Author Topic: 20 Early Warning Signs That We Are Approaching A Global Economic Meltdown  (Read 7346 times)

blackjack

  • Stubble
  • **
  • Posts: 166
Quote
Have you been paying attention to what has been happening in Argentina, Venezuela, Brazil, Ukraine, Turkey and China? If you are like most Americans, you have not been. Most Americans don't seem to really care too much about what is happening in the rest of the world, but they should. In major cities all over the globe right now, there is looting, violence, shortages of basic supplies, and runs on the banks. We are not at a "global crisis" stage yet, but things are getting worse with each passing day. For a while, I have felt that 2014 would turn out to be a major "turning point" for the global economy, and so far that is exactly what it is turning out to be. The following are 20 early warning signs that we are rapidly approaching a global economic meltdown...


#1 The looting, violence and economic chaos that is happening in Argentina right now is a perfect example of what can happen when you print too much money...





 For Dominga Kanaza, it wasn’t just the soaring inflation or the weeklong blackouts or even the looting that frayed her nerves.

 It was all of them combined.

 At one point last month, the 37-year-old shop owner refused to open the metal shutters protecting her corner grocery in downtown Buenos Aires more than a few inches -- just enough to sell soda to passersby on a sweltering summer day.


#2 The value of the Argentine Peso is absolutely collapsing.

#3 Widespread shortages, looting and accelerating inflation are also causing huge problems in Venezuela...





 Economic mismanagement in Venezuela has reached such a level that it risks inciting a violent popular reaction. Venezuela is experiencing declining export revenues, accelerating inflation and widespread shortages of basic consumer goods. At the same time, the Maduro administration has foreclosed peaceful options for Venezuelans to bring about a change in its current policies.


 President Maduro, who came to power in a highly-contested election last April, has reacted to the economic crisis with interventionist and increasingly authoritarian measures. His recent orders to slash prices of goods sold in private businesses resulted in episodes of looting, which suggests a latent potential for violence. He has put the armed forces on the street to enforce his economic decrees, exposing them to popular discontent.


#4 In a stunning decision, the Venezuelan government has just announced that it has devalued the Bolivar by more than 40 percent.

#5 Brazilian stocks declined sharply on Thursday. There is a tremendous amount of concern that the economic meltdown that is happening in Argentina is going to spill over into Brazil.

#6 Ukraine is rapidly coming apart at the seams...





 A tense ceasefire was announced in Kiev on the fifth day of violence, with radical protesters and riot police holding their position. Opposition leaders are negotiating with the government, but doubts remain that they will be able to stop the rioters.


#7 It appears that a bank run has begun in China...






 As China's CNR reports, depositors in some of Yancheng City's largest farmers' co-operative mutual fund societies ("banks") have been unable to withdraw "hundreds of millions" in deposits in the last few weeks. "Everyone wants to borrow and no one wants to save," warned one 'salesperson', "and loan repayments are difficult to recover." There is "no money" and the doors are locked.


#8 Art Cashin of UBS is warning that credit markets in China "may be broken". For much more on this, please see my recent article entitled "The $23 Trillion Credit Bubble In China Is Starting To Collapse – Global Financial Crisis Next?"

#9 News that China's manufacturing sector is contracting shook up financial markets on Thursday...





 Wall Street was rattled by a key reading on China's manufacturing which dropped below the key 50 level in January, according to HSBC. A reading below 50 on the HSBC flash manufacturing PMI suggests economic contraction.


#10 Japanese stocks experienced their biggest drop in 7 months on Thursday.

#11 The value of the Turkish Lira is absolutely collapsing.

#12 The unemployment rate in France has risen for 9 quarters in a row and recently soared to a new 16 year high.

#13 In Italy, the unemployment rate has soared to a brand new all-time record high of 12.7 percent.

#14 The unemployment rate in Spain is sitting at an all-time record high of 26.7 percent.

