recently) seen people outside with their masks under their noses- this was at a large park so it wasn't like they were going in and out of buildings. It makes no sense... and really shows how many people are using masks (either pro- or anti-) as group signaling rather than some kind of rationalized public good. Thoroughly disappointing how we can be so easily manipulated as a species. I'm sure I'm guilty of it too in ways I'm unaware of, which is the most disappointing part.

I had a really hard time not asking them why- because I was genuinely curious. I don't really care other than I'm curious if there is a reason that I'm missing.
The other day I put on my mask outside because it was cold. Pulled it under my nose because I didn’t need that level of warmth. I’m gonna miss masks in winter - so much lighter weight and easier to tuck away than a scarf!

I was talking to someone recently who was shaking their head about people wearing masks in their cars. I gently pointed out that
a) sometimes ppl forget to take them off and
b) sometimes ppl are going from stop to stop and it’s just easier to leave the masks in place rather than taking them on and off multiple times

It was a lightbulb moment.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on March 13, 2022, 06:51:50 AM
I wear a mask outside still because it’s still very cold here (it was 4° F this morning.) it’s much, much more comfortable to wear a mask. If I get warned up I’ll pull it down, though.
Yup! Spouse was complaining she had forgotten her scarf on a walk but then realized “oh wait, I e got my mask!” 
I’m glad the pandemic put a ton of innovation into making quality, comfortable and effective masks. Because of work I frequently have to wear them (not because of Covid, but from contamination issues). And our climate makes mask-wearing sensible during the bitterly cold days.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: Watchmaker on March 13, 2022, 11:16:42 AM
I’m gonna miss masks in winter

There's no reason you can't keep wearing a mask whenever you want. I really don't like scarves, so I will definitely make use of a mask outside in winter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on March 13, 2022, 12:27:23 PM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on March 13, 2022, 02:19:33 PM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Depends on if there were zero all year before
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on March 13, 2022, 02:27:15 PM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Depends on if there were zero all year before
There were indeed zero reported cases in this class from Sept 2021 until last week.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on March 13, 2022, 07:28:33 PM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Improbable things happen all the time. However, this is likely not a coincidence.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on March 14, 2022, 06:01:37 AM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Improbable things happen all the time. However, this is likely not a coincidence.

 Hard to know. Our schools went mask optional back in October. We had an increase in cases in the period after Thanksgiving and after Christmas and most, if not all of them were related to the parents getting COVID first. (we have a very small private school so it's pretty easy to track all this) So it seems that even without masks it didn't spread at school, it spread from adults at home to kids.
So in your case the cases might be coming from the parents doing less mask wearing and in general returning to more normalcy which lead to them getting COVID and the kids then getting it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on March 14, 2022, 08:54:18 AM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Improbable things happen all the time. However, this is likely not a coincidence.

 Hard to know. Our schools went mask optional back in October. We had an increase in cases in the period after Thanksgiving and after Christmas and most, if not all of them were related to the parents getting COVID first. (we have a very small private school so it's pretty easy to track all this) So it seems that even without masks it didn't spread at school, it spread from adults at home to kids.
So in your case the cases might be coming from the parents doing less mask wearing and in general returning to more normalcy which lead to them getting COVID and the kids then getting it.

My daughter now has Covid, and two members of the family (including me) now have sore throats and fatigue, though currently negative. I didn't change my life; this is definitely from the school.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on March 14, 2022, 09:02:31 AM
Today is mask-free day at the schools.  We decided to have the kids keep them on in class for the time being while watching for upticks in community and school transmission.  We told them that they can take them off whenever outdoors, or during an activity where the masks hamper the experience (e.g. PE and theater).  Going 100% to zero was too big of a leap for us, so we'll monitor for a bit. 

Outdoor masking was apparently only a thing at the school due to convenience - kids misplacing their masks.  Hopefully ours will keep track of theirs.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on March 14, 2022, 09:59:29 AM
Masks have been optional at school since the beginning of the school year here, with very few kids wearing them. My daughter wore hers for the first part of the year, until she was able to be vaccinated, and she was one of only 2 kids in her class of 20 who was doing so. We let her stop wearing hers after she was vaccinated, because the one other kid in her class stopped wearing his around the same time.

At the beginning of the school year, during Delta, cases at our school were CRAZY. There were times that over 25% of my daughter's class was out, major teacher shortages, etc. It's hard to say whether the transmission was occurring at school or at home, though, because our community cases were also crazy. Omicron didn't hit nearly as hard in our schools... I'm not sure whether that's because everyone had just had it, or because people had given up on testing.

As far as we know, our daughter never got it from school. I test her with a rapid test at any sign of sniffles/fatigue/etc., and she's also had several PCR tests, when she was sick enough to warrant a pediatrician visit.

(I had COVID back in 2020, when tests were only available through hospital or urgent care. We think my husband also had it, because he was the only one of us who was leaving the house. Our daughter never had signs, so we never had her tested... unsure whether she had it or not.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on March 14, 2022, 12:49:25 PM
Schools are mask free today.  My kids have them in their backpacks.  They don't have to wear them.

I hope I don't regret it ... last week they both tested negative, but spring break is next week.  If they get sick I'll be pissed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on April 05, 2022, 04:53:34 PM
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Improbable things happen all the time. However, this is likely not a coincidence.

 Hard to know. Our schools went mask optional back in October. We had an increase in cases in the period after Thanksgiving and after Christmas and most, if not all of them were related to the parents getting COVID first. (we have a very small private school so it's pretty easy to track all this) So it seems that even without masks it didn't spread at school, it spread from adults at home to kids.
So in your case the cases might be coming from the parents doing less mask wearing and in general returning to more normalcy which lead to them getting COVID and the kids then getting it.
We got covid from my daughter's class.  It was tracked from one kid in her class to home.  She tested positive, then my husband and I and then my older daughter.
The CDC ran a study and it does show that masking in schools helps decrease COVID infections.  https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7110e1.htm?s_cid=mm7110e1_w
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on April 05, 2022, 05:25:38 PM
So, someone in my house finally got Covid! Maybe from the gym?

Anyway, everyone in our house is vaxed, and the adults are boosted, and no one else ever tested positive. The health dept. said we didn’t even have to stay home. We did break out the reserve of N95 masks, and we used up our supply of free tests.

Honestly, I’m a lot less worried at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on April 05, 2022, 05:40:27 PM
Completely back to normal in our house. Finally stopped getting hives from my booster reaction. (My doctor said not to even consider another booster for a year since it did such a number on my immune system) We’ve put away all the masks finally. Going to Disney in a week. We will all likely get it at some point but I feel that the vaccines offer enough protection and we’ll be fine.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on April 05, 2022, 07:54:11 PM
We’re back to mostly normal. Husband is working from home full-time due to changes at his company, but we’ve been going out. Last weekend was a visit to the museum and restaurant dinner, a couple of weeks ago was a big community function. We’ll mask if needed but aren’t doing it as a regular practice.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on April 05, 2022, 08:00:44 PM
If your family is vaccinated and immunocompetent, I would not worry at this point. Anti-vaxxers will die pointlessly, and immunocompromised people should continue precautions. I work with a lot of immunocompromised people so continue to take significant precautions, as I hope other healthcare workers will.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: stoaX on April 06, 2022, 05:31:23 AM
Here's an indication of normalcy where I live:

The 7 day average for new cases is zero in my county and it's been about a month since our last covid death. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on April 06, 2022, 07:39:07 AM
Hospitalizations in Ontario are on the upswing. But that’s to be expected since most restrictions were lifted a few weeks ago. In light of that, I upgraded to a N95 mask.

We are starting to get closer to normal life though. I’ve gone back to Aquafit classes 3 times a week and we have people over for dinner more often now. We are flying next week for the first time to go to Vancouver Island. Mostly cottages and hiking so little exposure though.

All 3 of us are higher risk here (we do have all 3 shots) so we’re still very cautious and in wait and see mode. Going to give it more time before we return to larger group settings. And probably even longer before we unmask (mostly because I don’t consider it a big deal to slap on a mask every now and then). That said, I don’t mask when I socialize with small groups as I have already accepted the risk of prolonged close contact at that point.


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Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OtherJen on April 06, 2022, 08:32:04 AM
The mayor of Detroit just tested positive. I sincerely hope that vaccination enables him to fare better than the former mayor of my suburb, who died of COVID before the vaccine was available, or the former mayor of the neighboring suburb, who became ill in the first wave, developed long COVID, and never fully recovered.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on April 06, 2022, 08:34:52 AM
Here's an indication of normalcy where I live:

The 7 day average for new cases is zero in my county and it's been about a month since our last covid death.

Here's an indication for me... I haven't even looked at the number of cases/deaths in my county for at least a month
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on April 06, 2022, 09:34:16 AM
I'm still masking in indoor public spaces....just in case I guess. 

I got back from a trip a few weeks ago where I ended up spending almost 24 hours at airports (ugh) and about 5 days later I thought I felt...not even something I could call a "tickle" in my throat, but we're all hyper-aware and a bit paranoid now, right?  Both DH and I remarked on how we had really tough workouts that week, like stuff that should not have been quite so tough.  And I tested negative.  I can't help but suspect that it was a false negative, but not sure what the chances are that both of us would be practically asymptomatic.  We may never know unless we stumble into an antibody test.

In a little over a month we have a big trip planned.  We're going to sort of isolate for about 10 days before the flight.  Masks at grocery stores and we'll forego restaurants and performances that we've been doing recently.  The logistical hassle is just not worth it, even if there was no question of how sick we or other people could get.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on April 06, 2022, 09:40:29 AM
We're still mostly being careful while watching the trends.  We have a couple of people in our orbit (kids' friends) who are severely immunocompromised.  While we could certainly cut those people off, we're willing to keep doing the little things like masking indoors.  We are opening up our activities quite a bit, though...just keeping the masks on in public, indoor places.  We have been keeping them off when having friends over.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on April 06, 2022, 10:37:36 AM
Quote
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Depends on if there were zero all year before
There were indeed zero reported cases in this class from Sept 2021 until last week.
In the end, we had 6 children in the class who came down with Covid between 3/7-3/14, including my own child. I am beyond angry, and hoping that we will not see long term effects. The masks went back on in that classroom and they offered remote lessons.

Since then, classes in the school are being hit a few at a time.  My friend's daughter missed the state swimming championship because she had Covid. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on April 06, 2022, 12:13:58 PM
Two weeks ago at Costco probably 50-60% of people had masks on. A couple of days ago it was about 20%. It's about the same at Church - maybe 10-20% of people wearing masks last Sunday.

Our kids just started track and field and there were 1-2 kids at the meet wearing masks - and trying to run. I'm sorry but that's just asinine no matter how you cut it. I saw a handful of adults with masks on but it was maybe five people out of a few hundred at the meet.

Everything has been completely back to normal for us since the state lifted the mask mandate last month. I just checked the case counts map for the first time in a few weeks and it's down to about 100-150 cases per day in the whole state.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on April 07, 2022, 07:22:32 AM
Quote
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Depends on if there were zero all year before
There were indeed zero reported cases in this class from Sept 2021 until last week.
In the end, we had 6 children in the class who came down with Covid between 3/7-3/14, including my own child. I am beyond angry, and hoping that we will not see long term effects. The masks went back on in that classroom and they offered remote lessons.

Since then, classes in the school are being hit a few at a time.  My friend's daughter missed the state swimming championship because she had Covid.

I'm sorry @Poundwise.  Hoping your child has a light case.  The same thing happened to us - daycare removed masks over the summer right after the holiday weekend and 25 came down with COVID, 7 in my kid's classroom including my kid.  My husband still worries the reason our kid sometimes has trouble finding words (that he didn't think was an issue before) is COVID related.  We were super angry, particularly when the director told us "no one could have predicted this".  Actually, I did.  In fact, I reached out 4 different times (immediately on getting the mask email with no warning, on pickup that day almost in tears, scheduled a call with the owner, and an email when guidance came out by APA) to try to explain why this is a bad idea.  At this least time they are keeping them until mid-May.  I am fervently hoping the kids will be able to have at least one vaccination by then.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on April 07, 2022, 08:37:37 AM
Quote
Masks went optional in our schools two weeks ago. Most kids went mask free as soon as possible. Now my daughter's class had 3 positive test results out of 25 kids (one March 7, two March 10). Coincidence?

Depends on if there were zero all year before
There were indeed zero reported cases in this class from Sept 2021 until last week.
In the end, we had 6 children in the class who came down with Covid between 3/7-3/14, including my own child. I am beyond angry, and hoping that we will not see long term effects. The masks went back on in that classroom and they offered remote lessons.

Since then, classes in the school are being hit a few at a time.  My friend's daughter missed the state swimming championship because she had Covid.

I'm sorry @Poundwise.  Hoping your child has a light case.  The same thing happened to us - daycare removed masks over the summer right after the holiday weekend and 25 came down with COVID, 7 in my kid's classroom including my kid.  My husband still worries the reason our kid sometimes has trouble finding words (that he didn't think was an issue before) is COVID related.  We were super angry, particularly when the director told us "no one could have predicted this".  Actually, I did.  In fact, I reached out 4 different times (immediately on getting the mask email with no warning, on pickup that day almost in tears, scheduled a call with the owner, and an email when guidance came out by APA) to try to explain why this is a bad idea.  At this least time they are keeping them until mid-May.  I am fervently hoping the kids will be able to have at least one vaccination by then.
I have this issue, with words I have used for decades since I was infected with COVID.  And I agree with you, we all could have predicted this.  People are choosing this and then wanting to pretend it is not the obvious reaction.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on April 07, 2022, 08:40:02 AM
Consequences of unmasking: Overseas airlines are having to cancel hundreds of flights as they grapple with coronavirus-related staffing shortages weeks after they ditched rules requiring passengers and staff to mask up in the air. 
 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/flights-canceled-covid-mask-rules-airlines/
This pandemic is not gone, and by unmasking we are just making it worse and decreasing the time between variants and increase the time in this pandemic. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on April 07, 2022, 09:28:41 AM
Consequences of unmasking: Overseas airlines are having to cancel hundreds of flights as they grapple with coronavirus-related staffing shortages weeks after they ditched rules requiring passengers and staff to mask up in the air. 
 https://www.cbsnews.com/news/flights-canceled-covid-mask-rules-airlines/
This pandemic is not gone, and by unmasking we are just making it worse and decreasing the time between variants and increase the time in this pandemic.

Yeah, but it's marginally more fun for people flying on vacation.  So . . . even trade I guess?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on April 07, 2022, 09:36:13 AM
Just flew back from visiting kiddo last week.  Very glad masks were still in effect at that point.

I'll be wearing a mask whenever on public transit from here on out.  I'm not wearing them outside around other people at this point, but in close quarters with folks who may or may not have vaccines/or even other random germs, yep - likely to still be wearing it.  Still wearing it to shop as well, but have gone back to bringing it down for facial recognition on my phone rather than my phone password getting recorded on store security cameras.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on April 07, 2022, 09:54:55 AM
We have eased up a lot on mask mandates but they are still required on public transport.   I wish they were still required in grocery stores and really any store since we have to stand in line.  My N95s are in use.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on April 07, 2022, 10:12:30 AM
I was glad the mask rules on flights were still in place when I went to Hawaii last month.  They still had masking indoors, too (last state to drop), and a requirement to prove vaccination status or pcr test results in order to avoid a mandatory quarantine upon stepping foot in the state.  Masking on flights is a minor nuisance compared to getting sick and having to quarantine on vacation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on April 07, 2022, 10:14:54 AM
Also, I have 2 different friends in 2 different parts of the USA who both had COVID hit their households this past week.  Home testing and mild infections means that there are a large number of cases going uncounted.  In one case they are pretty sure it was from eating in the break room at work, the other thinks it came from eating at a restaurant while on vacation.  Both of these friends have vaccinated households and have been wearing masks inside to successfully prevent it from spreading to other family members.

I'll still be wearing my masks indoors -- such as going to vote earlier this week -- didn't wear it walking there and back, but did wear it inside. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on April 07, 2022, 10:16:02 AM
Watching the COVID trend numbers. If they start going back up we'll get more cautious. Our kids have had it, DW and I didn't - somehow and we were tested.

Everyone we know seems to be back to normal and there is alot of pent up urgency to go all the places among the friends. We couldn't keep up with their mileage even before COVID.

DW and I are happiest at home with occasional adventures out among the people. Eager for warmer weather so we can go for a float with the kayaks. Want to go hiking. Visiting to a craft/antiques fair on Sat. No masks. Maybe a beach trip later this year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: YttriumNitrate on April 07, 2022, 10:21:33 AM
At this point, it seems like it's a foregone conclusion that eventually everyone will get Covid, it's just a matter of when. I'm happy that the 5 and under shot will be available soon so there's a good chance my little one will be vaccinated when Covid eventually darkens my door.
https://www.nbcchicago.com/news/coronavirus/when-could-covid-vaccine-begin-for-kids-under-5-and-which-shot-is-best/2790418/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on April 07, 2022, 10:28:11 AM
One thing that does not yet seem normal is that so many businesses still have abbreviated hours. I ran an errand this morning and the store doesn’t open until 11 now. I had trouble scheduling a hair cut because the salon is now closed two days/week and has shorter hours overall.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on April 07, 2022, 10:39:10 AM
One thing that does not yet seem normal is that so many businesses still have abbreviated hours. I ran an errand this morning and the store doesn’t open until 11 now. I had trouble scheduling a hair cut because the salon is now closed two days/week and has shorter hours overall.

Businesses learned they can still bring in the same amount of revenue while keeping shorter hours so I don't see a lot of businesses going back to their previous operating hours.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on April 07, 2022, 10:59:05 AM
It's possible they are still dealing with some staffing shortages too.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on April 08, 2022, 09:35:22 PM
In the end, we had 6 children in the class who came down with Covid between 3/7-3/14, including my own child. I am beyond angry, and hoping that we will not see long term effects. The masks went back on in that classroom and they offered remote lessons.

Since then, classes in the school are being hit a few at a time.  My friend's daughter missed the state swimming championship because she had Covid.

I'm sorry @Poundwise.  Hoping your child has a light case.  The same thing happened to us - daycare removed masks over the summer right after the holiday weekend and 25 came down with COVID, 7 in my kid's classroom including my kid.  My husband still worries the reason our kid sometimes has trouble finding words (that he didn't think was an issue before) is COVID related.

Thank you, I hope your child is better too!  My daughter seemed to recover quickly but to me she seems a mite clumsier, and seems to have more trouble following simple directions, i.e. if you ask her to do two simple things, like put away a spice in the spice cabinet and get a different one, she'll do one thing wrong and forget the other thing.  She's usually a smart little girl, just seems a little less smart. :( There could be a lot of reasons she's being like this, though, so we'll give her time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: onward19 on April 08, 2022, 10:12:08 PM
The new variant seems to be hitting our area. In the last several days a significant number of people in our circle have come down with Covid. Several are quite sick with it too, children as well as adults.
  One family has two middle-school aged children, vaccinated, and both are sick. Sick enough that one was admitted to the hospital today for IV meds and observation, and the other child is going to be admitted if they haven't improved in the morning. So far the rest of the family hasn't tested positive. This whole family had Omicron back in late January.
  We are continuing with the N95 usage and limiting our time indoors in public.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on April 11, 2022, 05:50:40 PM
My 86 year old dad just got it, I'm shocked he hadn't had it because he's been going to coffee and church since June of 2020 and had several exposures to people who had it.  His health is really bad but it seems so far the covid is just causing him to cough. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on April 11, 2022, 07:20:43 PM
Several friends and relatives in their 80s, and even one woman we know who is 92, caught covid and all of them recovered and seem to be doing fine. Hopefully your dad will recover fully and quickly, as well, JoJo. Good luck.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on April 16, 2022, 07:15:08 PM

  One family has two middle-school aged children, vaccinated, and both are sick. Sick enough that one was admitted to the hospital today for IV meds and observation, and the other child is going to be admitted if they haven't improved in the morning. So far the rest of the family hasn't tested positive. This whole family had Omicron back in late January.
  We are continuing with the N95 usage and limiting our time indoors in public.

This is quite concerning since as kids they are low risk and then they are vaxxed on top of that. Never fun when someone is ill enough to have to be admitted to hospital.

My antivax, anti-lockdown friend just got it. Although he still tells some people it is just a cold. Bad enough that despite his ultra healthy, vegan, barbells and salads stoked immune system, he has been on prescription strength cough meds and been spending the last 3 days sleeping. He says bad headaches, body aches, and a lot of coughing. The dummy had dinner with his family even when he started feeling sick, not telling them until the next day when his wife sent him off to isolate in the basement. His teen son will be so upset if he gets infected as he has a big tournament next week.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: getmoneyeatpizza on April 17, 2022, 12:05:13 PM
I got Omicron in January from youngest kid. Was boosted in late September. Still have fatigue, terrible sleep and can't exercise. 3 months later I'm no better. COVID sucks. I wish I could "get back to normal"
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on April 18, 2022, 12:01:51 AM
I got Omicron in January from youngest kid. Was boosted in late September. Still have fatigue, terrible sleep and can't exercise. 3 months later I'm no better. COVID sucks. I wish I could "get back to normal"
Oh no. I would have thought the vaccine + booster would have protected you from long Covid :( That stinks :(

I had what may have been covid (or just regular pneumonia) back in January 2020 and was in bed for 4 months with fatigue. Stayed short of breath for a long time after.

Before, I went on 2-3 hr hikes no problems. A year later, I could manage an hour or so. Now, almost 2.5 years later, I can finally hike 2-3 hrs again although still have to pace myself as I can’t go-go-go all day long anymore. Still haven’t gotten back to 3hrs in the pool but that’s partly conditioning.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on April 19, 2022, 09:15:04 AM
A great tool for assessing risk by age at this point: https://www.covidtaser.com/comparison-mobile6

Article on relative risk, very understandable: https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/understanding-risk

Finally an understandable guideline on when to stop masking:
Quote
"With the most vulnerable people in mind, Dr. Jeremy Faust, an emergency physician at Brigham and Women’s Hospital in Boston, set out last month to determine how low cases would have to fall for people to stop indoor masking without endangering those with extremely weakened immune systems.
He imagined a hypothetical person who derived no benefit from vaccines, wore a good mask, took hard-to-get prophylactic medication, attended occasional gatherings and shopped but did not work in person. He set his sights on keeping vulnerable people’s chances of being infected below 1 percent over a four-month period.
To achieve that threshold, he found, the country would have to keep masking indoors until transmission fell below 50 weekly cases per 100,000 people — a stricter limit than the C.D.C. is currently using, but one that he said nevertheless offered a benchmark to aim for."
From https://nyti.ms/3JYKtui
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 08, 2022, 07:56:55 AM
If anything needs to be mandated it's that everyone needs to spend a day outside, get some sunburn, eat an orange, run a mile, 50 pushups. I am not wearing a mask ever again unless extreme circumstances occur.
The booster shot is marginally effective for a couple months and useless after that. Also small chance of serious side effects for your 2 months of effectiveness.
Natural immunity is superior, despite what liars will tell you. This is was true for the entirety of the pandemic, and even more so now that the virus has evolved into new strains. the vaccine is based on the original strain. Let's say you caught delta or omicron, there is no benefit for you getting a booster after that.
Live a little! It's a slippery slope to wear masks for others "health" how far do you want to extend this logic?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on June 08, 2022, 09:28:16 AM
If anything needs to be mandated it's that everyone needs to spend a day outside, get some sunburn, eat an orange, run a mile, 50 pushups. I am not wearing a mask ever again unless extreme circumstances occur.
The booster shot is marginally effective for a couple months and useless after that. Also small chance of serious side effects for your 2 months of effectiveness.
Natural immunity is superior, despite what liars will tell you. This is was true for the entirety of the pandemic, and even more so now that the virus has evolved into new strains. the vaccine is based on the original strain. Let's say you caught delta or omicron, there is no benefit for you getting a booster after that.
Live a little! It's a slippery slope to wear masks for others "health" how far do you want to extend this logic?
I'm guessing you are not old enough to be in that risk group.  And 50 pushups probably means male and not disabled.  Congratulations on being in the group least likely to have serious illness or long term effects from covid.  Please recognise that not all of us are so fortunate.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on June 08, 2022, 10:46:42 AM
Wow, ok.  Natural immunity can cost you dearly, if you survive.  My unvaccinated parents in their mid-sixties nearly did not survive delta last year and still have ongoing cognitive issues 10 months later.  Mobility issues lasted several months and they still are unable to work.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on June 08, 2022, 10:53:19 AM
The new normal at my gov workplace is "mandatory masks".
We wear them walking in/out of building, or in hallways, or breakroom, or going to the #1/#2 biz room.
Otherwise, take them off at desks. Haven't seen/heard a peep in opposition.
Everyone has to wear, irrespective of vaccination status.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 08, 2022, 11:25:06 AM
Wow, ok.  Natural immunity can cost you dearly, if you survive.  My unvaccinated parents in their mid-sixties nearly did not survive delta last year and still have ongoing cognitive issues 10 months later.  Mobility issues lasted several months and they still are unable to work.

Natural immunity to me means you have had Covid already. Best to your parents. Sounds like they did not previously catch covid before delta.

I'm just saying this focus on boosters is false and misleading, particularly if you have already had covid, ie natural immunity.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 08, 2022, 11:27:02 AM
The new normal at my gov workplace is "mandatory masks".
We wear them walking in/out of building, or in hallways, or breakroom, or going to the #1/#2 biz room.
Otherwise, take them off at desks. Haven't seen/heard a peep in opposition.
Everyone has to wear, irrespective of vaccination status.

Sounds like you need to retire early! These policies are a joke, especially if they allow cloth masks. What happens if you refuse?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on June 08, 2022, 11:31:05 AM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on June 08, 2022, 01:29:14 PM
My DD and SiL went to a wedding a few weeks ago.  Totally outside.  There was a dance floor.  Almost everyone there got Covid, including the bride and groom, and DD and SiL (and their baby once they got home).  Late 20s, early 30s.  Not sick enough to go to the hospital but sick enough to really need to stay home and recover.  DD still tires easily a few weeks later.  Reminds me of when I had pneumonia in my early 40s, sick for a month, tired for another month.  Not life-threatening, but definitely not trivial.

I'm in an at-risk age group and have crappy lungs (never smoked, fyi) so I am still wearing my N95 when I go out in public places - indoors, and outside when there are lots of people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: YttriumNitrate on June 08, 2022, 01:37:34 PM
I'm guessing you are not old enough to be in that risk group.  And 50 pushups probably means male and not disabled.  Congratulations on being in the group least likely to have serious illness or long term effects from covid.  Please recognise that not all of us are so fortunate.
The global death rate of males for Covid is about 50% higher than females.
https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2021/10/19/at-least-65000-more-men-than-women-have-died-from-covid-19-in-the-us/ (https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2021/10/19/at-least-65000-more-men-than-women-have-died-from-covid-19-in-the-us/)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 08, 2022, 02:04:06 PM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on June 08, 2022, 02:11:26 PM
Wearing seat belts is not normal.
Having air bags is not normal.
Having anti-lock brakes is not normal.
Getting vaccinated against disease is not normal.
Washing your hands is not normal.
Public education is not normal.

We should not be doing any of these things!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on June 08, 2022, 02:13:24 PM
I've always prided myself on a persistent streak of abnormality.  :P
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on June 08, 2022, 02:44:24 PM
Wow, ok.  Natural immunity can cost you dearly, if you survive.  My unvaccinated parents in their mid-sixties nearly did not survive delta last year and still have ongoing cognitive issues 10 months later.  Mobility issues lasted several months and they still are unable to work.

Natural immunity to me means you have had Covid already. Best to your parents. Sounds like they did not previously catch covid before delta.

I'm just saying this focus on boosters is false and misleading, particularly if you have already had covid, ie natural immunity.

I think your suppositions about infection-based immunity are a bit out of date.  In review articles I've read, infection-based immunity was indeed associated with a stronger immune response than a two-shot MRNA vaccine during the delta wave.  However, it was inferior during OG Covid and Alpha, and comparable to unboosted MRNA during Omicron.  Boosted vaccines were initially shown to be significantly better than infection-based immunity during the first part of Omicron, though I haven't done another literature survey to see how those numbers have evolved through the subvariants.  However, I did see this in a recent publication of Nature:

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-022-04865-0

"Limited cross-variant immunity from SARS-CoV-2 Omicron without vaccination"

“In the unvaccinated population, an infection with Omicron might be roughly equivalent to getting one shot of a vaccine,” says Melanie Ott, MD, PhD, director of the Gladstone Institute of Virology and co-senior author of the new work. “It confers a little bit of protection against COVID-19, but it’s not very broad.”

“This research underscores the importance of staying current with your vaccinations, even if you have previously been infected with the Omicron variant, as you are still likely vulnerable to re-infection,” says co-senior author Jennifer Doudna, PhD, who is a senior investigator at Gladstone, a professor at UC Berkeley, founder of the Innovative Genomics Institute, and an investigator of the Howard Hughes Medical Institute.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 08, 2022, 03:24:21 PM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that
For 20 minutes while grocery shopping?  While on a plane?  Meh...I mean, I work in semiconductors, so for 20 years (before I got a desk job), I wore a medical-grade mask (along with a full on cleanroom suit), almost all day every day.  It's...no big deal?

Quote
If anything needs to be mandated it's that everyone needs to spend a day outside, get some sunburn, eat an orange, run a mile, 50 pushups.

Funny that...

http://34.74.164.53/news/health-news/former-marathon-runner-39-mistook-long-covid-symptoms-for-heart-attack-dangers/

https://www.independent.com/2022/02/27/enduring-long-covid/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sailinlight on June 08, 2022, 09:36:03 PM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that
You're not going to convince anyone here of this point...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on June 09, 2022, 08:40:13 AM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that

I've always been a rebel! ;-) I have quite liked not getting colds, and since wearing a mask has zero problems for me, I'm good with the New Normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on June 09, 2022, 09:32:26 AM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on June 09, 2022, 09:34:47 AM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that

I've always been a rebel! ;-) I have quite liked not getting colds, and since wearing a mask has zero problems for me, I'm good with the New Normal.

I welcome a new normal where some people choose to wear masks and some don't depending on any number of factors.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 09, 2022, 12:30:27 PM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that

I've always been a rebel! ;-) I have quite liked not getting colds, and since wearing a mask has zero problems for me, I'm good with the New Normal.

I welcome a new normal where some people choose to wear masks and some don't depending on any number of factors.
And where people don't suddenly accuse anyone of wearing a mask of being "abnormal".  Or of mask wearing itself being "abnormal".

Funny thing, my officemate has been anti-mask for a very long time.  His household has had COVID twice (one of their kids is too young to be vaxxed, so it's really hard to avoid).  He also voted for Trump, but I digress.

We were chatting a few weeks ago about it, and the second time that the household got COVID, you know - he didn't come to work but he still had to go out and go grocery shopping, get meds, etc.  I myself had just gotten over a gnarly cold and my kids were sick the week before that, so I wore a mask every time I went out.  He said "I used to think people were totally stupid - why are you wearing a mask outdoors??  Then I got COVID the second time and realized...duh, maybe they are actually sick."

TLDR, you see me in a mask, it's fair to assume that someone in my house is sick, or I'm going to visit my friends/ relatives going through chemo.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on June 09, 2022, 12:31:01 PM
Dh and I had our 4th booster shot. We continue to wear masks inside any public place. There are about 10 million people with Covid around here, though most are young and it's been mild.

We continue to live quite normally, just with masks on inside. No problem.

You do you, but wearing masks is not normal, and we should not get used to that

I've always been a rebel! ;-) I have quite liked not getting colds, and since wearing a mask has zero problems for me, I'm good with the New Normal.

I welcome a new normal where some people choose to wear masks and some don't depending on any number of factors.

Me too.  Let people choose
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NoVa on June 09, 2022, 03:40:11 PM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on June 09, 2022, 03:58:28 PM
The new normal at my gov workplace is "mandatory masks".
We wear them walking in/out of building, or in hallways, or breakroom, or going to the #1/#2 biz room.
Otherwise, take them off at desks. Haven't seen/heard a peep in opposition.
Everyone has to wear, irrespective of vaccination status.

Sounds like you need to retire early! These policies are a joke, especially if they allow cloth masks. What happens if you refuse?

Not going to let a mask get in the way of a 6 figure job that's pretty easy and gets me closer to early retirement. We wore masks for a long time, and restrictions eased only this May. We knew re-masking orders were going to come (this is a military facility); local numbers have been going up.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on June 09, 2022, 07:02:56 PM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on June 09, 2022, 11:37:04 PM
My DD and SiL went to a wedding a few weeks ago.  Totally outside.  There was a dance floor.  Almost everyone there got Covid, including the bride and groom, and DD and SiL (and their baby once they got home).  Late 20s, early 30s.  Not sick enough to go to the hospital but sick enough to really need to stay home and recover.  DD still tires easily a few weeks later.  Reminds me of when I had pneumonia in my early 40s, sick for a month, tired for another month.  Not life-threatening, but definitely not trivial.

I'm in an at-risk age group and have crappy lungs (never smoked, fyi) so I am still wearing my N95 when I go out in public places - indoors, and outside when there are lots of people.
Oh no :( and here I am feeling pretty safe outdoors. We attended an outdoor wedding in May. Thankfully all was good but I guess it was riskier than I thought.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on June 10, 2022, 08:28:17 AM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!

Absolutely!  No pants for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Nick_Miller on June 10, 2022, 08:50:30 AM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!

That begs the obvious question! If you had to choose between: 1) wearing a mask but no pants, or 2) wearing pants but no mask, which do you pick??
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on June 10, 2022, 08:52:18 AM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!

That begs the obvious question! If you had to choose between: 1) wearing a mask but no pants, or 2) wearing pants but no mask, which do you pick??

Sofie's choice!

Probably no mask, because I get fog on my glasses.  But if I didn't wear glasses, it would be no pants all the way.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: YttriumNitrate on June 10, 2022, 10:12:27 AM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!
That begs the obvious question! If you had to choose between: 1) wearing a mask but no pants, or 2) wearing pants but no mask, which do you pick??
Definitely depends on the mask, and the pants. If it's the choice between skinny jeans and one of those flimsy cloth masks that does little except comply with mandates, I'm going with the mask. If the choice is sweatpants vs. an N95 mask, I'll take the sweatpants.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 10, 2022, 10:24:05 AM
Wearing masks to work sucks.  But wearing pants to work also sucks.  WFH forever!
That begs the obvious question! If you had to choose between: 1) wearing a mask but no pants, or 2) wearing pants but no mask, which do you pick??
Definitely depends on the mask, and the pants. If it's the choice between skinny jeans and one of those flimsy cloth masks that does little except comply with mandates, I'm going with the mask. If the choice is sweatpants vs. an N95 mask, I'll take the sweatpants.
this is the correct answer.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on June 10, 2022, 10:44:17 AM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NoVa on June 10, 2022, 11:53:22 AM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

Thank goodness. I never thought the policy made a lot of sense. It's not like COVID doesn't exist in the USA.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on June 10, 2022, 11:58:13 AM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

Thank goodness. I never thought the policy made a lot of sense. It's not like COVID doesn't exist in the USA.

Speaking of not making sense, it didn't apply to land border crossings. My backup plan was to drive from Vancouver, BC to Portland, OR in a rental car.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on June 10, 2022, 12:43:39 PM
Where I live pretty much noone has spoken about covid in the last 4 months. And whenever its a topic its always in past tense. A bygone era. A thing of the past you remember and memory itself is already getting foggy. A lot of folks have already forgotten the once strong opinions and how tragic every single covid case was and there were no limits to what should be done to prevent it. As a fun fact deaths from covid peaked several weeks after it was decleared over (and our count is highly accurate its not like there were a lot proior that got unreported). Almost noone is aware of this as the newspapers etc stopped publishing daily updates when everything reopened and life was back to normal.

Probs around 0.01% of gen pop wear a mask in public settings. If even. Public space, public transport, bars, restaurant, concert venues. All packed. No masks.

To me its utterly bizzarre this is still a thing in the western henisphere.

As a side note it was in the news the other day that we've had the highest excess deaths since ages last year. Not due to covid, but predominantly from various heart problems. The intersting part isn't the number itself or the causes, but the fact that noone, and I mean abseloutely noone gives a flying fuck. If we a year or two had the same numbers of excess deaths due to covid the whole nation would have freaked out. Our CDC had no clear explanation, but a few theories.

(I live in Norway, btw)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: pdxvandal on June 10, 2022, 01:54:26 PM
Dumb policy. I flew back from Mexico a few months ago and tested, uploaded the results to my airline app. My friend and her kids were traveling on the same airline a few hours later also tested, but the airline didn't even want to see their results. Odd, but it really is a money grab by Mexico (my actual test felt barely legit) thanks to stupid U.S. policy.

My friend actually flew to Mexico a few weeks ago unknowingly Covid positive, then got symptoms while there. He was "stuck" for 6 days beyond his initial return flight and ended up paying a local $200 for a fake negative test result so he could get back home. I may have done the same thing.

I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

Thank goodness. I never thought the policy made a lot of sense. It's not like COVID doesn't exist in the USA.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on June 10, 2022, 02:06:45 PM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

This is the best news I had all day and I had a really good day!

I fly home on Wednesday and am happy not to spend the time and money on my last day getting a test.  Given the seemingly high rates of "false" negatives (everyone I know who has had COVID lately starts the story with testing negative 1-2 times first), I had not been feeling like the testing requirement provided much protection to travellers, and was sticking to my N95 masks at airports and on the plane like glue.

It definitely felt like hyposcrisy anyway.  Not like there was no COVID in the US and we were trying to prevent it coming in.  When I flew home from overseas a few months ago, it was a short, half-full flight and everyone had to get a COVID test.  I then got on a packed full domestic flight all the way across the country (i.e. 3x as long) and no one had to have a test.  What were we accomplishing there?

Good riddance to that rubbish.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: RetiredAt63 on June 11, 2022, 04:06:15 AM
My DD and SiL went to a wedding a few weeks ago.  Totally outside.  There was a dance floor.  Almost everyone there got Covid, including the bride and groom, and DD and SiL (and their baby once they got home).  Late 20s, early 30s.  Not sick enough to go to the hospital but sick enough to really need to stay home and recover.  DD still tires easily a few weeks later.  Reminds me of when I had pneumonia in my early 40s, sick for a month, tired for another month.  Not life-threatening, but definitely not trivial.

I'm in an at-risk age group and have crappy lungs (never smoked, fyi) so I am still wearing my N95 when I go out in public places - indoors, and outside when there are lots of people.
Oh no :( and here I am feeling pretty safe outdoors. We attended an outdoor wedding in May. Thankfully all was good but I guess it was riskier than I thought.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

Just stay off the dance floor!   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on June 11, 2022, 04:23:35 PM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

Which means that half the people on your plane probably have covid. This will not bother lots of people, but will definitely be a factor for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PDXTabs on June 11, 2022, 05:25:47 PM
I have a trip planned to Canada and the UK in September. Neither of those countries require SARS-CoV-2 tests to travel if you are fully vaccinated. But I'll need one to come back into the USA if nothing changes.

TH: Airline officials press Biden to end COVID-19 testing for international travelers (https://thehill.com/policy/transportation/3516154-airline-officials-press-biden-to-end-covid-19-testing-for-international-travelers/)

It's like the Democrats don't want to win the midterms.

I just went through this coming back from London. Not fun. You either need a negative test the day before or a certificate of recovery if you had COVID recently and would test positive (up to 90 days). So in the second case you need a positive test that you can print out from weeks ago, and a doctor to attest that you have no symptoms and are cleared to travel. Nice way to spend the last full day of your vacation.

🎉🎉🎉 NPR: Starting on Sunday, you won't have to test for COVID-19 to fly into the U.S. (https://www.npr.org/2022/06/10/1104138168/covid-19-negative-test-airline-travelers-lift) 🎉🎉🎉

Which means that half the people on your plane probably have covid. This will not bother lots of people, but will definitely be a factor for me.

But my itinerary is for US -> Canada -> UK -> Canada -> US. The test was only required for the very last leg of my journey (which is also the shortest flight). If half the people have COVID I would be surprised but I was already going to spend 90% of my trip on planes with no testing required. This saves me hundreds of dollars in retail tests too (at least if I chose to get tested at YVR).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 14, 2022, 10:40:48 AM
Media driven terror. There are still people wearing masks in their cars, alone, outside.

Where I live pretty much noone has spoken about covid in the last 4 months. And whenever its a topic its always in past tense. A bygone era. A thing of the past you remember and memory itself is already getting foggy. A lot of folks have already forgotten the once strong opinions and how tragic every single covid case was and there were no limits to what should be done to prevent it. As a fun fact deaths from covid peaked several weeks after it was decleared over (and our count is highly accurate its not like there were a lot proior that got unreported). Almost noone is aware of this as the newspapers etc stopped publishing daily updates when everything reopened and life was back to normal.

Probs around 0.01% of gen pop wear a mask in public settings. If even. Public space, public transport, bars, restaurant, concert venues. All packed. No masks.

To me its utterly bizzarre this is still a thing in the western henisphere.

As a side note it was in the news the other day that we've had the highest excess deaths since ages last year. Not due to covid, but predominantly from various heart problems. The intersting part isn't the number itself or the causes, but the fact that noone, and I mean abseloutely noone gives a flying fuck. If we a year or two had the same numbers of excess deaths due to covid the whole nation would have freaked out. Our CDC had no clear explanation, but a few theories.

(I live in Norway, btw)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on June 14, 2022, 11:32:45 AM
Media driven terror. There are still people wearing masks in their cars, alone, outside.

Where I live pretty much noone has spoken about covid in the last 4 months. And whenever its a topic its always in past tense. A bygone era. A thing of the past you remember and memory itself is already getting foggy. A lot of folks have already forgotten the once strong opinions and how tragic every single covid case was and there were no limits to what should be done to prevent it. As a fun fact deaths from covid peaked several weeks after it was decleared over (and our count is highly accurate its not like there were a lot proior that got unreported). Almost noone is aware of this as the newspapers etc stopped publishing daily updates when everything reopened and life was back to normal.

Probs around 0.01% of gen pop wear a mask in public settings. If even. Public space, public transport, bars, restaurant, concert venues. All packed. No masks.

To me its utterly bizzarre this is still a thing in the western henisphere.

As a side note it was in the news the other day that we've had the highest excess deaths since ages last year. Not due to covid, but predominantly from various heart problems. The intersting part isn't the number itself or the causes, but the fact that noone, and I mean abseloutely noone gives a flying fuck. If we a year or two had the same numbers of excess deaths due to covid the whole nation would have freaked out. Our CDC had no clear explanation, but a few theories.

(I live in Norway, btw)

And some people have discovered that masks are also good for things like allergies, preventing sunburn, cutting down on gasoline fumes, etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 14, 2022, 11:41:01 AM
Quote
Media driven terror. There are still people wearing masks in their cars, alone, outside.

Wait, are they in their car, or outside?  I'm confused.

If I put on a mask to go into a store when someone in my household is sick, but I have to make a second stop, I just leave it on in the car in between, rather than mess with it (once you have it situated so the glasses don't fog up, don't fuck with it).

Same thing if I'm outdoors.  About 3/4 of the time when my household members get sick, I don't.  But I still don't want to be spreading stuff.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on June 14, 2022, 11:52:57 AM
Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on June 14, 2022, 01:00:37 PM
Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.

Exactly.

Laziness or efficiency =/= living in fear.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 14, 2022, 01:23:45 PM
Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on June 14, 2022, 01:30:53 PM
Actual stated factual reason a person decided to do something
Quote
too lazy to take the mask off in between stops

Reality distortion field activated
Quote
example of virtue signaling

Actual scientific fact
Quote
Viral infections are spread through tiny droplets that people exhale. Masks reduce that very spread

Reality distortion field activated
Quote
example of media driven hysteria
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on June 14, 2022, 04:40:53 PM
You know, being outside isn't a guarantee of not catching Covid.  If you are close to other people, especially if they are exercising and breathing heavily, you can catch it.  My DD and SiL went to an outdoor wedding a few weeks ago, with an outdoor dance floor.  Almost everyone at the wedding caught Covid, including the bride and groom.  Everyone on the dance floor caught it.  Fortunately they are all young and healthy and well vaccinated, so cases were nasty but not requiring hospitalization.  And of course people took it home, my baby (<1 year old) grandchild has now had Covid.

So why is it so silly/why are people scoffing at taking an easy precaution?  For the flu season I get the flu shot and am careful about exposure.  I respect the flu, I lost 2 grandparents to the Spanish flu.  Covid is as nasty or nastier, so why should I not take the same precautions for it?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on June 14, 2022, 06:29:58 PM
I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on June 14, 2022, 06:54:18 PM
Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.

I'm perplexed by your response.
1) I rarely pay attention to drivers in other cars unless they drive so poorly that I feel the need to peek and see them.  How exactly does laziness between short stops become virtue signaling?  (Note, it's not like I do this often.  We're talking only like a few tiems.)
2) Media driven hysteria.  Well my spouse has a history of working in science, including a PhD and a pretty solid understanding of how viruses spread, so I'm fairly certain from conversations with him plus my own public health work that yes, if someone spends a lot of time unmasked in a small enclosed area such as a car they can pass it on through airborne particles.  There were reports of people getting it from elevators even.  Again, masking is easy so why not mask and limit your risk?

Is it now fair game to take pot shots at other posters/people for their personal decisions over masking?  If so, I can go off on some tangents about the wild irresponsibility of people I've seen who are visibly sick and don't wear masks, whether or not they have COVID.

I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Yeah.
We have a child too young to be vaccinated, plus a grandparent we see frequently with multiple serious health conditions.

@joemcd333, What do you fear so much about my masking that causes you to mock me?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: kenner on June 14, 2022, 09:42:01 PM
So they're virtue signaling...laziness?  I mean sure, why not, but it seems like an odd thing for you to concern yourself with.

Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Hula Hoop on June 15, 2022, 03:05:58 AM
Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.

I'm perplexed by your response.
1) I rarely pay attention to drivers in other cars unless they drive so poorly that I feel the need to peek and see them.  How exactly does laziness between short stops become virtue signaling?  (Note, it's not like I do this often.  We're talking only like a few tiems.)
2) Media driven hysteria.  Well my spouse has a history of working in science, including a PhD and a pretty solid understanding of how viruses spread, so I'm fairly certain from conversations with him plus my own public health work that yes, if someone spends a lot of time unmasked in a small enclosed area such as a car they can pass it on through airborne particles.  There were reports of people getting it from elevators even.  Again, masking is easy so why not mask and limit your risk?

Is it now fair game to take pot shots at other posters/people for their personal decisions over masking?  If so, I can go off on some tangents about the wild irresponsibility of people I've seen who are visibly sick and don't wear masks, whether or not they have COVID.

I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Yeah.
We have a child too young to be vaccinated, plus a grandparent we see frequently with multiple serious health conditions.

@joemcd333, What do you fear so much about my masking that causes you to mock me?

Yes I'm still wearing a mask around the office and in other enclosed public spaces.  People may judge me if they want but I'm going to fly to visit elderly family members soon and don't want to have to cancel the trip or, worse, give them Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on June 15, 2022, 04:30:08 AM
Last weekend I went to a concert, 10,000 people.  I wore a mask and only saw one other person wearing a mask.

I'm vaxxed and boosted so I'm not particularly worried about an initial infection.  My worries are long covid, which can afffect all the major organs in the body including the brain and which vaccination only protects against to a fairly minimal extent (i've read 15% reduction in occurence after infection) and the increased chance of death in the year following a covid infection.  Anyone judging me for wearing a mask to protect myself against those risks is not someone whose judgement I would respect.

(I bought the tickets for the concert before the pandemic and it was postponed twice.  The risk of attending while wearing a mask was one I judged worth it.  I'm very glad I went, it was tremendous, and so far so good on the covid front.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EngineerOurFI on June 15, 2022, 06:28:06 AM
Last weekend I went to a concert, 10,000 people.  I wore a mask and only saw one other person wearing a mask.

I'm vaxxed and boosted so I'm not particularly worried about an initial infection.  My worries are long covid, which can afffect all the major organs in the body including the brain and which vaccination only protects against to a fairly minimal extent (i've read 15% reduction in occurence after infection) and the increased chance of death in the year following a covid infection.  Anyone judging me for wearing a mask to protect myself against those risks is not someone whose judgement I would respect.

(I bought the tickets for the concert before the pandemic and it was postponed twice.  The risk of attending while wearing a mask was one I judged worth it.  I'm very glad I went, it was tremendous, and so far so good on the covid front.)

Genuine question:  Have there been any documented cases of individuals who are vaxxed (let alone boosted) who have gotten cCOVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms?  I know people who have had long COVID symptoms and I know there's plenty of folks with long COVID symptoms documented, but I'm completely unaware of anyone who has been fully vaxxed who has gotten COVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms whatsoever.  To my knowledge, I haven't read any articles/cases with examples of this or know anyone in this boat.  My understanding is that if you don't have a severely immunocompromised system, then the efficacy of the vaccine is such that the drastic reduction in symptom severity has also virtually eliminated the risk of long COVID.

Again, I would genuinely be interested in any data/sources of folks who were fully vaxxed but still caught COVID and experienced long COVID symptoms.  I'm guessing if such examples exist it would be exceedingly likely they were folks who were severely immunocompromised.

Just to be clear - I'm in no way poking fun at you or insulting you for wearing a mask - I'm just genuinely interested in any data on folks who were fully vaxxed and subsequently experienced long COVID as I agree long COVID is scary.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on June 15, 2022, 07:06:57 AM
Last weekend I went to a concert, 10,000 people.  I wore a mask and only saw one other person wearing a mask.

I'm vaxxed and boosted so I'm not particularly worried about an initial infection.  My worries are long covid, which can afffect all the major organs in the body including the brain and which vaccination only protects against to a fairly minimal extent (i've read 15% reduction in occurence after infection) and the increased chance of death in the year following a covid infection.  Anyone judging me for wearing a mask to protect myself against those risks is not someone whose judgement I would respect.

(I bought the tickets for the concert before the pandemic and it was postponed twice.  The risk of attending while wearing a mask was one I judged worth it.  I'm very glad I went, it was tremendous, and so far so good on the covid front.)

Genuine question:  Have there been any documented cases of individuals who are vaxxed (let alone boosted) who have gotten cCOVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms?  I know people who have had long COVID symptoms and I know there's plenty of folks with long COVID symptoms documented, but I'm completely unaware of anyone who has been fully vaxxed who has gotten COVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms whatsoever.  To my knowledge, I haven't read any articles/cases with examples of this or know anyone in this boat.  My understanding is that if you don't have a severely immunocompromised system, then the efficacy of the vaccine is such that the drastic reduction in symptom severity has also virtually eliminated the risk of long COVID.

Again, I would genuinely be interested in any data/sources of folks who were fully vaxxed but still caught COVID and experienced long COVID symptoms.  I'm guessing if such examples exist it would be exceedingly likely they were folks who were severely immunocompromised.

Just to be clear - I'm in no way poking fun at you or insulting you for wearing a mask - I'm just genuinely interested in any data on folks who were fully vaxxed and subsequently experienced long COVID as I agree long COVID is scary.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01453-0
https://www.bmj.com/content/376/bmj.o407
https://www.gov.uk/government/news/ukhsa-review-shows-vaccinated-less-likely-to-have-long-covid-than-unvaccinated
https://medicine.wustl.edu/news/long-covid-19-poses-risks-to-vaccinated-people-too/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on June 15, 2022, 07:10:41 AM
Genuine question:  Have there been any documented cases of individuals who are vaxxed (let alone boosted) who have gotten cCOVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms?

I think a lot of data is preliminary. This is a high-level summary (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/long-term-effects/index.html), where it says being hospitalized greatly increases your chances, while being vaccinated decreases your odds. And being vaccinated already decreased your odds of being hospitalized.

Last month, a study found 20% or higher chance of long COVID after recovering from an infection (https://arstechnica.com/science/2022/05/more-than-1-in-5-covid-survivors-may-develop-long-covid-cdc-study-suggests/), but the study didn't break data down by vaccination status.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on June 15, 2022, 07:50:24 AM
Last weekend I went to a concert, 10,000 people.  I wore a mask and only saw one other person wearing a mask.

I'm vaxxed and boosted so I'm not particularly worried about an initial infection.  My worries are long covid, which can afffect all the major organs in the body including the brain and which vaccination only protects against to a fairly minimal extent (i've read 15% reduction in occurence after infection) and the increased chance of death in the year following a covid infection.  Anyone judging me for wearing a mask to protect myself against those risks is not someone whose judgement I would respect.

(I bought the tickets for the concert before the pandemic and it was postponed twice.  The risk of attending while wearing a mask was one I judged worth it.  I'm very glad I went, it was tremendous, and so far so good on the covid front.)

Genuine question:  Have there been any documented cases of individuals who are vaxxed (let alone boosted) who have gotten cCOVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms?  I know people who have had long COVID symptoms and I know there's plenty of folks with long COVID symptoms documented, but I'm completely unaware of anyone who has been fully vaxxed who has gotten COVID and experienced any long COVID symptoms whatsoever.  To my knowledge, I haven't read any articles/cases with examples of this or know anyone in this boat.  My understanding is that if you don't have a severely immunocompromised system, then the efficacy of the vaccine is such that the drastic reduction in symptom severity has also virtually eliminated the risk of long COVID.

Again, I would genuinely be interested in any data/sources of folks who were fully vaxxed but still caught COVID and experienced long COVID symptoms.  I'm guessing if such examples exist it would be exceedingly likely they were folks who were severely immunocompromised.

Just to be clear - I'm in no way poking fun at you or insulting you for wearing a mask - I'm just genuinely interested in any data on folks who were fully vaxxed and subsequently experienced long COVID as I agree long COVID is scary.

I have a friend whose teenage son ended up with long COVID after a particularly bad case of what was probably Delta.  He was fully vaxxed but not yet boosted.  Caught it as a freshman in college, no idea if he was wearing a mask at the time.

5 people I knew personally have died of COVID - one mid 30's & one early 40's were before vaccines were available.  The other 3 may have been vaccine refusers; I haven't asked.  The youngest was still in his 20's - friend of my son.

Most of my friends and acquaintances have lost at least one person they know to COVID. 

Mask wearing is a simple and inexpensive way to reduce risk.  Why wouldn't I wear one?  I'm under no illusions that mine are effective enough to keep out 100% of germs, but even if it just reduces the amount of exposure to something that my vaxxed immune system can easily handle, that's good enough for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: joemcd333 on June 15, 2022, 08:00:24 AM
I wouldn't say mocking. Toughen up!

It's virtue signaling. It's not laziness. You are lying. Laziness is not wearing a mask at all. If you wear one, alone, its because you like wearing it. You like what you perceive it says about you. It is objectively more comfortable to not wear one, and healthier not to wear one if your mask hygiene is not perfect.

Reports of people getting it from elevators? Where's the proof? Sounds like media driven hysteria.

Why don't I wear one? Hmm, well I enjoy fresh air, I like being able to see people smile and talk. I want my young kids to learn how to talk and requires seeing a mouth. My wife is a speech therapist, and she says on average, kids of today are 6 months behind on developmental milestones. 6 MONTHS!

It is interesting to me to see both of you claim the fear is coming from my side. That is some next level logic! It isn't fear. It's annoyance/anger. Your logic doesn't hold up. You say one thing and mean something else. You both want to protect kids too young to be vaccinated? BS! That age group has no issues with covid, especially the weak ass new variants.


[banned - Toque]

Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.

I'm perplexed by your response.
1) I rarely pay attention to drivers in other cars unless they drive so poorly that I feel the need to peek and see them.  How exactly does laziness between short stops become virtue signaling?  (Note, it's not like I do this often.  We're talking only like a few items.)
2) Media driven hysteria.  Well my spouse has a history of working in science, including a PhD and a pretty solid understanding of how viruses spread, so I'm fairly certain from conversations with him plus my own public health work that yes, if someone spends a lot of time unmasked in a small enclosed area such as a car they can pass it on through airborne particles.  There were reports of people getting it from elevators even.  Again, masking is easy so why not mask and limit your risk?

Is it now fair game to take pot shots at other posters/people for their personal decisions over masking?  If so, I can go off on some tangents about the wild irresponsibility of people I've seen who are visibly sick and don't wear masks, whether or not they have COVID.

I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Yeah.
We have a child too young to be vaccinated, plus a grandparent we see frequently with multiple serious health conditions.

@joemcd333, What do you fear so much about my masking that causes you to mock me?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on June 15, 2022, 08:30:02 AM
I wouldn't say mocking. Toughen up!

It's virtue signaling. It's not laziness. You are lying. Laziness is not wearing a mask at all. If you wear one, alone, its because you like wearing it. You like what you perceive it says about you. It is objectively more comfortable to not wear one, and healthier not to wear one if your mask hygiene is not perfect.

Reports of people getting it from elevators? Where's the proof? Sounds like media driven hysteria.

Why don't I wear one? Hmm, well I enjoy fresh air, I like being able to see people smile and talk. I want my young kids to learn how to talk and requires seeing a mouth. My wife is a speech therapist, and she says on average, kids of today are 6 months behind on developmental milestones. 6 MONTHS!

It is interesting to me to see both of you claim the fear is coming from my side. That is some next level logic! It isn't fear. It's annoyance/anger. Your logic doesn't hold up. You say one thing and mean something else. You both want to protect kids too young to be vaccinated? BS! That age group has no issues with covid, especially the weak ass new variants.


Lol I had a good chuckle at this. if the first part is serious, it's a prime example of virtue signaling. If the second part is serious, it's a prime example of media driven hysteria

Yeah if I'm wearing a mask in the car when alone, it's because I'm too lazy to take the mask off in between stops.  (It also speaks to the fact that masking is not so onerous that I need to strip it off the instant I'm in the car....)

Or it's because work was done on our car, and we're being cautious right afterwards till it airs out, because I'm not going to assume that the repair technician wore a mask while in it.

I'm perplexed by your response.
1) I rarely pay attention to drivers in other cars unless they drive so poorly that I feel the need to peek and see them.  How exactly does laziness between short stops become virtue signaling?  (Note, it's not like I do this often.  We're talking only like a few items.)
2) Media driven hysteria.  Well my spouse has a history of working in science, including a PhD and a pretty solid understanding of how viruses spread, so I'm fairly certain from conversations with him plus my own public health work that yes, if someone spends a lot of time unmasked in a small enclosed area such as a car they can pass it on through airborne particles.  There were reports of people getting it from elevators even.  Again, masking is easy so why not mask and limit your risk?

Is it now fair game to take pot shots at other posters/people for their personal decisions over masking?  If so, I can go off on some tangents about the wild irresponsibility of people I've seen who are visibly sick and don't wear masks, whether or not they have COVID.

I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Yeah.
We have a child too young to be vaccinated, plus a grandparent we see frequently with multiple serious health conditions.

@joemcd333, What do you fear so much about my masking that causes you to mock me?

Honestly, it's not even worth conversing with someone who "interacts" like this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on June 15, 2022, 08:57:44 AM
Honestly, it's not even worth conversing with someone who "interacts" like this.

