Author Topic: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?  (Read 1786 times)

neonlight

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Hi,

A very simple question, how is inflation calculated. When travelling in different countries the "real inflation" like price of coffee simply feels different from the reported inflation. Eg: everytime I visit Chna I feel that the inflation is much higher than the US but the reported rate (national census) is still lower.
« Last Edit: May 10, 2019, 08:03:11 PM by neonlight »

Boll weevil

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Re: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?
« Reply #1 on: May 10, 2019, 04:35:31 PM »
The gist of it is that prices go up over time.

Think of what you used to pay for something versus what you are charged today. So about 15 years ago I used to be able to buy 24 cans of a name-brand soft drink for ~$6.00. Today its ~$8.50. When I was in high school, a gallon of gas was just passing through $1/gallon. Now I live in a lower cost of living area of the country and it's ~$2.60/gallon. That's inflation.

In those cases its overt. Sometimes it's more hidden. Look at ice cream. It used to come in 2 quart boxes. Today it's often 1.5 quart boxes. But did price go down? No. That's also inflation.

Unless you're in a hyperinflation environment or paying extreme attention to prices, it's not something you'll notice on a daily basis.

You also may have to consider the details about how inflation is calculated. Sometimes food and energy are either not included or they are somehow adjusted because price changes can be fast and/or depend on season.

There's also a method called chained inflation which popped up again in the news recently. This adjusts the rate down by assuming consumers will change their habits as prices increase. One common example is that if the price of beef goes up, people will eat more chicken, and that means a consumer's expenses aren't going up as fast as would be suggested by a fixed basket of goods.

SunnyDays

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Re: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?
« Reply #2 on: May 12, 2019, 10:18:06 PM »
One thing I’ve always wondered is where does inflation actually start?  Maybe it’s a dumb question, but who first decides they want more for their product or service that gets the domino effect going?

Bloop Bloop

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Re: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?
« Reply #3 on: May 13, 2019, 01:07:21 AM »
Low inflation is best for prudent saving/investing. High inflation leads to volatility, eroding value of savings and a vicious cycle of wage increases/inflation.

Generally the worst the broader economy does, the better off you will be, if you're in the accumulation phase.

Boll weevil

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Re: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?
« Reply #4 on: May 13, 2019, 11:15:19 AM »
One thing I’ve always wondered is where does inflation actually start?  Maybe it’s a dumb question, but who first decides they want more for their product or service that gets the domino effect going?

It depends.

Sometimes the underlying expenses go up. In the example of soft drinks, you've got your raw ingredients, packaging, production equipment, labor, marketing, and other expenses, and anything left over after those expenses is profit. So if raw ingredient prices go up, the company can either keep sales price the same, reducing profits, or they can increase the sales price just enough to cover the increased costs by keep profits the same, or they can increase the sales price so much that profits go up too. Same goes for packaging costs (usually aluminum or plastic), production equipment (new factories), labor (wage increases), marketing (sponsorships, advertisements), and so forth.

Other times there's more demand for a product than there is supply, so prices are raised because people are willing and able to pay.

And then sometimes prices go up simply because the sellers want more money.

habanero

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Re: How is a country's inflation rate reflected in daily life?
« Reply #5 on: May 13, 2019, 12:02:47 PM »
Hi,

A very simple question, how is inflation calculated. When travelling in different countries the "real inflation" like price of coffee simply feels different from the reported inflation. Eg: everytime I visit Chna I feel that the inflation is much higher than the US but the reported rate (national census) is still lower.

Inflation is calculated on a basket of goods and services which is supposed to reflect general spending patterns. So the basket changes over time as products and services available change, things go out of circulation and new stuff arrives. Some things are quite hard to track as new products come and go but the essential product is still the same. Think groceries, for example. In your daily life you might only be subject to part of the basket as there is stuff you don't really consume. If you own your residence and plan to stay there - the rent component in inflation does't really matter much to you. If you don't fly, airline tickets don't matter much to you etc.

For the US you can read here - its a lot of work involved as you can see.
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/questions-and-answers.htm

Here (Norway) the national statistics office get detailed transaction data directly from the tills in supermarkets and they employ all sorts of techniques to track changes in spending patters that are temporary (stuff is on sale and people load up and don't buy more for an extended period, then resume regular spending after some time) or permanet (habits change, products disappear, get replaced etcetc).

Its all rather complex stuff and very important to keep track of for obvious reasons.

Edit: The Buerau of Lbor Statistics has provided a direct answer to your question:
https://www.bls.gov/cpi/factsheets/averages-and-individual-experiences-differ.htm




« Last Edit: May 13, 2019, 12:09:34 PM by habaneroNorway »