J.G.I. has Kavanaugh said something to make you think he's more likely to vote for retaining the ACA (and/or for severability)?
Yes.
Here is more of Justice Kavanaugh on severability and "The Court’s...decisive preference for surgical severance rather than wholesale destruction, even in the absence of a severability clause."
In
Barr, Justice Kavanaugh cites cases going all the way back to
Marbury v. Madison (1803) in support of his argument for the "presumption of severability" and notes the "Court’s remedial preference after finding a provision of a federal law unconstitutional...to salvage rather than destroy the rest of the law passed by Congress and signed by the President."
BARR v. AMERICAN ASSN. OF POLITICAL CONSULTANTS, INC.(2020)Kavanaugh, J., announced the judgment of the Court.
The Court’s cases have...developed a strong presumption of severability. The Court presumes that an unconstitutional provision in a law is severable from the remainder of the law or statute.
For example, in
Free Enterprise Fund v. Public Company Accounting Oversight Bd., the Court set forth the “normal rule”: “Generally speaking, when confronting a constitutional flaw in a statute, we try to limit the solution to the problem, severing any problematic portions while leaving the remainder intact.”
The plurality opinion likewise described a “presumption” in “favor of severability” and stated that the Court should “refrain from invalidating more of the statute than is necessary.”
The Court’s power and preference to partially invalidate a statute in that fashion has been firmly established since
Marbury v. Madison. There, the Court invalidated part of §13 of the Judiciary Act of 1789.
The Judiciary Act did not contain a severability clause. But the Court did not proceed to invalidate the entire Judiciary Act.
As Chief Justice Marshall later explained, if any part of an Act is “unconstitutional, the provisions of that part may be disregarded while full effect will be given to such as are not repugnant to the constitution of the United States.”
Below, Kavanaugh cites
Dorchy and
Loeb in furtherance of his argument for severability.
Dorchy v. Kansas (1924)
“A statute bad in part is not necessarily void in its entirety. Provisions within the legislative power may stand if separable from the bad."
Loeb v. Columbia Township Trustees (1900)
"One section of a statute may be repugnant to the Constitution without rendering the whole act void."
From
Marbury v. Madison to the present, apart from some isolated detours mostly in the late 1800s and early 1900s, the Court’s remedial preference after finding a provision of a federal law unconstitutional has been to salvage rather than destroy the rest of the law passed by Congress and signed by the President.
The Court’s precedents reflect a decisive preference for surgical severance rather than wholesale destruction, even in the absence of a severability clause.