I don't buy the "slippery slope" argument wrt gun control. We're so far from anything slippery. But that's a matter of opinion.
And alot of that is GCA's saying stuff like GE's make life more dangerous for everyone. A blatantly false and disrespectful statement given that the vast overwhelming majority of the 300 million privately owned guns in this country have never and will never harm or kill a human being.
This is just blatantly wrong. Did you look at any of the 8 links I provided this afternoon? It's not also just that individuals who have guns are more likely to be involved in a violent death, but it's also countries with lots of guns have lots more murder. Japan has a murder rate literally 15 times less than the US. Canada and the UK have murder rates 5 times less.
Your statement fallaciously conflates the factual assertion that more guns is correlated with more murder to mean that most people who have a gun have shot some person. That's wholly different than what anyone has said. And not a sound use of logical reasoning. A small fraction of people with guns have shot someone. Just like a small fraction of people who have driven drunk have actually killed someone. And a small percentage of swimming pools have had drownings occur in them. But these three activities are associated with increased rates of death.
Alright. You said that gun enthusiasts make life more dangerous for everyone. Even if it were true that 99 out of 100 of those gun enthusiasts owned a gun that was used for any malicious purpose or accidental purpose which cause harm, the remaining one is slighted by your comment. The FACT that 40-50 million gun owners have never and will never do anything wrong with their firearm, despite never doing anything helpful with it either, is what I was saying. I didn't say anything aside from pointing out what you implied.
I looked at all the links, lets go through them all.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2011/04/110427101532.htm :
This is about how it more likely to cause harm to have a gun in your home than benefit. I already knew that. I never asserted that gun ownership was not something that is associated with an increased rate of death (and a whole host of other things). You don't seem to realize that it can be true for something to be dangerous and also true for someone who is appropriately managing those risks to responsibly pursue it. It does not automatically have the same moral hazard associated with it that drunk driving does. That was...an inappropriate comparison.
http://aje.oxfordjournals.org/content/160/10/929.full :
This is a breakdown of the odds comparison of death in a home with a gun vs. without. As many of these articles, it is establishing a link between dying and owning a gun. As with virtually every study it very carefully talks about the increase in chances of death, without talking about the overall chances of death. And this statement, though it doesn't appear in the study, is true: The odds of dying as result of a homicide committed using a firearm are
vanishingly small, despite being more likely if you own a gun. You are far far more likely to die from some other cause.
http://injuryprevention.bmj.com/content/9/1/48.fullThis was one of my favorites, because it looked specifically at handgun purchases. So if you bought a handgun recently, you were more likely to die in a violent death than if you didn't buy a handgun recently. Buying a handgun didn't increase your safety (therefore, I guess we conclude). It's an interesting idea, but drawing conclusions from it is a little nuts. The most rational policy initiative I can think of, is that anyone purchasing a handgun be offered 24/7 police protection (someone is coming for me, I need to protect myself), a job (I need a gun to go steal some stuff I can't afford), or a chill pill (I need to go kill someone!). Oh wait, these aren't people who committed a crime, these are people that presumably were the victim of a crime. So I guess we're supposed to conclude that buying a handgun, regardless of your exposure to risk factors that would make one feel necessary, will increase your risk of violent death.
There's just so many places to go with that data, it's hard to attach any particular conclusion from it other than: our data shows that we have data.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0001457502000490 :
Another study examining the relative risk of death by an unintentional gunshot wound in a home with a gun vs. one without. Surprise surprise, it's higher if there's a gun in the home. I'm a little curious how you accidentally get shot in a home without a gun, I guess it comes in from the neighbor's house? What ought to be terrifying about this is
that scenario, but they don't talk about that. Also, still no mention of the overall likelihood of dying from a gun, in particular, nothing about how other people owning guns affects my mortality rate. 4 more to go!
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/9715182/ :
Different data same conclusions, I have the same response.
http://www.hsph.harvard.edu/hicrc/firearms-research/gun-threats-and-self-defense-gun-use-2/ :
I really liked that one. Basically all of the arguments that presumably I and every other gun enthusiast could possibly make are false. Guns aren't actually used for self defense, criminals get shot by other criminals not law abiding citizens, and having a gun in the home makes you far more likely to use it to intimidate spouse/partner/child/friend. Except that I did know all that. It is possible to know that and still respect the right of a gun owner to own his gun. Using that gun illegally, even within their own home, still illegal. You're going to have a hard time finding anyone to disagree with that. It doesn't change the reality that existing gun control has done little to curtail criminal access to guns or such abuses within the home, while greatly increasing the costs for legal ownership for lawful purpose.
http://www.theguardian.com/science/blog/2013/mar/25/guns-protection-national-rifle-association :
So here we begin to see your problem. You wanted to have an argument about this, where you could trot out how I was wrong. But none of these are reasons I support gun ownership. I support gun ownership because it is one of the pillars that created a free society. I know that many gun owners make the arguments you were geared up to tear down, but I didn't make any of those arguments. The way in which gun control advocates use this data is arriving at the conclusion they want though. It isn't a given that a world in which you are too afraid to enter the dark alley unarmed, and therefore are not harmed because you didn't go into the alley, is necessarily a world that is better than the one where you felt safe because you were armed and got harmed. Do you not see that both situations are awful? Being afraid, as a law abiding citizen, is bullshit. Take care of that problem, and you persuade the gun enthusiast to forego ownership.
