Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 2942676 times)

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9500 on: September 21, 2022, 07:43:08 AM »
Somehow the market always knows what day your 401k contribution is going in

I thought I was the only one...my 401k purchase day is Wednesday, and I swear it's always after a big green day.

The market know when we buy, and it also seems to know when thorstash calls the Top. 

Adventine

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9501 on: September 21, 2022, 08:43:33 AM »
Somehow the market always knows what day your 401k contribution is going in

I thought I was the only one...my 401k purchase day is Wednesday, and I swear it's always after a big green day.

The market know when we buy, and it also seems to know when thorstash calls the Top.


That's cause AI is running the show, and we just don't know it yet.

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9502 on: September 21, 2022, 09:19:14 AM »
Somehow the market always knows what day your 401k contribution is going in

I thought I was the only one...my 401k purchase day is Wednesday, and I swear it's always after a big green day.


Calling the Top is in!

dignam

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9503 on: September 21, 2022, 12:59:24 PM »
LOL this thread never ceases to entertain.

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9504 on: September 21, 2022, 02:47:21 PM »
Somehow the market always knows what day your 401k contribution is going in

Oh, THAT's what "efficient market" means

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9505 on: September 22, 2022, 12:37:11 AM »
11th circuit and Inflated real estate tops are in!

merula

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9506 on: September 22, 2022, 07:35:33 AM »
11th circuit and Inflated real estate tops are in!

If not for the fact that the top is always in, I would doubt this. It seems unlikely that inflated real estate only happened in one state.

achvfi

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9507 on: September 23, 2022, 07:53:31 AM »
Quarterly Dividends are getting reinvested but Top is in. What a bummer.

theolympians

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9508 on: September 23, 2022, 11:37:11 AM »
DOW is back in the 29's. Let's go Brandon!

MOD NOTE: Political commentary unnecessary. Keep it to off topic. Cheers!
« Last Edit: September 23, 2022, 04:09:26 PM by arebelspy »

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9509 on: September 23, 2022, 12:08:19 PM »
Is the top in on my shares of SPDN?

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9510 on: September 23, 2022, 12:21:53 PM »
Is the top in on my shares of SPDN?

We all know the bottom is not in, so obviously your top is not in!  Duh, top is in.

ATtiny85

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9511 on: September 23, 2022, 01:49:38 PM »
I was going to do some rebalancing today, then I remembered that somewhere I read definitively that the top is in, so I figured why bother.

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9512 on: September 23, 2022, 02:08:36 PM »
I notice the VIX is at 30. Does @thorstach have an opinion on that?

dividendman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9513 on: September 23, 2022, 02:18:04 PM »
I notice the VIX is at 30. Does @thorstach have an opinion on that?

I think thorstach would say: "Fear is back, VIX above 15, XIV breaking down. SPY to follow, earnings will be a reality check."

thorstach

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9514 on: September 23, 2022, 02:32:47 PM »
Walks like a top is in, quacks like a top is in..

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9515 on: September 23, 2022, 02:51:04 PM »
Walks like a top is in, quacks like a top is in..

For those of you who donít speak Thorstach, this is a call for an inverse dead cat bounce, the dead duck splash.

Adventine

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9516 on: September 23, 2022, 03:06:53 PM »
I notice the VIX is at 30. Does @thorstach have an opinion on that?


Where's our leader when we need him????

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9517 on: September 23, 2022, 03:47:37 PM »
I notice the VIX is at 30. Does @thorstach have an opinion on that?


Where's our leader when we need him????

Scroll up two posts!

solon

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9518 on: September 23, 2022, 03:48:42 PM »
I'd like the record to show that when I summon him, @thorstach answers.

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9519 on: September 23, 2022, 03:52:28 PM »
I'd like the record to show that when I summon him, @thorstach answers.
Very suspicious...

Adventine

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9520 on: September 23, 2022, 03:57:21 PM »
I notice the VIX is at 30. Does @thorstach have an opinion on that?


Where's our leader when we need him????

