Top is in

[TomTX]

There will be a dead cat bounce on Tuesday, it’s when my TSP contribution goes in so totally a dead cat bounce that day.  I predict at least 5%.

Wow good call! What's going to happen tomorrow?

This always happens!  It’s like they know

I only make calls every other Tuesday.  I have no clue about tomorrow.

You win!

[dougules]

The good news is that working from home broke my excel formulas and now I don't have an easy way to check my stash.

Things are good right, Top is in and all is normal?

I got into your spreadsheet and got a snapshot for you:

$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0


TOP IS IN!

[dreadmoose]

The good news is that working from home broke my excel formulas and now I don't have an easy way to check my stash.

Things are good right, Top is in and all is normal?

I got into your spreadsheet and got a snapshot for you:

$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0


TOP IS IN!

Oh man is the top in. Can't really go much higher than that or any profit / loss calc would be undefined.

[dougules]

I got into your spreadsheet and got a snapshot for you:

$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0


TOP IS IN!

Oh man is the top in. Can't really go much higher than that or any profit / loss calc would be undefined.

I just now thought about the fact you're in Canada.  Luckily for you USD$0 = CAD$854,332.34 at the moment.

[wienerdog]

The good news is that working from home broke my excel formulas and now I don't have an easy way to check my stash.

Things are good right, Top is in and all is normal?

I got into your spreadsheet and got a snapshot for you:

$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0
$0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0    $0


TOP IS IN!

Interesting point about spreadsheets as technically mine only gets updated with a snapshot in time on the 1st of the month so I am still a week away from anything being "official" and anything in between the 1st and next 1st is just noise.  Right now the news is nothing but noise so it is best just to ignore it and keep at your plan.  Anyway I am somewhere between between Feb 2019 and March 2019 in net worth and liquid assets and I took on $15,000 of debt for a truck loan since then.  88% of Top here and I bet Top isn't in yet!

[mastrr]

top is in

[frugalnacho]

There will be a dead cat bounce on Tuesday, it’s when my TSP contribution goes in so totally a dead cat bounce that day.  I predict at least 5%.

So are you about to get FrugalNacho'ed?

[Optimiser]

Markets be acting like the bottom is in, but I seriously doubt they have consulted Thorstach about this.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

[HPstache]

Markets be acting like the bottom is in, but I seriously doubt they have consulted Thorstach about this.

Certainly more optimism it seems.  I still expect there to be bad news in the future that may cause some down days... jobs, employment, no stimulus round 2, etc.  But it's also possible that it will be less bad than expected and even the "bad" news will cause the market to rise.  Just more evidence that not trying to time the market is the best option in crazy times like this.

[Loren Ver]

I needed to check in here to see if the top was indeed in.  Whew, now I know.

Good to see that the mockery and sarcasm tops are indeed not in!

I do miss the graphs though, how far from the top am I if I don't have regularly updated graphs?

LV

[dreadmoose]

Here's a graph?

I think this one shows us that the Top is In... you have to read between the lines a little bit.. and if you do it properly all graphs say what you need them too, not what you want, but what you deserve.

[bthewalls]

has anyone one seen or heard of Thorstach? ...I though I felt his presence the other day and could find a holy smell in the room....like frankincense and myrrh...

if his shadow could fall on me my portfolio would be healed.

[dragoncar]

has anyone one seen or heard of Thorstach? ...I though I felt his presence the other day and could find a holy smell in the room....like frankincense and myrrh...

if his shadow could fall on me my portfolio would be healed.

Thorstach is in every one of us.  We only need to open our portfolios to his fear

[frugalnacho]

Maybe the real thorstach was the friends we've made along the way.

[ender]

Top is in today, it's definitely all over.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

I wonder if Thorstach will tell us when the bottom is in so I know when to sell...

[Mr. Boh]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

I wonder if Thorstach will tell us when the bottom is in so I know when to sell...

I think he already did. The March 20 close was 2304. I think that was our buy signal.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

I wonder if Thorstach will tell us when the bottom is in so I know when to sell...

I think he already did. The March 20 close was 2304. I think that was our buy signal.

Just to clarify, he told us the top was in which meant the bottom was in and now I'm wondering if he'll tell us when the bottom is in so we know that the top is in...  did you just get here, this is all obvious to the rest of us

[Mr. Boh]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

I wonder if Thorstach will tell us when the bottom is in so I know when to sell...

I think he already did. The March 20 close was 2304. I think that was our buy signal.

Just to clarify, he told us the top was in which meant the bottom was in and now I'm wondering if he'll tell us when the bottom is in so we know that the top is in...  did you just get here, this is all obvious to the rest of us

No I made my appearance on page 1. I was assuming you were asking in more of an upside down reverse psychology inverse double negative kind of way.

[Wintergreen78]

April 2017 top is in, great depression is in

That aught to be worth a dead cat bounce on Monday.  Thanks 'stach!

Thorstach told us the bottom was in!

I wonder if Thorstach will tell us when the bottom is in so I know when to sell...

I think he already did. The March 20 close was 2304. I think that was our buy signal.

