Presidential election Cycles

[Cyaphas]

https://gbr.pepperdine.edu/2010/08/presidential-elections-and-stock-market-cycles/


Table 3 is pretty interesting.

Personally I'm on a wait until after the election to invest. But still, the returns difference on those two investors is pretty ridiculous.

[matchewed]

We're pattern finding machines, even if there may not be an actual pattern.

[MustacheAndaHalf]

Why do S&P 500 index funds, which ignore this pattern, keep beating 80-90% of active fund managers, who know about this pattern?

[massmustache]

Personally I'm on a wait until after the election to invest. But still, the returns difference on those two investors is pretty ridiculous.

I thought about this as well given that the two candidates share amazingly negative favorability ratings... then I realized that if I was thinking that, then a lot of others were... and it probably was just a waste of time trying to time investments... so my recent lump sum chugs along DCA over next few months.