I can't speak for Musk, but if I were in his shoes and my people are telling me the odds are ridiculously low that an event would happen for 99.9% of users, I would feel safe saying that it won't happen. For example, the odds of me getting a hole-in-one are astronomically small since I only play golf 4 or 5 times a year. I would feel safe saying that I will never be celebrating a hole-in-one. But if all of the sudden, I'm dead set on getting the result that is said will never happen, I might start going to a par 3 course 3 times a week. Now instead of seeing maybe 20 par 3s per year, I'm seeing 27 every week.
Media Matters created a situation that was so far removed from reality, that I don't see it as a gotcha. I don't use Twitter, nor follow anything that Musk has his hands in, but this seems like such a petty scenario from my perspective.
I also personally don't see much of the world reacting as if it is a "gotcha," other than maybe folks who already hate Musk.
Well, I for my part don't hate Musk, though I dislike him a bit more every week (not sure if he always was such a conspiracy nut with xenophobic tendencies or if Twitter made him into one). But Media Matters matters not. I didn't crop up in my Twitter at all - though I use Tweetdeck, so I only see personally selected tweets (and their retweets). And of course half of them are German.
The people who insure hole-in-one contests (or half-court basketball shot contest, or kick a field goal contest) know the difference between odds that are very, very low and odds that are zero. If something is not an absolute, don’t talk in absolutes.
In that case half of the murderers currently in prison would be free, because even to sentence someone to death you only need to be sure "beyond reasonable doubt".
There is a nice test from a law professer that 1st year students get asked:
A woman was murdered at 11pm at a certain spot in the city.
Here is a DNA test that is 99,999% correct. The test identified this man positivly. He was 100% identified just 2 streets away from where the murder happened, at the appropriate time.
Would you convict him?
The majority(!) of law students said yes.
Even though there are 5 other people in the city the test would positivly identify, and as someone living 3 streets away from the murder, it is not unusual to see him in a bar 2 streets away.
The only absolute is uncertainty.