Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 675993 times)

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4100 on: December 29, 2018, 01:30:32 PM »
that loss is only relevant if you only evaluate  your investments on January 1st, many do; but I doubt this board does. still down 16% from the top of less than 3 months ago and the 50 day is below the 100, 200 and 300 day now; that's a helluva lot of resistance with fib retracement levels of 2515, 2585 and 2615;.....snip....

Thorstasch?

Haha I totally had to check the username in that post

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4101 on: December 29, 2018, 03:12:16 PM »
that loss is only relevant if you only evaluate  your investments on January 1st, many do; but I doubt this board does. still down 16% from the top of less than 3 months ago and the 50 day is below the 100, 200 and 300 day now; that's a helluva lot of resistance with fib retracement levels of 2515, 2585 and 2615;.....snip....

Thorstasch?

Haha I totally had to check the username in that post

+1

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4102 on: December 29, 2018, 05:11:24 PM »
that loss is only relevant if you only evaluate  your investments on January 1st, many do; but I doubt this board does. still down 16% from the top of less than 3 months ago and the 50 day is below the 100, 200 and 300 day now; that's a helluva lot of resistance with fib retracement levels of 2515, 2585 and 2615;.....snip....

Thorstasch?

Haha I totally had to check the username in that post

+1

Would really like to hear his/her thoughts of the current situation. Thor...what say thee?

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4103 on: December 29, 2018, 10:35:11 PM »
that loss is only relevant if you only evaluate  your investments on January 1st, many do; but I doubt this board does. still down 16% from the top of less than 3 months ago and the 50 day is below the 100, 200 and 300 day now; that's a helluva lot of resistance with fib retracement levels of 2515, 2585 and 2615;.....snip....

Thorstasch?

Haha I totally had to check the username in that post

+1

Would really like to hear his/her thoughts of the current situation. Thor...what say thee?

Thorstach probably doesnít believe in pseudo intellectual BS like Fibonacci levels.  He likely sticks with established metrics like Elliott waves

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4104 on: December 30, 2018, 06:50:01 AM »
Missy Elliot?

Optimiser

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4105 on: January 01, 2019, 03:22:01 PM »

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4106 on: January 01, 2019, 09:54:43 PM »
and she's even waving

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4107 on: January 02, 2019, 07:14:10 AM »
She's waving at the 2019 Top.

Any predictions on how much up/down we end up on December 31, 2019?

My crystal ball is telling me we end up down 13.37%

soccerluvof4

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4108 on: January 02, 2019, 07:16:48 AM »
up 3.5%

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4109 on: January 02, 2019, 07:17:53 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4110 on: January 02, 2019, 07:27:04 AM »
I will say -5% with +\- 10% throughout the year. SP500 2250-2750.

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4111 on: January 02, 2019, 07:39:20 AM »
S&P500 volatile ending down at 2336

sol

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4112 on: January 02, 2019, 07:55:19 AM »
I'm expecting flat to slightly up next year, comparable to inflation.  I'll be surprised if we have a second negative year in a row.

Threshkin

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4113 on: January 02, 2019, 10:04:47 AM »
Here goes nothing.

Up 7.73% YoY.  Many gyrations during the year but ultimately a good year.

Source:  Extensive market analysis including foreign and domestic derivative cash flow, South Pacific weather pattern predictions, and Parisian hemline analysis.  NOT

DS

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4114 on: January 02, 2019, 11:13:03 AM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4115 on: January 02, 2019, 11:40:53 AM »
183 pages due to aforementioned Parisian hemline analysis.

35andFI

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4116 on: January 02, 2019, 11:54:29 AM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

After an in-depth look at the jarjar stock advisory analytics (JJSAA), mesa thinks muy muy more pages.

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4117 on: January 02, 2019, 12:09:07 PM »

After an in-depth look at the jarjar stock advisory analytics (JJSAA), mesa thinks muy muy more pages.


dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4118 on: January 02, 2019, 01:41:11 PM »
Page number predictions for this thread for 2019? Top in?

Any predictions actually posted here would be insider trading, right?

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4119 on: January 02, 2019, 03:31:02 PM »
SP500 up 0.13% in the first day of trading.  Extrapolating out, we should see gains of 32.7% this year

(+/- 72.214%)

thorstach

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4120 on: January 02, 2019, 04:57:46 PM »
Red futures on red AAPL

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4121 on: January 02, 2019, 05:02:42 PM »
How's your health, @thorstach?  I've noticed your posting frequency has gone down.  I worry about you when I don't see you post much...

maizeman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4122 on: January 02, 2019, 05:59:15 PM »
I mean if we're going to post scary graphs, I find this one (USD:Japanese Yen exchange rate today) more worrying than apple.



(Before you panic that we're finally having a run on the dollar I should mention the exchange rate bounced back by about 2/3 within a couple of hours.)

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4123 on: January 03, 2019, 01:36:43 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year. 

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4124 on: January 03, 2019, 07:11:29 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4125 on: January 03, 2019, 07:59:11 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

aspiringnomad

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4126 on: January 03, 2019, 09:08:41 AM »
I mean if we're going to post scary graphs, I find this one (USD:Japanese Yen exchange rate today) more worrying than apple.



