Author Topic: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )  (Read 318694 times)

FIPurpose

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1000 on: December 01, 2021, 10:19:25 AM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Also kind of wonder how much they will/would be laughing in Ukraine, Taiwan if the US decides to take it's ball and go home.

LOL indeed.

I never implied that the US' status as an economic, or even military powerhouse status was illusory. Up until now, and for at least the near future that remains a known fact which of course is why we still hold the reserve currency.

In plenty of places, Americans are absolutely treated as celebrities for one reason or another but it's certainly not ubiquitous - like it or not caricatures of Americans/American tourism are probably just as common if not more common than our lauded status.

I haven't been to too many countries, but every country I've been to there's been at least one person I've met that seemed genuinely excited that they met an American. (And no, they weren't asking for money). The world knows a lot about our culture, politics, etc. and in some sense, it's kind of like meeting a celebrity.

It absolutely feels very strange to be on the receiving end of this though. Especially in third world countries, you want to move and explore without drawing too much attention, but that's nearly impossible.

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1001 on: December 01, 2021, 10:28:36 AM »
Not sure where the 80% figure came from, but it sounds like fear propaganda ("those" people are taking over LA!). It reminds me a bit of the false "Muslims have taken over city government and imposed sharia, entire neighborhoods are no-go zones with only Arabic signage" propaganda that circulates regularly about my hometown.

I would normally agree, except that LA used to be in Mexico. Not realizing how many non-Mexican Americans we've imported seems more like being ill-informed.
« Last Edit: December 01, 2021, 10:30:14 AM by PDXTabs »

pecunia

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1002 on: December 01, 2021, 12:43:39 PM »
I don't know about the Mexico thing.  I just cut and pasted it without a lot of research.  I had read that elsewhere about LA being largely Mexican.  One though occurred to me.  Many of these Mexican Americans may be second or third generation Americans.  If they are fortunate, their parents and grandparents have taught them the culture of their forebears.  I was just trying to make the point that it may not be as difficult for many immigrants to blend in as would be first apparent.

There are also laws on the books to help keep workers safe.  It is better than a couple generations back.  At that time immigrants would die in, for example, mining accidents with nary a second thought on the part of the mine owners. These laws may not exist in less developed nations.  Staying alive and intact is an incentive to migrate.

Now here's one I've heard a lot of pros and cons on, the H1B visa.  Does it lower the pay for American engineering and IT people?  Libertarian folks would probably consider that just dandy. The people with reduced employment possibilities may not.

EvenSteven

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1003 on: December 01, 2021, 01:08:06 PM »
I don't know about the Mexico thing.  I just cut and pasted it without a lot of research.

No worries, I do the same thing. It's like most people don't realize it, but 80% of the biomass on earth is comprised of Gila monsters.

GuitarStv

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1004 on: December 01, 2021, 02:10:12 PM »
I don't know about the Mexico thing.  I just cut and pasted it without a lot of research.

No worries, I do the same thing. It's like most people don't realize it, but 80% of the biomass on earth is comprised of Gila monsters.

Sir Isaac Newton tweeted that 99.99% of things you read on the internet are true, so I think you can trust the information out there.

pecunia

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1005 on: December 01, 2021, 02:59:20 PM »
I don't know about the Mexico thing.  I just cut and pasted it without a lot of research.

No worries, I do the same thing. It's like most people don't realize it, but 80% of the biomass on earth is comprised of Gila monsters.

Sir Isaac Newton tweeted that 99.99% of things you read on the internet are true, so I think you can trust the information out there.

Still from the internet, but maybe more accurate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ethnic_groups_in_Los_Angeles


tooqk4u22

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1006 on: December 02, 2021, 05:41:50 AM »
I don't know about the Mexico thing.  I just cut and pasted it without a lot of research.

No worries, I do the same thing. It's like most people don't realize it, but 80% of the biomass on earth is comprised of Gila monsters.

Sir Isaac Newton tweeted that 99.99% of things you read on the internet are true, so I think you can trust the information out there.

80% of the excess fat on my body is from the raw vegetables I eat (the other 20%is from the vegetables everyone else eats)

LennStar

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1007 on: December 02, 2021, 11:19:12 AM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

sixwings

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1008 on: December 02, 2021, 01:23:41 PM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

Ya when the most powerful military in the history of the world tells you to use their currency, you use it.

