It's tricky to know the general mood of the population, a few voices can shout very loudly. Roy Morgan poll shows Victorians overwhelmingly in favour of the restrictions - but then who are the thousands of people who've contacted the crossbench MPs? Who knows, really.
I think the upper house cross-benchers will give Andrews his extension of the state of emergency, whether it's for a month or 12 months doesn't matter because once they've granted him one extension, they've now joined him in the sunk cost fallacy that we just have to keep doing the same thing until we get different results.
The real pressure, I think, will come when the federal money runs short. September 28th JobKeeper and JobSeeker are dropping, so people will go into the pre-Christmas period already feeling grumpy. Most likely he'll have to open up in December to let people do Christmas shopping. How about family gatherings? Well, either he allows them and (combined with the shopping centre mingling) we get a surge of cases in January, or he doesn't allow them in which case they go ahead and do them anyway, and we are treated to scenes of armed uniformed police officers issuing fines to grandma at Christmas lunch, or dragging the half-drunk dad in his stubbies off the barbeque.
Then just before New Year we get news that cases are rising again, and people start wondering if we'll go back to heavy restrictions. The Premier says he can't rule anything out and must follow the data. Then on January 4th, the dole drops again.
Then in March JobKeeper ends, and (it's not been specified) presumably the dole drops yet again.
I can't see how this is viable, politically. I don't think he and his advisors have thought this through.
There needs to be a path out of this which does not have states of emergency and endless lockdowns and people fined for going to skate parks.