Yeah I wasn't planning on responding.  Not worth it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on June 15, 2022, 09:00:56 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on June 15, 2022, 09:01:28 AM
Quote
You say one thing and mean something else.

Reality Distortion Field Activated
Quote
We say one thing which we mean, and you decide to completely ignore it and insert whatever meaning you feel works for you and your story.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on June 15, 2022, 09:43:46 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions. There are kernels of discussion in it: like questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Mind you, I am not the OP, but come on... if you can't handle that level of diverse opinion then you're proving their point.

I also don't care if people wear masks wherever- outdoors (maybe they have allergies?), in their car (it does sound more convenient for me), whatever.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on June 15, 2022, 09:52:08 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions. There are kernels of discussion in it: like questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Mind you, I am not the OP, but come on... if you can't handle that level of diverse opinion then you're proving their point.

I also don't care if people wear masks wherever- outdoors (maybe they have allergies?), in their car (it does sound more convenient for me), whatever.

Having a different opinion isn't trolling, but flat out telling other people they are lying, twice is trolling and unnecessarily combative. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Davnasty on June 15, 2022, 10:08:27 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions. There are kernels of discussion in it: like questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Mind you, I am not the OP, but come on... if you can't handle that level of diverse opinion then you're proving their point.

I also don't care if people wear masks wherever- outdoors (maybe they have allergies?), in their car (it does sound more convenient for me), whatever.

You don't think it's a genuinely interesting question, you're a liar. You're actually a covid denier trying to act sincere when really you just want to distract from the real conversation.

Now obviously I'm just kidding, but you see how that's more than just a "different perspective", right?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on June 15, 2022, 10:17:15 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions. There are kernels of discussion in it: like questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Mind you, I am not the OP, but come on... if you can't handle that level of diverse opinion then you're proving their point.

I also don't care if people wear masks wherever- outdoors (maybe they have allergies?), in their car (it does sound more convenient for me), whatever.

I actually generally agree with what they are saying, so it's not because of a differing opinion.  It's about being a jerk and stirring up shit with EVERY single post (search history to see).  Certified troll that should be gone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on June 15, 2022, 10:25:14 AM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions. There are kernels of discussion in it: like questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Mind you, I am not the OP, but come on... if you can't handle that level of diverse opinion then you're proving their point.

I also don't care if people wear masks wherever- outdoors (maybe they have allergies?), in their car (it does sound more convenient for me), whatever.

You don't think it's a genuinely interesting question, you're a liar. You're actually a covid denier trying to act sincere when really you just want to distract from the real conversation.

Now obviously I'm just kidding, but you see how that's more than just a "different perspective", right?

Fair enough, got me on the first sentence. I stand corrected; I did not look at the post history
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on June 15, 2022, 10:44:53 AM
questioning whether or not you can catch airborne covid in your car after someone with covid has been working on it (and how often is someone working in your car anyway?). That's a genuinely interesting question; what would be the circumstances for transmission in this scenario? I would guess that it's closer to the "leave your groceries in your garage for three days" level of prevention than "don't sneeze in peoples' faces" on the scale of actual danger.

Twice in two years that I can recall, if you're curious.  I'm not saying I frequently wear a mask in a car, I think I've done it only about 5 times in 2.5 years. But I was providing an explanation for why some people might do it.

That said...I will disagree with you on whether breathing in a small enclosed space for hours is comparable paranoia to "leave your groceries in the garage".  (FWIW, we do not wipe down groceries, leave them in the garage etc.) People have gotten measles two hours after the positive person was briefly in a waiting room after all.  While it's not measles but 1) the first time in early pandemic we had no idea how transmissible it was, 2) it's getting more transmissible and I've got vulnerable family members.  Anyways, you don't need to agree with me on it, but my point is that I had a reason other than "virtue signaling".  Regardless of whether you agree with it what I chose to do, I don't really think it's appropriate to disagree with my action by saying I'm lying.  I believe it's a forum rule that you attack the argument, not the person.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 15, 2022, 10:51:51 AM
I wouldn't say mocking. Toughen up!

It's virtue signaling. It's not laziness. You are lying. Laziness is not wearing a mask at all. If you wear one, alone, its because you like wearing it. You like what you perceive it says about you. It is objectively more comfortable to not wear one, and healthier not to wear one if your mask hygiene is not perfect.

Reports of people getting it from elevators? Where's the proof? Sounds like media driven hysteria.

Why don't I wear one? Hmm, well I enjoy fresh air, I like being able to see people smile and talk. I want my young kids to learn how to talk and requires seeing a mouth. My wife is a speech therapist, and she says on average, kids of today are 6 months behind on developmental milestones. 6 MONTHS!

It is interesting to me to see both of you claim the fear is coming from my side. That is some next level logic! It isn't fear. It's annoyance/anger. Your logic doesn't hold up. You say one thing and mean something else. You both want to protect kids too young to be vaccinated? BS! That age group has no issues with covid, especially the weak ass new variants.

If it quacks like a duck...no, it's mocking.  You decided on your own, without knowing her (or me, as I said that same thing) - that wearing a mask in between stops is virtue signaling, not laziness.  Nope, it's 100% laziness.

"Laziness is not wearing a mask at all"...you realize it's not either/or?  Laziness is a spectrum.  Laziness is not wearing a seatbelt too, do you wear a seatbelt?

"You say one thing and mean something else."  I'm in my 50s and I've been around the block a few times.  I say EXACTLY what I mean.

Actual stated factual reason a person decided to do something
Quote
too lazy to take the mask off in between stops

Reality distortion field activated
Quote
example of virtue signaling

Actual scientific fact
Quote
Viral infections are spread through tiny droplets that people exhale. Masks reduce that very spread

Reality distortion field activated
Quote
example of media driven hysteria

This was great.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on June 15, 2022, 03:00:47 PM
As I type this I'm recovering from my first (known) bout of COVID. First symptoms Friday morning, and it has presented mostly like a bad cold for me. Lot of coughing and congestion and fatigue over the weekend, and I'm mostly over it now. I never got a fever, my blood-oxygen concentration stayed within normal levels, and my senses of smell and taste were unaffected. Thanks to vaccines for that I guess! I took a home test right away Friday morning upon waking up with a sore throat. I followed the CDC's five-day isolation recommendation; that plus the early detection made it so the rest of my family has experienced no sign of illness.

I likely caught it in the high school classroom I've been volunteering in this year. The teacher also tested positive the same day I did. This is a classroom where most of the students still wear masks even though they haven't been required to do so for months, but this time we had some food there to celebrate the end of the year so most of us had our masks off for a few minutes. I was there for an hour in total. These things happen.

My opinion on COVID precautions is basically unchanged from what it has been throughout this thread. Let's all take our vaccines, wear a mask when we're sick as a courtesy to others, and otherwise not let this disease skew our risk assessments more than is warranted. Getting COVID wasn't fun, but when I balance it against all the things I did over the past year that I would not have done early in the pandemic when avoiding COVID was pretty much priority #1, I wouldn't go back and do things differently.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on June 16, 2022, 10:26:25 PM
Already reported for trolling... every post is trying to stir up shit, but no one seems to care.

It's not trolling, it's just a different perspective that most don't agree with. No rules on the forum for having disagreeable opinions.

Meh -  a couple of months ago I had mentioned in this thread that I'm immunocompromised (sometimes wore masks before covid), and I had my kids wear masks when we out in public (including outside). I mentioned that a woman had told my child I was abusing him by having him wear a mask. Dude commented just to say "yeah- you are abusive." That felt pretty troll-y to me, but I didn't report him and I stopped commenting on the thread (until now).

I appreciate someone reporting him, and the mods taking that seriously.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on June 17, 2022, 01:10:53 AM
I saw from the UK ONS data that the UK population is over 99% antibody/immunity-positive, either from vaccination or infection. This is really as "immune" as a population can get - yet infections are ongoing (with some low effect on hodpitalization an death). There will be no "herd immunity and all over" outcome. SARS-CoV2 is now endemic, so I guess we have to deal with regular infections now for years to come. So those who are vulnerable are well justified to protect themselves imo.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on June 17, 2022, 11:48:04 AM
Yes, does this mean that from now on, as people enter their 60s or late 50s, they will have to start sequestering themselves and wearing masks? Ouch.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on June 17, 2022, 01:55:45 PM
Yes, does this mean that from now on, as people enter their 60s or late 50s, they will have to start sequestering themselves and wearing masks? Ouch.

If it's important to them to not get COVID, yes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: YttriumNitrate on June 18, 2022, 09:16:25 AM
Yes, does this mean that from now on, as people enter their 60s or late 50s, they will have to start sequestering themselves and wearing masks? Ouch.

I'm guessing most people of that age will just get their annual flu/covid shot and consider it sufficient protection.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on June 18, 2022, 01:28:55 PM
Yes, does this mean that from now on, as people enter their 60s or late 50s, they will have to start sequestering themselves and wearing masks? Ouch.

I'm guessing most people of that age will just get their annual flu/covid shot and consider it sufficient protection.

I'm "that age".

One of the factors I pay attention to is the amount of Covid in our waste water.  I can tell from that if my level of exposure is likely to be high or low. 
I also hope that down the road the Covid vaccine will be adjusted annually or semi-annually to the prevailing strains, just as the flu vaccine is.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on June 18, 2022, 01:33:50 PM
We are going to our favorite pool up in BC for the first time since Covid.  Hopefully all goes well, as far as I understand, our 3x under 12 boys can travel with us vaccinated parents regardless of vaccine status for them.  We will see how it goes...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Khaetra on June 19, 2022, 07:09:05 AM
I don't understand why people are so snickery about those of us who continue to take precautions.  Even if you consider them extreme. 

You don't know that we don't have immunocomprised family at home or are such ourselves.  Or have someone too young for a vaccine in our circle.  You have no idea what others' situations may be, so please don't presume that you know best.

I will continue to do what I believe is best for me and my circle - I don't care what others say or think.

I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Thursday as I was walking out of the store a lady yelled at me and called me a 'stupid bitch' for wearing my mask.  My words back were not kind, but I did find it funny that someone got triggered because of a piece of cloth on my face. 

You're right, people have no clue about what others may be dealing with, which is why they need to mind their own business.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on June 19, 2022, 08:25:27 AM
I kind of wonder if it isn't some degree of fear behind it - it reminds people that there's a potentially dangerous virus out there.

Most of those people are not in the class of people who were particularly fearful about it in the first place.

I don't think there is an underlying hidden issue; they (even in this thread) have been quite up front about it: they see it as virtue signaling. There were also no shortage of very clear messages throughout the first few phases that if you didn't wear a mask you were quite selfish and even evil as a person. The carryover from that is what we are seeing now. It was a very divisive message in the first place, not from a "time of potentially dangerous virus" but from a time of "illogical requests of personal sacrafice". Many people lsot their business from the shutdowns and watched the likes of Amazon and liquor stores make out like bandits.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on June 19, 2022, 10:26:26 AM
Random curiosity as far as "getting back to normal" - is anyone going back to blowing out candles on an entire birthday cake? 

I think I saw someone with kids cut the cake up in advance and then set the birthday kid's aside with candles on it to blow out, but I'm actually even wondering if a lot of folks would be unwilling to have someone blow out candles forcefully at all (whether on a cake or not) with a bunch of people in the room breathing it in.

I wonder if 100 years from now people will tell their kids about blowing out candles like how we (or at least I?) would talk about people who throw salt over their shoulders or make signs to ward off the evil eye.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: NoVa on June 19, 2022, 02:40:28 PM
Random curiosity as far as "getting back to normal" - is anyone going back to blowing out candles on an entire birthday cake? 

I think I saw someone with kids cut the cake up in advance and then set the birthday kid's aside with candles on it to blow out, but I'm actually even wondering if a lot of folks would be unwilling to have someone blow out candles forcefully at all (whether on a cake or not) with a bunch of people in the room breathing it in.

I wonder if 100 years from now people will tell their kids about blowing out candles like how we (or at least I?) would talk about people who throw salt over their shoulders or make signs to ward off the evil eye.

Good one, hadn't thought of that.

I did see that our big chain grocery store had the salad bar set up, haven't seen that in 2 years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on June 19, 2022, 06:32:08 PM
Wouldn't having everyone in the room sing a song immediately before eating the cake be more risky than one person doing one big breath?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on June 19, 2022, 08:21:45 PM
With Omicron being as contagious as it is, just having a birthday party at all is risky.  I don’t know that blowing out candles would make it any riskier.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Tempname23 on June 22, 2022, 06:57:12 AM
 The only concession I have given regarding Covid for the last 7 months has been that I still don't feel right about going to the gym.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RainyDay on June 22, 2022, 10:00:23 AM
We traveled overseas last week (to Scotland) and it certainly FELT like the rest of the world is getting back to normal.  We flew through two large airports (Washington-Dulles and London-Heathrow) and sat on very packed airplanes, and very, very few people were wearing masks.  For the entire 8 days, not one person mentioned COVID, and no one asked our vaccination status, whether we had been tested recently, or asked for our vaccination cards.  It sure felt like times had returned to pre-COVID!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: stclurker on June 22, 2022, 12:37:16 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on June 22, 2022, 12:53:50 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
Depends on the circumstances and the amount of virus around.  I wore one to a 10,000 person concert a week ago and I wear one in the supermarket but that's about all these days.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on June 22, 2022, 01:04:42 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

My decision is not just about whether it's safe enough (for me and others), but also whether or not there's much of an inconvenience to doing it.  Those two parameters multiply together in a formula in my head to determine if I'm wearing the mask.  There are potentially other considerations that factor in, and those may or may not include whether I've been drinking.

We've had several gatherings with a significant number of friends/new friends that were not safe, but we didn't mask up.  Would've been quite inconvenient, so the risk was worth it to us.  Wearing it in a public, indoor, crowded setting still has me masking up, and it's typically not much effort to do so. 

I'm sure that most people have similar things they've considered, but by this point many have decided that they're just not wearing a mask unless absolutely required to.  We're still on the risk vs. inconvenience spectrum.  Can't say when - or if - that will end, but I presume at this point my threshold for masking will just move around.  As I and others have stated before, that may happen regardless of the current state of COVID, since masking may still be worth it for me in certain situations to lower my/my family's risk of contracting other respiratory illnesses.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Khaetra on June 22, 2022, 02:20:59 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

Numbers in my area have creeped back up and having underlying conditions keeps me masked up in stores.  I kinda like not being sick in general and the thought of getting long-covid doesn't sound appealing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Prairie Gal on June 22, 2022, 02:37:05 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

It's not a big deal for me, so I still wear a mask in stores, etc. Despite what the government wishes, covid has not just disappeared here. We still have an average of about 7 people per day dying from it in my province.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on June 22, 2022, 04:00:30 PM
I don’t mask up as often as I used to - but I agree with the risk vs inconvenience thing. I don’t mask up with friends because I figure I have decided to take the risk when I decide to spend time with them. Seems silly to mask up chatting then take off masks to eat together for an hour. I mask up in church and will mask up on a plane. In airports if it’s crowded I will mask up. If no one is anywhere near our group, I have no problems removing my mask but will put it back on near a crowd of strangers.

I used to mask up grocery shopping but now I often go without since I am rarely in close contact with anybody.

If I am super hot and uncomfortable I am more likely to take it off. If it is no big deal, I’ll wear one.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on June 22, 2022, 05:07:29 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
It depends.

I am leaving on a jet plane in a week to visit elderly (late 70s and 80s) and immunocompromised family members.  So...
- Our whole family will be masked for the flights + airplanes.  Full stop.  We will also seek out non-crowded spots at the airport.
- I still mask up in grocery stores.
- I do not mask up outside.
- I do not wear a mask at work, unless in a small conf room with multiple people. 

Our numbers are not low here - they are definitely somewhat high.  Numbers are low in the places where we are visiting, so I likely won't wear a mask there.

I adjust my mask-wearing based on:
- local numbers
- near-future plans
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on June 22, 2022, 05:44:50 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

My calculus includes an estimation of how many unintelligent people are in my general vicinity.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on June 22, 2022, 05:50:01 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
My mother’s 91. She recently got covid19 and I went there to look after her while she was sick since the carers (who come to clean the house and do the washing) couldn’t come while she was positive. She lives 7.5 hours drive away. If I’d got it while I was there, no one would have been able to look after me, and I couldn’t have got home (covid19 positive people aren’t allowed to drive for more than 4 hours, even if I wanted to, and aren’t allowed on planes…). So I was very, very careful.

She’s now got carers every weekday to look after her as well as the other stuff, and I’m going there every second or third weekend. I have to be very careful not to get ANY respiratory infection, because I don’t want to infect her, or to be unable to get there and back. There’s a lot of influenza and covid19 around here at the moment as it’s winter, so n95 masks are important for me.

It will be safe when mum’s well enough to not need extra assistance, and when our current respiratory infection spikes die down. Most PCR testing sites are checking for several respiratory infections, rather than just covid19.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on June 23, 2022, 07:11:15 AM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

Honestly? I'll probably always wear one in stores unless something remarkably changes. I'm old enough that I'll always be at risk for something respiratory and someday, you will be, too.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on June 23, 2022, 10:38:45 AM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
My partner is a health care provider, if she tests positive she can't see her clients (and doesn't make any money), so she is pretty serious about mask protocol.
She went to her nephews graduation and was one of about ten people that masked up among thousands.
Unfortunately her antivax trumper family was sick (with a cold! Which was bs) and so her 80 y/o mother, who she was in close contact with, tested positive. No one else even bothered testing because "there is no pandemic, covid is a hoax". When told about grandma the response was "hmmm, interesting".
So my partner cancelled all her clients for the week, stayed home, masked everywhere, and made no $. She masked indoors and we slept in separate rooms.
It's not so simple.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on June 23, 2022, 01:30:35 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
My partner is a health care provider, if she tests positive she can't see her clients (and doesn't make any money), so she is pretty serious about mask protocol.
She went to her nephews graduation and was one of about ten people that masked up among thousands.
Unfortunately her antivax trumper family was sick (with a cold! Which was bs) and so her 80 y/o mother, who she was in close contact with, tested positive. No one else even bothered testing because "there is no pandemic, covid is a hoax". When told about grandma the response was "hmmm, interesting".
So my partner cancelled all her clients for the week, stayed home, masked everywhere, and made no $. She masked indoors and we slept in separate rooms.
It's not so simple.

That's only if you're a responsible person.  If you're an irresponsible person and just carry on with no care for the consequences to anyone around you, there's no problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Fish Sweet on June 23, 2022, 04:07:53 PM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky
Why not wear a mask? Also being genuine here, not snarky. If there are plenty of establishments in which people are expected to wear shirts and shoes, why would adding a mask to the mix be all that onerous?

I wear a mask essentially whenever I'm indoors and don't know the people around me, or when I'm in crowded close quarters outdoors. So grocery shopping in a Trader Joes, mask goes on. Crowded outdoor concert venue, mask goes on. Small friend gathering indoors where I know all my friends are vax'd and careful enough about Covid precautions, no mask. The most important thing is that I know my friends wouldn't meet up with me if they were sick or knew they'd been exposed to Covid. I don't really trust strangers to give a damn if they infect other people.

I also wear a mask outdoors during a particularly bad allergy flare because I end up coughing like I'm trying to hack up a lung and would like to avoid scaring people (and it actually helps with the pollen too.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dreamer40 on June 23, 2022, 05:15:27 PM
I do the same kind of risk v inconvenience assessment for masking.

There is a lot of covid in my community so risk is decent in all public places. And it’s easy for me to put on a mask running errands, so I do. That makes me feel safer to spend time indoors with my elderly parents who have health issues. If we’re all feeling fine, we eat meals together and don’t wear masks because that would obviously be high on the inconvenience scale.

I have an overseas trip planned in a few months. I will wear a mask on the planes because it would be great to not catch someone’s stupid cold, like I often do when traveling. I will also be extra vigilant wearing a mask for a few weeks before I go because I don’t want to risk having to cancel the trip. I have a family member with covid right now who probably has to cancel her overseas work trip next week. She was really excited about it. But now can’t stop coughing.

If getting covid would be particularly inconvenient (because of life plans), wearing a mask feels even more worth the bother. Why not do things to potentially help yourself? Skipping a mask when you don’t have time to catch covid feels like poor planning.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Hula Hoop on June 24, 2022, 03:58:02 AM
Not really a response to anyone, just my 2c

If you want to wear a mask, knock yourself out, just don't expect me to wear one

For all you mask wearers, at what point do you decide it's "safe" enough to go without? Honest question, not trying to be snarky

We are all currently wearing our FFP2 masks when inside public spaces like public transport, work (while outside my office), stores, my daughter's violin recital yesterday etc. All 4 of us are fully vaxxed but we are planning a visit to vulnerable family members later this summer.  Apart from infecting our family members, it would also suck to have to cancel an expensive and long looked forward to trip.

We might reassess the risks we're willing to take later this summer when we don't have plans which might lead to infecting vulnerable family (one of whom is unvaxxed but that's a whole 'nother story...)  When I see people out and about without masks on the bus or in crowded indoor environments, I assume that they are not in contact (consciously) with people who are particularly vulnerable to Covid. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jules Anne on June 25, 2022, 12:47:58 AM
Considering I caught long COVID while wearing a face mask and maintaining distance I put zero stock into a paper mask doing anything more than building false confidence.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on June 25, 2022, 09:07:55 AM
Considering I caught long COVID while wearing a face mask and maintaining distance I put zero stock into a paper mask doing anything more than building false confidence.

What do you mean you "caught long COVID"?

No one (that's well-informed) thinks that the kinds of masks we wear are 100% safe from getting disease. In fact, they are much more useful for preventing spread to others than protecting yourself. They are an unselfish act of kindness to the people around you.

https://www.umaryland.edu/coronavirus/content/testing-hygiene-and-health/kn95-mask-instructions.php

Quote
If you are exposed to the virus while wearing a KN95, you are less likely to develop COVID-19

Quote
All these masks reduce the spread of the virus from the person wearing a mask. However, a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention study (2022) found that consistently wearing a N95 or KN95 mask in indoor public settings reduced the odds of getting COVID-19 by 83 percent.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cassie on June 25, 2022, 04:18:52 PM
Took air Canada from the states to Ireland for vacation and masks were mandatory. Left on a Friday and by Wednesday night was sick with Covid. I tested and reported to the tour company although I didn’t have to. That’s the end of the tour for me. Others felt sick but didn’t want to be left behind like me so stayed on the tour. Ireland doesn’t have a mandatory quarantine but the company is making me isolate for 8 days before they will send me home. Probably done with international travel as it’s a waste of money and not fun to be stuck in a foreign country alone when sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Prairie Gal on June 25, 2022, 05:00:42 PM
Took air Canada from the states to Ireland for vacation and masks were mandatory. Left on a Friday and by Wednesday night was sick with Covid. I tested and reported to the tour company although I didn’t have to. That’s the end of the tour for me. Others felt sick but didn’t want to be left behind like me so stayed on the tour. Ireland doesn’t have a mandatory quarantine but the company is making me isolate for 8 days before they will send me home. Probably done with international travel as it’s a waste of money and not fun to be stuck in a foreign country alone when sick.

@Cassie, that's awful! If others were sick you may have been exposed by them, and not the plane. It's hard to say. In any case, it sucks. Hope you feel better soon. Did the company offer any kind of partial reimbursement?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cassie on June 26, 2022, 10:06:19 AM
They won’t give a refund. My friend that stayed on the tour said that she and many others feel like they have colds which is how I feel. They all finished the tour and leaving tomorrow. I can’t leave until Friday.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on June 29, 2022, 08:45:44 AM
They won’t give a refund. My friend that stayed on the tour said that she and many others feel like they have colds which is how I feel. They all finished the tour and leaving tomorrow. I can’t leave until Friday.

I am so sorry this happened to you.  I hope you return to health and get home safely to continue recovering.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: therethere on June 29, 2022, 08:54:33 AM
Took air Canada from the states to Ireland for vacation and masks were mandatory. Left on a Friday and by Wednesday night was sick with Covid. I tested and reported to the tour company although I didn’t have to. That’s the end of the tour for me. Others felt sick but didn’t want to be left behind like me so stayed on the tour. Ireland doesn’t have a mandatory quarantine but the company is making me isolate for 8 days before they will send me home. Probably done with international travel as it’s a waste of money and not fun to be stuck in a foreign country alone when sick.

I hope you're feeling better soon. Luck will have it that you will feel 100% on the first or second day back. COVID got me on an international trip in Dec 2019. I was deathly sick for like 5-6 days before deciding to call it and get a flight home. Luckily (or not for others nearby) this was before testing and quarantine requirements so I could actually go home. Being sick in another country is a special kind of horrible, especially if there is a foreign food/water factor. Although I have some regrets now for not maximizing travel during remote work and COVID. It was really hard to even think of the idea of getting sick and stuck in a foreign place again. It was also a reason why I was really judgmental and hard on those who were traveling so non-chalantly before the vaccine.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cassie on June 29, 2022, 04:08:36 PM
I had a great deal of difficultly getting the tour company to make my arrangements to go home. They contracted with a 3rd party vendor that is incompetent. Luckily Monday I got this sweet young guy in the support department of the tour company that had a mom my age and he felt so bad for me. He used his contacts in other departments to book my flight home on Friday and it’s a excellent flight. I am in the middle of nowhere 4 hours from Dublin and he hired a private driver to pick me up tomorrow morning and then take me to the hotel at the airport.

He is truly a angel and I let him know that I will never forget his kindness and extra effort to help me. I have been having trouble sleeping because I am so stressed out. This town doesn’t have a train so getting to Dublin would have involved multiple forms of transport. I took a tour with my friend because I didn’t think it would be fun to travel alone and of course I end up alone sick in a foreign country for a week.  I am feeling very lucky that I didn’t get very sick considering my age and medical conditions. Good thing I was vaccinated and boosted.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on July 04, 2022, 02:49:03 AM
Here's a paper on the odds of getting long covid.  It's bad news if you are middle aged, female, asthmatic or have existing health issues -

https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/up-to-one-in-six-people-covid-19-long-covid-symptoms

And long covid is serious enough for 20% to be unable to work and 45% to need reduced work schedules, with a terrifying list of potential symptoms -

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/07/15/long-covid-has-over-200-symptoms-and-leaves-1-in-5-unable-to-work-study-finds/amp/

Numbers are rising here in the UK and I'm back to masking up every time indoors, not just for the longer/riskier exposures.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on July 04, 2022, 04:25:59 AM
Sweet, I'm middle aged and female!

We are visiting family in the northeast. COVID isn't a thing here, or at least they think it isn't. They haven't for a long time. You still see masks in grocery stores, but not many.

We masked on the planes and tested when we arrived. (Also because I had two close contacts before we left.) Numbers really are down locally but high where we flew from. It's been really nice.

Our dog sitter had it for the second time when we left, but he's fine now and the dog enjoys extra walks.

Cassie, I'm Soo sorry that happened to you.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on July 04, 2022, 07:27:09 AM
Here's a paper on the odds of getting long covid.  It's bad news if you are middle aged, female, asthmatic or have existing health issues -

https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/up-to-one-in-six-people-covid-19-long-covid-symptoms

And long covid is serious enough for 20% to be unable to work and 45% to need reduced work schedules, with a terrifying list of potential symptoms -

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/07/15/long-covid-has-over-200-symptoms-and-leaves-1-in-5-unable-to-work-study-finds/amp/

Numbers are rising here in the UK and I'm back to masking up every time indoors, not just for the longer/riskier exposures.


The study that your first article is based on is an interesting read (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-30836-0.epdf?).  I was surprised to see the ages worst impacted by long covid . . . highest risk for those aged 45–54 and 55–69, with lower risk above and below those ranges.  That's very different than the original "covid is only a problem for old people" advice that we were all getting.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on July 04, 2022, 09:46:51 AM
Welp, our county has been advised by the CDC to go back to masking indoors, so that's what I'm going to do. 
I'm guessing when I get to the store this a.m. that most people won't be masked, though.  Will be interesting to see if they change their minds if the case numbers continue to climb.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Mr. Green on July 04, 2022, 11:29:27 AM
Here in Wilmington, NC everything is completely back to normal, COVID or not. It's rare to see a mask on someone's face. Bars, restaurants, concerts, tourism is all 100% back to normal, with things booming even more than pre-pandemic levels because of WFH and revenge travel.

I mask up if I'm going indoors more than briefly or if it's crowded. My wife and I just don't do much that puts us indoors with the public very much anyway since we never have eaten out much or been big consumers. 90% of my indoor public time is easily the grocery store, and with is just being two of us most of our grocery trips are quite quick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on July 04, 2022, 11:37:13 AM
Traveling Chicago, Wisconsin, Minnesota last couple weeks.  Other than about 2% of people wearing masks seems back to normal. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on July 04, 2022, 02:03:52 PM
Today was the first time I even thought about covid in months... was golfing and remembered how silly it was that they shut down golfing and then put little bags on the ball washingthing at each hole once it resumed so you couldn't use them.  Strange times
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on July 04, 2022, 07:49:16 PM
Here's a paper on the odds of getting long covid.  It's bad news if you are middle aged, female, asthmatic or have existing health issues -

https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/up-to-one-in-six-people-covid-19-long-covid-symptoms

And long covid is serious enough for 20% to be unable to work and 45% to need reduced work schedules, with a terrifying list of potential symptoms -

https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2021/07/15/long-covid-has-over-200-symptoms-and-leaves-1-in-5-unable-to-work-study-finds/amp/

Numbers are rising here in the UK and I'm back to masking up every time indoors, not just for the longer/riskier exposures.


The study that your first article is based on is an interesting read (https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-30836-0.epdf?).  I was surprised to see the ages worst impacted by long covid . . . highest risk for those aged 45–54 and 55–69, with lower risk above and below those ranges.  That's very different than the original "covid is only a problem for old people" advice that we were all getting.

Another concerning finding is that in observational studies (subject to various confounders that mean the actual number reported should be taken with a grain of salt), the vaccination does not eliminate the risk of long COVID symptoms. I think overall we are stuck with this disease for a long time, and it'll just occasionally pick people off through disability or death.

The absolute damage to the population remains to be determined, if we are lucky it'll be like influenza eventually. For now, as of June the US has had about 80k deaths (or on track for 3x the highest annual death rate of severe influenza strains) attributed to COVID-induced pneumonia, versus 2k deaths to influenza. Deaths in some fashion attributed to COVID-19 (but not necessarily documenting a pneumonia as the cause of death) is about 150k.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cannot Wait! on July 05, 2022, 07:42:10 AM
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/covid-anti-vaccine-smoking/622819/

This article suggests covid is the new smoking...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on July 05, 2022, 08:20:18 AM
https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/covid-anti-vaccine-smoking/622819/

This article suggests covid is the new smoking...

This are certainly worse for the unvaccinated.  I have some trouble with the argument that vaccination is a miracle solution to everything though.

The main concern for most of us is not dying (that's largely clustered to people with medical conditions and the very elderly).  It's long covid.  Between 8-12% of vaccinated people who get covid will also develop long covid (https://medicine.wustl.edu/news/long-covid-19-poses-risks-to-vaccinated-people-too (https://medicine.wustl.edu/news/long-covid-19-poses-risks-to-vaccinated-people-too)).  Vaccination lowers your chance of getting covid after infection by only 15% (https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01453-0 (https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-01453-0)).

Your chances of getting covid are lower if you're vaccinated and boosted but protection against omicron from the vaccine is much lower than delta or the original covid and we know that the vaccine lasts for a relatively short period of time - losing significant potency after a couple months.

So it stands to reason that a lot of 'non-smokers' who did everything right are going to have long lasting health problems from this disease.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SingleMaltScot on July 05, 2022, 11:16:57 AM
I usually only lurk in the silence, but thought I would wade into this one.

I've pretty much gone back to normal with a few exceptions.   On airlines when required, of course I will wear a mask.  I also wear a mask in some of our factories where it is still required.
I do find myself still giving people a fair amount of physical space, I think this one will be ingrained for quite a while.

There are several reasons I've relaxed my stance as public health guidance has also relaxed.  Vaccination rates are quite high in my area, and I have had 3 doses.

The fist is that Covid-19 is never going away.  Unless some future pan corona virus vaccine can eradicate this thing, then we're stuck with it just like the other 4 circulating corona viruses.
As vaccines have rolled out and higher levels of infection acquired immunity have arisen, the hospitalization burden has been largely separated from infection rates.

In a post Omicron world it is almost impossible to avoid infection.  Prior to Omicron, I knew almost no one living near me who had been infected with Covid-19.  After the Omicron waves I know almost no one who did not get infected.  Those that didn't get infected had booster shots right at the start of the first Omicron wave. 
As boosting everyone every 8 to 12 weeks to keep neutralizing antibody levels high is not a viable strategy, I think almost every one will get infected at some point.
There is still much uncertainty, but I suspect that we're going to see long lasting protection against severe infection due to B-cell and T-cell immune response.  We may get infected, but the impact should be fairly mild.

The mask mandates, as implemented, have been mixed at best depending on the data sources you look at.   Cloth masks, which are allowed in so many places are not effective.
The studies on one way masking show that a good fitting N95 type respirator can provide good protection against infection.  For those that are immune compromised, or work closely with those that are, I think wearing N95's is very prudent, as is getting every booster available.

Long covid is a concern, I suspect I had it as many others did.   I had quite a few odd symptoms 2 to 4 months after having Covid, that seem to have gone away in the last couple of months.
Unfortunately this one will be difficult to avoid as people are going to get exposed to this virus.  Hopefully additional research can shed light on what is going on here.

We all have to make decisions that feel right for us as the data becomes available.   Should hospitalizations start increasing substantially due to reinfection or a new variant, then I'll mask up and start taking additional precautions.  I'll be planning for a booster, and a flu shot, in the fall.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Tempname23 on July 05, 2022, 06:34:28 PM
The only concession I have given regarding Covid for the last 7 months has been that I still don't feel right about going to the gym.

 OK, I have capitulated, I joined the gym this month, been there 3 times so far.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Focus_on_the_fire on July 05, 2022, 08:08:53 PM
Omicron is raging where I am right now among vaccinated and boosted people, so we are still masking.

It’s difficult to be safe because people have convinced themselves it’s over. People couldn’t figure out why I passed on going to an annual industry conference that draws from around the country. The FAQ proudly stated no masks, vaccination or negative Covid tests would be required for the indoor event.

Yeah, nah, I’m good.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on July 05, 2022, 08:42:00 PM
In our part of Pennsylvania, covid cases, hospitalizations, and deaths are at about their lowest point for the past 2+ years, since this whole thing started. Masks aren't required anywhere, afaik. A few people, here and there, are wearing masks voluntarily, but almost no one. Family and I are all fully vaccinated and boosted, and have been living our lives normally, just like before covid started. If they come out with new vaccines, we'll gladly take them, right away, but, besides that, we're not doing anything differently than we did pre-2020.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: big_owl on July 06, 2022, 07:10:32 PM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on July 06, 2022, 07:21:42 PM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it.  In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on July 06, 2022, 10:58:54 PM
Having finally caught Covid now, I personally have no regrets about not getting vaccinated. My experience was pretty much identical to that of the triple-vaccinated people I know who have caught it. A couple of days pretty sick and mostly sleeping and reading in bed, and a week of chilling in my apartment with VERY mild symptoms (minor sniffle and fatigue) mostly reading on the couch while waiting to be 100% to return to work. I'm fine now and back to hiking, etc.

Interestingly, as far as I can tell I'm the last person in my social circle to get it. Being mildly antisocial seems to be the trick. The incubation math tells me I either caught it on a caving expedition or a ferry, both of which are extremely uncommon things for me to be doing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on July 06, 2022, 11:16:45 PM
I had a great deal of difficultly getting the tour company to make my arrangements to go home. They contracted with a 3rd party vendor that is incompetent. Luckily Monday I got this sweet young guy in the support department of the tour company that had a mom my age and he felt so bad for me. He used his contacts in other departments to book my flight home on Friday and it’s a excellent flight. I am in the middle of nowhere 4 hours from Dublin and he hired a private driver to pick me up tomorrow morning and then take me to the hotel at the airport.

He is truly a angel and I let him know that I will never forget his kindness and extra effort to help me. I have been having trouble sleeping because I am so stressed out. This town doesn’t have a train so getting to Dublin would have involved multiple forms of transport. I took a tour with my friend because I didn’t think it would be fun to travel alone and of course I end up alone sick in a foreign country for a week.  I am feeling very lucky that I didn’t get very sick considering my age and medical conditions. Good thing I was vaccinated and boosted.

Hope you're safe and sound at home now! The whole ordeal almost makes you want to hide the fact that you have COVID. I'm glad you were in a democratic English-speaking country and got to stay in a private room in a hotel.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on July 06, 2022, 11:21:59 PM
Having finally caught Covid now, I personally have no regrets about not getting vaccinated. My experience was pretty much identical to that of the triple-vaccinated people I know who have caught it. A couple of days pretty sick and mostly sleeping and reading in bed, and a week of chilling in my apartment with VERY mild symptoms (minor sniffle and fatigue) mostly reading on the couch while waiting to be 100% to return to work. I'm fine now and back to hiking, etc.

Interestingly, as far as I can tell I'm the last person in my social circle to get it. Being mildly antisocial seems to be the trick. The incubation math tells me I either caught it on a caving expedition or a ferry, both of which are extremely uncommon things for me to be doing.

What about travel though?  I know that you used to do a ton of that pre covid, no regrets for not being vaccinated to travel?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on July 06, 2022, 11:48:33 PM
Having finally caught Covid now, I personally have no regrets about not getting vaccinated. My experience was pretty much identical to that of the triple-vaccinated people I know who have caught it. A couple of days pretty sick and mostly sleeping and reading in bed, and a week of chilling in my apartment with VERY mild symptoms (minor sniffle and fatigue) mostly reading on the couch while waiting to be 100% to return to work. I'm fine now and back to hiking, etc.

Interestingly, as far as I can tell I'm the last person in my social circle to get it. Being mildly antisocial seems to be the trick. The incubation math tells me I either caught it on a caving expedition or a ferry, both of which are extremely uncommon things for me to be doing.

What about travel though?  I know that you used to do a ton of that pre covid, no regrets for not being vaccinated to travel?

The type of travel that's been available the last few years isn't very appealing to me - I have no interest in doing a pile of covid tests, wearing a mask for 10+ hours on a plane, quarantining, and having local restrictions stop me from doing things I'd want to do. I like to travel in a very no-bullshit way, and there's still waaaay too much BS for it to be my idea of a fun trip. I'd rather wait to go overseas until I can travel the way I want to - no masks, tests, etc. Now things are starting to open up more, and restrictions are dropping, that's probably going to be fairly soon. We have been doing a good amount of within-Canada trips, which have been a lot of fun. The above-mentioned caving was part of one.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on July 07, 2022, 07:05:04 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on July 07, 2022, 07:21:37 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Covid is definitely not a death sentence.  The majority of people will survive it without vaccination.

That said, using the latest Omicron data from March 2022 . . . your odds of dying from covid are roughly twenty times higher if you haven't been vaccinated and boosted.  (It's about ten times higher compared to those who have been vaccinated and not boosted. - https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-compare-covid-deaths-for-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-people/ (https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-compare-covid-deaths-for-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-people/))

While vaccination doesn't provide perfect immunity from the disease, it significantly reduces your chances of dying and slightly reduces your chances of getting long covid.  Claiming that the difference between vaccinated/boosted and unvaccinated is minimal is just flat out wrong.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on July 07, 2022, 07:27:58 AM
...but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).

Well, technically it seems like you can catch Omicron variants more than once. But there's also the possibility of you getting it but having little or no symptoms, in which case, it might not be able to mess up those plans!

But strong agree with you on vaccination. It prepares your body for a battle. You fight the battle and you're unhappy you were prepared? Gee next time run into battle naked... ? Why'd they make me put armor on when I still had to fight...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on July 07, 2022, 07:54:01 AM
...but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).

Well, technically it seems like you can catch Omicron variants more than once. But there's also the possibility of you getting it but having little or no symptoms, in which case, it might not be able to mess up those plans!

But strong agree with you on vaccination. It prepares your body for a battle. You fight the battle and you're unhappy you were prepared? Gee next time run into battle naked... ? Why'd they make me put armor on when I still had to fight...

As to the bolded, yes, but my understanding is no one is getting it faster than at least 90 days.  Which would have made 3 weeks ago the perfect time to inoculate me for the summer!  But things are changing so fast who knows what the latest is.  I assume it would be pretty shocking if you could get it twice within 90 days, but I had two colds (or something not-COVID) over the course of about 3 weeks in May, so <shrug>.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on July 07, 2022, 07:56:38 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Really poor form to insinuate my "I might have felt worse without the vaxx" was the same as saying this person would probably have died without the vaxx.  Don't come trying to leverage my words on this warpath against vaccines that you are on.  It's disingenuous.  Make your own argument without taking my words out of context.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on July 07, 2022, 08:18:53 AM
...It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal...

Citation needed. Data, please. Anecdotes not accepted.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Davnasty on July 07, 2022, 08:22:30 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Covid is definitely not a death sentence.  The majority of people will survive it without vaccination.

That said, using the latest Omicron data from March 2022 . . . your odds of dying from covid are roughly twenty times higher if you haven't been vaccinated and boosted.  (It's about ten times higher compared to those who have been vaccinated and not boosted. - https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-compare-covid-deaths-for-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-people/ (https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/how-to-compare-covid-deaths-for-vaccinated-and-unvaccinated-people/))

While vaccination doesn't provide perfect immunity from the disease, it significantly reduces your chances of dying and slightly reduces your chances of getting long covid.  Claiming that the difference between vaccinated/boosted and unvaccinated is minimal is just flat out wrong.

I know it's unlikely, but I really want to encourage posters who have doubts about the vaccines to read this article. Please understand how much more meaningful this population level data is than your personal experience.

As a counterpoint to "vaccines can smd"... I've also received 3 shots, I also got infected recently, and I also got sick. I'd say my experience was similar to having the flu and I have lingering symptoms of fatigue, headaches, and brain fog at 3 weeks currently. I have no way of knowing whether the vaccinations had any impact on my personal outcome, yet I'm extremely grateful to the people who did the research and everything else necessary to make these vaccines a reality. Regardless of my personal experience it's clear that the vaccines have saved many thousands of lives, reduced human suffering, and helped get the economy/society in general back on track. We have data to support some of that but the sum total benefits are immeasurable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on July 07, 2022, 08:27:24 AM
...but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).

Well, technically it seems like you can catch Omicron variants more than once. But there's also the possibility of you getting it but having little or no symptoms, in which case, it might not be able to mess up those plans!

But strong agree with you on vaccination. It prepares your body for a battle. You fight the battle and you're unhappy you were prepared? Gee next time run into battle naked... ? Why'd they make me put armor on when I still had to fight...

Great analogy!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on July 07, 2022, 08:45:00 AM
...It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal...

Citation needed. Data, please. Anecdotes not accepted.

Just been watching the 2 lines slowly merge together on these graphs.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Mr. Green on July 07, 2022, 08:47:32 AM
...It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal...

Citation needed. Data, please. Anecdotes not accepted.
For sure. Numerous studies show that Omicron is just as bad as earlier variants for the unvaccinated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on July 07, 2022, 08:53:47 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Really poor form to insinuate my "I might have felt worse without the vaxx" was the same as saying this person would probably have died without the vaxx.  Don't come trying to leverage my words on this warpath against vaccines that you are on.  It's disingenuous.  Make your own argument without taking my words out of context.

"Warpath" Do show your work.
I fully support anyone who chooses to get vaccinated or boosted.
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Mr. Green on July 07, 2022, 08:54:21 AM
...It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal...

Citation needed. Data, please. Anecdotes not accepted.

Just been watching the 2 lines slowly merge together on these graphs.
I guess if not dying is all you care about. Personally, the significant risk of long COVID and reduced overall lifespan due to poorer general health as a result of COVID is enough for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Mr. Green on July 07, 2022, 08:58:05 AM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?
We give credence to the flu vaccine the same way. No one has ever said it will stop you from getting the flu but it does significantly reduce your chances of severe illness. Yet there are still people who get the flu vaccine and will still get pretty sick.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Davnasty on July 07, 2022, 09:04:15 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Really poor form to insinuate my "I might have felt worse without the vaxx" was the same as saying this person would probably have died without the vaxx.  Don't come trying to leverage my words on this warpath against vaccines that you are on.  It's disingenuous.  Make your own argument without taking my words out of context.

"Warpath" Do show your work.
I fully support anyone who chooses to get vaccinated or boosted.
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

Vaccines aren't as effective against current variants. Has anyone argued otherwise?

But to say the difference between "vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal*" is incorrect. The data you cited to back up your conclusion shows the opposite, unless you consider 5x as many deaths "minimal".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on July 07, 2022, 09:14:59 AM
Just been watching the 2 lines slowly merge together on these graphs.

That's how multipliers work. When one factor gets smaller, the other gets smaller. The difference between them gets smaller.

Let's say it's 5x. Let's start with 50 and 250. The difference is 200. Now let's say that 50 shrinks to 10. The other number would now be 50. The difference is just 40. The absolute difference is much smaller, and yet, the multiplier is the same (5x).

Now, the multiplier has shifted a bit on that graph, but the factor has not been noticeably shrinking all that much - other than what we know about Omicron reducing the net effectiveness of vaccination. As cases/deaths rose and fell, the apparent distance between the lines grew and shrank.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on July 07, 2022, 09:17:38 AM
My wife and I are both double vaxxed and boosted.  We both got COVID about 8wks ago nonetheless.  And both of us are STILL dealing with the fallout.  We both have fatigue and congestion and general malaise. If anybody approaches me with some BS requirement that we get boosted again I swear I'm gonna rip their eyeballs out.  We did everything right and we are both suffering literally months later.  Vaccines can SMD.

Wow, did someone tell you that being vaccinated would prevent you from catching it or from getting symptoms if you did?  If so, I'm sorry someone spread misinformation to you and that you believed it. In your position, I'd be thinking about how grateful I am that I was vaxxed and boosted, thinking about how much worse I might have felt and still be feeling had I not gotten the three jabs.

As for me, I am starting to feel like one of the few people in the world that hasn't gotten it.  My DH recovered about a week ago and a little part of me regrets working so hard to avoid it.  I'm glad not to have to worry (yet) about long covid, but also disappointed that I have a high risk of losing out on any of various summer plans if (when?) I catch it at the wrong moment (which DH no longer needs to worry about).  I'm being very vigilant, so life is actually less normal for me now than it was last summer, but I'm hoping to postpone the inevitable for at least a few more months.

Yep, you would have died like every person who hasn't gotten jabbed at will /s
I've heard so many people say how thankful they are about getting jabbed because their 3 week hospital stent would have been much worse without it. It's sad we have resorted to calling these vaccines and boosters effective when so many people have done their due diligence by getting the shot and are still getting sick for just as long as non-vaxxed people. Please stop saying things along the lines of "it could have been worse!" Maybe out of the gate, but with the current variants, the difference between vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal.

Really poor form to insinuate my "I might have felt worse without the vaxx" was the same as saying this person would probably have died without the vaxx.  Don't come trying to leverage my words on this warpath against vaccines that you are on.  It's disingenuous.  Make your own argument without taking my words out of context.

"Warpath" Do show your work.
I fully support anyone who chooses to get vaccinated or boosted.
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

Vaccines aren't as effective against current variants. Has anyone argued otherwise?

But to say the difference between "vaxxed/boosted and unvaxxed are minimal*" is incorrect. The data you cited to back up your conclusion shows the opposite, unless you consider 5x as many deaths "minimal".

You're 5x more likely to hit the lottery if you pay $10 vs $2. When dealing with small percentages, using multipliers makes things look far more dire than they actually are.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on July 07, 2022, 09:17:41 AM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on July 07, 2022, 09:28:54 AM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.

If I've said they're not worth taking, I apologize. That's not the argument I was trying to make. I'm just tired of people saying it would've been worse without the vaccine to people who were sick for multiple weeks. Never in my life can I remember that being said for any other illness that has a vaccine.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on July 07, 2022, 09:40:07 AM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.

If I've said they're not worth taking, I apologize. That's not the argument I was trying to make. I'm just tired of people saying it would've been worse without the vaccine to people who were sick for multiple weeks.

All the evidence that I've read indicates that vaccination reduces severity of disease.  That's why the deaths are so much lower percentage wise for vaccinated people.  It seems likely that outcomes for those people you're mentioning would have been worse were their immune systems completely unprepared for the virus.


Never in my life can I remember that being said for any other illness that has a vaccine.

Never in my life can I remember there being a world wide pandemic.  You have to remember that we're kinda already in a black swan event.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on July 07, 2022, 10:30:55 AM
If I've said they're not worth taking, I apologize. That's not the argument I was trying to make. I'm just tired of people saying it would've been worse without the vaccine to people who were sick for multiple weeks. Never in my life can I remember that being said for any other illness that has a vaccine.

I think I get the frustration. It's annoying to do everything right then get shafted. Kind of a rite of passage for being human, to be honest.

One interesting quote I've heard from economists and statisticians (I don't know who to attribute it to because I catch it in weird places), is that "You cannot judge the quality of a decision base on it's outcome. You can only judge what the decision was with the information available at the time"

Vaccines are a medical intervention. Invariably, the will actually cause more harm to some people at the scale that they're given. If you're one of those people, then the decision to get vaccinated might have felt like the wrong one, but even in retrospect, it was the correct decision if it was made carefully and considerate of all of the options. It will also be easy for random events to be associated with them from the scale as well. The overlap from random medical conditions and people who have received the vaccine creates some incorrectly attributed correlation.

Bottom line is that the people telling you this are probably correct. They might not be, but they probably are based on the global statistics. There is a small chance that the vaccine didn't help, and an even smaller one that it caused problems. I'm not saying that it didn't, *but*, oof, you could have dodged a pretty hefty bullet with your 2 week sickness.
 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on July 07, 2022, 12:41:10 PM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.

If I've said they're not worth taking, I apologize. That's not the argument I was trying to make. I'm just tired of people saying it would've been worse without the vaccine to people who were sick for multiple weeks. Never in my life can I remember that being said for any other illness that has a vaccine.

I actually agree with you on this... it seems like everyone who is vaccinated ends their caught covid story by saying they are so glad they had the vaccine because it would/could have been so much worse.  It's probably some sort of fallacy that I don't feel like looking up
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on July 07, 2022, 12:53:21 PM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.

If I've said they're not worth taking, I apologize. That's not the argument I was trying to make. I'm just tired of people saying it would've been worse without the vaccine to people who were sick for multiple weeks. Never in my life can I remember that being said for any other illness that has a vaccine.

I actually agree with you on this... it seems like everyone who is vaccinated ends their caught covid story by saying they are so glad they had the vaccine because it would/could have been so much worse.  It's probably some sort of fallacy that I don't feel like looking up

It's not a fallacy if the statistical evidence shows that unvaccinated people are more likely to experience negative outcomes. I don't have a time machine to go back and try getting COVID without a vaccine to compare, nor would I want to.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on July 07, 2022, 01:39:29 PM
I actually agree with you on this... it seems like everyone who is vaccinated ends their caught covid story by saying they are so glad they had the vaccine because it would/could have been so much worse.  It's probably some sort of fallacy that I don't feel like looking up

There are some fallacies there, but in general they are pointing the other direction.

1) The availability heuristic. Cases where covid hit hard even with the vacciene are easier to remember (and even detect) than those who didn't, so it is easier to think that they play a bigger statistical role than they do.

2) Optimism bias. It's easier to imagine a personal un-vaccinated encounter with covid more optimistically than the norm.

Basically, the only way to gauge how well you would do against covid without a vaccine is to look at the stats because there's no way run two timelines on yourself. And the stats say that vaccines in general are a net positive effect.

Vaccines are so effective (the data tells us) that we collectively don't have a very good gauge on how hard Covid would be without them. It's easy to stand here with significant levels of medical intervention and just kind of forget how much went into it. Similar to how we walk around with cell phones forgetting what it was like before them.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Mr. Green on July 07, 2022, 05:52:19 PM
I don't support the assumption that having the vaccine/booster made the situation better for someone who's been sick for 2+ weeks. Do we give credence to any other vaccine the same way? Why can't we say that the vaccine isn't as effective against the current variants?

You can say anything you want, people are just gonna ask you to defend your position. No one is arguing the point in bold. People ARE pushing back on you then submitting that this means that the vaccines aren't worth taking.
Just wanted to point out that this is misquoted. I did not say the above.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: moneytaichi on July 08, 2022, 11:21:19 PM
Just a tale of my personal experience: DH and I got vaxed and boosted as early as we could. We hardly travelled for nearly 2 years and only started going to restaurants this year. As things get easier, I relaxed my guards and went to coffeeshops and restaurants more often. Oh, well, I caught Covid on Monday. Variant BA.5 is super transmittable. We are in our 50s with asthma. It knocked me down for 3-4 days with zero energy to get up or eat, constant cough, and fever. Reading the long term effects of repeat Covid is very chilling. That means for me to scratch all my ideas of "normal" and continue my drills until new vax is out for new variants: social distancing, no flights/indoor dinning or crowded places. Masks are back on...  You know what, I probably can live just as well. I can hike, read, exercise, and do my daily chores - just with masks on :)

Different people take different risks for different things. I value my health.

https://health.ucdavis.edu/coronavirus/news/headlines/how-to-protect-yourself-from-covid-subvariant-ba5/2022/07
Emerging research is finding that with each repeat COVID infection – even asymptomatic infection -- you increase your risk for complications including stroke, heart attack, diabetes, digestive and kidney disorders and long-term cognitive impairment, including dementia.
Each reinfection also carries with it the risk of Long COVID, a syndrome with ongoing COVID symptoms that can last for weeks or months after infection.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 21, 2022, 04:47:29 AM
The CDC decided that "infection based immunity counts" back in August.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7133e1.htm?s_cid=mm7133e1_w
(Check PDF)
 Also I did not imagine this because the Washington Post and NPR also said it.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/2022/08/11/cdc-coronavirus-recommendations/
https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2022/08/11/1116991600/with-new-guidance-cdc-ends-test-to-stay-for-schools-and-relaxes-covid-rules

If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on September 21, 2022, 04:02:57 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 21, 2022, 04:37:39 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.

Yes, exactly this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on September 21, 2022, 05:59:16 PM
Our life has been totally back to normal for months now. I am feeling ready to get the new booster but I had hives for three months after the last booster so my doctor said to wait a year-which would be in Nov. Not sure if I should go ahead now or not.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on September 21, 2022, 06:32:47 PM
I just got my updated booster. The side effects were worse than the first three shots, but nothing compared to when I actually got covid. Seems to be little chance of avoiding it anymore without completely hiding in a cave, so I'll keep up to date on the shots to minimize the effects of the disease.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on September 21, 2022, 06:59:34 PM
I just got my updated booster. The side effects were worse than the first three shots, but nothing compared to when I actually got covid. Seems to be little chance of avoiding it anymore without completely hiding in a cave, so I'll keep up to date on the shots to minimize the effects of the disease.

I got the updated booster over the weekend and it also was worse than my first 4 shots. They warned me it might be bad because we don't think I have had covid yet. It was 24 really rough hours and then it resolved itself - but I did need to take yesterday off of work (unplanned).

My issues was mostly inflamed joints and headache. I have autoimmune issues, so inflamed joints are not new to me, but it was pretty bad. Definitely way worse than my baseline pain.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 21, 2022, 07:10:54 PM
I have just reconciled myself to the fact that I’m likely to have a bad 24 hours every time I get a vaccination from now on.

But that is so much better than getting Covid. Put it in my vein!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: pdxvandal on September 21, 2022, 08:17:36 PM
Also just got my booster a few days ago and had virtually zero side effects (I had some fatigue after the initial dose). Perhaps because I had Covid in May that my reaction was very minimal. Who knows? I'm just trying to continue to live without being uber paranoid about Covid. We just gotta live with it and hopefully the worst is over.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 21, 2022, 08:28:23 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Jesstache on September 21, 2022, 08:38:26 PM
Our life has been totally back to normal for months now. I am feeling ready to get the new booster but I had hives for three months after the last booster so my doctor said to wait a year-which would be in Nov. Not sure if I should go ahead now or not.

I STILL have hives over 6 months out from getting the booster (Moderna).  I don't know if I'll get another booster if I can avoid it.  I take daily zyrtec and it just kind of makes them bearable and I can tell when it's been more than 12 hours since my last dose.  I still spend a good part of the day trying to avoid itching (and I'm always  ITCHY from the hives) because any place I scratch leaves a raised red mark to the point that I can write stuff on my skin any time I want to and then read what I wrote for an hour or two afterward. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: Road42 on September 22, 2022, 04:38:29 AM
I got the new booster last week and had no reaction at all to it, just a bit of a sore arm from the shot itself. Before, other boosters would make me feel flu-ey for a day or so. But haven’t gotten COVID yet and I don’t want to. Gimme all the vaccines!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on September 22, 2022, 05:30:22 AM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?

You first...would it have been a bad idea to vaccinate them?

And we have no way of knowing what "just enough" means, so I can't see any reason why it would not be a good idea to vaccinate.

edited for typo
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 22, 2022, 08:48:00 AM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?

You first...would it have been a bad idea to vaccinate them?

And we have no way of knowing what "just enough" means, so I can't see any reason why it would not be a good idea to vaccinate.

edited for typo
The first answer here was just as true for vaccine based immunity as for infection based immunity.

And I did not say "just enough." I said "just had enough", which I had meant as "recently infected to the point of producing antibodies." That did not come across. So what would be the difference between two people that were "immunized" at the same time?

As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Sibley on September 23, 2022, 04:50:37 PM
Guidance is that you should wait 3 months (I believe) after having covid before getting the vaccine/booster. Thus why I haven't gotten the booster yet - I'm still in that window.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on September 24, 2022, 09:02:31 AM
I just got my updated booster. The side effects were worse than the first three shots, but nothing compared to when I actually got covid. Seems to be little chance of avoiding it anymore without completely hiding in a cave, so I'll keep up to date on the shots to minimize the effects of the disease.

I had basically zero side effects from the updated booster, which I got at the same time as my flu shot.  A bit lightheaded for a couple of hours, and some arm soreness for a day or two (which I normally get from the flu shot as well).  We, too, are finally relaxing some of our masking behavior in indoor public areas, except where it's particularly crowded/risky.  Want to get the kids boosted and will give them the go-ahead as well. 

Of course will still mask where required and if requested to make others comfortable.  Happy to still be COVID virgins, but choosing the updated booster as the point where we're going to take the risk of living through a periodic (likely mild due to vaccination) infection. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on September 24, 2022, 06:47:32 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?

You first...would it have been a bad idea to vaccinate them?

And we have no way of knowing what "just enough" means, so I can't see any reason why it would not be a good idea to vaccinate.

edited for typo
The first answer here was just as true for vaccine based immunity as for infection based immunity.