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1009 on: December 02, 2021, 02:20:06 PM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

Ya when the most powerful military in the history of the world tells you to use their currency, you use it.

I think that it's a little more reasonable than that. Who had a large industrial base that didn't get bombed to shit in the war? Why would you need foreign currency, if not to buy things, from the only gig in town that could make things.

pecunia

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1010 on: December 02, 2021, 02:38:34 PM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

Ya when the most powerful military in the history of the world tells you to use their currency, you use it.

I think that it's a little more reasonable than that. Who had a large industrial base that didn't get bombed to shit in the war? Why would you need foreign currency, if not to buy things, from the only gig in town that could make things.

If that's how it works, Chinese currency may be on the way.  Some say they actually have the largest economy in the world now.  Others say it's on the way.  I can see Chinese currency being spread around when the Belt and Road program gets larger.

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1011 on: December 02, 2021, 03:25:29 PM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

Ya when the most powerful military in the history of the world tells you to use their currency, you use it.

I think that it's a little more reasonable than that. Who had a large industrial base that didn't get bombed to shit in the war? Why would you need foreign currency, if not to buy things, from the only gig in town that could make things.

If that's how it works, Chinese currency may be on the way.  Some say they actually have the largest economy in the world now.  Others say it's on the way.  I can see Chinese currency being spread around when the Belt and Road program gets larger.

Maybe if they ever get rid of their capital controls or make it legal to own Chinese stocks.

nereo

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1012 on: December 02, 2021, 06:22:26 PM »
The crux of that particular argument is that generally, most in other countries look at our culture and chortle amongst themselves because we tend to think we're a lot more revered than we actually are.

One does wonder why they use US currency so much around the world while chortling...

Because after WWII that is what the winners (read: USA) agreed upon. Fairly normal stuff.

You know what happened when Iraq announced it wanted to sell it's oil (dollar is the oil currency, another setup of the US) only for € instead of $? "Weapons of Mass Destruction".

Ya when the most powerful military in the history of the world tells you to use their currency, you use it.

I think that it's a little more reasonable than that. Who had a large industrial base that didn't get bombed to shit in the war? Why would you need foreign currency, if not to buy things, from the only gig in town that could make things.

If that's how it works, Chinese currency may be on the way.  Some say they actually have the largest economy in the world now.  Others say it's on the way.  I can see Chinese currency being spread around when the Belt and Road program gets larger.

Size of their economy is only one factor that creates a world reserve currency.

Just Joe

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1013 on: December 03, 2021, 08:11:56 AM »
If the Republicans wanted any input and were genuine about working on a bill together, Democrats would be falling all over themselves to do whatever they could to satisfy them. But as we saw with the ACA, when Republicans were possibly less strategic than they are now, they just pretend they are willing to negotiate to stall for many months or a year or as long as possible but will always refuse to vote for it by moving goalposts constantly. It's a very Lucy with the football situation. And as pathetic of Charlie Browns as Democrats usually are, it looks like they may have actually learned their lesson and accepted the fact that there is nothing the Republicans want in a bill more than they want Democrats to fail, so handing them a gift of delay and obstruction doesn't help anyone.

What is the long game in American politics? Are we drifting towards a more socialist/European type society? Is it inevitable? Are the Republicans are trying hard to delay this? Is this a situation where any delay translates to millions or billions of dollars for the establishment businesses who make all this money today but face less relevance or more taxation in the future with a more European type economy i.e. more support for the people?

Asking questions b/c I feel like such an amateur when I listen/read these conversations.
« Last Edit: December 03, 2021, 08:22:28 AM by Just Joe »

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1014 on: December 03, 2021, 08:45:33 AM »
What is the long game in American politics? Are we drifting towards a more socialist/European type society? Is it inevitable? Are the Republicans are trying hard to delay this? Is this a situation where any delay translates to millions or billions of dollars for the establishment businesses who make all this money today but face less relevance or more taxation in the future with a more European type economy i.e. more support for the people?

Asking questions b/c I feel like such an amateur when I listen/read these conversations.

What type of European economy were you envisioning for the USA?   I'd rather have something like Norway's economy than France.

pecunia

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1015 on: December 03, 2021, 09:33:16 AM »
What is the long game in American politics? Are we drifting towards a more socialist/European type society? Is it inevitable? Are the Republicans are trying hard to delay this? Is this a situation where any delay translates to millions or billions of dollars for the establishment businesses who make all this money today but face less relevance or more taxation in the future with a more European type economy i.e. more support for the people?

