If I'm understanding you correctly I wouldn't count on 2023 dividends being a good enough predictor of 2024 dividends to make accurate predictions unless you leave a decent amount of breathing room.
I guess I'll see how a couple of quarters go and hopefully get a better idea then. Thanks
You will get a better estimate by tracking the amount you have in each fund, and using the dividend % from the prior year, rather than using the dividend $, for your future estimates. For example, you have 100 shares, and last year your dividends were $100, but the price has doubled since then, you'll have significantly more dividends this year.
https://stockanalysis.com/etf/voo/dividend/ says it's roughtly a 1.42% yield, so if your shares were worth $100 on mar 1, $150 on jun 1, $100 on sep 1, and $200 on dec 1, you might expect $7.81 in dividends (550 / 4 * 0.0142). I break mine down by quarter, to make them more accurate, and have been pretty good for me. Using last year's number is not accurate.
