Haven't done the full update in a while. Definitely no longer a "weekly" update as I was getting burnout from all the data.
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USA % of the worldwide population. 331 Million of 7.8 Billion = 4.24%
3/26/20 -1070 deaths of 22993 deaths worldwide = 4.65%
4/2/20 -5148 US deaths of 49236 deaths worldwide = 10.46%
4/9/20 -16129 US deaths of 94807 deaths worldwide = 17.01%
4/16/20 -32826 deaths of 143725 deaths worldwide = 22.84%
4/23/20 -46851 deaths of 185434 deaths worldwide = 25.27%
4/30/20 -61547 deaths of 230615 deaths worldwide = 26.69% ---> Why isn't this going down yet? Because we are STILL SURGING as a country despite measures to open up the economy right now.
5/07/20 -73573 deaths of 264602 deaths worldwide = 27.81%
5/14/20 -84144 deaths of 297682 deaths worldwide = 28.26% -->
still surging, folks5/21/20 -93606 deaths of 329300 deaths worldwide =28.42% --> have we hit a peak relative to the rest of the world?
5/28/20 -100442 deaths of 356131 deaths worldwide = 28.20%
6/4/20 -107685 deaths of 387634 deaths worldwide = 27.78%
6/11/20 -113038 deaths
6/18/20 -117783 deaths of 449965 deaths worldwide = 26.17%
6/25/20 -126823 deaths
7/2/20 -128184 deaths of 517162 deaths worldwide = 24.79 %
7/9/20 -132498 deaths of 550689 deaths worldwide = 24.06 %
7/16/20 -137420 deaths of 584990 deaths worldwide = 23.49 %
7/23/20 -143224 deaths of 624370 deaths worldwide = 22.94 %
7/30/20 -151077 deaths of 667935 deaths worldwide = 22.62 %
8/7/20 -160111 deaths of 715555 deaths worldwide = 22.38 %
8/13/20 -166361 deaths of 750744 deaths worldwide = 22.16%
8/20/20 -173241 deaths of 788803 deaths worldwide = 21.96%
8/27/20 -179977 deaths of 827110 deaths worldwide = 21.76%
9/3/20 -186018 deaths of 864153 deaths worldwide = 21.53%
9/10/20 -191168 deaths of 905089 deaths worldwide = 21.12%
9/17/20 -196912 deaths of 941862 deaths worldwide = 20.91%
9/24/20 -202170 deaths of 977881 deaths worldwide = 20.67%
10/1/20 -207331 deaths of 1016050 deaths worldwide = 20.41%
10/08/20 -212420 deaths of 1058698 deaths worldwide = 20.06%
10/15/20 -217155 deaths of 1093921 = 19.85% ***Between India first wave and European second wave, I doubt our ratio will rise again any time soon.
10/22/20 -222234 deaths of 1133699 = 19.60%
10/29/20 -227897 deaths of 1176328 = 19.37%
11/5/20 -234225 deaths of 1229671 = 19.04%
11/12/20 -241495 deaths of 1283612 =18.81%
11/19/20 -250898 deaths of 1354205 = 18.53%
11/26/20 -263218 deaths of 1428951 = 18.42% *There may be another inflection point coming up as Covid19 rages on in the USA as the Indian 1st wave and the European 2nd wave become gradually controlled.
12/3/20 -273746 deaths of 1496247 = 18.30%
12/10/20 -289970 deaths of 1574294 = 18.42% ***See inflection point above. Curving upwards again. This is
REALLY BAD NEWS for the United States.
12/17/20 -308098 deaths of 1654461 = 18.62%
12/24/20 -326271 deaths of 1732755 = 18.83%
12/31/20 -343233 deaths of 1811128 = 18.95%
1/7/2021 -361900 deaths of 1887970 = 19.17%
1/14/2021 -385503 deaths of 1983691 = 19.43%
1/21/2021 -406536 deaths of 2080009 = 19.55%
1/28/2021 -429870 deaths of 2180867 = 19.71%
2/4/2021 -451454 deaths of 2273515 = 19.86%
2/11/21 -472450 deaths of 2359200 = 20.02%
2/18/21 -490875 deaths of 2434048 = 20.17%
2/25/21 -506121 deaths of 2499964 = 20.25%
3/4/21 -518380 deaths of 2562739 = 20.23% *another inflection point?
3/11/21 -529469 deaths of 2623286 = 20.18%
3/18/21 -538269 deaths of 2683639 = 20.06%
3/25/21 -545357 deaths of 2746581 = 19.86%
4/2/21 -553310 deaths of 2830839 = 19.54%
4/8/21 -559219 deaths of 2891206 = 19.34%
4/15/21 -564489 deaths of 2976229 = 18.97% *a nice trend since early March. Likely vaccine related.
4/22/21 -569828 deaths of 3064038 = 18.60%
4/29/21 -574355 deaths of 3153746 = 18.21% *India, Brazil, Eastern Europe together with US vaccines will only see this number drop from now on.