Asking questions b/c I feel like such an amateur when I listen/read these conversations.

What type of European economy were you envisioning for the USA?   I'd rather have something like Norway's economy than France.

Every time I look at world news it seems like Europe or China is building some big high speed railway or some tunnel.  These are investments in the future.  They are government projects.  Then I see the US with it's libertarian thinking that want to shrink government to be useless.  I see other countries taking care of their people.  Then I read statistics of US health care and how it is not so good.  They call it socialism when there is some planning to make the economy work for the people.  I just call it planning.  You can do the invisible hand / market force / helter skelter thing or a little planning.  I just look at results and figure do what works.

The global warming thing is another one.  Maybe, just maybe, some planning and government projects are in order with international cooperation to save the planet.

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1016 on: December 03, 2021, 10:21:26 AM »

Every time I look at world news it seems like Europe or China is building some big high speed railway or some tunnel.  These are investments in the future.  They are government projects.  Then I see the US with it's libertarian thinking that want to shrink government to be useless.  I see other countries taking care of their people.  Then I read statistics of US health care and how it is not so good.  They call it socialism when there is some planning to make the economy work for the people.  I just call it planning.  You can do the invisible hand / market force / helter skelter thing or a little planning.  I just look at results and figure do what works.

The global warming thing is another one.  Maybe, just maybe, some planning and government projects are in order with international cooperation to save the planet.

I like the way things are going in the USA in terms of electric vehicles and space exploration.  Those seem like investments in the future.

The USA government has done quite a bit to advance those.

The USA government also was a powerhouse behind developing COVID vaccines in a record time frame.

lost_in_the_endless_aisle

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1017 on: December 03, 2021, 03:57:37 PM »
What is the long game in American politics? Are we drifting towards a more socialist/European type society? Is it inevitable? Are the Republicans are trying hard to delay this? Is this a situation where any delay translates to millions or billions of dollars for the establishment businesses who make all this money today but face less relevance or more taxation in the future with a more European type economy i.e. more support for the people?

Asking questions b/c I feel like such an amateur when I listen/read these conversations.

What type of European economy were you envisioning for the USA?   I'd rather have something like Norway's economy than France.

Every time I look at world news it seems like Europe or China is building some big high speed railway or some tunnel.  These are investments in the future.  They are government projects.  Then I see the US with it's libertarian thinking that want to shrink government to be useless.  I see other countries taking care of their people.  Then I read statistics of US health care and how it is not so good.  They call it socialism when there is some planning to make the economy work for the people.  I just call it planning.  You can do the invisible hand / market force / helter skelter thing or a little planning.  I just look at results and figure do what works.

The global warming thing is another one.  Maybe, just maybe, some planning and government projects are in order with international cooperation to save the planet.
Hey, California is building high speed rail. And when you can finally take a bullet-train from Madera to Bakersfield (cost: $200M/mile) in 2048, that will really show the Europeans!

Just Joe

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1018 on: December 04, 2021, 08:22:50 PM »
Hey, California is building high speed rail. And when you can finally take a bullet-train from Madera to Bakersfield (cost: $200M/mile) in 2048, that will really show the Europeans!

And I have to question why Europe (and apparently every other 1st world country) can build trains at affordable prices but we can't. What is different about the USA that makes trains and quality infrastructure so much more expensive. Sure, we're bigger coast to coast but that doesn't address why a medium size city can't build for a future of anything but cars.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbFGG4T3_Yo

sui generis

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1019 on: December 04, 2021, 09:22:51 PM »
Hey, California is building high speed rail. And when you can finally take a bullet-train from Madera to Bakersfield (cost: $200M/mile) in 2048, that will really show the Europeans!

And I have to question why Europe (and apparently every other 1st world country) can build trains at affordable prices but we can't. What is different about the USA that makes trains and quality infrastructure so much more expensive. Sure, we're bigger coast to coast but that doesn't address why a medium size city can't build for a future of anything but cars.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbFGG4T3_Yo

This podcast has a good discussion of why it's more expensive here than in Europe, among other fascinating things  https://www.nytimes.com/2021/07/23/opinion/ezra-klein-podcast-jerusalem-demsas.html

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1020 on: December 04, 2021, 09:34:55 PM »
Hey, California is building high speed rail. And when you can finally take a bullet-train from Madera to Bakersfield (cost: $200M/mile) in 2048, that will really show the Europeans!

