Recession is in, bottom is not in.
Quote from: Tyson on March 03, 2020, 03:44:49 PMButt fluctuationshehe, butt fluctuations
Butt fluctuations
Quote from: hadabeardonce on March 03, 2020, 04:45:53 PMQuote from: Tyson on March 03, 2020, 03:44:49 PMButt fluctuationshehe, butt fluctuationshehe, that nearly killed me
Quote from: Radagast on March 03, 2020, 07:49:06 PMQuote from: hadabeardonce on March 03, 2020, 04:45:53 PMQuote from: Tyson on March 03, 2020, 03:44:49 PMButt fluctuationshehe, butt fluctuationshehe, that nearly killed meWrecked 'em.
Top is not in. Based on the last 2 hours of market activity we are on track for approximately (checks math) ... ... 53,246,236% return by the end of the year. That should put the SP 500 at 1,597,387,099.4, give or take.
The #thorstachrebound is real!
Quote from: PathtoFIRE on March 04, 2020, 02:45:25 PMThe #thorstachrebound is real!His posts do seem to magnetically repel the markets upwards. Did we discover a new law of Newtonian physics, or is this a quantum thing where the top is both in and not in until we observe it? How do we know when we observe it? Is the bouncing cat both dead and alive? So many questions, so many tops.
Possibly he has truly found the key to market prediction, but he's just holding it the wrong way
Quote from: aspiringnomad on March 04, 2020, 11:00:16 PMQuote from: PathtoFIRE on March 04, 2020, 02:45:25 PMThe #thorstachrebound is real!His posts do seem to magnetically repel the markets upwards. Did we discover a new law of Newtonian physics, or is this a quantum thing where the top is both in and not in until we observe it? How do we know when we observe it? Is the bouncing cat both dead and alive? So many questions, so many tops.The lesser known Thorstache's Cat.
I'm glad this thread exists so I can be reminded to check what the market is actually doing!
Psst! Market timers: I've stopped a pattern! It goes down one day and up the next. Just buy on the down days and sell on the up days.
Quote from: BigMoneyJim on March 05, 2020, 08:26:16 AMPsst! Market timers: I've stopped a pattern! It goes down one day and up the next. Just buy on the down days and sell on the up days.Just buy the VIX before it breaks down!
Took a look at CBOE VIX. It hit 50.06 earlier today, and is hovering around 48.5 now. Highest ever was 59.89 on October 1, 2008. I'm calling it. Top VIX is IN!
Quote from: Buffaloski Boris on March 06, 2020, 10:35:03 AMTook a look at CBOE VIX. It hit 50.06 earlier today, and is hovering around 48.5 now. Highest ever was 59.89 on October 1, 2008. I'm calling it. Top VIX is IN! Buffaloski, the Thorstache of VIXs. Looks like we're goin' higher folks!
Quote from: Buffaloski Boris on March 06, 2020, 10:35:03 AMTook a look at CBOE VIX. It hit 50.06 earlier today, and is hovering around 48.5 now. Highest ever was 59.89 on October 1, 2008. I'm calling it. Top VIX is IN! Market, “hold my beer, watch this”
Quote from: Roland of Gilead on February 12, 2020, 11:29:39 AMQuote from: aspiringnomad on February 10, 2020, 08:09:32 PMQuote from: Roland of Gilead on February 07, 2020, 10:18:27 PMI placed a small wager on a local maxima. I purchased 100 SPY $325 puts for $3.40 today, expiring March 20Essentially controlling $3,250,000 of stock with $34,000. Just on a gut feeling that the economic impact from the virus hasn't been priced in (yeah I know everything is priced in, except when it isn't).I am probably out at a 5% dip in the market, which would make about $70,000 profit.Down $3,500 after the first day of trading. Don't doubt ur vibe. To be honest, I also would have expected the impact on supply chains would have had more of an effect on revenue and share prices. Good luck with the bet.It is down more like $10,000. Not really concerned though, plenty of time left until March 20. I do have other irons in the fire, made $6,000 on Nektar today.Do you actually think SPY is going to go below 325 before March 20 though? Time is not really on your side since it is now eroding the value of the puts even if the market stays flat (since the Top is In).
