Author Topic: Top is in  (Read 3223892 times)

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10250 on: March 14, 2024, 11:49:05 AM »
ĎRun with the bulls.í Donít worry about the S&P 500 until it reaches 6,250, says SocGen - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/run-with-the-bulls-dont-worry-about-frothy-markets-until-s-p-500-hits-6-250-says-socgen-f56ef02a?mod=home-page

All I needed was the headline, but they threw in some colorful charts and lots of words too... 


Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10251 on: March 14, 2024, 06:41:01 PM »
ĎRun with the bulls.í Donít worry about the S&P 500 until it reaches 6,250, says SocGen - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/run-with-the-bulls-dont-worry-about-frothy-markets-until-s-p-500-hits-6-250-says-socgen-f56ef02a?mod=home-page

All I needed was the headline, but they threw in some colorful charts and lots of words too...

Well thank God for this article because another one I saw yesterday aid after bit more of a run-up we will have the worst stock market crash since 1929!!!

I nearly shorted the S&P as a result!

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10252 on: March 14, 2024, 08:07:18 PM »
ĎRun with the bulls.í Donít worry about the S&P 500 until it reaches 6,250, says SocGen - https://www.marketwatch.com/story/run-with-the-bulls-dont-worry-about-frothy-markets-until-s-p-500-hits-6-250-says-socgen-f56ef02a?mod=home-page

All I needed was the headline, but they threw in some colorful charts and lots of words too...

Well thank God for this article because another one I saw yesterday aid after bit more of a run-up we will have the worst stock market crash since 1929!!!

I nearly shorted the S&P as a result!

Uh oh!   Youíd better check the article again!

ďA previous version of this article gave an incorrect S&P 500 target level in the headline. The story has been corrected.ď

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10253 on: March 15, 2024, 08:42:27 AM »


TOP IS IN!

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10254 on: March 15, 2024, 08:51:46 AM »

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10255 on: March 15, 2024, 09:13:15 AM »


Top is in!

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10256 on: March 15, 2024, 10:17:38 AM »

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10257 on: March 18, 2024, 09:09:47 AM »


TOP IS IN!
Is that my portfolio?
  I don't know what's in your portfolio, but at times it reflects mine!

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10258 on: March 19, 2024, 02:42:00 PM »
Gosh another all time closing high on the S&P.. Beginning to think the top will never be in!

zolotiyeruki

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10259 on: March 19, 2024, 05:24:28 PM »
Gosh another all time closing high on the S&P.. Beginning to think the top will never be in!
Such heresy!  The gall you must possess to spread such heretical nonsense!

ATtiny85

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10260 on: March 19, 2024, 05:40:30 PM »
Gosh another all time closing high on the S&P.. Beginning to think the top will never be in!
Such heresy!  The gall you must possess to spread such heretical nonsense!

He is just trying to get a rise out of us. Which is impossible to do since we have no way to rise with the Top is in.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10261 on: March 20, 2024, 01:11:09 PM »
Iím such a retail.  Iíve been waiting all year to reinvest dividends for reasons and of course now I feel urgency to finally pull the trigger because the top is in

I know itís time in market but I canít help my subconscious market timing

Tyson

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10262 on: March 20, 2024, 01:59:27 PM »
Iím such a retail.  Iíve been waiting all year to reinvest dividends for reasons and of course now I feel urgency to finally pull the trigger because the top is in

I know itís time in market but I canít help my subconscious market timing

Don't become a junioroldtimer. 

maizefolk

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10263 on: March 20, 2024, 02:07:02 PM »
I'm having the opposite problem (but still a strong case of market timing-itis): Forgot to reinvest some dividends in my individual stocks brokerage account and now I can't make myself pull the trigger with prices continuing to go up.

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10264 on: March 20, 2024, 02:25:14 PM »
Another weekday, another all-time high.

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10265 on: March 20, 2024, 02:44:08 PM »
Bound to crash tomorrow then!

RWD

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10266 on: March 20, 2024, 03:22:25 PM »
I'm having the opposite problem (but still a strong case of market timing-itis): Forgot to reinvest some dividends in my individual stocks brokerage account and now I can't make myself pull the trigger with prices continuing to go up.

You don't have it set to automatically reinvest?

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10267 on: March 20, 2024, 05:11:32 PM »
Triple Top is in!

dandarc

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10268 on: March 20, 2024, 05:24:22 PM »
I'm having the opposite problem (but still a strong case of market timing-itis): Forgot to reinvest some dividends in my individual stocks brokerage account and now I can't make myself pull the trigger with prices continuing to go up.

You don't have it set to automatically reinvest?
In taxable account, some folks prefer to have fewer lots to manage or to pull cash from accumulated dividends as-needed vs. having to sell shares if they need to pull funds from the account.