And I have to question why Europe (and apparently every other 1st world country) can build trains at affordable prices but we can't. What is different about the USA that makes trains and quality infrastructure so much more expensive. Sure, we're bigger coast to coast but that doesn't address why a medium size city can't build for a future of anything but cars.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbFGG4T3_Yo
I just did a quick bit of googling to check on a previous poster’s figures for California’s high speed rail. Not going to comment on those. The California project appears to cost more per mile than in some other places because of the high cost of real estate and because of the geological obstacles.

Cities aren’t building public transit because we don’t want it, not because they can’t. To suggest that someone might like to have the option to take a train somewhere, or to be able to walk or bike somewhere without the prospect of being flattened by an SUV would be to declare a WAR ON CARS.

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1021 on: December 04, 2021, 11:51:32 PM »
Hey, California is building high speed rail. And when you can finally take a bullet-train from Madera to Bakersfield (cost: $200M/mile) in 2048, that will really show the Europeans!

And I have to question why Europe (and apparently every other 1st world country) can build trains at affordable prices but we can't. What is different about the USA that makes trains and quality infrastructure so much more expensive. Sure, we're bigger coast to coast but that doesn't address why a medium size city can't build for a future of anything but cars.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IbFGG4T3_Yo
I just did a quick bit of googling to check on a previous poster’s figures for California’s high speed rail. Not going to comment on those. The California project appears to cost more per mile than in some other places because of the high cost of real estate and because of the geological obstacles.

Cities aren’t building public transit because we don’t want it, not because they can’t. To suggest that someone might like to have the option to take a train somewhere, or to be able to walk or bike somewhere without the prospect of being flattened by an SUV would be to declare a WAR ON CARS.
Land prices in the Central Valley of CA (where most of the ~500 miles will be laid) is not particularly high--at least not enough so to explain a 4x difference in cost per mile to some recent European HSR projects. In some places where land prices are higher -- most notably the Bay Area -- the project will largely share right-of-way with the existing Caltrain network (which will lower speeds and create constraints to operating one or both networks on the same infrastructure, although I don't think these plans are finalized). The US cost-disease for these sorts of projects also exists for subway line construction (~2-4x more expensive than Europe), suggesting a common cause to high costs independent of transit mode. It should also be noted the CA HSR authority was established in 1996, which would mean from its inception, the project may take ~40 years to complete (13 miles per year). By comparison, China has been building 1700 miles/year for the last decade. This is a common theme in my comments here: if we think what is happening in the US is "good enough" then we are deluded. Even Gov Newsom cast some shade on the HSR project recently, but really, what I would guess needs to happen is a serious inquiry and some people getting fired or maybe even charged with corruption, depending on the findings.

The LA Times had an interesting article a while ago on the potential gap between the statutorily established maximum transit time of 2h 40m from LA to SF versus what will actually be possible given the various constraints that have impacted the project. The Caltrain-shared segment will be <100mph, and unless the entire route is engineered to 50 mile-radius turns, the 220mph maximum speed will not be feasible outside of the Central Valley (in particular, I believe some of the proposals to build tunnels to through the Transverse Ranges have been shelved, in favor of cheaper options which will limit speeds in the southern portion of the route). My expectation based on this is that, if ever completed, the realistic transit time from LA to SF will be more than 4 hours (the LA Times has a broken link to their analysis, sadly).

And it's not that I'm against HSR. If I could wave a magic wand and reconfigure US cities in a variety of ways to facilitate final-mile transit, HSR would make more sense in general. As it is, US cities are all laid out under the strict assumption that most transit occurs by car, with an appreciable proportion of the population sprawled out in the suburbs and exurbs where mass transit is not economical and is not deemed desirable. How different, really, is: car ride > airport > bus/shuttle to car rental compared to: car ride > passenger rail station > train > bus/shuttle to car rental?

However, if HSR has a chance in the US, it would be preferentially in areas where: population density is relatively high, land is flat, and there is high-volume of travel between points <500 miles apart (since shorter distances favor rail over air for transit times). I would expect the Texas projects have the highest chance of success for true-HSR (Acela corridor is very good, too, but too many constraints over land-use seem to limit improvements to the average speed). So if HSR works in the US, it should work in TX, while the CA stuff if typical CA nonsense (I assume as a native I can say this).

