I am lazy, but not too lazy to copy paste from the last update post with some additional math and commentary:
junioroldtimer sold 892.949 shares on Feb 7, 2019 at $67.59 each converting $60,354.43 into cash on the thesis that President Trump would be impeached and the stock martket would drop in the ensuing turmoil (see Post #1)
junioroldtimer purchased 907.167 shares on Mar 13, 2020 at $66.14 each for gain in position of $1,294.78 (see post #580)
However, he missed out on dividends totaling $1,282.58 during this time, for a market timing gain of $12.20 . he had the initial $60,354.43 invested in an Ally savings account for that same ~1 year at a rate of 2.3% compounded monthly for a gain of $1,402.88 .
This brings the total position gain of "Market timing attempt #1" to be a gain of $1,415.08
Next, junioroldtimer sold 469.41 shares on Mar 27, 2020 at $63.91 each converting $30,000 into cash on the thesis that "VTSAX will be lower at some time in the future". (see Post #611)
On Jun 5, 2020 the closing price was $78.85, meaning he had cost himself $7,012.99 after 10 weeks.
On Sep 1, 2020 the closing price was $87.08 meaning he had cost himself $10,876.23 plus $159.08 in dividends after 23 weeks
On Nov 19, 2020 the closing price was $89.66 meaning he had cost himself $12,087.31 plus $312.06 in dividends after 34 weeks
On Feb 5, 2021 the closing price was $99.32 meaning he had cost himself $16,621.81 plus $489.55 in dividends after 45 weeks
On Apr 14, 2021 the closing price was $105.40 meaning he had cost himself $19,475.82 plus $641.82 in dividends after 55 weeks
On August 6, 2021 the closing price was $111.39 meaning he had cost himself $22,287.59 plus $794.85 in dividends after 70 weeks
On January 3, 2023 the closing price was $92.70 meaning he had cost himself $13,514.30 plus $1081.76 in dividends
This brings the total position gain of "Market timing attempt #2" to be a loss of $14,596.05
This is a potential total endeavor loss (sum of attempts #1 ) of $13,180.97
So, despite a bloodbath in the market this past year, OP is not particularly close to meeting their thesis.
For a quick sum up for those just tuning in: OP decided to time the market on the thesis that the Mueller report would have damning evidence that would lead to the impeachment of Trump, turmoil would ensue, and the markets would drop.
While OP's investment thesis was a bust, thanks to a once-in-a-century pandemic, OP was given the chance to buy back in for a small profit. Their follow-up comments indicate that they believed the they were correct in their efforts and not simply lucky. We were given the update on the second sell out attempt, then a few replies indicating they didn't quite understand the difference between a mutual fund and and ETF, and then silence.
In the interim between these posts from OP, much nonsense, bizarreness, and occasional foam ensued.
And scene.
