Hi, first time post here, I listened to their presentation yesterday and it left me with some questions... but can you explain why you'd be "totally screwed" for doing asset allocation in that situation?
PC's "tactical weighting" has you invested in
individual stocks like Chevron, Apple, Google, etc. If you decide to leave them or even do your own investments outside of their management, you can't just take market sectors like you would if you were using funds/ETFs.
Let's suppose you've been with PC for a while and you have a large amount of assets in a taxable account. If you leave them, and transfer all those in-kind to Vanguard, you now have a bunch of individual company stocks. You can't just sell that and buy an index fund without incurring a large amount of gains (or losses).
1) He mentioned I was under weighted in international, which I thought might be a fair point.
That's up to you how you want to do your asset allocation. I suggest you read about
Lazy portfolios.
2) He made the point that the S&P 500 (and even VTSAX) is heavy in Finance and Technology, which have taken hard hits in the last decade and had long roads to recovery. Then transitioned to their much more evenly weighted sector approach. Does anyone think that approach makes sense, and would be worth implementing with the Vanguard ETF's??
3) He also pointed out that these index funds were missing any small cap exposure... again thoughts welcome
This is where I really don't like how they present it, fooling people like you. TheAnonOne and I knew to say "Why are you comparing to S&P 500?" S&P 500 is
large cap only. You wouldn't hold S&P 500 only. You would either buy the total market (
VTI/
VTSAX/
VTSMX). This would have exposure to the total market, not just large cap.
Alternatively, if you have limitations like I have in my 401k, I don't have access to total market. But I do have access to Vanguard S&P 500 index funds as well as Vanguard small cap funds. I do my own approximation of the total market. You can read more about doing that
on Bogleheads as well. That is what I do.
4) Tax loss harvesting: I don't yet understand it or know how much it is worth.
It can be worth a lot, but by the questions you asked, it seems that you're a very new and/or inexperienced investor. It matters much less than getting your money in the market and getting it on autopilot.
The danger with TLH is wash sales. It's too big to explain here, but you can
read more here.
Basically the IRS doesn't let you sell an asset and buy a substantially similar asset to realize a loss. It's really hard to do correctly unless you can see the total picture. That's why I said you need to be 100% in PC or 100% out. If you sell something PC on auto TLH and then buy the thing elsewhere, it can trigger a wash sale. They avoid wash sales with individual stocks, but for reasons above, I really think that's a bad thing long term.
I think that PC's inability to compare themselves with total market and their insistence on comparing only to S&P 500 speaks volumes.
I like the free service, though.