5/6/21 -579653 deaths of 3247198 = 17.85%
5/13/21 -583832 deaths of 3334587 = 17.57%
5/21/21 -588613 deaths of 3433137 = 17.15%
5/28/21 -593466 deaths of 3514082 = 16.89%
6/4/21 -596783 deaths of 3704833 = 16.11% ***This percentage is dropping really fast all of a sudden. Vaccines are working in the USA, apparently.
7/10/21 -606996 deaths of 4021345 = 15.09%
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9/24/21 -685759 deaths of 4733562 = 14.48% despite our recent upswing
US and Worldwide death data is taken from the Johns Hopkins Coronavirus Resource Center site.
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/map.html----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 6/4/2021
1. Peru [5551] +3490 ***
absolutely huge official statistic change in Peru. They are now easily the most afflicted by Covid19.
2. Hungary [3094] +14 *still decelerating
3. Czechia [2810] +5
4. Bulgaria [2579] +23
5. Slovakia [2267] +9
6. Brazil [2196] +61 *still rather elevated while the rest of the world drops
7. Belgium [2148] +38
8. Italy [2094] +9
9. Croatia [1976] +18
10. Poland [1960] +15
11. UK [1874] +1
12. USA [1839] +12
13. Colombia [1758] +70
14. Mexico [1754] +33
15. Argentina [1752] *back on list after long hiatus. Appears to be another South America boom.
50+ India [247] + 15 *decelerating now (if you believe the numbers). Another 22000 deaths in India in the last week.
*Country to country data is taken from Worldometer Coronavirus Tracking site. I do not include countries with less than 4 million people. This is arbitrary on my part, but initially was a way of avoiding confounding trends just because, say, San Marino or Gibraltar didn't skew the results.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 7/10/2021
1. Peru [5804]
2. Hungary [3114]
3. Czechia [2827]
4. Bulgaria [2631]
5. Brazil [2484]
6. Slovakia [2292]
7. Colombia [2172]
8. Belgium [2165]
9. Argentina [2152]
10. Italy [2116]
11. Croatia [2017]
12. Poland [1988]
13. Paraguay [1912]
14. UK [1881]
15. USA [1870]
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Top 15 (only including countries >4 million people) with [deaths/million] as of 9/24/2021
1. Peru [5939]
2. Hungary [3131]
3. Bulgaria [2959]
4. Czechia [2837] -no movement at all last couple months. strange
5. Brazil [2766]
6. Argentina [2511]
7. Colombia [2445]
8. Slovakia [2305]
9. Paraguay [2229]
10. Georgia [2198]
11. Belgium [2192]
12. Italy [2164]
13. USA [2111]
14. Croatia [2103]
15. Mexico [2099]
*Country to country data is taken from Worldometer Coronavirus Tracking site. I do not include countries with less than 4 million people. This is arbitrary on my part, but initially was a way of avoiding confounding trends just because, say, San Marino or Gibraltar didn't skew the results.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total USA Deaths [New Weekly Deaths]
3/26/20 -1070
4/2/20 -5148 [4078 new deaths in the previous week]
4/9/20 -16129 [10981]
4/16/20 -32826 [16697]
4/23/20 -46851 [14025]
4/30/20 -61547 [14696]
5/07/20 -73573 [12026]
5/14/20 -84144 [10571]
5/21/20 -93606 [9462 new deaths in the previous week]
5/28/20 -100442 [6836 new deaths]
6/4/20 -107685 [
7243 new deaths] -are we beginning to have a second wave?
6/11/20 -113038 [5353]
6/18/20 -117783 [4745] -continues to improve
6/25/20 -120,800 [3017] -*** corrected using Johns Hopkins data
7/2/20 -128,184 [7384] -
7/9/20 -132,498 [4314] -hospitals and ICU units hitting capacity in Florida, Texas, Arizona is not reassuring. I suspect deaths to pick up now. How high? Who knows?
7/16/20 -137,420 [4922] -trend is not encouraging at all. Here comes the slowly rising wave...
7/23/20 -143,224 [5804] -yup, getting into the 1K deaths per week territory again
7/30/20 -151,077 [7853] -pretty big bump. No sign of this slowing down as Texas and Florida just beat their previous deaths per day records.
8/6/20 -160,111 [9034]
8/13/20 -166,361 [6250]
8/20/20 -173,241 [6880]-about 1K per day on average over the last 4 weeks noted. At this rate we will have 250K deaths by election day on Nov 3rd.
8/27/20 -179,977 [6736] -remains about 1 K per day. No real change of late, unfortunately. Oh, and school has restarted in most areas of the USA.
9/3/20 -186,018 [6041] -trend *may be decreasing. We will see how things go.
9/10/20 -191,168 [5150] -trend is encouraging compared to South America. I would have taken this 2 weeks ago knowing school was about to start. Take the win.
