I started my response and realized it sounds like I'm attacking the OP, which isn't my intent. Please read the following as a criticism of "worrying about the future" and not ChpBstrd.
My problems with this prognostication are twofold:
1. It's fairly common for someone to find a pattern that's got a high predictive value, which falls apart at the next signal point. It's like the technical analysis of stocks - it works until it doesn't. Everything changes just enough to kill the previous assumptions and their conclusions. So I treat every crystal ball with skepticism.
2. If there is a recession, what exactly are we supposed to do about it? If one starts with the assumptions that most of the people here have a healthy emergency fund, backup plans for if they lose their job, and are long-term investors that don't change their investing strategies when the chips are down, what should any of us do differently? It's not like we can do anything to stop it. There's only a handful of people on the planet that might be able to do something about it, and they sure aren't posting here.
I also haven't seen data on the following - the yield curve inversion hypothesis is that inversion is followed by a recession within 2 years. How much of the past 100 years have we been "within 2 years" of a recession? If we've had ~15 recessions in the last 100 years, that's an average of 1 every ~7 years. If they came like clockwork, which they didn't, but for argument's sake, that would mean 5 years out of 7 we were more than 2 years away from the start, and 2 out of 7 we were within, which is almost 29% of the time. That's a pretty big chunk of time.