John Greaney over at the Retire Early Home Page has updated his annual report a month early this year. It always fascinates me. The news is mostly good for the 1994 retiree (except for a 100% fixed income portfolio), but not so much for a Jan 2000 retiree (bottom of page) -- though it's encouraging to note that, even there, a balanced 60/40 portfolio would still have 92% of its value today even after 18 years of 4% inflation-adjusted withdrawals (the 75/25 portfolio, however, has not fared nearly as well, with only 60% of its initial value remaining).
http://www.retireearlyhomepage.com/reallife18.html