And I did not say "just enough." I said "just had enough", which I had meant as "recently infected to the point of producing antibodies." That did not come across. So what would be the difference between two people that were "immunized" at the same time?

As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?

Seems pretty clear. The pharmaceutical companies are the ones benefiting from vaccinating people who don't need it. Individuals suffer from side effects of the vaccines like myocarditis. For Pfizer and Moderna, there's only upside to vaccinating as many men, women, children, and even babies, as humanly possible.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 24, 2022, 08:21:10 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?

You first...would it have been a bad idea to vaccinate them?

And we have no way of knowing what "just enough" means, so I can't see any reason why it would not be a good idea to vaccinate.

edited for typo
The first answer here was just as true for vaccine based immunity as for infection based immunity.

And I did not say "just enough." I said "just had enough", which I had meant as "recently infected to the point of producing antibodies." That did not come across. So what would be the difference between two people that were "immunized" at the same time?

As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?

Seems pretty clear. The pharmaceutical companies are the ones benefiting from vaccinating people who don't need it. Individuals suffer from side effects of the vaccines like myocarditis. For Pfizer and Moderna, there's only upside to vaccinating as many men, women, children, and even babies, as humanly possible.

It’s so interesting how many people are so willing to believe that public health initiatives are all about big pharma making a profit… but somehow remain completely blind to the fact that vaccine denial is a hugely profitable industry.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/05/12/993615185/for-some-anti-vaccine-advocates-misinformation-is-part-of-a-business
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 24, 2022, 11:59:20 PM
If someone was already immune, why did they need the vaccine?

My understanding of immunity and infection is not that it's on/off, you have it/you don't. You can have more immunity or less, and also the amount of virus you pick up can depend on how sick you get or not.   Also, of course, different sorts of immunity work better or worse for different variants.
If someone had just had enough of the virus to cause antibody production, would it have been a good idea to vaccinate them?

You first...would it have been a bad idea to vaccinate them?

And we have no way of knowing what "just enough" means, so I can't see any reason why it would not be a good idea to vaccinate.

edited for typo
The first answer here was just as true for vaccine based immunity as for infection based immunity.

And I did not say "just enough." I said "just had enough", which I had meant as "recently infected to the point of producing antibodies." That did not come across. So what would be the difference between two people that were "immunized" at the same time?

As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?

Seems pretty clear. The pharmaceutical companies are the ones benefiting from vaccinating people who don't need it. Individuals suffer from side effects of the vaccines like myocarditis. For Pfizer and Moderna, there's only upside to vaccinating as many men, women, children, and even babies, as humanly possible.

It’s so interesting how many people are so willing to believe that public health initiatives are all about big pharma making a profit… but somehow remain completely blind to the fact that vaccine denial is a hugely profitable industry.

https://www.npr.org/sections/health-shots/2021/05/12/993615185/for-some-anti-vaccine-advocates-misinformation-is-part-of-a-business
That's more "a breakdown in trust in public institutions" problem. Biggest example I can think of off the top of my head is "why should vaccine data be released in 75 years." That would make most people do a double take. (https://news.bloomberglaw.com/health-law-and-business/why-a-judge-ordered-fda-to-release-covid-19-vaccine-data-pronto)

Both things can be true as well. You can have anti-vaxxer grifters and regulatory capture of government agencies. The two are not mutually exclusive. Both sides can have bad actors.

Though I will admit that this has been the weirdest part about COVID. The number of left leaning people who suddenly love the pharmaceutical industry despite its long history of shady business practices and how every "punk rock music" adherent suddenly learned to love experts. "All rebels are closet aristocrats" sums up everything very nicely. Also "meet the new boss, same as the old boss."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 25, 2022, 06:10:40 AM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on September 25, 2022, 06:32:45 AM
The pharmaceutical industry always has been sleazy af. Americans are some of the most highly medicated humans on Earth, and yet some of the sickest. Gee, wonder if there might be any connection there? Something like 3/4 of all Americans who die from drugs each year, die from pharmaceuticals legally prescribed and taken according to a doctor's instructions. Dealers of illegal drugs routinely get sentenced to decades in prison and have all of their assets confiscated by the government, yet, pharmaceutical executives, who kill 3x as many Americans, never even get arrested, let alone prosecuted and incarcerated. Right now, Pfizer and Moderna have vaccines that older Americans need to increase our chances of surviving covid, in the event that we get sick. That doesn't mean the pharmaceutical companies are suddenly all wonderful. There's a revolving door between the CDC, FDA, and for-profit pharmaceutical companies. So, it's not surprising, at all, that the FDA is claiming it'll take them 75 years to produce all of the documents they have related to the approval of Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine. They're covering for their friends still working in the industry. Gotta keep profits up, so they can all exercise their piles of stock options and become even more fabulously wealthy. We're still going to get a fifth vaccination for Covid sometime soon. Apparently, the shots work. No one in our family has gotten covid yet, as far as we know, anyway. Still not a fan of the pill pushers.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 25, 2022, 06:46:29 AM
The pharmaceutical industry always has been sleazy af. Americans are some of the most highly medicated humans on Earth, and yet some of the sickest. Gee, wonder if there might be any connection there? Something like 3/4 of all Americans who die from drugs each year, die from pharmaceuticals legally prescribed and taken according to a doctor's instructions. Dealers of illegal drugs routinely get sentenced to decades in prison and have all of their assets confiscated by the government, yet, pharmaceutical executives, who kill 3x as many Americans, never even get arrested, let alone prosecuted and incarcerated. Right now, Pfizer and Moderna have vaccines that older Americans need to increase our chances of surviving covid, in the event that we get sick. That doesn't mean the pharmaceutical companies are suddenly all wonderful. There's a revolving door between the CDC, FDA, and for-profit pharmaceutical companies. So, it's not surprising, at all, that the FDA is claiming it'll take them 75 years to produce all of the documents they have related to the approval of Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine. They're covering for their friends still working in the industry. Gotta keep profits up, so they can all exercise their piles of stock options and become even more fabulously wealthy. We're still going to get a fifth vaccination for Covid sometime soon. Apparently, the shots work. No one in our family has gotten covid yet, as far as we know, anyway. Still not a fan of the pill pushers.

Conflating medical science, the pharmaceutical industry, and the for-profit American health insurance industry is facile, but inaccurate. And unfortunately, it is the source of a ton of (often highly profitable) misinformation and even disinformation.

At the expense of our public health, unfortunately.

There is a heck of a lot of slippage in your post from one area to another, conflating a ton of separate issues into one big, messy bag. Again, facile, but conspiracy-laden and inaccurate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 25, 2022, 11:35:23 AM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on September 25, 2022, 12:36:44 PM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.

What an incredibly bizarre post. Entertaining, though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 25, 2022, 02:58:47 PM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.

What an incredibly bizarre post. Entertaining, though.

Yeah, it is bizarre. I think it is kind of revealing, though. I’ve noticed that a lot of anti-vaxxers/“skeptics” and Covid deniers have something in common with Q-anon people and frankly people who are prone to conspiracy theories in general. Namely, the sense of being in some sort of anti-establishment in-group that knows more/better than the mainstream “sheep” who are too blind to see what the cool rebels who think for themselves can.

It’s an attractive message that has been cynically used for political and economic gain a whole lot lately. Because it works really well on some people. People like to believe that they’re special. That they have some more acute insight that makes them stand out from others.

So, I guess what the poster is projecting is astonishment/mockery that the “liberals” he knows used to think they were all cool and anti-establishment, but now they are exposing themselves as phonies because they aren’t rejecting science, and they’re… buying merch at concerts.

Vaccine skepticism is the new “real” punk rock stance, is I guess what he’s trying to say.

Making a connection between rejecting mainstream music and rejecting scientific consensus on vaccine research is quite a leap, but that seems to be the gist of it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 25, 2022, 04:46:00 PM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.

What an incredibly bizarre post. Entertaining, though.

Yeah, it is bizarre. I think it is kind of revealing, though. I’ve noticed that a lot of anti-vaxxers/“skeptics” and Covid deniers have something in common with Q-anon people and frankly people who are prone to conspiracy theories in general. Namely, the sense of being in some sort of anti-establishment in-group that knows more/better than the mainstream “sheep” who are too blind to see what the cool rebels who think for themselves can.

It’s an attractive message that has been cynically used for political and economic gain a whole lot lately. Because it works really well on some people. People like to believe that they’re special. That they have some more acute insight that makes them stand out from others.

So, I guess what the poster is projecting is astonishment/mockery that the “liberals” he knows used to think they were all cool and anti-establishment, but now they are exposing themselves as phonies because they aren’t rejecting science, and they’re… buying merch at concerts.

Vaccine skepticism is the new “real” punk rock stance, is I guess what he’s trying to say.

Making a connection between rejecting mainstream music and rejecting scientific consensus on vaccine research is quite a leap, but that seems to be the gist of it.
Let me put it this way, the "punk rock" person I was talking about has spent several years doing pot, cocaine, mushrooms, LSD and whatever drugs come out of some rando's fanny pack at concerts because "the government lies to people about how bad drugs are."

One would expect that same skepticism to be applied to vaccines. Unfortunately no.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 25, 2022, 05:23:12 PM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.

What an incredibly bizarre post. Entertaining, though.

Yeah, it is bizarre. I think it is kind of revealing, though. I’ve noticed that a lot of anti-vaxxers/“skeptics” and Covid deniers have something in common with Q-anon people and frankly people who are prone to conspiracy theories in general. Namely, the sense of being in some sort of anti-establishment in-group that knows more/better than the mainstream “sheep” who are too blind to see what the cool rebels who think for themselves can.

It’s an attractive message that has been cynically used for political and economic gain a whole lot lately. Because it works really well on some people. People like to believe that they’re special. That they have some more acute insight that makes them stand out from others.

So, I guess what the poster is projecting is astonishment/mockery that the “liberals” he knows used to think they were all cool and anti-establishment, but now they are exposing themselves as phonies because they aren’t rejecting science, and they’re… buying merch at concerts.

Vaccine skepticism is the new “real” punk rock stance, is I guess what he’s trying to say.

Making a connection between rejecting mainstream music and rejecting scientific consensus on vaccine research is quite a leap, but that seems to be the gist of it.
Let me put it this way, the "punk rock" person I was talking about has spent several years doing pot, cocaine, mushrooms, LSD and whatever drugs come out of some rando's fanny pack at concerts because "the government lies to people about how bad drugs are."

One would expect that same skepticism to be applied to vaccines. Unfortunately no.

I mean, arguably the most punk-rock thing one can do is to flame out quickly and die of a heroin overdose in your twenties. But I’m guessing the connection between denying Covid science and dying an early, preventable death is unintentional.

But also… dude, you are advancing a whole straw man “liberal” philosophy based on literally one person’s faulty reasoning? You are advancing the same “the government lies to people” reasoning as your thought process?

I mean… really?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 25, 2022, 06:37:26 PM
What does being a “cool rebel” have to do with the science on vaccines? That seems like a pretty juvenile stance to take.
Lamenting the state of liberalism. That for eighteen years I heard the cry of "Rage Against The Machine" and had people wallow in Marilyn Manson's iconoclastic showmanship. Then these same people were the first to call me "sheep" and say "you can't possibly be this stupid" when being skeptical of the COVID vaccines. They lacked any kind of intellectual curiosity regarding COVID. The... Passivity of liberals when presented with COVID was disturbing.

It was not about being a "cool rebel" as much as "those attitudes evaporated in the blink of an eye." In the end, their philosophy had been boiled down to empty consumerism. You were "punk rock" because you went to concerts and bought merch, not because you had certain ideals or principles. Fighting for those is difficult. Much better to shut your brain off and "let the experts take care of everything."

I have simply realized that certain friends of mine are damned and nothing is to be done to save their minds.

What an incredibly bizarre post. Entertaining, though.

Yeah, it is bizarre. I think it is kind of revealing, though. I’ve noticed that a lot of anti-vaxxers/“skeptics” and Covid deniers have something in common with Q-anon people and frankly people who are prone to conspiracy theories in general. Namely, the sense of being in some sort of anti-establishment in-group that knows more/better than the mainstream “sheep” who are too blind to see what the cool rebels who think for themselves can.

It’s an attractive message that has been cynically used for political and economic gain a whole lot lately. Because it works really well on some people. People like to believe that they’re special. That they have some more acute insight that makes them stand out from others.

So, I guess what the poster is projecting is astonishment/mockery that the “liberals” he knows used to think they were all cool and anti-establishment, but now they are exposing themselves as phonies because they aren’t rejecting science, and they’re… buying merch at concerts.

Vaccine skepticism is the new “real” punk rock stance, is I guess what he’s trying to say.

Making a connection between rejecting mainstream music and rejecting scientific consensus on vaccine research is quite a leap, but that seems to be the gist of it.
Let me put it this way, the "punk rock" person I was talking about has spent several years doing pot, cocaine, mushrooms, LSD and whatever drugs come out of some rando's fanny pack at concerts because "the government lies to people about how bad drugs are."

One would expect that same skepticism to be applied to vaccines. Unfortunately no.

I mean, arguably the most punk-rock thing one can do is to flame out quickly and die of a heroin overdose in your twenties. But I’m guessing the connection between denying Covid science and dying an early, preventable death is unintentional.

But also… dude, you are advancing a whole straw man “liberal” philosophy based on literally one person’s faulty reasoning? You are advancing the same “the government lies to people” reasoning as your thought process?

I mean… really?
It is several people's faulty reasoning , not just his. I felt like I had to explain the "punk rock" aspect of my post. Most everyone else's failures at COVID have been "appeal to authority." And even as those authorities have been proven wrong (remember when vaccines prevented transmission) they have not reassessed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on September 25, 2022, 07:00:59 PM
Oh we’re doing this again?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 25, 2022, 07:20:48 PM
Oh we’re doing this again?

I guess so. Perpetually.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on September 25, 2022, 07:23:24 PM
Oh we’re doing this again?

I guess so. Perpetually.

Groooaaannn.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on September 25, 2022, 07:25:29 PM
Oh we’re doing this again?

I guess so. Perpetually.

Groooaaannn.

Well, now my mother is also getting chemo in addition to 95% of my patients, so an extra middle finger to anti-vaxxers.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on September 25, 2022, 08:29:46 PM
The pharmaceutical industry always has been sleazy af. Americans are some of the most highly medicated humans on Earth, and yet some of the sickest. Gee, wonder if there might be any connection there? Something like 3/4 of all Americans who die from drugs each year, die from pharmaceuticals legally prescribed and taken according to a doctor's instructions. Dealers of illegal drugs routinely get sentenced to decades in prison and have all of their assets confiscated by the government, yet, pharmaceutical executives, who kill 3x as many Americans, never even get arrested, let alone prosecuted and incarcerated. Right now, Pfizer and Moderna have vaccines that older Americans need to increase our chances of surviving covid, in the event that we get sick. That doesn't mean the pharmaceutical companies are suddenly all wonderful. There's a revolving door between the CDC, FDA, and for-profit pharmaceutical companies. So, it's not surprising, at all, that the FDA is claiming it'll take them 75 years to produce all of the documents they have related to the approval of Pfizer's Covid-19 vaccine. They're covering for their friends still working in the industry. Gotta keep profits up, so they can all exercise their piles of stock options and become even more fabulously wealthy. We're still going to get a fifth vaccination for Covid sometime soon. Apparently, the shots work. No one in our family has gotten covid yet, as far as we know, anyway. Still not a fan of the pill pushers.

Conflating medical science, the pharmaceutical industry, and the for-profit American health insurance industry is facile, but inaccurate. And unfortunately, it is the source of a ton of (often highly profitable) misinformation and even disinformation.

At the expense of our public health, unfortunately.

There is a heck of a lot of slippage in your post from one area to another, conflating a ton of separate issues into one big, messy bag. Again, facile, but conspiracy-laden and inaccurate.
What exactly do you believe is "conspiracy-laden and inaccurate?" The for-profit medical industry in the US has a fundamental conflict of interest. The more 'healthcare' patients receive, the more money the industry makes, but higher levels of healthcare don't necessarily correlate with better health outcomes. See, Less Medicine, More Health (https://www.goodreads.com/en/book/show/22544772-less-medicine-more-health), by Dr. H. Gilbert Welch.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on September 26, 2022, 07:13:03 AM
That's more "a breakdown in trust in public institutions" problem. Biggest example I can think of off the top of my head is "why should vaccine data be released in 75 years." That would make most people do a double take. (https://news.bloomberglaw.com/health-law-and-business/why-a-judge-ordered-fda-to-release-covid-19-vaccine-data-pronto)

I came across this comment and don't think it got enough consideration in the discussion.

Pharmaceutical companies and the for profit medical industry in the US both have a bad name . . . largely because they've proven themselves unworthy of public trust multiple times in the past.  Government agencies do not have a similar past.

In light of that, I don't personally think that the FDA is involved in a conspiracy with big pharma to hide the results of the covid vaccinations.  Despite not thinking there's a conspiracy here, I'd really like to see a release of the vaccine data to independent scientists.  While there are a few reasons why the data release may be slowed by a few months, or even a year . . . it's hard to see the 75 year proposed release date as reasonable in any way.  Even as someone who doesn't believe that this is a clear indication of guilt, I have to admit that it's weird.

If government organizations act in more transparent ways, it would go a long way towards taking the wind out of the sails of conspiracy theorists and help rebuild trust among the people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 26, 2022, 08:42:10 AM
Oh we’re doing this again?
No? August 2022 CDC guidelines says unvaccinated and vaccinated have the same guidelines. There isn't really a reason to rehash it since I have no interest in getting vaccinated.

Although I had been curious on what justifications there are for vaccine mandates since natural immunity is a thing now, at least according to the CDC.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on September 26, 2022, 08:50:03 AM
Although I had been curious on what justifications there are for vaccine mandates since natural immunity is a thing now, at least according to the CDC.

Vaccine mandates made sense initially, with earlier variants it was shown to significantly reduce the chances of spreading as well as catching the disease.

With current variants we've found that vaccination (and natural immunity) are both found to reduce transmission of the disease slightly.  However vaccination/natural immunity are both shown to be less effective than masking with a proper respirator - so it's hard to understand why vaccine mandates would be in place where mask mandates are not.

If the concern is transmission reduction it goes something like this:
Vaccination - safe
Mask - safer
Vaccination and Mask - safest
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on September 26, 2022, 08:52:34 AM
As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?


Responding to the above, this may have been posted before but it bears repeating:
Quote
  In a detailed analysis of nearly 43 million people, the risk of myocarditis in unvaccinated individuals after COVID-19 infection was at least 11 times higher compared to people who developed myocarditis after receiving a COVID-19 vaccine or booster dose, according to new research published today in the American Heart Association’s flagship, peer-reviewed journal Circulation
https://newsroom.heart.org/news/myocarditis-risk-significantly-higher-after-covid-19-infection-vs-after-a-covid-19-vaccine

Anecdotally from living in an area that was hit hard in spring of 2020 by Covid, I personally knew several people who suffered heart attacks, strokes, and embolisms after catching Covid, before the vaccine was available, and there was also a surge of people who died suddenly that spring but we don't know their covid status because tests were so hard to find then.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on September 26, 2022, 11:04:52 AM
That's more "a breakdown in trust in public institutions" problem. Biggest example I can think of off the top of my head is "why should vaccine data be released in 75 years." That would make most people do a double take. (https://news.bloomberglaw.com/health-law-and-business/why-a-judge-ordered-fda-to-release-covid-19-vaccine-data-pronto)

I came across this comment and don't think it got enough consideration in the discussion.

Pharmaceutical companies and the for profit medical industry in the US both have a bad name . . . largely because they've proven themselves unworthy of public trust multiple times in the past.  Government agencies do not have a similar past.

In light of that, I don't personally think that the FDA is involved in a conspiracy with big pharma to hide the results of the covid vaccinations.  Despite not thinking there's a conspiracy here, I'd really like to see a release of the vaccine data to independent scientists.  While there are a few reasons why the data release may be slowed by a few months, or even a year . . . it's hard to see the 75 year proposed release date as reasonable in any way.  Even as someone who doesn't believe that this is a clear indication of guilt, I have to admit that it's weird.

If government organizations act in more transparent ways, it would go a long way towards taking the wind out of the sails of conspiracy theorists and help rebuild trust among the people.
Best of luck on the journey of discovery to find the answer for that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on September 26, 2022, 11:21:28 AM
That's more "a breakdown in trust in public institutions" problem. Biggest example I can think of off the top of my head is "why should vaccine data be released in 75 years." That would make most people do a double take. (https://news.bloomberglaw.com/health-law-and-business/why-a-judge-ordered-fda-to-release-covid-19-vaccine-data-pronto)

I came across this comment and don't think it got enough consideration in the discussion.

Pharmaceutical companies and the for profit medical industry in the US both have a bad name . . . largely because they've proven themselves unworthy of public trust multiple times in the past.  Government agencies do not have a similar past.

In light of that, I don't personally think that the FDA is involved in a conspiracy with big pharma to hide the results of the covid vaccinations.  Despite not thinking there's a conspiracy here, I'd really like to see a release of the vaccine data to independent scientists.  While there are a few reasons why the data release may be slowed by a few months, or even a year . . . it's hard to see the 75 year proposed release date as reasonable in any way.  Even as someone who doesn't believe that this is a clear indication of guilt, I have to admit that it's weird.

If government organizations act in more transparent ways, it would go a long way towards taking the wind out of the sails of conspiracy theorists and help rebuild trust among the people.

Agreed. For people who are inclined toward conspiracy theories, they will latch into anything and add it to the narrative they are constructing. Better not to just hand them any fuel for their already raging fire.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SuperNintendo Chalmers on September 26, 2022, 12:37:33 PM
As to the OP question, after 2+ years being careful and managing to avoid Covid, I travelled to a work conference in early summer 2022 (vaccinated and boosted) and given the travel, indoor meetings, etc., thought for sure I would test positive when I got home.  Somehow, did not get Covid and all tests were negative. 

Got overconfident and travelled to another work conference a month later.  A few days after I got home, felt sick, and yup, Covid.  It SUCKED.  I was jealous of those stories I heard of people who had mild cases, because this was not mild at all.  Two days in particular were really, really bad, with me monitoring oxygen and trying anything I could to fall asleep in a sea of sweat to make the pain stop. 

For what it's worth, during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

So I'm personally getting more back to normal, but am still exercising caution and trying to balance work and life obligations with unnecessary risk. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sailinlight on September 26, 2022, 06:32:19 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on September 26, 2022, 06:57:34 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sailinlight on September 26, 2022, 07:57:33 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Turtle on September 27, 2022, 06:57:35 AM
As for "why not vaccinate them" safety issues come to mind.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7103a4.htm
CDC still doesn't recommend the Johnson and Johnson vaccine because of clotting issues.
https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/covid-19/clinical-considerations/myocarditis.html
And myocarditis is also a problem in younger men.

The better question is "why risk healthy people who already have the immunity we want?" Who does that help?


Responding to the above, this may have been posted before but it bears repeating:
Quote
  In a detailed analysis of nearly 43 million people, the risk of myocarditis in unvaccinated individuals after COVID-19 infection was at least 11 times higher compared to people who developed myocarditis after receiving a COVID-19 vaccine or booster dose, according to new research published today in the American Heart Association’s flagship, peer-reviewed journal Circulation
https://newsroom.heart.org/news/myocarditis-risk-significantly-higher-after-covid-19-infection-vs-after-a-covid-19-vaccine

Anecdotally from living in an area that was hit hard in spring of 2020 by Covid, I personally knew several people who suffered heart attacks, strokes, and embolisms after catching Covid, before the vaccine was available, and there was also a surge of people who died suddenly that spring but we don't know their covid status because tests were so hard to find then.

I had a young friend who was complaining about allergies being especially bad the spring of 2020.  Covid tests were hard to come by.  People in their mid 30's don't generally die of springtime allergies, but the death wasn't counted as Covid because of never testing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on September 27, 2022, 07:28:56 AM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways

Can you clarify what you mean by your comment?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on September 27, 2022, 08:10:12 AM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways

Can you clarify what you mean by your comment?

Right??  Maybe some people prefer to get their science from some source other than reputable scientific journals or...scientists...idk.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on September 27, 2022, 12:14:50 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways

What the everliving fuck are you babbling about? What is even happening on this thread right now? Are we letting flat earthers in, too?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on September 27, 2022, 12:40:56 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways

What the everliving fuck are you babbling about? What is even happening on this thread right now? Are we letting flat earthers in, too?
I mean, I know how to define science... I wonder what sailinlight does for a living tho...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on September 27, 2022, 07:50:20 PM
during the worst moments I never once thought, "I'm so pissed that I wasted my time getting those useless vaccine shots."  Instead, over and over again I thought, "Thank God I got those vaccine shots."  Because my understanding is the most credible data we have is that vaccination reduces risk of death if you contract Covid.

I find that interesting, could you share some data you read that would corroborate that?

This is not a remotely fringe argument.  That's exactly what the data has shown in study after study:
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/ (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35302230/)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2795654)
https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502 (https://www.bmj.com/content/378/bmj-2022-071502)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamainternalmedicine/fullarticle/2795326)
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(22)00141-4/fulltext)
https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html (https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/03/covid-19-vaccines-prior-infection.html)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2786039)
https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309 (https://pubs.rsna.org/doi/10.1148/radiol.220309)
etc.
Thanks, good to read those. I guess some people define science in different ways

What the everliving fuck are you babbling about? What is even happening on this thread right now? Are we letting flat earthers in, too?
I mean, I know how to define science... I wonder what sailinlight does for a living tho...

Disc Earthers know the world is supported by 4 elephants, who stand on Great A'Tuin.

This thread gone to brown foam with the "define science" and "unvaxxed" posts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on September 29, 2022, 06:46:21 PM
Speaking of the ongoing pandemic . .

I went to a garden club meeting the other night, where they required masks, took attendance for members and got names and emails of visitors, for notification purposes.  They asked anyone with Covid symptoms in the next 5 days to please notify the executive.  A few meetings of other garden clubs ended up being spreader events. The executive of this club decided to be proactive. And yes everyone wore masks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on September 30, 2022, 03:33:24 AM
Meanwhile in China…we are getting daily NAT tests. Mandatory masking in indoor public places. Travel restrictions. You could be randomly locked up for being a close contact of someone who tested positive. Or locked down simply for living in the same building as a close contact of someone who tested positive.

Re: the comment “some people define science in different ways”, my initial thought was, “I understand every word individually but somehow the comprehension is escaping me.” But then I thought more about it, and now I understand exactly what sailinlight means, because I’m living it in China!  You just define the science in the way that suits your purposes.

Like the article I just read recently that forcing perfectly healthy people in cities with no COVID cases to take daily NAT tests SAVES LIVES! According to science and data. Because death rates have not spiked since implementing the daily NAT testing policy. Yeah. So that’s proof that the policy works. Obviously, the scientific data supports the policy. 

And if you don’t get tested regularly, your code will turn red, and then you are endangering public safety, and you will be punished.

See, makes perfect sense.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on September 30, 2022, 08:25:29 AM
Speaking of the ongoing pandemic . .

I went to a garden club meeting the other night, where they required masks, took attendance for members and got names and emails of visitors, for notification purposes.  They asked anyone with Covid symptoms in the next 5 days to please notify the executive.  A few meetings of other garden clubs ended up being spreader events. The executive of this club decided to be proactive. And yes everyone wore masks.

The Knitting Guild here (and it's a huge group) has just resumed in person meetings and they are requiring vax cards and masking to attend. Lots of older members. I'm sticking with Zoom for that.

The schools made masks optional this year, which means that nobody has worn them, but I'm seeing a sharp uptick in both kids and teachers who are masking. If nothing else, all those colds that didn't go around last year are hitting hard this year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on September 30, 2022, 08:48:35 AM
Speaking of the ongoing pandemic . .

I went to a garden club meeting the other night, where they required masks, took attendance for members and got names and emails of visitors, for notification purposes.  They asked anyone with Covid symptoms in the next 5 days to please notify the executive.  A few meetings of other garden clubs ended up being spreader events. The executive of this club decided to be proactive. And yes everyone wore masks.

It's very rare to see people wearing masks around here in Toronto.  Went to my son's school yesterday for curriculum night.  Including my wife, son, and I there were about 6 people wearing masks in the group of about 200.  Seems like about the numbers I run into in grocery stores.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on September 30, 2022, 09:13:15 AM
At my mom's church in rural Washington (the church is a log cabin!) they recently had a potluck/super spreader event and eight folks came down with it, out of probably 30-40 parishioners (average age 75 or so). So it's still circulating.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on September 30, 2022, 11:17:59 AM
Having had my Omicron booster last week, I took the opportunity to not wear a mask in the grocery store and pet store for the first time in about a year (since my post-vaxx, pre-Delta ill-fated optimism of Summer 2021).  Ironically, back then I was one of the few that dispensed with the mask quickly (TBF, they are just the cloth ones back then!), and now I'm one of the last to still be wearing one. 

In any case it....didn't feel much different to not be wearing it.  So I guess I might as well keep putting one on?  But then, it feels weird that I'm willing to go out to eat indoors where I will spend a lot of the time without a mask.  Wearing a mask in the grocery store is not inconvenient, but not eating indoors at a restaurant would be inconvenient as the cooler months approach.  Other examples are social gatherings indoors where the ambient noise + mask muffling noise + lack of being able to watch lips definitely can hamper the experience.  I've always operated under the principle that preventing COVID from accumulating in my airway for any number of minutes is a potential benefit, so I shouldn't feel conflicted about these seemingly conflicting actions, but I know it would appear hypocritical.  It definitely keeps me aware that I don't feel "back to normal" but it very much feels like a new normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on September 30, 2022, 01:24:53 PM
Wearing a mask in the grocery store is not inconvenient, but not eating indoors at a restaurant would be inconvenient as the cooler months approach. 

Problem solved: Flex your mustachian muscles and cut out dining out!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on October 01, 2022, 11:06:19 AM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 01, 2022, 11:18:56 AM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I think that I'm about to give up on mask wearing actually.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on October 01, 2022, 11:33:16 AM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

It will probably depend on the mutation and the vaccines? I read this summer that COVID still accounts for 1 in 7 deaths in the US. That would make it like the second or third leading cause of death this year - definitely worse than the flu. I think Omicron is worse than people thought and I have hopes for the novavax booster once it is approved.

I was honestly starting to drop my guard (for me- I'm still way more careful than everyone else I know) and then several friends started relating long covid stories and one friend's spouse had a stroke at 39. One of the people I manage has had to take her 4 year old to the ER for oxygen three times this summer. He had a mild case back in March, but now has lung damage and his immune system is shot - he is catching absolutely everything.

I will still mask and avoid public places for the foreseeable future, because I am privileged enough to do so. My kids have to go to school and they were being made fun of for masking so we let them skip masks and I am just extra careful around them when they have sniffles.

(And I post all of this knowing that I am an extreme outlier, especially for where I live, but I'm not looking to add chronic fatigue or POTS to my autoimmune issues.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on October 01, 2022, 11:38:25 AM
It's interesting reading reports that some people are still wearing masks. Where we live, 99% of people don't wear masks, even in the most crowded indoor public places. We just literally threw our old cloth masks into the garbage, a few days ago, but we quit regularly carrying them around with us probably 6 months ago. Have been talking about getting a 5th covid shot sometime soon, just to be safe, but not interested, at all, in wearing masks again. The whole 'social distancing' thing has only exacerbated what was already an epidemic of loneliness in the US.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Log on October 01, 2022, 11:59:42 AM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

Pretty much agree with this. I will continue wearing my mask depending on:
1) Requirements. A COVID breakout in an orchestra can lead to fully cancelling a show, which is not great, so some orchestras are still requiring masks backstage.
2) How recently I've had a booster (whether literal vaccine booster or natural immunity from an infection)
3) If there's a wave from a new variant.

This level of caution is only because I'm a freelancer, so catching COVID could mean a significant loss of income. If I had paid sick leave I'd be much less concerned about getting sick. Even if I had paid sick leave, I would probably still be about this cautious indefinitely if I were older or had other risk factors.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Vashy on October 01, 2022, 12:20:36 PM
Having caught Omicron 4 weeks ago when I attended a mask-less convention, I'll definitely wear masks again in public. Covid isn't fun or "just a cold" and I'd rather not catch it again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on October 01, 2022, 01:00:44 PM
I've had terrible colds all my life and they were always inconvenient and painful.  Having discovered that masks can help minimize the number of times I suffer that and other diseases like it has been a bit of a revelation.  As I said above, having tried not wearing a mask at the grocery store the other day, and not feeling like the experience was even the teeniest bit different than when I wear one, I'm not sure why I would NOT wear a mask?  Every day I think "maybe I'll catch COVID today" I always end up thinking, "sigh, it would be inconvenient if I did because I've got XYZ happening over the next week that I don't want to miss..."

I won't wear one everywhere and it is actually inconvenient at certain times (as I suggested above, certain parties) and so I probably will eventually catch it as well as more colds.  But wearing it when it makes no difference to my experience and might help me prevent one more cold or COVID?  Why wouldn't I?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on October 01, 2022, 05:04:42 PM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

Pretty much agree with this. I will continue wearing my mask depending on:
1) Requirements. A COVID breakout in an orchestra can lead to fully cancelling a show, which is not great, so some orchestras are still requiring masks backstage.
2) How recently I've had a booster (whether literal vaccine booster or natural immunity from an infection)
3) If there's a wave from a new variant.

This level of caution is only because I'm a freelancer, so catching COVID could mean a significant loss of income. If I had paid sick leave I'd be much less concerned about getting sick. Even if I had paid sick leave, I would probably still be about this cautious indefinitely if I were older or had other risk factors.

Also a freelancer.

I'm planning on masking in most public places indefinitely at this point. Totally worth it. God, I hate getting sick.  Plus, I already have a lot of chronic health problems that I have to deal with; any infection of any sort risks bad consequences for me, and there is no way to predict which infection will cause which bad outcome. Plus, I just despise colds on principle b/c they are so annoying. Regular flu is a horror show that takes weeks to recover from. Stomach bugs are horror shows for a shorter time. Omicron Covid, which I caught last New Year's, was a walk in the park symptom-wise, but who knows what new variants might bring.

And again...even very mild infections sometimes spark incredibly bad autoimmune flares for me (I experienced 'long covid' before there was covid, and it took 9 months to get back to normal...no way am I risking another round of post viral syndrome if I don't have to).

Masking in most public places come with almost no downsides, so why wouldn't I do it? The only place it's truly inconvenient is eating out, which I do only a handful of times every year anyway.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on October 01, 2022, 06:09:08 PM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I think that I'm about to give up on mask wearing actually.
I had omicron in July and stopped wearing a mask after that.

However, I still do in crowded indoor places, and will always and forever on airplanes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on October 02, 2022, 07:22:40 AM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point ...?

For me, it's situational, depending on
So, no mask when low-to-medium incidence level in airy, well ventilated areas and/or short time-periods. Masking up in higher incidents with longer period of time and less well ventilated space.
 
So, more masking during winter indoorsy exposure to many ppl, no masking in summer, outdoors etc. At least for another year and then re-assess.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on October 02, 2022, 07:54:47 AM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I think that I'm about to give up on mask wearing actually.

Haven't masked since last January I believe except when asked. Still haven't had COVID as far as I know. It will happen eventually, and I'm not looking forward to it.
I saw a story about who should get the new booster and it said that for healthy individuals under 50, we have reached the point where the additional booster is just as risky as getting covid. This gave me pause since I had such an awful reaction to the last booster. I will likely still get the booster in late November (one year after my last) to hopefully help protect relatives we will gather with for the Holidays.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on October 02, 2022, 08:41:38 AM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I think that I'm about to give up on mask wearing actually.

Haven't masked since last January I believe except when asked. Still haven't had COVID as far as I know. It will happen eventually, and I'm not looking forward to it.
I saw a story about who should get the new booster and it said that for healthy individuals under 50, we have reached the point where the additional booster is just as risky as getting covid. This gave me pause since I had such an awful reaction to the last booster. I will likely still get the booster in late November (one year after my last) to hopefully help protect relatives we will gather with for the Holidays.

That seems like disinformation to me. Can you please share the link to that story?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on October 02, 2022, 09:36:08 AM
Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I think that I'm about to give up on mask wearing actually.

Haven't masked since last January I believe except when asked. Still haven't had COVID as far as I know. It will happen eventually, and I'm not looking forward to it.
I saw a story about who should get the new booster and it said that for healthy individuals under 50, we have reached the point where the additional booster is just as risky as getting covid. This gave me pause since I had such an awful reaction to the last booster. I will likely still get the booster in late November (one year after my last) to hopefully help protect relatives we will gather with for the Holidays.
Do you have a link for that?  I have not seen any data saying this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on October 02, 2022, 10:35:20 AM
There are new subvariants developing that are more likely to escape immunity from either prior infection or vaccination, according to recent CBC article.

I recently got my 2nd booster, the bivalent shot, and plan to keep up on them as new ones emerge.

I also wear masks everywhere and plan to continue doing that too.  I'm not afraid of the immediate symptoms of Covid, but of the long term, unpredictable conditions that can develop.  Why risk future illness/disability when a simple mask could possibly prevent them?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on October 02, 2022, 04:27:40 PM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I live with my wife and two kids. We try to follow the CDC guidelines as much as possible which currently includes isolating for five days if you catch COVID. It means if someone in your family is positive everyone else needs to test to see whether they should go around to other planned activities such as school, or find other options. That's mighty inconvenient! My wife caught it a couple weeks ago and I successfully avoided it, but I had to sleep in the basement and do a bit more child care than usual. It's not a fun illness. I've had it once before and would prefer to minimize the number of times I catch it.

The prior idea of wearing masks to protect others has fallen by the wayside. Now it's solely on the individual to take measures to avoid infection if that's something that matters to them. For my part I do mask up when I go to a crowded public space such as a grocery store or airport, where doing so doesn't really affect my ability to do anything I want to do there. For something like sports where I really need full air flow, or a party where it's important to talk to people, I'll go mask-free if healthy. I've recently started carrying a CO2 monitor sometimes to get an idea of how fresh the air is in a place I visit. The higher the CO2 level, the more of other people's exhaled air you're breathing in, and the more viruses that potentially go along with that exhaled air. If it's pretty close to outdoor levels I feel extremely comfortable going without a mask even if the place is pretty crowded.

I expect that I'll always wear a mask if I have respiratory symptoms, because breathing viruses on other people is just rude.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: scottish on October 02, 2022, 05:25:42 PM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I live with my wife and two kids. We try to follow the CDC guidelines as much as possible which currently includes isolating for five days if you catch COVID. It means if someone in your family is positive everyone else needs to test to see whether they should go around to other planned activities such as school, or find other options. That's mighty inconvenient! My wife caught it a couple weeks ago and I successfully avoided it, but I had to sleep in the basement and do a bit more child care than usual. It's not a fun illness. I've had it once before and would prefer to minimize the number of times I catch it.

The prior idea of wearing masks to protect others has fallen by the wayside. Now it's solely on the individual to take measures to avoid infection if that's something that matters to them. For my part I do mask up when I go to a crowded public space such as a grocery store or airport, where doing so doesn't really affect my ability to do anything I want to do there. For something like sports where I really need full air flow, or a party where it's important to talk to people, I'll go mask-free if healthy. I've recently started carrying a CO2 monitor sometimes to get an idea of how fresh the air is in a place I visit. The higher the CO2 level, the more of other people's exhaled air you're breathing in, and the more viruses that potentially go along with that exhaled air. If it's pretty close to outdoor levels I feel extremely comfortable going without a mask even if the place is pretty crowded.

I expect that I'll always wear a mask if I have respiratory symptoms, because breathing viruses on other people is just rude.

Interesting.   Have you found differences in CO2 levels?    And if so, what were the worst places for high CO2 and how big were the differences?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dee18 on October 02, 2022, 06:03:53 PM
Seattlecyclone,  Could you provide a link for purchasing your portable CO2 monitor, or is it something related to your work?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on October 02, 2022, 08:11:24 PM
Interesting.   Have you found differences in CO2 levels?    And if so, what were the worst places for high CO2 and how big were the differences?

Oh yes, it can vary quite a lot. Fresh outside air tends to be a touch over 400 parts per million. Besides virus risk, people start to notice poor air quality and feel more tired above about 1,000 ppm, and other side effects such as headaches can start around 2,000 ppm. Human cognition also suffers measurable deficits at these higher levels.

Someone I follow on Twitter whose risk tolerance seems to be quite a lot lower than mine, and who has done quite a bit of research into the topic, uses the following scale:
<600 ppm: will happily go without a mask.
600-800 ppm: will likely go without a mask, but will be less happy about it.
>800 ppm: will likely wear a mask.

I've been keeping that standard in mind. I will sometimes go maskless at these higher levels, but I'll be mindful that the situation is a bit more risky and will consider limiting my exposure when convenient.

My home office is in my basement and tends to be in the 500-700 range. No particular effort is made to ventilate this area, but it's a pretty large space and the doors to the garage and the outside aren't terribly well sealed. The result seems to be that the CO2 dissipates almost as fast as I exhale it during the day, and by the time I come down the next morning it's pretty close to outdoor levels again.

I spent a weekend with some friends at their family's cabin in the mountains a couple weekends ago. That place is very well-sealed to keep heat in during the winter, but the result is that the CO2 levels climbed quite fast if we kept the windows closed: we're talking levels approaching 2,000 ppm with ten people in the place. One friend, the son-in-law of the cabin's owner, said "so that's why I always feel so sleepy when I come here." That was incidentally where my wife caught COVID. She and I were going without a mask there because there were just three families there, all of whom tend to be on the more cautious side where COVID is concerned, so we decided to let our guard down. Unfortunately one of the families there had visited with their relatives the week before, and found out while we were at the cabin that one of them had tested positive. Once they got home they started experiencing symptoms. We made our kids keep wearing masks inside the cabin because they had a cold, but they avoided the COVID! I avoided it probably because I got the new booster a week before. My wife had a vaccine appointment scheduled for the next week and she got sick. Poor timing!

The curling club I belong to unfortunately has pretty high levels of CO2. They have the HVAC system tuned pretty well to optimize the ice conditions, but the CO2 levels can easily climb above 1,000 PPM if the arena has been full of people curling for a few hours.

I'm currently in the Seattle airport. The air quality here is mostly quite good given how crowded it is! I had some time to kill before my flight (and it was delayed for an hour so I have a bit more time to type this). I spent some time in the south satellite terminal where many of the international airlines operate out of. That one tends to be a bit less crowded and has CO2 levels in the 600-700 range. I then went over to the north satellite terminal (noticeably busier) and the CO2 levels were closer to 900. I'm currently sipping a glass of wine in the Priority Pass lounge in the main terminal and the meter reads 705 ppm. Not bad. The train between the terminals, on the other hand, got up to around 1,500 when it was crowded. Pretty high, but it's also for a short period of time. I'm interested to see what the air looks like on the flight.

Seattlecyclone,  Could you provide a link for purchasing your portable CO2 monitor, or is it something related to your work?

I bought this monitor (https://amzn.to/3UY6j7M). It's not cheap, but the Twitter person I mentioned above, and several other folks who are vocally in support of continued vigilance around COVID (and have done way more research into the topic than I) seem to use this one. There are apparently a bunch of cheaper monitors that don't perform very well in validation tests, but this one is the real deal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on October 03, 2022, 06:19:17 AM
CVOID is now the flu. It's not going away and it's going to constantly mutate making vaccines only a partial solution. Even if most people get an annual COVID shot along with a flu shot, it's not going to stop spreading.

Are those of you masking planning to do so indefinitely? What is the end point when basically everyone has either been vaccinated or infected (or both in many cases)?

I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

And wearing a mask doesn't bother me at all. There is absolutely no down side for me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 03, 2022, 06:51:44 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on October 03, 2022, 07:19:05 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

Also, the cost to society of large numbers of people intentionally masking their facial expressions is not zero.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 03, 2022, 07:42:51 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

Also, the cost to society of large numbers of people intentionally masking their facial expressions is not zero.

I dunno about that.  You can see an awful lot of a person's facial expressions even when they're wearing a mask.  Aside from maybe needing to ask for clarification if you can't hear something that's a little muffled . . . what is the societal cost?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on October 03, 2022, 08:07:15 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

Also, the cost to society of large numbers of people intentionally masking their facial expressions is not zero.

I dunno about that.  You can see an awful lot of a person's facial expressions even when they're wearing a mask.  Aside from maybe needing to ask for clarification if you can't hear something that's a little muffled . . . what is the societal cost?

Maybe you're better at deciphering masked people's facial expressions than I am, but I often struggle with knowing whether a masked person is trying to be funny, or ironic, or is angry, or whatever. The societal cost, though, is, I think, mostly borne by children. The way kids learn to interpret the world is by observing adults' reactions, and facial expressions are a big part of that. Not knowing, for sure, what the proper response to an individual or an event should be, kids look to their parents or other adult caregivers to help them understand whether they should be in fight or flight mode, or if someone/something is completely safe, and it's okay for them to let their guard down and relax. I'm just guessing, but it's hard to imagine that not being able to fully see adults' facial expressions will in any way help to alleviate already sky-high rates of anxiety and depression, especially among young people growing up during Covid Times.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on October 03, 2022, 08:49:41 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

Also, the cost to society of large numbers of people intentionally masking their facial expressions is not zero.

I dunno about that.  You can see an awful lot of a person's facial expressions even when they're wearing a mask.  Aside from maybe needing to ask for clarification if you can't hear something that's a little muffled . . . what is the societal cost?

Maybe you're better at deciphering masked people's facial expressions than I am, but I often struggle with knowing whether a masked person is trying to be funny, or ironic, or is angry, or whatever. The societal cost, though, is, I think, mostly borne by children. The way kids learn to interpret the world is by observing adults' reactions, and facial expressions are a big part of that. Not knowing, for sure, what the proper response to an individual or an event should be, kids look to their parents or other adult caregivers to help them understand whether they should be in fight or flight mode, or if someone/something is completely safe, and it's okay for them to let their guard down and relax. I'm just guessing, but it's hard to imagine that not being able to fully see adults' facial expressions will in any way help to alleviate already sky-high rates of anxiety and depression, especially among young people growing up during Covid Times.

Given that so few people are masking now, and that the ones that do are only doing it indoors or only in certain indoor environments, this is a small reduction in the number of observations children will be able to make as they go about their day.

Another way to ask whether it's a real risk or not is to see if certain Asian countries have a generation of children that are socially inept now, since they've been doing more masking for almost 15 years and perhaps longer (I remember this as far back as 2005 when I was traveling).  I haven't heard of this and doubt it is the case, but it's possible I haven't heard.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 03, 2022, 09:09:26 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

Also, the cost to society of large numbers of people intentionally masking their facial expressions is not zero.

I dunno about that.  You can see an awful lot of a person's facial expressions even when they're wearing a mask.  Aside from maybe needing to ask for clarification if you can't hear something that's a little muffled . . . what is the societal cost?

Maybe you're better at deciphering masked people's facial expressions than I am, but I often struggle with knowing whether a masked person is trying to be funny, or ironic, or is angry, or whatever. The societal cost, though, is, I think, mostly borne by children. The way kids learn to interpret the world is by observing adults' reactions, and facial expressions are a big part of that. Not knowing, for sure, what the proper response to an individual or an event should be, kids look to their parents or other adult caregivers to help them understand whether they should be in fight or flight mode, or if someone/something is completely safe, and it's okay for them to let their guard down and relax. I'm just guessing, but it's hard to imagine that not being able to fully see adults' facial expressions will in any way help to alleviate already sky-high rates of anxiety and depression, especially among young people growing up during Covid Times.


I was thinking mostly about adults.  But yeah, totally agree - wearing masks around young kids seems detrimental to regular development.  My suspicion is that most of the anxiety/depression in teens and older kids has to do with the combination of a realization that adults really don't have shit under control and isolation . . . both of which are largely ending/ended at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on October 03, 2022, 09:46:48 AM
I actually do think that I will continue to wear a mask indoors indefinitely. I'm old enough to be higher risk, and frankly - I just don't like getting sick. Why should I waste a week on a cold or the flu or Covid? It's not just about death....

One potential reason not to - Does the adult immune system require regular exposure to germs to maintain good working function?  I know that there's been a fair bit of research into children's need for exposure to stuff to learn how to handle disease but am unclear about the need for adults.  Seems reasonable to assume that very strict avoidance of regular germs/disease for an extended time could actually negatively impact health in the long term.

We live with a first grader - I'm pretty sure that I'm going to be able to maintain exposure to germs. :-) But I think that for older people in general, our immune systems are as tuned up as they'll ever be.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on October 03, 2022, 09:48:55 AM
And I've been surprised at how easy it has been to "read" people when they are masked. I don't think little kids have much problem with it, either, though I'm sure that there's some variation.

How do kids do with that in societies where women traditionally cover their faces?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on October 03, 2022, 10:32:38 AM
And I've been surprised at how easy it has been to "read" people when they are masked. I don't think little kids have much problem with it, either, though I'm sure that there's some variation.

How do kids do with that in societies where women traditionally cover their faces?

And I have been surprised at how difficult it has been to "read" people when they are masked. But, it likely is a side "benefit" of not worrying too much in general what people think, but I do like to file how people seemed to be projecting, even if it didn't matter much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on October 03, 2022, 10:54:26 AM
There are new subvariants developing that are more likely to escape immunity from either prior infection or vaccination, according to recent CBC article.

I recently got my 2nd booster, the bivalent shot, and plan to keep up on them as new ones emerge.

I also wear masks everywhere and plan to continue doing that too.  I'm not afraid of the immediate symptoms of Covid, but of the long term, unpredictable conditions that can develop.  Why risk future illness/disability when a simple mask could possibly prevent them?
One of my friends hasn't had COVID yet.  She kind of rolls her eyes when we talk about it - she takes a lot of herbal things (is also vaccinated), but doesn't think it's a big deal. 
OTOH she complains that her kids don't have real jobs yet (they are in their 20s and 30s), but one of them is still suffering from long COVID fatigue.  It's an interesting bit of disconnect.  Or maybe it's not?  But we talked about it again last week, and her two statements were literally a few minutes apart.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 03, 2022, 11:20:28 AM
DW and I avoided COVID until this week. Our two offspring caught it months ago and quickly recovered. We're all vaccinated. We plan to get the booster and flu shots next week.

DW was working with a community group and someone there had it (untested). Now five people including DW have it. She debated masking up until she caught it.

I'll test tomorrow per CDC guidance, am at work today but staying in my office. I wear a mask should anyone come around and I've asked everyone that stops by to talk from the hallway. (Two people so far)

DW was pretty disappointed to catch it as we've been very careful though we've not been masking except when in large groups. Hardly anyone masks here since spring. (red state)

I feel good (98-99%) but yesterday I could say my immune system was a little off. Probably just dealing with typical seasonal allergies and the suggestion that I could catch COVID from DW.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on October 03, 2022, 01:22:44 PM
@Just Joe I don't understand - your wife has COVID and you feel off, but you still went in to your office?? Ventilation systems as we've learned aren't great, so if you aren't wearing an N95 all the time (sounds like no mask unless someone stops by) you could still be passing it on to others, particularly as you haven't tested yourself yet.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 04, 2022, 08:59:03 AM
@Just Joe I don't understand - your wife has COVID and you feel off, but you still went in to your office?? Ventilation systems as we've learned aren't great, so if you aren't wearing an N95 all the time (sounds like no mask unless someone stops by) you could still be passing it on to others, particularly as you haven't tested yourself yet.

My employer told me I needed to be there so I self isolated myself in my office and I left home a couple hours early.

Am home today. Symptoms are similar. Pretty mild - sore throat and an occasional cough. Will test late this afternoon.

I have something, not sure if COVID. Likely COVID but I've had these kinds of symptoms most years even before COVID aka a mild cold...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dandarc on October 04, 2022, 09:28:32 AM
@Just Joe I don't understand - your wife has COVID and you feel off, but you still went in to your office?? Ventilation systems as we've learned aren't great, so if you aren't wearing an N95 all the time (sounds like no mask unless someone stops by) you could still be passing it on to others, particularly as you haven't tested yourself yet.

My employer told me I needed to be there so I self isolated myself in my office and I left home a couple hours early.

Am home today. Symptoms are similar. Pretty mild - sore throat and an occasional cough. Will test late this afternoon.

I have something, not sure if COVID. Likely COVID but I've had these kinds of symptoms most years even before COVID aka a mild cold...
I didn't get a positive test until the day I could add "fever" to the list of symptoms - otherwise started a lot like yours. 2-3 days after an exposure a cough that wasn't too bad but didn't go away, then 2 days after that I was sick. Actually tested negative in the morning - wasn't feeling well so figured I'd check before visiting with family (day before we were supposed to fly back home). Then still not feeling well so took temp and had a low fever. Then a clearly positive covid test.

If it is COVID, hopefully you have a better time than I did - it wasn't bad in terms of being sick, but I felt a need to really isolate pretty hard until I had a negative test which took over 2 weeks from the positive test, almost 3 from symptoms (used the rapid at-home tests where a false-negative is far more likely than a false-positive too).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 04, 2022, 09:23:18 PM
Thanks for the background. I tested negative today here at the house. Now my symptoms include chills and a low grade temperature. Guess DW and I will binge watch alot of TV for a few days. We sat in the sun this afternoon and shuffled around the outside of the house a bit. The sun felt good and chased off the chills for a bit. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on October 06, 2022, 09:54:02 AM
It took my husband a few days to binax positive after symptoms.  I PCR tested positive day of symptoms and binaxed positive the next day (I might have the PCR day, I just didn't bother.  Got curious to see if it'd pick it up though.)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on October 07, 2022, 05:27:19 AM
Meanwhile, we are on alert for possibly being locked down (again), because one person who lives two streets down from our apartment complex tested positive. At this point, I’d happily trade places with any one of you. I’d absolutely rather stay home for a week nursing flu-like symptoms than have to deal with the disruption of a hard lockdown from anywhere between 2 to 14+ days even though I don’t have COVID (yes, here we are locking up healthy people who don’t have COVID).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 07, 2022, 07:42:15 AM
I'm back at work. Feeling pretty good except a cough. Think the timing was suspicious considering DW's positive test but I never tested positive.

I'll self-isolating in my office and masking today. If I take a turn for the worse (chills, etc returns) I'm going home. I need to be here b/c my coworker isn't here (their family member is having a non-COVID health problem) and somebody needs to mind our tasks.

DW still tests positive. Feels pretty good so at least she is on the mend. Did you know the CDC says it is okay to return to daily life despite testing positive if the symptoms are subsiding? With a mask of course.

Freedom5 - very glad you are safe but no, I don't want to experience the Chinese lockdowns. I wouldn't mind lockdown at our house where at least I could entertain myself our in my shop. 14 days in an apartment does not sound appealing. How do the people with dogs deal with walking them so they can relieve themselves?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 07, 2022, 07:57:46 AM
How do the people with dogs deal with walking them so they can relieve themselves?

https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239 (https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on October 07, 2022, 09:01:30 AM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on October 07, 2022, 09:46:13 AM
How do the people with dogs deal with walking them so they can relieve themselves?

https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239 (https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239)

People get creative. If you’re locked down, you have to get a PCR once a day or once every other day, so you take your dog down then and take the *scenic route*/accidentally on purpose get lost on the way to the testing point within your compound. You can usually also take down your own trash, so you put your trash in small bags and go down multiple times a day around the time when your dog needs a walk. You can typically also pick up grocery deliveries from the front gate, so that’s another time to take your dog out.

If you have a positive case in your building and can’t leave your apartment at all, then some people have put a fake grass patch on their balcony. Or they sneak their dog down at night under the cover of darkness. And if the security guard yells at them, they yell right back. Sometimes whoever yells the loudest, wins.

Yeah, and unfortunately, sometimes the pets get killed or abandoned. Especially if the owner gets taken away to a quarantration camp, or more officially known as centralized quarantine, not necessarily because they have COVID, but because they were deemed a close contact of someone who tested positive and might possibly have been infected, so they need to be locked up for weeks until they can prove they’re not infected.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on October 07, 2022, 10:05:12 AM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.

That's obviously overkill.  However, the world is still a damned scary place for the immunocompromised.  My wife is one of them. We are not shut-ins....but we think very carefully about where to go and the 'chances' we are willing to take.  And we do wear masks in crowded indoor areas ( but not gas masks...haha ).  Any yes, neither of us have had it yet...for now.  And it looks like there has been an extreme uptick in our area...right on schedule for the fall/winter season.

 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on October 07, 2022, 11:23:03 AM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.
Or he is shitposting in real life. I was tempted to dress like this (see attachment). Knew someone that grabbed a respirator (for body shop work) who just wanted to mock people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on October 07, 2022, 11:30:35 AM
Yeah, maybe he was just being juvenile to make a "point."

Whatever the reason, though, he wasn't hurting anyone. There's no reason not to just let people do what they want as long as it's not against the law.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 07, 2022, 12:20:08 PM
How do the people with dogs deal with walking them so they can relieve themselves?

https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239 (https://www.wionews.com/world/watch-bags-full-of-cats-and-dogs-seen-in-china-as-authorities-kill-pets-of-covid-positive-owners-472239)

I don't ever want to live in China.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 07, 2022, 12:21:24 PM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.

I see people walking on empty sidewalks masked and today - someone driving alone in a car all masked up. Whatever floats their boat.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on October 07, 2022, 12:36:54 PM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.

I see people walking on empty sidewalks masked and today - someone driving alone in a car all masked up. Whatever floats their boat.

I've driven in my car masked several times because I've forgotten that I even have it on.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on October 07, 2022, 02:35:46 PM
I saw a guy at Costco the other day wearing a full gas mask. Completely covering his face with respirators built-in - just like the kind I'm issued in the Army.

He looked to be in his 30s and in reasonably good health (i.e. not morbidly obese). Maybe he's severely immune compromised and can't get vaccinated but in a place like Costco where the aisles are 10 feet wide and it's a 150,000 square foot warehouse it's not exactly high risk for catching COVID. I wanted to take a picture because it just seems so absurd at this point.

I see people walking on empty sidewalks masked and today - someone driving alone in a car all masked up. Whatever floats their boat.

I've driven in my car masked several times because I've forgotten that I even have it on.

Lots of times, in my case.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 07, 2022, 03:33:00 PM
I can't wait to take the darn thing off. Whiskers will do that with a mask.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on October 07, 2022, 04:30:40 PM
Yeah, maybe he was just being juvenile to make a "point."

Whatever the reason, though, he wasn't hurting anyone. There's no reason not to just let people do what they want as long as it's not against the law.
He took mask wearing and made it a farce. I have to respect the man for his dedication to the bit.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 07, 2022, 04:34:30 PM
I can't wait to take the darn thing off. Whiskers will do that with a mask.

I also hate wearing them.  I get pimples all over any part of my face that's in contact with them for long periods of time . . . cheeks, end of my nose, back of my ears.  It's pretty awful.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on October 07, 2022, 04:36:21 PM
Yeah, maybe he was just being juvenile to make a "point."