Fortunately, freight rail in the US is very good (maybe the best in the world depending on criteria) and, while being much less-sexy, is an important part of the efficient movement of goods.

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1022 on: December 05, 2021, 06:50:35 AM »
Rail, or any decent public transit really relies on population density. The higher the population density, the more viable mass transit becomes. The problem with that, is that densely populated areas tend to have high real estate prices so initial construction costs can be daunting.

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1023 on: December 05, 2021, 08:45:18 AM »
Rail, or any decent public transit really relies on population density. The higher the population density, the more viable mass transit becomes. The problem with that, is that densely populated areas tend to have high real estate prices so initial construction costs can be daunting.
And cars magically shift in the space-time continuum?

The equivalent to a 4 rail corridor with attached mass transit options is a 12 lane car highway with similarily multiple more length of connecting roads.
Also, if dense population makes rail too expensive, how Tokyo?

(Hm... are there less people with a car in Tokyo than people without a car in the US? Interesting thought.)

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1024 on: December 05, 2021, 08:55:47 AM »
Rail, or any decent public transit really relies on population density. The higher the population density, the more viable mass transit becomes. The problem with that, is that densely populated areas tend to have high real estate prices so initial construction costs can be daunting.
And cars magically shift in the space-time continuum?

The equivalent to a 4 rail corridor with attached mass transit options is a 12 lane car highway with similarily multiple more length of connecting roads.
Also, if dense population makes rail too expensive, how Tokyo?

(Hm... are there less people with a car in Tokyo than people without a car in the US? Interesting thought.)

There are just over 3 million cars registered in Tokyo.

New York City has 23 cars per 100 residents, so 77% of the ~8.4 million people don't have a car (~6.47 million).

So to answer your question, there are twice as many people in NYC alone without a car than there are people in Tokyo with a car.

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1025 on: December 05, 2021, 09:02:25 AM »

There are just over 3 million cars registered in Tokyo.

New York City has 23 cars per 100 residents, so 77% of the ~8.4 million people don't have a car (~6.47 million).

So to answer your question, there are twice as many people in NYC alone without a car than there are people in Tokyo with a car.

Or, Tokyo with a population of 14 million has 3 million cars, so 21.4% of the residents have cars

New York with a population of 8.4 million people, 23% of the residents have cars

Practically no difference.   So by adding less than 2% cars to a city, you negate the need for high speed rail?

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1026 on: December 05, 2021, 09:10:22 AM »

There are just over 3 million cars registered in Tokyo.

New York City has 23 cars per 100 residents, so 77% of the ~8.4 million people don't have a car (~6.47 million).

So to answer your question, there are twice as many people in NYC alone without a car than there are people in Tokyo with a car.

Or, Tokyo with a population of 14 million has 3 million cars, so 21.4% of the residents have cars

New York with a population of 8.4 million people, 23% of the residents have cars

Practically no difference.   So by adding less than 2% cars to a city, you negate the need for high speed rail?

I am not sure how you managed to get that out of my post - I am specifically addressing the "interesting thought" I quoted.

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1027 on: December 05, 2021, 09:15:08 AM »

I am not sure how you managed to get that out of my post - I am specifically addressing the "interesting thought" I quoted.

Just being silly really.   It is somewhat surprising though that both cities have such similar amount of cars.

sui generis

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1028 on: December 05, 2021, 09:21:06 AM »
The major item no one has cited in this thread (the podcast I linked to talk about it though) is litigation. No one litigates like the US and especially no one litigates development projects like we do. It accounts for significantly higher costs as well as building timelines.

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1029 on: December 05, 2021, 09:37:47 AM »
The major item no one has cited in this thread (the podcast I linked to talk about it though) is litigation. No one litigates like the US and especially no one litigates development projects like we do. It accounts for significantly higher costs as well as building timelines.

Do you mean environmental litigation?  I know a lot of projects are delayed while studies are performed to determine any effects on the environment and populations but I would have thought Europe and Asia might do similar.

sui generis

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1030 on: December 05, 2021, 10:49:52 AM »
The major item no one has cited in this thread (the podcast I linked to talk about it though) is litigation. No one litigates like the US and especially no one litigates development projects like we do. It accounts for significantly higher costs as well as building timelines.

Do you mean environmental litigation?  I know a lot of projects are delayed while studies are performed to determine any effects on the environment and populations but I would have thought Europe and Asia might do similar.

