I vote vanguard total market. 70% chance of 10% or more loss in 3 months. 30% of even or better. If it goes down then you are a long term investor and no further decision is needed.
If true, that would imply a 10% drop in the total market nearly every single year. And that stocks would be more likely to go down than up. Hmmm. Your number generator appears to be on the fritz. You might need to go to a proctologist to have that looked at.
Might he be referring to the fact that the fed is expected to raise rates in September now? (Or December?)
I also have a pile of money sitting around right now that will be invested. I'm very seriously thinking about waiting until the fed raises rates, and the dreaded correction ensues, to put it in. I just hope that the social and unreasonable part of the market kicks in and makes the prophecies of an upcoming correction true.
I'd love to hear others thoughts on it. I'm not a fan of market timing but there doesn't seem to be too much of a downside to waiting a few months to see at the moment.
I was being on the conservative side for the OPs sake. It is summer (markets typically are flat or down), we are in a down or flat trend, everything has been up for a long time. My crystal ball is broke by the way.
The basic premise holds though -- invest in stocks -- if in the short term their down, buy more and then you are a longer term holder.
People tend to fear the market as a parking place because "what? oh my God, what if it goes down?" The answer is of course that if it goes down to simply wait till it goes back up.
In this posters case he has no specific need or target for the money, so it is not like he will miss something if he becomes a longer term holder.
Granted if he had said "I have a specific need for the cash in 90 days and I must have X amount" the answer may be different.
What is the value of $2,000 left in a checking account at zero interest in 60 years? $300 inflation adjusted.
What is the value of $2,000 left in a 10% average account in 60 years? $300,000 inflation adjusted.
You decide where to keep your money ---------