Author Topic: 2026 FIRE Cohort  (Read 173689 times)

wageslave23

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #550 on: April 09, 2025, 06:32:53 AM »
Does anyone else feel their FIRE date quickly slipping away over the last couple of weeks? I haven’t posted in this thread before despite roughly planning on a summer 2026 date because my actual date is likely to be significantly impacted by the timing of the sale of my current company.  Up until a few weeks ago it looked like worst case even if company didn’t sell I’d probably be able to quit next year anyway if I was willing to just give up on my equity. Now my spreadsheet thinks I won’t make my number until 2027 even with potential sale proceeds, and I haven’t even adjusted for possible inflation.


For the first time I found myself unable to bring myself to make my usual monthly investment on pay day this month, preferring to keep it in cash for now.  I haven’t figured out yet if that’s because what the market is reacting to seems so capricious or if it has something to do with it being only a year out, but I don’t like it.

The markets go up and down. It's what they do. Could the market still be down by next year? Sure. Will it? Who knows, but I wouldn't worry about it too much. Just be glad you didn't retire at the beginning of this year.

marblejane

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #551 on: April 09, 2025, 07:04:10 AM »
Does anyone else feel their FIRE date quickly slipping away over the last couple of weeks? I haven’t posted in this thread before despite roughly planning on a summer 2026 date because my actual date is likely to be significantly impacted by the timing of the sale of my current company.  Up until a few weeks ago it looked like worst case even if company didn’t sell I’d probably be able to quit next year anyway if I was willing to just give up on my equity. Now my spreadsheet thinks I won’t make my number until 2027 even with potential sale proceeds, and I haven’t even adjusted for possible inflation.


For the first time I found myself unable to bring myself to make my usual monthly investment on pay day this month, preferring to keep it in cash for now.  I haven’t figured out yet if that’s because what the market is reacting to seems so capricious or if it has something to do with it being only a year out, but I don’t like it.

How much cash do you have on hand? I stopped investing in the market in October 2024 in order to build a cash cushion for retirement. I have about 1.5 years of expenses in cash now and another 3-4 years in bonds. It’s not timing the market if it is part of the plan.

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #552 on: April 09, 2025, 08:51:21 AM »
Make a plan and stick to it is a recurring theme.  Flexibility is part of the plan.  Reacting to markets must be taken into account but I'm still having trouble predicting the future.  I have faith in the plan.

I started putting 50% into bonds as the market was going up last year to soften the blow of any market downturn.  Didn't feel good as the market kept going up.  Now I'm resisting the urge to shove it into stocks.

I hope this tariff tiff is short lived because no one knows what is going to happen.  And all of us are going to find out.

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #553 on: April 09, 2025, 03:09:38 PM »
Adding this near the top of the page so it’s easier to find and modify:

Roll Call as of April 2025 -  please let me know if there are changes or updates.

                  Month   Age
afuera          October   35
Arbitrage                          48
Ardrum
asauer             May

elysianfields      
farmecologist   
FIGardengrl   January     59
fireready           March   50

FREE_MULCH    April

frugaldevil           summer   49

Focus_on_the_fire  October 59

grantmeaname   March   34
Highbeam          July
LinneaH           December   54
marblejane   Early year   42
Milkshake         June         33
mucchad            March
Nutty           June           56
OttawaNeal   December   46

OurTown           January

pdxvandal        October

PlanetDee           December   35
Purple_Crayon   December   40
redherring           July           53
regulationstache   September   
Republic DC-9     June.        49

Scottnews      Coasting…
Shuchong       OYL to April 2025

Steveray7071     March       40
tj                   End Of Year   41

Tom Bri             July              Low 60s
Turtle           June                   58
« Last Edit: June 10, 2025, 02:05:15 PM by Turtle »

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #554 on: April 09, 2025, 03:16:59 PM »
Does anyone else feel their FIRE date quickly slipping away over the last couple of weeks? I haven’t posted in this thread before despite roughly planning on a summer 2026 date because my actual date is likely to be significantly impacted by the timing of the sale of my current company.  Up until a few weeks ago it looked like worst case even if company didn’t sell I’d probably be able to quit next year anyway if I was willing to just give up on my equity. Now my spreadsheet thinks I won’t make my number until 2027 even with potential sale proceeds, and I haven’t even adjusted for possible inflation.


For the first time I found myself unable to bring myself to make my usual monthly investment on pay day this month, preferring to keep it in cash for now.  I haven’t figured out yet if that’s because what the market is reacting to seems so capricious or if it has something to do with it being only a year out, but I don’t like it.

The markets go up and down. It's what they do. Could the market still be down by next year? Sure. Will it? Who knows, but I wouldn't worry about it too much. Just be glad you didn't retire at the beginning of this year.

Welcome to the thread @dhc - hope you get to stick around.  We have almost 9 months to go before the start of 2026, so there’s some time to evaluate how this is all shaking out.

I did some diversification over the past year which has helped to some degree, but I’m not sitting on as much of a cash cushion as some folks.  For now, my plans remain the same, but I won’t completely rule out doing one more year.  2027 is my hard stop, though.

BicycleB

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #555 on: April 10, 2025, 05:43:13 PM »
I just passed 18 years of service, and got my friendly invitation to attend a friendly (and mandatory) Transition Assistance Program initial interview. It will be very friendly. And mandatory. Show up or else. The email has made my timeline start to shift from an abstract "someday," to "wow, real forking soon dagum jimminy cripes."  But less, uh, friendly words.