Scroll up two posts!


D'OH!


And this is why you're his favorite and I'm just a lowly pleb.

ATtiny85

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9521 on: September 23, 2022, 04:03:54 PM »
I'd like the record to show that when I summon him, @thorstach answers.

Hmm, very interesting. So interesting that some may say suspicious.

Eta: already noted I see now. I was in a hurry to see what Adventine said back.
« Last Edit: September 23, 2022, 04:05:39 PM by ATtiny85 »

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9522 on: September 23, 2022, 04:52:01 PM »
Walks like a top is in, quacks like a top is in..

First it was GOAT MOAT and now the Duck reference. Thorstache are you a farmer?

MustacheAndaHalf

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9523 on: September 23, 2022, 05:16:22 PM »
Walks like a top is in, quacks like a top is in..
The top was in when Fed Chair Powell walked up to the microphone at Jackson Hole last month.

Wintergreen78

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9524 on: September 23, 2022, 06:33:41 PM »
I'd like the record to show that when I summon him, @thorstach answers.
Very suspicious...

And we never see both of them in the same place at onceÖ

We may have found Thorstachís alter ego!

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9525 on: September 26, 2022, 08:26:36 AM »
Walks like a top is in, quacks like a top is in..
The top was in when Fed Chair Powell walked up to the microphone at Jackson Hole last month.



Oh Duck..... The Top is in!

PDXTabs

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9526 on: September 26, 2022, 10:02:34 AM »

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9527 on: September 26, 2022, 01:10:44 PM »

Glenstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9528 on: September 26, 2022, 01:44:52 PM »

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9529 on: September 26, 2022, 03:00:41 PM »

Glenstache

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9530 on: September 26, 2022, 09:05:53 PM »
What does one do when Thorstach tells you the top is coming at you?

Spoiler: show
DUCK!

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9531 on: September 26, 2022, 11:35:43 PM »
WSJ: British Pound Touches Record Low Against Dollar

Pound Sterling top is in!

In Pounds Sterling terms, the S&P 500 is only down 2.5% from its peak at the start of the year!

PDXTabs

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9532 on: September 27, 2022, 07:58:41 AM »

achvfi

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9533 on: September 27, 2022, 08:51:15 AM »



techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9536 on: September 28, 2022, 12:39:47 PM »
Holy shit.  How bad do things have to be before the IMF starts to worry about income inequality???

It must be bad if you are calling in the




Ethan Hawke Top is in!

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9537 on: October 04, 2022, 09:13:21 AM »
I am giving old Bob a run for his money. Top is in on my luck with timing anything really.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9538 on: October 04, 2022, 09:15:17 PM »
Holy shit.  How bad do things have to be before the IMF starts to worry about income inequality???

It must be bad if you are calling in the




Ethan Hawke Top is in!

But wait!  Tom Cruise takes off his mask, it was thorstash all along!  thorstash Top is In!
« Last Edit: October 04, 2022, 09:16:50 PM by JAYSLOL »

Nicholas Carter

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9539 on: October 09, 2022, 01:51:53 AM »
I never get a serious reply on this, but I've always had this philosophical puzzler to pass the time:
How long does an inflation-adjusted ATH have to hold the record before someone accurately can call it a top? The real value of the S&P in 2001(?) wasn't reached again until 2014. If thorstach had been investing in 2000, would he be right? What if the same ATH went unchallenged for 30 years, or 70, or 8, or 2? How local does a local maxima have to be to count as a top?

blue_green_sparks

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9540 on: October 09, 2022, 05:46:55 AM »
I never get a serious reply on this, but I've always had this philosophical puzzler to pass the time:
How long does an inflation-adjusted ATH have to hold the record before someone accurately can call it a top? The real value of the S&P in 2001(?) wasn't reached again until 2014. If thorstach had been investing in 2000, would he be right? What if the same ATH went unchallenged for 30 years, or 70, or 8, or 2? How local does a local maxima have to be to count as a top?
It is very relative to one's age, in my opinion. As a 62-year-old who retired 4 years ago, I would say my local min/max is 10 years. I do hope we attain a new ATH within 10 years, but if not, it's no big deal as my equity allocation is light and I have plenty of fixed income. unfortunately, I am not accumulating at a discount as I did during past downturns.

