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Author Topic: Timing the market  (Read 3782 times)

Heckler

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Timing the market
« on: March 27, 2016, 10:20:45 AM »
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Heckler

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #1 on: March 27, 2016, 10:30:05 AM »
2/10 tries beat the market for me.  Awesome visualizer.
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johnny847

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #2 on: March 27, 2016, 10:36:54 AM »
I think it's fun to play with. Unfortunately this isn't all that great a tool to convince people that timing the market is hard because you're only making decisions based on price, not based on other factors that people can use to make a decision on whether they should buy or sell (such as P/E ratio).
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Stache-O-Lantern

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #3 on: March 27, 2016, 11:59:04 AM »
Quote from: johnny847 on March 27, 2016, 10:36:54 AM
I think it's fun to play with. Unfortunately this isn't all that great a tool to convince people that timing the market is hard because you're only making decisions based on price, not based on other factors that people can use to make a decision on whether they should buy or sell (such as P/E ratio).

Yes, a similar game based on a P/E graph could be fun too.


I can't beat this, but I can match it almost every time by just hitting sell and buy as fast as i can right at the start, effectively using the game to index.

Sell your children for cash, facepunch Robert Shiller, and buy, Buy, BUY!!
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soccerluvof4

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #4 on: March 27, 2016, 06:24:18 PM »
came within 64$ of what it could of been so not so bad. Fun but yea..Timing is a losers game
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Indexer

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #5 on: March 27, 2016, 07:42:36 PM »
I beat it first try. I didn't do anything special. It was going up and then flat for awhile. Sold. It went up a little more and then it dropped. As soon as it dropped a decent amount I bought back in before it went back up.

Would I encourage this?  No...
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Heckler

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #6 on: March 27, 2016, 11:00:00 PM »
Quote from: Indexer on March 27, 2016, 07:42:36 PM
I beat it first try. I didn't do anything special. It was going up and then flat for awhile. Sold. It went up a little more and then it dropped. As soon as it dropped a decent amount I bought back in before it went back up.

Would I encourage this?  No...

Try it ten times.  🤑
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Metric Mouse

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #7 on: March 28, 2016, 01:06:41 AM »
Great visualizer. I wonder what the effects would be if you could pick your 'buy' point first and then your 'sell' point.


Edit: Beat 5/10 times.
« Last Edit: March 28, 2016, 01:16:00 AM by Metric Mouse »
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YoungInvestor

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #8 on: March 28, 2016, 06:22:24 AM »
A similar game with P/E, as well as 30 year Treasuries interest rates would be more interesting.

Here it is just looking at a price chart without prior history or other data.
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NoStacheOhio

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #9 on: March 28, 2016, 06:32:36 AM »
It scrolled a little fast for me, but I didn't make any trades, so I did OK. :)
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RWD

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #10 on: March 28, 2016, 07:17:43 AM »
I beat the market 7/10 times. Though two of those were only barely. Very cool simulation.
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aperture

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Re: Timing the market
« Reply #11 on: March 28, 2016, 07:40:18 AM »
I lost every time.  ;-(

Still fun. -Ap
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