Sidebar conversation: the Gulf of Maine is pretty sporty right now, and the ship has this kinda jerky corkscrew motion. Folks of lesser moral constitution (cadets) find the motion upsetting to their inner ear. The Commanding Officer (me!) finds their whining and horking tedious, and I've ordered them clipped to the lifelines on the helo deck until their morale improves. Have you ever seen a wet owl? They look like wet owls.

@Sailor Sam, I am happy that you continue sailoring, commanding, etc. Thought of you when I saw this, despite it being from a different service and different accent - I can only imagine how many of your owls feel this way about you.

https://www.youtube.com/shorts/ASqh2cY5T7c
« Last Edit: April 10, 2025, 05:45:25 PM by BicycleB »

PlanetDee

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #556 on: April 11, 2025, 06:42:31 AM »
I have no idea right now if we’ll be able to make 2026 - so many unknowns at this point. But I will stay in this cohort until closer to my date to make that assessment.

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #557 on: April 11, 2025, 07:06:01 AM »
I have no idea right now if we’ll be able to make 2026 - so many unknowns at this point. But I will stay in this cohort until closer to my date to make that assessment.
Yes, lots of unknowns for all of us.  I'm staying flexible and making ready for the next step but nothing is definite.  Best of luck!

FIGardengrl

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #558 on: April 11, 2025, 08:39:33 PM »
Does anyone else feel their FIRE date quickly slipping away over the last couple of weeks? I haven’t posted in this thread before despite roughly planning on a summer 2026 date because my actual date is likely to be significantly impacted by the timing of the sale of my current company.  Up until a few weeks ago it looked like worst case even if company didn’t sell I’d probably be able to quit next year anyway if I was willing to just give up on my equity. Now my spreadsheet thinks I won’t make my number until 2027 even with potential sale proceeds, and I haven’t even adjusted for possible inflation.


For the first time I found myself unable to bring myself to make my usual monthly investment on pay day this month, preferring to keep it in cash for now.  I haven’t figured out yet if that’s because what the market is reacting to seems so capricious or if it has something to do with it being only a year out, but I don’t like it.

The markets go up and down. It's what they do. Could the market still be down by next year? Sure. Will it? Who knows, but I wouldn't worry about it too much. Just be glad you didn't retire at the beginning of this year.

Welcome to the thread @dhc - hope you get to stick around.  We have almost 9 months to go before the start of 2026, so there’s some time to evaluate how this is all shaking out.

I did some diversification over the past year which has helped to some degree, but I’m not sitting on as much of a cash cushion as some folks.  For now, my plans remain the same, but I won’t completely rule out doing one more year.  2027 is my hard stop, though.

For better or worse, 2026 is the hard stop.  On the upside, I rebalanced in January (out of stocks into bonds) so the losses have not been as great as they might have been.  I had to talk myself into it because, you know, "Wow have you looked at the stock market lately?" but being so close, the rational move is to de-risk. We have two years' expenses in cash, another 7 in bonds, and I have the option to work 1-2 days/week indefinitely.  The question is, do I really want to?  Hang in there everybody!

Republic DC-9

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #559 on: April 12, 2025, 07:17:55 AM »
@Turtle , please add me to the 2026 Cohort - I’m targeting June of next year, Age 49.

At $1.467 after the recent presidential nonsense this week, trying to save up to $1.7M as (hopefully) SWR number which I should be able to do if I continue saving and my job doesn’t disappear somehow.

Modeling shows that we’d be OK 96.5% of the time where we now with slightly higher spend than current, but going for a bit more buffer.

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #560 on: April 14, 2025, 05:27:37 PM »
@Turtle , please add me to the 2026 Cohort - I’m targeting June of next year, Age 49.

At $1.467 after the recent presidential nonsense this week, trying to save up to $1.7M as (hopefully) SWR number which I should be able to do if I continue saving and my job doesn’t disappear somehow.

Modeling shows that we’d be OK 96.5% of the time where we now with slightly higher spend than current, but going for a bit more buffer.

Added you to the list. 

Republic DC-9

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #561 on: April 18, 2025, 10:27:04 AM »
@Turtle , please add me to the 2026 Cohort - I’m targeting June of next year, Age 49.

At $1.467 after the recent presidential nonsense this week, trying to save up to $1.7M as (hopefully) SWR number which I should be able to do if I continue saving and my job doesn’t disappear somehow.

Modeling shows that we’d be OK 96.5% of the time where we now with slightly higher spend than current, but going for a bit more buffer.

Added you to the list.

Thank you!

In other news, my buddy at work and I had fun with pension calculations, and I taught him to have fun with FIRECalc.  And I found that if I retire next year, my pension will actually be nearly twice as much at age 67 as what I thought.  Interestingly, and sadly, it really didn’t impact my success rate % as I jacked up spending in the model at all, probably because it arrives later in life and spending more out of the gate would impact compounding.  But still cool.

