Author Topic: Interest rate question  (Read 846 times)

Frugal D

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Interest rate question
« on: August 06, 2014, 04:44:46 PM »
Mustachians,

I am currently floating at L + 3.50% on my house and curious to hear any economists perspectives on Fed policy in the next 6-36 months. I tend to disagree with most talking heads re: inflation. I think the bigger concern is actually deflation and the Fed will ultimately derail any recovery that might be happening with the slightest increase in rates.

Japan didn't experience deflation until 6 years after their bubble burst. 

Thoughts?

Blindsquirrel

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Re: Interest rate question
« Reply #1 on: August 06, 2014, 05:37:58 PM »
 Not an economist but interest rates will stay low until they don't. Where Japan is now, we will be in the future only not as bad. US population is growing, Japans is declining.  Japan has a huge deficit and their economy is shrinking. The US has a huge deficit and the economy is probably shrinking a tad after inflation but maybe not by much, tough to tell. I locked in some 2.75% financing for 15 years and some 4% for 30 years. Fixed rate debt at such low rates is a very good inflation hedge, bond funds at today's rates will give you a deflation hedge. (ie rates drop, the high yield bonds of today jump in price.) just 2 cents