Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 1687422 times)

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4100 on: December 29, 2018, 10:35:11 PM »
that loss is only relevant if you only evaluate  your investments on January 1st, many do; but I doubt this board does. still down 16% from the top of less than 3 months ago and the 50 day is below the 100, 200 and 300 day now; that's a helluva lot of resistance with fib retracement levels of 2515, 2585 and 2615;.....snip....

Thorstasch?

Haha I totally had to check the username in that post

+1

Would really like to hear his/her thoughts of the current situation. Thor...what say thee?

Thorstach probably doesnít believe in pseudo intellectual BS like Fibonacci levels.  He likely sticks with established metrics like Elliott waves

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4101 on: December 30, 2018, 06:50:01 AM »
Missy Elliot?

Optimiser

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4102 on: January 01, 2019, 03:22:01 PM »

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4103 on: January 01, 2019, 09:54:43 PM »
and she's even waving

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4104 on: January 02, 2019, 07:14:10 AM »
She's waving at the 2019 Top.

Any predictions on how much up/down we end up on December 31, 2019?

My crystal ball is telling me we end up down 13.37%

soccerluvof4

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4105 on: January 02, 2019, 07:16:48 AM »
up 3.5%

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4106 on: January 02, 2019, 07:17:53 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4107 on: January 02, 2019, 07:27:04 AM »
I will say -5% with +\- 10% throughout the year. SP500 2250-2750.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4108 on: January 02, 2019, 07:39:20 AM »
S&P500 volatile ending down at 2336

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4109 on: January 02, 2019, 07:55:19 AM »
I'm expecting flat to slightly up next year, comparable to inflation.  I'll be surprised if we have a second negative year in a row.

Threshkin

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4110 on: January 02, 2019, 10:04:47 AM »
Here goes nothing.

Up 7.73% YoY.  Many gyrations during the year but ultimately a good year.

Source:  Extensive market analysis including foreign and domestic derivative cash flow, South Pacific weather pattern predictions, and Parisian hemline analysis.  NOT

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4111 on: January 02, 2019, 11:13:03 AM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4112 on: January 02, 2019, 11:40:53 AM »
183 pages due to aforementioned Parisian hemline analysis.

35andFI

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4113 on: January 02, 2019, 11:54:29 AM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

After an in-depth look at the jarjar stock advisory analytics (JJSAA), mesa thinks muy muy more pages.

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4114 on: January 02, 2019, 12:09:07 PM »

After an in-depth look at the jarjar stock advisory analytics (JJSAA), mesa thinks muy muy more pages.


dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4115 on: January 02, 2019, 01:41:11 PM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

Any predictions actually posted here would be insider trading, right?

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4116 on: January 02, 2019, 03:31:02 PM »
SP500 up 0.13% in the first day of trading.  Extrapolating out, we should see gains of 32.7% this year

(+/- 72.214%)

thorstach

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4117 on: January 02, 2019, 04:57:46 PM »
Red futures on red AAPL

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4118 on: January 02, 2019, 05:02:42 PM »
How's your health, @thorstach?  I've noticed your posting frequency has gone down.  I worry about you when I don't see you post much...

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4119 on: January 02, 2019, 05:59:15 PM »
I mean if we're going to post scary graphs, I find this one (USD:Japanese Yen exchange rate today) more worrying than apple.



(Before you panic that we're finally having a run on the dollar I should mention the exchange rate bounced back by about 2/3 within a couple of hours.)

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4120 on: January 03, 2019, 01:36:43 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year. 

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4121 on: January 03, 2019, 07:11:29 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4122 on: January 03, 2019, 07:59:11 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4123 on: January 03, 2019, 09:08:41 AM »
I mean if we're going to post scary graphs, I find this one (USD:Japanese Yen exchange rate today) more worrying than apple.



(Before you panic that we're finally having a run on the dollar I should mention the exchange rate bounced back by about 2/3 within a couple of hours.)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-twilight-trading-hour-strikes-currency-markets-again-11546504765?mod=mhp

That kind of dollar volatility is why thorstach recommends we all buy cryptocurrency. No volatility there...

ysette9

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4124 on: January 03, 2019, 09:35:53 AM »
I'm expecting flat to slightly up next year, comparable to inflation.  I'll be surprised if we have a second negative year in a row.
I read this at first and thought “2018 was a down year?” Then I realized that this is referencing the stock market itself, not my net worth. Clearly, tracking market movement is very important to me.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4125 on: January 03, 2019, 10:11:12 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

appleshampooid

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4126 on: January 03, 2019, 10:44:40 AM »
Got a nice chunk of change tied up in a rollover right now. C'MON MARKET, DO YOUR WORST!!!

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4127 on: January 03, 2019, 11:06:03 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

Your home looks a lot like a police station.  Interesting choice of decor. 