(Before you panic that we're finally having a run on the dollar I should mention the exchange rate bounced back by about 2/3 within a couple of hours.)

https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-twilight-trading-hour-strikes-currency-markets-again-11546504765?mod=mhp

That kind of dollar volatility is why thorstach recommends we all buy cryptocurrency. No volatility there...

ysette9

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4127 on: January 03, 2019, 09:35:53 AM »
I'm expecting flat to slightly up next year, comparable to inflation.  I'll be surprised if we have a second negative year in a row.
I read this at first and thought “2018 was a down year?” Then I realized that this is referencing the stock market itself, not my net worth. Clearly, tracking market movement is very important to me.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4128 on: January 03, 2019, 10:11:12 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

appleshampooid

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4129 on: January 03, 2019, 10:44:40 AM »
Got a nice chunk of change tied up in a rollover right now. C'MON MARKET, DO YOUR WORST!!!

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4130 on: January 03, 2019, 11:06:03 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

Your home looks a lot like a police station.  Interesting choice of decor. 

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4131 on: January 03, 2019, 11:08:50 AM »
Maybe for yall, I'll be at 0% because I got out of stocks before 2019.

What did you buy though?  Cash may very well be down 10% WRT stocks be the end of the year.

Even if it's buried in my back yard?

Where exactly do you live in Madison Heights, @frugalnacho?  Asking for a friend...

280 W 13 Mile Rd, Madison Heights, MI 48071

show up with shovels

Only 3.2 stars? Previous visitors must have failed to find your buried cash.

frugalnacho

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4132 on: January 03, 2019, 01:34:56 PM »

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4133 on: January 03, 2019, 01:58:46 PM »
This this pace, we will be down to Dow = 0 in ~40 days

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4134 on: January 03, 2019, 02:06:39 PM »
MarketWatch is literally using an image of a crystal ball in their article on predicting the bear market...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/watch-this-level-on-the-sp-500-to-judge-whether-the-bear-market-will-end-or-accelerate-2019-01-03

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4135 on: January 03, 2019, 04:03:42 PM »
MarketWatch is literally using an image of a crystal ball in their article on predicting the bear market...
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/watch-this-level-on-the-sp-500-to-judge-whether-the-bear-market-will-end-or-accelerate-2019-01-03

Are we even to the point we can call it a bear market yet?  We're down a huge whopping 17%, and it's set us back almost a whole year and a half. 

DavidAnnArbor

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4136 on: January 03, 2019, 04:23:36 PM »
We're all on the sinking Trumptanic.

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4137 on: January 03, 2019, 05:14:05 PM »
This this pace, we will be down to Dow = 0 in ~40 days

End of days, sky is falling....sounds a lot like 2008

WhiteTrashCash

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4138 on: January 03, 2019, 05:23:21 PM »
My investments are barely above inflation right now. Thank God for dividends or it would be much worse.

kendallf

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4139 on: January 03, 2019, 05:27:02 PM »
Are we there yet?

Yes.  Yes we were. (note date of quoted post)

slow hand slow plan

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4140 on: January 04, 2019, 11:17:03 AM »
ironically we are almost back to the bottom of when this started in April 2017 ....not yet though... and the top call was missed by almost everyone even thor.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4141 on: January 04, 2019, 11:26:08 AM »
I didnít even get to fund my Roth yet... this bear market is dumb. Stay down!

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4142 on: January 04, 2019, 11:43:37 AM »
All these market gyrations are making me feel weirdly competent, when all I am is very lazy.

talltexan

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4143 on: January 04, 2019, 12:49:27 PM »
We're all comparing 401K returns during 2018, and I lost less than anyone because my bond stake is higher. Thank you, TII thread!!!

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4144 on: January 04, 2019, 01:06:36 PM »
@Steeze, the $6k settled in my sweep account today, I xfered to tIRA but have to wait till they settle in the IRA MM before I can convert it to Roth and invest.......stay down damn it!!!!!

I'm also waiting for $18.9k to move from UMB Bank to Fidelity's HSA, which is currently in cash!

maizeman

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4145 on: January 04, 2019, 03:08:11 PM »
Since thorstach has left us in this, our time off greatest need, I thought I'd add this chart, which shows that rapid stock market increases are indeed a sign that the end times are upon us. Stolen from the oddstats twitter feed.


nereo

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4146 on: January 04, 2019, 03:45:51 PM »
My investments are barely above inflation right now. Thank God for dividends or it would be much worse.

I hope you are kidding...

Brother Esau

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4147 on: January 04, 2019, 05:17:46 PM »
Well that was shortest bear market ever.

Steeze

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4148 on: January 04, 2019, 07:59:11 PM »
@Steeze, the $6k settled in my sweep account today, I xfered to tIRA but have to wait till they settle in the IRA MM before I can convert it to Roth and invest.......stay down damn it!!!!!

I'm also waiting for $18.9k to move from UMB Bank to Fidelity's HSA, which is currently in cash!

Give it another week should be down another 3% and up 3% again in that time frame. Have to be ready. Finger on the trigger, ready...... aim..... (you know)

BicycleB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #4149 on: January 04, 2019, 08:33:19 PM »
Since thorstach has left us in this, our time off greatest need, I thought I'd add this chart, which shows that rapid stock market increases are indeed a sign that the end times are upon us. Stolen from the oddstats twitter feed.



A graph with red ink in it! That's it, I'm SELLING EVERYTHING!!!