Author Topic: Study about selling at all time stock highs  (Read 2387 times)

Mighty-Dollar

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Study about selling at all time stock highs
« on: August 17, 2018, 01:42:45 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

Cromacster

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #1 on: August 17, 2018, 01:53:24 PM »
Are you thinking about the "story"/study of the guy who only bought at peaks?

http://awealthofcommonsense.com/2014/02/worlds-worst-market-timer/


Mighty-Dollar

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #2 on: August 17, 2018, 02:45:07 PM »
No. Something else. They had a chart.

One

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #3 on: August 17, 2018, 03:05:44 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

Just remember that selling at all time highs on average is different than selling at all time highs in the 10th year of one of the longest bull runs in history. 

shinn497

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #4 on: August 17, 2018, 03:10:09 PM »
How would you define a bull run though?

Mighty-Dollar

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #5 on: August 17, 2018, 04:40:07 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

Just remember that selling at all time highs on average is different than selling at all time highs in the 10th year of one of the longest bull runs in history.
How do you know we're not at an early 90's point in a 20 year bull run?

shinn497

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #6 on: August 17, 2018, 07:47:36 PM »
haha yeah this af. We have no idea what will happen. Just put money in and wait it out ppl

marty998

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2018, 08:13:07 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

As opposed to selling when at an all time low is a bad idea?

Maybe the answer is just to never sell...

One

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2018, 10:33:27 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

Just remember that selling at all time highs on average is different than selling at all time highs in the 10th year of one of the longest bull runs in history.
How do you know we're not at an early 90's point in a 20 year bull run?

Don't know, just saying there's a big difference between first year of recovery and tenth.

harvestbook

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #9 on: August 21, 2018, 12:54:45 PM »
We're not in a 10-year bull market. Barely two. I grant we're probably near the end of an economic supercycle, but this hasn't been an unbroken bull market since 2009. Stocks spend more than half the time at all-time highs.

http://thereformedbroker.com/2018/08/09/today-we-put-all-bull-market-arguments-to-bed/

frugledoc

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #10 on: August 21, 2018, 01:07:12 PM »
I've been searching for this article about a study that concluded that selling stocks just because they've hit all time highs will be a bad move more often than not. They had a chart to go along with the study. Can anyone locate this study?

Just remember that selling at all time highs on average is different than selling at all time highs in the 10th year of one of the longest bull runs in history.
How do you know we're not at an early 90's point in a 20 year bull run?d

Don't know, just saying there's a big difference between first year of recovery and tenth.

What’s the difference? PE ratio was in the 100s when the market bottomed out.



One

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Re: Study about selling at all time stock highs
« Reply #11 on: August 21, 2018, 01:23:44 PM »
The difference is the fed is raising rates. Don't fight the fed;-)