You sound like someone who doesn't like or care about the reasons that many areas are expensive (or the reasons that people like those areas). And I get that. Not every place is for every person. But you also seem overly dismissive of other people's preferences that do care about those things. If someone loves the fishing in some more remote area, or values miles of dessert hiking, or whatever, I'm not going to say, "why live in that place, because probably only >1% of people use those things every day." That's a meaningless statistic when you are looking at an *individual's* choice.
I can only speak for myself, but when I lived <15 minute walk from the beach? I was there 4+ times a week. And that doesn't include all the times I dined outside because of the amazing weather. When I lived within fairly easy access of DC's museums and other offerings? At least once a month. I was in a truly walkable neighborhood so nearly all my errands were on foot (made nicer by great weather). And the list goes one. So sure, there are people who live in [Insert HCOLA Here] and don't take advantage of them, but even thing I think most are explained by having ended up there [birth, moved as a kid, got a job] and staying, or having family.
Contrast that with my current location (still great DC, but out in the burbs because DH's job moved and we prioritized a short commute, at the expense of easy access to DC). I'd say right now, the weather here affects me every day. I'm sensitive to heat, and I'm crazy reactive to mosquito bites, and also somehow very attractive to the little blood-sucking fuckers. I loath going outside this time of year. I'd say the weather here affects my life in a not-insignificant way every day during the summer. So even when I wasn't strolling on the beach or dining al fresco, I was still benefitting from San Diego's amazing weather.
I get that these things aren't important to you, but to think that they are kind fake for everyone else, who just secretly like saying, "I live in [Expensive place]" to try to impress people? It just doesn't make sense and doesn't track with everything I've witnessed. I won't say there are zero people who do that (though even then, I'd question whether it's truly the *reason* they live in an expensive area, and not just something they find to be a nice benefit). But I'd say it is a tiny minority. It's almost like you like bragging that you don't live in a HCOLA, which is exactly what you are accusing the other side of. And even then, I wouldn't suggest that's the reason you choose to live there--just a nice unintended consequence you seem to enjoy.
Not so. I'm trying to find a reasonable explanation for why people are paying a difference in money that is enough money to retire in some places so that they can own a bungalow in place X versus a bungalow in place Y. My point was that access to amenities cannot explain the difference. Perhaps you are saying that (a) you'll use whatever local amenities are available wherever you live, be it beaches, museums, or cultural opportunities, or (b) there are certain clusters of amenities that multiply the appeal of certain places. I'll agree with (a) to an extent, but point out that this is a reason to go LCOL, because you'll enjoy the amenities regardless of where you are. Regarding (b) the problem is explaining why each mix of features is more desirable than another mix. I.e. If Southern California is very expensive because it has a pleasant climate and has access to beaches and downhill skiing, then why is Toronto also expensive when it is cold, dark, and lacks a beach or downhill skiing. I'm not saying Toronto doesn't have appeal, but pointing out that at some point we are overfitting our explanations to the observed phenomenon and coming up with weird ideas about how maybe the cluster of amenities in expensive Toronto must be highly appealing but the cluster of amenities in Buffalo, NY must not be appealing because of some tiny details.
First: just a random check show that average home prices in Bentonville, Arkansas (the MTB capital) is $540k. Not exactly LCOL I think? So, yeah; nice "feature" makes a lot of people want to live there! Who woulda thunk!
Mansions drive up the mean. The median home value in next door Fayetteville, AR is $255k, close to the national average, and median rents are below the national average.
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/fact/table/fayettevillecityarkansas,US/PST045222And Fayetteville/Bentonville are kinda fancy for the Ozarks region. In Fort Smith, AR, Russelville, AR, or Springfield, MO the median home price is around $130-140k. Each of those college cities are surrounded by hundreds of miles of mountain biking trails of all grades, thousands of miles of hiking, great kayaking creeks and rivers, and large freshwater lakes.
You're missing the entire population of people who are culturally not compatible with a lot of smaller communities.
I can see how first-gen immigrants might benefit from an ethnic enclave where other people speak their native language and maybe have no other options to live a satisfactory life, but is this population big enough - and more importantly wealthy enough - to push housing prices to such unaffordable levels? Eh... I don't think it's the immigrants' fault.
Again, I'm not saying people SHOULD live on a rural dirt road in Mississippi instead of Toronto; I'm saying there are a lack of rational reasons to explain differences in the cost of living.
If HCOL areas are expensive because they are relatively low-racism places, then we are at a loss to explain how a black person is better off in Los Angeles (9.6% black) than in the state of Georgia (32.6% black) where they are a much bigger minority. It would seem the racism disincentive would push the Georgia residents to less-racist places, but I've seen no sign that a migration of black refugees is what's pushing up costs in HCOL areas. It's not black folks' fault either. Not to mention this whole possibility rests on the unproven assumption that places like LA or NYC are actually less discriminatory than places like Georgia. It seems many HCOL cities are actually highly segregated (e.g. Los Angeles -> Watts, Compton... Chicago -> South Side) and have well-documented police brutality problems so we should be careful with this assumption. Are people trapped in racist hellholes across the South and Midwest wishing they could move to a HCOL city? Are they bidding up the cost of living from afar with the tens of thousands of dollars they managed to save while living in a racist hellhole? And then if racist places are cheap because POC are moving out, wouldn't that create an arbitrage opportunity for whites who won't suffer as much from the racism? This theory is getting complicated quick!
Again, people *should* live wherever they want, but even cultural factors seem to fade as a possible explanation for the price difference. Yes, some people can't imagine living more than a mile from Broadway and others can't imagine living where they can't raise chickens, but this doesn't seem to be a supply and demand kind of thing.
One possibility I'm considering is that the high baseline costs of living are pushing low-education/low-earnings people out of HCOL areas and into LCOL areas. I.e. a gentrification chain reaction is to blame. That aligns somewhat with the demographic / cultural data, but not completely. According to this theory, as high-ed/high-earn people concentrate in an area, they raise the cost of living for the LE/LE people, eventually persuading some marginal number of them to move to cheaper areas. As the population tilts more toward HE/HE, the gentrification process takes off and eventually prices out all but the most stubborn LE/LE people. This reaches a limit of course - LE wages should rise as LE workers became more scarce, and as costs rose ever higher more HE/HE people would eventually take the incentive and move to lower-cost areas. Nonetheless, a stable equilibrium could occur where some places are more HE/HE and others more LE/LE.