#15 This year, the Baltic Dry Index experienced the largest two week post-holiday decline that we have ever seen.

#16 Chipmaker Intel recently announced that it plans to eliminate 5,000 jobs over the coming year.

#17 CNBC is reporting that U.S. retailers just experienced "the worst holiday season since 2008".

#18 A recent CNBC article stated that U.S. consumers should expect a "tsunami" of store closings in the retail industry...





 Get ready for the next era in retail—one that will be characterized by far fewer shops and smaller stores.

 On Tuesday, Sears said that it will shutter its flagship store in downtown Chicago in April. It's the latest of about 300 store closures in the U.S. that Sears has made since 2010. The news follows announcements earlier this month of multiple store closings from major department stores J.C. Penney and Macy's.

 Further signs of cuts in the industry came Wednesday, when Target said that it will eliminate 475 jobs worldwide, including some at its Minnesota headquarters, and not fill 700 empty positions.


#19 The U.S. Congress is facing another deadline to raise the debt ceiling in February.

#20 The Dow fell by more than 170 points on Thursday. It is becoming increasingly likely that "the peak of the market" is now in the rear view mirror.


 And I have not even mentioned the extreme drought that has caused the U.S. cattle herd to drop to a 61 year low or the nuclear radiation from Fukushima that is washing up on the west coast.

 In light of everything above, is there anyone out there that still wants to claim that "everything is going to be okay" for the global economy?

 Sadly, most Americans are not even aware of most of these things.

 All over the country today, the number one news headline is about Justin Bieber. The mainstream media is absolutely obsessed with celebrity scandals, and so is a very large percentage of the U.S. population.

A great economic storm is rapidly approaching, and most people don't even seem to notice the storm clouds that are gathering on the horizon.

In the end, perhaps we will get what we deserve as a nation.
20 Early Warning Signs That We Are Approaching A Global Economic Meltdown

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-01-24/20-early-warning-signs-we-are-approaching-global-economic-meltdown

Random

  • Stubble
  • **
  • Posts: 125
OMG, what did Justin do???

Blindsquirrel

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 690
  • Age: 6
  • Location: Flyover country
  Love zerohedge! Too negative on many things but absolutely spot on many. Manipulation of inflation and unemployment data by government is too funny for words. Loved it that the BLS reads the blog too.

iamlindoro

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1520
    • The Earth Awaits
What a load of horseshit.  Based on 25 days of 2014, and citing 20 disconnected and largely irrelevant factoids (Ukraine unrest is based on a popular desire to break ties with Russia, not economic factors; Venezuela has seen hyperinflation for *years*; Intel layoffs are a result of shifting market demands; JCP And Sears have been largely irrelevant institutions for years due to eCommerce and competition from new brands), someone feels they can forecast global economic meltdown?

I hope everyone who believes this garbage puts their money where their mouth is-- start shorting stocks and betting against the market.  I dare you.

wtjbatman

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1301
  • Age: 40
  • Location: Missouri
Sounds legit

Russ

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 2211
  • Age: 33
  • Location: Boulder, CO
convenient that there's a nice even number of them. makes it easier on the listmaker for sure.

Blindsquirrel

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 690
  • Age: 6
  • Location: Flyover country
       Short sold Patriot Coal PCXCQ.MX is what it now trades as and made mass bank. Did not sell enough short as it was pure speculation but it was a wise move.

iamlindoro

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1520
    • The Earth Awaits
       Short sold Patriot Coal PCXCQ.MX is what it now trades as and made mass bank. Did not sell enough short as it was pure speculation but it was a wise move.

#21 PCXQC.MX shorted, made money, SIGN OF IMMINENT WORLDWIDE COLLAPSE

If you really buy this garbage, then shorting everything should be a great strategy, right?

Khan

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 614
Scrolled to bottom of post, saw zerohedge, decided that's all I needed to see.

