Things have really seemed to slow down for me in the past few months. I had my AUs close to maxxed out between my wife's Discover and my own and even some Amex cards I was getting a consistent stream of AUs but it seems to have all come to a halt as of late.
Anyone else noticing this? Is it because less people are looking to take loans out with higher interest rates and therefore nobody has as big of a need to build their credit scores up?
I've been tracking my data in a spreadsheet for four years now. I've noticed several patterns:
1. I have good months and bad months. Some months have few sales, other months have lots.
2. Over the course of a year, it averages out to be pretty much linear. That means that a linear projection based on YTD pretty well predicts my year end total. I don't see any trend where any quarter or half of the year is busier.
3. Year to year is about the same. I made approximately the same amount in 2019, 2020, 2021, and projected 2022.
4. May and June are reliably above average months for me. This might have to do with income taxes being due in April, but that's just a guess.
5. August and September are typically low months for me. No idea why, but it may be a seasonal slump after the May/June surge.
Overall, sometimes it's hard to tell if the overall demand in the marketplace has gone down (as you suggest), whether supply has increased and thus sales are more spread out, or if it's just a product of random chance and seasonal variation. I would imagine this is made more difficult if one has fewer cards enrolled.