Glad to be a part of this cohort, I don’t have to work today and am spending it lazily reading a new book and my tablet in the sun while songbirds make a major racket and clouds drift by.  I find this preferable to my quite stressful, fluorescent lit workday yesterday. :)

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #562 on: April 21, 2025, 09:02:20 AM »
Glad to be a part of this cohort, I don’t have to work today and am spending it lazily reading a new book and my tablet in the sun while songbirds make a major racket and clouds drift by.  I find this preferable to my quite stressful, fluorescent lit workday yesterday. :)
Sounds like you are practicing retirement already!  LOL

I did neglected yardwork (last year was "eventful") and started fixing the fence.  I've got a 4x4 post that needs replacing, which means I need to inspect the other ones a little closer.  The soil got pushed up and the soil to air interface is rotting.  I'm started to think the whole section just needs a rebuild.  Good news is that I've started.

asauer

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #563 on: April 22, 2025, 04:54:03 PM »
I really need a pep talk.  I feel like I'm going to be crawling over the finish line next year.  I've been working with my current organization for 3 years. The first 6 months were pretty good then my boss left to be replaced with someone who is objectively incompetent both in the subject matter and in management.  Then 7 months ago the organization was acquired by private equity (gag) and the CEO replaced so now it has become hurry up and do 500 things with no resources.  The only saving grace is that I work remotely and have slightly more flexibility than if I worked in the office.  If I don't get laid off, it will be an absolute drag into next year.  I've been applying elsewhere but I feel like I'm so done working.  Need some encouragement from this crowd!

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #564 on: April 23, 2025, 08:09:20 AM »
I really need a pep talk.  I feel like I'm going to be crawling over the finish line next year.  I've been working with my current organization for 3 years. The first 6 months were pretty good then my boss left to be replaced with someone who is objectively incompetent both in the subject matter and in management.  Then 7 months ago the organization was acquired by private equity (gag) and the CEO replaced so now it has become hurry up and do 500 things with no resources.  The only saving grace is that I work remotely and have slightly more flexibility than if I worked in the office.  If I don't get laid off, it will be an absolute drag into next year.  I've been applying elsewhere but I feel like I'm so done working.  Need some encouragement from this crowd!
How close to your goal are you?  As others have done, lean FIRE for a break while waiting for a better opportunity?  At some point the money doesn't justify the aggravation and that is a hard one to determine.

I was grinding out my previous job and then burned out.  I didn't know what to call it then, but it definitely was burnout.  Don't burnout.  Protect your mental state and unfortunately, it sounds like you are getting close.

This may not be the encouragement you were asking for.  As I get closer to 2026, I keep asking "why wait?".

Encouragement phase:
You can do it!  Look for the bright spots and bask in the job well done portion.  WFH but do you have a support group at work that can boost your attitude?

asauer

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #565 on: April 24, 2025, 07:36:55 AM »
I really need a pep talk.  I feel like I'm going to be crawling over the finish line next year.  I've been working with my current organization for 3 years. The first 6 months were pretty good then my boss left to be replaced with someone who is objectively incompetent both in the subject matter and in management.  Then 7 months ago the organization was acquired by private equity (gag) and the CEO replaced so now it has become hurry up and do 500 things with no resources.  The only saving grace is that I work remotely and have slightly more flexibility than if I worked in the office.  If I don't get laid off, it will be an absolute drag into next year.  I've been applying elsewhere but I feel like I'm so done working.  Need some encouragement from this crowd!
How close to your goal are you?  As others have done, lean FIRE for a break while waiting for a better opportunity?  At some point the money doesn't justify the aggravation and that is a hard one to determine.

I was grinding out my previous job and then burned out.  I didn't know what to call it then, but it definitely was burnout.  Don't burnout.  Protect your mental state and unfortunately, it sounds like you are getting close.

This may not be the encouragement you were asking for.  As I get closer to 2026, I keep asking "why wait?".

Encouragement phase:
You can do it!  Look for the bright spots and bask in the job well done portion.  WFH but do you have a support group at work that can boost your attitude?

Thanks!  My FIRE date is May 2026 so it's really close and I don't think I can do a break with only 12 months to go.  Unfortunately, the new CEO has sewn so much distrust and employees spying on employees that there's only one other person I can talk to now.  I think I'm going to focus on the reason I'm doing one more year which is to create a gift fund for my kids (ala Die With Zero).

marblejane

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #566 on: April 24, 2025, 09:36:36 AM »
I really need a pep talk.  I feel like I'm going to be crawling over the finish line next year.  I've been working with my current organization for 3 years. The first 6 months were pretty good then my boss left to be replaced with someone who is objectively incompetent both in the subject matter and in management.  Then 7 months ago the organization was acquired by private equity (gag) and the CEO replaced so now it has become hurry up and do 500 things with no resources.  The only saving grace is that I work remotely and have slightly more flexibility than if I worked in the office.  If I don't get laid off, it will be an absolute drag into next year.  I've been applying elsewhere but I feel like I'm so done working.  Need some encouragement from this crowd!
How close to your goal are you?  As others have done, lean FIRE for a break while waiting for a better opportunity?  At some point the money doesn't justify the aggravation and that is a hard one to determine.

I was grinding out my previous job and then burned out.  I didn't know what to call it then, but it definitely was burnout.  Don't burnout.  Protect your mental state and unfortunately, it sounds like you are getting close.

This may not be the encouragement you were asking for.  As I get closer to 2026, I keep asking "why wait?".

Encouragement phase:
You can do it!  Look for the bright spots and bask in the job well done portion.  WFH but do you have a support group at work that can boost your attitude?

