I know I'm about to get face punched. But here is my thinking; please correct my logic where I am misguided.
situation: We're pretty healthy, financially speaking. We have 15 year low fixed rate mortgage and are maxing out retirement plans each year. I am on track to FIRE at age 51 (16 years from now). Husband is already self employed and works from home. No consumer debt, no student loan debt. We definitely live BELOW our means as far as shopping, vacactions etc.
Anyways, for several years we've been doing the "pay cash for a used car and drive it into the ground" thing. It used to work quite well for us. We would spend $3,000-$8,000 cash on a used car and usually get at least 4-6 years out of it with minimal maintenance expenses.
Lately it seems this plan isn't working out any more. Maybe it's just bad luck or maybe cars just aren't going as long as they used to, but in the last 3 years we've been BURNED in the used car world. We've spent a total of $17,500 between 3 different used cars and lost our shirts on all 3 of them. All 3 became undriveable within less than 2 years (unless we wanted to buy new engines/transmissions that cost more than the value of the car). In the end we ended up salvaging/selling the 3 cars for a total $5,000 so the total cost was $12,500 over 3 years.
But the worst part, for me, is the nearly constant stress, anxiety and uncertainty of needing to rely on something that is unreliable. As a family with small children a certain amount of safety and dependability is a must in a car. Also, we made the decision to move away from our home towns and as a result we road trip 3-4x per year to visit family (~800 miles round trip each trip).
This all boils down to this weekend being stranded when the transmission died in a car we recently paid $3,000 for just 5 months ago. Not only can we kiss that money goodbye, but I have places I need to be and my weekend is ruined!!
THE LEASE TERMS
so I dragged myself to the Kia dealership and signed up for a 36 month lease on a 2016 Kia Soul for $199 per month (30,000 mile maximum which we should comfortably be under). My auto insurance went up by $51 per month because of the full coverage. so a total new cost of $250 per month. fuel economy is basically the same (slightly better with the Kia Soul). the first 2 oil changes are free from the dealership.
maintenance and warranty
Now I have the peace of mind that for 3 years I will have essentially no car problems. I looked at the maintenance schedule: oil change each 7,500 miles and a 15,000 all points inspection which runs $105 at today's dealership prices (before coupons). so I should have to pay for about 1 oil change and 1 inspection. possibly tires, but probably not. and of course there is a bumper to bumper warranty. If I figure the oil change will run me about $30-$50 (depending on coupons) then I will be spending about $155 on maintenance. The lease also comes with free roadside assistance including towing up to 150 miles and free "gap" insurance which basically means if I total the car and there is a discrepancy between value and money owed, the slate is wiped clean and I can walk away.
Conclusion:
Assuming no tires or unforseen expenses, I will spend $7,319 over 36 months or $203 per month. +$51 in increased insurance so $254 per month.
compare that with the last 3 years where I have effectively spent $347 per month and have been plagued with uncertainty and stress as well as time spent researching, test driving and buying used cars (it's not like we buy the first one we go and look at).....
I know the mustachians will generally hate that I have leased a car, but I can afford it and I actually feel a good amount of peace about this decision. Let the facepunching commence!