Midterm elections: A sure bet for investors?

[NWOutlier]

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-investors-love-midterm-election-120000754.html

this is something I didn't know about; even if we don't hit those double digit growths mentioned in the article and video, it will be a nice bump for my VTSAX (not directly the S&P, but includes it)... Anyone else targeting 10,000 or more shares of VTSAX?


Thoughts? Share them here.

Regards,

Steve (NWOutlier)

[VirginiaBob]

Not a sure bet of course, but it is interesting that the current situation of a Republican congress/Democrat president produces the best results historically during the 6 months after the mid-term elections:

http://www.forbes.com/sites/advisor/2014/10/28/midterm-elections-bode-bullishly-for-u-s-stocks/

Could be a 20% gain in 6 months if the historical trend stands up.

[surfhb]

No reason to deviate from your plan.   Do you have one?

These short term events have little bearing on the markets as a whole.   

[VirginiaBob]

Also lines up well with the "sell in May and go away" strategy:

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/s/sell-in-may-and-go-away.asp

[clarkm04]

Looks like a classic case of correlation doesn't equal causation.

I give Yahoo props, it's got to be hard to come up with new correlations that might explain a typically random thing such as the US stock market.

[VirginiaBob]

Looks like a classic case of correlation doesn't equal causation.

I give Yahoo props, it's got to be hard to come up with new correlations that might explain a typically random thing such as the US stock market.

This isn't really a new correlation.  I've seen this article rehashed so many times during so many election cycles.  You actually thought yahoo had original writers?