Cash flow is key. The way I figured it is asking, “what is my nut?” So the basic stuff we HAVE to pay, house/utilities/food/insurance/etc, was $36k and that was less than 4%. Now I’m not tracking our FIRE spend very well and I know we spend much more than that. But the point is we only NEED that much.
Figuring out how to get your nut down by controlling home (low rent/mortgage payment) and transportation costs (one or no car, bikes/transit) is the best way to do that.
I also have a built-in firewall in that I can’t access all savings yet (without a few extra steps such as Roth or 72t), so even if I blew it all too early the bulk of my FIRE funds would be safe.
This has pretty much been my approach, too.
My FIRE journey was atypical, as it involved the sale of our "lottery ticket in the sky" (Beijing condo, which gave us enough cash to buy a very nice house in a HCOL area + have a huge cash cushion to live off of for several years. We sold that house last summer, which generated enough that each of us were able to buy our own smaller places as we finalized the paperwork on our divorce. But mine needs some fairly major work, and my liquid cash cushion was not enough to cover the costs, so I was VERY nervous about my finances/cash flow last October when markets were down. I did still have over 100k more or less liquid, plus another 200-300k ish in non-retirement investments, plus 800kish in retirement accounts, of which nearly 200k was contribution/seasoned conversion amounts I could tap in a pinch. But I've got 4 more years until age 59.5 so not having a bigger cash cushion to ensure I can ride this stretch out smoothly REALLY amped up my anxiety. So I started selling off some of my FZROX last November to lock in some LTCG in a tax-efficient way, and bump up my cash position. In hindsight, I could have waited and had a bigger payout, but the reduction in anxiety (which was really affecting both my physical and mental health) was worth the tradeoff.
Technically, with the money the house will require for this and future renovations I am over a 4% SWR which I guess SHOULD make me nervous, but it doesn't. I can always sell the house and downsize if I am in a financial pinch. I got the house for a good price, and the renovations will significantly increase its value so that I would probably at least net out if I had to sell in the next 2-3 years. I don't anticipate that happening -- want this to be the house they roll me out of in 30-40+ years (and the renovations are making it truly age in place-able). But just to be safe I am planning to minimize my spending and may do some part-time work or start a small business to generate some extra income to pad the coffers at bit. So right now I'd say I'm somewhere in the LeanFire-Regular Fire range. If I had to give hard numbers, I guess they would be:
LeanFIRE: 1 mill + paid off house
40k/year SWR = I have enough for all essentials and the occasional splurge on fancy meals, a concert or play a few times a year, and some very low cost travel (mostly road trips to see friends/family). At this level I benefit from almost no taxable income and low or no health insurance costs
Regular FIRE: 1.5 mill + paid off house
60k/year = I can do more splurg-y stuff without having to think about it too much. Probably would do a lot more treating and hosting friends/family, more fun entertainment stuff/travel and spend more on my house/yard (mostly stuff like adding solar power, improving grey water systems, splurge on food-producing trees and shrubs that I can't easily find from free sources). Taxes and health insurance take a bigger chunk
Fat FIRE: 2.0 mill + paid off house
80k/year => Spend even more on the "more" categories. Do some big bucket-list type travel every 2-3 years. Add an EV charger to the house and replace my current hybrid car. Taxes and health insurance are also much higher
I do still enjoy the process of finding things low-cost or free, and repurposing what I can. I don't feel pressure to buy stuff for appearances. So I'm pretty darn happy in the Lean-Regular FIRE territory.
OK, time to get moving and go plant some asparagus crowns I got for free at the community garden! I'm putting them in my food bank beds so that others will benefit from them once they mature.