I have read enough threads on this site and others to get the takeaway message about trying to time the stock market and the foolishness that is involved with that in the long term. So, even though I believe the US economy/markets will be jolted in the not too far future (2020) due to geopolitical instability, end of the bull run, and other things stemming from a world that seems increasingly unsettled, I plan to stay the course and invest away.
However, it seems that this rule of "time in the market" vs "timing the market" isn't viewed in the same light when it comes to investing in RE. It seems that the 2% rule was once commonplace. Now, it's 1% unless you're in more depressed or unexposed markets. And, it seems that people start poo-pooing the idea of anything less than 1% for obvious reasons and that you should just move on/not invest.
What if all markets go to <1%? Should you never invest in RE? Does the whole thing die? I know how the numbers shake out and how you won't cash flow when you're <1%. My question is related to timing the purchase of a rental property. If you're waiting for the metrics to shift back to >1%, is that not market timing? Would you just simply be losing out on returns while you're waiting for the time to enter the market?
It seems like some are waiting for the next RE crash. Historically, this is a rare event, yes? 2008-2010 is likely not happening again, and even if it does, you will again be timing the market to try and get in low.
I'm mainly asking this because I'm sitting on $200k from a recent RE sale and want to get back in the RE rental market. I cashed out on a highly appreciating market and want to move it to somewhere that'll provide cash flow. As I'm looking at various markets and seeing the metrics, I'm sensing that most markets are in a big boom period unlike many seen in the past few decades. So, I'm concerned about investing at the top of another bubble. Again, market timing. Part of me says wait it out, but part of me says jump in and start collecting that 5-7% cap rate.