Thanks!  My FIRE date is May 2026 so it's really close and I don't think I can do a break with only 12 months to go.  Unfortunately, the new CEO has sewn so much distrust and employees spying on employees that there's only one other person I can talk to now.  I think I'm going to focus on the reason I'm doing one more year which is to create a gift fund for my kids (ala Die With Zero).

Solidarity. I'm also in a terrible situation at work. I can't quit before the end of July without having to repay a sign-on bonus, it would also mean missing out on a large equity vest. I have been really scrutinizing all of my assumptions on my retirement plan - for example, I realized my spreadsheet had a loan payment in it continuing three years after the actual maturity date, so I had more padding on my number than I thought. Really, there's not an exact date we all hit FIRE - it's a time range, that varies with your risk tolerance.

There's a possibility still that I get laid off. Right now I am focusing on what I can control - surviving the next 3 months without resigning, and also doing thought exercises to reassure myself that even if I got laid off tomorrow, I would be fine. The plan is just a plan, and I am resilient and adaptable.

Have you taken PTO recently? Are you taking enough time off? Plan vacations, set limits on time spent on work, and talk to a therapist if possible about how you are feeling. You might even consider using FMLA to deal with your burnout. Even though it feels like the only option is to white knuckle it to the finish, there are lots of other options.

Republic DC-9

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #567 on: April 24, 2025, 02:26:45 PM »
Glad to be a part of this cohort, I don’t have to work today and am spending it lazily reading a new book and my tablet in the sun while songbirds make a major racket and clouds drift by.  I find this preferable to my quite stressful, fluorescent lit workday yesterday. :)
Sounds like you are practicing retirement already!  LOL

I did neglected yardwork (last year was "eventful") and started fixing the fence.  I've got a 4x4 post that needs replacing, which means I need to inspect the other ones a little closer.  The soil got pushed up and the soil to air interface is rotting.  I'm started to think the whole section just needs a rebuild.  Good news is that I've started.


Sounds like a great project!

Republic DC-9

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #568 on: April 24, 2025, 02:30:51 PM »
I really need a pep talk.  I feel like I'm going to be crawling over the finish line next year.  I've been working with my current organization for 3 years. The first 6 months were pretty good then my boss left to be replaced with someone who is objectively incompetent both in the subject matter and in management.  Then 7 months ago the organization was acquired by private equity (gag) and the CEO replaced so now it has become hurry up and do 500 things with no resources.  The only saving grace is that I work remotely and have slightly more flexibility than if I worked in the office.  If I don't get laid off, it will be an absolute drag into next year.  I've been applying elsewhere but I feel like I'm so done working.  Need some encouragement from this crowd!

Hang in there, and I’ll second the thought above that PTO is important - I’m enjoying that today and tomorrow, and using it to see (for a bit) what not going to work is like, while (hopefully) recharging so I can face the next year or so (planning on staying till next June for pension reasons.



Zamboni

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #569 on: April 26, 2025, 10:10:07 PM »
Count me in.

I will likely keep working until 2026. At that point my children will be finishing college and I can decide if I want to RE or semi-retire.

Wow, I posted this nearly 10 years ago.

Everyone who is feeling burned out or stressed out at work definitely has my sympathy. Been there with a few terrible bosses or jerky co-workers in the past. It sucks.

But, now that I enjoy my job, have tons of autonomy, and mostly like my colleagues, my employer just officially announced that there will be a reduction in force this summer and fall. Boo! It doesn't surprise me since the executive orders since January have put a huge dent in our annual operating budget. Many people are understandably nervous at work & acting weird. :-( And, even though I know I have a good financial cushion, it was stressing me out that I might lose my job involuntarily this year or next year.

So, I ran some cFIREsim numbers to see if I should be stressed out at all. I had not done that in years. At this point cFIREsim says there a 0% failure rate at any plausible scenario I can dream up. I can spend quite a bit more than I had planned, delay social security, stop adding to savings today, get only modest returns, live to 100, and still not run out of money, at least according to the inflation adjusted Monte Carlo simulation. I'd have to do something really, really out of character to goof up retirement at this point. That's crazy. I can't believe I did it.

And I'm very, very grateful to MMM and the people on this forum for guiding me over the past decade. I've learned a lot. I've made some really good decisions and some sub-optimal decisions along the way, but mostly I've stuck to the plan and stayed on track.

Republic DC-9

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #570 on: April 27, 2025, 01:44:58 PM »
Count me in.

I will likely keep working until 2026. At that point my children will be finishing college and I can decide if I want to RE or semi-retire.

Wow, I posted this nearly 10 years ago.

Everyone who is feeling burned out or stressed out at work definitely has my sympathy. Been there with a few terrible bosses or jerky co-workers in the past. It sucks.

But, now that I enjoy my job, have tons of autonomy, and mostly like my colleagues, my employer just officially announced that there will be a reduction in force this summer and fall. Boo! It doesn't surprise me since the executive orders since January have put a huge dent in our annual operating budget. Many people are understandably nervous at work & acting weird. :-( And, even though I know I have a good financial cushion, it was stressing me out that I might lose my job involuntarily this year or next year.

So, I ran some cFIREsim numbers to see if I should be stressed out at all. I had not done that in years. At this point cFIREsim says there a 0% failure rate at any plausible scenario I can dream up. I can spend quite a bit more than I had planned, delay social security, stop adding to savings today, get only modest returns, live to 100, and still not run out of money, at least according to the inflation adjusted Monte Carlo simulation. I'd have to do something really, really out of character to goof up retirement at this point. That's crazy. I can't believe I did it.