My bet is Blackjack IS zerohedge.

ch12

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 592
You might say that blackjack/zerohedge = doomsday sayers, but there is a little of the truth in there.

U.S. markets tumble as emerging-markets fear spreads http://on.wsj.com/1eKDHFI
Dow plunges 318 points; drops 3.5% for the week
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2014/01/24/stocks-friday/4816211/

Blindsquirrel

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 690
  • Age: 6
  • Location: Flyover country
   End of the world? Probably not, really almost never short stocks but when EPA regs on eliminating mercury emissions from coal plants came out Zero hedge had an article on it and a I have two coal miner friends who said the company would be bankrupt in 3 years. They were right. The funny thing is this is a satire site, their header even says on a long enough timeline, the chance of survival is zero. They have some funny (as in wildly negative to the point of Eor) posts and some that are spot on. The problem with dissing the the dudes in the tin foil hats is sometimes they are right. See NSA for more details. The Zerohedge folks are amusing if nothing else.

Jamesqf

  • Magnum Stache
  • ******
  • Posts: 4038
Dow plunges 318 points; drops 3.5% for the week

Humm... Back in October, the Dow rose 323 points in a single day: http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2013/10/10/stocks-thursday/2957483/  Guess that meant that the millenium had arrived, and eternal prosperity was assured, no?

But wait!  Back in June, it dropped 550 points in two days.  Guess that meant that the sky was falling economy was collapsing, yes?

ch12

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 592
Dow plunges 318 points; drops 3.5% for the week

Humm... Back in October, the Dow rose 323 points in a single day: http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2013/10/10/stocks-thursday/2957483/  Guess that meant that the millenium had arrived, and eternal prosperity was assured, no?

But wait!  Back in June, it dropped 550 points in two days.  Guess that meant that the sky was falling economy was collapsing, yes?

Ok, ok, it really means that confidence is down. The stock market is volatile. Yeah, yeah...

Undecided

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1237
You might say that blackjack/zerohedge = doomsday sayers, but there is a little of the truth in there.

U.S. markets tumble as emerging-markets fear spreads http://on.wsj.com/1eKDHFI
Dow plunges 318 points; drops 3.5% for the week
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2014/01/24/stocks-friday/4816211/

So what did the much larger increase over the preceding months mean?

ch12

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 592
That confidence was up?

Jack

  • Magnum Stache
  • ******
  • Posts: 4725
  • Location: Atlanta, GA
Came into thread hoping to hear VXUS was going on sale; left disappointed.

Sohcrates

  • Stubble
  • **
  • Posts: 113

Albert

  • Handlebar Stache
  • *****
  • Posts: 1244
  • Location: Switzerland
   End of the world? Probably not, really almost never short stocks but when EPA regs on eliminating mercury emissions from coal plants came out Zero hedge had an article on it and a I have two coal miner friends who said the company would be bankrupt in 3 years. They were right. The funny thing is this is a satire site, their header even says on a long enough timeline, the chance of survival is zero. They have some funny (as in wildly negative to the point of Eor) posts and some that are spot on. The problem with dissing the the dudes in the tin foil hats is sometimes they are right. See NSA for more details. The Zerohedge folks are amusing if nothing else.

That is true, but trying to guess when they are is no easier than timing the market.

MooseOutFront

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 506
  • Age: 44
  • Location: Texas
I feel like emerging markets has been the only sector even kind of on sale for a year now.  Could really stand for a much broader crash for 2014 now that I have my savings rate set at Mustachian levels.

Unionville

  • Pencil Stache
  • ****
  • Posts: 565

JamesAt15

  • Stubble
  • **
  • Posts: 200
  • Location: Tokyo, Japan
I saw this list and felt an overwhelming deja vu - I would swear I saw damn near the same article, probably with the names and current events different, about 2-3 years ago, also probably on zerohedge.

And we'll probably see it again in another 3 years when the world doesn't end. Again.