Just to clarify, he told us the top was in which meant the bottom was in and now I'm wondering if he'll tell us when the bottom is in so we know that the top is in...  did you just get here, this is all obvious to the rest of us

No I made my appearance on page 1. I was assuming you were asking in more of an upside down reverse psychology inverse double negative kind of way.

Is there a chance that Thorstach knows that you think the bottom is in when he says the top is in? So maybe he really thinks the bottom is in when he says the top is in. He’s looking out for you!

[UnleashHell]

so is this thread the mobius strip of the forum or the inverse mobius strip???

[aboatguy]

Even with all the doom and gloom it looks like the SP500 is higher than when the thread started.   So top was not in.  No if it drops again.....

[dandarc]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I'm soooooo tired of winning

[Alternatepriorities]

so is this thread the mobius strip of the forum or the inverse mobius strip???

I'm pretty sure this thread is an ironic splinter sect of an ironic cult. May the top go on forever...

[Steeze]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I’ve been rooting for us all along. I knew we could do it! When we do it we do it big. USA!! USA!!

At this rate we should be hitting China’s total case count each day in about 7 days.
That will show the world who is best, and give a chance to really demonstrate just how capable the best healthcare system in the world is. Just ask the doctors at my local hospital, Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, NY.

Last I heard they were filling semi trailers with dead bodies and there was a line 100’s of people long waiting to get tested. Truly top notch.

[EscapeVelocity2020]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I’ve been rooting for us all along. I knew we could do it! When we do it we do it big. USA!! USA!!

At this rate we should be hitting China’s total case count each day in about 7 days.
That will show the world who is best, and give a chance to really demonstrate just how capable the best healthcare system in the world is. Just ask the doctors at my local hospital, Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, NY.

Last I heard they were filling semi trailers with dead bodies and there was a line 100’s of people long waiting to get tested. Truly top notch.

Just a little further off thread topic, but I couldn't resist -

Coronavirus: Mexicans demand crackdown on Americans crossing the border

[Monerexia]

Maybe the real thorstach was the friends we've made along the way.

This one needs spoiler alert block

[aspiringnomad]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I’ve been rooting for us all along. I knew we could do it! When we do it we do it big. USA!! USA!!

At this rate we should be hitting China’s total case count each day in about 7 days.
That will show the world who is best, and give a chance to really demonstrate just how capable the best healthcare system in the world is. Just ask the doctors at my local hospital, Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, NY.

Last I heard they were filling semi trailers with dead bodies and there was a line 100’s of people long waiting to get tested. Truly top notch.

Just a little further off thread topic, but I couldn't resist -

Coronavirus: Mexicans demand crackdown on Americans crossing the border

For some reason Alanis Morissette comes to mind.

[Tyson]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I’ve been rooting for us all along. I knew we could do it! When we do it we do it big. USA!! USA!!

At this rate we should be hitting China’s total case count each day in about 7 days.
That will show the world who is best, and give a chance to really demonstrate just how capable the best healthcare system in the world is. Just ask the doctors at my local hospital, Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, NY.

Last I heard they were filling semi trailers with dead bodies and there was a line 100’s of people long waiting to get tested. Truly top notch.

Just a little further off thread topic, but I couldn't resist -

Coronavirus: Mexicans demand crackdown on Americans crossing the border

For some reason Alanis Morissette comes to mind.

Irony top is in.

[dragoncar]

USA reached the TOP of the "total cases of COVID-19" list today.

TOP IS IN on so-called American exceptionalism.

I’ve been rooting for us all along. I knew we could do it! When we do it we do it big. USA!! USA!!

At this rate we should be hitting China’s total case count each day in about 7 days.
That will show the world who is best, and give a chance to really demonstrate just how capable the best healthcare system in the world is. Just ask the doctors at my local hospital, Elmhurst Hospital in Queens, NY.

Last I heard they were filling semi trailers with dead bodies and there was a line 100’s of people long waiting to get tested. Truly top notch.

Just a little further off thread topic, but I couldn't resist -

Coronavirus: Mexicans demand crackdown on Americans crossing the border

For some reason Alanis Morissette comes to mind.

Irony top is in.

It's like buying STONKS... when the TOP IS IN

It's like going to CASH.... at the bottom AGAIN

It's like fear is BACK... there are earnings to WATCH

And who could have called?  It's THORSTACH

(and options have a funny way of gravitating towards maximum pain)

[Loren Ver]

Here's a graph?

I think this one shows us that the Top is In... you have to read between the lines a little bit.. and if you do it properly all graphs say what you need them too, not what you want, but what you deserve.

Yes, yes it is. 

[dreadmoose]

Maybe the real thorstach was the friends we've made along the way.

[Loren Ver]

From the bottom of my heart, top is in <3

[coffeefueled]

whew for a moment I was worried thread top was in.

[dougules]

whew for a moment I was worried thread top was in.

The thread top has been in since April 2017, too.  If you read back through all 134 pages you will see that it has definitely been all downhill from there.  We had a deadcat bounce of seriousness a couple weeks ago, but that was based on market timing snake oil and not good fundamentals.  We're now back to meming our way to the bottom.