And I'm very, very grateful to MMM and the people on this forum for guiding me over the past decade. I've learned a lot. I've made some really good decisions and some sub-optimal decisions along the way, but mostly I've stuck to the plan and stayed on track.

Good for you, Zamboni - not good that you may have to leave a job involuntarily when it finally doesn’t suck, but glad the MMM lifestyle has you well prepared for whatever may lie ahead.

If one actually follows the advice of MMM’s articles (and those of JL Collins and others), it seems that one’s cFIREsim projections look pretty good.  We’re in that boat too, which is reassuring even if I’ve not stopped working.

What is sort of vexing (but what MMM clearly states) is that if you follow the articles, money will no longer be a primary concern - you’ll spend most of your time thinking about, worrying about, and doing OTHER things.

Hopefully if your job stops your excellent work preparing will make for a better experience and you’ll surely find some good in it to share with those of us approaching FIRE ourselves. :)

BicycleB

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #571 on: April 28, 2025, 11:49:10 AM »
Count me in.

I will likely keep working until 2026. At that point my children will be finishing college and I can decide if I want to RE or semi-retire.

Wow, I posted this nearly 10 years ago.

Everyone who is feeling burned out or stressed out at work definitely has my sympathy. Been there with a few terrible bosses or jerky co-workers in the past. It sucks.

But, now that I enjoy my job, have tons of autonomy, and mostly like my colleagues, my employer just officially announced that there will be a reduction in force this summer and fall. Boo! It doesn't surprise me since the executive orders since January have put a huge dent in our annual operating budget. Many people are understandably nervous at work & acting weird. :-( And, even though I know I have a good financial cushion, it was stressing me out that I might lose my job involuntarily this year or next year.

So, I ran some cFIREsim numbers to see if I should be stressed out at all. I had not done that in years. At this point cFIREsim says there a 0% failure rate at any plausible scenario I can dream up. I can spend quite a bit more than I had planned, delay social security, stop adding to savings today, get only modest returns, live to 100, and still not run out of money, at least according to the inflation adjusted Monte Carlo simulation. I'd have to do something really, really out of character to goof up retirement at this point. That's crazy. I can't believe I did it.

And I'm very, very grateful to MMM and the people on this forum for guiding me over the past decade. I've learned a lot. I've made some really good decisions and some sub-optimal decisions along the way, but mostly I've stuck to the plan and stayed on track.

Congratulations! You are officially FI now!

I dare you to celebrate by writing a resignation letter. :)

Highbeam

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #572 on: April 28, 2025, 12:24:45 PM »
Count me in.

I will likely keep working until 2026. At that point my children will be finishing college and I can decide if I want to RE or semi-retire.

Wow, I posted this nearly 10 years ago.

Everyone who is feeling burned out or stressed out at work definitely has my sympathy. Been there with a few terrible bosses or jerky co-workers in the past. It sucks.

But, now that I enjoy my job, have tons of autonomy, and mostly like my colleagues, my employer just officially announced that there will be a reduction in force this summer and fall. Boo! It doesn't surprise me since the executive orders since January have put a huge dent in our annual operating budget. Many people are understandably nervous at work & acting weird. :-( And, even though I know I have a good financial cushion, it was stressing me out that I might lose my job involuntarily this year or next year.

So, I ran some cFIREsim numbers to see if I should be stressed out at all. I had not done that in years. At this point cFIREsim says there a 0% failure rate at any plausible scenario I can dream up. I can spend quite a bit more than I had planned, delay social security, stop adding to savings today, get only modest returns, live to 100, and still not run out of money, at least according to the inflation adjusted Monte Carlo simulation. I'd have to do something really, really out of character to goof up retirement at this point. That's crazy. I can't believe I did it.

And I'm very, very grateful to MMM and the people on this forum for guiding me over the past decade. I've learned a lot. I've made some really good decisions and some sub-optimal decisions along the way, but mostly I've stuck to the plan and stayed on track.

Congratulations! You are officially FI now!

I dare you to celebrate by writing a resignation letter. :)

I think this is about the best situation to be involuntarily separated. Don't resign when you might have some sort of package coming.

BicycleB

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #573 on: April 29, 2025, 04:28:56 PM »
Count me in.

I will likely keep working until 2026. At that point my children will be finishing college and I can decide if I want to RE or semi-retire.

Wow, I posted this nearly 10 years ago.

Everyone who is feeling burned out or stressed out at work definitely has my sympathy. Been there with a few terrible bosses or jerky co-workers in the past. It sucks.

But, now that I enjoy my job, have tons of autonomy, and mostly like my colleagues, my employer just officially announced that there will be a reduction in force this summer and fall. Boo! It doesn't surprise me since the executive orders since January have put a huge dent in our annual operating budget. Many people are understandably nervous at work & acting weird. :-( And, even though I know I have a good financial cushion, it was stressing me out that I might lose my job involuntarily this year or next year.

So, I ran some cFIREsim numbers to see if I should be stressed out at all. I had not done that in years. At this point cFIREsim says there a 0% failure rate at any plausible scenario I can dream up. I can spend quite a bit more than I had planned, delay social security, stop adding to savings today, get only modest returns, live to 100, and still not run out of money, at least according to the inflation adjusted Monte Carlo simulation. I'd have to do something really, really out of character to goof up retirement at this point. That's crazy. I can't believe I did it.