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10269 on: March 20, 2024, 05:43:52 PM »
I'm having the opposite problem (but still a strong case of market timing-itis): Forgot to reinvest some dividends in my individual stocks brokerage account and now I can't make myself pull the trigger with prices continuing to go up.

You don't have it set to automatically reinvest?
In taxable account, some folks prefer to have fewer lots to manage or to pull cash from accumulated dividends as-needed vs. having to sell shares if they need to pull funds from the account.

Yup thats what I do. The dividends and rental income just about cover our yearly expenses.

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10270 on: March 20, 2024, 06:45:32 PM »
I'm having the opposite problem (but still a strong case of market timing-itis): Forgot to reinvest some dividends in my individual stocks brokerage account and now I can't make myself pull the trigger with prices continuing to go up.

You don't have it set to automatically reinvest?
In taxable account, some folks prefer to have fewer lots to manage or to pull cash from accumulated dividends as-needed vs. having to sell shares if they need to pull funds from the account.

Yeah in theory I use dividend reinvestment to do some rebalancing.  I also was waiting mostly because cash was paying 5% and the market seemed high soÖ shows what I know!

dougules

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10271 on: March 21, 2024, 01:07:28 PM »
2 1/2 years into FIRE I'm still a little surprised when I check the S&P 500 and realize the market is actually open and it's not Saturday or after hours. 

JAYSLOL

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10272 on: March 21, 2024, 09:25:46 PM »
2 1/2 years into FIRE I'm still a little surprised when I check the S&P 500 and realize the market is actually open and it's not Saturday or after hours.

Reminds me of that tweet from MMM from a while back that went something like ďas an early retiree, I donít always know what day of the week it is, but when I do, I enjoy finding out that itís MondayĒ

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10273 on: March 21, 2024, 09:28:11 PM »
Looking mighty Toppy outside.

Dow
39,781.37

S&P 500 Index
5,241.53

NASDAQ Index
16,401.84



TOP IS IN. 

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10274 on: March 22, 2024, 04:47:22 PM »
Dow
39,475.90
 
S&P 500
5,234.18

NASDAQ
16,428.82
 

Top was in

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10275 on: March 22, 2024, 06:04:59 PM »
Hussman would agree......sort of (we are in a speculative bubble at this point, based on fundamentals).

https://www.hussmanfunds.com/comment/mc240321/

aboatguy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10276 on: March 26, 2024, 04:14:12 PM »


looks like a long way down
« Last Edit: March 26, 2024, 04:31:13 PM by aboatguy »

ATtiny85

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10277 on: March 27, 2024, 02:49:46 PM »
What a sneaky top we have these days. One really needs to know where to look for it.

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10278 on: March 27, 2024, 03:05:09 PM »
All I do is TOP TOP TOP no matter what!
Got the TOP on my mind, I can never get enough
And every time I step up in the building, everybody line go up
And they stay there

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10279 on: March 27, 2024, 03:08:50 PM »
What a sneaky top we have these days. One really needs to know where to look for it.

Oh don't worry I rolled all my old 401k's into a single IRA and that was completed this morning. Even though the roll was all within Fidelity, they sold everything to $1.3m cash and I had to go in an allocate to funds today..

In other words I sold "low" and bought at the very peak!

So today is the very top for years to come!..:)

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10280 on: March 27, 2024, 09:22:20 PM »
What a sneaky top we have these days. One really needs to know where to look for it.

Oh don't worry I rolled all my old 401k's into a single IRA and that was completed this morning. Even though the roll was all within Fidelity, they sold everything to $1.3m cash and I had to go in an allocate to funds today..

In other words I sold "low" and bought at the very peak!

So today is the very top for years to come!..:)

Hopefully you did 50/50 AA (50% MEMECOINS/50% NFT's)

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10281 on: March 27, 2024, 11:37:23 PM »
What a sneaky top we have these days. One really needs to know where to look for it.

Oh don't worry I rolled all my old 401k's into a single IRA and that was completed this morning. Even though the roll was all within Fidelity, they sold everything to $1.3m cash and I had to go in an allocate to funds today..

In other words I sold "low" and bought at the very peak!


So today is the very top for years to come!..:)

Hopefully you did 50/50 AA (50% MEMECOINS/50% NFT's)

I was tempted to do something very rash.. like keep the cash and hope the market dropped tomorrow. As that would have been playing with market timing with about 38% of my portfolio I resisted the urge, even though we KNOW the top is in.

It "only" cost me about $6000.. Ouch!

Why they couldn't simply have transferred the same Fidelity assets between the 401k's and the IRA, I have no idea.

Its funny how losing $6k hurts so much but the $140k I gained through taking early retirement packages does not generate the same positive emotion!

dragoncar

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10282 on: March 28, 2024, 12:46:50 AM »
Well I went ahead and sold some stocks I was holding on margin and rebought in cash (no taxable account).  In the meantime the price dropped a few cents.  So you could say Iím an excellent market timer.  I think my gain more than makes up for your loss, even though they are in no way comparable numerically.  More in the way of late night feelings

By the River

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10283 on: March 28, 2024, 08:31:39 AM »

Its funny how losing $6k hurts so much but the $140k I gained through taking early retirement packages does not generate the same positive emotion!

