I'm not really a China optimist. Their sheer size and competent enough government makes them a possible peer competitor, but they are going to have major demographic short-comings in the not so distant future. The US will hold up substantially better than China's coming graying.
China also has a shit geopolitical situation around its borders. They are going to permanently have a huge US presence in the area, which is just going to scale up as China becomes more powerful. They simply can't compete with high-end US tech and it's probably going to be a few decades before they can. Even then, practically everyone around China has spent a LOT of money trying to kill Chinese people, and most of them have defense budgets that definitely account for the whole "rising China" meme.
Russia in particular is not China's friend and is just as likely to turn against China as it is against the US.
China is expending some soft power, but meh. Soft power has limits, especially when you don't have hard power to back it up. If I am a third world nation, I am still very concerned about what Europe and the US think, because they have a LOT more influence, AND a lot of guns to back it up. Like Iran? Yeah, I think if it just came down to China exerting some influence, Iran wouldn't care, but those Western sanctions bite, and the threat of war with the US is really intimidating. Unless you are a superpower like Russia or China, your military is basically a speed-bump and will be dismantled very quickly if you piss off Congress badly enough.
Bunch of nonsense. Here's a rebuttal.
Their sheer size and competent enough government makes them a possible peer competitor,China isn't a possible peer competitor, it's already a peer competitor. China has more international trade than the US and the Chinese GDP will exceed that of the US within the next decade.
They are going to permanently have a huge US presence in the area, Well they might if you guys could get your national debt under control. The way Merica is going you won't be able to fund the once vaunted US military.
They simply can't compete with high-end US techBS. China doesn't innovate as well as the US, but they make up for it by copying US ideas and technology at an incredible rate.
it's probably going to be a few decades before they can. That was twenty years ago. Guess what? It's been a few decades.
Soft power has limits, especially when you don't have hard power to back it up.Especially when the national leader of your opposition is a artist of the deal. Trump's doing a great job of out-soft powering China don't you think?
If I am a third world nation, I am still very concerned about what Europe and the US think, because they have a LOT more influence, AND a lot of guns to back it up.Ooo, scary. How's that working with the Iran and the Norks so far?
The sooner Mericans wake up and stop screwing around with internecine politics the better.