And I'm very, very grateful to MMM and the people on this forum for guiding me over the past decade. I've learned a lot. I've made some really good decisions and some sub-optimal decisions along the way, but mostly I've stuck to the plan and stayed on track.

Congratulations! You are officially FI now!

I dare you to celebrate by writing a resignation letter. :)

I think this is about the best situation to be involuntarily separated. Don't resign when you might have some sort of package coming.

@Highbeam, you're absolutely right. Also, I somehow missed the part where Zamboni likes their job. Good catch!!

FREE_MULCH

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #574 on: May 06, 2025, 10:03:47 AM »
Thanks! Yes, fixed my typo above. 28x spending is the prediction for April 2026. The plan afterwards is to wrangle our little kiddos on a couple acres, road trips, camping, and soak it all in before they are school age. Once they reach that point... who knows.
A couple acres sounds great.  I recommend chickens.  A wonderful addition to any acreage that will eat ticks.  However, livestock and traveling doesn't work well unless you have a sitter.  And little people are a full time job.  I'm happy to hear about your coming adventures and wish you a healthy birth for the little one and momma.

BTW, free mulch makes wonderful chicken coop bedding that yields wonderful compost to feed the dirt.  It's the cycle of life, Simba.

Our 3.5 children (wife was blessed by her first marriage) are grown and gone.  We started early and are looking forward to retirement but only a little early.  We are still arguing on what that looks like.
Thank you for the kind words! Second kiddo is now 8 months old (wow, when did that happen?), momma is doing great.

We finished our home build, moved out to our acreage, and the chicken coop is in progress! Hope to be ready to take on 6-8 hens and a rooster in the coming months. Our builder ordered the wrong lumber for wrapping some beams during the home build, so we had about $600 of western red cedar 1x6 lumber for the coop siding and doors. It has been a great opportunity to learn basic carpentry, make plenty of mistakes, correct some of them, and keep my hands busy.

Still need to add trim on the corners, windows, create the doors, and install the hardware cloth around the bottom of the coop and chicken run.

I'm not sure how, but we're officially FI as of the latest market recovery. I think lucky timing on an investment rebalance helped, but it may all tank again tomorrow. Who knows! My wife entered her early retirement (read: wrangling two children under 3) a couple months ago, but I will continue chugging along at a low level until 12/2026 or I get laid off. Concentrating on funding a couple 529s until then.

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #575 on: May 06, 2025, 03:07:04 PM »
What a fancy chicken coop!  Congratulations on recycling the lumber.  Mine is needing a rebuild and I want to go to a Chick-saw.  Hopefully, this year.

A suggestion, get a section of gutter to attach to the back and a rain barrel.  Add those fancy self watering chicken waterers.  Much better than hauling water out to them and you can use the excess for plant water.

Arbitrage

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #576 on: May 07, 2025, 11:59:36 AM »
Ok, I'm going to throw my hat in this ring.  I'm already coast-FIRE as part of the 2021 cohort, but 2026 should be my full FIRE year.  For our family, coast-FIRE involved moving to our desired retirement location, but retaining part-time remote work.  We've managed to keep that situation going, and it's admittedly pretty darn good overall.  My wife's work, in particular, is grating on her more and more, but we've still kept the coast-OMY going because it's been hard to justify ditching the work in our current situation, with our costs rising somewhat and upcoming college expenses for two kids. 

However, I think 2026 will force us to pull the plug, one way or another.  Wife's company may not survive this year (though we've thought that in the past) and/or she may just reach her limit.  My company, while not part of the federal government, receives the majority of its funding from the feds.  Though we've mostly escaped direct impacts from DOGE and the current administration, I'm quite sure they're coming, likely as the fiscal year turns over this fall.  As a remote, part-time employee, I'd be very high on the chopping block. 

Even if neither of those comes to fruition, we aim to control our college costs, which involves reducing our income (to levels commensurate with our expenses) for 2027 and beyond, since that's the first year FAFSA will consider.  Thus, we need to cut the coast-FIRE cord by the end of 2026.  Ideally, I'd be laid off with a sweet severance sometime that year.  If that comes to pass, it'll be FIRE at age 48 after coast-FIRE at 43. 
« Last Edit: May 07, 2025, 12:12:18 PM by Arbitrage »

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #577 on: May 12, 2025, 09:03:23 AM »
Welcome!  Added you to the list.

I just got back last week from the longest vacation I’ve taken in a couple years.  It was involuntarily extended due to airline/airport snaffu, and I totally didn’t mind.  (The airline covered the extra 2 hotel nights, including a big breakfast/brunch with stay.). Feeling rejuvenated and ready for the final year push to the finish line.

There will be one more long time away from work between now and retirement.  I’d been planning on this October, but it might be moved out until springtime.


Purple_Crayon

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #578 on: May 12, 2025, 10:28:55 AM »
Hi Cohort friends!

DW and I have been going back and forth a lot with our plans. In 2023, we hit our number that we believed would comfortably cover LeanFIRE. After doing an exercise to determine a possible (but improbable) higher budget, and deciding to cover my parents' health insurance costs for a few years, we began targeting 12/01/2026 as my date. DW didn't have any concrete plans to stop working.