The causes of action are often environmental, though the interviewee makes the point that it's often someone using an environmental statute as an easy instrument to destroy a project they don't like.  One quote from the transcript to your point: "And an interesting counterpoint here, is that there are a lot of European countries that have better environmental — certainly better climate — track records than the U.S. And they don’t have the same issues, because — and I think this point is really important — they don’t enforce their environmental legislation through litigation. The enforcement mechanism is not that individual people sue the government.

The transportation researcher Alan Levy points out, that in many countries, like Italy, planning authorities perform these kinds of things in-house. It’s not done through lawsuit enforcement. So you can have these reviews. The point is not that you don’t want to know the effect of a project on the environment. But it is a really important question whether or not you trust the government to do that and make that decision, or at least to group that altogether and do it only once, or you’ve given any individual who wants to stand in front of the project, for any reason, at any time — be that reason environmental or not — the power to use litigation to slow it down."

Paper Chaser

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1031 on: December 05, 2021, 01:00:40 PM »
Rail, or any decent public transit really relies on population density. The higher the population density, the more viable mass transit becomes. The problem with that, is that densely populated areas tend to have high real estate prices so initial construction costs can be daunting.
And cars magically shift in the space-time continuum?

The equivalent to a 4 rail corridor with attached mass transit options is a 12 lane car highway with similarily multiple more length of connecting roads.
Also, if dense population makes rail too expensive, how Tokyo?

(Hm... are there less people with a car in Tokyo than people without a car in the US? Interesting thought.)

Legacy infrastructure obviously comes into play. If you've already got some rail, then adding more is cheaper than starting from scratch. Same is true for the opposite, where vehicle infrastructure is already widespread.

I've seen Amtrak estimating it would cost $500 million per mile to build high speed rail in the American NE corridor.

Average price per mile of a 6 lane interstate in an urban location is about $10 million per mile:
https://www.artba.org/about/faq/



Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1032 on: December 05, 2021, 07:24:38 PM »
Back on policies, what exactly is happening with the Russian buildup of troops on the Ukraine border?

What will Biden do in the face of a Russian invasion there?

Kris

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1033 on: December 05, 2021, 07:32:03 PM »
Back on policies, what exactly is happening with the Russian buildup of troops on the Ukraine border?

What will Biden do in the face of a Russian invasion there?

He will do nothing. And neither will Europe, because Putin has spent so much effort ensuring that Europe’s gas and oil supply is from them. He will invade Ukraine this winter, knowing Europe will not risk their fuel.

Roland of Gilead

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1034 on: December 05, 2021, 07:38:33 PM »
Back on policies, what exactly is happening with the Russian buildup of troops on the Ukraine border?

What will Biden do in the face of a Russian invasion there?

He will do nothing. And neither will Europe, because Putin has spent so much effort ensuring that Europe’s gas and oil supply is from them. He will invade Ukraine this winter, knowing Europe will not risk their fuel.

Doesn't sound good.   Do you think China will look the inaction on Russia and see it as increasing their ability to invade Taiwan without significant penalty? 

Seems like this is how you start world wars.

Kris

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1035 on: December 05, 2021, 08:36:45 PM »
Back on policies, what exactly is happening with the Russian buildup of troops on the Ukraine border?

What will Biden do in the face of a Russian invasion there?

He will do nothing. And neither will Europe, because Putin has spent so much effort ensuring that Europe’s gas and oil supply is from them. He will invade Ukraine this winter, knowing Europe will not risk their fuel.

Doesn't sound good.   Do you think China will look the inaction on Russia and see it as increasing their ability to invade Taiwan without significant penalty? 

Seems like this is how you start world wars.

Who knows?

There is this, I guess…

https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/584439-biden-expected-to-announce-diplomatic-boycott-of-beijing-olympics?fbclid=IwAR3_tmXQY_wz6fdG_MMgXoclmvDpG_SF0cl8Zctp1eVYiyDeGQPMnQL_Jnc

GuitarStv

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1036 on: December 06, 2021, 07:29:17 AM »
Back on policies, what exactly is happening with the Russian buildup of troops on the Ukraine border?

What will Biden do in the face of a Russian invasion there?

He will do nothing. And neither will Europe, because Putin has spent so much effort ensuring that Europe’s gas and oil supply is from them. He will invade Ukraine this winter, knowing Europe will not risk their fuel.

