I have a piece of land in a growing area that a developer is interested in buying from me. We bought the ground (own it outright) thinking we'd build a house on it but I'm doubtful that will ever happen now. The developer owns a lot of land around me so he has a strong interest in buying my property. I'm pretty confident in my ability to assess fair market value on land around here because I look at real estate sales all the time. I believe 180k to be market rate for our property. I have 75k in the land, so we'll show 105k in long term capital gains in the sale. We'd pay about 20k in taxes between federal capital gains and state tax; we'd net about 160k.
An alternative would be to do a 1031 exchange for one half of a duplex the developer is building down the road. The house is a tad on the small side for the area (1176 sq.ft., 2 car garage) but there is a healthy demand for smaller rentals in my town because there aren't many and it's a phenomenal school district. The developer is building in a couple nice features into the homes like laminate vinyl plank flooring, a vaulted ceiling in the living room, tray ceiling in the master bedroom, and stainless appliances in the kitchen. These things will definitely make the place more appealing to tenants. The developer has the the duplex units listed at 180k so it would be a good fit for a 1031 exchange. Based on comparable rents in the area I believe the home would rent for $1,200-1,400. At $1,200 a month we would net between 9-10k per year after accounting for management company fees, HOA fees, taxes and insurance, and depreciation. The house is brand new so the chance of major repairs within the first few years would be minimal. If the unit generates 10k of income, it will be like having 250k invested in the market @ a 4% WR, which is well above the 160k we would invest with the net proceeds from a cash sale. We don't have any rentals so this would diversify our income in FIRE. After a couple years as a rental we could move into the place for two years and then sell it as our primary residence where we'd pay no capital gains tax at all, saving us that 20k in taxes we would have paid in a cash sale.
Taking the exchange for a rental seems like a no brainer but I find myself resisting the idea a little bit for some reason. Part of that could be the fact that I've never been a landlord before but the big rental management company around here has pretty good results with screening tenants and keeping places in good shape.
Am I passing up a good thing if I don't choose to pick up a nice rental unit at no cost to myself?