Since then, mom enrolled in Medicare (and dad's social security went up because of the Windfall law being repealed), DW lost her job (as of last Friday) with recent government spending cuts, but the stash has been (fairly) steadily growing.

A mixture of consistent stress at work (with no end in sight, as it's pretty much just how that industry runs), our growing FU money status, my increasing desire to work on passion projects (music, writing, board game design), and the fact that DW is now going to be writing full time, has had us pretty consistently chatting about me calling it this year instead of next.

With that in mind, I'm confident it's time to OLY into 2025, with a goal of my last day being December 1st. Thanks for letting me hang out with y'all! I'll definitely be cheering everyone on and reading all the updates!

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #579 on: May 12, 2025, 10:49:40 AM »
Congratulations! 

I’ll have to admit that there’s been times I’ve been tempted to pull the plug this year instead, but my youngest child is still on my health insurance through the end of December.

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #580 on: May 22, 2025, 12:11:40 PM »
Today marks 1 year until I give my notice, assuming I go with the standard 2 weeks. 

But I have to admit that the current state of the world has me alternating between wanting to hang it all up NOW and doing OMY.


FIPurpose

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #581 on: May 22, 2025, 04:02:35 PM »
I think I'm committed to staying on to my job til at least through 2028.

I still hold that inflation has dampened returns of the past 5 years or so that extending my original FIRE date of 2026 to really be 2027/2028.

By the end of 2029, we would be sitting on about 2MM. And I think I would be quite comfortable on that amount to retire on. Though I may continue on as a SWAMI even beyond that depending on how I feel about the job and life. I will never regret choosing to go down this path. I love that I now will always have the option of just no longer working if I don't want to. My current goals:

1. Pay off my house. If I am to retire sometime in the next 10 years, far better to do so with a paid off house and not require that withdraw money. I think I should be able to do so in about 9 years if things land right. Nothing major lost if I need to retire before then though.

2. I've been really focusing on my health recently. In the past 6 months, I've lost about 35 lbs, and started to wear the smallest waist I've had since middle school. Eating well (ie healthy) is a top priority for me.

3. We've been able to travel and take great trips. My current job, we get lots of vacation and I value that over salary any day of the week. We're going to Foz de Iguacu next month and I feel great that we have the ability to go and I don't feel like I'm losing time.

4. The unfortunate part is our difficulty in trying to expand our family. We're nearing the end of our capable years, but also have a lot of things happening. Finding time to have a kid has been difficult to figure out.

rantk81

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #582 on: May 22, 2025, 06:29:01 PM »
But I have to admit that the current state of the world has me alternating between wanting to hang it all up NOW and doing OMY.

Please tell me that you are going to "split the difference" :D

Nutty

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #583 on: May 23, 2025, 07:55:02 AM »
But I have to admit that the current state of the world has me alternating between wanting to hang it all up NOW and doing OMY.

Please tell me that you are going to "split the difference" :D
Aren't we all just one bad day away from retiring?  :)
If we are behind now, just wait until I leave and then you really will be behind and down a worker.  I work with a good team, but there is always that bad day looming around the corner.

Turtle is not the only one looking at OMY and wondering if it will be worth it.  Life is an adventure.  Be prepared for everything.

FIGardengrl

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #584 on: May 28, 2025, 08:27:45 PM »
Well I just completed my last - ever - 24-hour shift in the hospital.  I've got ten weeks of unspent vacation time (which is a sure sign I wasn't in a healthy place with work, not taking my PTO) which will take me through to August at my current pay but no actual work :)  Then I am going back one or two days/week until my youngest graduates from HS in June 2026.  I have absolutely no OMY inclination at all! Nice to have this forum to update and bounce ideas off.

grantmeaname

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #585 on: May 29, 2025, 04:17:11 AM »
Fuck yeah, congrats! What are you doing with yourself this summer?

Sailor Sam

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #586 on: May 29, 2025, 11:08:54 AM »
Amazing, @FIGardengrl! Congratulations. I hope you enjoy your terminal leave, and then your full time leave ;)

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #587 on: May 29, 2025, 12:08:04 PM »
Congrats @FIGardengrl !  Sounds like a great way to downshift along the way out.

FIGardengrl

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #588 on: May 30, 2025, 09:30:04 PM »
Fuck yeah, congrats! What are you doing with yourself this summer?
Heading out Sunday morning on a 7-day road trip with just the spouse (leaving our teenager to take care of the house and pets, we will see how that goes).  We are camping our way out to the coast and back, visiting family for one night in CA. Hoping to get some perspective on it all.  Then some visits to the two "launched" offspring and later this summer some trips with the aforementioned teenager to look at colleges.

But mostly I am going to take better care of myself, my veggie garden, my marriage, all the things that came second to the job all these years. Looking forward to it!

grantmeaname

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #589 on: May 31, 2025, 05:04:27 AM »
Sounds like a dream summer :)

JupiterGreen

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #590 on: May 31, 2025, 06:58:23 AM »
Fuck yeah, congrats! What are you doing with yourself this summer?
Heading out Sunday morning on a 7-day road trip with just the spouse (leaving our teenager to take care of the house and pets, we will see how that goes).  We are camping our way out to the coast and back, visiting family for one night in CA. Hoping to get some perspective on it all.  Then some visits to the two "launched" offspring and later this summer some trips with the aforementioned teenager to look at colleges.