Doesn't sound good.   Do you think China will look the inaction on Russia and see it as increasing their ability to invade Taiwan without significant penalty? 

Seems like this is how you start world wars.

Russia doesn't matter.  I think China has put themselves into a very powerful position all on their own.

They're comfortable making an international tennis star 'disappear' when she complains about sexual assault by a high ranking official.  They have no problem imprisoning foreign nationals in retaliation for the arrest of a powerful Chinese national (who admitted to lying/defrauding a global financial institution).  As it is, the entire world is afraid of even saying the word 'Taiwan' lest they upset delicate Chinese sensibilities and incur wrath.

Just Joe

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1037 on: December 06, 2021, 08:05:59 AM »
The old quip about "all your eggs in one basket" isn't new. Still, here we are.

Heating fuel from Russia, and everything else from China...

FIPurpose

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1038 on: December 06, 2021, 08:14:53 AM »
Also just considering the population numbers

Russia only has about 3x the population of Ukraine

China has closer to 56x the population of Taiwan.

Though obviously Taiwan is significantly more difficult to invade. China has enough people to throw at it if they really wanted it.

Biden is currently fast tracking additional aid to Ukraine and is looking to place our missile defense systems in Ukraine itself. I have to imagine there are still limits to what Russia is willing to do. If Russia were to truly unleash its full force, Europe would have to react. So Russia has to fight with a hand tied behind their back, which basically means that for now, Ukraine and Russia appear to be on equal footing.

Europe is also quickly moving to renewables quickly. They won't need Russia's oil for that much longer. Russia needs oil prices to remain high to have a fighting chance of funding a war, so what will Russia even be able to do in 2 decades if Europe becomes energy independent?

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1039 on: December 06, 2021, 09:30:23 AM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

It seems like China is sort of pi**ing off the world.  They were fighting India not too long ago.  They had the Australia coal thing  They fish in Phillipine's waters.  Japan is not happy with them.  Japan has been paying it's companies to leave.  South Korean companies have been closing shop in China.  Europe has condemned them.  Vietnam is not supposed to be getting along with them.  Companies are choosing Vietnam over China.

I've read Indian labor is cheaper than Chinese labor and I suppose this is true of many other countries now as well.

Is it possible that much of the world will "wise up" and much of the stuff now built in communist China will begin to migrate towards more reasonable countries?  Trade is what made them great.  If trade shifts elsewhere, they may subside.

Just Joe

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1040 on: December 06, 2021, 10:15:30 AM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

But Ukraine has money. They would be "stealing" a whole country wouldn't they?

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1041 on: December 06, 2021, 11:53:29 AM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

Kiev is the historic capital or Russia. Not having Ukraine would be a little bit like the USA not having the 13 colonies.

Also, I think that Putin would (if he could) rebuild the buffer between NATO and Russia that the USSR had.

EDITed to add, what "Joey Stalin thing?" Ukraine was part of the Russian Empire until 1918 after which it transitioned to a Soviet vassal state.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2021, 12:03:14 PM by PDXTabs »

JGS1980

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1042 on: December 06, 2021, 12:09:33 PM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

Kiev is the historic capital or Russia. Not having Ukraine would be a little bit like the USA not having the 13 colonies.

Also, I think that Putin would (if he could) rebuild the buffer between NATO and Russia that the USSR had.

EDITed to add, what "Joey Stalin thing?" Ukraine was part of the Russian Empire until 1918 after which it transitioned to a Soviet vassal state.

-PDXTabs, but what do you think the Ukrainians think about your argument?

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1043 on: December 06, 2021, 12:14:42 PM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

Kiev is the historic capital or Russia. Not having Ukraine would be a little bit like the USA not having the 13 colonies.

Also, I think that Putin would (if he could) rebuild the buffer between NATO and Russia that the USSR had.

EDITed to add, what "Joey Stalin thing?" Ukraine was part of the Russian Empire until 1918 after which it transitioned to a Soviet vassal state.

-PDXTabs, but what do you think the Ukrainians think about your argument?

I think that a quarter of my family left modern day Ukraine during the Russian Empire and I would admit Ukraine into both NATO and the EU tomorrow if you made me God for a day. Nothing in my post should be construed to mean that Russia should be allowed to expand its territory by force. I was only attempting to answer pecunia's question about "incentive."