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2013/01/pro-gun-myths-fact-check :
I read this article a couple of years ago and I still remember liking it because of how obvious it is in omitting the next part of the conversation.
From the article: myth 1, they're coming for your guns. The claim is that with 300 million guns out there, they can't possibly take them all back. Forgetting for a minute that if you passed that law, quite a few people would turn them in (because JFC we are law abiding citizens!), guns wear out. Restricting the purchase sunsets the ownership. It's playing the long game and gun enthusiasts are not stupid.
myth 2: guns don't kill people, people kill people. This is one of the better claims, and they get points for being right, but the presentation is all wrong. The author is accidentally right. The actual data cited presents and supports the counterfactual. What the article means to say is that more people die (total) in states with high gun ownership rates. That's true. But what it actually says, is that when you die in those states, it's just more likely to be from guns. You're dead either way. Like I said, I understood what they meant to say. It's tricky using statistics when you're bad at math.
myth 3: an armed society is a polite society. I don't know where this came from, I'd never heard of it (the theory or the counter). The data to refute the myth is all over the place random stuff about road rage. And a thing about texans concealed handgun license which is almost proof positive that Texans are very law abiding when it comes to getting licensed. Doesn't seem to demonstrate to me what they think it should.
myth 4: good guys with guns stop bad guys with guns. Yup, I agree with the authors. It isn't about civilian law enforcement. I'm sorry I wasn't making these really stupid arguments for you to easily tear apart.
Etc. etc. etc.
Nothing in any of those links supports your assertion that gun enthusiasts make life more dangerous for everyone. There's a ton of data to support that having a gun in your home increases YOUR mortality rate, with the overwhelming majority of THAT risk being from shooting yourself (accidentally or on purpose). Your overall mortality rate is [undetermined] based on your cited data. I looked it up on my own and it's tiny. At least in the short term. As time goes on though it becomes, you know, probability =1.
So as long as the collective "everyone" stays the fuck out of the gun enthusiasts house, they're good to go.
What's irritating about the body of data you cited is the manipulative way the data is presented. Everything is recast in terms of multiples and relative comparison, instead of the absolute values being shown.
What percentage of homes with a gun have a gun-related homicide? I don't know from reading your data, neither do you.
What percentage of homes without a gun have a gun-related homicide? I don't know from reading your data, neither do you.
But it's 3-5 times more likely if you have a gun in the home. It's telling that it is presented in only that way. If they presented it another way, the reader might automatically ask the question, with such a small rate, is there something else that might account for what you're seeing? And also, with such a small rate, why the hell are you making such a big deal out of it?
The truth, deep down, is that gun control advocates don't like gun enthusiasts. But it's criminals that are the problem, not gun enthusiasts. Living with the kind of person who would go out and buy a gun to intimidate you increases your chance of living with that type of person. By you know, 100 percentage points. The gun enthusiast that buys the nickel plated revolver with the ivory grip, and then locks it in a display case, with no ammo for it in the house, that guy doesn't increase anyone's mortality rate. Like, at all. Zero. The guy who buys a gun because he's surrounded all day every day by criminals who also have guns, yea, that guy is more likely to die in a gunfight. This isn't significantly relevant information to your point.
Applying the data like that is a gross misuse of statistics. It's not why the data was assembled, but it is definitely why it was reported in that way.
What actually increases your risk of dying due to a firearm? I mean what choice can you make to dramatically increase your odds?
Become a criminal.
Enter law enforcement, particularly in areas with a lot of gun violence.
Become a soldier.
If the fact that it increases your mortality was genuinely a factor in your decision making process, I presume you:
Do not drive a car, ever.
Do not go swimming, ever.
Do not consume anything but a purely vegetarian diet.
Exercise at least a half hour a day, but preferably maintain a light level of activity all day.
Avoid all travel to foreign countries.
And avoid all contact with men.
Any one of these behaviors is associated with at least a sixteen-fold decrease in your chance of dying vs the decrease from not owning a firearm.
I made that up! But there's some statistic like that, it's late and I'm going to sleep.