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4128 on: January 03, 2019, 11:08:50 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

Only 3.2 stars? Previous visitors must have failed to find your buried cash.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4129 on: January 03, 2019, 01:34:56 PM »

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4130 on: January 03, 2019, 01:58:46 PM »
This this pace, we will be down to Dow = 0 in ~40 days

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4131 on: January 03, 2019, 02:06:39 PM »
MarketWatch is literally using an image of a crystal ball in their article on predicting the bear market...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/watch-this-level-on-the-sp-500-to-judge-whether-the-bear-market-will-end-or-accelerate-2019-01-03

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4132 on: January 03, 2019, 04:03:42 PM »
MarketWatch is literally using an image of a crystal ball in their article on predicting the bear market...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/watch-this-level-on-the-sp-500-to-judge-whether-the-bear-market-will-end-or-accelerate-2019-01-03

Are we even to the point we can call it a bear market yet?  We're down a huge whopping 17%, and it's set us back almost a whole year and a half. 

DavidAnnArbor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4133 on: January 03, 2019, 04:23:36 PM »
We're all on the sinking Trumptanic.

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4134 on: January 03, 2019, 05:14:05 PM »
This this pace, we will be down to Dow = 0 in ~40 days

End of days, sky is falling....sounds a lot like 2008

WhiteTrashCash

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4135 on: January 03, 2019, 05:23:21 PM »
My investments are barely above inflation right now. Thank God for dividends or it would be much worse.

kendallf

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4136 on: January 03, 2019, 05:27:02 PM »
Are we there yet?

Yes.  Yes we were. (note date of quoted post)

slow hand slow plan

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4137 on: January 04, 2019, 11:17:03 AM »
ironically we are almost back to the bottom of when this started in April 2017 ....not yet though... and the top call was missed by almost everyone even thor.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4138 on: January 04, 2019, 11:26:08 AM »
I didnít even get to fund my Roth yet... this bear market is dumb. Stay down!

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4139 on: January 04, 2019, 11:43:37 AM »
All these market gyrations are making me feel weirdly competent, when all I am is very lazy.

talltexan

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4140 on: January 04, 2019, 12:49:27 PM »
We're all comparing 401K returns during 2018, and I lost less than anyone because my bond stake is higher. Thank you, TII thread!!!

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4141 on: January 04, 2019, 01:06:36 PM »
@Steeze, the $6k settled in my sweep account today, I xfered to tIRA but have to wait till they settle in the IRA MM before I can convert it to Roth and invest.......stay down damn it!!!!!

I'm also waiting for $18.9k to move from UMB Bank to Fidelity's HSA, which is currently in cash!

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4142 on: January 04, 2019, 03:08:11 PM »
Since thorstach has left us in this, our time off greatest need, I thought I'd add this chart, which shows that rapid stock market increases are indeed a sign that the end times are upon us. Stolen from the oddstats twitter feed.


nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4143 on: January 04, 2019, 03:45:51 PM »
My investments are barely above inflation right now. Thank God for dividends or it would be much worse.

I hope you are kidding...

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4144 on: January 04, 2019, 05:17:46 PM »
Well that was shortest bear market ever.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4145 on: January 04, 2019, 07:59:11 PM »
@Steeze, the $6k settled in my sweep account today, I xfered to tIRA but have to wait till they settle in the IRA MM before I can convert it to Roth and invest.......stay down damn it!!!!!

I'm also waiting for $18.9k to move from UMB Bank to Fidelity's HSA, which is currently in cash!

Give it another week should be down another 3% and up 3% again in that time frame. Have to be ready. Finger on the trigger, ready...... aim..... (you know)

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4146 on: January 04, 2019, 08:33:19 PM »
Since thorstach has left us in this, our time off greatest need, I thought I'd add this chart, which shows that rapid stock market increases are indeed a sign that the end times are upon us. Stolen from the oddstats twitter feed.



A graph with red ink in it! That's it, I'm SELLING EVERYTHING!!!

secondcor521

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4147 on: January 04, 2019, 10:14:31 PM »
ironically we are almost back to the bottom of when this started in April 2017 ....not yet though... and the top call was missed by almost everyone even thor.

???

The S&P is up over 7.5% since this thread was started, and that's ignoring dividends.  Not historically fantastic for ~21 months, but not bad and certainly not flat.

(Source:  https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history?period1=1491890400&period2=1546585200&interval=1d&filter=history&frequency=1d)

Radagast

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4148 on: January 05, 2019, 01:27:35 AM »
Since thorstach has left us in this, our time off greatest need, I thought I'd add this chart, which shows that rapid stock market increases are indeed a sign that the end times are upon us. Stolen from the oddstats twitter feed.


Looks like 90% of those were associated with bottoms! Which means that top was in!

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4149 on: January 05, 2019, 04:10:59 PM »
This thread continues to have an insufficient number of graphs with scary things drawn on them.


(Click image to embiggen)