Whatever the reason, though, he wasn't hurting anyone. There's no reason not to just let people do what they want as long as it's not against the law.
He took mask wearing and made it a farce. I have to respect the man for his dedication to the bit.

Yeah, everyone has an audience out there somewhere.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zamboni on October 07, 2022, 05:48:33 PM
I just learned that one of my younger colleagues is now use a walker due to long COVID. Apparently it got into her brain. She is more than 10 years younger than I am. A young mom. With a walker. Egad.

So I am rethinking the cavalier attitude I have recently adopted about COVID. I've had it twice, but I'm an old fatty with a known bad ticker and concierge healthcare, so my doctor got me on the list quick for Regeneron antibodies when I had the delta variant. Surely that helped me avoid being hospitalized. I definitely never thought I'd see this healthy young lady needing a walker. No way she is faking it, either, because she is a workaholic.

@spartana, I didn't know you are hearing impaired. Half of my family is. The masking has indeed been an issue since most of the hearing impaired people can read lips, but they are too shy to ask people to remove their masks. Use of ASL went up in my family during the pandemic. My son has decided to learn sign language to communicate with one of his cousins, so I'm calling that a win.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on October 08, 2022, 07:24:55 PM
Agreed on the fear of long COVID.

I know someone who lost smell/taste and has not regained it. Can't eat certain things b/c they cause gagging b/c of the way some food feels in their mouth.

That's bad enough. A mental or physical disability caused by COVID would be the worst.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on October 08, 2022, 10:36:01 PM
How convenient they can just blame everything now on "long Covid"
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on October 08, 2022, 11:03:19 PM
A recent large (>2000 people) multinational prospective survey (most of whom were hospitalized with moderate to severe COVID, average time since diagnosis was 4 months) found about 10-15% have evidence of obstructive pulmonary disease on standard lung function tests. Common symptoms were fatigue (~40%), shortness of breath (~30%, depending on age), muscle pain (~25%), memory impairment (20%), and loss of smell (15%).

https://www.ijidonline.com/article/S1201-9712(22)00535-5/fulltext

Interestingly, a study of certain neurologic reflexes related to balance, etc found that defects in these reflexes were common in the early post-infection period. What that means long-term is hard to know, but more evidence that COVID is not a solely respiratory disease, but does cause damage to multiple organs.

Other studies suggest most of the symptoms dissipate by 6-9 months out, but some people (especially older, less fit patients) have long-term problems with some daily activities. A small UCSF study that's not yet peer-reviewed (and only 46 patients) found that exercise testing 1 year out was significantly diminished in about 50% of patients who had cardiac symptoms from COVID infection, but only 15% amongst those without those symptoms COVID. These correlated pretty well with inflammatory markers during the initial infection.

It is worth having empathy for people who have symptoms of long COVID, as it is now abundantly clear that while the main life-threatening consequences of initial infection are lung failure, there are many other longer-term effects that aren't "in their heads".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on October 09, 2022, 06:07:29 AM
The last two comments above are just so emblematic of the two “sides” and their level of argument on Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on October 09, 2022, 08:40:37 AM
The last two comments above are just so emblematic of the two “sides” and their level of argument on Covid.

+1
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on October 09, 2022, 09:09:45 AM
On the long covid front, there is some promising evidence that vaccination helps (looks like three vaccines is roughly 1/3 the chance of getting it compared to unvaccinated):
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(22)00354-6/fulltext (https://www.thelancet.com/journals/eclinm/article/PIIS2589-5370(22)00354-6/fulltext)
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2794072 (https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2794072)
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8469321/ (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8469321/)

Being female , old , fat, having lung disease, and having allergies all appear to be correlated with getting long covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on October 10, 2022, 06:09:53 AM
How convenient they can just blame everything now on "long Covid"

I have been part of major programs at work twice that had to be cancelled because they just weren't going to be viable (after hundreds of millions of tooling were purchased.) We definitely wrote off a lot of expenses to those account numbers that were once or twice removed because it was convenient.

As with most things like this, it is just so hard to legitimately separate the real from the imagined.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on October 10, 2022, 01:58:15 PM
Quote
Being female , old , fat, having lung disease, and having allergies all appear to be correlated with getting long covid.

Great...

Well, I just hope that with long Covid a thing now, we get closer and closer to real healthcare reform - and acceptance of unknown/complicated diseases.  Even just a few years ago a coworker referred to fibromyalgia as bullshit (not his words exactly).

Quote
exercise testing 1 year out was significantly diminished in about 50% of patients who had cardiac symptoms from COVID infection

Yeah, there are lots of anecdotes plus actual data sets out there that show the effects of long Covid on athletes.  It's no fun at all. 

I had COVID in July.  I'm pretty fit (running, swimming, weight training), and I'm EXHAUSTED.  I don't know that I can blame it on COVID, as being middle aged with a stressful full time job, allergies, 2 kids, and a dog, while going through menopause is enough to explain it...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 03, 2022, 08:47:38 AM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 03, 2022, 12:03:53 PM
We already gave absolute amnesty to vaccine makers which I for one think is absolutely ludicrous.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 03, 2022, 12:16:46 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 03, 2022, 12:25:55 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 03, 2022, 12:31:07 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.

Why are you choosing not to wear an N95?  They're cheap, readily available, and reduce transmission of disease.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 03, 2022, 12:40:03 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.

Such a petty thing to be mad about.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 03, 2022, 12:53:55 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.

Why are you choosing not to wear an N95?  They're cheap, readily available, and reduce transmission of disease.

N95 masks need to be properly fitted. The majority of them don't work either.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trc4897 on November 03, 2022, 12:54:20 PM
why does this thread keep getting resurrected? i love this forum but cringe every time i see this thread at the top of the page. can it be moved to off topic??
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 03, 2022, 01:16:37 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.

Why are you choosing not to wear an N95?  They're cheap, readily available, and reduce transmission of disease.

N95 masks need to be properly fitted. The majority of them don't work either.

Where did you hear that the majority of N95 masks don't work?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 03, 2022, 03:00:43 PM
why does this thread keep getting resurrected? i love this forum but cringe every time i see this thread at the top of the page. can it be moved to off topic??
Because someone decided to turn Off-Topic into a hugbox.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work? That's what I'm talking about. People put these policies in place without discussing downsides. These things did damage and saying "we just asked you to wear a mask" misses the point completely.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 03, 2022, 03:07:23 PM
why does this thread keep getting resurrected? i love this forum but cringe every time i see this thread at the top of the page. can it be moved to off topic??
Because someone decided to turn Off-Topic into a hugbox.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work? That's what I'm talking about. People put these policies in place without discussing downsides. These things did damage and saying "we just asked you to wear a mask" misses the point completely.

I don't believe you. I heard tons of people discussing both potential and realized downsides both in my personal life and on the TV and internets.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on November 03, 2022, 03:36:21 PM
why does this thread keep getting resurrected? i love this forum but cringe every time i see this thread at the top of the page. can it be moved to off topic??
Because someone decided to turn Off-Topic into a hugbox.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work? That's what I'm talking about. People put these policies in place without discussing downsides. These things did damage and saying "we just asked you to wear a mask" misses the point completely.

I don't believe you. I heard tons of people discussing both potential and realized downsides both in my personal life and on the TV and internets.

There really was no winning with that discussion either. The mask discussion is more of a proxy of the lowest common denominator of public participation.. On particular set of people couldn't even be bothered to make a low effort contribution to society (or, rather, were encouraged not to by the polarizing communication shoved at us 24/7). Even though there was some suspicion of their effect on disease prevention, especially at the beginning, the least people could do was to try to participate in a community effort to show support.

When those same people were now bringing up the problematic side effects of pulling kids from school, they were effectively ignored because they were not making a good faith effort at collaboration. Any amount of leeway given to public prevention measures (such as not making children wear masks but making adults wear them in grocery stores) were construed as admissions of being wrong and used against well meaning disease prevention experts rather than used as good compromise. So, no, "we just asked you to wear a mask" doesn't miss the point. It is the point.

Mind you, the opposite side of the discussion wasn't very clean as well. The phrase "we're all in this together" whilst making policy that adversely affected some individuals but benefited others was/is a real grievance and in general discounted by those that it didn't affect (which is the point that I do agree with Cawl here).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 03, 2022, 03:44:06 PM
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.

The same masks that literally say on the box "don't protect against Covid" and do nothing? Yep I am mad about that bs.

Why are you choosing not to wear an N95?  They're cheap, readily available, and reduce transmission of disease.

N95 masks need to be properly fitted. The majority of them don't work either.

Where did you hear that the majority of N95 masks don't work?

If you aren't fitted for an N95 and thus don't wear it properly it doesn't work. That's not an opinion.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on November 03, 2022, 03:55:03 PM

If you aren't fitted for an N95 and thus don't wear it properly it doesn't work. That's not an opinion.

I think you need to define "doesn't work" here.

They absolutely work for preventing disease spread if the infected individual is wearing one, even if not properly fitted (this is not an opinion, it is backed up by ASHRAE particulate expulsion research). Which, in the case of covid, is their primary purpose. Their secondary purpose is to prevent disease transmission to the wearing individual, in which case a poorly fitting mask won't be as effective as a fitted one, but you can't possibly tell me that's a binary outcome.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 03, 2022, 04:08:57 PM
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work?

There are a variety of reasons.  Many parents were panicked and uncertain about the future, which certainly impacted their kids.  Lots of people lost their jobs.  Many schools that weren't ready to do distance learning tried to implement it on a very short timeline (and did so poorly).  Special educators services tended to be a lot harder to get.  There's some evidence that exposure to covid has negative impacts reasoning skills of a certain percentage of people.  This list goes on and on.

Did covid restrictions play a part of that?  I suspect so.  But if you look at test score drops there doesn't seem to be a particularly clear pattern:  https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/2022-10-26/states-with-the-largest-drops-in-reading-math-test-scores (https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/2022-10-26/states-with-the-largest-drops-in-reading-math-test-scores).

California and Vermont both had pretty significant covid restrictions and had better test score results than Florida, Texas, and Alaska which were much less restrictive.  Alabama was middle of the pack for covid restrictions, and their test scores actually improved overall.




If you aren't fitted for an N95 and thus don't wear it properly it doesn't work. That's not an opinion.

N95 masks do need to be adjusted to make a tight seal around your face.  This 'fitting' isn't incredibly difficult though.  This three minute video covers how to do it properly - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRNTtle2Tuc&ab_channel=ClinicalExcellenceCommission (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LRNTtle2Tuc&ab_channel=ClinicalExcellenceCommission)

I found that you had to search around to find a brand that fits your face best, but actually fitting the mask is pretty easy to do.


You didn't make a claim about N95s not fitting.  You said:
N95 masks need to be properly fitted. The majority of them don't work either.

As far as I'm aware, that's not true.  The majority of N95 masks work very well.  Even standard surgical masks and dual layer cloth masks have been shown in studies to both reduce transmission of covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 03, 2022, 04:53:14 PM
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work?

There are a variety of reasons.  Many parents were panicked and uncertain about the future, which certainly impacted their kids.  Lots of people lost their jobs.  Many schools that weren't ready to do distance learning tried to implement it on a very short timeline (and did so poorly).  Special educators services tended to be a lot harder to get.  There's some evidence that exposure to covid has negative impacts reasoning skills of a certain percentage of people.  This list goes on and on.

Did covid restrictions play a part of that?  I suspect so.  But if you look at test score drops there doesn't seem to be a particularly clear pattern:  https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/2022-10-26/states-with-the-largest-drops-in-reading-math-test-scores (https://www.usnews.com/news/best-states/articles/2022-10-26/states-with-the-largest-drops-in-reading-math-test-scores).

California and Vermont both had pretty significant covid restrictions and had better test score results than Florida, Texas, and Alaska which were much less restrictive.  Alabama was middle of the pack for covid restrictions, and their test scores actually improved overall.

I was taking issue with their argument "we didn't have any lockdowns, therefore there cannot be any repercussions from the lockdowns that didn't happen. Anyone that believed lockdowns happened was clearly hallucinating."
The math thing was just the example I could remember off the top of my head.

why does this thread keep getting resurrected? i love this forum but cringe every time i see this thread at the top of the page. can it be moved to off topic??
Because someone decided to turn Off-Topic into a hugbox.

https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/10/covid-response-forgiveness/671879/

What is everyone's opinion on a COVID amnesty?

Personally I'm a hard no because too many people gleefully loosed their authoritarian streak on their fellow citizens. I think we need to remember what these people would do if given free reign.

And everyone I tried to warn about lockdown consequences rolled their eyes in hubris. Now I can't trust their judgement.

I don't think I'm the one with something to prove here.

I might have Covid brain fog, because I don't remember any nation wide lock downs at all. We didn't have any local lock downs either.

So when I hear you talk about "authoritarian streaks," what I hear is you over flowing with hatred towards your fellow citizens who asked you to throw on a mask when entering a crowded public space.
Then why did math scores across America fall, wiping out decades of work? That's what I'm talking about. People put these policies in place without discussing downsides. These things did damage and saying "we just asked you to wear a mask" misses the point completely.

I don't believe you. I heard tons of people discussing both potential and realized downsides both in my personal life and on the TV and internets.


Mind you, the opposite side of the discussion wasn't very clean as well. The phrase "we're all in this together" whilst making policy that adversely affected some individuals but benefited others was/is a real grievance and in general discounted by those that it didn't affect (which is the point that I do agree with Cawl here).

The woman that wrote the article experienced this first hand when she changed her mind about lockdowns.

"We need to forgive the attacks, too. Because I thought schools should reopen and argued that kids as a group were not at high risk, I was called a “teacher killer” and a “génocidaire.” It wasn’t pleasant, but feelings were high. And I certainly don’t need to dissect and rehash that time for the rest of my days."

Just as an example.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 03, 2022, 05:32:06 PM
Ooops -- I didn't mean to write "the majority of them don't work either". Replace "either" with "otherwise".

The vast majority of normal (ie not trained in their use) people I have seen wearing masks wear them improperly which greatly hinders their effectiveness if not makes them useless.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on November 03, 2022, 05:36:32 PM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 04, 2022, 12:36:00 AM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on November 04, 2022, 04:56:07 AM
At the times Sweden were (albeit not really justified) viewed as bat-shit-crazy in western Europe with their laxer approach. It should be noted that there is siginficant difference between what were done in Sweden and how it generally was reported around the world, the main differences are they didn't close schools, outlaw social life and didn't ban anything but based on general recommendations.

Sweden is one of few places where life expetancy did not go down in the years 2019-2021. For comparison it went down 28 months in the US, 6 months in Germany and 1 month in France (Australia not in the study the numbers are tanken from). Neighbouring Denmark, Norway and Finland had a significantly stricter and legal-based respsonse than Sweden, but there is no real difference in life expectancy in this period. Its 0 months in the Nordic countries except Norway where it went up by 1 month.

As for Norway, we had reduced mortality rate in 2020 but it was off the charts in 2021 albeit noone really cared about excess deaths anymore when the numbers came out in a small notice in a newspaper this year.  The reason for this excess mortality wasn't due to covid, but it was partly a consequence of fewer deaths the previous year and a sharp increase in heart-related problems. They don't really know the reasons for the latter but one theory is neglected medical care when everyone only thought about covid.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on November 04, 2022, 05:08:07 AM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
When policy makers are faced with a novel disease with uncertain effects they employ something called the "precautionary principle".  They have to make decisions based on limited information ("uncertainty") where outcomes either way are likely to be irreversible.  In the case of covid precautions mask wearing has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability while having limited and largely reversible downsides.  Requiring potential super-spreader events to stop for a certain period again has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability but has significant potential downsides to social interactions (mostly not too bad if for a limited period) and economic activity (dealt with, atlhough not particularly well, by monetary interventions from governments).  Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved, so a calculation that this was worth trying at the time is one governments could reasonably make.

Did governments get everything right?  Of course not.  Were they properly prepared?  No.  in the situation they found themselves in, did they make reasonable good faith attempts to deal with the situation?  Mostly, yes, sometimes dragged kicking and screaming in that direction and sometimes not at all and acting in extreme bad faith.

Most of us (China excepted) are now in a situation where we are being left to make our own choices.  Getting vaccines and boosters has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Wearing a mask according to one's own risk assessment has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Not complaining about other people's choices about protecting themselves is good manners, complaining about people's choices about not protecting other people is reasonable but probably futile.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on November 04, 2022, 05:27:16 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on November 04, 2022, 06:16:42 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, China’s doing the full lockdown strategy. I should know — I lived through the Great Lockdown of Shanghai a few months ago. It doesn’t work. There continues to be “wild” cases that crop up from time to time for no apparent reason (contact tracing suggests it wasn’t caught from someone else). And the toll of completely locking down everyone in an entire city, let alone an entire country, is immense. Mental and emotional well-being definitely went down during full lockdown. It’s also pretty much impossible. Even when Shanghai was completely locked down, we still needed truck drivers and other personnel to deliver food, transport people to the hospital for treatment of serious illnesses like cancer, etc. Without income (locked down = cannot work), a lot of people can’t afford to buy food. In addition, there is a subset of the population who don’t know how to order grocery deliveries online; they need to be able to visit a grocery store to buy food — those people suffer a lot during the full lockdown. You might end up saving some people, but you could also potentially end up killing a lot of people who die from other things like hunger, suicide, or not being able to access life-saving medical treatments.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 04, 2022, 06:17:31 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, no. If the above were even remotely true, China would be covid free by now.

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway. North Americans living a sedentary, car-based lifestyle, eating predominantly heavily processed fast foods, are uniquely situated to become victims of any novel disease that comes along. Pretty sure covid is playing out exactly as Darwin would've predicted. It's culling the herd of the weaker, sicker humans.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on November 04, 2022, 06:34:48 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, no. If the above were even remotely true, China would be covid free by now.

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway. North Americans living a sedentary, car-based lifestyle, eating predominantly heavily processed fast foods, are uniquely situated to become victims of any novel disease that comes along. Pretty sure covid is playing out exactly as Darwin would've predicted. It's culling the herd of the weaker, sicker humans.
See New Zealand.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on November 04, 2022, 06:41:39 AM
I don't think anyone is blaming anyone for the first 3-4 months of COVID behavior. I think the problem most people have with this idea of "pandemic Amnesty" is 2021 and even into 2022. We knew "breakthrough" infections were happening and people with the vaccine were spreading COVID, but we fired people that didn't get the vaccine, we wouldn't let them in restaurants, and to this day there are school districts that won't let them attend school. We still largely refuse to acknowledge a prior infection as largely equivalent to having received a dose of the vaccine. We knew relatively early on cloth masks didn't work, but people got yelled at outside for not "masking up". Shutting down large swaths of society for 2 years when we knew it was the 60+ crowd largely impacted within 3 months, etc.

The way I see it is that people are asking for "amnesty" from their belligerent behavior to their fellow citizens and even friends and family. So many people acted like self-righteous a$$es during 2021 and now that it's coming to light that their behavior and decisions were largely wrong they want you to just forget it. "Nobody could have known shutting down schools for a year was bad and that kids were largely unaffected by the virus" or that "a vaccine against a coronavirus wouldn't be ~98% effective at stopping the spread". "If everyone just got the vaccine this pandemic would be over!!"

I had friends that told me that all the unvaccinated deserved to die. For a while I didn't disclose I got vaccinated just to see how they'd treat me. It was a very interesting and telling social experiment. I sent them the pandemic amnesty article via an email group I'm in with them. They ignored it, but have been responding to many other email threads. To me that sums it up. Refuses to acknowledge the absurdity of their behavior, instead just chooses to forget they ever acted that way or said those things. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 04, 2022, 07:07:23 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, no. If the above were even remotely true, China would be covid free by now.

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway. North Americans living a sedentary, car-based lifestyle, eating predominantly heavily processed fast foods, are uniquely situated to become victims of any novel disease that comes along. Pretty sure covid is playing out exactly as Darwin would've predicted. It's culling the herd of the weaker, sicker humans.
See New Zealand.

What's possible in a tiny, island country like NZ, with a population of only 5MM, is NOT possible in a huge country like China, with a population of >1.4BB. That's why we're challenging your statement above, "Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether" No, they couldn't have.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on November 04, 2022, 07:09:15 AM

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway.

Yeah - baseline helth level is cited as a key difference. But in general, especially in the Nordics, the population has a relatively high level of trust in the government, various conspiray theories have very low take-up (we do have our share, but it insignificant). For the same reason the vaccination rates are very high, among the highest in the world, without really any consequences for yourself if you for some reason didn't want to get it. There is a small exception for health professional working with at-risk patient, but that's the only I know of.

The political landscape is largely consensus-driven, the entire public administraion outside elected represenatives in parlement is non-political (it doesn't change after elections) and the population is relatively well-informed. One thing, however our "CDC" discovered was how difficult it was to get information out to certain immigrant minorities, but they somewhat figured it out by going via mosques, community authority figures etc. However, if you break down hospitalizations by birth country there are massive differences with the immigrant population, mainly from the Middle East and Africa strongly over-represented. Same with eastern european immigrants, covid has taken a pretty serious tall in large parts of Eastern Europe and the vaccination rates are shockingly low.

When Australia suddenly got hold of a lot of doses back then it was mainly due to eastern EU contries cancelling their share of the available doses as they quickly ran out of arms to put them in. Compared to the 28 months in US life expecancy it was 27 in Poland and 43 in Bulgaria.

So all inn all the talk about population density etc might be far less relevant than one should assume beforehand. Culture, public health and society in general appears to matter a lot more.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 04, 2022, 07:22:49 AM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, no. If the above were even remotely true, China would be covid free by now.

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway. North Americans living a sedentary, car-based lifestyle, eating predominantly heavily processed fast foods, are uniquely situated to become victims of any novel disease that comes along. Pretty sure covid is playing out exactly as Darwin would've predicted. It's culling the herd of the weaker, sicker humans.
See New Zealand.

What's possible in a tiny, island country like NZ, with a population of only 5MM, is NOT possible in a huge country like China, with a population of >1.4BB. That's why we're challenging your statement above, "Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether" No, they couldn't have.

I partly agree.

This is a highly communicable disease.  It's hard to control right now for a variety of reasons - partly because it spreads before there are symptoms, partly because it's airborne, partly because it has infected animals other than humans.

As New Zealand showed us, a country with forewarning that takes sufficient measures at the beginning of the pandemic is able to get and keep things under control.  Canada and the US had the same benefit of a heads up and very few people infected initially.  We didn't ever take things very seriously (regular air travel from around the globe was allowed during the whole pandemic for example) so we never had a chance to get things under control.  In China's case things were obviously different - the disease originated there, by the time it was recognized as a serious problem it had already spread unchecked for a while.  It's very hard to suppress a contagious widely spread disease that is capable of jumping species regardless of controls used.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 04, 2022, 11:27:12 AM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
When policy makers are faced with a novel disease with uncertain effects they employ something called the "precautionary principle".  They have to make decisions based on limited information ("uncertainty") where outcomes either way are likely to be irreversible.  In the case of covid precautions mask wearing has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability while having limited and largely reversible downsides.  Requiring potential super-spreader events to stop for a certain period again has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability but has significant potential downsides to social interactions (mostly not too bad if for a limited period) and economic activity (dealt with, atlhough not particularly well, by monetary interventions from governments).  Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved, so a calculation that this was worth trying at the time is one governments could reasonably make.

Did governments get everything right?  Of course not.  Were they properly prepared?  No.  in the situation they found themselves in, did they make reasonable good faith attempts to deal with the situation?  Mostly, yes, sometimes dragged kicking and screaming in that direction and sometimes not at all and acting in extreme bad faith.

Most of us (China excepted) are now in a situation where we are being left to make our own choices.  Getting vaccines and boosters has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Wearing a mask according to one's own risk assessment has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Not complaining about other people's choices about protecting themselves is good manners, complaining about people's choices about not protecting other people is reasonable but probably futile.
I've heard the estimate that by the time the lockdowns were initiated in America 3-4% of the population had been exposed to COVID, making control of it impossible.
We could have focussed on protecting the most vulnerable but instead attempted the impossible.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 04, 2022, 11:44:49 AM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
When policy makers are faced with a novel disease with uncertain effects they employ something called the "precautionary principle".  They have to make decisions based on limited information ("uncertainty") where outcomes either way are likely to be irreversible.  In the case of covid precautions mask wearing has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability while having limited and largely reversible downsides.  Requiring potential super-spreader events to stop for a certain period again has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability but has significant potential downsides to social interactions (mostly not too bad if for a limited period) and economic activity (dealt with, atlhough not particularly well, by monetary interventions from governments).  Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved, so a calculation that this was worth trying at the time is one governments could reasonably make.

Did governments get everything right?  Of course not.  Were they properly prepared?  No.  in the situation they found themselves in, did they make reasonable good faith attempts to deal with the situation?  Mostly, yes, sometimes dragged kicking and screaming in that direction and sometimes not at all and acting in extreme bad faith.

Most of us (China excepted) are now in a situation where we are being left to make our own choices.  Getting vaccines and boosters has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Wearing a mask according to one's own risk assessment has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Not complaining about other people's choices about protecting themselves is good manners, complaining about people's choices about not protecting other people is reasonable but probably futile.
I've heard the estimate that by the time the lockdowns were initiated in America 3-4% of the population had been exposed to COVID, making control of it impossible.
We could have focussed on protecting the most vulnerable but instead attempted the impossible.

Again, what do you mean when you talk about the US going into lockdown? We never went into lock down. In my neck of the woods, most work places, including mine, never closed. Grocery stores never closed. Parks never closed. People were out walking the streets, patronizing businesses and socializing. Restaurants transitioned from sit-down to take-out.

Hospitals were overwhelmed and there were not enough beds for those who needed it. People with non-Covid health needs suffered from lack of available care. Most of the talk was about "flattening the curve."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 04, 2022, 12:57:29 PM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
When policy makers are faced with a novel disease with uncertain effects they employ something called the "precautionary principle".  They have to make decisions based on limited information ("uncertainty") where outcomes either way are likely to be irreversible.  In the case of covid precautions mask wearing has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability while having limited and largely reversible downsides.  Requiring potential super-spreader events to stop for a certain period again has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability but has significant potential downsides to social interactions (mostly not too bad if for a limited period) and economic activity (dealt with, atlhough not particularly well, by monetary interventions from governments).  Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved, so a calculation that this was worth trying at the time is one governments could reasonably make.

Did governments get everything right?  Of course not.  Were they properly prepared?  No.  in the situation they found themselves in, did they make reasonable good faith attempts to deal with the situation?  Mostly, yes, sometimes dragged kicking and screaming in that direction and sometimes not at all and acting in extreme bad faith.

Most of us (China excepted) are now in a situation where we are being left to make our own choices.  Getting vaccines and boosters has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Wearing a mask according to one's own risk assessment has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Not complaining about other people's choices about protecting themselves is good manners, complaining about people's choices about not protecting other people is reasonable but probably futile.
I've heard the estimate that by the time the lockdowns were initiated in America 3-4% of the population had been exposed to COVID, making control of it impossible.
We could have focussed on protecting the most vulnerable but instead attempted the impossible.

Again, what do you mean when you talk about the US going into lockdown? We never went into lock down. In my neck of the woods, most work places, including mine, never closed. Grocery stores never closed. Parks never closed. People were out walking the streets, patronizing businesses and socializing. Restaurants transitioned from sit-down to take-out.

Hospitals were overwhelmed and there were not enough beds for those who needed it. People with non-Covid health needs suffered from lack of available care. Most of the talk was about "flattening the curve."

Same sort of thing happened here in Ontario.  You were supposed to stay home if you were a non essential worker.  Essential works are those of us who work in:
- Energy and Utilities
- Information and Communication Technologies
- Finance
- Health
- Food
- Water
- Transportation
- Safety
- Government
- Manufacturing

So, pretty much everyone but hairdressers, musicians, and gyms.  I don't think I knew anyone personally who wasn't deemed 'essential'.  There was never any 'lockdown' per se.  It was suggested that you stay home, but people were always free to move around, go to stores, go driving, etc.  If you wanted to go to a huge party or a massive church service the police would break it up and tell you to go home - that was about it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on November 04, 2022, 06:48:14 PM
Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved

No, it couldn't have had that potential. And by the time anyone even considered something like that it was way too late for it to be a remotely possible outcome anyways.

Yeah, no. If the above were even remotely true, China would be covid free by now.

A big problem in North America is that people's baseline health is poor compared to Scandanavians' and just about everyone else, in the First World anyway. North Americans living a sedentary, car-based lifestyle, eating predominantly heavily processed fast foods, are uniquely situated to become victims of any novel disease that comes along. Pretty sure covid is playing out exactly as Darwin would've predicted. It's culling the herd of the weaker, sicker humans.
See New Zealand.

What's possible in a tiny, island country like NZ, with a population of only 5MM, is NOT possible in a huge country like China, with a population of >1.4BB. That's why we're challenging your statement above, "Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether" No, they couldn't have.
And Australia.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 06, 2022, 11:50:25 PM
I think people made the best decisions they could with the limited information they had and based on whatever research they had at the time, during an incredibly stressful, challenging, and uncertain time.

Unlike China, where the current implementation of their dynamic zero COVID policy really makes absolutely no sense.

From where I’m sitting (in lockdown at home in Shanghai as a potential close contact), at least your countries tried to employ critical thinking skills when making decisions and at least somewhat consider basic human rights.

When it comes to the question, where do I stand on “living with COVID” versus “getting back to normal”, we are leaning more and more towards repatriating back to North America so that we can “get back to normal”.
There had been studies done prior to 2020 that showed the proposed solutions had limited effectiveness. These were promptly thrown out and ignored when they were deemed "problematic."

And I don't think China's "Zero COVID Policy" is about COVID. But that would be more of a conspiracy theory than actual facts.
When policy makers are faced with a novel disease with uncertain effects they employ something called the "precautionary principle".  They have to make decisions based on limited information ("uncertainty") where outcomes either way are likely to be irreversible.  In the case of covid precautions mask wearing has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability while having limited and largely reversible downsides.  Requiring potential super-spreader events to stop for a certain period again has the potential to reduce death and permanent disability but has significant potential downsides to social interactions (mostly not too bad if for a limited period) and economic activity (dealt with, atlhough not particularly well, by monetary interventions from governments).  Full lockdowns at the beginning of the pandemic could have had the potential to stop covid altogether in which case many hundreds of thousands of lives could have been saved, so a calculation that this was worth trying at the time is one governments could reasonably make.

Did governments get everything right?  Of course not.  Were they properly prepared?  No.  in the situation they found themselves in, did they make reasonable good faith attempts to deal with the situation?  Mostly, yes, sometimes dragged kicking and screaming in that direction and sometimes not at all and acting in extreme bad faith.

Most of us (China excepted) are now in a situation where we are being left to make our own choices.  Getting vaccines and boosters has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Wearing a mask according to one's own risk assessment has few downsides and major potential upsides.  Not complaining about other people's choices about protecting themselves is good manners, complaining about people's choices about not protecting other people is reasonable but probably futile.
I've heard the estimate that by the time the lockdowns were initiated in America 3-4% of the population had been exposed to COVID, making control of it impossible.
We could have focussed on protecting the most vulnerable but instead attempted the impossible.

Again, what do you mean when you talk about the US going into lockdown? We never went into lock down. In my neck of the woods, most work places, including mine, never closed. Grocery stores never closed. Parks never closed. People were out walking the streets, patronizing businesses and socializing. Restaurants transitioned from sit-down to take-out.

Hospitals were overwhelmed and there were not enough beds for those who needed it. People with non-Covid health needs suffered from lack of available care. Most of the talk was about "flattening the curve."
The collection of policies that were supposed to "slow the spread."
https://fee.org/articles/fauci-claims-he-had-nothing-to-do-with-school-closures-his-own-statements-suggest-otherwise/
"Lockdown" seems to be the primary term for that umbrella.
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1924
Another article on school closures due to COVID 19.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/10/pandemic-school-closures-americas-learning-loss/671868/
When I say lockdowns I mean the "broad set of policies that hindered the normal functions of life due to COVID 19 restrictions. Or suggested restrictions that were implemented at a state level. Or implemented at a business level."

I remember McCormick place being converted into a massive treatment center to expand hospital bed capacity.
https://news.wttw.com/2020/05/01/field-hospital-mccormick-place-will-close-after-treating-few-patients-curve-bends
"Flattening the curve" became a two year long thing. It went from "reduce the strain on the healthcare system" to " 0 COVID cases." It became an unreasonable and insane goal that was unattainable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on November 07, 2022, 12:14:17 AM
Several countries managed to get to 0 covid19 cases, so it wasn’t unattainable. If all countries had worked together to do it, we would no longer have covid19.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 07, 2022, 05:22:50 AM
Several countries managed to get to 0 covid19 cases, so it wasn’t unattainable. If all countries had worked together to do it, we would no longer have covid19.
I do not believe that would have been possible given how interconnected our world is, there being no record of "purging" the animal populations that the virus started in ( first it was bats, then it was dog raccoons and some third species) and the delay inherent in every bureaucracy when faced with something unknown.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: deborah on November 07, 2022, 06:09:55 AM
Several countries managed to get to 0 covid19 cases, so it wasn’t unattainable. If all countries had worked together to do it, we would no longer have covid19.
I do not believe that would have been possible given how interconnected our world is, there being no record of "purging" the animal populations that the virus started in ( first it was bats, then it was dog raccoons and some third species) and the delay inherent in every bureaucracy when faced with something unknown.
As my country managed to do it, without 0 actually being the goal, and other countries managed to do it, I believe it could have been done everywhere. We proved that it could.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on November 07, 2022, 07:49:18 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on November 07, 2022, 08:27:12 AM

Another article on school closures due to COVID 19.
https://www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/archive/2022/10/pandemic-school-closures-americas-learning-loss/671868/
When I say lockdowns I mean the "broad set of policies that hindered the normal functions of life due to COVID 19 restrictions. Or suggested restrictions that were implemented at a state level. Or implemented at a business level."



re: School Closures. Something I see pointed out frequently is the lowered test scores, including from people in my own community (and our test scores improved over the course of the pandemic!).

But as this New Yorker piece points out,
https://www.newyorker.com/news/essay/whos-left-out-of-the-learning-loss-debate
the biggest learning loss was for black and latino students:

"By August, 2020, when the clamoring of mostly white parents to return to in-person school reached a cacophony, fifty-seven per cent of Black American adults said that they knew someone hospitalized or dead as a result of the virus, compared to thirty-four per cent of white American adults. By February, 2021, nearly three quarters of Latino adults said they knew of someone dead or hospitalized from the virus. These realities were born out in the reluctance of Black and brown parents to send their kids back into school buildings. Critics of remote learning almost always focussed on the mildconsequences for most children who became ill with covid, as if these children lived and were schooled within a vacuum and not among adults for whom the consequences could be dire, if not deadly. By the end of February, 2022, more than two hundred thousand children under the age of eighteen—more than one out of every three hundred and sixty—had lost a caregiver to covid-19. Black and Latino kids lost their caregivers at nearly twice the rate of white children. As one expert reminded, “Bereavement is the No. 1 predictor of poor school outcomes.”

As someone who works with a bunch of upper middle class white East Coasters, but comes from a diverse lower/lower middle class blue collar background, I have been shocked by how my coworkers don't seem to know people who are being hospitalized or dying, while I can name at least a dozen over the last two years (including family members).

This is absolutely a class and race issue and is insanely nuanced. Even the Atlantic article that you linked to suggests that the communities most affected by learning loss would still prefer remote learning to covid exposure

I'd venture  that the more people you know who are dead or significantly disabled, the more likely you are to choose learning loss over covid. The folks complaining about learning loss may be the least affected by it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on November 07, 2022, 09:10:20 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19


Yes x 1000. It's like opposite day on this thread.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on November 07, 2022, 10:24:24 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19


Yes x 1000. It's like opposite day on this thread.

Wow -- seriously doubling down?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 07, 2022, 11:08:12 AM
Several countries managed to get to 0 covid19 cases, so it wasn’t unattainable. If all countries had worked together to do it, we would no longer have covid19.
I do not believe that would have been possible given how interconnected our world is, there being no record of "purging" the animal populations that the virus started in ( first it was bats, then it was dog raccoons and some third species) and the delay inherent in every bureaucracy when faced with something unknown.
As my country managed to do it, without 0 actually being the goal, and other countries managed to do it, I believe it could have been done everywhere. We proved that it could.
Wait, did your country use PCR tests? Do you know know how many amplification cycles your labs used? What year did your country reach "0 COVID"?

It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19
That's a bold strategy there, Cotton. Hope it works out for you.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on November 07, 2022, 11:18:04 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19

A woman in my old organization came into our shop in March 2020 wearing a mask. It caused a huge stir. Management fired off questions to her supervisor, blah blah blah. I recall a couple of us saying in a team meeting "who cares if she was wearing a mask? It has no impact on anyone. Worst case is....well there is no worst case." The response was that she was causing panic. Sheesh.

A couple weeks later the whole org was shutdown, essential folks only, everyone in face shields and masks. Of course no one reached out to her to thank her for being ahead of the administration.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on November 07, 2022, 11:19:44 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19
That's a bold strategy there, Cotton. Hope it works out for you.

They've done studies, you know. 60 percent of the time, it works every time.

I'll see your Dodgeball quote and raise you an Anchorman quote
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on November 07, 2022, 11:28:30 AM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 07, 2022, 11:32:49 AM
It seems mostly people who are pissed with the precautions are posting they won't offer amnesty to those being cautious in early days.

I'll go the other direction and say, no, I have no interest in offering amnesty to those who refused to take basic precautions when very little was known about a virulent and deadly disease. Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

People *on this board even* still harass me for my personal choice to wear a mask when grocery shopping/attending medical appointments. Why?  It doesn't affect you.

And let's not fool ourselves pretending we were like China's lockdown.  Yes, bars (optional social spreader activity) were temporarily closed, but I know of no area that shut down grocery stores at any time.

- A person who lost a relative to COVID-19
That's a bold strategy there, Cotton. Hope it works out for you.

They've done studies, you know. 60 percent of the time, it works every time.

I'll see your Dodgeball quote and raise you an Anchorman quote
We're not retreating, we're advancing! Towards future victory!
Red Vs Blue.

I'm sure there is some "last stand" quote from 40k that would be more appropriate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on November 07, 2022, 12:15:02 PM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 07, 2022, 04:10:02 PM
It's not just kids' schooling that was lost during the pandemic. A good friend's mom is 93 and in an assisted living facility. In 2019, she was totally lucid, knew who everyone was, understood what was going on around her. For 2 entire years, my friend was unable to meet with his mother in person, at all. No visits. During that time, while everyone around her was socially distancing themselves from each other and wearing masks, my friend's mom sunk deeper and deeper into depression and, basically, senility. After about a year and a half of social distancing and no visits from anyone, Mom caught covid anyway, at age 92, and within a week was totally fine, back to normal. Maybe mom would've developed dementia anyway, but either way, my friend lost two good years with his mother that they'll never get back.

My family and I totally followed all of the CDC's recommendations, all throughout the pandemic. My wife sewed cloth masks for us, back in March or April, 2020, and we wore them everywhere. We didn't ever meet with friends or relatives in person for all of 2020 and most of 2021. Our daughter did online schooling for 6th and 7th grade. Academically, she was fine, but socially she definitely regressed.

In hindsight, was it worth it? I don't think so. Would more people have died had my family and I not sacrificed and socially distanced ourselves from friends and family for two years? Maybe, but who knows? I just know, if it happens again in our lifetimes, it's going to be a pretty hard sell to get Americans to be willing to give up years of their lives. For what? So we can flatten the curve? Protect vulnerable people? There are thousands of poor Blacks and Latinos within a couple of miles of my house. They all worked at in-person jobs, all throughout the pandemic. Having their kids not in school was REALLY hard for many of them. Back in 2020 and 2021, while we and all of our white friends and neighbors were still wearing masks and socially distancing ourselves, I watched black people in my neighborhood shake hands, hug, and even get to enjoy smoking joints together. So, were my family and I supposed to be wiping down our groceries with bleach and wearing masks inside stores to protect those people? I guess, but why?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on November 07, 2022, 05:08:56 PM
Yes, there was definite impact to those in assisted living.  Some did better at setting up virtual and other connections for their residents. And it's always going to be difficult to tell how much decline would have happened anyways.

There are thousands of poor Blacks and Latinos within a couple of miles of my house. They all worked at in-person jobs, all throughout the pandemic. Having their kids not in school was REALLY hard for many of them. Back in 2020 and 2021, while we and all of our white friends and neighbors were still wearing masks and socially distancing ourselves, I watched black people in my neighborhood shake hands, hug, and even get to enjoy smoking joints together. So, were my family and I supposed to be wiping down our groceries with bleach and wearing masks inside stores to protect those people? I guess, but why?

I'm sure there are POC on both sides of the issue, but anecdotal evidence also isn't exactly the best source.  Don't know about yours, but my neighborhood, the POC were the ones who wanted to continue virtual school. (Source: Surveys, my next door neighbor on the school committee)

You also wiped down groceries for yourself, not for others, before people knew anything.  Pretty sure no one was recommending it in 2021, that was a very short thing while they were figuring things out. (I'm not even sure it was even officially recommended so much as "if you want to be careful".) But go ahead and drink the bleach!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 07, 2022, 05:51:40 PM
My wife and I have both been vaccinated for covid 5 times, and our teenage daughter has gotten 4 shots, I think, so far. If they came out with a new and improved vaccine for covid, I'd walk up to our neighborhood pharmacy and get the shot tomorrow. But we're not doing any more social distancing. Not wearing masks. Not avoiding friends, neighbors, relatives. I shake hands and hug people, all the time, now. The pandemic's over, as far as we're concerned. Time to go back to normal. Two+ years was enough.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 07, 2022, 07:55:25 PM
I'm in a high risk group simply because of age.  I have had 4 vaccinations and am arranging for my 5th.  I still wear an N95 in public, don't eat out. When I shop now the people most likely to be wearing masks are older, because no one else is keeping them safer by masking so they really need to mask.

Most of my activities are now in hybrid mode, so that those who are lower risk can meet in person while those of us at higher risk can still be involved.  My choir has people in their 80s singing together via Zoom. 

The first wave hit hardest, becasue we had no idea on how to deal with it.  I listened to a social worker on CBC talking about how it was devastating in her community, and not just the elderly.  Every age, whole families dying, children orphaned, the works.

The mutations so far have trended towards more infectious but less deadly, and the vaccinations do help - you can still catch Covid but are way less likely to need to be hospitalized.  To me that is incentive to be vaccinated.  Just as I get my annual flu shot, I want my immune system prepped.   And given the other demands on the health care system, it would be nice if everyone was fully vaccinated, sure they may get sick but they won't be taking up hospital beds.

To me it is pretty obvious that ventilation is massively important - if you are going to be in an area that is not well ventilated/has poor air filtration the number of virus particles in the air will accumulate and your exposure will be higher.  So that is indoors and crowded events outdoors.  Outdoors is not necessarily "safe", I know of an outdoor early summer wedding where most of the guests caught Covid, including the bride and groom.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 08, 2022, 01:35:41 AM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
In your opinion how long would it have taken to get the appropriate data to show COVID wasn't as deadly as they claimed?

Thou dost protest too much. Anyway you slice it, it still sounds like hobbling children for the sake of the elderly.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 08, 2022, 06:43:50 AM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
In your opinion how long would it have taken to get the appropriate data to show COVID wasn't as deadly as they claimed?

Thou dost protest too much. Anyway you slice it, it still sounds like hobbling children for the sake of the elderly.

You're asking for a specific answer to a general question.  That's very difficult to give.

Who are 'they'?  Exactly what level of deadliness was claimed that you're referencing?  Can you source the specific quote that has you concerned?

Early estimates of the deadliness of covid were all over the place as not much data was known.  As the data got better, so did our estimates based on measurements.  The virus also mutated to a less damaging form and populations became better vaccinated, increasing survival rates further.

There are still concerns about long-covid impacts from infection (and the impact of multiple re-infections which seem worsen problems further).  Are we including this information into the 'deadliness' calculation?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 08, 2022, 06:44:50 AM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
In your opinion how long would it have taken to get the appropriate data to show COVID wasn't as deadly as they claimed?

Thou dost protest too much. Anyway you slice it, it still sounds like hobbling children for the sake of the elderly.

And all the other people who died or who have long Covid?  It wasn't just the elderly who died.

And generally epidemics take the weakest, so that is the elderly and the very young.  The 1918-1920 flu epidemic was unusual in that it took the 20-40 group the most.  Took my Dad's parents, he was 3.  Covid took people in their 20s and 30s and 40s too, just not as many.  What fun epidemics are.

Someday you will be the elderly (at what age does that start, btw?) if something doesn't get you earlier.  I hope you will be philosophical about society not wanting to protect your health then.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JupiterGreen on November 08, 2022, 07:34:00 AM
COVID is currently on the rise where I am in the US. I never really got "back to normal", but I did get a bit soft on mask wearing over the summer. But now I'm back to wearing masks and I'll be staying away from large gatherings too. Who knows how long this will last, but I'm not going to risk the health of others and also my long term health. This timeline is nutters.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 08, 2022, 09:16:42 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 08, 2022, 09:31:02 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.

Can you post a link to the science that is telling you that?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 08, 2022, 02:13:12 PM
Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
In your opinion how long would it have taken to get the appropriate data to show COVID wasn't as deadly as they claimed?

Thou dost protest too much. Anyway you slice it, it still sounds like hobbling children for the sake of the elderly.

And all the other people who died or who have long Covid?  It wasn't just the elderly who died.

And generally epidemics take the weakest, so that is the elderly and the very young.  The 1918-1920 flu epidemic was unusual in that it took the 20-40 group the most.  Took my Dad's parents, he was 3.  Covid took people in their 20s and 30s and 40s too, just not as many.  What fun epidemics are.

Someday you will be the elderly (at what age does that start, btw?) if something doesn't get you earlier.  I hope you will be philosophical about society not wanting to protect your health then.
Considering that Alzheimer's runs in my family and I am pretty terrified of that, I would probably welcome COVID as a mercy. And I would probably be pissed off if my family sacrificed my hypothetical grandkids to save my life.

Thank God we have better angels such as yourself that would sacrifice a man's grand children to keep him locked in his own personal hell. We would be loalst without people like you.

Yes, some schooling time was lost. Better that than more lives. We already lost over a million lives to COVID-19. Yeah, I still think it was horribly selfish/self-interested to defy local mandates to take even the most minor precautions such as wearing a mask. Schooling can be caught up on but there's no way to bring back the lost lives.

Trying to avoid picking sides here, but this seems a bit cavalier. I don't want to mix up these two subjects, though. There is a bit of a straw man mixed in here. You seem to be equating wearing masks with all of the strange issues that students and schools had to go through...

Development windows for kids aren't infinite. Schooling cannot be "caught up on", and from the data it appears that we have interrupted a generation's learning with unknown long term consequences (similar to how we have affected the health of long term covid survivors with unknown long term consequences). You can be concerned about both. I certainly am. I also empathize with parents who are dealing with this. My brother is a teacher in high school... this is not a minor problem. I could see it being argued that it is a better problem than more lives lost, but now we are getting into more philosophical types of discussion, such as how we measure quality of life. Is simply being alive the best metric, or should it be satisfaction or productivity or pleasure or something else? Kids are developmentally stunted, and we don't have many fixes on the horizon, an the system isn't built to cope with that.

So let's tweak the system and fix it. The ease of learning during developmental windows may not be infinite, but they aren't closed. Death is final. In the past two years, we've lost almost 3 years in life expectancy, largely driven by COVID-19.

One side was uninterested in taking minimal precautions that could have prevented deaths and maybe the need for larger interventions. Masking is a catch all for minimum precautions, but I have been a proponent of others, like pooled regular testing for schools.  I also favor additional supports such as companies being mandated to provide a minimum sick leave for all workers. I used masking as an example because I was responding to the amnesty question - where I responded no, I have no desire to offer amnesty to people who were willing to do absolutely nada to help others.

When you see people dying (30+ in the long-term care facility where I work, yes it's personal to me, beyond the relative I lost), yeah, I f'ing believe you ought to take precautions until you can take stock and figure out what's working and what's not as effective.

I emphasize with those who had their kids lose ground in school and parents trying to teach and work at the same time. (I also emphasize with teachers and kids who are or have family members with health challenges who worried going to school would be deadly.) Lest you think me entirely callous and not considering of any other consequences, know that I donated large sums of money starting early in the pandemic to organizations supporting hunger relief and domestic violence. But yes, even in retrospect I would still prioritize the lives and avoiding unknown long-term health issues over possible lost education, and I'm huge proponent of education.
In your opinion how long would it have taken to get the appropriate data to show COVID wasn't as deadly as they claimed?

Thou dost protest too much. Anyway you slice it, it still sounds like hobbling children for the sake of the elderly.

You're asking for a specific answer to a general question.  That's very difficult to give.

Who are 'they'?  Exactly what level of deadliness was claimed that you're referencing?  Can you source the specific quote that has you concerned?

Early estimates of the deadliness of covid were all over the place as not much data was known.  As the data got better, so did our estimates based on measurements.  The virus also mutated to a less damaging form and populations became better vaccinated, increasing survival rates further.

There are still concerns about long-covid impacts from infection (and the impact of multiple re-infections which seem worsen problems further).  Are we including this information into the 'deadliness' calculation?
I was asking "would mid 2020 been long enough to collect data"? It was apparent that this wasn't going to be a civilization ending plague despite the hype.

I'm fairly certain that there had been a German study that showed children did not transmit the disease in 2020. Or schools. People should have started reconsidering things when that information came out.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 08, 2022, 02:22:21 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown
Remote school for a couple years = sacrificing children

Can you try and get a little more ridiculous? Keeping people healthy in a pandemic on the one hand, and going about life as normal on the other hand, are things that we all want. Those things are in conflict, and we tried to strike a balance over the last couple years based on what limited information we had.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on November 08, 2022, 03:48:53 PM
I really believe that the issue with schools became dry political. At least that is what we saw here. Public schools with strong unions stayed out the longest because the unions wanted to “fight hard for their teachers”. The Unions will use any opportunity to show their value. Meanwhile the private schools in the area (and we have a lot) all went back to in person classes wearing masks and it was fine. Our public districts had plenty of data from their private school counterparts but stood fast in their conviction that it was too dangerous.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on November 08, 2022, 04:18:13 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on November 08, 2022, 04:41:54 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

“this forum” does not.

Certain people on this forum do, incorrectly. Because it bolsters their flimsy case.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on November 08, 2022, 04:51:16 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

“this forum” does not.

Certain people on this forum do, incorrectly. Because it bolsters their flimsy case.

Certain people... like you?

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/welcome-to-the-forum/unmustachian-things-we're-doing-due-to-coronavirus/msg2611646/#msg2611646
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on November 08, 2022, 04:54:31 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

“this forum” does not.

Certain people on this forum do, incorrectly. Because it bolsters their flimsy case.

Certain people... like you?

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/welcome-to-the-forum/unmustachian-things-we're-doing-due-to-coronavirus/msg2611646/#msg2611646

Dude, even if certain people say certain things, it still doesn’t prove that “the forum” has a single definition.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on November 08, 2022, 04:57:20 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

“this forum” does not.

Certain people on this forum do, incorrectly. Because it bolsters their flimsy case.

Certain people... like you?

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/welcome-to-the-forum/unmustachian-things-we're-doing-due-to-coronavirus/msg2611646/#msg2611646

Dude, even if certain people say certain things, it still doesn’t prove that “the forum” has a single definition.

Just saying that you literally refer to the early 2020 restrictions as a lockdown.  Just like the rest of this forum accepts it as meaning that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on November 08, 2022, 05:01:45 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

“this forum” does not.

Certain people on this forum do, incorrectly. Because it bolsters their flimsy case.

Certain people... like you?

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/welcome-to-the-forum/unmustachian-things-we're-doing-due-to-coronavirus/msg2611646/#msg2611646

Dude, even if certain people say certain things, it still doesn’t prove that “the forum” has a single definition.

Just saying that you literally refer to the early 2020 restrictions as a lockdown.  Just like the rest of this forum accepts it as meaning that.

Meh. We had very little vocabulary back then. And you are already eliding 2021 with 2020.

Which were very different circumstances.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 08, 2022, 06:32:17 PM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

I don't agree "lockdown" is the forum wide agreed upon nomenclature, but I do recognize that that poster was referring to the early response of the US government as a lockdown. And that is what I am disagreeing with. Poster @Freedomin5 is in China and is experiencing lockdowns, and those suck. We in the US never did.

In the summer of 2020, I went into Home Depot and someone politely asked me to stand 6 feet apart from other people. I'm basically like Nelson Mandela, let's go storm the capitol.

Is your issue with my post that you think we really did have lockdowns here, or that you don't think I should be allowed to say that we didn't?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 09, 2022, 03:58:25 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.

Can you post a link to the science that is telling you that?

The CDC says, Covid-19 Vaccines Work (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/effectiveness/work.html). Aren't they the final arbiters of science in the US? If so, and we're otherwise healthy, seems like we should be safe living life normally, right? If not now, then when?

"COVID-19 Vaccines Protect Against COVID-19 Infections and Hospitalizations

Vaccines reduce the risk of COVID-19, including the risk of severe illness and death among people who are fully vaccinated. In addition to data from clinical trials, evidence from real-world vaccine effectiveness studies show that COVID-19 vaccines help protect against COVID-19 infections, with or without symptoms (asymptomatic infections). Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations has remained relatively high over time, although it tends to be slightly lower for older adults and for people with weakened immune systems."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 09, 2022, 08:02:08 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.

Can you post a link to the science that is telling you that?

The CDC says, Covid-19 Vaccines Work (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/effectiveness/work.html). Aren't they the final arbiters of science in the US? If so, and we're otherwise healthy, seems like we should be safe living life normally, right? If not now, then when?

"COVID-19 Vaccines Protect Against COVID-19 Infections and Hospitalizations

Vaccines reduce the risk of COVID-19, including the risk of severe illness and death among people who are fully vaccinated. In addition to data from clinical trials, evidence from real-world vaccine effectiveness studies show that COVID-19 vaccines help protect against COVID-19 infections, with or without symptoms (asymptomatic infections). Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations has remained relatively high over time, although it tends to be slightly lower for older adults and for people with weakened immune systems."

I was asking for science that "says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020."  That has not been supplied.

The link you posted indicates that vaccines work pretty well to prevent hospitalization and severe illness.  It doesn't discuss long covid (and related complications that don't necessitate hospitalization but can seriously impact someone's life), it doesn't mention anything masking, and it doesn't discuss 'going back to normal just like everyone used to before 2020'.

Do you actually have any science that supports the argument you were making, or were you taking the information that the CDC supplied and drawing your own personal conclusions?  If the latter, can you not see how others could draw different but equally reasonable conclusions from the same data?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 09, 2022, 08:44:38 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.

Can you post a link to the science that is telling you that?

The CDC says, Covid-19 Vaccines Work (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/effectiveness/work.html). Aren't they the final arbiters of science in the US? If so, and we're otherwise healthy, seems like we should be safe living life normally, right? If not now, then when?

"COVID-19 Vaccines Protect Against COVID-19 Infections and Hospitalizations

Vaccines reduce the risk of COVID-19, including the risk of severe illness and death among people who are fully vaccinated. In addition to data from clinical trials, evidence from real-world vaccine effectiveness studies show that COVID-19 vaccines help protect against COVID-19 infections, with or without symptoms (asymptomatic infections). Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations has remained relatively high over time, although it tends to be slightly lower for older adults and for people with weakened immune systems."

I was asking for science that "says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020."  That has not been supplied.

The link you posted indicates that vaccines work pretty well to prevent hospitalization and severe illness.  It doesn't discuss long covid (and related complications that don't necessitate hospitalization but can seriously impact someone's life), it doesn't mention anything masking, and it doesn't discuss 'going back to normal just like everyone used to before 2020'.

Do you actually have any science that supports the argument you were making, or were you taking the information that the CDC supplied and drawing your own personal conclusions?  If the latter, can you not see how others could draw different but equally reasonable conclusions from the same data?

The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 09, 2022, 09:04:49 AM
The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

Sure, and I can respect that you're making that choice and understand where you're coming from.

Maybe I'm harping on this, but that's a personal decision - not what 'the science' is saying you should do.  Someone could make a completely different choice that is at least as valid based on the same science available.  So the claim that "the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020" is really not a valid one to make, right?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on November 09, 2022, 09:28:41 AM
We're following the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020.

Can you post a link to the science that is telling you that?

The CDC says, Covid-19 Vaccines Work (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/effectiveness/work.html). Aren't they the final arbiters of science in the US? If so, and we're otherwise healthy, seems like we should be safe living life normally, right? If not now, then when?

"COVID-19 Vaccines Protect Against COVID-19 Infections and Hospitalizations

Vaccines reduce the risk of COVID-19, including the risk of severe illness and death among people who are fully vaccinated. In addition to data from clinical trials, evidence from real-world vaccine effectiveness studies show that COVID-19 vaccines help protect against COVID-19 infections, with or without symptoms (asymptomatic infections). Vaccine effectiveness against hospitalizations has remained relatively high over time, although it tends to be slightly lower for older adults and for people with weakened immune systems."

I was asking for science that "says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020."  That has not been supplied.

The link you posted indicates that vaccines work pretty well to prevent hospitalization and severe illness.  It doesn't discuss long covid (and related complications that don't necessitate hospitalization but can seriously impact someone's life), it doesn't mention anything masking, and it doesn't discuss 'going back to normal just like everyone used to before 2020'.

Do you actually have any science that supports the argument you were making, or were you taking the information that the CDC supplied and drawing your own personal conclusions?  If the latter, can you not see how others could draw different but equally reasonable conclusions from the same data?

The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.
The quote from the CDC doesn't say "prevent", it says "reduces the risk".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 09, 2022, 09:45:50 AM
An Ontario doctor and former member of the advisory committee thinks we should start masking again now that it is November and we are indoors so much more.  And cases are starting to rise.  Masking isn't that hard, I do it all the time.  Sat for 2 hours yesterday while my car got a tire and oil change, wearing my N95.  Not a big deal.  My N95  fits pretty well, so I figure I get 90% protection with it.  That means my immune system is handling 10% of whatever viruses are in the air, not all 100% of them.  I'm quite happy to be protecting myself from cold and flu viruses too.   I'm also protecting others from me.

Basic arithmetic - if x/1000 people in an age group will be seriously ill with Covid, the actual number of seriously ill people in that age group will be larger if the overall case number is larger.

And sure the largest X will be in older people but x is not 0 for younger people.

And yes there were high death rates in nursing homes, but most seniors are still living on their own, active in the community.  And if there are lots of cases this winter they are being exposed.  I'm not talking about people who would be dead in a year or two of old age, I am talking about people who have 10-30 years life expectancy.  Plus all the people who are vulnerable because of other health issues, who may be any age.