9/17/20 -196,912 [5744] -last 3 weeks have been fairly steady
9/24/20 -202170 [5258]
10/1/20 -207331 [5161]
10/8/20 -212420 [5089] -US is nothing if not consistent
10/15/20 -217155 [4735] -BUT, infection rates are
rising again throughout the country. Get ready for the second wave.
10/22/20 -222234 [5079]
10/29/20 -227897 [5663] ->11% rise in US deaths in the last 7 days. I don't think this is artifact, I think things are accelerating. We are
averaging 75K new infections per day over the last week. On a more positive note, case fatalities per infection appear to be coming down in the US.
11/5/20 -234225 [6328] -number of deaths continue to rise as expected. God help us if local health systems get overwhelmed again like in NYC, New Orleans, Detroit early in the Pandemic.
11/12/20 -241495 [7270] -back to 1K per day deaths and rising. 75K new infections per day now seems quaint. We have averaged over 130K in the last 7 days.
11/19/20 -250898 [9403] -10 K per week is next milestone. 6 weeks till New Years, will we hit 300K? Seems likely at this point.
11/26/20 -263218 [12320] -WHOA. Avg >170K cases per week. And it seems like no one except my family are following Thanksgiving distancing recommendations by the CDC. Keep your elders safe everyone!
12/3/20 -273746 [10528] -suspect reporting lag due to the holidays. If I'm right, then this will bump up a bit in the following week, and then come down, and then steadily rise for a while thereafter. We reached 100 K current Covid admissions nationwide with no sign of this slowing down. The previous peak was 60 K.
12/10/20 -289970 [16224] -!!!
12/17/20 -308098 [18128] -!!!!! That's the all-time peak, folks. Hospitalizations due to Covid continue to peak as well at 113 K.
12/24/20 -326271 [18173] -Well, at least it's not accelerating.
12/31/20 -343233 [16962]
1/07/2021 -361900 [18667] -New Peak again. Sadly these are just abstract numbers in my head right now. Not sinking in that 4K Americans died just yesterday.
1/14/2021 -385503 [23603] -huge bump in the last week!!! Way worse than NYC in the Spring of 2020. Avg 3300+ deaths per day.
1/21/2021 -406536 [21033] -still ridiculously high. Should eventually come down with national infection trends and vaccine rollouts.
1/28/2021 -429870 [23334] -yup, still high. Since infections till death takes about 2-6 weeks, and infections appear to be coming down nationwide now (with hot pockets, of course). I suspect deaths should begin to come down in the next 2-6 weeks. Hopefully 2 weeks.
2/4/2021 -451454 [21584] -continues to average >20K deaths per week in the USA. Hopefully begins to truly trend down this upcoming week, following the case data.
2/11/21 -472450 [20996] -no trending down as of yet. I'm beginning to get worried that people are just testing a lot less, thus case counts are going down but deaths are not. Are we taking our feet off the gas?
2/18/21 -490875 [18425] -okay, seeing some movement here in the right direction. Hospitalizations are down to 63K from 134K just 30 days ago.
2/25/21 -506121 [15246] -nice progression. Also, down to 54K hospitalizations. Daily cases in US seem to be leveling off at 50K-75K per day over the last 10 days after a steep drop over the holidays.
3/4/21 -518380 [12259] -deaths still coming down. 45K hospitalizations is down too. Daily cases have stabilized at somewhere between 48K and 75K over the last 18 days. Beware the next wave.
3/11/21 -529469 [11089] -slowly dropping still. Daily cases 44-65K.
3/18/21 -538269 [8800] -huge step in the last week. Daily cases 45-55K or so.
3/25/21 -545357 [7088] -still coming down. *
https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/data/hospitalization-7-day-trend * JHU Website shows that Covid ICU Admissions are down about 1000 in the last week. So number of really sick are still coming down despite an uptick in recent cases per day. Peak was 29K Covid ICU admissions in January, now down to 9.4K this week. Tell me if you disagree, but I think this is a better measure of current pandemic than cases right now since it seems less at risk folks are doing as they please, and meanwhile we now have higher saturation of the vaccine with more at-risk folks.
4/1/21 -553310 [7001] -I substracted yesterday's 952 deaths -stable over the last week. Total cases are coming up again 66K per day over the last week. Lets hope the vaccinations of the oldest/sickest prevent increased Covid deaths. 1 year tracking anniversary this week.
4/8/21 -559219 [5909] -deaths coming down still. Yay! Cases coming up, but with a younger median age as vaccinations continue.
4/15/21 -564489 [5270]
4/22/21 -569828 [5339] -static in the last week. Hopefully this is just a blip on the way down.
4/29/21 -574355 [4527] -nice drop
5/6/21 -579653 [5298] -blip?
5/13/21 -583832 [4179] -dropping in the US
5/21/21 -588613 [4183] -change x 7/8 (for extra day)
5/28/21 -593466
6/4/21 -596783 [3317] -goo movement in the right direction
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7/10/21 -606996 [10213 in the last 36 days: AVG 284 deaths per day due to Covid in the USA]
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9/24/21 -685759 [12093 deaths in the last 7 days-worst since March 2021]