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Learning, Sharing, and Teaching => Investor Alley => Topic started by: Heckler on March 27, 2016, 10:20:45 AM

Title: Timing the market
Post by: Heckler on March 27, 2016, 10:20:45 AM

And.... Go!

http://qz.com/487013/this-game-will-show-you-just-how-foolish-it-is-to-sell-stocks-right-now/

Who can beat it?

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: Heckler on March 27, 2016, 10:30:05 AM

2/10 tries beat the market for me.  Awesome visualizer.

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: johnny847 on March 27, 2016, 10:36:54 AM

I think it's fun to play with. Unfortunately this isn't all that great a tool to convince people that timing the market is hard because you're only making decisions based on price, not based on other factors that people can use to make a decision on whether they should buy or sell (such as P/E ratio).

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: Stache-O-Lantern on March 27, 2016, 11:59:04 AM

Quote from: johnny847 on March 27, 2016, 10:36:54 AM

I think it's fun to play with. Unfortunately this isn't all that great a tool to convince people that timing the market is hard because you're only making decisions based on price, not based on other factors that people can use to make a decision on whether they should buy or sell (such as P/E ratio).

Yes, a similar game based on a P/E graph could be fun too.


I can't beat this, but I can match it almost every time by just hitting sell and buy as fast as i can right at the start, effectively using the game to index.

Sell your children for cash, facepunch Robert Shiller, and buy, Buy, BUY!!

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: soccerluvof4 on March 27, 2016, 06:24:18 PM

came within 64$ of what it could of been so not so bad. Fun but yea..Timing is a losers game

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: Indexer on March 27, 2016, 07:42:36 PM

I beat it first try. I didn't do anything special. It was going up and then flat for awhile. Sold. It went up a little more and then it dropped. As soon as it dropped a decent amount I bought back in before it went back up.

Would I encourage this?  No...

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: Heckler on March 27, 2016, 11:00:00 PM

Quote from: Indexer on March 27, 2016, 07:42:36 PM

I beat it first try. I didn't do anything special. It was going up and then flat for awhile. Sold. It went up a little more and then it dropped. As soon as it dropped a decent amount I bought back in before it went back up.

Would I encourage this?  No...

Try it ten times.  🤑

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: Metric Mouse on March 28, 2016, 01:06:41 AM

Great visualizer. I wonder what the effects would be if you could pick your 'buy' point first and then your 'sell' point.


Edit: Beat 5/10 times.

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: YoungInvestor on March 28, 2016, 06:22:24 AM

A similar game with P/E, as well as 30 year Treasuries interest rates would be more interesting.

Here it is just looking at a price chart without prior history or other data.

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: NoStacheOhio on March 28, 2016, 06:32:36 AM

It scrolled a little fast for me, but I didn't make any trades, so I did OK. :)

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: RWD on March 28, 2016, 07:17:43 AM

I beat the market 7/10 times. Though two of those were only barely. Very cool simulation.

Title: Re: Timing the market
Post by: aperture on March 28, 2016, 07:40:18 AM

I lost every time.  ;-(

Still fun. -Ap