Daniel Kahneman, Nobel Prize winning economist died yesterday.  He was the first to describe Loss Aversion and here you are confirming his conjecture, again. 

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10284 on: March 28, 2024, 10:59:32 AM »

Its funny how losing $6k hurts so much but the $140k I gained through taking early retirement packages does not generate the same positive emotion!

Daniel Kahneman, Nobel Prize winning economist died yesterday.  He was the first to describe Loss Aversion and here you are confirming his conjecture, again.

Yup, whats more I didn't actually lose anything.. I just didn't make the $6k with the market rising. Humans are a funny bunch!

VaCPA

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10285 on: March 30, 2024, 05:39:04 AM »
I transferred my brokerage. Previously I had ~20% of it sitting in index funds, the rest MM funds. Currently I'm all MM after transferring. Keep it that way or adjust to my previous allocation. Market timers(the good ones), let me know

2Birds1Stone

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10286 on: March 30, 2024, 09:06:30 PM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin

PhilB

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10287 on: March 31, 2024, 03:53:05 AM »
I transferred my brokerage. Previously I had ~20% of it sitting in index funds, the rest MM funds. Currently I'm all MM after transferring. Keep it that way or adjust to my previous allocation. Market timers(the good ones), let me know

It's good to see someone who believes in the great prophet Thorstache and is prepared to suffer for their beliefs :)

Exflyboy

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10288 on: March 31, 2024, 11:48:22 AM »
I transferred my brokerage. Previously I had ~20% of it sitting in index funds, the rest MM funds. Currently I'm all MM after transferring. Keep it that way or adjust to my previous allocation. Market timers(the good ones), let me know

It's good to see someone who believes in the great prophet Thorstache and is prepared to suffer for their beliefs :)

Ouch! But hey VaCPA might be right and then you'll get to eat your words!

I mean, even a stopped clock is right twice per day!

VaCPA

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10289 on: March 31, 2024, 12:15:45 PM »
I transferred my brokerage. Previously I had ~20% of it sitting in index funds, the rest MM funds. Currently I'm all MM after transferring. Keep it that way or adjust to my previous allocation. Market timers(the good ones), let me know

It's good to see someone who believes in the great prophet Thorstache and is prepared to suffer for their beliefs :)
Hey, I said the good market timers ;)

Heckler

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10290 on: March 31, 2024, 03:59:20 PM »
I transferred my brokerage. Previously I had ~20% of it sitting in index funds, the rest MM funds. Currently I'm all MM after transferring. Keep it that way or adjust to my previous allocation. Market timers(the good ones), let me know

It's good to see someone who believes in the great prophet Thorstache and is prepared to suffer for their beliefs :)
Hey, I said the good market timers ;)

If you want the answer, you can sign up for my monthly newsletter, like and subscribe to my channel for daily market updates!

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10291 on: April 01, 2024, 06:32:36 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon

Phenix

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10292 on: April 01, 2024, 08:45:31 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon
Keep an eye out for a bare market

EscapeVelocity2020

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10293 on: April 01, 2024, 10:43:25 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon
Keep an eye out for a bare market
I just read an article that it was about to dump, are you willing to hold your nose and stay all in?

GuitarStv

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10294 on: April 01, 2024, 10:44:24 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon
Keep an eye out for a bare market
I just read an article that it was about to dump, are you willing to hold your nose and stay all in?
If I'm following the analysis here - you're saying that it's all going down the toilet?

ChpBstrd

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10295 on: April 01, 2024, 11:04:21 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon
Keep an eye out for a bare market
I just read an article that it was about to dump, are you willing to hold your nose and stay all in?
If I'm following the analysis here - you're saying that it's all going down the toilet?
When the tide goes out, we'll see who has been investing in Buttcoin.

Phenix

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10296 on: April 01, 2024, 12:23:51 PM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
definitely going to moon
Keep an eye out for a bare market
I just read an article that it was about to dump, are you willing to hold your nose and stay all in?
If I'm following the analysis here - you're saying that it's all going down the toilet?
When the tide goes out, we'll see who has been investing in Buttcoin.
wiping will be a reality check

Mr. Green

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10297 on: April 01, 2024, 06:23:35 PM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
That's standard, bro!

jeroly

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10298 on: April 02, 2024, 03:30:47 AM »
Definitely all in on Buttcoin
That's standard, bro!
As in, American Standard [tm]?

techwiz

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Re: Top is in
« Reply #10299 on: April 02, 2024, 08:17:32 AM »
wiping will be a reality check
When you realize, too late, that there is no more Toilet Paper
Spoiler: show
there Bidets like this


Top is in!