The Money Mustache Community
Learning, Sharing, and Teaching => Investor Alley => Topic started by: James on June 02, 2016, 09:47:03 AM
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I found this post interesting: http://www.federatedinvestors.com/FII/marketcommentary/detail.do?cid=124543
With the discussion about Red Dow and all the other talk about markets turning around and possibility of a drop, it's good to remember that we could be half way into the current secular bull market run.
Imagine jumping out in 1994 because it had been 12 years of bull market... it's got to end somewhere right?... and then you miss the great run up of the following five years waiting for the big drop you know is coming...
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45-65 looks flat in that chart?
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45-65 looks flat in that chart?
It isn't weighted.... so basically anything earlier than 20-30 years ago is going to be small. Even though growing from 10 to 100 is a 10 fold increase, it wouldn't show very well on a graph that goes from 0 to 2,500....
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Big Manly Prediction: No one has any Earthly idea what the market will next year or the year after that.
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Why is a bull market "secular"?
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Why is a bull market "secular"?
'cause all the religious dudes are always calling for the bear market.
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Seriously though, secular ___ market means long-term, with a few short-term opposite movements mixed in. So secular bull is 5+ years of rising prices, with a pullback here or there, and a secular bear is 5+ years of falling prices with the occasional rise mixed in.