OK, now I know you're a troll.
I think that's going too far. Most people consider a 'troll' to be a complete piece of shit dirtbag (or am I wrong on that?). IMO, it's saved for when you're completely 'done' with someone AND you're
very certain you're 100% right. It's not playful banter.
How can the top "still" be in?
You're a very reasonable guy. You know you're
technically correct. But in real world terms,
if the market pretty much topped out here and then crashed... you'd really have to say he called it, wouldn't you?
Isn't it enough to be pretty damn sure he has no idea if the top's in, and he'll be proven wrong beyond any measure soon enough? I mean, even if he
did basically 'call it', you could still argue that he didn't
know. All you'd have to do is ask him to call the bottom next to prove it.
Honestly, if he got that one pretty close-enough, too... you'd have to start listening.
thorstach,
Have you ever called a top before? Someone else had a good point in that your skill ought to've made you a billionaire by now. Please address why you aren't (or confirm that you are). Maybe this is your first opportunity
ever to put your wizardry into practice? Can you show your methods in back-testing? Please give us a market chart with the ups and downs annotated with notes that follow your VIX-based rules.