So, this is so depressing. A few days ago I allowed myself to dream and ran some numbers on FIREcalc. Something remotely resembling ER seemed possible, if I pay off my $12,000 debt soon, decrease my spending a bit more (time to become really badass) and increase my income significantly through some sort of career change. I got to something like a 97% success rate.
Then... I ran the same scenario on cFIREsim, and it completely tanked. As in, 0% success. Was FIREcalc just too good to be true? Is cFIREsim telling me, "forget about it. I'm the REAL retirement calculator, and you ain't nowhere close to even just plain old traditional retirement, let alone FIRE. Go back to the grind and stay there forever, you freakin' loser!"
Or... Did I mess up something? How can this be? Oh, this is so, so, depressing.