The comments seem to be either its life/you don't what you are doing or its life/I can relate but things happen more randomly so have an emergency fund. I wonder if there is a correlation between the similar comments on each side and stage of life, family or not, home or not, etc.
All of your "unexpected" expenses look fairly expected to me.
I expect houses/cars/bodies to require maintenance.
I agree that they are all expected, but I said they were non-recurring not unexpected. It is the timing that is difficult to nail down. If I expect these things to happen but its not for three or four years from now and you are budgeting saving for these but they happen now it kind of throws things off. I like to budget and be relatively prepared, just my way I guess, and I am conservative in general so reasonably figuring these out and factoring for them will help me not be stressed during a market swoon. A swoon will be enough for me so I really don't want to see a $20k hit at the same time unless have factored it in.
Those are just bills the are part of life... maintenance for your body (teeth) and car and home.
Sorry you can't get around those things in general.
As long as you didn't get into debt for any of those things consider yourself blessed.
I mean I understand it can be stressing when your trying to save especially when like it all seems to fall within a month or two...but I usually figure a few of these things are going to happen every year.
No debt, so no worries there. But would debt be all that bad if you are FIRE - I mean if a big item goes earlier than expected why not take on some short term debt to spread out the cash flow hit. I have a HELOC for this purpose, never used it though because I hate debt.
I also find these types of expenses manageable, but annoying. And I wonder how to factor them into a FIRE budget to find our spending requirement, and thus SWR. Some large ones I've taken out of the end-of-year Mint analysis, but I wonder if I should.
Is $14k on a car a one-time expense, or do I average it out over 10 years or so for budgeting purposes? But hopefully we'll get a cheaper one next time. Just in the last 3-4 years we've spent ~$20k on house maintenance and upgrades (inc. HVAC, hardwood floors). Will we be free of this for a long time now, or do we need to budget some amount per year? But I'm unsure how much. We're not replacing the floors again for decades, if ever. But there's the roof.. If I'm very conservative it's very easy to end up with a FIRE "budget" of $100,000/year, just to cover every eventuality.
This - in my view the $14k car is a cash purchase but non-recurring (and sometimes flexible as to when but not always).
I hear you, I feel like I am in a recurring cycle where I build an emergency fund, and then it will just get decimated down to nothing with, well....emergencies. It's frustrating, but I realized a little while ago that the frustration was wasted energy because these bills were going to happen anyway, so I just take a deep breath, pay the bills, and make adjustments. I think that most people on this forum keep their lifestyle affordable to the point that they will just have a lower savings rate for a few months instead of it being a dire emergency. What I had to break myself of doing is setting up my budget only for the best case scenario because every time I failed to meet the target, I just felt like a failure and then I get demotivated.
Kind of what I do to.....it is what it is.
In my opinion, many on here underestimate their FIRE needs. Without experiencing some phases of life, it is easy to underestimate how much it will cost for "life". Better to be awakened by the information and plan accordingly rather than finding out after pulling the plug that costs are more than anticipated.
This.
This is why I;
Don't budget. The cost of Life is always changing. So many variables.
Track my expenses (aka spending) to know how much it costs and have a rough plan. I use 4 credit cards for specific things to maximize my rewards and track expenses.
Have an operating (aka life) fund instead of an emergency fund. These facets of life are not emergencies. They would be if I didn't have the funds.
Yeah, in the past year I've had to replace the AC and furnace at my place....and yesterday the water heater died. I'm stressing a little about it. I've got the cash so it'll be ok but it has been weighing on my mind.
One thing I've started doing in my expenses tracking is that I have a column that calculates average monthly expenses over the last 6mos, one that calculates average monthly expenses over the last 12 months....and now I'm thinking that maybe I'll add one for average monthly expenses over 24 or 36 months.
HG/Geek
House Stuff - I definitely track my expenses and have an Emergency Fund. But I do budget replacement (based on age) and repairs (estimate based on murphy's law) and put the amount in a separate account each month. My HVAC is about 18 years old - past the prime for the AC but should be 5 +/- years left for heater - I have an amount set aside to replace the whole system because it could go anytime or repairs/maintenance might not be worth it at some point - if its replaced I won't have to worry about it for a very long time (if ever as I will likely sell the house before then).
Some of this is attributed to being in a new (to me) house - so you really don't know what is wrong, how it was maintained previously, or how long it will last.
Car stuff
The car thing is a bit different 10 years old and fine, but if something major fails or maintenance/repairs (outside of wear/tear stuff like oil/brakes) becoming too high then may be time to replace - have no clue what amount to budget for that or when. Its also a function of how much you do and don't drive, which sometimes not driving can be as bad as driving, if you don't drive that much it might actually be harder to plan because things break down outside of normal mileage ranges simply due to age or not being used.
Health/Dental
Family of five on HDHP, no way to really plan for this in the budget accurately. 100% of full family deductible/out of pocket costs seems ridiculous but it could happen - EF might cover it for a bit, but who knows. Some smaller amount might be ok or might be completely insufficient. We have been relatively healthy but that could change.