[YYK]

BTC has also dropped sharply along with the markets. I would have thought BTC would be doing pretty well, but I guess if everyone's dead then there's no use for any currency, let alone crypto.
It's up just slightly since this time last year, but still less than 50% from the 2017 peak.

[aboatguy]

Top for April 6 2020 is in.....

[dreadmoose]

BTC has also dropped sharply along with the markets. I would have thought BTC would be doing pretty well, but I guess if everyone's dead then there's no use for any currency, let alone crypto.
It's up just slightly since this time last year, but still less than 50% from the 2017 peak.

I would have guessed the opposite as well.

BTC biggest selling point as a real use case is as a non-politically motivated currency, with all the stimulus packages coming out I guess it seems better to have Government backed currencies right now. I was picturing it being closer to gold in correlation to markets tanking.

Full disclosure I have a menial stake in BTC, ETH, and LTC out of pure interest (less than .4% of my savings and only even there as I bought it forever ago).

[Lady Stash]

It's a sign that bottom is in and it's time to buy more stock.  More Stock!

Called it!  March 23rd was the bottom (so far).  Off by one day isn't bad.  Please ignore all the other top/bottom calls I have made along the way.  This is the one that counts.  ;-)

The levity on this thread helped me keep to my plan and buy stocks all the way down, even as I was losing $. I moved from 60% stock up to 75% stock(VTSAX/VGTSX) by March 23rd.  It was really hard at the time to give up cash & bonds for falling stocks.  To buy, lose 10% and keep buying, to sell bonds when they were down, but I'm glad now I did since I'm already at a net gain for those investments. Long term, I guess we'll see. 

If the market falls again, I plan to move all the way up to 90% stock.  I'm betting March 23rd was the bottom but it seems like most people are expecting a more significant drop ahead.  I am betting $$ that stocks will be up in the next 10 years though.

[Alternatepriorities]

I am betting $$ that stocks will be up in the next 10 years though.

How can one bet on stocks going up when the top is in?

One must simply accept the sacrifice of little green employees for the top.

[BDWW]

Just an FYI, my pay day was yesterday (Tuesday), and the 401K portion lands on Friday. So by murphy's law local top will be Friday.

You're welcome.

[dougules]

It's a sign that bottom is in and it's time to buy more stock.  More Stock!

Called it!  March 23rd was the bottom (so far).  Off by one day isn't bad.  Please ignore all the other top/bottom calls I have made along the way.  This is the one that counts.  ;-)

The levity on this thread helped me keep to my plan and buy stocks all the way down, even as I was losing $. I moved from 60% stock up to 75% stock(VTSAX/VGTSX) by March 23rd.  It was really hard at the time to give up cash & bonds for falling stocks.  To buy, lose 10% and keep buying, to sell bonds when they were down, but I'm glad now I did since I'm already at a net gain for those investments. Long term, I guess we'll see. 

If the market falls again, I plan to move all the way up to 90% stock.  I'm betting March 23rd was the bottom but it seems like most people are expecting a more significant drop ahead.  I am betting $$ that stocks will be up in the next 10 years though.

Any time silly memes and general childishness can be helpful, you can count on us!

[BicycleB]

It's a sign that bottom is in and it's time to buy more stock.  More Stock!

Called it!  March 23rd was the bottom (so far).  Off by one day isn't bad.  Please ignore all the other top/bottom calls I have made along the way.  This is the one that counts.  ;-)

Very professional attitude, @Lady Stash!

If only the pros with that attitude were here on this thread, they would be so much better off.  :)

[dougules]

Is it just me, or has the market completely forgotten that the top is in?  We need thorstach to remind all the bulls that they are going to drown in the GOAT MOAT. 

[BigMoneyJim]

The dead cat hit a flubber trampoline this time.

[magnet18]

The dead cat hit a flubber trampoline this time.

About what I'm thinking!

Very glad I put in a solid chunk of money on the 23rd, but I'll be (happily) astounded if we don't go freefalling back down at some point.

[BigMoneyJim]

I'll be (happily) astounded if we don't go freefalling back down at some point.

I agree. I have just about talked myself into a little "market timing". I already have a limit order to top off my cash cushion a couple of months's worth at October's levels (which we're rapidly approaching and is when I felt comfortable enough with my stash to retire). I'm currently deciding whether I want another month or two at right-now's prices or just add to my existing limit order target.

And I'll add a few more months at a higher price that I haven't determined yet.

But I'm buying time, not profits. If I'm wrong and this market keeps going up, I'm still fine. If it goes back down as it seems it obviously has to, I'll have a couple or few more months to wait for it to recover.

Wait. Scratch all that. What I'm really sayin' is, TOP IS IN.

[dragoncar]

The dead cat hit a flubber trampoline this time.

About what I'm thinking!

Very glad I put in a solid chunk of money on the 23rd, but I'll be (happily) astounded if we don't go freefalling back down at some point.

I hit the local bottom almost perfectly with some extra cash, pretty much by chance ... for my wife.  For me I missed a nice opportunity to TLH.  At the rate things are going I won’t even have any losses to harvest.  Sad