A lot of the most onerous precautions were taken when we didn't know the details of Covid spread.  Now we do.  Just like now we know malaria (literally bad air) is not spread by bad air, it is spread by mosquitoes, so we take measures in malaria areas not to be bitten.  Similarly, for an air-borne virus, air quality is the most important consideration.  If the chances of high virus load are low, we don't need masks.  If the chances of high virus load are high, we do need masks.  If the air is being well filtered we are safer.  If the air is not being well filtered, we are at higher risk.  One of the long-term effects of Covid should be requirements for better ventilation in places like schools.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 09, 2022, 10:07:20 AM
Cawl, the was in such a nested post that it was a mess.  I can't edit it easily.  So you wrote:
Considering that Alzheimer's runs in my family and I am pretty terrified of that, I would probably welcome COVID as a mercy. And I would probably be pissed off if my family sacrificed my hypothetical grandkids to save my life.

Thank God we have better angels such as yourself that would sacrifice a man's grand children to keep him locked in his own personal hell. We would be lost without people like you.


That took a very general post and narrowed it down to your own personal situation.  I'm sorry that you have to worry about Alheimer's and I expect your charitable donations are going to Alzeimer's research.  I'm also guessing you plan to have a medical DNR when you get older and the situation applies.

My daughter's viewpoint is that she wants me alive to be Grannie to her daughter.  I want your hypothetical grandchildren to be healthy and have healthy parents and grandparents. My father was orphaned at 3 because of the Spanish flu.  Lots of children were orphaned in the early stages of the Covid pandemic.  And more lost grandparents they loved.   

But that was a very personal attack, which is frowned on in the forums.  I don't want you locked in your personal hell, assuming you end up there.  But I also don't want children's parents and grandparents dead when they could be healthy if we as a society took reasonable precautions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 09, 2022, 10:13:25 AM
If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

If you died from Covid next week because you didn't take reasonable precautions, you would leave behind a grieving family (I assume they love you) who would also be mad at you because you didn't take reasonable precautions.  And believe me, the insurance money wouldn't make them feel better.  As I've written here before, my Dad lost his parents when he was 3, to the Spanish Flu. There was enough insurance to see him and his brother through University during the Depression.  But he often said he would have much rather his parents lived.  Unfortunately they were in the high risk age group for that pandemic.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 09, 2022, 11:10:51 AM
The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

Sure, and I can respect that you're making that choice and understand where you're coming from.

Maybe I'm harping on this, but that's a personal decision - not what 'the science' is saying you should do.  Someone could make a completely different choice that is at least as valid based on the same science available.  So the claim that "the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020" is really not a valid one to make, right?

We are making a personal decision based on scientific evidence, as represented by the CDC. If the CDC were saying, "Covid vaccines aren't very effective. All schools are closed. Don't go to the gym. Don't go into the office if you can avoid it. Don't meet up with friends or relatives. No bars. No restaurants. Masks everywhere. Etc," and we decided it was a good idea to go to Disneyland, then that wouldn't be a valid choice, at least not based on the scientific evidence. Given the fact that the CDC is saying that covid vaccines are highly effective at preventing serious illness from the coronavirus, and we are all fully vaccinated (5X each, in my wife's and my cases), our choice to accept a small amount of risk that we might catch covid and get really sick from it anyway, seems completely reasonable to me. That's not saying that others, who may have very different levels of risk tolerance or different baseline levels of health, can't make completely different choices. Everyone's free to do as they like. It just seems to me like, at some point, we need to trust in our public health officials. The CDC is telling us that, based on the best science currently available, covid vaccines are highly effective. We're choosing to trust the CDC and the science that they represent.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 09, 2022, 11:22:26 AM
If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

If you died from Covid next week because you didn't take reasonable precautions, you would leave behind a grieving family (I assume they love you) who would also be mad at you because you didn't take reasonable precautions.  And believe me, the insurance money wouldn't make them feel better.  As I've written here before, my Dad lost his parents when he was 3, to the Spanish Flu. There was enough insurance to see him and his brother through University during the Depression.  But he often said he would have much rather his parents lived.  Unfortunately they were in the high risk age group for that pandemic.

But we are taking 'reasonable precautions'. Both my wife and I have been vaccinated 5x already, and we are both more than willing to get vaccinated again if and when another vaccine becomes available. That seems like more than enough to me. We're not looking for a 100% guarantee, because we know that's not possible. 5-doses of highly effective vaccines seems fine to me. I'm comfortable with the odds on this bet. As I said, my chances of getting killed by a distracted driver seem much higher than those of dying from covid, as a fully vaccinated healthy person. YMMV.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on November 09, 2022, 11:24:31 AM
The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

Sure, and I can respect that you're making that choice and understand where you're coming from.

Maybe I'm harping on this, but that's a personal decision - not what 'the science' is saying you should do.  Someone could make a completely different choice that is at least as valid based on the same science available.  So the claim that "the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020" is really not a valid one to make, right?

We are making a personal decision based on scientific evidence, as represented by the CDC. If the CDC were saying, "Covid vaccines aren't very effective. All schools are closed. Don't go to the gym. Don't go into the office if you can avoid it. Don't meet up with friends or relatives. No bars. No restaurants. Masks everywhere. Etc," and we decided it was a good idea to go to Disneyland, then that wouldn't be a valid choice, at least not based on the scientific evidence. Given the fact that the CDC is saying that covid vaccines are highly effective at preventing serious illness from the coronavirus, and we are all fully vaccinated (5X each, in my wife's and my cases), our choice to accept a small amount of risk that we might catch covid and get really sick from it anyway, seems completely reasonable to me. That's not saying that others, who may have very different levels of risk tolerance or different baseline levels of health, can't make completely different choices. Everyone's free to do as they like. It just seems to me like, at some point, we need to trust in our public health officials. The CDC is telling us that, based on the best science currently available, covid vaccines are highly effective. We're choosing to trust the CDC and the science that they represent.

You're not alone with this opinion
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 09, 2022, 11:27:04 AM
Wearing a mask = lockdown

This forum has used the word "lockdown" to refer to the wide range of restrictions and work from home orders in 2020 / 2021 in a multitude of threads.  Don't act like you don't know that.

I don't agree "lockdown" is the forum wide agreed upon nomenclature, but I do recognize that that poster was referring to the early response of the US government as a lockdown. And that is what I am disagreeing with. Poster @Freedomin5 is in China and is experiencing lockdowns, and those suck. We in the US never did.

In the summer of 2020, I went into Home Depot and someone politely asked me to stand 6 feet apart from other people. I'm basically like Nelson Mandela, let's go storm the capitol.

Is your issue with my post that you think we really did have lockdowns here, or that you don't think I should be allowed to say that we didn't?
You went to Home Depot? Well shit. Can't argue with that logic. Guess I can just disregard this report of millions of people being pushed towards famine due to economic damage.
https://www.fao.org/publications/sofi/2021/en/

Also this report about the increase in teenage suicides.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7024e1.htm

But instead we must argue vocabulary.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cawl on November 09, 2022, 11:32:58 AM
Cawl, the was in such a nested post that it was a mess.  I can't edit it easily.  So you wrote:
Considering that Alzheimer's runs in my family and I am pretty terrified of that, I would probably welcome COVID as a mercy. And I would probably be pissed off if my family sacrificed my hypothetical grandkids to save my life.

Thank God we have better angels such as yourself that would sacrifice a man's grand children to keep him locked in his own personal hell. We would be lost without people like you.


That took a very general post and narrowed it down to your own personal situation.  I'm sorry that you have to worry about Alheimer's and I expect your charitable donations are going to Alzeimer's research.  I'm also guessing you plan to have a medical DNR when you get older and the situation applies.

My daughter's viewpoint is that she wants me alive to be Grannie to her daughter.  I want your hypothetical grandchildren to be healthy and have healthy parents and grandparents. My father was orphaned at 3 because of the Spanish flu.  Lots of children were orphaned in the early stages of the Covid pandemic.  And more lost grandparents they loved.   

But that was a very personal attack, which is frowned on in the forums.  I don't want you locked in your personal hell, assuming you end up there.  But I also don't want children's parents and grandparents dead when they could be healthy if we as a society took reasonable precautions.
I apologize. I had to take care of my 100 year old grandmother during COVID when Hospice decided to shut down. And people would probably have accused me of being a "granny killer" but we didn't any other choice. We were put in an impossible situation.

And now I'm dealing with pedantics who keep going "well actually, I went to a big box store, so there wasn't lockdowns, therefore that couldn't happen."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 09, 2022, 11:40:53 AM
The latter. Based on the CDC's claims that in healthy individuals vaccines work to prevent severe disease, hospitalization, and death, we are choosing to go back to living our lives as we did before covid started. Absolutely, I can understand others drawing different but equally reasonable conclusions based on the same information. A close relative recently underwent organ transplant surgery. Even if covid disappeared tomorrow, he would have to continue social distancing and wearing masks in indoor spaces, for the rest of his life, because even a cold or flu could easily kill him. Thankfully, we aren't in that same risk group. Also, I don't believe that we are in any way 100% assured of not getting covid, just because we're vaccinated. One of us could still get it, get really sick, and even die, but we're willing to accept that relatively small risk. If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

Sure, and I can respect that you're making that choice and understand where you're coming from.

Maybe I'm harping on this, but that's a personal decision - not what 'the science' is saying you should do.  Someone could make a completely different choice that is at least as valid based on the same science available.  So the claim that "the science that says if you're fully vaccinated and not in poor health or any other sort of high-risk group, it's safe to go about our lives as normal, just like everyone used to before 2020" is really not a valid one to make, right?

We are making a personal decision based on scientific evidence, as represented by the CDC. If the CDC were saying, "Covid vaccines aren't very effective. All schools are closed. Don't go to the gym. Don't go into the office if you can avoid it. Don't meet up with friends or relatives. No bars. No restaurants. Masks everywhere. Etc," and we decided it was a good idea to go to Disneyland, then that wouldn't be a valid choice, at least not based on the scientific evidence. Given the fact that the CDC is saying that covid vaccines are highly effective at preventing serious illness from the coronavirus, and we are all fully vaccinated (5X each, in my wife's and my cases), our choice to accept a small amount of risk that we might catch covid and get really sick from it anyway, seems completely reasonable to me. That's not saying that others, who may have very different levels of risk tolerance or different baseline levels of health, can't make completely different choices. Everyone's free to do as they like. It just seems to me like, at some point, we need to trust in our public health officials. The CDC is telling us that, based on the best science currently available, covid vaccines are highly effective. We're choosing to trust the CDC and the science that they represent.

Covid vaccines are highly effective at preventing death and hospitalizations.

Quote
- Post-COVID conditions can include a wide range of ongoing health problems; these conditions can last weeks, months, or longer.
- Post-COVID conditions are found more often in people who had severe COVID-19 illness, but anyone who has been infected with the virus that causes COVID-19 can experience post-COVID conditions, even people who had mild illness or no symptoms from COVID-19.
- People who are not vaccinated against COVID-19 and become infected might also be at higher risk of developing post-COVID conditions compared to people who were vaccinated and had breakthrough infections.

Quote
The best way to prevent post-COVID conditions is to protect yourself and others from becoming infected.
- https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/long-term-effects/index.html (https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/long-term-effects/index.html)

So the CDC is telling us that, based on the best science currently available, covid vaccines can't be trusted to prevent long term problems resulting from covid infection.  Vaccination reduces the risk of contracting covid, but certainly doesn't prevent it.


Again, if you've weighed the risks and made a choice that you're comfortable with - cool.  I don't think that it's fair to say that you're 'choosing to trust the CDC' if you're ignoring some of what the CDC is saying though.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on November 09, 2022, 11:55:51 AM
Cawl, the was in such a nested post that it was a mess.  I can't edit it easily.  So you wrote:
Considering that Alzheimer's runs in my family and I am pretty terrified of that, I would probably welcome COVID as a mercy. And I would probably be pissed off if my family sacrificed my hypothetical grandkids to save my life.

Thank God we have better angels such as yourself that would sacrifice a man's grand children to keep him locked in his own personal hell. We would be lost without people like you.


That took a very general post and narrowed it down to your own personal situation.  I'm sorry that you have to worry about Alheimer's and I expect your charitable donations are going to Alzeimer's research.  I'm also guessing you plan to have a medical DNR when you get older and the situation applies.

My daughter's viewpoint is that she wants me alive to be Grannie to her daughter.  I want your hypothetical grandchildren to be healthy and have healthy parents and grandparents. My father was orphaned at 3 because of the Spanish flu.  Lots of children were orphaned in the early stages of the Covid pandemic.  And more lost grandparents they loved.   

But that was a very personal attack, which is frowned on in the forums.  I don't want you locked in your personal hell, assuming you end up there.  But I also don't want children's parents and grandparents dead when they could be healthy if we as a society took reasonable precautions.
I apologize. I had to take care of my 100 year old grandmother during COVID when Hospice decided to shut down. And people would probably have accused me of being a "granny killer" but we didn't any other choice. We were put in an impossible situation.

And now I'm dealing with pedantics who keep going "well actually, I went to a big box store, so there wasn't lockdowns, therefore that couldn't happen."

I'm sorry your Grandma died, I also had family die due to COVID. Keeping people safe from an emerging, deadly, airborne pandemic is in direct conflict with other functions of daily life. There were negative consequences as well as benefits that came from taking precautions against COVID. There was no magic wand that anyone could waive that would resolve the inherent conflict between those things. I think mask wearing, social distancing, and wide spread availability of the vaccine were all hugely more beneficial that they were harmful.

I realize that others put the risk/benefit calculus in different places than I do, and so I extend grace and understanding to my neighbors and fellow citizens (excluding conspiracy theorists and "vaccine skeptics," hence my bristly tone towards you). I am sorry you refuse to do the same.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: index on November 09, 2022, 12:29:39 PM
I blame the people who refused to follow the rules, and those who complained about the rules as the reason for the outcome we have had. The echo chamber of vaccine sceptics and people who didn't want to wear masks created a "safe space" for people to be self centered idiots and drew out the pandemic for the rest of us. I am not giving amnesty to the lowest denominator of society.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: trc4897 on November 09, 2022, 12:48:01 PM
I'll ask again - moderators can we please move this thread to off topic?? It definitely belongs there much more than it does in the "Welcome and General Discussion". This thread has a habit of not being very welcoming!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on November 09, 2022, 01:00:23 PM
I blame the people who refused to follow the rules, and those who complained about the rules as the reason for the outcome we have had. The echo chamber of vaccine sceptics and people who didn't want to wear masks created a "safe space" for people to be self centered idiots and drew out the pandemic for the rest of us. I am not giving amnesty to the lowest denominator of society.

If this truly were the case, wouldn't Florida be an outlier at the top of every metric? Older, MAGA populations packed tightly into retirement communities, in a state that gave the middle finger to CDC guidance, and the source of much ridicule among these very forums. Not to mention, where many other MAGA people chose to go for vacation since other states were still implementing COVID restrictions. Not only should they have been rapidly spreading it amongst themselves, but other people were bringing it in from all over the U.S.

Florida's excess mortality should be through the roof based on everything that's been touted, but the numbers just aren't there. What am I missing?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dandarc on November 09, 2022, 01:08:08 PM
I blame the people who refused to follow the rules, and those who complained about the rules as the reason for the outcome we have had. The echo chamber of vaccine sceptics and people who didn't want to wear masks created a "safe space" for people to be self centered idiots and drew out the pandemic for the rest of us. I am not giving amnesty to the lowest denominator of society.

If this truly were the case, wouldn't Florida be an outlier at the top of every metric? Older, MAGA populations packed tightly into retirement communities, in a state that gave the middle finger to CDC guidance, and the source of much ridicule among these very forums. Not to mention, where many other MAGA people chose to go for vacation since other states were still implementing COVID restrictions. Not only should they have been rapidly spreading it amongst themselves, but other people were bringing it in from all over the U.S.

Florida's excess mortality should be through the roof based on everything that's been touted, but the numbers just aren't there. What am I missing?
#1 - not actually very dense in Florida. Certainly denser than Montana, but there's nowhere in Florida approaching NYC levels of density. #2 - Florida got pretty lucky in the first wave. Was certainly not anything policy or behavior-wise in March 2020. Excluding that first wave that hit New York very hard and you'll see Florida is no shining star. #3 - you probably are, but particularly with Florida, be sure to look at all-cause mortality because fudging the covid numbers to try to make it look better than it really was started pretty early here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on November 09, 2022, 03:07:34 PM
If I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits to use to buy stocks at discount prices. Pretty sure, though, my risk of dying by getting run over by a car is way, way higher than dying from covid, given that I ride everywhere on my bike in a city where distracted driving is pretty much the norm.

If you died from Covid next week because you didn't take reasonable precautions, you would leave behind a grieving family (I assume they love you) who would also be mad at you because you didn't take reasonable precautions.  And believe me, the insurance money wouldn't make them feel better.  As I've written here before, my Dad lost his parents when he was 3, to the Spanish Flu. There was enough insurance to see him and his brother through University during the Depression.  But he often said he would have much rather his parents lived.  Unfortunately they were in the high risk age group for that pandemic.

But we are taking 'reasonable precautions'. Both my wife and I have been vaccinated 5x already, and we are both more than willing to get vaccinated again if and when another vaccine becomes available. That seems like more than enough to me. We're not looking for a 100% guarantee, because we know that's not possible. 5-doses of highly effective vaccines seems fine to me. I'm comfortable with the odds on this bet. As I said, my chances of getting killed by a distracted driver seem much higher than those of dying from covid, as a fully vaccinated healthy person. YMMV.

That wasn't my point.  My point was the "if I died from covid next week, it would suck, but so what? Eventually, we're all going to die from something, anyway. My family would get another $100K in life insurance benefits" attitude as much as anything.  And partly the assumption that you will be fine catching Covid, which you probably will be, but you are ignoring the possibilities of long Covid. 

Of course I am guessing you are young and healthy so your risks are low.  Hmm, maybe I should be more concerned about your bike riding.  Except we all judge our risks, I drove over 200 km round trip every day for work for years with no accidents and a friend got into a totally-not-her-fault head-on collision on a 2 lane highway.  So who knows? 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 19, 2022, 05:30:11 AM
It's interesting that more attention isn't being paid to a recent study at the University of Würzburg (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.07.22281982v1), which appears to show significantly higher rates of adverse reactions and subsequent inability of healthcare professionals to perform their jobs, after receiving the newer bivalent, as opposed to the monovalent, covid-19 booster shots.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on November 19, 2022, 06:12:15 AM
It's interesting that more attention isn't being paid to a recent study at the University of Würzburg (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.07.22281982v1), which appears to show significantly higher rates of adverse reactions and subsequent inability of healthcare professionals to perform their jobs, after receiving the newer bivalent, as opposed to the monovalent, covid-19 booster shots.

Well, it is a preprint and a very small sample size. So I’m glad it’s not getting a huge amount of press until it has been peer reviewed and the results have been replicated.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 19, 2022, 04:03:39 PM
It's interesting that more attention isn't being paid to a recent study at the University of Würzburg (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.07.22281982v1), which appears to show significantly higher rates of adverse reactions and subsequent inability of healthcare professionals to perform their jobs, after receiving the newer bivalent, as opposed to the monovalent, covid-19 booster shots.

Well, it is a preprint and a very small sample size. So I’m glad it’s not getting a huge amount of press until it has been peer reviewed and the results have been replicated.

Totally agree it's good that a small, preliminary study like this is NOT getting big publicity...yet? I'm just surprised that anti-vaxxers and certain media outlets aren't all over a story like this, since it confirms their preferred "vaccines bad" narrative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on November 19, 2022, 06:55:21 PM
It's interesting that more attention isn't being paid to a recent study at the University of Würzburg (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.07.22281982v1), which appears to show significantly higher rates of adverse reactions and subsequent inability of healthcare professionals to perform their jobs, after receiving the newer bivalent, as opposed to the monovalent, covid-19 booster shots.

Well, it is a preprint and a very small sample size. So I’m glad it’s not getting a huge amount of press until it has been peer reviewed and the results have been replicated.

Totally agree it's good that a small, preliminary study like this is NOT getting big publicity...yet? I'm just surprised that anti-vaxxers and certain media outlets aren't all over a story like this, since it confirms their preferred "vaccines bad" narrative.
That study does not mean, "vaccines bad".  It actually means our immune systems is reacting to the bivalent stronger than the monovalent.  That's a good thing.  That is what we want to happen.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 19, 2022, 08:41:29 PM
It's interesting that more attention isn't being paid to a recent study at the University of Würzburg (https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.07.22281982v1), which appears to show significantly higher rates of adverse reactions and subsequent inability of healthcare professionals to perform their jobs, after receiving the newer bivalent, as opposed to the monovalent, covid-19 booster shots.

Well, it is a preprint and a very small sample size. So I’m glad it’s not getting a huge amount of press until it has been peer reviewed and the results have been replicated.

Totally agree it's good that a small, preliminary study like this is NOT getting big publicity...yet? I'm just surprised that anti-vaxxers and certain media outlets aren't all over a story like this, since it confirms their preferred "vaccines bad" narrative.
That study does not mean, "vaccines bad".  It actually means our immune systems is reacting to the bivalent stronger than the monovalent.  That's a good thing.  That is what we want to happen.

Sounds like a reasonable interpretation to me. Personally, I didn't feel any different after the most recent bivalent booster shot than I did after the earlier monovalent ones, last year. So far, knock on wood, I haven't gotten covid, so, guess they must be working?...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on November 20, 2022, 03:53:00 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 20, 2022, 05:47:41 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.

same here
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on November 20, 2022, 06:56:10 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.

same here

Just curious and totally unscientific - had you guys already had covid? The bivalent knocked me on my *ss for 24 hours, like probably the worst I've felt since I was hospitalized with post viral complications from the flu in 2017.

One other guy at my office also felt awful. It turns out that of the 40 people we work with, he and I were the only two who hadn't caught it yet. We figured it was making our immune systems work overtime.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on November 20, 2022, 07:40:01 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.
Schools are a hot spot for transmission of anything.  Both times I got COVID was because of our kids bringing it home.  Adults can often move away from someone coughing, kids are stuck in their seats.  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.  Kids do get infected and they do pass it along.  If nothing else, don't you not want them to miss a week of school, as the CDC recommendeds if you get infected?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on November 20, 2022, 08:15:00 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.
Schools are a hot spot for transmission of anything.  Both times I got COVID was because of our kids bringing it home.  Adults can often move away from someone coughing, kids are stuck in their seats.  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.  Kids do get infected and they do pass it along.  If nothing else, don't you not want them to miss a week of school, as the CDC recommendeds if you get infected?
Well sure they get it, but it’s not serious. The conversation with the physician was about risk. The risk of severe illness is low for them and the risks of the vaccine are low. But both of them are risks.
Everyone in my home had the first round of vaccines. My husband, my 13yo and I all had boosters last year. I had a reaction to my booster. My 10yo has not had a booster but had COVID last Jan (it was the sniffles, he was sicker with the flu in 2018)
My kids have been in school full time except for March-May 2020. 2020-2021 school year they were masked but no other precautions. Last year they were unmasked. Both years they played indoor basketball unmasked. And it’s all been totally fine. They have never even had to close school because of having too many kids or teachers sick)
I’m not saying COVID doesn’t exist or isn’t a threat to some, my husband just had someone die in his office of it. But based on my reaction to my third dose last year and what my doctor said she decided for her kids, I’m not going to booster them this year.
Despite my reaction to my booster last year my doctor and I decided to wait one full year to let my immune system calm down and then get another dose. I decided based on my age I would prefer to be boosted.
As for missing school, the vaccine does not prevent you from getting COVID so I don’t see how getting a booster impacts the likelihood either child would benefit in that regard. My son was fully vaccinated when he tested positive last year. He had to stay home 5 days.
It’s all about weighing risks at this point and that is a very very individual decision. I’m certainly not advocating my choices are the right ones for everyone else.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on November 20, 2022, 08:22:59 AM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 20, 2022, 08:56:49 AM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.

I'm glad that your son got over it without problems.  There's plenty of evidence that hospitalization and death is not the only outcome of concern for kids (or adults) though, many people aren't as lucky.

Dying of covid is a pretty terrible way to go, and it's awesome that kids aren't in a high risk category for that . . . but having a year or more of your life disrupted due to long covid also doesn't sound all that great.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 20, 2022, 09:04:12 AM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.

same here

Just curious and totally unscientific - had you guys already had covid? The bivalent knocked me on my *ss for 24 hours, like probably the worst I've felt since I was hospitalized with post viral complications from the flu in 2017.

One other guy at my office also felt awful. It turns out that of the 40 people we work with, he and I were the only two who hadn't caught it yet. We figured it was making our immune systems work overtime.
afaik, no one in my family has had actual covid yet.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 20, 2022, 09:22:21 AM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.

I'm glad that your son got over it without problems.  There's plenty of evidence that hospitalization and death is not the only outcome of concern for kids (or adults) though, many people aren't as lucky.

Dying of covid is a pretty terrible way to go, and it's awesome that kids aren't in a high risk category for that . . . but having a year or more of your life disrupted due to long covid also doesn't sound all that great.
Do you have any idea what the chances of that type of outcome are? I mean, if long covid was a highly-likely outcome in otherwise healthy children, it would make sense to be more cautious. Based on things I've read, though, my impression is that the chances of healthy children coming down with a serious case of long covid are pretty low. Do you have reason to believe otherwise, Steve?

Kids do get long Covid, but it seems uncommon, data reveal (https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2022/06/kids-do-get-long-covid-it-seems-uncommon-data-reveal)

Quote
Rytter adds, "Because most symptoms were mild, and the small excess of non-specific symptoms was accompanied by a paradoxical higher quality of life in children who have had COVID-19, the study findings can be considered reassuring.

She concludes, "For most children with non-specific symptoms following COVID-19, the symptoms are more likely to be caused by something other than COVID-19 and, if they are related to COVID-19, they are likely to pass with time."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on November 20, 2022, 09:34:16 AM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.

I'm glad that your son got over it without problems.  There's plenty of evidence that hospitalization and death is not the only outcome of concern for kids (or adults) though, many people aren't as lucky.

Dying of covid is a pretty terrible way to go, and it's awesome that kids aren't in a high risk category for that . . . but having a year or more of your life disrupted due to long covid also doesn't sound all that great.
Do you have any idea what the chances of that type of outcome are? I mean, if long covid was a highly-likely outcome in otherwise healthy children, it would make sense to be more cautious. Based on things I've read, though, my impression is that the chances of healthy children coming down with a serious case of long covid are pretty low. Do you have reason to believe otherwise, Steve?

Kids do get long Covid, but it seems uncommon, data reveal (https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2022/06/kids-do-get-long-covid-it-seems-uncommon-data-reveal)

Quote
Rytter adds, "Because most symptoms were mild, and the small excess of non-specific symptoms was accompanied by a paradoxical higher quality of life in children who have had COVID-19, the study findings can be considered reassuring.

She concludes, "For most children with non-specific symptoms following COVID-19, the symptoms are more likely to be caused by something other than COVID-19 and, if they are related to COVID-19, they are likely to pass with time."

Exactly. I have zero concern over long COVID for myself or my children. I’ll have to do some digging to find it but I had done some reading on long COVID and saw son data indicating that the odds of long COVID in an adult are <5% depending on severity of illness and if my vaccination and booster means that I have a 99% chance of NOT having severe disease. With those two combined, I’m not inclined to worry about things with that low of odds.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on November 20, 2022, 09:41:07 AM
I re-started masking any time I go into a place of business, usually I am the only one.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on November 20, 2022, 10:26:16 AM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.

I'm glad that your son got over it without problems.  There's plenty of evidence that hospitalization and death is not the only outcome of concern for kids (or adults) though, many people aren't as lucky.

Dying of covid is a pretty terrible way to go, and it's awesome that kids aren't in a high risk category for that . . . but having a year or more of your life disrupted due to long covid also doesn't sound all that great.
Do you have any idea what the chances of that type of outcome are? I mean, if long covid was a highly-likely outcome in otherwise healthy children, it would make sense to be more cautious. Based on things I've read, though, my impression is that the chances of healthy children coming down with a serious case of long covid are pretty low. Do you have reason to believe otherwise, Steve?

Kids do get long Covid, but it seems uncommon, data reveal (https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2022/06/kids-do-get-long-covid-it-seems-uncommon-data-reveal)

Quote
Rytter adds, "Because most symptoms were mild, and the small excess of non-specific symptoms was accompanied by a paradoxical higher quality of life in children who have had COVID-19, the study findings can be considered reassuring.

She concludes, "For most children with non-specific symptoms following COVID-19, the symptoms are more likely to be caused by something other than COVID-19 and, if they are related to COVID-19, they are likely to pass with time."

I've seen quite a few conflicting studies on the matter.  Numbers ranging anywhere from 1% up to 25% of kids infected with covid ending up with long covid symptoms.  Part of the problem is that it appears different strains of covid have different impacts and vaccination status plays a moderating role.  Severity of the disease after they catch it also appears to change the number.

Adults are better studied - your odds of experiencing long covid are 7.5% as an adult (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/20220622.htm (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/pressroom/nchs_press_releases/2022/20220622.htm)).  Unlike risk of death/hospitalization which skews heavily to the elderly, eople who are older are less likely to get long covid than people who are younger (3x as many adults ages 50-59 currently have long COVID than those age 80 and older).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on November 20, 2022, 01:43:16 PM
  I do not understand the attitude that kids are at low risk for these variants, it is simple not supported by the facts.

And actually it is supported by “the facts”, there is plenty of data now that shows that hospitalization or death from COVID is extremely rare for kids. And my own experience is that when my son had it he had a case of the sniffles.

I'm glad that your son got over it without problems.  There's plenty of evidence that hospitalization and death is not the only outcome of concern for kids (or adults) though, many people aren't as lucky.

Dying of covid is a pretty terrible way to go, and it's awesome that kids aren't in a high risk category for that . . . but having a year or more of your life disrupted due to long covid also doesn't sound all that great.
Do you have any idea what the chances of that type of outcome are? I mean, if long covid was a highly-likely outcome in otherwise healthy children, it would make sense to be more cautious. Based on things I've read, though, my impression is that the chances of healthy children coming down with a serious case of long covid are pretty low. Do you have reason to believe otherwise, Steve?

Kids do get long Covid, but it seems uncommon, data reveal (https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2022/06/kids-do-get-long-covid-it-seems-uncommon-data-reveal)

Quote
Rytter adds, "Because most symptoms were mild, and the small excess of non-specific symptoms was accompanied by a paradoxical higher quality of life in children who have had COVID-19, the study findings can be considered reassuring.

She concludes, "For most children with non-specific symptoms following COVID-19, the symptoms are more likely to be caused by something other than COVID-19 and, if they are related to COVID-19, they are likely to pass with time."

It is interesting that you link to that news article, yet when I look at the actual research report it is not as rosey. 

"In conclusion, children who had a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection in all age groups from 0 to 14 years reported a higher prevalence of long-lasting symptoms compared with age-sex-matched controls, and, among the oldest respondents, more females than males had long-lasting symptoms. Many long-lasting symptoms were also found in the control group. There was a tendency towards better quality-of-life scores in cases than in controls in the oldest groups. Further research should study post-COVID-19 diagnoses, prescribed drugs, and health-care use to better understand symptom clusters and long-term consequences of COVID-19 and the pandemic in children. These data are to be reported by the LongCOVIDKidsDK study."

Also, they were very clear that this was not the end-all-be-all and there were weaknesses in it, one of which is "Data in this study were obtained for the period in which the alpha and delta variants of SARS-CoV-2 were dominant, and it is therefore unknown whether the results are generalisable to children infected with a more recent variant or any future variants of the virus.". 
Also, the person you cited in the news article was not the authors of the actual paper. 
"Our findings align with previous studies of long COVID in adolescents showing that, although the chances of children experiencing long COVID is low, especially compared to control groups, it must be recognised and treated seriously," said first author Selina Kikkenborg Berg, PhD, in a Lancet news release. She and her colleagues published a similar study involving Danish teens 15 to 18 years old in February.

The study authors conclude, "Further research should study post-COVID-19 diagnoses, prescribed drugs, and health-care use to better understand symptom clusters and long-term consequences of COVID-19 and the pandemic in children."

When research scientists are saying we don't know the long term effects, we actually do not have a good number of how many or serious it is, especially with the variants. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PeteD01 on November 21, 2022, 07:18:34 AM
This is an excellent outline of what needs to be considered regarding precautions and vaccinations in relation to public health, risk to oneself and others:


What Does It Mean to Care About COVID Anymore?
Mask smarter, not harder.

By Yasmin Tayag

Still, there are many reasons to continue caring about COVID. About 300 people are still dying every day; COVID is on track to be the third-leading cause of death in the U.S. for the third year running. The prospect of developing long COVID is real and terrifying, as are mounting concerns about reinfections. But admittedly, these sometimes manifest in my mind as a dull, omnipresent horror, not an urgent affront. Continuing to care about COVID while also loosening up behaviors is an uncomfortable position to be in. Most of the time, I just try to ignore the guilt gnawing at my brain. At this point, when so few people feel that the potential benefit of dodging an infection is worth the inconvenience of precautions, what does it even mean to care about COVID?

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/11/covid-pandemic-personal-risk-behavior/672186/
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on November 21, 2022, 03:55:25 PM
Good article. Thanks for sharing, Pete.

Our family has changed our behavior somewhat, as a result of the pandemic. DD has a cold, right now, and she had an orthodontist's appointment scheduled for tomorrow morning. This afternoon, she and I called up the orthodontist's office and rescheduled, explaining to the receptionist that we were doing so, in order to protect the doctor and his staff from getting sick. Not sure if something like that would've occurred to us pre-Covid.

All my working life, I always just worked straight through colds, never even thinking, for a moment, that it might be better to call in sick, maybe to prevent coworkers from catching it, too. Supervisors, managers, and coworkers, tbh, would regularly roll their eyes if anyone ever called in sick for "only" a cold. Times have changed, though, and I think that's a good thing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on November 22, 2022, 03:46:19 PM
Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.

same here

Just curious and totally unscientific - had you guys already had covid? The bivalent knocked me on my *ss for 24 hours, like probably the worst I've felt since I was hospitalized with post viral complications from the flu in 2017.

One other guy at my office also felt awful. It turns out that of the 40 people we work with, he and I were the only two who hadn't caught it yet. We figured it was making our immune systems work overtime.

Anecdote: the bivalent booster kicked my butt pretty hard, but I had already had COVID about three months prior. And my immunity (whether from the booster or prior infection or both) did seem to be effective in preventing me from catching it again at a gathering my wife and I attended the next weekend, where she became infected and I did not. She hadn't gotten around to getting the new booster yet: was scheduled for the next weekend after that. Poor timing!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on November 22, 2022, 06:10:33 PM

Got the new booster last week. Felt fine. Maybe a little tired. DH had a headache the next day. The really good news is the hives I got with my first booster have not come back.
I did ask our family doctor about a booster for our kids and she said it was totally up to us. She felt risks of COVID (specifically these variants) were very low for them and likely equal to the vaccine. She said she did not give her kids another booster. This was back in late Sept and she said she was most concerned about Flu this year. So in our house the adults got flu and COVID shots this season and kids only got flu.

same here

Just curious and totally unscientific - had you guys already had covid? The bivalent knocked me on my *ss for 24 hours, like probably the worst I've felt since I was hospitalized with post viral complications from the flu in 2017.

One other guy at my office also felt awful. It turns out that of the 40 people we work with, he and I were the only two who hadn't caught it yet. We figured it was making our immune systems work overtime.


I have not (to my knowledge) had COVID and I got the bivalent shot in late September (with a flu shot) and I had the exact same reaction as always with COVID vaxx and lately with flu vaxx - swollen lymph nodes and a slightly sore arm.  NBD.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on December 10, 2022, 11:18:25 PM
Anyone dealing with "long COVID"? Relative still has no smell or taste going on over a year for example.

I finally did a little reading, and it looks like my sense of smelling cigarette smoke can be a side effect of COVID for some? I notice it the most later in the day. Not related to where I am, or what I'm wearing. Nobody close to me smokes... Not everyday. I smelled it for a short time today, but did not for most of the day. Other days I smell it most of the day regardless of where and what I'm wearing.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on December 12, 2022, 06:41:12 AM
Observations on recent long international travel (2 international flights over 3 continents & 2 domestic flights).  It seems like more people are wearing masks in December than they were the last time I flew (late August).  LOTS of coughing on board! 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on December 12, 2022, 06:59:49 AM
Observations on recent long international travel (2 international flights over 3 continents & 2 domestic flights).  It seems like more people are wearing masks in December than they were the last time I flew (late August).  LOTS of coughing on board!

Re the coughing, there is lots and lots of RSV around and it causes a lot of coughing.  I know, I got it from my grandchild, I am all better now except still coughing a bit.  And it is very transmissible, she gave it to 5 adults who were being careful (but not masking).

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on December 12, 2022, 10:00:34 AM
Anyone dealing with "long COVID"? Relative still has no smell or taste going on over a year for example.

I finally did a little reading, and it looks like my sense of smelling cigarette smoke can be a side effect of COVID for some? I notice it the most later in the day. Not related to where I am, or what I'm wearing. Nobody close to me smokes... Not everyday. I smelled it for a short time today, but did not for most of the day. Other days I smell it most of the day regardless of where and what I'm wearing.

I had a similar "smelling cigarette smoke" experience off and on a few months ago, well before I tested positive for Covid.
It was odd. And Covid was odd. I've been sick, hungover, food poisoned, you name it, but I've never felt quite like that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on December 13, 2022, 10:38:49 AM
Anyone dealing with "long COVID"? Relative still has no smell or taste going on over a year for example.

I finally did a little reading, and it looks like my sense of smelling cigarette smoke can be a side effect of COVID for some? I notice it the most later in the day. Not related to where I am, or what I'm wearing. Nobody close to me smokes... Not everyday. I smelled it for a short time today, but did not for most of the day. Other days I smell it most of the day regardless of where and what I'm wearing.

I had a similar "smelling cigarette smoke" experience off and on a few months ago, well before I tested positive for Covid.
It was odd. And Covid was odd. I've been sick, hungover, food poisoned, you name it, but I've never felt quite like that.

But the symptoms went away - eventually? I hope so.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sonofsven on December 13, 2022, 07:35:15 PM
Anyone dealing with "long COVID"? Relative still has no smell or taste going on over a year for example.

I finally did a little reading, and it looks like my sense of smelling cigarette smoke can be a side effect of COVID for some? I notice it the most later in the day. Not related to where I am, or what I'm wearing. Nobody close to me smokes... Not everyday. I smelled it for a short time today, but did not for most of the day. Other days I smell it most of the day regardless of where and what I'm wearing.

I had a similar "smelling cigarette smoke" experience off and on a few months ago, well before I tested positive for Covid.
It was odd. And Covid was odd. I've been sick, hungover, food poisoned, you name it, but I've never felt quite like that.

But the symptoms went away - eventually? I hope so.
Yes, for the most part. I don't smell smoke anymore, thankfully.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BlueHouse on December 25, 2022, 10:02:35 AM
I haven't read most of the prior responses, but wanted to chime in because my attitude is completely different now than I imagined a year ago. 

Family members have moved in with me and my social life has been much more active because of it.  We eat outside when possible, or stay together as a pack rather than interact too much with others (for the most part), but I have Covid now as I write this (feel fine).  I'm pretty sure I know exactly when and where I caught it.  And I remember at the moment, thinking it would be a miracle if I didn't catch it at that event. But I felt it was such a great experience that it would be worth it!  (I watched World Cup Finals France v. Argentina at the French Embassy -- unbelievable atmosphere!!)

So even though I've had 5 shots, going out a few times per week over the past 3 months has made me a bit more lax in using precautions, and I also felt as if the vaccine would keep me from getting very sick.  So I guess I'm in the "I'm getting back to normal". 

Except I am sticking to the self-isolation and am holed up in a tiny bedroom during the xmas holidays while my family members make a mess out of my house and there's nothing I can do about (or want to do about it). 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on December 25, 2022, 07:48:33 PM
Last weekend, family and I took Amtrak to NYC. Saturday night, along with thousands and thousands of others, we walked from Saks Fifth Avenue to St. Patrick's Cathedral, Rockefeller Center, and from there down to the Christmas market at Bryant Park. Everywhere was totally jam packed, almost to the point of claustrophobia. By the time we made it home on Monday evening, I was starting to get a little bit of a sore throat, and for the past week, I've been sick with what feels like a cold. Today was the first day, since we got home, that I went outside. It felt good to take a little bike ride around the quiet city streets and get some fresh air. TBH, I don't have any idea if what I have is a cold or covid, as I haven't tested myself. DW's been sleeping in an extra bedroom to try to decrease the chances of her catching it, too. DD said at dinner tonight that her throat was feeling a little "scratchy." I don't regret our trip to NYC, though. It was a great experience. It never even occurred to us to take masks with us. So, I guess we've reached the point of "getting back to normal."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on December 26, 2022, 01:57:24 AM
I did a test yesterday before joining family for Christmas day, it was negative - although I understand with omicron that many don't test positive until well into the illness.

I tested because I've been out and about a bit lately but mostly because I went into the supermarket having forgotten my mask.  Very stupid I felt too - I usually keep a couple of masks in the car but had taken them out when I cleaned it and not replaced them.  So I guess that was my "getting back to normal moment".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Sailor Sam on December 26, 2022, 05:45:02 AM
I think I’ve fully adapted to a new normal. 

I have surgery scheduled for the 29th, and I would be bitterly disappointed if I got sick and had to reschedule. So for the last 10 days, I’ve increased my caution when out of the house. I wear a mask, use hand sanitizer when i get back in the car, and wash my hands as soon as I get home.

The person who flew to come help me after surgery very kindly agreed to limit outside activities, and wear a mask.

Once I’ve had surgery, I go back to a pretty mask free existence.

Before COVID, I would have just kind of hoped I didn’t get sick, but it wouldn’t have occurred to me to wear a mask, or probably even limit exposure. Now I can ramp my risk analysis up, or down, depending on my personal circumstances. Seems like a better way of life, to me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on December 26, 2022, 09:55:55 AM
Agree that Covid has had some good effects. Mondays, I usually do volunteer work, which brings me into close contact with a bunch of other people, several of whom might be at high risk of getting sick (with anything). I feel a lot better today, but I'm still occasionally coughing, so don't know for sure if I'm contagious, or not. This morning, I texted my co-volunteers to let them know that I had a cold, so wouldn't be able to help out today, because I didn't want to put any of them at risk. Pre-Covid, pretty sure that wouldn't have occurred to me. I guess my "new normal" is being a little more careful that I don't spread viruses to others, which seems like a good thing.
Title: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: elaine amj on January 03, 2023, 11:52:29 AM
It is tough though. We accepted rhe risks of going back to a more normal life - but the effects of getting sick still really, really suck. And can have more serious consequences too.

For our family, we decided to resume going back to Disney World and don’t mask up as much as we should. 3 of the 5 of us ended up getting sick. I eventually tested positive for covid when I felt so sick I jumped through the hoops to take us to an urgent care in the middle of our 17.5hr drive home after I cut short the vacation 2 days early.

I’ve spent over a week now sick, mostly in bed with the most horrible hacking cough and isolating as best as possible from DH, who is going through cancer treatments (and is thankfully not sick - woot!!).

Came home to cancel our family Christmas gathering (scheduled in Jan after our trip) to the news that it was canceled anyway because my SIL has covid.

BIL has kept her wrapped in cotton wool for 3 years because she also has cancer and has been in chemo most of the time. She has slowly been rejoining the world in the last 3 months - and her payoff has been a really bad round of covid and we have all been very worried about her (she goes to the hospital almost every day for treatments).

To top it off, most of her adult kids have spent the holidays sick with various colds and gastro bugs.

Our families have been so cautious for so long but have loosened up a lot this past year. Time will tell whether we end up regretting it. That said - we’ve put our lives on hold for so very, very long due to all our high risk factors. I don’t think we could have done it much longer anyway.

Despite all our high risk factors - there’s only so long we can isolate. And understandably, for most regular heathy folks, it makes perfect sense that they gave up on precautions far, far sooner than we did.

I just wish we had worn those darn masks at Disney. That was a foolish extra risk to take knowing we were going during an intense cold, flu and covid season. Masks are moderately annoying. But spending half of an extremely expensive, much desired vacation sick in bed and then going home early was way more annoying.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 03, 2023, 12:32:51 PM
It does surprise me how few people wear masks, especially at high-volume, low-ventilation places (like airports that I don't believe have been renovated to have better airflow) when it seems so easy. 

It's especially stark for me at airports, where we go through so much security theater that is known to essentially ineffective (I still remember the report from just a few years ago that the TSA failed to detect something around 90% of test-bombs?) and yet is far more intrusive than masks. 

The last time I was in an airport, an elderly lady was nearly naked from the waist up as her family yelled at TSA that they shouldn't be asking TSA to do that and TSA was studiously ignoring them and feeling her up for an extended period, while all of the rest of us were stuck waiting to go through the machine and someone's laptop appears to have been stolen because they were separated from it for such a long time (apparently this type of thing is not infrequent, and of course TSA disclaims any obligation to safeguard our stuff while we are powerless to protect it).

I am much more bothered by the humiliation of security theater, though I guess we all just got used to it before we knew how ineffective it was, whereas the sequence of events was a bit different for COVID.  But otherwise I just can't quite put my finger on why people are so much more willing to go through that than to put an effective mask on.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on January 03, 2023, 12:49:09 PM
Not sure why anyone is eager to fly anywhere for all those kinds of reasons.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 03, 2023, 02:23:40 PM
It does surprise me how few people wear masks, especially at high-volume, low-ventilation places (like airports that I don't believe have been renovated to have better airflow) when it seems so easy. 

It's especially stark for me at airports, where we go through so much security theater that is known to essentially ineffective (I still remember the report from just a few years ago that the TSA failed to detect something around 90% of test-bombs?) and yet is far more intrusive than masks. 

I disagree with the bolded. The security theater is a joke, but I still think it's less intrusive than wearing a mask for hours.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 03, 2023, 02:54:04 PM
Not sure why anyone is eager to fly anywhere for all those kinds of reasons.

Because travel is fun and for me personally I'm not going to let a low risk virus stop me from doing the things I love.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 03, 2023, 02:57:19 PM
But otherwise I just can't quite put my finger on why people are so much more willing to go through that than to put an effective mask on.

Because the alternative is riding a bus (possibly a train) and taking multiple times longer to travel long distances. Or, just not going at all if it's somewhere that's only readily accessible by plane. Five minutes of TSA BS and a couple of hours in a plane is a lot less to bear than sitting on a bus for 16 hours since every hour of air travel corresponds to about 8 hours by ground.

I rarely fly and since I'm in the military I get free TSA pre-check - so just a metal detector instead of a body scanner and no need to remove my shoes, etc. However, I would probably be willing to pay for that just to avoid the BS.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on January 03, 2023, 03:07:27 PM
Not sure why anyone is eager to fly anywhere for all those kinds of reasons.
Person A
Benefits of travel > Cons of travel

Person B
Benefits of travel < Cons of travel

Assuming no laws are being broken, Person A and Person B can both be rational actors that arrive at different conclusions to the same question, just in accordance with their own unique utility functions and set of circumstances (including finances, health, age, pets yes/no, children yes/no, etc.).

You seem to be a Person B right now for air travel.  Others might be a Person A.  voila!  Eager beavers willing to fly!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on January 04, 2023, 03:23:04 PM
Not sure why anyone is eager to fly anywhere for all those kinds of reasons.

We were eager to fly last month (certainly would've masked) to see our good friends for the first time in a year.  Unfortunately, then Southwest Airlines happened. 

Definitely noticing a lot more people wearing masks again out in public.  With the current circulation of all sorts of things, I've gone back to wearing it more often, but not always, when out and about.  Though I can't say anything for certain, masking seems to have done a very good job of preventing illness in my household.  I've been sick three times since early 2020.  Twice when someone brought it home (once a guest brought a cold, once a family member brought the flu).  Third time is a mystery, and I was the only one to get sick. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 04, 2023, 03:25:45 PM
Given their current massive daily infection rates in the millions, I'm hoping that mutations/variants from China won't extend the covid problems.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 04, 2023, 03:47:01 PM
Given their current massive daily infection rates in the millions, I'm hoping that mutations/variants from China won't extend the covid problems.

Did China finally give up on zero Covid, or what's going on there?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 04, 2023, 04:09:20 PM
Given their current massive daily infection rates in the millions, I'm hoping that mutations/variants from China won't extend the covid problems.

Did China finally give up on zero Covid, or what's going on there?

Yes. Basically, everyone in China is going to catch COVID now - especially with Chinese New Year approaching on January 22nd. That's when most people travel home to see relatives. So, you've got hundreds of millions of people traveling by plane, train, bus, etc. all over the country. The rest of the world has clearly shown that COVID vaccines don't really prevent infection and spread - just reduce severity of the infection. Couple that with the lower the efficacy of the Chinese vaccines and they're seeing a huge spike in cases; not that any official numbers from the government will ever show that. They have to save face after all.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 04, 2023, 06:19:14 PM
 My 99 year old grandfather had COVID a few weeks before Christmas. He said he had a runny nose and was tired for about 48 hours. I guess that's the benefit of five COVID vaccines and all his gym visits. We are so thankful.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 04, 2023, 07:51:56 PM
It turns out the 'cold' we brought home from NYC was actually covid. DW and I both had what seemed like a medium to bad cold, with runny noses, coughing and sore throats. Both of us felt pretty much totally back to normal in less than a week from first showing symptoms. DD had a runny nose and a little bit of a cough for just a couple of days, but symptoms were really mild, probably because she's young. Maybe the vaccinations and booster shots we all got made our cases less severe, but who knows? If they come out with new boosters in the spring or summer, we'll gladly get them, but I'm guessing we're all boosted for now, from just catching covid a couple of weeks ago. Especially after having now had covid, I wouldn't change anything about our traveling behavior. Before catching covid, we were pretty worried, because of all the media publicity but, in reality, it turned out to be pretty minor for us. We'll be traveling again in the spring and summer and won't be taking any masks with us on our trips. Happy the world is finally returning back to normal again.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 05, 2023, 09:45:53 AM
My 99 year old grandfather had COVID a few weeks before Christmas. He said he had a runny nose and was tired for about 48 hours. I guess that's the benefit of five COVID vaccines and all his gym visits. We are so thankful.

It's such a crapshoot on how it affects different people...I've also had 5 vaccines and exercise daily, am less than half his age, and I still spent a week in bed (even with paxlovid).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 05, 2023, 10:28:05 AM
One of my relatives has both COVID and the flu.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 05, 2023, 10:38:39 AM
My 99 year old grandfather had COVID a few weeks before Christmas. He said he had a runny nose and was tired for about 48 hours. I guess that's the benefit of five COVID vaccines and all his gym visits. We are so thankful.

It's such a crapshoot on how it affects different people...I've also had 5 vaccines and exercise daily, am less than half his age, and I still spent a week in bed (even with paxlovid).
I agree! He did not take paxlovid. He does not have health problems other than high blood pressure which he’s had for decades.

If it makes you feel any better, DH and I had our flu shots in early Oct but still got the flu in late Nov and we’re down and out for a week. I ran a fever for three days and just felt like poo. DH had a terrible cough. We haven’t been that sick for years,
So it all seems like a crapshoot to me!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 05, 2023, 12:08:43 PM
My 99 year old grandfather had COVID a few weeks before Christmas. He said he had a runny nose and was tired for about 48 hours. I guess that's the benefit of five COVID vaccines and all his gym visits. We are so thankful.

It's such a crapshoot on how it affects different people...I've also had 5 vaccines and exercise daily, am less than half his age, and I still spent a week in bed (even with paxlovid).
I agree! He did not take paxlovid. He does not have health problems other than high blood pressure which he’s had for decades.

If it makes you feel any better, DH and I had our flu shots in early Oct but still got the flu in late Nov and we’re down and out for a week. I ran a fever for three days and just felt like poo. DH had a terrible cough. We haven’t been that sick for years,
So it all seems like a crapshoot to me!

I'm very active, and had five shots (including the bivalent vaccine - which I received about a month before catching covid, so should have been at peak effectiveness of the vaccine).

I felt crappy with a headache and had runny nose for a couple days and then was done with the disease.  But at about a month later am only just starting to hit the same kinds of exercise numbers (distance run, weight lifted) as I was putting up daily before getting it.  For that whole period after catching and recovering from the disease, every time I tried to push hard while exercising I'd get a full relapse of my symptoms (pounding headache, runny nose, feel like crap) - I had to start out way, way below what I'm physically capable of and very meticulously and slowly add a little bit at a time to be able to get back to where I am now, which is maybe 90 - 95% of where I should be.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 05, 2023, 01:25:04 PM
I guess I'm getting back to normal.  DH and I had something incredibly mild this/last week while traveling for the holidays.  His symptoms (if you can even call them that) were slightly more distinct than mine, so he took covid tests and I didn't bother.  We're not keeping as many covid tests around nowadays, so using them a bit more thoughtfully. 

Over the course of the week he tested negative 3 times, but while we were unsure, we weren't isolating.  I still went grocery shopping, though I am masking (and would have even if I thought I was perfectly healthy).  I just feel like with so many different viruses going around, you can't isolate for a week every time you feel a tickle in your throat.  Masking is not exactly back to normal, but it definitely feels a lot different than when I had a tickle in my throat last spring (that was also not covid).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Miss Piggy on January 05, 2023, 05:27:42 PM
Not sure why anyone is eager to fly anywhere for all those kinds of reasons.
I hear ya! Im suppose to fly overseas (Europe) in a couple of weeks and seriously thinking of postponing a month or 2 until this new varient is lower. I have an autoimmune disease that may be seriously impacted if I got covid (and am part of a study for that) so even though fully vaxxed and boosted am a bit hesitant to get on a flying Petri dish for many hours.

I hear you. I'm in a very high-risk household. I debated for weeks about a consulting-related trip to New York City at the end of January. I ultimately decided it was a good opportunity to do some cool work, so I was going to go. Just found out today that the client has decided to keep the entire project remote, so there's no trip anymore. I'm quite relieved.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 05, 2023, 08:52:29 PM
Well, I got covid for the first time while on vacation. So far just fatigue and running nose. Did have an asthma exacerbation leading up to this (which are probably related). Luckily (I guess), everyone I was traveling with / visiting had covid recently also. All vaccinated, so symptoms were mild all around.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: habanero on January 06, 2023, 11:15:28 AM
Out of curiosity, is covid still "a thing" in gen pop in the US? Our (Norway's) "CDC" estimated around 2-300k infections / week at mom in a population of 5.4 million, hospitalizations due to RSV, general flu and covid (to a lesser extent) are through the roof, death numbers from covid  this year have been much higher since "after" the pandemic when all restrictions were lifted in Feb last year. Excess mortality in 2022 was much higher than in a very long time, but it was barely mentioned in the news. Pretty much noone cares at all. If you're sick, your sick and noone cares if it's covid, the flu, RSV or something else.

Regarding the recent debate of wether travelers from China should requrire proof of -ve tests or not, our "CDC" just said that we're already swimming in a sea of covid infections so a few travellers from China more or less is not gonna make any meaningfull difference so a test requirement makes no sense.

Masking is virtually non-existent and has been so since Feb last year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 06, 2023, 11:59:32 AM
Out of curiosity, is covid still "a thing" in gen pop in the US? Our (Norway's) "CDC" estimated around 2-300k infections / week at mom in a population of 5.4 million, hospitalizations due to RSV, general flu and covid (to a lesser extent) are through the roof, death numbers from covid  this year have been much higher since "after" the pandemic when all restrictions were lifted in Feb last year. Excess mortality in 2022 was much higher than in a very long time, but it was barely mentioned in the news. Pretty much noone cares at all. If you're sick, your sick and noone cares if it's covid, the flu, RSV or something else.

Regarding the recent debate of wether travelers from China should requrire proof of -ve tests or not, our "CDC" just said that we're already swimming in a sea of covid infections so a few travellers from China more or less is not gonna make any meaningfull difference so a test requirement makes no sense.

Masking is virtually non-existent and has been so since Feb last year.

Depends on what you define as a thing. Very few people in our area wear masks anywhere at any time, but this is an anti-mask/deep red area of the country so masks started getting dropped as soon as the first vaccine hit the markets several years ago.

 On the other hand, one of our friends just had covid for the first time (sick for a week, had to self isolate at one end of her house to avoid infecting immunocompromised spouse) and another friend also got it for the first time and was hospitalized for a couple days. We just skipped Xmas entirely and self isolated for about a week with mild symptoms that turned out to a cold.

Covid numbers are rarely reported in the local news except if hospital comes briefly under strain, but that has been true since the first omicron wave started to drop last year.


Case rates locally (no doubt a huge undercount) have been >100 per day in an area of about 300,000 since fall. ETA: I just checked NYT and it looks like we are finally under 100 day...94 average over the past 2 weeks, so that's good.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 06, 2023, 12:13:33 PM
"Case rates locally (no doubt a huge undercount) have been >100 per day in an area of about 300,000 since fall. ETA: I just checked NYT and it looks like we are finally under 100 day...94 average over the past 2 weeks, so that's good."

^^I'd suspect under-reporting due to the holidays.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on January 06, 2023, 01:06:53 PM
With the widespread availability of home test kits, any reported case rates are pretty meaningless.

When our family of 8 all got COVID over the summer, my wife and I were the only ones to get positive home tests and I was the only one to get a positive test at a drive-thru pharmacy. So, 1 case of 8 was counted for any official statistics. Of course, none of us went to the doctor or anything because it was no more severe than a normal cold. Most of our kids just got the sniffles for a day or two.


My wife has been sick for almost two weeks now - probably the flu. She did take a few COVID tests but they were all negative. I did get a flu shot this year and so far haven't been sick. It's been hitting most of our kids as well now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 06, 2023, 01:39:19 PM
Here in Ontario we don't seem to formally test anybody (exception being people in hospital), so don't really have any idea what infection rates are.  I see the occasional mask when I'm out, but it has become pretty rare . . . definitely under 1 in 10 people wearing them.

We're certainly doing our best to pretend that we're back to normal!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 06, 2023, 02:08:21 PM
With the widespread availability of home test kits, any reported case rates are pretty meaningless.

When our family of 8 all got COVID over the summer, my wife and I were the only ones to get positive home tests and I was the only one to get a positive test at a drive-thru pharmacy. So, 1 case of 8 was counted for any official statistics. Of course, none of us went to the doctor or anything because it was no more severe than a normal cold. Most of our kids just got the sniffles for a day or two.


My wife has been sick for almost two weeks now - probably the flu. She did take a few COVID tests but they were all negative. I did get a flu shot this year and so far haven't been sick. It's been hitting most of our kids as well now.

The flu this year was way worse for my family than covid for was for us last year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on January 07, 2023, 01:40:28 AM
Given their current massive daily infection rates in the millions, I'm hoping that mutations/variants from China won't extend the covid problems.

Did China finally give up on zero Covid, or what's going on there?