EDITed - also, every Ukrainian knows "my" argument. That's the problem. Short of admitting Ukraine into NATO I imagine that the average pro-Western Ukrainian it terrified of the troop buildup on their border.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2021, 12:25:03 PM by PDXTabs »


nereo

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1045 on: December 06, 2021, 02:04:37 PM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

Kiev is the historic capital or Russia. Not having Ukraine would be a little bit like the USA not having the 13 colonies.



Well yes, one could look at it this way, but that's a bit like saying "England is the historic (and cultural-heritage) capitol of much of North America"
Ukraine is a sovereign nation. Just because it was once part of Russia does not justify any current claims Russia has over Ukraine.

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1046 on: December 06, 2021, 02:15:35 PM »
I'm not sure Putin will do the Joey Stalin thing with Ukraine.  What's their real incentive?  I don't get it.  They have a buttload of land and resources.  If they put forth some effort to develop what they have, those folks would be very rich.

Kiev is the historic capital or Russia. Not having Ukraine would be a little bit like the USA not having the 13 colonies.



Well yes, one could look at it this way, but that's a bit like saying "England is the historic (and cultural-heritage) capitol of much of North America"
Ukraine is a sovereign nation. Just because it was once part of Russia does not justify any current claims Russia has over Ukraine.

No, it's more like if London declared independence from England and lived peacefully like that for a few decades before being invaded by the countryside.

If you actually want to understand what is going on in Ukraine right now I strongly recommend that you read A Concise History of Russia by Paul Bushkovitch.

EDITed to add: an essay about this by a certain Russian oligarch bounced through bit.ly.
« Last Edit: December 06, 2021, 03:02:49 PM by PDXTabs »

LennStar

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1047 on: December 07, 2021, 04:17:37 AM »
The major item no one has cited in this thread (the podcast I linked to talk about it though) is litigation. No one litigates like the US and especially no one litigates development projects like we do. It accounts for significantly higher costs as well as building timelines.

Do you mean environmental litigation?  I know a lot of projects are delayed while studies are performed to determine any effects on the environment and populations but I would have thought Europe and Asia might do similar.
Boy, you have no ideas.
Greetings from Germany, where bats and other small animals routinely stop 100-million Euro projects.
The thing is that every bigger project has to make an environmental impact study.

Quote
I've seen Amtrak estimating it would cost $500 million per mile to build high speed rail in the American NE corridor.

Average price per mile of a 6 lane interstate in an urban location is about $10 million per mile:
How the hell is Amtrak coming to these prices?
In the EU it's 12-30 million for high speed rail - and that difference is mainly, I guess, based on if you build for 200km/h or 300+


Quote
As it is, the entire world is afraid of even saying the word 'Taiwan' lest they upset delicate Chinese sensibilities and incur wrath.
Not everyone. Not uh.... Lithuania I think? They have just been erased from Chinese customs database - nothing goes on or out between those 2 countries.

Quote
It seems like China is sort of pi**ing off the world.
Well, Xi Jiping has stated it several times, they are mimicking Europe+US 150 years ago.

Quote
Trade is what made them great.  If trade shifts elsewhere, they may subside.
Not quite right. The trade helped of course, but it is no longer that much needed. Because China has modernized. Which is the main reason China is "great" now. You US people still laugh about the "Great Leap", but the industrialization worked. It was just hard to keep up with the population growth at the same time. Once one-child kicked in, the wealth per head shot up. Of coures that will a very different problem in the nearer future with all those single boys.

LennStar

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1048 on: December 07, 2021, 04:18:55 AM »
Unrelated to the political stuff, and more to the car/train thing, here is a terrific video on suburbs: Watch Order! as we Germans would say ;)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-sA2LeHTIUI

PDXTabs

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Re: Biden's policies debated ( formerly known as Biden outrage of the day )
« Reply #1049 on: December 07, 2021, 05:26:02 PM »
Meanwhile, in the Northwest people are still trying to get "higher" (180 km/h) speed rail between Eugene, OR and Vancouver, BC that was originally proposed in the Intermodal Surface Transportation Efficiency Act of 1991.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific_Northwest_Corridor

Actually, I think that they have decided that they can up the speed to 350km/h and complete the whole run for ~$40B which is substantially less than adding a lane to I-5 for the whole route:
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/vancouver-seattle-portland-high-speed-rail-business-case-july-2019
https://www.cascadiarail.org/



 

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