But mostly I am going to take better care of myself, my veggie garden, my marriage, all the things that came second to the job all these years. Looking forward to it!

So I'm not actually in this cohort my "official" cohort is 2027, but I recently sort of partially REd (decreased hours) and now I'm in limbo as to my RE year so I read all of these threads. Anyway, I wanted to clarify that and tell you that I feel this hard. We are just starting to go through this process since extricating ourselves from a toxic work and living situation. Slowing down and actually smelling the roses, feeding the birds, walking in nature, finding out what you love about this world, your partner all over again, connecting with the people you love IRL through experience and conversation and not screens, it's all so healing. I love this for you. May you all have a magical adventure.

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #591 on: June 02, 2025, 12:43:19 PM »
One year countdown has commenced for me.  It feels somewhat surreal.

Jade

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #592 on: June 02, 2025, 01:41:17 PM »
Fuck yeah, congrats! What are you doing with yourself this summer?
Heading out Sunday morning on a 7-day road trip with just the spouse (leaving our teenager to take care of the house and pets, we will see how that goes).  We are camping our way out to the coast and back, visiting family for one night in CA. Hoping to get some perspective on it all.  Then some visits to the two "launched" offspring and later this summer some trips with the aforementioned teenager to look at colleges.

But mostly I am going to take better care of myself, my veggie garden, my marriage, all the things that came second to the job all these years. Looking forward to it!

So I'm not actually in this cohort my "official" cohort is 2027, but I recently sort of partially REd (decreased hours) and now I'm in limbo as to my RE year so I read all of these threads. Anyway, I wanted to clarify that and tell you that I feel this hard. We are just starting to go through this process since extricating ourselves from a toxic work and living situation. Slowing down and actually smelling the roses, feeding the birds, walking in nature, finding out what you love about this world, your partner all over again, connecting with the people you love IRL through experience and conversation and not screens, it's all so healing. I love this for you. May you all have a magical adventure.

I'm in a similar boat.. it will be the next few years but a number of factors means I'm not sure which yet. Good to read as motivation and can't quite believe it's possible still!

ardrum

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #593 on: June 03, 2025, 01:26:54 PM »
Due to continued rise in my targeted annual expenses, my multiples of yearly expenses saved is only at 17.25x instead of the 20-25x I had originally hoped to be at by 2025.  Hopefully I can stick to this new target for annual expenses (only adding inflation adjustments instead of real increases in my target budget).

So long as this new targeted spending is truly "enough," I think I can target 2026 for my FI year (departing the 2025 cohort).  OMYS is real, ugh, but it's not like I'm sitting at 30x and refusing to retire.  17.25x is just way too low IMO to still be realistically targeting 2025.

grantmeaname

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #594 on: June 03, 2025, 02:22:55 PM »
100% agreed. 17x is just not going to cut it, especially with the market at record highs. Stay the course.

mucchad

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #595 on: June 10, 2025, 08:54:56 AM »
I am a late addition to this cohort. Earlier this year I decided to pull the plug in 2026, if I am not let go before then.
I work in tech consulting, this whole sector become unstable a couple years back due to interest rate changes & AI layoffs, and now the instability has accelerated with the recent government contract cancellations and trade uncertainty putting lot of work on hold. As things stand now, I dont think I will be employed one way or another after March 2026.
I have been building up to this for about 10 years, so I am prepared for FIREing.  I am now looking closely at sequence of return risk. I am very worried if we are looking at huge changes in the economy with everything thats going on, and how my stash will hold up. I have almost 85% in VTSAX, and rest in bonds and t-bills. Right now I think that my 15% in bonds and t-bills may cover about 4 years of expense if we hit a bear market.
I am also working on my post FIRE life plans, the mental & social shift to being out of the job market.

If you are part of 2026 cohort, how are you preparing for the change from working to FIREd?
« Last Edit: June 10, 2025, 08:57:35 AM by mucchad »

Highbeam

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #596 on: June 10, 2025, 03:52:34 PM »

If you are part of 2026 cohort, how are you preparing for the change from working to FIREd?

Trying to think of gotchas. Like using income from the employed tax year to buy new cars instead of waiting until the retired time when reported income could squash the ACA subsidy.



Redherring

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #597 on: June 10, 2025, 10:03:32 PM »
I started counting down at 500 days. Now 262 days left. I should be excited but feel on one hand bored/impatient and on the other hand nervous

I am at 56X (with lavish spending planned) and shouldnt be worried but now getting thoughts like „well another bonus round (read: year) to get to 60X might be prudent?“ WTF? My biggest potential regret is not staying until my pension eligiblity, as this would cover all my future spend and no need to ever touch the nest egg. That would reset timer to 842 days 😢

So I guess it is either 262 or 842 days

I secretly wish to be fired to take the burden of the decision off (and get a severance)

the_hobbitish

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #598 on: June 11, 2025, 05:09:43 AM »
If you're at 56x why wait the 262 days?

Turtle

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Re: 2026 FIRE Cohort
« Reply #599 on: June 11, 2025, 07:52:53 AM »
Welcome to the thread @mucchad I’ve added you to the roll call further up this page.

If you haven’t seen this thread yet, there is a Pre-Fire checklist thread pinned to the top of the Post Retirement section.

https://forum.mrmoneymustache.com/post-fire/pre-fire-checklist/


 

Wow, a phone plan for fifteen bucks!