Quote from: aspiringnomad on February 10, 2020, 08:09:32 PMQuote from: Roland of Gilead on February 07, 2020, 10:18:27 PMI placed a small wager on a local maxima. I purchased 100 SPY $325 puts for $3.40 today, expiring March 20Essentially controlling $3,250,000 of stock with $34,000. Just on a gut feeling that the economic impact from the virus hasn't been priced in (yeah I know everything is priced in, except when it isn't).I am probably out at a 5% dip in the market, which would make about $70,000 profit.Down $3,500 after the first day of trading. Don't doubt ur vibe. To be honest, I also would have expected the impact on supply chains would have had more of an effect on revenue and share prices. Good luck with the bet.It is down more like $10,000. Not really concerned though, plenty of time left until March 20. I do have other irons in the fire, made $6,000 on Nektar today.
Quote from: Roland of Gilead on February 07, 2020, 10:18:27 PMI placed a small wager on a local maxima. I purchased 100 SPY $325 puts for $3.40 today, expiring March 20Essentially controlling $3,250,000 of stock with $34,000. Just on a gut feeling that the economic impact from the virus hasn't been priced in (yeah I know everything is priced in, except when it isn't).I am probably out at a 5% dip in the market, which would make about $70,000 profit.Down $3,500 after the first day of trading. Don't doubt ur vibe. To be honest, I also would have expected the impact on supply chains would have had more of an effect on revenue and share prices. Good luck with the bet.
I placed a small wager on a local maxima. I purchased 100 SPY $325 puts for $3.40 today, expiring March 20Essentially controlling $3,250,000 of stock with $34,000. Just on a gut feeling that the economic impact from the virus hasn't been priced in (yeah I know everything is priced in, except when it isn't).I am probably out at a 5% dip in the market, which would make about $70,000 profit.
Quote from: EscapeVelocity2020 on February 12, 2020, 11:40:52 AMQuote from: Roland of Gilead on February 12, 2020, 11:29:39 AMQuote from: aspiringnomad on February 10, 2020, 08:09:32 PMQuote from: Roland of Gilead on February 07, 2020, 10:18:27 PMI placed a small wager on a local maxima. I purchased 100 SPY $325 puts for $3.40 today, expiring March 20Essentially controlling $3,250,000 of stock with $34,000. Just on a gut feeling that the economic impact from the virus hasn't been priced in (yeah I know everything is priced in, except when it isn't).I am probably out at a 5% dip in the market, which would make about $70,000 profit.Down $3,500 after the first day of trading. Don't doubt ur vibe. To be honest, I also would have expected the impact on supply chains would have had more of an effect on revenue and share prices. Good luck with the bet.It is down more like $10,000. Not really concerned though, plenty of time left until March 20. I do have other irons in the fire, made $6,000 on Nektar today.Do you actually think SPY is going to go below 325 before March 20 though? Time is not really on your side since it is now eroding the value of the puts even if the market stays flat (since the Top is In).LOL! /cry
https://money.cnn.com/data/afterhours/https://www.cnn.com/2020/03/08/investing/stock-dow-futures-coronavirus/index.htmlIcky things like viruses and oil are messing with business. Beware pickers and flickers.
Handy rules of thumb while waiting for your favorite stock market commentators:-8% = one of the 15 worst days in the history of the stock market/S&P 500.-9% = one of the 7 worst days in the history of the stock market/S&P 500-10%= one of the 4 worst days in the history of the stock market/S&P 500-13%* = one of the 2 worst days in the history of the stock market/S&P 500-20%** = still only one of the 2 worst days in the history of the stock market/S&P 500*Second circuit breaker**Third circuit breaker, and trading stops for the day.
S&P 500 back to June 2019 ,just last year, levels. O the Horror!!
Quote from: markbike528CBX on March 09, 2020, 08:14:46 AMS&P 500 back to June 2019 ,just last year, levels. O the Horror!!Yay! fantastic. Buy buy buy