Yes. Basically, everyone in China is going to catch COVID now - especially with Chinese New Year approaching on January 22nd. That's when most people travel home to see relatives. So, you've got hundreds of millions of people traveling by plane, train, bus, etc. all over the country. The rest of the world has clearly shown that COVID vaccines don't really prevent infection and spread - just reduce severity of the infection. Couple that with the lower the efficacy of the Chinese vaccines and they're seeing a huge spike in cases; not that any official numbers from the government will ever show that. They have to save face after all.
Yeah I'm very curious about the actual numbers in China since there does seem to be a cover up. Last I heard (around Dec 25) that there was approx 250 million new cases there in the 2 weeks or so after they eased restrictions. Curious what it is now and if any new varients have sprung up. Apparently most new cases in the US are now a new varient (XX..something something) and seems it might be more transmissible and better able to evade vaccines. I'll keep my mask for now ;-)!

China’s given up and it’s a free for all here. I’m in Shanghai, and in the past 2-3 weeks, everyone I know has gotten COVID. Most of it seems to be the milder strain from Guangzhou rather than the more severe strain that’s rampant in Beijing.

It was a bit hairy the last week of December. Hard to get a grocery delivery timeslot because all the delivery guys had COVID. The post office was shut down because they didn’t have enough workers. And many stores were closed. Everything reopened after a week or two and delivery services also improved as the workers recovered and went back to work.

The official numbers are useless because people aren’t testing anymore. They’re just telling us to stay home for a week until we feel better. Computer-generated estimates are that 70% of the population has contracted COVID by now.

DD’s school sent out a survey asking families if they have had COVID. it was for planning purposes so they could decide whether to just open school up (if everyone’s already gotten COVID and developed immunity) or if they should continue to offer online/hybrid learning. Most families responded (80% response rate), and 70% of respondents said everyone in their family have already gotten and recovered from COVID.

Currently no one is tracking anything. Free PCR testing is ending tomorrow. The general consensus seems to be to just treat it like the flu — stay home, rest, take fever/flu meds, drink lots of fluids, get the vaccine.

I think they prefer that everyone to get COVID now before the CNY rush. Then you can travel freely without worrying about being sick while you’re traveling. Also, if you’ve been sick already and developed immunity you’re less likely to carry the virus to your elderly family members who live in the rural village. Though my friends who live in rural villages say that they’ve already gotten COVID as well.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: alsoknownasDean on January 07, 2023, 01:56:33 AM
I'll admit I don't see many masks out now. I'm using mine on public transport still and in shops if they're crowded, but I've slacked off a bit.

I was more careful in the leadup to Christmas as I didn't want to catch COVID just before then. I'm still taking a RAT as a precaution when I go and visit older family members. I've had four doses with the last in September, but have only had the 'classic' vaccines rather than the new bivalent ones.

Here case numbers now are only announced weekly rather than daily and seem to have peaked in early-mid December, but who knows how much testing is being conducted, especially as it's the peak summer period and more people are on holidays.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: OurTown on January 07, 2023, 05:47:55 AM
We are just coming out of a 5 day quarantine, positive tests minimal symptoms.  So we will wear masks in public a few more days.  I did wfh this week but I actually worked, lol.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 07, 2023, 09:03:48 AM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on January 07, 2023, 02:25:53 PM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

I've known several people who tested positive asymptomatically after a known exposure. Given that I'm in an area where everyone thinks "COVID is over," I assume I'm only aware of a very small percentage of my actual exposures.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 07, 2023, 02:35:46 PM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Weisass on January 07, 2023, 02:36:59 PM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

It has happened to my SIL, who is routinely tested for her job.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BlueHouse on January 07, 2023, 08:01:58 PM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 07, 2023, 08:37:04 PM
I'm still masking (N95) every time I go out.  Now that it is cold I put my mask on while still in the car, so my nose is breathing warm air.

Most people are not masking.  The ones I see are usually older, like me.


I had SRV in November, I was sick for 3 weeks and it took another 2-3 weeks before I felt normal.  It is being really nasty this year.  My grand-daughter infected 4 people (she picked it up at daycare).  I was at DD's place for one afternoon and I was not masking, but I was washing my hands a lot.  Still caught it.  So Covid isn't the only thing we need to be concerned about this winter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FIRE Artist on January 07, 2023, 08:58:32 PM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

flying in for the holiday party….that sounds like an employer from hell to me
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on January 08, 2023, 05:25:05 AM
I keep hearing stories of hospitals being overrun and older people dying in the streets but am glad to hear it appears to be "fake news". Gotta stop watching Fox News ;-). Im sure it will or has spread wildly there but I assumed China had a pretty hardcore - even mandatory - vax program there along with the previous zero covid policy.

The hospitals are overrun, but that’s because the chinese population has a tendency of going to the hospital for everything. Mild fever? Go to the hospital and get a saline drip. They’re trying to educate people to stay at home if it’s just a low grade fever, but old habits die hard. I think I read somewhere that only 50% of the people hospitalized for COVID actually needed to be in the hospital.

It’s hitting the older folks hard. Most older people aren’t dying in the streets, though there may be cases of homeless folks with COVID or poorer folks who contract COVID who, for whatever reason, can’t access hospital services. I’m pretty sure there are COVID-related excess deaths. You can see it in the numbers provided by funeral homes. Apparently in some areas, there are so many deaths that the funeral homes can’t keep up with cremation demand. This kind of news isn’t really widely or officially published though. The news we see is heavily edited.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 08, 2023, 07:34:32 AM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not.

My first thought on seeing that comment was that the employee probably just didn't want to go to the party, so claimed they'd gotten a positive covid test result.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 08, 2023, 07:40:36 AM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not.

My first thought on seeing that comment was that the employee probably just didn't want to go to the party, so claimed they'd gotten a positive covid test result.

Holiday parties suck balls.  It's not surprising that this is happening.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Miss Piggy on January 08, 2023, 09:11:31 AM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not.

My first thought on seeing that comment was that the employee probably just didn't want to go to the party, so claimed they'd gotten a positive covid test result.

Holiday parties suck balls.  It's not surprising that this is happening.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog)

Flying in for a holiday party? Oh, hell no. I'm definitely testing positive for that. And I'll need a week off to manage my symptoms.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 08, 2023, 10:06:10 AM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not.

My first thought on seeing that comment was that the employee probably just didn't want to go to the party, so claimed they'd gotten a positive covid test result.

Holiday parties suck balls.  It's not surprising that this is happening.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog)

Flying in for a holiday party? Oh, hell no. I'm definitely testing positive for that. And I'll need a week off to manage my symptoms.

My boss had the same thought and asked for a picture of the test :) We also had meetings scheduled that week since it is the only week of the year when all employees are in the office. It would have been a dumb week to flake out. It is also the week that boss gives out bonus checks.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 08, 2023, 01:37:46 PM

One of my coworkers had a surprise positive a few weeks ago. We asked all remote employees to test before flying in for the holiday party. He tested positive the night before with no symptoms.

As an introvert who hates holiday business parties, I would have claimed positive test whether it was true or not.

My first thought on seeing that comment was that the employee probably just didn't want to go to the party, so claimed they'd gotten a positive covid test result.

Holiday parties suck balls.  It's not surprising that this is happening.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kDrXt9ECAxM&ab_channel=FoilArmsandHog)

Flying in for a holiday party? Oh, hell no. I'm definitely testing positive for that. And I'll need a week off to manage my symptoms.

My boss had the same thought and asked for a picture of the test :) We also had meetings scheduled that week since it is the only week of the year when all employees are in the office. It would have been a dumb week to flake out. It is also the week that boss gives out bonus checks.

Failed test is easy if you have access to your sons dark pink fine tipped markers.  :P
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: elaine amj on January 08, 2023, 10:49:33 PM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

In the summer when I had a birthday party for DH we asked everyone (about 50ppl) to test before coming (2 cancer patients at the party). We had one asymptomatic positive test so had to ask a whole group (travelling together) not to come. A friend’s partner was symptomatic and tested positive and he decided not to risk it and did not come. Thankfully, nobody got sick after the party.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: GuitarStv on January 09, 2023, 07:22:22 AM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

In the summer when I had a birthday party for DH we asked everyone (about 50ppl) to test before coming (2 cancer patients at the party). We had one asymptomatic positive test so had to ask a whole group (travelling together) not to come. A friend’s partner was symptomatic and tested positive and he decided not to risk it and did not come. Thankfully, nobody got sick after the party.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

When I was pretty sure that I had covid, I did four tests over two days.  Three came back negative.  My impression was that false negatives are much more of a problem that false positives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: wenchsenior on January 09, 2023, 10:50:56 AM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

In the summer when I had a birthday party for DH we asked everyone (about 50ppl) to test before coming (2 cancer patients at the party). We had one asymptomatic positive test so had to ask a whole group (travelling together) not to come. A friend’s partner was symptomatic and tested positive and he decided not to risk it and did not come. Thankfully, nobody got sick after the party.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

When I was pretty sure that I had covid, I did four tests over two days.  Three came back negative.  My impression was that false negatives are much more of a problem that false positives.

My sister had the same experience. I don't really trust the home tests unless you take a bunch of them over succeeding days while symptomatic. We always do PCR tests if any symptoms occur. It's a PITA b/c (for example) it recently took 6 full days to get results that were supposed to take 2 days, but at least you can be fairly sure the results are accurate.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on &quot;living with Covid&quot;, &quot;getting back to normal&quot;
Post by: mm1970 on January 09, 2023, 11:16:53 AM
Has anyone known someone (or been the someone) who got a surprise positive on a RAT (not a PCR)? 

I'm just curious because I realized that asymptomatic home testing had been an unquestioned and accepted practice in my community, but then I also realized I had never once heard of someone that was testing to go to an event or out of courtesy to someone else (i.e. not because they had any reason to suspect they actually had COVID) and was surprised by a positive test.  I got the impression that this was a totally possible, if not necessarily frequent, situation, back a year or so ago when tests became more available.  But now after my own experience with RATs over the past year I find it hard to believe they would catch an asymptomatic case.

I'm sure it would be quite a shock, but I've never heard of it actually happening to anyone.

In the summer when I had a birthday party for DH we asked everyone (about 50ppl) to test before coming (2 cancer patients at the party). We had one asymptomatic positive test so had to ask a whole group (travelling together) not to come. A friend’s partner was symptomatic and tested positive and he decided not to risk it and did not come. Thankfully, nobody got sick after the party.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

When I was pretty sure that I had covid, I did four tests over two days.  Three came back negative.  My impression was that false negatives are much more of a problem that false positives.
For Omicron, I am wondering if it is/was related to the timing, which is why our schools "request" that you test your kids 2 days apart.

When I tested positive in the summer, most of my issue was sinus pressure and a sore throat. I specifically opted to swab my throat area before the nostrils, and did end up with a positive test.  The day before the positive test I'd done nostrils only & tested negative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gin1984 on January 09, 2023, 05:46:33 PM
Well, in my area the hospitals are reporting being at over 90% capacity mostly with COVID but some with flu (and with kids RSV).  That is not good for anyone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 09, 2023, 06:54:04 PM
There is clearly plenty of Covid circulating around here. The schools are having trouble getting subs again. I do see an uptick in masking.

I just keep on keeping on. We did go to a movie this month which was a milestone! Who would think that "Puss In Boots" was what would lure me back?? I did see that the theatre claims they've improved ventilation.

My dd - in her 30s - had Covid in April and was medium sick, and again in July and was asymptomatic. This winter she has tested positive for RSV and influenza, had several bad colds and bronchitis twice now. I'm thinking that Covid has really made her vulnerable to respiratory infections.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 10, 2023, 06:18:50 AM
There is clearly plenty of Covid circulating around here. The schools are having trouble getting subs again. I do see an uptick in masking.

I just keep on keeping on. We did go to a movie this month which was a milestone! Who would think that "Puss In Boots" was what would lure me back?? I did see that the theatre claims they've improved ventilation.

My dd - in her 30s - had Covid in April and was medium sick, and again in July and was asymptomatic. This winter she has tested positive for RSV and influenza, had several bad colds and bronchitis twice now. I'm thinking that Covid has really made her vulnerable to respiratory infections.

Maybe, since many have been social distancing, for going on 3 years now, our natural immunity against common respiratory infections is down?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 10, 2023, 07:20:38 AM
There is clearly plenty of Covid circulating around here. The schools are having trouble getting subs again. I do see an uptick in masking.

I just keep on keeping on. We did go to a movie this month which was a milestone! Who would think that "Puss In Boots" was what would lure me back?? I did see that the theatre claims they've improved ventilation.

My dd - in her 30s - had Covid in April and was medium sick, and again in July and was asymptomatic. This winter she has tested positive for RSV and influenza, had several bad colds and bronchitis twice now. I'm thinking that Covid has really made her vulnerable to respiratory infections.

Maybe, since many have been social distancing, for going on 3 years now, our natural immunity against common respiratory infections is down?

I've been trying to find studies of the impacts of masking on immune systems.  There aren't very many, but what I've been able to find seems to indicate that extended period masking for very young children has a significant negative impact on immunity (and might explain all the children being sick problems that we're seeing right now).  For those over 16 though the research I can find seems to indicate that there is very limited negative impact.  Even without exposure, learned immunity in adults seems to last for a pretty long time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 10, 2023, 08:34:17 AM
The sick had been hitting our family hard the last year and a half. Still haven't tested positive, but I'm sure one of them has been Covid by now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 10, 2023, 09:15:47 AM
There may be some evidence emerging that COVID itself damages the immune system and can make one more susceptible to other infections vs the "immunity debt" ideas above.  Or could be some combination of the two.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/brucelee/2022/11/13/are-immunity-debt-claims-after-covid-19-precautions-accurate-or-misinformation/?sh=c30d8bd7348d

https://bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10.1186/s12916-021-02228-6

https://globalnews.ca/news/9282612/covid-immune-systems-what-we-know/

https://www.ctinsider.com/news/article/COVID-19-RSV-Flu-tripledemic-17659080.php

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 10, 2023, 10:08:43 AM
This may sound totally kooky and is certainly not clinically based, just my own experience, but some of this “immunity debt” idea and long COVID reminds me of my experience with mononucleosis. I had mono my junior year of high school and was very sick. I swear it took me three full years to recover. I was constantly tired, just wiped. And I literally got every illness out there in that 3 year recovery period.
Purely anecdotal of course.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 10, 2023, 07:29:53 PM
There is clearly plenty of Covid circulating around here. The schools are having trouble getting subs again. I do see an uptick in masking.

I just keep on keeping on. We did go to a movie this month which was a milestone! Who would think that "Puss In Boots" was what would lure me back?? I did see that the theatre claims they've improved ventilation.

My dd - in her 30s - had Covid in April and was medium sick, and again in July and was asymptomatic. This winter she has tested positive for RSV and influenza, had several bad colds and bronchitis twice now. I'm thinking that Covid has really made her vulnerable to respiratory infections.

Maybe, since many have been social distancing, for going on 3 years now, our natural immunity against common respiratory infections is down?

I've been trying to find studies of the impacts of masking on immune systems.  There aren't very many, but what I've been able to find seems to indicate that extended period masking for very young children has a significant negative impact on immunity (and might explain all the children being sick problems that we're seeing right now).  For those over 16 though the research I can find seems to indicate that there is very limited negative impact.  Even without exposure, learned immunity in adults seems to last for a pretty long time.

It's not just the wearing of masks though. In 2023, I know a bunch of people who still wouldn't even consider going out to see a movie, eating in a restaurant, or going to a concert - with or without a mask. Completely isolating themselves from other humans, and thus getting no exposure to common colds, flus, rsv, etc., has to have effects on people's immune systems.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 11, 2023, 08:42:39 AM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 11, 2023, 09:18:19 AM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.

They're singing with masks on?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 11, 2023, 10:15:02 AM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.

They're singing with masks on?

Oh yes, very well fitting masks. N95/KN95 type.  Worn properly.  None of the nose exposed nonsense. There are specialty masks for singing if a regular one doesn't work well.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 11, 2023, 10:30:29 AM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.

They're singing with masks on?

Oh yes, very well fitting masks. N95/KN95 type.  Worn properly.  None of the nose exposed nonsense. There are specialty masks for singing if a regular one doesn't work well.

Huh, I didn't realize that.  Singing is so weird and little things can really throw it off . . . I can't sing in tune at all if I'm wearing headphones (for example).  Not sure how well it would work with a mask.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 11, 2023, 12:08:43 PM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.

They're singing with masks on?

Oh yes, very well fitting masks. N95/KN95 type.  Worn properly.  None of the nose exposed nonsense. There are specialty masks for singing if a regular one doesn't work well.

Huh, I didn't realize that.  Singing is so weird and little things can really throw it off . . . I can't sing in tune at all if I'm wearing headphones (for example).  Not sure how well it would work with a mask.

I can see how headphones could throw someone off.  Singing with a mask on is just like talking with a mask on, except that you are singing.  The mask may need to be a bit deeper in the chin area so there is more room for jaw movement, but that is basically individual sizing.

Some of the first big spreader events were choirs, so choir members are super careful now.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Phenix on January 11, 2023, 12:37:33 PM
I've been discussing this with choir members who are singing in other choirs that meet in person - All reported their choirs' members are distancing (4-6 feet) and well masked (N95 types, not blue or cloth, tight fitting), and well vaccinated (lots with their 3rd booster, the bivalent version).  No-one has caught Covid from choir, even though in 2 instances people at choir reported coming down with symptoms and testing positive the next day - i.e. they were probably contagious at choir.

So the combination of vaccination/distancing/masking seems to be pretty effective.

They're singing with masks on?

Oh yes, very well fitting masks. N95/KN95 type.  Worn properly.  None of the nose exposed nonsense. There are specialty masks for singing if a regular one doesn't work well.

Huh, I didn't realize that.  Singing is so weird and little things can really throw it off . . . I can't sing in tune at all if I'm wearing headphones (for example).  Not sure how well it would work with a mask.

I can see how headphones could throw someone off.  Singing with a mask on is just like talking with a mask on, except that you are singing.  The mask may need to be a bit deeper in the chin area so there is more room for jaw movement, but that is basically individual sizing.

Some of the first big spreader events were choirs, so choir members are super careful now.

Any video/audio of your masked choir. I'm fairly curious to hear how a masked choir sounds.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BNgarden on January 11, 2023, 12:50:06 PM
I listened to this professional group in online presentations several times during the pandemic, and as in this video, they were masked.  Seemed to not affect their sound:
https://m.facebook.com/musicaintimacanada/videos/over-the-past-several-nights-tenor-carmanjprice-has-introduced-this-song-with-th/284302113818734/ (https://m.facebook.com/musicaintimacanada/videos/over-the-past-several-nights-tenor-carmanjprice-has-introduced-this-song-with-th/284302113818734/)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on January 11, 2023, 03:01:33 PM
I keep hearing stories of hospitals being overrun and older people dying in the streets but am glad to hear it appears to be "fake news". Gotta stop watching Fox News ;-). Im sure it will or has spread wildly there but I assumed China had a pretty hardcore - even mandatory - vax program there along with the previous zero covid policy.

The hospitals are overrun, but that’s because the chinese population has a tendency of going to the hospital for everything. Mild fever? Go to the hospital and get a saline drip. They’re trying to educate people to stay at home if it’s just a low grade fever, but old habits die hard. I think I read somewhere that only 50% of the people hospitalized for COVID actually needed to be in the hospital.

It’s hitting the older folks hard. Most older people aren’t dying in the streets, though there may be cases of homeless folks with COVID or poorer folks who contract COVID who, for whatever reason, can’t access hospital services. I’m pretty sure there are COVID-related excess deaths. You can see it in the numbers provided by funeral homes. Apparently in some areas, there are so many deaths that the funeral homes can’t keep up with cremation demand. This kind of news isn’t really widely or officially published though. The news we see is heavily edited.
I heard that China is allowing only highly regulated news reports for overseas info but I figured you guys who are living there probably get the real scoop - or at least get to see what's going on IRL - but I guess not. Kind of scary!

I'm personally still on the fence about travelling overseas now, even to Europe,  but need to decide asap in order to change my flight to a later date.  If I didn't have an auto immune disease I'd probably not be too worried about getting covid while travelling but as it is I'm being more hesitant. Probably no big deal and Im just being a wimp but.... well I AM a wimp ;-).

The official news just talks about all the great things China is doing. There is news that hospitals are in high demand, but then they just talk about how they’re opening more community hospitals and training more medical professionals to manage the COVID wave. Nothing about how they’ve run out of medications and are just administering half doses. I had to hear that from my friend whose elderly mother was in hospital and received the half dose treatment. So we do hear bits and pieces if we actively look for it. We don’t though. Most people are tired of COVID and just want to get back to their regular lives. In one sense, it can be a bit callous.

Yeah, getting sick while traveling is no fun. Several of my colleagues traveled over the Christmas break as soon as restrictions were lifted. Several of them landed at their destination and promptly got sick, then spent the majority of their vacation in their hotel room. But many of my coworkers also did not get sick and had a fabulous time traveling. It’s a bit of a crapshoot and very much YMMV.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 11, 2023, 03:04:25 PM

Any video/audio of your masked choir. I'm fairly curious to hear how a masked choir sounds.

Right now we are still meeting mostly on Zoom - most of us are older and some of us have immune issues.  We are still discussing if we want to do sing-outs as we used to, given the places we get invited to.  So no recordings.  A lot of our members sing in more than one choir, and their other choirs are getting together in person more than we have been.

Thanks BNgarden for finding one.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on January 13, 2023, 10:30:41 AM
Newest news is that the vast majority of us are going to get the "kraken" variant in the next few months whether we've had the shots or other variants.  Good news is for most it's cold-like symptoms.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 13, 2023, 10:32:59 AM
Newest news is that the vast majority of us are going to get the "kraken" variant in the next few months whether we've had the shots or other variants.  Good news is for most it's cold-like symptoms.

So no change from Omicron then?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on January 13, 2023, 11:43:16 AM
My healthy 38 year old wife got Omicron (presumably) after 4 doses of vaccine. Her "cold-like" symptoms lasted for about 10 days and included medicine-resistant headache, fever (102.7° F), chills, aches, sinus congestion, hearing loss, blurry vision, pain in the eyes (like sand), horrible brain fog/confusion, heart palpitations. Almost forgot about the sore throat, as well as nearly constant coughing (that lasted an extra few days).

Maybe "most" get less severe symptoms - not sure what the current statistics are on that.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: FLBiker on January 13, 2023, 12:03:51 PM
We're basically "back to normal".  Very few masks outside of medical buildings, and even some of those (like my PT) don't require them.  We flew to St. Louis over Christmas, and I'd say ~20% of the people on our flights / in the airport were wearing masks (including our family of 3).  None of us got sick, though, so that was good.  We're all vaxxed and have also had COVID (last June).  DD and I didn't get very sick, DW got it a bit worse.

I've travelled once for work since COVID, and will likely travel a bit in this coming year.  That said, we've got a bunch of budget issues, so who knows.  During my first return work trip (last October) I was struck by how much less I enjoyed air travel now than I did pre-COVID.  Living where I do now (semi-rural Nova Scotia) is likely at least partly responsible -- I'm never in crowds or traffic, beautiful nature abounds, everyone is nice.  Air travel felt extremely crowded, grimy, and demeaning.  I like traveling (meaning being in different places) but I don't like being in airports or on airplanes anymore (and I used to).  No big deal, it just kind of surprised me.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 13, 2023, 12:40:49 PM
Newest news is that the vast majority of us are going to get the "kraken" variant in the next few months whether we've had the shots or other variants.  Good news is for most it's cold-like symptoms.

So no change from Omicron then?

It's still Omicron - a fusion of 2 other variants.  Super infectious because it attaches really well to the ACE 2 receptors in the nose and throat, but apparently no worse to have than the other Omicron variants.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Daley on January 14, 2023, 08:50:41 AM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Miss Piggy on January 14, 2023, 02:26:25 PM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.

I would add a second friendly reminder that some people who did get vaccinated are still, despite their best efforts, at very high-risk for complications if they get COVID.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 14, 2023, 08:20:40 PM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.

I would add a second friendly reminder that some people who did get vaccinated are still, despite their best efforts, at very high-risk for complications if they get COVID.

And some of that is beyond a person's control. Like having a weak immune system.  Or being old.  Or having vulnerable lungs due to previous damage.  It is not just smokers who have bad lungs.  And on and on . . . .
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: LaineyAZ on January 15, 2023, 09:34:07 AM
Might be an obvious question, but how reliable are the current stats on Covid if people can self-test and manage mild symptoms themselves at home?

Two of my relatives tested positive for Covid recently.  Luckily their only symptoms were like that of a mild cold.  They quarantined the entire family at home per protocol.  Now they're fine and after testing negative they went back to living their usual life, but they never reported having Covid to any government agency.  If it's not required to be reported then how are we to interpret the current percentages of Covid in the population?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on January 15, 2023, 09:37:50 AM
Might be an obvious question, but how reliable are the current stats on Covid if people can self-test and manage mild symptoms themselves at home?

Two of my relatives tested positive for Covid recently.  Luckily their only symptoms were like that of a mild cold.  They quarantined the entire family at home per protocol.  Now they're fine and after testing negative they went back to living their usual life, but they never reported having Covid to any government agency.  If it's not required to be reported then how are we to interpret the current percentages of Covid in the population?

At this point you just watch the hospitals IMO. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 15, 2023, 11:13:19 AM
Might be an obvious question, but how reliable are the current stats on Covid if people can self-test and manage mild symptoms themselves at home?

Two of my relatives tested positive for Covid recently.  Luckily their only symptoms were like that of a mild cold.  They quarantined the entire family at home per protocol.  Now they're fine and after testing negative they went back to living their usual life, but they never reported having Covid to any government agency.  If it's not required to be reported then how are we to interpret the current percentages of Covid in the population?

At this point you just watch the hospitals IMO.

And waste-water data.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 15, 2023, 04:55:42 PM
How does one go about "watching hospitals?" It seems to me like data released on hospitalizations related to Covid are inconsistent. Apparently, more than half of people being counted as hospitalized *because* of Covid actually went to the hospital for a completely different reason, and only found out they had Covid as a result of being tested at the hospital. It's hard to make sense of data, when both the numerator and denominator are unclear.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 15, 2023, 05:29:21 PM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.
So true! Those who can't get vaccinated for medical reasons can't always live in a bubble for years on end so I think it's up to everyone to do what they can to help protect them. If that means getting vaxxed ourselves,  wearing masks and continued social distancing then that's a small sacrifice to make imho.

No thanks, I won't be doing any of those things thank you very much.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 15, 2023, 07:03:20 PM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.
So true! Those who can't get vaccinated for medical reasons can't always live in a bubble for years on end so I think it's up to everyone to do what they can to help protect them. If that means getting vaxxed ourselves,  wearing masks and continued social distancing then that's a small sacrifice to make imho.

No thanks, I won't be doing any of those things thank you very much.

Yeah, F all those people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 16, 2023, 10:42:45 AM
How does one go about "watching hospitals?" It seems to me like data released on hospitalizations related to Covid are inconsistent. Apparently, more than half of people being counted as hospitalized *because* of Covid actually went to the hospital for a completely different reason, and only found out they had Covid as a result of being tested at the hospital. It's hard to make sense of data, when both the numerator and denominator are unclear.

I watch ICU bed occupancy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 16, 2023, 12:51:00 PM
Said covid deaths up 44% nationwide but that may just be unvaxxed peeps..

Just a gentle reminder to whomever needs it that not everyone unvaccinated is in that position by choice.
So true! Those who can't get vaccinated for medical reasons can't always live in a bubble for years on end so I think it's up to everyone to do what they can to help protect them. If that means getting vaxxed ourselves,  wearing masks and continued social distancing then that's a small sacrifice to make imho.

No thanks, I won't be doing any of those things thank you very much.
Huh, wow.  I'd surely hate to be the reason my cancer-patient stepfather died.

I still wear masks in public, especially on airplanes and in stores.  We keep a stash of COVID tests.  The kids have been getting sick at school pretty much constantly (but it hasn't been COVID).  However, many of my kids' friends have been out with COVID.

Thus, social distancing continues - we still meet our friends outdoors.  But we don't meet our friends indoors.  I mean, I figure work + school is enough exposure, KWIM?

(As an example, we wore masks on our recent flights.  When we went to visit friends, they requested that we take COVID tests first.  So we did.  And we were negative.)  I don't understand why this is a big deal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 16, 2023, 06:20:53 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Omy on January 16, 2023, 08:40:02 PM
Masks and distancing and vaccinations have helped DH and I avoid covid, flu, rsv, and the common cold for 3 years. And if we're not sick, we're not going to take down our 85+ year old parents when we visit them.

Part of our responsibility in living in a community is doing our best to take care of our most vulnerable members. It's a shame that this is such a difficult concept to understand.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on January 16, 2023, 09:17:26 PM
For us, it's not "either/or", it's "both/and". We don't mask or social distance when we are with healthy friends/coworkers who have all had and recovered from COVID. We don't mask when we are outdoors and able to maintain social distance. We eat at restaurants. We invite people to our home and we go over to our friends' homes.

However, we do mask when we are in crowded indoor public spaces where eating is not an activity, like supermarkets or malls or on public transportation. We social distance if we are in public spaces and there are strangers, since we don't know if they are in one of the vulnerable populations. I mean, they're strangers anyway, so there's no need for us to get in their personal space, and I'm okay with extending the personal space guideline to be two meters apart. If we will be interacting with someone who is vulnerable, we will take a RAT to ensure we are COVID-negative.

It's not an all-or-nothing scenario. Use common sense, be considerate of others, and do what is reasonable.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 17, 2023, 05:57:11 AM
The people I see masking in stores  these days are almost always grey haired.  Seniors are having to be extra careful because the general public can't be bothered any more.  I am guessing people with immune issues are just staying home.
We seem to have forgotten the high mortality rates in nursing homes and seniors residences.

Sure the various Omicron variants are not that that bad.  But that is for young and healthy and vaccinated.   If you are old or immunocompromised or not vaccinated for medical reasons they are still bad. 

The only good thing these days is that people are used to masks now and I don't get odd looks when I wear mine when out. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on January 17, 2023, 06:07:39 AM
If you knowingly, from a position of strength, take actions or inactions that increase the dangers for those that are in a weaker position, what could be said about you?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on January 17, 2023, 06:57:09 AM
Sure the various Omicron variants are not that that bad.  But that is for young and healthy and vaccinated.   If you are old or immunocompromised or not vaccinated for medical reasons they are still bad.

My wife is young, healthy, vaccinated - and Omicron was still pretty bad. I really feel for anyone starting from a worse position.

Of course I'll do my part!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 17, 2023, 07:42:47 AM
For us, it's not "either/or", it's "both/and". We don't mask or social distance when we are with healthy friends/coworkers who have all had and recovered from COVID. We don't mask when we are outdoors and able to maintain social distance. We eat at restaurants. We invite people to our home and we go over to our friends' homes.

However, we do mask when we are in crowded indoor public spaces where eating is not an activity, like supermarkets or malls or on public transportation. We social distance if we are in public spaces and there are strangers, since we don't know if they are in one of the vulnerable populations. I mean, they're strangers anyway, so there's no need for us to get in their personal space, and I'm okay with extending the personal space guideline to be two meters apart. If we will be interacting with someone who is vulnerable, we will take a RAT to ensure we are COVID-negative.

It's not an all-or-nothing scenario. Use common sense, be considerate of others, and do what is reasonable.

This. (Except I don’t mask when shopping either. I’m never close to anyone for a long period when shopping. But I do keep a mask in my pocket in case)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 17, 2023, 07:50:27 AM
I'm as vaccinated as I can be, but covid numbers locally are up and a good friend has a daughter going through chemo at the moment.  I don't want to stop seeing my friend for the next three or four months so masking and testing it is.  Who wouldn't do that for a friend?  And if for a friend, then why not also for all the lovely people you don't yet know who could be in the same position?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Frugal Lizard on January 17, 2023, 08:37:03 AM
Sure the various Omicron variants are not that that bad.  But that is for young and healthy and vaccinated.   If you are old or immunocompromised or not vaccinated for medical reasons they are still bad.

My wife is young, healthy, vaccinated - and Omicron was still pretty bad. I really feel for anyone starting from a worse position.

Of course I'll do my part!
I am recovering from covid. Given the severity of the illness it had to be the newest prevalent variant.  My husband was much sicker than I.  I was concerned about his blood oxygen so took him to our walk in respiratory clinic. I  was well enough to drive him there. Only he went in.

I was less sick but longer. I still feel fuzzy and tired at the end of three full weeks. Able to cook us food, keep on top of medications and fevers and fluids. We tried to go outside every day, some days we stood on the porch. Other days we made it around the block. For me it wasn't as bad as a flu I had 10 years ago in terms of pain. But it was bad. Tylenol and advil tag team to keep the head from crushing pain.

Normally I get the sickest. Almost always get a secondary infection in my lungs. Not this time. Why? I had a 4th booster in the first week of December. 

Husband was going to go with daughter when she got back from uni. She had covid the third week of September at uni. She was really sick for two days and only missed three days of classes before testing negative. 

I am so thankful that I was only as sick as I was. But I have been laid up for two and a half weeks as it is. My husband and I have not passed it on to anyone else.  We got it from our son who was careless.  He would not have been allowed home if we had known how careless he was behaving before Christmas.  He is still struggling with the lingering effects of loss of lung capacity.

With a 81 year old mother with dementia I really don't want to have this another time. I never stopped wearing a mask everywhere.  Just didn't imagine that my adult children would be so careless.

They will be masking up before they come home, and doing a RAT. We can't afford to do this again. And maybe we won't get off this easily.  Not that it was easy.  Just could have been way worse.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 09:09:36 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: former player on January 17, 2023, 09:16:58 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
I remember social distancing, and what I am doing is nothing like social distancing.  I'm meeting other people, I'm going out and having a social life.  I just happen to wear a mask (N95) if I think it's justified for the protection of my health or someone else's health.  How long for?  As long as a piece of string.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Frugal Lizard on January 17, 2023, 09:31:07 AM
I don't think I will ever go in a mall at Christmas without a mask.  Or sit in crowded public transit with no open windows. My life has been way nicer without all the colds and sore throats that used to get any time I traveled or attended a large indoor gathering type thing. If I do have a cold or cough or sore throat, I will definitely wear a mask if I can't avoid going to an indoor place, such as grocery store or pharmacy. I will not attend a social event if I am sick. No big deal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 17, 2023, 09:47:26 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
I remember social distancing, and what I am doing is nothing like social distancing.  I'm meeting other people, I'm going out and having a social life.  I just happen to wear a mask (N95) if I think it's justified for the protection of my health or someone else's health.  How long for?  As long as a piece of string.

Exactly. I'm going out and doing pretty much everything I was doing pre-covid (with the exception of not having been to like a huge indoor arena concert or sporting event yet). Like, how are people somehow swallowing the propaganda that no one who is vaxxed and masks in crowds has left their house in three years?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 17, 2023, 09:53:58 AM
I will probably also wear a mask forever on public transport, in airports, other indoors activities with strangers, particularly if crowded.  At least unless or until better air ventilation in modern buildings obviates the need.  I don't do social distancing anymore.  I'll also test whenever necessary, I presume, unless it becomes expensive or hard to obtain them. 

It is just SOOOO nice not to get sick, and I'm also happy to not get others sick.  I always had such terrible colds and dreaded them so much.  Now that I am aware how easy it is to avoid them, not to mention the other viruses that go around, I'm not sure why I'd want to go back to being miserable once, twice or even three times per year for 3-10 days.  Now that it's more socially normal to see people in masks, it makes it an easy decision!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 17, 2023, 09:55:38 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
I remember social distancing, and what I am doing is nothing like social distancing.  I'm meeting other people, I'm going out and having a social life.  I just happen to wear a mask (N95) if I think it's justified for the protection of my health or someone else's health.  How long for?  As long as a piece of string.

Exactly. I'm going out and doing pretty much everything I was doing pre-covid (with the exception of not having been to like a huge indoor arena concert or sporting event yet). Like, how are people somehow swallowing the propaganda that no one who is vaxxed and masks in crowds has left their house in three years?

My understanding is that social distancing isn't effective at preventing transmission anyways.  It might help outdoors or in a wind tunnel, but indoors what matters is the concentration of virus circulating through the air and the time someone spends in that virus laden air.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 10:07:03 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
I remember social distancing, and what I am doing is nothing like social distancing.  I'm meeting other people, I'm going out and having a social life.  I just happen to wear a mask (N95) if I think it's justified for the protection of my health or someone else's health.  How long for?  As long as a piece of string.

Exactly. I'm going out and doing pretty much everything I was doing pre-covid (with the exception of not having been to like a huge indoor arena concert or sporting event yet). Like, how are people somehow swallowing the propaganda that no one who is vaxxed and masks in crowds has left their house in three years?

It's completely unnecessary to base any assumptions on "propaganda." Right here in this thread, you all are telling the world how you're living your lives:

Quote
I will probably also wear a mask forever on public transport, in airports, other indoors activities with strangers, particularly if crowded.  At least unless or until better air ventilation in modern buildings obviates the need.  I don't do social distancing anymore.  I'll also test whenever necessary, I presume, unless it becomes expensive or hard to obtain them.

Quote
I don't think I will ever go in a mall at Christmas without a mask.  Or sit in crowded public transit with no open windows. My life has been way nicer without all the colds and sore throats that used to get any time I traveled or attended a large indoor gathering type thing.

Quote
If you knowingly, from a position of strength, take actions or inactions that increase the dangers for those that are in a weaker position, what could be said about you?

Quote
However, we do mask when we are in crowded indoor public spaces where eating is not an activity, like supermarkets or malls or on public transportation. We social distance if we are in public spaces and there are strangers, since we don't know if they are in one of the vulnerable populations. I mean, they're strangers anyway, so there's no need for us to get in their personal space, and I'm okay with extending the personal space guideline to be two meters apart. If we will be interacting with someone who is vulnerable, we will take a RAT to ensure we are COVID-negative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Omy on January 17, 2023, 10:23:57 AM
And none of that says anything about not leaving our houses for the past 3 years.

I plan to continue masking and social distancing until there are reliable treatments and it stops killing so many people. I have friends who have died and other friends who are suffering from long covid (organ issues, dementia). I'd like to avoid those outcomes for as long as possible.

We wear masks inside public places and avoid dining inside restaurants but are fine eating at an uncrowded patio. We see family and friends regularly at unmasked outside events.
We are more relaxed when covid numbers are low in our area, and more careful when they start rising.

We are extra careful (and test) if we know we are going to be around vulnerable people (our parents, infants, seniors, the immunocompromised). I will continue this practice indefinitely because protecting the vulnerable is more important to me than the slight inconvenience of wearing masks and taking tests.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 17, 2023, 10:39:08 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Probably until they have more info about covid/long covid and immunocompromised folks and/or treatments that work again.

I know too many people with variations of long covid to feel comfortable throwing caution to the wind. I also avoid the flu during flu season. In the meantime I continue to do grocery pick up and I stay close to home.  When I do go out I wear a good N95.

My kids are now participating in activities and I ask them to put on a mask if kids around them are coughing or sniffling. They do because they love me.

It isn't the end of the world.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 17, 2023, 11:32:39 AM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Daley on January 17, 2023, 11:49:18 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles.

I have multiple auto-immune diseases. What you describe is the reality I have pretty well had to live under for the past three years and still have to live under for the rest of my life. I never got the benefit of the vaccine. Nor do I get to partake of the effective treatment options available. Nobody ever asked me if this is how I wanted to spend the rest of my life. I didn't used to have to live like a hermit, and while mask mandates were enforced, I was still able to safely leave the house on short excursions. The only thing that changed was COVID. The people who have forced this life on me were all too busy whining about how being asked to be decent human beings in the middle of a deadly fucking pandemic was violating their personal freedom.

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history.

So you don't want to wear a mask out in public anymore and think it's pointless and worthless and does nothing to help others, and others who are doing it are fools and COVID's no big deal anymore? Let me translate for you into the basest, crudest language possible to help you understand exactly what you're effectively telling people like me:

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Do you really think that attitude makes the world a better place?

I sure as shit don't, and I should know. I'm living the consequences of a massive group of people fucking around and behaving like they've gone through life saying exactly that.

As much as I'd love to tell people in this very thread that exact phrase for the callous indifference they've shown myself and others, I can't do that. Nobody deserves to feel like they're worthless garbage who should just shut up and die because heaven forbid you be ever so mildly inconvenienced by something that actually benefits you in the process.

I can't imagine my life being anything but a living nightmare for the rest of my natural born days now, and I can explicitly point out the very behavior and thought processes that has made it as such. My life is nothing but misery and loneliness and inconvenience now, but that's okay! Anything to help people like you tumble through the rest of your life pretending that your actions don't have consequences and living a life unmoored from reality believing that COVID is no big deal and shit like masks and vaccines and staying home when you're sick doesn't actually help anyone.

I am thankful for the people who are still trying. People in this very thread. And I get the fatigue from doing it. Trust me. I wish we had more people like that around us, maybe life wouldn't be so lonely now. But, we live in the heart of MAGA country... so... yup. Compassion and empathy's a tall order in these parts, even within the medical community.

Shane? I really hope you and Gronnie grow up. Your own families deserve better than what you're giving. You deserve better than what you're even giving yourselves.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jrhampt on January 17, 2023, 12:17:02 PM
Well, it's been about a month since I had my first (and only, so far) bout of covid.  I'm back to my normal exercise routine, mostly, but I do get winded more easily, and my usual running pace, while always leisurely, has slowed from about a 9 minute mile to a 12 or even 13 minute mile.  I can still run for an hour, but instead of 6+ miles in that time, I'm at 4.5-5 miles, noticeably slower.  Heart rate gets higher than normal if I try to push for shorter times, so I have backed off until my body recovers more. Elevation changes get me winded faster as well.  All in all, not the worst outcome so far, and I probably wouldn't notice in my daily activities if I weren't quantifying the changes with my fitbit and used to vigorous levels of physical activity.  I'm thankful for the paxlovid, because I think I would have continued to get worse without it.  This is not something I'd want to get every few months or so, and it's why I tried to avoid it for the past 3 years. 

I think we have found a good balance. We have cut out things that we don't think are worth it and substituted lower risk activities (streaming movies at home vs sitting in a movie theater, for example), and if either of us are even feeling slightly off or have been around sick people, we test and wait before seeing elderly family members.  In the past we wouldn't have even thought twice about going to dinner or other places if someone has a cold, but now we reschedule and stay home because it's not worth it to expose others or be exposed, and you can't assume it's just a cold.  Masks in pharmacies, other medical settings, wherever requested, and for air travel, but otherwise we just avoid crowded places/times, get in and out of places as quickly as possible and have always done the majority of our activities outdoors anyway.  The most risk we are exposed to is through my spouse's job (and that's where he brought it home from in December), since I work from home.  The thing is, we will all age into a higher risk group if we haven't already, so we will always have to re-evaluate risk, both to us and to our family and friends - to our community.  My spouse is now in the 50+ group, and I will follow in a few more years.  I have several friends who have aged into their sixties since the pandemic began, and are also now higher risk. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 17, 2023, 12:18:25 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles.

I have multiple auto-immune diseases. What you describe is the reality I have pretty well had to live under for the past three years and still have to live under for the rest of my life. I never got the benefit of the vaccine. Nor do I get to partake of the effective treatment options available. Nobody ever asked me if this is how I wanted to spend the rest of my life. I didn't used to have to live like a hermit, and while mask mandates were enforced, I was still able to safely leave the house on short excursions. The only thing that changed was COVID. The people who have forced this life on me were all too busy whining about how being asked to be decent human beings in the middle of a deadly fucking pandemic was violating their personal freedom.

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history.

So you don't want to wear a mask out in public anymore and think it's pointless and worthless and does nothing to help others, and others who are doing it are fools and COVID's no big deal anymore? Let me translate for you into the basest, crudest language possible to help you understand exactly what you're effectively telling people like me:

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Do you really think that attitude makes the world a better place?

I sure as shit don't, and I should know. I'm living the consequences of a massive group of people fucking around and behaving like they've gone through life saying exactly that.

As much as I'd love to tell people in this very thread that exact phrase for the callous indifference they've shown myself and others, I can't do that. Nobody deserves to feel like they're worthless garbage who should just shut up and die because heaven forbid you be ever so mildly inconvenienced by something that actually benefits you in the process.

I can't imagine my life being anything but a living nightmare for the rest of my natural born days now, and I can explicitly point out the very behavior and thought processes that has made it as such. My life is nothing but misery and loneliness and inconvenience now, but that's okay! Anything to help people like you tumble through the rest of your life pretending that your actions don't have consequences and living a life unmoored from reality believing that COVID is no big deal and shit like masks and vaccines and staying home when you're sick doesn't actually help anyone.

I am thankful for the people who are still trying. People in this very thread. And I get the fatigue from doing it. Trust me. I wish we had more people like that around us, maybe life wouldn't be so lonely now. But, we live in the heart of MAGA country... so... yup. Compassion and empathy's a tall order in these parts, even within the medical community.

Shane? I really hope you and Gronnie grow up. Your own families deserve better than what you're giving. You deserve better than what you're even giving yourselves.

Thank you for saying this.  I'm so tired of selfish assholes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on January 17, 2023, 12:32:26 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles.

I have multiple auto-immune diseases. What you describe is the reality I have pretty well had to live under for the past three years and still have to live under for the rest of my life. I never got the benefit of the vaccine. Nor do I get to partake of the effective treatment options available. Nobody ever asked me if this is how I wanted to spend the rest of my life. I didn't used to have to live like a hermit, and while mask mandates were enforced, I was still able to safely leave the house on short excursions. The only thing that changed was COVID. The people who have forced this life on me were all too busy whining about how being asked to be decent human beings in the middle of a deadly fucking pandemic was violating their personal freedom.

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history.

So you don't want to wear a mask out in public anymore and think it's pointless and worthless and does nothing to help others, and others who are doing it are fools and COVID's no big deal anymore? Let me translate for you into the basest, crudest language possible to help you understand exactly what you're effectively telling people like me:

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Do you really think that attitude makes the world a better place?

I sure as shit don't, and I should know. I'm living the consequences of a massive group of people fucking around and behaving like they've gone through life saying exactly that.

As much as I'd love to tell people in this very thread that exact phrase for the callous indifference they've shown myself and others, I can't do that. Nobody deserves to feel like they're worthless garbage who should just shut up and die because heaven forbid you be ever so mildly inconvenienced by something that actually benefits you in the process.

I can't imagine my life being anything but a living nightmare for the rest of my natural born days now, and I can explicitly point out the very behavior and thought processes that has made it as such. My life is nothing but misery and loneliness and inconvenience now, but that's okay! Anything to help people like you tumble through the rest of your life pretending that your actions don't have consequences and living a life unmoored from reality believing that COVID is no big deal and shit like masks and vaccines and staying home when you're sick doesn't actually help anyone.

I am thankful for the people who are still trying. People in this very thread. And I get the fatigue from doing it. Trust me. I wish we had more people like that around us, maybe life wouldn't be so lonely now. But, we live in the heart of MAGA country... so... yup. Compassion and empathy's a tall order in these parts, even within the medical community.

Shane? I really hope you and Gronnie grow up. Your own families deserve better than what you're giving. You deserve better than what you're even giving yourselves.

Thumbs WAY up on this response. 

One thing I will add, if I may, is much of this would never have happened if the orange "politician who shall not be named" and his team would not have turned the covid vax into a political football.  It was a damned shame.  I can elaborate further all day...but I think I will leave it at that.

 


 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Miss Piggy on January 17, 2023, 12:42:34 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles.

I have multiple auto-immune diseases. What you describe is the reality I have pretty well had to live under for the past three years and still have to live under for the rest of my life. I never got the benefit of the vaccine. Nor do I get to partake of the effective treatment options available. Nobody ever asked me if this is how I wanted to spend the rest of my life. I didn't used to have to live like a hermit, and while mask mandates were enforced, I was still able to safely leave the house on short excursions. The only thing that changed was COVID. The people who have forced this life on me were all too busy whining about how being asked to be decent human beings in the middle of a deadly fucking pandemic was violating their personal freedom.

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history.

So you don't want to wear a mask out in public anymore and think it's pointless and worthless and does nothing to help others, and others who are doing it are fools and COVID's no big deal anymore? Let me translate for you into the basest, crudest language possible to help you understand exactly what you're effectively telling people like me:

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Do you really think that attitude makes the world a better place?

I sure as shit don't, and I should know. I'm living the consequences of a massive group of people fucking around and behaving like they've gone through life saying exactly that.

As much as I'd love to tell people in this very thread that exact phrase for the callous indifference they've shown myself and others, I can't do that. Nobody deserves to feel like they're worthless garbage who should just shut up and die because heaven forbid you be ever so mildly inconvenienced by something that actually benefits you in the process.

I can't imagine my life being anything but a living nightmare for the rest of my natural born days now, and I can explicitly point out the very behavior and thought processes that has made it as such. My life is nothing but misery and loneliness and inconvenience now, but that's okay! Anything to help people like you tumble through the rest of your life pretending that your actions don't have consequences and living a life unmoored from reality believing that COVID is no big deal and shit like masks and vaccines and staying home when you're sick doesn't actually help anyone.

I am thankful for the people who are still trying. People in this very thread. And I get the fatigue from doing it. Trust me. I wish we had more people like that around us, maybe life wouldn't be so lonely now. But, we live in the heart of MAGA country... so... yup. Compassion and empathy's a tall order in these parts, even within the medical community.

Shane? I really hope you and Gronnie grow up. Your own families deserve better than what you're giving. You deserve better than what you're even giving yourselves.

This x1000. Thank you for saying what so many of us have kept bottled up inside for so long.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 17, 2023, 01:23:26 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?
I remember social distancing, and what I am doing is nothing like social distancing.  I'm meeting other people, I'm going out and having a social life.  I just happen to wear a mask (N95) if I think it's justified for the protection of my health or someone else's health.  How long for?  As long as a piece of string.

Exactly. I'm going out and doing pretty much everything I was doing pre-covid (with the exception of not having been to like a huge indoor arena concert or sporting event yet). Like, how are people somehow swallowing the propaganda that no one who is vaxxed and masks in crowds has left their house in three years?

It's completely unnecessary to base any assumptions on "propaganda." Right here in this thread, you all are telling the world how you're living your lives:

Quote
I will probably also wear a mask forever on public transport, in airports, other indoors activities with strangers, particularly if crowded.  At least unless or until better air ventilation in modern buildings obviates the need.  I don't do social distancing anymore.  I'll also test whenever necessary, I presume, unless it becomes expensive or hard to obtain them.

Quote
I don't think I will ever go in a mall at Christmas without a mask.  Or sit in crowded public transit with no open windows. My life has been way nicer without all the colds and sore throats that used to get any time I traveled or attended a large indoor gathering type thing.

Quote
If you knowingly, from a position of strength, take actions or inactions that increase the dangers for those that are in a weaker position, what could be said about you?

Quote
However, we do mask when we are in crowded indoor public spaces where eating is not an activity, like supermarkets or malls or on public transportation. We social distance if we are in public spaces and there are strangers, since we don't know if they are in one of the vulnerable populations. I mean, they're strangers anyway, so there's no need for us to get in their personal space, and I'm okay with extending the personal space guideline to be two meters apart. If we will be interacting with someone who is vulnerable, we will take a RAT to ensure we are COVID-negative.


So… wearing a mask and taking a few reasonable precautions from time to time is “continuing to live that way”?

The horror…
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 17, 2023, 02:06:21 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

My wife works in Peds. It's WAY worse this year than normal, and most of the Pediatricians privately say the same thing. They also mostly haven't vaccinated their own children even though publicly they have to support and recommend it or risk losing their license.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 02:59:46 PM
And none of that says anything about not leaving our houses for the past 3 years.

Has anyone made that claim? I sure haven't.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 03:06:23 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Probably until they have more info about covid/long covid and immunocompromised folks and/or treatments that work again.

I know too many people with variations of long covid to feel comfortable throwing caution to the wind. I also avoid the flu during flu season. In the meantime I continue to do grocery pick up and I stay close to home.  When I do go out I wear a good N95.

My kids are now participating in activities and I ask them to put on a mask if kids around them are coughing or sniffling. They do because they love me.

It isn't the end of the world.

I totally support your family's right to live exactly as you are. If you're happy with your quality of life, I'm happy for you.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 17, 2023, 03:08:22 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

My wife works in Peds. It's WAY worse this year than normal, and most of the Pediatricians privately say the same thing. They also mostly haven't vaccinated their own children even though publicly they have to support and recommend it or risk losing their license.

When you say "most of the Pediatricians privately say the same thing" what do you mean? That it's worse this year because of 2-3 years of masking?

I ask because our pediatrician did say as much and she also told me that she did not booster her kids this year. But she strongly recommended a flu shot (which we always do). We ended up doing the flu shot for my kids but not a COVID booster. DH and I did get the updated COVID booster and a flu shot.
so far since Sept my house has had flu and strep.
My kids have been unmasked at school all of since October (or maybe it was Nov) of 2022.

Our experience is that when you have school aged children it brings another layer of complexity to the COVID decisions. I'm not going to ask them to mask at school when none of their peers are. I'm not going to keep them out of sports. I'm not going to keep them from friends houses or from having friends to our house. So if we're doing all that, we're kind of just back to normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Samuel on January 17, 2023, 03:15:11 PM
Looking back through his posts I'm having a real hard time finding anything Shane has said on this topic that is unreasonable. Being fully vaxed and staunchly supportive of more vulnerable people's right to protect themselves by wearing masks and opting to work from home sounds a lot more like an ally than an enemy.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 17, 2023, 03:28:37 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Probably until they have more info about covid/long covid and immunocompromised folks and/or treatments that work again.

I know too many people with variations of long covid to feel comfortable throwing caution to the wind. I also avoid the flu during flu season. In the meantime I continue to do grocery pick up and I stay close to home.  When I do go out I wear a good N95.

My kids are now participating in activities and I ask them to put on a mask if kids around them are coughing or sniffling. They do because they love me.

It isn't the end of the world.

I totally support your family's right to live exactly as you are. If you're happy with your quality of life, I'm happy for you.

I mean, of course I'm not happy with my quality of life! I'd love to be able to go and sit in a church service, or see a play, or even attend events at my children's school. I would love for adults to not harass my children when they wear masks.

But I also know that I was hospitalized with post-viral complications form the flu a few years ago, and how sh*tty my immune system has been since then. And illnesses cause autoimmune flares that then require drugs that further suppress my immune system.  And I have young children, and am the primary earner for our family and we have no support network nearby - so I better stay healthy because obviously we live in a society where no one will help us if we need it. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 03:30:00 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

I totally support your right to live your life exactly as you are. We've also changed for the better, I think, in that, since Covid started, we are much more careful about spreading any kind of virus to other people, especially if they're older or have compromised immune systems. If any of us are sick, even if it's just a cold, we don't go to any enclosed places, where we might infect anyone else. That seems like a positive change that's come about, because of the pandemic.

For some people, I guess, it's no loss to wear an n95 mask on plane flights. In my family, we've taken dozens of flights over the past 15 years, and I can't remember our ever getting sick after flying. Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories. All three of us were fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. After like two years of trying as hard as possible to stay away from other humans, it felt REALLY good to be vaccinated, and so, be able to make social connections again.

I get it that many other people are in very different positions from us healthwise, and totally respect their rights to continue living more cautiously. My family and I are up to date on our covid booster shots. If one of the pharmaceutical companies comes out with a new covid booster vaccine, sometime next spring, like we've heard, we'll be the first ones in line to get them, not so much to protect ourselves, but mostly to help protect other, more vulnerable, people. We don't want to give our elderly relatives and friends covid, or anything else, for that matter.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 17, 2023, 03:37:11 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

I totally support your right to live your life exactly as you are. We've also changed for the better, I think, in that, since Covid started, we are much more careful about spreading any kind of virus to other people, especially if they're older or have compromised immune systems. If any of us are sick, even if it's just a cold, we don't go to any enclosed places, where we might infect anyone else. That seems like a positive change that's come about, because of the pandemic.

For some people, I guess, it's no loss to wear an n95 mask on plane flights. In my family, we've taken dozens of flights over the past 15 years, and I can't remember our ever getting sick after flying. Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories. All three of us were fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. After like two years of trying as hard as possible to stay away from other humans, it felt REALLY good to be vaccinated, and so, be able to make social connections again.

I get it that many other people are in very different positions from us healthwise, and totally respect their rights to continue living more cautiously. My family and I are up to date on our covid booster shots. If one of the pharmaceutical companies comes out with a new covid booster vaccine, sometime next spring, like we've heard, we'll be the first ones in line to get them, not so much to protect ourselves, but mostly to help protect other, more vulnerable, people. We don't want to give our elderly relatives and friends covid, or anything else, for that matter.

I hesitate to quibble here, but....I do just want to point out that you can do 3 of those things (really, 3.5 of them, but I get it that the mouth is more important than, let's say, the forehead) with a mask on. 

I've had a couple of times recently where for some reason I was trying to remember if someone I had just finished conversing with and departed company from was wearing a mask or not.  And I couldn't remember.  I had had substantive conversations, one good, one just neutral, for quite a few minutes, and afterward I could not for the life of me picture whether or not they had been wearing a mask.  Maybe not a surprise, I also couldn't picture what they were wearing and in the case of the person I didn't know well, their hair and other physical description didn't stick with me long.  But you see my point?  I don't think I'm unique in this way, that you can make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask.  Especially if you don't a priori believe that you can't.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 04:16:47 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles...

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history...

[MOD NOTE: This is an intentional misquote by Shane to make it look like Daley was addressing him]

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Wow, sorry you're so hateful and angry Daley. It must really suck to go through life with all of that anger and bitterness inside of you. Feel free to lash out at me - an internet stranger - as much as you like if it makes you feel any better. Seems like seeking out a qualified mental health practitioner to talk with might be better though.
[MOD NOTE: This user has been banned and the rest of the post deleted.  This is just here so we can see the misquote and we all know why Shane was banned]
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 17, 2023, 04:54:17 PM
This is a tricky issue.

We had a window to control Covid, and that window has long past.  It's going to be floating around forever.  It no longer seems like it's going to be possible for even the most careful person to avoid catching it (probably multiple times).

For people who have health/immune problems that make covid much worse, this really must feel like society has abandoned you.  And there's a certain amount of truth to that.  It's a valid way to feel.

The same assholes who refuse to vaccinate and had to travel the world during the pandemic are still here.  And yep, it's due to their actions that covid is now a permeant fixture in the world.  And they have invented all sorts of new assholery to continue being giant assholes.

But there also exist a large number of us who are trying to be reasonable about this whole thing.  I've had all my shots.  We seriously isolated during the pandemic.  We religiously wore masks.  And we updated the masks that we wore as research around them changed.  My family and I managed to avoid getting covid right up until last month.

What changed?  We have a 9 year old little boy.  He has had a pretty fucked up last couple years.  We tried to work thing out, but he has had a very limited ability to play with other kids his age.  He has been involved in no sports.  He has had a couple years of not being able to read other people's faces and expressions because everyone was wearing a mask.  So In October I signed our son up for Jiu-Jitsu classes, and we've been going regularly.  He loves them, is making friends, and some behavioral problems that we've had at school have largely disappeared.  But you can't wrestle with a mask on.  Or without being breathed on.  It's a dirty sport, and I knew that it was only a matter of time before we caught covid.  And we did!  The risk was worth it for us.

