Just don't start splitting to multiple funds. You don't have enough money yet. Splitting world just add confusion and distraction. Wait til you are in the $50k to $250k range. If you pick a target date fund you can just stick with that forever.
The fine details of particular indexes are meaningless compared to just getting that cash invested rather than sitting on the sidelines.
If you invest in stocks, you will see a crash. But it will have the best chance of long term growth.
So use a target date fund, or S&P500 index, or total stock market. Whichever. Just invest.
Rolling to Vanguard first makes sense though.
Question for Tom: What's the reasoning behind not splitting into multiple funds? I like that approach for simplicity's sake, but does this go against the typical "diversify" advice, or does it even matter because these are index funds?
I know that works for those of you that are more comfortable investing, but I for one am more reluctant to invest if I get to a point that I cannot keep track of things or I don't understand where I am invested. One fund in Vanguard is great for me. Confidence instills better investment behaviour for me. YMMV
Yep. That's a big part of it. Comfort. Get a good index or target date fund and you can understand it and be comfortable with it.
To address the above: A reasonable index fund already IS a big chunk of diversification. The whole "Diversify!" mantra started really to address folks like my grandparents. They had 3 individual stocks and CDs. That's it. If you are in the S&P 500 fund, you are invested in FIVE HUNDRED FUCKING COMPANIES - and not just your local utilities like my grandparents. You have the 500 biggest companies in the USA, most of which are themselves multinationals. Compared to buying individual stocks, you are WAY diversified. If you are in the Total Stock Market, you are invested in THOUSANDS of companies.
Is a target date fund better? Possibly. Some international? Possibly. But that's really just fiddly details. Get a good broad index or target date fund. Low fees. Tax efficiency (ie, use your IRA/401k if you can) - you get someone a really, really good solution with very little effort, maintenance or further thought. It's really not WORTH thinking about til you actually have sizeable assets.
I've seen way too many case studies here where someone has a few thousand bucks and some high-priced "advisor" has gotten them to split the money to a dozen (or more!) different funds. They have no idea what's going on, most of the funds are expensive and duplicative - offering little if any actual increase in diversification - and it keeps up the pretense that high paid advisors are necessary because of all this worthless complexity. Instead of a broad index that has everything, they will have penny packets in "small cap value" "large cap growth" "REIT" and a bunch of actively managed bullshit - all of which pretty much add back to... S&P500 or TSM, but with more taken out in fees.
I also see people who should be focusing on their lives going down the rabbit hole of ever more esoteric asset allocations when they have maybe $10k, $20k. At that point, it's just a distraction. Get your lifestyle under control, enjoy life, get badass, put money aside.
So, that's a chunk of why I'm in favor of simplifying, ESPECIALLY for someone learning to do it on their own. It's good enough. It's easy to understand. It's comfortable.