Regarding SPAC downside near NAV, the downside is basically that management will overpay for whatever they buy. Very serious risk for celebrity SPACs, but for tried and true investment superstars buying near NAV is, in my opinion, an amazing opportunity.
I'm allocating most of my moonshot dough into BTNB right now.
For those unfamiliar this is Thiel Capital's joint SPAC venture in SE Asia to find a tech-ish company valued around 300 million or so. Their first SPAC, BTWN is looking for a bigger one like Tokopedia, and I own plenty of BTWN as well - but I see a much larger growth opportunity in their smaller cap SPAC. I view it as an extremely rare opportunity to invest in an early stage startup alongside Peter Thiel. You can't turn back time and invest in paypal, facebook, palantir, or lyft - but this is the closest thing that I can see.
And it's under 12 right now, implying less than 20% premium.