I personally hate wearing a mask.  I get very bad contact dermatitis from wearing them.  Tried multiple types over this pandemic, it's all the same (I think it's related to the humidity next to my skin).  This translates into large painful red welts and pustules behind my ears, on the top of my nose, on my cheeks and around my mouth.  Going in to the office a couple days a week and wearing a mask has translated into these horrible skin breakouts for the rest of the week.  Small price to pay to keep other people alive, sure.  But super fucking annoying and kinda miserable to deal with.  If I'm visiting my parents, I'll wear one for a couple weeks before hand without question (and do tests to make sure that I'm not sick).  If it seems like there's a particularly new virulent strain of covid going around then maybe at the library or grocery store, sure.  But I'm not going to wear one outdoors.  I'm not going to wear one all day at work any more.


I completely understand where anger is coming from on both sides of this argument.  There are honest to God real consequences, especially to young kids related to masking/isolation.  There are honest to God real consequences for people with immune problems who want everyone to be a hell of a lot more cautious than the anti-vaxx assholes.  Everyone's still trying to figure out our way through this and there's no easy slam-dunk right answer that works for everyone.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 05:15:52 PM
So… wearing a mask and taking a few reasonable precautions from time to time is “continuing to live that way”?

The horror…
You're more than welcome to take any "reasonable precautions" you like, Kris. Nobody's stopping you.

Back around the beginning of the pandemic, when they were still trying to do contact tracing, I remember reading about a scientific study that found that the most likely place people got infected with covid was - not supermarkets, not on public transit - but *in their own homes, from people they lived with*. Given that fact, maybe, "reasonable precautions" should be for people to either live alone, or to mask up, whenever family members or roommates are in their home with them. Anybody not willing to wear an n-95 mask in their own home, at least whenever kids or spouses are around, is a complete "selfish asshole," right?

Nobody's telling you how to live your life. You're free to mask, test, distance, or whatever other precautions you want to take. Why the strong desire to push your way of life on the rest of us? Like I said above, if you had a plausible plan you could explain to us that if we continued doing x,y,z social distancing practices, for x months, years, or whatever, we could hope for some tangible change in our situation regarding covid, I would be all ears. As it is, though, it seems like you're just proposing that we should all avoid crowds? concerts? movies? crowded cafes? restaurants? and bars? And for how long? Forever, right? No, thank you. You're welcome to do that. It won't bother me, at all. But please don't try to shove your way of life down my and my family's throats.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 17, 2023, 05:22:39 PM
So… wearing a mask and taking a few reasonable precautions from time to time is “continuing to live that way”?

The horror…
You're more than welcome to take any "reasonable precautions" you like, Kris. Nobody's stopping you.

Back around the beginning of the pandemic, when they were still trying to do contact tracing, I remember reading about a scientific study that found that the most likely place people got infected with covid was - not supermarkets, not on public transit - but *in their own homes, from people they lived with*. Given that fact, maybe, "reasonable precautions" should be for people to either live alone, or to mask up, whenever family members or roommates are in their home with them. Anybody not willing to wear an n-95 mask in their own home, at least whenever kids or spouses are around, is a complete "selfish asshole," right?

Nobody's telling you how to live your life. You're free to mask, test, distance, or whatever other precautions you want to take. Why the strong desire to push your way of life on the rest of us? Like I said above, if you had a plausible plan you could explain to us that if we continued doing x,y,z social distancing practices, for x months, years, or whatever, we could hope for some tangible change in our situation regarding covid, I would be all ears. As it is, though, it seems like you're just proposing that we should all avoid crowds? concerts? movies? crowded cafes? restaurants? and bars? And for how long? Forever, right? No, thank you. You're welcome to do that. It won't bother me, at all. But please don't try to shove your way of life down my and my family's throats.

Yeah. But how did the virus get into the homes in the first place?

This is an example of statistics leading people to a false conclusion.

Most of the rest of what you posted is hyperbole, with a few strawmen tossed in.

(Edit: misspelled “leading”)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 05:34:12 PM
Looking back through his posts I'm having a real hard time finding anything Shane has said on this topic that is unreasonable. Being fully vaxed and staunchly supportive of more vulnerable people's right to protect themselves by wearing masks and opting to work from home sounds a lot more like an ally than an enemy.
Thank you, Samuel. My family and I spent over two years not doing many of the things we love, not because we were particularly afraid of catching covid ourselves, but mostly because we wanted to protect other, more vulnerable, people in our community. We purposely haven't visited my almost 80 year old mother for going on 4 years now, because we haven't felt comfortable with the risk that we might possibly infect her with anything. We've got plans to visit my mom later this year, but those 4 years we missed out on are never coming back. My daughter missed out on 4 years of seeing her grandmother, in person, and my mom missed out on seeing her granddaughter grow from being a little girl into a young woman. Nobody's going to be able to convince me that that was just "a minor inconvenience." My mom, me, my wife, and our daughter are all fully vaccinated and boosted against covid, so we're going to meet up, in person, in 2023, maybe even ride in a car together and sit together in a restaurant, without masks on. It seems like we should be able to choose to do that, without getting dragged by a bunch of people wishing for my death and calling me a selfish asshole, because we're not passing their covid purity test.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: fuzzy math on January 17, 2023, 05:42:07 PM
This is a tricky issue.

We had a window to control Covid, and that window has long past.  It's going to be floating around forever.  It no longer seems like it's going to be possible for even the most careful person to avoid catching it (probably multiple times).


The same assholes who refuse to vaccinate and had to travel the world during the pandemic are still here.  And yep, it's due to their actions that covid is now a permeant fixture in the world.  And they have invented all sorts of new assholery to continue being giant assholes.


COVID was well seeded throughout the world before it was even known to be a thing. It was found in multiple country's blood product supplies, viral testing swabs and waste water as early as Sept 2019, which means it was widespread then. Its deluded thinking to think that there was a window to shut it down. We've all seen how insidious it was in China, despite the huge efforts it required to lock residents down in their home time and time again when it would pop up in a community.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 05:45:49 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Probably until they have more info about covid/long covid and immunocompromised folks and/or treatments that work again.

I know too many people with variations of long covid to feel comfortable throwing caution to the wind. I also avoid the flu during flu season. In the meantime I continue to do grocery pick up and I stay close to home.  When I do go out I wear a good N95.

My kids are now participating in activities and I ask them to put on a mask if kids around them are coughing or sniffling. They do because they love me.

It isn't the end of the world.

I totally support your family's right to live exactly as you are. If you're happy with your quality of life, I'm happy for you.

I mean, of course I'm not happy with my quality of life! I'd love to be able to go and sit in a church service, or see a play, or even attend events at my children's school. I would love for adults to not harass my children when they wear masks.

But I also know that I was hospitalized with post-viral complications form the flu a few years ago, and how sh*tty my immune system has been since then. And illnesses cause autoimmune flares that then require drugs that further suppress my immune system.  And I have young children, and am the primary earner for our family and we have no support network nearby - so I better stay healthy because obviously we live in a society where no one will help us if we need it.
Totally get where you're coming from, StarBright. We've got a close family member who went through organ transplant surgery, right in the middle of the pandemic. In spring 2021, DW flew across the country wearing an N-95 mask on the plane, and for 3 months she lived at her family member's house to help him recover from surgery, all the time wearing an N-95 mask, every time she went out of the house, for any reason. We've got another friend who is a single mom and who is also caring for elderly parents, at the same time as she's caring for her teenage daughter. Those two friends and relatives have different risk profiles from me and my family. I totally support and would never criticize them for living their lives differently from us. It kind of bewilders me, though, how some people in this thread feel totally justified in wishing for my death and other horrible things to happen to me, all because I am "living with covid" and "getting back to normal" sooner than they feel comfortable doing themselves. I'm fine with other people being more cautious than my family and I are. Why is it so hard for people who are in different circumstances, and therefore living differently from us, to accept that not everyone needs to be as careful as they are being?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 17, 2023, 05:49:49 PM
This is a tricky issue.

We had a window to control Covid, and that window has long past.  It's going to be floating around forever.  It no longer seems like it's going to be possible for even the most careful person to avoid catching it (probably multiple times).


The same assholes who refuse to vaccinate and had to travel the world during the pandemic are still here.  And yep, it's due to their actions that covid is now a permeant fixture in the world.  And they have invented all sorts of new assholery to continue being giant assholes.


COVID was well seeded throughout the world before it was even known to be a thing. It was found in multiple country's blood product supplies, viral testing swabs and waste water as early as Sept 2019, which means it was widespread then. Its deluded thinking to think that there was a window to shut it down. We've all seen how insidious it was in China, despite the huge efforts it required to lock residents down in their home time and time again when it would pop up in a community.

Can you cite your sources?  Wuhan, November of 2019 was ground zero in everything that I've read.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Omy on January 17, 2023, 05:59:25 PM
Shane, it's not cool to quote someone and delete an entire paragraph of their post to completely change their tone and intent.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 17, 2023, 06:07:25 PM
For Covid itself, I am hoping it continues its trend of being less nasty in general.  For vaccinations I am hoping for nasal sprays that prime the ACE receptors in the nose, mouth, and throat so the virus gets stopped there. 

But we also have lessons as a society to learn.  My examples are Canadian, but they apply elsewhere.

One lesson is that our present ventilation systems are crap.  We need more air changes/minute, we need filters or other treatments that kill viruses and bacteria.  It isn't a new lesson, remember Legionnaire's disease?  We just refuse to learn - or really we refuse to spend the money.

Another is that our hospitals and health systems are operating too close to capacity - when something like this comes along we just don't have the capacity.  And I am thinking personnel as much as or more than physical plant.

Another is that there are severe problems with our seniors residences and nursing homes.

Still another is that social response matters a lot.  Nova Scotia did so much better than Ontario with regard to vaccinations and testing and just general social support - so it can be done.  Yes Nova Scotia is small geographically and in population but a larger more populated province like Ontario has proportionally more resources.

Still another is that a lot of low paid jobs are essential jobs (I am thinking of all the grocery store workers as a prime example) - how we pay people as a social value is out of whack. 

People who look at social policy should be examining the last few years to see how anti-social as a social species we have become.


The thing is, we seem as a species to be good at helping each other in emergencies - look at Gander during/after 9/11, and people in Quebec and eastern Ontario during the Ice Storm (1998).  We don't always seem to be good at shifting the social boat as a longer response to longer-term problems.  It can be done - look at the Montreal Protocol re ozone-damaging chemicals.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Daley on January 17, 2023, 07:04:12 PM
So, you guys think wishing horrible things, and even death, on strangers you disagree with on the details of how we will all come to terms with, "living with covid," and, eventually, "getting back to normal?"
It seems like we should be able to choose to do that, without getting dragged by a bunch of people wishing for my death and calling me a selfish asshole, because we're not passing their covid purity test.
It kind of bewilders me, though, how some people in this thread feel totally justified in wishing for my death and other horrible things to happen to me, all because I am "living with covid" and "getting back to normal" sooner than they feel comfortable doing themselves.

Just shut up already with this fictional martyr bullshit. Nobody told you that. Not me, not others who responded positively to what I typed.

You swing around accusations of strawman arguments and evidence of your own self-righteous suffering to justify your actions, your behaviors, and your reasoning while you spew out nothing but half-baked nonsense, playing the "oh innocent me" card and smearing my name to anyone who'll listen because you couldn't actually address it on its own merits.

Meanwhile on your self-righteous tirade spanning hours in this thread, YOU ADMIT TO LITERALLY ABANDONING YOUR OWN MOTHER FOR FOUR YEARS and continue to use the pandemic as an excuse to continue doing so despite demonstrating and exercising the knowledge and resources necessary to be able to safely visit her at any point in the past, while you go around needlessly traveling and doing high risk activities and taking literal unnecessary risks for exposure for a whole lot longer than most sane people have. Because you're vaccinated! You're tired of not having fun anymore! You miss being social! After all, as long as you get to go back to normal, right?

Momma's life is too precious to risk going to visit her for four years under any circumstance, and you'll talk a big game about all that lost time, but apparently it's not precious enough to actually do what you know is necessary to have safely been able to visit the woman multiple times already throughout this fucking nightmare... but that's okay! As long as you get to still go out and eat and drink and watch movies and globe hop and pretend that COVID's no big deal anymore right now, right? After all, you got plans to finally go see her again sometime later this year.

I didn't wish any ill will on you before, and I still don't. I won't even disagree with the fact that the anger that has built inside me at the hands of callous people like yourself through this mess isn't healthy, and yes, I know I need some therapy about all this because I've seen some shit at this point that I wouldn't wish on anyone else. But what I said before still stands. Grow up. You need to call your mother and apologize to her for how you've acted and what you've done. Your family deserves better than this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on January 17, 2023, 07:20:23 PM
Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories.

You lost me here. Talking on planes should be outlawed.

I would like to see people simply practice continued social distancing in simple places like stores. Especially when the place is empty. Stay the hell away from me. I wanted that before COVID. My desired personal space was about four feet, and adding a few more in mid 2020 was delightful.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 07:38:51 PM
Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories.

You lost me here. Talking on planes should be outlawed.

I would like to see people simply practice continued social distancing in simple places like stores. Especially when the place is empty. Stay the hell away from me. I wanted that before COVID. My desired personal space was about four feet, and adding a few more in mid 2020 was delightful.
Will definitely keep your advice in mind, ATtiny85. If I see you wearing an n-95 in a store, attempting to social distance, I'll be sure to give you a wide berth. Good luck!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: fuzzy math on January 17, 2023, 07:39:27 PM
This is a tricky issue.

We had a window to control Covid, and that window has long past.  It's going to be floating around forever.  It no longer seems like it's going to be possible for even the most careful person to avoid catching it (probably multiple times).


The same assholes who refuse to vaccinate and had to travel the world during the pandemic are still here.  And yep, it's due to their actions that covid is now a permeant fixture in the world.  And they have invented all sorts of new assholery to continue being giant assholes.


COVID was well seeded throughout the world before it was even known to be a thing. It was found in multiple country's blood product supplies, viral testing swabs and waste water as early as Sept 2019, which means it was widespread then. Its deluded thinking to think that there was a window to shut it down. We've all seen how insidious it was in China, despite the huge efforts it required to lock residents down in their home time and time again when it would pop up in a community.

Can you cite your sources?  Wuhan, November of 2019 was ground zero in everything that I've read.

Google can cite my sources, as well as help you with them

https://www.ormanager.com/briefs/covid-19-antibodiesfound-in-blood-donated-by-americans-in-december-2019/

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0300891620974755

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-spain-science/coronavirus-traces-found-in-march-2019-sewage-sample-spanish-study-shows-idUSKBN23X2HQ

https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-italy-sewage/italy-sewage-study-suggests-covid-19-was-there-in-december-2019-idINL1N2DV2XE

Can't currently find the "retesting of old swabs" study
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 07:45:41 PM
So… wearing a mask and taking a few reasonable precautions from time to time is “continuing to live that way”?

The horror…
You're more than welcome to take any "reasonable precautions" you like, Kris. Nobody's stopping you.

Back around the beginning of the pandemic, when they were still trying to do contact tracing, I remember reading about a scientific study that found that the most likely place people got infected with covid was - not supermarkets, not on public transit - but *in their own homes, from people they lived with*. Given that fact, maybe, "reasonable precautions" should be for people to either live alone, or to mask up, whenever family members or roommates are in their home with them. Anybody not willing to wear an n-95 mask in their own home, at least whenever kids or spouses are around, is a complete "selfish asshole," right?

Nobody's telling you how to live your life. You're free to mask, test, distance, or whatever other precautions you want to take. Why the strong desire to push your way of life on the rest of us? Like I said above, if you had a plausible plan you could explain to us that if we continued doing x,y,z social distancing practices, for x months, years, or whatever, we could hope for some tangible change in our situation regarding covid, I would be all ears. As it is, though, it seems like you're just proposing that we should all avoid crowds? concerts? movies? crowded cafes? restaurants? and bars? And for how long? Forever, right? No, thank you. You're welcome to do that. It won't bother me, at all. But please don't try to shove your way of life down my and my family's throats.

Yeah. But how did the virus get into the homes in the first place?

This is an example of statistics leasing people to a false conclusion.

Most of the rest of what you posted is hyperbole, with a few strawmen tossed in.
Generally, the virus gets into the homes in the first place by either adults catching it at work or kids catching it at school - both places where people spend hours and hours together, often in tight spaces, with poor ventilation. Kids need to go to school and most adults need to go to work, so, not much we can do, other than just get used to the fact that covid is going to be with us for the rest of our lives.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 17, 2023, 07:52:46 PM
Thank you, Samuel. My family and I spent over two years not doing many of the things we love, not because we were particularly afraid of catching covid ourselves, but mostly because we wanted to protect other, more vulnerable, people in our community. We purposely haven't visited my almost 80 year old mother for going on 4 years now, because we haven't felt comfortable with the risk that we might possibly infect her with anything. We've got plans to visit my mom later this year, but those 4 years we missed out on are never coming back. My daughter missed out on 4 years of seeing her grandmother, in person, and my mom missed out on seeing her granddaughter grow from being a little girl into a young woman. Nobody's going to be able to convince me that that was just "a minor inconvenience." My mom, me, my wife, and our daughter are all fully vaccinated and boosted against covid, so we're going to meet up, in person, in 2023, maybe even ride in a car together and sit together in a restaurant, without masks on. It seems like we should be able to choose to do that, without getting dragged by a bunch of people wishing for my death and calling me a selfish asshole, because we're not passing their covid purity test.

Daley may not have phrased it gently, but she is right that you could have fairly safely visited your mom at any time by taking precautions.  I've got a friend that goes out and socializes frequently except the two weeks prior to seeing her immune-compromised parent.  Then they do zoom drinks and cancel anything unnecessary (e.g. kids still need to go to school but they'll wear KN95s there).  Just as it's our choice to continue masking, limit large group gatherings unless masked, etc., it's also your choice to indulge in higher risk activities that increase the chances you'd infect her with something. If you need to fly, wear a good fitting N-95 on the plane and at the airport. Take a test. etc.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 07:57:07 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

I totally support your right to live your life exactly as you are. We've also changed for the better, I think, in that, since Covid started, we are much more careful about spreading any kind of virus to other people, especially if they're older or have compromised immune systems. If any of us are sick, even if it's just a cold, we don't go to any enclosed places, where we might infect anyone else. That seems like a positive change that's come about, because of the pandemic.

For some people, I guess, it's no loss to wear an n95 mask on plane flights. In my family, we've taken dozens of flights over the past 15 years, and I can't remember our ever getting sick after flying. Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories. All three of us were fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. After like two years of trying as hard as possible to stay away from other humans, it felt REALLY good to be vaccinated, and so, be able to make social connections again.

I get it that many other people are in very different positions from us healthwise, and totally respect their rights to continue living more cautiously. My family and I are up to date on our covid booster shots. If one of the pharmaceutical companies comes out with a new covid booster vaccine, sometime next spring, like we've heard, we'll be the first ones in line to get them, not so much to protect ourselves, but mostly to help protect other, more vulnerable, people. We don't want to give our elderly relatives and friends covid, or anything else, for that matter.

I hesitate to quibble here, but....I do just want to point out that you can do 3 of those things (really, 3.5 of them, but I get it that the mouth is more important than, let's say, the forehead) with a mask on. 

I've had a couple of times recently where for some reason I was trying to remember if someone I had just finished conversing with and departed company from was wearing a mask or not.  And I couldn't remember.  I had had substantive conversations, one good, one just neutral, for quite a few minutes, and afterward I could not for the life of me picture whether or not they had been wearing a mask.  Maybe not a surprise, I also couldn't picture what they were wearing and in the case of the person I didn't know well, their hair and other physical description didn't stick with me long.  But you see my point?  I don't think I'm unique in this way, that you can make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask.  Especially if you don't a priori believe that you can't.
Agree with you that it's possible to "make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask." In the case of strangers I meet on a plane, though, I'm a lot less likely to engage in a long conversation with someone I don't know, who is sitting next to me on a plane wearing an n-95 mask. To me, the mask signifies that the person is attempting to socially distance and, therefore, might not appreciate being excessively talked to by a stranger. In the case of someone I know well, though, like a family member or close friend, I agree that a mask wouldn't necessarily present any insurmountable challenges to communication. Again, I totally support people who want to wear masks, wearing masks in any place they like. I have no desire to shame or criticize anyone who is still choosing to wear masks, and I expect the same consideration in return.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 17, 2023, 08:03:16 PM
Thank you, Samuel. My family and I spent over two years not doing many of the things we love, not because we were particularly afraid of catching covid ourselves, but mostly because we wanted to protect other, more vulnerable, people in our community. We purposely haven't visited my almost 80 year old mother for going on 4 years now, because we haven't felt comfortable with the risk that we might possibly infect her with anything. We've got plans to visit my mom later this year, but those 4 years we missed out on are never coming back. My daughter missed out on 4 years of seeing her grandmother, in person, and my mom missed out on seeing her granddaughter grow from being a little girl into a young woman. Nobody's going to be able to convince me that that was just "a minor inconvenience." My mom, me, my wife, and our daughter are all fully vaccinated and boosted against covid, so we're going to meet up, in person, in 2023, maybe even ride in a car together and sit together in a restaurant, without masks on. It seems like we should be able to choose to do that, without getting dragged by a bunch of people wishing for my death and calling me a selfish asshole, because we're not passing their covid purity test.

Daley may not have phrased it gently, but she is right that you could have fairly safely visited your mom at any time by taking precautions.  I've got a friend that goes out and socializes frequently except the two weeks prior to seeing her immune-compromised parent.  Then they do zoom drinks and cancel anything unnecessary (e.g. kids still need to go to school but they'll wear KN95s there).  Just as it's our choice to continue masking, limit large group gatherings unless masked, etc., it's also your choice to indulge in higher risk activities that increase the chances you'd infect her with something. If you need to fly, wear a good fitting N-95 on the plane and at the airport. Take a test. etc.
Totally agree with you we *could've* visited my mom safely. We offered, again and again, to either buy my mom a plane ticket to come see us and/or we would've flown to see her. It's been my mother's choice to not have any visits. She literally only leaves her apartment once a week, at 5am on Monday morning, to go shopping at her local supermarket that's just a few blocks from her house. For the rest of the week, she sits in her apartment, because she's too afraid to go outside, because she might catch covid...or monkey pox...or ebola...or whatever other disease du jour the media is scaring people about.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 17, 2023, 08:14:40 PM
Generally, the virus gets into the homes in the first place by either adults catching it at work or kids catching it at school - both places where people spend hours and hours together, often in tight spaces, with poor ventilation. Kids need to go to school and most adults need to go to work, so, not much we can do, other than just get used to the fact that covid is going to be with us for the rest of our lives.


The most obvious thing we can do (well not us personally) is improve ventilation.  We know how air moves in rooms.  We know there are ways to kill viruses and bacteria as air passes through the HVAC system.  We just don't want to change the rules to force building owners including school boards) to improve their air quality.

Air changes are easy to measure for adequacy - just measure CO.  Too high CO means too few air changes for the number of people in the room.

Seriously, if I am downwind of someone with a respiratory disease my odds are much higher of catching it than if I am upwind of that person.  Outside is generally safer unless you are in a crowd, because there is just so much more volume of air to dilute the virus. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sui generis on January 17, 2023, 09:31:26 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

I totally support your right to live your life exactly as you are. We've also changed for the better, I think, in that, since Covid started, we are much more careful about spreading any kind of virus to other people, especially if they're older or have compromised immune systems. If any of us are sick, even if it's just a cold, we don't go to any enclosed places, where we might infect anyone else. That seems like a positive change that's come about, because of the pandemic.

For some people, I guess, it's no loss to wear an n95 mask on plane flights. In my family, we've taken dozens of flights over the past 15 years, and I can't remember our ever getting sick after flying. Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories. All three of us were fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. After like two years of trying as hard as possible to stay away from other humans, it felt REALLY good to be vaccinated, and so, be able to make social connections again.

I get it that many other people are in very different positions from us healthwise, and totally respect their rights to continue living more cautiously. My family and I are up to date on our covid booster shots. If one of the pharmaceutical companies comes out with a new covid booster vaccine, sometime next spring, like we've heard, we'll be the first ones in line to get them, not so much to protect ourselves, but mostly to help protect other, more vulnerable, people. We don't want to give our elderly relatives and friends covid, or anything else, for that matter.

I hesitate to quibble here, but....I do just want to point out that you can do 3 of those things (really, 3.5 of them, but I get it that the mouth is more important than, let's say, the forehead) with a mask on. 

I've had a couple of times recently where for some reason I was trying to remember if someone I had just finished conversing with and departed company from was wearing a mask or not.  And I couldn't remember.  I had had substantive conversations, one good, one just neutral, for quite a few minutes, and afterward I could not for the life of me picture whether or not they had been wearing a mask.  Maybe not a surprise, I also couldn't picture what they were wearing and in the case of the person I didn't know well, their hair and other physical description didn't stick with me long.  But you see my point?  I don't think I'm unique in this way, that you can make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask.  Especially if you don't a priori believe that you can't.
Agree with you that it's possible to "make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask." In the case of strangers I meet on a plane, though, I'm a lot less likely to engage in a long conversation with someone I don't know, who is sitting next to me on a plane wearing an n-95 mask. To me, the mask signifies that the person is attempting to socially distance and, therefore, might not appreciate being excessively talked to by a stranger. In the case of someone I know well, though, like a family member or close friend, I agree that a mask wouldn't necessarily present any insurmountable challenges to communication. Again, I totally support people who want to wear masks, wearing masks in any place they like. I have no desire to shame or criticize anyone who is still choosing to wear masks, and I expect the same consideration in return.

But those aren't equivalent actions, so to expect equivalent treatment is unfair.  For someone to choose to wear a mask - they are making a choice that only impacts themselves or, to the extent it impacts others, it is only positive (never dangerous).  Your choice is not the same.  You are making a choice that can be dangerous to others.  Why do you think you shouldn't be criticized for that choice?

Disclaimer that I choose not to wear a mask at some times that certainly some people could accuse me of the same and I know some people would criticize.  I think I'm making fairly balanced choices that keep risk low in a world where you can never eliminate it, so I may still continue my behavior, but I also would not say that people should not be able to criticize my choice of behaviors.  I think it's odd that you think dangerous choices should be able to escape criticism the same way non-dangerous choices do. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: patchyfacialhair on January 17, 2023, 10:12:08 PM
What an interesting thread.

My wife found out she was pregnant in late February 2020. We became hermits once March rolled around. No family gatherings. No restaurants, no non-essential trips outside the house. Definitely no playgrounds for my almost 3 year old at the time. Her parents thought we were crazy (they are Trumpers, to paint a picture). My parents were also very cautious, and basically mirrored our behavior.

Fast forward to end-of-summer 2020, and we basically said "screw it." Why? Our kid who was sociable, brave, talkative, and just an absolute sweetheart started getting weird. Spending 6 months locked in the house with no outdoor play with other kids did her no favors. At that point, we figured, lots of other people were living their lives, what were we afraid of? By then the stats were clear that it mostly impacted older, fatter folks with health issues, so we figured we'd take our chances at that point. In January 2020, we had enrolled our kid in preschool for the Fall of 2020, and we decided to follow through with letting her go to school. My wife was late in her pregnancy at that point with our 2nd, but to us, our kid's development was worth taking the chance. It was the best decision for us. Our kid has continued to love school through the years (we have sent her to private schools that remained open), and our 2nd kid has been a blessing as well.

Basically we've been business as usual since the Fall of 2020. I even went to a 50k attendance rock concert last summer. Was a blast. We've caught COVID a couple times, a flu or two, and RSV this last fall. None of that is fun. But at this point I feel pretty strongly that if you want to live a cautious life, do that. But if you want to go buck wild, do that too.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 18, 2023, 04:04:59 AM
Generally, the virus gets into the homes in the first place by either adults catching it at work or kids catching it at school - both places where people spend hours and hours together, often in tight spaces, with poor ventilation. Kids need to go to school and most adults need to go to work, so, not much we can do, other than just get used to the fact that covid is going to be with us for the rest of our lives.


The most obvious thing we can do (well not us personally) is improve ventilation.  We know how air moves in rooms.  We know there are ways to kill viruses and bacteria as air passes through the HVAC system.  We just don't want to change the rules to force building owners including school boards) to improve their air quality.

Air changes are easy to measure for adequacy - just measure CO.  Too high CO means too few air changes for the number of people in the room.

Seriously, if I am downwind of someone with a respiratory disease my odds are much higher of catching it than if I am upwind of that person.  Outside is generally safer unless you are in a crowd, because there is just so much more volume of air to dilute the virus.
Agree with you that improvements in building HVAC systems can possibly help to reduce the spread of all diseases. I guess I was more talking about individual solutions. One thing we did, during the pandemic, was enroll our daughter in fully online school for over two years, which is the main reason our family was able to go for over two years, without catching covid, finally, last month.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Shane on January 18, 2023, 04:23:21 AM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

Well, you have to define social distancing - it's a spectrum.  Also, do you mean do we mean to social distance for the rest of our lives?  Or are you including masking and testing?

Because things that COVID taught me, which are good things:
- There's literally no reason to go to work sick.  I can work at home.  Seriously, nobody wants you at work sick.  Cold, flu, COVID, whatever.

- I will wear a mask on a plane FOREVER.  When I think of the number of years I picked up an illness on planes over the holidays, because some dude was coughing behind me (come to think of it, I got COVID while waiting to board a plane when I dude basically coughed and talked loudly in my face.  I was masked, he was not, and we learned ON THE PLANE that he'd "just had COVID".)

- If I have to be out and about shopping, or whatever, when I have a cold, I'm totally wearing a mask.  Ditto in crowded spaces.

- Socializing.  Most of my socializing is done outdoors anyway (running friends, park potlucks).

- My group of friends and family have learned from COVID to ... not send their kids to someone else's house if they are sick.  Likewise, when I go visit family (particularly the immuno compromised), I make sure to have COVID tests with me and masks.  If we get sick and test positive, it's off to quarantine in a hotel.  Our parents are in their 80s, so duh.

- I recently attended some holiday dinners and parties indoors ... it was before RSV, COVID, and flu really took hold locally.  The sick people did not go!  My DH had a cold, and he stayed home.  Ditto for the wife of a friend (she had COVID, he was long over it).

I totally support your right to live your life exactly as you are. We've also changed for the better, I think, in that, since Covid started, we are much more careful about spreading any kind of virus to other people, especially if they're older or have compromised immune systems. If any of us are sick, even if it's just a cold, we don't go to any enclosed places, where we might infect anyone else. That seems like a positive change that's come about, because of the pandemic.

For some people, I guess, it's no loss to wear an n95 mask on plane flights. In my family, we've taken dozens of flights over the past 15 years, and I can't remember our ever getting sick after flying. Last summer, on a flight from Philadelphia to Orlando, my wife and daughter got to sit together, but I ended up in the middle seat, between two older ladies I didn't know. I'm 56, and my two seatmates were probably in their 60s. None of us wore masks, so we were able to see each other's faces, smile, laugh, tell stories. All three of us were fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. After like two years of trying as hard as possible to stay away from other humans, it felt REALLY good to be vaccinated, and so, be able to make social connections again.

I get it that many other people are in very different positions from us healthwise, and totally respect their rights to continue living more cautiously. My family and I are up to date on our covid booster shots. If one of the pharmaceutical companies comes out with a new covid booster vaccine, sometime next spring, like we've heard, we'll be the first ones in line to get them, not so much to protect ourselves, but mostly to help protect other, more vulnerable, people. We don't want to give our elderly relatives and friends covid, or anything else, for that matter.

I hesitate to quibble here, but....I do just want to point out that you can do 3 of those things (really, 3.5 of them, but I get it that the mouth is more important than, let's say, the forehead) with a mask on. 

I've had a couple of times recently where for some reason I was trying to remember if someone I had just finished conversing with and departed company from was wearing a mask or not.  And I couldn't remember.  I had had substantive conversations, one good, one just neutral, for quite a few minutes, and afterward I could not for the life of me picture whether or not they had been wearing a mask.  Maybe not a surprise, I also couldn't picture what they were wearing and in the case of the person I didn't know well, their hair and other physical description didn't stick with me long.  But you see my point?  I don't think I'm unique in this way, that you can make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask.  Especially if you don't a priori believe that you can't.
Agree with you that it's possible to "make strong and effective connections with people even if they are wearing a mask." In the case of strangers I meet on a plane, though, I'm a lot less likely to engage in a long conversation with someone I don't know, who is sitting next to me on a plane wearing an n-95 mask. To me, the mask signifies that the person is attempting to socially distance and, therefore, might not appreciate being excessively talked to by a stranger. In the case of someone I know well, though, like a family member or close friend, I agree that a mask wouldn't necessarily present any insurmountable challenges to communication. Again, I totally support people who want to wear masks, wearing masks in any place they like. I have no desire to shame or criticize anyone who is still choosing to wear masks, and I expect the same consideration in return.

But those aren't equivalent actions, so to expect equivalent treatment is unfair.  For someone to choose to wear a mask - they are making a choice that only impacts themselves or, to the extent it impacts others, it is only positive (never dangerous).  Your choice is not the same.  You are making a choice that can be dangerous to others.  Why do you think you shouldn't be criticized for that choice?

Disclaimer that I choose not to wear a mask at some times that certainly some people could accuse me of the same and I know some people would criticize.  I think I'm making fairly balanced choices that keep risk low in a world where you can never eliminate it, so I may still continue my behavior, but I also would not say that people should not be able to criticize my choice of behaviors.  I think it's odd that you think dangerous choices should be able to escape criticism the same way non-dangerous choices do.
Personally, I think the whole social distancing thing has been REALLY bad for our country and for humans in general. Wearing masks and isolating ourselves was totally necessary at the beginning of the pandemic, up until effective vaccines were developed and distributed to everyone who wanted them, by around the summer of 2021. Even before covid, loneliness, anger, hatred, fear of others, was off the charts in the US. Now, it's worse. My daughter still has two classmates in her 8th grade class whom, she tells me, she wouldn't recognize if she saw them walking down the street, because she has NEVER SEEN THEIR FACES, after sitting in class with them for over half a school year already. A brother who lives in Norway visited us in the fall of 2021, and he was really surprised to see people in the US walking around outside wearing masks. He told us that the Norwegian equivalent of the CDC had announced, shortly before his trip to the US in October, that "The pandemic was over, and all restrictions, mandates, recommendations were finished. Everyone is free to go back to living their lives as they like." This idea that some Americans seem to be clinging to, that anyone returning to living a normal life is, somehow, immoral or bad, seems really unhealthy to me. People who want to continue isolating should be totally free to do anything they like to reduce their chances of getting sick. Judging others, who have completely different risk profiles, for how they're choosing to live their lives needs to stop already, imho.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 18, 2023, 05:05:14 AM
What an interesting thread.

My wife found out she was pregnant in late February 2020. We became hermits once March rolled around. No family gatherings. No restaurants, no non-essential trips outside the house. Definitely no playgrounds for my almost 3 year old at the time. Her parents thought we were crazy (they are Trumpers, to paint a picture). My parents were also very cautious, and basically mirrored our behavior.

Fast forward to end-of-summer 2020, and we basically said "screw it." Why? Our kid who was sociable, brave, talkative, and just an absolute sweetheart started getting weird. Spending 6 months locked in the house with no outdoor play with other kids did her no favors. At that point, we figured, lots of other people were living their lives, what were we afraid of? By then the stats were clear that it mostly impacted older, fatter folks with health issues, so we figured we'd take our chances at that point. In January 2020, we had enrolled our kid in preschool for the Fall of 2020, and we decided to follow through with letting her go to school. My wife was late in her pregnancy at that point with our 2nd, but to us, our kid's development was worth taking the chance. It was the best decision for us. Our kid has continued to love school through the years (we have sent her to private schools that remained open), and our 2nd kid has been a blessing as well.

Basically we've been business as usual since the Fall of 2020. I even went to a 50k attendance rock concert last summer. Was a blast. We've caught COVID a couple times, a flu or two, and RSV this last fall. None of that is fun. But at this point I feel pretty strongly that if you want to live a cautious life, do that. But if you want to go buck wild, do that too.
This is similar to our experience. We felt we HAD to make difficult choices for our kids. Had we not had children we might have stayed in our bubble longer.
I no longer subscribe to the opinion that I have to wear a mask to protect others. I think last year maybe? There was data that came out that said one person wearing an N95 protected them enough. I’ll have to see if I can find that. So we as a family don’t feel a need to mask for ourselves, but will if others want us to in a situation.
For me the mask is a difficulty to communication and connection. I have some hearing loss and the muffled sound is harder to hear and I need to see people’s lips to help me understand. So while I completely support your right to mask and think some people definitely should, I likely won’t be able to hear you well.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 18, 2023, 07:59:00 AM
This is a tricky issue.

We had a window to control Covid, and that window has long past.  It's going to be floating around forever.  It no longer seems like it's going to be possible for even the most careful person to avoid catching it (probably multiple times).


The same assholes who refuse to vaccinate and had to travel the world during the pandemic are still here.  And yep, it's due to their actions that covid is now a permeant fixture in the world.  And they have invented all sorts of new assholery to continue being giant assholes.


COVID was well seeded throughout the world before it was even known to be a thing. It was found in multiple country's blood product supplies, viral testing swabs and waste water as early as Sept 2019, which means it was widespread then. Its deluded thinking to think that there was a window to shut it down. We've all seen how insidious it was in China, despite the huge efforts it required to lock residents down in their home time and time again when it would pop up in a community.

Can you cite your sources?  Wuhan, November of 2019 was ground zero in everything that I've read.

Google can cite my sources, as well as help you with them

https://www.ormanager.com/briefs/covid-19-antibodiesfound-in-blood-donated-by-americans-in-december-2019/

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0300891620974755

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-spain-science/coronavirus-traces-found-in-march-2019-sewage-sample-spanish-study-shows-idUSKBN23X2HQ

https://www.reuters.com/article/health-coronavirus-italy-sewage/italy-sewage-study-suggests-covid-19-was-there-in-december-2019-idINL1N2DV2XE

Can't currently find the "retesting of old swabs" study

Thanks, I'll check those out (although the first link is dead).


There's also a helpful summary of alternate origin theories that the Chinese embassy in Germany has collected:  http://de.china-embassy.gov.cn/det/zt/BekaempfungCOVID19/202108/t20210807_9046031.htm (http://de.china-embassy.gov.cn/det/zt/BekaempfungCOVID19/202108/t20210807_9046031.htm)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 18, 2023, 10:41:51 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I don't get any say in the matter anymore, exactly because of the a-holes in this world who refused to mask or vaccinate in the first place, and are continuing to do without because, "lol, COVID's here to stay! why's it fucking matter you whiny snowflake!?" COVID didn't have to be a forever thing. SARS outbreaks had been contained and stopped before. Traditions of masking in Asian countries have shown dramatic reductions in air-borne illness transmissions, especially with COVID. Herd immunity with vaccinations have been proven to work if you get enough people on board. We nearly eradicated polio, smallpox, measles...

Well, you got your fucking precious personal freedom, and you've robbed me and millions of others of their own capacity to socialize and live even remotely normal lives again... and that's just those of us who survived getting sick with it. It's been twenty-two days for me, and still counting, on recovery. It has been the sickest I've been in my life, and that's saying something given my medical history...

FUCK YOU. I HOPE YOUR LIFE IS AS PAINFUL, LONELY, AND MISERABLE AS THE DEATH I WISH UPON YOU.

Wow, sorry you're so hateful and angry Daley. It must really suck to go through life with all of that anger and bitterness inside of you. Feel free to lash out at me - an internet stranger - as much as you like if it makes you feel any better. Seems like seeking out a qualified mental health practitioner to talk with might be better though.

It seems like you're mostly arguing against a straw man. My family and I are all fully vaccinated and boosted against Covid-19. If new variant specific covid vaccines become available in the spring, as we've heard they might, we'll be the first ones in line to get boosted again.

Last month, family and I caught covid on a trip to NYC. I first started to show symptoms of a runny nose, as we were already on the train headed towards home. As soon as we realized we had covid, family and I isolated ourselves at home, just eating food from the bottom of our freezer and out of the pantry. We just didn't go outside of our house for a full week. Then, for another week, at least, we went for walks to exercise outside, but didn't go inside any stores or restaurants. I got the most sick, which was kind of a moderate cold. My wife had a real mild cold, and our daughter only had the sniffles for a couple of days. We didn't go around any other people, until all of our symptoms were gone, and we were well past the 5-10 days currently recommended by the CDC.

In a thread titled, "Where do you stand on 'living with Covid', 'getting back to normal'" I asked what seemed to me to be a reasonable question:

For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

If you told me your plan was you wanted everyone to social distance, test, do contact tracing, or whatever, for a specific amount of time and, then, there was some achievable goal that you were hoping to reach that would make things somehow better, I would be totally onboard with doing whatever the experts told us would possibly work to eradicate covid or at least make it less virulent or less deadly or whatever. But, if your plan is that everyone in the whole world, whether we're immunocompromised, old, young, whatever, we all should never go to a concert again, or don't go to football games where you're in a huge stadium with 50K+ other people, or don't go to tiny indie cinemas to see cool films, don't drink coffee in crowded cafes, don't go to indoor parties in the winter, FOREVER! FOR THE REST OF OUR LIVES! and if any of us are not all, immediately, on board with your plans, then, you think wishing for my death and calling me names is a reasonable way to have a conversation? Really?:

Thank you for saying this.  I'm so tired of selfish assholes.

Thumbs WAY up on this response. 

One thing I will add, if I may, is much of this would never have happened if the orange "politician who shall not be named" and his team would not have turned the covid vax into a political football.  It was a damned shame.  I can elaborate further all day...but I think I will leave it at that.

This x1000. Thank you for saying what so many of us have kept bottled up inside for so long.

So, you guys think wishing horrible things, and even death, on strangers you disagree with on the details of how we will all come to terms with, "living with covid," and, eventually, "getting back to normal?" You think that's a totally normal, healthy way to have a discussion? Man, it must really suck to believe so strongly that you are right and just and perfect and good, and anyone who disagrees with you, even a little bit, is a horrible person, whom you feel, apparently, totally comfortable dehumanizing to the point that your "compassion" and "empathy" make you so angry you spew hateful insults and wishes of death on strangers on the internet.

It must suck to be so angry. It's an unfortunate fact that millions of people's mental health has really suffered, during the pandemic. Good luck dealing with all of that hatred and anger inside of yourselves. You're not hurting me by swearing or wishing for my death. It just seems pitiful, tbh.

I'm not angry. I'm just tired. As I stated. No need for therapy (I actually thrived during the pandemic, emotionally speaking, apart from the stress of worrying about infection).  ETA: Also, you selectively edited the original post to make it seem like Daley was wishing you death, when the inverse was the point... nice going, there.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: dandarc on January 18, 2023, 10:54:04 AM
Shane - when you edit and clip out meaningful stuff from a post, you're the piece of shit. Nobody wrote they wished death upon you, but you cut down the post to make it appear so. So, respectfully, you can go fuck yourself.

ETA: the words Shane so deliberately clipped from the original post before the all caps "to help you understand exactly what you're effectively telling people like me:"
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 18, 2023, 11:55:01 AM
Generally, the virus gets into the homes in the first place by either adults catching it at work or kids catching it at school - both places where people spend hours and hours together, often in tight spaces, with poor ventilation. Kids need to go to school and most adults need to go to work, so, not much we can do, other than just get used to the fact that covid is going to be with us for the rest of our lives.


The most obvious thing we can do (well not us personally) is improve ventilation.  We know how air moves in rooms.  We know there are ways to kill viruses and bacteria as air passes through the HVAC system.  We just don't want to change the rules to force building owners including school boards) to improve their air quality.

Air changes are easy to measure for adequacy - just measure CO.  Too high CO means too few air changes for the number of people in the room.

Seriously, if I am downwind of someone with a respiratory disease my odds are much higher of catching it than if I am upwind of that person.  Outside is generally safer unless you are in a crowd, because there is just so much more volume of air to dilute the virus.
Agree with you that improvements in building HVAC systems can possibly help to reduce the spread of all diseases. I guess I was more talking about individual solutions. One thing we did, during the pandemic, was enroll our daughter in fully online school for over two years, which is the main reason our family was able to go for over two years, without catching covid, finally, last month.

We are all doing our individual solutions.  What are our various levels of government doing to analyse what worked and what didn't?  What changes are they implementing?  If we as individual citizens don't ask them, they will happily ignore the problem.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 18, 2023, 06:07:31 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

My wife works in Peds. It's WAY worse this year than normal, and most of the Pediatricians privately say the same thing. They also mostly haven't vaccinated their own children even though publicly they have to support and recommend it or risk losing their license.
But that's not what you were saying.  You said "your kids are sick more because they weren't around other kids" during COVID.  I'm saying, specifically my kids are sick every single October and January (and often other months too...FB memories are the gift that keeps on giving).  I am well aware that there's COVID, flu, and RSV this year (as opposed to cold and flu years).  I do read the news.

As far as what your doctors and Peds do...well, I don't know where you live.  Our ped has vaxxed all his children (fully vaxxed). He wrote multiple articles in the local paper over many years encouraging the practice. The entire office went to virtual annual appts during the height of COVID, the flu shots were drive up and outdoors.  The whole "doctors not vaxxing" sadly probably has a LOT more to do with your local politics.  Our entire school district requires COVID vaccination to attend school (and all others, also).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 18, 2023, 06:20:06 PM
I would also be super interested in the data showing COVID was around earlier - as well as wondering why it took off so quickly?

Hey, our schools were closed for a year, and when it came time to go back, my 9th grader said he wanted to stay remote and I said "the fuck you are".  They were back at school (with masks), and eventually the masks came off.  Now he's a typical grumpy 11th grader who tells me nothing, is sure that *I* know nothing, and barely mentions what his friends are up to.  AKA, a typical teenager.  (As opposed to the 24/7 WFH/ remote learning, where I legit had to go on meds).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 18, 2023, 06:50:39 PM
The kids are getting sick at school because they were masked and distanced through an entire cycle of illnesses and now have minimal immune defense against it.

Masks and distancing are a net negative for most people.
Nah, man, my kids always get sick at school.  I mean, my FB memories are full of illness every October and January - COVID has nothing to do with it.  (Actually, my kids were sick October 2020 too, it was wild!  We almost never left the house!)

My wife works in Peds. It's WAY worse this year than normal, and most of the Pediatricians privately say the same thing. They also mostly haven't vaccinated their own children even though publicly they have to support and recommend it or risk losing their license.
But that's not what you were saying.  You said "your kids are sick more because they weren't around other kids" during COVID.  I'm saying, specifically my kids are sick every single October and January (and often other months too...FB memories are the gift that keeps on giving).  I am well aware that there's COVID, flu, and RSV this year (as opposed to cold and flu years).  I do read the news.

As far as what your doctors and Peds do...well, I don't know where you live.  Our ped has vaxxed all his children (fully vaxxed). He wrote multiple articles in the local paper over many years encouraging the practice. The entire office went to virtual annual appts during the height of COVID, the flu shots were drive up and outdoors.  The whole "doctors not vaxxing" sadly probably has a LOT more to do with your local politics.  Our entire school district requires COVID vaccination to attend school (and all others, also).

It's exactly what I'm saying. Yes kids get sick every year, but it's way worse this year.

Also, requiring children to get COVID vaccines to attend school is borderline criminal imo.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 18, 2023, 07:25:29 PM

It's exactly what I'm saying. Yes kids get sick every year, but it's way worse this year.


Some years are worse than others.  Strains mutate.  Strains whose mutations let them be more transmissible are more noticeable, and if they cause worse symptoms they are more noticeable.

Remember the 2009 H1N1 flu?  It was bad and there was no other pandemic potentially affecting immune response.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 18, 2023, 09:28:36 PM
Ignore my previous post - I just read an interview with an epidemiologist from the University of Toronto.  What seems to be happening is not that children have not been exposed to pathogens over the last few years and that has weakened their immune systems.  What is surfacing is that the children who get really sick are those who previously had Covid - Covid is known to damage T cells, and these kids have weaker immune systems now.

Extrapolating, this implies that people who have had Covid should be taking more precautions against infections from RSV and the flu and colds, not fewer - because anyone who has had Covid may have had damage done to their T cells.

This is not new - think AIDS.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Omy on January 18, 2023, 10:11:38 PM
Really interesting (assuming this was the link you referred to RetireAt63):

https://torontolife.com/city/i-was-appalled-to-see-the-prime-minister-making-those-comments-a-u-of-t-epidemiologist-on-the-myth-of-immunity-debt-and-the-real-reason-everyones-getting-sick
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 19, 2023, 05:57:52 AM
Ignore my previous post - I just read an interview with an epidemiologist from the University of Toronto.  What seems to be happening is not that children have not been exposed to pathogens over the last few years and that has weakened their immune systems.  What is surfacing is that the children who get really sick are those who previously had Covid - Covid is known to damage T cells, and these kids have weaker immune systems now.

Extrapolating, this implies that people who have had Covid should be taking more precautions against infections from RSV and the flu and colds, not fewer - because anyone who has had Covid may have had damage done to their T cells.

This is not new - think AIDS.

This has been our anecdotal experience.

One of my colleagues has a child that has been in daycare since they reopened late 2020, the kid was a toddler so they were never masked. The little boy caught covid spring of 2022 and has caught EVERYTHING since then. They had to take him to the hospital for oxygen twice during the fall because RSV and then a cold just wrecked him.

We've seen the difference in our own house as well. Interestingly my kids' classrooms were almost set up like experiments last year. I offered to buy their classrooms nice air purifiers. Daughter's teacher was very covid careful and even made his own Corsi-Rosenthal box (and welcomed an additional air purifier). Son's teacher said she wasn't interested and COVID was "over." Guess which child caught covid? StarBoy ran fevers for two weeks straight and then for a day or two a week for two months thereafter. It was rough! He missed like 18 days of school and we had to have a truancy hearing.

Now I have one kid that had covid and one who didn't. Covid kid seemed to catch every summer cold, daughter never ran a fever - they were in the same summer camp and group so were exposed to all the same bugs.

Daughter brought home flu in December. She ran a low fever for 48 hours and was back at school. Son missed 6 days of school and ran high fevers for 8 days and has now developed a tic

Sure it is just anecdotes- but it has definitely been our experience.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on January 19, 2023, 08:48:29 AM
JFC, "they" will blame anything on Covid won't they. How convenient is that?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on January 19, 2023, 09:25:54 AM
JFC, "they" will blame anything on Covid won't they. How convenient is that?

Actually, "they" will say that our immune systems have gotten weak after two years of coddling behind masks and under lockdowns, with no evidence other than reading anecdotes through their own confirmation bias lenses.

Epidemiologists, on the other hand, are doing their best to debunk that "convenient" myth.

But you know what they say: a lie can travel halfway around the world before the truth puts on its shoes.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: neo von retorch on January 19, 2023, 10:01:05 AM
A virus that attacks a lot of important parts of the body, especially the respiratory and cardiovascular system... might weaken the body against other respiratory illnesses!

That's... crazy talk. What will they think of next?!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 19, 2023, 10:10:18 AM
Really interesting (assuming this was the link you referred to RetireAt63):

https://torontolife.com/city/i-was-appalled-to-see-the-prime-minister-making-those-comments-a-u-of-t-epidemiologist-on-the-myth-of-immunity-debt-and-the-real-reason-everyones-getting-sick

Yes, this was the article.  Very thought-provoking.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 19, 2023, 10:16:19 AM
Ignore my previous post - I just read an interview with an epidemiologist from the University of Toronto.  What seems to be happening is not that children have not been exposed to pathogens over the last few years and that has weakened their immune systems.  What is surfacing is that the children who get really sick are those who previously had Covid - Covid is known to damage T cells, and these kids have weaker immune systems now.

Extrapolating, this implies that people who have had Covid should be taking more precautions against infections from RSV and the flu and colds, not fewer - because anyone who has had Covid may have had damage done to their T cells.

This is not new - think AIDS.

This has been our anecdotal experience.

One of my colleagues has a child that has been in daycare since they reopened late 2020, the kid was a toddler so they were never masked. The little boy caught covid spring of 2022 and has caught EVERYTHING since then. They had to take him to the hospital for oxygen twice during the fall because RSV and then a cold just wrecked him.

We've seen the difference in our own house as well. Interestingly my kids' classrooms were almost set up like experiments last year. I offered to buy their classrooms nice air purifiers. Daughter's teacher was very covid careful and even made his own Corsi-Rosenthal box (and welcomed an additional air purifier). Son's teacher said she wasn't interested and COVID was "over." Guess which child caught covid? StarBoy ran fevers for two weeks straight and then for a day or two a week for two months thereafter. It was rough! He missed like 18 days of school and we had to have a truancy hearing.

Now I have one kid that had covid and one who didn't. Covid kid seemed to catch every summer cold, daughter never ran a fever - they were in the same summer camp and group so were exposed to all the same bugs.

Daughter brought home flu in December. She ran a low fever for 48 hours and was back at school. Son missed 6 days of school and ran high fevers for 8 days and has now developed a tic

Sure it is just anecdotes- but it has definitely been our experience.

One data point - basically a paired experiment.  Two different ventilation systems, 2 different outcomes in who catches Covid, 2 different responses to subsequent infections.

It would be so useful if some group could collect many data points like this - schools where siblings were in different rooms with different ventilation quality, and follow the siblings to see the results.  I am guessing it would be very difficult to do, because finding those classrooms would be really difficult, I doubt they are documented. 

But it does show the value of good air filtration, eh?  I was going to say, doesn't it, but eh is so much better.     ;-)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 19, 2023, 10:26:37 AM
JFC, "they" will blame anything on Covid won't they. How convenient is that?

Seriously?  Covid is a disease that has been shown to attack the immune system, which is why most people had respiratory disease but there were also other organs attacked, and you think it won't have long-term effects?  Lots of diseases have long-term effects.  Chicken-pox can result in shingles years later and people who had mild polio cases had recurring issues decades later.  Scarlet fever was also called rheumatic fever because of the heart damage it caused, totally separate from the infectious symptoms.  Measles could cause blindness in severe cases.  Oh, and AIDS - definitely an immune system disease, which is why people were dying of rare cancers that the body has no trouble dealing with if it has a good immune system.

Really there needs to be a high school course that looks at the history of disease and health policy.  Students who go on to become politicians would benefit the most, because then they might have an inkling of understanding about why they should have decent funding to municipal water treatment plants and waste water treatment plants, and other public health measures.  Looking at you, Walkerton.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on January 19, 2023, 12:33:50 PM
Quote
Also, requiring children to get COVID vaccines to attend school is borderline criminal imo.

Meh, they require all the other vaccinations also.  That was started a few years ago (statewide), and thus a friend of mine started homeschooling her kid after 6th/ before 7th grade.

JFC, "they" will blame anything on Covid won't they. How convenient is that?

Epidemiology much?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on January 19, 2023, 01:39:04 PM

Really there needs to be a high school course that looks at the history of disease and health policy.

Critical Disease Theory, not sure it will gain traction.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Poundwise on January 19, 2023, 09:46:30 PM
Measles could cause blindness in severe cases. 

Measles encephelitis killed the 7 year old daughter of Roald Dahl (https://www.roalddahlfans.com/dahls-work/essays-and-articles/measles-a-dangerous-illness/), author of "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory".
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 20, 2023, 07:46:34 AM
Measles could cause blindness in severe cases. 

Measles encephelitis killed the 7 year old daughter of Roald Dahl (https://www.roalddahlfans.com/dahls-work/essays-and-articles/measles-a-dangerous-illness/), author of "Charlie and the Chocolate Factory".

That was rare but did happen.  The childhood diseases could be very nasty, and sometimes lethal.  With widespread immunization people have forgotten this. 

Mumps - mumps was not so bad as a child.  Mumps in adult men could cause sterility. 

German measles if a woman was in the first trimester of pregnancy could cause birth defects.  One of Agatha Christie's plots revolved around this.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 20, 2023, 08:18:59 AM
Noted ethicist Art Caplan was paralyzed by polio as a kid (he experienced a spontaneous and inexplicable  cure - told me he jumped out of his bath and ran down the hall naked when he could suddenly move his legs again).

People forget/don’t realize how bad some of these diseases were before vaccines.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 20, 2023, 09:36:05 AM
Noted ethicist Art Caplan was paralyzed by polio as a kid (he experienced a spontaneous and inexplicable  cure - told me he jumped out of his bath and ran down the hall naked when he could suddenly move his legs again).

People forget/don’t realize how bad some of these diseases were before vaccines.

Those of us of a certain age lived through a lot of this.  To younger people it is just stories. 

Unless of course it happened to a family member, then it is family history and more real. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on January 21, 2023, 08:57:11 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I'm an old lady, and I avoided crowds in flu season long before Covid came along. I plan to carry on with my life and mask indoors for the rest of my life. Really.

I'm perfectly content to take a Covid test as needed. I'd be happy if I had influenza tests in my cupboard, too.

My life *is* normal.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 21, 2023, 10:53:20 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I'm an old lady, and I avoided crowds in flu season long before Covid came along. I plan to carry on with my life and mask indoors for the rest of my life. Really.

I'm perfectly content to take a Covid test as needed. I'd be happy if I had influenza tests in my cupboard, too.

My life *is* normal.

I've been getting annual flu shots for years.  Being retired means avoiding crowded stores is easy, been doing that for years as well.  Plus I find curb-side pickup for groceries is more efficient than in-store shopping, so I will continue to do it as well.

When the nasal spray vaccines come out I will be in line as soon as I am eligible.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on January 21, 2023, 11:56:44 AM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I'm an old lady, and I avoided crowds in flu season long before Covid came along. I plan to carry on with my life and mask indoors for the rest of my life. Really.

I'm perfectly content to take a Covid test as needed. I'd be happy if I had influenza tests in my cupboard, too.

My life *is* normal.

I've been getting annual flu shots for years.  Being retired means avoiding crowded stores is easy, been doing that for years as well.  Plus I find curb-side pickupfor groceries is more efficient than in-store shopping, so I will continue to do it as well.

When the nasal spray vaccines come out I will be in line as soon as I am eligible.

And to bring it all back to mustachianism :) - I don't know about you, but I find I spend way less when I do curbside pick up. Unlike shopping instore I can check my totals before I check out and I often find myself removing a few things. It has kept my groceries at about $100 a week for a family of 4 for the last several years.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 21, 2023, 01:59:17 PM
For those of you still practicing social distancing, masking, testing, etc., how long do you propose continuing to live that way? Scientists tell us that Covid-19 is here to stay. It's not going away, ever. So, are you planning on social distancing for the rest of your lives? Really?

I'm an old lady, and I avoided crowds in flu season long before Covid came along. I plan to carry on with my life and mask indoors for the rest of my life. Really.

