Inverse market/thorstach test failure, Top Is In, we're all doomed!
Failure? This is confirmation! Every time thorstach calls the top, the very next day is positive. This is like the seventh time in this very thread that has happened.
I suspect that part of the problem is attributable to mean reversion. Thorstach only calls tops retroactively, which mean it waits for at least two consecutive down days to establish a downward trend and project future losses, but market prices don't have momentum like that. They bounce randomly around an average trendline by small amounts. So if you only call when they're short term down, chances are better than average that they're about to go short term up.
That, or thorstach just has a truly uncanny ability to be wrong.