Mr. Boh

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9541 on: October 09, 2022, 08:51:58 AM »
I never get a serious reply on this, but I've always had this philosophical puzzler to pass the time:
How long does an inflation-adjusted ATH have to hold the record before someone accurately can call it a top? The real value of the S&P in 2001(?) wasn't reached again until 2014. If thorstach had been investing in 2000, would he be right? What if the same ATH went unchallenged for 30 years, or 70, or 8, or 2? How local does a local maxima have to be to count as a top?

It is very relative to one's age, in my opinion. As a 62-year-old who retired 4 years ago, I would say my local min/max is 10 years. I do hope we attain a new ATH within 10 years, but if not, it's no big deal as my equity allocation is light and I have plenty of fixed income. unfortunately, I am not accumulating at a discount as I did during past downturns.

The critical thing to remember is that the Top Is In!

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9542 on: October 09, 2022, 11:19:34 AM »
I never get a serious reply on this, but I've always had this philosophical puzzler to pass the time:
How long does an inflation-adjusted ATH have to hold the record before someone accurately can call it a top? The real value of the S&P in 2001(?) wasn't reached again until 2014. If thorstach had been investing in 2000, would he be right? What if the same ATH went unchallenged for 30 years, or 70, or 8, or 2? How local does a local maxima have to be to count as a top?

I would think reasonable people could agree that the S&P top was in after the 1929 drop.  Same with the NASDAQ in 2000...  Of course, inflation being inflation, in nominal terms the top will only be in when productivity declines or the monetary system collapses.  Long live the Top!

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9543 on: October 20, 2022, 11:58:43 AM »
Liz Truss' top is in -

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9544 on: October 20, 2022, 04:29:12 PM »
LOL - Lettuce out loud :)

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9545 on: October 20, 2022, 08:03:18 PM »
I never get a serious reply on this, but I've always had this philosophical puzzler to pass the time:
How long does an inflation-adjusted ATH have to hold the record before someone accurately can call it a top? The real value of the S&P in 2001(?) wasn't reached again until 2014. If thorstach had been investing in 2000, would he be right? What if the same ATH went unchallenged for 30 years, or 70, or 8, or 2? How local does a local maxima have to be to count as a top?

I would think reasonable people could agree that the S&P top was in after the 1929 drop.  Same with the NASDAQ in 2000...  Of course, inflation being inflation, in nominal terms the top will only be in when productivity declines or the monetary system collapses.  Long live the Top!

In theory, inflation could grow faster than the long-run total return of the S&P500, causing the top to be in, in real terms even if stock prices went up in nominal terms. Of course if that were to happen, the top might also be in, in nominal terms. So there you have it - two ways for the top to be in.

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9546 on: November 04, 2022, 08:26:27 AM »
Prior to the Fed's announcement, there was still a glimmer of hope that, after a really great October, maybe the Top Was In for 2022...  but unfortunately it looks like the top is in again.

ATtiny85

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9547 on: November 04, 2022, 02:40:12 PM »
Prior to the Fed's announcement, there was still a glimmer of hope that, after a really great October, maybe the Top Was In for 2022...  but unfortunately it looks like the top is in again.

Uh, no. The top was never not in, so it canít be in again.

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9548 on: November 06, 2022, 05:35:13 PM »
so I'm jogging this weekend and my Fitbit tells me I've moved from Cardio to Peak.  All I can think of is - BPM's at 180, VO2's breaking down - top is in!

markbike528CBX

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #9549 on: November 06, 2022, 08:00:22 PM »
so I'm jogging this weekend and my Fitbit tells me I've moved from Cardio to Peak.  All I can think of is - BPM's at 180, VO2's breaking down - top is in!
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