I'm perfectly content to take a Covid test as needed. I'd be happy if I had influenza tests in my cupboard, too.

My life *is* normal.

I've been getting annual flu shots for years.  Being retired means avoiding crowded stores is easy, been doing that for years as well.  Plus I find curb-side pickupfor groceries is more efficient than in-store shopping, so I will continue to do it as well.

When the nasal spray vaccines come out I will be in line as soon as I am eligible.

And to bring it all back to mustachianism :) - I don't know about you, but I find I spend way less when I do curbside pick up. Unlike shopping instore I can check my totals before I check out and I often find myself removing a few things. It has kept my groceries at about $100 a week for a family of 4 for the last several years.

I'm actually the opposite!    ;-)

I start my list, and as I think of things I add them.  It takes 2-3 days to finalise the list.  But that means I don't get home and think of 3 things I meant to get and forgot about.  Plus I can tweak as necessary.

I know there is an eating down the pantry thread in throw down the gauntlet but after being sick for 3 weeks twice this fall/winter, I really like having enough groceries to see me through  a few weeks.  Plus so far it has been a mild winter, but I am fully prepared to hole up here for a week of bad weather if necessary.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on January 24, 2023, 09:11:10 AM

I'm seeing a lot of posts about young kids here.  And you know, I never really thought too hard about that because our kids are "grown" ( in college now ).  Our son had to do his first year of college from home though...which wasn't optimal.  However, he did well and is thriving now that he is on campus ( he is a Junior this year ).  Our daughter graduated college during covid and then worked a year...and is now in grad school.   She is doing great as well.  If anything, the bonds she made with her small group of friends she lived with during the pandemic are very strong..and they will likely be lifelong friends.

One takeway for me is that it would have been really, really, tough getting through this with young kids...especially young kids that are developing emotionally, etc...  Thanks for the discussion!


 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on January 24, 2023, 09:31:31 AM

I'm seeing a lot of posts about young kids here.  And you know, I never really thought too hard about that because our kids are "grown" ( in college now ).  Our son had to do his first year of college from home though...which wasn't optimal.  However, he did well and is thriving now that he is on campus ( he is a Junior this year ).  Our daughter graduated college during covid and then worked a year...and is now in grad school.   She is doing great as well.  If anything, the bonds she made with her small group of friends she lived with during the pandemic are very strong..and they will likely be lifelong friends.

One takeway for me is that it would have been really, really, tough getting through this with young kids...especially young kids that are developing emotionally, etc...  Thanks for the discussion!

Thank you for acknowledging how hard this pandemic has been on parents. It’s made for some really difficult decisions and the fatigue from all of that is real!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Captain FIRE on January 24, 2023, 10:18:39 AM

I'm seeing a lot of posts about young kids here.  And you know, I never really thought too hard about that because our kids are "grown" ( in college now ).  Our son had to do his first year of college from home though...which wasn't optimal.  However, he did well and is thriving now that he is on campus ( he is a Junior this year ).  Our daughter graduated college during covid and then worked a year...and is now in grad school.   She is doing great as well.  If anything, the bonds she made with her small group of friends she lived with during the pandemic are very strong..and they will likely be lifelong friends.

One takeway for me is that it would have been really, really, tough getting through this with young kids...especially young kids that are developing emotionally, etc...  Thanks for the discussion!

Thank you for acknowledging how hard this pandemic has been on parents. It’s made for some really difficult decisions and the fatigue from all of that is real!

Yes, agreed.  Even here, it's frustrating how little people recognize the challenges of kids.  For example this post was extremely triggering for me:

Personally, I think the whole social distancing thing has been REALLY bad for our country and for humans in general. Wearing masks and isolating ourselves was totally necessary at the beginning of the pandemic, up until effective vaccines were developed and distributed to everyone who wanted them, by around the summer of 2021.

Yes, summer of 2021 adults and older kids could get vaccines, but my oldest wasn't eligible to be vaccinated until the end of winter 2022 when he turned 5, and my daughter wasn't fully vaccinated until the end of October as the under 5 vaccine didn't come out until the end of the summer. Moreover, as an under 2, she didn't even have the option of masking up to protect herself at places like daycare because it's unsafe and therefore prohibited. (An oft suggested solution by those advocating for "personal responsibility".) People are advocating for policy changes based off their experience, and completely don't even register how things have been for our youngest and most vulnerable. I didn't respond to Shane's comment immediately because I was so frustrated I was not able to put together a rationale post.

Right now, there's COVID in my daughter's classroom. She's still in a 15 mo - 2 yr 9 mo cohort, and daycare in it's infinite wisdom decided that the under 2 (who can't mask) can come to daycare after an exposure without testing until day 6. So last week there was a case, and this week there's another case due to this asinine approach. A kid can't can't mask after exposure? Test daily or they can't come until the infectious period is over. The student testing positive may not have been patient zero, so *at the very least* require an immediate test and a test day 6. (When she was under 2, we were required to keep her out, so we've been through this pain.) The school was shut down this week due too many staff sick with COVID & the stomach bug, but I doubt they'll realize they could have easily avoided it with a few modest precautions.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StashingAway on January 27, 2023, 08:39:30 AM

I'm seeing a lot of posts about young kids here.  And you know, I never really thought too hard about that because our kids are "grown" ( in college now ).  Our son had to do his first year of college from home though...which wasn't optimal.  However, he did well and is thriving now that he is on campus ( he is a Junior this year ).  Our daughter graduated college during covid and then worked a year...and is now in grad school.   She is doing great as well.  If anything, the bonds she made with her small group of friends she lived with during the pandemic are very strong..and they will likely be lifelong friends.

One takeway for me is that it would have been really, really, tough getting through this with young kids...especially young kids that are developing emotionally, etc...  Thanks for the discussion!

Thank you for acknowledging how hard this pandemic has been on parents. It’s made for some really difficult decisions and the fatigue from all of that is real!

We had our first born November before the pandemic started. In many ways we were lucky because by the time she started daycare there were established routines rather than the chaos that schools went through in 2020. And while there were many, many people in worse situations than us, it hit our family very hard psychologically. My wife and I's relationship is still recovering, as we had an incredibly fussy baby (acid reflux, think worse than collic from 2 months to 8 months). We would have benefitted greatly from being able to take her in public more, having meetups with other parents, being able to socialize ourselves... there isn't much that we could have done differently other than having a better social circle before the pandemic started, but we had just moved to a new state so that was difficult to do.

We didn't lose our jobs and we still have a house over our head, but it really highlighted in a personal way how we need social engagement and that there is a difficult to measure cost of isolation when comparing to the lives saved. My heart goes out to those who must continue to be wary of any social interaction due to being immuno compromised or just general fear/panic.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on January 29, 2023, 11:57:22 AM
Seems business-wise, we are back to normal. Our execs expect us to be physically back in the office half of the week at minimum. And business travel and large scale events are happening at increasing rates. I don't think I had Covid yet, but then DH and I tend to naturally avoid crowds. Ofc it may have passed us asymptomatically.

Just got back from a large scale1.5 weeks super-spreader corporate get-together. A very few ppl were masked up (me neither, though I tested daily, negative). If I didn't pick anything up there, I guess it's really "back to normal" here.

Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 29, 2023, 12:18:35 PM
Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Doing all that amounted to nothing of benefit for us, but best of luck to you.  :P
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 29, 2023, 12:51:26 PM
Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Doing all that amounted to nothing of benefit for us, but best of luck to you.  :P

Well if he stays truly healthy (not just asymptomatic) he won't be passing it on.

But I can't help remembering the Freedum Rally in Ottawa last February - the participants looked healthy but they were a bunch of anti-vax protesters.  Our waste-water Covid levels went up every weekend while it was happening, so it was pretty obvious there were Covid-positive people coming into Ottawa for the weekends.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 29, 2023, 04:44:46 PM
Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Doing all that amounted to nothing of benefit for us, but best of luck to you.  :P

Heh.

Same.

Should have stopped eating well/working out years ago...instead of continuing to do it like a sucka. #sarcasm
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ATtiny85 on January 29, 2023, 06:16:48 PM

Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Wait, what? You took accountability for something in your control that benefits you and you worked to improve your risk profile? That won’t be well received here, but I appreciate it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on January 29, 2023, 06:30:15 PM

Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Wait, what? You took accountability for something in your control that benefits you and you worked to improve your risk profile? That won’t be well received here, but I appreciate it.

What a silly comment. Why would this not be well received here? There's plenty of us very invested in healthy diet and regular exercise here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Abe on January 29, 2023, 07:09:44 PM
got COVID for the first time about 4 weeks ago, still slowly recovering. Mostly asthma exacerbations and fatigue. I also get this weird congestion in all my sinuses in the afternoons. It's been rough, even with vaccines + booster. Can't imagine what it'd be like for unvaccinated people with asthma.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on January 30, 2023, 07:03:51 AM
Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Doing all that amounted to nothing of benefit for us, but best of luck to you.  :P

Heh.

Same.

Should have stopped eating well/working out years ago...instead of continuing to do it like a sucka. #sarcasm

We have always aimed to live a healthy life over here too - there are many clear benefits to doing so . . . I meant 'nothing of benefit' as far as avoiding catching and passing on covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on January 30, 2023, 11:08:15 AM
Mind you, I have done my best to boost my immune-system and to minimize the attachment points for SARS-Cov-2 keeping my vit D and Zinc levels up and my weight down to ideal level, working on optimizing my metabolic health, for whatever that will be worth this year.

Doing all that amounted to nothing of benefit for us, but best of luck to you.  :P

Heh.

Same.

Should have stopped eating well/working out years ago...instead of continuing to do it like a sucka. #sarcasm

We have always aimed to live a healthy life over here too - there are many clear benefits to doing so . . . I meant 'nothing of benefit' as far as avoiding catching and passing on covid.

In a way the most dangerous people all through this pandemic have been those who have Covid with no symptoms - they don't feel sick, they don't test because they don't feel sick, and so they go out and about.  But they are still carriers.  Some will eventually show symptoms and quarantine, some will never have symptoms. 

But they are still carrying and spreading the virus.  This is why wearing a mask (preferably N95 but a good surgical mask is still helpful) helps.  Since these days most people are not wearing masks, those of us who are particularly vulnerable are stuck wearing a mask. 

Typhoid Mary was asymptomatic, and look how many people she gave typhoid to.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: PeteD01 on January 30, 2023, 02:09:50 PM
It continues to be a difficult situation with no good practical solution (not yet peer reviewed but provides a good outline of the issues at hand):



Shielding under endemic SARS-CoV-2 conditions is easier said than done: a model-based analysis

2023.01.22

This article is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed [what does this mean?]. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should not be used to guide clinical practice.


In the absence of concerted public health actions to provide options for individuals looking to reduce their risk of infection, shielding as a personal responsibility is challenging to achieve. Public health organizations have advocated for oxymoronic “individual public health measures”, but these represent an inadequate solution to the ongoing COVID-19 public health crisis. Permitting the unrestrained spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the population will inflict a heavy burden of infection and long COVID on society as a whole, which will be challenging if not impossible for individuals to opt out of in the long run.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.01.22.23284884v1.full


And here is an old post in which I tried to summarize the situation when we were about to "transition into the endemic phase" of Covid - just to provide some context:


What we are seeing right now is actually the beginning of the transition from pandemia to endemicity.
Looking at endemicity from the point of view of tolerance of a certain amount of death and suffering on the part of the general population leads directly to the perception of the severity of the threat.
With the perception of of severity of the disease decreasing, measures of risk mitigation will meet less and less acceptance. This puts vulnerable people at increasing risk. We are currently at the cusp of having highly active therapeutics generally available and these medications allow us to quickly develop strategies to avert serious infections in the immunocompromised. We will likely be able to protect the immunocompromised from serious disease in the near future, removing this large number of patients from the high risk pool leaving it comprised almost exclusively of the unvaccinated.

Ironically, the general population is about to adopt a view of Covid similar to views common on the Covid denier/no-vax side from the very beginning of the pandemic.
I cannot stress enough that the decreasing perception of illness severity on the part of the general population is in lockstep with the acceptance of bad outcomes in an identifiable subgroup, i.e. Covid deniers and the unvaxxed, effectively marginalizing them in the pursuit of return to normality.
Politically and ethically, an administration cannot simply abandon efforts to reach the vulnerable subgroup, no matter how unsympathetic the members of the group are and how ready the general population is to leave them to their own devices. Of course, extremist and populist goverments would not have a problem with that because such governments are always on the lookout for subgroups to ostracize and hurt.

And that is why I hold two apparently contradictory positions:

1. getting the vaccine is a personal choice but not getting it may require acceptance of some inconveniences in daily life

2. vaccine mandates are necessary while knowing that universal compliance is impossible to achieve.

I am certain that the current administration knows perfectly well that the bogging down of mandates in the legal system was unavoidable and that they were actually to be expected. It is also very clear that the federal mandates are achieving what could reasonably be expected to be achieved by simply starting the debate about "mandates". It is a simple case of advancing your goals just by having a debate without any expectation to win the debate.
The debate about mandates has been going on for many weeks and will keep going and here is an incomplete list of what the "mandates" are accomplishing.


The introduction of federal workforce vaccine requirements and the ongoing debate about vaccine "mandates":

1) is giving cover to employers to introduce their own requirements and inconveniences

2) is giving cover to unvaxxed individuals who may be under social pressures to not getting vaccinated or who have spouted antivaxx sentiments before and now have an excuse to get vaccinated while saving face
 
3) is leading to vaccinations in countless people who do not have strong opinions about vaccinations, i.e. fence sitters and procrastinators etc, and have not received them for a variety of reasons but needed a nudge

4) will be giving cover to the government against any accusations that they did not do everything in their power to reach high risk populations, and this is independent of the extent to which the courts and state legislatures allow the efforts to proceed.

Now about number 4. The administration is under pressure to demonstrate that it did everything possible to mitigate the pandemic impact on vulnerable and disadvantaged populations and everything possible is, in a liberal democracy, what is allowed under the law and the constitution and the courts are the place where the limits of executive power are established. I would be the first to accuse the government of abandonment if they did not test the limits in the federal court system. Obviously, after all efforts regarding mandates have been exhausted and nothing more can be done, the stage is set for abandonment of the remaining vaccine resistant populations to their own devices and alignment with the general public sentiment which is trending strongly towards perception of Covid as not much worse than the flu; which happens to be close to the truth for fully immunized people.
Luckily, the majority of the unvaxxed appear to ingest anything whatsoever once they feel sick, giving the administration another opening in trying to contain the catastrophe among the unvaxxed with the new antiviral drugs.

Now about the apparently decreased severity of Covid caused by Omicron. This discussion is marked by confusion and it might be time to clarify a few things.
In a certain sense this discussion is about the virulence of the coronavirus as manifested in its different variants. The problem here is that virulence is not a straightforward concept and, without a bit of background knowledge, the public discourse fails to make sense.

First we have to acknowledge that there are different meanings of the term
virulence depending on who uses the term (or a synonymous term) under which circumstances and with which intent. The reason why virulence is not a straightforward concept is because in its original meaning the virulence of a pathogen is simply a measure of the ability of a pathogen to cause disease or death. In a contolled laboratory environment in which virulence ist measured by the effect of a pathogen on a standardized host organism and the change of those effects in response to alterations of pathogen. If a particular feature of a pathogen results in a differential effect on virulence based on the absence or presence of said feature (for example absence or presence of a capsule in some bacteriae renders them either harmless or  dangerous), the feature is then called a virulence factor.
In the laboratory with a standardized host organism, virulence thus appears solely determined by the pathogen. This is untrue in the real world where cases of infection are drawn from non-standardized populations and where the definition of virulence, number of cases / number of disease and death, reasserts itself as showing the virulence in the real world is just as dependent on the population from which the cases are drawn as on the pathogen itself.

The closest the public discourse comes to the scientific meaning of virulence is this:

1. the effect of a new variant on severity and frequency of severe disese and death in the unvaccinated population. This is the closest to the lab setting as the unvaxxed population is somewhat standardized because it has never encountered the pathogen. Unfortunately, at this point there is no good way to remove the never infected from the other unvaccinated in the equation, making it very difficult to arrive at an accurate estimate. The presence of some previously infected will cause underestimation of virulence to an unknown degree. This is why there is such a delay in determining if Omicron is less dangerous than other variants - the error lies in the same direction and on top of it, everybodey wants to hear that it is less dangerous.


The second way the term virulence, or equivalent, is used I would call apparent virulence, and this apparent virulence is of great importance for policy decisions:

2. Apparent virulence is simply the number of all cases in a geographic area divided by the number of cases of severe disease and death. Apparent virulence is the most important measure going into health care resource management assessments.
Apparent virulence is a measure of the impact of the pathogen on health care resources in a particular area and depends not only on the actual virulence (1., above) of the pathogen but also on the immune status of the population.
Apparent virulence therefore does not tell us much about the pathogen when the immune status of the population is not well known, but is of immense practical value for medical resource management.


The third meaning in which the term virulence or equivalent is used I would call perceived virulence:

3. Perceived virulence is the most politically charged and arguably the most important sense in which comparative disease severity of the Omicron variant is discussed. Perceived virulence (or threat perception) is what was manipulated from day one of the pandemic by political actors and is still the focus of political activity.
Covid denial, for example, is just the extreme to which downplaying disease severity (virulence) can be pushed. The extent to which the perceived virulence of the coronavirus has been successfully lowered by political actors and their multiplicators (mostly on the right) in susceptible populations can be seen in the surprise many unvaxxed Covid victims show when they get really sick and end up dying from a disease they were convinced to be largely a hoax.
Perceived virulence is now decreasing rapidly among the vaccinated as the conviction that those who are still unvaxxed cannot be reached (which is technically certainly untrue but practically likely true). The administration is actively working on all levels to support that notion and faces no resistance whatsoever as downplaying Covid is what the unvaxxed are doing all day long and the rest of the population is ready to join the unvaxxed in that stance.
Unfortunately, for the unvaxxed, the Omicron variant so far appears to be less virulent than Delta but of similar virulence as the original virus. Two years ago, the world shut down for a virus with that virulence but today we call it a mild form. This cannot be explained by anything but the lowered perceived virulence and actual apparent virulence in the vaccinated population. In other words, the unvaccinated are on their own and we can be assured that everything possibe up to "mandates" was done to help them.
Of course, this is not good news for health care resources stretched to the limit and it is not the end of what the current administration has on their plate.
The fact that majority opinion is aligning with opinions on the unvaxxed side now also means that the issues with downplaying the pandemic on the basis of ones own risk for a bad outcome are now appearing everywhere. And that is because perceived virulence is ultimately an assessment of ones own risk of a bad outcome  plus a common good consideration that is now excluding the still unvaxxed.
The readiness of the general public to leave the unvaxxed in the dust and the capability of societies to tolerate mass casualties should not be underestimated. Just think how easily we tolerate tens of thousands of traffic deaths and injuries per year for te sake of transportation. We would never tolerate a death toll like that if microwave ovens were zapping us on a regular basis in exchange for some hot beferage. But a couple of hundred thousand deaths a year from Covid in the hinterlands in exchange for return to normality while not being in much danger oneself would be tolerated quite well - especially as the unvaxxed are willing to collaborate in their own deception. As long as the stakes are appropriate, an enormous number of deaths and much misery will be tolerated.
A decrease of perceived virulence of a pathogen in the general population is also the best marker for te transitioning of a pandemic to the endemic state as it is an attitude adjustment based on a risk benefit assessment. I find it fascinating to observe this in real time.


There are many moving parts but the general direction appears clearer by the day. It is obvious that we are moving toward a situation where a susceptible population that is disadvantaged for social reasons suffers the brunt of a disease transitioning to the endemic phase for the rest of the population. The fact that the behavior of this risk group does not make them sympathetic should not distract from the duty of government and other entities to find ways to mitigate the effects of the disease. Some interventions will also help decompress the health care systems such as large scale programs for preemptive antiviral treatments etc. as well as travelling health care resources to absorb local spikes and need to be vigorously pursued. I personally find it encouraging that the unvaxxed appear to be ready to swallow anything as soon as they get a sore throat - so the antiviral strategies have a chance to work.

All that said, another variant can change things but at this point I consider it likely that Omicron will result in a different immunologic situation on a society level than before, thus heralding a new phase in the coronavirus saga.

I posted the above about four weeks ago and things have been moving rapidly.

There was a White House meeting with the state governors where there was broad bipartisan agreement to "move away from the pandemic mindset", to paraphrase the general mood at the meeting. The president did still emphasize that there is a lot more work to be done to deal with regional hot spots etc. - but that is his job to say that.

https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/31/politics/governors-pandemic-biden/index.html


Anecdotally, I have been informed that tertiary care centers in at least one of the largest metropolitan regions have begun to perform major elective surgeries which require reservations of ICU beds. These beds are not available for transfers of Covid patients from other facilities.
I have also been informed that Covid patients in refractory respiratory failure are now routinely declared not to be candidates for ECMO (In my opinion, this policy change was overdue as only very few benefit from ECMO support). The restriction of ECMO to more appropriate candidates will decrease overall suffering and will absolutely decrease the number of transfers in, thus relieving some of the burden. These things do not happen unless there is broad political and public support in favor of them.
And as this is the USA, there certainly is great tolerance for restricted access to medical care to identifiable subgroups in society, particularly among conservatives. Ironically, this time the affected tend to be conservative rural residents who are facing the greatest health crisis in modern times all the while access to advanced medical care is becoming more difficult for them.   


And finally, here is an article from The Atlantic explaining in more detail how to look at and think about "endemicity".

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2022/02/endemicity-means-nothing/621423/


Of course, the big question is when one should stop mask wearing and other precautions.
For me, the answer is that I will continue wearing a mask and will not change any other precautions I routinely take until protocols and antivirals are available to treat the immunocompromised and other high risk individuals preemptively upon exposure or early in the course of the disease.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: accolay on February 07, 2023, 04:03:07 AM
I can't sleep and here I am. Must be them 5G signals.

To answer the OP question:
My new normal involves wearing a mask when I'm out, when shopping, through airports, at a number of concerts. Besides wearing at work, I'm actually wearing the mask now a days because I'm wary of catching something else, not covid. I haven't been sick since before covid. My immune system has a debt to pay, but I really like not being sick.

For the rest of society, there is no getting back. We will live in the new normal with the certain percentage of people that covid showed had no fucking chill. Who needs social contract when it's the apocalypse, amirite?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Daley on February 07, 2023, 07:38:39 AM
Who needs social contract when it's the apocalypse, amirite?

You know, the wife and I had a theory on that at one point. We'd suspected that the doomsday preppers were both super scared and super disappointed in finally having their day in the sun, so to speak, after years of hoarding and stockpiling... and a world shaking virus comes along, and no amount of bullets or dehydrated beef stroganoff or violence to beat back the hoards coming for you was gonna save your ass and preserve your life. Instead, the weapons of effectiveness were ordinary masks and compassion. The two things that their stockpiles were critically short of. The impudent rage of finding out how you spent years and countless dollars preparing for something only to have all that stuff be pointless had to go somewhere, though... and here we are.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: nereo on February 07, 2023, 07:52:15 AM
Who needs social contract when it's the apocalypse, amirite?

You know, the wife and I had a theory on that at one point. We'd suspected that the doomsday preppers were both super scared and super disappointed in finally having their day in the sun, so to speak, after years of hoarding and stockpiling... and a world shaking virus comes along, and no amount of bullets or dehydrated beef stroganoff or violence to beat back the hoards coming for you was gonna save your ass and preserve your life. Instead, the weapons of effectiveness were ordinary masks and compassion. The two things that their stockpiles were critically short of. The impudent rage of finding out how you spent years and countless dollars preparing for something only to have all that stuff be pointless had to go somewhere, though... and here we are.

So glad you posted this thought...
A former roommate of mine had started down the prepper rabbit-hole, and had made friends with some serious hard-core, off-the-grid types. Over backyard cookouts they were constantly talking about how the latest geopolitical event could be THE ONE and then seemed genuinely irked when society didn't collapse. I have "home-steading tendencies" myself, but I draw the line at actively rooting for societal collapse (particularly the hope seems based on wanting to be 'right' and become some sort of king-among-the-damned).  I listened to their bitter disappointment when the economy quickly rallied after 2008 (all the while hearing "but all this imaginary money is going to utterly destroy the financial system as we know it!!") and then again when the turmoil around DJT *didn't* ultimately cause some sort of vaguely defined armageddon.

There was a ton of self-congratulatory chatter during the early months of the pandemic. But then people learned to live with supply chain disruptions and their prepper lives really were no different. And exactly as you said @Daley the most important assets were things they couldn't squirrel away in six-month supplies, but stuff like stepping back a few feet and working from the kitchen table instead of the office. At least this time having a homemade water filtration rig really didn't add any tangible benefits, but having a strong social network did.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on February 07, 2023, 09:47:44 AM
Who needs social contract when it's the apocalypse, amirite?

You know, the wife and I had a theory on that at one point. We'd suspected that the doomsday preppers were both super scared and super disappointed in finally having their day in the sun, so to speak, after years of hoarding and stockpiling... and a world shaking virus comes along, and no amount of bullets or dehydrated beef stroganoff or violence to beat back the hoards coming for you was gonna save your ass and preserve your life. Instead, the weapons of effectiveness were ordinary masks and compassion. The two things that their stockpiles were critically short of. The impudent rage of finding out how you spent years and countless dollars preparing for something only to have all that stuff be pointless had to go somewhere, though... and here we are.

This makes sense. As does the reaction of needing to deny the effectiveness of those things (masks and lack of selfishness) AND call the people who use them "sheeple."
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on February 07, 2023, 10:22:45 AM
The thing is, we are a social species.  Historically people didn't pioneer by themselves, they did it as a group, because there is strength and support in a group.

So it makes sense that what helps get us through bad times is our social network.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: partgypsy on April 18, 2023, 12:09:50 PM
Who needs social contract when it's the apocalypse, amirite?

You know, the wife and I had a theory on that at one point. We'd suspected that the doomsday preppers were both super scared and super disappointed in finally having their day in the sun, so to speak, after years of hoarding and stockpiling... and a world shaking virus comes along, and no amount of bullets or dehydrated beef stroganoff or violence to beat back the hoards coming for you was gonna save your ass and preserve your life. Instead, the weapons of effectiveness were ordinary masks and compassion. The two things that their stockpiles were critically short of. The impudent rage of finding out how you spent years and countless dollars preparing for something only to have all that stuff be pointless had to go somewhere, though... and here we are.

This makes sense. As does the reaction of needing to deny the effectiveness of those things (masks and lack of selfishness) AND call the people who use them "sheeple."
but- they had toliet paper..
What is funny my lil brother could have become one of those preppers. Hes always been interested in survivalist type stuff. And when the virus came out, other than the first 2 months, he had to go back to work. I don't think I have a photo but he create a face mask thing using kn95 masks he had for environmental exposures, added goggles, etc it looked like ridiculous overkill. Then again he was working in people's homes and also with construction workers who were notorious for not masking or distancing, and he didn't get it. Until this December, when all the mask mandates were over. He says in retrospect he wish he continued to wear the masks. Anyways my lil brother did have tp, and appropriate masks early on. Basically he would be a good person to be with during a zombie apocalypse.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on April 18, 2023, 12:48:30 PM
Coworker just came down with Covid...Of course, this is only a few weeks after we decided to come into the office two days a week.   Sigh...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on April 18, 2023, 01:00:08 PM
I just had strep throat. It was 10x worse than either time I had Covid.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on April 18, 2023, 01:19:31 PM
I just had strep throat. It was 10x worse than either time I had Covid.

Yes. Strep throat is also a thing that can be bad.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on April 18, 2023, 01:27:58 PM
I just had strep throat. It was 10x worse than either time I had Covid.

Yes. Strep throat is also a thing that can be bad.

Apparently Strep A is making the rounds now.

I'm still wearing a mask, even though 99% of people here aren't.  At least, I've never gotten a rude look or comment because of it.

My 83 year old, unvaccinated aunt is now in hospital with Covid, and it's not looking good.  She's unvaccinated due to severe mobility issues that make going to a doctor really challenging; otherwise, she's pretty healthy.  Or was.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: economista on April 18, 2023, 02:29:18 PM
My family just got covid for the first time. I've been back in the office for a year now and older child started preschool in September, so I'm surprised it took this long. Younger child was the only one in the family that didn't test positive for covid and there was no way we could isolate from her since she is 2. She got a scary rash and after weighing the pros and cons of taking her to urgent care while still symptomatic for covid myself I took her in the 2nd day when it spread. Turns out she has strep (actually scarlet fever since there is a rash), so it is a very good thing that I took her in. I have no idea how she got it, since none of us had left the house for a week!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Freedomin5 on April 18, 2023, 03:55:45 PM
We don’t even test for COVID anymore here, unless you’re getting on a flight to China. It’s belong treated like any other cold or flu. But then again, here, most people head to the hospital for an IV drip at the first sign of fever, so I’m sure people will get the treatment they need if the symptoms are severe enough to warrant hospitalization.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on April 18, 2023, 05:12:52 PM
I don't wear a mask, except when flying. The last thing I want is to get sick from COVID-19, flu, RSV, or some airborne miscreant, and ruin all or part of my vacation, or getting back to work on the return flight.
The pandemic made me realize I can't trust people, can't take their word, not even my family. Trust but verify. If cannot verify, protect yourself in a reasonable manner.
I don't get into crowd situations anymore. No more very close conversations, keep a couple of feet distance. So no need to wear a mask with behavior changes.
Plus I love the free 5G for life. Simply amazing. Wearing a tinfoil hat keeps the signals internal to prevent snooping and reading my FIRE-ing thoughts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: sailinlight on April 18, 2023, 07:27:18 PM
I don't wear a mask, except when flying. The last thing I want is to get sick from COVID-19, flu, RSV, or some airborne miscreant, and ruin all or part of my vacation, or getting back to work on the return flight.
The pandemic made me realize I can't trust people, can't take their word, not even my family. Trust but verify. If cannot verify, protect yourself in a reasonable manner.
I don't get into crowd situations anymore. No more very close conversations, keep a couple of feet distance. So no need to wear a mask with behavior changes.
Plus I love the free 5G for life. Simply amazing. Wearing a tinfoil hat keeps the signals internal to prevent snooping and reading my FIRE-ing thoughts.
Hope you had a good party that you decided to post from your inebriated state!!!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on April 18, 2023, 08:55:50 PM
Been visiting family in the hospital this week in the midwest, I would say 1% of visitors and staff are wearing masks. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Zikoris on April 18, 2023, 11:39:19 PM
With international travel (mostly) open to the unvaccinated again, I'd say we're completely back to normal now. I hardly see masks at all around Vancouver these days. I like that people seem to be better about respecting personal space than pre-pandemic, and that's the one thing I really hope sticks around long-term.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on April 19, 2023, 01:01:24 PM
One thing I do like is that it seems that for the most part people stay home now when they are sick. I notice a helluva lot less coughing by obviously sick people in public.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on April 19, 2023, 04:04:46 PM
One thing I do like is that it seems that for the most part people stay home now when they are sick. I notice a helluva lot less coughing by obviously sick people in public.

I have very few pet peeves...but sick people at work pisses me the heck off! Especially in office environments where people can easily work from home if they need to. 

Luckily, as you said, people seem to be a *little* bit more responsible about it now.


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on April 19, 2023, 04:33:36 PM
One thing I do like is that it seems that for the most part people stay home now when they are sick. I notice a helluva lot less coughing by obviously sick people in public.

I have very few pet peeves...but sick people at work pisses me the heck off! Especially in office environments where people can easily work from home if they need to. 

Luckily, as you said, people seem to be a *little* bit more responsible about it now.

This peeve should be directed at the workplace though, not the individual.  If it's understood that sick people stay home, then they tend to do so.  If it's understood that you get your ass into the office regardless of sickness then they tend to do it.

I've worked in both types of places.  :P
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on April 20, 2023, 10:34:41 AM
One thing I do like is that it seems that for the most part people stay home now when they are sick. I notice a helluva lot less coughing by obviously sick people in public.

I have very few pet peeves...but sick people at work pisses me the heck off! Especially in office environments where people can easily work from home if they need to. 

Luckily, as you said, people seem to be a *little* bit more responsible about it now.

This peeve should be directed at the workplace though, not the individual.  If it's understood that sick people stay home, then they tend to do so.  If it's understood that you get your ass into the office regardless of sickness then they tend to do it.

I've worked in both types of places.  :P

Point taken.  However, in my place of work one can easily work from home...any day of the week.   And yes, it has been directed at the individual...haha.

Another thing that irks me to no end is companies that have PTO style time off.  In other words, you have to use PTO for ANY time off at all...sick days, holidays, vacation days, etc...  And PTO is rampant in medical instructions.   Uhh...seems like that encourages folks to come to work sick, doesn't it?   




 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on April 20, 2023, 02:14:27 PM
I just had strep throat. It was 10x worse than either time I had Covid.

Dd just had strep throat, too, and it included a nasty infected looking rash. Her doctor says that having Covid twice last year has depressed her immune system, even though both cases were fairly mild.

She has since had salmonella, influenza A, RSV, many colds, and now the strep.

Meanwhile, I continue living my life but wearing a mask, and I will sign up for another booster next week.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: startingsmall on April 21, 2023, 02:01:46 PM
One thing I do like is that it seems that for the most part people stay home now when they are sick. I notice a helluva lot less coughing by obviously sick people in public.

I have very few pet peeves...but sick people at work pisses me the heck off! Especially in office environments where people can easily work from home if they need to. 

Luckily, as you said, people seem to be a *little* bit more responsible about it now.

This peeve should be directed at the workplace though, not the individual.  If it's understood that sick people stay home, then they tend to do so.  If it's understood that you get your ass into the office regardless of sickness then they tend to do it.

I've worked in both types of places.  :P

Agreed. I've had two separate experiences of trying to call into work with a fever of 101-102 F and been told (by two separate employers) that I was required to come in anyway and doing otherwise would result in disciplinary action. This is highly employer-dependent.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Samuel on April 21, 2023, 03:20:18 PM
With international travel (mostly) open to the unvaccinated again, I'd say we're completely back to normal now. I hardly see masks at all around Vancouver these days. I like that people seem to be better about respecting personal space than pre-pandemic, and that's the one thing I really hope sticks around long-term.

Seems like a pretty good marker for full normalcy to me. The US finally joins that club on May 11.

I just returned from my first international vacation post Covid and masks were very few and far between. It was actually a little odd returning to Seattle and seeing a higher percentage of people wearing masks in the grocery store than were wearing them in any of the airports, airplanes, trains, packed metro cars, or packed tapas bars I had just spent 11 days in. Apparently there are a lot of holdouts around here...
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: By the River on April 27, 2023, 01:08:17 PM
I went to Costco last night and they have removed all plexiglass screens around the registers.  It was somewhat interesting as I assumed the screens would always be there.

(I think costco's screens were noticeably absent due to the lack of all the candy/chips/magazines/junk that other stores pile around their register lines.)   
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on August 01, 2023, 02:24:00 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that cause them to change their minds after holding out so long?  Genuinely curious... was there something in the news that I missed?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on August 01, 2023, 02:55:33 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on August 01, 2023, 02:58:42 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker. 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on August 01, 2023, 03:09:48 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on August 01, 2023, 03:49:37 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I considered that, it was what I assumed all along, but there is only two of them and they are both now mask-less.  My working theory is maybe they did have a health concern but both got Covid at some point and found out that it did not affect them in a concerning way.  It was very strange because I did not start going to this store until Covid so this was my first time seeing either of their faces.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Villanelle on August 01, 2023, 04:33:48 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I considered that, it was what I assumed all along, but there is only two of them and they are both now mask-less.  My working theory is maybe they did have a health concern but both got Covid at some point and found out that it did not affect them in a concerning way.  It was very strange because I did not start going to this store until Covid so this was my first time seeing either of their faces.

I was referring to Michael's post about the store with masks from 7-10, and his glib comment that Covid doesn't spread after 10.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: HPstache on August 01, 2023, 04:38:42 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I considered that, it was what I assumed all along, but there is only two of them and they are both now mask-less.  My working theory is maybe they did have a health concern but both got Covid at some point and found out that it did not affect them in a concerning way.  It was very strange because I did not start going to this store until Covid so this was my first time seeing either of their faces.

I was referring to Michael's post about the store with masks from 7-10, and his glib comment that Covid doesn't spread after 10.

Oops my mistake, I assumed it was a response to me
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on August 01, 2023, 04:46:30 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

Exactly. There is a simple, reasonable answer to the requirement.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: seattlecyclone on August 01, 2023, 09:15:30 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

Exactly. There is a simple, reasonable answer to the requirement.

Perhaps they've had enough customers express a desire for higher precautions around infectious disease that their business success relies on serving this population for part of the day. Fewer and fewer businesses are doing this that there could be a valuable niche there for the ones who still do.

To be honest I'm not at all prepared to encounter a business with a mask requirement anymore. Used to be I'd carry one around in my back pocket all the time just in case, but it's been months (perhaps a year?) since I've seen anything like that outside of medical settings.

The routine I've settled into is pretty much where I expected I would land much earlier in this thread. I'll wear a mask when I'm personally sick as a courtesy to others. I'll also wear one when I'm in an airplane or similarly crowded place for an extended time, and where I have no real need to carry on conversation with others. Pre-pandemic I'd often get colds when traveling, but I just took a trip where I was perfectly healthy after the outbound leg and two days after the return I also feel fine. Seems worth it to me! Outside of those relatively narrow circumstances I leave the mask at home and generally don't concern myself much about whether I might catch something.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cassie on August 01, 2023, 10:23:22 PM
I haven’t seen anyone wearing a mask in more than a year. Last January the medical facility I went to had a mask mandate but gave you one.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on August 02, 2023, 07:38:38 AM
I'm still wearing my N95 when shopping.  I'll probably stop once the nasal vaccine comes out.

I did go to a conference recently and didn't mask.  Given the age of the attendees (late middle age to really old) I figured we were a well vaccinated group.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on August 02, 2023, 08:56:19 AM
I went to Costco last night and they have removed all plexiglass screens around the registers.  It was somewhat interesting as I assumed the screens would always be there.

My local Target store finally removed the plexiglass screens in the last couple of weeks.

I wasn't going to, but after finding out that a co-worker got COVID very recently, and my kids' dentist got COVID last year but now has lingering heart issues (mid-40s), I'm going to get the nasal vax/booster. I'd rather be safe than sorry, especially since I've started flying for work and some leisure. I haven't been infected, so far.

I didn't feel comfortable in Boston's Green Line that was super crowded. The cold I have might have been caught from there. Ended up wearing masks on the return just in case I had something and didn't want it to spread.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on August 02, 2023, 09:04:37 AM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.

I still occasionally see people walking on sidewalks alone wearing masks. Allergies? Bank robber without a car?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: EvenSteven on August 02, 2023, 09:26:12 AM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.

I still occasionally see people walking on sidewalks alone wearing masks. Allergies? Bank robber without a car?

I've worn a mask occasionally recently when on my bike when the Canadian wildfire smoke was bad.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on August 02, 2023, 09:35:57 AM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.

I still occasionally see people walking on sidewalks alone wearing masks. Allergies? Bank robber without a car?

I've worn a mask occasionally recently when on my bike when the Canadian wildfire smoke was bad.

Yes, the tiny silver lining of Covid was having N95 masks for the smoke.   :-(
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Frugal Lizard on August 02, 2023, 10:00:50 AM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.

I still occasionally see people walking on sidewalks alone wearing masks. Allergies? Bank robber without a car?

I've worn a mask occasionally recently when on my bike when the Canadian wildfire smoke was bad.

Yes, the tiny silver lining of Covid was having N95 masks for the smoke.   :-(
yep I needed the mask for all outdoor work that week.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on August 02, 2023, 11:13:08 AM
I still see people masking in California - more than anywhere else.

I personally don't, unless I'm on a plane, or if I'm sick.  And even on a plane, I mask on the WAY to vacation or business, but one the way home - generally not.

COVID is actually still going around quite a bit around here this summer.  A number of people I know have it, many  picked it up on vacation.

My DH had to wear a mask at work last week because he was exposed at work (they interviewed a guy who tested positive a day or so after the interview).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on August 02, 2023, 11:46:41 AM
I mainly see masks in some stores worn by the cashiers around here.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ixtap on August 02, 2023, 11:55:09 AM
I am going to be wearing a mask when shopping, as DH tested positive this morning. I was negative, but we only had those two tests so I need to go out and get more. I don't wear one when going for a walk, but if I were walking to someplace, I would probably just put it on rather than mess with it.

I was just getting into the swing of things at the new yoga studio, but will stay away until we are both negative.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Just Joe on August 02, 2023, 12:17:05 PM
The last mask requirement in my town was lifted by a small shop that hung on to masking requirements in their store... they even stopped wearing them.  It's officially back to normal.  I wonder what it was that made them finally change their minds?

My wife and I recently visited Portland, OR and there was a small local bakery that still had a mask requirement. However, only from 7-10 AM. Apparently COVID is no longer infectious after 10 AM.

Or maybe that's when they are most crowded, or when they have an immuno-compromised worker.

I see many more masks first thing in the morning and I assume that us old people shop early! I do see plenty of store employees still wearing them.

It was strange last month when the air was so bad and people wore masks outside and took them off indoors.

I still occasionally see people walking on sidewalks alone wearing masks. Allergies? Bank robber without a car?

I've worn a mask occasionally recently when on my bike when the Canadian wildfire smoke was bad.

Yes, the tiny silver lining of Covid was having N95 masks for the smoke.   :-(

I could see that elsewhere but we are far enough south that the Canadian smoke hasn't been an issue. Occasionally I can smell it, the horizon has been obscured a few times but mostly just something on the news.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jeninco on August 02, 2023, 06:03:01 PM
I got sick with COVID July 4, DH got sick a few days after. Diligent masking (and keeping a lot of windows open) in the house probably kept DS19 from getting it, unless he was the vector who transmitted it into the house, a distinct possibility. He did some regular testing after we came up positive, but if he was just the carrier, he could've been done by then.

In any case, we'll be masking on this weekend's plane flight to go visit my MIL, but I'm going to enjoy a month or so of feeling comfortable licking supermarket cart handles and stair railings before I go back to being somewhat cautious.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Omy on August 02, 2023, 07:43:49 PM
I have a family member who had it 3 times last year (after 4 jabs)...so maybe gargle with alcohol after you lick the handles?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on August 04, 2023, 03:34:36 PM
I have a family member who had it 3 times last year (after 4 jabs)...so maybe gargle with alcohol after you lick the handles?

The vaccines don't prevent you from contracting covid, it's not quite as easy to get as being unvaccinated but there's little protection in that manner.  They reduce the chances of you being hospitalized or dying from it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on August 05, 2023, 03:42:18 AM
Is Covid still a topic anywhere? Nobody is even talking about it here, anymore. Ppl are regularly back at the offices. Business travel is back to almost pre-pandemic frequency, no masking anywhere. Haven't noticed any extraordinary wave of sickness in the workplace, either. It's like 2020-2021 didn't even happen ...

Edited for typos.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on August 05, 2023, 06:47:14 AM
Numbers are ticking up. We’ve been pretty easygoing this summer, but I’d still rather not get sick so I guess we’ll be a bit more cautious.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: geekette on August 05, 2023, 08:17:29 AM
My SIL just got a message that a former coworker (middle aged, healthy, in the medical field) went on a hiking trip in Peru, caught Covid, and died.  Now she's resigned to her SO refusing to go into a restaurant for yet another year.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ixtap on August 05, 2023, 08:47:58 AM
Is Covid still a topic anywhere? Nobody is even talkung about it here, anymore. Ppl are regularly back at the offices. Business travel is back to almost pre-pandemic frequency, no masking anywhere. Haven't noticed any extraordinary wave of sickness in the workplace, either. It's like 2030-2021 didn't even happen ...

That probably means people aren't testing, which is just going to make the next wave worse. Our symptoms are pretty mild (thanks to the vaccines, I assume), but we are on the young side, my diabetes is fully controlled and my asthma is hardly ever a problem: haven't used an inhaler since we got back from India last Fall during their worst air quality in years. I am still concerned about controlling my diabetes with less activity than usual, though. My symptoms just started last night.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SotI on August 06, 2023, 12:51:19 PM
My symptoms just started last night.
oh, I hope you will be better soon!

Covid is not even news here, anymore. So, if there is any increase, it's less "promoted" as an issue. Let's see how it will look in autumn/winter. It was already quite low key last year, but at least social distancing was widely supported. Not anymore.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: JoJo on August 06, 2023, 01:37:28 PM
On the door, they have posted they have an "outbreak", meaning one case in my Dad's nursing home.  I haven't had it for 6 months so I'm bound to have it soon (have had it every 6-7 months for the last 2 years, a total of 3 times now). 
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Arbitrage on August 09, 2023, 10:48:24 AM
I know a bunch of people who got it recently, many of whom mostly avoided it during the pandemic.  Nearly all got it from travel.  We’re traveling right now as well, and are happily masking on the crowded planes/airports.  Barely mask anywhere else these days, but airplane/airport masking is a small price to pay for a healthy vacation and return.  Catching something during travel was frequent enough even before COVID. 

Maybe 3-5% masking around us observed.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on August 09, 2023, 11:04:25 AM
I know a bunch of people who got it recently, many of whom mostly avoided it during the pandemic.  Nearly all got it from travel.  We’re traveling right now as well, and are happily masking on the crowded planes/airports.  Barely mask anywhere else these days, but airplane/airport masking is a small price to pay for a healthy vacation and return.  Catching something during travel was frequent enough even before COVID. 

Maybe 3-5% masking around us observed.

We’re going on a month-long trip in mid-September, and will be masking the airport/on planes as well. Definitely don’t want to wreck our trip by getting Covid right at the beginning.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: farmecologist on August 09, 2023, 04:20:25 PM
I know a bunch of people who got it recently, many of whom mostly avoided it during the pandemic.  Nearly all got it from travel.  We’re traveling right now as well, and are happily masking on the crowded planes/airports.  Barely mask anywhere else these days, but airplane/airport masking is a small price to pay for a healthy vacation and return.  Catching something during travel was frequent enough even before COVID. 

Maybe 3-5% masking around us observed.

We’re going on a month-long trip in mid-September, and will be masking the airport/on planes as well. Definitely don’t want to wreck our trip by getting Covid right at the beginning.

We just got back from a 2+ week trip to Europe ( Switzerland, Germany, France, and the Netherlands ).   Absolutely nobody was masking...and we also took the chance because we had covid for the first time a few months ago after we got back from visiting our daughter in North Carolina.  Pretty sure it was one of the XBB variants...and we had pretty severe cases.  Figured we had some immunity from that along with what was left of our vax/booster immunity.   I did catch a small head cold during the trip though ( thankfully it wasn't covid ).

We came into contact with more people than we have in years while on this trip to Europe...and there was a huge festival going on in Amsterdam while we were visiting.  I'm happy to report that neither of us caught covid again.  I did certainly know we were taking a huge chance though.  Maybe the "natural" immunity from our recent bout with covid helped...but who knows.

Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Cranky on August 10, 2023, 07:14:50 PM
I’m noticing an uptick in masking at the grocery store.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: jinga nation on August 10, 2023, 09:01:23 PM
I’m noticing an uptick in masking at the grocery store.

Supposed to meet my boss tomorrow for lunch.
That's been cancelled; his wife and daughter came home from a trip and tested positive.

Co-workers in the DC area testing positive too.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on August 11, 2023, 02:31:49 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Dicey on August 11, 2023, 02:41:23 PM
We have taken two road trips from CA to CO this summer. We did several supply runs at Costco and Walmart on the way. I was surprised to see so many masks being worn.

I had a dentist's appointment yes and masked up automatically, only to find they were no longer required.

Counting the days until the next vaccine is available.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: wenchsenior on August 11, 2023, 03:51:34 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020 when outdoor seating was not possible. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)

Well, shit. That sucks. I just stopped masking in indoor public spaces back in March. Guess we'll be going back to it.

It's a major bummer the booster isn't likely to be out until late Sep; we are doing a fair bit of travel in Sep, but at least hopefully my husband will be boosted in time for two big professional meetings in Oct/Nov.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mm1970 on August 11, 2023, 04:41:57 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)
This sucks.  I've been working at my office unmasked.  Now I should probably rethink it.  I share an office, and I know a few people have been out sick, I assume with COVID.  I know it's going around.  At least my boss wears a mask when he flies in (we share an office).

Hmph.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: ixtap on August 11, 2023, 04:46:45 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)
This sucks.  I've been working at my office unmasked.  Now I should probably rethink it.  I share an office, and I know a few people have been out sick, I assume with COVID.  I know it's going around.  At least my boss wears a mask when he flies in (we share an office).

Hmph.

Megacorp is still tracking, at least for time off. DH put it in his time sheet. One nice thing about this is that it doesn't reduce his paid sick time. COVID sick time is special. I wonder if they told everyone in his building that someone tested positive: he hasn't been in that building for nearly a month.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: GuitarStv on August 11, 2023, 07:13:14 PM
I haven't been following covid lately.  Are whatever variants going on today less dangerous?
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: SunnyDays on August 11, 2023, 10:10:03 PM
I haven't been following covid lately.  Are whatever variants going on today less dangerous?

The newest variant of Omicron (EG.5) is apparently no different than all the other Omicrons in health impacts.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Gronnie on August 13, 2023, 05:04:45 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)

I never wear a mask and am unvaccinated -- have only tested positive once. Was mostly symptom free.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Kris on August 13, 2023, 05:37:46 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)

I never wear a mask and am unvaccinated -- have only tested positive once. Was mostly symptom free.

Good luck next time.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Chris Pascale on August 13, 2023, 11:55:47 PM
I'm as concerned about COVID as I am about the flu.

During 2020, I followed the protocols, mostly. Stay home? Ok. State opened a little? We went on a vacation.

If I was not well, I did not go out. If I was not sick, I saw friends who felt comfortable doing so.

I drew the line on following protocols when the local track wanted me to walk a lane apart from my wife, and then when the state asked that Thanksgiving gatherings be limited to 10 people (requested by our governor, who was trying to have sex with unvaccinated women he was not married to). The Thanksgiving I went to had about 30 people. Those who had symptoms didn't come, and no one was sick in the month after. For Christmas, my relatives wanted to following the guidelines, and since my house has 6 people, I invited friends over, and there were 12 of us. No one present was sick.

Christmas, 2021: I had a cold around 12/15, tested COVID negative, and told people to come at their own risk. 3 people came over, which was nice because we were providing hospice care for a relative, but still happy to see some friends.

Easter, 2022: Maybe 40 people attended.  People who were sick did not come, and no transmissions appeared to have taken place.

Christmas, 2022: On 12/24 we had family over - 16 of us in total. On 12/25 we had friends over - maybe 30 people. No transmissions appeared to have taken place.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on August 14, 2023, 09:17:33 AM
I still have yet to test positive for Covid, but to be completely fair in January of 2022 my wife and daughter tested positive and we didn't want to pay $35 for another test because I was already working from home, so I just quarantined with them. I never had any symptoms though and they were a little lethargic for a day, but that's it for them. My wife honestly thought she had seasonal allergies, she even said she thought it was mild allergies, because her allergies are usually way worse.

I always figured it was like any other virus. All the people I know that are sick quite often have tested positive a few times. I get sick about once a decade and it's usually of my own doing, limited sleep and a poor diet while on vacation or something along those lines. I have friends that have kids and I swear about 60-70% of the time either someone in their family is sick or just getting over being sick. I have kids the exact same age and my family is never sick or getting over something. I'm not sure why that's the case, but I see it all the time when people are saying they are always sick and it's because they have kids and "kids are germ vectors". Not sure how my kids apparently aren't, but I'll take it.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: simonsez on August 14, 2023, 11:56:54 AM
@mizzourah2006 Just curious do you have cats and/or dogs?

I remember reading an article in Scientific American (I can still picture it, colorful bar graphs on the 2nd to last page) a few years back that tracked incidence/prevalence of human communicable diseases and bacterial and viral loads across dog, cat, both, or none types of households.  The overwhelming takeaway was that pet-free households had much lower levels of disease and overall germ levels.  I'm sure there are many other factors that can change the individual experience, i.e. could have a pet house with healthy humans and a non-pet house with unhealthy humans, so that it's hard to find any clear trends at the societal level but I thought that article was interesting!

Love children and pets but let's not act like they aren't giant Petri dishes!  Of course, there is a ton of evidence that shows exposing kids to pet dander enhances overall immune health.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: BeanCounter on August 14, 2023, 12:07:49 PM
We are thankfully a very well house with kids (ages 14 and 10). Our kids are hardly ever sick and when one child does get sick it doesn’t necessarily spread through the house. One child did test positive for COVID in 2021 but thankfully it was a runny nose. The rest of us never tested positive.
We think our wellness is mostly attributed to three things- 1) we are crazy about sleep and typically average 8-9 hours for everyone. 2) we take a vitamin D and C supplement during our Midwest winters 3) we try very hard to keep stress at a minimum. Oh and we do get annual flu shots and will continue to get our COVID boosters.

As far as COVID I’m basically no longer interested or concerned. It’s no more of a risk than the flu is for us. My 99 yo grandfather had it and said he was tired for a day or two and had a runny nose. If that’s his response, I think we are good!
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: StarBright on August 14, 2023, 12:43:02 PM
Just got back from a two week trip - UK/Paris/Iceland.

I am one of those people that is still masking. I masked on airplanes, trains, subways, and indoors for the most part. But when outdoor seating was not possible I ate indoors in restaurants for the first time since 2020. And several days ago when we went to a crowded museum I forgot my mask in the hotel room.

Symptoms started this morning, son and I both tested positive almost instantaneously about an hour ago.

My main symptom is body pain and a pounding head and chills. DS has a high fever. This is his second time catching it, my first. DH and DD still symptom free and testing negative.

Wear your masks folks! :)

I never wear a mask and am unvaccinated -- have only tested positive once. Was mostly symptom free.

Love that for you dude! I hope you never catch it again and never have symptoms.

I have basically all symptoms except a fever, because my body doesn't run fevers, because I have a crappy immune system.
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Heywood57 on August 14, 2023, 01:24:43 PM
Everyone I know who was vaccinated got COVID.

One person who was vaccinated, got COVID, could not shake it and died in the hospital.

One person who was "Vaxxed to the Max", got long COVID and was
severely affected for many months.

One woman who was pregnant, ended up on a ventilator for a over week.
That whole time she was tested daily and was always negative for COVID.
The DRs said they knew she had COVID but could not figure out
why all the tests came back negative.
Mother and baby are fine.

The people we know who are unvaccinated, either did not get COVID
or had mild flu like symptoms for 2 to 3 days.


Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: mizzourah2006 on August 14, 2023, 01:46:25 PM
@mizzourah2006 Just curious do you have cats and/or dogs?

I remember reading an article in Scientific American (I can still picture it, colorful bar graphs on the 2nd to last page) a few years back that tracked incidence/prevalence of human communicable diseases and bacterial and viral loads across dog, cat, both, or none types of households.  The overwhelming takeaway was that pet-free households had much lower levels of disease and overall germ levels.  I'm sure there are many other factors that can change the individual experience, i.e. could have a pet house with healthy humans and a non-pet house with unhealthy humans, so that it's hard to find any clear trends at the societal level but I thought that article was interesting!

Love children and pets but let's not act like they aren't giant Petri dishes!  Of course, there is a ton of evidence that shows exposing kids to pet dander enhances overall immune health.

Interesting. We have typically always had 2 dogs. We had about 9 months with no dogs last year as our last one passed in March of 2022, but we just rescued two puppies on the same day (kids both liked different dogs, lol) in late December. So now we have 2 puppies and 2 young kids (under 8).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: Michael in ABQ on August 14, 2023, 03:10:58 PM
@mizzourah2006 Just curious do you have cats and/or dogs?

I remember reading an article in Scientific American (I can still picture it, colorful bar graphs on the 2nd to last page) a few years back that tracked incidence/prevalence of human communicable diseases and bacterial and viral loads across dog, cat, both, or none types of households.  The overwhelming takeaway was that pet-free households had much lower levels of disease and overall germ levels.  I'm sure there are many other factors that can change the individual experience, i.e. could have a pet house with healthy humans and a non-pet house with unhealthy humans, so that it's hard to find any clear trends at the societal level but I thought that article was interesting!

Love children and pets but let's not act like they aren't giant Petri dishes!  Of course, there is a ton of evidence that shows exposing kids to pet dander enhances overall immune health.

No dogs or cats but we have 6 kids (5 in school) and except during 2020 when they weren't in school and everyone was far more conscious of hand-washing, touching their face, etc. it seems like we can't go a month or two without someone getting sick. Then it takes a few weeks to spread through the whole family - albeit sometimes a couple of people escape catching it (or showing symptoms).

The latest cold hit my wife and I pretty hard and we both developed acute bronchitis with a dry cough for a couple of weeks plus really bad sore throat for the first week or so. Our kids got the same cold but none of them had much more than some light coughing, runny nose, sore throat for a day, etc. I tested negative for COVID and this cold was definitely worse than any of the times I have tested positive for COVID (2 or 3 times).
Title: Re: Where do you stand on "living with Covid", "getting back to normal"
Post by: RetiredAt63 on August 14, 2023, 08:19:22 PM

The latest cold hit my wife and I pretty hard and we both developed acute bronchitis with a dry cough for a couple of weeks plus really bad sore throat for the first week or so. Our kids got the same cold but none of them had much more than some light coughing, runny nose, sore throat for a day, etc. I tested negative for COVID and this cold was definitely worse than any of the times I have tested positive for COVID (2 or 3 times).

Covid isn't the only nasty going around, it is just new and our immune systems are naive.  Flu still kills (I have family members killed in the Spanish flu epidemics so the "just the flu" rhetoric seems totally stupid to me).  I had RSV last November and it was 3 weeks of misery.  Once the new RSV vaccine gets approved for seniors (any day now) I will be eligible and will get it.  Plus come October I will be getting my flu shot. Yes, I'm in that age group, so happy to be living on my own and not in a seniors residence.  I'll take all the vaccines out there, I don't want shingles or pneumonia either.

I'm old enough to remember how excited and happy my parents were when I had the Sabine oral polio vaccine in kindergarten (? or grade 1).  I didn't know why, of course, but I do now.

People are so used to the miracles of modern medicine they forget how things were through most of human history.  Average life span of 45 means not that people were dead of old age at 45, but that lots lived into their 70s and 80s and the average of 45 came from all the mortality of the 0-5 age group, the people who died of infected wounds, tetanus,  etc.  Famines and epidemics got the young and the old.  Women could have 10-15 children and have 2 survive to adulthood.  Assuming they survived, that is, I read once that the number one cause of mortality in adult women used to be childbirth.  I believe it, I can think of several women I know who would not have survived having their children 100 years ago.

And let's not forget dentistry.  Isn't it nice to still have all one's teeth at 60?  Being able to chew definitely improves nutrition. 

The point is that without all the help we can get, a lot of us will die young, instead of making it into old age.